Idaho's winter wheat crop continues to progress ahead of normal
aided by May showers and mild temperatures; the crop is rated in good to
excellent condition. Oregon's crop improved same with May rain; soil
moisture is still short in north central comties. Yield prospects

improved in Washington as May rains aided major growing areas.

U.S. WINTER WHEAT PROD
1981-1990

BILLION BUSHELS

2.60

2.09
210 2.07 199 2.08
2.00 183

N 12 +87 166
1.60 N N

1.00

Wl

WM

NN
0.60 NN
\IM\W

0.00

WML

4981 1982 1989 1984 1986 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990

WHEAT: Production is forecast at 4.70 million bushels in Arizona
as of June 1, 1990. ‘The California production forecast is
unchanged from the May 1 forecast of 4.66 million bushels.

Strong winds in mid-May caused lodging in Arizona fields. This
caused harvest to progress slower than average. About 34 percent was
harvested as of June 3; average is 61 percent. California's Durum
harvest began in mid-May and was more than half complete by June 1.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-4 NASS, USDA


SUGARBEETS SLICED 1/

1/__RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CALIFORNI

SUGAR PRODUCTION

SUGAR, RAW VALUE : SUGAR
focee eee terete eee ee eee eee = PRODUCTION
: : YIELD PER TON: REFINED
STATE : PRODUCTION : OF CANE OR BEETS : BASIS
1988 : 1989 1/: 1988 : 1989 1/ 1989 1/
: 1,000 TONS POUNDS 1,000 TONS
CANE SUGAR
FLA 1,566 1,399 245 220 1,464 ~—«1,307
HAW 928 864 244 244 867 807
LA : 797 844 226 227 745 789
TEX : 107 69 202 166 100
US : 3,398 3,176 239 226 «© 3,176 +S 2, 967
BEET SUGAR :
us : 3,507 3,407 283 271. °—«3,278 += 3, 184
CANE AND BEET SUGAR: 6,905 6,583 6,454 6, 151
1/_ REVISED.
MOLASSES AND BEET PULP
" rs ~~" PRODUCTION .
PRODUCT AND STATE : UNIT

SUGARCANE PRODUCTS :
BLACKSTRAP MOLASSES-80° BRIX at :
FLA GALLON: 92,246 100,042

HAW : GALLON :  3/47;3420 3/40;940
LA : GALLON : 413550 39/960
TEX : GALLON : 93992 11; 799
US > GALLON: 191,208 192,741
EDIBLE MOLASSES : :
LA : GALLON : 1,925 1,990
US : GALLON : 1,925 1,990
SUGARBEET PRODUCTS - US : :
MOLASSES GALLON : 188,983 181,370
PULP :
MOLASSES 1,230 1,072
DRIED 195 335

1/__ SUGARCANE pRopucts REVISED.
CANE. 85° BRIX

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-14 NASS, USDA



TEXAS CITRUS: Citrus trees continued to slowly recover across the Rio

Grande Valley. Extremely hot temperatures have stressed
new foliage. More and more older groves are showing no signs of
recovery. Irrigation of the young groves is steady. Some pruning also
occurred. Bulldozing of dead groves continued.

CALIFORNIA FRUITS AND NUTS: Insect and weed control, thinning, and irri-

gation were ongoing in orchards and vine-
yards throughout the month of May. The almond crop was reported to be
heavy. Apple orchards were thinned and treated for codling moth. The
apricot harvest was active in the San Joaquin Valley. The avocado
harvest remained steady in the Desert and southern coastal regions.
Picking of cherries was active until late May when rains halted activity.
The crop was devastated with more than half of the expected total crop
being lost. The Desert Perlette grape harvest began and progressed
throughout the month. Grape bunch thinning, removal of suckers, and
mildew control applications continued in the Central Valley. The Desert
grapefruit harvest progressed. Kiwifruit continued to be shipped. New
crop kiwifruit and olives started to bloom. The Central Valley Navel
orange harvest was winding down by month's end, while the Valencia orange
harvest progressed. Early varieties of peaches, plums, and nectarines
were harvested and packed. Walnut orchards were treated for codling moth
and blight.

PLUMS: California's production is forecast at 210 thousand tons, 1 per-

cent less than last year and 3 percent less than the 1988 crop.
The harvest is off to a slow start with about 7 percent of the crop
picked to date. Fruit sizes have been variable but quality has been
excellent. Most of the Red Butte variety has been picked with harvest
just starting on several other varieties.

DRIED PRUNES: California's production is forecast at 160 thousand tons,

down 29 percent from last year but 6 percent more than the
1988 crop. Fruit size is good but the set was spotty and light. The
rain in late May had no adverse effect on the crop.

APRICOTS: The first forecast for the 1990 U.S. apricot crop is 122 thou-
sand tons, 4 percent above last year's production and 20 per-

cent greater than the 1988 crop. California's production is forecast at

115 thousand tons, the same as last season but 21 percent above 1988.

The 1990 California apricot crop appears to be in good condition.

_ Recent rains will cause some loss in fresh use, but only minor damage for

processed. Early variety harvest continued in the San Joaquin Valley,
with major variety picking expected to begin by mid-June.

The Utah crop forecast is 200 tons, 50 percent below last year and
60 percent less than the 1988 crop. A severe late spring frost severely
damaged the crop.

Washington apricot production is forecast at 7,000 tons, more than
4 times larger than last year's freeze-damaged crop and 15 percent
greater than the 1988 production. Excellent fruit size and quality are
expected. Some new bearing acreage is also coming into production.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-8 NASS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE : : IND : : IND: : : IND

