Cr Pr 2-2 (10-06)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released October 12, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Corn Production Down 2 Percent from September

Soybean Production Up 3 Percent from September

Cotton Production Up 2 Percent from September

Orange Production Down 11 Percent from Last Season

Corn production is forecast at 10.9 billion bushels, down 2 percent from both last month and 2005. Based on

conditions as of October 1, yields are expected to average 153.5 bushels per acre, down 1.2 bushels from

September but 5.6 bushels higher than last year. If realized, the yield would be the second largest on record,

behind 2004. Forecast yields are lower than September across the central Corn Belt as early harvest results

revealed that the hot, dry summer conditions had reduced yield potential more than anticipated. However,

producers in the northern and eastern Corn Belt reported better than expected yields due mainly to timely

rainfall during the growing season. Expected yields across the northern and southern Great Plains are

unchanged from last month. Based on administrative information, acreage updates were made in several

States bringing total corn planted acres to 78.6 million acres, down 1 percent from June and 4 percent lower

than 2005. Area harvested and to be harvested for grain, at 71.0 million acres, is down 1 percent from

September and 5 percent below 2005.

Soybean production is forecast at 3.19 billion bushels, up 3 percent from the September forecast and up

4 percent from the 2005 crop. If realized, this would be the highest production on record. Based on

October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 42.8 bushels per acre, up 1.0 bushel from September but

down 0.2 bushel from last year’s record high yield. Compared with last month, yield forecasts are unchanged

or higher in all States except South Dakota. The States with the largest expected increase from September are

Illinois and Virginia, both up 3.0 bushels from last month. Timely rains and cooler temperatures improved

yield expectations in the central and northern Corn Belt. Based on administrative information, acreage

updates were made in several States with soybean planted area now at 75.6 million acres, up 1 percent from

June and up 5 percent from 2005. Expected area for harvest, at 74.5 million acres, is up 1 percent from

September and 5 percent above 2005.

Revised 2005 soybean acreage, yield, and production were published in the September 29, 2006 Grain Stocks

report.

All Cotton production is forecast at 20.7 million 480-pound bales, up 2 percent from last month but down

14 percent from last year’s record high production. Yield is expected to average 774 pounds per acre, up

12 pounds from last month but down 57 pounds from last year. The October harvested area is expected to

total 12.8 million acres, unchanged from last month but down 7 percent from 2005. The higher production

forecast is a result of better than expected yields throughout the Delta and parts of the Southeast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 2 NASS, USDA

The initial U.S. all orange forecast for the 2006-07 season is 7.89 million tons, down 11 percent from last

season’s final utilization of 8.90 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast, at 135 million boxes (6.08 million

tons), is down 9 percent from the 2005-06 hurricane-reduced crop. This forecast is 44 percent lower than the

final utilization for the 2003-04 season which was Florida’s last non-hurricane-reduced crop. Early,

midseason, and navel varieties in Florida are forecast at 72.0 million boxes (3.24 million tons), 4 percent

below last season’s final utilization. Beginning with the current season, Temple oranges are included in this

category. Florida’s Valencia forecast is 63.0 million boxes (2.84 million tons), down 14 percent from last

season’s final utilization. Average fruit per tree is down from last year for all orange varieties and is attributed

to cold temperatures in mid-February which interrupted the bloom period, as well as lingering stress from last

year’s hurricane. This reduced fruit set is particularly evident in Valencia oranges, which at 428 fruit per tree

is the lowest on record.

California’s all orange production for the 2006-07 season is forecast at 46.0 million boxes (1.73 million tons),

down 20 percent from last season’s final utilization. The California navel orange forecast is carried forward

from September at 33.0 million boxes (1.24 million tons) and is down 27 percent from the previous season’s

utilization. This year’s long and wet spring has contributed to the lowest fruit set since the 2001-02 season. 

The initial 2006-07 forecast for California Valencia oranges is 13.0 million boxes (488,000 tons), up 8 percent

from last season’s utilization. The Valencia crop is developing normally, with no major problems reported. 

The number of fruit per tree is higher than last season, but acreage continues to decline.

The Texas forecast for all oranges is 1.78 million boxes (75,000 tons), 11 percent above last season’s final

utilization. Arizona’s all orange forecast, at 350,000 boxes (14,000 tons), is down 22 percent from the final

2005-06 utilization.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2006-07 season is forecast at 1.58 gallons

per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. This is down from the 2005-06 season’s yield of 1.63 gallons, as reported by the

Florida Citrus Processors Association. Projected yield from the 2006-07 early-midseason and Valencia

varieties will be published in the January Crop Production report. All projections of yield assume the

processing relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.

This report was approved on October 12, 2006.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Charles F. Conner

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Carol C. House
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Selected Crops: Area Planted and Harvested Updates ............................................... 4

Grains & Hay

Corn for Grain . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

 Ears Per Acre . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30

Hay, Alfalfa . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Hay, Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15

Rice . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

 Rice, by Class . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8

Sorghum for Grain .......................................................................... 7

Oilseeds

Canola . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Peanuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11

Soybeans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 9

 Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31

Sunflower . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

Cotton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12

 Cumulative Bolls Counts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 32

Cottonseed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

Sugarbeets . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16

Tobacco . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

Dry Edible Beans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts 

Apples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21

Grapes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23

Pecans . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22

Citrus

Grapefruit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Lemons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Tangelos . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Tangerines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Temples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35

Crop Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 47

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 45

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 4 NASS, USDA

Selected Crops: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2006

State Corn Sorghum Soybeans

Planted 1 Harvested Planted 1 Harvested Planted 1 Harvested

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

210

55

190

540

1,000

27

170

60

280

270

11,300

5,500

12,700

3,400

1,120

300

26

490

18

2,200

7,300

340

2,700

65

8,100

4

14

75

130

970

780

1,690

3,150

270

51

1,350

2

300

4,500

560

1,750

65

90

480

140

44

3,700

85

78,561

190

23

180

100

840

160

31

230

70

11,150

5,350

12,400

3,150

1,030

290

415

1,940

6,800

325

2,600

19

7,750

62

50

450

720

1,450

2,930

230

24

940

270

3,600

510

1,450

17

345

75

26

2,800

55

71,047

10

24

63

30

200

35

80

2,650

14

90

16

100

370

110

18

270

13

11

200

15

2,000

6,319

7

7

59

9

120

23

77

2,400

11

88

14

95

260

80

13

230

5

8

100

13

1,700

5,319

160

3,110

180

7

160

10,100

5,700

10,100

3,150

1,380

870

470

2,000

7,350

1,670

5,200

5,050

90

200

1,380

3,900

4,650

310

450

400

3,950

1,160

230

520

18

1,650

75,565

150

3,060

178

5

150

10,050

5,680

10,050

3,000

1,360

830

460

1,980

7,250

1,640

5,150

5,000

87

198

1,350

3,800

4,620

260

440

390

3,900

1,130

200

500

17

1,620

74,505

 1 Updated from the June 2006 “Acreage” report.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 5 NASS, USDA

Selected Crops: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2006 1

State

Canola

Sunflower

Oil Non-Oil All

Planted Harvested Planted Harvested Planted Harvested Planted Harvested

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CO

KS

MN

MT

NE

ND

SD

TX

Oth

 Sts 2

US

28.0

10.0

950.0

57.0

1,045.0

26.0

9.5

930.0

42.5

1,008.0

80

140

55

34

770

490

29

88

1,686

75

130

52

33

750

440

27

80

1,587

20

12

35

19

130

45

25

12

298

18

11

32

18

125

40

22

11

277

100

152

90

53

900

535

54

100

1,984

93

141

84

51

875

480

49

91

1,864

 1 Updated from the June 2006 “Acreage” report. 2 Other States for Canola include ID, MI, OK, OR, and WA.

Other States for Sunflower include CA, IL, MI, MO, MT, OK, WI, and WY.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 6 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

200

230

110

950

154

230

11,950

5,770

12,500

3,450

1,180

330

400

2,020

6,850

365

2,970

8,250

62

55

460

700

1,200

3,250

250

960

285

3,950

595

1,850

360

80

2,900

241

75,107

190

180

100

840

160

230

11,150

5,350

12,400

3,150

1,030

290

415

1,940

6,800

325

2,600

7,750

62

50

450

720

1,450

2,930

230

940

270

3,600

510

1,450

345

75

2,800

265

71,047

119.0

131.0

172.0

148.0

143.0

129.0

143.0

154.0

173.0

135.0

132.0

136.0

135.0

143.0

174.0

129.0

111.0

154.0

122.0

175.0

124.0

120.0

129.0

143.0

115.0

122.0

116.0

119.0

130.0

114.0

118.0

205.0

148.0

147.3

147.9

60.0

134.0

175.0

152.0

145.0

104.0

174.0

167.0

174.0

125.0

152.0

131.0

142.0

151.0

164.0

100.0

142.0

157.0

133.0

180.0

120.0

135.0

105.0

160.0

105.0

135.0

106.0

105.0

120.0

116.0

125.0

210.0

151.0

147.0

154.7

60.0

135.0

175.0

150.0

145.0

109.0

171.0

165.0

168.0

123.0

148.0

135.0

140.0

149.0

166.0

100.0

142.0

161.0

137.0

180.0

123.0

135.0

105.0

161.0

105.0

131.0

108.0

105.0

125.0

116.0

125.0

210.0

151.0

145.6

153.5

23,800

30,130

18,920

140,600

22,022

29,670

1,708,850

888,580

2,162,500

465,750

155,760

44,880

54,000

288,860

1,191,900

47,085

329,670

1,270,500

7,564

9,625

57,040

84,000

154,800

464,750

28,750

117,120

33,060

470,050

77,350

210,900

42,480

16,400

429,200

35,506

11,112,072

11,400

24,300

17,500

126,000

23,200

25,070

1,906,650

882,750

2,083,200

387,450

152,440

39,150

58,100

289,060

1,128,800

32,500

369,200

1,247,750

8,494

9,000

55,350

97,200

152,250

471,730

24,150

123,140

29,160

378,000

63,750

168,200

43,125

15,750

422,800

38,575

10,905,194

 1 Other States include AZ, FL, ID, MT, OR, UT, WV, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop

Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 7 NASS, USDA

Sorghum for Grain: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CO

IL

KS

LA

MO

NE

NM

OK

SD

TX

Oth

 Sts 1

US

62

110

83

2,600

88

130

250

97

240

85

1,850

141

5,736

59

120

77

2,400

88

95

260

80

230

100

1,700

110

5,319

80.0

31.0

92.0

75.0

99.0

76.0

87.0

45.0

52.0

52.0

60.0

72.9

68.7

84.0

32.0

107.0

60.0

96.0

83.0

80.0

35.0

40.0

40.0

48.0

69.4

57.3

84.0

29.0

104.0

60.0

96.0

78.0

81.0

35.0

35.0

40.0

48.0

67.3

56.6

4,960

3,410

7,636

195,000

8,712

9,880

21,750

4,365

12,480

4,420

111,000

10,280

393,893

4,956

3,480

8,008

144,000

8,448

7,410

21,060

2,800

8,050

4,000

81,600

7,405

301,217

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, KY, MS, NC, PA, SC, and TN. Individual State level estimates will be published in the

“Crop Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 8 NASS, USDA

Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AR

CA

LA

MS

MO

TX

US

1,635

526

525

263

214

201

3,364

1,400

526

345

189

214

149

2,823

6,650

7,380

5,900

6,400

6,600

6,800

6,636

6,720

7,700

5,750

6,900

6,900

7,400

6,846

6,760

7,600

5,750

6,900

6,700

7,000

6,811

108,792

38,836

30,983

16,832

14,124

13,668

223,235

94,640

39,976

19,838

13,041

14,338

10,430

192,263

Rice: Production by Class, United States,

2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

Year Long Grain Medium Grain Short Grain 1 All

1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

2004

2005

2006 2

170,445

177,527

142,909

58,689

42,408

45,725

3,228

3,300

3,629

232,362

223,235

192,263

 1 Sweet rice production included with short grain. 2 The 2006 rice production by class estimates are based on class harvested acreage estimates and the 5-year average class yield

compared to the all rice yield.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 9 NASS, USDA

Soybeans for Beans: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AL

AR

DE

GA

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MD

MI

MN

MS

MO

NE

NJ

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

145

3,000

182

175

9,450

5,380

10,000

2,850

1,240

850

470

1,990

6,800

1,590

4,910

4,660

91

188

1,460

2,900

4,480

305

420

420

3,850

1,100

230

510

1,580

25

71,251

150

3,060

178

150

10,050

5,680

10,050

3,000

1,360

830

460

1,980

7,250

1,640

5,150

5,000

87

198

1,350

3,800

4,620

260

440

390

3,900

1,130

200

500

1,620

22

74,505

33.0

34.0

26.0

26.0

46.5

49.0

52.5

37.0

43.0

34.0

34.0

38.5

45.0

36.5

37.0

50.5

28.0

42.0

27.0

36.0

45.0

26.0

41.0

20.5

35.0

38.0

26.0

30.0

44.0

34.0

43.0

17.0

36.0

28.0

24.0

48.0

50.0

49.0

31.0

46.0

32.0

33.0

40.0

40.0

26.0

41.0

50.0

31.0

42.0

30.0

29.0

46.0

18.0

40.0

26.0

34.0

38.0

20.0

28.0

42.0

35.4

41.8

17.0

36.0

30.0

24.0

51.0

51.0

50.0

31.0

46.0

32.0

35.0

40.0

42.0

26.0

41.0

51.0

33.0

42.0

31.0

29.0

46.0

19.0

41.0

28.0

33.0

38.0

21.0

31.0

43.0

37.7

42.8

4,785

102,000

4,732

4,550

439,425

263,620

525,000

105,450

53,320

28,900

15,980

76,615

306,000

58,035

181,670

235,330

2,548

7,896

39,420

104,400

201,600

7,930

17,220

8,610

134,750

41,800

5,980

15,300

69,520

851

3,063,237

2,550

110,160

5,340

3,600

512,550

289,680

502,500

93,000

62,560

26,560

16,100

79,200

304,500

42,640

211,150

255,000

2,871

8,316

41,850

110,200

212,520

4,940

18,040

10,920

128,700

42,940

4,200

15,500

69,660

829

3,188,576

 1 Other States include FL and WV. Individual State level estimates will be published in the “Crop Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 10 NASS, USDA

Sunflower: Area Planted by Varietal Type,

State and United States, 2005 1

State Varietal Type

Oil Non-Oil All

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CO

KS

MN

NE

ND

SD

TX

Oth Sts 2

US

150

255

75

60

910

500

50

104

2,104

65

45

60

39

230

50

95

21

605

215

300

135

99

1,140

550

145

125

2,709

 1 Revised. 2 Other States include CA, IL, MI, MO, MT, OK, WI, and WY.

Sunflower: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2004-2005 1 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

Varietal

Type &

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2 2004 2005 2006 2

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Oil

 CO

 KS

 MN

 NE

 ND

 SD

 TX

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

Non-Oil

 CO

 KS

 MN

 NE

 ND

 SD

 TX

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

All

 CO

 KS

 MN

 NE

 ND

 SD

 TX

 Oth

 Sts 3

 US

145

245

72

58

885

481

48

98

2,032

60

44

55

38

220

49

92

20

578

205

289

127

96

1,105

530

140

118

2,610

75

130

52

33

750

440

27

80

1,587

18

11

32

18

125

40

22

11

277

93

141

84

51

875

480

49

91

1,864

1,250

1,540

1,600

1,400

1,610

1,650

1,600

1,300

1,564

1,350

1,700

1,250

1,600

1,490

1,700

1,300

1,234

1,455

1,279

1,564

1,448

1,479

1,586

1,655

1,403

1,289

1,540

1,145

1,208

1,593

938

1,143

1,000

1,255

1,250

1,134

108,000

204,400

33,600

35,000

686,400

575,240

20,800

99,938

1,763,378

38,700

21,960

23,000

18,900

105,300

31,500

35,200

11,675

286,235

146,700

226,360

56,600

53,900

791,700

606,740

56,000

111,613

2,049,613

181,250

377,300

115,200

81,200

1,424,850

793,650

76,800

127,385

3,177,635

81,000

74,800

68,750

60,800

327,800

83,300

119,600

24,670

840,720

262,250

452,100

183,950

142,000

1,752,650

876,950

196,400

152,055

4,018,355

106,440

170,300

133,800

47,850

1,000,000

480,000

61,500

113,735

2,113,625

 1 2005 Revised. 2 2006 yield and production estimates for oil and non-oil varieties will be published in the “Crop Production 2006 Summary.” 3 For 2004, Other States include CA, GA, IL, LA, MI, MO, MT, NM, NY, OH, OK, PA, SC, UT, WA, WI, and WY. For 2005 and 2006, Other States include CA, IL, MI, MO, MT, OK, WI, and WY.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 11 NASS, USDA

Peanuts: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield and Production by State and

United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2004 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

AL

FL

GA

MS 2

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

200.0

145.0

620.0

17.0

105.0

35.0

35.0

240.0

33.0

1,430.0

225.0

160.0

755.0

15.0

19.0

97.0

35.0

63.0

265.0

23.0

1,657.0

160.0

130.0

580.0

16.0

16.0

85.0

23.0

60.0

155.0

17.0

1,242.0

199.0

130.0

610.0

17.0

105.0

33.0

33.0

235.0

32.0

1,394.0

223.0

152.0

750.0

14.0

19.0

96.0

33.0

60.0

260.0

22.0

1,629.0

158.0

120.0

575.0

15.0

16.0

85.0

22.0

56.0

150.0

16.0

1,213.0

State

Yield Production

2004 2005 1 2006

2004 2005 1 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

AL

FL

GA

MS 2

NM

NC

OK

SC

TX

VA

US

2,800

2,800

2,980

3,500

3,500

3,100

3,400

3,420

3,250

3,076

2,750

2,700

2,840

3,200

3,500

3,000

3,270

2,800

3,750

3,000

2,989

1,900

2,300

2,500

3,000

3,500

3,300

2,800

3,100

3,500

2,950

2,640

1,900

2,500

2,500

3,000

3,500

3,300

3,000

3,200

3,700

2,950

2,693

557,200

364,000

1,817,800

59,500

367,500

102,300

112,200

803,700

104,000

4,288,200

613,250

410,400

2,130,000

44,800

66,500

288,000

107,910

168,000

975,000

66,000

4,869,860

300,200

300,000

1,437,500

45,000

56,000

280,500

66,000

179,200

555,000

47,200

3,266,600

 1 Revised. 2 Estimates began in 2005.

Canola: Area Harvested, Yield and Production by State

and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

MN

MT 1

ND

Oth Sts 2

US

38.0

16.5

1,015.0

44.5

1,114.0

26.0

9.5

930.0

42.5

1,008.0

820

1,290

1,440

1,504

1,419

1,500

960

1,200

1,362

1,212

48,000

1,222,500

69,030

1,339,530

31,160

21,285

1,461,600

66,940

1,580,985

39,000

9,120

1,116,000

57,870

1,221,990

 1 Estimates began as part of the federal program in 2005. 2 For 2004, Other States include AL, AZ, CA, GA, ID, IN, KS, MI, MT, NY, OR, PA, SC, SD, and WA. For 2005 and 2006, Other

States include ID, MI, OK, OR, and WA.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 12 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Type, State,

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

Type

and

State

Area Harvested Yield Production 1

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds Pounds 1,000 Bales 2 1,000 Bales 2

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

545.0

229.0

1,040.0

428.0

85.0

1,210.0

66.0

600.0

1,200.0

438.0

51.0

810.0

240.0

265.0

635.0

5,600.0

92.0

13,534.0

4.1

229.0

11.5

24.0

268.6

545.0

233.1

1,040.0

657.0

85.0

1,210.0

66.0

600.0

1,200.0

438.0

62.5

810.0

240.0

265.0

635.0

5,624.0

92.0

13,802.6

535.0

208.0

1,160.0

283.0

104.0

1,330.0

110.0

620.0

1,210.0

500.0

50.0

865.0

220.0

298.0

695.0

4,200.0

104.0

12,492.0

7.0

274.0

13.0

30.0

324.0

535.0

215.0

1,160.0

557.0

104.0

1,330.0

110.0

620.0

1,210.0

500.0

63.0

865.0

220.0

298.0

695.0

4,230.0

104.0

12,816.0

747

1,289

1,016

1,194

762

849

638

878

859

947

1,016

852

716

743

848

723

955

825

820

1,170

918

870

1,127

747

1,281

1,016

1,186

762

849

638

878

859

947

998

852

716

743

848

724

955

831

449

1,338

1,034

1,272

462

614

567

890

793

1,032

1,008

832

415

693

863

617

738

750

891

1,270

997

960

1,222

449

1,324

1,034

1,271

462

614

567

890

793

1,032

1,006

832

415

693

863

620

738

762

471

1,338

1,076

1,272

577

614

524

968

833

989

979

832

458

701

863

617

822

763

891

1,244

775

960

1,191

471

1,324

1,076

1,258

577

614

524

968

833

989

937

832

458

701

863

620

822

774

848.0

615.0

2,202.0

1,065.0

135.0

2,140.0

87.7

1,098.0

2,147.0

864.0

108.0

1,437.0

358.0

410.0

1,122.0

8,440.0

183.0

23,259.7

7.0

558.0

22.0

43.5

630.5

848.0

622.0

2,202.0

1,623.0

135.0

2,140.0

87.7

1,098.0

2,147.0

864.0

130.0

1,437.0

358.0

410.0

1,122.0

8,483.5

183.0

23,890.2

525.0

580.0

2,600.0

750.0

125.0

1,700.0

120.0

1,250.0

2,100.0

1,030.0

102.0

1,500.0

210.0

435.0

1,250.0

5,400.0

178.0

19,855.0

13.0

710.0

21.0

60.0

804.0

525.0

593.0

2,600.0

1,460.0

125.0

1,700.0

120.0

1,250.0

2,100.0

1,030.0

123.0

1,500.0

210.0

435.0

1,250.0

5,460.0

178.0

20,659.0

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 480-lb. net weight bale.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 13 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production, United States,

2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Production

2004 2005 2006 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

US 8,198.1 8,172.1 7,256.0

 1 Based on a 3-year average lint-seed ratio.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 14 NASS, USDA

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures for Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AZ

CA

CO

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

MI

MN

MO

MT

NE

NV

NM

NY

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TX

UT

VA

WA

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

260

1,000

800

1,140

400

340

1,250

850

260

900

1,350

450

1,750

1,250

260

240

450

1,650

510

320

400

510

2,400

150

530

110

450

1,550

600

259

22,389

250

1,060

770

1,160

420

360

1,180

900

270

850

1,300

400

1,650

1,300

270

220

510

1,600

470

350

430

520

2,400

150

540

120

460

1,650

600

247

22,407

8.40

6.90

3.70

4.20

3.50

3.80

4.10

4.00

3.20

3.10

3.50

2.70

2.20

3.70

4.80

5.10

2.10

2.00

3.60

3.70

4.40

2.60

2.15

5.40

4.20

3.60

5.20

2.40

2.50

2.74

3.38

8.30

6.70

3.50

4.30

4.00

4.40

4.30

3.00

3.80

3.80

3.50

2.65

2.10

3.50

4.80

5.00

2.30

1.30

3.90

2.30

4.80

3.40

1.60

4.60

4.00

4.00

5.20

3.00

2.40

2.74

3.33

1,968

7,350

2,541

4,720

1,720

1,435

5,460

3,800

888

2,720

4,725

1,520

3,220

4,563

1,175

1,176

1,316

1,950

1,504

1,368

2,064

1,512

4,725

855

2,128

440

2,400

4,160

1,305

773

75,481

2,184

6,900

2,960

4,788

1,400

1,292

5,125

3,400

832

2,790

4,725

1,215

3,850

4,625

1,248

1,224

945

3,300

1,836

1,184

1,760

1,326

5,160

810

2,226

396

2,340

3,720

1,500

710

75,771

2,075

7,102

2,695

4,988

1,680

1,584

5,074

2,700

1,026

3,230

4,550

1,060

3,465

4,550

1,296

1,100

1,173

2,080

1,833

805

2,064

1,768

3,840

690

2,160

480

2,392

4,950

1,440

677

74,527

 1 Other States include AR, CT, DE, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NC, RI, TN, VT, and WV. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the “Crop Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 15 NASS, USDA

All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AR

CA

CO

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

730

1,290

550

750

550

270

330

310

350

2,050

2,150

350

250

700

730

3,550

1,250

1,600

1,200

680

1,380

690

2,600

600

1,090

1,600

1,850

4,900

1,210

290

540

500

540

1,830

39,260

710

1,400

540

770

600

340

350

290

420

2,000

2,250

350

310

720

780

3,550

1,100

1,650

1,300

760

1,360

740

2,700

650

1,130

1,500

1,800

5,200

1,150

330

560

500

510

1,970

40,290

2.70

1.70

3.70

1.50

3.00

2.20

2.30

2.50

2.10

1.60

2.30

2.30

2.00

1.90

2.90

1.55

1.60

1.45

1.40

2.40

1.70

2.60

1.50

2.30

1.90

1.50

2.30

1.70

2.60

3.00

1.80

1.50

1.30

2.16

1.91

1.40

1.90

3.30

1.80

2.30

2.10

2.40

2.80

2.10

1.40

2.20

2.70

2.30

1.50

1.40

1.70

1.60

1.30

1.80

2.30

1.00

2.60

1.30

2.30

2.40

1.10

2.20

1.80

1.70

2.90

1.80

1.70

1.10

2.11

1.80

2,295

3,500

1,870

1,125

1,620

630

840

868

780

4,080

5,040

1,110

550

1,170

1,656

7,900

1,540

1,860

1,600

1,750

1,716

1,728

4,590

1,560

2,784

2,145

4,750

11,440

2,832

992

954

720

756

4,015

82,766

1,971

2,193

2,035

1,125

1,650

594

759

775

735

3,280

4,945

805

500

1,330

2,117

5,503

2,000

2,320

1,680

1,632

2,346

1,794

3,900

1,380

2,071

2,400

4,255

8,330

3,146

870

972

750

702

3,954

74,819

994

2,660

1,782

1,386

1,380

714

840

812

882

2,800

4,950

945

713

1,080

1,092

6,035

1,760

2,145

2,340

1,748

1,360

1,924

3,510

1,495

2,712

1,650

3,960

9,360

1,955

957

1,008

850

561

4,151

72,511

 1 Other States include AZ, CT, DE, FL, ME, MD, MA, NV, NH, NJ, NM, RI, SC, UT, and VT. Individual State level estimates

will be published in the “Crop Production 2006 Summary.”
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 16 NASS, USDA

Sugarbeets: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

CA

CO

ID

MI

MN

MT

NE

ND

OH 2

OR

WA

WY

US

44.1

34.3

167.0

152.0

460.0

49.9

45.3

243.0

9.7

1.7

35.9

1,242.9

43.0

38.3

187.0

152.0

496.0

53.5

58.2

259.0

13.1

2.0

41.5

1,343.6

38.9

24.3

27.1

21.3

20.4

22.9

20.4

18.9

32.1

40.6

22.3

22.2

36.0

23.0

27.0

21.0

23.0

27.3

22.0

24.0

28.4

35.0

22.0

24.1

37.0

21.5

27.9

21.0

23.7

28.0

22.0

24.0

29.9

36.0

21.5

24.5

1,715

833

4,526

3,238

9,384

1,143

924

4,593

311

69

801

27,537

1,591

823

5,217

3,192

11,755

1,498

1,280

6,216

392

72

892

32,928

 1 Relates to year of intended harvest in all States except CA. In CA, relates to year of intended harvest for fall planted beets in

central CA and to year of planting for overwintered beets in central and southern CA. 2 No acreage reported in 2005 and 2006.

Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield 1 Production 1

2005 2006 2005

2006

2005 2006

Sep 1 Oct 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Tons Tons Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

FL

HI

LA

TX

US

401.0

24.2

455.0

42.4

922.6

405.0

22.3

435.0

46.5

908.8

31.8

75.0

22.9

38.3

28.8

35.4

79.0

24.0

38.9

31.2

34.8

79.0

26.0

38.9

31.9

12,746

1,814

10,420

1,624

26,604

14,094

1,762

11,310

1,809

28,975

 1 Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 17 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT 3

NE

NM 3

NY

ND

OR 3

SD

TX

UT 3

WA

WI 3

WY

US

66.0

125.0

100.0

13.0

235.0

145.0

18.0

175.0

6.3

25.0

620.0

9.0

17.5

17.0

4.5

49.0

5.7

34.0

1,665.0

67.0

75.0

105.0

11.0

225.0

145.0

18.0

140.0

8.6

25.0

670.0

10.0

21.5

20.0

3.0

70.0

5.7

29.0

1,648.8

65.0

115.0

98.0

12.5

230.0

135.0

14.1

172.0

6.3

23.0

565.0

8.8

17.4

15.3

4.5

48.0

5.7

33.0

1,568.6

65.0

70.0

103.0

10.0

220.0

140.0

15.0

130.0

8.6

21.5

630.0

9.8

17.0

19.0

2.9

68.0

5.6

27.0

1,562.4

Yield 4 Production 4

2005 2006 2005 2006

Pounds Pounds 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

CO

ID

KS

MI

MN

MT 3

NE

NM 3

NY

ND

OR 3

SD

TX

UT 3

WA

WI 3

WY

US

2,130

1,650

1,900

2,200

1,700

1,800

2,000

2,250

2,200

1,230

1,520

2,000

1,730

1,520

500

1,650

2,250

2,350

1,744

1,900

1,900

1,850

2,100

1,800

1,750

1,900

2,050

2,100

1,400

1,050

2,100

1,600

1,600

400

1,700

2,100

2,200

1,523

1,385

1,898

1,862

275

3,910

2,430

282

3,870

139

282

8,588

176

301

233

23

792

128

776

27,350

1,235

1,330

1,906

210

3,960

2,450

285

2,665

181

301

6,615

206

272

304

12

1,156

118

594

23,800

 1 Excludes beans grown for garden seed. 2 Revised from the August “Crop Production” report. 3 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 4 Cleaned basis.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 18 NASS, USDA

Winter Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield,

and Production by State and United States, 2005-2006 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

CA

FL

US

14.0

6.0

20.0

12.0

5.7

17.7

14.0

5.8

19.8

12.0

5.5

17.5

Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006

Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

CA

FL

US

250

240

247

260

250

257

3,500

1,392

4,892

3,120

1,375

4,495

 1 2006 revised.

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State and

United States, 2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT

FL 1

GA

IN 2

KY

MD 2

MA

MO 1

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV 3

WI 2

US

2,450

2,500

16,000

79,700

1,190

1,350

126,000

3,400

5,000

20,000

22,950

17,140

400

298,080

2,600

1,100

18,000

83,000

1,150

1,600

154,000

3,100

7,900

22,000

20,000

19,850

334,300

1,656

2,200

1,735

2,186

1,570

2,075

2,213

1,980

2,140

2,100

2,251

2,354

1,700

2,171

1,681

2,400

1,900

2,234

1,690

2,300

2,192

2,000

2,056

2,100

2,429

2,344

2,194

3,667

9,800

46,690

8,610

235,003

1,870

1,917

3,335

350,560

10,976

8,100

63,450

65,381

67,285

1,690

3,541

881,875

4,056

5,500

27,760

174,260

1,868

2,801

278,900

6,732

10,700

42,000

51,670

40,351

680

647,278

4,370

2,640

34,200

185,420

1,943

3,680

337,600

6,200

16,240

46,200

48,580

46,535

733,608

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Estimates discontinued in 2005. 3 Estimates discontinued in 2006.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 19 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 FL 1

 GA

 NC

 SC

 VA

 US

Class 2, Fire-cured

 KY

 TN

 VA

 US

Class 3, Air-cured

 Light Air-cured

 Burley

 KY

 MO 1

 NC

 OH

 PA 2

 TN

 VA

 WV 3

 US

 Southern MD Belt

 PA

 Total Light Air-cured

 Dark Air-cured

 KY

 TN

 VA 4

 US

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 PA Seedleaf

 PA

Cigar 5, Cigar Filler

 CT Valley Binder

 CT

 MA

 US

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 CT Valley Shade-grown

 CT

 MA

 US

 All Cigar Types

 All Tobacco

2,500

16,000

123,000

20,000

14,000

175,500

6,000

5,500

340

11,840

70,000

1,350

3,000

3,400

2,200

17,000

2,800

400

100,150

1,500

101,650

3,700

450

4,150

1,300

1,520

900

2,420

930

290

1,220

4,940

298,080

1,100

18,000

150,000

22,000

17,000

208,100

5,300

5,600

350

11,250

73,000

1,600

4,000

3,100

5,500

14,000

2,500

103,700

1,100

104,800

4,700

400

5,100

1,300

1,700

950

2,650

900

200

1,100

5,050

334,300

2,200

1,735

2,227

2,100

2,410

2,182

3,400

3,000

2,150

3,178

2,050

2,075

1,650

1,980

2,200

2,000

2,100

1,700

2,031

2,000

2,030

2,800

2,600

2,778

2,200

1,720

1,670

1,701

1,550

1,260

1,481

1,778

2,171

2,400

1,900

2,200

2,100

2,400

2,181

3,400

3,100

2,100

3,210

2,100

2,300

1,900

2,000

2,100

2,150

2,000

2,097

1,900

2,095

3,000

2,800

2,984

2,000

1,750

1,750

1,750

1,550

1,400

1,523

1,765

2,194

5,500

27,760

273,950

42,000

33,740

382,950

20,400

16,500

731

37,631

143,500

2,801

4,950

6,732

4,840

34,000

5,880

680

203,383

3,000

206,383

10,360

1,170

11,530

2,860

2,614

1,503

4,117

1,442

365

1,807

8,784

647,278

2,640

34,200

330,000

46,200

40,800

453,840

18,020

17,360

735

36,115

153,300

3,680

7,600

6,200

11,550

30,100

5,000

217,430

2,090

219,520

14,100

1,120

15,220

2,600

2,975

1,663

4,638

1,395

280

1,675

8,913

733,608

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Estimates began in 2005. 3 Estimates discontinued in 2006. 4 No sun-cured tobacco was harvested in 2005 or is expected to be harvested in 2006.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 20 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2004-05, 2005-06 and Forecasted October 1, 2006 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ

 CA 4

 FL 5

 TX

 US

 Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Temples 5

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 6

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 7

 CA 7

 FL

 US

Lemons

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

240

44,000

79,100

1,500

124,840

190

20,500

70,700

270

91,660

430

64,500

149,800

1,770

216,500

650

3,400

9,400

140

6,100

12,800

6,600

25,640

400

2,900

4,450

7,750

2,400

20,500

22,900

1,550

250

45,500

75,000

1,400

122,150

200

12,000

72,900

200

85,300

450

57,500

147,900

1,600

207,450

700

6,500

12,800

100

6,000

19,300

5,200

30,600

550

3,600

5,500

9,650

3,800

21,000

24,800

1,400

200

33,000

72,000

1,540

106,740

150

13,000

63,000

240

76,390

350

46,000

135,000

1,780

183,130

9,000

17,000

100

5,700

26,000

6,700

38,500

400

3,800

4,600

8,800

2,800

19,700

22,500

1,100

9

1,650

3,560

64

5,283

7

769

3,182

11

3,969

16

2,419

6,742

75

9,252

29

145

400

5

204

545

264

1,018

15

109

211

335

91

779

870

70

9

1,706

3,375

60

5,150

8

450

3,281

9

3,748

17

2,156

6,656

69

8,898

32

276

544

3

201

820

208

1,232

21

135

261

417

144

798

942

63

8

1,238

3,240

65

4,551

6

488

2,835

10

3,339

14

1,726

6,075

75

7,890

383

723

3

191

1,106

268

1,568

15

143

219

377

106

749

855

50

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos-90;

Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Estimates for current year carried forward from previous forecast. 5 Temples included in early and midseason orange varieties beginning with 2006-07 season. 6 Includes seedy. 7 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 21 NASS, USDA

Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,

2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006 1

State

Total Production

2004 2005 2006

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AZ 2

AR 3

CA 2

CO 2

CT 2

GA 2

ID 2

IL 2

IN 2

IA 2

KS 3

KY 2

ME 2

MD 2

MA 2

MI

MN 2

MO 2

NH 2

NJ 2

NM 3

NY

NC

OH 2

OR 2

PA

RI 2

SC 2

TN 2

UT 2

VT 2

VA

WA

WV

WI 2

US

37.0

1.9

355.0

28.0

19.5

12.0

80.0

56.5

60.0

5.3

2.8

7.7

47.0

34.1

42.0

730.0

25.0

48.0

30.5

40.0

4.6

1,280.0

155.0

90.0

163.0

405.0

2.2

6.0

11.0

32.0

41.5

300.0

6,150.0

81.0

57.0

10,440.6

22.2

355.0

31.0

15.5

14.0

70.0

49.0

50.0

2.1

5.5

31.0

41.0

28.5

780.0

22.0

49.0

21.0

45.0

1,040.0

130.0

99.0

145.0

515.0

1.6

4.0

8.5

38.0

33.0

280.0

5,800.0

87.0

52.0

9,864.9

30.0

360.0

16.0

16.0

12.0

70.0

53.0

57.0

4.5

7.0

28.0

38.0

31.0

800.0

23.0

57.0

27.0

45.0

1,120.0

175.0

104.0

155.0

450.0

1.7

3.0

11.0

22.0

34.5

240.0

5,700.0

90.0

62.0

9,842.7

 1 In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees. 2 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 3 Estimates discontinued in 2005.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 22 NASS, USDA

Pecans: Utilized Production by Variety, State, and United States,

2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

Crop and State

Utilized Production

2004 2005 2006

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Improved Varieties 1

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 LA

 MS

 MO 2

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TX

 US

Native & Seedling

 AL

 AR

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO 2

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TX

 US

All Pecans

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO 2

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TX

 US

1,000

14,000

1,000

3,500

400

42,000

2,500

700

39,000

70

6,000

800

28,000

138,970

100

700

100

3,000

1,800

6,500

300

30

22,000

300

12,000

46,830

1,100

14,000

1,700

3,500

500

45,000

1,800

9,000

1,000

39,000

100

28,000

1,100

40,000

185,800

3,200

22,000

1,100

3,900

300

72,000

1,000

800

200

65,000

1,650

6,000

1,500

50,000

228,650

800

1,200

700

8,000

3,200

4,000

200

2,400

350

15,000

700

15,000

51,550

4,000

22,000

2,300

3,900

1,000

80,000

3,200

5,000

1,000

2,600

65,000

2,000

21,000

2,200

65,000

280,200

5,100

15,000

850

3,200

400

40,000

4,000

2,000

150

46,000

1,000

6,000

1,000

25,000

149,700

900

750

500

5,000

2,000

15,000

500

1,350

200

14,000

500

11,000

51,700

6,000

15,000

1,600

3,200

900

45,000

2,000

19,000

2,500

1,500

46,000

1,200

20,000

1,500

36,000

201,400

 1 Budded, grafted, or topworked varieties. 2 Estimates began in 2005.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 23 NASS, USDA

Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2004-2005 and Forecasted October 1, 2006

State

Total Production

2004 2005 2006

Tons Tons Tons

 AZ 1

 AR 1

 CA

 All Types

 Wine

 Table 2

 Raisin 2

 GA 1

 MI

 MO 1

 NY

 NC 1

 OH 1

 OR 1

 PA

 TX 1

 VA 1

 WA

 All Types

 Wine

 Juice

 US

4,000

3,000

5,623,000

2,815,000

770,000

2,038,000

3,300

62,500

3,630

142,000

3,500

4,800

24,000

86,800

8,800

3,700

267,000

107,000

160,000

6,240,030

1,000

1,900

6,978,000

3,805,000

867,000

2,306,000

3,500

102,700

3,900

178,000

3,900

8,500

27,000

90,000

9,700

5,600

415,000

110,000

305,000

7,828,700

900

2,100

5,750,000

3,000,000

750,000

2,000,000

3,300

30,000

4,400

154,000

5,200

6,000

31,000

75,000

4,600

6,500

350,000

120,000

230,000

6,423,000

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from an earlier forecast. 2 Fresh basis.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production by Month, Hawaii, 2005-2006

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested 2005 2006

2005 2006 2005 2006

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Aug

Sep

2,350

2,330

2,160

2,140

1,435

1,445

1,335

1,335

2,360

2,665

2,105

2,535

 1 Utilized fresh production.

Prunes (Dried Plums): Total Production, California,

2004-2005 and Forecasted 2006 1

Crop

Total Production

2004 2005 2006

Tons Tons Tons

Prunes (Dried Basis) 49,000 90,000 170,000

 1 Survey of prune growers conducted from August 21 through September 13.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 24 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

3,875.0

81,759.0

4,246.0

565.0

3,384.0

1,433.0

6,454.0

57,229.0

40,433.0

2,760.0

14,036.0

1,159.0

983.0

49.0

1,657.0

2.4

165.0

72,032.0

2,709.0

14,245.4

13,975.0

270.4

1,299.8

42.5

1,665.0

808.0

450.0

1,109.1

20.0

68.0

53.4

967.7

91.0

3,452.0

78,561.0

4,168.0

575.0

2,841.0

1,396.0

6,319.0

57,344.0

40,575.0

1,870.0

14,899.0

1,045.0

718.0

42.5

1,242.0

1.8

221.0

75,565.0

1,984.0

15,281.0

14,955.0

326.0

1,362.8

41.0

1,648.8

895.0

420.0

1,138.7

17.7

71.1

59.4

990.5

96.0

3,269.0

75,107.0

5,920.0

61,649.0

22,389.0

39,260.0

1,823.0

515.0

3,364.0

279.0

5,736.0

311.0

50,119.0

33,794.0

2,716.0

13,609.0

1,114.0

955.0

44.6

1,629.0

2.0

160.0

71,251.0

2,610.0

13,802.6

13,534.0

268.6

1,242.9

922.6

298.1

24.5

1,568.6

765.9

439.0

6.1

0.1

29.5

76.0

1,086.9

19.8

66.7

51.4

949.0

17.7

88.4

0.4

2,951.0

71,047.0

62,697.0

22,407.0

40,290.0

1,576.0

2,823.0

274.0

5,319.0

46,810.0

31,117.0

1,815.0

13,878.0

1,008.0

704.0

40.5

1,213.0

1.6

212.0

74,505.0

1,864.0

12,816.0

12,492.0

324.0

1,343.6

908.8

334.3

24.5

1,562.4

856.6

402.0

0.1

28.9

1,116.4

17.5

69.7

54.8

974.4

93.4

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Acreage is not estimated. 4 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 25 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

“

Tons

“

“

“

Bu

“

Cwt

Bu

“

Tons

Bu

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Bu

Lbs

“

“

“

Bu

Lbs

Bales

“

“

Tons

“

Lbs

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

“

“

“

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

Cwt

Lbs

64.8

147.9

18.0

2.44

3.38

1.91

63.0

26.3

6,636

27.0

68.7

13.6

42.0

44.4

37.2

37.1

1,419

20.6

787

2,989

1,500

1,203

43.0

1,540

831

825

1,127

22.2

28.8

2,171

1,253

1,744

1,828

1,176

1,340

42,500

1,796

92

390

247

281

342

403

109

178

61.0

153.5

2.35

3.33

1.80

59.5

6,811

26.3

56.6

38.7

41.7

29.5

33.2

1,212

2,693

42.8

1,134

774

763

1,191

24.5

31.9

2,194

1,523

43,000

1,965

257

296

342

211,896

11,112,072

106,311

150,590

75,771

74,819

114,878

13,545

223,235

7,537

393,893

4,218

2,104,690

1,499,129

101,105

504,456

1,580,985

8,172.1

19,695

35,114

4,869,860

3,000

192,545

3,063,237

4,018,355

23,890.2

23,259.7

630.5

27,537

26,604

647,278

307

27,350

14,003

5,163

755

8,200

5,100

52,914.5

6,980

423,926

4,892

18,724

17,567

382,743

1,933

15,730

4,300

180,051

10,905,194

147,038

74,527

72,511

93,764

192,263

7,193

301,217

1,812,036

1,298,081

53,475

460,480

1,221,990

7,256.0

3,266,600

3,188,576

2,113,625

20,659.0

19,855.0

804.0

32,928

28,975

733,608

23,800

4,300

56,836.4

4,495

20,646

18,731

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 26 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Production

2005 2006 2007

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Tons

“

“

“

“

“

1,000 Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

“

Lbs

Tons

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

Gals

1,018

870

9,252

70

335

29

9,864.9

81.7

20,900.0

7,828.7

142.0

32,900.0

1,184.6

825.3

90.0

9.1

915,000

27.6

280,200

355.0

1,242

1,232

942

8,898

63

417

32

9,842.7

44.5

6,423.0

50.0

1,053.8

835.3

170.0

24.0

1,050,000

41.0

201,400

350.0

1,449

1,568

855

7,890

50

377

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2 Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3 Temples included in oranges beginning with the 2006-07 season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 27 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 4

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 4

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 5

1,568,170

33,087,050

1,718,310

228,650

1,369,470

579,920

2,611,870

23,160,000

16,362,830

1,116,940

5,680,230

469,040

397,810

19,830

670,570

970

66,770

29,150,630

1,096,310

5,764,970

5,655,540

109,430

526,020

17,200

673,810

326,990

182,110

448,840

8,090

27,520

21,610

391,620

36,830

1,396,990

31,792,850

1,686,750

232,700

1,149,720

564,950

2,557,240

23,206,540

16,420,300

756,770

6,029,480

422,900

290,570

17,200

502,620

730

89,440

30,580,400

802,900

6,184,070

6,052,140

131,930

551,510

16,590

667,250

362,200

169,970

460,820

7,160

28,770

24,040

400,850

38,850

1,322,930

30,395,050

2,395,760

24,948,730

9,060,600

15,888,130

737,750

208,420

1,361,380

112,910

2,321,300

125,860

20,282,660

13,676,090

1,099,140

5,507,430

450,820

386,480

18,050

659,240

810

64,750

28,834,570

1,056,240

5,585,770

5,477,070

108,700

502,990

373,370

120,630

9,910

634,800

309,950

177,660

2,470

50

11,920

30,760

439,860

8,010

26,990

20,800

384,050

7,160

35,770

150

1,194,240

28,752,010

25,372,850

9,067,890

16,304,960

637,790

1,142,440

110,890

2,152,550

18,943,540

12,592,740

734,510

5,616,290

407,930

284,900

16,390

490,890

650

85,790

30,151,430

754,340

5,186,510

5,055,390

131,120

543,740

367,780

135,290

9,910

632,290

346,660

162,690

40

11,710

451,800

7,080

28,210

22,180

394,330

37,800

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Acreage is not estimated. 5 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 28 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.49

9.29

40.26

5.48

7.59

4.27

2.26

1.47

7.44

1.70

4.31

30.40

2.82

2.98

2.50

2.49

1.59

1.29

0.88

3.35

1.68

1.35

2.89

1.73

0.93

0.92

1.26

49.67

64.64

2.43

1.40

1.95

2.05

1.32

1.51

47.64

2.01

0.10

43.72

27.69

31.46

38.31

45.20

0.12

19.94

3.28

9.63

5.26

7.46

4.03

2.13

7.63

1.65

3.55

2.60

2.81

1.98

2.23

1.36

3.02

2.88

1.27

0.87

0.86

1.34

54.94

71.47

2.46

1.71

48.20

2.20

28.79

33.20

38.31

4,613,490

282,259,630

96,443,720

136,612,950

68,738,290

67,874,660

1,667,450

307,200

10,125,770

191,450

10,005,340

3,826,510

57,280,270

40,799,610

2,751,630

13,729,040

717,120

7,413,600

500,280

15,930

2,208,930

1,360

87,340

83,367,650

1,822,700

5,201,480

5,064,200

137,280

24,981,150

24,134,740

293,600

13,930

1,240,580

635,170

234,190

34,250

3,720

2,310

24,000

3,170

19,228,960

221,900

849,310

796,830

17,360,930

880

713,500

1,950

3,920,150

277,004,690

133,390,630

67,609,760

65,780,870

1,360,980

8,720,900

182,710

7,651,260

49,315,540

35,327,980

1,455,350

12,532,210

554,290

6,582,530

1,481,700

86,778,820

958,720

4,497,970

4,322,920

175,050

29,871,780

26,285,680

332,760

1,079,550

1,950

25,780

203,890

936,490

849,620

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 29 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2005-2007

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2005 2006 2007

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges 3

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL) 3

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA) (shelled)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

923,510

789,250

8,393,270

63,500

303,910

26,310

4,474,640

74,070

9,480

7,102,080

128,820

14,920

1,074,610

748,720

81,650

8,260

415,040

25,040

127,100

322,050

6,210

1,117,650

854,570

8,072,130

57,150

378,300

29,030

4,464,570

40,370

5,826,850

45,360

955,990

757,780

154,220

21,770

476,270

37,190

91,350

317,510

7,240

1,422,470

775,640

7,157,690

45,360

342,010

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2006-07 season. 2 Production years are 2004-05, 2005-06, and 2006-07. 3 Temples included in oranges beginning with 2006-07 season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 30 NASS, USDA

Corn for Grain: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 corn producing States

during 2006. Randomly selected plots in corn for grain fields are visited monthly from August through

harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are rounded actual field counts from

this survey.

Corn for Grain: Number of Ears per Acre,

Selected States, 2002-2006

State Month 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number Number Number Number Number

IL

IN

IA

KS 1

MN

MO 2

NE

 All

NE

 Irrigated

NE

 Non-Irrigated

OH

SD 2

WI

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

25,050

25,050

25,000

25,000

23,900

23,650

23,650

23,650

25,950

25,800

25,800

25,800

26,550

26,150

26,100

26,100

21,650

21,250

21,200

21,200

25,800

25,700

25,650

25,650

16,700

15,950

15,950

15,950

23,700

22,400

22,350

22,350

25,950

25,050

25,250

25,250

26,700

26,700

26,650

26,650

25,350

25,400

25,350

25,350

26,700

26,550

26,600

26,600

28,300

28,650

28,600

28,600

22,950

22,650

22,600

22,600

26,550

26,350

26,300

26,300

18,300

17,850

17,800

17,800

25,500

25,700

25,750

25,750

26,150

26,300

26,250

26,250

27,350

27,400

27,400

27,400

26,200

25,950

26,050

26,050

27,350

27,550

27,500

27,500

22,100

22,150

22,150

22,150

29,000

29,250

29,150

29,200

24,400

24,250

24,250

24,250

23,650

24,000

24,050

24,050

26,550

26,700

26,650

26,650

19,100

19,800

20,000

20,000

25,950

26,000

26,000

26,050

21,950

22,700

22,700

22,700

25,600

27,150

26,800

26,800

26,950

26,850

26,850

26,850

24,850

24,600

24,650

24,650

27,150

27,100

27,100

27,100

21,100

21,000

20,900

20,900

28,000

27,900

28,050

28,050

22,550

22,600

22,600

22,600

23,250

22,800

22,800

22,800

26,250

25,900

25,900

25,900

19,550

18,950

18,900

18,900

24,800

24,700

24,650

24,650

23,150

23,100

23,050

23,050

26,550

26,350

26,350

26,350

27,600

27,450

25,850

25,750

27,350

27,350

20,850

20,750

28,050

28,250

23,850

23,800

23,850

23,700

26,750

26,600

19,400

19,150

25,200

25,350

22,050

21,900

26,750

26,850

 1 Field counts began in 2004. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 1996.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 31 NASS, USDA

Soybeans: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 11 soybean producing

States during 2006. Randomly selected plots in soybean fields are visited monthly from August through

harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Soybeans: Pods with Beans per 18 Square Feet,

Selected States, 2002-2006

State Month 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number Number Number Number Number

AR 1 2

IL

IN

IA

KS 3

MN

MO

NE

ND 3

OH

SD 3

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Final

1,952

1,785

1,795

1,802

1,773

1,677

1,680

1,680

1,988

1,828

1,867

1,867

1,688

1,785

1,739

1,715

1,427

1,609

1,681

1,705

1,548

1,517

1,587

1,592

1,593

1,495

1,499

1,492

1,800

1,606

1,634

1,634

1,786

1,692

1,582

1,582

1,749

1,629

1,647

1,647

1,582

1,417

1,440

1,440

1,144

1,455

1,547

1,523

1,727

1,642

1,636

1,636

1,791

1,898

1,764

1,752

2,446

2,483

2,511

2,070

1,923

1,943

1,947

1,909

1,866

1,917

1,917

1,772

1,731

1,737

1,741

1,482

1,588

1,639

1,636

1,487

1,406

1,446

1,435

1,798

1,943

1,998

2,038

1,835

1,836

1,895

1,895

1,114

1,148

1,243

1,242

1,808

1,873

1,840

1,837

1,248

1,332

1,302

1,308

1,796

1,823

1,824

1,973

1,820

1,858

1,858

1,855

1,790

1,899

1,899

1,969

1,935

1,968

1,970

1,490

1,431

1,547

1,546

1,684

1,598

1,640

1,640

1,458

1,585

1,679

1,652

1,862

1,903

1,920

1,920

1,526

1,471

1,496

1,496

2,040

1,890

1,974

1,981

1,634

1,617

1,605

1,556

1,645

2,035

1,890

1,927

1,893

1,846

1,758

1,564

1,509

1,612

1,586

1,631

1,746

1,740

1,801

1,169

1,241

1,857

1,895

1,318

1,345

 1 September data not available due to plant immaturity. 2 Field counts began in 2004 after being discontinued in 2002. 3 Field counts began in 2004.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 32 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States

during 2006. Randomly selected plots in cotton fields are visited monthly from August through harvest to

obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from this survey.

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, Selected States, 2002-2006 1

State Month 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

840

763

784

772

772

945

1,041

1,009

1,011

1,011

569

604

591

600

600

663

756

749

742

742

802

783

768

767

767

636

629

560

567

567

536

511

520

497

497

798

755

744

744

744

973

945

893

893

893

559

646

643

665

665

681

778

775

775

775

837

824

811

808

808

628

630

632

632

632

465

431

429

435

435

864

771

753

754

754

954

952

945

948

948

646

690

686

687

687

635

707

691

691

691

808

789

780

780

780

758

719

732

733

733

639

672

593

624

624

811

728

733

733

733

993

926

1,002

1,011

1,011

667

689

767

767

767

746

768

775

775

775

818

729

724

722

722

799

693

721

721

721

620

516

586

585

585

859

814

911

869

648

675

760

781

700

699

637

641

530

477

 1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially

opened bolls, and burrs per 40 feet of row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 33 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 34 NASS, USDA

September Weather Summary

September showers slowed summer crop harvesting and winter wheat planting in parts of the Midwest, but

generally dry weather returned to the Southeast. Midwestern fieldwork delays were most significant in the

Ohio Valley, while a late-month drying trend favored an acceleration of corn and soybean harvesting across

the western Corn Belt. Meanwhile, harvesting advanced with few delays from eastern Texas to the southern

Atlantic Coast, although underlying long-term drought remained a concern across much of the South. Farther

west, locally heavy rain on the Plains boosted soil moisture for winter wheat establishment and promoted

further recovery of drought-stressed pastures. Dryness returned, however, to parts of the Plains, including

much of Kansas and Oklahoma. Elsewhere, showery conditions across the Rockies and Intermountain West

contrasted with mild, dry weather in the West Coast States. By month’s end, some Northwestern winter grain

areas remained unfavorably dry for proper autumn crop establishment.

During September, cool weather took hold across much of the U.S. In fact, monthly temperatures averaged at

least 4 degrees F below normal in a broad area across the Nation’s mid-section, including the central Plains. 

Consequently, the season’s first freeze arrived early across parts of the High Plains and Intermountain West,

although summer crops were largely mature enough to withstand the early-season chill without adverse

effects.

September Agricultural Summary

Temperatures averaged below normal nearly nationwide, with the exception of the Pacific Coast States, the

northern Rocky Mountains, New England, and the Florida peninsula. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall limited

fieldwork in the Ohio River Valley and middle Atlantic Coast States. Precipitation was lighter across the

Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great Plains, but enough to slow crop harvest. Conditions were mostly

dry from the Rocky Mountains to the Pacific Coast, particularly in California, where less than one-tenth inch

of precipitation was received nearly statewide. In the Delta and Southeast, crop harvest progressed rapidly,

unhindered by moderate rainfall.

The Nation’s corn crop continued to develop ahead of normal, with 88 percent of the crop at or beyond

maturity by month’s end. This was the same as last year but 6 percentage points ahead of normal. Maturation

was at or ahead of normal in all States except Indiana. Despite the rapid maturation of the crop, harvest

progressed behind normal during the month, slowed by wet conditions in the Corn Belt and Ohio River

Valley. By October 1, growers had harvested 20 percent of their crop, compared with 25 percent last year and

23 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest trailed behind normal in most States, and only in Missouri was

progress more than 1 point ahead of normal.

Sorghum acreage turning color or beyond progressed behind the normal pace, reaching 89 percent by

October 1, four points behind last year and the 5-year average. Though most States were at or ahead of the

normal coloring pace, the two largest producing States, Kansas and Texas, trailed 6 and 2 points behind

normal, respectively. Maturation of the crop also lagged behind normal. By month’s end, 60 percent of the

acreage was at or beyond maturity, 5 points behind last year and 7 points behind normal. The crop was one

week behind the normal maturation pace in Kansas and over two weeks behind in Oklahoma. Harvest

progressed slightly ahead of normal through mid-month but had slipped behind normal by month’s end. By

October 1, growers had harvested 38 percent of their acreage, compared with 36 percent last year and

40 percent for the 5-year average. Harvest was behind normal in most States, trailing three weeks behind in

Oklahoma.

Planting of the 2007 winter wheat crop was slowed by wet conditions in the eastern Corn Belt and by lack of

soil moisture in parts of the Pacific Northwest and Great Plains. By October 1, fifty-four percent of the

acreage had been seeded, 1 point ahead of last year but 2 points behind normal. Planting progressed well

ahead of normal in Oregon, where dry weather favored fieldwork. However, most other States were at or

behind the normal planting pace. Emergence also progressed behind normal, reaching 24 percent by month’s

end, the same as last year but 3 points behind the 5-year average. Emergence trailed behind the normal pace

in most States and had not yet begun in California, North Carolina, and Ohio.

The rice harvest progressed ahead of normal, reaching 79 percent complete by month’s end, 8 points ahead of

last year and 3 points ahead of normal. In the Mississippi Delta, harvest proceeded ahead of normal.

However, California’s crop, planted late due to wet conditions early in the season, was behind the normal

pace. 

The soybean crop, like corn, matured ahead of normal but was harvested behind the normal pace. By

October 1, eighty-seven percent of the crop was dropping leaves or beyond, compared with 91 percent last
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 35 NASS, USDA

year and 84 percent for the 5-year average. Progress was at or ahead of normal in all States except Indiana,

Kentucky, Kansas, and Ohio. In the Delta, Arkansas’s and Louisiana’s crop led the normal pace by 12 and

14 points, respectively. Meanwhile, harvest fell behind normal, delayed by wet conditions in the Corn Belt

and Ohio Valley. By month’s end, growers had harvested just 19 percent of their acreage, 14 points behind

last year and 7 points behind normal. Though growers in the Delta were well ahead of their normal harvest

pace, progress trailed behind normal in most other States. In Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, and South

Dakota, harvest lagged a week or more behind normal.

The Nation’s sunflower harvest was just getting underway at month’s end. On October 1, growers had reaped

5 percent of their acreage, 1 point behind last year and 3 points behind normal. Harvest was most advanced in

Colorado, at 12 percent complete, while in the leading producing State, North Dakota, 3 percent of the acreage

had been harvested.

The peanut harvest started slowly and continued to fall behind during the month. By month’s end, just

11 percent of the acreage had been combined, compared with 22 percent last year and 27 percent for the

5-year average. Harvest progress was over a week behind normal nationwide and over two weeks behind in

Alabama and Florida. Among the eight largest producing States, only Virginia growers were ahead of their

normal harvest pace.

The Nation’s cotton crop developed ahead of normal during the month. By October 1, bolls were open on

82 percent of the acreage, 6 points ahead of last year and 3 points ahead of normal. Though behind normal in

a few States, bolls opened ahead of normal in Texas and across most of the Delta, Southeast, and Atlantic

Coast States. Unlike other summer crops, harvest of the cotton crop progressed ahead of normal. By month’s

end, growers had picked 24 percent of their acreage, compared with 19 percent for last year and the 5-year

average. Harvest was most advanced in the Mississippi Delta, at 31 percent complete in Arkansas, 59 percent

complete in Louisiana, and 58 percent complete in Mississippi, all well ahead of normal.

The sugarbeet harvest began ahead of the normal pace but slowed to around normal by month’s end. By

October 1, fifteen percent of the acreage had been harvested, 6 points ahead of last year but the same as the

5-year average. Harvest was most advanced in the Red River Valley but was slightly behind normal in the

region, while Idaho growers were slightly ahead of their normal harvest pace.

Corn for Grain: Based on administrative data, acreage updates were made in several States bringing total

corn planted acres to 78.6 million acres, down 1 percent from June and 4 percent lower than 2005. Area

harvested and to be harvested for grain was also updated in a number of States and is now forecast at

71.0 million acres, down 1 percent from September and 5 percent below 2005.

The October 1 corn objective yield forecast number of ears per acres for the combined 10 objective yield

States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin)

is the second highest on record, up 2 percent from last year but down 1 percent from the record high set in

2004. Indicated ears per acre are higher than last year in all objective yield States, except Kansas and South

Dakota. Ear counts in Illinois are the highest on record.

The corn crop matured rapidly during September, despite below normal temperatures across much of the Corn

Belt, Great Plains, and Ohio Valley. Moderate to heavy precipitation in these areas during September also

delayed corn harvest activities. By the end of the month, 88 percent of the crop was mature or beyond, the

same as last year but 6 percentage points ahead of normal. Maturation was at or ahead of the normal pace in

all States, except Indiana. However, despite crop development and maturation progressing ahead of normal,

harvest trailed behind normal in most States due to wet field conditions. Harvest was 20 percent complete on

October 1 compared with 25 percent last year and 23 percent for the 5-year average. Missouri was the only

State leading the normal pace by more than one point.

Sorghum: Production is forecast at 301 million bushels, down 1 percent from last month and down

24 percent from last year. Area for harvest as grain is forecast at 5.32 million acres, a slight increase from

September but down 7 percent from last year. Based on administrative information, acreage updates were

made in several States. Planted area was updated to 6.32 million acres, an increase of less than one percent

from June but down 2 percent from 2005. Based on October 1 conditions, the sorghum yield forecast is

56.6 bushels per acre, down 0.7 bushel from September and down 12.1 bushels from last year. Yields are

either decreasing or unchanged from September in all of the major sorghum producing States except

Nebraska, which is up 1.0 bushel from last month. The yield in Kansas, the largest producing State, is

expected to be 60.0 bushels per acre, unchanged from September but down 15.0 bushels from 2005. 

Producers in Texas, the second largest sorghum producing State, expect a yield of 48.0 bushels per acre,

unchanged from last month but down 12.0 bushels from last year.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 36 NASS, USDA

As of October 1, harvest had begun in all of the top 11 producing States, except for New Mexico. In these

States, the sorghum crop was 60 percent mature, 5 points behind last year and 7 points behind the 5-year

average. Harvest, at 38 percent complete, was ahead of last year’s pace of 36 percent complete but behind the

5-year average of 40 percent. Harvest was complete in Louisiana and 93 percent complete in Arkansas. In

Kansas, widespread but light precipitation received during the month of September slowed harvest slightly, as

only 20 percent of the crop was harvested, 6 points behind the 5-year average. The rainfall in Kansas

improved the crop condition slightly, but the condition of the crop was still well below last year with only

33 percent rated as good to excellent compared with 45 percent at the same time in 2005. The harvest in

Texas, at 70 percent complete, was ahead of the 5-year average of 65 percent as harvest conditions during

September were favorable.

Rice: Production is forecast at 192 million cwt, down 1 percent from the September forecast and down

14 percent from last year. Area for harvest is expected to total 2.82 million acres, unchanged from last month

but down 16 percent from 2005. As of October 1, the U.S. yield is forecast at 6,811 pounds per acre, down

35 pounds per acre from last month but up 175 pounds from last year. 

As of October 1, the rice harvest in Louisiana and Texas was virtually complete at 99 percent harvested. 

Texas equaled their 5-year average while Louisiana exceeded the 5-year average by 3 percentage points. 

Arkansas, Mississippi, and Missouri are ahead of their respective 5-year averages. In California, harvest was

at 41 percent as of October 1, lagging their 5-year average by 4 percentage points.

Soybeans: Updates to planted acreage were made in several States based on administrative data. Planted area

was updated to 75.6 million acres, an increase of 1 percent from the June forecast and up 5 percent from 2005. 

Area for harvest is forecast at 74.5 million acres, up 1 percent from September and up 5 percent from last

year. Record high yields are forecast in Illinois, Kentucky, and Nebraska, along with record tying yields in

Michigan, New York, and South Carolina. The October 1 objective yield data for the combined seven major

soybean producing States (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, and Ohio) indicate slightly

lower pod counts from last year’s record high. Pod counts are up from last year in Illinois and Missouri, but

down from last year in the other five major producing States.

As of October 1, eighty-seven percent of the acreage was dropping leaves or beyond, 4 points behind last

year’s pace but 3 points ahead of the 5-year average. Sixty-two percent of the soybean crop was rated good to

excellent, 3 percentage points above the rating at the beginning of September and 6 points above the same

week in 2005. With the exception of Arkansas, Louisiana, and Michigan, crop conditions improved or were

unchanged from the beginning of September in the Corn Belt, the central and northern Great Plains, and the

Delta States. As of October 1, soybean harvest was progressing behind normal with 19 percent harvested,

compared with the 5-year average of 26 percent.

Sunflower: The first production forecast for 2006 is 2.11 billion pounds, down 47 percent from 2005 but

3 percent above 2004. Area planted, at 1.98 million acres, is up 4 percent from the June estimate but down

27 percent from last year. Sunflower farmers expect to harvest 1.86 million acres, up 4 percent from June but

down 29 percent from the 2005 acreage. The October yield forecast, at 1,134 pounds, is 406 pounds less than

the 2005 yield.

As of October 1, lower yields are expected in six of the seven major sunflower-producing States, with only

Minnesota farmers expecting higher yields compared with last year. Conditions were hot and dry this summer

across most of the Great Plains, resulting in reduced yield expectations compared with last year when Kansas,

Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota experienced record high yields. In North Dakota, the yield is

forecast at 1,143 pounds per acre, down 443 pounds from the 2005 yield. As of October 1, harvest progress in

Kansas and South Dakota was lagging behind last year’s pace and the 5-year average, while harvest in

Colorado and North Dakota was ahead of last year and equal to the 5-year average.

Peanuts: Production is forecast at 3.27 billion pounds, down 33 percent from last year’s crop but up

2 percent from last month. Area for harvest is expected to total 1.21 million acres, unchanged from

September but down 26 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,693 pounds per acre, up

53 pounds from last month but down 296 pounds from 2005.

Production in the Southeast States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, and South Carolina) is expected

to total 2.26 billion pounds, up 1 percent from August but down 33 percent from last year’s level. Expected

acreage for harvest, at 924,000, is unchanged from September but down 23 percent from 2005. Yields in the

region are expected to average 2,448 pounds per acre, 32 pounds above last month but 360 pounds below

2005. As of October 1, peanut harvest was 6 percent complete in Alabama, 15 percent complete in Florida,

and 12 percent complete in Georgia. Alabama and Florida lagged their 5-year averages by at least
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 37 NASS, USDA

30 percentage points, while Georgia lagged its 5-year average by 18 percentage points. Peanut harvest in

South Carolina, at 24 percent complete, was closer to normal but still lagged its 5-year average by

5 percentage points. 

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 328 million pounds, unchanged from September but down

7 percent from 2005. Expected acreage for harvest, at 101,000, is unchanged from September but down

14 percent from last year. Yield is forecast at 3,245 pounds per acre, unchanged from last month but up

245 pounds from 2005. As of October 1, peanut harvest was 12 percent complete in North Carolina and

18 percent complete in Virginia. North Carolina lagged slightly behind their 5-year average, while Virginia

was 6 percentage points ahead of their 5-year average.

Southwest peanut production (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total 677 million pounds,

up 5 percent from last month but down 41 percent from 2005. The expected acreage for harvest in the region

totals 188,000, unchanged from September but down 40 percent from 2005. Yields are expected to average

3,601 pounds per acre for the region, up 183 pounds from September but down 83 pounds from last year’s

level. On October 1, peanut harvest in Oklahoma and Texas was just under way with 3 percent and 5 percent

complete, respectively. 

Canola: The first production forecast for 2006 is 1.22 billion pounds, down 23 percent from 2005. Area

planted, at 1.05 million acres, is up 3 percent from the June estimate but down 10 percent from last year. 

Canola farmers expect to harvest 1.01 million acres, up 3 percent from June but down 10 percent from 2005. 

The October yield forecast, at 1,212 pounds per acre, is 207 pounds below last year’s yield. If realized, the

U.S. yield will be the second lowest on record since estimates began in 1991. North Dakota's yield, at

1,200 pounds per acre, is down 240 pounds from last year as hot, dry weather during the June and July

decreased yields and led to an early harvest. If realized, this will be the second lowest yield on record for

North Dakota since estimates began in 1991. 

Cotton: Upland cotton harvested area, at 12.5 million acres, is unchanged from last month but down

8 percent from last year. American-Pima harvested acres are unchanged from last month but are up

21 percent from last year.

In the Southeastern States, defoliation of the crop was underway throughout the region. In Alabama and

Georgia, the hot, dry weather during the summer months stimulated maturation of the crop allowing harvest to

get into full swing by mid-September, well ahead of the 5-year average. By late September, harvest was

starting in the Carolina’s and Virginia. As of October 1, the crop condition in Alabama was rated very poor to

poor while the crop in Georgia was in mostly fair to poor condition. Objective yield measurements in Georgia

show bolls per acre at the second highest level in the last ten years.

During the early part of September, harvest was in full swing in the southern Delta States with defoliation

starting in the northern Delta States. By mid-month, harvest was delayed due to rain throughout the region. 

In the Bootheel of Missouri, strong thunderstorms moved through during the last week of September, bringing

over 10 inches of rain with reports of flooding and dislodged cotton bolls. Data from the objective yield

survey show Arkansas having the highest bolls per acre and the second largest weight per boll in the last ten

years. Objective yield counts in Louisiana show the highest bolls per acre in the last ten years. In Mississippi,

the boll weight is the lowest in the last 5 years. 

In Texas, harvest was wrapping up in the southern area of the State by late September. In the Plains region,

rains fell during the first of the month. By mid-September, cool, wet weather slowed defoliation of the crop

but maturation of the crop was well ahead of both last year and the 5-year average. In Kansas and Oklahoma,

defoliation began during the last week of September. The cotton crop in Texas is rated in mostly fair to poor

condition. Objective yield survey data indicate Texas boll weight to be the highest in the last ten years and the

bolls per acre are the third highest. 

Upland cotton in California and Arizona developed normally throughout the month with the crop rated in

good to excellent condition. In Arizona, harvest started in early September and was in full swing by the end

of the month. California producers treated fields to control aphids and white fly infestations. By late

September, defoliation was underway across the State. Objective yield measurements in California show bolls

per acre to be the lowest in the last five years. 

American-Pima production is forecast at 804,000 bales, down 3 percent from September but up 28 percent

from last year. The U.S. yield forecast is 1,191 pounds per acre, down 31 pounds from last month but up

64 pounds from 2005. In California, where a record high production is forecast, the crop is developing later

than normal due to extreme heat during July. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 38 NASS, USDA

All cotton ginned totaled 2,589,150 running bales prior to October 1, compared with 2,314,450 running bales

ginned prior to the same date last year and 2,226,500 running bales ginned in 2004. 

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: Production is forecast at 74.5 million tons, up 5 percent from the August

forecast but down 2 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 3.33 tons per acre, up 0.15 ton

from August but down 0.05 ton from 2005. Harvested area is forecast at 22.4 million acres, unchanged from

August but slightly above the previous year’s acreage. 

Compared with August, yields are forecast to either remain unchanged or increase across the northern and

eastern Corn Belt, in addition to several states in the Ohio Valley and Pacific Northwest. Adequate rainfall

and desirable temperatures in August and September resulted in improved yield expectations. The largest

yield increase is forecast in Washington, up 0.7 ton from the previous forecast. The only States expecting a

decline in yield from August are Arizona, Illinois, Utah, Oklahoma, and New York. 

Other Hay: Production is forecast at 72.5 million tons, up 2 percent from the August forecast but down

3 percent from 2005. Based on October 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 1.80 tons, up 0.03 ton

from the August forecast but down 0.11 ton from last year. Harvested area, at 40.3 million acres, is

unchanged from August but up 3 percent from the previous year.

Improved conditions from the late spring and early summer dryness contributed to yield increases in several

States across the U.S. Compared with the previous forecast, growers in fourteen States are expecting higher

yields, with Washington, Texas, Wisconsin, Colorado and Pennsylvania showing the largest increase, up

0.3 ton from August. Meanwhile, a cluster of States in the Ohio Valley and middle Atlantic Coast region are

forecast to decrease from August. Virginia and Mississippi showed the largest decrease in yield from the

previous forecast, both down 0.5 ton.

Dry Beans: U.S. dry edible bean production is forecast at 23.8 million cwt for 2006, up 2 percent from the

August forecast but 13 percent below last year. Harvested acreage is forecast at 1.56 million acres, 3 percent

above the August forecast but less than 1 percent below last year. The average U.S. yield is forecast at

1,523 pounds per acre, a decrease of 11 pounds from the August forecast and 221 pounds below last year. 

Planted area is estimated at 1.65 million acres, an increase of 3 percent from earlier forecasts but a 1 percent

decrease from 2005.

Since August, production forecasts increased 38 percent in Texas, 30 percent in Minnesota, 5 percent in North

Dakota, and 3 percent in Idaho. Production forecasts decreased 18 percent in New York, 13 percent in South

Dakota, 11 percent in Washington, 9 percent in Nebraska, and 1 percent in California.

Production is expected to be higher than last year in 9 of the 18 producing States. Washington production is

up 46 percent, Texas production increased 30 percent, and New Mexico production is 30 percent above 2005. 

Oregon growers expect an increase of 17 percent, New York production is forecasted 7 percent above last

year, and Idaho is up 2 percent. Michigan, Minnesota, and Montana production are all up 1 percent from

2005. Utah production is down 48 percent, Nebraska production decreased 31 percent, and Colorado

production is 30 percent below 2005. Kansas producers expect production to decrease 24 percent, North

Dakota and Wyoming growers both expect a 23 percent drop, and production in California is expected to drop

11 percent from 2005. Production in South Dakota and Wisconsin is expected to be 10 and 8 percent below

last year, respectively.

In North Dakota, dry bean crop conditions were rated 32 percent good to excellent and crop development has

been 2 weeks ahead of the 5-year average. Harvest began in late August. Michigan dry bean crop conditions

were rated 71 percent good to excellent and progress was ahead of average. In Nebraska, an early frost caused

lower than normal quality and reduced yields. In Minnesota, harvest is progressing ahead of the 5-year

average. As of October 1, eighty-four percent of the crop had been harvested compared with the 5-year

average of 64 percent. Harvest is in full swing in Idaho. Many growers are finding their yields are better than

expected in August but State yields are down from last year primarily due to an increase in lower yielding

chickpea acreage. Harvest in Colorado started on schedule and under good conditions. In California,

excessive July heat caused a decrease in yields. In Washington, harvest is nearing completion with

92 percent of the crop harvested as of October 1, well ahead of the 5-year average. In Wyoming and New

York harvest is underway but behind the 5-year average. In New York the delay is due to late plantings and

wet fields at the end of September.

Winter Potatoes: Production for 2006 is revised to 4.50 million cwt, down 3 percent from the April forecast

and 8 percent below 2005. Harvested area of 17,500 acres in the 2 winter potato States (California and

Florida) is unchanged from the April 1 forecast but 12 percent less than last year. The average yield of
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 39 NASS, USDA

257 cwt per acre is down 7 cwt from the April forecast but 10 cwt above 2005. California's production, at

3.12 million cwt, is 11 percent below last season. Florida's production, at 1.38 million cwt, is down 1 percent

from a year ago. 

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production is forecast at 734 million pounds, down 1 percent from the September

forecast but 13 percent above 2005, the first year without quotas. However, production is expected to be

17 percent below 2004, the last year tobacco was under the quota system. Area for harvest is forecast at

334,300 acres, virtually unchanged from the September forecast but up 12 percent from last year. Yields for

2006 are expected to average 2,194 pounds per acre, 30 pounds below last month’s forecast but 23 pounds

greater than a year ago. Yields in North Carolina, the leading tobacco State, are expected to average

2,192 pounds per acre, unchanged from the previous forecast but 21 pounds below 2005. In Kentucky, the

second leading tobacco State, growers expect to have yields averaging 2,234 pounds per acre, 106 pounds

below the September forecast but up 48 pounds from last year. Growers in Connecticut, Georgia, and

Pennsylvania also expect yields lower than last month while growers in Massachusetts, Tennessee, and

Virginia are expecting yields higher than a month ago. Yields in the remaining tobacco States are expected to

remain unchanged from September.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 454 million pounds, down less than 1 percent from the previous

forecast but 19 percent above 2005. Growers plan to harvest 208,100 acres, unchanged since September but

up 19 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,181 pounds per acre, 4 pounds below the

September 1 forecast and down 1 pound from a year ago. The Southern tobacco States experienced high

temperatures with below average rainfall throughout the majority of the tobacco growing season. In North

Carolina, the leading flue-cured tobacco producing State, growers have reported leaving some tobacco in the

fields as they reach their contract limits or do not have the labor to harvest the tobacco as it matures. 

However, yields in North Carolina, at 2,200 pounds per acre, remain unchanged from September but

27 pounds below a year ago. Growers in Georgia expect yields to decrease from a month ago while all other

flue-cured States expect yields to remain the same.

Burley production is expected to total 217 million pounds, down 3 percent since last month but 7 percent

above last year. Growers plan to harvest 103,700 acres, unchanged from the September forecast but up

4 percent from 2005. Yields are expected to average 2,097 pounds per acre, 69 pounds below the previous

forecast but up 66 pounds from a year ago. Yields in Kentucky, the leading burley tobacco producing State,

are expected to average 2,100 pounds per acre, down 100 pounds from the September forecast but 50 above

2005. Late September storms have caused some damage to Kentucky’s burley crop. Strong winds blew some

plants over and wet conditions were not ideal for harvesting and curing. Labor shortage is also an issue on

many of the smaller operations. Burley yields also decreased in Pennsylvania from the previous forecast

while they increased in Tennessee. Average yields in all other burley producing States remained the same.

Fire-cured tobacco production is expected to total 36.1 million pounds, 3 percent below the September 1

forecast and down 4 percent from a year ago. Growers plan to harvest 11,250 acres, unchanged from last

month but 5 percent below 2005. The expected average yield is 3,210 pounds per acre, 93 pounds below the

previous forecast but up 32 pounds from last year.

Southern Maryland Belt tobacco in Pennsylvania is expected to total 2.09 million pounds, down 5 percent

from the September forecast and 30 percent below 2005. A total of 1,100 acres is expected to be harvested

this year, unchanged from the previous forecast but 27 percent below a year ago. Yields are expected to

average 1,900 pounds per acre, down 100 pounds from last month and last year.

Dark air-cured tobacco is expected to total 15.2 million pounds, down 3 percent from last month’s forecast but

32 percent above 2005. Area harvested is expected to total 5,100 acres, unchanged from the September

forecast but up 23 percent from last year. Yields are expected to average 2,984 pounds per acre, 92 pounds

below last month but 206 pounds greater than a year ago.

All cigar type tobacco production is forecast to total 8.91 million pounds, 2 percent above the previous

forecast and up 1 percent from last year. Growers of cigar type tobacco expect to harvest 5,050 acres, up

3 percent from the September 1 forecast and 2 percent above 2005. Yields are expected to average

1,765 pounds per acre, 17 pounds less than last month and down 13 pounds from a year ago.

Sugarbeets: Production for 2006 is forecast at 32.9 million tons, 2 percent above the September forecast and

20 percent above last year's production. The yield is forecast at 24.5 tons per acre, up 0.4 ton from September

and 2.3 tons above 2005. If realized, this would be the highest yield on record for the U.S. Growers expect to

harvest 1.34 million acres, unchanged from last month but 8 percent above last year.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 40 NASS, USDA

Area expected for harvest is unchanged from the previous forecast in all States, however, expected yields have

changed as producers have begun harvesting and have a better indication of actual yields. Of the eight States

in which yield forecasts have changed from September, yield is up in six States, including the largest

producing State, Minnesota. Only in Colorado and Wyoming are yield forecasts down from last month. 

Record yields are forecast for Minnesota, Montana, and North Dakota. Minnesota and North Dakota growers

also expect to harvest a record number of acres. At month’s end, harvest was underway in the four major

producing States and was slightly behind normal in the Red River Valley but slightly ahead of normal in

Idaho.

Sugarcane: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed in 2006 is forecast at 29.0 million tons, 2 percent

above the September forecast and 9 percent above 2005. Sugarcane growers intend to harvest 908,800 acres

for sugar and seed during the 2006 crop year, down fractionally from September and down 1 percent from last

year. Yield is forecast at 31.9 tons per acre, 0.7 ton above the previous forecast and 3.1 tons above the 2005

yield.

In Florida, area expected for harvest and yield are both down from the previous forecast due to damage caused

by frequent showers in the Lake Okeechobee area. However, production is up 11 percent from last year’s

hurricane-damaged crop. Louisiana’s acreage is unchanged from the previous forecast, but expected yield is

2.0 tons higher than last month due to a growth spurt caused by rainfall in late August and warm weather in

September. The acreage, yield, and production forecasts are unchanged from last month for Hawaii and

Texas.

Grapefruit: The initial U.S. forecast is 1.57 million tons, up 27 percent from last season's final utilization. 

Florida's grapefruit production is forecast at 26.0 million boxes (1.11 million tons), 35 percent above last

season's hurricane-reduced final utilization. Excluding the last two hurricane-reduced crops, this is the lowest

forecasted Florida grapefruit production since the 1949-50 season’s 24.2 million boxes. The white grapefruit

forecast is 9.00 million boxes (383,000 tons), 38 percent above last season’s final utilization. White grapefruit

bearing trees are estimated to have declined by 3 percent from last season and 21 percent from two seasons

ago. Average fruit per tree and current fruit sizes are slightly below the 1994-95 to 2003-04 season average. 

Drop is expected to be average. The colored grapefruit forecast, at 17.0 million boxes (723,000 tons), is

33 percent above last season's final utilization. The number of bearing colored grapefruit trees is 2 percent

below last season and 16 percent below the 2004-05 season. Fruit sizes are projected to be slightly below

average, while fruit drop will be slightly above average.

The October 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is 6.70 million boxes (268,000 tons), up 29 percent from the

previous season. September rains should help increase fruit size, and growers are generally reporting good

quality. The California grapefruit forecast, at 5.70 million boxes (191,000 tons), is down 5 percent from the

previous season’s final utilization. Harvest of the 2005-06 crop is winding down. The 2006-07 crop is

developing normally with good fruit quality expected. Fruit sizes are expected to be larger than last season

due to a lighter fruit set. Arizona’s forecast, at 100,000 boxes (3,000 tons), is unchanged from last season’s

utilized production.

Lemons: The initial forecast for the 2006-07 U.S. lemon crop, at 855,000 tons, is down 9 percent from last

season. California production is forecast at 19.7 million boxes (749,000 tons), down 6 percent from the

2005-06 season. Harvest has begun in the desert region but picking volume has been low. Arizona's 2006-07

lemon forecast, at 2.80 million boxes (106,000 tons), is down 26 percent from the previous season. Due to

high summer temperatures, packers expect smaller fruit sizes and fewer fruit per tree.

Tangelos: Florida’s tangelo forecast, at 1.10 million boxes (50,000 tons), is down 21 percent from last

season’s final utilized production. Compared with last season, the number of bearing trees are down 4 percent

and fruit per tree is down 20 percent. Current droppage is at a record low level and, assuming a normal drop

pattern for the rest of the season, is expected to remain below average.

Tangerines: The 2006-07 U.S. tangerine crop forecast is 377,000 tons, down 10 percent from last season's

final utilization of 417,000 tons. Florida's tangerine crop is forecast at 4.60 million boxes (219,000 tons),

down 16 percent from last season’s utilization of 5.50 million boxes. Early variety tangerine (Fallglo and

Sunburst) tree numbers are down 5 percent from the previous season. Average fruit per tree is higher than that

of the 10 most recent non-hurricane seasons (1994-95 to 2003-04) for both early variety tangerines, while

average Fallglo fruit size is smaller than any of these seasons. Sunburst fruit size is close to the non-hurricane

season average.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 41 NASS, USDA

California’s tangerine forecast is 3.80 million boxes (143,000 tons), 6 percent above last season’s crop. 

Bearing acreage continues to increase as a result of strong market demand. Arizona’s forecast is

400,000 boxes (15,000 tons), 27 percent below last season.

Florida Citrus: Deficit rainfall amounts for the month of September were recorded in all citrus producing

areas. Recorded rainfall in some areas was 5 and 6 inches below normal. With annual rainfall well below

average and several warm, dry days during the month, growers continued to irrigate on a regular basis. High

daytime temperatures reached into the low 90s with some nights towards the end of the month recorded in the

mid to low 60s.

Fruit sizes continue to be variable throughout the State with generally good fruit quality reported. Some fruit

splitting was reported early in the month due to rains late last month and early this month following the dry

weather earlier in the growing season. Recent cooler weather has spawned color break on grapefruit and some

earlier varieties of oranges. A couple of packinghouses are open and have begun to receive grapefruit and

Ambersweet oranges. Scouting for canker and greening by growers, owners, and caretakers continues. 

Activity in the groves included spraying, cleaning ditches, mowing, irrigation, and the planting of available

resets.

Texas Citrus: Harvest was delayed by rain at the end of September. Hot and dry summer conditions

contributed to smaller fruit sizes but September rains are expected to help increase sizes by harvest. 

Generally, fruit quality is reported as good due to the dry summer conditions and light insect pressure.

Arizona Citrus: Producers indicate citrus groves are in good condition with good fruit quality also reported. 

Hot weather during the growing season has resulted in somewhat smaller fruit sizes compared to last year. 

Lemon harvest has begun in Yuma County.

California Citrus: Citrus grove maintenance activities included irrigation, fertilization, and weed control. 

New navel orange groves were still being planted while existing groves showed good growth. Old crop

Valencia orange harvest continued slowly with some reports of small fruit size received.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Stone fruit growers irrigated, cultivated, and applied treatments for

weeds and insects throughout the month of September. Stone fruit varieties being picked and packed included

O’Henry, September Flame, September Fire, September Snow, Ryan Sun, Snow Gem, Full Moon, and Prima

23 peaches; August Red, Arctic Snow, Late Red Jim, Summer Fire, Summer Flare, September Bright,

September Red, and August Red nectarines; Dinosaur Egg, Flavor Grenade, Yummy Giant, Golden Heart,

Sierra Rose, and Flavor Fall pluots; October Sun, October Gem, Howard Sun, Emerald Beauty, Angeleno,

Flavor Treat, and Catalina plums. Pomegranates continued to show good size and color. By the end of the

month, a few varieties were being harvested. Cultural activities for grapes were similar to those of stone fruit. 

Red Globe, Prima Red, Flame Seedless, Crimson Seedless, Cabernet Franc, Crimson, Grenache, Autumn

Royal, Alicante Bouschet, Christmas Rose, Zinfandel, Merlot, and Thompson Seedless table and wine grape

varieties were being harvested. Dried-on-the-vine raisin growers were cutting canes and early varieties were

being harvested. Pear harvest continued in some areas. Granny Smith apple harvest continued. Brown

Turkey figs and prunes were being harvested in Fresno County. Pre-plant fumigation, irrigation, and

fertilization were in progress for strawberries in Tulare County. By month’s end, strawberry growers had

begun transplanting for the new fall crop. Almond harvest activities included shaking trees, windrowing nuts,

and sweeping orchards. Pistachio harvest began in mid-September and walnut growers prepared for harvest.

Apples: The final production forecast for the 2006 crop year is 9.84 billion pounds, up 2 percent from the

August forecast but down less than 1 percent from 2005. Increases in production from August 2006 were

shown for Michigan, Washington, New York and North Carolina. Pennsylvania and West Virginia

production did not change from the August forecast, while Virginia showed a decrease in apple production. 

Growers in the Eastern, Central, and Western apple producing regions are expecting increases in production

compared with the August forecast.

Production in the Western States (AZ, CA, CO, ID, OR, UT, and WA) is forecast at 6.35 billion pounds, up

2 percent from the August forecast but 2 percent below 2005. Washington production, which makes up

58 percent of the U.S. total, is forecast at 5.70 billion pounds, up 2 percent from the previous forecast but

2 percent below last year. Washington's apple harvest continues under very good weather conditions. Despite

scattered early summer hail storms and hot, dry weather during the growing season, the overall quality and

quantity has been reported as good. All of the other Western States are carried forward from the August

forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 42 NASS, USDA

Production in the Eastern States (CT, GA, ME, MD, MA, NH, NJ, NY, NC, PA, RI, SC, VT, VA, and WV) is

forecast at 2.31 billion pounds, up less than 1 percent from the August forecast and 1 percent above last

season. Production increased 2 percent in New York and North Carolina, while Pennsylvania and West

Virginia showed no change from the August forecast. Virginia’s production decreased 8 percent from the

previous forecast. New York growers report good size and quality of apples due to adequate rainfall. In

North Carolina, harvest was 75 percent complete by October 1st with few reported problems. Pennsylvania

apple growers report good sizing, despite dry weather in late July and August. Apples are being harvested

about 10 days earlier than normal. With 50 percent of the crop harvested, West Virginia producers have

reported favorable growing conditions. Virginia producers expect a smaller crop than previously forecast due

to small fruit size brought on by a dryer than normal growing season. All other Eastern States are carried

forward from the August forecast. 

Production in the Central States (IL, IN, IA, KY, MI, MN, MO, OH, TN, and WI) is forecast at 1.18 billion

pounds, up 11 percent from the August forecast and 5 percent above 2005. The Michigan crop is picking out

significantly larger than forecast in August. Plentiful rain in August and September has benefitted sizing. 

Hail damage has been a problem in many areas and will affect quality. All other Central States are carried

forward from the August forecast. 

Pecans: The October 1, 2006 forecast of pecan utilized production is 201 million pounds (in-shell basis),

down 28 percent from last year’s crop but 8 percent above 2004. Improved varieties are expected to produce

150 million pounds or 74 percent of the total, while native and seedling varieties, at 51.7 million pounds,

make up the remaining 26 percent. The 2006 crop is expected to be smaller than last year’s in most producing

States mainly because it is a low year in the alternate bearing pattern typical of pecans. The exceptions are the

Gulf Coast States of Alabama, Louisiana, and Mississippi that expect larger crops this year since hurricanes

caused extensive damage in both the 2004 and 2005 seasons.

If realized, New Mexico’s production forecast of 46.0 million pounds would rank the State first in pecans for

2006. That forecast represents a 29 percent decrease from last year but is up 18 percent from 2 years ago. 

Georgia’s forecast, at 45.0 million pounds, is down 44 percent from last season’s production but is the same as

2004. The Texas forecast is 36.0 million pounds, 45 percent less than the 2005 crop and 10 percent below

2004. In New Mexico, October 1 pecan conditions were fair to excellent. Above normal rain and some hail

in September added to the reduced crop expectations. In Georgia, dry weather last fall and early this spring,

along with the alternate year bearing cycle, has reduced potential production for 2006. Because of drought

stress, trees produced a very light nut set. However, disease pressures have been controlled and nut quality is

expected to be excellent. Harvest of the earliest varieties should begin in mid-October. In Texas, a warm

winter with insufficient chilling below 45 degrees, combined with prolonged drought in some areas and severe

heat in August, added to the low production expectations. The drought did eliminate most pecan scab

problems.

Oklahoma production, at 20.0 million pounds, is down 5 percent from last year’s crop and 29 percent below

2004. Sixteen months of drought have limited crop prospects. The Louisiana forecast of 19.0 million pounds

is nearly 3 times last year’s production and over twice that of 2004, mainly due to hurricane damage the

previous two seasons. Alabama’s production is also expected to return to pre-hurricane levels with a forecast

of 6.00 million pounds, up 50 percent from 2005 and over 4 times 2004. Production in Arizona is forecast at

15.0 million pounds, 32 percent below last year but 7 percent more than 2 years ago.

Grapes: U.S. grape production is forecast at 6.42 million tons, down 4 percent from the August forecast and

18 percent below 2005. California leads the U.S. in grape production with 90 percent of the total. 

Washington and New York are the next largest producing States, with 5 percent and 2 percent, respectively. 

California’s all grape forecast, at 5.75 million tons, is down 5 percent from the August forecast and 18 percent

below last year. Washington growers expect to produce 350,000 tons, unchanged since the previous forecast

but 16 percent below last year’s record crop. New York’s forecast, at 154,000 tons, is down 4 percent from

August and 13 percent below a year ago.

California’s wine type grape production is expected to total 3.00 million tons, 6 percent below the August

forecast and down 21 percent from 2005. Wine type grapes account for 52 percent of California’s grape crop. 

Harvest in the Central and North Costal areas is behind schedule since cool weather has slowed sugar

development there. Harvest in the San Joaquin Valley has been underway since mid-August. Grapes in that

area have been picking lighter than originally expected. While grape quality is expected to be excellent, it is

likely that many varieties of red wine grapes will go unharvested due to ample supplies from last year and

increased imports. California’s raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.00 million tons, 35 percent of

California’s total grape crop. The production forecast for raisin type grape varieties is down 2 percent from

the previous forecast and 13 percent below a year ago. Harvest of early raisin grape varieties was underway
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 43 NASS, USDA

but dried-on-the-vine raisin grape growers were still cutting canes and drying bunches. Production of table

type grapes is forecast at 750,000 tons, down 5 percent from the August forecast and 13 percent below last

year. Table type grapes make up 13 percent of the total California grape crop this year. Harvest of table type

grapes was well underway in the San Joaquin Valley and the Kern District. Varieties harvested include

Princess, Red Globe, Black Seedless, Flame Seedless, Sweet Scarlet, Autumn Royal, Crimson Seedless,

Christmas Rose, and Thompson Seedless.

Washington’s production is forecast at 350,000 tons, unchanged since the August forecast but 16 percent

below 2005. The juice type grape forecast, at 230,000 tons, is unchanged from the previous forecast but

25 percent below last year’s bumper juice grape crop. Early summer hail storms had little impact on this

year’s crop. Wine type grape production is forecast at 120,000 tons, unchanged from August but up 9 percent

from a year ago. An increase in bearing acreage and favorable growing conditions left wine grape growers in

Washington expecting a large, high quality crop.

New York’s grape production is forecast at 154,000 tons, 4 percent below the August forecast and down

13 percent from a year ago. Rainy weather across the State has slowed ripening and left Brix levels low

which has delayed harvest of Concords grapes in particular. Some growers are concerned that grapes will not

ripen before frost comes this fall. Spring frost damage was also a problem for growers in the Lake Ontario

and Lake Erie regions.

Michigan’s grape production is forecast at 30,000 tons, up 20 percent from the August forecast but down

71 percent from 2005. Grape growers in southern Michigan experienced a number of problems this season. 

An April frost swept the area killing primary buds and causing extensive damage. Thunderstorms and hail in

late July and August brought additional damage to an already small crop. September was cool and rainy

which kept grapes from maturing and Brix levels low. A significant amount of the southern Michigan grape

crop is expected to go unharvested since the harvesting costs will exceed the value of the crop. Grape growers

in northern Michigan are expecting a good crop due to favorable weather.

Pennsylvania’s grape production is forecast at 75,000 tons, 4 percent below the August forecast and down

17 percent from a year ago. Pennsylvania growers experienced frosts in late May and June negatively

affecting the crop. Disease pressure was also reported to be extremely high this season. Brix levels are low in

Concord grapes leaving many growers wondering if they will increase to a level acceptable to processors

before the first frosts hit.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.54 million pounds for September, up 20 percent

from last month but down 5 percent from a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,140 acres, down 1 percent from

last month and down 8 percent from September 2005. Harvested area totaled 1,335 acres, unchanged from

last month but 8 percent lower than last year. Weather conditions during September were generally sunny

with some trade winds and showers. Warm temperatures were favorable for orchard development and

maintenance. Favorable rains earlier in the year encouraged flowering and fruit set which have contributed to

the production increase in September.

Prunes (Dried Plums): California’s 2006 prune production is forecast at 170,000 dried tons, up 17 percent

from the June 1 forecast and 89 percent above the heat damaged 2005 crop. Bearing area, at 67,000 acres, is

unchanged since last year. This year’s prune crop experienced an unseasonable rainy period during bloom

which hampered pollination and led to a small fruit set statewide. As the season progressed, the crop

prospects improved. This production forecast is based on a survey of prune growers conducted from

August 21 through September 13.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 44 NASS, USDA

Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecast

Field Crop Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between

September 23 and October 6 to gather information on expected yield as of October 1. The objective yield

surveys for corn, cotton, and soybeans were conducted in the major producing States that usually account for

about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Randomly selected plots were revisited to make current counts. The

counts made within each sample plot depend on the crop and the maturity of that crop. In all cases, plant

counts are recorded along with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of ears,

bolls, or pods and their weight. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a

projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are

revisited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed. After the farm operator has

harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail, internet, and personal

interviewers. Over 15,000 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions about

probable yield. These growers will continue to be surveyed throughout the growing season to provide

indications of average yields.

Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the October 1 forecast was conducted in

Florida, which produced about 75 percent of the U.S. production last season. In August and September 2006,

the number of bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In September and subsequent

months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of

production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in

October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for

navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges.

Field Crop Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were

reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed

considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State

Field Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The

ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecasts. 

Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for

errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in

Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of

the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published October 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The October 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end of

the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports, millings,

feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other administrative

data warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are subject to revision in the

August Crop Production report if conditions altered the planting intentions since the mid-year survey. 

Planted acres may also be revised for cotton, peanuts, and rice in the September Crop Production report each

year; spring wheat, Durum wheat, barley, and oats only in the Small Grains Annual report at the end of

September; and all other spring planted crops in the October Crop Production report. Revisions to planted

acres will only be made when either special survey data or administrative data are available. Harvested acres

may be revised any time a production forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested

area has changed since the last forecast. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September’s

Citrus Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the

marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. 

Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the October 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

October 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the “Root Mean Square Error.” Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. For example, the "Root

Mean Square Error" for the October 1 corn for grain production forecast is 3.5 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 45 NASS, USDA

more than 3.5 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 6.0 percent.

Also, shown in the following table is a 20-year record for selected crops of the differences between the

October 1 forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an example, changes between the

October 1 forecast and the final estimate during the last 20 years have averaged 181 million bushels, ranging

from 3 million bushels to 624 million bushels. The October 1 forecast has been below the final estimate

10 times and above 10 times. This does not imply that the October 1 corn forecast this year is likely to

understate or overstate final production.

Reliability of October 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Crop Unit

Root Mean

Square Error 20-Year Record of

Differences Between Forecast

and Final Estimate

Percent

90

Percent

Confidence

Interval

Quantity Years

Average Smallest Largest Below

Final

Above

Final

Million Million Million Number Number

Corn for Grain

Sorghum for Grain

Rice

Soybeans for Beans

Cotton 1

Dry Edible Beans

Oranges 1

Oranges 1 2

Bu

Bu

Cwt

Bu

Bales

Cwt

Tons

Tons

3.5

6.0

2.8

2.4

4.5

3.9

9.6

4.7

6.0

10.3

4.9

4.2

7.7

6.7

16.6

8.3

181

24

4

47

652

1

673

432

3

1

0

2

31

 *

18

18

624

105

13

119

1,706

3

2,043

887

10

10

11

9

14

14

7

7

10

10

9

11

6

6

13

7

* Less than 1 million.

 1 Quantity is in thousands of units. 2 Excluding freeze and hurricane seasons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

October 2006 46 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity statisticians in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics

Service to contact for additional information.

Jeff Geuder, Chief . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5944

Scott Cox - Wheat, Rye . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-8068

Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed ................................. (202) 720-9526

Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice ......................................... (202) 720-7688

Travis Thorson - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-7369

King Whetstone - Hay, Oats, Sorghum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 690-3234

Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops ......................... (202) 720-7621

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco ..................... (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

Strawberries . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2157

Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-5412

Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4215

Dan Norris - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, Lentils,

Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

Wrinkled Seed Peas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-3250

Jim Smith - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

Plums, Prunes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-2127

Kim Ritchie - Hops . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (360) 902-1940

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (202) 720-4285
ACCESS TO REPORTS!!

For your convenience, there are several ways to obtain NASS reports, data products, and services:

INTERNET ACCESS

All NASS reports are available free of charge on the worldwide Internet. For access, connect to the Internet and go

to the NASS Home Page at: www.nass.usda.gov. 

E-MAIL SUBSCRIPTION

All NASS reports are available by subscription free of charge direct to your e-mail address. Starting with the NASS

Home Page at www.nass.usda.gov, under the right navigation, Receive reports by Email, click on National or

State. Follow the instructions on the screen. 

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PRINTED REPORTS OR DATA PRODUCTS

CALL OUR TOLL-FREE ORDER DESK: 800-999-6779 (U.S. and Canada) Other areas, please call 703-605-6220 FAX: 703-605-6900

(Visa, MasterCard, check, or money order acceptable for payment.) 

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ASSISTANCE

For assistance with general agricultural statistics or further information about NASS or its products or services, contact the Agricultural Statistics Hotline at 800-727-9540, 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, or e-mail: nass@nass.usda.gov.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis

of race, color, national origin, age, disability, and where applicable, sex, marital status, familial status, parental

status, religion, sexual orientation, genetic information, political beliefs, reprisal, or because all or part of an

individual’s income is derived from any public assistance program. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.)

Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large

print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA’s TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD).

To file a complaint of discrimination, write to USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, 1400 Independence Avenue,

S.W., Washington, D.C. 20250-9410, or call (800) 795-3272 (voice) or (202) 720-6382 (TDD). USDA is an equal

opportunity provider and employer.
USDA Data Users’ Meeting

October 16, 2006

Doubletree Chicago O’Hare Airport - Rosemont

Chicago, Illinois

(847) 292-9100

The USDA’s National Agricultural Statistics Service will be organizing an open forum for data users. The

purpose will be to provide updates on pending changes in the various statistical and information programs

and seek comments and input from data users. Other USDA agencies to be represented will include the

Agricultural Marketing Service, the Economic Research Service, the Foreign Agricultural Service, and

World Agricultural Outlook Board. The Foreign Trade Division from the Census Bureau will also be

included in the meeting.

For registration details or additional information for the Data Users’ Meeting, see the NASS homepage at

www.nass.usda.gov/forum/ or contact Amy Jenkins (NASS) at (202) 690-8141 or at 

amy_jenkins@nass.usda.gov.

This Data Users’ Meeting precedes an Industry Outlook meeting that will be held at the same location on

October 17, 2006. The Outlook meeting brings together analysts from various commodity sectors to

discuss the outlook situation. For more information about the outlook meeting and to register contact Jim

Robb (Livestock and Marketing Information Center) at (720) 544-2941 or at robb@lmic.info.