The Florida forecast is 2.20 million boxes, unchanged from December 1, but
6 percent below 1986-87. The forecast for all Florida tangerines includes
Robinson, Dancy, and Honey tangerines. The California crop forecast remains
at 1.50 million boxes but is down 33 percent from last season. The Arizona
crop forecast is 550 thousand boxes, 21 percent below 1986-87.

TEMPLES: The Florida forecast is 3.40 million boxes (139 thousand metric
tons), unchanged from both December 1 and last season. Harvest is
just starting.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Florida's citrus trees and groves are in very good to ex-

cellent condition. Rainfall during December has been minimal
with some caretakers irrigating, however, cautiously to avoid generating new
growth which would be vulnerable to frost or freezing temperatures, should
either arrive. Temperatures during most of December were above normal with a
few daytime highs reaching into the 80's. Cooler weather the last of the
month has been beneficial by retarding new growth. Harvest of early oranges
increased rapidly during December as all processing plants were open and
running field-run fruit. Both fresh and processed usage of grapefruit
continued active in all areas of the Citrus Belt. There was increasing
movement of Orlando tangelos and Dancy tangerines for the Christmas holiday
fresh trade. Caretakers were very active this month clean cultivating groves
and placing trunk wraps on young trees for the winter season.

TEXAS CITRUS: Harvest is showing a seasonal lull; however demand remains good.

Quality continued to be good. The Rio Grande Valley has escaped
any severe cold weather so far this year. Grapefruit harvest is slightly less
than half complete with early and mid-season oranges winding down at about
three fourths harvested. Harvest of Valencias is expected to begin soon.

PAPAYA: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 5.00 million pounds

(2270 metric tons) for January, 14 percent more than January 1987.
Output of 3.30 million pounds (1500 metric tons) is anticipated for February
followed by a further drop to 2.50 million pounds (1130 metric tons) in
March. An upswing is expected to push April production to 4.40 million pounds
(2000 metric tons).

Fresh utilization in December is estimated at 5.71 million pounds (2590
metric tons), 1 percent lower than November but 29 percent higher than
December 1986. Annual fresh sales for 1987 totaled 56.1 million pounds (25.5
thousand metric tons), 12 percent more than the total in calendar year 1986.
Heavy rainfall occurring at mid-December and again at year's end, slowed
harvesting operations and delayed spraying for disease control in many
orchards. Tree losses due to wind or phytophthora root rot were considered
minimal. Seasonally cool temperatures slowed fruit development and are
expected to continue affecting orchards in this manner for several months.
Crop area in December 1987 totaled 4135 acres (1670 hectares), 1 percent
higher than November and 5 percent more than December a year ago. Area
harvested, at 2470 acres (1000 hectares), was 1 percent higher than last month
and 9 percent greater than December a year ago.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 14 NASS, USDA


WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

MAY 1 : 24,220,020 29,409,110
DEC 1 2 110,435 ,230 108,634,470
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JANUARY 1988 5 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT T/

t PRODUCTION : PRODUCTION
t BOXES : TON EQUIVALENT
CROP :
AND UTILIZED INDICATE UTILIZED
STATE :
1,000 UNITS 2/° 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES, EARLY MID
& NAVEL 3/3
ARIZ $ 600 950 650 23 36 24
CALIF : 33,000 34,500 28,000 1,238 1,294 1,050
FLA $ 64,200 65,800 75,000 2,889 2,961 3,375
TEX t 200 500 900 9 22 38
US H 98,000 101,750 104,550 4,159 4,313 4,487
ORANGES, VALENCIA
ARIZ H 1,700 2,200 2,400 64 83 90
CALIF : 20,900 24,000 24,000 784 900 900
FLA H 55,000 53,900 60.,000 2,475 2,425 2,700
TEX : 110 375 500 5 16 21
US : 77,710 80,475 86,900 3,328 3,424 3,711
ALL ORANGES H
ARIZ : 2,300 3,180 3,050 87 VW9 AV4
CALIF : 53,900 58,500 52,000 2,022 2,194 1,950
FLA : 119,200 119,700 135,000 5,364 5,386 6,075
TEX : 310 875 1,400 14 38 59
us : 175,710 182,225 191,450 7,487 7,737 8,198
TEMPLES :
FLA : 2,950 3,400 3,400 133 153 153
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE :
SEEDLESS :
FLA H 25,600 26,900 28,000 1,088 1,143 1,190
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED:
SEEDLESS :
FLA 18,000 20,000 20,500 765 850 871
SEEDY GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 3,150 2,900 3,500 134 123 149
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :
ARIZ : 2,400 2,200 2,200 77 70 70
CALIF 4/:
DESERT : 3,600 4,200 4,200 115 134 134
OTHER AREAS H 4,500 4,900 151 164
TOTAL 2 8,100 9,100 266 298
FLA : 46,750 49,800 52,000 1,987 2,116 2,210
TEX : 220 1,925 3,200 9 77 128
Us H 57,470 63,025 2,339 2,561
TANGERINES :
ARIZ : 700 700 550 26 26 21
CALIF : 1,800 2,230 1,500 68 83 56
FLA 5/3 1,950 2,340 2,200 93 1 105
US 5/: 4,450 5,270 4,250 187 220 182
LEMONS t
ARIZ H 3,250 7,100 5,000 123 270 190
CALIF 3 15,100 21,500 18,500 574 817 703
us 2 18,350 28,600 23,500 697 1,087 893
TANGELOS
FLA 4,000 133 180 180

V CROP Y
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS PER BOX: ORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,
FLA-90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER-67, FLA-85,
TEX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.
3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND
MIDSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF
TANGERINES IN TEXAS. 4/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS"
WILL BE AS OF APR 1. 5/ PER PROGRAM MODIFICATIONS FLA "ALL TANGERINES" IN-
CLUDE HONEY TANGERINES BEGINNING WITH 1987-88 SEASON. ESTIMATES FOR PREVIOUS
SEASONS ARE REVISED TO INCLUDE THE HONEY VARIETY.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1988 10 NASS, USDA


COTTON

POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
506 588 545.0 330.0 408.0
1,301 1,365 928.0 675.0 850.0
602 762 703.0 602.0 905.0
1,088 1,264 3,114.0 2,245.0 2,950.0
07 634 32.5 : :
455 666 370.0 185.0 340.0
336 587 24 “7 V1
567 792 742.0 673.0 990.0
571 832-1, 655.0 1,190.0 1,750.0
588 830 204.0 196.0 327.0
595 735 71.0 62.0 95.0
646 505 117.0 109.0 100.0
288 420 285.0 210.0 350.
370 444 180.0 87.0 110.0
567 701 419.0 396.0 650.0
353 502 3,910.0 2,535.0 4,600.0
: 554 311 1.2 1.5 1
US: 628 547 700 13,277.) 9,525.2 14,460.2
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ 927 965 1,042 108.7 148.3 195.0
N MEX 687 718 656 11.3 16.6 19.0
TEX 868 751 774 35.1 41.0 50.0
ws 891 890 941 155.1 205.9 264.0
L
ALA: 795 506 588 545.0 330.0 408.0
ARIZ =: 1,198 1,224 1,290 1,036.7 823.3 1,045.0
ARK: 767 602 762 703.0 602.0 905.0
CALIF 1,132 1,088 1,264 3,114.0 2,245.0 2,950.0
FLA 693 707 634 32.5 28.0 33.0
GA 725 455 666 370.0 185.0 340-0
KANS 320 336 587 : 27 V1
LA 565 567 792 742.0 673.0 990.0
MISS 764 571 832 1,655.0 1,190.0 1,750.0
MO 653 588 830 204. 196.0 :
N MEX 638 617 721 82.3 78.6 114.0
nec : 646 646 505 117.0 109.0 100.0
OKLA: 380 288 420 285.0 210.0 350.0
180.0
419.0
45.1
1.2

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED. 2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES,

COTTONSEED
oe proouctioN.ss—“‘~*~*~<~*~*~;*;*~*~TMS
1985 1986 IND 1987
meen y 7000 TONS “—
ALA 189.0 122.0 145.7
ARIZ 389.0 309.0 397.2
ARK : 264.0 228.0 334.1
CALIF 1,300.0 875.0 1,200.4
FLA W117 938 We7
GA 12810 64.0 11924
KANS 22 3 15
LA : 264.0 257.0 362.4
NISS : 616.0 458.0 659.7
Mo : 80.0 81:0 129.7
N MEX : 31.3 30.5 44.6
Nc : 4420 40:0 35.9
OKLA : 106:0 85:0 13822
$c : 61.0 31:0 4212
TENN : 160.0 157.0 254.5
TEX : 1,634.5 1,052.8 1,925.2
VA : 15 15 t4
us 5,279.2 3,800.9 5,801.8
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JANUARY 1988 7 NASS, USDA


COTTON

STATE
1,000 ACRES
UPLAND:
ALA: 330.0 315.0 335.0 329.0 313.0 333.0
ARIZ : 360.0 250.0 300.0 359.0 249.0 299.0
ARK: ~——«465.0 490.0 575.0 440.0 480.0 570.0
CALIF : 1,330.0 1,000.0 1,130.0 1,320.0 990.0 1,120.0
FLA: 24.5 19.5 25.5 22.5 19.0 25.0
GA : 255.0 225.0 250.0 245.0 195.0 245.0
KANS os: 8 1.2 1.0 .6 1.0 9
LA : 640.0 580.0 605.0 630.0 570.0 600.0
MISS : 1,050.0 1,020.0 1,020.0 1,040.0 1,000.0 1,010.0
MO : 152.0 178.0 190.0 150.0 160.0 189.0
N MEX : 70.0 63.0 66.0 54.0 50.0 62.0
NC oo: 88.0 82.0 96.0 87.0 81.0 95.0
OKLA: 370.0 400.0 420.0 360.0 350.0 400.0
SC : 124.0 118.0 120.0 122.0 113.0 119.0
TENN : 340.0 340.0 450.0 335.0 335.0 445.0
TEX : 5,000.0 4,850.0 4,700.0 4,650.0 3,450.0 4,400.0
VA : 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.7
US —: 10,600.6 9,933.1  10,285.2 10,145.4 8,357.3 9,914.6
AMER-PIMA
ARIZ: 56.5 74.0 90.0 56.3 73.8 89.8
N MEX: 8.0 W.1 14.0 7.9 1141 13.9
TEX: 19.5 26.4 32.0 19.4 26.2 31.0
US so: 84.0 111.5 136.0 83.6 11 134.7
ALL :
ALA =: 330.0 315.0 335.0 329.0 313.0 333.0
ARIZ : 416.5 324.0 390.0 415.3 322.8 388.8
ARK: 465.0 490.0 575.0 440.0 480.0 570.0
CALIF : 1,330.0 1,000.0 1,130.0 1,320.0 990.0 1,120.0
FLA: 24.5 19.5 25.5 22.5 19.0 25.0
GA : 255.0 225.0 250.0 245.0 195.0 245.0
KANS : 8 1.2 1.0 6 1.0 9
LA : 640.0 580.0 605.0 630.0 570.0 600.0
MISS : 1,050.0 1,020.0 1,020.0 1,040.0 1,000.0 1,010.0
MO : 152.0 178.0 190.0 150.0 160.0 ‘189.0
N MEX 78.0 74.1 80.0 61.9 61.1 75.9
NC oo: 88.0 82.0 96.0 87.0 81.0 95.0
‘OKLA =: 370.0 400.0 420.0 360.0 350.0 400.0
SC : 124.0 118.0 120.0 122.0 113.0 119.0
TENN : 340.0 340.0 450.0 335.0 335.0 445.0
TEX =: 5,019.5 4,876.4 4,732.0 4,669.4 3,476.2 4,431.0
VA : 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.3 1.7
US : 10,684.6  10,044.6 10,421.2 10,229.0 8,468.4  10,049.3
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

JANUARY 1988 6 NASS, USDA


HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

DECEMBER 1

1,000 TONS

GA : 186 135 631 1,003

IDAHO + 245 1,086 3,304 4,008
ILL : 814 733 2,748 2,472
IND : 497 358 1,722 1,754
10WA 3 1,284 2,080 6,800 6,032
KANS : 1,469 1,150 5,879 4,635
KY 3 943 574 3,050 3,893
LA 3 156 102 562 799
MAINE 3 84 108 300 278
MD 2 146 76 356 494
MASS : 44 59 195 178
MICH : 742 86} 3,331 2,236
MINN 2 1,280 1,548 6,773 5,850
MISS 3 286 232 1,067 1,354
MO 3 1,433 1,266 5,546 5,375
MONT : 331 1,296 4,450 4,842
NEBR : 1,419 1,921 6,354 4,921
NEV : 130 206 963 897
NH : 31 42 135 118
NJ : 47 18 178 172
N MEX : 230 92 594 536
NY : 1,001 1,028 3,894 3,688
Nc : 121 69 401 486
N DAK : 64) 1,465 5,208 5,275
OHIO 3 920 560 2,929 2,875
OKLA 3 1,629 1,417 4,553 3,972
OREG : 179 689 2,100 2,200
PA : 1,113 769 3,741 4,054
RI 2 4 7 15 12
sc : 69 46 279 338
S DAK 2 1,546 4,105 8,677 8,508
TENN : 537 251 1,925 2,485
TEX 3 2,698 2,313 6,714 8,089
UTAH : 271 470 1,559 1,503
VT : 152 206 628 587
VA z 312 190 1,303 1,954
WASH : 182 517 1,868 2,104
WVA 172 128 761 895
WIS 1,112 1,616 9,482 7,726
Wyo 256 734 2,298 2,330
us 26,698 32,418 121,734 119,749
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1988 9 NASS, USDA


eee tearet United States

Crop eo ieee =

. Fect finding
P d u ct i re) n for Agrcuture Washington, 0.C. 20250
ro Agricultural
Statistics
Board
RELEASED: January 11, 1988
3:00 P.M. ET
HIGHLIGHTS

ALL COTTON production in 1987 is expected to total 14.7 million bales, 51
percent above the 1986 crop and 3 percent above the December 1 forecast.

CITRUS production is forecast at 12.1 million tons (11.0 million metric tons),
3 percent higher than last season and 12 percent above the 1985-86 season.

ORANGE production is forecast at 191 million boxes (7.44 million metric tons),
up 3 percent from December 1 and 5 percent above last season.

GRAPEFRUIT production, excluding California "other areas" crop, is forecast at
61.6 million boxes (2.31 million metric tons), up 2 percent from December
1 and 6 percent above last season.

LEMON production, at 23.5 million boxes (810 thousand metric tons), is down 1
percent from the previous forecast and 18 percent below last season.

WINTER POTATO production for 1988 is forecast at 2.75 million cwt (125
thousand metric tons), up 10 percent from last year but down 8 percent
from 1986.

HAY STOCKS on farms December 1, 1987 are estimated at 120 million tons (109
million metric tons), down 2 percent from December 1, 1986.

HAKKAR IRR IIKRIR III IIR ISIE II ISIS II IPI IIIS III ISA ISIS SII SII SISA IIA III III IIIS,

NOTICE

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports
should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room
5829-South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250 (Phone (202) 447-4021).

are available electronically as soon as possible following release
through USDA's EDI SERVICE. For more information, call or write:
Russell Forte, (202) 447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250.

ee

*
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This report and other statistical, economic, marketing and news reports *
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Ke

The next issue of this report will be published February 9, 1988.
HRIKIKEKRERERRIK IR IKK IK IRIE AIA IIIA IIIA IIIA IK IKI AIK IK ARIK IARIERIERARERRE

CrPr 2-2 (1-88) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


In Texas and Oklahoma, Upland production is forecast at 4.95 million bales,
up 80 percent from last year and 5 percent above the December 1 forecast.
Cold, wet conditions in the area during December slowed final cotton harvest
activities. Record high yields are expected in Texas and Oklahonia.

Production in the Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri,
and Tennessee) is expected to total 4.62 million bales, up 5] percent from
1986 and up slightly from December 1. Record yields are expected in all
States except Mississippi.

Upland production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New
Mexico) is expected to total 3.90 million bales, up 31 percent from last year
and 5 percent above the December 1 forecast. Record high yields are expected
in Arizona and California, and New Mexico expects the highest yield since 1961.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina,
and South Carolina) is expected to total 958 thousand bales, up 35 percent
from 1986, but down slightly from December 1. Dry conditions and early frost
reduced yields in the area. Harvest is virtually complete.

Bureau of the Census reported 13,275,665 running bales ginned prior to
January 1 compared with 8,588,206 to the same date last year and 12,365,030
bales in 1985.

COTTONSEED: Production of cottonseed for 1987, based on a three year average

lint-seed ratio, is forecast at 5.80 million tons (5.26 million
metric tons), 53 percent above the 1986 production of 3.80 million tons (3.45
million metric tons).

ORANGES: U.S. all orange production is forecast at 191 million boxes (7.44

million metric tons), up 3 percent from December 1 and 5 percent
higher than last season. All oranges in Florida are forecast at 135 million
boxes, up 4 percent from December 1 and 13 percent more than last season's
crop. Early and mid-season varieties in Florida, at 75.0 million boxes, is 4
percent above December 1 and 14 percent higher than last season. Harvest of
early's and mid's is 29 percent complete as compared with 35 percent a year
earlier. The Florida Valencia forecast is 60.0 million boxes, up 3 percent
from December 1 and 11 percent higher than last season.

The California all orange crop is forecast at 52.0 million boxes,
unchanged from December 1, but 11 percent below last season. The California
Navel crop, at 28.0 million boxes, is the same as December 1 but 19 percent
less than the crop harvested in 1986-87. Navel harvest in California is about
27 percent complete. The forecast for the California Valencia crop, at 24.0
million boxes, is unchanged from both December 1 and last season.
California's orange crop suffered some frost damage in late December. The
result of the damage will be primarily lowering fruit quality. A higher
percentage of the production will likely be utilized for products.

Arizona's all orange forecast, at 3.05 million boxes, is unchanged from
the previous forecast but 3 percent below last season. The Texas all orange
crop is forecast at 1.40 million boxes, up 4 percent from the last forecast
and compares with 875 thousand boxes harvested last season.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 12 NASS, USDA


DECEMBER HARVESTING PROGRESS

Precipitation prolonged cotton harvest in Oklahoma and Texas and soybean
harvest in the Southeast during most of December. On December 6, 15 percent
of the acreage remained to be harvested in the 14 major producing States.
Most of the acreage left to be harvested was in Oklahoma, Texas, and New
Mexico but some cotton was still in the field in Arizona, California, Georgia,
and South Carolina. At midmonth snow halted cotton harvest in Oklahoma and
drastically curtailed activities in Texas. As the month closed, Texas harvest
was 98 percent finished but 10 percent of Oklahoma's acreage was left to be
picked. Producers in California began preparation for seeding the 1988 cotton
crop before the month ended. As the month ended, soybeans were left to be
harvested in South Carolina, North Carolina and Georgia.

DECEMBER WEATHER SUMMARY

December temperatures were generally mild and above normal early in the
month except in the Southeast. By midmonth, temperatures in the western half
of the Nation turned cold while the eastern half remained relatively mild.
Some western areas reported temperatures as much as 15 to 18° below normal.
Freezing temperatures hurt susceptible fruit and vegetable crops from
California to Texas. Snow cover was limited to the Great Lakes States,
Northeast, and Mountain States early in the month. By the end of the month,
snow covered most of the West and the northern half of the Nation except parts
of Montana and North Dakota. Precipitation was heavy from northeast Texas to
Indiana around midmonth and in the South late in the month.

WINTER WHEAT

Rain hampered winter wheat seeding in the Southeast during December.
Seeding progressed normally in California with minor delays. Above-normal
temperatures melted most snow cover from Texas to North Dakota, until near the
end of December. Late in the month, the melting snow provided much needed
moisture in some areas. Cold temperatures swept though the central and
northern Great Plains and Corn Belt but snow protection was ample most days.
However, melting snow subjected wheat to low temperatures in some areas. Cool
temperatures slowed growth and emergence in the Southwest. The cold
temperatures eradicated disease and insect problems in the central and
northern Great Plains. Winter wheat was under stress in dry areas of South
Dakota at the end of December.

COTTON: All cotton production in 1987 is expected to total 14.7 million bales,

51 percent above the 1986 crop and 3 percent above the December 1
forecast. The Upland production forecast is 14.5 million bales and
American-Pima production is expected to total a record high 264 thousand
bales. Planted area of all cotton totaled 10.4 million acres (4.22 million
hectares), up 4 percent from 1986. Total area for harvest is estimated at
10.0 million acres (4,07 million hectares), 19 percent above 1986. Yields are
expected to average a record high 703 pounds per harvested acre, up 151 pounds
from 1986 and 73 pounds per acre above the previous record high established in
1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 u NASS, USDA


POTATOES

SEASONAL
GROUP
AND :
STATE : : IND : : IND : : IND: : : IND
: 1987 : 1988 : 1987 : 1988 : 1987 : 1988 : 1986 : 1987: 1988
1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CWT
WINTER
CALIF > 4.6 5.2 4.6 5.2 235 255 1,479 = 1,081 1,326
FLA 7.3 7.3 7.1 7.1 200 200 1,512 1,420 1,420
TOTAL =: 11.9 12.5 11.7 12.3 214 223 2,991 2,501 2,746
SPRING 1/
ALA : 5.0 4.9 125 682 613
ARIZ : 4.9 4.9 275 1,298 1,348
CALIF : 21.3 21.3 370 7,605 7,881
FLA :
HASTINGS : 27.0 26.5 170 6,860 4,505
OTHER 2 2.2 2.1 190 71 399
LA : Ps) 3 60 35 18
NC : 14.6 14.5 140 2,055 2,030
TEX : 7.0 6.2 150 1,116 930
TOTAL : 82.5 80.7 220 19,822 17,724
1/1987 REVISED.
PAPAYAS - HAWAIT
AREA : FRESH PRODUCTION

MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP HARVESTED 3 3
: 1986 : 1987 :FORECAST
: :1987-88

1,000 POUNDS
NOV : 4,025 4,095 2,265 2,440 4,155 5,780

DEC : 3,930 4,135 2,270 2,470 4,440 5,710

JAN : 3,905 2,420 43400 5,000
FEB : 3,860 2,465 3,600 3,300
MAR : 3,965 2,495 3,470 2,500
APR : 3,995 2,460 4,115 4,400

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 8 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION 1/

DEC 1, 1987 JAN 1, 1988

3 METRIC TONS ===)StSt~C<CS~Ss~STS
ORANGES : 7,018,890 7,231,170 7,437,100
LEMONS 986,110 810,120

1/__ SEASON B IS WITH BLO! HE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

COTTON - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED

CROP rete ne nena nen nn nnn eee n nn nnn none en nnn nee n nen nn ene neeneee
1986 IND 1987 1986 IND 1987
HECTARES
ALL COTTON 4,064,950 4,217,360 3,427,080 4,066,850
UPLAND : 4,019,830 4,162,320 3,382,120 4,012,340
AMER-PIMA : 45,120 55,040 44; 960 54,510

COTTON AND COTTONSEED - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

: INDICATED: :
1986 : 1987: 1986 : DEC1, : JAN],
: : : 19877 : 1988

METRIC TONS
ALL COTTON : 0.62 0.79 2,118,690 3,109,390 3,205,800

UPLAND : 0.61 0.78 2,073,860 3,056,590 3,148,320
AMER-PIMA : 1.00 1.05 44,830 §2,800 57,480
COTTONSEED 3,448,210 5,099,290 5,263,490

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 4 NASS, USDA


HAY STOCKS ON FARMS: Hay stocks on farms December 1, 1987 totaled 120 million

tons (109 million metric tons), down 2 percent from
December 1, 1986. The lower stocks level reflects the decline in production
from 1986.

POTATOES: Winter potato production for 1988 is forecast at 2.75 million cwt

(125 thousand metric tons), up 10 percent from last year but down 8
percent from 1986. Harvested area is projected at 12.3 thousand acres (4980
hectares), up 5 percent from 1987 but the same as 1986. The average yield is
forecast at 223 cwt per acre, up 4 percent from a year ago. .

California area for harvest totals 5200 acres, 13 percent above 1987.
Better yield prospects this year plus the larger acreage for harvest gives a
potential production 23 percent above 1987.

Florida acreage for harvest, yield, and production are expected to be the
same aS last year. Planting was completed in early January. Tubers on early
planted acreage have been sizing well and harvest is expected to get underway
in late January.

SPRING POTATO FINAL: Production in 1987 was estimated at 17.7 million cwt,

(804 thousand metric tons), down 11 percent from 1986
and 23 percent below 1985. Harvested area covered 80.7 thousand acres (32.7
thousand hectares), up 6 percent from 1986 but 7 percent below two years ago.
Yield averaged 220 cwt per acre, 16 percent below 1986 and 17 percent less
than 1985.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 15 NASS, USDA


WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

IND 1988 IND 1988

1,000 ACRES

11.9 12.5 11.7 12.3
ee YIELD PER ACRE ===S*=~«s*C*<‘SC*«éR*RODUCTION'SC*“‘*‘*#
“q9s7—:SSCND 9BBSOC*‘S*S=<“‘(l SOC: CN
ee wT ”TM~TM””””C«CYOCWT

214 223 2,501 2,746

HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 3 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION 1/

: : INDICATED 1987-88
CROP : CC ee a
: DEC 1, 1987 JAN 1, 1988
1,000 BOXES
ORANGES 182,225 186,400 191,450
LEMONS 28,600 23,500

1/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

COTTON - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

IND 1987 IND 1987

1,000 ACRES

ALL COTTON : 10,044.6 10,421.2 8,468.4 10,049.3
UPLAND 3 9,933.1 10,285.2 8,357.3 9,914.6
AMER-PIMA 111.5 136.0 111.1 134.7

YIELD PER ACRE 1/

CROP 3
AND 2 : INDICATED :
UNIT > 1986 : 1987 : 1986
ALL COTTON BALE : §52 703 9,731.1 14,281.4 14,724.2
UPLAND " : 547 700 9,525.2 14,038.9 14,460.2
AMER-PIMA " H 890 941 205.9 242.5 264.0
COTTONSEED TON : 3,801 5,621 5,802

1/ COTTON YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ COTTON PRODUCTION IN 480-LB NET WEIGHT BALES.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates wi
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were

prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board, which consists
of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington head-

quarters.

APPROVED: AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Rich Allen, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,

Robert L. Addison, S. Radley Edwards,
Fath 44. _ A/T Charles H. Allen, Dennis S. Findley,
David J. Aune, Robert L. Freie,
Arvin R. Budge, Clifton D. James,
Sammye Crawford, Doyle C. Johnson,
dames R. Davies, Darwin E. Ransom,

John D. Witzig.

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 2 NASS, USDA


Changes in U.S. production between the January 1 forecast and final
production have averaged 15.1 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging
from 680 thousand boxes in 1982-83 to 43.2 million boxes in 1981-82. A freeze
in Florida during January 1982 was the major cause for the 43.2 million box
difference between the January 1, 1982 forecast and final production for
1981-82.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1987-88 Florida all orange frozen

concentrate juice yield forecast has
been increased to 1.48 gallons per box of 42.0 degrees Brix equivalent, up
from last month's projection of 1.46 gallons per box. This increase is due to
the continued gains in both Brix and pounds of unfinished juice per box. The
latest maturity survey tests show pounds of solids to be similar to last
season when the final was 1.50827 gallons of FCOJ per box.

GRAPEFRUIT: The January 1 forecast, excluding California's "other areas"

grapefruit, is 61.6 million boxes (2.31 million metric tons), up
2 percent from December 1 and 6 percent above last season. Production for the
California “other areas" crop, which will be forecast as of April 1, 1988,
accounted for 4.90 million boxes last season. The California “Desert Valley"
crop forecast is 4.20 million boxes, the same as production in 1986-87. The
Florida all grapefruit forecast is 52.0 million boxes -- up 2 percent from the
December 1 forecast and up 4 percent from last season. Harvest in Florida is
20 percent complete. Arizona's forecast is 2.20 million boxes, the same as
last season but up 5 percent from the previous forecast. In Texas, the
forecast is 3.20 million boxes, 3 percent higher than December 1 and compares
to the 1986-87 season of 1.93 million boxes.

LEMONS: Production in Arizona and California is expected to total 23.5 million

boxes (810 thousand metric tons), down 1 percent from the previous
forecast and 18 percent below last season's utilized production. California's
forecast continues at 18.5 million boxes, 14 percent below the 1986-87
season. Freezing temperatures during the last half of December caused varying
amounts of damage to California lemon groves. The smallest sizes of fruit
experienced the worst damage. Extent of the damage is impossible to determine
at this time. As a result of the frost, more fruit will be used for processed
products rather than fresh. The Arizona forecast is 5.00 million boxes, 30
percent less than last season's large utilized crop. Harvest is 57 percent
complete in Arizona and 28 percent in California.

TANGELOS: The Florida crop, excluding K-early citrus fruit, at 4.00 million
boxes (163 thousand metric tons), is unchanged from December 1 and
the same as the 1986-87 crop. Harvest is 54 percent complete.

TANGERINES: The U.S. production forecast is 4.25 million boxes (165 thousand

metric tons), up 1 percent from the previous forecast but 19
percent below last season's utilized crop. Harvest remains active in Florida,
Arizona, and California. Fruit size in California appears to be large with
good quality. The California crop may have suffered some freeze damage in
late December but the extent of damage can not be assessed at this time.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
JANUARY 1988 13 NASS, USDA