: 1989 1990 1989 1990 : 1988 1989 1990

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AL : 220 230 30.0 35.0 8,600 6,600 8,050
AZ 1/: 34 49 93.0 92.0 3,430 3,162 4,508
AR : 1,200 1,300 44.0 39.0 56,710 52,800 50,700
CA : 570 600 77.0 75.0 40,670 43,890 45,000
co : 2,200 2,600 26.0 34.0 75,900 57,200 88,400
DE VW: 74 60 42.0 49.0 3,276 3,108 2,940
FL I/: 65 40 29.0 34.0 2,520 1,885 1,360
GA : 700 590 32.0 36.0 21,500 22,400 21,240
ID : 810 870 70.0 75.0 50,820 56,700 65,250
IL : 1,780 2,050 59.0 58.0 67,500 105,020 118,900
IN : 880 970 59.0 54.0 35,000 51,920 52,380
IA 1/: 70 70 47.0 45.0 1,225 3,290 3,150
KS > 8,900 11,800 24.0 39.0 323,000 213,600 460,200
KY : 450 500 50.0 40.0 20,520 22,500 20,000
LA 1/: 350 410 31.0 34.0 11,070 10,850 13,940
MD 1/: 215 190 40.0 50.0 9,010 8,600 9,500
MI : 640 750 53.0 57.0 26,040 33,920 42,750
MN 1/: 120 65 38.0 30.0 1,440 4,560 1,950
MS : 450 520 34.0 35.0 20,700 15,300 18,200
MO : 1,850 2,000 47.0 45.0 75,950 86,950 90,000
MT : 1,500 2,600 36.0 37.0 39,900 54,000 96,200
NE : 2,050 2,300 27.0 37.0 72,000 55,350 85,100
NV I/: 6 6 80.0 60.0 560 480 360
NO 1/: 35 32 39.0 43.0 1,395 1,365 1,376
NM o1/: 160 350 20.0 28.0 6,960 3,200 9,800
NY o1/: 130 140 45.0 52.0 4,950 5,850 7,280
NC : 630 570 34.0 45.0 24,000 21,420 25,650
ND I/: 80 160 29.0 22.0 1,690 2,320 3,520
OH : 1,230 1,400 51.0 53.0 46,000 62,730 74,200
OK : 5,700 6,200 27.0 33.0 172,800 153,900 204,600
OR : 815 875 60.0 60.0 46,860 48,900 52,500
PA Ye: 215 225 37.0 46.0 9,010 7,955 10,350
sc : 435 450 41.0 36.0 14,030 17,835 16,200
so : 1,350 1,800 26.0 33.0 21,590 35,100 59,400
IN : 450 450 42.0 38.0 21,500 18,900 17,100
TMX : 3,000 4,400 20.0 29.0 89,600 60,000 127,600
UT 1/: 155 146 32.0 35.0 5,580 4,960 5,110
VA V/: 275 275 46.0 49.0 10,400 12,650 13,475
WA : 1,300 2,250 53.0 65.0 108,500 68,900 146,250
Wo: 12 13 43.0 45.0 414 516 585
WIM: 170 180 53.0 56.0 5,000 9,010 10,080
WY o1/: 193 170 22.0 24.0 4,290 4,246 4,080

US : 41,469 50,656 35.1 41.2 1,561,910 1,453,842 2,089,234

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-S NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITION: ‘The pasture and range feed condition on

dune 1, for the 48 contiguous States, was
80 percent, an improvement of 4 points over May 1. ‘The June 1, 1989
condition was 74 percent and the 10 year average for the date is 81
percent. Conditions were more favorable in June than last month in 35
States, less favorable in 9 States, and unchanged in 4 States.

Three States, Arizona, New Mexico, and North Dakota, reported
pasture and ranges in the severe drought range. Pastures and ranges in
Florida and Utah were considered very poor. All other States had
pasture and range conditions in the poor to fair or good to excellent
ranges.

SWEET CHERRIES: Production in the six western States is forecast at 131
thousand tons, down 22 percent from a year ago and 16
percent below 1988.

In California, the Memorial Day weekend rain devastated the crop.
Production has been reduced by more than 50 percent from last month's
forecast.

The Idaho crop bloomed 1-2 weeks earlier than normal. Some late
frosts were reported. Hail storms and rain, which may cause fruit
splitting, have lowered potential. Montana experienced a severe freeze
in 1989 which killed many trees and weakened those that survived. An
April freeze, this year, further limited production. Freezes and hail
have limited the Utah crop.

Oregon's crop is in good condition. Rains have caused minimal
splitting in the major production areas. The Willamette Valley had a
light set because of poor pollination weather.

Rains in May have caused fruit to split in Washington.

TART CHERRIES: Production in Colorado, Oregon, and Utah is forecast at
22.0 million pounds, down 44 percent from 1989 but 35
percent more than 1988.

Some areas of Colorado lost production potential because of late
spring frosts but the remaining crop is in good condition. Oregon's crop
is in good condition. Set was light, in the Willamette Valley, because
of cool weather during pollination. Utah's crop was limited due to
frost.

PEACHES: The first peach forecast, at 2.13 billion pounds, is 9 percent

less than 1989 and 19 percent below the 1988 crop. Production
of the Freestone crop, excluding California Clingstones that are mostly
canned, is forecast at 1.13 billion pounds, down 16 percent from 1989 and
30 percent less than 1988. Production of California Clingstones is
expected to total 1.00 billion pounds, up 1 percent from last year but
down 2 percent from 1988.

The unusually warm weather in January and February caused a much
earlier than normal bloom in South Carolina. A freeze on March 21 caused
extensive damage to the crop in the Ridge and Piedmont areas and lesser
damage in the Coastal Plains area. Numerous hailstomms have also reduced
prospects for this year's crop.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B5 NASS, USDA


Low chip prices in Florida are blamed for delaying the completion
of harvest in the Hastings area. The rest of Florida's harvest should
wind up in mid-June. North Carolina harvest is just getting started
after a good growing season.

HARI IRIRI ARIS IIIS IIASA ISHII ISI III ISIS SISOS AISA IIA IIID IAI IIIT.

INCLUDED IN THIS ISSUE:

© Revised 1989 acreage, yield, and production of sugarbeets
and sugarcane.

o Revised 1989 production of beet sugar, cane sugar, and cane
molasses.

o Revised 1989 acreage, yield, and production of sweetpotatoes.

© Revised 1989 production of Bartlett pears (Pacific Coast
States) and prunes (California).

THE NEXT ISSUE OF THIS REPORT, WHICH WILL BE PUBLISHED ON
JULY 12, 1990, WILL INCLUDE:

Indicated area harvested, yield and production as of July
1 for all wheat, winter wheat, durum, and other spring wheat,
oats, barley, flue-cured tobacco, and summer potatoes. Planted
acres and indicated area harvested for fall potatoes. Percent
of acreage planted for 1990 fall potatoes by types (11 major
States). Acreage planted for certified seed potatoes (fall
States).

ee eH HE OO ORF

*
Indicated production of wheat by classes (U.S.), commercial *
apples, apricots, peaches, pears, sweet cherries, tart cherries*
(Western States), nectarines, almonds, walnuts, and 1989-90
citrus fruits, grapes (California), prunes (California), and
plums (California); papaya acreage and production; condition
of pastures and ranges.

HO OO OO OO OO OOO OO OO OF

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available
* reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608,

* Rockville, MD. 20849-1608 or call 800-999-6779.
RIRRRISIIRI IAI IIA R ITA III IAAI IIIT ARR IISA II IAAI ISSA ISSA ISA IIIA,

eo OO

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-11 NASS, USDA



GRAPEFRUIT: ‘The June 1 U.S. grapefruit forecast is 48.4 million boxes,

unchanged from May 1, but 30 percent below last season. The
Florida all grapefruit forecast, at 35.7 million boxes, is unchanged from
last month but 35 percent less than last year. Harvest is virtually
complete.

The Texas grapefruit forecast, at 2.00 million boxes, is unchanged
from May 1, but 58 percent under last season's production. Harvest is
complete. The California "Desert Valley" grapefruit forecast, which was
carried forward from April 1, is 3.70 million boxes, 6 percent greater
than the 1988-89 level. California's "Other Areas" grapefruit crop
forecast, which was also carried forward from the April 1 forecast, is
5.00 million boxes, up 11 percent from last season. Arizam's forecast,
carried forward from April 1, is 2.00 million boxes, up 3 percent from
last season.

The change in U.S. grapefruit production between the June 1
forecast and final production averaged 705 thousand boxes over the past
ten seasons, ranging from a low of 50 thousand boxes in 1987-88 to a high
of 2.15 million boxes in the 1981-82 season.

