SUGAR, MOLASSES, AND BEET PULP

SUGAR, RAW VALUE

SUGAR PRODUCTION

STATE PRODUCTION VoD PER Oh OF f
71976 2 1977 y 1975; 1976 77
? T,000 TONS POUNDS TOO TONS
SUGARCANE :
FLA 21,061 930 89 = 207,199 2u1 992 869 «836
HAW 21,107 1,050 1,034 «= 233,229 230 «21,035 «(981 966
LA : "640 "650 668 198 «= 174 184 598 = «607. —Ss«624
TEX : 126 94 ee 200194 180 «118 88 a2
us 22,934 2,724 «2,684 «= 215 202 «= 209-2,743 2,845 2,508
SUGARBEETS :
Us 24,019 3,895 3,135 271 265 251 3,756 + 3,640 ~—-2,930
CANE AND BEETS + 6,953 6,619 5,819 6,499 6,185 5,438
STATE :
AND : UNIT PRODUCTION
pRoDucT. : i Ts 1976 1977-1Z
7 THOUSAND:
SUGARCANE PRODUCTS : :
BLACKSTRAP MOLASSES-809 BRIX 2/: :
FLA : GALLON: 75,946 77,036 58,830
HAW GALLON : — 3/ 53,558 3/ 48,984 3/ 50,564
LA : GALLON 39,570 47,500 43,550
TEX 1 GALLON: 93916 73210 83308
us : GALLON: 178,988 1807730 161,252
EDIBLE MOLASSES : :
tA : GALLON: 2,574 2,538 2,750
us : GALLON: 23574 23538 23750
SUGARBEET PRODUCTS-U S : :
MOLASSES : GALLON : 188,175 167,079 4
PULP : :
MOLASSES + TON : 1,693 1,272 4
DRIED : TON : 168 484 y
WET + TON : age 574 y
T7-PRELINTRY ~
B/ INCLUDES HIGHEST MOLASSES FROM FROZEN CANE.
3/ 85° BRIX-
‘/ NOT AVAILABLE FOR 1977.
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 8-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT

STATE ¢ AREA HARVESTED t YIELD 1 PRODUCTION

1 : ' IND? t + IND? t + IND

1 1976 1977 t 1978 $ 1976! 1977 8 19783 1976 t 1977 + 1978

7 19000 ACRES BUSHELS 16000 BUSHELS

'
ALA 1/3 8S 90 78 2740 28402700 29295 29520 29106
ARIZ : 112 55 47 7540 T7200 7040 8400 30960 39290
ARK : 630 660 320 39.0 © 39.0 ©3540 = 24570 «= B59 740 119200
CALIF 860 650 620 6240 64,0 = 6650 S30320 = 419600 = 40920
coLo : 29400 29550 26390 2145 2240 ©2360 510600 = SB¥100 © 549970
DEL ist 40 36 29° 35403140) 3600 16400 26084 14044
Fla Ist 146 13 1130.00 28.0 420 377 308
GA oss 115 400 12000 31.0 3260 39565 39300 39840
IDAHO ot 890 830 B40 4400 47.0 399160 = 320370 © - 399480
TUL 1 1.850 19590 960 390 3700 = 729150 = 688370 © 359520
INO t 19500 16240 750 3600 3960 = 549000 = 552B00 = 298.250
TOwA Ist 136 65 68 3540 3660 49550 39145 25448
KANS t 119300 129100 104500 = 3040 3160 3395000 3469850 = 3258500
ky ' 330 274 238 3160 3300 109230 70856
LA ost 23 27 20-3360 3560 789 700
MD lst 138 118 100 3860 3800 51264 39800
MICH 870 825 455-3860 3600 339060 169380
MINN 1/3 163 105 60-2640 2 49238 19740
MISS 1/3 120 105 85 29.0 28, 39480 2380
TMO 1 19760 15550 840 3300 3560 58080 294400
MONT t 34080 24800 2s750 3240 3660 = 98560 © 819200 = 99000
NEBR t 29950 21950 24600 = 3240 3820 = 949400 = 1039250 = 98 B00
NEV 1/4 18 16 11 65.0 19170 960 170
NJ oust 55 42 3942.0 20310 19302 14406
N MEX 1/8 245 421 261 2300 59635 8841 59742
NY + 175 175 84 3840 6650 69825 31024
NC t 240 200 175-2960 61960 60000 5¥950
N OAK 1st 135 104 130-2840 30780 29392 39660
OHIO t 14600 1,540 1,075 4060 642000 =—-720380 «= 40,850
OKLA 1 64300 65500 59400 2460 1519200 1759500 145,800
OREG = 1220 19130 44100 © 4640 56120 428940514700
PA z 300 270 245 3040 99000 B+910 8408S
sc ve 125 9S 82 2640 39250 29755 25460
S DAK 1 970 680 756-1840 179460 179000 = 204412
TENN ' 300 280 230-3740 119100 109080 7,820
TEX t 4700 4700 2,700 22.0 1039600 1379500 = 599400
UTAH 1/3 222 180 177-2345 $021? 4elsd 49779
va 1 240 205 180 3260 79680 69355 64660
wasH : 29885 29800 25630 4640 1329710 959200 = 1209980
wVA W/t VW 10 9 3200 2 310 8
WIS 1/1 6a 60 330-3760 29368 29580 19254
wy 1/3 295 260 278 2b 24 74080 00 69600
us 1499460 480419 39,473 31531 33.1 195599923 195260713 193079548

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIEO FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

WHEAT: PRODUCTION BY CLASSES, FOR THE UNITEO STATES

WINTER : SPRING Scot
YEAR = r9 > : : ‘OTAL
HARD SOFT : g HARD : :
ao : WHITE: pen DURUM =; WHITE
T OOO RUSHELS

1975 1,058,063 326,208 256,125 326,594 123,362 32,107 2,122,459
1976 975,840 336,555 247,528 «= 441,127 «134,914 36,398 25,142,362
1977 993,072 341,334 ©=—«192,307 397,479 79,964 21,637 2,025,793
1978 / . 896.583 199,049 211,916 2/3,307,548

TTNOYEATED UNE -Y, T9YS.— 27 WINTER WHEAT ONLY

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B-] CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUNFLOWER SEED

iL AREA A
STATE Z PLANTED HARVESTED YIELD :_ PRODUCTION
71976 1977+ 1976 1977 i976: 1977: 976s 1977
1,000 ACRES POUNDS — 1,000 POUNDS
OIL VARIETIES
“WINN 183 455 180 449 1,240 1,590 223,200 713,910
N OAK 433 1,190 420 1,155 1,000 1,270 420,000 1,466,850
S DAK 135 131 960 125,760
Tex 295 230 720 165,600
MINN-N DAK 616 1,645 600 1,604 1,072 1,360 643,200 2,180,760
4 STS 2,075 1,965 1,258 2,472,120
NON-OIL_ VARIETIES
“MINN 31 70 30 69 1,130 1,350 33,900 93,150
N DAK 187 170 180 165 1,000 1,160 180,000 191,400
S DAK 1 1 800 800
TEX 5 5 600 3,000
MINN-N DAK 218 240 210 234 1,019 1,216 213,900 284,550
4 STS 246 240 1,201 288, 350
TOTAL
MINN 214 525 210 518 1,224 1,558 257,100 807,060
N DAK 620 1,360 600 1,320 1,000 1,255 600,000 1,658,250
S DAK 136 132 959 126,560
TEX 300 235 n7 168,600
MINN-N DAK 8341, 885 810 1,838 1,058 1,341 857,100 2,465,310
4 STS 2,321 2,205 1,252 2,760,470
PRICE PER VALUE_OF
Cur PRODUCTION
1976 3 1977 1977
DOLLAR: T, 000 DOLLAR
OIL VARIETIES
"MINN 10.50 10.00 23,436 71,391
N DAK 10,80 10.50 45,360 154,019
S DAK 8.50 10,690
TEX 8.00 13,248
MINN-N DAK 10.70 10,30 68,796 225,410
4 STS 10.10 249,348
NON-OIL VARIETIES
“WINN 12.90 10.50 4,373 9,781
N DAK 11.70 10.90 21,060 20,863
S DAK 9.50 76
TEX 12.00 360
MINN-N DAK 11.90 10.80 25,433 30,644
4 STS 10.80 31,080
TOTAL
MINN 10.80 10.10 27,809 81,172
N OAK 11.10 10.50 66,420 174,882
S DAK 8.51 10,766
TEX 8.07 13,608
MINN-N. DAK 11.00 10.40 94,229 256,054
4 STS 10.20 280,428
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS*
ws JUNE 1, 1978

Good to excellent so :
EG Poor to teir Se

Very poor

HD Severe drought AS REPORTED BY
SI Extreme drought ROP CORRESPONDENTS

INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

USDA NEG. CRB 54.78 (6)

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITIONS *
£ June 1, 1977

1 Good to excetlens

[El Poor to fair
£22 Very poor

EE) Severe drought As nevonté BY
AEB Extreme drought CROP CORRESPONDENTS:

* INDICATES CURRENT SUPPLY OF PASTURE FEED FOR GRAZING ON NON- IRRIGATED PASTURES AND
RANGES RELATIVE TO THAT EXPECTED FROM EXISTING STANDS UNDER VERY FAVORABLE WEATHER
CONDITIONS.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE NEG, SRS 57-77 (6) STATISTICAL REPORTING SERVICE

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED 1/
YTELD OF CANE CANE

STATE 3 AREA HARVESTED s PER ACRE $ PRODUC’

t 1975 ¢ 1976 1 1977 ¢ 1975 # 1976 t 1977 t 1975 _$ 1976 4 1977

4 10000 ACRES ~ TONS 19000 TONS
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR
FLA : 286.6 28640 3503 3206 ©2948 = 108117 993246 82493
HAW t 10 9909 9002 9108 92D aS 90173 5%
LA ' 308.0 29160 21.0 2506 2309 68 79453
TEX ! 3500 2701 35.3 3508 = 292 36 971
vs , T340T 70460 37.2 38.2 35.8 279306 260919
SUGARCANE FOR SEED
FLA : let 1240 3503 3206 3108 402 391
HAW ' 6.8 28.3 2708 2762 181 189
La $ 24.0 21.0 2546 2349 441 614
TEX ’ 2 28.0 3540 2765 4 1
us ’ 4360 2604 = 2709 27a 19038 1201
SUGARCANE FOI
FLA 4 298.0 35.3 3206 2909 109519 97S
HAW ’ 10607 86.7 8767 88.7 99666 99362
LA , 315.0 21.0 2566 92349 69909 89065
TEX ‘ 27.3 3562 35.8 2902 19250 978
us 1 14700 36.6 3706 3563289344 289120

: SUGAR AND SEED

: PRICE PER VALUE OF VALUE OF

: TON PRODUCTION PRODUCTION 2/

: 1376 THT 3T- 976 T9773 T3976 T977_37

DOLLARS 7,000 DOLLARS

FLA 15.10 140,792 146,697
LA 12.30 91,647 99,200
TEX 11.60 113264 113345
TOTAL 13.70 243,703 257,242

1/7 PRICE AND VALUE EXCLUDES HAW. 2/ PRICE PER TON OF CANE FOR SUGAR USED IN EVALUATING PRO-

DUCTION FOR SEED. 3/

CROP ARE NOT AVAILABLE. U S$ SEASON AVERAGE PRICE,

ESTIMATES OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION FOR THE 1977
VALUE OF PRODUCTION AND PARITY PRICE WILL

BE PUBLISHEC IN THE JUL ISSUE OF AGRICULTURAL PRICES RELEASED AT 3:00 P.M. ET, JUL 31, 1978.
STATE ESTIMATES FOR THE 1977 CROP WILL BE PUBLISHED IN CROP VALUES IN JAN 1979.

MINT FOR OIL

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION
STATE 1 ~ TNO? IND
1 1976 + 1977 4 1976 $ 1977 + 1978/3 1976 3 19771978 1
t 1e000 ACRES L8S OF OIL 19000 LBS
PEPPERMINT
ToaHo ot So 709 1063 51 45 275 356
IND : 608 840 963 35 27 238 216
OREG ot 4260 5160 58.0 55 ss 29310 29805
wASH ot 902 1763 56 62 530 794
WIS 1 868 965 39 33 343 238
us t 7242 10604 5y 5h 39700 49409
SPEARMINT
IDAHO t 367 762 47 47 174 273
IND ' 565 5.9 34 30 18? 165
MICH ot 365 369 28 24 98 79
WASH ot 13.7 25.8 82 a7 19123 14705
wis t 266 3.8 40 37 106 107
us t 2900 4606 58 63 14686 2329
1/ TO BE RELEASED AUG 10, 1978.
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 8-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




MINT FOR OFL

: PRODUCTION PRICE PER POUND PE ON
STATE 7 , :
> 1969 1970; 1971 1969 1970} 1971 1969 1970; 1971
1,000 POUNDS DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS
PEPPERMINT =:
IDAHO 371 408 296 4.50 3.15 3.80 1,670 1,285 1,125
IND : 307 323 272 6.60 4.50 4.50 2,026 1,454 «=—-1,224
NICH If 0:56 43 30 6.60 4.25 4.40 370 204 132
OREG : 2,257 2,884 = 2,111 4.75 3.45 4.15 10,721 8,915 8,761
WASH 1,394 1,169 721 4.10 3.80 3.85 «5,715 4,422,776
WIS 365 475 316 6.70 4.50 4.30 2,448 «2,138 1,389
us 4,750 5,007 3,746 4.83 3.68 4.10 22,948 18,438 «15,37
SPEARMENT
IDAHO 150 189 186 4.75 4.75 4.75 713 898 884
IND > 256 334 280 8.10 5.50 4:50 2,074 +«=—-'1,837.—«1,260
MICH > 160 200 151 8.60 5.40 4.60 1,376 1,080 696
WASH : 1,363 1,267 1,264 4.10 4.30 4.00 «5,588 «= «5,448 «= 5,056
WIS 51 136 127 7.50 4.50 4,00 383 612 508
Us 1,980 2,126 = 2,008 5.12 4.64 4.18 10,134 9,875 8,403
i is7e 2 1973 1974 1973 1974 1972 1973 1974
PEPPERMINT
IDAHO : 253 252 285 5.00 6.40 11.50 1,265 1,613 «3,278
INO : 208 186 192 5.55 8.75 12.80 «115414628 = 2,400
MICH I/ 0: 2 6.00 126
OREG : 1,967 2,190 1,988 5.20 7.50 14.50 10,228 »=-16,425 28,826
WASH 480 402 561 5.40 9.86 13.86 2,592 3,940 7,742
WIS : 75 143 276 5.33 10.00 ~=—-12.50 400 1,430 3,450
us : 3,004 3,173 3,302 5.25 7.89 13,80 15,765 25,036 45,696
SPEARMINT =
IDAHO 189 162 174 4.95 10.30 10.50 935 1,669 «1,827
IND 229 205 132 §.05 10.20 12.50 1,156 2,091 1,650
NICH 113 101 109 5.30 9.30 11.00 599 939 1,199
WASH 920 822 944 5.20 7.05 10.10 4,784 «5,795 = «9,534
WIS > 60 61 104 4.85 10.00 14.00, 291 610 1,456
us : 1,511 1,361 1,463 5.14 8.22 10.70 7,766 = 11,104 15,666
1975 1976: 1977 1975 1976} 1977 1975} 1976 1977
PEPPERMINT
IDAHO 284 275 356 «12,75 14,00 «13.50 «3,337 3,850 4,806
IND : 280 238 216 13.00 14.10 16.40 3,640 3,356 3,542
OREG > 2,240 2,310 2,808 = 33.50 15.00 14.30 30,240 38,650 «40,112
WASH 697 534 794 10.05 = «14.10 13,60 «= 7,005 7,529 10,798
WIS 252 343 238 11.50 «15.50 36.60 «= 2,898 «= 45,3173, 957
us 3,753 3,700 4,409 «12.60 «14.80 = -14.30 47,120 54,702 63,209
SPEARMINT :
IDAHO : 140 174 273° «18.00 «15.00 «14.50 2,100 2,610 «3,959
IND an 187 165 12.90 14.20 16.90 2,722 2655 2,789
MICH 122 98 79 10.50 12.10 16.50 1,281 1,186 1,304
WASH 1,219 1,123 1,705 9:35 11.10 17,101,184 12,465 18,926
WIS 86 104 107 14.00 17,90 18.40 1,204 1,862 1,969
US 1,778 1,686 2,329 10.40 12.30 12,40 18,461 20,778 28,947
d/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1972.
CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



