SUGARBEETS SLICED 1/

STATE > 1975 + 1976 3: «1977 ot a978 1979

v$ 2/ : 29,616 28,889 24,120

1/ HISTORICAL DATA 1930-1974 PUBLISHED IN STATISTICAL BULLETIN 244, ASCS, USDA, MAY 1975, 2/ LATES To

YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

SUGAR PRODUCTION

SUGAR, RAW VALUE :
a ee a a SUGAR PRODUCTION:
YIELD PER TON OF : REFINED BASIS ~

CANE OR BEETS :

CANE SUGAR i

FLA > 894 972 1,047 210 2i2 210 83 908 «979
HAW 21,034 1,029 1,060 230 222 220 966 = «962—s9L.
a > 668 550 500 184 202 202 62h iti CCC
TEX t 88 61 93 179 14028 82 57 87
us 12,684 2,612 2,700 209 Patt 213 2,508 2,441 2,524

BEET SUGAR :

us

CANE AND BEET SUGAR

1/ PRELIMINARY.

MOLASSES AND BEET PULP

3 THOUSANDS:
SUGARCANE PRODUCTS z,
BLACKSTRAP MOLASSES ~ 80° BRIX 2/ : :
FLA 3 GALLON =; 58,830 62,064 68, 394
HAW ° 3 GALLON «=: = 3/50, 564 3/55 ,080 3/55, 719
LA : GALLON 46,300 35,200 30,500
TEX : GALLON: 9,200 9,466 6,595
us : GALLON: 164,894 161,810 161,208
EDIBLE MOLASSES z :
. LA 3 GALLON =: 2,750 + 2,900 1,900
US 3 GALLON =: + 2,750 2,900 1,900
SUGARBEET PRODUCTS - US : 3
MOLASSES : GALLON: 172,627 139,412 135,854
PULP : 3
MOLASSES: 3 TON : 932 1,013 1,304
DRIED 3 TON : 519 488 333
WET TON 535 562 ie)

1/ PRELIMINARY. 2/ INCLUDES HIGHEST MOLASSES FROM FROZEN CANE. 3/ 85° BRIX,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

STATE & AVERAGE t 1979 % 1960 32 STATE & AVERAGE 2 1979 & 1980
t 1969-78 3 : te 3 1969976 & 3
v : 2 at z 3 :
' PERCENT z PERCENT
ALA 3 82 85 689 ' 61 89 98
ARIZ : 5 3 7S z 90 96 95
ARK t 85 a 89 : 66 93 91
CALIF & 74 91 95 : 70 87 76
COLO : 76 86 a : 89 92 ot
CONN s 89 9 % $ 68 93 92
DEL t 68 os 69 2 78 9 24
FLA 2 «72 86 62 : 88 90 92
GA : 61 67 6a 2 8s 68 67
IDAHO ¢ 63 86 96 : 84a 92 96
TRL t 89 90 90 2 90 93 93
IND : 89 91 92 3 92 92 96
“TOWwA ’ 90 91 72 : 62 91 83
KANS 8-88 88 83 : 81 78 43
KY s 90 90 93 3 88 oq a4
La t 19 80 62 : 7 83 9
MAINE 2 68 97 94 3 78 88 94
MD 3 66 92 93 : 68 94 96
MASS ot Gt % 95 3 88 7 99
MICH oo: 87 88 1 3 65 82 88
MINN 3 64 62 62 : 62 91 93
MISS 5 8a 88 87 : 88 87 7
MO 2 68 90 78 3 86 62 89
MONT 3 63 83 57 3
NEBR ot 87

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER 7 POOR TO FAIR 65-79% VERY POOR, 560647 SEVERE
OROUGHT, 35-493 EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.
CHERRIES
PRODUCTION 1/
TOTAL 2 TOTAL : INDICATED
1978 2 1979 3 1980 2/
TONS
14,000 34,300 40,000
150
2,500 3,000 2,700
1,850 2,950 2,200
35,000 38,000 36,000
3,000 5,600 5,700.
59,300 69,000 60,000"
115,800 152,850 146,600
MILLION POUNDS
13 1.7 2.8
3.8 3.5 6.0
11.3 17.0 15.0
TOTAL : 16.4 22.2 B.8
1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (TONS): TOTAL SWEET, 1979-150. 2/ THE FIRST

FORECAST FOR THE GREAT LAKES STATES - N Y, PA, AND MICH ~ FOR SWEET AND TART VARIETIES PLUS WIS FOR TART
VARIETIES WILL BE MADE AS OF JUN 15 AND RELEASED JUN 24. 3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978.

ROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 8-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
na June 1, 1980

le
a,

(2 Good to excetient
EQ Poor to fair

Very poor

ERM) Severe drought
A Extreme drought

AS REPORTED BY
CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS,

USDA NEG. ESCS 247-80(6)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
é JUNE 1, 1979

©

TD Good to excellent

©) Poor to fair : EG;

(Za Very poor

RH Severe drought *AS REPORTED BY
BHD Extreme drought (CROP CORRESPONDENTS

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG, ESCS 100-7916)

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USC



SWEETPOTATOES

”

STATE AREA PLANTED. AREA HARVESTED
1977 = 1978 3 1977 3 1978 3 1979
1,000 ACRES 1,000 ACRES
ALA 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.7
ARK 1,6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
CALIF 7.8 8.7 7,8 8.7 9.6
GA 6.3 6.5 5.5 6.0 6.0
LA 28.0 29.0 27.0 26.0 27.0
MO 1.7 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.4
MISS 9.0 9.5 6.0 9.0 8.8
NJ 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.6 2.7
nC 54.0 38.0 33.0 37.0 41,0
sc 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.8
TENN 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.6
TEX 10.0 10.0 9.5 95 9.4
vA 5.9 6.3 5.6 601 5.9
us 117.3 124.3 112.4 120.6 124.7
YIELD 3 PRODUCTION
1977: 1978 ¢ 1979 3 1977 ¢ 1978 3 1979
CWT 1,000 Cut
ALA 45 100 110 451 550 627
ARK To 79 75 122 126 120
CALIF 150 160 170° 1,170 1,392 1,632
GA 90 110 115 495 660 690
LA 90 95 95 2,430 2,660 2,565
MO 155 160 165 248 224 217
MISS 85 88 90 680 792 792
Ng 105 110 ais 252 286 Bil
NC 135 146 120- 4,455 5,180 4,920
SC 91 105 100 209 252 280
TENN 100 100 105 280 280 294
TEX 95 110 125 903 1,045 1,175
VA 125 140 130 700 85a 7167
US 110 119 415 12,395 14,301 14,390
SPRING POTATOES
YIELD PRODUCTION

IND
1980

: 1978 : 1979 1979

1,000 CWT

ALA 9.5 7.3 6.0 100 140 100 950 1,022 600
ARIZ : 6.0 6.2 4.4 265 210 20 1,599 1,302. 1,276
CALIF : 29.0 28.0 22.5 285 395 390 8,265 11,060 8,775
FLA = HASTINGS 20.6 18.5 18.0 170 230 185 3,502 4,255 - 3,330

= OTHER 1.8 9 -8 125 180 165 225 162 132
LA : 2.30 2.1 Lg 75 70 75 173 147 143
MISS 1/ : 1.2 90 108
NC :13.0 13.7 13.0 150 165 150 1,950 2,261 1,950
TEX : 7.5 7.1 6.2 160 160 130 1,200 1,136 806
TOTAL 90.9 83.8. 72.8 198 255 234 17,963 21,345 17,012

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE

APRICOTS oc cccccceccccceccscccecscceessccessseeessseecsstescesseceess Be
BARTLETT PEARS ...... we ; ;

BEET PULP ..ccccecccccccecercspeesectseceeecvssssssestececseecseesce Be

BLUEBERRIES .......+-

CHERRIES ..cessccccccvecceeercesceenee ee eeeeseecece eee ceeweeeeeeeeees Be
CITRUS FRUITS ce ccccecscec cc cceceesegeeescrensseeeeceecsssesscsseeees Be

CROP PROSPECTS MAPS ....-.seeessscenee

MINT OIL .ecscecesesecceeeseccceseeececeseesecsssseseseececseesessess Bel
MOLASSES vo ccecccececscececescecesscesssseeteecessessssisessesecenses BEB
PAPAYAS ..cccsceccececeeceeseeseesentecseseeeeseesteseseneeaeus seeee BES
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS .....ecisecccsseecececcsceceree Ae 5
“PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION TABLE ..-...ssececseeeeees

oO
1
N

@
"NHN @ O WwW

SUGARCANE ..eesceececcceecegeceeeceeseeeeseaeeeeees rr:
SWEETPOTATOES

see e eee e eee ese e eee e eet eenceneeseees aeeeee BH

n © MW

US SUMMARY vo cccecceccceseeecceeceneeeeees seceeeeees seseeeeeeeeees Ae
WHEAT BY CLASSES ...eseeccceescceecccertceeeseseeseseeees ceeeeeeeees B-

a

WINTER WHEAT ..... seeeeeceeevereee Bel

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-ll CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUGARBEETS 1/

AREA PLANTED

ARIZ 2 129 15,7 15.0 41.3 22.3 20.5 192
CALIF 2 227.0 204.5 194.0 239.0 26.1 24.5265
coLo : 77.0 89.0 84.0 73.0 19.5 18.3 ler
TOAHO > U5.4 134.6 132.3. 125.9 19.5 20.9 22.4
KANS : 26.0 = -28.0 . 26.0 12.0 16.7 17.0 17.8
MICH : 92.3 93.0 93.0 85.5 91.5 88.0 210 19.3 17.6
MINN : 264.0 265.0 249.0 260.0 263.0 244.0 18.2 18.9 15.5
MONT > 06.46 45.4 4.2 45.0 44.7 43.4 19.9 19.8 19,1
NEBR : 75.0 79.0 77.21 67.7 76.0 72.4 20.0 18.0 20.2
N MEX : 1.3 2.1 2.2 1.2 1.8 2.0 19.2 20.6 15.0
N DAK : 157.8 156.2 ° 145.3 155.2 155.2 143.1 17.6 19.7 16.1
OHIO 2° 24.9 24.5 150 22.5 23.3 13.7 20.3 16.9 19.4
GREG 8.9 9.4 6.9 8.2 8.9 6.7 25.1 22.8 26.6
TEX 2 199 27.9 2.4 17.9 23.6 195 17.3 175 17.0
UTAH > 104 - 12,7 1.5 9.8 12.6 1.5 17.7 17.9 19.9
WASH > 63.9 69.2 0.8 61.6 68.5 0.0 24:3 25.5 0.0
wyo + 49.5 49.5 48.9 48.4 48.8 48.2 19.6 18.9 1838
us : 1,272.6 1,305.4 1,166.4 1,216.2 1,269.2 1,123.7 20.6 20.3 196
: 1,000 TONS . DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS

ARIZ : 285 308 27 25.00 7,700

CALIF : 5,664 4,745 5,796 25.80 122,421

coLo > «1,404 1,538 1,358 27.60 42,449

TDAH 2 2,094 2,765 2,820 27.70 76,591

KANS : 401 442 213—-21.50 9,503

MICH : 1,796 1,779 1,550 23.50 - 41,595

MINN 4,732 4,971 3,782 21.80 108 , 368

MONT : 896 885 829 9.98 26,462

NEBR : (1,354 1,368 1,462 27.80 38,030

N MEX : 23 37 30 - 25.30 936

N DAK : 2,769 3,054 2,304 22.90 69,937

OHIO : 457 394 266 —-25.10 9,889

OREG : 206 203 178 ~~. 26.00 5,278

TEX 309 414 332—«24.50 10,143

UTAH 173 225 30 ©~—-29.00 6,525

WASH 1,495 1,747 0 26.80 46,820

wyo 949 922 906 =. 29.50 27,199

us 25,007 25,788 + = 22,073 += 25.20 649 B46

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST FOR ALL STATES INCLUDING ARIZ AND CALIF.

2/ ESTIMATES OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION FOR THE 1979 CROP ARE NOT
AVAILABLE. U.S. SEASON AVERAGE PRICE, VALUE OF PRODUCTION AND PARITY PRICE WILL BE
PUBLISHED IN THE JUL ISSUE OF AGRICULTURAL PRICES RELEASED AT 3:00 P.M. ET, JUL 31, 1980.
STATE ESTIMATES FOR THE 1979 CROP WILL BE PUBLISHED IN CROP VALUES IN JAN 1961. .

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Harvest of oranges in the U.S. was 84 percent complete on June 1, the same as on June l,
1979, The Florida harvest of early season varieties was complete while the Valencia crop was 77
percent harvested by June 1. In California, navel harvest was 98 percent complete and the
Valencia crop was 19 percent picked by June 1. The Arizona Valencia crop was 91 percent
harvested by June 1. Texas harvest was complete.

The June 1 U.S. orange forecast has deviated from the final production by an average of 2.44
million boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 210 thousand boxes in 1973-74 to 7.60
million boxes in 1976-77.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The all orange juice yield for the 1979-80 crop is pro-
jected at 1.33 gallons of 45 degree brix concentrate
per box. The yield from the 1978-79 crop was 1.34 gallons per box.

CITRUS CROP - HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO JUNE 1

1978-79 1979-80

cRoP UTILIZATION REMAINING
THOUSAND BOXES

ORANGES 1 30,498 146,433 176,931 33,569 39,643 189,663 229,306 42,144

GRAPEFRUIT 26,440 37,734 64,174 2,846 24,968 + 41,315 66, 283 =, AT

LEMONS 11,213 7,347 18,560 840 «8,456 = 8,548 «16,996 = 4, 554

GRAPEFRUIT: The U.S. grapefruit crop is forecast at 72.7 million boxes (2.69 million metric

tons), 2 percent more than the May 1 forecast and 8 percent above last season. The
Florida crop at 54.4 million boxes is 3 percent above the May 1 forecast and 9 percent greater
than last season. California prospects remained unchanged at 7.40 million boxes but are 28
percent above last season. Arizona production is placed at 3.00 million boxes, unchanged from
the May 1 forecast but 33 percent more than last season.

Grapefruit harvest was 91 percent complete by June 1 compared with 96 percent last season.
One percent of the Florida crop remained in the groves on June 1. The Arizona harvest was 70
percent complete by June 1 and the California crop was one-third harvested.:

Changes in the U.S. grapefruit production forecast between June 1 and final production have
averaged 589 thousand boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 80 thousand boxes in 1978-79
to 1.76 million boxes in 1977-78.

LEMONS: The California.and Arizona lemon crop is expected to total 21.6 million boxes (743 thou-

sand metric tons), unchanged from last month but ll percent more than last season.
California production at 18.5 million boxes is 33 percent above last season. Harvest was three-
fourths complete in California by June 1. Quality is good and the average size of fruit is
larger than normal. The Arizona crop of 3.05 million boxes has been harvested.

APRICOTS: The first forecast for the 1980 apricot crop is placed at 124 thousand tons (113

thousand metric tons), 14 percent less than last year's crop. The California crop is
forecast at 120 thousand tons, 14 percent less than last season. Size and quality of the Tilton
(canning variety) crop is very good. High winds and hail during April damaged the Blenheimi
variety crop in the Hollister and Winters areas. Harvest is underway but is not expected in
volume until the last week of June. The Utah crop of 1600 tons is 20 percent below last year.
The Washington crop of 2600 tons is 4 percent above last season. Trees overwintered well and
bloom was good. Growers anticipate a normal crop despite the ash fallout from the eruption of
Mount St. Helens,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PLANTING PROGRESS

Corn planting was about on schedule at the beginning of May but the pace rapidly quickened
and progress moved ahead of normal as dry, sunny weather provided excellent planting conditions.
During the first week of May, Iowa farmers planted 52 percent of their corn crop, Illinois farm-
ers 38 percent, and Minnesota, Missouri, and Nebraska farmers about a third of their corn acre-
age. Progress generally ran about a week ahead of normal during the latter half of the month.

By June 1, 97 percent of the crop was planted, compared with 92 percent last year and the average
of 91 percent.

Soybean seeding progressed slightly faster than normal until the latter part of the month

‘when wet weather delayed planting activities in the south central and southeastern States. Pro-

gress in the north central States was well ahead of normal. Eastern Corn Belt planting reached
74 percent by June 1, ahead of 1979's 65 percent and the 63 percent average. Wester Corn Belt
seeding advanced to 83 percent, 16 points ahead of a year ago and 11 points ahead of the average.
By June 1, Illinois farmers had seeded 73 percent and Iowa farmers 92 percent of their intended
soybean acreage. In the Southeast, soybean seeding reached 59 percent by June 1, 7 points behind
last year and 3 points behind the average. In the south central States, planting was 39 percent
complete by June 1, compared with 37 percent in 1979 and the average of 50 percent.

Grain sorghum planting in the seven major producing States had advanced to 59 percent by
the beginning of June,'1 point ahead of both last year and the average. Progress during May ran
slightly ahead of last year but about equal to the average.

Spring seeding of small grains began early and advanced rapidly. Dry, sunny weather al-
lowed planting to proceed well ahead of normal, but dry soils restricted germination and growth.
By the beginning of June, several major producing States had completed seeding activities.

: Cotton planting in the Delta States began late and advanced slowly because of cool weather
and wet field conditions. Progress ran slightly ahead of last year until mid-month when rain
further delayed planting and progress fell behind 1979. Planting progress has been slower than
normal all season. Cotton Planting reached 81 percent complete by June 1, equal to last year.
Squaring reached 13 percent in Texas and was starting in California. Planting was completed in
California about mid-month.

Rice seeding progressed slower than normal until mid-May when planting picked up and by
month's end equalled the average. Planting reached 97 percent by June 1 compared with 92 percent
last year.

Seeding of peanuts was almost complete in eastern areas and was slightly behind schedule
in Texas where progress advanced to 29 percent by June 1. .

WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at a record high 1.76 billion bushels (47.8

million metric tons) based on June 1 conditions. This is 9 percent greater than
last year's crop of 1.61 billion bushels (43.8 million metric tons) and 3 percent more than last
month's forecast. Compared with a year earlier, a larger acreage for harvest in 1980 more than
offset lower yield prospects. Farmers are expected to harvest 49.6 million acres. (20.1 million
hectares) for grain this season, 14 percent more than last year.

Yield is forecast at 35.4 bushels per harvested acre, compared with 36.9 bushels last year
and 34.3 bushels forecast last month.

Winter wheat rated fair to mostly good during the month of May except in the northern Plains
where lack of moisture held conditions to poor to fair. Yield forecasts increased from May 1 in
14 States, decreased in 3, and were unchanged in all others. Wheat maturity advanced to the
heading stage in the northern States by June 1, ranging from 20 percent headed in Idaho and
Montana to 100 percent in California.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



MAY WEATHER SUMMARY

The northern Plains recorded some record high temperatures in the first week of May. The
heat sapped more moisture from the already drought stricken area. A record cold spell followed
further taxing the vigor of plants that had managed to germinate. Topsoils were very dry in the
western Corn Belt and grain was planted in record time. It was mot until midmonth that enough
moisture fell in that area to insure proper germination and not until the end of the month that
some light rain fell in parts of the northern Plains. Heavy late season snow fell in the
Rockies as most of the West remained cooler than normal for most of May.

A ridge of high pressure in the western United States and Canada tended to force weather
systems southward during the first mine days of May. Early in the month temperatures were
unusually warm in the northern Plains. A deep low pressure system was moving into the Atlantic
off New England and showers occurred along the New England and mid-Atlantic Coasts. Moist air
flow from the Gulf of Mexico caused showers and thunderstorms through most of Texas and into the
central Rockies. As the ridge of high pressure in the West sharpened, a burst of cold air from
north central Canada moved into the northern Plains. Williston, North Dakota dropped to a low
of 19° on the 7th and 8th of May. The coldest area coincided with the area of drought in the
northern Plains where newly seeded grains were struggling to germinate. As the cold air moved
southward and eastward, showers began along its leading edge and brought light to moderate rain
to the South and East.

On May 9th, the high pressure ridge began to relocate further west and a low pressure system
fnymed in southern Montana. Winds from the south brought some moisture northward and very light
rain fell in parts of the northern Plains. Moderate amounts were measured through the northern
Rockies and Plateau and along the Pacific Coast. During the next ten days a succession of
weather systems moved from the Pacific Northwest to the central Rockies and Plains and then
northeastward. Most of the northern Plains stayed dry during this period but the western
portion of the Corn Belt got some much needed precipitation on the newly planted corn. Heavy
rain accumulated from most of western Texas through the central Plains, the lower Mississippi
Valley through the Ghio Valley, and in much of the mid-Atlantic States.

The progression of weather systems continued in a similar manner during the week of May 19-25
except that systems moved further south from the central Rockies. The western portion of the
northern Plains had some welcome rain, and there were some light showers in eastern North
Dakota, but most of ‘the northern Plains stayed dry. Severe weather developed nearly every day
throughout the South and up the East Coast to Maryland. A heat wave enveloped the northern
Plains and worsened the severe drought in that area. As the hot weather moved eastward, it was
followed by much cooler air which covered most of the West by the May 25th.

During the last week of May some light showers accompanied the advancing cooler air as it
moved into the northern Plains but many areas still had no rain. Moisture from the Gulf of
Mexico did move northward but stayed mostly east of the very dry area. Eastern North Dakota and
much of South Dakota did accumulate nearly an inch of moisture and some isolated points had as
much as 2 inches. Most of the Corn Belt had moderate to heavy amounts of rain. Tornadoes and
other severe weather shook the Nation from the Texas Panhandle through the Ohio Valley ana the
Great Lakes. Cool weather dominated the West while most of the East was warm and humid.
(Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility)

VOLCANO DAMAGE IN NORTHWEST

There has been much concern about damage to crops in the Northwest as a result of the
eruption of Mount St. Helens on May 18 and the resulting volcanic ash deposited over a wide area
in the State of Washington and adjacent areas, mostly to the east. While it is still too early
to assess the full extent of losses, damage to crops is not believed to be as great as first
feared. Problems are expected in harvesting crops because of the abrasive effect of the
voleanic dust on machinery, as well as the possible effects on humans. Forecasts of winter
wheat and fruit in this report reflect appraisals of the effect of ash deposits on these crops
as of June 1, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



SUGARCANE 1/

STATE : AREA HARVESTED : YIELD z PRODUCTION
: 1977 3 1976 = 1979 3 1977 ¢ 1978 = 1979 1977 3 1976. > 1979
: 1,000 ACRES TONS . 1,000 TONS
FOR SUGAR ’ ’ .
FLA : 265.0 300.0 316.2 29.8 30.5 31.3 8,493 9,160 9,975
HAW : 96,8 99.4 100.6 92,9 93.2 95.7 84994 9,263 9,632
LA 3 304.0 268.9 240.0 23.9 20,3 20,6 7,265 5,449 4,950
TEX 2 33.5 32.4 30,9 29.2 29.3 27,6 978 949 853
us 2 719.3 699.8 689.7 35.8 «= 35.5 36.8 §~=— 25,730 = 24, B21 5, 410
FOR SEED SEED
FLA 15.0 16,9 1226 31.8 33.8 32.7 att Sal 412
HAW 6.7 6.5 7.3 27.2 30.5 31.1 162 198 2e7
LA 18,90 21.9 " 22,0 23.9 20,3 20,6 430 426 453
TEX my A 1.1 27.5 27.5 27,3 it 11 30
43.9 43.0 27.4 26,8 26,1 1,100 1,176 1,122
FLA 300.0 316.9 330.8 29,9 30,7 31.4 8,970 9,701 10,387
HAW : 103.5 105.9 107.9 88,7 89,3 91.4 9,176 9,461 9,859
LA 322.0 269,09 262.0 23,9 20,3 20,6 7,695 5,675 3,403
TEX 33.9 32.8 32.0 29.2 29,3 27,6 989 960 683
us 3 759.4 743.7 732.7 35.3 35.0 36.2 26,830 25,997 26,532
: FOR SUGAR : FOR SUGAR AND SEED
: PRICE PER TON 2 VALUE OF PRODUCTION : VALUE OF PRODUCTION 2
: 1978 > 197993/ 1978 > «1979 Bt 1978 : 1979 3/
DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS
FLA 20.50 187,780 198,871
LA 18.90 102,986 111,038
TEX ilo 10,439 10,560
TOTAL 19.40 . 301,205 320,469

1/ PRICE AND VALUE EXCLUDES HAW. 2/ PRICE PER TON OF CANE FOR SUGAR USED IN EVALUATING VALUE OF PRODUCTION
FOR SEED. 3/ ESTIMATES OF SEASON.AVERAGE PRICE AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION FOR THE 1979 CROP ARE NOT AVAILABLE.
U.S. SEASON AVERAGE PRICE, VALUE OF PRODUCTION AND PARITY PRICE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN THE JUL ISSUE OF
AGRICULTURAL PRICES RELEASED AT 3:00 P.M. ET, QUL.31, 1980. STATE ESTIMATES FOR THE 1979 CROP WILL BE
PUBLISHED IN CROP VALUES IN JAN 1981.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA
J



The prospects in the Western States are generally good. In California, freestone peaches are
larger than average. About 10 percent of the crop had been picked by June 1. Clingstone peach
trees in northern California had a heavier than usual infestation of yellow leaf roll but the
fruit appears to be sizing well. The California freestone peach crop is forecast at 450 million
pounds and the Clingstone peach crop at 1.32 billion pounds, down 4 percent and 6 percent,
respectively. The Washington crop of freestone peaches is forecast at 35.0 million pounds, up
13 percent from 1979. Growing conditions have been excellent, despite the ash fallout from
Mount St. Helens. .

NOTE: A report on the California Clingstone peach crop will be re-
leased June 25, 1980 at 3:00 P.M. ET, by the Crop Reporting
Board and the California Crop and Livestock Reporting Service.
The report will be based on the objective measurement survey
now being conducted and on other indicators available at that
time.

BARTLETT PEARS: Production of Bartlett pears in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast
at 593 thousand tons (538 thousand metric tons), the same as in 1979 but up 27
percent from 1978.

California's production is expected to be 360 thousand tons, 1 percent more than last year
and 28 percent above -1978. The set appears heavy with most of the fruit sizing well.

Oregon production is expected to be 78.0 thousand tons, 8 percent below the 1979 crop but 41
percent above 1978. The crop. is expected to be good to excellent in the Medford area but in the
Hood River Valley, the crop is down slightly from last year's record crop.

Production for Washington is forecast at 155 thousand tons, 1 percent above last year and 17
percent more than in 1978. Weather during May was mostly ideal for good fruit growth. Ash
fallout from the eruption of Mount St. Helens caused very little damage. .

PAPAYAS: The Hawaiian production of fresh papayas is estimated at 4.01 million pounds (1820

metric tons) for May. This is a 38 percent increase from April and is 49 percent more
than May 1979. Fresh utilization for May was more than forecast because of a suspension of
grade and size regulations which resulted in increased shipments to all markets. A 13 percent
downturn to 3.50 million pounds (1590 metric tons) is expected for June. The reintroduction of
grade and size regulations and inspection requirements on July 8, coupled with a lower fruit set
resulting from winter storms, is expected to drop July production to 2.80 million pounds (1270
metric tons), a 20 percent decline. A 4 percent upturn is expected in August to 2.90 million
pounds (1320 metric tons). Production for September is forecast at 4.00 million pounds (1810
metric tons), an increase of 38 percent.

Total crop area is estimated at 2975 acres (1200 hectares) for May, slightly. above April,
but 8 percent below May 1979. Acreage harvested in May at 2040 acres (830 hectares) was up 2
percent from the previous month. . .

Cumulative fresh production totals are above last year and are expected to continue running
slightly above last year's levels.

ORANGES: The Nation's 1979-80 orange crop is expected to total a record high 271 million boxes

(10.6 million metric tons), 1 percent more, than was forecast on May 1 and 29 percent
more than was harvested in 1978-79. The crop in Florida is placed at 205 million boxes, 1 per-
cent above the May 1 forecast and 25 percent greater than last season. The California crop, at
59.0 million boxes, is 4 percent above the May 1 forecast and 59 percent more than last season.
Arizona's crop is forecast at 3.50 million boxes, 1 percent above the May 1 forecast and 21
percent greater than 1978-79. . .

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Pie

”

CROP PRODUCTION —_ (W~

Released: : . Economics, Statistics, &
dune 11, 1980 , Cooperatives Service
3:00 P.M. ET

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

WINTER WHEAT production is forecast at a record high 1.76 billion bushels (47.8
million metric tons), 9 percent greater than last year and 3 percent above
last month's forecast. The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1980
production forecast is 1.58 to 1.93 billion bushels.

ORANGE production is forecast at a record high 271 million boxes (10.6 million
metric tons), 1 percent above last month's forecast and 29 percent more
than last season. Harvest is 84 percent complete. .

