PRUNES AND PLUMS: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon and Washington is

expected to total 45.5 thousand tons (41.3 thousand metric
tons), 7 percent less than last year and 11 percent below 1983. Idaho expects
6900 tons, down 1 percent from 1984. Poor pollination and set caused the
reduction.

The Michigan crop is forecast at 12.0 thousand tons, unchanged. from last
year. Quality is excellent and harvest is expected to start the first full
week of August.

The Oregon forecast of 20.0 thousand tons is up 67 percent from 1984.
Disease problems have been minimal. If hot, dry weather continues there will
be a heavy "blue" drop. Hot weather has reduced sizing in the Italian prune
crop.

Washington's forecast, at 6600 tons, is down 63 percent from Yast year.
April and May frost reduced production potential in the Yakima Valley.
Harvest has started.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production for August is forecast at 4.00 million

pounds (1810 metric tons). A seasonal increase to 4.40 million
pounds (2000 metric tons) is anticipated for September, followed by a decrease
to 3.50 million pounds (1590 metric tons) in both October and November.

July's fresh utilization is estimated at 4.71 mitlion pounds (2130 metric
tons), a 20 percent increase from the previous month but 14 percent below a
year ago. Total crop area, totaling 3675 acres (1490 hectares), declined from
June. Harvested area, at 2765 acres (1120 hectares), also declined from June.

WALNUTS: The California walnut forecast continues at 215 thousand tons (195

thousand metric tons), 1 percent more than the 1984 crop and 8 per-
cent above the 1983 crop. The walnut crop remains in very good condition
despite recent very hot weather. Sunburn damage appears minimal, so far, with
most damage being restricted to early varieties, primarily Ashleys and Paynes
in the northern part of the Sacramento Valley. Blight damage and codling moth
damage have also been minimal. The set of walnuts appears good with individual
nut sizes rated very good.

OLIVES: The California olive forecast is 80.0 thousand tons (72.6 thousand

metric tons), 13 percent below last year's crop but 31 percent above
the small crop produced in 1983. The August 1 forecast is the only official
production forecast made during the season. The forecast is based on a grower
probability survey conducted during July. Olives are an alternate bearing
crop. For 1985, the crop is in a low production cycle. High quality fruit
and larger sizes are expected this year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


APPLES, COMMERCIAL 1/

INDICATED
1985

MILLION POUNDS

ARK 3/ : 15.0 8.0 16.0
CALIF t 460.0 485.0 540.0
coLo : 85.0 65.0 95.0
CONN : 40.0 47.0 45.0
DEL 3/ : 13.5 13.5 12.5
GA 3/ t 20.0 50.0 35.0
IDAHO z 128.0 135.0 145.0
tLe 3 90.0 90.0 100.0
(ND : 56.0 64.0 74.0
lOWA 3/ t 12.5 5.0 12.0
KANS 3/ : 13.5 5.0 14.0
ky 3/ 3 14.0 18.0 16.0
MAINE 3 85.0 70.0 82.0
MD : 70.0 80.0 80.0
MASS : 97.0 97.0
MICH : 750.0 770.0
MINN 3/ : 22.0 15.0
MO : 45.0 40.0
NH : 55.0 50.0
NJ : 100.0 110.0
N MEX 3/ : 6.0 8.0
NY : 1,100.0 1,020.0
nc : 415.0 360.0
OHIO : 100.0 135.0
OREG 3 155.0 130.0
PA t 500.0 575.0
RI 3 5.0 5.0
sc 3/ : 18.0 45.0
TENN 3/ 2 8.5 11.0
UTAH 3/ : 58.0 45.0
VT : 48.0 41.0
vA : 455.0 465.0
WASH 2 3,055.0 2,950.0
WeVA : 220.0 225.0
wis : 58.0 53.0
us 3 8,373.0 8,285.5 8,072.0

1/ IN ORCHARDS OF 100 OR MORE BEARING AGE TREES.
2/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(MILLION POUNDS): UNITED STATES, 1983~-20.6, 1984-14.4.
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

AREA HARVESTED s YLELD t PRODUCTION 1/ 2/
STATE tee ennnnn oo

z 1,000 ACRES POUNDS , 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF 3/0 al 2,000 685 200
'DAHO : 31 3.1 1,750 1,800 6,264 5,425 5,580
OREG t 4.9 5.7 1,420 1,550 10,017 6,958 8,835
WASH : 22.7 19.6 1,920 1,850 51,145 43,584 36,260
us 30 28 824 «1,784

1/ QUANTITIES AVAILABLE FOR MARKET WILL BE GOVERNED
BY REGULATIONS ISSUED UNDER FEDERAL MARKET ORDER 991.

2/ (NCLUDES HOPS LOST BY FIRE(POUNDS):
1983-OREG 1,000,000, WASH 20,000; 1984-WASH 10,000.

3/ 1985 DATA COMBINED WITH WASHINGTON TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-21 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE

CLASS AND TYPE

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 1, FLUE-CURED
TYPE 11, OLD AND
MIDDLE BELTS

NC 104,000 91,000 2,105 2,150 218,920 195,650
VA 38,000 32,000 2,280 2,200 86,640 70,400
us 142,000 123,000 2,152 2,163 305,560 266,050

TYPE 12, EASTERN NC
BELT
nC
TYPE 13, N C BORDER &
S C BELT

124,000 116,000 2,230 2,300 276,520 266,800

nC 34,000 32,000 2,165 2,150 73,610 68,800

sc 47,000 44,000 2,245 2,300 105,515 101,200

us 81,000 76,000 2,211 2,237 179,125 170,000
YPE 14, GA~FLA BELT

FLA 7,000 6,200 2,560 2,500 17,920 15,500

GA 38,000 37,000 2,250 2,250 85,500 83,250

us 45,000 43,200 2,298 2,286 103,420 98,750
TOTAL 11-14 392,000 358,200 2,206 2,238 864,625 801,600

CLASS 2, FIRE-CURED
TYPE 21, VA BELT

VA 4,600 3,800 1,325 1,250 6,095 4,750
TYPE 22, EASTERN
DISTRICT
KY 5,700 5,300 2,020 1,900 11,514 10,070
TENN 11,800 10,100 2,210 2,000 26,078 20,200
us 17,500 15,400 2,148 1,966 37,592 30,270
TYPE 23, WESTERN
DISTRICT
KY 5,300 5,000 2,070 1,950 10,971 9,750
TENN 890 800 2,205 1,900 1,962 1,520
Us 6,190 5,800 2,089 1,943 12,933 11,270
TOTAL 21-23 28,290 25,000 2,001 1,852 56,620 46,290
CLASS 3, AIR=CURED
CLASS 3A, LIGHT
AIR=CURED
TYPE 31, BURLEY
IND : 8,100 7,100 2,320 2,300 18,792 16,330
KY : 210,000 172,000 2,340 2,250 491,400 387,000
MO 3 2,900 2,700 2,015 2,250 5,844 6,075
nc 9,600 8,700 2,185 2,200 20,976 19,140
OHIO 10,900 8,000 2,230 2,150 24,307 17,200
TENN 61,000 55,000 2,030 2,050 123,830 112,750
VA 10,800 9,700 2,090 2,200 22,572 21,340
WeVA 2,400 2,300 1,870 1,600 4,488 3,680
us 315,700 265,500 2,256 2,198 712,209 583,515
TYPE 32, SOUTHERN MD
BELT 1/
MD 23,000 21,000 1,320 1,150 30,360 24,150
PA 4,300 4,100 1,800 1,850 7,740 7,585
us 27,300 25,100 1,396 1,264 38,100 34,735
TOTAL 31-32 343,000 290,600 2,187 2,117 750,309 615,250

SEE FOOTNOTES ON PAGE B-20. CONTINUED

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


LAND IN FARMS, BY STATES, JUNE 1, 1980-85 1/

STATE 1980 1981 1982: )«=—-1983' «1984 1985 2/
1,000 ACRES

ALA : 12,200 11,900 11,800 11,600 11,500 11,500
ALAS : 1,520 1,520 1,530 1,540 1,560 1,520
ARIZ : 38,100 37,800 37,500 37,500 37,500 37,500
ARK : 16,500 16,300 16,200 16,200 16,100 16,000
CALIF : 33,800 33,600 33,400 33,200 33,000 32,800
COLO : 36,000 35,500 35,200 34,800 34,600 34,400
CONN : 490 500 490 500 480 450
DEL : 650 650 660 650 660 650
FLA : 13,400 13,200 13,100 13,000 13,000 13,000
GA : 15,000 14,500 14,000 13,700 13,500 13,500
HAW : 1,970 1,965 1,960 1,960 1,950 15950
IDAHO : 15,200 15,000 14,900 14,900 14,700 14,700
ILL : 28,800 28,800 28,700 28,700 28,700 28,700
IND : 16,800 16,800 16,800 16,600 16,400 16,400
IOWA : 33,800 33,700 33,700 33,700 33,600 33,600
KANS : 48,300 48,300 48,300 48,300 48,000 48,000
ky : 14,600 14,600 14,500 14,500 14,500 14,500
wy : 10,100 10,100 10,200 10,100 10,100 10,100
MAINE : 1,615 1,600 1,580 1,560 1,560 1,520
MD : 2,750 2,800 23750 25700 2,700 23650
MASS : 720 700 690 670 680 680
MICH : 11,400 11,400 11,400 11,400 11,400 11,400
MINN : 30,300 30,400 30,400 30,400 30,400 30,400
MISS : 14,600 14,600 14,500 14,300 14,200 14,200
MO : 31,300 31,300 31,200 31,200 31,000 30,800
MONT : 61,900 61,700 61,500 61,300 61,100 60,900
NEBR : 47,700 47,700 47,500 47,400 47,200 47,200
NEV. : 8,990 8,900 8,900 8,900 8,800 8,800
NH : 545 545 540 540 545 540
NJ : 1,020 1,030 1,020 1,000 970 950
N MEX : 46,800 46,800 46,000 46,000 45,800 45,000
NY : 9,400 9,700 9,500 9,500 9,400 9,200
NC : 11,700 11,400 11,100 11,000 11,000 10,800
N DAK : 41,700 41,300 41,000 41,000 41,000 40,900
OHIO : 16,200 16,100 16,000 15,900 15,800 15,800
OKLA i 34,600 34,000 33,500 33,500 33,000 33,000
OREG : 18,100 18,100 18,000 18,000 18,000 18,000
PA : 9,000 8,900 8,800 8,700 8,700 8,700
RI : 75 80 75 75 73 73
sc : 6,400 6,300 6,000 5,800 5,600 5,500
S DAK : 45,000 44,700 44,500 44,500 44,500 44,500
TENN : 13,600 13,500 13,400 13,400 13,400 13,400
TEX : 138,200 137,600 137,200 137,000 136,800 136,300
UTAH : 12,400 12,200 12,100 12,000 11,800 11,600
VT : 1,740 1,800 1,700 1,700 1,700 1,600
VA . 3 9,800 9,800 9,800 9,800 9,700 9,600
WASH : 16,300 16,400 16,400 16,300 16,100 16,300
WoOVA : 4,200 4,500 4,300 4,000 3,800 3,500
WIS : 18,600 18,600 18,500 18,200 18,000 17,700
WYO : 35,000 35,000 35,000 35,000 34,800 34,800
US : 1,038,885 1,034,190 1,027,795 1,024,195 1,019,378 1,015,583

1/ A FARM IS A PLACE AS OF JUNE 13 THAT SELLS OR COULD SELL $1,000 OF
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS DURING THE YEAR. 2/ PRELIMINARY.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-26 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Production in the Southeast (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, South Cartoina) is
expected to total 2.86 billion pounds, down 8 percent from 1984. Growers
expect to harvest 905 thousand acres this year, 5 percent less than a year
ago. Yield for the 4-State area is expected to average 3161 pounds per acre,
94 pounds below 1984. All States in the region benefited from July rains,
leaving the crop in good condition at month's end. However, the rains have
contributed to some minor disease and insect build-up.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 740 million pounds, up 3
percent from last year, with both States expecting a larger crop. With area
for harvest -- 251 thousand acres -- off slightly from Yast year, increased
production is the result of a 96 pound increase in yield to 2950 pounds per
acre. The crop is currently in good to excellent condition aided by timely
rains and minimal disease and insect pressure.

The Southwest crop is expected to total 655 million pounds, 11 percent
above 1984 production. Acreage for harvest is dawn 2 percent, but yield per
acre, at 2028 pounds, is up 224 pounds from last year. Following some delays
in planting, the Texas crop has made good progress under favorable growing
conditions. Timely rains have kept the crop in good condition in major
dryland areas. Rains are needed in some dryland areas of Oklahoma.

COTTON: The first all cattan production forecast far the 1985 season is 13.8

million bales, an increase of 6 percent from the 1984 crop. The
Upland production forecast for 1985 stands at 13.6 million bales and
American-Pima, at 143 thousand bales. Average al? Cotton production for the
last ten years (1975-1984) was 11.8 million bales. The 1985 crop is 5.1
million bales lower than the record high all cotton production of 18.9 million
bales in 1937.

Planted area of 10.7 million acres (4.35 million hectares) is 4 percent
lower than last year and growers expect to harvest 10.4 million acres (4.19
million hectares), down fractionally from Vast year. Expected yield per
harvested acre is a record high 638 pounds, 38 pounds above the previous
record established in 1984. a

In Texas and Oklahoma, Upland production is forecast at 4.46 million
bales, an increase of 15 percent from last year. Texas boll setting and
squaring are behind last year. Texas harvest was moving into the Coastal Bend
and was about 4 percent complete by August 1. In Oklahoma, the dryland crop
is under stress from dry weather.

The crop in the Delta States (Arkansas, Loutsiana, Mississippi, Missouri
and Tennessee) is forecast at 3.74 million bates, 3 percent below last year.
Boll set is well ahead of last year in all Delta States and boll counts are
near record levels. Mississippi is expecting the earliest crop of record with
harvest expected to begin in late August in earliest planted fields.

Growers in the Western States (Arizona, California and New Mexico) expect
to harvest 4.35 million bales of Upland cotton, 6 percent above last year.
The crop is rated tn good condition. Over 90 percent of the crop was setting
bolls by August 1 and extremely high fruit counts were recorded.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina
and South Carolina) is forecast at 1.06 million bales, up 4 percent from last
year's production. Good to excellent growing conditions in the region have
resulted in crop development being ahead of last year. Excessive plant growth
in some areas is conducive to boll disease under the current wet, humid
weather conditions.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1985, based on a three year average lint-seed

ratio, is forecast 5.47 million tons (4.97 million metric tons), 6
perce above the 1984 production of 5.15 million tons, (4.67 million metric
tons).

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


IND

380
1,100

BUSHELS

48.0
70.0
69.0
55.0
55.0
68.0
65.0
62.0
64.0
53.0
42.0
56.0
57.0
62.0
65.0
48.0
37.0
50.0
56.0
58.0
58.0
51.0
60.0
46.0
88.0
57.0
58.0
56.0
47.0
35.0
67.0
47.0
68.0
51.0
64.0
46.0
58.1

40.0

33.0
60.0
61.0
67.0
42.0
51.0
75.0
43.0
82.0
63.0
40.0
52.0

50.0
69.0
43.0
62.0
57.0
57.0
40.0
59.3

PRODUCTION

1,000 BUSHELS

1,960 1,440
3,600 1,960
2,925 3,450
2,394 2,750
5,185 3,300
3,648 2,992
12,600 10,725
4,560 4,960
38,250 47,360
5,040 6,360
308 252
2,356 2,240
784 855

15,600 21,700
76,950 78,000

2,538 1,584
5,280 3,885
13,640 15,000
255 336
11,400 10,440
3,920 3,944

63,630 49,980
15,360 13,200

3,920 3,680
6,000 6,600
16,200 15,960
2,120 2,320
79,200 86,800
308 235
24,000 8,750
952 871
1,100 564
2,079 2,040
468 408
45,050 53,760
3,381 3,220

476,961 471,921

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984.

CROP PRODUCTION,

AUGUST 1985

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

SRS, USDA


PEACHES

ALA 2/ + 22.0 1.5
ARK 2/ : 23.0 5.0
CALI F-FREESTONE t 445.0 440.0
COLO z 8.5 13.0
CONN 2/ t 2.7 2.7
DEL 2/ 2 2.0 9
GA 2/ : 150.0 80.0
IDAHO 2/ 7.5 12.0
TEL : 16.0 4/
UND t “7 4/
KANS 2/ : 2.5 3.5
ky : 3.0 4/
LA 2/ t 7.0 6.0
MD : 19.0 2.0
MASS 2/ : 1.9 1.9
MICH 2 45.0 55.0
MiSs 2/ + 5.0 2.5
MO + 15.0 4/
NJ : 50.0 90.0
NY : 11.0 17.5
nc 2 43.0 af
OHIO 2/ : 4a/ 5
OKLA 2/ : 9.0 7.0
OREG 2/ t 14.0 15.5
PA : 85.0 30.0
sc + 480.0 230.0
TENN t 10.0 4/
TEX 2/ + 23.0 30.0
UTAH 2/ + 12.0 10.0
vA t 34.0 2.0
WASH z 38.0 30.0
WVA z 17.0 4s
TOTAL ABOVE t 1,601.8 1,088.5
CLINGSTONE 3/ z
CALIF t 683.0 1,042.0 1,020.0
ALL :

2,643.8

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS
UNITED STATES, EXCLUDING CALIF CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1983~37.5; 1984~115.4.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

3/ CALIF CLINGSTONE |S OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY
DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS): 1983-64.0; 1984-76.0.

4/ NO SIGNIFICANT COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION DUE TO FROST.

WALNUTS

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-22 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED 1/
CROP INDICATED
1984 1985 1984 1985
HECTARES
CORN : 32 550 840 33 677 090 29 063 220 30 253 010
SORGHUM : 6 980 500 7 229 790 6 211 180 6 538 170
OATS 5 003 590 5 317 630 3 287 300 3 541 040
BARLEY : 4 810 550 5 313 180 4 520 790 4 762 800
ALL WHEAT : 32 056 710 30 661 340 27 085 100 26 146 210
WINTER : 25 665 040 23 510 470 20 846 800 19 472 870
DURUM : 1 326 170 1 267 490 1 302 700 1 227 020
OTHER SPRING 5 065 500 5 883 380 4 935 600 5 446 320
RICE 1 134 750 999 580 1 125 850 991 490
RYE : 1 202 330 1 035 200 397 000 273 980
SOYBEANS : 27 411 680 25 584 500 26 747 180 25 181 030
FLAXSEED : 224 600 267 100 217 720 259 410
PEANUTS Hy 632 370 611 890 619 580 598 540
ALL COTTON : 4 510 440 4 346 010 4 200 310 4 194 080
UPLAND : 4 478 020 4 310 880 4 168 100 4 159 240
AMER-P IMA 3 32 420 35 130 32 210 34 840
ALL HAY 2 24 922 830 25 010 250
ALFALFA 3 10 849 330 10 643 350
ALL OTHER : 14 073 500 14 366 900
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 605 820 639 610 589 350 621 240
SUMMER POTATOES : 45 080 47 020 43 340 46 050
SWEETPOTATOES 2 43 060 44 110 41 890 42 860
TOBACCO : 320 350 283 610
SUGARBEETS : 453 860 451 960 443 660 445 520
SUGARCANE FOR 3
SUGAR AND SEED : 302 420 305 500
HOPS : 12 460 11 490

1/_ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.E., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP : : : : INDICATED
1984: 1985 1/1984: «1985 1/

rs HECTARES

POTATOES :

WINTER : 5 340 5 340 5 260 5 340
SPRING > 35 650 37310 35 050 36 870
FALL 454 870 478 060 442 450 469 320

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


LARGE LIMA
CALIF
BABY LIMA
CALIF

OTHER
CALIF

ALL
CALIF
COLO
'DAHO
KANS
MICH
MINN
MONT
NEBR

35.0
27.0
122.0

184.0
190.0
138.0
12.0
390.0
50.0
8.0
170.0
34.0

1,000 ACRES

DRY EDIBLE BEANS 1/

45.0
25.0
100.0

170.0
225.0
118.0
16.0
430.0
64.0
3.8
155.0
34.0
250.0
8.3
33.0
28.0

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.

1985

POUNDS
1,800 41,840
1,960 2,000
1,590 1,680
1,684 1,769
1,190 1,280
1,790 1,860
1,700 1,600
1,070 1,300
1,400 1,400
1,900 1,700
1,900 1,800
1,250 1,300
1,260 1,100
580 600
2,080 2,150
2,050 1,950
1,425 1,445

B-15

PRODUCT IO!

AREA HARVESTED

iN

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



AREA PLANTED, BY STATES, 1985; UNITED STATES, 1983-85

pawn ewe ee cee ween ene n eee : DRY EDIBLE

STATE : SORGHUM : RICE SOYBEANS : : : BEANS
: : UPLAND : AMER-PIMA :
1,000 ACRES
ALA : 300 1,150 295.0
ARIZ : 18 410.0 60.0
ARK 2 940 1,060.0 3,750 465.0
CALIF : 42 380.0 1,350.0 175.0
coLo 3 430 230.0
DEL : 245
FLA : 260 22.0
GA : 175 . 1,800 250.0
IDAHO : 120.0
ILL : 500 9,000
IND : 4,500
IOWA 3 8,200
KANS : 4,700 1,500 1.0 17.0
KY : 150 1,260
LA : 425 465.0 2,250 640.0
MD 2 410
MICH : 1,100 440.0
MINN z 5,200 68.0
MISS : 680 190.0 2,750 1,100.0
MO sot 1,500 65.0 5,300 355.0 4.0
MONT :
NEBR : 2,100 2,400 160.0
NEV :
NH :
NJ : . 130
N MEX 3 305 70.0 7.8
NY : 35.0
NC 3 90 1,800 89.0
N DAK : 550 260.0
OHIO 3 3,900 : ,
OKLA : 490 210 370.0
OREG :
PA : 175
RI :
sc : 80 1,290 124.0
S_DAK 3 560 1,280
TENN : 480 1,400 310.0
TEX 3 3,900 310.0 350 5,000.0 19.0
UTAH : 8.5
VT :
VA : 710 1.3
WASH 2 34.0
WIS : 350
WYO : 29.0
YEARS UNITED STATES
1983 : 11,880 2,190.0 63,779 7,863.3 63.0 1,180.0
1984 > 17,249 2,804.0 67,735 11,065.3 80.1, 1,497.0
1985* : 17,865 2,470.0 63,220 10,652.3 86.8 1,580.5

* UPDATED FROM "CROP PRODUCTION" REPORT RELEASED JULY 10, 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA : 380 400 39.0 33.0 15,180 14,820 13,200
ARIZ 4/0: 62 66 90.0 90.0 6,144 5,580 5,940
ARK z 1,400 570 44.0 32.0 58,500 61,600 18,240
CALIF : 690 750 76.0 82.0 40,260 52,440 61,500
cOLo 3 3,200 3,450 34.5 40.0 117,000 110,400 138,000
DEL 1/ 49 43 AL. 42.0 2,106 2,009 1,806
FLA 1/2/ : 130 29.0 3,770
GA : 890 825 35.0 30.0 30,940 31,150 24,750
IDAHO : 900 870 63.0 54.0 55,610 56,700 46,980
TLL : 1,600 750 44.0 48.0 64,400 70,400 36,000
tND : 1,050 700 46.0 53.0 49,470 48,300 37,100
tOoWA 1/ 100 112 35.0 40.0 1,900 3,500 4,480
KANS : 11,200 11,700 38.5 38.0 448,200 431,200 444,600
KY : 500 310 38.0 35.0 16,120 19,000 10,850
LA 1/ 3 320 220 41.0 34.0 7,500 13,120 7,480
MD WV 3 140 130° 43.0 45.0 3,371 6,020 5,850
MICH : 800 750 57.0 64.0 35,770 45,600 48,000
MINN 1/0 360 180 43.0 40.0 2,625 15,480 7,200
MISS : 660 350 38.0 31.0 20,400 25,080 10,850
Mo : 2,050 1,370 41.0 39.0 70,300 84,050 53,430
MONT : 2,480 1,200 27.0 20.0 79,100 66,960 24,000
NEBR : 2,250 2,300 36.0 41.0 98,900 81,000 94,300
NEV 1/  g 8 7 80.0 70.0 560 640 490
NJ / $ 39 37 A3.0 44.0 1,520 1,677 1,628
N MEX 1/ 460 550 26.0 36.0 13,630 11,960 19,800
NY 1/3 170 135 46.0 48.0 7,360 7,820 6,480
nc : 620 760 43.0 30.0 15,980 26,660 22,800
N DAK 1/ 550 450 40.0 32.0 4,805 22,000 14,400
OH10 : 1,100 950 44.0 60.0 58,800 48,400 57,000
OKLA : 5,300 5,500 36.0 30.0 150,500 190,800 165,000
OREG 3 1,050 960 63.0 55.0 62,000 66,150 52,800
PA Wo: 220 210 38.0 39.0 7,600 8,360 8,190
sc : 380 420 38.0 27.0 10,500 14,440 11,340
S DAK : 1,700 1,520 36.0 28.0 51,250 61,200 42,560
TENN : 535 260 40.0 32.0 19,800 21,400 8,320
TEX : 5,000 5,850 30.0 32.0 161,000 150,000 187,200
UTAH 1/ 195 215 33.0 34.0 6,650 6,435 7,310
VA 275 300 45.0 34.0 14,280 12,375 40,200
WASH 2,400 2,400 62.0 48.0 162,500 148,800 115,200
WVA 1/ 10 8 40.0 45.0 378 400 360
wis o4/ 160 140 59.0 50.0 5,145 9,440 7,000
wyo | 1/ 260 270 28.0 24.0 8,250 7,280 6,480
us 51,513 48,118 40.0 38.3 1,988,304 2,060,646 1,842,884

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION
2 tND
1983 : 1984 : 1985
BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

ALA z 50.0 53.0 4,300 9,000 13,780
ARIZ : 85.0 86.0 988 1,360 1,376
ARK 3 72.0 70.0 17,600 42,480 63,000
CALIF : 82.0 83.0 3,645 3,936 3,320
COLO 2 37.0 38.0 6,960 15,910 14,820
GA 3 42.0 43.0 2,788 4,746 6,020
ILL 69.0 76.0 6,552 19,665 34,200
IND / 65.0 385 845
1OWA 1/7 55.0 300 660
KANS : 51.0 60.0 121,690 216,750 252,000
KY : 80.0 75.0 1,927 9,200 10,125
LA : 65.0 66.0 10,080 17,485 26,070
MISS : 64.0 65.0 12,375 23,680 40,950
MO 2 69.0 75.0 40,020 91,770 107,250
NEBR : 64.0 75.0 61,000 121,600 142,500
N MEX : 55.0 58.0 6,300 15,400 16,530
nc 55.0 53.0 1,386 2,640 3,445
OKLA 2 40.0 44.0 11,880 18,000 18,480
sc 3 46.0 45.0 900 1,564 2,250
S$ DAK 47.0 45.0 13,630 18,565 17,775
TENN 3 80.0 80.0 5,035 20,800 36,400
TEX 2 53.0 66.0 157,500 209,350 237,600
VA / 45.0 280 450
us 56.4 64.9 487,521 865,856 1,047,891

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP.

“CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SUMMER POTATOES

1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 cwT

ALA 2 8.3 7.8 125 180 1,404
CALIF 8.1 8.2 360 375 3,075
coLo : 7.1 7.4 280 285

DEL 5.5 5.7 230 260

TLL / 2.4 2.9 265 270

IND / 3 1.8 1.9 120 140 5

tOWA 1/ 1.4 1.6 150 220

MD Vv 1.6 1.6 185 220

MICH 12.8 13.8 200 220

MINN 6.0 6.5 280 280

NEBR 1/ Hy 2.2 2.5 250 250

NJ $ 8.5 8.8 215 260

N MEX 9.1 9.4 290 275

nc 3 2.9 2.4 120 120

OHIO 1/ t.t 1.0 290 270

TENN 1/ 3.0 2.5 90 105

TEX 11.3 13.3 250 220

VA 14.0 16.5 110 200

US 107.1 113.8 215 239

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

SWE ETPOTATOES

3 1,000 ACRES cwT 1,000 cwT
ALA 5.9 6.4 115 115 515 679 736
CALIF 8.0 7.6 180 185 t,716 1,440 1,406
GA 6.4 6.3 140 130 725 896 B19
LA 23.0 22.0 105 115 2,280 2,415 2,530
MD 3 1.1 v.1 160 165 182 176 182
MISS 4.8 5.5 105 105 447 504 578
NJ 2 2.4 2.5 110 115 216 264 288
Nc : 38.0 40.0 135 140 4,440 5,130 5,600
sc : 5.0 5.0 100 125 460 500 625
TENN 1.0 1.0 95 95 112 95 95
TEX 73 17 110 130 852 803 1,001
vA : 6 8 140 160 138 84 128
us : 103.5 105.9 125 132 «-12,083 12,986 13,988
CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, :SRS, USDA


Washington expects a crop of 36.3 mitlion pounds, 17 percent below Tast
year. Above normal July temperatures have caused lower yields. Harvest is
expected to start about August 20. The hot weather hurt Fuggle yields in
Oregon.

APPLES:. The Nation's apple forecast, at 8.07 billion pounds (3.66 million

metric tons), is fractionally more than the July 1 forecast.but 3 per-
cent less than 1984 production.

Production in the Eastern States is forecast at 3.03 billion pounds, down 1
percent from July 1 and 7 percent from last year. Prospects improved in
Virginia, but could not offset declines in Maine, New Hampshire, North
Carolina, and Pennsylvania. Insect and disease damage has been minimal
throughout the area. Trees are being stressed by dry weather in New York.
The crop is developing well in the Lake Ontario Region but the eastern New
York crop has been reduced by freeze and hail damage. Apples are sizing
nicely in Connecticut and Massachusetts.

The crop in the Central States, forecast at 1.53 billion pounds, is up 7
percent from July 1 and 26 percent more than 1984. The forecast for Illinois,
Indiana, Missouri, and Ohio is up from July 1 while Wisconsin's forecast is
down, Harvest of early varieties had started by August 1 in Indiana,
Michigan, and Ohio. Quality is reported to be excellent in Indiana where July
rains improved prospects in the northern part of the State. Insect and
disease damage are down from recent years. Timely rains have helped sizing in
Michigan. The Ohio crop continues to make good progress and development is
about two weeks ahead of normal. Several orchards were damaged by hail.

The Western States expect 3.51 billion pounds, up 1 percent from July 1
but 8 percent less than 1984. Increased production is indicated in Colorado
and Oregon. In Colorado, size and color are good on a crop that is 7-10 days
ahead of normal. Recent rains and cooler weather improved a good quality crop
in Oregon. California reports good quality, and insect and disease damage are
minor compared with recent years. Idaho has escaped hail damage so far.
Higher than normal temperatures reduced fruit growth in the Washington crop.

PEACHES: Production is forecast at 2.11 biltion pounds (956 thousand metric

tons), down 1 percent from July 1 and 20 percent from 1984. Ex-
cluding California Clingstone peaches, the U.S. crop is forecast at 1.09
billion pounds (494 thousand metric tons), down 2 percent from July 1 and 32
percent from last year.

California's Clingstone crop, at 1.02 billion pounds (463 thousand metric
tons), is unchanged from July 1 but 2 percent below 1984 production. The crop
is in good condition but fruit size is small. Harvest started in early July
and is about 20 percent complete. California's Freestone forecast of 440
million pounds is down 6 percent from July 1 and is 1 percent tess than Tast
year. Quality is good and 60 percent of the crop has been picked.

South Carolina's forecast of 230 million pounds is unchanged from July 1
but is 52 percent less than last year's crop. Peach harvest is rapidly
drawing to a close. Harvest is expected to drop rapidly when the Ridge
harvest is complete, as there are few peaches in the Piedmont because of the
extensive freeze damage. In Colorado, the crop is in good condition, with
harvest well advanced. Size and color are good and some growers had
exceptional yields. The Maryland crop is in poor condition. Harvest is 65
percent complete compared with the normal 30 percent. Picking is underway on
early varieties in Michigan. Excellent quatity and size are being reported.
Conditions are good in New Jersey where harvest of early varieties has begun.
Rainfall has been below normal in New York where peaches are entering a
critical sizing stage. The continued lack of moisture will reduce fruit
size. Harvest has started on early varieties.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN: The first forecast of the 1985 corn for grain is set at a
record high 8.27 billion bushels (210 million metric tons), 8
Percent above last year's crop.

The U.S. average yield per acre is forecast at 110.6 bushels, the second
largest yield of record, and up 4 bushels from last year. Yields in the
leading States and bushel change from last year follow: Iowa 115, up 3;
Illinois 127, up 13; Nebraska 120, up 5; Minnesota 111, up 4; Indiana 115,
down 2; and Ohio 128, up 10. Most States in the Corn Belt have received ample
rainfal?t and good yields are expected. However, there are some areas,
particularly in northern Indiana and southeastern Minnesota, where dry weather
has reduced yield prospects. In the Southeastern States the crop was hurt, to
same extent, by the heat and dry weather in early June. Rain and cool weather
which followed came too late to save the early planted, early maturing
varieties. However, the mid-season and late season varieties benefited, and
will produce a much better crop.

The area to be harvested for grain is expected to total 74.8 million acres
(30.3 million hectares), up 4 percent from last year and the most acres
harvested for grain since 1949.

Planting for the 1985 corn crop began well ahead of normal due to the warm
weather early in the spring. Development of the crop remained ahead of normal
and the crop is still one ta twa weeks ahead af normal, except in the Southern
States where development is near normal. In most areas, the weather has been
generally good and there has been ample moisture. There are some spotty areas
where dry weather has hurt the crop but timely rains have been received and
yield prospects remain good.

Harvest is underway in some areas of Texas, Louisiana and Georgia.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALFALFA AND ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

: 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
ARIZ : 150 155 7.20 7.40 1,059 1,080 1,147
ARK wt 35 35 2.50 2.70 132 88 95
CALIF 3 1,020 1,030 6.50 6.70 6,080 6,630 6,901
COLO 3 770 820 3.10 3.10 2,232 2,387 2,542
CONN : 23 24 2.70 2.65 58 62 64
DEL : 7 7 3.70 3.70 24 26 26
'DAHO 3 1,050 1,070 3.75 3.60 4,017 3,938 3,852
TLL : 800 840 3.80 3.90 1,950 3,040 3,276
tND : 420 435 3.70 3.20 1,131 1,554 1,392
OWA : 1,650 1,550 4.00 3.50 4,805 6,600 5,425
KANS : 960 1,060 3.40 3.40 2,790 3,264 3,604
KY : 230 250 3.20 3.60 540 736 900
LA : 12 15 2.40 2.40 28 29 36
MAINE : 27 27 2.60 2.60 70 70 70
MD 3 80 70 3.70 3.60 251 296 252
MASS : 30 33 2.80 2.80 87 84 92
MICK : 1,400 1,400 3.30 3.20 3,960 4,620 4,480
MINN : 1,900 1,800 3.40 3.10 6,270 6,460 5,580
MO : 450 450 2.75 2.60 1,152 1,238 1,170
MONT : 1,150 950 2.10 2.00 2,691 2,415 1,900
NEBR 3 1,600 1,450 3.20 3.20 5,115 5,120 4,640
NEV 3 235 240 4.00 4.30 897 940 1,032
NH : 19 20 2.80 2.90 57 53 58
NJ : 45 43 3.70 3.60 162 167 155
N MEX : 260 260 5.10 5.40 1,275 1,326 1,404
NY : 940 900 2.90 2.80 2,604 2,726 2,520
NC : 40 45 2.60 2.50 66 104 113
N DAK : 1,550 1,550 1.75 1.50 2,790 2,713 2,325
OH10 3 600 650 3.70 4.15 1,564 2,220 2,698
OKLA : 340 400 3.40 3.60 1,156 1,156 1,440
OREG : 445 450 4.10 4.05 1,848 1,825 1,823
PA : 840 840 3.20 3.10 2,380 2,688 2,604
RI : 3 3 2.70 2.70 9 8 8
S DAK : 2,480 2,250 2.30 1.60 5,382 5,704 3,600
TENN : 150 120 3.00 3.00 350 450 360
TEX : 190 170 4.50 4.60 816 855 782
UTAH 3 470 470 4.00 4.00 1,775 1,880 1,880
VT : 115 120 2.50 2.40 263 288 288
VA 2 88 88 3.00 2.70 216 264 238
WASH 3 475 500 4.30 4.10 1,760 2,043 2,050
WoVA : 100 110 2.80 2.90 270 280 319
WIS z 3,150 3,100 3.60 3.30 10,880 11,340 10,230
WYO : 510 500 2.45 2.20 1,250 1,250 1,100
us 26,809 26,300 3.36 3.21 82,212 90,017 84,471

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

: : IND 3:

: 1984 : 1985 : 1984 ; 1985

3 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

: 1,370 1,120 21.0 24.0 30,000 28,770 26 ,880
: 3,900 3,700 26.0 26.0 70,300 101,400 96,200
: 250 240 24.0 26.0 7,250 6,000 6,240
3 325 250 24.0 25.0 7,800 7,800 6,250
: 2,000 1,750 20.0 24.0 42,000 40,000 42,000
: 9,020 8,950 32.0 37.0 266,975 288,640 331,150
3 4,350 4,460 34.5 35.0 122,450 150,075 156,100
: 8,400 8,150 31.5 37.0 278,600 264,600 301,550
: 1,620 1,460 17.5 24.0 24,320 28,350 35,040
: 1,460 1,230 29.0 29.0 24,480 42,340 35,670
: 2,380 2,190 27.0 27.0 68,120 64,260 59,130
: 425 400 29.0 27.0 10,010 12,325 10,800
3 1,190 1,090 27.0 31.0 33,800 32,130 33,790
3 5,240 5,140 33.0 34.0 151,800 172,920 174,760
: 3,200 2,700 24.0 24.0 58,900 76,800 64,800
: 5,300 5,180 20.5 29.0 163,066 108,650 150,220
: 2,550 2,360 25.0 35.0 58,995 63,750 82,600
3 133 128 31.0 28.0 3,059 4,123 3,584
2 1,790 1,730 26.0 25.0 33,000 46,540 43,250
: 740 540 23.0 23.0 14,310 17,020 12,420
: 3,770 3,870 36.5 37.0 104,960 137,605 143,190
: 220 190 19.0 22.0 3,910 4,180 4,180
2 170 170. 35.0 29.0 3,480 5,950 4,930
: 1,490 1,260 20.0 22.0 23,595 29,800 27,720
3 1,360 1,260 23.0 28.0 26,103 31,280 35,280
: 1,850 1,360 26.0 26.0 31,520 48,100 35,360
: 410 320 29.0 24.0 9,450 11,890 7,680
: 730 695 29.5 27.0 9,760 21,535 18,765
: 450 330 31.0 30.0 13,825 13,950 9,900

: 66,093 62,223 28.2 31.5 1,635,772 1, 860,783 1,959,439

FLAXSEED

PRODUCTION

1984: 1985

1,000 BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
MINN : 45 56 14.5 14.5 938 653 812
N DAK 3 390 490 12.5 12.5 4,600 4,875 6,125
2 14.5 13.5 1,494 1,283
13.1 12.8 7,022 8,220

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield
surveys taken about August 1. The yield surveys include mailed reports from
farmers for all crops and actual field observations and measurements for corn,
soybeans, cotton and wheat. Farmers provided appraisals of crop conditions
and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their
localities. Objective yield surveys provided small plot observations, counts
and measurements in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to
sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More
importantly, the production forecasts are subject to change due to future
weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but
directly affect final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in
this report, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based on past
performance, is shown below for selected crops. This is computed by
expressing the deviations between the August 1 production forecasts and the
final estimates as a percent of the final estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1965-84 20-year period; the square root of this
average becomes statistically the "Roo Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current
forecasts relative to the final end of season estimates, assuming that factors
affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent
years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square Error" for the August 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 8.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current production forecast of 8,266 million bushels will not be
above or below the final estimate by more than 8.3 percent or approximate]
686 million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level
that the difference will not exceed 14.4 percent or approximately 1,190
million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn
again as an example, changes between the August 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 365 million bushels, ranging
from 6 million to 1,062 million bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 5 times and above 5 times.

RELIABILITY OF AUGUST 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS
TR OOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR :: ___10-YEAR RECORD OF
DIFFERENCES BETWEEN FORECAST
AND FINAL ESTIMATE

CROP AND : H LEVEL
UNIT :PERCENT:
:BELOW: ABOVE
LARGE: FINAL: FINAL
MIL
FEED GRAINS 1/ MT: 6.7 10 1 30 7 3
CORN FOR GRAIN BU: 8,3 365 6 1,062 5 5
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU: 7.3 43 6 78 7 3
OATS BU: 4.7 21 1 59 3 7
BARLEY BU: 5.2 20 5 45 6 4
ALL WHEAT BU: 1.9 28 1 68 6 4
WINTER BU: 1.8 20 2 32 7 3
DURUM BU: 6.0 3 a 8 4 6
OTHER SPRING BU: 6.2 18 4 46 6 4
RICE CWT: 3.8 4 0 7 5 5
SOYBEANS FOR :
BEANS 6.0 10.3 8 6
COTTON 8.7 15.0 8 5

1/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, OATS, AND BARLEY.
2/ > QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~- YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE : PRODUCTIO!

INDICATED

: INDICATED:
: 1985

CORN FOR GRAIN : 6.69 6.94 194 476 310 209 954 740
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN : 3.54 4.07 21.993 760 26 617 660
OATS : 2.08 2.13 6 849 910 7 242 280 7 533 670
BARLEY : 2.87 2.74 12 988 260 13 765 140 13 057 580
ALL WHEAT H 2.61 2.47 70 637 360 64 676 400
WINTER H 2.69 2.58 56 081 590 50 464 520 50 155 080
DURUM : 2.16 2.17 2 815 150 2 662 410
OTHER SPRING : 2.38 2.18 11 740 620 11 859 910

ICE H 5.52 5.66 6 215 710 5 608 220
RYE : 2.07 1.79 822 790 489 100 490 190
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS : 1.89 2.12 50 642 210 53 327 190
FLAXSEED 3 0.82 0.80 178 370 208 800
PEANUTS FOR NUTS H 3.23 3.23 1 998 400 1 930 620
ALL COTTON : 0.67 0.72 2 826 440 3000 210

UPLAND : 0.67 0.71 2 798 050 2 969 180

AMER-PIMA : 0.88 0.89 28 390 31 030
COTTONSEED : 4 671 090 4 965 930
ALL HAY H 5.49 5.39 136 786 220 134 692 440

ALFALFA 3 7.53 7.20 81 662 050 76 630 800

ALL OTHER : 3.92 4.04 55 124 170 58 061 640
DRY EDIBLE BEANS 3 1.60 1.62 941 380 1 005 970
SUMMER POTATOES 3 24.11 26.82 7045 120 1.191 040 1 234 850
SWEETPOTATOES H 14.06 14.80 589 030 634 480
TOBACCO 3 2.45 2.42 783 490 686 930
SUGARBEETS : 45.35 46.59 20 118 640 20 756 390
SUGARCANE FOR :

SUGAR AND SEED : 82.01 82.07 24 802 430 25 071 860
HOPS 3 2.04 2.00 25 480 22 990
APPLES, COM‘L H 3 758 220 3 653 670 3 661 380
PEACHES : 1 199 200 968 640 956 390
PEARS : 643 740 588 400 599 290
GRAPES : 4 684 610 5 028 890

PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) 41 280

3 450
* WALNUTS (CALIF) 3 193 230 195 040 195 040
OLIVES (CALIF) 3 190

72 570

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE

INDICATED INDICATED
1985 1/ 1985 1/

CROP

POTATOES :
WINTER H 22.77 22.86 119 750 122 060
SPRING 30.80 29.83 1 079 450 1 099 910
FALL 32.00 14 159 670
SWEET CHERRIES 164 930 120 290
TART CHERRIES 122 970 122 240
APRICOTS 115 390 125 920
NECTARINES (CALIF) 166 010 181 440
PLUMS (CALIF) 204 120 149 690
ORIED PRUNES
(CALIF) 134 260 122 470
ALMONDS (CALIF) 266 260 224 530

/

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PEARS: The production forecast of 661 thousand tons (599 thousand metric
tons), is up 12.0 thousand tons from July 1, but is down 7 percent from
last year.

Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
415 thousand tons (376 thousand metric tons), up 13.0 thousand tons from July
1, but 7? percent tess than last year. The California crop quality is
excellent. Fruit size is large and sugar content is high. Washington and
Oregon pears were adversely affected by hot weather during most of July.
Fruit size in both States is expected to be smaller than normal. Production
of Other than Bartletts is forecast at 211 thousand tons (191 thousand metric
tons), up 500 tons from July 1, but 4 percent less than the 1984 crop. The
crop is in good to excellent condition in California, where Bosc, Comice, and
Asian varieties are being picked. Size is large with high sugar content. The
hot, dry weather did not adversely affect the crop as expected, but helped
improve the sugar content. However, the hot, dry weather in Washington and
Oregon did slow sizing. Cooler, wet weather the last week in July improved
crop conditions in Oregon.

A short pear crop of excellent quality is expected in Michigan. New York,
also expects a short crop after several years of large crops. The large crops
seem to have reduced tree vigor and some areas suffered spring frost damage.

GRAPES: The U.S. grape crop is forecast at 5.54 million tons (5.03 million
metric tons), 7 percent more than last year and 1 percent above 1983
production.

The California grape crop is expected to total 5.10 million tons, 1
percent less than July 1? but 10 percent above last season. This forecast is
based on the results of an objective measurement survey conducted last month.
In comparison to the record high production set in 1982, this year's crop in
California is 16 percent lower. The raisin varieties crop in California
continues at 2.30 mitlion tons, unchanged from the July 1 forecast and 2
percent above 1984. The July survey showed a record number of normal clusters
per vine. However, hot weather and other factors have caused a reduction in

the yield potential by lowering berry growth and cluster sizes. Wine
varieties are expected to total 2.25 million tons, down 2 percent from the
July forecast but 18 percent above the 1984 harvest. Hot weather during

dune and July had a limiting effect on wine grape production. Cluster counts
were at a record-high level, when samplers made their vineyard visits in July,
but many varieties have not sized normally due to the heat. Sugar levels were
increasing normally by the first week of August and harvesting began August
5th. The forecast for table varieties continues at 550 thousand tons,
unchanged from July 1 but Te percent above last year. Maturity of the crop is
ahead of normal, but total production potential has been reduced somewhat by
the hot June and July weather. Harvesting of table varieties for wine will
begin within the next two weeks. By the first week of August nearly one-third
of all California grapes for fresh market had been picked. Table grape
varieties account for more than half of California's fresh grape shipment.

The estimate for Arizona is a record high 18.0 thousand tons, 29 percent
above last year. Harvesting in Arizona and the desert areas of California was
complete in July. The forecast for the Michigan grape crop is 55.0 thousand
tons, 12 percent above 1984, The crop has benefited from good pollinating
weather and timely rains. In New York, the forecast is for 173 thousand tons
of all grapes, down 13 percent from last year. The crop suffered scattered
frost damage this spring and dry conditions this summer. The grape forecast
for Pennsylvania is 55.0 thousand tons, 8 percent below production in 1984.
The crop is slightly ahead of schedule with minor insect and disease
problems. The Washington all grape forecast is 119 thousand tons, 29 percent
below last year and 48 percent lower than 1983. The estimate consists of 105
thousand tons of Concords and only 14.0 thousand tons of wine grapes.
Production js much lower this year due to the freezes that occurred in April
and May. The most severely damaged vineyards were in the Yakima Valley.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


JULY WEATHER SUMMARY

Showers and thunderstorms covered nearly all of the Nation. Tropical
moisture moved into the Southwest and spread over most of the West triggering
widespread showers. Late in the month beneficial rain fell in parts of
Montana; however, a disastrous storm struck Cheyenne, Wyoming with devastating
severe weather. Much of the Corn Belt had less than normal rain. However, a
large part of the area received adequate rain during most of the corn and
soybean propagation period. Some isolated areas were short of moisture. ATT
of the east coast States had adequate rain, but parts of the mid-Atlantic
States were very dry before the rain came. After midmonth, Tropical Storm Bob
crossed southern Florida frem the Gulf of Mexico and then briefly became a
hurricane before making landfall in South Carolina. The storm weakened
rapidly as it moved northward spreading heavy rain along the east coast to
southern vem England. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather
acility.

JULY CROP DEVELOPMENT

Topsoil moisture was mostly inadequate across the Nation during the month
of July. Timely rain kept crops in fairly good condition throughout the month
and provided enough moisture to further crop development, especially across
the eastern half of the Nation. The western States were extremely dry from
the beginning of July until the end. In these States, most crops without
irrigation were under stress during July, especially in Montana. Wheat
harvest progressed rapidly as a result of the dry weather. Double-crop
soybean planting was ahead of normal with the early wheat harvest.

Corn was fair to mostly good as July ended. The last week of July, rain
and below-normal temperatures over the eastern half of the Nation, helped
relieve some stress caused by dryness. Corn was silking on 77 percent of the
acreage in 16 major producing States by month's end. Last year, only 56
percent of the acreage was silking by the end of July, and normally 62 percent
would be silking. Sixteen percent of the acreage had reached the dough stage
compared with the 10 percent average. Corn matured rapidly across the
Southeast during July. As the month drew to a close, harvest ranged from 5
percent complete in Texas to 7 percent complete in Georgia.

Soybeans remained fair to mostly good during July. Rain improved crop
condition along the east coast from Virginia to Florida ‘the last week of
duly. In the 19 major producing States, 67 percent of the acreage was
blooming with slightly more than one-fourth of the acreage setting pods on
duly 28th. At this time last year, blooms and pods were present on 56 and 18
percent, respectively. Normally, 58 percent of the acreage would be blooming
and 19 percent would have acquired pods. Nebraska's soybeans encountered
minor problems around mid-month as heat and insufficient moisture caused leaf
droppage.

Sorghum ended the month 36 percent headed in 6 major producing States,
which was about normal. Heading continued lagging behind normal in Texas and
South Oakota. Harvest began in Texas in early July and was 22 percent
complete on July 28th.

Cotton was in mostly good condition. The hot, humid weather provided near
ideal growing conditions during July. Squares were present on 84 percent of
the acreage and 57 percent was setting bolls on July 28th. Boll setting was
slightly ahead of schedule, but squaring lagged 7 points behind normal. By
month's end, bolls began opening in Arizona and Georgia, and 2 percent of the
Texas crop was harvested.

In the 18 major producing States, winter wheat was 87 percent harvested, 5
percentage points ahead of 1984 and 4 points ahead of the average, as July
ended. Harvest was complete or neared completion in al] States, except Idaho,
Montana, Oregon, and Washington. Wheat stubble was plowed under from the Corn
Belt to the lower Great Plains southward. Spring wheat was 7 percent
harvested, 5 points ahead of 1984 and 1 point ahead of the average. On July
28th, harvest was underway in all States, except Idaho.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


o
@
=

000 ACRES
53 62
460 420
325 345
50 57
1,340 1,250
95 155
30 26
95 94
34 34
950 7100
2,110 1,500
78 120
37 37
15 16
20 16
64 69
2,900 3,550
50 65
280 330
70 70
30 32
595 735
40 50
159 166
96 102
980 1,150

5

50 52
160 166
11,171 11,769

BARL!

£Y

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

BUSHELS

101.0
63.0
62.0
55.0
66.0
43.0
37.0
58.0
60.0
65.0
28.0
33.0
90.0
55.0
75.0
63.0
53.0
41.0
62.0
52.0
52.0
51.0
50.0
73.0
60.0
65.0
53.0
53.0
65.0
53.4

1,000 BUSHELS

2,808 5,353
29,400 28,980
16,500 20,150

2,915 2,750
66,950 88,440

4,590 4,085

825 1,110

4,950 5,510

1,617 2,040
43,460 61,750
77,700 59,080

2,691 2,574

2,720 3,330

901 825
1,725 1,500
2,205 4,032

114,660 153,700

1,496 2,050
16,470 17,360

3,575 3,640

920 1,560

23,100 30,345

2,475 2,000
11,396 11,607

5,900 5,760
54,400 63,700

240 265

2,304 2,650

10,032 10,400
508,925 596,546

2,704
10,624
599,730

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1984 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

SRS, USDA


Crop Production [Qi= = Sime

Agriculture
Statistical Reporting Washington, D.C. 20250
Service
RELEASED: AUGUST 12, 1985
3:00 P.M. ET
HIGHLIGHTS

ALL_WHEAT production is forecast at 2.38 billion bushels (64.7 million metric
ons), 8 percent less than 1984. The 90 percent confidence interval for
this production forecast is 2.30 to 2.45 billion bushels.

FOOD GRAIN production (wheat, rice, rye) is expected to total 70.8 million
metric tons in 1985, down 9 percent from 1984.

CORN FOR GRAIN production is forecast at a record high 8.27 billion bushels
210 million metric tons), 8 percent more than last year. The 90 percent
confidence interval for this production forecast is 7.08 to 9.46 billion
bushels.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley) is expected to total?
257 million metric tons, up 9 percent from 1984.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.3 million metric
tons), 5 percent above last year and 20 percent above the drought-striken
1983 crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for this production forecast
is 1.76 to 2.16 billion bushels.

ALL COTTON production is forecast at 13.8 million bales, an increase of 6
percent over the 1984 crop. The 90 percent confidence internal for this
production forecast is 11.7 million to 15.8 million bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 1.51 billion pounds (687 thousand metric
tons), 12 percent below 1984 but 6 percent above 1983.

PEANUT production is estimated at 4.26 billion pounds (1.93 million metric
tons), down 3 percent from last years record crop but 29 percent above
1983,

NUMBER OF FARMS in the U.S. in 1985 is estimated at 2.29 million, down 2
percent from 1984. Land in farms declined 3.80 million acres from the
previous year. Average size of farms increased from 438 last year to 445
acres in 1985.

z

ak: TIARA FOI II III I IIT II IIS I III RITA I.

NOTICE

Revisions have been made in the 1985 planted acreage estimates for
cotton, dry edible beans, rice, sorghum, and soybeans --- shown on
Page B-1. These revisions are based on regularly scheduled August
surveys and administrative data. The regular scheduled surveys in-
clude a follow up of acreage intentions in six of the States in our
satellite remote sensing project.

Pe eee ee ed

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
should be directed to Crop Reporting Board Publications, Room 5829 -
South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021). *
HKKEEKAKKERERIRIII IIIA BRIAR IABP IA IAI IAI IISA SKIS IAAI IIIA IIIA IA ISK

ee ee
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Yields are expected to average 38.3 bushels per acre, 1.7 bushels less
than a year ago but up 0.2 of a bushel from July 1. Record high yields are
expected in California, Colorado, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio.

Harvest completion had progressed to 91 percent in the 18 major States by
August 4. This compares with the average progress of 87 percent. The main
activity was in the Northwest where combining is ahead of average. California
and Michigan harvests were virtually done. Colorado and South Dakota have
reached 94 and 92 percent completion, respectively.

DURUM WHEAT: Production is forecast at 97.8 million bushels (2,66 million

metric tons), 5 percent less than 1984's 103 million bushels
(2.82 million metric tons). Area for harvest as grain is 3.03 million acres
(1.23 million hectares), down 6 percent from last year; drought conditions
lowered Montana's harvested acres expectations. Yields are expected to
average 32.3 bushels per acre in the 6 States, 0.2 of a bushel more than last
year. North Dakota is the only State anticipating yields above 1984.

Early seeding, ptus adequate rainfall post-seeding, got North Dakota's
crop off to a good start. A very cool June benefited the crop. Little
rainfall occurred in July, but only one week of heat stress was recorded. As
of August 4, 64 percent of the crop was turning ripe or beyond compared with
the 53 percent average. The crop rated 34 percent fair, and 61 percent good
or better. Harvest had begun in southern counties. Yields and test weights
were very light jin Montana's early harvested fields. Unseasonably hot
temperatures at flowering severely affected. California's yields; harvest was
virtually complete by July 1.

OTHER SPRING WHEAT: Production is forecast at 436 million bushels (11.9

million metric tons), 1 percent more than last year's 431
million bushel (11.7 million metric tons) production. Harvested area totals
13.5 million acres (5.45 million hectares), up 10 percent from 1984 and is the
highest level in three years. However, decline in yield nearly offset the
acreage increase. Yields are expected to average 32.4 bushels per acre, 3.0
bushels below last year's record high average. As of August 4, spring wheat
was 15 percent harvested in the 5 major States, well ahead of last year, but
about average for the date. Idaho's crop rated mostly fair; Minnesota's, 83
percent good or better. Drought has crippled Montana's crop. North Dakota's
crop advanced to 80 percent ripe or beyond; average is 67 percent for August
4. Moisture supplies are short throughout most of South Dakota's major
growing area.

RICE: Production for 1985 is forecast at 124 million hundredweight (5.61

million metric tons), down 10 percent from last year but 24 percent
above the PIK program crop of 1983. The smaller crop is the result of record
yields only partiatly offsetting a reduction in acres for harvest.

Area for harvest is estimated at 2.45 million acres (991 thousand
hectares), down 12 percent from 1984 but 13 percent above 1983. All States
expect to harvest less acreage this year than last.

Yield per acre is expected to average a record high 5,047 pounds, up 121
pounds from last year and 449 pounds above 1983. All States anticipate record
yields due to favorable weather and increased acreage going into higher
yielding varieties.

Crop development as of August ? was well behind normal in Texas where only
23 percent of the crop was turning color compared with 83 percent average and
5 percent was harvested compared with 30 percent average. The crop in both
California and Louisiana benefited from a dry spring and is developing on a
normal schedute with Louisiana harvest 12 percent complete compared with 13
percent average. The Arkansas crop on August 1 was 29 percent headed compared
to 18 percent average and Mississippi was well ahead of normal with 72 percent
headed compared with 34 percent average.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production is forecast as a record high 1.05 billion

bushels (26.6 million metric tons), up 21 percent from
last year. Area for grain harvest is estimated at 16.2 million acres (6.54
million hectares), up 5 percent from 1984, the largest since 1958, and the
third largest grain acreage of record. Yield forecast, at .a record high 64.9
bushels per acre, is 8.5 bushels more than last year and, if realized, would
be nearly 1 bushel above the previous record high yield of 64.0 bushels per
acre set in 1981. August 1 yield prospects are much improved this year:
Texas up 13 bushels from last year, Nebraska - 11 bushels, Kansas - 9 bushels,
Oklahoma - 4 bushels, Illinois - 7 bushels and Missouri - 6 bushels.

Sorghum development ended the month of July about normal, 36 percent
headed in 6 major producing States. Heading continued to lag behind normal in
Texas and South Dakota. Harvest began in Texas in early July and was 22
percent complete on July 28th with good yields reported.

OATS: Production is forecast at 519 million bushels (7.53 million metric
tons), 10 percent above last year and 9 percent above the 1983 produc-
tion. This 1985 level is the 5th lowest amount produced during the 20th
century. The area harvested for grain, at 8.75 million acres (3.54 million
hectares), is 8 percent above last year but 4 percent below 1983. The average
yield, at a record high 59.3 bushels per acre, is 1.2 bushels above last year
and 6.7 bushels above 1983.

Production increased 4 percent from the July 1 forecast, with most of the
increase occurring in Iowa and Nebraska. Yields in North Dakota and Wisconsin
remained unchanged while South Dakota and Minnesota showed slight increases in
yields during July. In major producing areas, weather conditions were very
conclusive to maturing and kernel development. Harvesting progress is ahead
of normal, varying from 90% complete in Nebraska to just starting in Wisconsin.

BARLEY: Production is forecast at a record high 600 million bushels (13.1

million metric tons), 1 percent above last year's 597 million bushels
(13.0 million metric tons). An average yield of 51.0 bushels per acre is 2.4
bushels below 1984, but still ranks as the nation's fifth best yield. The
area for harvest, at 11.8 million acres (4.76 million hectares), is up 5
percent from 1984, and the largest since 1962.

Harvest was complete in California, and in full swing for most other major
producing States. North Dakota and Minnesota head the list of States with
production increases over last year, but were unchanged from the July 1
forecast. Growing conditions were beneficial to the barley crops in these
States and good yields are expected. Montana, Idaho and Washington showed the
largest production drops from 1984, and all three recorded yield reductions
from July 1, due to abnormally dry conditions in non-irrigated areas. Montana
harvested acres for grain also dropped sharply from July 1 as a substantial
acreage has been abandoned. The high hay prices and a real shortage of feed

“will prompt many producers to cut marginal barley acreage for hay.

ALL WHEAT: Total production is forecast at 2.38 billion bushels (64.7

million metric tons), down 8 percent from 1984. Area for harvest
as grain totals 64.6 million acres (26.t million hectares), 3 percent less
than last year. Yields are expected to average 36.8 bushels per acre, 2.0
bushels below 1984,

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 1.84 billion bushels (50.2 million

metric tons), down 11 percent from last year and 1 percent less
than the July 1 forecast. Area for grain dipped to 48.1 million acres (19.5
million hectares), 7 percent less than in 1984. Rains during the first half
of June caused additional lodging jin west Texas fields, especially those
already affected by rust, and lead to the decrease in acres harvested.
Drought has further reduced Montana's acreage.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


FARM NUMBERS AND LAND IN FARMS DECLINE

The number of farms in the United States in 1985 is estimated at 2.28
million, down 2 percent from the 2.33 million in 1984 and down 6 percent from
the 2.43 million in 1980. The number of farms declined during the 1970's,
showed a slight increase in 1980 and 1981, then declined between 1 and 2
percent per year from 1982 to 1985.

Total tand in farms for 1985 is 1,016 million acres, down fractionally
from a year earlier and down 2.2 percent from 1980. Land in farms has
declined every year since reaching its peak at 1,206 million acres in 1954.

Since the number of farms declined at a faster rate than land in farms,
the average size of farms increased from 427 acres in 1980 to 445 acres in
1985.

The proportion of large and medium sized farms declined while that of
small farms (annual sales of less*than $10,000) was up. However, the small
farms still only account for 12 percent of total Jand in farms. In contrast,
the large farms (annual sales of $100,000 or more) account for about half of
the total farm land. The average size of small and medium farms increased in
1985 while the average size of large farms was down from 1984,

NUMBER OF FARMS AND LAND IN FARMS, UNITED STATES, JUNE 1, 1980~85

YEAR NUMBER OF LAND IN : AVERAGE SIZE
FARMS FARMS : OF FARMS

rns THOUSANDS ~‘THOUSAND ACRES ~~ ~*ACRES”=SststsC~STMS”
1980 : 2,433 1,038,885 427

1981 : 23434 1,034; 190 425

1982 : 2.401 1,027,795 428

1983 : 23370 1,024,195 432

1984 : 2,328 1,019,378 438

1985 1/ 23285 1,015,583 445

1/ PRELIMINARY.

PERCENT OF FARMS, LAND IN FARMS, AND AVERAGE SIZE, BY ECONOMIC CLASS,
UNITED STATES, JUNE 1, 1984-85

PERCENT OF TOTAL AVERAGE

SIZE OF

FARMS

ECONOMIC CLASS
GROSS VALUE
OF SALES

PERCENT
$  1,000-$ 9,999 : 50.5 51.2 11.3 12.1 98 105
$ 10,000-$99,999 : 35.6 35.0 39.1 40.7 481 517
$100,000+ : 13.9 13.8 49.6 47.2 1,562 1,520
TOTAL 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 438 445

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-24 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALA 680
ARIZ 175
ARK 900
CALIF 1,530
coLo 1,430
CONN 91
DEL 21
FLA 240
GA 550
}DAHO 1,400
HLL 1,220
IND 815
OWA 2,150
KANS 2,640
KY 1,680
LA 340
MAINE 221
MD 230
MASS 126
MICH 1,750
MINN 2,800
MISS 680
MO 3,450
MONT 2,200
NEBR 3,700
NEV 525
NK 88
NJ 120
N MEX 350
NY 2,260
NC 410
N DAK 2,900
OHIO 1,350
OKLA 1,940
OREG 1,105
PA 1,980
RI 10
sc 230
S DAK 4,310
TENN 1,500
TEX 3,040
UTAH 610
vT 440
VA 1,058
WASH 800
WoVA 630
wis 3,700
WYO 1,210
us 61,585

AREA HARVESTED

ALL HAY

2.00
6.74
1.73
5.13
2.32
2.33
2.67
2.90
2.40

3.18
2.88

2.38
2.33
2.65
2.60
2.30
3.23
3.33
2.73
3.18
2.33
2.09
2.21

1.86
2.59
2.40
2.90
2.83
2.20
1.73
1.58
2.01

2.63
2.31

2.58
4.50
2.32
1.70
1.36
3.09
2.14
2.76
2.52
2.30
2.10
1.38
1.98
2.41

3.55
2.08
1.60
3.51

1.92
3.15
1.63
2.40

PRODUCTION

1,040
1,157
1,411
7,352
3,357
196
50
689
1,000
4,914
2,749
1,891
5,905
4,920
2,620
763
425
566
313
4,470
8,316
1,350
5,440
4,041
7,635
1,302
201
295
1,401
5,284
570
4,478
3,244
3,716
3,121
4,620
25
387
7,592
2,044
7,486
2,055
926
1,546
2,635
864
12,200
2,202
140,764

1,000

TONS
1,360 1,400
1,180 1,239
1,559 1,625
7,854 8,253
3,311 3,382
212 205
56 53
696 624
1,320 1,196
4,743 4,492
3,880 3,996
2,344 2,228
7,850 6,525
6,120 6,630
3,346 3,860
816 107
410 385
634 557
300 297
5,285 5,075
8,440 7,650
1,292 1,540
6,338 5,970
3,780 3,160
7,535 6,940
1,346 1,368
201 206
317 305
1,488 1,575
5,366 5,280
733 681
4,468 4,005
3,795 4,543
3,556 4,500
3,112 2,921
5,082 5,019
23 23
529 441
8,083 5,470
2,678 3,210
5,415 8,671
2,160 2,150
938 893
1,816 1,693
2,921 3,022
1,128 1,169
12,770 11,449
2,195 1,892

150,781 148,473

1983

COTTONSEED

1984

1,000 TONS

5,149

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

SRS, USDA


219.0
77.0
640.0
14.5
155.0
91.0
14.5
223.0
97.0
1,531.0

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

PEANUTS FOR NUTS

213.0
71.0
607.0
13.0
155.0
90.0
14.0
220.0
96.0
1,479.0

1984
POUNDS

2,960 2,850
3,200 3,000
3,375 3,300
2,220 2,300
2,900 2,950
2,077 2,300
2,700 2,700
1,665 1,900
2,780 2,950
2,878

454,500
166,800

1,567,980

25,630
318,255
176,540

25,000
362,275
198,550

PRODUCTION 1/

1984

1,000 POUNDS
648,550 607,050
246,400 213,000

2,160,000 2,003,100
32,190 29,900
449,500 457,250
189,000 207,000
39,150 37,800
371,295 478,000
269,660 283,200

78 3,295,530 4,405,745 4,256,300

UPLAND
ALA
ARIZ
ARK
CALIF
FLA

us
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ

N MEX

TEX

us

ALL

1984

1985

1,000 ACRES

307.0
429.0
465.0
1,400.0
17.0
172.0
5
645.0
1,032.0
162.0
69.0
96.0
375.0
104.0
325.0
4,700.0
1.0
10,299.5

50.3
10.0
19.3
79.6

307.0
479.3
465.0
1,400.0
17.0
172.0
5
645.0
1,032.0
162.0
79.0
96.0
375.0
104.0
325.0

293.0
409.0
455.0
1,340.0

4,700.0
1.3
10,277.6

59.5

7.7
18.9
86.1

293.0
468.5
455.0

1,340.0

21.5
245.0
8
635.0

1,090.0

152.0
62.7
88.0

365.0

122.0

305.0

4,718.9

1.3

COTTON

POUNDS
699 655

1,227 1,256
632 633
999 1,146
847 781
784 125
288 480
786 mY
167 749
554 489
605 655
600 600
234 342
785 708
498 535
376 429
528 591
599 637
84t 863
595 655
748 635
786 794
699 655

1,187 1,206
632 633
999 1,146
847 781
784 725
288 480
786 mH
767 749
554 489
604 655
600 600
234 342
785 708
498 535
377 430
528 591
600 638

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED ANO TO BE GINNED.
2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION,

AUGUST 1985

B-11

COMPRISED OF QUOTA AND NON-QUOTA PEANUTS.

183.0
725.0
323.0

1,971.0

15.2
112.0

532.0
900.0
73.0
70.0
43.0
145.0
53.0
151.0
2,380.0
3

7,676.7

46.9
15.8
32.0
94.7

183.0

2,412.0
3
TIT

1,000 BALES 2/

447.0 400.0
1,097.0 1,070.0
612.0 600.0
2,913.0 3,200.0
30.0 35.0
281.0 370.0

3 .
1,056.0 940.0
1,650.0 1,700.0
187.0 155.0
87.0 75.0
120.0 110.0
183.0 260.0
170.0 180.0
337.0 340.0
3,680.0 4,200.0
1.1 1.6
12,851.4 13,637.4
88.1 107.0
12.4 10.5
29.9 25.0
130.4 142.5
447.0 400.0
1,185.1 1,177.0
612.0 600.0
2,913.0 3,200.0
30.0 35.0
281.0 370.0

3 .
1,056.0 940.0
1,650.0 1,700.0

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

SRS, USDA



FZ Poor to tair
= very poor
(XX) severe drought
EEE Extreme drought

{rom existing stands under very tavorat

‘sIndicates current supply of pasture teed for grazing on non-irrigated pastures and ranges relative to that expected
ble weather conditions.

Usa srs
PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
August 1, 1984
ae: ge
2 =
Q

[1 eoc0d ta excotiont

FZ) Poor to tale

=o :

(XQ) severe drought ott reported by

FEB] Extreme drought
indicates current supply of pasture feed for grazing on non-irrigated pastures and ranges relative to that expected

from existing stands under very favorable weather conditions.

USDA ‘SRS

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985

A-8

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN

AREA HARVESTED
STATE

PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES

ALA 385 340
ARIZ 3 26 22
ARK : 49 65
CALIF 3 375 340
COLO : 680 725
CONN 1/ :

DEL 3 150 175
FLA : 210 200
GA 3 985 1,000
'DAHO 3 75 80
MLL 3 10,940 11,350
'ND 3 6,030 6,100
TOWA : 12,900 13,350
KANS : 870 1,050
KY 3 1,460 1,560
LA 82 195
MAINE 1/

MD 590 650
MASS 1/

MICH 2,620 2,700
MINN : 6,440 6,500
MISS 3 70 120
MO 3 1,930 2,430
MONT 3 15 14
NEBR 3 6,950 7,250
NH / 3

NJ 109 114
N MEX 59 65
NY 660 750
Nc 1,620 1,650
N DAK 3 630 650
OHIO 3 3,900 4,000
OKLA z 50 55
OREG 3 42 37
PA 3 1,350 1,370
RI / 3

sc 3 447 520
S DAK 2 2,780 2,860
TENN : 690 790
TEX : 1,550 1,450
UTAH : 16 17
VT / :

vA : 540 530
WASH : 150 140
WYA 3 81 81
WIS z 3,250 3,400
WYO 2 60 61
us 71,816 74,756

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985

BUSHELS
65.0 66.0
140.0 110.0
95.0 91.0
136.0 135.0
134.0 137.0
110.0 82.0
65.0 65.0
82.0 80.0
118.0 120.0
114.0 127.0
117.0 115.0
112.0 115.0
125.0 125.0
100.0 98.0
115.0 120.0
118.0 92.0
84.0 100.0
107.0 111.0
70.0 68.0
80.0 93.0
92.0 105.0
115.0 120.0
107.0 101.0
150.0 160.0
93.0 95.0
90.0 75.0
66.0 60.0
118.0 128.0
105.0 112.0
159.0 172.0
110.0 105.0
78.0 76.0
67.0 74.0
95.0 90.0
93.0 100.0
118.0 122.0
104.0 92.0
155.0 160.0
100.0 102.0
106.0 103.0
100.0 110.0
106.6

B-2

1,000 BUSHELS

17,995 25,025 22,440
2,312 3,640 2,420
2,640 4,655 5,915
33,280 51,000 45,900
74,420 91,120 99,325
10,875 16,500 14,350
8,174 13,650 13,000
55,125 80,770 80,000
7,735 8,850 9,600
624,100 1,247,160 1,441,450
340,910 705,510 701,500
743,850 1,444,800 1,535,250
85,560 108,750 131,250
46,080 146,000 152,880
5,040 9,430 23,400
37,060 69,620 59,800
165,600 220,080 270,000
367,080 689,080 721,500
3,520 4,900 8,160
72,930 154,400 225,990
1,365 1,380 1,470
470,450 799,250 870,000
6,120 11,663 11,514
7,000 8,850 10,400
54,000 61,380 71,250,
76,800 145,800 123,750
29,145 41,580 39,000
224,000 460,200 512,000
4,144 5,250 6,160
5,346 6,678 6,364
72,450 148,500 143,850
17,050 34,866 39,520
104,410 186,260 211,640
23,040 65,550 71,100
104,760 144,150 145,000
1,540 1,888 2,074
16,320 56,160 48,760
17,600 23,250 22,400
4,680 8,100 8,262
223,100 344,500 350,200
7,072 6,000 6,710

110.6 4,174,678 7,656,195 8,265,554

1/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO BY STATES

1984

1985 :

POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS
CONN 2 1,770 2,000 1,595 1,725 3,354 2,824 3,450
FLA : 7,000 6,200 2,560 2,500 17,628 17,920 15,500
GA 3 38,000 37,000 2,250 2,250 96,360 85,500 83,250
IND iy 8,100 7,100 2,320 2,300 13,041 18,792 16,330
KY 2 228,500 189,100 2,320 2,221 324,602 530,088 420,080
MD v/ t 23,000 21,000 1,320 1,150 29,700 30,360 24,150
MASS t 500 510 1,570 1,706 783 785 870
MO : 2,900 2,700 2,015 2,250 6,417 5,844 6,075
NC 2 271,600 247,700 2,172 2,222 546,869 590,026 550,390
OHIO 2 12,000 8,900 2,209 2,130 17,668 26,507 18,955
PA / = 12,000 11,500 1,864 1,914 21,985 22,370 22,015
sc t 47,000 44,000 2,245 2,300 112,860 105,515 101,200
TENN = 74,990 67,000 2,062 2,038 118,197 154,646 136,560
VA t 53,840 45,750 2,153 2,115 99,052" 115,897 96,765
WYA 2 2,400 2,300 1,870 1,600 3,762 4,488 3,680
wis : 8,000 8,000 1,968 1,896 16,691 15,744 15,170
us V/ : 791, 600 700, 760 2 182 2,161 1, 428, 969 1,727,306 1,514,440

PRODUCTION

AREA HARVESTED

1,000 ACRES

CALIF 3 208.0 195.0

COLO : 44.2

IDAHO : 144.0 152.0

KANS : 7A

MICH A 108.0 123.0 2,417
MINN : 261.0 275.0 4,333
MONT : 24.6 416
NEBR : 67.5 1,480
N DAK 139.1 142. 0 2,309
OH10 10.7 18.0 222 201
OREG 11.6 27.5 316 307
TEX 37.8 22.5 622 824
WYO 32.7 22.0 616 654
Us 1,096.3 1,100.9 20.8 20,992 22,177

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR
OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.

SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED

PRopuct 10N

AREA HARVESTED

1984 : 1985 : 1983 : 1984

2 1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
FLA : 387.0 388.0 32.6 32.0 11,552 12,617 12,416
HAW 2 95.2 89.0 91.2 90.0 9,159 8,684 8,010
LA 2 230.0 245.0 22.0 25.0 6,328 5,060 6,125
TEX :

35.1 34:3 1,122 979
754.9 1

27,340

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-19 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION f/

AVERAGE:
1974-83 =

STATE : AVERAGE
+ 1974-83

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65- 79; VERY POOR, 50-1 643 SEVERE
DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

PRUNES AND PLUMS

PRODUCTION
TOTAL 1/

18,000
49,000

3200

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): OREG 1983-2,000; 1984-500,

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

1985 : FORECAST

1,000 POUNDS

3,915
4,705

CROP PRODUCTION, AYGUST 1985 8-20 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


OURUM WHEAT

3 1,000 ACRES | BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
ARIZ : 80 46 90.0 84.0 4,950 7,200 3,864
CALIF 3 94 88 100.0 82.0 6,300 9,400 7,216
MINN 3 33 33 47.0 45.0 1,225 1,551 1,485
MONT 2 210 180 17.0 12.0 4,100 3,570 2,160
N DAK 3 2,710 2,600 29.0 31.0 54,325 78,590 80,600
S DAK 3 92 85 34.0 29.0 2,079 3,128 2,465
us 2 3,219 3,032 32.1 32.3 72,979 103,439 97,790

OTHER SPRING WHEAT

1, 000 ACRES ~BUSHELS 1, 000 BUSHELS

70 90 70.0 70.0 5,103 4,900 6,300
380 480 65.0 59.0 36,100 24,700 28,320
2,160 2,350 48.0 47.0 75,110 103,680 110,450
1,950 2,300 17.5 13.0 53,730 34,125 29,900
16 16 75.0 70.0 700 1,200 1,120
5,400 5,600 34.0 32.0 135,000 183,600 179,200
65 85 43.0 40.0 3,570 2,795 3,400
1,870 2,170 33.0 28.0 36,400 61,710 60,760
36 40 49.0 47.0 1,377 1,764 1,880
“210 290 55.0 46.0 10,070 11,550 13,340
7 17 34.0 31.0 667 578 527

22 20 36.0 29.0 714 792 580

35.4 32.4 358,541 431, 394 435,777

WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

WINTER

HARD 3 SOFT z
: WHITE 2/

DURUM

1,000 BUSHELS

1983 1,197,893 504,175 286,236 322,728 72,979 35,813 2,419,824
1984 1,250,527 531,786 278,333 409,036 103,459 22,358 2,595,479
1985 3/: 1,242,963 369,952 229,969 410, 158 97,790 25,619 2,376,451

1982 : 1,243,598 588,869 241,093 492,673 145,863 52,871 2,764,967
:

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETY ACREAGE SURVEY DATA COLLECTED
AT 5-YEAR INTERVALS FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. THE 5-YEAR VARIETAL
SURVEY DATA ARE ADJUSTED AS OTHER VARIETY SURVEY INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
2/ 1983 AND 1984 REVISED BASED ON 1984 WHEAT VARIETY SURVEY.

3/ INDICATED AUGUST 1, 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELO PER ACRE ANO PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

CROP : “INDICATED

CORN FOR GRAIN BU 110.6 7,656,195 8,265,554
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN " 64.9 "865,856 1,047,891
OATS " 59.3 471,921 498,953 519,028
BARLEY " 51.0 596,546 632,228 599,730
ALL WHEAT “ 36.8 2,595,479 2,376,451
WINTER “ 38.3 2,060,646 1,854,254 1,842,884
DURUM " 32.3 103,439 97,790
OTHER SPRING . 32.4 431,394 435,777
RICE CWT 5,047 137,033 123,640
RYE BU 28.5 32,392 — 19,255 19,298
aaesers FOR BEANS ” 31.5 1,860,783 1,959,439
FLAXSE 12.8 7,022 8,220
PEANUTS FoR NUTS iB 2,878 4,405,745 4,256,300
ALL COTTON BALE 638 12,981.8 13,779.9
UPLAND " 637 U2, 881.4 13,637.24
AMER-PIMA “ 794 130.4 142.5
COTTONSEED TON 5,149 5,474
ALL HAY . 2.45 2.40 150,781 148,473
ALFALFA " 3.36 3.21 90,017 84,471
ALL OTHER " 1.75 1.80 60,764 64,002
ORY EDIBLE BEANS CWT 1 1,425 1,445 20,754 22,178
SUMMER POTATOES CWT 215 239 23,041 26,258 27,224
SWEETPOTATOES " 125 132 12,986 13,988
TOBACCO LB 2,182 2,16) 1,727,306 1,514,440
SUGARBEETS TON 20.2 20.8 22,177 22,880
SUGARCANE FOR
SUGAR AND SEED " 36.6 36.6 27,340 27,637
HOPS LB 1,824 1,784 56,167 . 50,675
PASTURE AND
RANGE FEED 2/ PCT 75 70
APPLES, COM’L LB 8,285,500 8,055,000 8,072,000
PEACHES " 2,643,800 2,135,500 2,108,500
PEARS TON 709.6 648.6 660.6
GRAPES . 5,163.9 5,543.4
PRUNES AND PLUMS
(EXCL CALIF) ” 49.0 45.5
WALNUTS (CALIF) " 213.0 215.0 215.0
OLIVES (CALIF) « 91.7 80.0

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF
MONTH. THE 1974-83 AVERAGE IS 75 PERCENT.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIEUD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED.

CROP AND UNIT

INDICATED

1985 1/ 1984 1985 1/
1,000

POTATOES

WINTER 204 2,640 2,691

SPRING 266 23,798 24,249

FALL 312,169
SWEET CHERRIES 181.8 132.6
TART CHERRIES 274,100 269,500
APRICOTS TO! 127-2 138.8
NECTARINES (CALIF) 183.0 200.0
PLUMS (CALIF) 225.0 165.0
ORIED PRUNES (CALIF)” 148.0 135.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB $87,000 495,000

1/- ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

APPLES, COMMERCIAL ...ceeeccccccceceeeeseees cece eeeeeeeeeceeeeeeeees
AREA PLANTED, BY STATES, 1985 .
BARLEY .......00-
BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .
CORN FOR GRAIN ..
COTTON .....005
COTTONSEED ..........
FARMS AND LAND’ IN’ FARMS
FLAXSEED
GRAPES .
HAY, ALL ..seeeseescsccccceeceeeees
ALFALFA & ALFALFA MIXTURES FOR HAY .
HAY, ALL OTHER .sscccececsccceceeee
HOPS .....

OATS ...
OLIVES ......0.
PAPAYAS-HAWAII
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITIO
PASTURE & RANGE FEED CONDITION MA‘
PEACHES .cccceseeecescccceececeteees
PEANUTS FOR NUTS
PEARS cecceceeeees
POTATOES, SUMMER .
PRUNES & PLUMS ...
RICE .escccececeee
RICE, BY CLASSES .
RYE .esececcceceeees
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN .
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS .
SUGARBEETS .........2000
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR & SEED
SWEETPOTATOES .....eeeeee
TOBACCO, BY CLASS AND TYPE
TOBACCO, BY STATES .....-
US SUMMARY .......6
WALNUTS .....
WHEAT, ALL .....05
WHEAT, BY CLASSES ..
WHEAT, DURUM ........
WHEAT, OTHER SPRING
WHEAT, WINTER .....005 se eeeeeeceeeceeceteeeeeees

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-27 CROP REPORTING BOARD,

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NUMBER OF FARMS, BY STATES, JUNE 1, 1980-85 1/

1985 2/

NUMBER

ALA : 59,000 57,000 55,000 54,000 54,000 54,000
ALAS : 450 500 550 600 650 680
ARIZ : 7,500 7,800 8,000 8,200 8,300 8,500
ARK : 59,000 58,000 57,000 56,000 55,000 53,000
CALIF : 81,000 83,000 82,000 80,000 78,000 79,000
COLO : 26,500 27,000 27,500 27,000 27,000 26,700
CONN : 4,200 4,300 4,300 4,300 4,100 3,800
DEL : 3,500 3,500 3,500 3,500 3,600 3,500
FLA : 39,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 39,000
GA : 59,000 60,000 57,000 55,000 51,000 50,000
HAW : 4,300 4,400 4,500 4,500 4,600 4,600
IDAHO : 24,400 24,300 24,700 24,500 24,600 24,600
TLL : 107,000 107,000 104,000 100,000 94,000 90,000
IND : 87,000 87,000 85,000 84,000 82,000 81,000
IOWA : 119,000 118,000 117,000 115,000 113,000 111,000
KANS : 75,000 75,000 75,000 75,000 74,000 72,000
KY : 102,000 103,000 103,000 103,000 . 101,000 100,000
LA : 37,000 38,000 37,500 36,500 36,000 35,500
MAINE : 8,300 8,100 7,900 8,100 8,000 7,800
MD 3 17,500 18,200 18,000 18,000 17,800 18,000
MASS : 6,200 6,100 6,100 6,100 6,100 6,000
MICH : 65,000 65,000 64,000 64,000 63,000 63,000
MINN 2 104,000 104,000 103,000 102,000 101,000 96,000
MISS : 55,000 56,000 53,000 51,000 50,000 48,000
MO : 120,000 120,000 118,000 118,000 117,000 115,000
MONT : 23,800 23,900 24,000 24,000 23,900 23,600
NEBR 3 65,000 65,000 63,000 62,000 60,000 59,000
NEV : 2,900 3,100 2,900 2,700 2,600 2,500
NH : 3,400 3,400 3,400 3,400 3,400 3,400
NJ : 9,400 9,500 9,500 9,500 9,100 8,700
N MEX : 13,500 14,000 14,000 14,000 14,000 13,800
NY : 47,000 47,000 48,000 49,000 47,000 45,000
NC : 93,000 90,000 86,000 83,000 79,000 76,000
N DAK : 40,000 38,500 37,000 36,500 35,500 34,000
OHIO : 95,000 94,000 93,000 92,000 90,000 89,000
OKLA : 72,000 73,000 73,000 73,000 73,000 71,000
OREG 3 35,000 36,500 37,000 37,500 37,000 36,500
PA : 62,000 61,000 60,000 59,000 58,000 58,000
RI : 860 820 800 800 750 750
sc : 34,000 33,000 31,000 29,000 28,000 27,500
S DAK : 38,500 38,000 37,500 37,000 37,000 37,000
TENN : 96,000 95,000 95,000 95,000 97,000 98,000
TEX : 189,000 189,000 188,000 187,000 187,000 184,000
UTAK + 13,500 ¥3,800 14,009, 14,000 14,000 13,900
VT : 7,700 8,200 7,500 7,500 7,300 7,000
VA : 58,000 59,000 60,000 58,000 56,000 55,000
WASH H 38,000 39,500 39,000 38,000 38,000 38,000
WoVA : 22,000 22,200 22,300 22,800 22,000 20,300
WIS 3 93,000 92,000 90,000 88,000 86,000 83,000
Wyo : 9,100 9,300 9,100 9,200 9,100 9,000

US : 2,432,510 2,433,920 2,400,550 2,370,200 2,328,400 2,284,630

1/ A FARM IS A PLACE AS OF JUNE 1 THAT SELLS OR COULD SELL $1,000 OF
AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTS DURING. THE YEAR. 2/ PRELIMINARY.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-25 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL_HAY: Production is forecast at 148 million tons (135 million metric
tons), down 2 percent from the record high 151 million tons (137

million metric tons) last year. Area for harvest totaling 61.8 million acres
(25.0 million hectares), is up fractionally from the 61.6 million acres (24.9
million hectares) harvested last year. All hay yield of 2.40 tons per acre
compares with 2.45 tons in 1984 and the record high of 2.50 tons set in 1982.
Yields are generally reduced from last year in the northern States and in
South Atlantic areas because of dry growing conditions.

Alfalfa_and alfalfa mixtures: Production forecast at 84.5 million tons
{76.6 million metric tons), is down 6 per-
cent from the record high 90.0 million tons (81.7 million metric tons)
produced in 1984, Area for harvest, at 26.3 million acres (10.6 million
hectares), decreased 2 percent from last year. Average yield of 3.21 tons per
acre compares with 3.36 tons per acre obtained in 1984, and the record high of
3.38 tons in 1982.

All other hay: Production is forecast at a record high 64.0 million tons
(58.1 million metric tons), up 5 percent from last year.
Area for harvest totals a record high 35.5 million acres (14.4 million
hectares) and exceeds the previous record set in 1984 by 2 percent. Average
yield of 1.80 tons per acre compares with 1.75 tons per acre last year and the
record high of 1.81 tons established in 1982.

DRY BEANS: Production is forecast at 22.2 million cwt (1.01 million metric

tons), up 7 percent from last year and 43 percent above 1983. The
area to be harvested, at 1.54 million acres (621 thousand hectares), is 5
percent above tast year and 35 percent above 1983. An expected average yield
of 1445 pounds per acre is 20 pounds above the 1984 yield and 82 pounds above
1983.

California's dry beans have shown good development with bloom and pod
setting making good progress, a result of moderating temperatures in recent
weeks. Colorado dry bean development is a little ahead of normal and the crop
has responded well to a wet duly. Idaho's anticipated yield is 70 pounds
above the 1984 crop. In Michigan, planting was completed ahead of normal but
dry conditions for much of July slowed plant growth and development. Rains
during late July perked up crop prospects and yield potential appears near
normal. Harvest is expected to start about September 1. Excellent planting
weather for North Dakota and parts of Minnesota allowed completion at an
earlier than normal date, but cool weather in June slowed crop development and
progress is mow near to or slightly behind average. Drought conditions have
limited development of the crop in Nebraska, but at the same time reduced the
effects of mold and blight. The Wyoming crop is rated in fair to good
condition with mostly adequate irrigation water available. This year's crop
is one to two weeks ahead of normal development.

POTATOES: Summer potato production jis forecast at 27.2 million cwt (1.23

million metric tons), up 18 percent from a year ago. Area for
harvest is set at 114 thousand acres (46.1 thousand hectares), up 6 percent
from last year and 14 percent above two years ago. The yield is expected to
be a record high, averaging 239 cwt per acre. Yield is up 24 cwt per acre
from last year and 9 cwt above the July 1 forecast.

The Virginia potato crop more than doubled in size after two very short
years. Delaware growers have a good crop. Harvest was 60 percent complete on
August 1, about 1 week ahead of last year. The New Jersey crop is in
excellent condition, but prices are very low. In Alabama, harvest is
underway; quality is good and yields are above normal, but prices are low.
About 10 percent of Michigan crop was dug by the first of August. Later
planted fields will be helped by recent rains.

Harvest began in the Texas High Plains in early July with good yields.
Later fields have lower yields and marketing is slow due to lower prices.
Colorado harvest is nearing completion in the southeast and underway in the
northeast. California harvest is underway; yields are normal to excellent.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



All cigar-type production is expected to total 35.7 million pounds (16.2
thousand metric fons). 1 percent below 1984. Cigar-filler production declined
4 percent, binder production declined 2 percent, but cigar-wrapper production
is up 26 percent from 1984. .

SUGARBEETS: The sugarbeet production forecast, at 22.9 million tons (20.8

million metric tons), is 3 percent more than the 1984
production. Eight of the twelve States producing the crop in 1985 are
expected to have yields above 1984. Average yield is forecast at 20.8 tons
per acre, 0.6 of a ton above jast year. Expected area harvested, at 1.10
million acres (446 thousand hectares), is nearly the same as in 1984.

The beet crop in the Red River Valley of North Dakota and Minnesota has
received rains at opportune times. Little loss has been reported and ytelds
are expected to be good. Production is expected to be up 5 percent in North
Dakota and up 14 percent in Minnesota. The California crop shows a 5 percent
Production reduction from last year. Virus yellows are expected to reduce
yields in some areas. Harvest began in the south San Joaquin area in early
duly. White flies and hot weather are reducing yields in the Imperial
Valley. Idaho's 1985 production is up 10 percent as the combined result of
both increased acreage and higher yield. In Michigan, a slightly Tower yield
is more than offset by increased acreage. Expected production is up 13
percent. Subsoil moisture is limited and timely rains will be needed to
enable the crop to reach its potential.

SUGARCANE: Sugarcane production for sugar and seed in 1985 is forecast at

27.6 million tons (25.1 million metric tons), up 1 percent from
last year. The increase from 1984 reflects a similar increase in acreage.
Harvested area is expected to total 755 thousand acres (306 thousand hectares),
an increase of 1 percent. The forecasted yield of 36.6 tons per acre is
unchanged from a year ealier.

Florida's sugarcane is in good condition. Weather during the first half
of the year was not favorable for optimum growth, but improved considerably
during July. In Hawaii, expected yields are down slightly from last year due
to dry weather during 1983 and 1984. A lace bug has been discovered on Maui
but losses to date are nil. In Louisiana, the first and second stubble was
adversely affected by the 84/85 winter freeze but the harsh winters helped
with borer control. Dry weather limited spring growth but July rains have
helped. The Texas crop received early July showers which promoted growth and
reduced irrigation needs.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION: The pasture and range feed condition on
August 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
70 percent, 5 points below both last year and the 1974-83 average for the
date. During the month of July, the 48 State pasture and range condition
declined from 77 percent to 70 percent. During the month, pasture and range
condition declined in 38 States, improved in 8 States, and was unchanged in 2
States. Montana continues to suffer from extreme drought and their August 1
Pasture and range condition is 32 percent, the lowest August 1 condition of
record for the State. Condition also declined in South Dakota and Wyoming,
and both States are in the severe drought range. Rainfall, in the
southeastern States during July, improved the pasture and range condition and
most States in this area are showing an increase in their pasture and range
condition,

HOPS: The production forecast of 50.7 million pounds (23.0 thousand metric
tons) is 10 percent less than the 1984 crop and 26 percent less than
3983. Area for harvest, at 28.4 thousand acres (11.5 thousand hectares), is 8

percent less than last year. The yield, at 1784 pounds per acre, is down 40
pounds from last year.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-17 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

INDICATED

1984 : 1985 3 1984 3985
1,000 ACRES
CORN : 80,434 83,217 71,816 74,756
SORGHUM : 17,249 17,865 15,348 16,156
OATS > 12,364 13,140 8,123 8,750
BARLEY : 11,887 13,129 VW1,371 11,769
ALL WHEAT : 79,213 75,765 66,928 64,608
WINTER : 63,419 58,095 51,513 48,118
DURUM : 3,277 3,132 3,219 3,032
OTHER SPRING : 12,517 14,538 12,196 13,458
RICE : 2,804.0 2,470.0 2,782.0 2,450.0
RYE 2 2,971 2,558 981 677
SOYBEANS 2: 67,735 63,220 66,093 62,223
FLAXSEED : 555 660 538 641
PEANUTS 3 1,562.6 1,512.0 1,531.0 1,479.0
ALL COTTON 2: 11,145.4 10, 739.1 10,379.1 10, 363.7
UPLAND :  11,065.3 10,652.3 10,299.5 10,277.6
AMER-P IMA 3 80.1 86.8 79.6 86.1
ALL HAY 3 61,585 61,801
ALFALFA : 26,809 26,300
ALL OTHER : 34,776 35,501
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 1,497.0 1,580.5 1,456.3 1,535.1
SUMMER POTATOES 3 111.4 116.2 107.1 113.8
SWEETPOTATOES : 106.4 109.0 103.5 105.9
TOBACCO : 791.6 700.8
SUGARBEETS 2 1,121.5 1,116.8 1,096.3 1,100.9
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED 3 747.3 754.9
HOPS : 30.8 28.4

1/ HARVESTED FOR PRINCIPAL USE OF EACH CROP, I.£., GRAIN, BEANS, NUTS, ETC.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
{DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

INDICATED
1985 1/

1985 1/
1,000 ACRES

POTATOES 3
WINTER 3 13.2 13.2 13.0 13.2
SPRING : 88.1 92.2 86.6 91.1
FALL : 1,124.0 1,181.3 1,093.3 1,159.7

1/ ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE - CONTINUED

CLASS AND TYPE poe e cece nnn ene e een n eee een, wee enn e ence nnn seen
3 : IND : IND
: 1984 : 1985 2 1985

ACRES POUNDS 1,000 POUNDS

CLASS 3, AIR-CURED :
CLASS 3B, DARK z

AIR-CURED :
TYPE 35, ONE SUCKER 2

BELT 3

KY : 4,800 4,300 2,155 1,950 10,344 8,385

TENN 3 1,300 1,100 2,135 1,900 2,776 2,090

us $ 6,100 5,400 2,151 1,940 13,120 10,475
TYPE 36, GREEN RIVER

BELT :

KY z 2,700 2,500 2,170 1,950 5,859 4,875
TYPE 37, VA SUN-CURED :

BELT 2

VA 2 440 250 1,340 1,100 590 275
TOTAL 35-37 : 9,240 8,150 2,118 1,917 19,569 15,625
CLASS 4, CIGAR FILLER :
TYPE 41, PA SEEDLEAF :

PA 3 7,700 7,400 1,900 1,950 14,630 14,430
TYPE 42-44 OHIO-MIAMI :

VALLEY TYPES :

OHIO 2/ : 1,100 900 2,000 1,950 2,200 1,755
TOTAL 41-44 2/3: 8,800 8,300 1,913 1,950 16,830 16,185
CLASS 5, CIGAR BINDER :
CLASS 5A, CONN VALLEY :

BINDER :
TYPE 51, CONN VALLEY :

BROADLEAF 3

CONN t 900 1,000 1,765 1,850 1,589 1,850
TYPE 52, CONN VALLEY :

HAVANA SEED :

MASS t 150 150 1,965 1,960 295 294
TOTAL 51-52 2 1,050 1,150 1,794 1,864 1,884 2,144

CLASS 5B, WIS BINDER :
TYPE 54, SOUTHERN WIS :
Wis z 3,900 3,900 2,050 2,050 7,995 7,995
TYPE 55, NORTHERN WIS =
Wis 3

: 4,100 4,100 1,890 1,750 7,749 7,175
TOTAL 54-55 : 8,000 8,000 1,968 1,896 15,744 15,170
TOTAL 51-55 : 9,050 9,150 1,948 1,892 17,628 17,314

CLASS 6, CIGAR WRAPPER :

TYPE 61, CONN VALLEY :

SHADE-GROWN :
CONN : 870 1,000 1,600 1,235 1,600
MASS 3550 360 1,606 490 576
Us 1,220 1,360 1,600 1,725 2,176

ALL CIGAR TYPES
TOTAL 41-61 19,070 18,810 1,897 36,183 35,675

: 791,600 700,760

ALL TOBACCO 1/

2,161 1,727,306 1,514,440

1/ 1984 REVISED.
2/ INCLUDES BINDER TYPES GROWN IN OHIO.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-18 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

IND IND

1984 : 1985 : 1985

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
380 400 39.0 33.0 15,180 14,820 13,200
142 112 90.0 87.5 11,094 12,780 9,804
1,400 570 44.0 32.0 58,500 61,600 18,240
784 838 78.9 82.0 46,560 61,840 68,716
3,270 3,540 35.3 40.8 122,103 115,300 144,300
3 49 43 41.0 42.0 2,106 2,009 1,806
FLA 1/2/ : 130 29.0 3,770
GA : 890 825 35.0 30.0 30,940 31,150 24,750
'DAHO : 1,280 1,350 63.6 55.8 91,710 81,400 75,300
TLL : 1,600 750 44.0 48.0 64,400 70,400 36,000
IND Fy 1,050 700 46.0 53.0 49,470 48,300 37,100
OWA 1/ 3 100 112 35.0 40.0 1,900 3,500 4,480
KANS : 11,200 11,700 38.5 38.0 448,200 431,200 444,600
KY 2 500 310 38.0 35.0 16,120 19,000 10,850
LA 1/ : 320 220 41.0 34.0 7,500 13,120 7,480
MD 1/ : 140 130 43.0 45.0 5,371 6,020 5,850
MICH 2 800 750 57.0 64.0 35,770 45,600 48,000
MINN : 2,553 2,563 47.3 46.5 78,960 120,711 119,135
MISS t 660 350 38.0 31.0 20,400 25,080 10,850
MO 3 2,050 1,370 41.0 39.0 70,300 84,050 53,430
MONT : 4,640 3,680 22.6 15.2 136,930 104,655 56,060
NEBR 3 2,250 2,300 36.0 41.0 98,900 81,000 94,300
NEV 3 24 23 76.7 70.0 1,260 1,840 1,610
NJ 1/ 3 39 37 43.0 44.0 1,520 1,677 1,628
N MEX 1/ : 460 550 26.0 36.0 13,630 11,960 19,800
NY / : 170 135 46.0 48.0 7,360 7,820 6,480
NC 2 620 760 43.0 30.0 15,980 26,660 22,800
N DAK 2 8,660 8,650 32.8 31.7 194,130 284,190 274,200
OHIO : 1,100 950 44.0 60.0 58,800 48,400 57,000
OKLA : 5,300 5,500 36.0 30.0 150,500 190,800 165,000
OREG : 1,115 1,045 61.8 53.8 65,570 68,945 56,200
PA W/o: 220 210 38.0 39.0 7,600 8,360 8,190
sc 3 380 420 38.0 27.0 10,500 14,440 11,340
S DAK 3 3,662 3,775 34.4 28.0 89,729 126,038 105,785
TENN 2 535 260 40.0 32.0 19,800 21,400 8,320
TEX : 5,000 5,850 30.0 32.0 161,000 150,000 187,200
UTAH : 231 255 35.5 36.0 8,027 8,199 9,190
VA : 275 300 45.0 34.0 14,280 12,375 10,200
WASH 3 2,610 2,690 61.4 47.8 172,570 160,350 128,540
WVA 1/ 3 10 8 40.0 45.0 378 400 360
Wis 2 177 157 56.6 47.9 5,812 10,018 7,527
Wyo : 282 290 28.6 24.3 8,964 8,072 7,060
us 66,928 64,608 38.8 36.8 2,419,824 2,595,479 2,376,451

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
EARLIER FORECAST.
2/ ESTIMATES BEGIN WITH 1985 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1975-85 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION
YEAR HAY 3 : : :
: FEED : AND: FOOD : SUGAR : COTTON : TOBACCO :OIL CROPS

GRAINS : FORAGE : GRAINS : CROPS : : 3
1975 2 93 91 100 108 114 58 114 86
1976 2 92 96 94 107 112 74 12 74
1977 : 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 : 102 108 106 93 101 76 106 105
1979 2 113 116 108 108 94 102 80 129
1980 : 101 97 98 121 97 79 93 99
1981 : 116 121 106 144 107 109 108 114
1982 : 118 124 110 140 96 85 104 124
1983 : 88 67 101 117 96 54 74 89
1984 : 110 115 107 129 95 90 90 106
1985 Ne 125 106 7 97 96 79 Wm

1/ INCLUDES SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN SEPARATE
GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Crop Reporting Board which consists of commodity
statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

R. R. Hancock, Chairperson,
L. D. Jewell, Secretary,
APPROVED: R. D. Allen, J. OD. Witzig,
R. L. Addison, C. H. Allen,
D. J. Aune, L. W. Beard,
D. C. Bond, R. R. Bosecker,
Jd. E. Brewster, A. R. Budge,
H. E. Bynum,, T. J. Byram,
( Dots C Nowtor => W. N. Dowdy, S. R. Edwards,
B. L. Ford, B. F. Guinn,
C. R. Halley, Cc. M. Hayes,
C. D. James, 0. C. Johnson,
V. B. Johnson, S. A. Kellogg,
Jd. P. Kreber, G. A. Nelson,
D. E. Ransom, V. L. Siegenthaler,

R. L. Vosse
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


ALL OTHER HAY

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
ALA : 680 700 2.00 2.00 1,040 1,360 1,400
ARIZ : 25 22 4.00 4.20 98 100 92
ARK : 865 900 1.70 1.70 1,279 1,471 1,530
CALIF : 510 540 2.40 2.50 1,272 1,224 1,350
coLo : 660 600 1.40 1.40 1,125 924 840
CONN : 68 64 2.20 2.20 138 150 141
DEL : 14 13 2.15 2.10 26 30 27
FLA : 240 240 2.90 2.60 689 696 624
GA : 550 520 2.40 2.30 1,000 1,320 1,196
IDAHO : 350 320 2.30 2.00 897 805 640
TUL : 420 360 2.00 2.00 799 840 720
IND : 395 380 2.00 2.20 760 790 836
tOWA : 500 500 2.50 2.20 1,100 1,250 1,100
KANS : 1,680 1,780 1.70 1.70 2,130 2,856 3,026
KY : 1,450 1,600 1.80 1.85 2,080 2,610 2,960
LA : 328 305 2.40 2.20 735 787 671
MAINE | og 194 180 1.75 1.75 355 340 315
MD : 150 145 2.25 2.10 315 338 305
MASS : 96 91 2.25 2.25 226 216 205
MICH : 350 350 1.90 1.70 510 665 595
MINN : 900 900 2.20 2.30 2,046 1,980 2,070
Miss : 680 700 1.90 2.20 1,350 1,292 1,540
MO : 3,000 3,000 .70 1.60 4,288 5,100 4,800
MONT : 1,050 1,050 1.30 1.20 1,350 1,365 1,260
NEBR : 2,100 2,000 1.05 1.15 2,520 2,415 2,300
NEV : 290 280 1.40 1.20 405 406 336
NH : 69 69 2.15 2.15 144 148 148
NJ : 75 75 2.00 2.00 133 150 150
N MEX : 90 90 1.80 1,90 126 162 171
NY : 1,320 1,380 2.00 2.00 2,680 2,640 2,760
NC : 370 355 1.70 1.60 504 629 568
N DAK : 1,350 1,400 1.30 1.20 1,688 1,755 1,680
OHIO : 750 820 2.10 2.25 1,680 1,575 1,845
OKLA : 1,600 1,700 1.50 1.80 2,560 2,400 3,060
ORES : 660 610 1,95 1.80 1,273 1,287 1,098
PA : 1,140 1,150 2.10 2.10 2,240 2,394 2,415
RJ : 7 7 2.20 2.10 16 15 15
sc : 230 210 2.30 2.10 387 529 444
S_DAK : 1,830 1,700 1.30 1.10 2,210 2,379 1,870
TENN : 1,350 1,500 1.65 1.90 1,694 2,228 2,850
TEX : 2,850 3,430 1.60 2.30 6,670 4,560 7,889
UTAH : 140 135 2.00 2.00 280 280 270
VT : 325 310 = 2.00 1.95 663 650 605
VA 2 970 970 1.60 1.50 1,330 1,552 1,455
WASH : 325 360 2.70 2.70 875 878 972
WA : 530 500 1.60 1.70 594 848 850
WIS : 550 530 2.60 2.30 1,320 1,430 1,219
WYO : 700 660 1.35 1.20 952 945 792
us : 34,776 35,501 1.75 1.80 58,552 60,764 64,002

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PRODUCTION

BARTLETT :
CALIF : 259,500 302,000 260,000
OREG : 63,000 44,000 68,000
WASH : 140,800 101,000 87,000
TOTAL : 463,300 447,000 415,000
EXCLUDING BARTLETT :
CALIF : 8,200 10,000 10,500
OREG : 125,000 106,000 105,000
WASH : 138,000 103,000 95,000
ap TOTAL : 271,200 219,000 210,500
LL :
CALIF : 267,700 312,000 270,500
COLO 2/ : 5,500 4,600 5,900
CONN 2/ : 1,450 1,450 1,400
MICH : 8,000 11,000 7,000
NY : 19,000 20,000 15,000
OREG 2 188,000 150,000 173,000
PA 2/ : 2,700 3,300 2,800
UTAW 2/ 3,500 3,200 3,000
WASH 278,800 204,000 182,000
us : 774,650 709,550 660,600

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS): U S,
1984-12,800.
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

TABLE TYPE :
CALIF : 504,000 475,000 550,000
WINE TYPE 3
CALIF + 1,880,000 1,900,000 2,250,000
RAISIN TYPE ORIED 2st
CALIF + 396,000 333,000
RALSIN TYPE NOT DRIED :
CALIF + 617,000 870,000
RAISIN TYPE 3/3
CALIF + 2,535,000 2,265,000 2,300,000
ALL GRAPES :
ARIZ : 14,600 14,000 18,000
ARK : 10,000 9,000 7,000
CALIF + 4,919,000 4,640,000 5,100,000
GA : 2,500 2,700 2,900
MICH : 60,000 49,000 55,000
Mo : 3,600 3,100 1,100
NY : 191,000 198,000 173,000
NC x 3,000 5,900 3,200
OHIO : 11,000 11,200 8,000
PA : 62,500 60,000 55,000
sc t 1,500 2,500 1,200
WASH : 227,000 168,500 119,000
us

505,700 5,163,900 5,543,400

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD
(TONS): U S$ 1983-145,500, 1984-24,100.

2/ DRIED BASIS,1 TON OF RAISINS 1S EQUIVALENT TO 4.48
TONS FRESH BASIS FOR 1983 AND 4.15 TONS FOR 1984.

3/ FRESH EQIVALENT OF DRIED AND NOT DRIED.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-23 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



PRODUCTION

BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS
COLO+ t/ 1 2 17.0 18.0 36 17 : 36
DEL ° 1/ 4 3 31.0 30.0 136 124 90
GA Wo: 80 100 22.0 21.0 1,470 1,760 2,100
HLL t W 12 28.0 28.0 336 308 336
IND. 3 12 WW 28.0 29.0 270 336 319
1OWA 1/ : 5 6 34.0 36.0 93 170 216
KANS : 13 12 24.0 25.0 220 312 300
KY M/ 2 3 2 30.0 28.0 84 90 56
MD 3 7 6 32.0 33.0 240 224 198
MICH 2 21 21 28.0 31.0 600 588 651
MINN : 175 50 38.0 34.0 4,960 6,650 1,700
MO V t 3 4 25.0 25.0 48 75 100
NEBR : 58 50 23.0 24.0 1,265 1,334 1,200
NJ Fy 9 16 29.0 30.0 390 261 480
NY : 13 12 32.0 33.0 416 416 396
Nc : 25 35 22.0 20.0 440 550 700
N DAK ! 150 75 36.0 33.0 4,320 5,400 2,475
OHIO : 5 4 35.0 38.0 210 175 152
OKLA 32 32 22.0 22.0 780 704 704
OREG 1/ 4 3 35.0 37.0 100 140 wt
PA 17 20 34.0 40.0 578 578 800
sc vy 26 32 21.0 17.0 320 546 544
S_DAK 270 120 40.0 38.0 8,740 10,800 4,560
TEX 5 20 16.0 20.0 450 240 400
VA 14 20 27.0 22.0 312 378 440
Wis 8 9 27.0 26.0 300 216 234
us 981 677 33:0 28-5 oT A116 32,392 19,298

1, 7000 ACRES

1,000 CWT

ARK 1,150.0 1,050.0 4,650 39,159 52,900 48,825
CALIF 430.0 380.0 7,200 23,089 30,283 27,360
LA 528.0 463.0 4,250 14,693 21,932 19,677
MISS 190.0 185.0 4,600 6,440 8,265 8,510
MO 76.0 64.0 4,600 2,534 3,493 2,944
TEX 408.0 308.0 13,805 20,160 16,324
us 2 0 99,720 137,033

RICE PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES

a 000 CWT)
1983 : 64,318 27,388 8,014 99,720
1984 97,368 32,490 7,175 137,033
1985 1/ 91,663 27,420 4,557 123,640

1/__tNDICATED AUGUST 1, 1985, RICE CLASS FORECASTS ARE BASED ON A FIVE YEAR
AVERAGE OF CLASS PERCENTAGES. THE CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE ADJUSTED AS DATA
BECOME AVAILABLE THROUGH THE GROWING SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RYE: Production is forecast at 19.3 million bushels (490 thousand metric

tons), 40 percent below the 1984 production of 32.4 million bushels (823
thousand metric tons). Yields are expected to average 28.5 bushels per acre,
up 0.1 of a bushel from the July 1 forecast, but 4.5 bushels below the record
high yield set in 1984, Area for grain harvest remains at 677 thousand acres
(274 thousand hectares), 31 percent less than a year ago. North Dakota's
harvest is 49 percent complete, South Dakota's, 58 percent complete.

SOYBEANS: Production is forecast at 1.96 billion bushels (53.3 million metric
tons), 5 percent above last year and 20 percent above 1983. Yield
is forecast at 31.5 bushels per acre, 3.3 bushels over last year's 28.2
bushels and 5.3 bushels above the 1983 yield. The 62.2 million acres (25.5
million hectares) for harvest is down 6 percent from 1984 and fractionally
below 1983.

Soybean growing conditions have been generally good all year. The August
4 condition of the crop was -rated mostly good, even though some areas reported
short soil moisture. Crop development has progressed ahead of normal all
year. As of August 4, 80 percent of the acreage had bloomed compared with 72
percent last year and a five-year average of 71 percent. August precipitation
will be a critical factor in determining how pods wil? fill during the
remainder of the growing season.

Yields in the major soybean producing States are generally increased from
1984. Illinois and Iowa yields are both forecast at 37.0 bushels per acre, up
5.0 and 5.5 bushels, respectively, from last year. Yield in Missouri is up
8.5 bushels from 1984 at 29.0 bushels per acre. Both Indiana and Ohio yield
increased 0.5 of a bushel per acre from 1984, while Minnesota yield was up 1.0
bushel per acre.

In the South central and Southeast the yields were up slightly or
unchanged from a year ago, except for a 5 bushel per acre decrease in Texas.
Dry weather early in the growing season caused yields in the Northeast to
decrease 2 to 6 bushels per acre from 1984. Pennsylvania showed the largest
decrease in the nation, falling 6 bushels per acre from a year ago. The
States on the western edge of the soybean producing area are generally showing
large yield increases from last year. Nebraska expects a 10 bushel per acre
increase from last year while Kansas and South Dakota are up 6.5 and 5.0
bushels, respectively.

Yield increased in 16 States, decreased in 7, and remained unchanged in 6
from the previous year.

FLAXSEED: Production is forecast at 8.22 million bushels (209 thousand metric

tons), up 17 percent from 1984 and 19 percent above 1983. Area for
harvest, at 641 thousand acres (259 thousand hectares), increased 19 percent
from last year. Average yield is forecast at 12.8 bushels per acre, down 0.3
of a bushel from a year ago. Crop development has generally been ahead of
normal all year, resulting in good prospective yields.

North Dakota, with 76 percent of the U.S. harvested acreage, is expecting
a 12.5 bushel yield, identical to last year. Minnesota's yield, at 14.5
bushels, is also the same as a year ago. South Dakota's yield fell 1 bushel
from the previous year to 13.5 bushels per acre. As of August 4, 23 percent
of the flax acreage was ripe in North Dakota and 14 percent was ripe in South
Dakota. Harvest activities are beginning.

PEANUTS: Production of peanuts is estimated at 4.26 billion pounds (1.93 mil-
lion metric tons), down 3 percent from last year's record crop but

29 percent above 1983. Harvested area is estimated at 1.48 million acres (599

thousand hectares), down 3 percent from 1984 but 8 percent above 1983. This

year's anticipated yield of 2878 pounds per acre would equal the record high

set last year and is 479 pounds above the 1983 yield.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SWEETPOTATOES: Production is forecast at 14.0 million cwt (634 thousand metric

tons), up 8 percent from last year and 16 percent above 1983.
Area for harvest at 106 thousand acres (42.9 thousand hectares) is 2 percent
(2400 acres) above 1984. Yield per acre is expected to average a record high
132 cwt, up 7 cwt from last year and 3 cwt above the previous record high set
in 1982. All States except Georgia expect yields to be as good or better than
last year. .

_ The North Carolina crop is forecast at 5.60 million cwt, up 9 percent from
a year ago. Acres for harvest is at 40.0 thousand. Yield, at 140 cwt, is the
highest since 1972. Both Georgia and South Carolina benefited from frequent
showers in July and the crop is currently in good condition. Digging got
underway the last half of July in Georgia. Louisiana production is forecast
at 2.53 million cwt, up 5 percent from last year and yield is expected to
reach a record 115 cwt per acre. Harvest began on schedule with quality
reported good. The Texas crop is spotty. Areas that received showers are
looking good and those that did not are expecting lower yields. Some fields
have been dug but major harvest will be in late August or early September.
California fields are in good condition; harvest should start about August
V5th.

TOBACCO: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 1.51 billion pounds (687
thousand metric tons), 12 percent below 1984 but 6 percent above

1983. Yield is expected to average 2161 pounds per acre compared with 2182

pounds per acre in 1984. Acres for harvest are down 11 percent from 1984.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 802 million pounds (364
thousand metric tons), 7 percent below 1984 and 2 percent below 1983. This
would be the smallest crop since 1943. Yield per acre, at 2238 pounds, is 32
pounds above the previous year. Area for harvest, at 358 thousand acres (145
thousand hectares), is down 9 percent from 1984.

In North Carolina, the crop responded well to frequent July showers. A
good quality crop is expected. In South Carolina, hurricane Bob blew down
some stalks but most were straightened by hand with minimum loss. In Georgia,
frequent showers slowed harvest. Some tobacco was maturing faster than it
could be pulled and cured. Virginia's crop is in good condition but dry
weather was limiting yield. Tobacco being harvested in Florida was yielding
well and of good quality.

Burley output is expected to total 584 million pounds (265 thousand metric
tons), 18 percent less than last year. This is 21 percent more than the 481
million pounds (218 thousand metric tons) produced in 1983. Production is
down from 1984 in all States except Missouri. Yield is expected to average
2198 pounds per acre, 58 pounds below last year. Growers expect to harvest
266 thousand acres (107 thousand hectares), 16 percent below 1984. Much of
Kentucky's burley was set early and developed well until July's hot, dry
weather. Recent rain has helped. Disease and insect problems have been
moderate. North Carolina burley responded favorably to July showers. Disease
and insect damage has not been significant. Ohio has a very good crop but
some blue mold is present. The Indiana crop is 2 weeks ahead of normal in
growth and development. Disease is minimal but there are localized hornworm
and grasshopper infestations.

Fire-cured production is forecast at 46.3 million pounds (21.0 thousand
metric tons), off 18 percent from 1984. Acreage is down 12 percent from
1984, Yield is expected to average 1852 pounds per acre compared with 2001
pounds the previous year.

Southern Maryland Type 32 production, at 31.7 million pounds (14.4
thousand metric tons), is T7 percent below 1984. Area for harvest totals 25.1
thousand acres (10.2 thousand hectares), 8 percent less than a year ago.

Growers of dark air-cured tobacco expect to harvest 8150 acres (3300
hectares), with a production of 15.6 million pounds (7090 metric tons).
Acreage for harvest is down 12 percent from 1984 and production is off 20
percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, AUGUST 1985 A-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA