Cr Pr 2-2 (7-03)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released July 11, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Winter Wheat Production Up 6 Percent from June Forecast

Other Spring Wheat Production Up 27 Percent from 2002

Durum Wheat Production Up 18 Percent from 2002

All Wheat Production Up 43 Percent from 2002

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.72 billion bushels. This is up 6 percent from last month and

50 percent above 2002. The U.S. yield is forecast at 47.0 bushels per acre, up 2.4 bushels from last month.

Hard Red Winter, at 1.09 billion bushels, is up 9 percent from a month ago. White Winter is up 2 percent

from last month and now totals 259 million bushels. Soft Red Winter, at 366 million bushels, is down

1 percent from the last forecast.

Durum wheat production is forecast at 93.5 million bushels, up 18 percent from 2002. The U.S. yield is

forecast at 34.1 bushels per acre, 4.7 bushels more than last year.

Other Spring wheat production is forecast at 502 million bushels, up 27 percent from 2002. The U.S. yield

is forecast at 37.3 bushels per acre, 8.0 bushels higher than last year. Of the total production, 467 million is

Hard Red Spring wheat, up 31 percent from last season.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 2 NASS, USDA

The U.S. all orange forecast for the 2002-03 crop is 11.5 million tons, virtually unchanged from the June 1

forecast but 8 percent below last season’s utilization. Florida’s all orange forecast, at 202.7 million boxes

(9.12 million tons), is up 1 percent from the previous forecast but 12 percent below last season. Early and

midseason varieties in Florida are forecast at 112 million boxes (5.04 million tons), unchanged from the June

1 forecast but 12 percent less than the 2001-02 crop. Florida’s Valencia forecast is 90.7 million boxes

(4.08 million tons), 2 percent above the previous forecast but 11 percent less than last season’s final

utilization. Harvest is virtually complete with minimal amounts of fruit being packed for fresh use and

several fresh squeeze plants still operating on a limited basis.

California’s all orange forecast for July is 61.0 million boxes (2.29 million tons), down 2 percent from the

April forecast but 12 percent above last season’s final utilization. Navel oranges are forecast at 40.0 million

boxes (1.50 million tons), unchanged from April but 18 percent above the 2001-02 crop. Harvest of Navel

oranges is complete. The forecast for Valencia oranges is 21.0 million boxes (788,000 tons), down 5 percent

from the previous forecast but 2 percent above last season’s utilization. 

The Texas forecast for all oranges is 1.57 million boxes (66,000 tons), 1 percent below the April forecast and

10 percent below last season’s final utilization. Harvest is complete in Texas. Arizona’s July forecast, at

450,000 boxes (17,000 tons), is 13 percent higher than the April forecast but 13 percent below the 

2001-02 crop.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield is final at 1.54 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees

Brix, as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The increase from last month reflects

adjustments in the Valencia portion which is reported final at 1.61 gallons, up from 1.56 gallons projected in

June. The early-midseason portion is final at 1.49 gallons. This is the lowest yield for all oranges since the

1995-96 season yield of 1.52 gallons per box.

This report was approved on July 11, 2003.

Acting Secretary of

Agriculture

James R. Moseley

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Almonds ............................................................................. 10

Apricots ............................................................................. 10

Barley ................................................................................ 4

Citrus Fruits .......................................................................... 11

Crop Comments ....................................................................... 26

Crop Summary ........................................................................ 16

Grapes .............................................................................. 10

Information Contacts ................................................................... 35

Lentils ............................................................................... 15

Oats ................................................................................. 4

Papayas .............................................................................. 10

Peaches .............................................................................. 9 

Peas, Austrian Winter ................................................................... 15

 Dry Edible ....................................................................... 15

Potatoes ............................................................................. 12

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ................................................. 33

Tobacco .............................................................................. 8

Weather Summary ..................................................................... 24

Weather Maps ........................................................................ 22

Wheat, Durum ......................................................................... 6

Wheat, Winter Wheat Head Population ...................................................... 7

Wheat, by Class ........................................................................ 6

Wheat, Other Spring ..................................................................... 6

Wheat, Winter ......................................................................... 5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 4 NASS, USDA

Oats: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

CA

ID

IL

IA

KS

MI

MN

MT

NE

NY

ND

OH

OR

PA

SD

TX

WI

Oth

 Sts 1

US

27

25

50

175

60

65

285

55

55

55

290

60

35

115

100

160

250

236

2,098

30

25

50

150

90

75

260

65

65

65

340

65

35

115

220

120

250

266

2,286

80.0

70.0

69.0

76.0

52.0

64.0

56.0

49.0

43.0

66.0

44.0

62.0

88.0

61.0

45.0

44.0

60.0

56.9

56.8

80.0

70.0

83.0

76.0

54.0

70.0

64.0

54.0

68.0

63.0

65.0

66.0

110.0

67.0

65.0

42.0

65.0

59.7

64.7

900

1,360

3,200

9,100

2,120

3,520

12,600

2,400

3,660

5,520

14,880

6,205

1,925

7,475

7,800

7,200

12,480

14,679

117,024

2,160

1,750

3,450

13,300

3,120

4,160

15,960

2,695

2,365

3,630

12,760

3,720

3,080

7,015

4,500

7,040

15,000

13,427

119,132

2,400

1,750

4,150

11,400

4,860

5,250

16,640

3,510

4,420

4,095

22,100

4,290

3,850

7,705

14,300

5,040

16,250

15,885

147,895

 1 Other States include CO, GA, IN, ME, MO, NC, OK, SC, UT, WA, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in

the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".

Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

CO

DE

ID

MD

MN

MT

ND

OR

PA

SD

UT

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

40

75

72

23

710

41

165

950

1,240

74

60

45

45

40

340

70

145

4,135

19

58

72

22

740

40

150

950

2,050

60

65

75

28

45

300

80

145

4,899

110.0

68.0

100.0

84.0

76.0

82.0

39.0

42.0

46.0

50.0

74.0

41.0

64.0

77.0

54.0

70.0

57.5

54.9

117.0

68.0

107.0

65.0

74.0

61.0

62.0

51.0

55.0

60.0

64.0

53.0

80.0

67.0

53.0

85.0

60.9

59.5

4,400

5,830

8,560

2,002

50,250

3,825

7,975

29,520

79,750

4,500

4,200

4,056

4,420

3,750

21,000

6,970

8,412

249,420

4,400

5,100

7,200

1,932

53,960

3,362

6,435

39,900

57,040

3,700

4,440

1,845

2,880

3,080

18,360

4,900

8,339

226,873

2,223

3,944

7,704

1,430

54,760

2,440

9,300

48,450

112,750

3,600

4,160

3,975

2,240

3,015

15,900

6,800

8,836

291,527

 1 Other States include KS, KY, ME, MI, NE, NV, NJ, NY, NC, OH, and WI. Individual State estimates will be published in the

"Small Grains 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 5 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Jun 1 Jul 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

MD

MI

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

840

300

1,650

58

200

690

650

330

8,100

340

180

490

205

760

750

1,520

128

480

810

3,500

710

185

190

625

300

2,700

170

1,750

120

920

29,651

580

400

2,200

47

230

720

780

420

9,700

300

150

660

125

780

1,750

1,700

119

420

960

4,700

950

160

200

1,520

270

3,600

165

1,800

165

920

36,491

46.0

75.0

22.0

70.0

41.0

79.0

49.0

53.0

33.0

53.0

66.0

67.0

44.0

45.0

28.0

32.0

58.0

42.0

62.0

28.0

41.0

54.0

37.0

29.0

46.0

29.0

63.0

59.0

19.0

41.3

38.5

51.0

75.0

33.0

62.0

50.0

82.0

56.0

63.0

44.0

57.0

64.0

66.0

50.0

51.0

38.0

44.0

60.0

41.0

68.0

36.0

53.0

53.0

39.0

40.0

50.0

29.0

58.0

62.0

28.0

44.2

44.6

50.0

65.0

35.0

52.0

44.0

82.0

62.0

65.0

49.0

59.0

56.0

66.0

48.0

58.0

37.0

47.0

60.0

37.0

66.0

41.0

53.0

50.0

38.0

41.0

52.0

29.0

53.0

64.0

29.0

45.2

47.0

38,640

22,500

36,300

4,060

8,200

54,510

31,850

17,490

267,300

18,020

11,880

32,830

9,020

34,200

21,000

48,640

7,424

20,160

50,220

98,000

29,110

9,990

7,030

18,125

13,800

78,300

10,710

103,250

2,280

37,963

1,142,802

29,000

26,000

77,000

2,444

10,120

59,040

48,360

27,300

475,300

17,700

8,400

43,560

6,000

45,240

64,750

79,900

7,140

15,540

63,360

192,700

50,350

8,000

7,600

62,320

14,040

104,400

8,745

115,200

4,785

41,618

1,715,912

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 6 NASS, USDA

Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002

2003

2002 2003

Jun 1 Jul 1

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

MT

ND

Oth

 Sts 1

US

89

90

565

1,950

9

2,703

106

115

640

1,850

27

2,738

95.0

100.0

23.0

25.0

27.8

29.4

94.0

100.0

91.0

95.0

29.0

29.0

26.4

34.1

8,455

9,000

12,995

48,750

250

79,450

9,646

10,925

18,560

53,650

714

93,495

 1 Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

ID

MN

MT

ND

OR

SD

WA

 Oth

 Sts 1

US

510

1,800

3,450

5,900

140

1,000

615

48

13,463

460

1,800

2,800

6,300

135

1,350

545

58

13,448

65.0

34.0

22.0

28.0

35.0

24.0

43.0

70.7

29.3

66.0

44.0

29.0

36.0

40.0

38.0

44.0

56.3

37.3

33,320

79,200

65,550

234,600

4,650

64,350

25,830

4,508

512,008

33,150

61,200

75,900

165,200

4,900

24,000

26,445

3,394

394,189

30,360

79,200

81,200

226,800

5,400

51,300

23,980

3,264

501,504

 1 Other States include CO, NV, UT, WI, and WY. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003

Summary".

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002

and Forecasted July 1, 2003 1

Year

Winter Spring

Hard Total

Red

Soft

Red White HardRed White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

2001

2002

2003

766,795

609,243

1,091,304

399,670

332,275

366,099

195,014

201,284

258,509

475,515

356,597

466,787

36,493

37,592

34,717

83,556

79,450

93,495

1,957,043

1,616,441

2,310,911

 1 Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used

throughout the forecast season except in Colorado, Kansas, Nebraska, and Washington which have been updated with current

data.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 7 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Head Population

The National Agricultural Statistics Service is conducting objective yield surveys in 10 winter wheat

estimating States during 2003. Randomly selected plots in winter wheat fields are visited monthly from May

through harvest to obtain specific counts and measurements. Data in this table are actual field counts from

this survey. The final number of heads is determined when the plots are harvested.

Winter Wheat: Heads per Square Foot,

Selected States, 1999-2003

State Month 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 1

Number Number Number Number Number

CO

IL

KS

MO

MT

NE

OH

OK

TX

WA

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

July

August

Final

42.1

43.5

43.4

59.7

59.6

59.6

49.4

49.4

49.4

47.0

47.0

47.0

37.0

36.5

36.3

59.8

57.9

57.9

57.0

57.3

57.3

40.2

40.1

40.1

40.7

40.7

40.7

35.1

34.3

35.0

48.0

47.7

47.7

55.0

55.0

55.0

46.5

46.5

46.5

49.9

49.9

49.9

41.3

40.3

40.3

57.5

58.3

58.3

59.5

59.5

59.5

40.2

40.2

40.2

31.4

31.5

31.6

40.6

40.0

40.1

34.2

33.7

33.9

53.1

52.0

52.0

39.7

39.7

39.7

47.7

47.7

47.7

25.6

25.2

25.2

46.6

46.8

46.8

52.0

51.7

51.7

32.5

32.5

32.5

33.4

33.4

33.4

37.3

36.7

36.8

35.9

35.6

35.6

59.4

59.5

59.5

41.7

41.7

41.7

54.8

54.8

54.8

36.3

34.3

34.3

52.4

52.8

52.8

58.5

57.8

57.8

40.2

40.2

40.2

34.2

34.2

34.2

37.8

37.6

37.8

38.9

56.5

50.4

51.3

44.5

59.5

53.1

46.8

36.3

37.2

 1 Final head counts will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 8 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

43,000

22,000

65,000

98,000

21,000

30,500

51,500

4,600

26,500

31,100

245,600

40,000

20,000

60,000

94,000

20,000

32,000

52,000

4,000

29,000

33,000

239,000

2,225

2,340

2,264

2,020

2,135

1,950

2,025

2,600

2,100

2,174

2,105

2,100

2,100

2,100

2,200

2,100

2,100

2,100

2,500

2,300

2,324

2,170

95,675

51,480

147,155

197,960

44,835

59,475

104,310

11,960

55,650

67,610

517,035

84,000

42,000

126,000

206,800

42,000

67,200

109,200

10,000

66,700

76,700

518,700
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 9 NASS, USDA

Peaches: Total Production by Type, State, and United States,

2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

State

Total Production

2001 2002 2003

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

AL

AR

CA

 All

 Clingstone

 Freestone

CO

CT

GA

ID

IL

IN

KY

LA

MD

MA

MI

MO

NJ

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

TN

TX

UT

VA

WA

WV

US

23.0

12.0

1,727.0

952.0

775.0

18.0

1.9

140.0

13.0

17.8

3.0

1.8

1.4

8.8

2.2

42.0

9.0

75.0

12.5

3.5

11.2

12.0

6.5

75.0

100.0

3.7

30.0

9.0

8.0

55.0

11.0

2,433.3

21.0

10.0

1,920.0

1,124.0

796.0

19.0

1.3

100.0

13.0

17.2

3.1

1.2

1.5

7.0

2.3

14.0

13.0

62.0

10.0

10.0

9.4

7.0

7.9

60.0

160.0

4.0

12.0

6.5

7.0

66.0

10.0

2,575.4

11.0

18.0

1,920.0

1,150.0

770.0

20.0

2.0

125.0

13.0

18.7

3.4

2.0

2.5

10.5

2.3

42.0

9.5

80.0

12.5

9.0

10.2

9.0

8.0

70.0

120.0

3.5

10.0

10.0

8.0

60.0

13.0

2,623.1
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 10 NASS, USDA

Miscellaneous Fruits and Nuts: Total Production by Crop, State,

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003

Crop and State

Total Production

2001 2002 2003

Tons Tons Tons

Grapes Table Type 1

 CA

Grapes Wine Type

 CA

Grapes Raisin Type 1 2

 CA

All Grapes

 CA

Apricots

 CA

 UT

 WA

 US

713,000

3,051,000

2,215,000

5,979,000

77,000

260

5,200

82,460

739,000

3,149,000

2,833,000

6,721,000

85,000

140

4,900

90,040

740,000

3,050,000

2,500,000

6,290,000

85,000

100

5,300

90,400

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Almonds (Shelled Basis) 3

 CA 830,000 1,090,000 1,000,000

 1 Fresh equivalent of dried and not dried. 2 The Raisin Industry Diversion Program (RID) was not implemented in 2003, but was implemented on the 2001 and 2002 bearing

acres only. No production was realized from these acres. Acres enrolled are as follows: 41,000 for 2001 and 27,000 for 2002. 3 Utilized production.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2002 2003

2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

May

Jun

2,475

2,205

2,250

2,175

1,935

1,725

1,740

1,575

3,210

3,285

3,125

3,195

 1 Utilized fresh production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 11 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2000-2001, 2001-2002 and Forecasted July 1, 2003 1

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 Valencia

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 4

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 All

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 TX

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 5

 CA 5

 FL 6

 US

Lemons

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

K-Early Citrus 7

 FL

480

35,500

128,000

2,000

165,980

420

19,000

95,300

235

114,955

900

54,500

223,300

2,235

280,935

1,250

18,700

27,300

250

6,300

46,000

7,200

59,750

650

2,200

5,600

8,450

3,600

22,600

26,200

2,100

40

270

34,000

128,000

1,530

163,800

250

20,500

102,000

210

122,960

520

54,500

230,000

1,740

286,760

1,550

18,900

27,800

160

6,000

46,700

5,900

58,760

620

2,200

6,600

9,420

2,800

19,000

21,800

2,150

30

200

40,000

112,000

1,350

153,550

250

21,000

90,700

220

112,170

450

61,000

202,700

1,570

265,720

1,300

16,200

22,500

100

5,600

38,700

5,650

50,050

400

2,500

5,500

8,400

3,000

24,000

27,000

2,350

18

1,331

5,760

85

7,194

16

713

4,288

10

5,027

34

2,044

10,048

95

12,221

56

795

1,160

8

211

1,955

288

2,462

24

83

266

373

137

859

996

95

2

10

1,275

5,760

65

7,110

9

769

4,590

9

5,377

19

2,044

10,350

74

12,487

70

803

1,182

5

201

1,985

236

2,427

23

83

314

420

106

722

828

97

1

8

1,500

5,040

57

6,605

9

788

4,082

9

4,888

17

2,288

9,122

66

11,493

59

689

956

3

188

1,645

226

2,062

15

94

261

370

114

912

1,026

106

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early

Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Includes seedy. 5 Includes tangelos and tangors. 6 2000-01 through 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 includes Fallglo, Sunburst,

and Honey varieties only. 7 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 12 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2002-2003