PEACH production in the U.S. is forecast at 2.88 billion pounds (1.31 million
metric tons), 3 percent below last season but 7 percent above the 1978”
harvest. The California Clingstone peach crop is expected to total 1.32.
billion pounds, 6 percent less than last year but 7 percent more than 1978.

BARTLETT PEAR production in the three Pacific Coast States is forecast at 593

; thousand tons (538 thousand metric tons), the same as the 1979 crop but up

27 percent from 1978.

SWEET CHERRY production in the six Western States is expected to total 147
thousand tons (133 thousand metric tons), 4 percent less than last year but
27 percent above the 1978 crop.

SPRING POTATO production is forecast at 17.0 million cwt (772 thousand metric
tons), up slightly from May 1 but 20 percent below last season and still a
record low. .

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED condition as of June 1 averaged 81 percent, 6 points
Tess than last year and 2 points below the 1969-78 average for the date.

CrPr 2-2 (6-80) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: The June 1 pasture and range feed condition for the 48 contiguous States

was 81 percent, 6 points less than last year and 2 points below the
1969-78 average for the date. - During the month of May, conditions improved in 27 States, were
less favorable in 16 States, and remained the same in 5 States. Conditions are generally good to
excellent in most parts of the country with the exception of an area in the upper Great Plains
where pastures are still dormant or growth very limited because of drought conditions. The
extreme drought area includes most of North Dakota, northern South Dakota and eastern Montana.
North Dakota pastures are rated at 24 percent of normal compared with 79 percent a year ago and 78
percent average. With the pasture conditions and hay prospects dismal, cattle sales have been
heavy. Stock water is short in some areas. In South Dakota, the range and pasture condition, at
43 percent of normal, is the lowest June 1 condition on record for the State. Montana condition
at 57 percent is 26 points below last year and average. In Texas and Oklahoma, heavy rains during
May greatly improved pasture conditions. Texas pastures are now rated at 79 percent, up 20 points
from May 1, and Oklahoma pastures at 87 percent are up 15 points.

POTATOES: The Nation's 1980 spring potato crop is placed at 17.0 million cwt (772 thousand

metric tons). This final forecast for the season represents a slight improvement from
last month but falls far short of the 1979 crop and is still a record low. The harvested area,
unchanged from a month ago at 72.8 thousand acres (29.5 thousand hectares), is well below last
year and also a record low. The average yield, at 234 cwt per acre, compares with 233 cwt per
acre forecast a month ago and the record high 255 cwt set last season.

Production in California, the leading spring producing State, is forecast at 8.78 million
cwt, unchanged from May 1 but 21 percent below the 1979 output. Harvest of long whites is
complete and digging of good quality russets is active. The Hastings, Florida crop improved
during May to 3.33 million cwt, 9 percent more than last month's forecast but still 22 percent
below the 1979 total. Fields recovered better than expected from earlier freeze and hail
damage. Harvest is.in full swing and should be winding down by month's end. Quality is good and
reported to be improving as harvest progresses. Digging is also underway in other areas of
Florida. .

Prospects in North Carolina have declined to 1.95 million cwt, off 3 percent from May 1 ang
14 percent below the 1979 crop. Weather conditions during most of the season have not been
conducive to good potato growth. Some fields are spotty from earlier excessive rain. More
recently, lack of rain has led to reduced development. The Texas crop declined 24 percent during
May as heavy rains and some hail in the Winter Garden area delayed digging and caused
considerable field rotting. Digging has begun in the Knox-Haskell area where some hail damage
also occurred. Harvest is complete in the Rio Grande Valley.

SWEETPOTATOES - 1979 REVISED: Production of sweetpotatoes in the United States last season
totaled 14.4 million cwt (653 thousand metric tons). The revised
estimate is slightly below the preliminary estimate, but is still 1 percent above the 1978 level
and the largest crop in nearly fifteen years. The crop was harvested from 125 thousand acres
(50.5 thousand hectares), up 3 percent from the 1978 season and 11 percent above the 1977
harvested acreage. Yields averaged 115 cwt per acre compared with 119 cwt per acre in 1978°and
110 cwt in 1977.

SUGAR CROPS - 1979 REVISED: Production of sugarbeets in 1979 totaled 22.1 million tons (20.0

million metric tons), down 14 percent from the 25.8 million tons
(23.4 million metric tons) produced in 1978. Growers harvested 1.12 million acres (455 thousand
hectares) in 1979, 11 percent less than in 1978. The average yield per acre at 19.6 tons was
0.7 ton below the 1978 yield.

“Sugarcane processed for sugar totaled 25.4 million tons (23.1 million metric tons), 2
percent above 1978. Sugarcane for sugar was harvested from 690 thousand acres (279 thousand
hectares) and yields averaged 36.8 tons per acre.

Total sugar production (raw value) was 5.58 million tons (5.06 million metric tons), down 5
percent from the 1978 output of 5.90 million tons (5.35 million metric tons). Sugar (raw
value) produced from cane totaled 2.70 million tons (2.45 million metric tons). Sugarbeets
sliced from the 1979 crop totaled 21.6 million tons (19.6 million metric tons). Sugar (raw
value) production from the 1979 slice amounted to 2.88 million tons (2.61 million metric tons),
down 12 percent from 1978.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


NECTARINES: The California nectarine crop is forecast at a record high 185 thousand tons
(168 thousand metric tons), 8 percent more than last year and 25 percent above
1978, Fruit is sizing well.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune production is forecast at 160 thousand tons (145 thousand
metric tons), 20 percent more than last year and 21 percent above the 1978
crop. The set was good and the fruit is sizing well. Cool spring weather has been beneficial.

Plum production in California is forecast at 180 thousand tons (163 thousand metric tons), 3
Percent greater than the 1979 crop and 17 percent above 1978. Quality of early varieties is
very good, but sizing is slower than last year. Growth of late variety plums is good and large
sizes are expected.

ALMONDS: The 1980 almond crop (shelled basis) is now expected to total 300 million pounds

(136 thousand metric tons), unchanged from last month's forecast but 20 percent less
than last year's harvest. The crop is developing well. There have been more twig borer
Problems than last year, but no significant problem with the navel orange worm.

SWEET CHERRIES: Production of sweet cherries in the six western States is forecast at 147 thou-
sand tons (133 thousand metric tons), @ percent less than last year but 27
Percent above the 1978 crop.

California's crop is forecast at 40.0 thousand tons, 17 percent more than a year ago ana
nearly three times larger than the short crop of 1978. Quality is very good. The fruit is
large and firm. :

In Oregon, production. is forecast at 36.0 thousand tons, 5 percent below last year. The
Dalles area and Willamette Valley fruit sets are spotty and sizes are smaller than normal but
quality is good.

The Washington crop is estimated at 60.0 thousand tons, 13 percent less than the previous
season but 1 percent more than two years ago.- Pollination weather was excellent but fruit set

“was less than ideal. No noticeable loss is anticipated as a result of the Mount St. Helens

eruption.

TART CHERRIES: The three western States of Colorado, Oregon and Utah expect tart cherry produc-

tion to total 23.8 million. pounds (10.8 thousand metric tons), 7 percent more
than last year and 45 percent higher than 1978. Crops in Colorado and Oregon are larger than a
year ago but the Utah crop is down 12 percent.

BLUEBERRIES: Growers in North Carolina expect to harvest 7.16 million pounds of blueberries

this year, 7 percent less than the 1979 crop. The quality of the crop in North
Carolina is excellent. High bush varieties suffered some freeze damage while the Rabbit-eye
varieties were severely damaged and are expected to yield only about 20 percent of a normal
crop. Harvest began the last week of May for high bush varieties and should peak June 9-
14, The first forecast for the other States estimating blueberries (Maine, Michigan, New
Jersey, Oregon, and Washington) will be published in the July: 1L Crop Production report.

MINT FOR OIL: Peppermint acreage for harvest in 1980 is estimated at 82.5 thousand acres (33.4

thousand hectares), a decrease of 9 percent from the 90.9 thousand acres (36.8
thousand hectares) harvested in 1979. Acreage in Oregon, the major producing State, is down 14
percent from a year earlier. Ash fallout from the Mount St. Helens eruptions has not seriously
affected the mint crop.

Spearmint growers expect to harvest 30.4 thousand acres (12.3 thousand hectares) in 1980,
down 8 percent from the 33.1 thousand acres (13.4 thousand hectares) harvested in 1979. Acreage
declined in all States. This year a marketing order will be in effect for the Northwestern
producing States.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 All CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Above normal precipitation in the northwest reduced earlier expectations of damage to winter
wheat from volcanic ash and provided ample soil moisture for plant development. The abrasive
nature of the volcanic ash may damage harvesting equipment, but at this time it is unknown
whether or not this problem will reduce the acreage harvested.

Drought conditions in Montana and South Dakota resulted in a decrease in winter wheat
acreage for harvest in those States. .

U.S. WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION

1971-88
BILLION BUSHELS

25

20

Loo , , Ae

n R r7) TM B 6 7.
FORECAST JUNE 1, 1988,

PEACHES: Production of peaches is forecast at 2.88 billion pounds (1.31 million metric tons), 3
percent below last season but 7 percent above the 1978 harvest.

The nine Southern States are expected to produce 524 million pounds, 1 percent above last
month's forecast but 19 percent below last year. The crop in South Carolina is placea at 285
million pounds, 19 percent below the 1979 crop. Poor pollination caused by low temperatures and
rain during the blooming stage and dry weather the last half of May caused the decrease in South
Carolina production. The Georgia crop is forecast at 110 million pounds, also 19 percent below
last year. .

The Pennsylvania bloom was heavy and most areas reported a good set. Moisture has been
ample and the crop is sizing well. The Virginia crop is forecast at 36.0 million pounds, up 13
percent from 1979. Midwest crops’ are up substantially due to a mild winter and ideal spring
conditions. '

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

m~


MINT OIL

YIELD H PRODUCTION
STATE ---: i=: amennenen a
: i 3 IND i: IND
1978 1979 3, 1980 : 1978 : 1979 : 19801/: 1978 1979 : 1980 1/
1,000 ACRES LBS 1,000 L8S
PEPPERMINT
IDAHO 10.3 8.5 8.3 65 59 670 502
INO 7.7 8.4 9.2 45 36 347 302
OREG 57.0 51,0 44.0 58 54 3,306 2,754
WASH 16.8 14.0 12.0 67 60 1,126 840
WIS 8.2 9.0 9.0 34 35 279 315
us 100.0 90.9 82.5 57 52 5,728 4,713
SPEARMINT
IDAHO 7.2 4.0 3.1 56 62 403 248
IND 5.1 4.9 4.6 38 38 194 186
MICH 3.6 3.8 3.7 2 31 104 118
WASH 26.4 16.0 15.0 a 74 2,402 1,184
WIS : 3.8 4.4 4.0 37 42 141 185
us > 46.1 33.1 30.4 70 58 3,244 1,921
PRICE PER VALUE_OF
POUND 3 PRODUCTION
PEPPERMINT.
IDAHO 7.20 8.65
IND 14.00 14,00
OREG 11.00 9.50
WASH 9.90 9.10
WIS 13.50 13.80
US 10.60 9.91
SPEARMINT :
TOAHO 7.00 8.00
IND 12.50 11.50
MICH 12.60 13.00
WASH 6.70 8.00
WIS 11.00 8.80
us 7.46 8.72

1/ TO BE RELEASED AUG 11, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PROSPECTS*
June 1, 1980

USDA : NEG. ESCS 246-80(6)

CROP PROSPECTS
JUNE 1, 1979

USDA NEG. ESCS 99-7916)

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 AMA CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEACHES

: PRODUCTION 1/ PRODUCTION
crop 2 POUNDS 48 LH. EQUIVALENT
AND z TOTAL FINDICATEDS. TOTAL FINTICATED
STATE sx f97e ¢ 977_ 1980 ot 97H Ot OTT 19K0
: MILLION UNITS 1,000 UNITS
PEACHES z
ALA : 15.0 14,0 14,0 313 292 292
ARK 2 37.0 36.0 38.0 771 750 792
CALIF *FREESTOME 3 394.0 408.0 450.0 8,208 9,750 9,375
coun 3 7.2 14,0 18.5 150 - 292 385
cary : 6.3 5.0 6.0 131 104 125
OtL z 2.3 1.5 2.4 48 31 So
GA 3 120.0 135.0 110.0 2,508 2,813 2,292
1OAHO : 11.0 10,5 13.0 229 219 271
TLL : 16.0 15,0 26,0 33300. B43 Sa2
IND : 5.0 *  a,o 9.0 104 83 188
Kans 3 5.0 5.0 6.5 104 104 135
KY 2 11.0 15,0 15.5 2e9 313 323
tA ast 6.5 7.0 4.0 “4335 146 83
Mid : 24.0 21,0 25.0 500 a3A Set
MASS : 3.5 3.3 4.0 73 69 63
mic4 : 60.0, 35.0 60.0 1,250 729 1,250
MISS ars 4.0 3.0 2.8 83 3 $8
Mo 2 14,0 12.0 17.0 292 - 250 354
uJ 2 70.0 95.0 115.0 1,458 1,979 2,396
wy : 16,0 6.7 13.0 333 140 271
nc 3 45.0 50.0 45.0 938 1,042 938
OHIO 3 5.0 4.0 12.0 104 83 250
OKLA er 3 8.5 12.0 10,0 177 250 206
OREG : 13.0 16.0 13.0 e771 333 e711
PA 3 85.0 90.0 105.0 1774 1,875 2,168
sc 3 315.0 350.0 285.0 6,563 7,292 5,938
“ TERN 3 ba 4,5 965 175 wat 194
TEX 2 40.0 36.0 15.0 833 750 313
UTAH 3 15.0 18,0 ° 17,9 313 378 354
VA 3 40.0 32,0 36,0 833 667 750
WASH + 38.6 31.0 35.0 792 646 729
woVA z 25.0 24,0 28,0 521 500 583
u's 2 4,465.7 1,577.5 1,560.2 30,535 32,808 32,506
PEACHES CLINGSTORE bss
CALIF 3 4,250.0 1,400.0 1,320.0 25,625 29,167 27,500
ALL PEACHES 3 :
us 3 2,695.7 2,977.5 2,889.2 56,160 62,035 60,006

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PROVUCTION AWD EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS) SUNITED STATES. 1978-19207 1979"16.,0,
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARWIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
3/ CALIFORNIA CLINGSTUNE IS OVEK THE SCALE TOWNAGE AND
INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSTOWS (MILLION POUNDS)
F197TB$120004 1979990.06

