CITRUS FRUIT 1/

PRODUCTION
TON EQUIVALENT

UTILIZED INDICATED
1987-88 : 1988-89
1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES,EARLY MID
& NAVEL
ARIZ 610 550 37 23 21
CALIF 31,500 35,000 1,294 1,182 1,313
FLA 78,500 87,000 2,961 3,532 3,915
TEX 940 1,200 22 40 51
us : 101,800 111,550 123,750 4,314 4,777 5,300
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
ARIZ 4/: 1,700 1,200 1,450 64 45 54
CALIF : 23,400 27,300 26,000 878 1,024 975
FLA 53,900 59,500 59,000 2,425 2,677 2,655
TEX 375 490 700 16 21 30
US 79,375 88,490 87,150 3,383 3,767 3,714
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ 4/2 2,790 1,810 2,000 101 68 75
CALIF 57,900 58,800 61,000 2,172 2,206 2,288
FLA 119,700 138,000 146,000 5, 386 6,209 6,570
TEX 875 1,430 1,900 38 61 81
US 181,175 200,040 210,900 7,697 8,544 9,014
TEMPLES
FLA 3,400 3,550 3,800 153 160 171
GRAPEFRUIT , WHITE
SEEDLESS
FLA 26,900 29,200 28,500 1,143 1,241 1,211
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORE
SEEDLESS
FLA 20,000 21,900 23,000 850 930 978
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA 2,900 2,750 2,500 123 W7 106
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ 2,200 1,500 1,300 70 43 42
CALIF 4/5
DESERT 4,300 4,200 3,900 137 135 125
OTHER AREAS 5,000 4,700 168 158
TOTAL 9,300 8,900 305 293
FLA 49,800 53,850 54,000 2,116 2,288 2,295
TEX 1,925 3,800 5,000 77 152 200
US 63,225 68,050 2,568 2,781
TANGERINES ;
ARIZ 700 450 500 26 W7 19
CALIF 4 2,230 2,090 1,800 83 78 68
FLA 2,340 2,450 2,700 mM vv 128
US : 5,270 4,990 5,000 220 212 215
LEMONS 4h:
ARIZ : 7,100 3,650 3,900 270 139 148
CALIF 21,500 17,000 18,500 817 646 703
us 28,600 20,650 22,400 1,087 785 851
TANGELOS
tA 4,000 4,200 3,800 180 183 val
1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS

WITH | YEAR HARVEST
ARIZ-75, FLA- 90, TEX~85;

FLA-85, TEX-80;
FLA-95. 3/
EARLY AND

QUANTITIES OF

FORWARD FROM EARLIER

CROP PRODUCTION,
MARCH 1989

NAVEL AND

IS COMPLETED.

2/ NET POUNDS PER
GRAPEFRUIT-CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64,
LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90:
MISCELLANEOUS
MID-SEASON VARIETIES
TANGERINES IN TEXAS.
FORECAST.

VARIETIES
IN FLORIDA

AND

TEXAS,

BOX:

ORANGES-CALIF &
CALIF OTHER-67,
TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75,
IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA.
INCLUDING
4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED

SMALL

5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT
"OTHER AREAS” WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

NASS, USDA

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,


December

November

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Harvest of al} U.S. oranges as of March 1 was 48 percent complete. Harvest
of Florida early mid-season varieties is 95 percent complete, while the
Valencia crop harvest has just begun.

The California all orange forecast, at 61.0 million boxes, is unchanged
from last month's forecast and 4 percent higher than last season's production.
The Navel orange forecast at 35.0 million boxes, is the same as last month's
but 11 percent higher than the 1987-88 harvest. As of March 1, 48 percent of
California's Navel crop had been harvested. The California Valencia orange
crop forecast, at 26.0 million boxes, is unchanged from a month ago but 5
percent below last season's production. Harvest has just begun in the
Coachella Valley. The all orange forecast for Arizona, which was carried
forward from January 1, is expected to total 2.00 million boxes, 10 percent
higher than last season's production. The Texas all orange forecast is 1.90
million boxes, up 3 percent from last month and compares with 1.43 million
boxes harvested last season.

Changes in U.S. production between the March 1 forecast and final produc-
tion averaged 5.48 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from a low
of 170 thousand boxes in 1980-81 to a high of 12.2 million boxes in 1981-82.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1988-89 forecast of yield for

all Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice
for Florida is 1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix equivalent, unchanged
from last month's estimate. The forecast is projected to estimate the final
yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association.