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Winter 1

 CA

 FL

 Total

Spring 1

 AZ

 CA

 FL

 Hastings

 Other FL

 NC

 TX

 Total

Summer

 AL

 CA

 CO

 DE

 IL

 KS

 MD

 MO

 NJ

 NM

 TX

 VA

 Total

9.0

6.8

15.8

7.8

19.0

27.0

19.5

7.5

21.5

12.5

87.8

3.1

7.3

6.4

3.7

6.5

3.0

4.8

7.0

2.6

2.5

8.8

6.5

62.2

9.0

6.0

15.0

7.6

18.5

28.0

19.5

8.5

18.0

13.0

85.1

3.5

8.0

6.8

3.7

6.5

2.8

4.7

8.0

2.6

2.5

9.0

7.0

65.1

9.0

6.7

15.7

7.8

19.0

26.3

19.0

7.3

21.0

12.0

86.1

3.0

7.3

6.3

3.6

6.4

2.9

4.7

5.4

2.6

2.3

8.3

6.3

59.1

9.0

5.8

14.8

7.6

18.5

27.3

19.0

8.3

17.0

12.5

82.9

3.4

8.0

6.7

3.6

6.3

2.7

4.6

7.3

2.6

2.5

8.4

7.0

63.1

270

265

268

270

405

300

315

260

170

170

271

185

360

360

260

310

340

250

240

275

320

400

220

304

310

235

281

275

410

250

250

250

165

240

269

190

400

370

250

350

370

240

230

240

320

410

215

310

2,430

1,776

4,206

2,106

7,695

7,883

5,985

1,898

3,570

2,040

23,294

555

2,628

2,268

936

1,984

986

1,175

1,296

715

736

3,320

1,386

17,985

2,790

1,363

4,153

2,090

7,585

6,825

4,750

2,075

2,805

3,000

22,305

646

3,200

2,479

900

2,205

999

1,104

1,679

624

800

3,444

1,505

19,585

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 13 NASS, USDA

Potatoes: Area Planted and Harvested, Yield, and Production by Seasonal

Group, State, and United States, 2002-2003 (continued)

Seasonal

Group and

State

Area Planted Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

Fall 2

 CA

 CO

 ID

 10 SW Co

 Other ID

 IN

 ME

 MA

 MI

 MN

 MT

 NE

 NV

 NM

 NY

 ND

 OH

 OR

 Malheur

 Other OR

 PA

 RI

 SD

 UT

 WA

 WI

 Total

US

8.9

71.6

375.0

27.0

348.0

2.9

64.0

3.0

46.5

61.0

10.5

22.0

7.6

4.0

22.5

118.0

4.3

50.0

8.0

42.0

15.0

0.5

1.1

0.8

170.0

85.0

1,144.2

1,310.0

8.0

66.3

360.0

25.0

335.0

3.0

66.0

3.0

47.0

61.0

10.6

23.5

9.0

4.0

22.2

118.0

4.2

42.8

5.8

37.0

14.5

0.5

1.0

0.8

165.0

84.0

1,114.4

1,279.6

8.9

71.5

373.0

27.0

346.0

2.8

64.0

2.9

45.5

55.0

10.4

21.8

7.6

4.0

22.0

102.0

4.2

49.8

8.0

41.8

14.0

0.5

1.1

0.8

170.0

83.0

1,114.8

1,275.7

8.0

66.0

358.0

25.0

333.0

2.9

65.0

3.0

46.0

55.0

10.5

23.0

9.0

4.0

22.0

110.0

4.1

42.6

5.8

36.8

14.0

0.5

1.0

0.8

165.0

83.0

1,093.4

1,254.2

500

390

358

455

350

260

265

255

305

340

310

395

340

400

250

230

240

501

400

520

185

180

300

305

560

375

374

363

4,450

27,885

133,385

12,285

121,100

728

16,960

740

13,878

18,700

3,224

8,611

2,584

1,600

5,500

23,460

1,008

24,936

3,200

21,736

2,590

90

330

244

95,200

31,125

417,228

462,713

 1 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 2 The forecast of fall potato production will be published in the November "Crop Production".
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 14 NASS, USDA

Fall Potatoes: Percent of Acreage Planted by Type of Potatoes,

11 Major States, 2002-2003

State

Potato Types 1

Reds Whites Russets

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

CO

ID

ME

MI

MN

NY

ND

OR

PA

WA

WI

Total

4

1

4

3

29

16

1

4

11

6

5

2

4

4

28

22

2

6

10

7

12

4

59

85

11

100

40

30

100

11

33

24

12

3

57

83

11

100

33

26

100

9

38

23

84

95

37

12

60

44

69

85

56

70

83

95

39

13

61

45

72

85

52

70

 1 Predominant type shown may include small portion of other type(s) constituting less than 1 percent of State’s total. Yellow flesh

potatoes are reported under white types.

Fall Potatoes: Acres Planted for Certified Seed Potatoes,

by State and Total, 2002-2003 1

State

2002 Crop 2003 Crop

Entered for

Certification Certified PercentCertified

Entered for

Certification

Acres Acres Percent Acres

AK

CA

CO

ID

ME

MI

MN

MT

NE

NY

ND

OR

PA

SD

WA

WI

Total

175

350

17,400

41,000

14,500

2,564

9,000

8,871

5,800

570

19,569

2,240

256

840

2,400

10,732

136,267

180

576

14,808

40,799

14,762

2,582

9,477

9,176

6,524

969

18,678

2,388

281

254

2,488

10,382

134,324

103

165

85

100

102

101

105

103

112

170

95

107

110

30

104

97

99

170

500

15,700

40,032

13,288

2,600

10,000

9,638

6,560

994

20,200

2,300

235

972

2,630

9,300

135,119

 1 Data supplied by State seed certification officials.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 15 NASS, USDA

Dry Edible Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2002-2003 1

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

OR

WA

US

41.0

32.0

155.0

4.7

70.0

302.7

51.0

50.0

170.0

5.0

80.0

356.0

40.0

27.0

138.0

4.7

70.0

279.7

50.0

39.0

160.0

5.0

80.0

334.0

 1 Excludes both wrinkled seed peas and Austrian winter peas.

Lentils: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2002-2003

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

ND

WA

US

68.0

25.0

53.0

75.0

221.0

64.0

32.0

55.0

95.0

246.0

66.0

21.0

47.0

75.0

209.0

63.0

29.0

53.0

95.0

240.0

Austrian Winter Peas: Area Planted and Harvested by State

and United States, 2002-2003

State

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

ID

MT

OR

US

11.0

9.5

1.0

21.5

10.0

10.0

1.2

21.2

7.5

3.5

0.6

11.6

7.0

3.0

0.6

10.6
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 16 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,073.0

79,054.0

5,005.0

450.0

3,240.0

1,395.0

9,580.0

60,358.0

41,735.0

2,909.0

15,714.0

1,459.0

785.0

191.0

1,358.0

3.4

219.0

73,758.0

2,585.0

13,957.9

13,714.0

243.9

1,427.3

21.5

1,922.1

302.7

221.0

1,310.0

15.8

87.8

62.2

1,144.2

97.2

5,461.0

79,066.0

4,676.0

630.0

2,992.0

1,373.0

9,477.0

60,940.0

44,349.0

2,804.0

13,787.0

1,201.0

583.0

96.5

1,256.0

1.6

213.0

73,653.0

2,324.0

13,924.0

13,748.0

176.0

1,362.4

21.2

1,511.7

356.0

246.0

1,279.6

15.0

85.1

65.1

1,114.4

94.0

4,135.0

69,313.0

7,490.0

64,497.0

23,135.0

41,362.0

2,098.0

220.0

3,207.0

286.0

7,299.0

352.0

45,817.0

29,651.0

2,703.0

13,463.0

1,275.0

704.0

175.0

1,296.7

3.1

196.0

72,160.0

2,205.0

12,426.6

12,184.0

242.6

1,361.1

1,023.2

428.7

11.6

1,726.9

279.7

209.0

6.2

0.3

29.3

80.2

1,275.7

15.7

86.1

59.1

1,114.8

18.0

83.5

0.4

4,899.0

71,985.0

64,379.0

23,541.0

40,838.0

2,286.0

2,967.0

302.0

8,121.0

52,677.0

36,491.0

2,738.0

13,448.0

1,163.0

572.0

94.2

1,222.0

1.5

198.0

72,681.0

2,255.0

1,336.8

995.0

413.7

10.6

1,439.7

334.0

240.0

28.4

1,254.2

14.8

82.9

63.1

1,093.4

91.0

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 17 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

54.9

130.0

14.0

2.34

3.19

1.86

56.8

12.5

6,578

24.4

50.7

9.5

35.3

38.5

29.4

29.3

1,218

17.9

705

2,561

1,461

1,520

37.8

1,133

665

651

1,342

20.4

34.7

2,055

1,414

1,736

1,517

1,200

1,370

45,000

1,990

85

363

268

271

304

374

108

154

59.5

64.7

43.9

47.0

34.1

37.3

281

269

310

226,873

9,007,659

104,979

150,962

73,824

77,138

119,132

2,755

210,960

6,985

369,758

3,360

1,616,441

1,142,802

79,450

394,189

1,552,520

6,184

12,569

123,450

3,320,490

4,530

297,980

2,729,709

2,497,236

17,208.6

16,530.3

678.3

27,718

35,553

880,734

164

29,974

4,242

2,508

457

8,500

14,400

58,336.6

6,818

462,713

4,206

23,294

17,985

417,228

1,942

12,865

6,100

291,527

147,895

2,310,911

1,715,912

93,495

501,504

4,153

22,305

19,585

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 18 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2001 2002 2003

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lbs

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,462

2

996

12,221

95

373

56

9,428.7

82.5

28,000.0

6,569.6

134.0

55,000.0

2,433.3

1,001.8

150.0

21.2

830,000

49.5

338,500

161,000

305.0

1,049

2,427

1

828

12,487

97

420

70

8,555.6

90.0

19,500.0

7,364.0

103.0

45,900.0

2,575.4

868.5

171.0

15.7

1,090,000

19.5

172,900

303,000

282.0

1,393

2,062

1,026

11,493

106

370

59

90.4

2,623.1

190.0

1,000,000

1,239

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 19 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,052,990

31,992,360

2,025,470

182,110

1,311,200

564,540

3,876,930

24,426,280

16,889,740

1,177,240

6,359,300

590,440

317,680

77,300

549,570

1,380

88,630

29,849,130

1,046,120

5,648,620

5,549,920

98,700

577,610

8,700

777,850

122,500

89,440

530,140

6,390

35,530

25,170

463,050

39,340

2,210,010

31,997,220

1,892,330

254,950

1,210,830

555,640

3,835,250

24,661,810

17,947,600

1,134,750

5,579,460

486,030

235,930

39,050

508,290

650

86,200

29,806,630

940,500

5,634,900

5,563,680

71,230

551,350

8,580

611,770

144,070

99,550

517,840

6,070

34,440

26,350

450,990

38,040

1,673,390

28,050,280

3,031,130

26,101,290

9,362,500

16,738,790

849,040

89,030

1,297,840

115,740

2,953,830

142,450

18,541,680

11,999,460

1,093,880

5,448,340

515,980

284,900

70,820

524,760

1,250

79,320

29,202,430

892,340

5,028,920

4,930,740

98,180

550,820

414,080

173,470

4,690

698,860

113,190

84,580

2,510

130

11,860

32,460

516,260

6,350

34,840

23,920

451,150

7,280

33,790

170

1,982,580

29,131,610

26,053,540

9,526,810

16,526,730

925,120

1,200,720

122,220

3,286,490

21,317,860

14,767,540

1,108,040

5,442,270

470,650

231,480

38,120

494,530

610

80,130

29,413,270

912,580

540,990

402,670

167,420

4,290

582,630

135,170

97,130

11,470

507,560

5,990

33,550

25,540

442,490

36,830

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 20 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

2.95

8.16

31.42

5.25

7.15

4.18

2.04

0.70

7.37

1.53

3.18

21.40

2.37

2.59

1.98

1.97

1.36

1.12

0.79

2.87

1.64

1.70

2.54

1.27

0.75

0.73

1.50

45.65

77.89

2.30

1.58

1.95

1.70

1.35

1.54

50.44

2.23

0.10

40.65

30.03

30.32

34.11

41.95

0.12

17.27

3.20

2.32

2.95

3.16

2.30

2.51

31.45

30.16

34.79

4,939,580

228,805,080

95,235,350

136,950,420

66,972,010

69,978,420

1,729,200

62,480

9,568,990

177,430

9,392,290

3,048,140

43,992,310

31,101,970

2,162,270

10,728,070

704,210

5,609,940

319,270

56,000

1,506,150

2,050

135,160

74,290,500

1,132,730

3,746,730

3,599,050

147,680

25,145,350

32,253,140

399,490

7,440

1,359,600

192,410

113,760

20,730

3,860

6,530

26,460

3,090

20,988,310

190,780

1,056,600

815,790

18,925,140

880

583,550

2,770

6,347,250

2,146,690

62,892,690

46,699,470

2,544,520

13,648,700

188,380

1,011,740

888,360

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 21 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2001 2002 2003

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,233,490

1,810

903,560

11,086,700

86,180

338,380

50,800

4,276,790

74,810

12,700

5,959,840

121,560

24,950

1,103,730

908,800

136,080

19,230

376,480

44,910

153,540

73,030

276,690

5,240

2,201,740

910

751,150

11,328,020

88,000

381,020

63,500

3,880,760

81,680

8,850

6,680,510

93,440

20,820

1,168,180

787,840

155,130

14,200

494,420

17,690

78,430

137,440

255,830

6,960

1,870,610

930,770

10,426,270

96,160

335,660

53,520

82,010

1,189,820

172,370

453,590

6,190

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 22 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 23 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 24 NASS, USDA

June Weather Summary

Cool, wet weather dominated areas from the High Plains to the East Coast during June. By month’s end,

agricultural drought concerns east of the Rockies were limited to a few areas, including parts of central and

southern Texas and locations surrounding Lake Michigan. Midwestern dryness was more widespread for

much of the month, but late-June showers across the western Corn Belt boosted soil moisture reserves for

corn and soybean development. Rainfall was much more persistent from the Delta to the middle and southern

Atlantic States, maintaining a wet weather pattern that caused significant Southeastern planting and crop

developmental delays. Across the southern half of the Plains, rain aided pastures and summer crops, but

initially caused winter wheat harvest delays. The southern Plains’ showers became more scattered toward

month’s end, allowing for an acceleration of wheat harvesting. In the West, however, very warm, mostly dry

weather boosted irrigation demands, increased stress on dryland agricultural interests, and contributed to an

increase in wildfire activity. Effects of the hot, dry weather were aggravated by concerns over below-normal

reservoir levels across the Intermountain West and Southwest. An exception to the West’s prevailing weather

pattern occurred late in the month, when highly beneficial rain and snow fell across Wyoming and northern

Utah.

Monthly temperatures averaged 1 to 5 degrees F below normal in most locations east of the Rockies. Nearnormal readings were confined to northern New England and areas along the Gulf and southern Atlantic

Coasts. A few places in southernmost Texas noted temperatures up to 3 degrees F above normal. The hottest

weather, relative to normal, was observed in the Great Basin and Northwest, where temperatures were mostly

1 to 5 degrees F above normal.

June Crop Summary

High temperatures during June accelerated crop growth and development West of the Rocky Mountains. 

Elsewhere, temperatures averaged below normal for the month. In the Southwest, dry weather increased

irrigation demands. Above-normal precipitation saturated the topsoil in the Southeast, especially along the

Gulf Coast, and Atlantic Coastal Plains through mid-June. Some low lying fields were flooded due to

precipitation. Near the end of the month, favorable weather helped dry excessively wet fields and improved

crop conditions. In the central Great Plains, scattered showers and below-normal temperatures delayed winter

wheat maturation and harvest. Late planting delayed crop emergence in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. In

the Corn Belt, periods of cool temperatures and heavy showers hindered development.

Corn was 95 percent planted on June 1, slightly behind the 5-year average. Half of the 18 major-producing

States were either at or ahead of their normal planting pace. Most of the acreage remaining to be planted was

in Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. By June 15, the crop was 96 percent emerged, slightly

behind normal. Virtually all fields were emerged in the western Corn Belt and adjacent areas of the Great

Plains. Fields quickly emerged in Michigan, South Dakota, and Wisconsin, despite below-normal

temperatures. Late planted fields also emerged rapidly in Pennsylvania due to warm weather conditions, but

emergence remained well behind their 5-year average. Five percent of the acreage was at or beyond the

silking stage, equal to the 5-year average for June 29. Silking in the Corn Belt was mostly confined to the

lower Missouri and Ohio River Valleys, where 16 percent of the Kentucky acreage and 20 percent of the

Missouri acreage were at or beyond the silking stage. Despite the wet spring and delayed planting, over onehalf of Tennessee’s crop was at or beyond the silking stage. Crop conditions in Kentucky and Pennsylvania

improved substantially during the last week of June due to hot, drier weather.

Soybean planting progressed behind normal throughout the month, advancing to 96 percent complete on June

29. Planting progress during the week of June 8 was more than 1 week behind normal in Indiana, Kentucky,

Louisiana, North Carolina, Ohio, and Tennessee. Despite some heavy showers during this week, planting

accelerated in Tennessee and North Carolina. Early in the month, the crop rapidly emerged in the Corn Belt

and upper Missouri Valley, with more than one-third of the crop emerging in Iowa, North Dakota, South

Dakota, and Wisconsin during the week of June 8. By mid-June, most States remained behind their 5-year

average emergence pace. In Louisiana, the early month dry weather conditions delayed planting which

resulted in emergence being two weeks behind normal. Warmer and drier weather conditions favored crop

development in Tennessee as the crop recovered from excessive soil moisture. By June 22, planting progress

in most of the States east of the Mississippi River was behind last year and the 5-year average with planting

well behind average in Kentucky, Louisiana, Ohio, and Tennessee. Several States in the Missouri Valley

were at or approached 100 percent planted. The crop rapidly emerged in the Great Plains and Great Lakes
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 25 NASS, USDA

region. However, most States remained behind their 5-year average emergence pace. Saturated soil

conditions and additional rain during the week delayed planting in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys. By lateJune, farmers continued to encounter challenges with planting in Kentucky and North Carolina. Emergence

was most advanced in the Dakotas and adjacent areas of the Corn Belt. However, emergence of the crop in

the eastern Corn Belt, Delta, and along the Atlantic Costal Plain lagged behind the 5-year average.

Above-normal temperatures promoted winter wheat development west of the Rocky Mountains. 

Development accelerated in most areas during early June with double-digit increases in the percentage headed

for Colorado, Idaho, Michigan, Nebraska, Oregon, South Dakota, and Washington. However, development in

Michigan remained significantly behind average. Harvest had not begun in most States as of June 8, but

progressed steadily despite scattered showers in Arkansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. Warm, dry weather in

California allowed producers to advance harvest to 18 percent complete. During mid-June, above normal

temperatures, including some temperatures above 90 degrees, promoted ripening in the Intermountain Region. 

Harvest began in Kansas and Missouri. Nationally, by June 22, harvest progress trailed the 5-year average

pace by 8 percentage percents. In the central Great Plains, below normal temperatures slowed maturity and

dry down of the crop the last week of June. Despite the cool weather, the crop harvest in Kansas during the

week accelerated 44 percentage points. The harvest season began in Colorado and Nebraska, but no fields

had been harvested in the Pacific Northwest, northern Rocky Mountains, Ohio, and Michigan.

Cotton planting neared completion, after mid-month in the Southeast, later than normal due to saturated fields

throughout the region. Early in the month, below-normal temperatures slowed development in the lower

Mississippi Valley and Southeast, while above-normal temperatures accelerated development of irrigated

fields in Arizona, where 36 percent was squaring or beyond. During mid-June, fields rapidly entered the

squaring stage in the Delta and Southeast, but remained behind normal due to unfavorable weather conditions

early in the year. In the southern Great Plains, cotton was setting bolls on pace with the average.

Ninety-six percent of the rice crop was emerged on June 15, compared with the average of 97 percent. At the

beginning of the month, only 80 percent of Califonia’s acrage was planted due to excessive rainfall,

12 percentage points behind the 5-year average. Due to California’s planting delays, emergence also lagged

well behind normal. From mid-June through the end of the month, drier fields and warmer temperatures

accelerated growth and development throughout the Delta. Almost one-half of Louisiana’s crop and more

than one-fourth of Texas’ acreage was headed or beyond by June 29. Heading in Missouri and Mississippi

was just getting underway, but heading had not begun in Arkansas and Calfornia. 

As of June 8, sorghum planting progressed behind normal in all States, except Arkansas, Colorado, and South

Dakota. Planting progress in Illinois was 4 weeks behind normal and remained well behind normal until the

end of the month. Planting progress also remained behind the 5-year average in the central and southern

Great Plains. Favorable weather in the lower Mississippi Valley allowed the crop to enter the heading stage

ahead of normal. On June 29, over 40 percent of the Louisiana and Texas crop was headed, but heading had

not started in the Corn Belt and central Great Plains.

The peanut crop developed well behind normal due to late planting in most of the Southeast. Twentyfive percent of the acreage was pegging by June 29, compared with 34 percent points last year and the 5-year

average of 33 percent. In Oklahoma, pegging was 35 percent ahead of normal, due to excellent planting and

growing conditions.

Barley and spring wheat were 94 and 95 percent emerged, respectively, on June 8, slightly ahead of the 5-year

averages. Early in the month, dry weather and high temperatures hindered development of both crops in the

Pacific Northwest. Despite below-normal temperatures in the northern Great Plains, heading progressed

ahead of normal. On June 29, forty-two percent of the barley fields and 46 percent of the spring wheat fields

were at or beyond the heading stage, both 8 percentage points ahead of the 5-year average. At month’s end,

heading of both crops was ahead of normal in all States, except Montana.

Ninety-seven percent of the oat crop was emerged on June 8, ahead of the 5-year average. Below-normal

temperatures hampered heading of the crop in most States. Hot weather promoted rapid development in the

Great Plains and Corn Belt near the end of the month. However, development continued to lag behind normal

in the Ohio Valley.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 26 NASS, USDA

Oats: Production for 2003 is forecast at 148 million bushels, 24 percent above last year’s 119 million

bushels. Area for harvest is estimated at 2.29 million acres, 9 percent above last year. The forecasted yield is

64.7 bushels per acre, 7.9 bushels above 2002. If realized, this would be the highest yield since 1992.

Adequate moisture enhanced crop potential in the Corn Belt, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Northwest. 

Record yields are expected in Illinois, Iowa, Michigan, and Oregon. Below normal temperatures during early

June hindered vegetative growth along the Atlantic Coast. However, high temperatures accelerated crop

development in the Corn Belt, Rocky Mountains, and Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, yields were reduced in

Texas, due to dry weather conditions.

Barley: Production for 2003 is forecast at 292 million bushels, 28 percent above 2002. Based on conditions

as of July 1, the average yield is forecast at 59.5 bushels per acre, up 4.6 bushels from last year. Area

harvested, at 4.90 million acres, is up 18 percent from 2002.

The area harvested for barley in 2003 is up in the northern Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States where

higher malting barley prices encouraged growers to increase acreage. Also, less abandonment is reported this

year due to the improved soil moisture conditions. Area to be harvested remains unchanged, or down slightly,

in most other barley producing States. 

Improved growing conditions across the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain States are expected to increase

yields from last year. The increase in production is being led by North Dakota where producers expect to

harvest 810,000 more acres than in 2002 and expect yields to be 9 bushels higher. Some concerns still exist

in the Pacific Northwest over availability of irrigation water. Yields in the Mid-Atlantic States are down due

to excessive precipitation.

Timely rains and mild temperatures prevailed over much of the northern Great Plains and adjacent barley

producing areas during June. As of June 29, barley was 42 percent headed, 8 points ahead of the five year

average. The crop condition was rated 79 percent good to excellent condition.

Winter Wheat: Acres harvested for grain are forecast at 36.5 million, up 23 percent from 2002. Harvest

progress, in the 18 major producing States, was 47 percent complete by June 29. This was 10 percentage

points behind last year and 3 points behind the 5-year average.

Yield increases from last month are forecast in most of the major Hard Red Winter (HRW) States. Kansas

and Oklahoma, the largest winter wheat growing States, recorded significant increases, and are now at record

high levels. In Colorado, June brought mild temperatures and needed precipitation to most growing areas. 

Crop condition ratings in Nebraska were well above the 5-year average. High temperatures in Montana

accelerated crop development.

Yield forecasts are mixed this month across the Soft Red Winter (SRW) States. Yield declines are forecast

across the Delta, Southeast, and Atlantic Coast States, however yields in most Corn Belt States are better than

previously expected. Growers in Illinois and Missouri are harvesting a record high yielding crop. 

White Wheat yield prospects are improved in Washington, but unchanged in Idaho and Oregon. In Idaho,

declines in the non-irrigated yields due to hot, dry conditions during June are expected to be offset by yield

increases in irrigated fields. Yield expectations remain steady in Oregon even though little moisture was

received during June.

Durum Wheat: Area for 2003 grain harvest is expected to total 2.74 million acres, up 1 percent from last

year. Harvest is nearly complete in California. Durum wheat varieties escaped most of the problems

associated with wheat stripe rust that was reported throughout the State. Montana crop development is ahead

of last year due to warm temperatures during the last half of June. In North Dakota, most of the State has had

adequate to surplus topsoil moisture throughout spring and early summer. For the week ending June 29,

eighty-six percent of the North Dakota crop was rated in good to excellent condition.

Other Spring Wheat: Harvested grain area is forecast at 13.4 million acres, down slightly from last year. In

Minnesota, May and June weather was cool, with adequate moisture received. As of June 29,

seventy-eight percent of the Minnesota crop was headed, well ahead of the 5-year average of 48 percent. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 27 NASS, USDA

Moisture supplies in North Dakota have been good across most of the State. In Montana, warm temperatures

and sufficient precipitation advanced crop development during June. Water supplies in Oregon are better

than last year, but becoming short.

Lentils: Planted acreage of lentils in Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, and Washington is estimated at

246,000 acres, up 11 percent from last year and 22 percent above 2001. Harvested acreage is estimated at

240,000, up 15 percent from last year. Washington growers planted 95,000 acres of lentils, up 27 percent

from 2002 and 19 percent above two years ago. This is the highest acreage level since 1994. Growers in

Idaho planted 64,000 acres of lentils, 6 percent below last year but 19 percent greater than two years ago. 

Weather conditions remain favorable. Early summer rains were beneficial to the crop. Planted acreage in

North Dakota is estimated at 55,000 acres, up 4 percent from last year and 22 percent above 2001. This is a

record high planted acreage for North Dakota. Montana growers planted 32,000 acres this year, 28 percent

above 2002 and 45 percent above two years ago.

Dry Edible Peas: Planted acreage of dry edible peas for 2003 is estimated at 356,000 acres, up 18 percent

from last year and 72 percent above 2001. Acreage planted in North Dakota, at 170,000 acres, is 10 percent

above a year ago. This is a record high for the State. North Dakota growers are expected to harvest

160,000 acres, 16 percent greater than last season. Idaho dry edible pea growers planted 51,000 acres in

2003, up 24 percent from last year. Idaho growers plan to harvest 50,000 acres, 25 percent more than the

previous season. Oregon growers devoted 5,000 acres to dry edible peas, an increase of 6 percent from the

previous year.

Washington farmers planted dry edible peas on 80,000 acres, 14 percent above 2002 and their largest acreage

since 1999. Dry pea planting was completed by the beginning of June. The crop had been extensively

sprayed by air and ground for insect pest control. The dry pea crop is looking good; however, a good soaking

rain would be welcome before the mid-July harvest. Harvest will be over a wider time frame due to the

spread out planting season. Growers plan to harvest all 80,000 acres, 14 percent more than last year. 

Montana dry edible pea growers planted 50,000 acres, up 56 percent from a year ago and 92 percent above

2001. Following several years of drought, Montana has had above normal precipitation this spring which has

created favorable crop conditions across most of the State. Growers in the Northeastern region of Montana

have seen significant improvement in growing conditions this season.

Austrian Winter Peas: Planted acreage of Austrian winter peas in Idaho, Montana, and Oregon is estimated

at 21,200 acres, 1 percent below 2002 but 33 percent above the 2001 season. Harvested acreage is estimated

at 10,600 acres, down 9 percent from last year but 49 percent above 2 years ago. Montana growers planted

10,000 acres, up 5 percent from 2002. They plan to harvest 3,000 acres, 14 percent less than last season. The

crop is mostly grazed in the State and some acreage is harvested for feed. Planted acreage in Idaho totaled

10,000 acres, down 9 percent from 2002. Harvested acreage is estimated at 7,000 acres, 7 percent below the

2002 season. Idaho’s harvested area is showing normal abandonment due to acreage plowed under for soil

enrichment. Temperatures have been mild and conditions favorable as a result of early summer rainfall. 

Austrian winter peas planted acreage in Oregon is estimated at 1,200, up 20 percent from a year ago. 

Harvested area is estimated at 600 acres, unchanged from the previous year.

Tobacco: U.S. all flue-cured production is forecast at 518.7 million pounds, up less than 1 percent from the

2002 crop but 10 percent below 2001. Yield per acre for flue-cured tobacco is forecast at 2,170 pounds, up

65 pounds from 2002 but 262 pounds below the 2001 yield. Forecasted yields for all flue-cured tobacco in

North Carolina, South Carolina, and Georgia increased from last year, while yields are expected to decline in

Virginia and Florida.

North Carolina’s flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 332.8 million pounds, down 2 percent from the

2002 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,161 pounds, up 72 pounds from 2002. An unusually wet spring

resulted in many growers transplanting late or having to replant. However, in the Coastal Plain where most of

the tobacco is grown, the excess rainfall was generally beneficial because of the well-drained, sandy soils in

that region. 

Flue-cured tobacco production in South Carolina is forecast at 67.2 million pounds, up 13 percent from the

2002 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,100 pounds, up 150 pounds from last year. Development of the
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 28 NASS, USDA

crop was slowed by a cool, wet spring. However, warmer weather and normal rainfall during June have

hastened crop growth and development.

Georgia’s flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 66.7 million pounds, up 20 percent from the 2002 crop. 

Yield per acre is forecast at 2,300 pounds, up 200 pounds from last season. Abundant rainfall and minimal

disease and insect pressure have resulted in mostly improved yield expectations compared to last season’s

drought and disease damaged crop. However, some areas received too much rain, resulting in slower crop

growth and development.

Flue-cured tobacco production in Virginia is forecast at 42.0 million pounds, down 18 percent from the

2002 crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,100 pounds, down 240 pounds from last year. Prolonged periods of

rainfall in May and June resulted in poor transplanting conditions. Where producers succeeded in

transplanting their crop on time, the crop has, in many cases, become stunted by the wet, cool weather. Some

reports of premature blooming have been received.

Florida’s flue-cured tobacco production is forecast at 10.0 million pounds, down 16 percent from last year’s

crop. Yield per acre is forecast at 2,500 pounds, down 100 pounds from the 2002 crop. Harvest began

around mid-June with some delays due to frequent rain showers.

All Potatoes: Potato growers across the United States have planted an estimated 1.28 million acres of

potatoes in all four seasons this year, down 2 percent from 2002. Area for harvest, forecast at 1.25 million

acres, is down 2 percent from a year ago. The summer season forecast places production up 9 percent from

last year. Winter and spring season production forecasts, which are being carried forward, are down 1 and

4 percent, respectively. Fall potato planted acreage is down 3 percent from 2002.

Fall Potatoes: Area planted to fall potatoes this year is estimated at 1.11 million acres, down 3 percent from

last year but 2 percent above two years ago. Harvest is forecast from 1.09 million acres, down 2 percent from

a year ago but 2 percent above 2001.

Western States fall potato planted area is estimated at 666,500 acres this year, down 5 percent from last year

but 3 percent above 2001. Shortages of irrigation water supplies this spring prompted voluntary acreage

cutbacks in Colorado and Oregon where planted acres dropped 7 and 14 percent, respectively, from last year. 

Idaho growers dropped their potato acreage 4 percent and Washington pulled back 3 percent from a year ago. 

Irrigation water supplies have improved with late spring rains in Idaho and Malheur County, Oregon, but

remain problematic in Colorado. California’s potato acreage is off 10 percent but Nevada’s plantings are up

18 percent from a year ago. Montana’s potato acreage inched up 1 percent from last year as New Mexico and

Utah remained the same.

Central States planted an estimated 341,700 acres of fall potatoes this year, up less than 1 percent from last

year and 1 percent above two years ago. Planted acreage gained 7 percent in Nebraska, 3 percent in Indiana,

and 1 percent in Michigan from a year ago. Minnesota and North Dakota remained the same, while Ohio

acreage fell 2 percent, South Dakota dropped 9 percent, and Wisconsin slipped 1 percent from last year. Wet

spring weather slowed planting and early development in most of the Central States but recent warm

temperatures have helped potatoes catch up. 

Growers in Eastern States have planted an estimated 106,200 acres of fall potatoes this year, up 1 percent

from last year and 3 percent above 2001 acreage. Maine’s planted acreage is estimated at 66,000 acres, up

3 percent from last year. Planted potato acreage in Massachusetts and Rhode Island were the same as last

year. New York and Pennsylvania dropped 1 and 3 percent, respectively.

Summer Potatoes: Production of summer potatoes is forecast at 19.6 million cwt, a gain of 9 percent from a

year ago. Harvest is expected from 63,100 acres, up 7 percent from last year. The average yield is 310 cwt

per acre, up 6 cwt from 2002. Nine of the 12 summer potato States expect larger crops than they had last

year, while the remaining 3 States are smaller. 

Missouri’s production is expected to be up 30 percent from last year, followed by California, with an increase

of 22 percent. Alabama’s summer potato crop forecast is up 16 percent, while Illinois expects a gain of

11 percent. Colorado, New Mexico, and Virginia are each looking for production increases of 9 percent. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 29 NASS, USDA

Texas expectations are up 4 percent and Kansas looks for a 1 percent increase. Smaller potato crops are seen

in Delaware, Maryland, and New Jersey.

Cool, wet weather on the East Coast slowed planting and crop development during the spring months. Recent

hot weather pushed development, but harvest is expected to be late in New Jersey, Maryland, Delaware, and

Virginia. Harvest is underway in early areas of Alabama and Missouri. Recent hot weather has reduced yield

prospects in Missouri. Growing conditions are good in Illinois. Summer potatoes in Colorado and nearby

Kansas are headed for record high yields if expected conditions prevail. Colorado farmers were worried

about having enough irrigation water, but spring runoff has been better than expected. Texas potato harvest is

just starting. Some acreage in Central Texas was lost because of too much rain during the spring and then it

became too dry. The California summer crop was delayed by a cool, wet spring and many expect harvest to

be late.

Peaches: The July 2003 forecast of U.S. peach production is 2.62 billion pounds, up 2 percent from

2002 and 8 percent above two years ago. Nineteen States forecast increases in production from last year,

while 7 States expect declines and 3 States remain unchanged.

The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.15 billion pounds, down 3 percent from the June 1 forecast but

2 percent above 2002. The State experienced fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter, which

mostly affected the Stanislaus variety. Set was reported to be lighter in the Modesto area than in the northern

area of the State. Growers reported some hail damage in the southern Modesto area. Harvest began in the

Kingsburg area on June 19th. This forecast takes into account the green-drop program initiated by the peach

industry.

The California Freestone crop is forecast at 770 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but

3 percent below 2002. Fewer than adequate chilling hours during the winter resulted in a lengthy bloom

period. Set in the early varieties looks good, while set in the middle to late season varieties is down from last

season. Harvest of Freestone peaches is in full swing. Fruit quality is reported to be very good with excellent

flavor and a long shelf life.

The South Carolina peach crop is forecast at 120 million pounds, down 8 percent from the June 1 forecast

and 25 percent below 2002. The peach crop is not doing as well as originally expected. An abundance of

rainfall has caused poor pollination in some areas, as well as rot and above average fruit drop. Damage from

several hail storms in addition to a late frost have also taken their toll on quality and production. North

Carolina’s peach crop, forecast at 9.00 million pounds, is down 10 percent from last year. Some orchards in

the mountains and Piedmont received light frost damage beginning of April. The quality of peaches

remaining is good. Thinning was required in orchards that did not receive any frost. Wet conditions during

June caused harvest problems for the crop with many orchards reporting hail damage.

Georgia’s peach crop is forecast at 125 million pounds, unchanged from the June 1 forecast but up 25 percent

from the 2002 crop. The peach crop remains in mostly good condition, although above normal rainfall

continued in June. This access moisture added to already heavy disease pressure. Harvest as of June 29 was

54 percent complete, equal to the 5-year average.

New Jersey and New York’s production is up 29 and 25 percent, respectively, from 2002. In New Jersey,

bloom and fruit set were good to excellent. Sufficient soil moisture and recent high temperatures benefitted

fruit development. New York’s peach crop exhibited heavy fruit set and is sizing well except for an early ice

storm in Wayne county. The Pennsylvania crop is forecast at 70.0 million pounds, 17 percent above 2002. 

Producers report that the peach crop is plentiful and sizing good, in spite of the cool, wet weather during

spring and early summer. There have been a few reports of fungus and bacteria due to the wet weather. 

Many producers did a lot of thinning this spring.

Michigan’s peach crop is forecast at 42.0 million pounds, three times the weather devastated 2002 crop. The

peach crop in Michigan has recovered well from last year’s dismal crop. Trees that made it through the

winter had an excellent crop of blossoms and pollination was good. Trees required extensive thinning to

insure adequate fruit size at harvest. Most growers had wrapped up thinning by the beginning of July. 

Illinois’ production, at 18.7 million pounds, is up 9 percent from 2002. Growers are picking early as recent

rain storms have helped ripen the peach crop. Oklahoma is forecast at 9.00 million pounds, up 29 percent
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 30 NASS, USDA

from last year. Many producers experienced some damage to peach orchards which ranged from slight to

severe. Trees on higher ground were less affected than those in low spots. Harvest of early season varieties is

underway and producers report good quality and size.

The Washington peach crop is forecast at 60.0 million pounds, 9 percent below last year. A combination of

poor pollinating weather and frost reduced prospects for the 2003 crop. Utah’s production is up 54 percent

from last season’s frost damaged crop. Idaho’s production, at 13.0 million pounds, remains unchanged from

last year. In Colorado, production is forecast at 20.0 million pounds, 5 percent above last year’s crop. Good

snowpack eased water concerns in most areas.

California Grapes: California’s all grape production is forecast at 6.29 million tons, down 6 percent from

last year but up 5 percent from 2001. Wine type grapes account for 48 percent of California’s total

production and raisin types account for 40 percent, while the remaining 12 percent are table type grapes. 

Wine type grape production is forecast at 3.05 million tons, down 3 percent from last season’s crop and down

less than 1 percent from the 2001 crop. Mild temperatures during May aided early crop development. 

However, reduced bunch counts are limiting the production outlook compared to last season.

California’s raisin type grape production is forecast at 2.50 million tons, down 12 percent from last year but

13 percent above the 2001 crop. Temperatures in May were generally favorable for crop development. 

However, bunch counts are reported to be down compared to last year. Thompson Seedless harvest for fresh

use was active through early July in the Coachella Valley. 

Table type grape production is expected to be 740,000 tons, up less than 1 percent from last year and

4 percent higher than 2001. Picking was active through early July in the Coachella Valley, with Perlette,

Flame Seedless, and Black Beauty Seedless the primary varieties harvested. Quality is reported to be

excellent.

Apricots: The final forecast for the 2003 apricot crop is 90,400 tons, up less than 1 percent from last

season’s production and 10 percent above 2001. California’s 2003 apricot production is forecast at

85,000 tons, equal to both the June forecast and last year’s production. California’s production represents

94 percent of the 2003 U.S. apricot crop. Cooler weather hampered fruit growth and maturity of early

California apricots. However, rains increased fruit size of late varieties compared to last year’s crop. Cool

temperatures throughout harvest helped slow fruit maturation. Harvest will be finished by mid-July. 

Washington’s production at 5,300 tons is up 8 percent from last year and 2 percent above 2001. In

Washington, a late spring took its toll on the State’s apricot crop. Overall production potential was reduced

by poor pollinating weather and a frost. The 2003 Utah crop, at 100 tons, was reduced by a spring frost in

central and northern areas of the State. 

Almonds: The 2003 California almond crop is forecast at 1.00 billion pounds, shelled basis, up 9 percent

from the previous forecast but down 8 percent from the record high 2002 crop. Warm temperatures during

late May and early June improved crop prospects. Despite cool, wet weather conditions during the critical

bloom and pollination period, sets for most varieties were generally reported to be good. The objective

measurement survey completed in the California orchards reflected the improved crop prospects. No major

disease problems have been reported at this time.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.2 million pounds for June, up 2 percent from last

month but 3 percent lower than June 2002. Area in crop totaled 2,175 acres, 3 percent lower than last month

and 1 percent less than last year. Harvested acres totaled 1,575 acres, 9 percent lower from both last month

and a year ago. 

Weather conditions were variable during June. The last week of May and the beginning of June were

relatively dry over non-irrigated orchards. Light showers during the second half of June helped to relieve

moisture stress.

Grapefruit: The 2002-03 U.S. grapefruit crop, forecast at 2.06 million tons, is virtually unchanged from the

previous forecast but is 15 percent below last season’s final utilization. Florida’s grapefruit forecast,

unchanged at 38.7 million boxes (1.65 million tons), is the smallest harvest since the freeze affected 1989-90
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 31 NASS, USDA

season. The all white grapefruit forecast, at 16.2 million boxes (689,000 tons), is 14 percent less than last

season’s final utilization. Colored grapefruit utilization is unchanged at 22.5 million boxes (956,000 tons) but

is 19 percent below last season’s final utilization. Harvest is virtually complete with only fresh squeeze plants

remaining open on a limited basis.

The California grapefruit forecast of 5.60 million boxes (188,000 tons) is unchanged from the previous

forecast but is 7 percent less than the previous season’s final utilization. Harvest is ongoing in the coastal

areas. Flavor and eating quality are reported as excellent. The July 1 grapefruit forecast for Texas is

5.65 million boxes (226,000 tons), up 3 percent from the previous forecast but 4 percent below last season. 

Harvest is complete. Arizona’s July 1 forecast, at 100,000 boxes (3,000 tons), is unchanged from the

previous forecast but 37 percent below last season’s utilized production. Large sizes and fair quality were

reported.

Tangerines: The 2002-03 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 370,000 tons, unchanged from the previous

forecast but 12 percent below last season’s utilization of 420,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine forecast is

unchanged at 5.50 million boxes (261,000 tons) but is 17 percent lower than last season’s utilization. Harvest

is complete. The 2002-03 Florida tangerine forecast includes only the Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey

tangerines. It does not include the Robinson and Dancy varieties as in previous seasons. This program

change was implemented because of the declassification of Robinson and Dancy tangerines by the Florida

Citrus Commission. Arizona’s tangerine forecast is held at 400,000 boxes (15,000 tons), unchanged from the

previous forecast but 35 percent below last season. California’s forecast, at 2.50 million boxes (94,000 tons),

is unchanged from the April forecast.

Lemons: The 2002-03 U.S. lemon crop is forecast at 1.03 million tons, up 4 percent from the previous

forecast and 24 percent above last season. California production is forecast at 24.0 million boxes

(912,000 tons), 4 percent above the previous forecast and 26 percent above the previous season. Harvest

remained active in the southern coastal region. Above average yields combined with weak demand resulted

in an abundance of fruit in storage. Fruit color and quality are good. The 2002-03 Arizona lemon forecast is

3.00 million boxes (114,000 tons), up 3 percent from the previous forecast and 7 percent above last season. 

Harvest is continuing with fair quality and large fruit size reported.

Temples: Florida’s Temple production is final at 1.30 million boxes (59,000 tons) for the 2002-03 season,

unchanged from last month but 16 percent below last season. This final utilization is the second lowest

utilization in the series since it began in 1951-52. The 2000-01 utilized production, at 1.25 million boxes,

was the smallest crop on record.

Tangelos: Florida’s 2002-03 tangelo forecast is final at 2.35 million boxes (106,000 tons), unchanged from

the previous month but 9 percent more than last season’s utilized production. Utilization is higher than the

previous 3 seasons, but below any others since the 1968-69 season. Harvest is complete.

K-Early Citrus: K-Early citrus has been dropped from the citrus estimation program. This fruit type has

been declassified by the Florida Citrus Commission and forecasts have been discontinued.

Florida Citrus: Rainfall during June was above average in virtually all citrus growing areas. Rains fell all

month with the heaviest volume during mid-month. The lower West coast and interior areas received the

most rainfall, recording up to 20 inches. Removal of excessive rainfall using gravity flow and pumping was a

priority in some areas. Trees in well cared for groves are in very good condition. The spring flush on older

trees hardened up and trees are ready for the summer flush of growth. Younger trees are already showing new

growth. New crop fruit is progressing very well with good sizes reported. Harvest of Valencia oranges

declined throughout the month and most processing plants are now closed. Grapefruit and Honey tangerine

harvest finished in early June. Caretakers are very active mowing, chopping, and discing cover crops as well

as removing vines from trees which grew vigorously in response to the rains. Hedging and topping slowed

during the month. Dead trees are being pushed out and burned. New resets are being planted in larger groves

with permanent irrigation. Regular summer sprays, fertilizers, and herbicides are being applied.

Texas Citrus: Harvest of the Texas grapefruit crop ended with most of the volume harvested early in the

season. The Sapote fruit fly quarantine affected movement of fresh market fruit resulting in more fruit being
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 32 NASS, USDA

diverted to processing. Early-mids and Valencia oranges saw an increase in processing movement because of

postharvest decay problems. Crop quality for all citrus was lower than last year.

California Citrus: Foliar feeding, irrigation, and thrip spraying was underway in many citrus groves. Navel

orange harvesting was mostly complete with a few handlers were still trying to finish up the season. Valencia

harvesting continues. Lemons were harvested in Ventura County. Grapefruit were harvested in the southern

coastal areas.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers conducted summer cultural activities that included

weed control, fungicide application, cultivation, and irrigation in orchards and vineyards. Stone fruit orchards

continued to produce an abundance of fruit for harvesting. Thinning of late season stone fruit varieties was

completed during early June. Nectarines, peaches, plums, pluots, and apricots were picked and packed

throughout the month. Picking of Clingstone peaches began in the Kingsburg area by the middle of June. 

Cherry harvest neared completion by month’s end. Tender grape leaves were harvested from a few select

vineyards for culinary use. Grapes for the fresh market use were harvested in the Coachella Valley. Flame

Seedless, Black Beauty Seedless, and Thompson Seedless were the primary varieties harvested. Robust

growth in raisin, wine, and table grape vineyards continued. Table grape growers continued to thin shoots

and fruit clusters. Strawberry picking ended in most parts of the Central Valley by the end of June. 

Boysenberries, raspberries, blueberries, and figs were harvested in the San Joaquin Valley. Olive growers

treated orchards to control the olive fruit fly. Bloom was nearly over in pomegranate orchards by mid-month

with fruit rapidly gaining size in the warm weather as the month progressed. Almonds were maturing well

throughout the month. Heavily laden branches were propped up in some orchards. Walnut and pistachio

orchards continued to exhibit good crop development.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 33 NASS, USDA

Reliability of July 1 Crop Production Forecast

Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between June 25 and

July 7 to gather information on expected yield as of July 1. The objective yield survey was conducted in ten

States that accounted for 67 percent of the 2002 winter wheat production. Farm operators were interviewed to

update previously reported acreage data and seek permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected

winter wheat fields. The counts made within each sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts

such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and number of emerged heads were made to predict the number

of heads that would be harvested. The counts are used with similar data from previous years to develop a

projected biological yield. The average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are

revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm

operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of mail and personal

interviewers. Approximately 9,200 producers were interviewed during the survey period and asked questions

about the probable yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed throughout the growing season to

provide indications of average yields as the season progresses.

Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the July 1 forecast was conducted in

Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, 2002, the number of

bearing trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement

and fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California,

and Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. 

California conducts an objective measurement survey in September for navel oranges and in March for

Valencia oranges.

Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were

reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed

considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State

Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). 

The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecasts.

Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for

errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. Reports from growers and packers in

Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. These four States submit their analyses

of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the survey data and the

State analyses to prepare the published July 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The July 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the

end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports,

millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other

administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September’s Citrus

Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing

season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are

made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the July 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

July 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 winter wheat production forecast is 1.8 percent. This means

that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current winter wheat production will not be above or below the final

estimate by more than 1.8 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 34 NASS, USDA

will not exceed 3.1 percent. Differences between the July 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final

estimate during the past 20 years have averaged 25 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 65 million

bushels. The July 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 8 times and above 12 times. This does not

imply that the July 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the July 1 orange production forecast is 1.3 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate

by more than 1.3 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 2.2 percent. Differences between the July 1 orange forecast and the final estimates during the past

20 years have averaged 101,000 tons, ranging from 1,000 tons to 370,000 tons. The July 1 forecast for

oranges has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 11 times. The difference does not imply that the

July 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

July 2003 35 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats, Weekly Crop Weather (202) 690-3234

Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum, Sugar Crops (202) 690-8140

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

 Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Apricots, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on August 12, 2003.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of

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means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA’s

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To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten

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USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer.

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