SUGARBEETS SLICED 1/

STATE 1975 1976 197 1978
1,000 TONS
us 27 29,616 28,889 24,120 24,929
T/ HISTORICAL DATE 930-1972 PUBLISHED IN STATISTICAL BULLETIN 244, ASCS, USUR, NAY 1975.
Z/ RELATES TO YEAR OF HARVEST.
SUGAR PRODUCTION
SUGAR, RAN_VALUE SUGAR PRODUCTION
> YIELD PI OF REFINED BAS
STATE PRODUCTION :
: - vay ANE OF BEETS ©1976 1977 '1978 1/
T7000 TONS POUND T DOO TONS
CANE SUGAR
FLA 894 972 199-210 869 «= 836.908
HAW 1,038 1,029 229 230 222 981 966 962
LA 668 550 174 184 202 607 624 514
TEX 88 6) (194 179 140 38 82 57
US 2,684 2,612 202 209 2 2,545 2,508 2,441
BEET SUGAR :
us : 3,895 3,108 3,246 265 249 252 3,640 2,905 3,034
CANE AND BEET SUGAR; 6,619 5,792 «5,858 6,185 5,413 5,475
7 PRELIMTNARY. *
MOLASSES AND BEET PULP
PRODUCT PRODUCTION
AND UNIT > :
STATE 1976 3 1977 S978 1
7 THOUSAND:
SUGARCANE PRODUCTS :
BLACKSTRAP MOLASSES-80° BRIX 2/ :
FLA GALLON =: —__«77,036 58,830 62,064
HAW GALLON =: 3/48,984 3/50,564 3/55.080
LA GALLON =: «47,500 43,550 35,200
TEX GALLON =: 72210 93200 97466
us GALLON ; ~—*180,730 162; 144 161,810
EDIBLE MOLASSES :
tA GALLON: 2,538 2,750 2,900
US GALLON : 2,538 2,750 2,900
SUGARBEET PRODUCTS-U S :
MOLASSES GALLON =: —«*167,079 172,627 139,412
PuLe :
MOLASSES TON : 1,272 932 1,013
DRIED TON : 484 519 488
MET TON : 574 535 562
17 PRELIMINARY, -
2/ INCLUDES HIGHEST MOLASSES FROM FROZEN CANE.
37 a5" BRIX.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE: 1979 state AVERAGE =: gyg 1979
: 1968-77: :

STATE} qg¢a-77 «| ~«1978

PERCENT : “PERCENT
ALA > B2 87 85 > 80 87 a9

2
8
2
2
©
8
©
a
@
&
2
rr
8

m3
DROUGHT, UNDER

CHERRIES

CROP AND PRODUCTION 1/
STATE TOTAL H TOTAL Hi “INDICATED
1977 : i978 : 1979 2/

TONS

CHERRIES, SWEET

CALIF 27,000 14,000 42,000

COLO 3/ 550 140
I 2,200 2,000 2,300
MONT 2,600 7,850 2,200
OREG 37,500 34,000 33,000
UTAH 5,800 3,000 5,000
WASH 47,000 60,700 62,000
TOTAL : 122,650 115,690 146, 500

MILLION POUNDS

CHERRIES, TART

COLO 2.3 1.3 2.2
OREG 8.0 3.8 4.0
UTAH 12.2 11.3 14.0

TOTAL 21.5 16.4 20.2

T Al : , ~ 1,300.
FORECAST FOR THE GREAT LAKE STATES - NY, PA, AND MICH - FOR SWEET AND TART VARIETIES PLUS WIS FOR TART
VARIETIES WILL 8E MADE AS OF JUN 15 AND RELEASED JUN 21. 3/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
SO B- 5
BARTLETT PEARS 0... . cece eee eee e cece eee eee eee enone ete eeeeee B- 5
BEET PULP 00... eee e eect e cece e tect ene een ese e enna B- &
BLUEBERRIES .. ccc cece cece eee e rete t teen cence een teen eens B- 3
CHERRIES so. eeeveeeeececeeeeeeaeeeeecueeeeeneeeeeaeeneees B- 2
CITRUS FRUITS vee cee eeeeeeeeecneceeeeeneaeeeeereneneeeenes B- 4
CROP PROSPECTS MAPS oe ees ce ree ctec eet er cer cretteteeereteee A- 3
MINT OIL cece cece cece eee eee eee e teen eee ee eee enneteee B-10
MOLASSES oe cee eec eee eee ees eeea eee eeneceeenneeeeeeeeeeeaes B- 8
PAPAYAS .. cece cece eee e cece et eee eect ete ee ene eetetetneneeee B- 5
«PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS .........ee cee eee cence A- 5
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION TABLE ...........eceeeeeeee B- 2
PEACHES ... ccc cece cece cece e eee eee tne teeta eae eeeenes B- 3
POTATOES oe 0. seeceeeeee vee teeeeeecee teeta esaeeeeeneeaeeues B- 9
SUGAR woe eee ec eee reece ene e ene ee een e teen tect eee eeneeeeeees B- 8
SUGARBEETS ... cece ceceeceeteceeeeeneeteeeeeeeeeueeneeetenes B- 6
SUGARCANE 2. cece eee eee eee cece eee e tence eee eee teen teenies B- 7
SUNFLOWER ... cc cece e cece e eect e eee eee eeeteees B-11
SWEETPOTATOES . 2. .ceceseveueeecnseeceeeeeceseeseeseuesnenes B- 9
US SUMMARY 20... cece ec eee cece eee e eee eee eee een ee eneee A- 2
WHEAT BY CLASSES ....ecseveceeeeeeete eeu ee eeu tebenseeenens B- 1
WINTER WHEAT vo... ccc cee eee cece tence eet e tect ee en eenete B- 1

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
iy JUNE 1, 1978

TD Good to excellent
[3 Poor to fair

Very poor

BD Severe drought

GE Extreme drought ‘AS REPORTED BY

(CROP CORRESPONDENTS

‘INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON-IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. CRA 54-78 (6)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
$ JUNE 1, 1979

2 Good 10 excellent
ES Poor to fair

[Z2 Very poor

EBD) Severe drought
TD Extreme drought

RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNOER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDFTIONS.

usoA NEG. ESCS 100-7916)