BLUEBERRIES
AREA HARVESTED YIELD 2 PRODUCTION
wo IND t : IND : : IND
: 1979 : 1980 : 1979 : 1980 : 1979 : 1980
: ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
MAINE 1/ : 14,800 1,150 17,000
MICH 17 : 8,700 4,140 36,000
N37 3 7,800 : 3,000 23,400
NC : 3,300 3,300 2,330 2,170 7,700 7,160
OREG 1/ : 500 5,800 2,900
was T/ : 790 6,070 4,795
TOTAL : 35,890 2,558 91,795

2/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR 1980 WILL BE MADE AS OF JULY 1 AND RELEASED JULY 11, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-3 : CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

CROP AND STATE

& PRODUCTION
3 TOTAL Fy TOTAL Fy IND
is 1978 3 4979 8 1980
3 as
“runs x TONS 4
CALIF 3 154,000 75,000
PRUNES (DRIED BASIS) 3 a 27540 4204000
CALIF - 2 132,000 33,000
| apetcors : : ’ 133, 160,000
CALIF - 2 123,000 140,000 120,000
+ UTAR : 600 2,000 1,600
wasn : a2t7ao 2,500. 2,600
126,300 144,500 4
NECTARINES : , ’ . 1240200
CALIF oy 196,000 172,000 165,000
:
: : 3 1,000 POUNDS
ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS) 3 :
- CALIF : 181,000 376,000 300,000
- BARTLETT PEARS
STATE mw. PRODUCTION
t TOTAL z TOTAL IND
£ 1978 i 1979 1980
8 TONS
t
CALIF - ’ 261,000 . 355,000 360,000
OREG : 55,500. * 65,000 78,000
WASH % 132,000 ’ 155,000
us a 3 468,500 593,000 $93,000
PAPAYAS - HAWAIT
AREA : FRESH UTILIZATION
MONTH TOTAL IN CROP : HARVESTED : 2 FORECAST
1979: 1980- : = 1980
1979: 1980s 1979s 980 : :
ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
APR 3,215 2,960 2,340 2,005 2,415 2,900
May 3,265 2,975 2,305 2,040 2,698 4,010
UN 3,285 2,370 3,452 3,500
ance 3,305 2,390 2,895 2,800
AUG 3,215 2,265 2,877 2,900
SEP 2 2,345 2,245 2,762 4,000
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-MAY 13,215 13,825

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 8-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


- RELIABILITY OF JUNE 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECASTS

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based primarily on
surveys conducted just prior to June 1. Acreage for harvest is the planted
acreage published in December 1979, adjusted for abandonment an the basis of
information provided by producers about June 1, 1980. The yield forecast is
based on data from farmers' mail reports and counts and measurements in wheat
fields. These surveys to obtain acreage and yield information are subject to
sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. The
production forecast is also subject to change due to growing conditions after
June ] that directly affect final production but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 winter wheat
production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based
on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation
between the June 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage
of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1960-1979 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes
statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be
made concerning expected errors in the current forecast relative to the final
end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast
are not different from those influencing recent year forecasts.

The "Root Mean Square €rror" for the June 1 winter wheat production
forecast is 5.8 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the
current production forecast of 1757 million bushels will not be above or below
the final estimate by more than 5.8 percent or approximately 102 million
bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will mot exceed 10.0 perceft or approximately 176 million bushels.
Differences between the June. 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 73 million bushels, ranging
from 6 million to 182 million bushels. The June 1 forecast was below the
final estimate in 6 years and above in 4 years.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

HARVESTED : YIELD PER ACRE :

INDICATED
CROP AND UNIT SINDICATI --
: 1980 1979 may 1,
: 1980
1,000 ACRES 1,000
WINTER WHEAT BU: 43,572 49,608" 36.9 35.4 1,608,897 1,711,010 1,757,170
SPRING POTATOES CHT : 83.8 72.8 255 234 21,345 16,939 17,012
PASTURE & RANGE 1/ PCT 87 81
PEACHES 2/ 1B 2,977,500 2,880, 200
APRICOTS TON 144.5 124.2
NECTARINES (CALIF) ” 172.0 185.0
PLUMS (CALIF) . 175.0 180.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) " 133.0 160.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) 376,000 300,000 300,000
PEPPERMINT OIL 90.9 82.5 52 AUG Il 4,713 AUG 11
‘SPEARMINT OIL " 33.1 30.4 58 AUG 11 1,921 AUG 1)
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1978-79 1979-80 ~——-1979-80
ORANGES BOX 210,500 267,500 271,450
GRAPEFRUIT ® 67,020 71, 300 72,700
LEMONS. " 19,400 21,550 21,550

1/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1969-78 AVERAGE IS 63 PERCENT. 2/ IN-
CLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS:
1979-90,000. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
” HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.
UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

2 AREA HARVESTED :YIELD PER HECTARE: PRODUCTION

crop : : INOICATED

INDICATED:
2 1979 : 1980 :

1979 1980

2 HECTARES

WINTER WHEAT 317 633.150 20 075 860 2.48 2.38 «43 787 DOD 46 566 060 = 47 822 330
SPRING POTATOES : 33 910 29 460 28.55 26.19 968 190 768 340 77 650
PEACHES 1/ : 1 350 560 "1 306 430
APRICOTS : 131 090 112 670
NECTARINES (CALIF) + 156 040 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) : 158 766 163 290
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) : 120 660 145 150
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 170 550 136 080 136 080
PEPPERMINT OIL, : 36 790 33 390 0.06 2 140 AUG 11
SPEARMINT OIL : 13 400 12 300 0.06 AUG 1) 870 AUG 11
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1978-79 1979-80 1979-80
ORANGES: : 8306 160 10500660 10 647 630
GRAPEFRUIT : 2491130 2637 190 = 2 690 710
LEMONS 668 600 742 980 742 980

7 INCLUDES CULLS AND DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN METRIC TONS
1979-40,820. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENOS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST
THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information
on selected agricultural commodities. These data werew prepared and adopted by the Crop Re-
porting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and washington

headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
J. &. Olson, Chairman,

APPROVED: 0. W. Barrowman, —-F. E. Rolf,

0. €. Murfield, R. P. Small,

W. R. Blackson, B. J. Buckner,

H, J. DeLong, R. D. Fenley,

J. R. Gibson, D. C. Johnson,

T. P. King, 8. F. Klugh, Jr.,

a R. A. Petzolot, R. L. Schulte,

L. E. Snipes, C. A. Van Lahr, Jr,

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE We W. Wilken.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 Azo, CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA

| oan


“

WINTER WHEAT

STATE 2 AREA HARVESTED £ YIELD 2 PROOUCTION

z ? ? IND = 3 % IND 3 t z TND

: 1978 3 1979 3 1980.3 1978 : 1979 $ 1980 ¢ 1978 3 1979 3 1980

3 14000 ACRES BUSHELS 7,000 BUSHELS
ALA 1st 65 95 149 26.0 26.0 25.0 1,690 2,970 3,600
AQIZ t a7 55 55 70.0 78.0 75.0 3,290 4,290 4,125
ARK : 300 420 765 37.0 35.0 36.0 11,109 14,700 27,540
CALIF 3 600 780 1,020 62.0 70,0 74,0 37,200 $4,600 75,480
coLo : 2.490 2,600 3,250 23.0 26.0 29.0 57,270 67,600 94,250
CEL 1st 25 30- 35 35.0 34.0 37.0 875 | 1,020 1,295
FLA ast 12 36.0 432
GA ist 120 160 320 32.0 35.0 33.0 3,840 5,600 10,560
IDAHO 815 850 890 54,0 * 42,0 $0.0 44,010 35,700 44,500
TLL z 930 1,300 1,520 38.0 43.0 98.0 35,340 55,900 72,960
INO t 815 945 1,110 39.0 47.0 47.0 31,785 = 44,415 52,170
TOWA 1/2 4s 72 95 31.0 3740 35.0 1,395 2,664 3,325
KANS 2 10,200 10,800 11,600 30.0 38.0 34,0 306,000 910,000 394,900
KY : 195 290 340 35.0 38.0 38.0 6,825 11,020 12,920
LA wt 17 27 30 36.9 = 28.0 33.0 612 756 990
MD 1/3 102 116 37.0 37.0 38.0 3,774 4,218 4,408
MICH : 450 860 40,0 43.0 4ai.o 16,000 33,755 35,260
MINN 1/3 58 69 29.0 35.0 33.0 1,682 1,785 2,277
MISS 1/5 65s 200 31.0 32.0 33.0 2,015 3,680 6,600
Mo 3 840 2,020 34,0 44,0 43.0 28,560 70,400 86,860
MONT : 2,700 2,000 31,0 © 25.5 21.0 83,700 87,375 42,000
NEBR 2 2,550 2,950 32.0 34.0 37.0 81,600 86,700 109/150
NEV 1/3 M1 1a 65.0 70.0 65.0 715 910 910
NJ Ve 33 4a 36.0 36,0 38,0 1,168 1,476 1,672
N MEX 4/2 306 450 18.0 22.0 21,0 5,508 8,756 9,450
NY ast 75 140 35,0 41,0 40,0 2,625 6,560 5,600
NC 4/3 180 260 33.0 36.0 35.0 5,940 7,560 9,100
N DAK 173 135 100 29,0 22.0° 22.0 . 3,915 2,640 2,200
OHIO 2 1,125 12420 39.0 48.0 96.0 43,875 63,360 65,320
OKLA” 5,400 6,500 27.0 38.0 32,0 145,800 216,600 208,000
OREG 3 1,100 1,160 43.0 48,0 50.0 47,300 48,000 58,000
PA : 245 250 33.0 31.0 33.0 8,085 8,122 8,250
sc 1/3 78 109 185 33.0 33.0 33,0 2,574 3,597 66105
8 DAK 3 700 550 875 26.0 19.0 19.0 18,200 10,450 16,625
TENN 3 220 295 390 35.0 34,0 35.0 74700 10,030 13,650
TEX 2 2,700 4,600 5,000 20.0 30.0 28,0 $4,000 138,000 125,000
UTAH 1/3 194 210 225 29,0 24,0 26.0 5,626 5,040 5,859
vA ast 155 180 210 35.0 35.0 38.0 5,425 6,300 7,980
WASH 3 2,600 2-200 2,650 46.0 43.0 45,0 119,600 94,600 119,250
wa ast 9 10 9 33.0 34,0 34,0 297 300 306
wIS 1/3 33 38 a7 36.0 43.0 36.0 15188 1,634 1,692
WYO A 275 267 290 26.0 22.0 26.0 74159 5,874 7,540
us = 39,015 43,572 49,608 32.0 36.9 35.4 1,247,706 1,608,897 1,757,170

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP,

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

: . WINTER 3 SPRING z
YEAR 3 HARD SOFT 3 HARD : TOTAL
2 RED RED WHITE & RED DURUM WHITE ¢

1,000 BUSHELS

992,446 350,152 194,515 397,603 79,964 21,638 2,036,318

836,285 201,761 209,660 379,104 133,328 37,390 1,797,526
1,093,275 321,079 194,543 364,477 106,654 61,704 2,141,732
1,128,019 394,805 234,346

1/ INDICATED JUNE 1, 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 8-1

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA .«.~



CITRUS FRUIT Js

3 PRODUCTION t PRODUCTION
CROP z BOXES H TON EQUIVALENT
AND z UTILIZED SINDICATED? UTILIZED SINDICATED
STATE 3.1977"78 &§ 1978979 § 1979—80 § 197778 & 1978979 3 1979980
. i 1,000 UNITS 2/7 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID & NAVEL 3/3
ARIZ ast 820 700 850 31 26 32
CALIF = 20,000 20,800 32,000 750 780 1,200
FLA 88,300 91-000 117,900 3,974 4,095 5,306
TEX a/ i 3,850 4,300 2,300 164 163 96
us $ 112,970 116,800 153,050 4,19 5,084 6,636
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
ARIZ : “2,800 2200 2,650 105 83 99
CALIF 3: 22,600 16,400 27,000 848 615 1,013
FLA t 79,500 73,900 87,000 3,578 3,285 3,915
TEX ast 22250 2,100 1,750 96 ag 14
us t 107,150 93,700 118,400 4,627 4,072 5,101
ALL ORANGES 3
ARIZ 2 3,620 2,900 3,500 136 109 131
CALIF 2 42,600 37,200 59,000 1,598 1,395 2,213
FLA = 167,800 164,000 204,900 7,952 7,380 9,221
TEX as: 6,100 6/400 4,050 260 272 172
us 3 220,120 210,500 271,450 9,546 9,156 11,737
TEMPLES :
FLA 5 4,900 4,700 6,000 2a1 212 270
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE SEEDLESS :
FLA 28,700 29,400 31,000 1,220 1,250 1,318
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEDLESS
FLA £ 14,300 13,300 15,500 608 505 659
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT $
FLA : 8,400 72300 74900 357 310 336
ALL GRAPEFRUIT z
ARIZ : 3,000 2,250 3,000 96 72 96
CALIF z
DESERT : 4,200 3,270 3,900 134 105 125
OTHER AREAS : 4,160 2,500 3,500 139 84 417
TOTAL 3 8,360 5,770 7,400 273 189 242
FLA 2 51,400 $0,000 54,400 2,185 2,125 2,312
TEX 4/ 3° 11,900 9,000 7,900 476 360 316
: 74,660 67,020 72,700 3,030 2,746 2,964
TANGERINES 3
ARIZ ast 600 450 750 23 17 268
CALIF as 1,400 1,450 1,600 53 Sa 60
FLA 3 3,200 37500 3,900 152 166 185
us : 5,200 57400 6,250 228 a37 273
LEMONS :
ARI? a7 3 5,800 §,500 3,050 220 209 116
CALIF £ 20,300 13,900 18,500 771 528 703
us 3 26,100 19,400 21,550 991 737 a19
TANGELOS 3
FLA : 4,900 4,200 6,400 221 189 288

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS wITH THE GLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN ANDO ENDS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/ WET LAS PER BOX? ORANGES@CALIF & ARIZ=75,FLAe90,
TEX*657 GRAPEFRHIT@CALIF DESERT & ARI7©64, CALIF
OTHER@67, FLA=85, TEX=80% LEMNNS@76% TANGELOS &
TEMPLES=@903 TANGERINES@= CALIF & ARI7@75, FLA=@95,

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARTZONA, EARLY AND MIOSEASON VARIFTIES ITN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS, INCLHDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS,

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1980 B-4 CRO CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA