Seasonal
Group and
State

Potatoes:
Seasonal Group,

1991

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production,

Area Harvested

1992 :

1992

1990

State, and United States, 1990-92

Production

1991

Winter 1/
Spring 1/

Summer 1/
AL
CA
co
DE
IL
1A
MD
MI
MN
MO
NE
NJ
NM 2/
NC
1X
VA

1,000 Acres

12.

co
~“

_

.
PORN DN EEE RIUM

CORCOPWWUNWN NOOO

10.

2

a

13.1
85.0

BNR WWM HEH EODEN
COPUNMOMNHOAMOWOFO

2,343

24,163

1,088
1,749
2,124
2,009
837
160
324
2,875
1,830
957
662
1,012
3,400
140
1,950
1,980

23,097

2,609
20,636

952
1,560
2,036
1,348
1,008

208

298
2,875
2,154
1,323

636

760
3,450

154
2,400
1,485

22,647

2,722
23,211

1,155
1,496
1,740
1,360
1,040
304
280
2,880
2,308
1,688
560
875
1,050
161
1,750
1,815

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ District I (NW Counties) for 1992 included in fall potatoes.

Crop Production
July 1992

--continued

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


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Crop Production
July 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Reliability of July 1 Winter Wheat Production Forecast

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted
between June 22 and July 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in
15 States that accounted for 85 percent of the 1991 production. Plots were
revisited to make counts and harvest mature samples. In early fields, counts
such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were
made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. A 5-year
historical head weight is used until the crop matures to the point that heads
can be clipped, threshed, and weighed. The number of heads times the weight
of the heads in a sample plot provides an estimate of yield per acre. The
5-year average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots
are revisited each month until the crop reaches maturity and or harvested on
the final visit.

The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 10,000 winter
wheat producers representing all major production areas. These producers were
selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the probable
winter wheat yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed
throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the
season progresses.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower
reported indications were reviewed for reasonableness
and consistency with historical estimates. The indications were also reviewed
considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous month and
previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their analysis of the
current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses
the survey indications and the State analysis to prepare the published
June 1 forecasts.

Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead,

a new forecast wil] be made each month throughout the
growing season. End-of-season estimates are made after harvest. At the end
of the marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks,
production, exports, millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then
made if data relationships warrant changes.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1
winter wheat production forecast, the "Root Mean Square Error,"
a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. This is done by
expressing the deviation between the July 1 production forecast and the final
estimate as a percentage of the final estimate, and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1972-1991 20-year period; the square root of the
average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability
statements can be made concerning expected differences in the current forecast
relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting
this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
duly 1992 B-15 NASS, USDA


Pears: Total Production by Type, State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Bartlett :
cA : 314,000 300,000 315,000
OR : 83,000 70,000 75,000
WA : 177,000 160,000 160,000
Total > 574,000 530,000 550,000

Excluding Bartlett :
cA : 18,000 17,000 20,000
OR : 150,000 150,000 155,000
WA : 195,000 176,000 180,000
Total : 363,000 343,000 355,000

Al] :
cA : 332,000 317,000 335,000
co : 2,500 3,100 4,000
cT : 1,100 1,200 1,450
MI : 2,500 5,000 4°000
NY : 14,600 14,500 19,000
OR : 233,000 220,000 230,000
PA : 3,300 5,500 5,000
UT : 2,800 2,200 3,000
WA : 372,000 336,000 340,000
us : 963,800 904,500 941,450

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons):
U.S.; 1990 - 150, 1991 - 150.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-14 NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)

is dune 27, 1992 Next Chart July 14, 1992 },,
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SEVERE \ 7 54
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MOIST a 7 ~
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Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness; responds slowly; changes little from week to week; and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as well as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers, reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-2 NASS, USDA




Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Area Harvested Yield : Production

- 1,000 acres - -- Bushels --
AL H 25 25 35.0 55.0 1,250 875 1,375
AR : 30 20 56.0 75.0 2,700 1,680 1,500
CA : 35 35 70.0 75.0 3,375 2,450 2,625
CO : 30 40 60.0 60.0 2,250 1,800 2,400
GA : 60 55 50.0 65.0 2,240 3,000 3,575
1D : 45 30 68.0 65.0 1,980 3,060 1,950
IL : 120 160 55.0 52.0 11,560 6,600 8,320
IN : 45 40 57.0 63.0 4,830 2,565 2,520
IA : 425 500 50.0 55.0 40,800 21,250 27,500
KS : 110 150 53.0 52.0 6,600 5,830 7,800
ME : 23 22 60.0 65.0 2,015 1,380 1,430
MD : 12 9 35.0 62.0 986 420 558
MI : 120 120 45.0 48.0 13,050 5,400 5,760
MN : 570 500 40.0 58.0 48,180 22,800 29,000
MO : 32 60 51.0 47.0 2,226 1,632 2,820
MT : 110 80 55.0 42.0 2,800 6,050 3,360
NE : 220 210 54.0 56.0 13,440 11,880 11,760
NY : 100 110 50.0 65.0 8,235 5,000 7,150
NC : 40 50 55.0 55.0 2,440 2,200 2,750
ND : 650 550 50.0 43.0 30,600 32,500 23,650
OH : 170 190 60.0 66.0 16,100 10,200 12,540
OK : 34 50 38.0 42.0 2,280 1,292 2,100
OR : 45 42 105.0 94.0 4,590 4,725 3,948
PA : 210 205 40.0 69.0 15,840 8,400 14,145
sc : 40 35 55.0 65.0 1,824 2,200 2,275
sD : 700 700 55.0 48.0 53,200 38,500 33,600
TX : 180 170 40.0 46.0 9,225 7,200 7,820
UT : 8 15 77.0 70.0 816 616 1,050
WA : 40 30 65.0 50.0 2,640 2,600 1,500
wv : 5 5 45.0 50.0 342 225 250
WI : 530 555 50.0 50.0 47,570 26,500 27,750
WY : 32 32 53.0 50.0 1,540 1,696 1,600
US 4,796 4,795 50.6 53.5 357,524 242,526 256,381
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1992 A-5 NASS, USDA


Papayas: Hawaii papaya production is estimated at 4.77 million pounds for

June, 6 percent more than May and 65 percent higher than last June.
Year-to-date fresh sales totaled 27.2 million pounds, 28 percent more than the
same six-month period of 1991. Weather conditions were generally favorable for
papaya production under a mixture of sunshine and showers in June.

Area devoted to papayas totaled 3,800 acres, 2 percent lower than May but
11 percent higher than June 1991. Harvested area, totaling 2,180 acres, was
1 percent Tower than last month but 16 percent higher than a year ago.

Sweet Cherries: The U.S. production for 1992, at 169,500 tons, increased
12 percent from 1991 and 8 percent from 1990.

The California harvest is virtually completed. The crop was of excellent
quality with large size fruit. In Idaho, harvest began in mid-June and is
over 80 percent harvested. Michigan's harvest just began in the first week of
July. Development was slowed by cool, dry spring temperatures. Frosts and
high winds also caused some damage. In Montana, growers are just beginning
harvest. Thirty to 40 percent of the crop is ripe. Recent heavy rains caused
minor splits in the fruit. New York's crop appears to be suffering from heavy
losses to birds. Varieties harvested on July 1 included Ulster and Sam.

Fruit size is good. The Oregon fresh market harvest was completed by the last
week of June. Fruit was excellent with no rain damage. Harvest of fruit for
processing is in full swing as excellent weather continues. Utah cherries did
not size as well as hoped. June rains in Washington detracted from a
potentially excellent crop of sweet cherries. Rains caused damage in both the
Yakima and Wenatchee areas.

Tart Cherries: The U.S. production for 1992, at 265 million pounds, is

39 percent more than 1991 and 27 percent more than 1990.
Prospects improved in Oregon and Utah causing a 2 percent increase from the
June 25 forecast.

The mild winter and warm spring has been excellent for western Oregon growers.
Harvest was underway by the second week of June in the earliest areas and
started in all areas by the last week of June. Harvest is underway in Utah.

All Potatoes: Potato farmers have planted 1.33 million acres of potatoes

across the United States this year, down 6 percent from last
year and 5 percent below two years ago. Area for harvest is forecast at
1.31 million acres, off 5 percent from the last two years. By season
grouping, acreage planted is the same as last year for winter potatoes, down
3 percent for spring, off 12 percent for summer, and down 5 percent for the
all crop.

Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes, estimated at 1.14 million

acres, is down 5 percent from last year and 4 percent below
two years ago. Harvest is expected from 1.12 million acres, 5 percent below
1991 and 4 percent Jess than 1990.

