Cr Pr 2-2 (1-08)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released January 11, 2008, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

All Orange Production Up 2 Percent From December

The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2007-08 season is 10.0 million tons, up 2 percent from the December 1

forecast and 32 percent higher than the 2006-07 final utilization of 7.59 million tons. Florida’s all orange

forecast, at 168 million boxes (7.56 million tons), is unchanged from the previous forecast but 30 percent

higher than last season’s final utilization of 129 million boxes. Early, midseason, and navel varieties in

Florida are forecast at 81.0 million boxes (3.65 million tons), unchanged from December 1 but 23 percent

above last season. Florida’s Valencia forecast, at 87.0 million boxes (3.92 million tons), remains the same as

the December 1 forecast but is 37 percent higher than 2006-07. Florida citrus regions experienced relatively

warm, dry weather, so frequent irrigation was needed to keep the trees and fruit in good condition.

The all orange forecast in California, at 63.0 million boxes (2.36 million tons), is 9 percent higher than

October’s forecast and 40 percent above last season. The navel forecast is 48.0 million boxes (1.80 million

tons), 12 percent above the October forecast and 41 percent higher than 2006-07's final utilization. 

California’s Valencia orange forecast is 15.0 million boxes (563,000 tons), unchanged from the previous

forecast but 36 percent above last season. The Texas all orange forecast is 1.79 million boxes (76,000 tons),

down 1 percent from October and 10 percent lower than last season. The early and midseason forecast is

1.40 million boxes (60,000 tons), down 3 percent from October and 13 percent less than 2006-07. Texas

Valencia oranges are forecast at 385,000 boxes (16,000 tons), 10 percent higher than the December forecast

and 1 percent above last season. The Arizona all orange forecast is 350,000 boxes (13,000 tons), 17 percent

above both October and the previous season. Navel utilization in Arizona is forecast at 250,000 boxes

(9,000 tons), 25 percent higher than both the October forecast and last season. Valencia oranges in Arizona

are forecast at 100,000 boxes (4,000 tons), unchanged from both October and last season.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield forecast for the 2007-08 season remains at

1.60 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix, 3 percent lower than last season’s final yield of 1.65 gallons per

box. The early-mid portion is projected at 1.53 gallons per box, 2 percent below last season’s final of

1.56 gallons. The Valencia portion is projected at 1.68 gallons per box, 5 percent lower than last season’s

final of 1.77 gallons per box. All projections of yield assume the processing relationships this season will be

similar to those of the past several seasons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on January 11, 2008.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Floyd D. Gaibler

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Carol C. House
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Grains & Hay

Hay Stocks..... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 6

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts

Papayas .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 4

Citrus Fruits

Grapefruit .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . 5

Lemons .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 5

Oranges .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 5

Tangelos .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . 5

Tangerines .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . 5

Temples .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 5

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Potatoes .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 4

Crop Comments .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . 15

Crop Summary .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 7

Information Contacts .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . 19

Reliability of Production Data in this Report .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... 18

Weather Maps .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 13

Weather Summary .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... 14
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 4 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2006-2008

Seasonal

Group

and

State

Area

Yield Production

Planted Harvested

2007 2008 2007 2008 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter

 CA

 FL 1

 Total

Spring 2

 AZ

 CA

 FL 1

 Hastings

 Other FL

 NC

 TX

 Total

11.5

11.5

4.0

15.5

27.8

16.5

11.3

16.0

9.7

73.0

11.0

11.0

11.5

11.5

4.0

15.5

27.2

16.2

11.0

14.5

9.2

70.4

11.0

11.0

215

215

280

395

287

285

290

186

320

294

250

250

3,120

1,375

4,495

1,170

6,044

6,441

4,731

1,710

3,255

2,856

19,766

2,473

2,473

1,120

6,123

7,807

4,617

3,190

2,700

2,944

20,694

2,750

2,750

Winter potatoes combined with spring potatoes beginning in 2007. 1

2007 revised. 2

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2006-2007

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2006 2007

2006 2007 2006 2007

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Oct

Nov

2,140

2,140

2,105

2,100

1,320

1,315

1,535

1,365

2,185

2,605

3,340

3,075

Utilized fresh production. 1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 5 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2005-06, 2006-07 and Forecasted January 1, 2008 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08

1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Boxes 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 2 2 2

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ

 CA

 FL 4

 TX

 US

 Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Temples 4

 FL

Grapefruit

 White

 FL

 Colored

 FL

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 5

 CA 5

 FL

 US

Lemons

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

250

47,000

75,000

1,400

123,650

200

14,000

72,700

200

87,100

450

61,000

147,700

1,600

210,750

700

6,500

12,800

100

6,000

19,300

5,200

30,600

550

3,600

5,500

9,650

3,800

22,000

25,800

1,400

200

34,000

65,600

1,600

101,400

100

11,000

63,400

380

74,880

300

45,000

129,000

1,980

176,280

9,300

17,900

100

4,000

27,200

7,100

38,400

300

2,900

4,600

7,800

2,500

16,000

18,500

1,250

250

48,000

81,000

1,400

130,650

100

15,000

87,000

385

102,485

350

63,000

168,000

1,785

233,135

8,000

17,000

150

5,000

25,000

6,600

36,750

400

5,100

4,800

10,300

1,500

17,000

18,500

1,300

9

1,763

3,375

60

5,207

8

525

3,272

9

3,814

17

2,288

6,647

69

9,021

32

276

544

3

201

820

208

1,232

21

135

261

417

144

836

980

63

8

1,275

2,952

68

4,303

4

413

2,853

16

3,286

12

1,688

5,805

84

7,589

395

761

3

134

1,156

284

1,577

11

109

219

339

95

608

703

56

9

1,800

3,645

60

5,514

4

563

3,915

16

4,498

13

2,363

7,560

76

10,012

340

723

5

168

1,063

264

1,500

15

191

228

434

57

646

703

59

The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 1

Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90; 2

Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

 3

quantities of tangerines in TX.

Temples included in early and midseason orange varieties beginning with 2006-07 season. 4

Includes tangelos and tangors. 5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 6 NASS, USDA

Hay: Stocks on Farms by State and United States,

December 1 and May 1, 2005-2007

State

Dec 1 May 1

2005 2006 2007 2006 2007 1 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

1,575

350

2,000

1,840

2,365

55

18

380

1,350

2,260

1,260

1,498

4,200

5,000

4,390

596

138

390

76

1,852

4,117

1,567

6,315

5,440

4,585

788

53

112

545

1,650

1,245

5,580

2,360

3,900

1,790

1,700

10

565

7,935

3,625

8,000

1,370

257

2,585

1,475

984

3,183

1,876

105,205

1,065

350

2,140

1,785

2,130

65

18

380

878

2,575

1,690

1,475

3,900

4,390

4,550

690

140

452

90

2,385

4,200

1,186

5,415

4,105

3,680

879

60

97

470

1,451

1,280

4,375

2,155

3,275

1,840

3,485

8

468

5,120

3,103

7,550

1,410

273

2,190

1,339

816

3,577

1,600

96,555

1,318

260

2,700

1,890

2,400

67

8

492

1,013

2,400

1,100

973

3,500

5,465

3,312

820

160

240

76

1,700

3,140

1,459

6,662

4,500

4,280

767

45

68

580

1,674

682

4,990

1,653

6,100

1,700

1,750

6

350

7,816

1,930

13,400

1,130

233

1,705

1,385

720

3,467

1,900

103,986

264

40

210

192

460

9

4

60

198

375

324

207

1,000

800

635

81

25

74

17

395

1,150

210

873

1,463

1,070

209

8

8

133

285

282

1,806

363

550

210

410

1

120

2,140

742

896

266

57

730

250

214

1,135

394

21,345

144

35

160

202

290

12

4

21

82

320

325

198

684

600

600

57

27

60

13

350

740

78

625

760

863

202

12

10

105

326

120

609

356

400

180

520

3

65

1,150

425

885

185

38

268

240

136

1,308

220

15,013

Revised. 1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 7 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2007-2008

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2007 2008 2007 2008

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

4,020.0

93,600.0

3,760.0

570.0

2,761.0

1,376.0

7,718.0

60,433.0

44,987.0

2,149.0

13,297.0

1,183.0

354.0

56.0

1,230.0

1.5

180.0

63,631.0

2,068.0

10,830.3

10,538.0

292.3

1,269.8

29.0

1,526.9

847.5

303.0

1,148.8

11.5

73.0

53.7

1,010.6

100.6

46,610.0

11.0

3,508.0

86,542.0

6,071.0

61,625.0

21,670.0

39,955.0

1,505.0

515.0

2,748.0

289.0

6,805.0

399.0

51,011.0

35,952.0

2,112.0

12,947.0

1,163.0

349.0

52.8

1,195.0

1.0

172.0

62,820.0

2,009.5

10,492.2

10,204.0

288.2

1,246.9

883.5

356.0

11.0

1,478.7

811.3

295.0

6.4

0.1

30.9

73.3

1,129.0

11.5

70.4

50.4

996.7

19.6

97.5

0.4

11.0

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for 1

the full 2008 crop year.

Area planted for all purposes. 2

Acreage is not estimated. 3

Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage. 4
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 8 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2007-2008

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Yield Production

2007 2008 2007 2008

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

“

Tons

“

“

“

Bu

“

Cwt

Bu

“

Tons

Bu

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Bu

Lbs

“

“

“

Bu

Lbs

Bales

“

“

Tons

“

Lbs

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

“

“

“

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

Cwt

Lbs

60.4

151.1

17.5

2.44

3.35

1.95

60.9

32.3

7,185

27.4

74.2

15.6

40.5

42.2

33.9

37.0

1,250

16.9

603

3,130

1,300

1,215

41.2

1,437

871

857

1,374

25.6

34.9

2,187

1,155

1,716

1,960

1,155

1,170

35,000

1,949

93

398

215

294

335

410

121

189

250

211,825

13,073,893

106,328

150,304

72,575

77,729

91,599

16,615

197,456

7,914

504,993

6,206

2,066,722

1,515,989

71,686

479,047

1,453,830

6,596.0

5,904

31,826

3,740,650

1,300

208,995

2,585,207

2,888,555

19,033.0

18,208.0

825.0

31,912

30,834

778,624

127

25,371

15,903

3,408

541

7,500

2,800

60,253.1

6,794

449,156

2,473

20,694

16,907

409,082

2,379

18,452

4,000

2,750

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2008 crop year.

Yield in pounds. 2

Yield is not estimated. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 9 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2006-2008

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Production

2006 2007 2008

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)

 Pecans (in-shell)

 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)

 Maple Syrup

Tons

“

“

“

“

“

1,000 Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

“

Lbs

Tons

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

Gals

1,232

980

9,021

63

417

32

9,931.7

44.5

20,000.0

6,417.2

23.5

28,700.0

1,010.1

842.0

180.0

21.5

1,115,000

43.0

206,300

346.0

1,449

1,577

703

7,589

56

339

9,254.7

86.6

6,990.5

110.0

1,026.9

878.1

90.0

13.7

1,330,000

33.0

333,605

320.0

1,258

1,500

703

10,012

59

434

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2008 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2007-08 season.

Production years are 2005-06, 2006-07, and 2007-08. 2

Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 10 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2007-2008

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2007 2008 2007 2008

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 4

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 5

1,626,850

37,878,980

1,521,630

230,670

1,117,350

556,850

3,123,400

24,456,630

18,205,790

869,680

5,381,160

478,750

143,260

22,660

497,770

610

72,840

25,750,830

836,900

4,382,910

4,264,620

118,290

513,880

11,740

617,920

342,970

122,620

464,910

4,650

29,540

21,730

408,980

40,710

18,862,600

4,450

1,419,650

35,022,680

2,456,870

24,939,020

8,769,630

16,169,390

609,060

208,420

1,112,090

116,960

2,753,920

161,470

20,643,640

14,549,410

854,710

5,239,520

470,650

141,240

21,370

483,600

400

69,610

25,422,630

813,220

4,246,090

4,129,460

116,630

504,610

357,540

144,070

4,450

598,420

328,320

119,380

2,590

30

12,510

29,660

456,900

4,650

28,490

20,400

403,350

7,930

39,460

150

4,450

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2008 crop year.

Area planted for all purposes. 2

Total may not add due to rounding. 3

Acreage is not estimated. 4

Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares. 5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 11 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2007-2008

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2007 2008 2007 2008

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.25

9.48

39.26

5.47

7.51

4.36

2.18

1.81

8.05

1.72

4.66

34.87

2.72

2.84

2.28

2.49

1.40

1.06

0.68

3.51

1.46

1.36

2.77

1.61

0.98

0.96

1.54

57.37

78.23

2.45

1.29

1.92

2.20

1.29

1.31

39.23

2.18

0.10

44.59

24.10

32.95

37.60

46.00

0.14

21.21

28.02

4,611,940

332,092,180

96,459,140

136,353,500

65,838,930

70,514,560

1,329,560

376,820

8,956,450

201,020

12,827,410

5,629,990

56,246,960

41,258,460

1,950,970

13,037,520

659,450

5,983,790

149,970

14,440

1,696,730

590

94,800

70,357,800

1,310,230

4,143,950

3,964,330

179,620

28,950,080

27,972,130

353,180

5,760

1,150,810

721,350

154,580

24,540

3,400

1,270

27,330

3,080

20,373,370

112,170

938,660

766,890

18,555,650

1,080

836,970

1,810

124,740

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2008 crop year.

Production may not add due to rounding. 2

Yield is not estimated. 3
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 12 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2006-2008

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2006 2007 2008

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR) (in-shell)

 Pecans (in-shell)

 Walnuts (CA) (in-shell)

 Maple Syrup

1,117,650

889,040

8,183,710

57,150

378,300

29,030

4,504,940

40,350

9,070

5,821,540

21,320

13,020

916,370

763,880

163,290

19,500

505,760

39,010

93,580

313,890

7,240

1,430,630

637,750

6,884,620

50,800

307,540

4,197,860

78,530

6,341,630

99,790

931,630

796,550

81,650

12,430

603,280

29,940

151,320

290,300

6,290

1,360,780

637,750

9,082,730

53,520

393,720

Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the 1

full 2008 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2007-08 season.

Production years are 2005-06, 2006-07, and 2007-08. 2

Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season. 3
Crop Product

ionAgricultural Statistics Board

January 200813 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 14 NASS, USDA

December Weather Summary

For a La Niña winter, the jet stream took an uncharacteristic dip into the Southwest, helping to generate a

broad area of stormy weather from the Four Corners States into the Midwest and Northeast. Only a few

areas—namely the northern Plains and the southern half of Texas—completely missed out on the stormy

regime. The jet stream’s prevailing position, aligned from the Southwest to the Northeast, not only helped to

govern the primary storm track but also dictated the separation between warm air in the Southeast and very

cold conditions across the central Plains and much of the West. Monthly temperatures averaged at least

6 degrees F above normal in several Southeastern locations, but ranged from 6 to 10 degrees F below normal

across parts of the Intermountain West.

Heavy rain and melting snow triggered major flooding in the Pacific Northwest early in the month. 

Storminess shifted southward thereafter, providing much-needed snowfall in the Sierra Nevada, the Great

Basin, and parts of the Southwest. Precipitation was particularly heavy from the Four Corners region into

southern Wyoming, improving water-supply prospects in many Western river basins.

Farther east, livestock on the central and southern Plains endured a difficult month due to snow, ice, and mud. 

Heavy precipitation fell as far north as Nebraska, but mostly dry weather prevailed on the northern High

Plains. Despite the wintry weather and variety of conditions, wheat continued to overwinter well, except for

the portion of the crop (mainly on the central and southern High Plains) that was poorly established prior to

dormancy.

Meanwhile, much of the Midwest and Northeast also contended with periods of cold weather and frequent

snow and ice accumulations, stressing livestock but maintaining abundant soil moisture reserves.

Elsewhere, the South experienced December warmth, although dry weather in southern Texas contrasted with

heavy showers and drought relief in the southern Atlantic States. Despite the late-year rain, lingering

Southeastern drought effects included low lake levels and the slow recovery of pastures.

December Agricultural Summary

Extremely heavy December precipitation accumulations occurred along the Pacific Coast. Up to 16 inches

were evident in northeastern California, as well as in eastern Oregon and Washington. Heavy precipitation

also fell in the northern Rocky Mountains with more scattered moderate accumulations evident farther south

along the Rocky Mountains. Farther east on the Great Plains, only light scattered precipitation fell in northern

and southern parts of the region. Four inches or more of rain fell from East Texas, northeastward to the Great

Lakes and eastward to the Atlantic Coast with some areas in the Southeast and Ohio Valley receiving as much

as 8 inches. 

Temperatures in the West averaged below normal, except in parts of the Pacific Northwest and extreme

northern Rocky Mountains, where temperatures ranged from near-normal to 4 degrees Fahrenheit above

normal. Throughout the Great Plains, temperatures were below normal, except in the western Dakotas, in

most of Texas, and in the southeast corner of New Mexico. Temperatures were above normal from central

Texas eastward to the Southeast, and northward through the Delta, eastern Corn Belt, and Mid-Atlantic Coast

States. Near-normal temperatures prevailed over the Great Lakes and New England. 

In the Pacific Northwest, most agricultural activity involved greenery and Christmas tree sales for the

holidays. In California, strawberries were growing well in Fresno County, and planting of blueberry bushes

and stone fruit were ongoing. California sugarbeets were developing at various stages while vegetable harvest

and chemical applications continued. Citrus growers were treating fungus, insects, and weeds and some were

tree topping. In the northern Rocky Mountains, snow cover was mostly adequate. On the northern Great

Plains, snow cover was reported somewhat inadequate in the Dakotas possibly threatening winter wheat

condition, while central Great Plains winter wheat was in mostly good and excellent condition. Along the

southern Great Plains, winter wheat was rated 32 percent good and excellent in Oklahoma. In Texas, cotton

harvest continued during the month and was complete in the Panhandle, Edwards Plateau, and Trans-Pecos

regions. Texas grain sorghum harvest was complete in the northern High Plains and citrus, pecan, and

vegetable harvest continued.

In the Corn Belt, producers were hauling corn and soybeans to market and winter wheat was in mostly good to

excellent condition. Where temperatures were dropping to threatening levels, adequate snow cover remained,
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 15 NASS, USDA

keeping the wheat protected. Farmers were spreading fertilizer and manure and making fence repairs as

weather permitted. 

In the Southeast, Florida sugarcane and cotton harvest continued and peanut harvest was complete early in the

month. Vegetable planting, harvest, and irrigation continued with some rain interruptions to field activities

around mid-month. Fruit and vegetable marketing and citrus harvest and packing was evident. Georgia

cotton harvest and wheat planting was ongoing while rains helped wheat stands emerge and spurred growth.

Winter Potatoes: California’s winter potato production for 2008 is forecast at 2.75 million cwt, up

11 percent from a year ago but 12 percent below 2006. Florida’s winter potato estimates were combined with

their spring potato estimates in 2007, which leaves California as the only winter potato estimating State. 

Harvested area in California is forecast at 11,000 acres, down 4 percent from 2007, and average yield is

expected to be 250 cwt per acre, 35 cwt above last year. Growers reported that crop quality was very good

and yields had improved from last year.

Spring Potatoes: Production for 2007 is estimated at 20.7 million cwt, virtually unchanged from the May

forecast but 5 percent above 2006. Harvested area totaled 70,400 acres, unchanged from the previous forecast

but up 4 percent from a year ago. The average yield of 294 cwt per acre is the same as the May forecast but

1 cwt above 2006.

Florida production is estimated at 7.81 million cwt, up 1 percent from the May 1 forecast and 21 percent

above the 2006 production. Florida’s winter potatoes were combined with spring potatoes in 2007. In

California, production increased 1 percent from last year due to a 1 percent increase in harvested acres. Cold

weather early in the season delayed the crop and some growers did not begin to harvest until June. Production

in Texas increased 3 percent from 2006 with a record high yield of 320 cwt per acre. The crop benefitted

from good growing conditions and high levels of moisture. Growers in North Carolina produced 17 percent

fewer spring potatoes than in the previous year. Dry conditions reduced yield 24 cwt per acre from 2006. 

Production in Arizona declined 4 percent from last year due to a 20 cwt per acre drop in average yield.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya production is estimated at 3.08 million pounds for November 2007, down

8 percent from October but 18 percent higher than the comparable month a year ago. Total area in crop for

November is estimated at 2,100 acres, down slightly from last month and 2 percent less than November 2006. 

Harvested area totaled 1,365 acres, 11 percent lower than October 2007 but up 4 percent from the same month

the previous year. November saw sunny skies mixed with periods of heavy rain and wind. Orchards made

fair to good progress during the month and harvest was active. Spraying was stepped up to control disease

outbreaks under wet conditions.

Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2007-08 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.50 million tons, up slightly from the

December 1 forecast but 5 percent lower than the previous season. Florida's grapefruit production is forecast

at 25.0 million boxes (1.06 million tons), unchanged from the December forecast but 8 percent below last

season. The Florida all white grapefruit forecast is 8.00 million boxes (340,000 tons), unchanged from

December’s forecast but 14 percent below last season’s final utilization. Average fruit size is projected to be

the smallest on record dating back to the 1968-69 season. The Florida colored grapefruit forecast, at

17.0 million boxes (723,000 tons), is unchanged from the December forecast but 5 percent below the 2006-07

final utilization. The principal grapefruit growing regions experienced dry weather and warm temperatures

most of the season. A short cold snap the second week of December helped fruit and trees acclimate for

winter.

The Texas grapefruit production forecast is 6.60 million boxes (264,000 tons), down 3 percent from October’s

forecast and 7 percent lower than last season. Grapefruit production in California is forecast at 5.00 million

boxes (168,000 tons), up 11 percent from the October forecast and 25 percent above last season. Pummelo

and Oroblanco grapefruit varieties were good quality. Arizona grapefruit production is forecast at

150,000 boxes (5,000 tons), down 25 percent from the previous forecast but up 50 percent from last season.

Lemons: The forecast for the 2007-08 U.S. lemon crop is 703,000 tons, up 3 percent from the October 1

forecast but unchanged from 2006-07. California’s forecast is 17.0 million boxes (646,000 tons), 3 percent

above the previous forecast and 6 percent higher than last season. Light picking is ongoing across all growing

areas and will increase as the Central Valley gains momentum. Demand has exceeded supply and volumes are

expected to remain below average. The forecast for Arizona is 1.50 million boxes, unchanged from the
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 16 NASS, USDA

previous forecast but 40 percent lower than last season. The freeze last January resulted in lower fruit set and

smaller sized fruit.

Tangelos: Florida’s tangelo forecast is 1.30 million boxes (59,000 tons), unchanged from the December 1

forecast but 4 percent above the 2006-07 final utilized production. Harvest of Orlando variety earlier in the

season was primarily for fresh market with a transition to processing.

Tangerines: The U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 434,000 tons, up 4 percent from the December 1 forecast

and 28 percent higher than the final utilization in 2006-07. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 4.80 million

boxes (228,000 tons), unchanged from December’s forecast but 4 percent higher than the 2006-07 utilization

of 4.60 million boxes. Harvest of Fallglo and Sunburst varieties was nearly complete. The later maturing

Honey tangerine experienced a significant size increase which was offset by higher droppage, keeping the

forecast unchanged. California’s forecast, at 5.10 million boxes, is 9 percent above October’s forecast and

76 percent higher than last season. Harvest has been progressing well and the outlook is good for California

mandarins. Quality has been good to excellent. Satsuma and Fairchild varieties were still being harvested

throughout the State. Clementine harvest was almost complete and Minneola tangelo harvest was just

beginning. Arizona’s forecast, at 400,000 boxes (15,000 tons), is unchanged from October but 33 percent

above last season. Some scar was evident.

Florida Citrus: Temperatures were warm in citrus producing areas throughout December. Some

temperature variations were recorded during the second week as colder weather made its way further south. 

Temperatures were in the mid 80s with high humidity before dropping to the mid 30s and low 40s in all areas. 

Northern areas recorded the lowest temperatures. Rainfall ranged from less than one-half inch in the central

and southern citrus regions to over two and one-half inches on the east coast. Citrus trees were reported to be

in good to excellent condition. All major packinghouses were open during December and ran at full capacity. 

Packing for fundraising programs was in full swing the first half of the month. Harvested varieties included

Fallglo and Sunburst tangerines, early, Ambersweet, and Navel oranges, grapefruit, and some tangelos. All

processing plants were open and running fruit. The plants were accepting field run or direct to processor fruit

and packinghouse eliminations. Fruit sizes were reported on the small side for all varieties, but fruit sets were

higher than average. Grove maintenance included mowing, spraying, fertilizing, and young tree care.

Arizona Citrus: Citrus groves were reported to be in good condition with fruit quality and size being

relatively good. The freeze of January 2007 mainly impacted the lemon crop for the upcoming season. 

Thrips, scar, and rough texture were evident in a few areas.

Texas Citrus: Grapefruit harvest was nearly complete and the fruit looked good. The freeze in December

had a slight impact on production. By mid-December, citrus shipments were above average.

California Citrus: Navel harvest started slowly in early December, then picked up as the month progressed. 

Navel fruit maturity and sugar content held steady throughout the month. Mandarin, lemon, and pummelo

harvests were ongoing. Some citrus growers were topping trees, applying foliar nutrients, and applying

treatments to control fungus, weeds, and insects.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape harvest was completed and both grape and stone fruit growers

were pruning, cultivating, and treating to control weeds and insects. A frost in mid-December accelerated leaf

drop in some fruit orchards. New blueberry bushes were planted. Strawberry harvest continued throughout

the month although rains in late December delayed harvest and affected strawberry fruit quality in some

regions. Quince, jujubes, and persimmons were still being harvested. Olive tree pruning continued

throughout the month. Almond stockpile hulling was slowing down by mid-December. Pruning, fertilization,

and spraying for weeds continued in nut groves.

Hay Stocks on Farms: Stocks of all hay stored on farms totaled 104 million tons on December 1, 2007, up

8 percent from a year ago. Disappearance of hay from May-December 2007 totaled 61.3 million tons,

compared with 67.1 million tons for the same period a year ago. 

Compared with December 1, 2006, hay stocks increased in most of the Great Plains, eastern Rocky Mountain,

Delta, and Southeast States. Good growing conditions prevailed in many of these States, resulting in higher

hay production. Meanwhile, stocks decreased compared with last year throughout the upper Mississippi

Valley, central Corn Belt, Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, Mid Atlantic, and the western Rocky Mountain

regions. These areas experienced drier than normal to drought conditions resulting in lower hay production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 17 NASS, USDA

Reliability of January 1 Orange Forecast

Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the January 1 forecast was conducted in Florida,

which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start of

the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review based on

administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is

determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are

conducted, which combined with the previous components are used to develop the current forecast of

production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in

October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for

navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges.

Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors,

reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona,

California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the

current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published January 1 forecast. 

Revision Policy: The January 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each

month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits

Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the

marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. 

Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the January 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

January 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. 

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the January 1 orange production forecast is 5.0 percent. However, if you

exclude the 5 abnormal production years (3 freeze seasons and 2 hurricane seasons), the "Root Mean Square

Error" is 3.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will

not be above or below the final estimates by more than 5.0 percent, or 3.5 percent excluding abnormal

seasons. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 8.7 percent,

or 6.2 percent excluding abnormal seasons.

Changes between the January 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged

406,000 tons (383,000 tons excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 106,000 tons to 1.13 million tons

(106,000 tons to 638,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons). The January 1 forecast for oranges has been

below the final estimate 6 times and above 14 times (below 5 times and above 10 times, excluding abnormal

seasons). The difference does not imply that the January 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or

overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2008 18 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics

Service to contact for additional information.

Jeff Geuder, Chief... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . (202) 720-2127

Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5944

Todd Ballard - Wheat, Rye .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... (202) 720-8068

Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-9526

Anthony Prillaman - Peanuts, Rice .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-7688

Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7369

Don Gephart - Hay, Oats, Sorghum .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . (202) 690-3234

Dawn Keen - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7621

Fruits, Vegetables & Special Crops Section

Lance Honig, Head .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... (202) 720-2157

Faye Propsom - Citrus, Tropical Fruits .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... ... (202) 720-5412

Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Tree Nuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4215

Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils,

Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

Wrinkled Seed Peas .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-3250

Mike Jacobsen - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

Plums, Prunes .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . . (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... .... . (360) 902-1940

Lance Honig - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127
 

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