Cr Pr 2-2 (1-06)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released January 12, 2006, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on Crop Production call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

All Orange Production Down 2 Percent

The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2005-06 season is 9.22 million tons, down 2 percent from the December

forecast but 1 percent above last season's final utilization of 9.11 million tons. Florida's all orange forecast, at

158 million boxes (7.11 million tons), is down 2 percent from the previous forecast but up 6 percent from the

2004-05 crop. Early, midseason, and navel varieties are forecast at 80.0 million boxes (3.60 million tons),

unchanged from the previous forecast but 1 percent above last season’s final utilization. The Florida Valencia

forecast is reduced by 4 million boxes to 78.0 million boxes (3.51 million tons), down 5 percent from the

previous forecast but up 11 percent from last season's final utilization. For both Valencia and early-midseason

crops, projected fruit sizes will be smaller than any of the previous 10 years, and fruit drop will be above

average.

The all orange forecast for California, at 54.0 million boxes (2.03 million tons), is down 2 percent from the

October forecast and 11 percent lower than last season’s final utilization. The navel orange forecast is

unchanged from October, at 42.0 million boxes (1.58 million tons), but is 2 percent lower than last season. 

California’s navel harvest is well underway but there were some delays in picking due to rain and fog. Fruit

maturity is good but sizes are reported smaller that the last several seasons’ averages. California’s Valencia

orange forecast is lowered 1.00 million boxes to 12.0 million boxes (450 thousand tons), down 8 percent from

the October forecast and 33 percent lower than last season’s final estimate. The Valencia crop is developing

normally but acreage reductions due to market pressures continue. The all orange forecast for Texas, at

1.53 million boxes (65,000 tons), is unchanged from the October 1 forecast but down 14 percent from the

2004-05 season. The early-midseason orange forecast is 1.30 million boxes (55,000 tons), down 13 percent

from last season. The Valencia orange forecast, at 230,000 boxes (10,000 tons), is down 15 percent from last

season. Arizona’s all orange forecast is lowered 20,000 boxes from the October forecast, to 450,000 boxes

(17,000 tons). A reduction in the navel orange component accounts for all of this change from the previous

forecast. Navel oranges are forecast at 250,000 boxes (9,000 tons), down 7 percent from the previous forecast

but 4 percent higher than last season. The Valencia forecast is 200,000 boxes (8,000 tons), up 5 percent from

the previous season.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield for the 2005-06 season, at 1.55 gallons per box at

42.0 degrees Brix, is unchanged from last month’s forecast but is down from the previous season’s yield of

1.58 gallons per box as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The early-midseason portion is

projected to yield 1.46 gallons, down from 1.53 gallons for the 2004-05 crop. Valencias are projected to yield

1.66 gallons compared to 1.68 gallons last season. All projections of yield assume the processing

relationships this season will be similar to those of the past several seasons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on January 12, 2006.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

Charles F. Conner

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Carol C. House
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Grains & Hay

Hay Stocks . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6

Noncitrus Fruits & Tree Nuts

Papayas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Citrus Fruits

Grapefruit . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Lemons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Oranges . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Tangelos . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Tangerines . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Temples . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5

Potatoes & Miscellaneous Crops

Potatoes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4

Crop Comments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14

Crop Summary ........................................................................7

Information Contacts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18

Reliability of Production Data in this Report . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17

Weather Maps . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13

Weather Summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 4 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by Seasonal Group, State, and United States, 2004-2006

Seasonal

Group

and

State

Area

Yield Production

Planted Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006 2005 2006 2004 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter

 CA

 FL

 Total

Spring 1

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 Hastings

 Other FL

 NC

 TX

 Total

14.0

6.0

20.0

4.3

15.1

23.6

17.3

6.3

15.5

9.5

68.0

12.0

5.7

17.7

14.0

5.8

19.8

4.3

15.1

23.2

17.0

6.2

15.0

9.1

66.7

12.0

5.5

17.5

250

240

247

275

405

281

280

285

190

225

281

260

240

254

3,250

1,568

4,818

1,767

8,313

7,678

5,760

1,918

2,700

2,205

22,663

3,500

1,392

4,892

1,183

6,116

6,527

4,760

1,767

2,850

2,048

18,724

3,120

1,320

4,440

 1 2005 revised.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2004-2005

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested 2004 2005

2004 2005 2004 2005

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Nov

Dec

2,100

2,230

2,320

2,290

1,360

1,400

1,415

1,780

2,650

2,960

2,270

2,105

 1 Utilized fresh production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 5 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2003-04, 2004-05 and Forecasted January 1, 2006 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 4

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 5

 CA 5

 FL

 US

Lemons

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

300

39,500

126,000

1,420

167,220

170

11,000

116,000

230

127,400

470

50,500

242,000

1,650

294,620

1,400

15,900

25,000

140

5,800

40,900

5,700

52,540

690

2,200

6,500

9,390

3,000

18,000

21,000

1,000

240

43,000

79,100

1,500

123,840

190

18,000

70,500

270

88,960

430

61,000

149,600

1,770

212,800

650

3,400

9,400

140

5,800

12,800

6,600

25,340

400

2,800

4,450

7,650

2,400

19,000

21,400

1,550

250

42,000

80,000

1,300

123,550

200

12,000

78,000

230

90,430

450

54,000

158,000

1,530

213,980

800

4,000

12,000

100

6,000

16,000

5,100

27,200

500

3,100

5,700

9,300

3,800

19,000

22,800

1,200

12

1,481

5,670

60

7,223

6

413

5,220

10

5,649

18

1,894

10,890

70

12,872

63

675

1,063

5

194

1,738

228

2,165

25

83

309

417

114

684

798

45

9

1,613

3,560

64

5,246

7

675

3,173

11

3,866

16

2,288

6,733

75

9,112

29

145

400

5

194

545

264

1,008

15

105

211

331

91

722

813

70

9

1,575

3,600

55

5,239

8

450

3,510

10

3,978

17

2,025

7,110

65

9,217

36

170

510

3

201

680

204

1,088

19

116

271

406

144

722

866

54

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos & Temples90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Includes seedy. 5 Includes tangelos and tangors.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 6 NASS, USDA

Hay: Stocks on Farms by State and United States,

December 1 and May 1, 2003-2005

State Dec 1 May 1

2003 2004 1 2005 2004 2005 1

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

1,764

280

2,700

2,086

1,841

83

12

434

1,494

2,772

1,797

1,561

3,695

5,600

5,035

937

164

377

72

1,872

3,567

1,125

7,148

3,986

5,244

857

60

96

525

2,430

1,625

4,690

2,504

4,244

2,357

2,440

10

601

7,210

3,830

9,910

1,495

332

2,515

1,620

957

3,110

1,963

111,027

1,965

250

3,200

1,770

2,527

73

25

410

1,345

2,782

1,613

1,704

4,368

6,304

4,742

910

189

348

95

1,893

4,127

1,159

8,101

4,427

4,370

741

53

161

545

1,895

1,545

3,923

2,250

5,125

2,366

2,700

12

557

6,939

4,199

10,451

1,383

276

2,716

1,560

1,030

3,532

1,860

114,516

1,575

350

2,000

1,798

2,365

55

18

380

1,350

2,260

1,260

1,498

4,200

5,000

4,390

596

138

390

76

1,852

4,117

1,567

6,315

5,440

4,585

788

53

112

545

1,650

1,245

5,580

2,360

3,900

1,790

1,700

10

565

7,935

3,625

8,000

1,355

257

2,585

1,475

984

3,183

1,784

105,056

487

55

600

306

610

14

4

52

342

445

408

253

605

1,400

1,466

115

33

60

15

250

575

244

1,462

790

1,596

121

11

40

115

552

405

828

556

1,275

371

570

2

186

1,515

1,182

2,849

279

86

758

470

191

920

478

25,947

356

35

660

215

470

21

5

26

292

535

460

345

1,250

1,735

1,186

128

39

86

17

500

884

199

2,166

860

1,440

80

12

36

164

440

350

917

420

1,385

362

650

2

120

2,100

1,025

2,779

300

71

791

322

212

927

383

27,758

 1 Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 7 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3,875.0

81,759.0

4,246.0

565.0

3,384.0

1,433.0

6,454.0

57,229.0

40,433.0

2,760.0

14,036.0

1,159.0

983.0

49.0

1,657.0

2.4

165.0

72,142.0

2,709.0

14,195.4

13,925.0

270.4

1,294.8

42.5

1,659.3

808.0

450.0

1,107.2

20.0

68.0

50.6

968.6

90.4

41,367.0

17.7

3,269.0

75,107.0

5,920.0

61,649.0

22,389.0

39,260.0

1,823.0

515.0

3,364.0

279.0

5,736.0

311.0

50,119.0

33,794.0

2,716.0

13,609.0

1,114.0

955.0

44.6

1,629.0

2.0

160.0

71,361.0

2,610.0

13,702.6

13,434.0

268.6

1,238.9

922.9

298.0

24.5

1,562.9

765.9

439.0

6.1

0.1

29.5

76.0

1,084.6

19.8

66.7

48.6

949.5

17.7

87.8

0.4

17.5

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 8 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

“

Tons

“

“

“

Bu

“

Cwt

Bu

“

Tons

Bu

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Bu

Lbs

“

“

“

Bu

Lbs

Bales

“

“

Tons

“

Lbs

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

“

“

“

Cwt

“

“

“

“

Lbs

Cwt

Lbs

64.8

147.9

18.0

2.44

3.38

1.91

63.0

26.3

6,636

27.0

68.7

13.6

42.0

44.4

37.2

37.1

1,419

20.6

787

2,960

1,500

1,203

43.3

1,540

831

824

1,171

22.3

30.2

2,147

1,253

1,742

1,828

1,176

1,050

42,500

1,791

92

388

247

281

334

401

109

179

254

211,896

11,112,072

106,311

150,590

75,771

74,819

114,878

13,545

223,235

7,537

393,893

4,218

2,104,690

1,499,129

101,105

504,456

1,580,985

8,501.0

19,695

35,114

4,821,250

3,000

192,545

3,086,432

4,018,355

23,719.0

23,064.0

655.0

27,654

27,897

639,709

307

27,222

14,003

5,163

755

6,400

5,100

52,914.5

6,980

420,879

4,892

18,724

16,237

381,026

1,933

15,747

4,000

4,440

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 9 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Units

Production

2004 2005 2006

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI) 3

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts (OR)

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Tons

“

“

“

“

“

1,000 Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

“

Lbs

Tons

“

“

“

Lbs

Tons

Lbs

Tons

Gals

2,165

798

12,872

45

417

63

10,419.9

101.1

16,500.0

6,231.7

104.0

35,800.0

1,307.1

890.3

49.0

25.0

1,010,000

37.5

185,800

325.0

1,507

1,008

813

9,112

70

331

29

9,379.1

90.2

7,070.9

125.0

1,233.9

853.0

105.0

10.7

880,000

28.0

250,200

340.0

1,242

1,088

866

9,217

54

406

36

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2 Production years are 2003-2004, 2004-2005, and 2005-2006. 3 2005 not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 10 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2005-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2005 2006 2005 2006

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

1,568,170

33,087,050

1,718,310

228,650

1,369,470

579,920

2,611,870

23,160,000

16,362,830

1,116,940

5,680,230

469,040

397,810

19,830

670,570

970

66,770

29,195,150

1,096,310

5,744,740

5,635,310

109,430

523,990

17,200

671,500

326,990

182,110

448,070

8,090

27,520

20,480

391,980

36,580

16,740,810

7,160

1,322,930

30,395,050

2,395,760

24,948,730

9,060,600

15,888,130

737,750

208,420

1,361,380

112,910

2,321,300

125,860

20,282,660

13,676,090

1,099,140

5,507,430

450,820

386,480

18,050

659,240

810

64,750

28,879,080

1,056,240

5,545,310

5,436,610

108,700

501,370

373,490

120,610

9,910

632,490

309,950

177,660

2,470

50

11,960

30,760

438,930

8,010

26,990

19,670

384,250

7,160

35,530

150

7,080

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 11 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2005-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2005 2006 2005 2006

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

3.49

9.29

40.26

5.48

7.59

4.27

2.26

1.47

7.44

1.70

4.31

30.40

2.82

2.98

2.50

2.49

1.59

1.29

0.88

3.32

1.68

1.35

2.91

1.73

0.93

0.92

1.31

50.04

67.76

2.41

1.40

1.95

2.05

1.32

1.18

47.64

2.01

0.10

43.49

27.69

31.46

37.45

44.98

0.12

20.10

28.44

4,613,490

282,259,630

96,443,720

136,612,950

68,738,290

67,874,660

1,667,450

307,200

10,125,770

191,450

10,005,340

3,826,510

57,280,270

40,799,610

2,751,630

13,729,040

717,120

7,711,980

500,280

15,930

2,186,880

1,360

87,340

83,998,910

1,822,700

5,164,200

5,021,590

142,610

25,087,290

25,307,730

290,170

13,930

1,234,770

635,170

234,190

34,250

2,900

2,310

24,000

3,170

19,090,750

221,900

849,310

736,500

17,283,050

880

714,270

1,810

201,400

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 12 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2004-2006

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2004 2005 2006

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI) 3

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

1,964,050

723,930

11,677,280

40,820

378,300

57,150

4,726,390

91,740

7,480

5,653,300

94,350

16,240

1,185,790

807,630

44,450

22,680

458,130

34,020

84,280

294,840

7,530

914,440

737,540

8,266,270

63,500

300,280

26,310

4,254,290

81,790

6,414,610

113,400

1,119,330

773,810

95,250

9,710

399,160

25,400

113,490

308,440

6,210

987,020

785,620

8,361,520

48,990

368,320

32,660

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2006 crop year, except citrus which is for the 2005-06 season. 2 Production years are 2003-2004, 2004-2005, and 2005-2006. 3 2005 production not published to avoid disclosure of individual operations.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 13 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 14 NASS, USDA

December Weather Summary

Following a dry start to December across northern and central California and much of the Northwest, mid- to

late-month storminess caused flooding but boosted high-elevation snow packs and eased long-term drought. 

Dry conditions persisted, however, across the Southwest, increasing stress on pastures and rangeland. On the

southern Plains, where numerous wildfires scorched brush, grassland, and timber, pastures and winter grains

continued to suffer from worsening drought, occasional high winds, and sharp temperature fluctuations. 

Farther north, conditions across the northern and central Plains remained mostly favorable for winter wheat,

despite mid- to late-month soil moisture reductions and the loss of a protective snow cover. The Corn Belt

experienced a dramatic shift from cold, snowy weather to mild, showery conditions. Toward month's end,

muddy conditions increased stress on some Midwestern livestock. Farther east, locally heavy rain and snow

maintained wet conditions in the northern Atlantic States. The South also experienced a late-month warming

trend, but abundant soil moisture reserves in the southern Atlantic States contrasted with worsening drought

from Texas northeastward to the northern Delta.

Despite a late-December warming trend, monthly temperatures were below normal in the East and Northwest

due to the cold snap’s magnitude. December readings averaged at least 4 degrees F below normal from the

eastern Corn Belt to the northern Mid-Atlantic States and in parts of the interior Northwest. In contrast,

warmer-than-normal weather prevailed in California, the Southwest, and the north-central United States,

boosting temperatures in some locations more than 4 degrees F above normal.

December Agricultural Summary

Dry, windy weather on the southern Great Plains caused rapid depletion of soil moisture and deterioration of

winter wheat and pasture conditions. Soil moisture levels in the northern and central Great Plains were better

than in the southern Great Plains, however, warm weather melted much of the protective snow cover, leaving

winter wheat vulnerable to future cold weather.

Below-normal temperatures prevailed across the Ohio Valley and most of the Corn Belt, maintaining snow

cover in northerly areas of the regions. Conditions were drier than normal, but most areas had 1 to 2 inches of

rain equivalent precipitation.

Cool weather across the Southeast helped to harden citrus and other fruit trees, while moderate rainfall helped

replenish soil moisture. In the Delta, precipitation levels were well below normal.

In the Pacific Northwest, heavy precipitation, mostly snow, and below-normal temperatures combined to

maintain a healthy protective snow cover for winter wheat. In higher elevations, the deep snowpack is

expected to provide abundant moisture for spring planting.

Winter Potatoes: Production for 2006 is forecast at 4.44 million cwt, down 9 percent from a year ago and

8 percent below 2004. Harvested acreage in the 2 winter potato States (California and Florida) is estimated at

17,500 acres, down 12 percent from 2005, while the average yield is forecast at 254 cwt per acre, 7 cwt above

last year. In California, where rain has been prevalent, growers report no problems thus far and expect to

receive average yields. In Florida, mostly mild weather during December helped planting to stay on schedule

and aided in crop development.

Spring Potatoes: Production for 2005 is revised to 18.7 million cwt, up 3 percent from the May forecast but

17 percent below 2004. Harvested area totaled 66,700 acres, down 8 percent from a year ago. The average

yield of 281 cwt per acre decreased 33 cwt from 2004.

Spring potato production in Arizona and California decreased 33 percent and 26 percent, respectively, from

2004. Florida’s crop is down 15 percent from the previous year and production in Texas is 7 percent below

2004. North Carolina is the only spring potato State that increased production from last year, up 6 percent. 

North Carolina growers increased planted and harvested acres due to more processing contracts being

available. The increase in harvested acres more than offset a decrease in yield.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 2.11 million pounds for December, down 7 percent

from last month and 29 percent below a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,290 acres, down 1 percent from last

month but up 3 percent from December 2004. Harvested area totaled 1,780 acres, up 26 percent from last

month and 27 percent above a year ago. Dry weather during December affected flowering and fruit
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 15 NASS, USDA

development. Production is still being impacted by reduced fruit set caused by dry weather earlier in the year

but growers are expecting a heavier harvest in January. Large areas are being cleared for replanting in the

Puna district of Hawaii island. Growers actively sprayed orchards to control Papaya Ringspot Virus.

Grapefruit: The forecast of the 2005-06 U.S. grapefruit crop is 1.09 million tons, down 1 percent from the

previous forecast but up 8 percent from last season’s final utilization. Florida's grapefruit production is

forecast at 16.0 million boxes (680,000 tons), unchanged from the December 1 forecast but 25 percent above

last year’s hurricane-damaged crop. The white grapefruit utilization forecast, at 4.00 million boxes

(170,000 tons), is unchanged from December but 18 percent above last season’s utilization. The colored

seedless utilization forecast, at 12.0 million boxes (510,000 tons), is also unchanged from the December 1

forecast but 28 percent higher than the 2004-05 season’s utilization. 

California’s grapefruit production forecast is 6.00 million boxes (201,000 tons), up 3 percent from both the

October forecast and last season’s final utilization. Market conditions continue to be very strong. Pummelos

were harvested in the Central Valley as well as Rio Red variety in the desert region. Quality is reported as fair

to excellent. The grapefruit production forecast for Texas 5.10 million boxes (204,000 tons), down 6 percent

from the previous forecast and 23 percent below last season. Arizona’s grapefruit forecast is 100,000 boxes

(3,000 tons), down 17 percent from the October 1 forecast and 29 percent below the 2004-05 season.

Lemons: The forecast for the 2005-06 U.S. lemon crop, at 866,000 tons, is unchanged from the October 1

forecast but up 7 percent from last season. California production is forecast at 19.0 million boxes

(722,000 tons), unchanged from both the previous forecast and the 2004-05 season. Harvest is active

throughout the State with good quality reported. The 2005-06 Arizona lemon forecast is 3.80 million boxes

(144,000 tons), also unchanged from the October forecast but up 58 percent from the previous season. Fruit

set is reported as very good, with resulting smaller fruit sizes expected.

Tangelos: Florida’s tangelo forecast, at 1.20 million boxes (54,000 tons), is unchanged from the December 1

forecast but down 23 percent from last season’s utilized production. Due to higher processing tangelo prices,

a more complete harvest is anticipated this season than in recent years.

Tangerines: The 2005-06 U.S. tangerine crop forecast is 406,000 tons, down 1 percent from the previous

forecast but up 23 percent from last season’s utilization of 331,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine crop is forecast at

5.70 million boxes (271,000 tons), unchanged from the December forecast but 28 percent higher than last

season’s 4.45 million boxes. Fallglo harvest is complete while Sunburst harvest is continuing. Harvest of the

later Honey variety tangerine is just beginning. The California tangerine forecast, at 3.10 million boxes

(116,000 tons), is down 3 percent from the previous forecast but up 11 percent from the previous season. 

Harvest is underway but has been delayed by fog. Otherwise, harvest is progressing with good fruit maturity

and color reported. Arizona’s forecast is 500,000 boxes (19,000 tons), unchanged from the previous forecast

but 25 percent above last season.

Temples: Florida’s Temple forecast for the 2005-06 season is 800,000 boxes (36,000 tons), unchanged from

the December forecast but 23 percent above last season’s hurricane-reduced final utilization of 650,000 boxes. 

If realized, with the exception of last year’s crop, this will be the lowest production since Temple forecasts

began.

Florida Citrus: December weather was moderate with mild days and nights during most of the month. On

several mornings at the beginning of the month, temperatures dipped into the high 30's in northern citrus

areas. Near the end of the month, light frost was observed on several mornings. Mid-month brought morning

temperatures in the 50's with highs into the low 80's. Most stations reported variable amounts of rainfall

ranging from trace amounts to several inches. Some growers returned to irrigation on an irregular basis while

others stopped irrigation to induce light tree stress to protect from any later cold weather. Citrus crops and

trees in all areas are making good progress with no major problems reported. Growers are conducting typical

winter cultural practices including weed and cover crop control, dead tree removal and replacement, and

hedging in southern areas. Clean up of groves affected by hurricane Wilma continued including removal of

blown over and spilt trees and ditch and furrow maintenance. Removal of trees due to citrus canker finds

continues. Several fresh fruit packinghouses did not open this season but others were packing navel, Hamlin,

and Pineapple oranges, tangelos, white and colored grapefruit, and Sunburst tangerines. All processors except

one, are open to receive packinghouse eliminations and field run fruit. Average internal maturity levels of

oranges has lagged all season and harvest has been delayed. Processors report good quality fruit with good

juice color.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 16 NASS, USDA

Arizona Citrus: Growers indicated citrus groves to be in good to excellent condition, with good fruit quality

reported. There have been fewer reports of insect damage this season compared to last. Tangerines are

moving earlier than normal but orders are keeping up with supply. Lemon fruit size is small this season but

movement is good. Growers reported approximately 50 percent of the lemon crop has been harvested. 

Lemon harvest will continue to the end of February or the beginning of March, about a month later than

normal. Tangerines are showing good quality. Grapefruit are moving well due to this season’s low domestic

production.

Texas Citrus: Citrus harvest is in full swing. Grapefruit have developed very well over the last couple of

months as temperatures in the Valley have cooled. So far this year there have been no reports of disease or

insect problems with the citrus crop. The absence of citrus mite blemishes and sheep nosing has helped the

fruit to develop its natural color which allows more grapefruit to be sold fresh. Weather conditions in the

Valley have been very dry, with little or no rain. Cooler temperatures in November and December have

helped fruit mature.

California Citrus: Foggy weather delayed harvest activities in citrus groves during the month. During

December, navel oranges, lemons, mandarins, and tangerines were harvested. Most navel oranges picked

required shorter gassing periods as rind color had improved significantly from last month. Blood orange

maturity was developing well. Pummelo and Oroblanco variety grapefruit were harvested in the Central

Valley and the Rio Red variety was harvested in the desert areas of California. Pre-emergent herbicides and

whitewash were applied to citrus groves.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Grape harvest was complete, with late variety table grape harvesting

ending around mid-month. Some shippers, however, still had quite a few grapes in storage. Pomegranates,

pecans, persimmons, apples, and kiwifruit were being harvested early in the month but harvest was complete

by month’s end. Grape, tree fruit, and nut growers began dormant season activities including pruning, brush

shredding, cane tying, cultivation, weed control treatments, fertilizer and soil amendment applications, and

cover crop planting. Soil fumigation was also underway in a number of locations in preparation for new

orchard and vineyard plantings. A few orchards were being prepared for grafting. Pruning and brush

shredding in olive orchards continued. Field work was occasionally interrupted by rain, especially near

month’s end when heavy rainfall fell across much of the State. Some river-bottom tree fruit and walnut

orchards in Yuba and Sutter counties were flooded.

Hay Stocks on Farms: Stocks of all hay stored on farms totaled 105 million tons on December 1, 2005,

down 8 percent from a year ago. Disappearance of hay from May 2005 - December 2005 totaled 73.3 million

tons, compared to 69.7 million tons for the same period a year ago. 

Compared to December 1, 2004, hay stocks decreased in most of the Corn Belt and southern Great Plains

States. In many of these States, drought conditions during the summer months resulted in increased

supplemental feeding of hay. Meanwhile, stocks increased compared to last year in most of the northern

Great Plains States as above average rainfall and warm temperatures allowed farmers to get multiple cuttings

of hay and provided good pasture and grazing conditions.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 17 NASS, USDA

Reliability of January 1 Orange Forecast

Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the January 1 forecast was conducted in Florida,

which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. Bearing tree numbers are determined at the start of

the season based on a fruit tree census conducted every other year, combined with ongoing review based on

administrative data or special surveys. From mid-July to mid-September, the number of fruit per tree is

determined. In September and subsequent months, fruit size measurement and fruit droppage surveys are

conducted, which combined with the previous components are used to develop the current forecast of

production. Arizona, California, and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis in

October, January, April, and July. California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for

navel oranges and in March for Valencia oranges.

Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for errors,

reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in Arizona,

California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses of the

current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the State

analyses to prepare the published January 1 forecast. 

Revision Policy: The January 1 production forecasts will not be revised. A new forecast will be made each

month throughout the growing season. End-of-season estimates will be published in the Citrus Fruits

Summary released in September. The production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the

marketing season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. 

Allowances are made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the January 1 production forecasts, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

January 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years. 

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the January 1 orange production forecast is 5.3 percent. However, if you

exclude the six abnormal production years (5 freeze seasons and 1 hurricane season), the "Root Mean Square

Error" is 3.7 percent. This means that chances are two out of three that the current orange production forecast

will not be above or below the final estimates by more than 5.3 percent, or 3.7 percent excluding abnormal

seasons. Chances are nine out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not exceed

9.1 percent, or 6.5 percent excluding abnormal seasons.

Changes between the January 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past 20 years have averaged

433,000 tons (373,000 tons excluding abnormal seasons), ranging from 106,000 tons to 1.13 million tons

(106,000 tons to 638,000 tons, excluding abnormal seasons). The January 1 forecast for oranges has been

below the final estimate 6 times and above 14 times (below 5 times and above 9 times, excluding abnormal

seasons). The difference does not imply that the January 1 forecasts this year are likely to understate or

overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

January 2006 18 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Joe Prusacki, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Shiela Corley - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Scott Cox - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Ty Kalaus - Corn, Proso Millet, Flaxseed (202) 720-9526

Dennis Koong - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Jason Lamprecht - Soybeans, Sunflower, Other Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Travis Thorson - Hay, Oats, Sorghum (202) 690-3234

Brian Young - Crop Weather, Barley, Sugar Crops (202) 720-7621

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Leslie Colburn - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup, Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Rich Holcomb - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Doug Marousek - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Cathy Scherrer - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Jim Smith - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2127
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Prospering in Rural America

February 16-17, 2006

 Crystal Gateway

 Marriott Hotel

 Arlington, Virginia

The theme is “Prospering in Rural America,” and the program

will highlight the economic development of rural America. In

addition, there will be a broad range of sessions, including

Shifting Trade Patterns, Chinese Agriculture, Homeland

Security, the African Growth & Opportunity Act, Bio-fuel

Production and New Energy Forms in Rural Areas, Community

Supported Agriculture, and Feedback from the 2007 Farm Bill

Listening Sessions. 

Agriculture Secretary Mike Johanns and other top experts in

agriculture will be among the more than 130 speakers. 

Find full program and registration details at

www.usda.gov/oce/forum or call toll free, 1-877-572-6043.

Forum speeches can be downloaded after February 17, 2006. 

 www.usda.gov/oce/forum (877) 572-6043 toll free