Most fall potatoes across the U.S. are off to a good start this year with only
a few trouble spots. Growers in Western States have planted substantially |
fewer potatoes this year because of low prices at planting time and uncertain

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-13 NASS, USDA


Potatoes: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Seasonal
Group, State, and United States, 1990-92 (continued)

Seasonal
Group
and : : : : : :
State : 1991 : 1992 1991; 1992 : 1990 : 1991 : 1992
: - 1,000 Acres - -- Cwt --
Fall :
CA > 14.5 13.0 390 6,630 5,655
co : 68.0 66.0 350 22,750 23,800
1D :
10 SWCo : 22.0 22.0 410 8,000 9,020
Other Co : 371.0 356.0 305 111,070 =113,155
IN : 4.1 3.5 220 858 902
ME : 79.0 81.0 230 20,520 18,170
MA : 3.0 3.0 205 650 615
MI : 34.0 36.0 260 9,240 8,840
MN > 71.5 69.0 240 14,280 17,160
MT : 9.3 9.1 300 2,492 2,790
NE : 8.8 8.9 280 2,837 2,464
NV : 7.6 7.5 335 2,345 2,546
NM 1/ : 5.1
NY
Long Is: 6.6 6.2 250 1,950 1,650
Upstate : 22.9 20.8 230 5,940 5,267
ND : 154.0 141.0 195 16,675 30,030
oH : 7.7 6.9 185 1,911 1,425
Malheur: 6.6 6.6 400 2,520 2,640
Other Co : 43.4 37.4 450 20,930 19,530
PA : 20.0 19.0 175 5,400 3,500
RI : 1.3 1.3 185 270 241
SD : 7.1 6.0 250 1,980 1,775
UT : 6.0 5.7 270 1,643 1,620
WA : 141.0 125.0 535 67,980 75,435
WI > 66.5 64.0 350 23,075 23,275
WY : 2.0 1.6 250 561 500
Total 1,177.9 1,121.6 316 352,507 372,005
us :1,374.9 1,306.1 304 402,110 417,897

1/ District I (NW Counties) for 1992 included in fall Potatoes.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-21 NASS, USDA


half of the month, but remained behind normal due to the early delays.
Harvest was 46% complete in the 19 major producing States as of July 5,
23 percentage points behind last year and 16 points behind the 5-year average.

Nearly all of the spring wheat had emerged by June and heading advanced during
the month. Sixty-seven percent of the spring wheat acreage was showing grain
heads by July 5, compared with 81% last year and 78% average. Spring wheat
condition deteriorated due to dry weather in the north-central States during
the first half of June, but rebounded well in most of the major States with
rains later in the month. Drought conditions in Montana, however, remained,
and much of the spring wheat acreage was suffering.

Corn planting was nearly complete in the northern Corn Belt and well along in
the Northeast entering June, and silking was increasing in the Southeast.

Crop condition improved in response to rains during the month in many regions,
but soil moisture remained short in much of the central and eastern Corn Belt.
Low temperatures the week beginning June 22 caused freeze damage to some
acreage in the Great Lakes and eastern Corn Belt, with the most damage
occurring in Wisconsin. Corn silking progressed slower than usual during
June, despite early planting of the crop. Five percent of the corn acreage
was silking in the 17 major producing States by July 5, compared with 20% last
year and 11% average.

Soybean planting was well along in the northern producing States on June 1 and
active between rains in the South. Planting was completed in the northern
producing States during the month, but continued in the southern States where
planting of second-crop acreage awaited completion of earlier crop harvests.
Blooming of soybeans was slowed by the relatively cool June weather in the
major producing States. Blooms were evident on just 11% of the acreage by
July 5, 16 points behind last year and 8 points behind the historic average.

Cotton planting was in full swing in Oklahoma and Texas entering June, and
complete, or mostly complete, in the other major producing States. Hail, high
winds, and excessive moisture during the month damaged some fields in the
Texas Plains, eastern Arizona, southern New Mexico, and southeastern Arkansas.
Bol] weevil emergence was heavy in Arkansas. The crop advanced well ahead of
schedule in the Delta, but was behind in the southern Atlantic Coast States.
By July 5, cotton was squaring on 55% of the acreage in the 14 major States,
2 points behind last year, and 7 points behind the historic average. Bolls
were setting on 12% of the acreage, matching last year's progress but lagging
the average by 3 points. Replanting of lost acreage was near completion on
the Texas Plains, but much of the Texas and New Mexico acreage remained in
poor or very poor condition.

Grain sorghum planting was over half complete and ahead of schedule entering
June, but rains held progress in check during the first half of the month.
Planting intensified later in the month. Grain sorghum planting was

95% complete in the 12 major States on July 5, 3 points behind last year and
1 point behind the 5-year average. The crop was in generally good condition.

Rice planting was virtually complete by June 1, and most of the crop had
emerged. Water weevils plagued southwestern Louisiana growers early in the
month, and were becoming a problem in southeastern Arkansas by month's end.
Problems with blast and sheath blight were becoming more common in
southwestern Louisiana. By July 5, rice heading was 15% complete in the

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-5 NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
(SHORT TERM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)

July 4, 1992

An

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WOAA/USDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY tendon we\ee,

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly, can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile,
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about 55
degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months,
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-1 NASS, USDA


irrigation water supplies. They have experienced a prolonged drought and
below normal winter snow pack. A canal break near Othello, Washington left
several thousand acres without water during a period of severely hot weather
in late June. In North-Central States, late frost burned vines in scattered
areas of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Indiana. Some of the affected fields will
probably come back with reduced yields or poor quality, while others were lost
entirely. Potatoes in Western States are developing ahead of normal but in
Central States development is a little late.

Eastern State's acreage, at 132,500 acres planted, is down 3 percent from last
year. Maine, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island show no change from last year.
New York potato acreage is down 8 percent, while Pennsylvania plantings are
down 5 percent.

Central States’ growers planted an estimated 346,300 acres of fall potatoes
this year, down 6 percent from a year ago. Michigan's acreage is up 6 percent
and Indiana's plantings are up 2 percent. The other six Central States tally
fewer acres. Minnesota and North Dakota are each down 8 percent from last
year. South Dakota dropped 13 percent and Ohio is off 10 percent.

Wisconsin's potato acreage is down 3 percent and Nebraska is down 1 percent.

Western States have an estimated 658,800 acres of fall potatoes planted in
1992, down 6 percent froma year earlier. Each of the Western potato States
planted fewer acres than last year. Acreage is down 13 percent in Washington,
down 12 percent in Oregon, and off 4 percent in Idaho. Colorado is off

6 percent and California dropped 10 percent. Wyoming's potato acreage is down
19 percent; while Montana, Nevada, and Utah are down 2, 1, and 5 percent,
respectively.

Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 20.5 million

cwt, down 10 percent from last year and 11 percent below
1990. Farmers expect to harvest 86,400 acres during the summer season, a
decrease of 11 percent from a year earlier. The average yield is expected to
gain 4 cwt per acre over a year ago. These estimates exclude 1992 potatoes
grown in northwest counties of New Mexico that are harvested and sold during
the fall season.

Potatoes along the Atlantic Coast are later than last year because of cool
weather during much of the growing season, although quality is mostly good to
excellent. Harvest in North Carolina is nearly 60 percent completed, about
10 points behind last year. In the Delmarva Peninsula, the growing season was
cool but potatoes are in good to ideal condition. Harvest is active in early
fields and is expected to become general in mid-July. Some areas are
beginning to ary out and need irrigation, however. The New Jersey potato crop
is late but with good yield prospects.

Alabama harvest began in late June, interrupted by sporadic rain showers.

Hail and heavy rains in parts of Texas damaged some potato fields. Harvest is
active in the Panhandle area. New Mexico summer potato statistics are not
comparable with earlier years because of excluding the northwest counties.
Colorado growers expect a good summer potato crop. California harvest in the
Perris-Hemet district started in late June.

Mild weather in the Midwest during the growing season helped yield prospects
of potatoes. Harvest is progressing rapidly in the southeast areas of
Missouri but has not begun in the northwest counties. Growers in Nebraska,
Iowa, I]linois, and Minnesota look for good crops with harvest to start in the
last half of July. Cool temperatures in Michigan delayed development and
could lead to yields slightly below last year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
duly 1992 B-14 NASS, USDA



Cherries: Total Production by Type, State and Total,
1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Type Total Production 1/
ETT a aataa
State 1990 1991 1992
Tons
Sweet 3
CA 2 22,000 36,000 27,000
ID : 2,000 400 1,200
MI : 16,000 22,000 17,000
MT 2/ : 280 3/ 800
NY : 1,000 1,250 1,100
OR : 48,000 40,000 53,000
PA 3/ : 50 1,100 800
UT : 1,400 800 3,600
WA 2 66,000 50,000 65,000
US : 156,730 151,550 169,500
Million Pounds
Tart
co 3/ 1.0 1.6 1.5
MI 3/ 160.0 110.0 185.0
NY 3/ 16.5 25.5 24.0
OR 7.5 7.5 10.0
PA 3/ 3.5 11.5 5.0
UT 15.5 26.0 32.0
WI 3/ 4.8 7.8 7.3
us 208.8 189.9

production and harvested no
(tons), 1990 - 24, 380° 199] - 8,150, Tart Cherries (million pounds), 1990 -
5.9, 1991 - 0.2.

2/ No commercial production due to frost.