TANGERINES: The U.S. all tangerine forecast of 4.05 million boxes is the
same as last month but 28 percent less than last season.
This forecast includes Dancy, Robinson, Honey, and Sunburst varieties of
tangerines in Florida, as well as production of California and Arizona
tangerines. Florida Sunburst tangerines are included in the State and
U.S. totals beginning with the 1989-90 season. Production estimates
shown for previous seasons do not include this new varietal tangerine.

The Florida forecast is 1.70 million boxes, unchanged from May 1
but 41 percent below 1988-89. Florida harvest is complete. Arizona and
California production forecasts were carried forward at 600 thousand and
1.75 million boxes, respectively.

TANGELOS: The Florida Tangelo crop, excluding K-early citrus fruit, is

forecast at 2.95 million boxes, unchanged from the previous
month but 22 percent below last season's utilized production. Harvest
is complete.

TEMPLES: Florida's Temple forecast of 1.40 million boxes is unchanged
from May 1, but 63 percent less than last season's utilized
production. Harvest is complete.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Many counties in Florida suffered near drought condi-

tions during May. Growers and caretakers irrigated
around the clock where allowed by water control districts. There was
some wilt in non-irrigated groves, and possibly a little premature fruit
@rop caused by the lack of moisture. Lakes, ponds, and streams are very
low at this time, and some are no longer usable. New crop fruit
continues to make good progress due to the early bloom this year and
supplemental waterings. Well cared for young tree groves have a lot of
new foliage. Harvest of Valencia oranges was generally active during
May, averaging about two million boxes per week. This limited volume
movement. slowed considerably by the end of the month as supplies were
running very low. Grapefruit harvest was virtually completed by the end
of May, with only a few thousand boxes remaining.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B7 NASS, USDA



MAY WEATHER SUMMARY

Extensive storm systems raked much of the eastern two-thirds of the
Nation with severe weather and heavy rains throughout the month. The
drenching rains caused widespread flooding and soggy fields which delayed
planting in the Corn Belt and South Central States. During the first
part of the month, continuing torrential rains produced some of the worst
flooding in a century in Oklahoma, Texas, and Arkansas. Unusual late
season Pacific storms caused generally beneficial showers in the West,
relieving long-term drought. Dry weather again prevailed over portions
of the northern Plains and southern Atlantic Coast states. Heavy rains,
jNowever, due in part to the Atlantic Ocean's first tropical depression,
did ease long-term drought conditions in southeastern Florida.

MAY FIELDWORK

Rain slowed fieldwork in the Corn Belt and portions of the Delta
during May. The number of days suitable for fieldwork averaged one day
or less in Missouri, Illinois, Wisconsin, Indiana, and Ohio during the
third week of the month. Soil moisture was mostly surplus to adequate
in the Corn Belt at the end of May. In the central and southern Great
Plains soil moisture was mostly adequate, but the northern Great Plains
was dry. Near the end of May, Yome beneficial rains fell in the northern
Great Plains but more was needed, especially in North Dakota. The
Pacific Northwest received some rain at the end of May, but additional
moisture was needed. Soil moisture was short to adequate in most of the
West. Most of the East had adequate soil moisture, but rain was needed
in Georgia, Florida, and South Carolina.

At the beginning of May, corn planting was 50 percent (%) complete,
3 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Rain and wet field
conditions slowed planting progress in most of the Corn Belt and portions
of the Delta during the month. During the third week of May, planting
came to a near stand-still in Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, and Ohio.
Cool temperatures slowed emergence and growth in Nebraska and South
Dakota. By May 27, corn planting was 81% complete, 13 points behind
nomal. Planting Tagged 20 or more points behind normal in Illinois,
yndiana, Kentucky, and Missouri. Planting lagged 47 points behind normal

Missouri.

As May began, cotton planting was 39% complete, 5 points behind
normal. Planting lagged behing normal in portions of the Delta but was
nearly complete in Arizona and California. Rain continued to slow
fieldwork in the Delta, Missouri, and Tennessee. By midmonth, fields
were setting bolls in ‘the Rio Grande Valley of Texas. Cool weather
slowed growth in the Plains area. By the end of May, planting was 83%
complete, 7 points ahead of normal, in the major producing States.
Planting still lagged behind normal in Arkansas, Missouri, and Tennessee
but was near or ahead of normal elsewhere. Fields were beginning to
square in Alabama and Georgia.

Early in May, soybean planting was underway in all 19 major
producing States except Arkansas. Rain and wet field conditions slowed
planting in the Corn Belt and portions of the Delta during the month.
By May 27, planting was 26% complete, 34 points behind normal, Planting
lagged 45 or more points behind normal in Illinois, Iowa, and Missouri.
Planting lagged 38 points behind normal in Indiana and Nebraska.

Early in May, rain Slowed sorghum planting in the central Great
Plains and portions of the Delta and Corn Belt. About midmonth, fields
were heading in the Rio Grande Valley, Texas. At the end of May,
planting was 42% complete, 11 points behind normal in the 12 major

ing States. Planting continued to lag behind normal, especially
in Illinois, Missouri, and Nebraska but was near or ahead of normal in
Kansas and Texas.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-2 NASS, USDA


MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE : TOTAL 1/ IND
1988 1989 1990
TONS
PLUMS
CA 216,000 213,000 210,000
PRUNES (DRIED BASIS)
CA 151,000 2/226,000 160,000
APRICOTS
CA : 95,000 115,000 115, 900
UT : 500 400 200
WA : 6,100 1,600 7,000
Us : 101,600 1173000 122} 200
NECTARINES
CA 200,000 200,000 205,000
1,000 POUNDS
ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS)
cA 590,000 490,000 670,000

1/ APRICOTS - INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (TONS):
US, 1988-8100; 1989-4050. 2/ REVISED.

BARTLETT PEARS

CROP AND STATE

- IND

1990
CA : 291,000 298,000 310,000
OR : 68;000 67,000 75,000
WA : 147,000 1575000 160,000
US : 506,000 522,000 545,000

FRESH PRODUCTION

MONTH : TOTAL IN CROP

1990: FORECAST
: 1990

1/ FOUR MONTH FORECAST TEMPORARILY SUSPENDED. SEE PAPAYA COMMENTS ON PAGE B-9

FOR MORE DETAILS.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-10 NASS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR 65-79; VERY POOR, 50-64;
SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CHERRIES

UT : ; 13700 15600
WA : 62,000 84) 000 605000
TOTAL : 155,600 167,400 130,875

: MILLION POUNDS

TART
co 1.3 0.5
OR 4:0 15:0
UT 11:0 24:0

5

1d yANCKUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD: SWEET RIES
ONS) 1988-1560, 1989-2300, TART CHERRIES (MILLION POUNDS), 1988-1.9, 1989-0.5.
RELEASE DATE OF THE FIRST FORECAST FOR THE GREAT LAKES STATES (NY, PA, AND
1) FOR SWEET AND TART VARIETIES, PLUS WI FOR TART VARIETIES, IS JUNE 21.
3/° NO SIGNIFICANT COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION DUE TO FROST.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-7 NASS, USDA


WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, UNITED STATES 1/

WINTER
YEAR : HARD : SOFT :
: RED =: RED : WHITE
: ~""""""},000 BUSHELS
1988 : 881,883 472,662 207,365 181,202 44,831 24,258 1,812,201
1989 : 711,110 548,049 194,683 433,455 92/229 56,292 2,035,818

1990 2/ : 1,213,879 592,145 283,210

1/ WHEAT CLASS ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON VARIETAL ACREAGE SURVEY DATA AVAILABLE
FOR ALL WHEAT PRODUCING STATES. UNLESS UNUSUAL SITUATIONS DICTATE, THE PRE-
VIOUS END-OF-SEASON CLASS PERCENTAGES ARE USED THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST SEA-
SON.