MISCELLANEOUS FRUITS AND NUTS

CROP AND STATE t PRODUCTION }/
, TOTAL ’ TOTAL ’ INO
4 1976 2 1977 3 1978
: ‘ TONS
PLUMS ’
CALIF . 115,000 157000 1459000
PRUNES (ORIED BASIS) 1
CALIF 1 148,000 1576000 1423000
APRICOTS '
CALIF ' 150000 1439000 1259000
UTAH 1 25000 19800 600
WASH 1 21600 29600 20600
TOTAL iy 184,600 1479400 1289200
NECTARINES 1
CALIF + 126,000 1500000 1609000
ALMONOS ’
CALIF t 2335000 2699000 2105000

1/7 INCLUDES UNHARVESTEO PRODUCTION AND EXCESS
CULLAGEs (TONS)! TOTAL APRICOTS+
1976=260160¢ 1977-51000.

BARTLETT PEARS

STATE 1 PRODUCTION 1/
1 TOTAL ? TOTAL 7 INO
t 1976 : 1977 t 1978
: TONS
t
CALIF t 3654000 3264000 2554000
OREG 1 754000 800000 63000
WASH 7 140,000 1385000 110%000
TOTAL : 580,000 544.000 428,000

1/ INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PROOUCTION aND EXCESS CULLAGE+
(TONS) 1 197G=TOTAL 2060008 1977-14000.

POTATOES
SEASONAL GROUP | AREA HARVESTED t YIELD 4 PRODUCTION
‘NO t 1 {IND f 1 T IND T T TINA
STATE {1976 | 1977_1 1978 1 1976 | 1977 | 1978 |_1976 1 _1977_1_1978
1 T9000 ACRES CHT 10000 Cw

'

1

WINTER ‘

'
TOTAL ' 144 1304 1266 207 199 220 20984 24660 29766

!

SPRING '
ALA ' 11S 10.5 10.5 140 120 130 19610 14260 14365
ARIZ 1 6.8 665 6.0 © 270 270 265 19836 1,755 19590
CALIF ! 3462 3008 29,0 395 385 280 139509 119858 89120
FLASHASTINGS ' 1963 19.5 2065 210 220 175 49053-49290 39588
OTHER 1 2.5 1? 169 160 185 150 400 315 285
La ' 206 203 2.3 75 1S 15 195, 173 173
MISS ' 163 16295 90 90 133 V7 108
NC ‘ 1364 13.0 145 165 145 19885 2e2li 19885
TEX ! Pod 54 6.3 155 165 145 19202 891 914

'
TOTAL ! 9864 9106 90.7 251 250 199 24s722 22487018028

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 8-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


GRAPEFRUIT: The US grapefruit crop is forecast at 72.9 million boxes (2.69 million metric tons),

up slightly from last month but 2 percent below the 1976-77 crop. The Florida crop
at 51.0 million boxes is 1 percent above Tast month, but 7 percent below Tast season. California
prospects declined during the month to 7.5 million boxes, 1 percent less than was harvested last
season. Arizona growers expect to pick 2.9 million boxes, 3 percent less than 1976-77,

Grapefruit harvest was 9) percent complete on June ] compared with 90 percent harvested by
June 1, 1977. Harvest in Texas and Florida is nearing completion. The Arizona crop is nearly 2/3
harvested while the California crop is about 45 percent picked.

Changes in the U S grapefruit production forecast between June 1 and final production have
averaged 724 thousand boxes over the past 10 seasons, ranging from 110 thousand boxes in 1969-70
to 1.93 million boxes in 1968-69.

LEMONS: The California and Arizona lemon crop is expected to total 26.7 million boxes (927 thou-

sand metric tons), 4 percent above last month and last season. California production at
21.0 million boxes is 5 percent above last month and 2 percent above the 1976-77 crop. Harvest
is about 80 percent complete. Fruit is of average quality or below but sizes are larger than nor-
mal. The Arizona crop of 5.7 million boxes is 14 percent above last season. ilarvest is complete
in Arizona,

APRICOTS: The 1978 apricot crop is forecast at 128 thousand tons (136 thousand metric tons), 13

percent below last year and 17 percent less than the 1976 crop. The California crop
is forecast at 125 thousand tons, 13 percent below last year. The mild winter, which lacked the
required chilling hours, decreased the bloom density. Rain during the bloom period limited polli-
nation. These factors have caused low yields.

In Washington, the crop is expected to total 2,600 tons, the same as last year.

NECTARINES: The California nectarine crop is forecast at 160 thousand tons, 7 percent above last
year and 25 percent above 1976. Fruit quality is good but sizes are below expecta-
tions. The crop is maturing earlier than normal.

PRUNES AND PLUMS: California's prune crop is expected to total 142 thousand tons (dried basis).
This is 10 percent less than the 1977 total and 4 percent under the 1976 crop.
Fruit set this year was highly variable, and above normal June droppage is anticipated.

Plum production in California is forecast at 145 thousand tons, 8 percent below last season
but 26 percent above the 1976 total. Harvest of good quality fruit was underway after mid-May.

ALMONDS: The almond crop in California is expected to total 210 thousand tons in shell (255 mil-
lion pounds of nut meats), 5 percent less than was forecast last month and 16 percent
less than last year.

SWEET CHERRIES: Production of sweet cherries in seven Western States, forecast at 943 thousand
tons, is 23 percent Jess than last year and 40 percent Jess than the 1976 total.

California‘s crop of 130 thousand tons wil! be Tess than half of Tast year and 75 percent
Jess than 1976. Wind, rain and low temperatures affected the pollination and set. The overal)
quality is very good and sizes are excellent,

In Oregon, 33,0 thousand tons are forecast, off 12 percent from tast year. The crop in the
Willamette Valley will be far below normal due to poor pollination. The set in the Dalles area
was moderate; however, the drop has been heavier than usual.

Washington expects a 40.0 thousand ton crop this year, down 15 percent from the 1977 crop
and 26 percent below 1976. Rain and cool weather during some of the bloom period resulted in
erratic fruit set. Spring drop is reported heavier than normal. Light harvest is expected by
the second week of June.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USOA



Western Corn Belt farmers enjoyed somewhat better conditions during mid-May and planting
moved more rapidly in that region. Eastern Corn Belt growers got their break later in May and
nearly caught up by the beginning of June. As corn planting wound down--progress in most major
States ranged from 85 to 95 percent at the beginning of June--Missouri growers struggled along at
only 40 percent, Tess than half the usual pace

Soybean seeding took a back seat to corn planting until late in May. Only 5 percent of the
soybeans were planted before mid-May, and most of this acreage was in the South. Last year, al-
most a third was planted by May 14 and on the average 17 percent is seeded. Seeding advanced
rapidly late in the month but because of the late start could not catch up. On June 4 soybean
seeding stood at 55 percent complete, 28 points less than the unusually fast pace in 1977 but only
15 points less than the average. The eastern north central States were at 51 percent on June 4,
lagging most recent years--1977 seeding was almost complete at 93 percent and the average is 8
percent. Western north central State growers fared better, reaching 59 percent at the beginning
of June, also short of 1977's 92 percent and the 71 percent average. In the south central States
soybean planting advanced to 54 percent, 15 points Tess than last year and 5 points below the
average.

Sorghum planting in the seven major producing States advanced to 57 percent by June 4. This
compares with 71 percent in 1977 and the 66 percent average. Planting got off to a slow start in
areas north of Texas but by the end of May seeding in the two largest producing States--Texas and
Kansas--was not far off the average. Missouri and South Dakota showed the greatest lag from the
previous year and the average pace. At the beginning of June rains delayed planting on the Texas
Plains and a few fields required replanting. Blacklands fields began heading.

SMALL_GRAINS

Spring oats and barley seeding neared completion in the major States at the end of May.
Seeding began late but producers worked along at a steady pace and gradually narrowed the gap with
the average planting rate. Last year spring small grain planting was very early and seeding was
far along by May 1; this year planting was only getting started. Early oats plantings reached
the boot stage by the end of May; last year oats was heading in Wisconsin, South Dakota, and Iowa.

SPRING WHEAT: Seeding of the 1978 spring wheat crop began very late with only 10 percent

. sown by the beginning of May. Last year, seeding began slowly but near-ideal
conditions allowed producers to plant 70 percent of the spring wheat by May 1. Producers seeded
at a steady pace through this May and gradually closed the gap with the average. By June 4, 96

percent of the acreage was seeded. Last year, spring wheat seeding was almost complete by
mid-May,

COTTON, RICE, ANO PEANUTS: Cotton in the 1] southern States was 82 percent planted by the
beginning of June, not far behind 1977's 91 percent and the 85
percent average. Seeding was almost finished in all States with the exception of Texas and
Oklahoma. Oklahoma seeding stood at 44 percent, 6 points ahead of 1977 but 19 points less than
the average. Texas planting at 74 percent lagged 1977's 89 percent and the 78 percent average
Cold soils slowed northward progress of cotton Planting but farmers kept pace as temperatures
increased. Low soil temperatures reduced germination rates and required replanting some fields
At the end of May squaring became evident but lagged recent years, particularly from the
Mississippi River eastward, Georgia cotton began setting a few bolls. Rains and standing water
damaged some Oklahoma and Texas cotton stands. in the Texas Panhandle, some fields must be

replanted. Cotton planting was almost complete in the West, Early Arizona cotton flowered and
set bolls.

. Rice seeding in the Delta was well along by the beginning of May except in Arkansas,
which stood at 60%. Most seedings were completed by June 4. California growers planted most of
the crop during May, and had reached 85 percent by June 4, Peanut planting lagged in the major
Production areas through most of May, but by the end of the month, seeding was complete from
Alabama eastward. Growers applied pesticides and land plaster, By the beginning of June, Texas
peanut seeding was a third complete; rains and wet soils delayed progress.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


MAY WEATHER SUMMARY

The month of May in 1978 will be remembered for its cool temperatures and above average rain-
fall in several of the Nation's important agricultural regions. Soggy fields and below norma
readings delayed planting and slowed plant growth over much of the Corn Belt. Overall, the Plains,
Atlantic Coastal States, and South received more ratn than is usual for this time of year. Sea-
sonably, most of California received little or no moisture

The first week of May was marked by a series of low pressure systems through the Deep South
The resuit--more than 10 inches of rain in some sections. Midweek rains through the Corn Belt
combined with temperatures 12 to 17 degrees cooler than normal to put farmers behind on seeding
schedules. Springtime snows whitened much of the Rockies.

A deepening upper air low pressure system started over the Dakotas and moved eastward to the
Atlantic Seaboard during May's second week. A large segment of the Nation east of the Mississippi
River was drenched by heavy rain when moisture spiraled northward from the Gulf. Most farmers in
the country's eastern half had but one to three days suitable for fieldwork during the week. Cool
temperatures cut a swath across the U S from the central portions of the Rockies and Plains, widen-
ing as it reached the East Coast.

The third week brought less rain to the Corn Belt, but previous downpours had saturated the
land and further delayed planting. Heavy rain was spotty though parts of the Rockies and the
southern Plains experienced some flooding. While temperatures warmed in the southern Plains and
Southwest, readings dipped as much as 6 deqrees in the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys and the Deep
South. Improved weather over the Midwest allowed more plowing, but planting progress lagged per-
sistently.

The last full week delivered several slow moving storm systems to the Plains and middle
Mississippi Valley, triggering some flooding and adding to saturated soils. With sharply rising
temperatures east of the Rockies, the weather became unsettled and provided a checkered pattern
over the Nation. Little or no precipitation was reported in the Southwest, the upper Rockies
added some snow, and thunderstorms and tornadoes raked many portions, including a dozen twisters
over the Great Plains on one day.

The last days of May brought severe weather over the central Plains and some record-breaking
high temperature readings in the northern tier of States from the Midwest to New England.

Major agricultural States east of the Rockies generally experienced abundant rainfall. A
majority of reporting stations in the Great Plains States, except in Texas, registered above nor-
mal rainfall. Oklahoma City totaled more than 10 inches, nearly double the normal rainfall;
Topeka recorded almost 2 more inches than normal; and Amarillo was 3 inches above normal. Most
Corn Belt stations showed more rain than usual. Peoria's total rose nearly 4 inches above normal;
Burlington, Iowa, was in excess of normal by nearly 2 inches; and Columbia, Mo., chalked up 2
inches above normal.

CORN, SOYBEAN, AND SORGHUM PLANTING PROGRESS

After two years of relatively quick progress fn seeding row crops, farmers have faced a very
Poor planting season in 1978. Low temperatures and wet soils created an unfavorable environment
to plant and germinate seeds. Soil temperatures in early May were almost too low to induce germi-
nation of corn seed. Later in May, higher temperatures, along with the adequate soil moisture
Prevailing through most of the Nation, speeded germination of later corn seedings. At the begin-
ning of May, only 10 percent of the U S corn was planted, a third of last year's progress and half
of the average progress as of May 1. At mid-month only 40 percent of the corn was seeded, half
the 1977 pace of 79 percent and well behind the 61 percent average. Most of the 1978 crop was
Planted after the optimum seeding date. Near the end of May, planting conditions improved in most
areas and growers made great strides toward the completion of seeding corn, On June 4, 88 percent
of the corn was seeded compared with last year’s 99 percent and the 94 percent average.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SUGARBEETS

STATE AREA PLANTED : AREA HARVESTED : YEELD
W975: 1996: ~ 1977 ~~: ~1975 ~~: ~« 1976S: 9: 1978 9G 9
1,000 ACRES TONS

ARIZ 1 18.0 17.8 12.9 17,0 17.0 12.8 21.5 23.0 22.3
CALIF 1/ 333.0 318.0 229.0 326.3 312.0 217.0 27.3 28.6 26.0
COLO 162.7 124.0 77.0 154.9 121.0 72.0 17.2 19.0 19.5
IDAHO 168.7 145.6 115.4 158.3 139.4 107.4 18.6 20.7 19.5
KANS H 46.0 39.0 26.0 43.0 38.0 24.0 15.5 19.7 16.7
MAINE 2/ 3 10.0 5.5 10.2

MICH : 93.6 93.6 92,3 o1.4 91.4 85.5 19.2 16.8 21.0
MINN 225.0 256.0 264.0 196.0 248.0 260.0 14.2 12.2 18.2
MONT 48.7 46.4 46.4 48,5 46.1 45.0 17.1 21.0 19.9
NEBR 98.0 86.0 75.0 96.0 84.5 67.7 18.5 20.0 20.0
‘N MEX 9 1.1 1.3 2 9 1.2 16.7 22.2 19,2
N DAK 139.6 153.2 187.8 130.9 149.8 155.2 13.9 13.5 17,8
OHIO 3 39.9 38.4 24.9 39,2 36.5 22.6 19.8 16.9 20.3
OREG : 18.3 14.9 8.9 17.9 14.5 8.2 23.8 25.1 25.1
TEX 37.2 26.8 19.9 33.7 23.3 17.9 13.1 21.6 17.3
UTAH 23.2 18.4 10.4 22.5 18.0 9.8 15.7 17.6 17.7
WASH 83.9 79.1 63.9 82.4 76.5 61.6 26.0 24.4 24,3
Wyo 57.1 49.5 57,7 56.4 48.4 18.4 20.7 19.6
us 1,825.4 1,274.6 1,516.6 1,478.8 1,216.2 19.6 19.9 20.5

PRODUCTION PRICE PER VALUE OF
A } 2 976 A fe 6 z 1977
1,000 TONS DOLLARS 1,000 DOLLARS

any 3 366 KD) 285, 23.00 8,993

CALIF 1/ : 8,892 8,912 5,642 22.40 199,629

COLO 2,661 2,303 1,404 21.10 48,593

IDAHO 2,942 2,879 2,094 20.80 59,883

KANS 667 749 401 19.00 14,231

MAINE 2/ 56 18.00 1,008

MICH 1,755 1,540 1,796 22.40 34,496

MINN 2,783 3,026 4,732 18.70 56,586

MONT : 829 968 896 22.40 21,683

NEBR : 1,776 1,690 1,354 21.30 35,997

N MEX 3 15 20 23 19.40 388

N DAK : 1,820 2,022 2,769 19.70 39,833

OHIO 3 717 617 457 20.90 12,895

OREG 426 364 206 19.00 6,916

TEX 440 503 309 19.40 9,758

UTAH 353 317 173 19.40 6,150

WASH 2,142 1,862 1,495 18.00 33,516

WYO 1,060 1,167 949 22,50 26,258

us 29,704 29,386 24,985 21.00 616,813

V7” RELATES TO YEAR OF HARVEST.

2/ NONE PLANTED IN 1975 OR 1977.

3/ ESTIMATES OF SEASON AVERAGE PRICE AND VALUE OF PRODUCTION FOR THE 1977 CROP ARE NOT AVAILABLE. US
SEASON AVERAGE PRICE, VALUE OF PRODUCTION ANO PARITY PRICE WILL BE PUBLISHED IN THE JUL ISSUE OF AGRI-

CULTURAL PRICES RELEASED AT 3:00 P.M. ET, JUL 31, 1978, STATE ESTIMATES FOR THE 1977 CROP WILL BE
PUBLISHED IN CROP VALUES IN JAN 19

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



BARTLETT PEARS: The Bartlett pear crop in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at 428
thousand tons, down 21 percent from last year's total and 26 percent lower than

the 1976 crop.

California's production is expected to total 255 thousand tons, down 22 percent from last
year’s crop and 30 percent lower than 1976. Set is very light and fruit is not sizing well. A
wet, warm winter after two years of drought has left orchards in a weakened condition.

Oregon's crop at 63 thousand tons will be below both the 1976 and 1977 levels. The crop in
the Hood River area is variable and the set in the Jackson area is light.

In Washington, an estimated 110 thousand tons will be produced, compared with 138 thousand
tons in 1977 and 140 thousand in 1976. Trees overwintered in very good condition, but pollina-
tion weather was unsettled. Frosts during April and May have caused some crop damage

ORANGES: The Nation's 1977-78 orange crop is expected to total 220 million boxes (8.65 million
metric tons), 1 percent less than was forecast May 1, and 10 percent less than

was harvested last season. The crop in Florida is placed at 168 million boxes, unchanged from

last month, but 10 percent below last season, The California crop at 41.5 million boxes is down

5 percent from May 1 and is 11 percent below Jast season. The reduction from May 1 is a result

of lower prospects for the Valencia crop, now forecast at 22.0 million boxes. Arizona's crop

is forecast at 3.92 million boxes, 5 percent below last month, because of a decline in Valencia

prospetts. The Texas crop'is unchanged from last month at 6.1 million boxes.

Harvest of oranges in the U.S. was 79 percent complete on June 1 compared with 87 percent on
the same date last year. The Florida harvest of the early season crop on June 1 was complete
while the Valencia crop was 63 percent harvested. In California, harvest of the Navel crop was
virtually complete by June 1; however, the Valencia crop was only 30 percent harvested. The
mona orange crop was 84 percent harvested by June 1. Texas has harvested virtually all of

S$ oranges.

dune 1 U.S. forecasts have deviated from actual production by an average of 2.5 million boxes
one te past 10 seasons, ranging from 210 thousand boxes in 1973-74 to 6,3 million boxes in

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The al? orange juice yield for the 1977-78 crop is
projected at 1.24 gallons of 45 degree brix concentrate
per box. The fina) freeze-reduced yield from the 1976-77 crop was 1.07 gallons per box.

CITRUS CROP - HARVEST AND UTILIZATION TO JUNE 1

1976-77 1977-75
cRoP z t FOR FOR
FRESH PROCESSED: TOTAL s HARVEST. + FRESH 2 PROCESSE! 3 TOTAL 3 HARVEST
THOUSANDS BOXES
ORANGES 134,894 177,283 212,177 «32,073 «33,937 «139,560 173,497 «46,323
GRAPEFRUIT : 257341 417964 67,305 «7,195 25,638 ~©= 40,374 «66,012 «iG 888
LEMONS : 97885 10,528 «20,413. «5,187 «9, 962,-S«12,779 += 22,741 3,959

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-® CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


INDEX

PAGE
APRICOTS oo. eee eeeeeeeeceeeeeentteeeeeeeteeeeeetees B- 5
BARTLETT PEARS .....eceecceseeeeeeeeeeeeeeeseen tees B- 5
BEET PULP ........eeseeees se eteeeteeteceteenteeeteee B- 7
CHERRIES oe. ee eceeeeeeeeeceecet sence sees eneeeatees B- 2
CITRUS FRUITS 20.0... 0c ee ee eee ee este eee eteeeeeneeen B- 4
CROP PROSPECTS MAPS 20.02. .eceeeeeeeeeeeceeeceeaeeee A- 4
MINT FOR OIL... ce sees cece sees nee eeeeeeeeaeeeaeeees B-10
MOLASSES 2... cece cece cece eee eee e nee e center ee eenes B- 7
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS ..........++.. A- 5
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION TABLE ............. B- 2
PEACHES 10.0... ecesececneneeeeteeteeeeceeeeeeeneees B- 3
POTATOES .... ce se eeeeeeeceeeceeeeeeeeeeeeneeeeeeeaee B- 5
SUGAR 6. ce eee cc eeeeeene eee ceeceeeeeeneeeeeeeeneees B- 7
SUGARBEETS 06... cee cece eee ee eee ee esas tense eeenes B- 6
SUGARCANE... 0.0. se cece ee eee cence rece eeteneeeneees B- 8
SUNFLOWER SEED Jo... ce ee eceeeeeee eset ea eeeeeee ones B-11
SWEETPOTATOES . 0.0.0. sc ee eeeeeee sense ente tense ones B- 9
US SUMMARY oo... cece cece eee ee nese eee eeeeeeeeaen en A- 2
WHEAT BY CLASSES 0.0.0... cece cee eeeeeecneeeeeeeeees B- 1
WINTER WHEAT 20... 0eeceeeeeecececeeeereeeeeeaeaeaees B- 1

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD,

ESCS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION C& fesecine

Board
Released: June 9, 1978 oe
3:00 P.M. ET Economics, Statistics, &
Cooperatives Service

US. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

Winter wheat production, forecast at 7.31 billion bushels (35.6 million metric
tons}, 7S up 2 percent from the May 1}, 1978 forecast but 14 percent below
the 1977 crop.

Citrus production is forecast at 14.2 million tons (12.9 million metric tons),
slightly below last month and 7 percent below last season.

Peach production in the US is forecast at 2.73 billion pounds (1.24 million
metric tons), down 9 percent from last season and 10 percent below the
1976 total. The California Clingstone peach crop is expected to total
1.25 billion pounds, 17 percent less than both 1977 and 1976.

Barlett pear output in the three Pacific Coast States is forecast at 428 thou-
sand tons, off 21 percent from last year and 26 percent under the 1976
total.

Sweet cherry production in the Western States is expected to total 94.3 thou-
sand tons, nearly one-fourth below last season and 40 percent less than
1976.

Spring potato prospects decreased to a record low production of 18.0 million
cwt. (818 thousand metric tons), down 9 percent from the May 1 forecast
and 21 percent below last year.

CrPr 2-2 (6-78) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


SUGAR CROPS - 1977 REVISED: Production of sugarbeets in 1977 totaled 25.0 million tons (22.7

million metric tons), down 15 percent from the 29.4 million tons
(26.7 million metric tons) produced in 1976. Acreage harvested in 1977 at 1.22 million acres
(492 thousand hectares) was down 18 percent from a year earlier. Average yield per acre of 20.5
tons in 1977 compares with 19.9 tons in 1976.

Sugarcane processed for sugar totaled 25.7 million tons (23.3 million metric tons), down 4
percent from 1976. Sugarcane for sugar was harvested from:719 thousand acres (291 thousand hec-
tares) in 1977 and yielded 36.8 tons per acre. In Florida, production of sugarcane for sugar de-
clined 9 percent and Louisiana's production was off 2 percent. Partially offsetting was a produc-
tion increase in Texas.

Total sugar production (raw value) was 5.82 million tons (5.28 million metric tons), down 12
percent from the 1976 output of 6.62 million tons (6.00 million metric tons). Sugar (raw value)
production from cane totaled 2.68 million tons (2.43 million metric tons) and sugar from beets
amounted to 3.14 million tons (2.84 million metric tons).

SUNFLOWER SEED: Acreage and production revisions of the 1977 crop for Minnesota and North Dakota
place the two-State total production at 2.47 billion pounds (1.12 million metric

tons), up 188 percent from 1976. Production of oil varieties totaled 2.18 billion pounds (989

thousand MT), up 239 percent; non-oi!? varieties totaled 285 million pounds (129 thousand MT),

up 33 percent. Planted acreage for the two States totaled 1.89 million acres (763 thousand

hectares), up 126 percent from 1976. Harvested acres in the two States at 1.84 million acres

(744 thousand hectares) was up 127 percent

In the four States of Minnesota, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Texas, production of all
sunflower seed totaled 2.76 billion pounds (1.25 million MT). Oil varieties represented 90 per-
cent of the production or 2.47 billion pounds (1.12 million MT). Yield of oil varieties averaged
1258 pounds per acre and non-oi) varieties averaged 120] pounds per acre. The all yield averaged
1252 pounds per acre. North Dakota led the four States in production, praducing 1.66 billion
pounds of seed, which represented 60 percent of the four States production

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


Utah's crop is expected to be 41 percent less than last year because of a hard spring freeze
and poor pollination,

TART CHERRIES: The three Western States of Colorado, Oregon and Utah expect tart cherry produc-
tion to total 15.0 million pounds, 30 percent below last year's crop and 47 per-
cent below 1976,

Colorado is down 35 percent, Oregon 44 percent less, and Utah off 20 percent from last year.

MINT FOR OIL: Peppermint acreage for harvest in 1978 is estimated at 104 thousand acres (42.3
“~~~ thousand hectares), an increase of 20 percent from the 86.9 thousand acres

(35.2 thousand hectares) harvested in 1977 and 45 percent above the 1976 acreage of 72.2 thousand
acres (29,2 thousand hectares). Acreage increases are indicated for all Peppermint producing States

Spearmint growers expect to harvest 46.6 thousand acres (18.9 thousand hectares) this year, up
26 percent from the 37.1 thousand acres (15.0 thousand hectares) harvested in 1977. Acreage harvested
in 1976 was 29.0 thousand acres (11.7 thousand hectares). Acreage is expected to increase in each
spearmint producing State

POTATOES: The final forecast for the 1978 spring potato crop is placed at 18.0 million cwt

a (818 thousand metric tons), 9 percent below last month's forecast and 21 percent less

than the 22.9 million cwt. (1.04 million metric tons) produced during 1977, The 1978 spring production
is the lowest on record since seasonal estimates were started in 1949. Acreage for harvest at 90.7
thousand acres (36.7 thousand hectares) is 1 percent below a year earlier. The estimated yield per
acre dropped to 199 cwt. per acre, 20 percent less than last year.

The California crop is now forecast at 8.1 million cwt., 14 percent below last month's forecast
and 32 percent less than Tast year's crop. In the Kern district, yields in late fields are running
below previous expectations. In Arizona, harvest of potatoes for processing is running 10 days late
while table stock harvest is almost on schedule.

The Hastings, Florida crop is forecast at 3.6 million cwt., down 8 percent from the May 1 fore-
cast and 16 percent below the 1977 crop. Harvest was very active in the Hastings area during May and
should be completed by mid-June. Yields have been variable with quality and size reported fair to good.
In Alabama, late spring planting has pushed harvest into June, which has adversely influenced yields
because of hot weather. Harvest is well underway in Louisiana with yields running lighter than
previously expected because of dry conditions early in the season.

Harvest in the lower Rio Grande Valley of Texas was complete by the first of. June. Active harvest
‘in the Winter Garden area’is expected to be completed by mid-June with light supplies available until
July 1. In the Knox-Haskel1 area, harvest is expected to be underway by mid-June and continue into duly.

SWEETPOTATOES - 1977 REVISED: Production of sweetpotatoes in 1977 at 12.4 million cwt, (562 thousand
metric tons) is 8 percent less than the 13.4 million cwt.

(609 thousand metric tons) produced in 1976. The revised 1977 estimate compares with the preliminary
estimate of 12.5 million cwt. (568 thousand metric tons). The 1977 crop was produced from 112 thousand
acres (45,5 thousand hectares), a decrease of 5 percent from the 118 thousand acres (47,7 thousand
hectares) harvested in 1976, The average yield for 1977 was 110 cwt. per acre

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: Pasture and range feed condition on June i was 85 percent for the 48

contiguous Staies--i] points above a year earlier and 2 points ab
the 1967-76 average for the date. ” P $ above

_ Pasture and ranges across the Nation continue to improve with ample rainfall. Most of the
Nation recorded good to excellent conditions. An exception was southwest Texas where very poor
to extreme drought conditions still prevail.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT: Production of winter wheat is forecast at 1.31 billion bushels (35.6 million metric

tons) based on June 1 conditions, 14 percent below a year ago but 2 percent above
Tast month. The production decline from last year can be attributed largely to 18 percent fewer
acres to be harvested for grain. Heavy rains, hail and some freezing temperatures during May in
the High Plains of Texas destroyed some acreage for harvest. There was also some additional
acreage grazed out in Texas as a result of poor stands and dry conditions.

Nationally, the crop is expected to yield 33.1 bushels per harvested acre compared with
bushels per acre last year. Favorable moisture conditions ip the central and northern Plains
boosted crop prospects over last year while dry areas in the southern Plains will experience
lower yields, The Pacific Northwest growers expect very good yields this year after last year's
drought plagued crop. Excessive precipitation in the Corn Belt States has reduced yield prospects
from last year for the soft red winter wheat grown in that area

The winter wheat crop on June 1 rated good to excellent in most Plains areas and the Pacific
Northwest, but only fair to good through the Corn Belt States. Heading was taking place as far
north as Nebraska. However, plant maturity is considerably later than last year and is Tagging
usual development in many areas. Oklahoma wheat was 40 percent in the dough stage while Kansas
wheat was 80 percent headed. Only 6 percent of the Missouri wheat was headed and the Illinois
crop progressed to 40 percent headed.

Harvesting began in southern States and progress by June 1 ranged from 2 percent in Texas to
11 percent in Louisiana. Arizona and California producers have also started combining.

PEACHES: The 1978 peach crop in the U S$ is forecast at 2.73 billion pounds (1.24 million metric

tons). This is 9 percent Tess than last season's total and 10 percent below the 1976
crop. Excluding California Clingstones, peach production is expected to total 1.5 billion pounds,
slightly under a year ago and 3 percent below the 1976 total.

Peach output in the nine Southern States is now forecast at 539.0 million pounds, a 1 percent
improvement from last month and 4 percent above the 1977 crop. Improved prospects in Arkansas and
South Carolina more than offset a decline in Georgia. The South Carolina crop is now forecast at
230.0 million pounds, up 5 percent from last month despite dry soils in some areas. In Georgia,
fruit sizes for the early crop are below normal, reducing the crop 3 percent from last month.
Harvest is underway throughout the region.

In Pennsylvania and New Jersey, winter damage and spring freezes reduced this year's crop by
11 and 27 percent, respectively. Trees in New York, Maryland, Delaware and Ohio overwintered in
good condition, and crop increases are forecast. In Michigan, peach orchards suffered above nor-
mal winterkill and spring frost damage. Peach production in Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky and
Missouri is expected to rebound from last season's small crops. Only negligible winter and spring
freeze damage occurred in Virginia and West Virginia, and with heavy bloom and set spectacular
improvements from the last two seasons are expected.

In the Western States, crop reductions are forecast in nearly all areas as a result of mixed
spring weather and some freeze damage. California's Freestone crop at 430.0 million pounds is
well below the last two seasons. Fruit development is one week ahead of normal and sizes are
good, although limb scars and disease problems are evident. The California Clingstone crop (used
mostly for canning} is forecast at 1.3 billion pounds, off 17 percent from both the 1976 and 1977
totals. Fruit set is unaven but crop development is normal and sizes are very good.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


SWEETPOTATOES

( AREA PLANTED ] AREA HARVESTED
STATE | 1975 | 1976 | 1977 1 1975 | 1976 1 1977

t 19000 ACRES

'
ALA t 58 SoS SeS 508 505 5.3
ARK | 1S 165 106 15 15 166
CALIF i) 703 7.6 7.8 7.3 706 7.8
GA { 604 603 603 600 59 5.5
La t 32d 30200 28.0 3060 2920 2720
MD | 19 167 1.7 168 166 166
MISS | 905 905 920 905 920 8.0
NJ t 202 203 204 202 2e3 204
nc 1 3200 3500 34.0 3140 3340 33.0
sc | 203 25 23 203 205 203
TENN { 360 2.9 208 300 209 208
TEX 1 1005 11.0 1000 100 1005 905
VA t 6.9 7.0 5.9 605 605 56

'
Us 1 12003 122.8 11723 11609 117.8 112.4

'

(CV EEL al PRO!

1975 | 1976 1977 ON 1975 I 1976 1 1977

' Cwr 19000 CWT

!
ALA ! 90 90 8s S22 495 45)
ARK ' 80 7 76 120 117 122
CALIF 1 140 155° 150 19022 19178 19170
GA ' 125 120 90 750 708 495
LA 4 as 95 90 29550 20755 29430
“0 | 170 185 15S 306 248 248
MISS ' 95 90 6s 903 810 680
NJ (110 115 105 262 265 2s2
NC | 135 130 135 49185 42290 49455
sc ' 87 86 91 200 21s 209
TENN 1 100 105 100 300 305 280
TEX ' 145 105 9S 19150 19103 903
vA | 150 145 125 978 943 700

'
us (113 114 110 13,225 139432 129395

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




UsoA

CROP PROSPECTS*
JUNE 1, 1978

NEG. CRB 53-78 (6)

CROP PROSPECTS*

June1, 1977

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978

A-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION 1/

AVERAGE =| : AVERAGE :
STATE 1967-76 * 1977 : 1978 : STATE 1967-76 ; 1977 : 1978
i PERCENT : : PERCENT

ALA : 83 63 87 NEV : 82 60 87
ARIZ : 74 60 100 oN H : 89 85 90
ARK 87 72 91 Nod : 88 79 89
CALIF 76 41 100 iN MEX : 68 77 70
COLO 76 69 79 NY 88 89 85
CONN 88 88 86 NC 89 74 91
DEL 90 67 a1 ih DAK 80 44 90
FLA 71 50 75 :0HIO 89 77 87
GA 2 83 53 83 20KLA 84 a1 86
IDAHO 85 60 97 :0REG 84 64 99
TLL 91 80 90 PA 90 79 89
IND 90 83 30 RI 91 90 85
TOQWA : 88 80 90 8 C¢ 3 84 62 85
KANS. : 85 90 90 2S DAK : 79 68 91
ky : 92 81 88 s TENN : 90 80 89
LA z 82 69 78 TEX : 77 84 55
MALNE : 87 Ql 89 RTA, . i) 52 92
MD : 88 65 86 iVT : 88 75 89
MASS: : 89 93 90 VA 3 90 67 93
MICH : 88 61 92 WASH : 86 61 94
MINN : 83 7 89 ow YA : 85 61 86
MISS : 86 73 86 WIS : 87 75 92
MO : 88 8) 90 WYO : 84 82 96
MONT : 83 68 95 : :
NEBR 3 83 89 39 u S : 83 74 85

17 G00 10 EXCELLENT? 80 AND OVER; POOR TO FAIR, 65- “79; VERY POOR, 50-64; SEVERE DROUGHT, 35-49; EXTREME
DROUGHT, UNDER 35.

CHERRIES
CROP AND : PRODUCTION 1/
STATE : TOTAL 7 TOTAL 7 TNDLCATED
3 1976 : 1977 : 1978 2/
TONS
CHERRIES, SWEET :

CALIF : 51,000 27,000 13,000
CcoOLo : 500 550 100
IDAHO : 3,000 2,200 2,400
MONT t 2,650 2,600 2,400
OREG H 39,000 37,500 33,000
UTAH 2 6,000 5,800 3,400
WASH : 54,300 47,000 40,000
TOTAL : 156,450 122,650 94,300

MILLION POUNDS
CHERRIES, TART

coLo : 3.3 2.3 1.5
OREG. : 8.2 8.0 4.5
UTAH : 17.0 11.2 9.0

TOTAL : 28.5 21.5 15.0

V7 INCLUDES TRRARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE (TONS): TOTAL SWEET, 1976-4,850; 1977-1, 300.
2/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR THE GREAT LAKES STATES ~ NY, PA, AND MICH - FOR SWEET AND TART VARIETIES
PLUS OHIO AND WIS FOR TART VARIETIES WILL BE MADE AS OF JUN 15 AND RELEASED JUN 22.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT Vv
' PROOUCTION PRODUCTION
cROP t BOXES 1 TON EQUIVALENT
AND $ UTILIZED TINDICATED? UTILIZED SINDICATED
STATE 1975-76 1 1976-7

4_1977-78 t 1975"76 § 1976077 1 1977°76

ORANGES EARLY MID & NAVEL 3/
ARIZ /

19000 UNITS 27

19000 UNITS

t
r
. 730 800 Bad 2? 30 vn
CALIF ' 285300 259600 199500 19061 960 731
FLA 3 989800 = 1159000 889300 49446 $9175 39976
TEX ast 35700 49400 39800 157 187 162
us 3 1315530 1455800 1129420 S691 69352 41898
ORANGES » VALENCIA ’
ARIZ : 1,950 39150 39100 73 118 116
CALIF ' 249500 219000 229000 919 788 825
FLA ' 825400 719800 804000 39708 39231 33600
TEX ast 22400 25500 29300 102 106 98
us 1225250 98450 1079400 45802 49243 49639
ALL ORANGES .
ARIZ t 22680 35950 35920 100 148 147
CALIF 1 52,800 469600 419500 19980 19748 19556
FLA + 1819200 1865800 1689300 89156 89406 79574
TEX ast 60100 65900 69100 2s9 293 260
us 3 2424780 2449250 2199820 109493 105595 99537
TEMPLES +
FLA iy 5500 39800 41900 248 7 221
GRAPEFRUIT»WHITE SEEOLESS +
FLA . 269300 299900 289500 19203 1,271 1211
GRAPEFRUITsPINK SEEDLESS '
Fla J 134600 129500 142000 $83 S31 595
GRAPEFRUIT OTHER '
FLA : 7800 99100 8+500 332 387 361
ALL GRAPEFRUIT 1
ARIZ 1 3.080 39000 25900 99 96 93
CALIF :
DESERT ' 49100 4500 49200 131 144 134
OTHER AREAS ' 39100 39100 39300 104 104 ni
TOTAL ' 79200 79600 79500 235 248 245
FLA ' 490100 519500 $1000 29088 20189 20167
TEX af 109700 129400 11500 428 496 460
vs + 7008D 749500 729900 29850 39029 20965,
TANGERINES '
ARIZ ast 660 650 700 25 26 26
CALIF as 39300 19820 19900 49 68 7
FLA 1 39400 39300 39200 162 iS? 182
us ’ 5360 59770 59600 236 249 249
LEMONS t
ARIZ at 29420 59000 59700 92 190 217
CALIF ' 159200 204600 215000 $78 783 798
us ' 179620 259600 269700 670 973 19015
TANGELOS :
FLA + S500 4800 49900 2468 216 221

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH

SHOWN ANO ENOS WITH YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR

2/ NET LOS PER BOX! ORANGES=CALIF & ARIZ=759FLA-905
TEX*85) GRAPEFRUIT~CALIF DESERT & ARIZ=64s CALIF

OTHER=675 FLA~8S» TEX=80$ LEMONS-76% TANGELOS &

TEMPLES=903 TANGERINES= CALIF & ARIZ=75¢ FLA=95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND
ARIZONA. EARLY AND MIOSEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND
TEXAS» INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN

TEXAS.
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978

B-4

CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF JUNE 1 WINTER WHEAT PRODUCTION FORECAST

The winter wheat production forecast in this report is based primarily
on surveys conducted about June 1. Acreage for harvest is based on the
planted acreage published in December 1977, with estimated abandonment based
on information provided by producers about June 1, 1978. The yield forecast
is based on data from mailed reports from farmers and field observations,
counts and measurements in wheat fields. These surveys to obtain acreage and
yield information are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors that
are common to all surveys. More importantly, the production forecast is sub-
ject to change due to future weather conditions and other factors that
directly affect final production but cannot be measured currently.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the June 1 winter wheat
production forecast, the “Root Mean Square Error," a statistical measure based
on past performance, is computed. This is done by expressing the deviations
between the June 1 production forecast and the final estimate as a percentage
of the final estimate, and averaging the squared percentage deviations for the
1958-77 twenty-year period; the square root of the average becomes statis-
tically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made
concerning expected errors in the current forecast relative to the final end
of season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are
not different from those influencing recent year forecasts.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the June 1 winter wheat production fore-
cast is 5.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current
production forecast of 1.31 billion bushels will not be above or below the
final estimate by more than 5.6 percent or approximately 73.2 million bushels.
Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference
will not exceed 9.7 percent or approximately 127 million bushels. Differences
between the June 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate
during the past 10 years have averaged 52 million bushels, ranging from 0.9
million to 156 million bushels. The forecast was below the final estimate
in 5 years and above in 5 years.

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA




UNITED STATES CROP_SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED VIEL PER"ACRE = PROUT
: + : INDICATE!
CROP AND UNIT 1977 INDICATED 5 1977 y97a 0: 1977: WAY T, SUNT,
: 197 ‘ :_1978 1978
T,000 ACRES 1,000
WINTER WHEAT 48,819 39,873 3.533. 1,526,713 1,284,375 3,307,548
POTATOES, SPRING $1.4” $0.7 250 199 22,870 ° 19,850 * 18,028
PASTURE. é RANGE 1/ 74 85

PEACHES 2/ 2,991,000 2,730,600
APRICOTS - TON : 147.4 128.2
NECTARINES (CALIF) 9": 150.0 160.0
PLUMS (CALIF) “ 157.0 145.0
DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 157.0 142.0
ALMONOS (CALIF) 249.0 220.0 210.0

PEPPERMINT FOR OfL 86.9 104.4 $1 AUS 10 4,409 AUG 10

SPEARMINT FOR OIL 37.1 46.6 63 AUG 10 2,329 AUG 10
CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1976-77 1977-78 1977-78
ORANGES 244, 22,020 219,820
GRAPEFRUIT 74,500 72,600 ~—-72,900
LEMONS 25,600 25,700 26,700

HT
TLUOES CULLS AN CANNERY OIVERSIONS FOR CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE PEACHES AS FOLLOWS. IN THOUSAND POUNDS:
3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF

1977 - 115,000.
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

MONTH,

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

3 PERCENT. 27 1

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PER HECTARE + PRODUCTION
cROP 1977, INDICATED ! yyy INDICATED ? ygyq '——pqy/WOUCRTED
1978: P1978 1978": i978”
HECTARES “HETRTC TORS

WINTER WHEAT "9 594 690 15 974 330 2.12 2.23 41 550 320 34 3 360 35 585 620
POTATOES, SPRING 36 990 «36.710 28.08 = 22.28 1037 360 B17 730
PEACHES Vf 2 1 356 690 1 238 570
APRICOTS : 133 720 116 300
NECTARINES (CALIF) : 136 050 145: 150
PLUMS (CALIF) : We 430 131 540
ORIEO PRUNES (CALIF) 142 430 128 820
ALMONDS (CALIF) : 225 890 199 580190 510
PEPPERMINT FOR OIL 35 170 42 250 +06 AUG 10 2 000 AUG 10
SPEARMINT FOR OfL 15 010 © 18 860.107, AUG 10 1 060 AUB 10
CLTRUS FRUITS 2/ : 1976-77 1977-78 1977-78

ORANGES : 961) 620 8727 120 8 651 820

GRAPEFRUIT : 2 747 860 2 677 100 2 689 800

LEMONS 882 690 886 320 920 790

NCU
‘7977 ~ 52,160.
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

Of LT FOR! INE A
2) SEASON BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF

A

FOLLOWS IN METRIC TON

on selected agricultural commodities.

State Statistical Offices.

APPROVED:

(Wh 4d

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information
These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Re-
porting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from Washington headquarters and the

CROP REPORTING BOARD:

8. M. Graham,

M. L. Koehn, Secretary,

Kirkbride, F. E. Rolf,
~ Small R. M, Albert,

Jd. Buckner H. J. DeLong,

N. Dowdy, C. rain,

R. Garrett, D. E. Hamilton,
H. R. Holden, W. H. Kastens,
C. J. Koines, L. kK. Roberson,
R. L. Schulte, W. J. Walker,

WoW, Wilken,

Chairman,

CROP PRODUCTION JUNE 1978

A-2

CROP REPORTING BOARD,

ESCS, USDA


U.S. CITRUS PRODUCTION

MIL. TONS

2:

SES
PROCESSED RSs

296)

rays

°o
7
Z

1969-70 1971-72 1973-74 1978-76 1977-78

Lanal NEG. Cre 78

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA



PEACHES

1 PRODUCTION 1/ ' PRODUCTION
cROP POUN! t 8 LB, EQUIVALENT
AND 1 TOTAL TINDICATED! TOTAL PINDICATED
STATE 1 is7e tt 977 t 1978976 STF 1978
7 WILCTON UNITS T+000 UNITS
PEACHES ’
ALA 1 14.0 1040 15.0 292 208 313
ARK 1 42.0 4000 38.0 87s 833 7192
CALIF=FREESTONE : 464.0 47660 43060 94667 90917 8,958
coLo ! 14.5 1 302 375 146
CONN 1 el 600 85 125 104
DEL ' 166 204 33 So $6
GA 1 20060 9000 Heb? 29875 3202)
TOAHO ' 250 260 229
TLL : 41? 188 438
IND : 115 a1 146
KANS : 83 188 167
ky : 188 2 229
La arn 146 135 1466
MD 3 375 438 458
MASS t 69 73 73
MICH 3 833 19146 15146
“Iss ark 104 83 83
MO ' 469 229 $00
Nu : 19667 20292 15667
NY ' 198 271 313
Nc 3 $21 729 917
OHIO ' 313 63 27
OKLA ast 167 208 229
OREG : 313 375 271
Pa 1 29875 12979 14771
sc ‘ 59625 50729 40792
TENN : 167 167 175
TEX : 3546 14000 938
UTAH : 12. 375 378 250
va : 4000 313 396 833
wAasH : 41.0 19062 854 856
wVA : 2760 313 313 S63
TOTAL 4 2652200 1948300 1948066 = 310713 300897 = 309 849
PEACHES CLINGSTONE et
CALIF 1 10498.0 4950860 1925060 324208 = 319417 = 269042
ALL PEACHES :
us 13902000 299100 273006 622921 29314 56,891

17 INCLUDES UNHARVESTED PRODUCTION AND EXCESS CULLAGE
(MILLTON POUNDS) UNITED STATESe 1976-2234691977415086
2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.
3/ CALIFORNIA CLINGSTONE IS OVER THE SCALE TONNAGE ANO
INCLUDES CULLS AND CANNERY DIVERSIONS (MILLION POUNDS):
197621545091977=115006

CROP PRODUCTION, JUNE 1978 B-3 CROP REPORTING BOARD, ESCS, USDA