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SWEETPOTATOES

AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED
STATE : : : ? 7
19760} 1977, 978 19768; 1977 1978
7,000 ACRES
ALA 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
ARK 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.6
CALIF 7.6 7.8 8.7 7.6 . 8.7
GA 6.3 6.3 6.5 5.9 15 6.0
LA 30.0 28.0 29.0 29.0 20 28.0
MD V7 V7 1.4 1.6 ‘6 1.4
MISS 9.5 9.0 9.5 9.0 0 9.0
Nd 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.3 24 2.6
NC 35.0 34.0 38.0 33.0 Q 37.0
sc 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.5 23 2.4
TENN 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.9 8 2.8
TEX 11.0 10:0 = 10.0 10.5 35 9.5
VA 7.0 6.9 6.3 6.5 6 6.1
us > 122.8 117.3 124.3 117.8 112.4 120.6
YIELO : PRODUCTION
: 1976 : 1977 : 1978 i 1976 : 1977 : 1978
2 CWT 1,000 CWT
ALA : 90 85 100 495 451 550
ARK 3 78 76 79 117 122 126
CALIF 155 150 160 1,178 1,170 1,392
GA z 120 90 110 495 660
LA 3 95 90 95 2,755 2,430 2,660
MD : 155 155 160 248 248 224
MISS 90 85 88 810 680 792
nod 116 105 110 265 252 286
NC : 130 135 140 4,290 4,455 5,180
sc 2 86 91 105 ral 209
TENN 105 100 100 305 280 280
TEX 105 95 110 1,103 903 1,045
VA 145 125 140 943 700 5
uS 4 110 119 13,432 12,395 14,301
POTATOES.
SEASONAL GROUP: | AREA HARVESTED 1 YIELO 1 PRODUCTION.
ANO ‘ T TIN 7 T 1 TOT q vb INO
STATE: 4 977 4 +1978 | 1979 1 1977 | 1978 | 1979 | 1977 1978 1 1979
' A r)
{
'
WINTER 1
t
TOTAL: H 1364 12.9 1362 199 203. 206 24660 2062) 20723
SPRING i]
ALA 1 1005 95 8.0 120 «100 Les 1,260 950 1000
ARIZ t 605. 640 6e2 270 268 «= 270 1755 1959010674
CALIF) 1 3008 29.0 3000 385 285 400 115658. Br2b6: 120000
FLASHASTINGS 1 1965 20.6 20.4 220 i7o 220 41290 39502. 49468.
OTHER: ' 167 168 1.0 185 = 125170 315 225: 170
LA 1 203 2.3 2ek 75 15 70 173. 173. 147
MISS: 1/ 1 1e3 162. 90 90 a7 106.
NC 1 1306 13.0 1367 165150165 20211 10950 Bo 26d
TEX H See 7S 8.0 165 160 165: 891 1200 19320
TOTAL ‘ 910 90.9 89.4 250 198 2se6 229870 179963. 239060

A/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE, 1979 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUNFLOWER

STATE ee YIELO PRODUCTION
AND : ; = 5 5
TYPE 1977 1978 1977 1978 1977, «1978 1977; 1978
T,000 ACRES POUNDS T,000 POUNDS
OIL_VARIETIES
~ MINN 455 650 449 640 1,590 1,540 713,910 — 985,600
N DAK 1,190 1,740 1,155 1,731 1,270 —-1,360--1,466,850 2,354,160
S DAK 135 164 131 159 960 1,120 125,760 178,080
TEX 295 44 230 29 720 700 165,600 20,300
us 2,075 2,598 + =—-1,965 = 2,889 1,258 «1,383 2,472,120 3,538,140
NON-OIL_VARIETIES :
“CNN 70 60 69 58 1,350 1,490 93,150 86,420
N DAK 170 180 165 179 1,160 1,260 191,400 225,540
S_DAK 1 1 1 1 800 940 800 940
TEX 5 1 5 1 600 1,500 3,000 1,500
us 246 242 240 239 1,201 1,315 288,350 314,400
TOTAL
MINN 525 710 518 698 1,558 1,536 ~=——-807,060 1,072,020
N DAK 1,360 1,920 1,320 1,910 1,255 1,351 1,658,250 2,579,700
S_DAK 136 165 + "132 160 959 1,119 126,560 179,020
TEX 300 45 235 30 77 727 168,600 21,800
us 2,321 2,840 2,205 «2,798 1,252 1,377 2,760,470 3,852,540
PRICE PER VALUE_OF
cur PRODUCTION
1977 : 1978 1977 : 1978
DOLLARS 7,000 DOLLARS
OIL VARIETIES
“MINN 10.00 11.60 71,391 114,330
N DAK 10.50 10.40 154,019 244 833
S_DAK 8,50 10.30 10,690 18,342
TEX 8.00 10.20 13,248 2,071
US 10.10 10.70 249,348 379,576
NON-OIL_VARIETIES
“RIN 10.50 10.50 9,781 9,074
N OAK 10.90 10.90 20,863 24,584
S_DAK 9.50 10.80 76 102
TEX 12.00 12.5) 369 188
US 10.80 10.80 31,080 33,948
TOTAL
INN 10.10 11.50 81,172 123,404
N DAK 10.60 10.40 174 882 269,417
S DAK 8.51 10.30 10,766 18,444
TEX 8.07 10.40 13,608 2259
US 10.20 10.70 280,428 413,524
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUGARBEETS 1/

i AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED : YIELD
STATE 7 5 > 5 > 5 7
1 1976; (1977 =; «(1978 =; (3976 =; «1977 =; «21978 =; «1978 =; «(1977 :«:1978
5 TJ, 000 ACRES TONS
ARIZ 17.8 12.9 15.7 17.0 12.8 15.0 23.0 22.3 20.5
CALIF > 318.0 227.0 207.0 312.0 217.0 195.0 28.6 26.1 24.5
COLO : 124.0 77.0 89.0 121.0 72.0 84.0 19.0 19.5 13.3
IDAHO 2 145.6 9 125.4 136.3 139.4 107.4 134.1 20.7 19.5 20.3
KANS : 39.0 26.0 28.0 38.0 24.0 26.0 19.7 16.7 17.0
MAINE 2/ : 10.0 5.5 10.2
MICH : 93.6 92.3 93.0 91.4 85.5 91.5 16.8 21.0 19.3
MINN : 256.0 264.0 265.0 248.0 260.0 263.0 12.2 18.2 18.9
MONT : 46.4 46.4 45.4 46.1 45.0 44.7 21.0 19,9 19.8
NEBR : 86.0 75.0 79.0 84.5 67.7 76.0 20.0 20.0 18.0
N MEX : vw 1.3 2.) 19 1,2 1.8 22.2 19.2 20.6
N DAK : 183.2 157.8 156.2 149.8 155.2 155.2 13.5 17.8 19.7
OHIO > 38.4 24.9 24.5 36.5 22.5 23.3 16.9 20.3 16.9
OREG > 149 8.9 9.2 14.5 8.2 8.9 25.1 25.1 22.3
TEX : 26.8 19.9 27.9 23.3 17.9 23.6 21.6 17.3 7.5
UTAH : «184 10.4 12.8 18.0 9.8 12.6 17.6 17.7 17.9
WASH : 79,1 63.9 69.2 76.5 61.6 68.5 24.4 24.3 25.5
wyO 2 B77 49.5 49.5 56.4 48.4 48.8 20.7 19.6 18.9
us 1 1,525.4 1,272.6 1,309.8 1,478.8 1,216.2 1,272.0 19.9 20.6 20.3
: PRICE PER F VALUE OF
PRODUCTION : TON : PRODUCTION
11976 i977 | t978 S977 Sigma ay S977: 1978 3/
: “T, 000 TORS DOLLARS ~T, 000 DOLLAR
ARIZ : 31 285 308 24.40 6,954
CALIF 2 8,912 5,664 4,778 26.40 149,530
coLo : 2,303 1,404 1,538 26.30 36,925
IDAHO : 2,879 2,094 2,722 25.50 53,397
KANS : 749 401 442 21.90 8,782
MAINE 2/ : 56
MICH ~ : 1,540 1,796 1,770 20.10 36,100
MINN : 3,026 4,732 4,971 20.60 97,479
MONT : 968 896 885 29.10 26,074
NEBR > 1,690 1,354 1,368 27.00 36,558
N MEX : 20 23 37 25.00 575
N DAK : 2,022 2,769 3,054 21.40 59,257
OHIO : 617 57 394 20.20 9,231
OREG : 364 206 198 23.00 4,738
TEX 503 309 414 23.40 7,231
UTAH 37 173 225 26.70 4,619
WASH > 1,862 1,495 1,747 26.50 39,618
wo > 1,167 949 922 28.80 27,331
US 29,386 25,007 25,773 24.20 604, 399
i YEAR OF IN VEST FOR ALI S ING A TF.

2/ NONE PLANTED IN 1977 OR 1978.

3/ ESTIMATES OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION FOR THE 1978 CROP ARE NOT AVAILABLE. US

SEASON AVERAGE PRICE, VALUE OF PRODUCTION AND PARITY PRICE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN THE JUL ISSUE OF AGRICUL-

TURAL PRICES RELEASED 5g? P.M. ET, JUL 31, 1979. STATE ESTIMATES FOR THE 1978 CROP WILL BE PUBLISHED
ES IN JAN 0.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


APRICOTS: The first forecast for the 1979 apricot crop is placed at 145 thousand tons (137 thou~-

sand metric tons), 15 percent above last year's crop, but 2 percent below the 1977 out-
put. The California crop is forecast at 140 thousand tons, 14 percent more than last season.
Harvest began in the southern San Joaquin Valley during the last week of May, and during the first
week of June in the major areas. In Utah, the 2000 ton crop is expected to be of excellent qual-
ity. The Washington crop is placed at 2700 tons.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine crop is forecast at 185 thousand tons (168 thousand metric
tons), 25 percent above last year and 19 percent above the 1977 crop. Harvest is
underway on a limited scale.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune production is forecast at 120 thousand tons, dried basis,

(109 thousand metric tons), 8 percent below last year and one-fourth smaller
than the 1977 crop. Fruit set is uneven as a result of cool, wet weather during bloom, but fruit
size and quality are generally good.

Plum production in California is forecast at 180 thousand tons (163 thousand metric tons),
17 percent above the 1978 crop and 15 percent above 1977. Harvest of early varieties is well
underway.

ALMONDS: The 1979 California almond crop (shelled basis) is now expected to total 320 million

pounds (145 thousand metric tons), 7 percent more than was expected last month and 77
percent larger than the smat? crop harvested last year. Growth was good during May but develop-
ment is slightly behind schedule.

SWEET CHERRIES: Production of sweet cherries in the six western States is forecast at 147 thou-
sand tons (133 thousand metric tons), 27 percent above last year and 20 percent
above the 1977 estimate.

California's crop is forecast at 42.0 thousand tons, three times as large as the short 1978
crop and 56 percent above 1977, Quality is good. Sets are heavy and sizes below normal. Harvest
was near peak on June 7.

In Oregon, production is forecast at 33.0 thousand tons, off slightly from last year. The
Willamette Valley crop is off because of poor pollination but the Dalles area has a good crop.

The Washington crop is expected to total 62.0 thousand tons, up 2 percent from the 1978 crop
and 32 percent above 1977. Trees came through the severe winter in good condition. Pollination
weather was generally good with only limited rain and cool weather. Earliest picking should begin
about June 10 with good volume by mid-month.

TART CHERRIES: The three western States of Colorado, Oregon, and Utah expect tart cherry produc-

tion to total 20.2 million pounds (9160 metric tons), 23 percent above last year
but 6 percent below 1977. Fruit drop in Colorado has been heavy, and prospects are not goad in
Oregon because of poor pollination. Utah expects the best crop since 1976.

BLUEBERRIES: Growers in North Carolina expect to harvest 7.11 million pounds, 9 percent less than
last year. The decline is attributed to winter damage. In New Jersey, the 25.3
million pound crop is 13 percent above last season. Bloom was heavy and set was good; however,
frequent rains have caused production losses in some areas. The first forecast for the other
States estimating blueberries (Maine, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington) will be publsihed July 11.

MINT FOR OIL: Peppermint acreage for harvest in 1979 is estimated at 94.5 thousand acres (38.2

thousand hectares), a decrease of 5 percent from the 100 thousand acres (40.5
thousand hectares) harvested in 1978. Acreage increases in Indiana and Wisconsin were more than
offset by decreases in Idaho, Oregon, and Washington,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Soybean seeding also began slow and late, but gained momentum as farmers turned their atten-
tion to soybeans as they finished corn planting in the north central States. As of May 13, only
6 percent of the soybeans were planted, near 1978's § percent but short of the 15 percent average.
However, soybean planting never lagged last year's late pace and by the beginning of June, caught
up to the average. Among the major production regions, the Southeast and north central States
were ahead of last year's pace but planting lagged in the south central States. In the Southeast,
seeding reached 67 percent by June 3, 7 points ahead of last year and 4 points above the average.
Eastern Corn Belt soybean planting reached 81 percent by June 3, surpassing 1978's 48 percent and
the 70 percent average. Western Corn Belt seeding advanced to 73 percent, ahead of last year's
58 percent and the 72 percent average.

In the south central States, soybean seeding was 39 percent complete by June 3, compared with
55 percent in 1978 and the average of 54 percent. Planting in Arkansas, Tennessee, and Missis-
sippi lagged because frequent rains kept soils saturated.

Grain sorghum planting in the seven major producing States advanced to 62 percent at the be-
ginning of June, ahead of last year and close to the average rate. No State seriously lagged the
usual pace.

Spring seeding of small grains began late and advanced slowly because of subnormal soil tem-
peratures and wet conditions. North Dakota and Minnesota fel] far behind as wet, cold weather
persisted but as conditions improved, farmers worked quickly to get these crops seeded. At the
beginning of June, small grain seeding was only a few points behind the average.

Seeding of the 1979 spring wheat crop was greatly delayed by wet soils in early and mid-May
but was active in late May and early June. By June 3 seeding had progressed to 86 percent com-
plete which compares with 91 percent at that date a year earlier and the average of 90 percent.

Planting in the Delta States has been sharply delayed by rain and the resulting wet field
conditions. However, with drying weather toward the end of May, cotton planting picked up and for
the U.S. reached 91 percent by June 3 which equalled the average progress for the date and was
ahead of the 87 percent reached on the same date a year ago. Planting in Texas was 72 percent
complete by June 3, behind both last year and the average. The crop generally rated fair to
good for the U.S., although some areas in the Delta were poor because of the continued cool, wet
weather. By June 3, squaring had reached 11 percent in Texas and was starting in California.
Heavy rains in the Texas Panhandle caused some concern that replanting wil) be necessary.

Seeding of rice also progressed slowly because of the wet soils in the Delta area, but for
the U.S. reached 93 percent complete by June 3, This compares with 98 percent complete last
year and the average. Rains continued to hamper planting in Arkansas and Mississippi where
planting progress reached only 82 percent and 89 percent, respectively, by June 3, Seeding of

peanuts was almost complete in eastern areas and was about on schedule in Texas with 36 percent
planted by June 3.

WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at 1.43 billion bushels {38.8 million met-

ric tons) based on June 7 conditions. This is 14 percent greater than last year's
crop of 1.25 billion bushels (34.0 million metric tons) and 3 percent above last month's fore-
cast. A larger acreage for harvest this year plus prospects for a higher yield results in the
higher production forecast. Farmers expect to harvest 42.9 million acres (17.3 million hectares)
for grain, 10 percent more than last year.

Growers expect a yield of 33.3 bushels per harvested acre this year compared with 32.1 bush-
els last year and last month's forecast of 32.4 bushels. Generally cool temperatures plus ade-
quate moisture contributed to the increased yield prospects in most of the wheat growing area.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



MAY WEATHER SUMMARY

Temperatures for May averaged close to normal in most of the Nation but extremes, both hot
and cold, were common. Western U.S., from the Plateau to the Coast, averaged four to five de-
grees warmer than normal, Freezing temperatures reached as far south as Kansas and many record
high temperatures were marked in the East.