GRAPEFRUIT: The March 1 forecast, including California's "Desert" grapefruit

but excluding California's "Other Areas" grapefruit, is 64.2 mil-
lion boxes, up 1 percent from both the February 1 forecast and last season.
Production for the California "Other Areas" crop, which will be forecast as of
April 1, accounted for 4.70 million boxes during the 1987-88 season. The
California “Desert Valley" crop forecast, which was carried forward from the
January 1 forecast, is 3.90 million boxes, down 7 percent from last season.
The Florida all grapefruit forecast is 54.0 million boxes, the same as last
Month's forecast and virtually unchanged from last season. Harvest in Florida
is nearly half complete.

The forecast for Arizona, carried forward from the January 1 forecast, is
1.30 million boxes, 13 percent below last season. The Texas forecast is 5.00
mitlion boxes, up 1? percent from February 1. This compares with 3.80 million
boxes harvested during the 1987-88 season.

TANGELOS: The Florida crop, excluding K-early citrus fruit, is forecast at
3.80 million boxes, down 3 percent from Tast month and 10 percent
below last season, Tangelo shipments stowed as harvest neared completion.

TANGERINES: The U.S. all tangerine forecast is 5.00 million boxes, identical

to the previous month's forecast and virtually unchanged from
last season. This forecast includes all varieties of tangerines in Florida
(Dancy, Robinson and Honey), as well as production of California and Arizona
tangerines.

The Florida forecast is 2.70 million boxes, the same as the February 1
level and 10 percent above 1987-88. Florida's Honey tangerine harvest is
active with about 70 percent of the crop picked as of March 1.

TEMPLES: The Florida temple forecast, at 3.80 million boxes, is unchanged from
the February 7 forecast but up 7 percent from last season. Harvest
was about half complete as of March 1.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MARCH 1989 7 NASS, USDA


FEBRUARY WEATHER SUMMARY

A blast of bitter arctic air poured into the Central States during the
first of the month and spread over much of the Nation. Periods of subzero
temperatures remained over the winter wheat areas in the central Plains and
the Northwest. Freezing temperatures plunged across California and Texas.
During the latter part of the month, a large high pressure system pulled very
cold Canadian air across the East into the Deep South. Freezing temperatures
reached across central Florida. This cold wave interrupted the anomalous warm
weather, which persisted along the South Atlantic coast. Gulf moisture,
overriding frontal systems, brought soaking rains from central Texas to the
mid-Atlantic coast. Steady, heavy rain caused severe flooding in the
Tennessee and lower Ohio Valleys. Snow covered the northern Plains and much
of the western Corn Belt but was generally absent over the central Plains and
eastern Corn Belt. Low pressure systems brought unusual snowfall into
southern California and dumped heavy snow along the middle and northern
Atlantic coast. Dry weather generally prevailed over the Pacific Coast States,
northern and central Plains, western Corn Belt, and Gulf and South Atlantic
coasts. South Florida received the Teast amount of rainfall on record for the
September to February period. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultura
Weather Facility.)

FIELDWORK

Land preparation for the 1989 cotton crop was active in Arizona and
California during February. Snow and rain slowed Jand preparation in
California during the second week of the month. In the Corn Belt, weather
conditions limited fieldwork to spreading fertilizer during most of February.
Land preparation for spring planting was active in the Southeast but was
slowed by rain in the Delta. During the last half of February, rain slowed
fieldwork in the East. Corn planting began mid-month in Florida, Georgia, and
Texas. Tobacco plant bed preparation and seeding were active in the Southeast.

WINTER WHEAT

Early in February, extremely cold temperatures damaged winter wheat in
portions of the central and southern Plains. Winter wheat was mostly poor to
fair in Kansas. About mid-month, rain improved conditions in portions of the
central and southern Plains, Lack of moisture continued to stress winter
wheat in the western areas of Kansas and Oklahoma, and the High Plains area of
Texas. In the southern Plains, below-normal temperatures slowed winter wheat
growth but reduced insect activity. In the northern Plains, snow cover
provided mostly adequate protection during periods of cold temperatures.
Winter wheat was mostly fair in Montana and Nebraska. Wind damage remained
light in Colorado and Montana. Early in February, cold temperatures and
limited snow cover damaged winter wheat in portions of the Pacific Northwest.
Russian wheat aphid activity was reduced. Winter wheat was mostly goad to
fair in the Corn Belt, Southeast, and Delta during February. Flooding was a
Problem in low lying areas of western Kentucky and Tennessee during the third
week of the month. Some freeze damage occurred in portions of the Delta and
Southeast during the fast week of the month.

ORANGES: The U.S. all orange crop is forecast at 211 million boxes for the

1988-89 season. This is 2 percent lower than the February 1 forecast
but 5 percent higher than the 1987-88 season. Florida's all orange crop is
estimated at 146 million boxes, down 3 percent from the February 1 forecast
but 6 percent higher than last season's crop. Production prospects for early
and mid-season oranges in Florida is 87.0 million boxes, down 2 percent from a
month ago but 11 percent above the 1987-88 crop. The Valencia crop in Florida
is forecast at 59.0 million boxes, 3 percent below a month ago and 1 percent
Tower than the 1987-88 season.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
MARCH 1989 6 NASS, USDA


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National United States

Crop aoe" senacan
Production ie fara
Board

Washington, D.C.

RELEASED: March 9, 1989
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CITRUS production, including California "Desert" grapefruit but excluding
California "Other Areas" grapefruit, is forecast at 13.1 million tons,
down 1 percent from February 1, but 5 percent greater than last season
and 11 percent above the 1986-87 crop.

ORANGE production is forecast at 211 million boxes, down 2 percent from
February 1? but 5 percent greater than last season.

GRAPEFRUIT production, including California “Desert” grapefruit but excluding
California "Other Areas" crop, is forecast at 64.2 million boxes, up
percent from last month and last season.

WINTER POTATO production is forecast at 2.74 million cwt, up 5 percent from a
year ago and 10 percent above 1987.

SPRING POTATO acreage is set at 86.7 thousand acres, a gain of 8 percent from
last year and 5 percent above 1987 plantings.

HAKKAR RI ARE KIA KIKI IIII III I III III IIH IAI SSIS IIIA I ASIII III IIIS ISI AISI ISS

NOTICE

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11


FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of this State's groves and trees were dry with warm tem-

peratures during February until the last weekend of the month.
During the mornings of February 24-26, there were temperatures at or below
freezing for varying amounts of time. Prior to the cold weekend, most trees
had produced a flush of new growth and a lot of new bloom buds. There was
leaf burn in the northern and central areas. Some bloom buds on the outer
branches were frozen. Most of the bloom on second year and older wood
survived. Most of the early and midseason fruit had been picked in colder
locations. There are very few grapefruit or Valencias planted in the cold
pockets and low-lying groves. It js too early to determine if there is any
damage to the remainder of this year's crop. It is generally considered at
this time that temperatures were not low enough for sufficient time to cause
significant fruit icing. Early and midseason orange and tangelo harvests are
near completion. Grapefruit movement is increasing with adequate supplies
remaining in most areas. Temple harvest continues active.

TEXAS CITRUS: Harvest of grapefruit continued at a steady pace during

February. The early February cold snap had little effect on
this season's citrus crops, but minor damage did occur to early blooms and new
growth. Harvest of early and midseason oranges was virtually complete.
Harvest of Valencia oranges was well underway. Quality and size have been
good.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 4.30 million pounds in

March, 39 percent higher than March 1988. Output is anticipated to
total 4.80 million pounds in April before dipping slightly in May to 4.60
million pounds. June fresh sales are forecast at 4.80 million pounds.

February fresh utilization is estimated at 4.35 million pounds, 1 percent
less than January but 45 percent more than February 1988.

Rainy weather was dominant during the beginning and end of February.
Farmers took advantage of favorable conditions during mid-month to catch up on
orchard maintenance routines which were thrown off schedule from heavy rainfall
during January.

Crop area in February totaled 4,425 acres, 2 percent lower than January
but 9 percent higher than February a year ago. Harvested area of 2,525 acres
was 5 percent more than January and 13 percent more than last February.

SPRING POTATOES: Planted area for spring potatoes is estimated at 86.7 thou-

sand acres, a gain of 8 percent from last year and 5 percent
above 1987. Growers expect to harvest 84.2 thousand acres, up 7 percent from
last year and 4 percent above 1987.

A hard freeze swept across the South in late February causing damage to
potatoes from Texas to Florida. In the Hastings area of Florida, damage
varied greatly depending on the stage of maturity. Some fields will be
replanted and additional new planting is likely. Potatoes scheduled for April
harvest were the hardest hit, with volume harvest not likely now until May.
In other Florida areas, where there is a sharp increase in acreage, most
damaged fields will have time to come back. North Carolina fields were about
13 percent planted at the end of the first week in March, a little later than
normal. In Alabama, planting started in late February and was mostly finished
by March 1. Early fields will be delayed because of the late February freeze
damage. California harvest should begin in early May, delayed somewhat by
frost on early fields. Texas potatoes were frosted on higher ground but show
good progress in the Rio Grande Valley.

WINTER POTATOES: Production of winter potatoes is forecast at 2.74 million

cwt, the same as a month ago and 5 percent above last year.
Acreage for harvest is set at 12.8 thousand acres while average yield is
forecast at 214 cwt per acre. Both are above last year. Harvest is active in
Florida growing areas but was set back slightly in the southwest region by a
freeze in tate February. No significant damage to winter potatoes is seen.
California harvest is drawing to a close.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MARCH 1989 8 NASS, USDA


POTATOES

H AREA : 3
SEASONAL 9 t -----------------+--------- : YIELD : PRODUCT ION
GROUP PLANTED HARVESTED :
AND
STATE : IND : : IND : : IND : : IND
: 1989 : 1988 : 1989 : 1988 : 1989 : 1987 : 1988: 1989
1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CWT
WINTER :
CALIF 1 5.2 5.5 5.2 5.5 230 240 1,081 1,196 1,320
FLA 2 7.3 7.3 7.1 7.3 200 195 1,420 1,420 1,424
TOTAL : 12.5 12.8 12.3 12.8 213 214 2,501 2,616 2,744
SPRING 1/_ :
ALA 4.2 4.5 4.1 4.4 135 613 554
ARIZ : 5.3 4.6 5.3 4.6 235 1,348 1,246
CALIF : 19.6 21.0 19.6 22.0 385 7,881 7,546
FLA
HAST INGS 27.0 27.0 26.5 25.5 235 4,505 6,228
OTHER 2.6 6.8 2.5 6.5 210 399 525
LA : 5 4 4 3 50 18 20
NC : 14.5 15.0 14.4 14.8 190 2,030 2,736
TEX : 6.4 7.4 6.2 7.1 185 930 1,147
TOTAL 80.1 86.7 79.0 84.2 253 17,724 20,002

1/ YIELD AND PRODUCTION FOR 1989 TO BE RELEASED APRIL 11, 1989.

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

FRESH PRODUCTION

“TOTAL IN CROP: HARVESTED. ==: SSSTMSCTMséC<“‘«i‘(C}SC#SCSCSCTMSTMC*TM
feennene ene nee nena een een eee cee eee : 1988 : 1989  :FORECAST
: : : : : 1989

ACRES 1,000 POUNDS
JAN : 4,120 4,530 2,175 2,415 4,030 4,395
FEB 2 4,075 4,425 2,225 2,525 3,000 4,350
MAR : 4,075 2,200 3,100 4,300
APR > 4,165 2,175 4,340 4,800
MAY > 4,330 2,325 4,350 4,600
JUN > 4,445 2,220 4,580 4,800
CUMULATIVE FRESH PRODUCTION JAN-FEB 7,030 8,745
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

MARCH 1989 4 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

crop : : INDICATED: : INDICATED
1988 : 1989 : 1988 : 1989
° HECTARES ~ ”
POTATOES
WINTER : 5,060 5,180 4,980 5,180
SPRING : 32,420 35,090 313970 343070

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION
cROP a Se TC INDICATED 1989
1988: INDICATED : 1988 f------2- nena ewe neem en ne ee
+ 1983 > FEB Y MAR J
METRIC TONS a
POTATOES
WINTER : 23.83 24.03 118,660 124,470 124,470
SPRING : 28.38 9073280
: 1987-88 1988-89 1988-89
ORANGES 1/ 7,750,990 8,338,840 8,177,360

1/ HARVEST BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

U.S. GRAPEFRUIT ACRES AND PRODUCTION
1977-78 THAU 1988-89

ay HEARING ARES TLS) BONES PNUD HLLION)
(ZO AES 5 PRODUCTION

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7-78 78-79 79-80 80-81 81-82 82-83 83-84 84-85 85-85 87-88 88-89
YEARS
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

MARCH 1989 3 NASS, USDA


UNITEO STATES CROP_ SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED
CROP : : INDICATED : : INDICATED
: 1988 3 1989 : 1988 : 1989

POTATOES
WINTER : 12.5 12.8 12.3 12.8
SPRING : 80.1 86.7 79.0 84.2

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY ~ YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

YIELD PER ACRE : PRODUCT ION

INDICATED 1989

CROP AND UNIT

FEB 1
POTATOES
WINTER CUT: 213 214 2,616 2,744 2,744
SPRING "253 20,002
: 1987-88 1988-89 1988-89
ORANGES 1/ BOX : 200,040 214,850 210,900

1/ HARVEST BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
Prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

APPROVED: AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD: 1
Rich D. Allen, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewel], Secretary,

Norman W. Bennett, James R. Gibson,

Arvin R. Budge, Thomas E. Kurtz,

\
Mages Robert L. Freie, James L. Smith,

John D. Witzig.

ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
MARCH 1989 2 NASS, USDA