2/ INDICATED JUNE 1, 1990.

DURUM WHEAT

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE : : IND: : IND: : : IND

: 1989 1990 : 1989 1990 : 1988 1989 1990

1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

AZ : 84 54 90.0 87.0 4,300 7,560 4,698
cA : 105 49 83.0 95.0 55605 8,715 4.655
MN : 29 VY 36.0 2/ 840 1,084 2/
MT : 335 1/ 18.0 2/ 2,070 6,030 2
ND : 3,000 / 22.0 2/ 31,200 +~—«66, 000 2/
SD : 120 1/ 24.0 2/ 816 2,880 2/
US =: 3,673 V 25.1 2/ 44,831 «92,229 2/

1/ AVAILABLE IN "ACREAGE" RELEASE JUNE 28, 1990.
2/ TO BE PUBLISHED IN JULY "CROP PRODUCTION" RELEASE JULY 12, 1990.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-6 - NASS, USDA


Early in May, rain slowed sorghum planting in the central Great
Plains and portions of the Delta and Corn Belt. About midmonth, fields
were heading in the Rio Grande Valley, Texas. At the end of May,
planting was 42% complete, 11 points behind normal in the 12 major
producing States. Planting continued to lag behind normal, especially
in Illinois, Missouri, and Nebraska but was near or ahead of normal in
Kansas and Texas.

On May 6, rice seeding was 34% complete, 33 points behind normal.
Rain slowed seeding in portions of the Delta. By May 27, seeding was 83%
complete, 13 points behind normal. Crop condition was mostly good to
fair with 65% of the crop emerged, 19 points behind normal. In Arkansas,
seeding was 67% complete, 27 points behind normal. Arkansas' crop was
in mostly fair condition.

Spring wheat seeding was 75% complete, 10 points ahead of normal
on May 6. Seeding was complete in South Dakota and nearly complete in
Idaho. By the third week of May, seeding was nearly complete in the 5
major producing States. By the end of May, crop condition was good to
fair with 89% of the acreage emerged, 5 points ahead of normal. North
Dakota's crop was good to fair.

Winter wheat was good to fair during May. Harvest was underway in
Texas and California as the month began. Cool temperatures slowed crop
development in the central Great Plains and portions of the Corn Belt
during the month. Kansas' winter wheat was in good to excellent condi-
tion. Near the end of May, rain improved winter wheat conditions in
eastern Oregon and Washington but more rain was needed. Excess moisture
was causing some disease problems in Arkansas and Missouri.

WINTER WHEAT: Production is forecast at 2.09 billion bushels as of June

1, 1990. This is virtually unchanged from the May 1
forecast but up 44 percent from 1989. Harvested area, at 50.7 million
acres, is slightly below May 1 but up 22 percent from last year. Yields
are now expected to average 41.2 bushels per acre, up 0.1 bushel from May
1 and 6.1 bushels higher than in 1989.

As of June 3, 1990, heading had begun in all major producing
States. Conditions continue to vary. Wet conditions have caused yield
declines in the Delta area. Early harvested fields in Arkansas had low
test weights, and diseases are a problem. The Missouri crop is
developing late, with about 23 percent turning color as of June 3. This
is 10 days behind average. Indiana's crop is 96 percent headed. Some
freeze damage in southern counties is evident but the wheat in central
and northern counties is rated good to excellent. Test weights are
higher than expected in Georgia. Harvest is starting in North Carolina.

‘tures and moisture have favored Colorado's crop. Moisture
conditions are favorable in Montana's major growing areas. Condition of
South Dakota's winter wheat improved during May; crop development trails
average. Nebraska's wheat is rated in fair to good condition with 80
percent headed; Russian wheat aphid infestation in the Panhandle is the
biggest problem as of June 1. May weather was ideal for the Kansas crop,
but diseases are a concern in central and eastern counties. The Texas
harvest has progressed northward to the Low Plains. Winds and hail
caused some lodging in the High Plains.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-3 NASS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

EE PRODUCTION =: ~~SSSC#RODUCTION
BOXES : TON EQUIVALENT

UTILIZED

UTILIZED

AZ 4/3 610 550 400 23 21 15

CA > 31,500 34,000 43,000 1,182 1,275 1,613

FL : 783500 85,300 68,100 3,532 33839 33065

1X 4/3 940 1,200 15050 40 51 45

US : 111,550 121,050 112,550 4,777 5,186 4,738

ORANGES, VALENCIA:
4/: 1,210 1,150 1,500 45 43 56

CA : 273500 243800 28,000 1,031 930 1,050

FL : 593500 61,300 42,000 23677 2,759 13890

1X : 490 650 155 21 28 7

Us : 88,700 987,900 71,655 3,774 3,760 3,003

ALL ORANGES :
AZ 4/: 1,820 1,700 1,900 68 64 71
CA : 593000 _58;800 (71;000 2,213 2,205 2,663
FL : 1383000 146,600 110;100 6,209 6,598 43955
1X > "13430 15850 15205 61 79 52
US 200;250 208,950 184,205 8,581 8,946 7,741
TEMPLES

FL 3,550 3,750 1,400 160 169 63
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE

SEEDLESS

FL 29,200 27,700 18,000 1,241 1,177 765
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED

SEEDLESS

FL 21,900 23,700 16,300 930 1,007 693
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT

FL : 2,750 3,350 1,400 117 142 60
ALL GRAPEFRUIT :

AZ 4/: 1,950 1,950 2,000 63 63 64
DESERT : 4,200 3,500 3,700 134 112 118
OTHER AREAS =: 4,900 4,500 55000 164 151 168
TOTAL 4/: 93100 —_8;000 8} 700 298 263 286

FL :  §33850 54;750 35,700 2,288 2,326 1,518

1X : 33800 43800 2}000 152 192 80

US : 68,700 69,500 48,400 2,801 2,844 1,948

TANGERINES :

AL 4/: 600 650 600. 23 25 23

CA 4/: 2,090 2,040 1,750 78 76 66

FL 5/: 3450 23900 15700 117 138 1

iS 5,140 5,590 43050 218 239 170

LEMONS 4/

AZ : 3,650 3,800 2,900 139 144 110

CA : iy 000 16,200 16,500 646 615 627

U : 203650 203000 19,400 785 759 737

TANGELOS
FL 4,200 3,800 2,950 189 171 133

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND. ENDS, WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS. PER BOX: ORANGES-CA & AZ-75
TX;895 GRAPEFRUIT-CA DESERT & AZ-64, CA GTHER-67, FL-B5,, 1X-80; tEMONS. Yee TAN?
GELOS’& TEMPLES- 205" TANGERINES: CA & AZ-75, FL-95. "NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS
VARIETIES IN CA AND AZ. EARLY AND MID- SEABcH vakien ES EN FL AND TX) INCLUDING
SHALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN Tk. ATES FOR C YEAR ARE CAR:

RIED FORWARD. FROM EARI TER FORECAST. SALT TANGERINESTM INCLUDE. SUNBURST

5,
TANGERINES BEGINNING WITH THE 1989-90 lath

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-9 NASS, USDA


NECTARINES: The initial forecast for the California nectarine crop is

205 thousand tons, 3 percent greater than both last season
and the 1988 crop year. Harvest has begun with approximately 7 percent
of the crop picked. Good sizes and excellent quality are being reported.

ALMONDS: The June 1 forecast for the 1990 California almond crop is a

record high 670 million pounds shelled basis, 5 percent above
last month's forecast and 37 percent above the 1989 production. This
forecast, if realized, will be 2 percent above the previous record large
crop set in 1987.

The California almond crop appears to be in excellent condition.
The recent Memorial Day rains should help the fruit size. However,
temperatures have slowed maturity. No major insect problems are being
encountered.

BARTLETT PEARS: Production in California, Oregon, and Washington is
forecast at 545 thousand tons, up 4 percent from last
year and 8 percent more than 1988.

California's crop is in good condition. Late May rains and the
cool temperatures that followed have slowed fruit growth. There has been
some wind damage. Warmer temperatures and less wind are needed for
normal maturing of the fruit.

Bloom was 1-2 weeks earlier than normal in Oregon. Pollination
conditions were excellent. Frost control was necessary in late April and
early May, but there were no reports of significant damage. The crop is
currently in good condition.

Cool weather in May slowed development of the Washington crop which
is about on a normal schedule. Spring weather was excellent for good
pollination and the fruit set was good.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii's fresh papaya production is estimated at 5.39 million

pounds for May, 9 percent higher than April but 2 percent lower
than a year ago. Cumulative sales for January-May remained relatively
unchanged from the comparable 5-month period of 1989.

Crop area totaled 3870 acres, 1 percent lower than April and 9
percent lower than last May. Harvested area, totaling 2450 acres, was
2 percent less than last month but 2 percent more than a year ago.
Weather conditions were mostly favorable for papaya production in May
with a mixture of sunshine and showers throughout the month.

The forecast of fresh-market papaya production has been temporarily
suspended. This action is being taken because of the recent inconsistent
performance of the forecast model. A review of current procedures and
further research will be conducted to determine if the results and
predictability of the model can be improved. The estimate of actual
fresh-market utilization will be continued.

This decision was reached jointly among representatives of the
papaya industry, the Agricultural Statistics Board, and the Hawaiian
Agricultural Statistics Service.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-9 NASS, USDA


Crop

Production a

Fact Finding Satis
ir Agbaee ‘Boost
‘Sime 1833
‘Washingon, DC

RELEASED: June 12, 1990
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

WINTER WHEAT production as of June 1, is forecast at 2.09 billion bushels. This

is down less than 3 million bushels from Tast month but still 44 percent
higher than in 1989. Yields are now expected to average 41.2 bushels per acre,
up 0.1 bushel from May 1.

ORANGE production is forecast at 184 million boxes, 3 percent above last month

but 12 percent below last season. This decline is due mostly to Florida’s
25 percent decrease from the 1988-89 crop. The severe freeze in Florida’s cit-
rus belt during December 24 and 25 further reduced an already short orange crop.

PEACH production, including California’s Clingstone crop, is forecast at 2.13

billion pounds, 9 percent less than last year and 19 percent below 1988.
Freestone production is forecast at 1.13 billion pounds,. down 16 percent fram
1989 and 30 percent less than 1988. The California Clingstone crop, at 1.00
billion pounds, is 1 percent more than a year ago. Heavy rains in late May did
not cause major damage to the California peach crop.

BARTLETT PEAR production, in the 3 Pacific Coast States, is forecast at 545
thousand tons, up 4 percent from last year and 8 percent more than 1988.
The crop is in good condition in these States.

SWEET CHERRY production, in the 6 Western States, is forecast at 131 thousand

tons, a decrease of 22 percent from 1989 and 16 percent less than 1988.
In California, the Memorial Day weekend rain devastated the crop. California,
the only State to forecast sweet cherries last month, lost over half of their
expected production.

ALMONDS production is forecast at a record high 670 million pounds, shelled

basis, 5 percent above last month’s forecast and 37 percent above the 1989
production. This forecast is 2 percent above the previous record large crop set
in 1987. The California almond crop appears to be in excellent condition.

SPRING POTATO production is forecast at 23.8 million cwt, slightly below last
month but 14 percent above the 1989 crop. The average yield is forecast

at 253 cwt per acre, 2 cwt below last month but 18 cwt above the 235 cwt of last
year.

CrPr 2-2 (6-90) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127



SUGARBEETS 1/

AREA : AREA :
PLANTED : HARVESTED :
STATE. f------2--222 22 nc een nn elec ence cence ce cence cence nc ne ec ec eeeseeeeeees
1988 : 1989 2/ 1988 1989 2/ 1988
1,000 ACRES

cA 215.0 176.0 212.0 169.0 25.0 27.3
CO 39.1 40.6 38.6 40.0 22.8 22.8
1D 168.0 179.0 166.0 177.0 24.6 22.8
MI 152.0 154.0 145.0 150.0 16.5 1701
MN 339.0 342.0 334.0 341.0 14.2 16.0
MT 49.6 52.7 48.9 51.9 21.1 19.9
NE 63.9 69.9 62.2 62.4 21.2 18.7
NM 0.7 4/ 0.7 4/ 12.9 4/
ND 177.8 180.2 175.5 180.1 14.7 15.7
OH 173 13.6 14.7 11.9 15.9 16.7
OR 14.3 15.9 14.1 15.2 26.7 25.7
TX 34.0 36.6 33.0 35.3 21.9 21.0
WY 56.5 61.8 56.0 59.3 20.3 19.2
OTH 5/: 1.9 1.6 27.5
US : 1,327.2 1,324.2 1,300.7. 1,294.7 19.1 19.4

PRODUCTION “PRICE PER TON VALUE OF PRODUCTION

1988 : 19892/ : 1988 : 1989 3/ 1988 1989 3/

1,000 TONS DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS
CA: 5,300 4,614 36.70 194,510
co: 380 912 42.10 37,048
1D: 4,084 4,038 43.30 176,837
MI: 2,393 2,565 36.00 86,148
MN: 43743 5,456 43.90 208,218
MT: (1,032 1,033 45.20 46,646
NE: 1,319 1,167 43.20 56,981
NM: 9 4/ 41.30 372
ND: 2,580 2,828 44.00 113,520
oH: 234 199 35.20 8,237
oR: 376 391 40.70 15,303
X : 723 743 37.60 27,185
Woo: so1,137 1,139 45.10 51,279
OTH 5/: 44
US : 24,810 25,129 41.20 1,022,284

1/__RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED
BEETS IN CALIFORNIA. 2/ REVISED. 3/ ESTIMATES ARE NOT AVAILABLE. U.S.
MARKETING YEAR AVERAGE PRICE, VALUE OF PRODUCTION AND PARITY PRICE WILL BE
PUBLISHED IN "AGRICULTURAL PRICES," RELEASED JULY 31, 1990. STATE ESTIMATES
WILL BE PUBLISHED IN "CROP VALUES" TO BE RELEASED JAN 1991. 4/ COMBINED TO
AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS. 5/ INCLUDES NM AND WA.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1989 A-12 NASS, USDA


HOPS BY STATE AND VARIETY

STATE
AND
VARIETY

CALIFORNIA 1/

ID :
AQUILA : 2/ 110 100

BANNER : ry 110 110
CHINOOK : 220 220 290
CLUSTER : 490 490 600
EROICA : 430 350 320
GELENA : 520 540 530
WILLAMETTE : 130 2/ 2/
OTHER VARIETIES : 1,010 980 1,150
TOTAL : 2,800 2,800 3,100

OR :

FUGGLES : 850 801 608
GELENA : 150 149 99
MT HOOD : 2/ 2/ 47
NUGGET : 1,470 1,278 1,393
PERLE : 330 285 134
TETTNANG : 470 531 618
WILLAMETTE : 3,700 3,792 3,859
OTHER VARIETIES : 530 576 337
TOTAL : 7,500 7,412 7,095

WA :

AQUILA : 320 356 360
BANNER : 340 356 361
CASCADE : 920 1,297 1,270
CHINOOK : 1,000 1,269 13474
CLUSTER : 73950 6,374 6,097
EROICA : 640 472 439
GELENA : 4,900 5,735 6,235
HALLERTAUER : 2/ 2/ 70
MT HOOD : yy 2/ 513
NUGGET : 1,800 2,241 2,827
OLYMPIC : 270 279 280
PERLE : 580 779 818
TETTNANG : 2,200 2,410 2,362
WILLAMETTE : 2,050 2,507 23614
OTHER VARIETIES : 130 261 122
TOTAL : 23,100 24,336 25,842

us : 33,400 34,548 36,037

1/ COMBINED WITH WASHINGTON TO AVOID DISCLOSURE OF INDIVIDUAL OPERATIONS.
2/ INCLUDED IN OTHER VARIETIES.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-11 -NASS, USDA


PEACHES

PRODUCTION

AL : 24.

0 15.0 12.0
AR : 20.0 2.5 18.0
CA - FREESTONE : 523.0 524.0 530.0
co : 16.0 3/ 15.0
cT : 3.0 3.3 2.7
DE : 3.1 0.4 0.3
GA : 140.0 125.0 130.0
ID : 11.8 7.2 11.0
IL : 20.0 13.0 0.5
IN : 3.0 4.0 0.8
KS : 4.5 2.5 0.1
KY : 6.0 2.0 3/
LA : 6.0 1.4 4.5
MD : 12.8 7.6 2.2
MA : 2.2 2.1 1.7
MI : 45.0 55.0 45.0
MS : 4.0 1.0 4/
MO : 11.0 4.5 1.5
NJ : 85.0 70.0 50.0
NY : 14.1 12.5 13.0
NC : 36.0 12.0 8.0
OH : 6.0 8.0 5.0
OK : 26.0 25.0 8.0
OR 3 14.0 14.0 15.0
PA : 80.0 65.0 60.0
sc : 340.0 270.0 100.0
TN 3 11.0 1.3 1.5
1X : 18.0 14.0 24.0
UT : 12.5 11.0 7.5
VA : 29.0 15.0 2.5
WA : 50.0 44.0 50.0
Ww : 20.0 9.0 6.0
TOTAL ABOVE : 1,597.0 1,341.3 1,125.8

CLINGSTONE 2/
CA 1,017.0 992.0 1,000.0
ALL :

US : 2,614.0 2,333.3 2,125.8

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND HARVESTED NOT SOLD (MILLION POUNDS) :
UNITED STATES, EXCLUDING CA CLINGSTONE PEACHES, 1988-91.5, 1989-57.9. 2/ CA
CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS
(MILLION POUNDS): 1988-74.0; 1989-65.0. 3/ NO SIGNIFICANT PRODUCTION DUE TO
FROST. 4/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED.

CROP PRODUCTION. AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-8 NASS, USBA


In Georgia, March and April freezes damaged the crop in the
northern third of the State but the central and southern areas generally
escaped damage. With the mild winter, the crop developed 2 to 3 weeks
earlier than normal. Harvest began in mid-April in the southern part of
the State which is the earliest ever. In late April, central Georgia
experienced same hail damage.

Heavy rains in late May did not cause major damage to the
California Freestone crop. Fruit size and quality have been good. The
rains caused minimal damage to the Clingstone crop. There have been same
reports of pit splitting but it is not expected to be a major problen.
The fruit appears to be sizing well. Harvest should begin in about three
weeks.

Frost damage limited the production potential in most of the Ohio
River Valley and the mid-Atlantic States. The extremely cold weather in
December also caused tree damage.

ORANGES: ‘The U.S. June 1 all orange crop is forecast at 184 million

boxes for the 1989-90 season, up 3 percent from the May 1
forecast but 12 percent less than the 1988-89 season. The Florida crop
is 110 million boxes, up 2 percent from May 1 but 25 percent less than
last season. Production of early mid-season oranges this season in
Florida is 68.1 million boxes. Harvest is complete. The Florida
Valencia forecast, at 42.0 million boxes, is up 5 percent from May 1 but
31 percent below last season's utilized production. Harvest is virtually
complete.

The California Navel forecast is a record high 43.0 million boxes,
up 5 percent from May 1 and 26 percent greater than the 1988-89 crop.
As of June 1, 98 percent of California's Navel crop was harvested.
California's Valencia forecast is 28.0 million boxes, 4 percent above the
May 1 forecast and 13 percent greater than last season's utilized

production.

The Texas all orange forecast is 1.21 million boxes, unchanged from
last month but 35 percent below last season. Texas harvest is complete.
The all orange forecast for Arizona, which was carried forward from the
April 1 forecast, is expected to total 1.90 million boxes, 12 percent
more than last season's production.

Changes in U.S. orange production between the June 1 forecast and
final production averaged 2.97 million boxes over the past ten seasons,
ranging from a low of 780 thousand boxes in 1987-88 to a high of 5.88
million boxes in the 1980-81 season.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED ORANGE JUICE YIELD: The 1989-90 forecast of

yield for all Frozen
Concentrated Orange Juice (FCOOJ) for Florida is 1.23 gallons per box at
42.0 degrees Brix equivalent, slightly above last month's projection of
1.22 gallons per box. The forecast is projected to estimate the final
yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The
1988-89 yield for all fruit used in FOOU was 1.53 gallons per box at 42.0
degrees Brix.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-6é NASS, USDA


INDEX

ALMONDS 2.2 c cece cece cece cere cece cece ec ccccsseccscccetcssssceseses AMO

APRICOTS ...

| (0) a a

MOLASSES cc cece cece cece ec eeenccee see e ee ece cence nsncne eee cccc ences A-14
NECTARINES .......00eeeeeeeeeeee cece cece en eceeneenees see eeeeeeee eeeeee A-1O

PAPAYAS 2. cece sccceccccceccccencorenssee ee eee eeccccecees eee eeeeceees .« A-10

PEACHES ..eecccccccreccreeeccsnsces ee ers eevee ccenens A- 8
A-10
A-10
A-15
A-10

A- 2

A-14
tte c cece eeeeceeeeeeees AM12
see cececceeces be eeeeeeeeeeeces AU13

A-15

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-12 NASS, USDA

8U.S.GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE: 1990-261-409:20197/NASS


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
CROP : INDICATED : : INDICATED
1989 : 1990 : 1989: 1990
HECTARES
WINTER WHEAT : 22,294,780 23,150,700 16,782,090 20,499,980
SPRING POTATOES : 37,350 38,450 35,980 38,200

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE : PRODUCTION
: : : INDICATED
CROP : : INDICATED: [eeceeccnee cece eee eee ee
1989 =: 1999 : 1989 : MAY], : JUN],
: : : 1990 : 1990

METRIC TONS
WINTER WHEAT : 2.36 2.77 39,567,100 56,924,400 56,859,600

SPRING POTATOES : 26.29 28.31 945,830 1,084,630 1,081,500
PEACHES : 1,058,370 964,250
APRICOTS : 106,140 110,860
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 181,440 185,970
PLUMS (CALIF) : 193,230 190,510
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF): : 202,020 145,150
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 222,260 290,300 303,910
CITRUS FRUITS 1/ : 1988-89 1989-90 1989-90

ORANGES : 8,115,670 6,839,270 7,022,520

GRAPEFRUIT : 2,580,030 1,767,200 1,767,200

1/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLE-
TION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-4 NASS, USDA


SWEETPOTATOES

AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
1988 1989 1/ 1988 1989 1/
"000 ACRES
AL 4.2 4.0 4.1 3.9
cA mM 8:3 al 8:3
GA 413 5:0 45 4:8
LA 18:0 19:0 17:0 18:0
MD 0.9 0:6 0:9 0:5
MS 4:0 3:0 3:5 3:0
NJ 2.4 2:2 2:3 2:1
NC 35:0 35:0 34:0 34:0
SC 311 312 3:0 310
TN 0:8 0:6 0/8 0:6
x 7.8 7.8 74 7.0
vA 150 0:8 0:9 0:8
us 89.1 89.5 85.5 86.0
YIELD PRODUCTION
1988 1989 1/ 1988 1989 1/
cwT 1,000 CWT
AL 115 120 472 468
cA 170 175 1,207 1,453
6A 160 170 816
tA 145 160 2,465 2,880
MD 150 160 35 8
MS 100 95 350 285
Nd 75 80 173 168
NC 130 120 4,420 4,080
sc 100 110 300 0
N 90 100 72 60
x 7 90 518 630
VA 125 135 113 108
us 128 132 10,945 11,358
1/_ REVISED. ~
re AREA HARVESTED : YIELD: ~~ ~PRODUCTION.
STATE : Do : rors
1989 : 1990 : 1989 : 1990 : 1988 : 1989 : 1990
1,000 ACRES cwT 1,000 CWT
AL 5.4 5.7 240 150 662 «1,296 855
AZ 518 6.2 315 250 1,246 «13827 «1,798
cA : 21:0 22.5 375 37573546 = 73875 8, 438
HASTINGS : 28.0 28.7 195 240 «©=«6,228 «5,460 «= 6 888
OTHER > 70 8.3 200 220 525 1,400 13826
0:3 - i/ 90 1/ 20 27 1/
NC 1556 16.2 140 180 2,736 «= 2,184 = 2,916
1X 5:8 6.8 135 165 «13147 78313122
us 88.9 94.4 235 253 20,110 + 20,852 ~=—«-23, 843
1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED. ~~ °
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

JUNE 1990 A-15 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

May 26, 1990

Lomo TER (yowrsS, Yeans) DQOUGK? OB WET SPELLS WHICH ARE OEPICTED MOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY  sesedenprotminery oper
DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)
V2 May 26, 1990
"4 f Next Chart June 12
MODERATE y ‘MOIST
1) ° 1 CSEVERED~=2 U 4
?
% -—N MODERATE
EXTREME: N Vial A ‘ , wois' a
= Seer 7
24 a
”" fi
y
VERE, i MODERATE
aa
Ny Moist
‘
EXTREME: H
~ > /Cucist, MoIsT
My fa i Cra
1
SEVE! ‘ ] \ / MODERATE
MODERATE . we
fy SEVERITY INDEX (PALMER); DEPICTS“PRO- MoIs
Pee >
ao Seater dee AS WELL EVAPCARARSPLRATION oN
USES. . .APPLI! IM MEASURING DISRUPTIVE OF PROLONGED:
IR Ww ON WATER SENSITIVE ECONOMI! SIGHATING DI: SEvi
EUV TE AUER DMA eM Barta raewe
Mi TAT! ors «1S NOT GENERALLY INDICATIVE OF SHORT TERM (FEW WEEKS)’
LBL LPO EG sti DE NOM/ISDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY sav on poner moore
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

“JUNE 1990 B-1 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTEO

AREA HARVESTED

CROP INDICATED INDICATED
1989 1990 1989 1990
1,000 ACRES
WINTER WHEAT 55,091 57,206 41,469 50,656
SPRING POTATOES 92.3 95.0 88.9 94.4
UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCTION
to : INDICATED
CROP AND UNIT HINDICATED: 9 pene neec reece ceecneeceeee
: 1989 : 1990 1989 MAY 1, JUN 1,
: : 1990 1990
1,000
WINTER WHEAT BU : 35.1 41.2 1,453,842 2,091,614 2,089,234
SPRING POTATOES CWT : 235. 253 20,852 23,912 23,843
PASTURE AND :
RANGE FEED 1/ PCT: 74 © ~— 80
PEACHES LB: 2,333,300 2,125,800
APRICOTS TON : 117.0 122.2
NECTARINES (CALIF) " : 200.0 205.0
PLUMS (CALIF) my 213.0 210.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) * 226.0 160.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) LB 490,000 640,000 —«670,000
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ 1988-89 1989-90 1989-90
ORANGES BOX : 208,950 179,205 184,205
GRAPEFRUIT my 69,500 48,400 48,400

1/ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH. THE 1979-88 AVERAGE

IS 81 PERCENT.

2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLE-
TION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION
JUNE 1990

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

A-3

NASS, USDA


HOPS: Hop acreage strung for harvest is forecast at 36.0 thousand acres,

4 percent more than last year's harvested acreage and 8 percent
more than 1988. The Washington crop experienced excellent early spring
temperatures and early development was good. In May, the weather turned
cooler and wetter than normal slowing development. Warmer temperatures
are needed for favorable development.

SUGAR CROPS - 1989 REVISED: Production of sugarbeets in 1989 totaled

25.1 million tons, 1 percent above the 1988
output. The larger production resulted from a higher average yield than
a year earlier. Yield per acre in 1989 averaged 19.4 tons per acre,
compared with the previous year's average of 19.1 tons. Area harvested
totaled 1.29 million acres, nearly the same as the 1988 total of 1.30
million acres.

Production of sugarcane for sugar in 1989 totaled 28.1 million
tons, 1 percent less than in 1988. Reduced yield more than offset an
increase in acreage. Yield averaged 34.9 tons per acre compared with
35.9 tons a year earlier. The area harvested totaled 803 thousand acres,
1 percent more than a year earlier.

Total sugar production of 6.15 million tons raw value from the 1989
sugarcane and sugarbeet crops was off 5 percent from a year earlier.
Both cane sugar and beet sugar output were down from 1988. Sugar from
the 1989 sugarcane crop totaled 3.18 million tons raw value, off 7
percent from 1988. The Florida and Texas crops suffered freeze damage
and less sugar was recovered per ton of cane. Sugarbeets sliced from the
1989 crop totaled 24.3 million tons, fractionally below 1988. Sugar (raw
value) produced from the sugarbeet crop totaled 3.41 million tons, a 3
percent decline from the previous year. Average recovery of sugar per
ton of beets harvested was off 12 pounds from a year earlier.

SWEETPOTATOES: Final production of 1989 sweetpotatoes totaled 11.4 mil-

lion cwt, up 4 percent from the previous year but 2
percent short of 1987 production. Harvested acreage was 86.0 thousand
acres, up fractionally from 1988, but 3 percent below 1987. The average
yield of 132 cwt per acre was 4 cwt more than 1988 and 1 cwt above 1987.
The final estimate of production is 1 percent below the preliminary
estimate in January.

SPRING POTATOES: Production of spring potatoes is forecast at 23.8

million cwt, slightly below the May 1 estimate but 14
percent above last year's crop. Area for harvest is set at 94.4 thousand
acres, up 6 percent from last year and 18 percent above 1988. ‘The
average yield is forecast at 253 cwt per acre, 2 cwt below last month but
18 cwt above the 235 cwt of last year.

California harvest caught up to normal during May after a slow
start. Yields are lower than normal but quality is excellent. In
Arizona, most of the fresh market potatoes are harvested, while chip
harvest should last through June. Yields are good despite frost damage
on earlier fields.

In Texas, harvest is virtually finished in the Rio Grande Valley
and just starting in the Knox-Haskell area. Heavy rains hurt late fields
in the San Antonio-Winter Garden area. Earlier rains also hurt some
Alabama fields but harvest during May made good progress.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 B-10 NASS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF JUNE 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECAST

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based on mail and
objective yield surveys conducted just prior to June 1. Acreage for harvest is
based on information provided by both surveys. The yield estimate is based on
counts and measurements from a probability sample of wheat fields and on mail
reports from farmers on the condition and probable yield of the crop. Both
surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling errors common to all surveys.
This production forecast is also subject to change due to growing conditions
that may affect the crop after June 1.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 winter wheat
production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based
on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation
between the June ] production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage
of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1969-88 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes statistically
the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning
expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season
estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year’s forecast are not different
from those influencing recent years,

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 winter wheat production fore-
cast is 5.7 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
production forecast of 2.09 billion bushels will not be above or below the final
estimate by more than 5.7 percent or approximately 119 million bushels. Chances
are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not ex-
ceed 9.8 percent or approximately 205 million bushels. Differences between the
June 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate during the past
10 years have averaged 67 million bushels, ranging from 8 million to 145 million
bushels. The June 1 forecast has been below the final estimates 5 times and
above 5 times.

RIAA III RII AAI IIIR IIIS IIIA ISIS IS III ISI ISIS ISIS AISI SISA SAIS AIS ASSIS AISI ISAS

Jeffrey K. Geuder, Chartes A. Van Lahr,
Douglas A. Hasslen, frederic A. Vogel,
John 0. Witzig.

* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with *
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data *
* were prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which *
* consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington *
* headquarters. *
* *
* *
* AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: *
* APPROVED: Rich Allen, Chairperson *
* L. Duane Jewell, Secretary *
* *
* James E. Brewster, Thomas E. Kurtz, *
* Arvin R. Budge, Darwin E. Ransom, *
* Dennis S. Findley, Vaughn L. Siegenthaler, *
* Robert L. Freie, James L. Smith, *
* *
* *
* *
* *

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

RAIA III I III I III II SAI IIA I SISA II IIASA I SSIS IIA IS ISSA ISI IAS AIS ISIS ASIII ISAS SIA

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-2 NASS, USDA



SUGARCANE

PRODUCTION 1/

1988 : 1989 1988 1989 2/
1,000 ACRES ~ "3,000 TONS
FOR SUGAR:
FL : 404.0 © 405.0 31.6 31.4 12,766 «12,717
HI : 78.9 74.7 96.4 94.8 7,606 7082
LA 279.0 290.0 25.3 25.7 7,050 7,440
1K 31.7 33.6 33.3 24.7 15057 830
us : 793.6 803.3 35.9 34.9 28,479 28, 069
FOR SEED:
FL : 17.0 15.0 31.6 31.4 538 47
HI : 72 6.7 27.5 29/1 198 195
LA : 26.0 25.0 25.3 25.7 658 643
1X : 115 1.9 20.7 25.3 31 48
us : 51.7 48.6 27.6 27.9 1,425 1,357
FOR SUGAR:
AND SEED:
FL : 421.0 420.0 31.6 31.4 13,304 «13,188
HI : 86.1 81.4 90.6 89.4 7,804 7277
LA : 305.0 315.0 25.3 25.7 7,708 8,083
TX : 33.2 35.5 32.8 24.7 1,088 878
us : 845.3 851.9 35,4 34.5 29,904 ~—-29, 426
FOR SUGAR FOR SUGAR AND SEED
PRICE PER TON  :VALUE OF PRODUCTION :VALUE OF PRODUCTION 3/
1988 : 1989 4/: 1988 : 1989 4/: 1988 1989 4/
DOLLARS "7,000 DOLLARS
FL : 32.60 416,172 433,710
HI : 2760 209,926 215,390
tA : 26.20 184,710 201,950
TX > 24.60 26,002 26,765
us : 29.40 836,810 877,815

1/ YIELD AND PRODUCTION REFER TO NET WEIGHT. 2/ REVISED. 3/ PRICE PER TON
OF CANE FOR SUGARCANE USED IN EVALUATING VALUE OF PRODUCTION FOR SEED.

4/ ESTIMATES ARE NOT AVAILABLE. U.S. MARKETING YEAR AVERAGE PRICE, VALUE OF
PRODUCTION, AND PARITY PRICE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN “AGRICULTURAL PRICES,”
RELEASED JULY 31, 1990. STATE ESTIMATES WILL BE PUBLISHED IN "CROP VALUES" TO
BE RELEASED JAN 1991.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JUNE 1990 A-13 NASS, USDA