Nearly a1] of the Nation received some rain and thunderstorms were prolific. Record amounts
of rain accumulated in many areas. Rainfall was frequent in most of the agricultural areas where
farmers were trying to plant spring crops.

Three distinct rain patterns moved from the Rockies eastward during the first week of May.
The first storm system moved from the Centra] Plains through the Great Lakes. Moderate showers
and thunderstorms accompanied the path of the storm with lesser amounts to the south. The
succeeding storms brought the heaviest activity further to the south. Nearly all areas east of
the Rockies had rain on at least three of the six days. At the end of the week, a storm moved
into the Pacific Northwest and brought moderate rain to the coastal areas and snow in the
mountains. Freezing temperatures dipped into the mountains and moved to the northern Plains.

Ouring the week of May 7-13 a mass of cooler air pushed into the Plateau and Rockies and
moved slowly eastward during the week. Warm moist air moved into the Nation from the south ahead
of the cooler air. Rain or snow showers accompanied the influx of cool air in the West while
heavier showers, thunderstorms, and tornadoes were plentiful east of the Rockies. The most
severe weather hit the Southeast where some rains exceeded ten inches. Freezing temperatures
moved into the Plains as far south as Kansas while record high temperatures were being recorded
east of the cold air.

A new weather system originated in Alberta, Canada and moved eastward through the Canadian
Provinces in the third week of May (14-20). A line of showers and thunderstorms extended scuth-~
westward from the center of the system into the United States. Heavy amounts of rain soaked
parts of the Texas-Oklahoma border, northern Arkansas and southern Missouri. Late in the week
an upper air system caused moderate showers in the Southwest. Temperatures were warmer than
normal through most of the Nation. Only the northern Plains, the South and the Southeast were
slightly cooler than normal.

The slow moving system extending from the low pressure in southern Canada moved through the
U.S. early in the week of May 21-27 and the upper air disturbance moved from the Southwest and
caused a surface low pressure to form in Texas. Heavy rains accompanied the storm and it became
more intense as it moved northeastward. Storm totals in excess of five inches occurred in Texas
and Arkansas and two to four inch amounts extended from the southern Appalachians through the
New England coastal areas. The severe storm lingered in the New England area and rain continued
until the end of the month.

PLANTING PROGRESS

Subnormal soil temperatures and wet conditions in most major production areas at the begin-
ning of May delayed early planting progress, but by the second week, both soil and air tempera-
tures moderated and fields dried in the Corn Belt. North Dakota and Minnesota spring wheat pro-
ducers were unable to make good headway planting spring grains until late May. Rains tracking
from Texas, across the South and into the Northeast slowed crop planting, particularly soybeans
and rice, in the Delta.

At the beginning of May, corn planting lagged 1978's Tate schedule. The pace quickened
before mid-month under favorable skies and drier soils, surpassing last year and catching up to
the average by the end of the month. By June 3, 98 percent of the corn crop was planted compared
with 89 percent last year and the average of 94 percent.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUGARCANE 1/

STATE AREA HARVES t ELO A PRODUCTION
3 2 2 3 A s a 978

1 19000 ACKES TONS 19000 = TONS
FOR SUGAR
FLA ' 285.0 29745 3266 2948 99326 84493 90160
HAW ' 96.8 99.4 91.8 9249 99173 8994 99263
La i 304.0 268.0 25.6 23.9 79452 79265 59449
TEX 1 33.5 3204 358 2902 971 978 949
us 4 71943 697.3 38.2 3548 260919 259730 24821
FOR SEED
FLA 1 15.0 1365 32.6 3168 391 477 450
HAW + 67 665 2768 272 189 182 198
La + 1860 21.0 2566-2349 614 430 426
ue 1 rod of 35.0 27.5 7 ll ll

i 43.0 4061 41e4 2749 2704 20 19100 85
FOR SUGAR ANO SEEO bee01 ' to
Fla 1 29800 300.0 311.0 32.6 2909 9715S 8s970 99610
HAW 1 10365 105.9 8747 = 8867 90362 99176 99461
La 1 32200 289.0 254.6 2349 84065 71695 59875
TEX 1 27.3 33.9 3208 3568 2942 978 989 960
vs v 747.0 75904 738.7 37.6 35.3 280120 269830 259906

: FOR SUGAR ; FOR SUGAR AND SEED

~__. PRICE PER TON “VALUE OF PRODUCTION VALUE_OF PRODUCTION 2,
1977 A 1978_37 O77. : 1978 37: THT A 1978 37
DOCLARS T,000 DOLLARS

FLA 19.60 166,463 175,812
tA 17.70 128,591 136, 202
TEX 15.30 14,963 15,132
TOTAL 18.50 310,017 327,146

7 PRICE AND VALUE EXCLUDES HAW. 2/ PRICE PER TON OF CANE FOR SUGAR USED IN EVALUATING VALUE OF PRODUCTION
FOR SEED. 3/ ESTIMATES OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION FOR THE 1978 CROP ARE NOT AVAILABLE.
U.S. SEASON AVERAGE PRICE, VALUE OF PRODUCTION ANO PARITY PRICE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN THE JUL ISSUE OF
AGRICULTURAL PRICES RELEASED AT 3:00 P.M. ET JUL 31, 1979. STATE ESTIMATES FOR THE 1978 CROP WILL BE PUBLISHED
IN CROP VALUES IN JAN 1980.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Area harvested in May totaled 2375 acres (960 hectares}, up 10 acres from April and 200 acres
more than last May.

Production during the first 5 months of this year lags far behind that of last year as the
cumulative total for January-May, 1979 is only 60 percent of last year's level.

ORANGES: The Nation's 1978-79 orange crop is expected to total 210 million boxes (8.27 million

metric tons), 1 percent more than forecast May 1, but 5 percent less than harvested
last season. The crop in Florida is placed at 163 million boxes, unchanged from last month but 3
percent below the 1977-78 crop. The California crop at 37.5 million boxes is up 7 percent from
the May 1 forecast but is 11 percent below last season. Arizona's crop is forecast at 3 million
boxes, unchanged from last month but 19 percent below 1977-78.

Harvest of oranges in the U.S. was 85 percent complete on June 1 compared with 79 percent on
the same date last year. The Florida harvest of early season varieties was complete, while the
Valencia crop was 74 percent picked by June 1. In California, Navel harvest was virtually com-
plete while the Valencia crop was about one-fifth harvested. The Arizona crop was 92 percent har-
vested by June 1. Picking of the Arizona Valencia crop was about 90 percent complete. Texas
growers have completed harvest.

The June 1 U.S. orange forecast has deviated from the final production by an average 2.62
milVion boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 200 thousand boxes in 1977-78 to 7.6 million
boxes in 1976-77.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The all orange juice yield for the 1978-79 crop is pro-
jected at 1.34 gallons of 45 degree brix concentrate
per box. The yield from the 1977-78 crop was 1.23 gallons per box.

CITRUS CROP - HARVEST ANO UTILIZATION TO JUNE 1

z 1977-76 t 1978-79
: IRON ERENT TO RET
CROP UPILIZATH t sREMAINT

FRESH {PROCESSED! TOTAL: yahCR } FRESH PROCESSED! TOTAL } panwesy
THOUSAND BOKES

ORANGES 33,994 139,947 173,947 45,679 31,299 146,793 178,092 31,608
GRAPEFRUIT 26,497 40,189 66,686 7,014 25,661 37,244 = 62,905 4,195
LEMONS. 9,168 13,655 22,823 3,277 10,069 7,239 17,308 3,192

GRAPEFRUIT: The U.S. grapefruit crop is forecast at 67.1 million boxes (2.49 million metric tons},

up 1 percent from last month but 9 percent below the 1977-78 crop. The Florida crop
at 49.8 million boxes is J percent above last month but is 3 percent below last season. Cali-
fornia prospects remained unchanged at 6.00 million boxes, but were 20 percent below last season's
harvest. Arizona production at 2.30 million boxes is 21 percent less than 1977-78.

Grapefruit harvest was 94 percent complete by June 1 compared with 90 percent by June 1 last
year. Harvest in Florida is virtually complete. The Arizona crop is 90 percent harvested.
California harvest is about 45 percent complete.

Changes in the U.S. grapefruit production forecast between June | and final production have
averaged 678 thousand boxes ovér the past ten seasons, ranging from 110 thousand boxes in 1969-70
to 1.93 million boxes in 1968-69.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona lemon crop is expected to total 20.5 million boxes (707 thou-

sand metric tons), unchanged from last month but 21 percent below last season. California
production at 15.0 million boxes is 26 percent below last year. Harvest is about 80 percent com-
plete and quality is good. The percentage of first grade lemons is above last year. The Arizona
crop of 5,50 million boxes has been harvested.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION (Gi

Released: June 11, 1979 Economics, Statistics, &
3:00 P.M. ET Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.43 billion bushels (38.8 million metric
tons), 14 percent greater than last year and 3 percent above last month's
forecast. The 90 percent confidence interval for this 1979 production fore-
cast is 1.30 to 1.56 billion bushels.

Orange production is forecast at 210 million boxes (8.27 million metric tons), 1
percent above last month's forecast but 5 percent below last year. Harvest
is 85 percent complete.

Peach production in the U.S, is forecast at 2.92 billion pounds (1.33 million metric
tons), 8 percent above last year, but 2 percent below the 1977 crop. The
California Clingstone peach crop is expected to total 1.32 billion pounds, 7
percent above last year but 12 percent below 1977.

Bartlett pear production in the three Pacific Coast States is forecast at 537 thou-
sand tons (487 thousand metric tons), up 15 percent from last year but 1 per-
cent below 1977.

Sweet_cherry production in the six Western States is expected to total 147 thou-
sand tons (133 thousand metric tons), 27 percent more than last year and 20
percent above 1977.

Spring potato production is forecast at 23.1 million cwt. (1.05 million metric
tons ; a1 percent improvement from May 1 and 28 percent above the record
low 1978 crop.

Pasture and range feed condition as of June 1 averaged 87 percent, 2 points above
a year earlier and 4 points above the 1968-77 average.

CrPr 2-2 (6-79) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SUGAR CROPS ~ 1978 REVISED: Production of sugarbeets in 1978 totaled 25.8 million tons (23.4

million metric tons), up 3 percent from the 25.0 million tons (22.7
million metric tons) produced in 1977. Acreage harvested in 1978 at 1.27 million acres (515
thousand hectares) was up 5 percent from a year earlier. Average yield per acre of 20.3 tons in
1978 compares with 20.6 tons in 1977.

Sugarcane processed for sugar totaled 24.8 million tons (22.5 million metric tons), down 4
percent from 1977. Sugarcane for sugar was harvested from 697 thousand acres (282 thousand
hectares) in 1978 and yielded 35.6 tons per acre.

Total sugar production (raw value) was 5.86 million tons (5.31 million metric tons), up 1
percent from the 1977 output of 5.79 million tons (5.25 million metric tons). Sugar (raw value)
production from cane totaled 2.61 million tons (2.37 million metric tons). Sugarbeets sliced
from the 1978 production amounted to 24.9 million tons (22.6 million metric tons). Sugar pro-
duced (raw value) from the 1978 slice amounted to 3.25 million tons (2.94 million metric tons),
up 4 percent from a year earlier,

REFINEQ SUGAR PRODUCTION 1/

MILLION TONS
7 [ —=— <=
6 —
on |
}
!
f sae |
| \ |
oF
ak
SUGARBEETS
ik
8
1969 1978 1971 i972 1973, 1874 1975, 1976 1977, 1978
YEAR

J/ SUGAR REFINED FROM U.S. SUGARBEET AND SUGARCANE PRODUCTION.

SUNFLOWER: Acreage and production revisions of the 1978 sunflower crop place production at 3.85

billion pounds (1.75 million metric tons), up 40 percent from 1977. Production of
oil varieties totaled 3.54 billion pounds (1.60 mi??ion metric tons), up.43 percent, and non-oi?
varieties totaled 314 million pounds (143 thousand metric tons), up 9 percent.

Planted acreage totaled 2.84 million acres (1.15 million hectares), up 22 percent from 1977,
while harvested acres at 2.80 million acres (1.13 million hectares) was up 27 percent from 1977.
The combined 017 and non-oj1 yield averaged 1377 pounds per acre compared with 1252 pounds per
acre in 1977.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Spearmint growers expect to harvest 34.0 thousand acres (13.8 thousand hectares) this year,
down 26 percent from the 46.1 thousand acres (18.7 thousand hectares) harvested in 1978. Acre-
age reductions in Idaho, Indiana, and Washington offset increases in Michigan and Wisconsin,

POTATOES: The final forecast for the season now places the 1979 spring potato crop at 23.1 mil-

lion cwt. (1.05 million metric tons). This is a 1 percent improvement from a month
ago and 28 percent above the record low 1978 total. This year's crop is being harvested from
89.4 thousand acres (36.2 thousand hectares), off 1 percent from Tast month and 2 percent below a
year earlier. Yield prospects, at a record 258 cwt. per acre, increased from May | and are well
above last season.

in California, the crop is forecast at 12.0 million cwt., unchanged from Jast month but 45
percent higher than the 1978 output. Harvest activity indreased as maturity progressed during
May. Quality and yields remain very good,

The Hastings, Florida crop improved 2 percent since May ? and is now placed at 4.49 million
cwt., 28 percent above the 1978 total. Digging was very active during the last half of May and
will continue through most of June. Yields are at record or near record levels and quality and
sizes are good. In other Florida areas, prospective output remains unchanged from a month ago,
below last season by 24 percent.

The North Carolina and Texas crops are also unchanged from May 1, but continue well above
1978 levels. In North Carolina, crop condition is fair to good despite cool, wet weather. Dig-
ging in the Texas lower Rio Grande Valley continued to be interrupted by intermittent rains, but
most harvest was winding down by the end of May. Harvest and sizes were also limited by rains in
the Winter Garden area. Digging of the Knox-Haskell crop should begin in mid-June,

In Alabama, timely rainfall and excellent growing conditions resulted in a 3 percent improve-
ment in expected production since May 1. Harvest of the Arizona crop has begun with output now
forecast 4 percent above a month ago.

NOTE: Beginning this year, the first estimates of fall crop acreage
planted and for harvest will be published in the July Crop
Production report to be released July 11, 1979. Previously,
the first estimates were published in the August Crop Produc-
tion report.

SWEETPOTATOES-1978 REVISED: The Nation's sweetpotato crop totaled 14.3 million cwt. (649 thou-

sand metric tons) in 1978. This was 15 percent above the 1977 output
and the largest crop since 1965, The revised 1978 production compares with the preliminary esti-
mate of 13.9 million cwt. (629 thousand metric tons). The crop was harvested from 121 thousand
acres (48.8 thousand hectares), 7 percent above the 1977 figure and 2 percent higher than two sea
sons ago. Yields averaged 119 cwt. per acre compared with 110 cwt. per acre in 1977 and 114 cwt.
per acre in 1976.

PASTURE ANO RANGE FEED: The June 1 pasture and range feed condition for the 48 contiguous States
was 87 percent, 2 points above a year earlier and 4 points above the
1968-77 average for the date. This is the highest June 1 condition since 1969 and equals 1973,

__, Pastures and ranges across the Nation continue to improve with generally ample rainfall and
higher temperatures. All States except North Dakota and South Dakota recorded good to excellent
conditions. Conditions declined from a month ago in 12 States and from a year ago in 15 States.
Most of the decline was recorded in the Northern Plains States where pastures are developing slow-

er than normal due to the cool spring weather and in the Northwest where dry ci i i
organ nor ‘y conditions exist in

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



Winter wheat rated fair ta mostly good during early May with development in the heading stage
as far north as southern Kansas. By end of month, the crop rated good in most areas. Wheat
maturity advanced to the heading stage as far north as Nebraska by June 1 but generally is lag-
ging behind last year. Harvesting in southern areas has been slowed by rains with Texas progress
less than 5 percent complete.

PEACHES: Production of peaches is forecast at 2.92 billion pounds (1.33 million metric tons), 8
percent above last season but 2 percent below the 1977 harvest.

The nine Southern States are expected to produce 633 million pounds, a 4 percent increase
from last month's forecast and 7 percent greater than last year. Prospects improved in Georgia
and North Carolina, up 23 percent and 4 percent, respectively. The Georgia crop is now forecast
at 135 million pounds. Moisture has been adequate and fruit has excellent size. The South Car-
glina crop is sizing rapidly due to adequate rainfall. Quality of early-harvested varieties is
excellent.

The New dersey forecast is for the largest crop since 1971, with heavy fruit set and winter
damage limited mainly to northern areas. The Pennsylvania crop is about 10 days ahead of last
year with good prospects in south central areas offsetting freeze damage in other areas. Mich-
‘igan and New York crops are down substantially due to severe winterkill and spring frost damage.
Kentucky and Missouri crop prospects are good, while most other Great Lakes and Northeastern
States expect smaller crops

In Western States, conditions are generally gooO to excellent, with the exception of Wash-
ington where set is variable. The California Freestone crop at 460 million pounds is 15 percent
above last year but 2 percent below 1977, Harvest of earliest varieties began the last week of
April. The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.32 billion pounds, 7 percent above last
year but 12 percent below 1977, Fruit development is about five days behind narmal with very
Jittle brown rot problems,

NOTE: A report on the California Clingstone peach crop will be released June 25, 1979
at 3:00 p.M. ET, by the Crop Reporting Board and the California Crop and Live-
stock Reporting Service. The report will be based on the objective measurement
survey now being conducted and on other indicators available at that time.

BARTLETT PEARS: Production of Bartlett pears in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast.
at 537 thousand tons (487 thousand metric tons), up 15 percent from last year
but one percent below the 1977 crop.

California's production is expected to be 330 thousand tons, 17 percent above last year and
one percent above 1977. The crop looks good with harvest expected to begin in July.

Oregon production is forecast at 72.0 thousand tons, up 30 percent from the 1978 crop but
10 percent below 1977, With good pollination weather and a relatively frost-free spring, con-
ditions in the Hood River and Jackson areas are good

Production for Washington is forecast at 135 thausand tons, 2 percent above last year but
2 percent tower than 1977. Winter damage was only spotty, and fruit development was good during
May.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii papaya production during June is forecast at 3.30 million pounds (1500 metric

tons), 37 percent above last month, The sharp increase is largely due to the seasona
nature of the crop. The dune forecast, however, is 52 percent lower then the same period last
year. In July, 3.00 million pounds (1360 metric tons) are expected which continues a trend of
relatively poor yields. This trend is expected to extend into August and September with levels
of 2.85 and 3.06 miltion pounds (1290 and 1360 metric tons}, respectively, being forecast.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


MINT OIL

AREA HARVESTED FOR OIL YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE 5 THO a H TNO
1977, | 1978 4979 1977 1978: 4979 17 ; 1977: 1978 1979 1

T,000 ACRES UBS 1,000 LBS
PEPPERMINT.
TDARO 7.9 10.3 8.5 45 65 356 670
IND 8.0 7 8.4 27 45 216 347
OREG 51.0 57.0 §5.0 55 58 2,805 3,306
WASH 12.8 16.8 13.6 62 67 794 1,126
WIS 7.2 8.2 9.0 33 34 238 279
us 86.9 100.0 94,5 51 57 4,409 5,728
SPEARMINT
TDARO 5.8 7.2 40 47 56 273 403
IND 5.5 5.0 4.9 30 38 165 194
MICH 3.3 3.6 4.0 24 29 79 104
WASH 19.6 26.4 16.7 87 91 1,705 2,402
WIS 2.9 3.8 44 37 37 107 147
us 37.1 46.1 34.0 63 70 2,329 3,244

PRICE PER ~VALUEOF
POUND PRODUCTION
1977 1978 1977 1978
DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS

PEPPERMINT
TOO 13.50 7.20 4,806 4,824
IND 16.40 14.00 3,542 4,858
OREG 14.30 11,00 40,112 36,366
WASH 13.60 9.90 10,798 11,147
WIS 16.60 13.50 3,951 3,767
Us 14.30 10,60 63,209 60,962
SPEARMINT
Too 14.50 7.00 1959 2,821
IND 16.90 12.50 2,789 2,425
MICH 16.50 12.60 1,304 1,310
WASH 11.10 6.70 18,926 16,093
WIS 18.40 11.00 1,969 1,551
US 12.40 7.46 28,947 24,200
7 To BE RELEASED AUG 10, T975-
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CROP PROSPECTS *
JUNE 1, 1978

USDA NEG. ESCS 99-79(6)

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PEACHES

7 PRODUCTION 1/ 7 PRODUCTION
CROP s POUNDS t 48 LB, EQUIVALENT
AND 4 OTAL TINDICATEO? TOTAL TINDICATED
TAT n 1 $ Ch 0 EY
’ MILLION UNITS 19000 UNITS

PEACHES '
ALA ‘ 1000 15.0 130 206 313 ra)
ARK ' 4000 3720 4000 833 m7 833
CALIF FREES TONE ‘ 46860 40000 46000 99750 6333 99583
0 1 1860 1540 378 415 313
CONN 8 00 308 125 133 19
CEL s 254 168 $0 468 38
CA s 9000 13500 39875 26500 20813
IDAHO s 12.5 2005 260 229 219
Th t 9.0 W400 188 333 292
Ind s 1.0 40 a 104 63
KANS t 900 Sed 188 104 104
KY s al 1560 2 229 313
La as 605 605 135 135 135
40 ‘ 2100 2400 438 500 500
MASS ' 305 305 13 73 73
ICR ' 5500 3500 19146 10250 729
MISS art 40 400 83 a3 63
MO : 1260 1720 229 292 354
NJ , 310.0 32500 20292 19458 260%
NY : 1300 607 271 333 140
NC ' 35.0 48.0 729 938 19000
OHIO ' 30 or) 63 106 83
OKLA as 1000 10.0 208 v7 208
OREG t 18.0 1640 375 27 333
PA ’ 9520 65.0 19979 Us77L Ls77L
sc t 27500 340-0 Se729 69563 79083
TENN ’ Bed 8.5 167 275 177
TEX ' 4800 3600 14000 633 750
UTAH ' 1800 1960 375 313 396
va 1 1920 35.0 396 833 ree
WASH ' 4100 37.0 854 192 m7
w OVA ' 1560 2500 25.0 3 521 52.
TOTAL $ 1047500 1647020 1960203 309730 309625 339381

PEACHES CLINGSTONE wv
CALIF $ 4950600 1923120 1932020 31e417 25646 279500

ALL PEACHES ’
US § 2098300 = 20700 = 20 92203 620147 56027) 60,881

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLION POUNDS) SUNTTED STATES, 1977°15.89 1978"19.06
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EaRLIER FORECAST.
3/ CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE AND
INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY OLVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS)
819770115009 19789121600

BLUEBERRIES
; + AREA HARVESTED : YIELD : PRODUCTION
STATE R 2 :
: ns 6 7 TNO 7 IND
2 1978 979 1978 gg 1978 1979
ACRES POUNDS T,000 POUNDS
MAINE 1/ 25,000 720 18,000
MICH 17 : 8,000 2,810 22,500
NJ : 7,800 7,900 2,860 3,200 22,308 25,280
NC > 35400 3,400 2,310 2,090 7,850 73110
OREG 1/ : 450 5,000 25250
WASH T/ z 800 6,030 4,824
TOTAL 45,450 1,710 77,732

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 8-3 CROP REPORTING BOARO, ESCS, USDA


MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS aNO NUTS

CROP ANO STATE PRODUCTION }/

iy
' TOTAL ' TOTAL t TNO
: 1977 t 1978 ‘ 1979
t TONS
PLUMS 1
CALIF 1 157/000 154,000 180.000 -
PRUNES (DRIED BASIS? t
CALIF 1 1599000 131,000 1205000
APRICOTS. 4
CALIF 1 1439000 1239000 1404000
UTAH t 19800 600 29000
waSH ' 2600 29700 29700
TOTAL 1 1479400 1269300 1449700
NECTARINES t
CALIF : 1 1559000 148,000 185,000
ALMONDS (SHELLED BASIS) 1 1,000 POUNDS
CALIF 4 313,000 1819000 320,000

1/ INCLUDES UNKARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS
CULLAGEs (TONS)§ TOTAL APRICOTS»

197769000.
BARTLETT PEARS
STATE : PRODUCTION 17
q TOTAL ' TOTAL ’ TNO
U 1977 t 1978 t 1979
D TONS
’
CALIF ‘ 3260000 2832000 3309000
OREG ' 802000 55500 729000
WASH ‘ 1384000 1323000 1355000
us ‘ 5442000 4689500 5379000

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGEs
(TONS) $ 19770190006

PAPAYAS - HAWAII

AREA 3 UTILIZED PRODUCTION
TON ree tigre FONTS
ACRES T, 000 POUNDS
APR 3,235 2,220 2,365 3,971 2,400
MAY 3,285 2,175 2,378 5,546 2,410
JUN 23155 6,896 3,300
SUL 23180 6,664 37000
Aus 22185 63279 23850
SEP : 22145 6,083 3,000
CUMULATIVE PRODUCTION JAN=MAY 2189

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF JUNE 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECASTS

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based primarily on
surveys conducted just prior to June 1. Acreage for harvest is based on the
planted acreage published in December 1978, with estimated abandonment based on
information provided by producers about June 1, 1979. The yield forecast is
based on data from farmers' mail reports and counts and measurements in wheat
fields. These surveys to obtain acreage and yield information are subject to
sampling and non-sampling type errors that are common to all surveys. More im-
portantly, the production forecast is subject to change due to future weather
conditions and other factors that directly affect final production but cannot
be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June ? winter wheat
production forecast, the “Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based
on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviation be-
tween the June 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage of
the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1959-78 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes statisti-
cally the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made con-
cerning expected errors in the current forecast relative to the final end of
season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not
different from those influencing recent year forecasts.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 winter wheat production fore-
cast is 5.3 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
production forecast of 1427 million bushels will not be above or below the
final estimate by more than 5.3 percent or approximately 75.6 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will
not exceed 9.1 percent or approximately 130 million bushels. Differences be-
tween the June | winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate dur-
ing the past 10 years have averaged 58 million bushels, ranging from 6 million
to 156 million bushels. The June 1 forecast was below the final estimate in
5 years and above in 5 years.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY.
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED =:  YIELO PER ACRE: PRODUCTION
? : 7 : D TNOTCATED
CROP AND UNIT 1978: mee : 1978 : eet lad : 1978: YT, 2 WT,
3 3 : A : 1979 : 1979
“T,000 ACRES” T,000
WINTER WHEAT 38,909 42,872 32.1 33.3 1,248,272 1,390,848 1,427,150
POTATOES, SPRING 90.9 89.4 198 258 17,963 22,864 23,060
PASTURE & RANGE 1/ 85 87
PEACHES 2/ 2,701,000 2,922, 300
APRICOTS 126. 144,7
NECTARINES (CALIF) 148.0 185.0
PLUMS (CALIF) 154.0 180.0
DRIEO PRUNES (CALIF) 131.0 120.0
ALMONDS (CALIF) 181,000 300,000 320,000
PEPPERMINT OIL. 300.0 94.5 57 AUG 10 5,728 AUG 10
SPEARMINT OIL, 46.1 34.0 70 AUG 10 3,244 AUG 10

CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1977-78 1978-79 1978-79

ORANGES 219,620 7200 209,

GRAPEFRUIT 73,700 66,500 67,100

LEMONS 26,100 20,500 20,500
PASTURE AND RAN‘ I TION AS T 68- WERAGI EI

TLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS IN THOUSAND POUNDS:
1978-121,000. 3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY

(METRIC UNITS)
AREA HARVESTED = YTELO PER HECTARE = PRODUCTION
cROP + INDICATED ? t INDICATED = i
1978 : 1978 : : 1978 > NAY, = JUNT,
: 179 : 1979 21979": 1979
HECTARES METRIC TONS

WINTER WHEAT 5 746 080 17 349 870 2.16 2.24 33.972 400 37 852 680 38 840 660
POTATOES, SPRING 36790 36-180 22.15 28.91 814 780 1037 090 1 045 980
PEACHES 1/ 1 225 150 1 325 530
APRICOTS 114 580 131 270
NECTARINES (CALIF) 134 260 167 830
PLUMS (CALIF) 139 710 163 290
ORIED PRUNES (CALIF) 118 840 108 860
ALMONDS (CALIF) 82100 136 080.145 150
PEPPERMINT OIL 40.470 38 240.06. = AUG 10 2 600 AUG 10
SPEARMINT OTL 18 660 13760 08 AUG 10 1470 AUG 10

CITRUS FRUITS 2/
ORANGES
GRAPEFRUIT
LEMONS

1977-78 1978-79 1978-79
8 642 750 8 186 440 800
2.720 650 2 468 450 2 491 130

899 930 706 700 706 700

7 INCLUDE: ILLS ANI INNER’ AC AS Fi N FON
1978-54,880. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and Nationa] estimates with related information
on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Re-
porting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from Washington headquarters and the
State Statistical Offices,

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

B. M. Graham, Chairman,
APPROVED: M. L, Koehn, Secretary,
J. W. Kirkbride, +P. Small,
. M. E. Johnson, R. C. Max,
. . C. A. Van Lahr, dr., W. W. Wilken,
oe H.R. Holden, R. L. Schulte,
d. R. Garrett, 0. €. Hamilton,
C. Drain, T. W. Feurer,
H. J. DeLong, W.N. Dowdy,
D. J. Buckner, Ll M. Cain,
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE W. R. Blackson.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

state 1 AREA HARVESTED 3 YIELD PRODUCTION
i] t ‘ IND ¢ $ f IND t ' IND
t 1977 1978 t 1979 11977 + _ 1978 § 1979 4 1977 8 1978 t 3979
t 10000 ACRES BUSHELS 19000 BUSHELS
ALA 1/8 65 oot 2860 2640 = 2840 29520 19690 29548
ARIZ ’ 47 58 72407000750 34960 30290 49350
ARK 1 300 430-3940 = 3700 3500 259740 119100 15,050
CALIF a 600 715 6400 6260 6720 411600 379200 47905
COLO 1 21400 29550 2200-23002: 569100 559200 58s650
CEL ist 268 29° 30,0 = 3600 19050 19008 19073
Fla 2st 12 2940 3600 377 432
GA ust 120 144 3300 3200 3500 39300 39840 5040
IDAHO als 3900 54404300 320370 © 449010 379410
pina 1 930 43.0 3860 = 40.0 «= 679510 359340 = 48400
IND ' 81s 45.0 = 3920 4300 559800 = 319785 = 409635
Towa 1/3 55 37.0 = 3160 3540 49033 14705 25520
KANS 1 109200 28.5 «3000 ©3200 © 3449850 = 3064000 = 3319700
KY ' 195 37,0 3520 3600 109138 69825 = 104080
La ss 17 3400 3600 © 3000 612 660
“0 Aste 108 36,0 37.0 3760 39996 4s218
MICH ' 450 40.0 = 4040 18000 =. 309800
MINN 1/8 58 33.0 © 2940 19682 16566
MIss 1/3 65 3400 3100 3200 20015 49320
“Oo + 840 39,0 3400 285560 529150
MONT ’ 29700 29,0 3140 839700 65 9800
NEBR ' 29550 35.0 32.0 815600 783000
NEV Ast 11 60.0 6520 m5 910
NJ lst 33 31.0 3660 19188 19558
N MEX 1/9 298 21.0 1900 57662 89575
NY Ms 75 39.0 3520 2625 69156
NC lst 180 3000 = 3300 59940 79020
N DAK 1/1 135 23,0 2940 39915 49060
OHIO ' 19125 47.0 3920 430875 624400
OKLA ’ 59400 27.0 2700 1459600 = 1884100
OREG ' 19100 39,0 4340 479300 42.000
Pa ' 245 33.0 33.0 89085 9170
sc we 78 29.0 33.0 29574 39570
SOAK 5 700 25.0 2600 189200 13,200
TENN ' 220 36.0 35.0 79700 105850
TEX ‘ 29700 25,0 2040 549000 1144800
UTAH 1/0 167 23.0 2940 41863 40342
va we 155 31.0 35400 50425 69650
WASH 1 29600 3400 4700 1229200 929400
WvaA ifs 9 31.0 3360 297 320
WIS lst 33 4360 3600 19188 19444
WYO 1st 260 275 2000 = 2640 25 59200 7150 60750
us 1 481664 389909 420872 31.6 3201 3343195379113 152489272 194279150
1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,
2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1978 CROP.
WHEAT PRODUCTION BY CLASSES» UNITED STATES
WINTER t SPRING
YEAR ‘ HARD SOFT ' HARD ' TaTaL
1 RED RED WHITE ot RED OURUM wHITe
:
4 19000 BUSHELS
'
1976 : 9759840 2360585 2679528 9119127 1360916 269398 201620362
1977 : 9929406 3505152 1949515 3979603 795966 211638 20360318
1976 ' 0309282 2020119 211990) 3794390 1339328 370722 197989712
1979 ' 9534879 2905071 1830200
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-) CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Ww

' PRODUCTION ' PRODUCTION
crop + BOXES 4 JON EQUIVALENT
AND 1 UTILIZED PINDICATEDS UTILIZED VINDICATED
STATE V1976=77 1 1977-78 t 1978979 & 1976977 4 197778 t 1978979
¥ 19000 UNITS 27 1.000 UNITS
ORANGES*EARLY MID & NAVEL 3/3
ARIZ at 800 820 700 30 3 26
CALIF t 259600 = 204000 = ate 500 960 750 806
FLA 1 1159000 889300 =. 91.000 S175 30974 4095
TEX wt 49350 39850 49200 185 164 179
us 3 26459750 1129970 1170400 69350 4919 52106
ORANGES» VALENCIA '
ARIZ 3 39150 25900 29300 116 109 86
CALIF ‘ 199700 225000 162000 739 825 600
FLA ' 719800 794500 729000 3023) 39578 39240
TEX at 29550 29250 24000 208 96 8S
us ’ 979200 106+650 929300 49196 41608 G01)
ALL ORANGES '
ARIZ ’ 3950 30720 39000 148 140 hl2
CALIF 1 59300 = 42000 ©: 374500 19699 19575 11406
FLA 1 1869800 167,800 163.000 81406 7552 79335
TEA ass 00 65100 69200 293 260 266
us + 2429950 2199620 2099700 109546 90527 9ell?
TEMPLES t
FLA ' 39800 41900 4600 wm? 22) 207
GRAPEFRUITsWHITE SEEOLESS ’
FLA § 299900 284700 299300 1927) 19220 19265
GRAPEFRUIT» PINK SEEDLESS ’
FLA 1‘ 129500 149300 135300 531 608 565
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT )
FLA ' 99100 8+400 79200 387 357 306
ALL GRAPEFRUIT t
ARIZ ' 3000 21900 29300 96 93 4
CALIF '
DESERT ' 49500 49300 39500 146 138 112
OTHER AREAS ' 39200 30200 26500 107 107 86
TOTAL ’ 00 70500 62000 251 245 196
FLA t $19500 = 539400 = 499800 29189 29185 25116
TEX at 129400 119900 99000 496 476 360
us a 749600 7340700 67100 3-932 2999 20746
TANGERINES ’
ARIZ aft 650 700 550 24 26 al
CALIF ast 19820 10500 39250 68 se a7
FLA 1 39300 30200 39500 187 182 166
us ' 59770 59400 $300 249 234 234
LEMONS +
ARIZ ase 51000 59700 5500 199 2u7 209
CALIF ' 214000 209400 152000 798 775 S70
us t 269000 260100 209500 988 992 179
TANGELOS ‘
FLA ’ 49800 41900 41200 216 22a 189

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE @LOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENOS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

2/ NET LBS PER BOXt ORANGES@CALIF & ARIZ-7SeFLA=90s
TEX=BS3 GRAPEFRUIT*CALIF DESERT & ARIZ~645 CALIF
OTHER=679 FLA*8S» TEX“801 LEMONS=763 TANGELOS &
TEMPLES@96$ TANGERINES= CALIF & ARIZ=75s FLAW9Se

3/ NAVEL ANO MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIOSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXASs INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEXAS.

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1979 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA