HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

: MAY 1 DECEMBER 1

STATE !------------------------- eo one nn nn nnn eee

1989 1990 1/ 1989 1/ 1990

1,000 TONS
AL 285 216 1,232 934
AZ 27 26 115 213
AR 468 780 1,560 1,043
CA 173 256 1,875 13911
co 435 587 1,898 25207
CT 38 31 111 135
DE 9 7 49 51
FL 104 126 383 375
GA 314 292 1,199 855
ID 310 485 2;183 2,287
IL 563 635 23398 23511
IN 112 355, 1,774 13510
IA 1,014 1,463 55121 5,250
KS 725 1,012 45046 43636
ky 534 1,375 45676 33927
LA 107 86 601 528
ME 66 84 269 288
MD 113 94 421 515
MA 49 40 145 142
MI 549 1,041 2,811 3,041
MN 626 15088 4,800 43461
MS 234 265 1,248 807
MO 712 1,691 6,358 5,904
MT : 307 894 35800 33956
NE : 1,042 1,141 45108 53380
NV : 67 88 658 680
NH : 32 30 107 94
NJ : 49 41 147 128
NM : 71 80 599 482
NY : 798 998 3,177 3,502
NC : 112 244 859 768
ND : 446 634 2,960 3,371
OH : 531 637 2,322 33142
OK : 668 1,381 4,092 3,219
OR : 159 318 1,243 13498
PA : 867 848 33155 32350
RI : 4 4 11 12
SC : 116 130 310 228
)) : 1,173 1,287 4,505 5,670
1N : 350 840 23904 23767
1X : 696 2,204 7,570 6,800
UT : 283 238 13013 13274
VT : 122 151 513 502
VA : 405 693 2,180 2,340
WA : 312 225 13351 13986
wy : 133 228 984 15028
WI : 891 1,454 5,737 72022
wy : 300 266 13616 23263
US : 17,507 27,089 101,194 104,993
1/ REVISED
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

JANUARY 1991 14 NASS, USDA


COTTON - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP jeeee ee cee ene neem cence ener nen nnnennennenne
1989 IND 1990 1989 IND 1990
~ HECTARES
ALL COTTON : 4,284,290 5,029,690 3,859,810 4,738,150
UPLAND : 42131,760 479357920 «3,709,390 4,685,680
AMER-PIMA : "1522530 93,770 150,420 92,470

COTTON AND COTTONSEED - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION

YIELD PER HECTARE PRODUCTION
CROP : : : : INDICATED

AND z : INDICATED : aaa

UNIT > 1989: 1990 > 1989 : DEC 1, : JANI,

: : : : 1990 : 1991

METRIC TONS

ALL COTTON : 469 72 2,655,270 3,352,680 3,400,090
UPLAND : 68 71 2,504,670 3,268,660 3,321,080
AMER-PIMA : 1.00 85 150,600 84,020 79,010
COTTONSEED : 4,242,810 5,441,380 5,519,670
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 5 NASS, USDA



is 18 percent below the October 1 forecast and 11 percent below the 1989-90
season. California's cold temperatures in late December were not as severe in
the southern part of the State where approximately 80 percent of the lemon
acreage is located. The percentage of the crop to be processed may be higher
this season than in past years due to the freeze damage.

The Arizona forecast is 3.70 million boxes, 19 percent above the previous
forecast and 28 percent more than last season's utilized crop. Cold weather in
late December caused minimal damage to Arizona lemons. The fruit is reported in
good condition. Approximately 80 percent of the crop has been picked.

TANGELOS: The Florida tangelo crop production forecast, excluding K-early citrus
fruit, is 3.10 million boxes, unchanged from December 1 but 5 percent
above last season. Harvest is 62 percent complete.

TANGERINES: The U.S. all tangerine forecast is 3.95 million boxes, down 17 per-

cent from December 1 but 1 percent above the 1989-90 crop. This
forecast includes the Dancy, Robinson, Honey, and Sunburst varieties of tanger-
ines in Florida, as well as production of California and Arizona tangerines.
Florida Sunburst tangerines are included in the State and U.S. totals beginning
with the 1989-90 season. Production estimates shown for seasons prior to the
1989-90 do not include this new varietal tangerine.

The Florida forecast is 2.00 million boxes, down 5 percent from December 1,
but 18 percent above 1989-90. The California crop forecast, at 1.30 million
boxes, is down 700 thousand boxes from the October 1 forecast and down 19 percent
from last season. The severe freeze in late December is the main cause of this
decline. The Arizona crop forecast is 650 thousand boxes, unchanged from the
October 1 forecast but 8 percent above the 1989-90 utilized production.

TEMPLES: Florida's temple forecast, at 3.10 million boxes, is unchanged from
December 1 but more than double last season's freeze reduced crop.
Harvest has begun with very little picked to date.

ARIZONA CITRUS: As of January 1, Arizona citrus groves were in good condition,

despite the freezing weather during late December. Most Arizona
citrus fruit escaped frost damage. Nearly three-quarters of the Navel oranges,
80 percent of the lemons, half of the tangerines, and 5 percent of the grapefruit
had been harvested prior to the cold weather. Valencia orange harvest had not
started prior to the cold season.

FLORIDA CITRUS: Most of this State's groves and trees are in good condition in

spite of the very dry and warm temperatures during most of
December. Rainfall for 1990 for virtually all citrus areas was below normal.
Many lakes, ponds, and streams are at the lowest levels in recent history.
Growers are continuing to irrigate to prevent wilting and fruit softening. Ear-
ly and mid orange harvest accelerated during the first two weeks of December when
nearly seven million boxes per week were picked. Grapefruit movement during
December averaged more than a million boxes per week. Early tangerine harvest
was all but completed by the first of this month as supplies had run Tow. Tange-
lo movement was very active through most of December for both fresh and processed
usage. Caretakers were cutting cover crops and preparing young trees for cold
weather.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 18 NASS, USDA


REVISED VALENCIA AND TOTAL ORANGE ESTIMATES FOR
CALIFORNIA AND THE UNITED STATES

STATE, CROP : > YEELD UTILIZATION OF PRODUCTION
AND : BEARING : PER --------------------~--------~-------
SEASON : ACREAGE : ACRE FRESH PROCESSED : TOTAL
cA ACRES BOXES 1,000 BOXES 1/
NAVEL AND MISC :
1989-90 : 106,000 416 32,300 11,800 44,100
VALENCIA :
1989-90* 68,800 390 14,750 12,050 26,800
ALL
1989-90* 174,800 406 47,050 23,850 70,900
us
EARLY, MIDSEASO
AND NAVEL :
1989-90 : 354,000 321 38,155 75,475 113,630
VALENCIA :
1989-90* : 275,400 255 16,600 53,645 70,245
TOTAL :
1989-90* : 629,400 292 54,755 129,120 183,875
PRICE PER BOX 2/ 3/ VALUE OF PRODUCTION
FRESH : PROCESSED : ALL : FRESH : PROCESSED: TOTAL
DOLLARS ~~—~—~«21,000 DOLLARS
CA
NAVEL AND MISC. :
1989-90 : 9.77 3.61 8.12 315,571 42,598 358,169
VALENCIA :
1989-90* : 10.81 3.72 7.62 159,448 44,826 204,274
ALL :
1989-90* : 10.10 3.67 7.93 475,019 87,424 562,443
us :
EARLY, MIDSEASON:
AND. NAVEL
1989-90 : 10.02 6.17 7.36 380,793 460,557 841,350
VALENCIA :
1989-90* ! 1. 7.59 8.34 183,551 398,898 582,449
TOTAL :
1989-90* 6.75 7.73 564,344 859,455 1,423,799

1/ NET POUNDS PER BOX: CA ~ 75.

2/ EQUIVALENT PACKINGHOUSE-DOOR RETURNS.

3/ US SEASON AVERAGE PRICES ARE DERIVED BY WEIGHTING THE STATE SEASON AVERAGE
PRICES PER BOX BY THE RESPECTIVE BOX WEIGHTS. * REVISED

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 10 NASS, USDA


COTTON

POUNDS 1,000 BALES 2/
UPLAND
AL 3 486 §71 495 380.0 383.0 400.0
AZ 3 1,190 1,303 1,131 865.0 649.0 820.0
AR : 742 687 704 1,044.0 851.0 1,100.0
CA 3 1,015 1,228 1,245 2,824.0 2,661.0 2,750.0
FL : 566 557 600 34.2 29.0 45.0
GA : 564 631 562 370.0 342.0 410.0
KS : 373 240 406 0.7 0.2 11
LA : 705 672 717 948.0 868.0 1,180.0
MS : 736 732 731 1,825.0 1,555.0 1,850.0
MO : 607 618 623 306.0 269.0 305.0
NM : 710 698 774 102.0 80.0 100.0
NC : 515 615 650 133.0 141.0 271.0
OK : 334 244 500 303.0 173.0 380.9
Sc 3 473 626 452 140.0 154.0 145.0
IN : 529 497 452 584.0 476.0 490.0
1X : 472 367 480 5,215.0 2,870.0 5,000.0
VA : 510 498 598 3.4 2.7 6.6
US : 615 602 638 15,077.3 11,503.9 15, 253.7
AMER-PIMA:
AZ : 904 936 755 241.0 477.0 195.0
CA : 853 1,078 1,050 3.2 40.2 55.8
MS 3/ : 436 528 1.0 1.1
NM : 634 707 624 23.5 44.5 26.0
1X : 769 794 703 66.5 129.0 85.0
US : 848 893 762 334.2 691.7 362.9
ALL :
AL : 486 571 495 380.0 383.0 400.0
AZ : 1,113 1,118 1,032 1,106.0 1,126.0 1,015.0
AR : 742 687 704 1,044.0 851.0 1,100.0
CA : 1,015 1,226 1,241 2,827.2 2,701.2 2,805.8
FL : 566 557 600 34.2 29.0 45.0
GA : 564 631 562 370.0 342.0 410.0
KS : 373 240 406 0.7 0.2 1.1
LA : 705 672 77 948.0 868.0 1,180.0
MS : 736 731 731 1,825.0 1,556.0 1,851.1
MO : 607 618 623 306.0 269.0 305.0
NM : 694 701 738 125.5 124.5 126.0
NC Hy 515 615 650 133.0 141.0 271.0
OK : 334 244 500 303.0 173.0 380.0
Sc : 473 626 452 140.0 154.0 145.0
TN : 529 497 452 584.0 476.0 490.0
TX + 475 376 483 5,281.5 2,999.0 5,085.0
VA : 510 498 598 3.4 2.7 6.6
US 619 614 640 15,411.5 12,195.6 15,616.6

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED. 2/ 480-LB. NET WEIGHT BALES. 3/ ES-
TIMATES BEGAN IN 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 7 NASS, USDA



COTTON

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

STATE
1,000 ACRES

UPLAND
AL 390.0 328.0 390.0 375.0 322.0 388.0
AZ 350.0 240.0 350.0 349.0 239.0 348.0
AR 695.0 610.0 770.0 675.0 595.0 750.0
CA 1,350.0 1,050.0 1,070.0 1,335.0 1,040.0 1,060.0
FL 33.0 25.5 37.0 29.0 25.0 36.0
GA 350.0 265.0 355.0 315.0 260.0 350.0
KS 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.4 1.3
LA 735.0 645.0 810.0 645.0 620.0 790.0
MS 1,230.0 1,050.0 1,225.0 1,190.0 1,020.0 1,215.0
MO 245.0 214.0 248.0 242.0 209.0 235.0
NM 77.0 61.0 69.0 69.0 55.0 62.0
NC 126.0 112.0 201.0 124.0 110.0 200.0
OK 460.0 370.0 385.0 435.0 340.0 365.0
SC 145.0 120.0 155.0 142.0 118.0 154.0
TN 535.0 465.0 525.0 530.0 460.0 520.0
1X 5,600.0 4,650.0 5,600.0 5,300.0 3,750.0 5,000.0
VA 3.2 2.7 5.3 3.2 2.6 5.3
US > 12,325.2 10,209.7. 12,196.8 11,759.1 9,166.0  11,479.6

AMER-PIMA:
AZ : 128.0 245.0 125.0 128.0 244.5 124.0
CA : 1.8 18.0 25.7 1.8 17.9 25.5
MS 1/_: 1.6 1.0 : 1.1 1.0
NM : 17.8 30.3 20.0 17.8 30.2 20.0
TX : 42.0 82.0 60.0 41.5 78.0 58.0
US : 189.6 376.9 231.7 189.1 371.7 228.5

ALL :
AL : 390.0 328.0 390.0 375.0 322.0 388.0
AZ : 478.0 485.0 475.0 477.0 483.5 472.0
AR : 695.0 610.0 770.0 675.0 595.0 750.0
CA > 1,351.8 1,068.0 1,095.7 1,336.8 1,057.9 1,085.5
FL : 33.0 25.5 37.0 29.0 25.0 36.0
GA : 350.0 265.0 355.0 315.0 260.0 350.0
KS : 1.0 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.4 1.3
LA : 735.0 645.0 810.0 645.0 620.0 790.0
MS : 1,230.0 1,051.6 1,226.0 1,190.0 1,021.1 1,216.0
Mo : 245.0 214.0 248.0 242.0 209.0 235.0
NM : 94.8 91.3 89.0 86.8 85.2 82.0
NC : 126.0 112.0 201.0 124.0 110.0 200.0
OK : 460.0 370.0 385.0 435.0 340.0 365.0
SC : 145.0 120.0 155.0 142.0 118.0 154.0
TN : 535.0 465.0 525.0 530.0 460.0 520.0
1X : 5,642.0 4,732.0 5,660.0 5,341.5 3,828.0 5,058.0
VA : 3.2 2.7 5.3 3.2 2.6 5.3
us 12,514.8 10,566.6 12,428.5 22,948.2 9,537.7 1,708.1

1/ ESTIMATES BEGAN IN 1989.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 6 NASS, USDA


TEXAS CITRUS: Due to the severe freeze in December 1989, the 1990-91 Texas

citrus crops were virtually eliminated and forecasts will not be
issued this season unless sufficient commercial supplies become available.
Citrus groves continued to be in fair to good condition across the Valley. Cold,
dry winds in December caused some discoloration on leaves. Some late month rains
helped relieve the salt buildup from heavy irrigation during the fall and early
winter. The Valley has managed to escape any damaging cold so far this season.
A few packing sheds were open and working with fruit from out-of-State.

CALIFORNIA CITRUS FREEZE SUMMARY: California's normal fall cultural activities

were disrupted by an extremely cold arctic air
mass beginning December 20th. Central Valley locations were hardest hit with
temperatures dropping into the teens for nearly two weeks. Substantially below-
average temperatures were prevalent throughout the remaining part of the State.
Damage to the citrus crops was most severe in the Central Valley where virtually
all of the fresh fruit was lost. Fruit that can be salvaged will be processed
for juice. Only about 20 percent of the Navels and 25 percent of the lemons had
been picked prior to the freeze. Picking of other citrus types was light or had
not begun because of immature fruit. Temperatures in the San Joaquin Valley were
cold enough to damage citrus budwood which could reduce bloom for next year's
crop. Damage in Southern California varied by area with more moderate fruit
losses expected. A substantial fresh-use crop is still anticipated from this
area for all citrus types. However, more fruit than normal will have to go
through juice channels because of down grading. Fruit quality will be impacted
by weather conditions during the remaining part of the seasons. Continued
extreme weather conditions will cause increased quality problems.

HAY STOCKS ON FARMS: Hay stocks on farms totaled 105 million tons on December
1, 1990. This is 4 percent more than on hand a year
earlier and 16 percent above the holdings on December 1, 1988. The low stocks
of two years ago reflected the small drought reduced crop of 1988 while the hay
crops of the past two years were of a more usual size. Disappearance of hay dur-
ing the May 1, 1990 to December 1, 1990 period totaled 69.1 million tons. This
compares with 61.8 million tons during the same period a year earlier.

HRIKI KIA IK RIKKI IIR I III IIIA ARIS IIIA III IIIS III SASSI IAI II ISI IAI.

* NOTICE *
* *
* Requests for a subscription order form covering all available *
* reports should be directed to ERS/NASS, P.O. Box 1608, *
* Rockville, MD. 20850 or call 800-999-6779. *
* *
* The next issue of this report will be published *
* February 11, 1991. *

HREIIIRIRIIKIAII AI I ATI III ITI IIIA III IIASA IAAI IIIA IAI SASH IIASA IIR.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 19 NASS, USDA


POTATOES

: AREA
SEASONAL 9 :--=---=-----------=-----=+ : YIELD: PRODUCTION
GROUP : PLANTED : HARVESTED :
AND Jaen cence neem eennnnne
STATE : : IND : : IND: : IND: : : IND
: 1990 : 1991 : 1990: 1991 : 1990 : 1991: 1989: 1990: 1991
1,000 ACRES CWT 1,000 CHT
WINTER :
CA : 5.5 5.6 5.5 4.1 230 230 1,320 1,265 943
FL : 8.0 7.6 7.7 7.6 140 200 1,444 1,078 1,520
TOTAL 9: 13.5 13.2 13.2 11.7 177 211 2,764 2,343 2,463
SPRING 1/ :
AL : 5.8 5.7 150 1,296 855
AZ : 6.9 6.3 260 15827 1,794
cA 2 22.5 22.5 375 7.875 8,438
FL :
HASTINGS : 29.0 28.7 240 5,460 6,888
OTHER : 8.5 8.3 220 1,400 1,826
LA 2/ : 27
NC : 16.5 16.2 200 2,184 3,240
x : 7.0 6.8 165 783 1,122
TOTAL —«::96.2 95.1 254 20,852 24,163

1/ REVISED. 2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED IN 1990,

PAPAYAS - HAWAII

AREA : FRESH PRODUCTION

1,000 POUNDS
NOV: 4,060 3,495

6,270 5,500
DEC : 4,100 3,285 5,530 4,600
JAN: 4,120 5,080
FEB: 4,005 4,530
MAR: 3,900 4,830

APR

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 9 NASS, USDA


National United States
C rop < Agricultural Department of

e istics Agriculture
Production Service
Statistics
Board

Washington, D.C.

RELEASED: January 11, 1991
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

ALL COTTON production as of January 1 is forecast at 15.6 million bales, up 1

percent from the previous month and up 28 percent from last year. Texas'
harvest was 98 percent complete in early January, and Louisiana's production is
a record high level.

CITRUS production is forecast at 11.6 million tons, 14 percent lower than last

month but 9 percent above the 1989-90 season. This reduction from last
month's forecast is due mostly to the severe freezing temperatures in California.
It is too early to determine if there is significant wood damage or tree loss.

ORANGE production is forecast at 188 million boxes, down 18 percent from
December 1 but 2 percent above last season. A severe freeze in late
December in California is the main reason for the decline from last month.

GRAPEFRUIT production, including California's Desert grapefruit but excluding

California's "Other Areas" crop, is 52.8 million boxes, down 4 percent from
the December 1 forecast but 21 percent greater than last season. The reduction
from last month's forecast was caused by a higher than expected fruit drop in
Florida and the California freeze.

Cr Pr 2-2 (1-91) For Information Call (202) 447-2127


CITRUS FRUIT 1/

UTILIZED

PRODUCTION
BOXES

PRODUCTION

TON EQUIVALENT

UTILIZED

ORANGES, EARLY MID:
& NAVEL 3/:
AZ :
CA :
FL 3
1TMX 4/:
US :
ORANGES, VALENCIA :
CA 5/:
FL 3
1X 4/:
US 5/:
ALL ORANGES :
AZ :
CA 5/:
FL :
TMX 4]:
US 5/:
TEMPLES :
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEDLESS

GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED
SEEDLESS

FL
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
ALL GRAPEFRUIT
AZ

CA 6/:

DESERT
OTHER AREAS
TOTAL

FL

1X

US
TANGERINES
A

af:
UE

550
34,000
1213050
1,150
24; 900
61,300
650
88,000
1,700
58,900
146,600
1,850
209; 050

3,750
27,700

23,700
3,350
1,950
3,500

1,000 UNITS 2/

380 550
44,100 14,000
68,100 91,000

1,050
113630 105,550
1,190 1,200
26,800 11,000
42,100 70,000

155

70,245 82,200
1,570 1,750
70,900 25,000
110,200 161,000
15205
183,875 187,750
1,400 3,100
18,000 23,000
16,300 22,500
1,400 1,500
2,200 2,300
3,700 3,500
5,000
8,700
35;700 47,000
2,000
48,600
600 650
1,600 1,300
1,700 23000
35900 33950
2,900 3,700
153700 14,000
18,600 17,700

1,000 UNITS

21 14
1,275 1,654
33839 © 33064

51 44
5,186 4,776

43 44

934 1,005
2,758 1,895

28 7
3,763 2,951

64 58
2,209 2,659
6,597 43959

79 51
8,949 7,727

169 63
1,177 765
1,007 693

142 60

63 70

112 118

151 167

263 285
2,326 1,518
192 80
2,844 1,953

25 22

76 61

138 81

239 164

144 110

615 596
759 706
17] 132

3,150
3,608
66
938
7,245
8,249

140

978

956
64
74

112

1,998

CROP PRODUCTION
JANUARY 1991

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
NASS, USDA


REVISED TOTAL CITRUS FOR CALIFORNIA AND THE UNITED STATES

CROP, STATE sUTILIZATION OF PRODUCTION: VALUE

AND : BEARING : PRODUCTION: : OF
SEASON : ACREAGE : FRESH PROCESSED : PRODUCTION
: ACRES 1,000 TONS 1,000 DOLLARS

TOTAL CITRUS
1989-90* : 248,700 3,601 2,396 1,205 911,202

US :

1989-90* : 890,400 10,817 3,651 7,166 2,209,598

* REVISED.
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

JANUARY 1991 11 NASS, USDA


COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION
STATE tennnnn nn nnn nn nn nnn nnn nnn nnn renee nnn nnn en en nanan ce en nanan ne eesonan=
1988 1989 1990
1,000 TONS

AL : 136.0 140.0 146.6
AZ 3 433.0 423.0 386.4
AR : 404.0 335.0 423.5
CA : 1,116.3 1,039.5 1,089.7
FL : 12.0 10.4 16.1
GA : 129.0 123.0 146.4
KS : 3 1 5
LA : 363.0 319.0 447.3
MS : 712.0 601.0 718.7
MO Hy 124.0 104.0 120.6
NM 49.0 39.0 46.3
NC 48.0 49.0 94.9
OK 117.0 74.0 159.3
sc 49.0 54.0 50.4
TN 237.0 176.0 186.8
1X 2,131.0 1,189.0 2,048.6
VA 1.2 9 2.3
US 6,061.8 4,676.9 6,084.4
CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

JANUARY 1991 8 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS) :
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION 1/

CROP 1989-90; --+--+---------------- == --- = =-------------
DEC 1, 1990 : JAN 1, 1991
METRIC TONS

ORANGES : 7,009,820 8,939,400 7,483,370

LEMONS : 640,470 610,540

1/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

WINTER POTATOES

YIELD PER HECTARE : PRODUCTION

EC (eC)

TE METRIC TONS stCCiCi‘“‘i‘<“‘=s~*~*s‘~;~*~TMS
19.90 23.62 106,280 111,720

METRIC TONS

MAY 1 : 15,882,080 24,574,730

DEC 1 : 91,801,650 95,248,050

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

JANUARY 1991 4 NASS, USDA


DECEMBER WEATHER SUMMARY

A frigid arctic air mass drove southward from western Canada on December 18.
Biting cold dominated central and western portions of the United States until the
end of the year. Record cold in southern California from December 21 to 25
severely damaged citrus and vegetable crops. Persistent rains along the eastern
boundary of the cold air led to widespread flooding in the Tennessee and Ohio
Valleys, where a number of cities reported their wettest December ever. Florida
basked in record warmth much of the month.

WINTER WHEAT

Dry conditions and short soil moisture were major concerns for most of the
winter wheat producing areas. The wheat crop was in mostly good condition with
additional moisture needed for good development in the Great Plains and West.
Texas winter wheat was 96 percent (%) emerged, 1 point above the 5-year average.
Kansas wheat continued good development, with light greenbug activity and some
wheat streak mosaic in west and central areas. By mid-December, continued dry
conditions in the Plains States and the West stressed the wheat crop and promoted
insect activity. Greenbug damage was evident in the low Plains, Blacklands, and
Cross Timbers areas of Texas, while cut worm damage was evident in the Edwards
Plateau. Mild temperatures in Oregon and Utah allowed Russian wheat aphid
numbers to build. Moisture in Oklahoma helped develop wheat root systems in the
west, but additional moisture was needed for sustained development. Late in the
month snow had provided insulation from arctic temperatures in Montana and
Oklahoma. Some wheat fields in south-central Kansas had serious army cut worm
damage. Illinois wheat was in mostly good to excellent condition.

ALL COTTON: The January 1 forecast of all cotton production is 15.6 million

bales, up 1 percent from the December 1 forecast and up 28 percent
from last year. Of the total, Upland is expected to account for 15.3 million
bales while Pima production will total 363 thousand bales. Total area for
harvest is estimated at 11.7 million acres, up 23 percent from 1989. Yield is
expected to average 640 pounds per acre, down 1 pound from December, but up 26
pounds from last year.

Upland cotton production in Texas and Oklahoma is forecast at 5.38 million
bales, up 4 percent from December 1 and up 77 percent from 1989. In Texas,
cotton harvest was 98 percent complete in early January, 7 percent ahead of
normal. Yields and grades continued to be good.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
expect to produce 4.93 million bales, virtually unchanged from December but 23
percent greater than 1989. Harvest was virtually complete in mid-December and
Louisiana is expecting a record high production.

Production in the Western States (Arizona, California, and New Mexico) is
expected to total 3.67 million bales, up 8 percent from 1989. The yields in this
region are expected to average 1,198 pounds per acre, 22 pounds below the 1989
yield.

The forecast in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina,
and South Carolina) puts production at 1.23 million bales, 20 percent above the

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 15 NASS, USDA


The California all orange forecast, at 25.0 million boxes is 60 percent
below December 1 and 65 percent less than last season. A severe freeze in late
December is the main reason for this decline. The forecast for Navel oranges is
14.0 million boxes, down 65 percent from December and 68 percent less than last
season. Harvest of the Navel crop as of January 1 was approximately 61 percent
complete. The California Valencia forecast of 11.0 million boxes is down 52
percent from the December 1 forecast and 59 percent below last season's revised
production estimate.

Arizona's all orange forecast, at 1.75 million boxes, is unchanged from the
October 1 forecast but up 11 percent from last season. Due to the severe freeze
of December 1989, the 1990-91 Texas orange crop is virtually eliminated and
forecasts will not be issued this season unless sufficient commercial supplies
become available.

Changes in U.S. production between the January 1 forecast and final
production have averaged 17.1 million boxes over the past ten seasons ranging
from 680 thousand boxes in 1982-83 to 43.2 million boxes in 1981-82. A freeze
in Florida during January 1982 was the major cause for the 43.2 million box
difference between January 1, 1982 and final production for 1981-82.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1990-91 forecast of all Frozen

Contrated Orange Juice Yield (FCOJ) for
Florida is 1.48 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix. The forecast projects the
final yield as reported by the Florida Citrus Processors Association. The freeze
damaged 1989-90 yield for all fruit used in FCOJ 1.23 gallons per box at 42.0
degrees Brix.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects as of January 1 for the 1990-91 season indicate a crop of

52.8 million boxes, 4 percent below the December 1 forecast, but 9
percent above last season's production. This forecast includes California's
"Desert" grapefruit but excludes California's "Other Areas" grapefruit. The
grapefruit crop from California's "Other Areas" accounted for 5.00 million boxes
harvested last season and 4.50 million boxes in 1988-89. The first forecast for
that area will be as of April 1, 1991. Due to the severe freeze of December
1989, the 1990-91 Texas grapefruit crop is virtually eliminated. Forecasts will
not be issued this season unless sufficient commercial supplies become available.

Florida's grapefruit forecast is 47.0 million boxes, 4 percent less than
the December 1 forecast, but 32 percent more than the freeze damaged 1989-90
crop. The Florida white seedless grapefruit forecast is 23.0 million boxes, 4
percent below the December 1 forecast but 28 percent above the previous season;
colored seedless is 22.5 million boxes, 4 percent less than December 1 but 38
percent greater than the 1989-90 crop; seeded grapefruit at 1.50 million boxes
js unchanged from December 1 but 7 percent above last season.

The California Desert grapefruit forecast is 3.50 million boxes, down 10
percent from the October 1 forecast and 5 percent below the 1989-90 season.
Arizona's grapefruit crop is forecast at 2.30 million boxes, 5 percent above both
the previous forecast and last season.

LEMONS: The Arizona - California lemon crop is expected to total 17.7 million
boxes, down 12 percent from the October 1 forecast and 5 percent below
last season's utilized production. California's forecast of 14.0 million boxes

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 17 NASS, USDA


COTTON - AREA PLANTED AND HARVESTED

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP feeee cnn ener neem nem
1989: IND 1990 1989 IND 1990
re 1,000 ACRES
ALL COTTON : 10,586.6 12,428.5 9,537.7 11,708.1
UPLAND : 105209.7 12,196.8 97 166.0 113479.6
AMER-PIMA : 376.9 231.7 371.7

COTTON AND COTTONSEED - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION

CROP : : : : INDICATED
AND : : INDICATED : pene eee nee

UNIT > 1989 : 1990 > 1989 : DEC 1, : JAN 1,
: : : > 1990 : 1991

1,000
ALL COTTON BALE : 614 640 12,195.6 15,398.8 15,616.6
UPLAND " : 602 638 11,503.9 15,012.9 15,253.7
AMER-PIMA "3 893 762 691.7 385.9 362.9
COTTONSEED TON : 4,676.9 5,998.1 6,084.4

1/ YIELD IN POUNDS. 2/ COTTON PRODUCTION IN 480-LB NET WEIGHT BALES.

HAY STOCKS ON FARMS

DATE 1989 1990
1,000 TONS

MAY 1 : 17,507 27,089

DEC 1 : 1017194 104993

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD

JANUARY 1991 3 NASS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)
CITRUS FRUITS, PRODUCTION 1/

INDICATED 1990-91

CROP 1989-90 9 :-------------------------------~----------
DEC 1, 1990 JAN 1, 1991
1,000 BOXES
ORANGES : 183,875 229,750 187,750
LEMONS : 18,600 17,700

1/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE
COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

WINTER POTATOES

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

1990 IND 1991 IND 1991

REA ARIERRAIRIRIAI IA IRI IAI AISI ISIS SISA ISAS AIA SAIS III ISI SIA SAA AI IS ISIS IIS SA ISIS

* The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
* related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
* prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists
* of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington head-

* quarters.
*

AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
APPROVED: Rich Allen, Chairperson
Michael A. Hunst, Acting Secretary

David S. Abbe, Jerry M. Midden,

=. Charles H. Allen, Archie J. Olson,
Thomas R. Birkett, Darwin E. Ransom,
Arvin R. Budge, James L. Smith,
Robert L. Freie, Frederic A. Vogel,
Roger D. Latham, John D. Witzig.
ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

REIKI KIA IRIE ERISA IRI IRI etek kk hee ee: ak Rk Ka eek ek tek tke

2

te OR Oe

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 2 NASS, USDA


/

2/

3/

4/

5/

6/

7/

CITRUS FRUIT FOOTNOTES

THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED.

NET LBS. PER BOX: ORANGES-CA & AZ-75, FL-90, TX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-CA DESERT
& AZ-64, CA OTHER-67, FL-85, TX-80; LEMONS-76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90;
TANGERINES-CA & AZ-75, FL-95.

NAVEL AND MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CA AND AZ. EARLY AND MID-SEASON
VARIETIES IN FL AND TX, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN TX.

DUE TO THE SEVERE FREEZE OF DEC 1989, THE 1990-91 TX CITRUS CROPS ARE
VIRTUALLY ELIMINATED AND FORECASTS WILL NOT BE ISSUED THIS SEASON UNLESS
SUFFICIENT COMMERCIAL SUPPLIES BECOME AVAILABLE.

1989-90 CROP REVISED.

THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CA GRAPEFRUIT "OTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

FL “ALL TANGERINES" INCLUDE SUNBURST TANGERINES BEGINNING WITH THE 1989-
90 SEASON.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 13 NASS, USDA


1989 production. Yields in this region are expected to average 539 pounds per
acre, down from the 604 pounds realized last year, due to the dry conditions that
prevailed during the 1990 season.

Bureau of Census reports, 14,518,886 running bales ginned prior to January
1, compared with 11,547,775 running bales for the same date last year and
14,247,965 running bales in 1988.

COTTONSEED: Production for 1990, based on a three-year average lint-seed ratio,
is expected to total 6.08 million tons, up 30 percent from the 1989
production of 4.68 million tons.

WINTER POTATOES: Production of winter potatoes in 1991 is forecast at 2.46

million cwt. This is up 5 percent from 1990, but 11 percent
below 1989. Area for harvest is estimated at 11.7 thousand acres, down 11
percent from 1990. The average yield of 211 cwt per acre is up 19 percent from
1990.

California fields were hit by a hard freeze in late December destroying the
yet to be harvested crop in Kern County. So far 1,500 acres have been abandoned
where the ground froze down to 5 inches. The Florida winter potato crop is in
good condition.

SPRING POTATOES REVISED 1990: Tha 1990 spring potato crop totaled 24.2 million

cwt, up 16 percent from a year ago and 20 percent
above 1988. Harvested acreage at 95.1 thousand acres was 7 percent greater than
a year ago and 19 percent above 1988. The average yield for the spring season
was 254 cwt per acre, 19 cwt above 1989 and 2 cwt greater than 1988.

PAPAYAS: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is estimated at 4.60 million pounds

for December. This was 16 percent lower than November and 17 percent
below December 1989. Total cumulative fresh sales for 1990 trailed the 1989
total by 8 percent.

Farmers experienced wet conditions during mid-month with drier periods at
the beginning and end of December. Incidence of phytophthora disease is already
high from previous wet conditions during November and continued to plague
growers. Removal of older affected trees and abandonment of some fields were
reported.

Area devoted to papaya production totaled 3,285 acres, 6 percent below
November and 20 percent lower than a year earlier. Harvested area, totaling
2,170 acres, was 6 percent lower than last month and 2] percent below last
December.

ORANGES: U.S. production is forecast at 188 million boxes, down 18 percent from

the December 1 forecast but 2 percent above last season. The forecast
for all oranges in Florida is 161 million boxes, down 2 percent from December 1,
but 46 percent greater than last season's freeze damaged crop and 10 percent
above 1988-89. The forecast for early and mid-season varieties in Florida is
91.0 million boxes, 4 percent less than December 1 but 34 percent greater than
last season and 7 percent above the 1988-89 crop. Harvest of Florida early and
mid-season oranges was about 63 percent complete as of January 1. The Valencia
forecast, at 70.0 million boxes, is unchanged from December 1, but 66 percent
greater than last season and 14 percent above the 1988-89 crop.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD
JANUARY 1991 16 NASS, USDA