3/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-18 NASS, USDA


Wheat: Production by Class, United States
1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992 1/

Winter Spring
Year Hard Soft Hard : Total
Red Red White Red Durum : White :
1,000 Bushels
1990 : 1,198,782 547,126 284,966 554,678 122,430 28,446 2,736,428
1991 901,346 325,201 145,635 431,223 103,957 73,342 1,980,704
1992 942,141 413,429 218,331 537,167 73,910 47,147 2,232,125

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data available
for all wheat producing states. Unless unusual situations dictate, the previous
end-of-season class percentages are used throughout the forecast season.
Washington class estimates have been changed to 23 percent Hard Red Spring and

77 percent White Spring.

Tobacco:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by Class, Type,
State, and United States, 1991 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Class and Type

~ 1,000 Pounds --

Class 1, Flue-cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts :
NC : 104,000

VA : 39,000
us : 143,000
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt :
NC : 129,000
Type 13, NC Border &
SC Belt :
NC : 33,000
sc : 51,000
US : 84,000
Type 14, GA-FL Belt
FL : 6,600
GA : 40,000
us : 46,600
Total 11-14 : 402,600

102,000
38,000
140,000

131,000

34,000
52,000
86,000

7,600
43,000
50,600

407,600

--- Pounds ---
2,275 2,100
2,260 2,150
2,271 2,114
2,345 2,250
2,350 2,150
2,180 2,150
2,247 2,150
2,320 2,675
2,015 2,200
2,058 2,271
2,265 2,185

236,600
88,140
324,740

302,505

77,550
111,180
188,730

15,312
80,600
95,912
911,887

214,200
81,700
295,900

294,750

73,100
111,800
184,900

20,330
94,600
114,930
890,480

Crop Production
July 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


and 12 percent more than last year. Over 45 percent of the crop was picked by
uly 1.

Walnuts: The initial forecast of the 1992 California walnut crop is
220,000 tons, 15 percent less than last year's production and

3 percent less than 1990. An uneven bloom and the cyclical nature of some

varieties are the primary reasons for a smaller crop this year. Recent mild

weather should aid nut development.

Almonds: California's 1992 almond production is forecast at 550 million

pounds (shelled basis), down 4 percent from the June 1 forecast but
up 12 percent from last year. This forecast is based on an estimated bearing
acreage of 380,000 acres.

The 1992 almond crop appears to be in good condition with progress approxi-
mately two weeks ahead of last year. The total nut set is higher than last
year. Trees in the southern San Joaquin Valley show a lighter nut set than
trees in the northern Sacramento Valley. The low set in the San Joaquin
Valley may be the result of last year's reduced water supply. Insects are
also a potential problem as they appeared early in the growing season and in
larger numbers than are commonly seen.

Oranges: The final forecast for the 1991-92 U.S. orange crop is 8.86 million

tons, down slightly from the June 1 forecast but 13 percent more
than last season. The Florida all orange forecast, at 140 million boxes, is
down 100,000 boxes from June 1 and 8 percent less than last season's crop.
Final Florida Valencia production is 56.4 million boxes, down slightly from
last month's forecast. Harvest is complete.

The California all orange forecast remains at 66.0 million boxes, unchanged
from June 1. The California Navel forecast, at 35.0 million boxes, unchanged
from June 1, is 122 percent higher than last year's freeze reduced crop.
Harvest is virtually complete. California's Valencia crop of 31.0 million
boxes is unchanged from last month. This season's Valencia production is more
than three times the size of last year's freeze reduced crop. Harvest is
about one-third complete. Quality continues to be good.

The all orange crop for Arizona is expected to total 2.34 million boxes,
unchanged from the April 1 forecast and 34 percent more than the last season.
Navel orange harvest is complete while Valencia orange harvest continues. The
Texas forecast remains at 30,000 boxes. Harvest is complete.

The July 1 U.S. all orange forecast has deviated from actual production by an
average of 2.39 million boxes over the past ten seasons ranging from a low of
950,000 boxes in 1986-87 to a high of 4.66 million boxes in 1981-82.

Florida Frozen Concentrated Juice Yield: The 1991-92 final Frozen

Concentrated Orange Juice Yield
(FCOJ) for Florida remains at 1.55 gallons per box, at 42.0 degrees Brix. The
final yield is reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The
final 1990-91 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ was 1.45 gallons per box, at
42.0 degrees Brix.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-11 NASS, USDA


In the Eastern States, the forecast of 2.93 billion pounds is down 2 percent
from a year ago. The larger prospects in New York and most of New England
could not offset smaller production in the States from Georgia to New Jersey .
A cold, wet spring and late freezes limited the crop in the south and central
Atlantic States. New York's apples show excellent size and development. A
mild winter left no damage and pollination was exceptional with excellent
overlap. Thinning and drop were still occurring on July 1. Pennsylvania's
average date of full bloom was 10 days behind last year. Their apples are
sizing well but the crop needs to be thinned. In Virginia, pollination on
most varieties was.gpoor and fruit set was light. May frost reduced New
Jersey's apple production prospects. Most orchards have a light crop.
Rainfall to date has been sufficient to ensure proper size for the South
Carolina crop. Scab and hail reduced potential in New England. Fruit set and
drop were generally moderate. Fruit appear to be sizing well.

The Central States' forecast, at 1.16 billion pounds, is down 15 percent from
last year. Increased production in Arkansas, Illinois, and Minnesota does not
offset the 19 percent lower production expected in Michigan. Development of
the Michigan crop has been slowed by cool, dry conditions. A June wind storm
also caused some damage. Fall freeze damage to trees in Iowa, Kentucky, and
Missouri and spring frosts in Kansas, Kentucky, Missouri, and Tennessee
limited prospects. Scab is generally under contro] in Ohio and insect damage
has been minimal. Some hail damage was reported in Wisconsin.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 5.96 billion pounds, up

8 percent from last year. Increased production prospects in California,
Oregon, and Washington lead the way. Washington's winter was extremely mild
with limited snowpack. A large crop was set on the trees since no bud damage
occurred. However, two very cold nights during spring changed this year's
outlook. There was significant damage to the "king bloom", but the secondary
bloom in many orchards escaped damage. The California crop is expected to be
higher than last year's record. Young trees of the Fuji, Gala, and Granny
Smith varieties are bearing more as they mature. Weather conditions have been
ideal for apple production so far this season. A mild winter and record warm
spring and early summer throughout Oregon have meant excellent conditions for
apple growers. The crop is developing about two weeks ahead of normal. Fruit
size and condition are good. Some trees still show damage from the severe
winter of 1990-91, and some sunburn resulted from record high temperatures in
June.

Peaches: U.S. peach production is forecast at 2.51 billion pounds, down

1 percent from the June forecast and down 6 percent from 1991.
Production of the Freestone crop, excluding California Clingstone peaches that
are mostly canned, is expected to total 1.41 billion pounds, down 1 percent
from June 1 and down 14 percent from last year.

Production in South Carolina is forecast at 145 million pounds, 3 percent Tess
than the June 1 forecast and down 53 percent from last year's crop. Around
25 percent of the crop was harvested by the end of June, a little behind the
5-year average of 30: percent. As harvest activity increased in June, earlier
freeze damage continued to appear. As of July 5th, 67 percent of the peach
crop in Georgia had been picked compared with a five-year average of

80 percent. Harvest of the Alabama crop is in full swing. Quality is good
with only scattered brown rot problems. Freeze damage in Arkansas this spring

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-8 NASS, USDA


All Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Area Harvested Production

~- 1,000 Acres - Bushels -- --- 1,000 Bushels
AL : 110 95 25.0 45.0 6,650 2,750 4,275
AZ : 68 88 97.1 87.5 9,266 6,605 7,700
AR : 930 900 22.0 46.0 49,000 20,460 41,400
CA : 442 605 = 81.8 81.4 48,165 36,160 49,225
co : 2,336 2,345 31.7 28.0 86,950 74,000 65,700
DE : 67 70 53.0 52.0 3,060 3,551 3,640
FL H 25 25 23.0 40.0 1,815 575 1,000
GA 4 425 350 33.0 44.0 20,650 14,025 15,400
1D : 1,160 1,470 70.4 67.3 99,600 81,660 98,900
IL H 1,400 1,100 32.0 52.0 88,800 44,800 57,200
IN : 720 450 40.0 45.0 50,440 28,800 20,250
IA : 50 40 34.0 37.0 3,375 1,700 1,480
KS : 11,000 10,900 33.0 32.0 472,000 363,000 348,800
KY : 400 420 27.0 54.0 20,000 10,800 22,680
LA : 190 160 20.0 36.0 12,870 3,800 5,760
MD : 195 220 50.0 54.0 9,880 9,750 11,880
MI : 560 630 43.0 45.0 41,250 24,080 28,350
MN > 2,155 2,805 31.1 42.0 138,620 67,110 117,750
MS : 250 260 18.0 42.0 15,600 4,500 10,920
MO : 1,500 1,350 32.0 44.0 76,000 48,000 59,400
MT : 4,379 4,779 36.4 24.0 145,865 159,507 114,783
NE > 2,100 1,950 32.0 29.0 85,500 67,200 56,550
NV 2 8 10 82.5 80.0 980 660 800
Nd : 26 30 46.0 48.0 1,247 1,196 1,440
NM : 320 340 25.0 30.0 8,100 8,000 10,200
NY H 110 115 49.0 53.0 7,105 5,390 6,095
NC 2 480 555 40.0 50.0 22,550 19,200 27,750
ND : 9,790 11,410 31.0 30.4 385,220 303,670 347,260
OH : 1,080 1,140 49.0 51.0 79,650 52,920 58,140
OK : 5,000 6,000 28.0 30.0 201,600 140,000 180,000
OR : 846 950 51.9 48.8 57,616 43,900 46,350
PA : 175 185 44.0 47.0 10,500 7,700 8,695
sc : 275 270 31.0 46.0 14,440 8,525 12,420
SD : 3,117 3,778 30.9 23.7 128,004 96,175 89,462
TN : 320 310 24.0 47.0 17,640 7,680 14,570
TX : 2,800 3,800 30.0 34.0 130,200 84,000 129,200
UT $ 153 153 38.0 43.8 7,170 5,807 6,694
VA : 250 260 49.0 51.0 12,220 12,250 13,260
WA : 2,150 2,430 45.9 52.5 150,080 98,600 127,630
Wy : 10 11 45.0 46.0 552 450 506
WI : 127 90 48.2 34.0 10,085 6,118 3,060
WY : 194 220 29.0 25.2 6,113 5,630 5,550
US : 57,693 63,069 34.3 35.4 2,736,428 1,980,704 2,232,125

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-7 NASS, USDA


Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

- 1,000 Acres - --- Bushels -- = -------- 1,000 Bushels -------
20 22 120.0 100.0 1,575 2,400 2,200
160 170 59.0 60.0 13,340 9,440 10,200
130 120 80.0 82.0 12,000 10,400 9,840
37 37 68.0 66.0 1,890 2,516 2,442
790 720 75.0 68.0 56,160 59,250 48,960
23 18 33.0 40.0 924 759 720
22 16 55.0 66.0 1,020 1,210 1,056
78 64 64.0 66.0 4,284 4,992 4,224
33 28 43.0 45.0 2,580 1,419 1,260
875 675 50.0 60.0 50,400 43,750 40,500
1,650 1,200 52.0 37.0 56,580 85,800 44,400
27 32 45.0 38.0 880 1,215 1,216

4 6 90.0 95.0 675 360 570

8 8 61.0 57.0 372 488 456

35 30 47.0 68.0 1,590 1,645 2,040
2,830 2,650 49.0 46.0 129,850 138,670 121,900
10 8 37.0 37.0 697 370 296
175 160 72.0 52.0 9,100 12,600 8,320
70 85 60.0 66.0 4,140 4,200 5,610

9 9 31.0 60.0 676 279 540
460 370 39.0 40.0 24,500 17,940 14,800
10 6 32.0 45.0 608 320 270

95 110 83.0 78.0 8,505 7,885 8,580
85 90 67.0 73.0 5,280 5,695 6,570
570 440 65.0 45.0 22,620 37,050 19,800
72 80 46.0 52.0 2,700 3,312 4,160
135 140 78.0 75.0 9,250 10,530 10,500
8,413 7,294 55.2 50.9 422,196 464,495 371,430

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-6 NASS, USDA


Potatoes:

Seasonal Group

and : 1991

State

Area Planted, by Seasonal Group,
State and United States, 1991-92

Seasonal Group

and

State

1,000 Acres

Spring 1/ : 90.

Summer
AL
CA
co
DE
It
IA
MD
MI
MN
MO
NE
Nd
NM 2/
NC
1X
VA

_ ~
HORMONE RP BUNNY

© COUMHHYNRONGTMUCHMO

me
aren

Total > 100.

2
2

1,000 Acres
Winter 1/ : 1B.

13.2
87.8

~
HNP WWI EEE aAaOan
CNWAAEIUNAAHOCONSN

oe
©
a

Fall

CA
co
ID
10 SW Co
Other Co
IN
ME

MI

Upstate

OR
Malheur
Other Co

PA

RI

SD

UT

WA

WI

WY

Total

Long Island :

14.
71.

22.
373.
4.
81.
3.
35.
77.
9.
9.
7.

AePOSCCOMDDO OM

6.
23.
158.
8.

6.
44.
2l.

1.

7

6.

144.
68.
2.

HOOHLUMwWOND DOOD

1,203.7
1,408.0

13.
66.

22.
358.
4,
81.
3.
37.
71.
9.
9.
7.
5.

KAONSCOSOMSCS wo

6.
21.
145.
7.

6.
38.
20.

1.

6.

5.

125.
66.
1.

NOOMNWOND NOCH

1,137.6
1,327.2

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

2/ District I (NW Counties) for 1992 included in fall potatoes.

Crop Production
July 1992

A-19

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Area Harvested : Yield Production

1991: 1992

- 1,000 Acres - 1,000 Bushels

AZ : 39 44 95.

0 90.0 85.0 3,705 3,740
CA : 32 55 105.0 95.0 95.0 3,360 §,225
MN : 30 10 32.0 45.0 960 450
MT 3 179 129 33.0 27.0 5,907 3,483
ND : 2,850 2,150 31.0 28.0 88,350 60,200
So : 67 28 25.0 29.0 1,675 812
US 3,197 2,416 32.5 30.6 103,957 73,910

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Area Harvested: Yield Production

1992

-- 1,000 Acres - Bushels --
co : 36 45 75.0 80.0 2,800 2,700 3,600
ID : 460 670 71.0 70.0 30,600 32,660 46,900
MN : 2,070 2,750 31.0 42.0 134,750 64,170 115,500
MT : 2,400 2,400 34.0 22.0 53,900 81,600 52,800
NV : 4 5 75.0 70.0 560 300 350
ND : 6,850 9,100 31.0 31.0 277,200 212,350 282,100
OR : 46 100 50.0 47.0 3,016 2,300 4,700
sD : 1,750 2,550 28.0 23.0 67,200 49,000 58,650
UT : 23 2349.0 48.0 1,170 1,127 1,104
WA >: =1,450 430 40.0 41.0 11,480 58,000 17,630
WI : 7 20 34.0 34.0 280 238 680
WY : 4 10 30.0 30.0 168 120 300
US : 15,100 18,103 33.4 32.3 583,124 504,565 584,314
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1992 A-9 NASS, USDA


roduction Agricultural Statistics Board
2 B-3 NASS, USDA


Crop OS Acricttaral
. Statistics
Production Service
United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released July 9, 1992, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts refer
to July 1, 1992.

Winter Wheat Up 2 Percent

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.57 billion bushels, up 2 percent from
June 1 and up 15 percent from last year. Higher Soft Red Winter yields caused
the increase in production. Overall, the average yield is expected to be
37.0 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from June 1.

Other spring wheat for 1992 is forecast at a record high 584 million bushels,
up 16 percent from 1991. The yield forecast of 32.3 bushels per acre, down
1.1 bushels from last year, was offset by the highest expected acres for grain
since 1953.

Barley production at 371 million bushels, is 20 percent below the 1991
production. Yields are expected to average 50.9 bushels per acre, 4.3 bushels

less than last year. Area for harvest is expected to be down 13 percent from
last year.

Oat production is forecast at 256 million bushels, up 6 percent from last year.
Yield is forecast at 53.5 bushels per acre, up 2.9 bushels from 1991. Area for
harvest is virtually the same as a year earlier.

Fall potatoes are planted on an estimated 1.14 million acres this year, down
5 percent from last year and 4 percent below two years ago. Harvest is
expected from 1.12 million acres, 5 percent below 1991 and 4 percent less than
1990.

Apple production for 1992 is forecast at 10.1 billion pounds, 2 percent more
than the 1991 crop and 4 percent more than the 1990 production. Eastern
States' prospects are down 2 percent from a year ago, output in the central
region is expected to be down 15 percent, and production in the West is
expected to be 8 percent above a year ago.

Index is located at the end of this report. For information call (202) 720-
2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (7-92)


Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992 1/

Total Production 2/

State (tenner nn nnn nnn nnn nnn nnn enn enon nn nnn nnn nn nn nnn nnn nn nnn nnn
1990 199] 1992
Million Pounds
AZ 64.0 57.0 85.0
AR 12.0 10.0 11.0
CA 780.0 800.0 820.0
co 35.0 75.0 90.0
CT 33.0 27.0 40.0
DE 17.0 25.0 20.0
GA 22.0 32.0 25.0
ID 165.0 120.0 95.0
IL 60.0 69.0 70.0
IN 57.0 60.0 53.0
IA 9.5 8.0 9.0
KS 8.0 7.5 6.0
KY 9.0 20.0 10.0
ME 88.0 87.0 86.0
MD 33.0 42.0 40.0
MA : 85.0 80.0 86.0
MI : 750.0 930.0 750.0
MN : 20.0 25.4 31.0
MO : 41.0 40.0 31.0
NH : 48.0 48.0 50.0
NJ 60.0 92.0 60.0
NM 6.8 2.3 12.0
NY 990.0 1,050.0 1,100.0
NC 230.0 260.0 230.0
OH 120.0 120.0 120.0
OR 180.0 120.0 200.0
PA 450.0 550.0 540.0
RI 6.0 5.5 6.0
sc 34.0 40.0 45.0
TN 8.5 13.0 12.0
UT 24.0 55.0 62.0
VT 43.0 48.0 44.0
VA 210.0 420.0 370.0
WA 4,800.0 4,300.0 4,600.0
Wy 150.0 200.0 190.0
WI 48.0 60.0 60.0
US 9,696.8 9,898.7 10,059.0

1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees.
2/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (million pounds):
U.S. 1990-38.6; 1991-61.8.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-12 NASS, USDA


Pasture and Range Feed: Condition by State and United States,
1991-92 and Average 1/

i State : Average : 1991 : 1992
iH : 1981-90 :

State : Average : 1991 : 1992
: 1981-90 :

Percent Percent.

AL : 71 92 91 78 84 45
AZ : 69 79 87 94 75 78
AR : 81 87 88 82 70 64
CA : 78 67 67 72 52 97
co : 80 82 90 85 62 87
CT : 88 61 93 77 86 91
DE : 77 70 93 76 90 63
FL : 76 91 79 82 79 86
GA : 65 91 89 83 86 100
ID : 83 89 59 87 90 54
IL 3 79 82 66 84 39 79
IN : 80 75 81 91 60 83
IA : 78 87 59 66 89 85
KS : 85 83 83 77 102 81
KY : 82 92 93 77 95 93
LA : 79 78 95 73 85 93
ME : 91 64 64 77 87 78
MD : 80 55 98 90 73 80
MA : 91 70 87 83 76 93
MI : 79 80 60 85 90 61
MN : 78 93 86 81 55 81
MS : 78 91 86 78 82 62
MO : 80 83 67 83 105 79
MT : 79 100 63

NE : 79 94 90 78 84 80

1/ Good to excellent, 80 and over; poor to fair 65-79; very poor, 50-64;
severe drought, 35-49; extreme drought, under 35.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-11 NASS, USDA


Plums: The California forecast remains the same as last month's, at

250,000 tons, up 15 percent from last year and 12 percent more than
1990. More than one-third of the plums have been harvested to date with
Blackamber, Simka, and Laroda being some of the major varieties actively
harvested.

Dried Prunes: Production in California is unchanged from last month at

200,000 tons. This level is 7 percent more than last year's
output and 36 percent more than the 1990 crop. The crop is sizing well.
Unseasonable June rains caused some concern about possible brown rot. Harvest
is expected to begin by the end of July in the San Joaquin Valley, and by the
end of the first week of August in the Sacramento Valley.

Grapes: The California all grape crop is expected to total 5.41 million tons,
9 percent larger than last season and 4 percent more than 1990. High
May temperatures caused crop maturity to be about one week ahead of normal.

Raisin type grape production in California is forecast at 2.50 million tons,
15 percent above last year and 7 percent more than 1990. The forecast is
based on a bearing acreage estimate of 251,500 acres. An additional

12,500 acres are not included in the bearing acreage because of enrollment in
the Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID). Thompson seedless variety raisin
grapes have high fruit counts this season and a large crop is expected, if the
berries size normally.

The California wine type grape forecast is 2.30 million tons, 5 percent
greater than last year and 1990. Red variety wine grapes are expected to
produce a good crop this year, but a major white wine variety, French
Colombard, is expected to yield less. Bearing acreage is estimated at
298,000 acres.

The initial forecast for the table type grapes in California is 610,000 tons,
down 2 percent from last year and down 5 percent from 1990. The bearing
acreage is estimated at 75,200 acres. The Desert Valley table grape harvest
is underway with good quality reported. Picking also began in the San Joaquin
Valley with good quality but small bunch sizes.

Apricots: The final forecast of the U.S. apricot production is 110,150 tons,
down slightly from June but 15 percent above last year.

The California forecast remains unchanged at 105,000 tons, 17 percent more
than 1991. Harvest is virtually completed. Fruit are smaller than average
due to early season high temperatures. Quality is good.

The Utah forecast remains unchanged at 650 tons, while the Washington crop is
estimated at 4,500 tons. The Washington forecast is 8 percent lower than last
month due to high temperatures causing reduced fruit size. The warm
temperatures also caused the crop to mature one to two weeks ahead of normal.

Nectarines: The final forecast for California's nectarine crop is a record
high 240,000 tons. This forecast is 4 percent higher than June

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-10 NASS, USDA


lowered yields in some areas. The damage appears to be heaviest in the
northwest and north-central regions. These regions account for over half of
the acreage. Growers in Colorado expect a full crop this year after the short
crop of 1991. Some localized hail damage is reported but for the most part a
good crop is expected. In Maryland, last year's drought lightened this year's
crop. The cool, wet spring also kept bees away, hampering pollination and
causing a bad set. The May frost and cool temperatures in Michigan slowed
crop development. Otherwise, their crop looks good. In New Jersey, there is
evidence of damage from May frosts. Crop condition and yield expectations are
down from a month ago. In New York, a good crop is expected. Fruit size is
good. Growers were busy hand-thinning to maintain fruit size. Approximately
38 percent of the North Carolina crop was harvested as of June 28, compared
with 39 percent last year. The Pennsylvania crop is heavy but sizing well.
Many growers have already begun to thin their crop. The season is running a
little later than normal due to the cool, wet weather. Washington's harvest
started in late June, one of the earliest starts on record. Growing
conditions in West Virginia have been good. Precipitation has been plentiful;
however, orchards are still feeling the effects of last year's drought. Fruit
size is reported as excellent.

In California, half the Freestone peaches were picked by July 1. Harvest of
early Clingstone varieties also started. Sizes are average and improving.
The crop is about a week ahead of schedule and the condition of the crop is
good.

Pears: Total U.S. pear production is placed at 941,450 tons, 4 percent more
than a year ago but 2 percent less than 1990. This figure reflects
increased production in all States except Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
550,000 tons, up 4 percent from last year. The recent cool weather in
California, stowed maturity. Picking began in early July. Good quality and
sizes are expected. Washington Bartlett pear harvest is expected to start the
last week of July, a good two weeks ahead of normal. So far, a good clean
crop is in the making.

Production of pears, excluding Bartlett, in the Pacific Coast States, at
355,000 tons, is expected to be 3 percent more than last year. In Washington,
early spring conditions were favorable for a full crop before unfavorable
pollination reduced prospects.

Colorado pear growers hope to harvest a full crop this year. This year's crop
has a heavy set. Localized hail damage has occurred but overall losses have
been minimal. The Michigan pear crop is expected to be smaller due to freeze
damage and cool temperatures during the growing season. Connecticut growers
reported moderate June drop with moderate to heavy fruit set. Excellent
weather during bloom provided good pollination and fruit set. Limited winter
injury adds to the crop potential. New York growers have been busy
hand-thinning the large crop to maintain fruit size. The crop shows excellent
fruit size and development. Overall, the crop is rated in excellent
condition. Pennsylvania's cool, wet spring delayed the average date of full
bloom until May 5, about 11 days behind last year. Growers reported the crop
to be in fair condition with a good set. An early warm spring and summer in
Utah has put a heavy set on most trees.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-9 NASS, USDA


Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production, by State
and United States, 1991 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

Area Harvested : Yield Production
State : : 1992
1991 : 1992 : 1991 :-------------------- : 1991 1992
: : Jun 1 dul 1

Bushels ------~--- -- 1,000 Bushels ---
AL : 110 95 25.0 40.0 45.0 2,750 4,275
AZ : 29 44 100.0 98.0 90.0 2,900 3,960
AR : 930 900 22.0 40.0 46.0 20,460 41,400
CA : 410 550 80.0 80.0 80.0 32,800 44,000
co : 2,300 2,300 31.0 27.0 27.0 71,300 62,100
DE : 67 70 53.0 42.0 52.0 3,551 3,640
FL : 25 25 23.0 36.0 40.0 575 1,000
GA : 425 350 33.0 41.0 44.0 14,025 15,400
ID : 700 800 70.0 65.0 65.0 49,000 52,000
IL : 1,400 1,100 32.0 42.0 52.0 44,800 57,200
IN : 720 450 40.0 41.0 45.0 28,800 20,250
IA : 50 40 34.0 45.0 37.0 1,700 1,480
KS : 11,000 10,900 33.0 32.0 32.0 363,000 348,800
KY : 400 420 27.0 47.0 54.0 10,800 22,680
LA H 190 160 20.0 32.0 36.0 3,800 5,760
MD : 195 220 50.0 48.0 54.0 9,750 11,880
MI : 560 630 43.0 45.0 45.0 24,080 28,350
MN : 55 45 36.0 33.0 40.0 1,980 1,800
MS : 250 260 18.0 38.0 42.0 4,500 10,920
MO. : 1,500 1,350 32.0 38.0 44.0 48,000 59,400
MT : 1,800 2,250 40.0 26.0 26.0 72,000 58,500
NE : 2,100 1,950 32.0 29.0 29.0 67,200 56,550
NV : 4 5 90.0 90.0 90.0 360 450
NJ : 26 30 46.0 48.0 48.0 1,196 1,440
NM 3 320 340 25.0 28.0 30.0 8,000 10,200
NY : 110 115 49.0 48.0 53.0 5,390 6,095
NC : 480 555 40.0 41.0 50.0 19,200 27,750
ND : 90 160 33.0 33.0 31.0 2,970 4,960
OH : 1,080 1,140 49.0 47.0 51.0 52,920 58,140
OK : 5,000 6,000 28.0 30.0 30.0 140,000 180,000
OR : 800 850 52.0 51.0 49.0 41,600 41,650
PA : 175 185 44.0 48.0 47.0 7,700 8,695
sc : 275 270 31.0 40.0 46.0 8,525 12,420
SD : 1,300 1,200 35.0 25.0 25.0 45,500 30,000
IN : 320 310 24.0 40.0 47.0 7,680 14,570
TX : 2,800 3,800 30.0 32.0 34.0 84,000 129,200
UT : 130 130 36.0 43.0 43.0 4,680 5,590
VA : 250 260 49.0 50.0 51.0 12,250 13,260
WA : 700 2,000 58.0 57.0 55.0 40,600 110,000
Wy : 10 11 45.0 45.0 46.0 450 506
WI : 120 70 49.0 43.0 34.0 5,880 2,380
WY : 190 210 29.0 27.0 25.0 5,510 5,250
US : 39,396 42,550 34.8 35.9 37.0 1,372,182 1,573,901
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1992 A-8 NASS, USDA


Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes,
11 Major States, 1991-92 Crop

Potato Types 1/

State Russets
1991 1992
co 93 93
ID 95 95
ME 27 24
MI 33 34
MN 36 36
NY
ND 22 19
OR 90 78
PA
WA 82 87
WI 65 63
11 State Avg. : 5 5 29 30 66 65
1/ Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s)
constituting less than 1 percent of state's total.
Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes,
by State and Total, 1991-92 1/
1991 Crop 1992 Crop
State : Entered for : : Percent : Entered for
: Certification Certified : Certification
---------- Acres --------- -- Percent -- --- Acres ---
CA : 1,200 ---- --- 1,200
co : 11,500 9,799 85 10,000
ID : 56,115 43,315 77 49,106
ME : 27,020 26,212 97 29,581
MI : 3,300 2,750 83 3,175
MN : 25,303 21,146 84 21,887
MT : 8,848 8,782 99 8,550
NE 3 6,000 6,264 104 6,921
NY : 2,000 1,913 96 1,900
ND : 33,421 28,747 86 31,103
OR : 3,000 3,802 127 3,100
PA : 226 224 99 245
SD : 1,600 1,867 117 2,024
UT : 700 396 57 400
WA : 2,163 2,278 105 1,950
WI : 11,000 10,831 98 10,100
Total : 193,396 168,326 87 181,242
1/ Data supplied by State seed certification officials.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1992 A-22 NASS, USDA


Index

Page

Table Narrative

Apples, Commercial........... 0. ccc cece cece eee ee eee e tees A-12 B- 7
Barley... cece eee cece teen eects eee eeeenees A- 6 B- 6
CHErries... cece cee cece cette ee eee een eens eneees A-18 B-13
CHEPUS FLUTE... ccc cece tee eee ent e eee e eee eee A-16 B-11
Crop Moisture MapS........... cece cece e eee e eee n ee et ences B- 1

Crop Summary............ cece cece cece eee c cnet nner eeteeee A- 2 B- 4
Miscellaneous Fruits.......... ccc cece cece eee eee ences A-15
Miscellaneous NUTS......... 0. ccc c cece eee eee eee eee eneees A-15
C0: A- 5 B- 6
Papayas-Hawaii...... cece cece cece eect tent eeeeneees A-17 B-13
Pasture & Range Feed Condition..............cc cece cence ee A-11 B- 7
PEACHES... eee cee cece cece nen e eben eee e ete e nent nee ees A-13 B- 8
1 A-14 B- 9
Potatoes... .. cece cece cece cece eee e teen eee ence eeteeees A-19 B-13
Reliability Statement........... 0... cece cece reece eee eeee B- B-15
Tobacco, by Class and Type........... cece eee cece ee eee A-10 B- 7
Wheat, All... . cece cece cece eee tee enter ee eeeeeteee A- 7 B- 6
Wheat, by Class... ... ieee ccc cece ete e eet ence nent een A- 9

Wheat, DUPUM... 2... cc cece cece ccc ence eee eee e eee enees A- 9 B- 7
Wheat, Other Spring............ cece cece cece eee e ee eeee A- 9 B- 6
Wheat, Winter. ......... ccc cece cece eee e tert eee en eeeeene A- 8 B- 6
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1992 B-17 NASS, USDA


Report Features

The next "Crop Production" report will be released on August 12, 1992 at

3:00 p.m. ET.

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National

Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.

John D. Witzig, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section
Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Herb Eldridge - Sugar, Tobacco, Hay (202) 720-7621
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oi]seeds (202) 720-9526
Martin Owens - Rice, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-2157
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat {202) 720-8068
Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369
Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section
Steve Ropel, Head (202) 720-3843

Jim Brewster - Fruits, Fresh Vegetables (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Processing Vegetables (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202) 720-8843
Kevin Hintzman - Fruits, Citrus, Nuts (202) 720-5412
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1992 B-18 NASS, USDA



5 major States, 2 points ahead of last year and 4 points ahead of the average.
Heading progress was ahead of normal in the southern Delta, but well behind in
Texas, where rainy weather had dominated.

Oats: Total 1992 oat production is forecast at 256 million bushels, up

6 percent from last year. The expected yield per acre is forecast at
53.5 bushels, compared with last season's average of 50.6 bushels. Area
harvested and to be harvested, at 4.80 million acres, is virtually the same as
in :

Yields in North and South Dakota are expected to be down from last year.
Prospective yields in Iowa and Minnesota are up from last year.

Barley: Production is forecast at 371 million bushels as of July 1, 1992.

This is 20 percent below the 1991 production of 464 million bushels.
Yields are expected to average 50.9 bushels per acre, 4.3 bushels less than
last year. Area harvested and to be harvested, at 7.29 million acres, is down
13 percent from last year's 8.41 million acres.

Lower yields than last year are expected in Idaho, Montana, and North Dakota.
Forecast yields are higher than last year in Minnesota.

All Wheat: Total 1992 wheat production is forecast at 2.23 billion bushels,
up 13 percent from 1991. All wheat yields are expected to average

35.4 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from last year. Area for grain is

63.1 million acres, up 9 percent from a year ago.

Winter Wheat: Production for 1992 is now forecast at 1.57 billion bushels, up

2 percent and 15 percent from June 1 and 1991, respectively.
Yields are now expected to average 37.0 bushels per acre, up 1.1 bushels from
the June 1 forecast and 2.2 bushels higher than last season. Area for grain
is 42.6 million acres, up 8 percent from last year. Dramatic yield increases
in most Soft Red Winter estimating States more than offset slight declines in
the other winter classes.

Durum Wheat: Production for 1992 is forecast at 73.9 million bushels, down

29 percent from 1991. Yields are forecast at 30.6 bushels per
acre, 1.9 bushels lower than last year. Harvested area is 2.42 million acres,
down 24 percent from 1991.

North Dakota's durum crop development trails average progress; topsoil
moisture is generally short to adequate and the condition is fair to good.
Montana's durum is concentrated in the northeast corner, which has been less
impacted by the statewide drought. South Dakota's durum area has received
some rain; current prospects are for a higher average yield than last year.

Other Spring Wheat: The 1992 production is forecast at 584 million bushels,
up 16 percent from 1991. If realized, this would be a
record high, slightly above 1990's previous record. Yields are forecast at

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-6 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
1991 and Forecasted July 1, 1992
(Metric Units)

Crop Jun il, : Jul 1,
1991 1992 1991 1992 1992
: Metric Tons
Oats : 1.81 1.92 3,520,260 3,721,360
Barley : 2.97 2.74 10,113,180 8,086,930
All Wheat > 2.31 2.38 53,905,930 60,748,490

Winter > 2.34 2.49 37,344,670 41,834,560 42,834,570

Durum : 2.19 2.06 2,829,250 2,011,500

Other Spring : 2.25 2.17 13,732,010 15,902,420
Summer Potatoes : 26.09 26.54 1,027,250 928,140
Flue-cured Tobacco :

Types 11-14 > 2.54 2.45 413,630 403,910
Apples, Comm'1 : 4,489,980 4,562,690
Peaches : 1,212,130 1,145,550 1,139,650
Pears : 820,550 854,110
Sweet Cherries 1/ : 137,530 175,000 153,770
Tart Cherries 1/ : 86,140 118,300 120,110
Apricots : 86,910 100,330 99,970
Nectarines (CA) : 195,040 208,650 217,720
Plums (CA) : 197,770 226,800 226,800
Dried Prunes (CA) : 169,640 181,440 181,440
Almonds (CA) : 222,260 249,480 249,480
Walnuts (CA) : 234,960 199,580
Citrus Fruits 2/ : 1990-91 1991-92 1991-92

Oranges $ 7,115,050 8,038,560 8,034,030

Grapefruit : 2,045,700 1,984,920 2,009,410

Lemons : 654,990 675,850 693,090

1/ Estimates in June 1 column include forecasts in the Great Lakes States as
of mid-June.

