Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal Group.
State. and United States. 1991-93

Seasonal : Area Harvested Yield : Production
Group Doce tence serene nen erence eee n ence ene cc cern e renee eenees
and : : : : : : :
State : 1992 : 1993 : 1992 : 1993 : 1991 : 1992 : 1993
- 1,000 Acres - wees CWE ---- 0 eeeeee 1,000 Cwt ------
Winter ]/ :
CA : 5.3 5.6 260 225 1,127 1,378 1,260
FL : 8.1 7.4 200 180 1,482 1,620 1,332
Total : 13.4 13.0 224 199 2,609 2,998 2,592
Spring l/ :
AL : 3.5 2.7 155 155 300 543 419
AZ : 6.1 5.5 295 290 1,770 1,800 1,595
cA : 19.3 19.5 375 375 8,284 7,238 7,313
FL :
Hastings : 25.0 26.0 240 180 5,130 6.000 4,680
Other : 7.0 7.5 250 185 1,470 1,750 1,388
NC : 17.3 17.3 200 180 2,890 3.460 3,114
TX : 4.8 5.3 155 200 792 744 1,060
Total : 83.0 83.8 259 234 «920,636 §=21,535 19,569
Summer 2/
AL 7.0 71 170 90 952 1,190 639
CA 4.3 4.8 320 360 1,560 1,376 1.728
co 6.7 7.9 300 305 2.036 2,010 2,410
DE 6.0 5.9 230 180 1,348 1.380 1,062
IL 4.4 4.5 300 250 1,008 1,320 1,125
IA 1.4 0.6 200 165 208 280 99
MD 1.6 1.6 200 140 298 320 224
MI 12.0 12.5 260 280 2,875 3.120 3.500
HN 7.1 7.1 325 300 2,184 2,308 2,130
Ll} 7.2 6.7 245 220 1,323 1,764 1,474
NE 2.0 2.3 300 230 636 600 529
NJ 3.5 3.3 240 190 760 840 627
NM 3/ 3.4 3.6 280 290 3,450 952 1,044
NC 1.4 1.2 110 100 154 154 120
1X 7.0 7.5 245 250 2,400 1,715 1,875
VA 11.0 11.0 180 155 1,485 1,980 1,705
Total 86.0 87.6 248 232 022,647 21,309 =. 20,291
See footnotes at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-20 NASS, USDA


harvest ended. Yields in Alabama and North Carolina diminished as the dry
season progressed. Heat and dry weather reduced sizing in the Delmarva
Peninsula.

Good progress is reported in Michigan with superb quality and yields. Harvest
is ahead of schedule in Colorado and New Mexico. In Texas, some acreage had
too much heat and rain but potatoes did well overall. California yields are
well above average.

Fall Potatoes, 1992 Final: Production of 1992 fall potatoes was finalized at

a record high 380 million cwt, up 2 percent from
the previous record in 1991 and 8 percent above 1990’s output. Area harvested
was 1.13 million acres, down 4 percent from a year earlier and 3 percent below
1990. The average yield was a record high 335 cwt per acre, up 19 cwt from
1991 and 33 cwt above 1990. Increased acreage estimates in Washington and
higher yield estimates in Idaho, Maine, and Oregon were major contributing
factors in the revisions.

All Potatoes, 1992: Final production of potatoes from all four seasons in

1992 totaled 425 million cwt, up 2 percent from a year
earlier and 6 percent larger than 1990. Area harvested totaled 1.32 million
acres, down 4 percent from the previous two years. Yields jumped to 323 cwt
per acre, up 19 cwt and 30 cwt, respectively, from 1991 and 1990. Winter
production was up 15 percent, spring output was up 4 percent, summer output
fell 6 percent. and fall gained 2 percent from a year earlier.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1993 is forecast at 1.54 billion
pounds, down fractionally from the August 1 forecast and down

11 percent from 1992. Area expected to be harvested totals 745,150 acres,

5 percent below a year ago. The average yield of 2,065 pounds is 10 pounds

less than the forecast in August. Dry conditions, especially in the southeast,

have been the major factor. The current yield of 2.065 pounds will be

129 pounds below 1992.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 826 million pounds, 1 percent less
than the August 1 forecast and 9 percent below 1992. Harvest of the crop got
off to a good start.

Burley production, at 620 million pounds, is slightly above the August 1
forecast of 618 million pounds. Compared to the previous year, this year's
crop will be 14 percent smaller. Harvest of the crop has begun in Kentucky and
parts of Tennessee.

Grapes: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 5.63 million tons, unchanged from
August 1 but down 7 percent from last season.

California's grape production is expected to total 5.00 million tons. unchanged
from last month. The forecast for raisin type grapes remained the same at
2.20 million tons, 18 percent below a year ago. The wine type grape forecast
is also unchanged at 2.20 million tons, up 3 percent from last year. The table

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-9 NASS, USDA



dryland crops. In Nebraska, 22 percent of the acreage was reported dented,
well behind the 54 percent average. A record high stalk count is shown for
Nebraska, but ears per acre are only the third highest. Ear length is the
lowest in the past 10 years.

The Indiana corn crop is 40 percent dented. somewhat behind the average of

51 percent for this date. Stalks per acre are only slightly behind last year’s
record high. Ears per acre are down from last year’s record Jevel. Ear length
ranked eighth in the past ten years.

Lack of growing degree days continues to hamper development of the Minnesota
corn crop. Record high stalk counts and near record ear counts are not enough
to offset the lateness of the Minnesota crop.

Hot. dry weather has reduced the expected Ohio corn crop. The second highest
stalk count in the past 10 years along with the sixth highest ear count are
more than offset by only the eighth highest ear length.

Sorghum for Grain: Production is forecast at 649 million bushels, up

1 percent from last month but down 27 percent from 1992.
Area for grain harvest is unchanged from August 1. Yields are now expected to
average 66.5 bushels per acre, up 0.6 bushels from the last forecast but still
well below last year’s record high of 72.8 bushels. Improved yield prospects
from last month in Missouri, Nebraska, and New Mexico were partially offset by
a drop in Louisiana and Texas forecast yields.

Heading progressed rapidly during August in several States and by August 29 had
reached 91 percent in the 12 major producing States. This equaled the 5-year
average. Percent coloring trailed average, considerably so in Nebraska and
South Dakota. The Texas harvest continues in the Low Plains; some early
harvest was reported in southeast Kansas.

Barley: Total production is forecast at 436 million bushels, down 7 percent
from last month and 5 percent below the 1992 crop. The expected

yield per acre is forecast at 57.8 bushels compared with last month's

61.9 bushels and last season’s 62.4 bushels. Area harvested and to be

harvested, at 7.54 million acres, is 3 percent above last year’s 7.31 million

acres.

Harvest in the major producing States is running well behind last year and the
five-year average. Early planted acreages are avoiding the disease problems
found in other small grains. Expected yields are down from last month in
Minnesota and North Dakota but are unchanged in Idaho and Montana.

Durum Wheat: Production for 1993 is now forecast at 77.0 million bushels,

down 5 percent from August 1 and 21 percent less than last year.
All of the production decline from last month is due to the yield, as area for
grain is unchanged at 2.14 million acres. Yields are forecast at 35.9 bushels
per acre, down 1.9 bushels from last month.

The condition of North Dakota’s crop deteriorated during August as cool
temperatures and excessive moisture have provided an environment for diseases.
Immature fields and the wetness have allowed just 6 percent of the acreage to
be combined as of August 29, the latest progress on record.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-5 NASS, USDA


Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted

between August 22 and September 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of September 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn,
soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually
account for at least 80 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected
plots were re-visited to make current counts. The items counted within the
selected plots depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases,
number of plants are recorded along with other measurements that provide
information to forecast the number of heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their
weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a
projected biological yield. The five-year average harvesting loss is
subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-visited each month until
crop maturity when the fruit are harvested and weighed. After the farm
operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain
current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 23,000 producers were
interviewed during the survey period and were asked questions about probable
yield. This total includes a supplemental sample of 6,000 producers in the
flood affected states.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower

reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data
were also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to
Previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published
September 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The September 1 production forecast will not be revised:

instead, a new forecast will be made each month throughout
the growing season. At the end of the marketing year, administrative records
and a balance sheet are utilized using carryover stocks, production, exports,
processing. feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data
relationships warrant changes. Harvested acres may be revised any time a
production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended
harvested area has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the September 1

production forecasts, the “Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the
September 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a
percentage of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations
for the 1973-1992 20-year period is computed. The square root of this average
becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can
be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the
final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year’s
forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-14 NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Area Harvested

Production

State

1992 : 1993

1,000 Acres
ALL: 44 50
CAL: 55 30
MN : 10 10
MT [aby
ND : 2,150 1,900
sD : 33 38
us : 2,449 2,142

0 3,740
0 §,115
0 470
0 5,181
0 81,700
0 990

9 97,196

1,000 Bushels

4,500
3.000
320
3,648
64,600
912

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Other Spring Wheat:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Area Harvested

1993

1,000 Acres

State :

: 1992
co L/ : 47
10 : 640
MN : 2,750
MT : 2,450
Was: 5
ND : 9,100
OR 1/ : 100
SD : 2,500
UT: 22
WA : 420
WI 1/ : 21
wy 1/ : 10
US : 18,065

33
550
2,450
2,600
5
9,500
65
2,020
25
340

78.
76.
45.
32.
80.
38.
58.
32.
49,
49,
40.
45.

eoecrcoeeoeeCoCoOGd

1992

Production

1993

0
0
0
0
0
0 382,200
0
0
0
0
0
0

3,619
48,000
137,500
73,500
375

4,900
85,000
1,056
17,640
840
470

-- 1,000 Bushels --

2,574
41,800
85,750
85,800

400
332,500

3.770
56,560

1,225
17,000

440
585

628,404

l/ Estimates for current year carried forward from

Crop Production
September 1993

A-14

earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by Class, Type.
State, and United States. 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Class and Type

Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts

NC
VA
us

Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt

NC
Type 13, NC Border &
SC Belt
NC
Sc
US
Type 14, GA-FL Belt
FL

GA
US
Total 11-14
Class 2, Fire-cured
Type 21, VA Belt
VA

Type 22, Eastern
District
KY

TM
US
Type 23, Western
District
KY
TN

us
Total 21-23
Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3A, Light
Air-cured
Type 31, Burley
N

US
Type 32, Southern MD
Belt

MD

PA

US
Total 31-32

1993
-- Pounds --
2,195 2,000
2,205 2,000
2,198 2,000
2,345 2,150
2,175 2,150
2,160 1,900
2,166 1,999
2,610 2,500
2,295 2,100
2,341 2,161
2,257 2,068
1,510 1,300
2,430 2,400
2,280 2,300
2.327 2,332
2,620 2,550
2,350 2,350
2,583 2,521
2,305 2,299
2,100 2,100
2,225 2,175
1,940 1,900
1,990 1,900
2,100 2.000
2,000 1,850
2,210 1,900
1,725 1,750
2,163 2,084
1,230 1,350
1,850 1,900
1,405 1,498
2,133 2.059

215,110
81,585
296,695

302,505

73,950
112,320
186,270

19,575
100,980
120,555
906,025

2,567

7,776
15,960
23,736

9,170
1,316
10,486
36,789

18,900
498,400
3,298
18,308
21,840
128,000
27,183
3,623
719,552

11,931
7,030
18,961
738,513

--1,000 Pounds ---

196,000
74,000
270,000

277,350

73,100
98,800
171,900

18,750
88.200
106.950
826,200

1,690

8,640
17,480
26,120

9,180
1,410
10,590
38,400

17,010
435,000
6,080
16,150
20,000
99,900
22,420
3,500
620,060

12,825
6,650
19,475
639,535

-- continued

Crop Production
September 1993

1992 1993
--- Acres ---
98,000 98,000
: 37,000 37.000
: 135/000 135,000
: 129,000 129.000
34,000 34,000
52/000 52.000
86,000 86,000
7,500 7,500
44/000 42.000
: 51/500 49.500
: 401/500 399,500
1,700 1,300
3,200 3.600
7,000 7,600
10/200 11,200
3,500 3,600
560 600
4.060 4,200
15.960 16.700
: 9,000 8,100
: 224/000 200.000
: 1,700 3.200
9:200 8,500
10/400 10.000
64/000 54,000
12/300 11.800
: 22100 2,000
332/700 297,600
9,700 9.500
3.800 3.500
: 13/500 13.000
: 346.200 310.600
A-24

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


type forecast of 600.000 tons did not change and remains 7 percent below last
year.

The Washington grape forecast is unchanged at a record high 305,000 tons.
Recent weather has been ideal for grapes. Harvest is expected to start about
September 20 and continue through early November.

The New York grape forecast remained at 140.000 tons, 22 percent below last
year. The vines are suffering from below normal precipitation and are bearing
fewer and smaller berry clusters this year.

Pennsylvania's grape production is expected to total 65.000 tons, unchanged
from last month but down 17 percent from last year. Good fruit quality is
expected this year and harvest will begin earlier than usual.

Michigan's forecast of 55,000 tons is unchanged from August 1 but is 17 percent
more than last season. Concord grapes are coloring well and harvest should
begin later this month.

Florida Citrus: Florida's groves, trees, and fruit were in good to excellent

condition throughout August. Rainfall was generally short
during the first two to three weeks of the month forcing caretakers to irrigate
to prevent wilt and to keep fruit growing. However, during the last ten days
of the month normal rainfall resumed allowing growers to reduce irrigation.
Trees of all ages show an abundance of new growth. Fruit sizes were varied
depending on when the tree bloomed. Some groves have early fruit with color
and size adequate for packing but as of late August. fruit maturity was mostly
unacceptable delaying the early harvest.

Sugarbeets: The September 1 sugarbeet production forecast of 27.9 million

tons is fractionally below the August 1 forecast and 3 percent
below last year’s output. Yields are expected to average 19.9 tons per acre,
down 0.6 ton from last year.

Production in the Red River Valley area of Minnesota and North Dakota is
expected to be 9 percent below a year ago. Excessive soil moisture has caused
some damage, yet the full impact will not be known until harvest begins around
late September.

Other major producing areas such as Idaho, California, and Michigan are
reporting average to above average crops with limited infestation of insects or
disease.

Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for September 1 is forecast at 30.9 million

tons. unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 2 percent above
last year’s output. Area for harvest, at 935,100 acres, also unchanged from
August 1, shows an 1 percent increase from a year ago.

Louisiana growers report shorter than normal cane due to the cool spring and
dry conditions during August. However, expectations for a good crop remain
favorable. Growing conditions for the other mainland States are reported as

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-10 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production,
United States, 1992-93
(Domestic Units)
: Yield per Acre
Crop and Unit Dee ee eee ee ne eee eee eee

1992): 1993 1/ 1992 1993 1/
sereeee 1,000 -------
Oats Bu: 65.6 60.7 294,604 249,830
Winter Wheat . : 38.3 40.5 1.606.534 1,788,005
All Hay Ton: 2.50 2.51 149,141 150,783
Alfalfa . : 3.30 3.39 79,652 80,891
All Other . : 1.96 1.93 69,489 69,892
Potatoes :
Winter Cwt : 224 199 2,998 2,592
Spring . : 259 234 21,535 19,569
Fall 2/ . : 335 379,525
Hops lb: 1,759 1,699 74,336.7 73,172.0
Apples, Comm’) . : 10,719,500 10,789,000
Peaches “ : 2,658,500 2,769,100
Sweet Cherries Ton : 208.4 164.9
Tart Cherries Lb: 335,100 328,700
Apricots Ton : 108.0 97.0
Nectarines (CA) "oy 236.0 220.0
Olives (CA) . : 165.0 115.0
Plums (CA) : 250.0 220.0
Almonds (CA) Lb: 548,000 470,000
1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1992 revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-5: NASS, USDA


August Weather Summary: August opened as though the prolonged wet spell in

the Midwest and the “year without a summer“ in the
Northwest might end. Temperatures briefly soared to record levels in the West,
while rivers receded under mostly Sunny skies in the middle Mississippi Valley.
Rain dampened the parched Southeast. But by August 10, a strengthening trough
in the Northwest pushed the hot air eastward, where it re-established residence
over the Southeastern States.

The first day of the month featured record August heat in the San Francisco Bay
area at stations such as Moffett Naval Air Station (101 degrees F) and the San
Francisco Airport (100 degrees F). Inland, temperatures soared above

110 degrees F in the northern Sacramento Valley. Even eastern Washington State
reported temperatures as high as 100 degrees F. Meanwhile, the Mississippi
River crested at St. Louis, MO, on August 1 at 19.4 feet above the 32- foot
flood stage. Within a week, the crest passed Cape Girardeau, MO (16 feet above
flood stage on August 8). and headed for the Mississippi-Ohio confluence near
Cairo, IL. South of Cairo, the floodwaters mixed with the sub-normal flow of
the Ohio River and spilled into the broader, deeper lower Mississippi Valley,
causing few additional flooding problems.

By mid-month, hot weather spread eastward across the South-Central States.
Temperatures of 101 degrees F in Houston, TX, and 99 degrees F in Port Arthur,
TX, were the highest readings of the year. In addition to the heat, severe
dryness continued to plague southern Texas. Periods of dryness reached 60 days
in Corpus Christi and 63 days in San Antonio before rain finally fell late in
the month. Hot. dry conditions arrived in the eastern third of the Nation
during the final half of August. Pittsburgh, PA. notched its hottest day in
more than 5 years with a 98-degree reading on August 26. Hot. dry weather also
arrived in the eastern Corn Belt, which heretofore had enjoyed a favorable
growing season.

Orier-than-normal weather continued to affect much of the Southeast during
August. Rainfall failed to top the 1-inch mark for the third consecutive month
in Greenville-Spartanburg, SC. But farther west. summer rainfall totals
mounted in the Nation’s mid-section. Columbia. MO. recorded more than 8 inches
during the month en route to its wettest summer on record (25.81 inches).
Similarly, Des Moines, IA, received 11.63 inches during August, culminating a
record summer total of 29.06 inches.

Late in the month, an autumnal cold front swept through the Northwest and into
the Central States. On August 31, Pocatello, ID, noted 32 degrees F.

General Crop Comments: fariy-to-mid August weather was cool and damp over the
Northwest and Midwest, hot and dry over the South and
East, and cool and dry over the West. Periodic rains fell across the central
parts of the Nation throughout the month, while scattered showers occurred
elsewhere. The above-normal temperatures spread slowly northward, By the end
of the month, more rain fell across the central parts of the Nation, while the
Southeast, West, and South were dry. and above-normal temperatures occurred
over many parts of the Nation. The winter wheat harvest was well along at the
beginning of the month, however, the cool, wet conditions hindered wheat
maturity in the Northwest and slowed harvest advances in the central Great
Plains. Harvest was virtually completed in all areas except the Northwest by

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-3 NASS, USDA



Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production. by Seasonal Group.
State, and United States, 1991-93 (continued)

Seasonal Area Harvested Yield Production
Group Se
and : : : : I : I
State : 1992: 1993 : 1992 : 1993 : 1991 : 1992 : 1993

- 1,000 Acres - ---- Cwt ---- -
Fall 1/ 2/ 4/ :
CA : 14.0 12.0 400 5,390 5,600
co : 66.0 72.0 335 23,800 22,110
1D :
10 SWCo : 22.0 24.0 435 9,020 9,570
Other Co : 356.0 364.0 330 113,155 117.480
IN : 4.3 4.2 230 902 989
ME : 81.0 80.0 300 18,170 24,300
MA : 3.0 2.9 275 585 825
MI : 36.0 38.0 300 8,840 10,800
MN : 67.0 72.0 246 17,160 16,080
MT : 8.5 9.0 290 2,790 2.465
NE : 8.3 9.5 325 2,464 2,698
NV : 7.5 7.7 390 2,546 2,925
NM 3/ : 5.1 5.8 450 2,295
NY :
Long Is : 6.2 6.3 320 1,650 1,984
Upstate: 20.8 22.0 280 5,267 5,824
ND : 142.0 139.0 195 30,030 27,690
OH I 6.0 5.6 240 1,425 1,440
OR :
Malheur : 7.5 8.4 410 2,640 3,075
Other Co : 37.5 40.6 480 19.530 18,000
PA : 19.0 20.0 260 3,500 4,940
RI : 1.3 1.2 290 241 377
so : 6.0 5.1 250 1,775 1,500
UT : 6.0 6.0 275 1,620 1,650
WA : 132.0 145.0 525 75.435 69,300
WI : 68.0 67.5 370 23,275 25,160
wy : 1.6 1.7 280 520 448
Total : 1,132.6 1,169.5 335 371,730 379,525
US : 1,315.0 1,353.9 323 417,622 425,367

l/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ 1992 revised.

3/ District I (NW Counties) included in fall potatoes beginning in 1992.

4/ Estimates for 1993 yield and production for fall potatoes will be
published November 9, 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 . A-21 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes

1/ The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.

2/ Net Ibs. per box: oranges-CA & A2-75, FL-90, TX-85: grapefruit-CA
Desert & AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos. K-Early
Citrus & Temples-90: tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

3/ Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

4/ TX utilized production estimated at 425 tons for 1991-92.

Grapes: Total Production by Crop. State. and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted September 1. 1993

Grapes (Table Type)

CA : 620,000 645.000 600,000
Grapes (Wine Type) :
CA : 2,195,000 2,145,000 2,200.000
Grapes (Raisin Type) 2/ :
CA : 2,165,000 2,670,000 2,200,000
All Grapes :
AZ 3/ : 25,000 25,000 21,500
AR 3/ : 11,000 5,000 12,500
CA : 4,980,000 5.460.000 5,000,000
GA 3/ : 3.200 3.400 3.000
MI : 46,000 47,000 55,000
MO 3/ : 3,100 1,850 2,700
NY : 192,000 180,000 140.000
NC 3/ : 2,200 1,300 2,000
OH 3/ : 9,100 10,300 8,500
OR 3/ : 9,600 12,300 14,000
PA : 78,000 78,000 65,000
SC 3/ : 700 500 550
WA : 196,000 227,000 305.000
US : 5,555,900 6.051.650 5,629,750

i/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons): 1991-630;
1992-19, 450.

2/ Fresh basis.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-27 NASS,. USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

---- Acres ---- --- Pounds --- 7: 1,000 Pounds ------
CT : 1,450 1,490 1,600 1.435 2,831 2,320 2,138
FL : 7,500 7.500 2,610 2,500 15.312 19,575 18,750
GA : 44,000 42,000 2,295 2,100 80,600 100,980 88,200
IN : 9,000 8,100 2,100 2,100 18.920 18,900 17,010
KY : 234,700 211,100 2,234 2,185 479,794 524,378 461.270
MD : 9,700 9,500 1,230 1,350 12,900 11,931 12,825
MA : 370 420 1,831 1,474 830 678 619
MO : 1.700 3.200 1.940 1.900 6.825 3.298 6.080
NC : 270,200 269.500 2,257 2,088 634,655 609.873 562,600
OH : 10,400 10,000 2,100 2,000 22,776 21,840 20,000
PA : 10,800 10,000 1,947 2,030 20,765 21,030 20,300
sc : 52,000 52.000 2,160 1,900 111.180 112.320 98,800
TMN : 72,200 62,840 2,030 1,911 121,524 146,556 120,070
VA : 51.100 50,200 2.181 1.957 116.849 111.459 98,220
WV 2 2,100 2,000 1,725 1,750 3,420 3,623 3,500
WI : 7,500 §.300 1,712 1,628 15,191 12,837 8,630
US 784.720 745,150 2,194 2,065 1,664,372 1,721,598 1,539,012
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-23 NASS. USDA


the end of the month. Spring wheat harvest was active in early August. The
cool, wet conditions delayed crop maturity, promoted plant diseases, and
hindered harvest. Harvest progress at the end of August was about 1 week
behind last year. and over 3 weeks behind average. Progress of the corn crop
in early August was between one and two weeks behind average. Dry weather in
the Southeast hurt crop prospects. Conditions in the Eastern Corn Belt also
turned hot and dry which stressed the crop. Below-normal temperatures in the
central and western Corn Belt, in early August, gave way to above-normal
temperatures at the end of the month which reduced crop stress. By the end of
August, corn progress nationally remained one to two weeks behind average,
although condition of the crop had improved slightly. Soybean progress, as
measured by setting pods, was slightly more than a week behind normal in early
August. Although drier and warmer conditions during the month improved crop
condition, soybean progress still remained more than one week behind normal at
the end of August. The hot weather in July had the cotton crop in good
condition and progress ahead of average at the beginning of August. Despite
continued hot weather and a lack of moisture over the major cotton producing
areas during August, the crop progress remained ahead of average, even though
the crop condition declined. Sorghum crop progress in early August was less
than a week behind average. Drier conditions and warmer weather allowed
progress to remain less than a week behind average and improved the crop
condition by the end of the month. Progress of the rice harvest at the
beginning of August was less than a week behind average. Good conditions
during the month allowed harvest to advance. Nearly 20% of the crop was
harvested at the end of the month, and progress remained less than a week
behind normal.

Corn: Acreage to be harvested for grain is forecast at 63.9 million acres,
down 11 percent from last year. The acreage is down slightly from the
64.0 million acres for harvest forecast last month. Acreage for harvest for
grain is down 45,000 acres from last month in Virginia and 15,000 acres in
South Carolina, a result of abnormally dry conditions. The September Corn
Objective Yield data indicate a record high stalks per acre count for the
ten objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota,
Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). The September count of
ears per acre is second only to last year’s record level. The ear measurements
indicated the second shortest ears in the past ten years.

The Iowa crop remained under stress from flooding and excessive rains. Only
10 percent of the acreage was in the dent stage. 40 points behind the 5-year
average. The Iowa crop has a record high stalk count and the ears per acre are
second only to last year’s record high level. Ear measurements indicate the
shortest ears since the drought year of 1988.

The Illinois corn crop at 38 percent dented, is maturing at about the same
pace as last year, but well behind the average of 60 percent dented. The
third highest stalk count in the past 10 years in Illinois is indicated. Ear
counts are also the third highest, only exceeded by 1992 and 1987 which
produced record yields. Ears are slightly longer than last year’s but are the
third longest in the past 10 years.

The Nebraska crop suffered considerable wind damage which prevented Nebraska
farmers from having an excellent crop. Summer rains have greatly benefited

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-4 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type. State,
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Yield : Production ]/

Area Harvested :

1992 1993

1992

State 1992 1993

.000 Acres -- Pounds -

Upland
AL >: 408.0 430.0 731 569 553 621.0 495.0
AZ : 323.0 319.0 1,077 1,240 1,204 725.0 800.0
AR : 980.0 1,000.0 823 782 749 1,681.0 1,560.0
CA : 995.0 1,025.0 1,359 1,288 1,311 2,817.0 2,800.0
FL 3/ 49.5 52.0 701 740 740 72.3 80.2
GA 456.0 550.0 783 611 559 744.0 640.0
KS 3/ 0.8 1.5 120 256 256 0.2 0.8
LA 870.0 875.0 717 768 741 1,299.0 1,350.0
MS 1,345.0 1,350.0 761 729 711 2,131.0 2,000.0
MO 328.0 338.0 792 710 710 541.0 500.0
NM 37.0 60.0 616 600 704 47.5 88.0
NC 377.0 385.0 596 586 524 468.0 420.0
OK 335.0 370.0 301 415 350 210.0 270.0
sc 192.0 195.0 565 44] 431 226.0 175.0
TN 615.0 640.0 651 600 570 834.0 760.0
TX : 3,550.0 5,500.0 441 506 480 3,265.0 5,500.0
VA 3/ 21.8 22.8 621 600 600 28.2 28.5
US :10,883.1 13,113.3 693 664 639 15,710.2 17,467.5

Amer -Pima
AZ 102.0 58.0 649 898 894 138.0 108.0
CA 110.0 90.0 1,282 1,173 1,200 293.7 225.0
MS 4/ 0.4 480 0.4
NM 12.8 11.0 739 602 633 19.7 14.5
1TM 35.0 33.0 775 756 756 56.5 52.0
US 260.2 192.0 938 984 999 508.3 399.5

All
AL 408.0 430.0 731 569 553 621.0 495.0
AZ 425.0 377.0 975 1,186 1,156 863.0 908.0
AR : 980.0 1,000.0 823 782 749 1,681.0 1,560.0
CA : 1,105.0 1,115.0 1,351 1,27 1,302 3,110.7 3,025.0
FL 3/ 49.5 52.0 701 740 740 72.3 80.2

456.0 550.0 783 611 559 744.0 640.0

KS 3/ 0.8 1.5 120 256 256 0.2 0.8
LA 870.0 875.0 717 768 741 1,299.0 1,350.0
MS 1,345.4 1,350.0 760 729 711 2,131.4 2,000.0
MO 328.0 338.0 792 710 710 541.0 500.0
NM 49.8 71.0 648 600 693 67.2 102.5
NC 377.0 385.0 596 586 524 468.0 420.0
OK 335.0 370.0 301 415 350 210.0 270.0
SC 192.0 195.0 565 441 431 226.0 175.0
TM 615.0 640.0 651 600 570 834.0 760.0
Xx 3,585.0 5,533.0 445 508 482 3,321.5 5,552.0
VA 3/ 21.8 22.8 621 600 600 28.2 28.5
US 11,143.3 13,305.3 699 668 645 = 16,218.5 17,867.0

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned. 2/ 480-Lb. net weight bales.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast.

4/ Estimates discontinued in 1993.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-18 NASS, USDA


U.S. Corn Production

1984 - 1993
Billlon Bushels
12.00
10.00 deeeeeeneeee gags niin teeeeereeeed
8.23
7.87
8.00 4 7.98 Jeeta ceeeereesencteeers,

6.00 Ni
4,00 N 1

2.00 NV :

Yj tt

0.00

84 85) «686 «87 8B CBD 80 81s 2s

Crop Production
September 1993

Year

Agricultural Statistics Board


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
y September 4, 1993
7
—*\
PAVORABLY BNORMALLY
MOIST jon:
ayo & FAVORABLY
ON. O
-
7 Y \ surcHTLY
/ i] A DRY
WETS
H 1 QO) ie s
ABNORMALLY [ t/ =
DRY — \VORABLY
MOIST
| ies \. sucHtiyy
i) FAVORABLY BY,
MOIST ) th a
Zz WYSE
(excessive J 2) peat
WY yo f ¢
\
| \ "ABNORMALLY
{ DRY
) \ chee
RY
NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on preliminary reports,

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55
degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the tong term (months,
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-1 NASS, USDA


Prunes and Plums: Total Production by Crop. State. and Total.
1991-92 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Total Production 1/
Crop and State fee enn ee eee

1991 1992 1993
Tons
Prunes (Dried basis)
CA : 187.000 184,000 135,000
Prunes and Plums :
ID : 3.000 4,600 7,000
MI : 8.000 8,000 4,000
OR : 4,000 16,000 7,000
WA : 9,100 9,500 9,000
Total 24,100 38.100 27,000

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons): 1991 - 300:
1992 - 200.

Nuts: Utilized Production by Crop and State.
1991-92 and Forecasted September 1. 1993

Crop and State

Tons (In-shell Basis)

Hazelnuts :
OR : 25,300 27,500 38,700
WA a 200 200 300
Total : 25,500 27,700 39,000
Walnuts :
CA 259,000 203,000
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-30 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993
(Metric Units)
Area Planted Area Harvested j/
C00) ae
1992 1993 1992 1993
Hectares

Corn 32,102,030 29,809,060 29,195,960 25,863,740
Sorghum 5.373.070 4,344,350 4,916,980 3,944,920
Barley 3,157,390 3,213,640 2,957,880 3,050,960
All Wheat 29,243,710 29,193,120 25,255,490 25,873,450

Durum 1,014,560 890,720 991,090 866.850

Other Spring 7,566,890 7,300,610 7,310.720 7,127,400
Rice 1,284,490 1,220,140 1,266,680 1,201,930
Soybeans 24,010,260 24,060,840 23,627,020 22,740,750
Peanuts 683,760 678,670 676.680 667,540
All Cotton 5,358,100 5,527,940 4,509,580 5,384,520

Upland 5,251,500 5,448,220 4,404,280 5,306,820

Amer -Pima 106,600 79,720 105,300 77,700
Dry Edible Beans 653,010 738,400 605,780 668,910
Potatoes

Summer 2/ 35,980 37,350 34,800 35,450

Total 2/ 542,000 558,070 532,170 547,910
Tobacco 317,570 301,550
Sugarbeets 581.180 580,610 571,750 568,750
Sugarcane for

Sugar and Seed 374,420 378.430

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie.,-grain, beans, nuts, etc.
2/ 1992 revised.
Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 1992-93
(Metric Units)
Area Planted Area Harvested
6 oe)»
1992 1993 1/ 1992 1993 1/
Hectares

Oats 3,221,740 3,263,420 1,817,870 1,664,890
Winter Wheat 20,662,260 21,001,790 16,953.680 17,879,200
Rye 640,220 604,200 164,300 165,110
Sunflower 897,200 1,141,630 838,520 1,110,470
Flaxseed 69,200 81,750 66.770 78,510
All Hay 24.118.310 24,319,850

Alfalfa 9.776.910 9,648,210

All Other 14,341,400 14,671,630
Potatoes

Winter 5,420 5,380 5.420 5,260

Spring 34,520 35,170 33,590 33,910

Fall 2/ 466,080 480,160 458,350 473,280
Sweetpotatoes 34.760 34,120 33,350 32,780
Hops 17,100 17,430
1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production
September 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

A-7 NASS, USDA



Crop Summary:

Yield per Hectare and Production,

United States,
(Metric Units)

1992-93

Oats
Winter Wheat
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Potatoes
Winter
Spring
Fall 2/
Hops
Apples, Comm’?
Peaches
Sweet Cherries
Tart Cherries
Apricots
Nectarines (CA)
Olives (CA)
Plums (CA)
Almonds (CA)

25.
29.
37.

1993 1/ 1992
Metric Tol

2.18 4,276
2.72 43,722
5.62 135,298
7.61 72,259,
4.32 63,039,
22.35 135,
26.18 976,
17,214,

1.90 33,
4,862,

1,205,

189,

152,

97,

214

149,

226,

248,

ns

170
-690
440
080
360

990
810
970
720
280
880
060
000
980
100
690
800
570

3,626,270
48,661,520
136,788,040
73,383,080
63,404,960

117,570
887, 630

33,190
4,893,810
1,256,040

149,590
149,100

87.950
199,580
104,330
199,580
213,190

1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production
September 1993

A-6

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Cottonseed:

Production, United States, 1991-92

and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Ory Edible Beans:

Area Harvested, Yield, Production, by State

and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted September 1. 1993 l/

- 1,000 Acres -
CA : 110.0 107.
co : 159.0 185.
1D : 88.0 123.
KS : 19.0 25.
MI : 310.0 380.
MN : 97.0 100.
MT : 9.5 12.
NE : 153.0 160.
NM : 13.0 14,
NY : 29.0 35.
ND : 390.0 380.
OR : 5.9
1TM : 32.0 27.
UT : 5.7 5
WA 35.0 42
WI 8.8 9
WY 32.0 4l
US 1,496.9 1,652.

7.

+-- Pounds ---

-160 2,200
640 1,570
.800 1,800
-400 1,700
-250 1,600
-460 1,100
-900 1,900
-650 1,800
-950 1,800
.050 = 1,500
200 950
050 2,100
-320 1,400
700 400
.840 =—-1,950
-800 1,500
-850 1,870
473, 1,503

Production

1991 1992 1993

verte 1,000 Cwt -----
3,235 2,376 2,354
3,330 2,608 2,905
2,932 1,584 2,214
544 266 425
6,753 3,875 6.080
1,980 1,416 1,100
158 181 228
4,009 2,525 2,880
240 254 252
483 305 §25
7,548 4,680 3.610
147 121 147
373 422 378
26 40 21
1,000 644 819
207 158 146
800 592 767
33,765 22.047 24,851

1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed.

Crop Production
September 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Area Harvested Production
State : : :
1992: 1993 : 1992 1992: 1993
-- 1,000 Bushels ---
AL : 320 305 94.0 30,080 19,825
AZ 1/ : ll 11 170.0 1,870 1,870
AR 1/ : 95 100 130.0 12,350 12,500
CA : 145 170 165.0 23.925 28,050
eo 2 : 835 815 148.0 123,580 114,100
/ :
DE 161 157 119.0 19,159 12,560
FL / 110 100 75.0 8,250 5,800
GA 690 540 100.0 69,000 35,100
ID L/ 33 50 130.0 4,290 6.000
IL 11,050 10,000 149.0 646,450 1,400,000
IN 5.970 5,450 147.0 877,590 741,200
IA 12,950 10,900 147.0 .903,650 1,220,800
KS 1,730 1,800 150.0 259,500 243,000
KY 1,300 1,240 132.0 171,600 124,000
tA ¥ 309 250 120.0 37,080 27,500
2/
MD 470 410 124.0 58,280 36.900
MA 2/
MI 2,300 2,200 105.0 241,500 242,000
MN 6,500 5,100 114.0 741,000 433,500
MS 1/ 300 200 90.0 27,000 16,000
MO 2.400 1,800 135.0 324,000 189,000
MT 1/ 25 al 110.0 750 415
NE 2 7,900 7,650 135.0 066,500 933,300
NJ 1/ 82 82 120.0 9,840 7,380
NM J/ 71 75 160.0 11,360 12,375
NY 670 590 92.0 61,640 61,360
NC 1,040 900 95.0 98.800 49,500
ND 580 380 63.0 36,540 22,800
OH 3,550 3,100 143.0 507,650 356,500
OK 1/ 135 140 130.0 17,550 16,800
OR 1/ 15 20 150.0 250 2,800
Rt 2 990 970 120.0 118,800 91,180
Sc 350 245 88.0 30,800 575
SO 3,300 2,600 84.0 277,200 174,200
TTMN 640 590 124.0 79,360 47,200
TTM 1,620 1,900 125.0 202,500 218,500
UT l/ 24 24 135.0 3,240 3,312
VT 2/
VA 345 275 116.0 40,020 16,500
WA 1/ 88 90 180.0 15,840 15,300
wy L/ 50 45 108.0 400 500
WI 2,950 2,550 104.0 306,800 267,750
WY 1/ 40 65 98.0 3,920 7,475
us 72,144 = 63,910 131.4 9,478,914 7,229,427

l/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ Not estimated.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-9 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State.
and United States. 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993 (continued)

Class and Type

1993

--1,000 Pounds ---

Class 3, Air-cured
Class 3B, Dark
Air-cured
Type 35, One Sucker
Belt
KY
TMN
US
Type 36. Green River
Belt
KY

Belt
VA
Total 35-37
Class 4, Cigar Filler
Type 41. PA Seedleaf
PA
Class 5, Cigar Binder
Class 5B, CT Valley
Binder
Type 51, CT Valley
Broadleaf
CT
MA
US
Class 58, WI Binder
Type 54, Southern WI
WI
Type 55, Northern WI
WI
Total 54-55
Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper :

Type 61, CT Valley
Shade-grown
cT
MA
US
All Cigar Types
Total 41-61

All Tobacco

Crop Production
September 1993

Type 37, VA Sun-cured :

1,

600

640

240

300

100

640

500

650
170
820

900

400
300
120

++ Acres ---
2.650 2
640
3.290 3
1.350 1
100
4.740 4
7,000 6
650
170
820
4.100 2
3.400 2
7.500 5
8.320 6
800
200
1,000
16.320 13,
: 784,720 745,

A-25

-- Pounds --
2,160 2,150
2,000 2,000
2,129 2,120
2,450 2,200
1,240 1,100
2,202 2,121
2,000 2,100
1,790 1,700
1,880 1,800
1,809 1,721
1,970 1,900
1,400 1,300
1,712 1,628
1,721 1.641
1,445 1,230
1,790 1,250
1,514 1,235
1,828 1,826
2,194

5,724
1,280
7,004

3,308

124
10,436

14,000

1,164
320
1,484

8.077
4.760

12,837
14,321

1,156
358
1,514

29.835

5,590
1,280
6.870

2,860

110
9,840

13,650

1,105
306
1,411

5.510
3.120

8.630
10.041

1,033
313
1,346

25,037

2,065 1,721,598 1,539,012

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


National

Crop Agricultural

Statistics

Production Service

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released September 9, 1993, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts
refer to September 1, 1993.

Corn Down 3 Percent
Soybeans Virtually Unchanged

Corn production is forecast at 7.23 billion bushels, down 3 percent from the
August 1 forecast and 24 percent below the record high production of 1992.
Based on conditions as of September 1, yields are expected to average

113.1 bushels per acre, down 2.9 bushels from last month and 18.3 bushels below
the record yield of 131.4 bushels set a year earlier. Acreage for harvest as
grain is estimated at 63.9 million acres, down slightly from last month.

Soybean production is forecast at 1.91 billion bushels as of September 1,
virtually unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 13 percent below 1992. If
realized, this would be the lowest production since 1988. Yield is forecasted
at 34.0 bushels per acre, 0.2 bushel above August 1 but 3.6 bushels below 1992.
Area to be harvested, at 56.2 million acres, is down 150,000 acres from the
August estimate. South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, and Georgia reduced
acreages due to the drought. No further reductions were made due to the wet
conditions experienced in the midwest earlier this year. The average plant
maturity. as well as the number of pods set is behind last year’s pace.

All cotton production is forecast at 17.9 million bales, down 4 percent from
the August forecast but 10 percent higher than 1992. Lack of sufficient
rainfall in the cotton belt reduced yield potential during the past month.
Texas’ output fell 300,000 bales from August to 5.50 million bales but remains
68 percent above the 1992 level. The Southeast region's yields decreased

40 pounds from last month and are off 158 pounds per acre from a year ago.
Arizona's yield averaged 1.204 pounds per acre, 127 pounds higher than last
year. U.S. producers expect to harvest 13.3 million acres, up 19 percent from
1992.

Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For
information call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (9-93)


Index

Page

Table Narrative
Barley. cece eee tee eee eee tenes A-12 B- 5
Beans. Dry Edib? A-19 B- 8
Citrus Fruits. A-26 B-10
Coffee........ A-32
Corn for Grain A- 9 B- 4
Cotton........ A-18 B- 7
Cottonseed A-19
Crop Moisture Maps. B- 1
Crop Summary A- 3 B- 3
Grapes A-27 B- 9
Nuts..... A-30 B-12
Papayas - ’ A-29 B-11
Pasture and Range Feed Condition. A-29 B-11
Peanuts for Nuts A-17 B- 6
Pears A-32 B-13
Pecans... A-31 B-12
Potatoes A-20 B- 8
Prunes and Plums A-30 B-11
Reliability Statement... B-14

A-15 B- 6
Sorghum for Grain.. A-11 B- 5
Soybeans for Beans. A-16 B- 6
Sugarbeets A-28 B-10
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed A-28 B-10
Tobacco by Class and Type... A-24 B- 9
Tobacco by States . A-23
Wheat, All.... A-13
Wheat, by Class. A-15
Wheat, Durum.... . os A-14 B- 5
Wheat, Other Spring.............. 0.02 e eee eee eee A-14
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-16 NASS, USDA


Barley: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by State
and United States. 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Area Harvested Production

State :

1992 : 1993 1992 1993

1,000 Acres -- 1,000 Bushels --
AZ 1/ : 21 29 2,205 3.045
CA i/ : 180 200 11,160 14,000
co : 120 95 9,000 7,600
DE 1/ H 35 35 2,590 2,275
1D : 720 760 54,000 57,000
KS L/ : 17 15 680 795
KY 1/ 18 16 1,188 1,024
MD i/ 64 69 4,672 4,485
MI 1/ : 28 30 1.736 1.860
MN : 675 700 50,625 42,000
MT : 1,200 1,200 52.800 67,200
NE 1/ : 30 32 1,500 1,440
NV 1/ : 5 5 550 450
NJ 1/ : 7 5 448 300
NC 1/ : 30 20 1,980 1,100
ND : 2,650 2,950 172,250 147,500
OK ls: 9 8 396 304
OR : 150 165 9,450 10,850
PA 1/ : 90 95 6.390 5,985
sc 1/ : 9 7 558 294
so : 380 370 20,520 16,280
TX V/ : 6 7 270 308
UT : 115 110 8.970 9,350
VALS: 90 85 7,110 5,950
WA : 440 345 19,800 20,700
WI : 80 75 4,160 3,675
wy 140 121 11,340 9,922
US 7,309 7,539 62.4 61.9 57.8 456,348 435,692

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-12 NASS, USDA



Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Area Harvested Yield Production
State :

1992 : 1993 1992 1993

1,000 Acres -- 1,000 Bushels --
AL V/ a 25 21 50.0 38.0 38.0 1,250 798
AR : 410 230 76.0 63.0 63.0 31,160 14,490
co : 190 190 37.0 43.0 43.0 7,030 8,170
GA 1/ : 55 45 48.0 38.0 38.0 2,640 1,710
IL : 260 210 103.0 100.0 100.0 26,780 21,000
KS : 3,050 2,800 80.0 70.0 70.0 244,000 196,000
KY V/ : 19 13 100.0 75.0 75.0 1,900 975
LA : 224 130 68.0 75.0 65.0 15, 232 8,450
MS : 150 60 70.0 70.0 70.0 10,500 4,200
MO : 720 660 97.0 78.0 80.0 69.840 52,800
NE : 1,530 1.250 94.0 73.0 80.0 143,820 100.000
NM : 205 155 60.0 50.0 55.0 12,300 8.525
NC 1/ : 20 15 50.0 50.0 50.0 1,000 750
OK : 330 320 53.0 50.0 50.0 17.490 16,000
sc l/ : 12 9 34.0 14.0 14.0 408 126
so : 380 300 37.0 56.0 56.0 14,060 16,800
TM L/ : 70 40 80.0 78.0 78.0 5,600 3,120
TX : 4,500 3,300 62.0 60.0 59.0 279,000 194,700
US 12,150 9,748 72.8 65.9 66.5 884.010 648.614

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-11 NASS, USDA


harvests began. The table grape harvest continued with Thompson Seedless,
Flame Seedless, Fantasy, Christmas Rose, Ribier. and Red Globe varieties
packed. Flame and Thompson Seedless raisin grapes were also laid on trays for
drying. The wine grape harvest progressed. Citrus growers treated for red
scale and worms.

Hazelnuts: The 1993 hazelnut crop in Oregon and Washington is forecast at a
record high 39,000 tons. If realized. production will be

41 percent above the previous record set last year and 53 percent more than the

1991 crop. Oregon's crop is projected to total 38.700 tons and Washington's

growers are expected to harvest 300 tons.

Unusually dry and clear weather during pollination in February and March was
conducive to a good nut set. Above normal moisture and cooler temperatures
since then have been excellent for nut sizing and development. April had
record rainfall and precipitation each month since has been above average. The
unusually wet weather has put the crop a few days behind normal in maturity.

Walnuts: The 1993 California walnut forecast is 250.000 tons, up 23 percent

from last year’s small crop but 3 percent less than the record high
in 1991. This month’s forecast is based on objective survey data and remains
unchanged from July.

The average number of nuts per tree is 29 percent higher than last year.
Hartley nut set is up 37 percent, the Franquette set is 26 percent higher, and
the Serr variety set is up 78 percent. Blight is reported on early maturing
varieties and some sunburn damage occurred near the end of July. Harvest is
expected to begin during the second week of September on the early varieties.

Pecans: The September 1 forecast for U.S. pecan production is 364 million
pounds (in-shell basis). up 119 percent from last year’s very small

crop. If realized. this year’s crop will be the largest since 1963 when

376 million pounds were harvested and the second largest on record. Al} States

expect higher production this year.

The Georgia forecast is 120 million pounds, four times the size of last year's
crop. Maturity is one to two weeks behind normal but nut set is very heavy.
Non-irrigated nuts are smal] and may have trouble filling due to dry weather.
Texas production is forecast at 85.0 million pounds, up 37 percent from last
year. Many growing areas received excessive moisture in the spring followed by
avery dry summer. The trees need a good rain to ensure adequate nut fill.

The New Mexico pecan crop is in good condition and is expected to reach

33.0 million pounds, 10 percent more than a year ago.

Alabama growers expect to harvest 28.0 million pounds, seven times more than
last season. Limb breakage is a concern due to the large nut set. Timely
rains were received in the major producing areas. Pecan production in Arkansas
is forecast at 2.00 million pounds. 54 percent above a year earlier. Weather
this year has been good with no major freeze in the spring. California’s pecan
forecast is 3.50 million pounds, up 35 percent from the previous crop. The
crop is in excellent condition. Florida’s production is forecast at

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-12 NASS, USDA


Coffee: Utilized Production, Hawaii 1991-93

Production 1/ 2/

S) 7) eo
1990-1991 1991-1992 : 1992-1993 3/
1.000 Pounds
HI 2,800 2,300 1,800

L/ Parchment basis.
@/ 1991-92 and 1992-93 exclude the island of Kauai.
3/ Revised.

Pears: Total Production by Crop, State. and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted September 1. 1993

Crop and State =: ---------------------- +--+ 2-22 ener nnn nner eee
1991 1992 1993
ue Tons
Bartlett
CA : 300.000 315.000 310,000
OR : 70,000 74,000 68,000
WA : 160.000 170,000 160,000
Total : 530,000 559,000 538,000
Excluding Bartlett :
CA L 17,000 23,000 23.000
OR : 150,000 140,000 145,000
WA : 176,000 167,000 195,000
Total : 343,000 330,000 363,000
All :
CA : 317,000 338,000 333,000
co 2/ : 3.100 4.000 4,000
CT 2/ 1,200 1.300 1,300
MI 5,000 6,000 5,500
NY 14,500 18,500 16,500
OR 220,000 214,000 213,000
PA 2/ 4,600 5,500 5,200
UT 2/ 200 1,800 1,800
WA 336.000 337,000 355,000
US 903.600 926,100 935,300

i/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons):
U.S.; 1991 - 150, 1992 - 1,950.
2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-32 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next “Crop Production" report will be released at 3 p.m. ET on
October 12, 1993.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Herb Eldridge - Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202) 720-7621
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526
David Mueller - Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-2157
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068

Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Stephen Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843
dim Brewster - Fruits (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202) 720-8843
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202) 720-5412
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944
David Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-6054

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 B-17 NASS, USDA



Pecans: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

1991 1992 1993
1,000 Pounds
Pecans Improved 1/
AL 7,000 2,000 16.000
AR 1,500 100 1,200
cA 2,300 2,600 3,500
FL : 2,000 1,700 5,000
GA : 77,000 26,000 100,000
LA : 2,500 200 4,000
MS 5,000 500 6,000
NM 29,000 30,000 33,000
NC 3,000 1,000 2,200
OK : 1,000 500 1,500
sc : 3,000 200 3,000
TX : 30.000 40,000 50,000
us : 163,300 104,800 225,400
Pecans Native & Seedling
: 11,000 2,000 12,000
AR : 1,500 1,200 800
FL : 1,500 800 2,000
GA : 23.000 4,000 20,000
KS 2/ : 2,500
LA : 24,500 800 18,000
MS : 2,500 200 2,500
NC : 2,500 1,500 1,300
OK : 16,000 8,500 23,500
sc : 2,500 100 1,500
TX : 30.000 22.000 35,000
Us : 115,000 41,100 119,100
All Pecans :
AL : 18,000 4,000 28,000
AR : 3,000 1,300 2,000
CA : 2,300 2,600 3,500
FL : 3,500 2,500 7,000
GA : 100,000 30,000 120,000
KS 2/ : 2,500
LA : 27.000 1,000 22,000
MS : 7,500 700 8.500
NM 29,000 30,000 33,000
NC 5.500 2.500 3.500
OK 17,000 9,000 25,000
sc 5,500 300 4,500
TX 60,000 62,000 85.000
Oth Sts 3/ 20,700 20,100 19,500
US 299,000 166,000 364,000

1/  Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties.

2/ Estimates for Kansas are published separately beginning in 1993.

3/ AZ, KS, MO, and TN in 1991 and 1992. No breakdown between improved
varieties and native and seedling varieties available.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-31 NASS, USDA



. Crop Summary:

Crop

Corn for Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Barley

All Wheat

Durum

Other Spring
Rice
Soybeans for Beans
Peanuts for Nuts
All Cotton

Upland

Amer-Pima
Cottonseed
Dry Edible Beans
Potatoes

Summer 2/

Total 2/
Tobacco
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for

Sugar and Seed
Pears
Grapes
Dried Prunes (CA) 2/
Prunes and Plums
(Excl CA)
Pecans
Hazelnuts 3/
Walnuts (CA) 2/

Yield per Hectare and Production, United States
1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993
(Metric Units)

1992

FPOONNANNNWED

1 27.
: 36.

1 45,
: 73.

25
-57
36
-65
67
81
41
-53
-87
78

-05
65

77
26

46

90

57

Pr

1993 1992

Metric Tons
7.10 240,775,510 188
4.18 22,454,890 16
3.11 9.935.800 10
2.62 66,918,380 69
2.42 2,645,240 2
2.40 20,550,450 18
6.36 8,123,300 7
2.28 59,779,040 51
2.37 1,943,330 1
0.72 3,531,160 4
0.72 3,420,490 3

1.12 110,670
5,651,850 6
1.69 1,000,040 1

25.96 966,560

19,294,330

2.31 780,900
44.53 26.243.040 25
73.96 27,545,760 27

840,140
5.489.960 5

166,920

34,560

75,300

25,130

184,160

oduction

Aug 1,
1993

556,490
316,920
161,650
550,810
204,620
684,670
- 696,100
. 764,580
.772,050
037,760
.950, 280

87,480
.541,440
, 181,060

943.020

701,400
448,350

988,460
857.560
. 107,220
122,470

26.760

35,380
226,800

183,635,900
16,475,550
9.486.070
67,858,920
2,095,050
17,102,350
7,648,480
51,959,580
1,583,540
3,890.080
3,803,100
86,980
6.301,310
1,127,220

920.380

698.080
25,324,970

27,988,460
848,490
5.107.220
122,470

24,490
165,110
35,380
226,800

1/ 1992 revised.

2/ August estimate carried forward from July 1.
3/ August estimate as of mid-August.

Crop Production
September 1993

A-8

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Potatoes: Area Planted. by Seasonal Group.
State, and United States, 1992-93

Seasonal Group Seasonal Group

and : 1992: 1993 nt and > 1992  : 1993
State : : :: State : :
1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Winter 1/ : :: Fall 2/ 2/ :

CA : 5.3 5.6 :: CA : 14.0 12.0
FL : 8.1 7.7: co : 66.5 72,5
Total : 13.4 13.3: 1D :

: rt 10 SW Co : 22.0 24.0

Spring 1l/ : a Other Co : 358.0 366.0
AL : 3.6 2.8 2: IN : 4.6 4.5
AZ : 6.4 5.5: ME : 82.0 81.0
cA : 19.3 19.5 :: MA : 3.0 2.9
FL ht MI : 37.0 40.0

Hastings : 26.0 28.0 :: MN : 71.0 74.0

Other : 7.1 8.0 MT : 8.6 9.1

NC : 17.6 17.6 NE : 8.6 9.6

TX : 5.3 §.5 NV : 7.5 7.7

Total : 85.3 86.9 NM : §.1 5.8
: NY :

Summer 2/ Long Is : 6.2 6.3
AL 7.2 7.3 Upstate : 22.0 22.5
CA 4.4 5.2 ND : 146.0 143.0
co 6.9 8.1 OH : 7.0 6.0
DE 6.0 5.9 OR :

IL 4.5 §.1 Malheur : 7.6 8.5
IA 1.6 1.5 Other Co : 38.4 41.5
MD 1.6 1.6 PA : 20.0 21.0
MI 12.5 13.0 RI : 1.3 1.2
MN 7.2 7.2 SO : 6.5 §.5
MO 7.7 7.7 UT : 6.1 6.1
NE 2.1 2.4: WA : 132.0 145.0
NJ 3.6 3.4 WI : 69.0 69.0
NM 3.4 3.6 WY : 1.7 1.8
NC 1.5 1.3 Total : 1,151.7 1,186.5
TX 7.7 8.0 :

VA 11.0 11.0 US > 1,339.3 1,379.0
Total 88.9 92.3: :

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-22 NASS, USDA


harvested acre, at 1,925 pounds, is 771 pounds per acre below last year’s
average. In North Carolina and Virginia, August heat and dry weather cut crop
Prospects substantially and set the stage for increased insect pressure,
especially spider mites. Rapidly drying soils at the critical time for pegging
reduced yield prospects significantly. In Virginia, the crop condition dropped
from 14 percent good and 86 percent fair on August 1 to only 33 percent fair,
50 percent poor, and 17 percent very poor by August 27.

The peanut crop in the Southwest (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected
to total 957 million pounds, up 1 percent from last month but 2 percent below
1992. Yields are expected to average 2,301 pounds per acre. 3 pounds above
last year’s level. Weather conditions in New Mexico and Oklahoma during August
have been favorable with few disease and insect problems reported. Texas
conditions are less promising, especially on dryland acreage, where persistent
dry weather has caused uncertainty over yield prospects.

Cotton: Upland cotton acreage for harvest, at 13.1 million acres, is up

20 percent from last year, and down 10,000 acres from last month.
American-Pima harvested acreage, at 192,000 acres, is 26 percent below 1992
and 4,000 acres less than the August forecast.

The Texas crop is mostly in good condition but deteriorated during August due
to dry weather. In late August, 58 percent of the acreage was good to
excellent and 30 percent was in fair condition. Boll set in Texas, at

92 percent, was 2 percent behind the 5-year average. Twenty-nine percent of
the Texas crop showed open bolls. 9 percent ahead of normal development. The
objective yield counts for large bolis are their highest since 1983, but small
bolls, squares, and total fruit are the lowest during that same period. Plant
counts are the second highest during the past 10 years, which may indicate
higher than normal shedding.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
rated their cotton mostly in fair to good condition. Three-fourths of the
Arkansas crop was in good condition as of September 1. The exception was
Mississippi, where rainfatl remained below normal this season and 31 percent of
the acreage was rated as poor on September 1. 8011s opening exceeded the
average in Arkansas and Tennessee but lagged in other States in this region.
Louisiana's boll opening, at 21 percent, was 17 percent behind the 5-year
average. Objective yield surveys for Arkansas, Louisiana, and Mississippi show
total fruit count as second highest. fourth highest, and fifth highest,
respectively, since 1983. Boll weights were lowest in Arkansas and Louisiana
compared to the last 10 years and the eighth lowest in Mississippi. Squares
and smal] bolls generally were higher than normal.

Eighty-five percent of Arizona's crop was in good to excellent condition and
more than three-fourths of the bolls were opening in late August, 10 points
ahead of average. All of California's crop was in good to excellent condition
on the same date, and boll opening progress about equaled the average at

25 percent. September 1 cotton objective yield counts show Arizona with the
lowest total fruit, squares, and small bolls since 1983. The California crop
has the second highest total fruit and small boll count for the same period.

In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina, and South
Carolina), spring rains allowed the crop to germinate well and result in good

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-7 NASS, USDA


Stands, but dry weather during the season has continually deteriorated the
crop. Virtually all of the Alabama and North Carolina acreage is in fair to
good condition, but 41 percent of Georgia’s crop and about three-fourths of
South Carolina's crop is in very poor to poor condition.

American-Pima production is forecast at 399,500 bales, down 21 percent from
1992 output and 1 percent below the August forecast. Yield is 999 pounds per
harvested acre, up 61 pounds from last year.

Arizona is the only State showing a Pima yield higher than last year which was
adversely affected by weather and whitefly. All States show production
decreases from 1992. California's crop. progressing well and rated mostly good
to excellent, is slightly behind in development due to a cool, wet spring which
delayed plantings. One-fourth of California's acreage had open bolls in late
August. Whitefly infestations began in Arizona, but damage is not to the
extent inflicted last year. The Texas crop continued to progress well under
irrigation and harvest is expected to begin soon.

Ginnings totaled 434,900 running bales prior to September 1, compared with
446,000 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 699,000 running
bales in 1991.

Dry Edible Beans: Dry bean production is forecast at 24.9 million cwt for
1993, 13 percent above last year but 5 percent below the
August 1 forecast. Area for harvest, at 1.65 million acres, is up 10 percent
from a year ago. The average yield is forecast at 1,503 pounds per acre, up
30 pounds from 1992. The September yield forecast is 72 pounds below August
due to wet fields in the North Central States and dry weather in New York.

Harvest started in early areas but is generally late this year because of cool,
wet weather. Heavy rainfall and wet fields reduced yields in the North Central
and Plains States from 100 to 200 pounds per acre below the August 1 forecast.
Hail also caused some scattered damage in Nebraska and Colorado. In the
Rockies and West, harvest is late but yields are expected to hold up well
unless there is an early frost. California has had an excellent season and
should harvest a good crop.

In Michigan, dry beans are in excellent condition. Early harvest is underway
and many fields are ready for harvest as soon as the rain stops. New York
fields are too dry and pod set is light.’

Summer Potatoes: The final forecast of summer potato production totals

20.3 million cwt, down 5 percent from last year and
2 percent below last month. Area harvested is estimated at 87,600 acres, down
1 percent from August. Several hundred acres were lost to flooding in the
midwest. The average yield dropped 2 cwt in August and at 232 cwt per acre. is
down 16 cwt from a year ago.

Flooding wiped out several hundred acres of potatoes in the midwest during July
and August. Iowa lost 600 acres: Illinois. 300 acres; and Missouri, 500 acres
from July estimates. Hail, wind, and rain damaged potatoes in Nebraska. Dry

weather across the South and up the Atlantic Coast continued to hurt yields as

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-8 NASS, USDA


Sugarbeets:

Area Harvested. Yield, and Production by State

and United States. 1991-92 and Forecasted September 1, 1993 1/

Area Harvested

cA
co
1D
MI
MN
MT
NE
ND
OH
OR
TM
WY

ot!
s

US

te
1992 1993
: -- 1,000 Acres --
150.0 135.
39.9 40.
200.0 204,
175.0 185.
370.0 376.
55.8 54,
77.5 80.
194.7 190.
20.5 18.
18.6 15.
39.9 39.
69.1 65.
h :
ts2/: 1.8
1,412.8 1,405.

2.

CPNHFOMHODOCSD

3
4

iN
i
DONShOOMNNNOHR

1993 1991
27.5 4,029
23.9 965
23.5 5.070
18.5 2,573
16.0 6,171
22.0 1,312
19.7 1,578
17.1 3,568
15.5 296
26.0 525
23.0 671
20.0 1,368
38.3 77
19.9 28,203

Production

1992 1993

1,000 Tons ------
3.990 3,713
954 956
4,900 4,794
3,098 3.423
6,845 6,016
1,272 1,190
1,387 1,592
3,388 3,249
328 281
419 408
838 906
1,437 1,300
72 88
28,928 27.916

uv
2/

Relates to year of intended harvest except

beets in

CA.

Includes NM and WA.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed:

Area Harvested

Yield

Area Harvested. Yield.

for overwintered spring planted

and Production
by State and United States, 1991-92 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Production l/

0

0
0

al

1993 1991
---- Tons ---- were
33.0 15.461
85.8 6,061
24.0 7.620

31.6 1,110
33.0 30,252

1992 1993

- 1,000 Tons -----
14,708 14,850
5,622 5,577
8.706 9.000
1,328 1,425
30,364 30,852

Lv

1992 1993
: --- 1,000 Acres ---
+ 443.0 450
67.9 65.
375.0 375.
39.3 45
925.2 935
Net tons.

Crop Production
September 1993

A-28

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States.
1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993
(Domestic Units)

Production

Corn for Grain Bu : 131.4 113.1 9,478,914 7,423,142 7,229,427

Sorghum for Grain “3 72.8 66.5 884,010 642,369 648,614
Barley “> 62.4 57.8 456,348 466,721 435,692
Al) Wheat “3 39.4 39.0 2,458,830 2,555,555 2,493,389
Durum "3 39.7 35.9 97,196 81,006 76,980
Other Spring “41.8 35.7 755,100 686,544 628,404
Rice 1/ Cwt : 5,722 5,677 179,088 169,670 168,620

Soybeans for Beans Bu : 37.6 34.0 2,196,504 1,902,023 1,909,188
Peanuts for Nuts Lb : 2,562 2,116 4,284,306 3,906,700 3,491,100

All Cotton 1/ Bale: 699 645 16,218.5 18,545.3 17,867.0
Upland i" : 693 639 15,710.2 18,143.5 17,467.5
Amer -Pima vu": 938 999 508.3 401.8 399.5

Cottonseed Ton : 6,230.1 7,210.7 6,946.0

Ory Edible Beans 1/ Cwt : 1,473 1,503 22,047 26,038 24,851

Potatoes :

Summer 2/ . : 248 232 21,309 20,790 20,292

Total 2/ "3 323 425,367
Tobacco Lb : 2,194 2,065 1,721,598 1,546,331 1,539,012
Sugarbeets Ton: 20.5 19.9 ° 28,928 28,052 27,916
Sugarcane for :

Sugar and Seed ": 32.8 33.0 30,364 30,852 30,852
Pasture and Range :

Feed 3/ Pct : 83 81
Pears Ton : 926.1 945.3 935.3
Grapes " : 6,051.7 5,629.8 5,629.8
Dried Prunes (CA) 4/ " : 184.0 135.0 135.0
Prunes and Plums :

(Excl CA) "ot 38.1 29.5 27.0
Pecans Lb: 166,000 364,000
Hazelnuts 5/ Ton : 27.7 39.0 39.0
Walnuts (CA) 4/ “oo: 203.0 250.0 250.0

1/ Yield in pounds.

2/ 1992 revised.

3/ Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month. The 1982-91
average is 72 percent.

4/ August estimate carried forward from July 1.

5/ August estimate as of mid-August.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-4 NASS, USDA


For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the September 1 corn for grain
Production forecast is 4.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of

3 that the current production forecast of 7.23 billion bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 4.7 percent or approximately
340 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level)
that the difference will not exceed 8.1 percent or approximately 586 million
bushels.

Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of
the differences between the September 1 forecast and the final estimates.
Using corn again as an example, changes between the September 1 forecast and
the final estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 254 million bushels.
ranging from 10 million to 700 million bushels. The September 1 forecast has
been below the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply
that the September 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or
overstate final production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts
have been below or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

Reliability of September 1 Crop Production Forecasts
:Root Mean Square Error 10-year Record of
: :: Differences Between Forecast
and Final Estimate

Quantity No. of Years

Crop and : : Level
Unit :Percent:------------

:Percent: Quant:: : : Below : Above
: : :: Avg:Small:Large: Final : Final

Feed Grains 1/ Mt:

4.0 6.9 : 0 20 7 3
Corn for Grain Bu: 4.7 8.1 586 :: 254 10 700 6 4
Sorghum for Grain Bu: 4.3 7.3 47 +: 32 1 66 7 3
Barley Bu: 3.8 6.9 30 11 3 27 5 5
All Wheat Bu: 1.1 1.8 45 :: 23 2 52 5 5
Ourum Bu: 5.4 9.3 7; 5 0 12 6 4
Other Spring Bu: 2.4 4.1 26: 13 1 36 5 5
Rice Cwt: 3.9 6.7 11: 5 0 15 7 3
Soybeans for : :
Beans Bu: 5.3 9.1 174 85 19 170 7 3
Cotton 2/ Bales: 6.4 11.1
Ory Edible :
Beans Cwt: 5.7 9.8

1/ Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats, and barley.
2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-15 NASS, USDA


7.00 million pounds, almost three times larger than last year. A few growers
noted it could be the best crop ever.

The initial Kansas pecan forecast is 2.50 million pounds. Dry weather has
stressed trees and may affect total production. Louisiana's forecast is

22.0 million pounds following last year’s disastrous crop. Drier than normal
conditions and some disease problems have limited this year’s output. The
Mississippi pecan crop is expected to tota] 8.50 million pounds. twelve times °
larger than last year. Non-irrigated orchards need rain to help hold the nuts
on the tree and- fill them out. The North Carolina and South Carolina crop
forecasts are 3.50 and 4.50 million pounds, respectively. Good quality is
expected but rainfall is needed in those States to fil) the nuts. Oklahoma is
forecast at 25.0 million pounds, almost three times more than last year’s crop.
Dry weather through much of July and August has limited the production
potential.

. Pears: The final forecast of the U.S. pear crop is 935,300 tons, down
1 percent from last month but 1 percent more than 1992.

The Bartlett crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at

538,000 tons, 2 percent less than last month's forecast and 4 percent less than
1992. California’s harvest is nearly complete with good quality reported.
Picking in Oregon began around August 16. Fruit size has been average to small
caused by the cool summer and some premature ripening. Harvest was nearly
finished in Washington's Wenatchee region and continued in later districts in
Yakima. Growers also report premature ripening and small fruit.

Production of pears other than Bartlett in the Pacific Coast States is forecast
at 363,000 tons, unchanged from the August 1 forecast but 10 percent more than
the 1992 crop. In California. picking progressed with good quality reported.
Oregon's picking of the earliest fall varieties began about August 20. Winter
pear harvest is not yet underway. Harvest has not begun in Washington. as the
season is running behind normal.

About half of the Michigan crop has been picked. In southern Michigan,
harvest was nearly over, while it has just begun in the northern part of the
State. Quality and size have been excellent. In New York, harvest of a good
quality Bartlett crop began about September 1. The Bosc harvest is completed.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-13 NASS. USDA



Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 1991-1992
and Forecasted September 1, 1993 1/

Winter Spring
Year: Hard Soft : >: Hard: : : Total
Red Red : White : Red : Durum : White :
1,000 Bushels
1991 : 901,781 325,201 145,635 431,223 103,957 73,342 1,981,139
1992: 966,078 427,139 213,317 701,994 97,196 53,106 2,458,830

1993: 1,107,490 410,162 270,353 581,204 76,980 47,201 2,493,389

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available
for all wheat producing states. Unless unusual situations dictate, the
previous end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast
season.

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1. 1993
Area Harvested Production
State
1992 1993 1992 1993
1,000 Acres - ---- 1,000 Cwt ----

AR 1,380 1,330 75,914 70,490

CA 392 437 32.920 35,397

LA 620 560 28,846 26,880

MS : 275 245 15,675 13.965

MO l/s: 112 100 5,376 5,200

1X : 351 298 20,357 16,688

us 3.130 2,970 179,088 168,620

l/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Rice: Production by Class, United States,
1991-92 and Forecasted September 1, 1993
Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain All
1,000 Cwt

1991 109,137 47,567 753 157,457

1992 : 128,079 50,387 622 179,088

1993 1/ : 118,651 49,159 810 168,620

1/ Indicated September 1, 1993, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year
average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data
become available through the growing season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-15 NASS, USDA


U.S. Soybean Production
1984 - 1993

Billion Bushels
2.60

»
a
)

2.00} ---1.88...4774.1.,

a
AN

1.60}

WK
WK;

=

NIE

1.00

0.60}

0.00

Area Harvested Yield Production 1/
State : : : : 1993 : :
: 1992: 1993: 1992 :---------------+-+--- : 1992: 1993
: : : > Aug 1 Sep i: :
1,000 Acres ceeeceee Pounds veseeeee ---- 1,000 Pounds ---
AL 236.0 234.0 2,505 2,100 1,900 591,180 444,600
FL : 80.0 77.0 2,530 2,800 2,600 202.400 200,200
GA : 673.0 665.0 2,705 2,400 2,100 2,820,465 1,396,500
NM : 21.1 23.0 2,760 2,750 2,750 58,236 63,250
NC : 153.0 152.0 2,660 2,500 2,000 406,980 304.000
OK : 98.0 98.0 2,410 2,450 2,500 236,180 245,000
sc : 13.0 13.5 2,500 1,700 1,700 32,500 22,950
TX : 305.0 295.0 2,230 2,200 2,200 680,150 649.000
VA : 93.0 92.0 2,755 2,700 1,800 256.215 165,600
US : 1,672.1 1,649.5 2,562 2,368 2,116 4,284,306 3,491,100

1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-17 NASS, USDA



Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States.
1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993
(Domestic Units)

Crop r-

1992 : 1993 1992 1993
1,000 Acres

Corn : 79,325 73,659 72,144 63,910
Sorghum : 13,277 10,735 12,150 9.748
Barley : 7,802 7,941 7,309 7,539
All Wheat : 72,262 72,137 62,407 63.934
Durum : 2,507 2,201 2,449 2,142
Other Spring : 18,698 18.040 18,065 17,612
Rice : 3,174.0 3,015.0 3,130.0 2,970.0
Soybeans : 59,330 59,455 58,383 56.193
Peanuts : 1,689.6 1,677.0 1,672.1 1,649.5
All Cotton : 13,240.0 13,659.7 11,143.3 13,305.3
Upland : 12,976.6 13,462.7 10,883.1 13,113.3
Amer -Pima : 263.4 197.0 260.2 192.0
Ory Edible Beans : 1,613.6 1,824.6 1,496.9 1,652.9

Potatoes :
Summer 2/ : 88.9 92.3 86.0 87.6
Total 2/ : 1,339.3 1,379.0 1,315.0 1,353.9
Tobacco : 784.7 745.2
Sugarbeets : 1,436.1 1,434.7 1,412.8 1,405.4

Sugarcane for :
Sugar and Seed : 925.2 935.1

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop, ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.
2/ 1992 revised.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested. United States, 1992-93
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

Crop Patt t tcc c cece eee ene eee eee eee ee eee eee eee eee eee
1992 1993 1/ 1992 1993 1/
1,000 Acres
Oats : 7,961 8,064 4,492 4,114
Winter Wheat : 51,057 51,896 41,893 44,180
Rye : 1,582 1,493 406 408
Sunflower : 2,217 2,821 2,072 2.744
Flaxseed : 171 202 165 194
All Hay : 59,597 60.095
Alfalfa : 24,159 23,841
All Other : 35,438 36,254
Potatoes :
Winter : 13.4 13.3 13.4 13.0
Spring : 85.3 86.9 83.0 83.8
Fall 2/ : 1,151.7 1,186.5 1,132.6 1,169.5
Sweetpotatoes : 85.9 84.3 82.4 81.0
Hops : 42.3 43.1
1/ 1993 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
2/ 1992 revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-3 NASS, USDA


Rice: ‘Total rice production is forecast at 169 million cwt, 1 percent below
the August forecast and 6 percent below the 1992 total. Yield
decreased in Arkansas but increased in Louisiana causing an overall decrease
in rice yield. The yields in the remaining four States remained the same.
Rice harvest is well underway in Texas and Louisiana but is running about
two weeks behind the average in Texas. Rice is in mostly good condition.

Soybeans: Growers plan to harvest 56.2 million acres, down 150,000 acres

from the August estimate. All of the decrease in harvested acreage
from last month was along the east coast. The drought was the number one cause
for acreage decreases in each of the four States. No further acreage
reductions were made due to the wet conditions experienced in the midwest
earlier this year.

Harvested area in Georgia decreased by 30,000 acres from last month. South
Carolina decreased its harvested area by 50.000 acres. Drought stressed acres
were abandoned; however, isolated showers continue to benefit various parts of
the State. Area to be harvested in North Carolina decreased by 50,000 acres.
In Virginia, harvested area declined by 20,000 acres. Acreage has been
abandoned and cut for hay in some places. Progress remains on schedule but has
been slowed by the drought.

For the September forecast period, Indiana, Illinois, and Ohio had the largest
number of pods per 18 square feet of the last five years. Overall, the pod
count is the second highest in the last five years for the 8 major producing
States.

The percent of soybeans setting pods remained behind 1992 and the average.
Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana. Nebraska, and Ohio were close to or ahead of the
average. However, Missouri lagged 1 week behind the average. Minnesota and
Iowa were over 2 weeks behind the average.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.49 billion pounds, down 11 percent
from the August 1 forecast and down 18 percent from last year’s

crop. Hot, dry conditions in August lowered expectations significantly.

Harvested area, estimated at 1.65 million acres, is 1 percent below last year.

Yields ‘are expected to average 2;116 pounds per harvested acre, down

252 pounds from last month and down 446 pounds from 1992.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 2.06 billion pounds, 11 percent below last month
and 22 percent below the 1992 crop. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to
average 2,086 pounds per acre, 555 pounds below last year. Widespread soil
moisture shortages in the Southeast reduced crop prospects below the August 1
levels. At month's end, the Alabama crop was rated as only 12 percent good and
54 percent poor or very poor. The Georgia crop was considered to be 17 percent
good and 44 percent poor and very poor, by August 27. Hard. dry soil reduced
peg penetration to supplement foundation root production. also cutting yield
Prospects. Localized showers helped isolated areas but general rain did not
occur in August to preserve dryland potential. Early digging in some better
areas of Georgia has been disappointing. Harvest was most advanced in South
Carolina where 10 percent of the crop had been harvested by August 27, slightly
ahead of normal.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 470 million pounds, down
25 percent from last month and down 29 percent from last year. Yield per

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-6 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit:

Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States.
1992-93 and Forecasted September 1, 1993 ]/

Utilized Production

Utilized Production
Boxes

1991-92 :

1992-93 :

1993-94 :

Ton Equivalent

1991-92: 1992-93;

1993-94

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/

TX 4/

Grapefruit
white Seediess

Colored Seedless
FL

Other
FL
All
AZ
CA
Desert
Other Areas
Total

Tangelos
FL

K-Early Citrus
FL

139,
209,

19,
22,
200
800
500
500

000
+400

OQ ayene

780

.100
400

300
600

100
100

265
200

43,
114,

159,
150
25,
72,
98,
850

68,
186.
257,

500

700
800
300
450
250

000
200

60
410

800
500
510
660

700
700
750
.150

500
000
500
150
875
675

950

38,000 1

2,
6,291

©
rr)
So
o

106

812
940

112

2,224

642
£143

831

26
1,425

43
937

249
2
231

69

579
+392

062

113

093
177

74
69
112

201
313

1344
801

Crop Production
September 1993

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


All wheat production is forecast at 2.49 billion bushels. down 2 percent from
August 1 but i percent higher than the 1992 production. The U.S. yield is
expected to average 39.0 bushels per acre, off 1.0 bushel from last month and
0.4 bushel Jess than Yast year. Area for grain is 63.9 million acres,
unchanged from August 1.

The other spring wheat production forecast is 628 million bushels, down 8
percent from August 1 and 17 percent less than 1992. Yields are expected to
average 35.7 bushels per acre, 3.3 bushels less than a month ago as diseases in
the Red River Valley have sharply lowered Minnesota's yield expectations and
hurt North Dakota's. Wetness has also fostered disease problems in

South Dakota. Montana's prospects improved during August as did Washington's.
Area for grain is unchanged from last month at 17.6 million acres. Harvest has
progressed stowly in the major producing States, though South Dakota's harvest
is ahead of last year.

California Navel orange production for 1993-94 is forecast at 38.0 million
boxes, 13 percent below last year’s production of 43.8 million boxes. The
forecast is based on an objective measurement survey conducted in the
California Central Valley. The crop is maturing well with large size fruit but
a lighter set than last season.

This report was approved on September 9, 1993, by the Secretary of Agriculture
and the National Agricultural Statistics Service’s Agricultural Statistics
Board.

((hbtseLamee) feA, Men

Acting Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture Chairperson
Wardell C. Townsend, — Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-2 NASS, USDA


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DROUGHT SEVERITY
{LONG TERM, PALMER)
September 4, 1983
LOM | ;
er em]
MOIST
Faber i Mi, JOIST, ia 4
( ‘N EXTREME
] ) \ motst n >) SEVERE
j [nee ' eB
sevens) ! SEVERE)
wn, | la SEVERE
{ Noo At
MODERATE \ WZ 6 5 4 x e
) NSB
MoIsT Z
4 > Wiest
S fev Po oe
/ 7
MODERATE
NOANUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on preliminery reports

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness: responds slowly: changes little from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation. as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-2 NASS, USDA


good. Hawaiian growers are indicating limited dry weather stress to yields.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on

September 1 for the 48 contiguous States
was 81 percent, down 2 percentage points from September 1, 1992, but 9 points
above the 1982-91 average for the date. Pasture and range feed conditions were
above last year in 15 States. below last year in 32 States, and unchanged in
one State.

Georgia and Rhode Island reported conditions in the severe drought range.
Connecticut, Delaware, Massachusetts, New Jersey. North Carolina, Pennsylvania.
South Carolina, and Texas reported conditions in the very poor range.

Pasture and range feed conditions were reported good to excellent in 24 States.

Papayas: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is estimated at 4.82 million
pounds for August. 8 percent lower than July but 20 percent higher
than August 1992. Year-to-date fresh sales fell 1 percent from the same
eight-month period a year ago. Weather was varied in August. Sunny skies
prevailed during the first and last weeks. Showers, heavy at times with gusty
winds. occurred at mid-month as two hurricanes passed close to the State.

Area devoted to papaya production is forecast at 3,815 acres, virtually
unchanged from last month but 5 percent more than a year ago. Harvested area,
totaling 2,575 acres, nearly unchanged from July, was 1 percent lower than last
August.

Prunes and Plums: The California prune crop (dried basis) is forecast at

135,000 tons, unchanged from July 1 but down 27 percent
from last year. Harvest is in full swing with good quality but Tight yields
have been reported.

Production of prunes and plums in Idaho, Michigan. Oregon, and Washington is
forecast at 27,000 tons, down 8 percent from the August 1 forecast and

29 percent less than 1992. Idaho's weather and water supply benefited fruit
crops. Quality appears to be excellent and growers have an optimistic outlook
as harvest progresses. The Michigan harvest of Stanley plums began about
August 26. The percentage of crop going fresh market this year will likely be
quite low. Pollination was poorer than originally thought in western Oregon.
the State's major producing region. Early variety harvest began by August 25
in the Willamette Valley. The Washington season is about one week behind last
year. Fruit are being shipped but size has been smaller than average and
demand has been light.

California Fruit and Nuts: California's summer fruit harvest continued
throughout the month. Picking of plums, peaches.
pears, and nectarines was steady as mid and late season varieties matured.
Harvest of Gravenstein apples neared completion. Red and Golden Delicious,
Jonathan, and McIntosh apple harvest began during the month. Prune harvest was
in full swing with high quality and low yields reported. Almond and pistachio

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 B-11 NASS, USDA



Pasture and Range Feed: Condition by State
and United States. 1992-93 and Average 1/

State : Average : 1992: 1993 State : Average : 1992: 1993
: 1982-91: : : 1982-91; :
Percent Percent

AL : 72 101 80 NV t 75 38 96
AZ : 80 103 75 NH L 85 83 75
AR : 69 88 70 NJ : 80 95 50
CA : 73 53 74 NM : 84 93 74
co : 80 91 81 NY : 73 89 75
CT : 81 97 55 NC : 74 90 64
DE : 71 96 54 ND : 62 68 97
FL : 84 86 78 OH : 73 86 70
GA : 70 88 44 OK : 72 103 89
1D : 75 50 96 OR : 77 42 107
IL : 69 80 96 PA : 69 87 61
IN : 70 90 90 RI : 86 88 35
IA : 69 94 89 SC : 69 76 53
KS : 74 93 86 SD : 70 93 95
KY : 73 95 77 IN : 73 89 65
LA : 79 91 84 TX : 62 80 63
ME : 81 83 65 UT : 78 74 97
MD : 66 96 65 VT : 82 81 85
MA : 83 96 55 VA : 76 88 69
MI : 77 85 80 WA t 78 58 80
MN : 70 75 92 wv : 70 90 65
MS : 75 95 91 WI : 75 67 86
MO : 66 89 82 WY : 79 91 100
MT : 71 78 99 :

NE : 73 99 102 US : 72 83 81

1/ Good to excellent, 80 and over: poor to fair 65-79; very poor, 50-64;
severe drought, 35-49: extreme drought, under 35.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 1992-93

Area Fresh Production

Harvested

vor rr rere ceceee Acres -------------- -- 1,000 Pounds --
Jul 3,700 3,800 2,465 2,580 4,970 5,225
Aug : 3,625 3,815 2,590 2,575 4,015 4,815
Sep : 3,625 2,755 3,835
Oct > 3,595 2,640 5.475
Nov 3.685 2,655 5,235
Dec 3,645 2,745 5,075
Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Aug 36,180 35,985
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

September 1993 A-29 NASS, USDA



All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Area Harvested Production

State : : :
1992: 1993 : 1992 1992 : 1993
1,000 Acres
AL 1/ 95 100 44.0 34.0 34.0 4,180 3,400
AZ 1/ : 88 85 87.5 90.8 90.8 7,700 7,720
AR 1/ : 850 1,000 46.0 41.0 41.0 39,100 41,000
CA l/ : 605 530 76.6 83.0 83.0 46,365 44,000
co l/ 2,347 2,583 30.9 37.5 37.5 72,619 96,924
DE 1/ : 70 60 58.0 55.0 55.0 4,060 3,300
FL U/ : 20 25 42.0 33.0 33.0 840 825
GA 1/ z 350 360 46.0 40.0 40.0 16,100 14,400
ID : 1,440 1,400 69.4 72.4 72.4 100,000 101,300
IL L/ : 1,150 1,550 54.0 45.0 45.0 62,100 69,750
IN L/ : 450 650 50.0 52.0 52.0 22,500 33,800
IA L/ : 40 50 39.0 45.0 45.0 1,560 2,250
KS 1/ : 10,700 11,300 34.0 37.0 37.0 363,800 418,100
KY 1/ : 420 470 55.0 49.0 49.0 23,100 23,030
LA 1/ : 170 90 36.0 25.0 25.0 6,120 2,250
MD 1/ : 220 195 58.0 52.0 52.0 12,760 10,140
MI 1/ : 630 540 56.0 45.0 45.0 35,280 24,300
MN : 2,805 2,500 49.9 44.9 35.1 139,860 87.670
MS 1/ 250 210 42.0 33.0 33.0 10,500 6.930
MO 2/ 1,350 1,400 48.0 40.0 40.0 64,800 56,000
MT 4,707 5,214 29.7 35.3 35.9 139,581 186,948
NE l/ 1,850 2,100 30.0 35.0 35.0 55,500 73,500
NV 1/ 10 8 80.0 83.8 83.8 800 670
NJ 1/ 28 31 50.0 45.0 45.0 1,400 1,395
NM 1/ 330 290 34.0 25.0 25.0 11,220 7,250
NY l/ 110 90 56.0 48.0 48.0 6.160 4,320
NC 1/ : 555 560 50.0 42.0 42.0 27,750 23,520
ND : 11,420 11,535 41.1 37.7 34.9 469,850 402,095
OH 1/ : 1,115 1,000 53.0 53.0 53.0 59,095 53,000
OK 1/ 5,900 5.500 29.0 30.0 30.0 171,100 165,000
OR 1/ 925 925 51.7 64.5 64.5 47,800 59,670
PA 1/ 185 165 55.0 48.0 48.0 10,175 7,920
sc 1/ 275 270 47.0 37.0 37.0 12,925 9,990
SO 3,733 3,458 32.0 34.4 32.0 119,590 110,672
TN 1/ 280 360 48.0 39.0 39.0 13.440 14,040
TM L/ 3,800 3,700 34.0 33.0 33.0 129,200 122,100
UT V/ 152 180 41.2 43.8 43.8 6,256 7,890
VA l/ : 265 255 57.0 53.0 53.0 15,105 13,515
WA : 2,420 2,840 49.4 59.6 59.7 119,640 169,500
WV L/ : 11 11 49.0 45.0 45.0 539 495
WI L/ : 66 126 40.0 48.2 48.2 2,640 6.075
WY d/ : 220 218 26.0 30.9 30.9 §.720 6.735
us : 62,407 63,934 39.4 40.0 39.0 2,458,830 2,493,389

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward-from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-13 NASS, USDA


Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992 and Forecasted September 1, 1993

Area Harvested Yield Production
State : : : : :
1992: 1993 : 1992 :-------+------------ : 1992: 1993
: : > Aug il :

1,000 Acres ~~~ ----- Bushels ------- --- 1,000 Bushels --
AL : 270 295 29.0 24.0 24.0 7,830 7,080
AR : 3,160 3,450 33.0 27.0 26.0 104,280 89,700
DE : 215 215 32.0 26.0 29.0 6,880 6,235
FL 1/ : 50 50 27.0 31.0 31.0 1,350 1,550
GA : 640 540 29.0 19.0 17.0 18,560 9,180
IL : 9,430 8.700 43.0 42.0 44.0 405,490 382,800
IN 4,520 4,880 43.0 45.0 47.0 194,360 229,360
IA 8.270 8,000 44.0 35.0 35.0 363,880 280,000
KS 1,850 1,800 37.0 29.0 29.0 68,450 52,200
ky 1,160 1,150 38.0 32.0 33.0 44,080 37,950
LA > 1,170 1,200 30.0 28.0 25.0 35,100 30,000
MD : 545 570 33.0 28.0 30.0 17,985 17,100
MI : 1,440 1,430 33.0 36.0 36.0 47,520 51,480
MN 5.400 5.000 32.0 27.0 25.0 172,800 125,000
MS 1.750 1,900 34.0 25.0 25.0 59,500 47,500
MO 4,250 3,600 38.0 33.0 35.0 161,500 126,000
NE : 2,460 2,450 42.0 35.0 36.0 103.320 88,200
NJ 1/ : 128 138 33.0 31.0 31.0 4,224 4,278
NC : 1,350 1,200 27.0 24.0 24.0 36,450 28,800
ND 3 690 $20 25.0 19.0 19.0 17,250 9,880
OH : 3,680 4,170 40.0 41.0 39.0 147,200 162,630
OK 1/ : 220 280 27.0 23.0 23.0 5,940 6.440
PA 1/ : 285 295 39.0 37.0 37.0 11,115 10,915
Sc : 670 530 22.0 17.0 15.0 14,740 7,950
sD : 2,250 1,600 28.0 22.0 22.0 63,000 35,200
TN : 950 1,000 35.0 28.0 28.0 33,250 28,000
1X : 390 190 33.0 23.0 20.0 12,870 3,800
VA : 500 460 31.0 24.0 21.0 15,500 9,660
WI : 690 580 32.0 35.0 35.0 22,080 20,300
US $8,383 56,193 37.6 33.8 34.0 2,196,504 1,909,188

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
September 1993 A-16 NASS, USDA