2/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-4 NASS, USDA


Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts:
and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted Jul

Total Production

Total Production by Crop, State,
1

Prunes (Dried Basis)
CA

Grapes (Table Type)
CA

Grapes (Wine Type)
CA

Grapes (Raisin Type)1/
CA

All Grapes
CA

Apricots 2/
CA

UT

WA

US
Nectarines

CA
Walnuts

CA

Almonds (Shelled Basis)
CA

223,000
147,000
645,000
2,195,000
2,345,000
5,185,000
115,000
250

7,200
122,450
232,000

227,000

660,000

218,000
187,000
620,000
2,195,000
2,165,000
4,980,000
90,000
100

5,700
95,800
215,000
259,000

1,000 Pounds

490,000

250,000
200,000
610,000
2,300,000
2,500,000
5,410,000
105,000
650

4,500
110, 150
240,000

220,000

550,000

1/ Fresh Basis.

2/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons):
1990-2,010; 1991-4,010.

Crop Production
July 1992

A-15

U.S.

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit Footnotes
The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with
year harvest is completed.
Net lbs. per box: oranges-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-CA Desert &
AZ-64, CA Other-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos and Temples-90;
tangerines-CA and AZ-75, FL-95.

Navel and miscellaneous varieties in CA and AZ. Early and mid-season
varieties in FL and TX, including small quantities of tangerines in TX.

Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Due to the severe freeze of December 1989, TX had no commercial production
for the 1990-91 season.

TX forecast at 425 tons for 1991-92.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, Hawaii, by Month, 1991-92

Fresh Production

-- 1,000 Pounds --

May 3,310 3,890 2,200 3,350 4,500
Jun 3,415 3,800 2,180 2,895 4,770

Jul 3,405 3,290

Aug 3,675 3,205

Sep 3,840 4,460

Oct 3,925 5,380

Cumulative Fresh Production Jan-Jun: 21,320 27,210
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 1992 A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production, United States,
1991 and Forecasted July 1, 1992
(Domestic Units)

Yield per Acre Production
Crop and Unit : : : Jun 1, : Juli,
: 1991 : 1992 : 1991 1992 : 1992
Oats Bu : 50.6 53.5 242,526 256,381
Barley "3 55.2 50.9 464,495 371,430
All Wheat "3 34.3 35.4 1,980,704 2,232,125
Winter "3 34.8 37.0 1,372,182 1,537,157 1,573,901
Durum " > 32.5 30.6 103,957 73,910
Other Spring "3 33.4 32.3 504,565 584,314
Summer Potatoes Cwt : 233 237 22,647 20,462
Flue-cured Tobacco 3
Types 11-14 Lb : 2,265 2,185 911,887 890, 480
Pasture and Range :
Feed 1/ Pct : 84 80
Apples, Comm'1 Lb : 9,898,700 10,059,000
Peaches woos 2,672,300 2,525,500 2,512,500
Pears Ton : 904.5 941.5
Sweet Cherries 2/ "3 151.6 192.9 169.5
Tart Cherries 2/ Lb : 189,900 260,800 264,800
Apricots Ton : 95.8 110.6 110.2
Nectarines (CA) nos 215.0 230.0 240.0
Plums (CA) moos 218.0 250.0 250.0
Dried Prunes (CA) "og 187.0 200.0 200.0
Almonds (CA) Lb : 490,000 550,000 550,000
Walnuts (CA) Ton : 259.0 220.0
Citrus Fruits 3/ : 1990-91 1991-92 1991-92
Oranges Ton: 7,843 8,861 8,856
Grapefruit "oy 2,255 2,188 2,215
Lemons 722 745 764

1/ Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month. The 1981-90
average is 78 percent.

2/ Estimates in June 1 column include forecasts in the Great Lakes States as
of mid-June.

3/ Season begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the
completion of harvest the following year.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-3 NASS, USDA


The “Root Mean Square Error” for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast
is 2.0 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
production forecast of 1.57 billion bushels will not be above or below the
final estimate by more than 2.0 percent or approximately 31.5 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will
not exceed 3.5 percent or approximately 55.1 million bushels. Differences
between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate
during the past 10 years have averaged 24 million bushels, ranging from

4 million to 51 million bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final
estimate 3 times and above 7 times. This does not imply that the July 1
winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-16 NASS, USDA



June Weather Summary: June 1992 showed two faces. During the first half of

the month, storms crept across the southern Plains and
into the Southeast. The 2-week spate of rainfall pushed monthly rainfall to
more than twice normal from New Mexico to Alabama, and held temperatures to
May-like levels. During a mid-month transitional period, a powerful storm
brought needed moisture to the Northwest and northern Plains. For the
second half of the month, cool, mainly dry weather covered the East, allowing
drought to retain its grip on the Corn Belt. Meanwhile, oppressive heat
developed in the Southern and Western States. Late in the month, a tropical
depression brought copious rainfall to west-central Florida.

The early-month rainfall brought mixed returns. In the southern Plains,
excessive moisture delayed the winter wheat harvest and adversely affected
young cotton plants. But in the Southeast, rains eased concerns of incipient
drought. One early-month storm turned north-eastward and caused flooding from
the Middle Atlantic region to New England between June 4 and 6. Up to

8 inches of rain soaked the central Appalachian foothills, and similar amounts
pounded Connecticut.

The mid-month storm brought the first significant rainfall in 6 weeks to the
Northwest, and eased drought in the northern Plains and the Corn Belt. But
the accompanying outbreak of more than 150 tornadoes was nature's most
prodigious 3-day output since 1984, according to press reports. Despite the
rain on the 17th in the northern Corn Belt, dry, cool weather predominated
during June. Eastern Iowa, northern Illinois, and northeastern Missouri
remained critically dry through the end of June, having received less than

2 inches of rain since May 1.

The second half of the month was marked by a sharp northeast-to-southwest
temperature contrast and scattered thunderstorms in the Southern States. Very
cool weather blanketed the Northeast, with temperatures dropping to 32°F in
Muskegon and Marquette, MI, on the 22nd. A concurrent heat wave in the West
set numerous records, including an all-time June record of 101°F in Seattle,
WA. The collision of contrasting airmasses produced scattered daily
thunderstorms from the Plains into the Southeast. In the eastern Gulf of
Mexico, a cluster of thunderstorms developed into a tropical depression on the
25th and lasted 1 day before making landfall in west-central Florida. Up to
26 inches of rain deluged areas north of Ft. Myers, FL, and record flooding
occurred on the Myakka River. At month's end, a significant storm punched
into the Northwest and northern Plains, following a track similar to that of
the mid-month storm.

June Crop Progress: Extensive rains across the southern half of the Nation
from Colorado to Florida slowed late crop planting and
early crop harvests. Beneficial rains visited the Pacific Northwest and
several thunderstorms traversed the northern States. Rainfall was limited,
however, in the Corn Belt and concerns over soil moisture heightened.

Winter wheat harvest was underway in the Southeast and far West entering June,
with 1 percent (%) of the Nation's crop harvested. Heading of the winter
wheat crop was ahead of normal at 85% headed in the 19 major producing States.
Rains in the southern Plains and Southeast delayed extensive harvest until
after the middle of the month. Harvest progressed rapidly during the second

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-4 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States,
1991 and Forecasted July 1, 1992
(Domestic Units)

Area Planted

Area Harvested 1/

Crop [oa ea neem enn en nnn annem nena amnne nnn nena senes

Oats

Barle:

All Wheat
Winter
Ourum
Other Spring

Potatoes
Summer
Fall
Total

Al1_Tobacco
Flue-cured

Types 11-14

Oats 2 3,
Barle : 3,
All Wheat : 28,
Winter : 20,
Durum . : 1,
Other Spring : 6,

Potatoes
Summer
Fall
Total

All_Tobacco
Flue-cured

502,190
618,330
290,260
659,020
316,460
314,780

40,830
487,130
569,800

1992 1991
1,000 Acres

8,026 4,796
7,782 8,413
72,327 57,693
51,097 39,396
2,472 3,197
18,758 15,100
88.6 97.3
1,137.6 1,177.9
1,327.2 1,374.9
763.8
402.6

Metric Units - Hectares

3,
3,
29,
20,
1,
7,

248,040 1,940,890 1,
149,300 3,404,660 2,
270,010 23,347,780 25,
678,440 15,943,170 17,

000,390 1,293,790

591,180 6,110,820 7,
35,860 39,380
460,380 476,680
537,100 556,410
309,100

162,930

940,490
951,810
523,390
219,560
977,730
326,100

34,970
453,900
528,570
317,400 ~~

164,950

en —,

This report was approved on July 9, 1992

Agriculture and t'
Statistics Board.

Milan f Justia

Acting Secretary of
Agriculture
Roland R. Vautour

Crop Production
July 1992

e National Agricultural

A-2

by the Acting Secretary of

Statistics Service's Agricultural

Kok Abe

Agricu tural Statistics Board

Chairperson
Rich Allen

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Grapefruit: The final forecast for the 1991-92 U.S. grapefruit crop is

2.22 million tons, up 1 percent from the June 1 forecast but
2 percent less than the 1990-91 crop. The Florida all grapefruit forecast, at
42.4 million boxes, is unchanged from last month and down 6 percent from last
season. Harvest is complete.

The California "Desert Valley" grapefruit forecast, which was carried forward
from April 1, is unchanged from the 1990-91 level at 3.50 million boxes.
California's "Other Areas" grapefruit forecast has increased to 6.50 million
boxes, 44 percent larger than last season. Fruit quality has been good.

The Arizona grapefruit forecast has increased to 2.50 million boxes. This

month's forecast is 14 percent higher than April 1 and 4 percent higher than

last season. Harvest is nearly complete. The Texas crop forecast remains at
: Oxes.

The change in U.S. grapefruit production between the July forecast and final
production averaged 689,000 boxes over the last 10 seasons, ranging from a low
of zero boxes in 1990-91 to a high of 2.15 million boxes in 1981-82.

Lemons: The California and Arizona lemon crops are expected to total

764,000 tons, up 3 percent from the April 1 forecast and up 6 percent
from the 1990-91 season. Harvest is complete in the California and Arizona
desert as well as in the Central Valley of California. Harvest is over
90 percent completed in the coastal region and in Southern California.

Florida Citrus: Groves and trees in all areas of the State's citrus belt were
in excellent condition at the end of June. A tropical

depression the week of June 21-27 dumped large amounts of rain in all areas.
Some counties received record accumulations for June. Excessive amounts of
standing water were rapidly removed from groves to avoid tree damage. Recent
warm temperatures and high humidity generated an abundance of new growth on
trees of all ages. Fruit growth appears normal for this time of year compared
to the last two seasons when maturity was advanced. Valencia orange harvest
slowed during June as the supply dwindled. All? large processing plants closed
prior to the last week of June. Grapefruit harvest slowed to a few thousand
boxes per week through June with little movement the last week of the month.

Caretakers were actively cutting cover crops, spraying, fertilizing, and
planting young trees. Growers were pushing out and removing dead and weak
trees.

California Fruits and Nuts: Except for a few days early in the month, June

temperatures remained below normal. As the month
began, stonefruit were maturing about two weeks ahead of normal because of
extremely warm temperatures in the spring. By the end of June, milder
temperatures had slowed development and maturity was one week ahead of normal.
The cherry harvest ended during June and the harvest of apricots, avocados,
desert table grapes, Freestone peaches, plums, and nectarines was active. The
non-desert grapefruit, Valencia orange, and south coast lemon harvest
progressed.

Orchards were irrigated and treated for pests and weeds. Almond growers
treated insect problems and walnut growers sprayed for blight. Vineyards were
treated for mildew and insects.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-12 NASS, USDA


32.3 bushels per acre, down ].1 bushels from 1991. Acres for grain, at
18.1 million, are up 20 percent from a year ago to the highest level since
1953. The lower yields were more than offset by the sharply higher acreage
for harvest.

Montana's major spring wheat district has been severely affected by drought.
Many fields vary greatly in maturity and stands are thin. Other spring wheat
areas have had more normal moisture allowing for a more uniform crop.
Minnesota growers are expecting much better yields than last year. Late June
rains have relieved stress on spring wheat that was planted on last year's
sugarbeet and sunflower ground.

Tobacco: The first flue-cured production forecast for this season is

890 million pounds, 2 percent less than last year's output. Produc-
tion is expected to be down in North Carolina where nearly two-thirds of flue-
cured tobacco is produced. Yield per acre for all flue-cured is forecasted at
2,185 pounds, 80 pounds below the 1991 average yield. Acres for harvest are
up 1 percent from a year earlier.

The unusually cool weather during the first of May caused stands in North
Carolina to be uneven and slowed crop development. Rainfall since planting
has been above normal, which has eliminated the need for irrigation.

South Carolina growers have also experienced cool weather that has caused slow
crop development and premature blooming. Heavy rains in early June have
increased the occurrence of black shank, gainville wilt, and nematodes.
Auctions are slated to open on July 20, a few days later than last year but
still one of the earliest openings in recent years.

In Virginia, the crop has received much of the same cool, wet weather seen in
the Carolinas. Condition of the crop was rated fair to good. In Georgia, the
cool, dry weather early in the growing season improved to favorable conditions
in June. The quality and quantity of the crop is expected to be good despite
harvest being a week behind normal. Florida growers have started their
second harvest. The quality of the crop is reported to be very good. The
first tobacco market will open on July 15.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on

July 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
80 percent, 4 points below July 1, 1991, but 2 points above the 1981-90
average. Conditions were above last year in 22 States, below last year in
23 States, and the same as last year in 3 States.

Nevada was the only State reporting pasture and range feed condition in the
severe drought range. Very poor conditions were reported in the Pacific
Northwest as well as in Iowa, Michigan, and Wisconsin.

Apples: The first forecast of the 1992 crop, at 10.1 billion pounds, is
2 percent above last year's crop and 4 percent more than production
in 1990.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 B-7 NASS, USDA


Peaches: Total Production by State and United States,
1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992

State
Million Pounds
AL : 12.0 16.0 13.0
AR : 18.0 12.0 12.0
CA - Freestone: 600.0 610.0 640.0
co : 17.0 2.0 18.0
CT 2/ : 3.6 3.4 3.5
DE 2/ : 0.2 3.0 3.0
GA : 130.0 150.0 130.0
ID 2/ 3/ : 4.7 2.5
IL : 0.3 19.5 16.0
IN 2/ 0.8 4.6 3.0
KS 2/ 0.1 5.0 0.5
KY 2/ 3/ : 4.0 4.0
LA 2/ : 4.0 5.0 3.5
MD : 4.0 15.0 10.0
MA 2/ : 2.0 2.0 2.0
MI : 45.0 40.0 40.0
MO 2/ : 0.7 11.0 6.0
NJ : 45.0 115.0 85.0
NY 3 14.0 15.0 13.5
NC H 10.0 35.0 12.0
OH 2/ : 5.5 5.8 7.0
OK 2/ : 8.0 31.0 5.3
OR 2/ : 14.5 13.0 15.0
PA : 76.0 100.0 85.0
Sc : 110.0 310.0 145.0
TN 2/ 1.3 6.5 2.7
TX 24.0 32.0 27.0
UT 2/ 12.0 2.5 11.0
VA 2.5 26.0 25.0
WA 53.0 30.0 55.0
WV 3.0 18.0 17.0
Total Above : 1,221.2 1,642.3 1,412.5
Clingstone 4/

CA 1,012.0 1,030.0 1,100.0
US Total : 2,233.2 2,672.3 2,512.5

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (million pounds):
U.S., excluding CA clingstone peaches, 1990 - 36.6, 1991 - 120.5.
Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

No significant production due to frost for KY in 1990 and ID in 1991.
CA clingstone is over the scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery
diversions (million pounds): 1990 - 57.0; 1991 - 60.0.

Hw Ir
RRN

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
July 1992 A-13 NASS, USDA


Citrus Fruit:

Utilized Production by Crop, State,

and United States, 1990-91 and Forecasted July 1, 1992 1/

Utilized Production
Ton Equivalent

Oranges
Early Mid &
Navel 3/
AZ 4/

Temples
FL

Grapefruit
White Seedless
FL
Colored Seedless
FL
Other
FL
All
AZ
cA
Desert 4/
Other Areas
Total

Utilized Production

390
44,300
68,100

1,050
113,840

1,220
27,100
42,100

155
70,575

1,610
71,400
110; 200
1,205
184,415

1,400

18,000
16,300
1,400
2,200

3,500
5,900
9,400
35,700
2,000
49,300

600
1,650
1,700
3,950

2,800
15,800
18,600

Boxes

1990-91 :

550
15,800
87,500

103,850
1,200
9,800

64,000
75,000
1,750
25,600
151,500
178,850

2,500

21,700
21,800
1,600
2,400

3,500
4,500
8,000
45,100

55,500

600
1,300
1,950
3,850

4,100
14,900
19,000

1989-90 :

1,000 Boxes 2/ =

740
35,000
83,400

20
119,160

1,600
31,000
56,400

10
89,010

2,340
66,000
139,800
30
208,170

2,350

19,100
22,100
1,200
2,500

3,500
6,500
10,000
42,400
65
54,965

900
1,700
2,600
5,200

5,100
15,000
20,100

1991-92

14
1,661
3,064

4,783

45
1,016
1,894

7
2,962

59
2,677
4,958

7,745
63

765
693
60
70

112
198
310
1,518
80
1,978

22
62
80
164

106
600
706

20
593
3,937
4,550
45
368
2,880
3,293
65
961
6,817
7,843

113

922
926
68
77

112
150
262
1,916

2,255

23
49
92
164

156
566
722

812
939
51
80
112
218
330
1,802

3
2,215

64

Crop Production
July 1992

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA