TORACCO

ANEA HARVESTED YIELO PRODUCTION

STATE

1979 = 1980 ? 1988

POUNDS: 1,000 POUNDS
1,620 825 “e26
1,601 1,594 4,925 5,602 5,100

1,975 2,250 23,175 20,343 22,050
2,010 2,250 100,965 110,550 121,500
2,300 2,250 11,895 16,790 16,650

ky 173,700 200, 900 236,600 2,075 2,193 343,195 416,962 518,876
tA 80 50 700 900 56 45
4D 19,500 23,000 23,000 1,101 1,300 25,320 29,900
MASS 990 1,180 1,582 1,595 1,867 1,818
wo 2,500 2,500 2,105 2,300 5,263 6,880
nC 337,800 379,790 370,600 2,008 2,087 762,497 773,310
oKIO 9,800 11,200 12,800 1,788 1,544 20,020 19,765
PA 41,200 13,000 13,600 1,900 1,850 24,700 25,160
sc 57,000 65-000 68, 000 1,930 2,187 125,459 148/700
TENN 60,090 64,760 75,720 1,728 2,127 VW1,931 161,029
vA 67,240 65,380 69,760 1,635 2,098 106,875 146,389
wova 1,300 1,500 1,500 1,500 1,600 2,250 2,400
WIS 12,900 12,80 13,400 1,978 1,946 , 25,316 26,071
us 827,200 917,610 963,370 1,943 2,102 1,526,549 1,782,618 2,025,203

1/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP
2/ ESTIMATES FO® CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM
* EARLIER FORECAST.

SUGARKEETS = 1/

AREA HARVESTED PRODUCTION

228.0 260.0 26,6 25.8 5.719 5,882 7,020
91.0 77.0 18,6 19,0 1,358 1,729 1,733
137.9 148.0 22,4 23.9 2,820 3,296 3856
14,5 10.5 17-8 13.8 213 200 275
97.0 98.0 1746 19.5 1,550 1,892 1,960
243.0 257.0 15,5 14,9 3,782 3621 4,998
43,3 creel 1941 20,3 a29 679 90a
AS.o 7h.0 20.2 20,9 23.0 1,462 1,777 14748

1.6 ae 15,0 23.1 22 0 30 37 46
142.7 145.0 16,1 144 2,304 2,017 2,610
17.8 14.4 1964 1944 18 35 266 339 266

7.2 11.0 26,6 27.4 27.3 178 197 300
2a,a 25.2 17,0 15.8 21.5 332 386 502

wT +0 1949 21.4 30 15 a
45. 44.8 18.6 = 22.6 906 1,024 1,030

3 23.
1118865 1,225.7 19,6 19,6 21,8 21/996 25,099 26/686

1/ RELATES TO YEAR OF INTENDED HARVEST EXCEPT FOR OVERWINTERED SPRING PLANTED BEETS IN CALIF.
2f FSTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CAHRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

SIGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED .

AREA HARVESTED

YIELD z PRODUCTION

z t INO
1981 ¢ 1979 = 1980 ¢ 1981

Tuo t
1981 3 1979} 1980

2
3
2
2
&

1,000 ACRES TONS 1,000 TONS
FLA 330.8 339,2 345.0 3164 31.2 0 34,0 10,387 10,592 114730
HAW 107.9 104.5 106.0 91-4 90,4 92,3 9,859 9,446 9,779
LA 262.0 254.0 260.0 20,6 23.3 26,0 5,403 5,927 6,760
TEX 32.0 35.0 37.4 27.6 28.5 30.0 883 998 1,122
us 732.7 732.7 748.4 36,2 36.8 39,3 26,532 26, 963 29,391

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 8-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRATN

: AREA HARVESTED 2 YIFLD : PRODUCTION

1979 ¢ 19690
3 1,000 ACRES BUSHELS 1,000 RUSHELS

502 4ns 5e0 61.9 36.0 55,0 30,622 14,570 28,600

a5 40 30. 0-105.0 «190.0 130.0 5,175 4,090 £900

at 37 42 58.0 28.0 65.0 2,030 1,036 2,730

260 270 276 117.0 135.0 130,0 30,420 36,450 35,750

TAO 760 Brn 127.9 118.0 137.0 26,520 A9,6480 113-710

159 177 183 72.0 75,0 16,218 12,744 13,725

339 378 365 47.0 45,0 17,967 15,416 16,425

1,550 1,300 1,450 42.9 50.9 190,750 84,600 72,500

TOAHN 1 50 sa 53 94,0 92.0 4,400 4,700 7876

TLL 11,050 11,4h9 11,300 93.0 130.0 1,414,400 1,065,780 1,469,000

INO 66030 64 2R0 5.000 96.0 108,0 675,360 692,890 648,000

TOWA 13,190 13,300 13,500 127.0 110.0 128.0 1,663,700 1,463,000 1,728,090

KANS 1,470 1,240 12300 297.0 94,0 11B,0 171,990 116,560 153,400

“y 1,300 1,480 16530 192.0 70.0 100.0 132,600 193,600 153,000

LA ay 0 aa 54.0 46.9 A020 2eaia 1,380 1,589
MAINE 2/

Ho 595 640 660 99.0 72.0 96.0 58,995 46,080 63,569
MASS 2/

MICH 2,500 24690 2,800 95.0 95.0 93,0 237,500 247,000 260,400

MINN 6,040 6,290 70M 100.0 97.0 110.0 606,900 610,130 737,909

MISS 110 AB 130 52.0 28.0 58.0 5,720 2,464 7,540

mo 2,3%0 2,070 1,950 193.0 53.9 114,0 239,990 199,719 222,500

vont 4 10 a 9 77.0 74.0 75,0 770 592 675

NEAR ThASO 7,100 64900 115.0 A5.9 112,0 822,250 603,500 772,800

"

v 95 1n3 125 an.0 75.0 86,0 8,550 7,725 10,750

RS RO 109,40 a5.0 95,0 R,066 7,225 7,600

730 ano 92.0 95.0 93,0 59,800 67,890 74,400

1,730 1,830 76.0 60.0 75.0 193,890 137,250

2a aso 76.0 58.0 A0.0 , 16,820 36,000

3,900 3.890 115.0 113.0 95,0 417,450 440,700 361,990

75 65 110.0 70.0 95.0 8,250 5,250 60175

{t 15 106.0 106.0 115.0 1,260 1,166 1,725

1,2A0 1,330 95.9 75.0 93,0 121,690 96,000 123,690

S15 570 80.9 48.0 58,0 40,720 24,720 33,060

2,390 2.300 74.0 53.0 $2.0 210,900 121,990 142,600

640 660 85.0 45.0 87,0 52,790 78,800 57,420

1,390 te250 105.0 90,0 115.0 132,300 117,000 143,750

15 15 94.0 = 100,0 95,0 1,504 1,590 1,425

595 e00  , 83.0 $5.0 AB.O 51,045 32,725 52,800

9a 190 123.0 «120.0 = 115.0 11,931 11,20 11,500

sa 63 89.0 89.0 90.0 5-251 S,the 50670

3,350 3,500 19%,0 194.9 198.0 317,240 348,400 378,000

7 as A720 97.0 AT.0 2,593 3,589 3,005

73,061 74,143 199.7 91,0 109.2 7,938,819 6,647,534 6,097,23

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CAROTED FORWARD FROM EARLTER® FORECAST,
2/ ALL ACREAGE HARVESTED IS FOR SILAGE.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-1 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


WINTER WHEAT - TOP GROWTH
AVAILABLE FOR GRAZING *

| Excellent
Good

Xx] Fair Nba

Poor

Not estimated

OKLAHOMA

TEXAS

*Relative development of top growth in selected
counties as reported by farm and ranch operators.

USDA SRS

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER } PRODUCTION FORECASTS

Crop production forecasts in this report are based primarily on yield surveys taken about
November 1. The yield surveys included mailed reports from farmers for al crops and actual
field observations and measurements for corn, soybeans and cotton. farmers provided appraisals
of crop conditions and probable yield information for crops on their farms and for their
localities. Objective yield surveys provided smal] plot observations, counts and measurements
in a probability sample. These surveys are subject to sampling and non-sampling type errors
that are common to all surveys. More importantiy, the forecasts are subject to change due to
future weather effects and other factors that cannot be measured currently but directly affect
final production.

To assist users in evaluating the reliability of production forecasts in this report, the
"Root Mean Square Error", a statistical measure based on past performance, is shown below for
selected crops. This is computed by expressing the deviations between the November 1 production
forecasts and the final estimates as a percent of the fina? estimates and averaging the squared
percentage deviations for the 1961-80 twenty year period; the square root of this average
becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error". Probability statements can be made
concerning expected differences in the current forecasts relative to the final end of season
estimates, assuming that factors affecting this year's forecast are not different from those
influencing recent years.

For example, the “Root Mean Square frror” for the November 7% carn for grain production
forecast is 2.6 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production
forecast of 8097 million bushels will not be above or below the fina} estimate by more than 2.6
percent or approximately 21) million bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence
level) that the difference will not exceed 4.5 percent or approximately 364 million bushels.

Also shown in the table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the differences between
the November J forecast and the final estimate. Using corn again as an exampie, changes between
the November 1 forecast and the final estimate during the 10 years have averaged 168 million
bushels, ranging from 7 million to 378 million bushels. During this 10-year period the November
1 forecast has been below the final estimate 9 times and above 1 time. This does not imply that
the November 1 corn forecast in a particular year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. for most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below or above the
final estimates is about equally distributed.

RELIABILITY OF NOVEMBER 1 CROP PRODUCTION FORECASTS
ROOT MEAN SQUARE ERROR TEN YEAR RECORD OF DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
: FORECAST AND FINAL ESTIMATE
90% CONFIDENCE : : -------~~-------+----~~---2--~-------------

CROP AND

FEED GRAINS 1/ MT 2.1 3.6 9 4 0 10 8 2
CORN FOR GRATIN Bu 2.6 4.5 364 168 ? 378 9 1
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN BU 4.4 7.6 67 30 2 94 4 6
RICE CWT 2.3 4.0 7 3 0 8 5 5
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS — BU : 2.6 4.5 93 42 V7 85 6 4
COTTON BALES 2 3.8 6.6 1,030 351 85 733 3 7

J/ CORN FOR GRAIN, SORGHUM FOR GRAIN, GATS, ANO BARLEY.
2/ QUANTITY IS IN THOUSANDS OF BALES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 198? A-5 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CRANBERRIES,

PROOUCTION

STATE TOTAL :
eee neem neweenenn: IND
1980 1981
1,000 BARRELS

MASS 1608020 1,185.0 1,180.0
NJ 253.0 245.0 220,0
ORES oa,s 83.5 96.0
WASH 147.0 104.0 127.0
wis 901.0 1,080.0 1,035.0
us 2,475.5 2,097.5 2,658.0

PRUNES

PRODUCTION

TOTAL
1980

TONS
CALIF (DRIFD BASIS) 2 136,000 168,000 185,000

FILBERTS

PRODUCTION

OREG 12,700 15,100 14,700
WASH 300 300 300
us 14,000 15,400 15,000

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAK CARRIED FORWARO FROM EARLIER FORECAST,

PAPAYAS - HAWAIT

FRESH PRODUCTION

1,000 POUNDS

5,009 5,900
5,307 4,900

5
4
4,370 5.
4,110 5.

CUMULATIVE FRESH

35,549

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS: VARIETIES GROWN AND ROW SPACING--1981

The Statistical Reporting Service conducted soybean objective yield surveys in 15 States
which accounted for about 89 percent of the 1981 U.S. soybean production. Plots were randomly
selected from a scientifically drawn sample of soybean fields, which were visited monthly from
about August 1 through harvest, to obtain specific counts and measurements.

Sample data and the derived percentages from the surveys presented in the following tables
are not official estimates of the Crop Reporting Board but are intended to show trends in soybean
Production practices.

Williams, the leading soybean variety for the sixth consecutive year, accounted for 14.6
percent of the acreage in the 15 States surveyed. This was down from the 15.5 percent in 1980.
Bragg, at 6.6 percent of the acreage, was in second place and Forrest, at 5.4 percent, was in
third place.

Average row space measurements in 198], in the 10 States for which data were available,
decreased or remained unchanged from 1980. The Ohio average row spacing continued narrower than
other North Central States because of the higher percent of the acreage which is drill planted.

SOYBEANS: REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, 1981 CROP 1/

“SOUTH 15

ATLANTIC 4/ STATES

CENTRAL 2/ CENTRAL 3/

WILLIAMS 5/ : 22.9 }
BRAGG : 13.7 3
FORREST : 1 . .
CENTENNIAL 3 / 15.9 10.
CORSOY 5/ 3 7.2
ASGROW 7/ : 5.4
BEDFORD 2 / 1.6
RANSOM : 6.0 15.6
ESSEX t q 5.9 1.4
PETERSON 7/ : 3
WOOOWORTH : 3.
AMSOY 5/ 3 3
DAVIS —
LEE 5/
NORTHRUP KING 7/
HODGSON
COKER 7/
AGRIPRO 7/ 2
VICKERY 3 2
BEESON 5/ : 2.
3 1
)
1

Dowow

5.4

nn

UNION ~
CALLAND
WELLS 5/

ALL OTHER 8/ : 33.6 14.9 21.4 2761
ALL VARTETIES :

‘\/ REPORTED FOR THE FIELDS USED IN OBTAINING OBJECTIVE YIELD DATA. 2/ INCLUDES ILL, IND,
TOWA, MINN, MO, NEBR, AND OHIO. 3/ INCLUDES ALA, ARK, LA, MISS, AND TENN. 4/ INCLUDES GA,

NC, AND SC. 5/ INCLUDES VARTETIES WITH ADDITIONAL NUMERIC IDENTIFICATION SUCH AS WILLIAMS
"79", AMSOY "71", PICKETT "71", ETC. 6/ LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF REGIONAL TOTAL, INCLUDED IN ALL
OTHER. 7/ PRIVATE VARIETY. INCLUDES ALL NUMERICAL VARIETY DESIGNATIONS MARKETED UNDER COMPANY
ae 87 INCLUDES UNKNOWN VARIETIES AND VARIETIES WITH LESS THAN 1 PERCENT OF THE 15 STATE

NboUh wo

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-14 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE ANO RANGE FEED CONOITION 17

AVERAGE 3 1980

STATE % AVERAGE ¢ 1980

#1970879 = 1970-79 =
8 3 :
PERCENT
+ 62 94 66
2 85 88 98
: 79 51 71
76 66 9
: BS 79 86
z BO 79 67
68 55 74
8B 87 17
t 74 a3 87
s 82 91 86
+ Ba $8 17
s Bg 66 96
z 69 $5 4a
68 ag 6a
z BL s7 62
t 73 568 82
: 7a a4 85
z=  B2 87 90
t Be 69 70
2 79 85 88
+ a2 7 72
2 77 a8 85
: Be 75 83

80
1/ GOOD TO EXCELLENT, 80 ANO OVER 7 POOR TO FAIR 65-793 VERY POOR, SO0=6a; SEVERE
MROUGHT, 35-493 EXTREME DROUGHT, UNDER 35,

WHEAT PASTURE: Nearly 30 percent of the winter wheat seeded in the three-State area of Kansas,

Oklahoma, and Texas had sufficient growth to support grazing on November 1.
This is 20 percentage points more than last year. Over 4 Percent of the acreage was being
grazed compared with tess than 4 percent last year. The wheat forage supply is rated mostly
fair. It is estimated that 4.8 acres of wheat pasture are needed to carry a 400 pound calf, 3
acres less than required last year.

KANSAS (weSTERN : About 96 percent of the intended fall sown wheat had been planted by November
> stightly behind last year, but somewhat earlier than average. Growers estimated 25 percent
of the acreage had enough growth to support livestock grazing, up 16 points from last year and
the highest since 1972. However, only 2 percent of the acreage was being grazed. Precipitation
was sufficient throughout the State except for a few western Counties. The Northwest and West
Central districts need more moisture for adequate fall root development, while fields in the
South Central area are too wet for pasturing.

OKLAHOMA {WESTERN : Growers had planted about 90 percent of the 1981 winter wheat crop by
November 1, 5 points above last year but equal to the average. Thirty percent of the acreage
had sufficient growth to provide pasture. Wheat pasture conditions are good. The majority of
the State‘s wheat fields that have sufficient growth and root system to support grazing have
been too wet to graze livestock.

TEXAS (PANHANDLE AND LOW PLAINS): About 79 percent of the wheat had been sown by November 1, 2
points Tess than last year, and 6 points below average. Forty one percent of the acreage would
support: grazing and growers estimate 11 percent of the acreage was being grazed on November J
compared with 14 percent last year. Wheat pasture prospects as of November 1 were improving as
rains fell over most of the Texas Plains during October. Despite a slow start in the Low Plains
because of dryness, wheat is now showing good growth. Grazing on a limited basis has begun. If
conditions remain favorable, an increase in movement onto wheat pastures is expected,

AVAILABLE WHEAT PASTURE - NOVEMBER 1, 1980-81

+ PERCENT OF SEEDED WHEAT
: WITH SUFFICIENT GROWTH
TO PASTURT

PERCENT OF 1 ACRES OF WHEAT PASTURE
SEEDED WHEAT : REQUIRED TO CARRY A

WESTERN KANSAS $ 9 25 1 2 8 5
WESTERN OKLAHOMA 3 3 30 1 5 8 5
TEXAS PANHANDLE : 22 41 4 W 7 4
AVERAGE FOR WHEAT =:

PASTURE REGION

9.7 29.5 3.6 44 7.8 4.8

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA

B-5

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981


RICE: Production of rice is forecast at a record high 183 million hundredweight (8.28 million
metric tons), up 2 percent from the October 1 forecast and 26 percent above last year's
production of 145 million hundredweight (6.58 million metric tons).

Nationally, yields are expected to average 4891 pounds per acre compared with 4788 pounds
last month and 4403 pounds last year. Four of the six rice producing States registered
increases in yield from last month: Arkansas--up 50 pounds, California--up 300 pounds,
Louisiana--up 150 pounds and Mississippi--up 100 pounds per acre. The substantial increase in
California yield largely results from the utilization of higher yielding varieties combined with
an excellent growing season. Yields were unchanged in Missouri and Texas.

Rice harvest was completed in Louisiana, and nearing completion in Arkansas, Mississippi and
Texas as of November 1. Rain delayed harvesting progress in California, and at the beginning of
November, 75 percent of the crop was harvested compared with 88 percent last year.

PEANUTS: As of November 1, peanut production is forecast at a record high 4.00 billion pounds

net weight (1.81 million metric tons), 73 percent more than the 2.31 billion pounds
(1.05 million metric tons) produced in 1980 and up 3 percent from the October 1 forecast. The
November 1 forecast tops the previous record set in 1979 by 30 million pounds. Improved crop
prospects in Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama, Oklahoma and Texas are responsible for the
increase from the October 1 forecast.

The Southeastern crop is forecast at 2.41 billion pounds, up 69 percent from last year's
drought-stricken crop and 1 percent above last month's forecast. The yields for the five-State
area are expected to average 2844 pounds per acre, 1036 pounds above 1980. Harvest is virtually
complete throughout the area. Alabama's yield is up 160 pounds from last month while Florida's
is down 100 pounds. Other States in the area are unchanged.

The Virginia-North Carolina crop is forecast at 824 million pounds, up 93 percent from tast
year and 11 percent from last month. Yields in Virginia and North Carolina are up 350 and 250
pounds, respectively, from last month. ; Harvest is nearing completion.

Peanut production in the Southwest is expected to total 764 million pounds, up 68 percent
from last year and 3 percent above last month's forecast. Heavy rains have delayed harvest but
as yet, its effect on quality is not fully known. Less than half the crop has been harvested.
Average yields per acre in Oklahoma and Texas are up 100 and 25 pounds, respectively, from the
October 1 forecast.

COTTON: The United States cotton crop is forecast at 15.6 million 480-pound net weight bales, up

1 percent from the October 1 forecast and 40 percent more than in 1980. Upland
production is forecast at 15.5 million bales and American-Pima production is expected to total
95.2 thousand bales.

Acreage of cotton for harvest is estimated at 13.7 million acres (5.54 million hectares) for
Upland and 58.7 thousand acres (23.8 thousand hectares) for American-Pima. Yield per acre is
forecast at 542 pounds for Upland and 778 pounds for American-Pima.

Growers in the Southeastern States--Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina and South
Carolina--expect to harvest 758 thousand bales, up 9 percent from the October 1 forecast and 55
percent above 1980. Harvest was about three-fourths complete by November 1 and yields are
turning out better than expected.

Production in the Delta States--Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Mississippi and Tennessee--is
forecast at 3.42 million bales, up fractionally from last month and 61 percent above the 1980
crop. By November 1, harvest was in the final stages in most areas of Louisiana and Mississippi
but was behind last year in Arkansas, Missouri and Tennessee as growers waited for late planted
fields to mature. A freeze in northern areas of the Delta reduced the yield potential of some
late planted acreage.

Texas and Oklahoma growers expect to harvest 6.11 million bales, 3 percent less than
anticipated last month but 73 percent above the relatively short 1980 crop. A light frost in
late October on the Plains of Texas stopped plant growth but was not sufficient to defoliate
plants. Some acreage has been chemically defoliated but harvest is about one to two weeks
behind last year's pace. Wet fields have delayed harvest in Oklahoma.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 A-10 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA




OCTOBER WEATHER SUMMARY

The remnants of three tropical systems moved across Mexico during the month and triggered
heavy rains from the south central Texas coast to Missouri. One storm moved eastward and
covered much of the dry southern States with above-normal rain. Pacific weather systems brought
rain to most of the West and some heavy snow to the mountains. Temperatures were cooler than
normal over most of the Nation. A hard freeze (280 or colder) moved southward through most of
Kansas and then eastward through northern Tennessee.

During the first four days of the month, rain moved through the Northeast and cold air
spread over the eastern third of the Nation. Southerly winds brought warmer weather and showers
back to the Plains.

FIRST WEEK...Showers and thunderstorms moved from the north centra) Plains through the
midwest to the Northeast early in the week and left 4 to 6 days of good drying weather through
the Corn Belt. In the South, moisture-laden air from the Gulf of Mexico and from the remnants
of Tropical Storm Lidia encountered a slow-moving cold front in Texas and spread moderate to
heavy rain from eastern New Mexico to Georgia and then to the mid-Atlantic States. Rain, with
snow in the mountains spread through the Pacific Northwest and from central California to
Colorado. Some heavy snow accumulated in the Sierra Nevada mountains and the northern Rockies.

SECOND WEEK...The remnants of Hurricane Norma moved across Mexico and triggered more
torrential rain from west central Texas into southwestern Missouri. The rain Caused local
flooding and some washouts of newly planted grain but was beneficial to other grain areas. The
moisture moved northward and caused moderate to heavy showers and thunderstorms through the
central Great Lakes and into Canada. A storm system moving through the central Plateau and
Rockies spread showers of rain or snow from Arizona to Montana. As the week ended, a very cold
air mass plunged southward through the Rockies and western Plains.

THIRD WEEK...The storm system moved out of the Rockies but caused only widely scattered
Tight showers through the Plains. As the system moved rapidly eastward, precipitation became
more frequent and covered the Great Lakes region, the Northeast, and the area east of the
Appalachians to the Gulf Coast. Cold air behind the system brought the coldest air of the
season to the east coast. Freezing temperatures reached into Georgia. Weather systems were
moving rapidly and the next cold front (with showers along and ahead of it) spread even colder
air through the Plains and Mississippi Valley. A hard freeze covered most ot the central and
northern States through Kansas and Tennessee ta the Applachians -- terminating growth on annual
vegetation.

FOURTH WEEK,..General rains covered the eastern piedmont area from North Carolina through
New York and spread through most of New England. Later, a major Pacific storm brought moderate
to heavy rain to the coastal area of the Pacific Northwest and widespread showers, with snow in
the mountains, from southern California to Montana. As the week ended, the remnants of
Hurricane Otis brought moisture across Mexico into eastern Texas. The Pacific cold front moving
through the southern Plains triggered heavy showers from southeastern Texas to eastern Kansas
and into Missouri. (Prepared by NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT SEEDING

Seeding of the 1982 winter wheat crop reached 89 percent complete by November 1, compared
with 91 percent a year earlier. Planting was virtually finished in the Northwest, Montana,
Colorado, and in the Northern and Central Great Plains and neared completion in the Southern
Plains and the Corn Belt. Plants had emerged on 78 percent of the acreage and stands were in
fair to mostly good condition. Good soil moisture conditions in most areas aided germination
and timely rains promoted growth and development of the crop. However, heavy rains damaged some
fields in parts of Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas. These will be replanted as conditions permit.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 A-7 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


PASTURE AND RANGE CONDITIONS*
November 1, 1981
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CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 A-6 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


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B-6

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981



SORGHUM FOR GRAIN: Production of grain sorghum is forecast at 876 million bushels (22.2 million
~~" metric tons), up 49 percent from a year earlier, up 8 percent from the 1979
crop, but down fractionally from the October 1 forecast. Yield per harvested acre is forecast
at a record high 64.2 bushels, compared with 46.2 bushels per acre in 1980 and the previous
record of 62.7 bushels in 1979.

By November 1, harvest was 6] percent complete in the seven major States, 22 points behind
both last year and the average. Harvesting lagged the average in all seven States.

Freezes in early October had a slightly adverse effect on yields in a few scattered areas of
Kansas, while later freezes have helped to hasten maturity. Harvest is well behind schedule in
Kansas with 40 percent harvested on November 1 compared with the average of 80 percent.
Extremely wet field conditions may further delay harvest.

The Texas harvest is also running behind schedule, and on November 1 stood at 84 percent
complete, compared with the 92 percent average. Wet field conditions and high grain moisture
levels have slowed the harvest across the Texas Panhandle and most of Oklahoma.

SOYBEANS: Soybean production is forecast at 2.08 billion bushels (56.5 million metric tons),

down 1 percent from last month's forecast, 16 percent more than last year's crop, but
8 percent below the record high crop of 1979. The U.S. average yield per acre is indicated at
31.0 bushels, 0.5 bushel less than Jast month but 4.6 bushels above the 1980 crop which was
curtailed by drought.

As of November 1, soybean combining in the 18 major producing States reached 67% complete,
lagging last year's 77% and the 74% average. Progress Jagged the average in al] areas except
the Southeast, where growers harvested at a faster than normal pace. Harvest in northern areas
was hampered by wet conditions during much of the month. However, excellent harvest conditions
prevailed late in the month, allowing growers to step up harvesting operations. Field losses
have been greater than usual in some late-planted fields as pods shattered before combining
began. Also, some plants were very short with pods close to the ground, which increased losses.

In the North Central States, Illinois, Iowa, Indiana, Michigan, Nebraska, Ohio and South
Dakota, yield forecasts were unchanged from last month. However, prospects dropped 1.0 bushel
in Missouri and 2.0 bushels in Minnesota. The Kansas yield increased 2.0 bushels per acre.
Towa, Kansas and Nebraska are expecting record yields, while forecast yields in I]]inois and
Missouri would equal previous record yields in these States.

During October, yield prospects declined 1.0 bushel in Atabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, and
Tennessee, 2.0 bushels in Louisiana and Texas, and were unchanged in Kentucky.

For the Atlantic States, Virginia is anticipating a record yield of 29.0 bushels, up 2.0
bushels from Yast month, while other States' expected yields are unchanged from last month.

U.S. SOYBEAN PRODUCTION

siIO BES

NOVEMBER FORECAST

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1987 A-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN CROPPING PRACTICES
PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE AND ROW WIDTH

The Statistical Reporting Service collects objective information on corn
development during the production period. Counts and measurements are made by
trained enumerators during visits to random plots in a scientific sampling of
fields in 10 States which account for approximately 83 percent of the 1981
corn production. Information in the following tables represents sample data
and averages from these counts. The data, which are subject to sampling
fluctuations, are not official Crop Reporting Board estimates but do show
trends in corn cropping practices over a period of years.

In 1981, the plant population showed a decline from 1980 in 7 States and
an increase in 3 States. Average row widths tended to decrease in 1981 with 7
States showing decreases, two States showing increases and one State remaining
the same as last year.

© CORN FOR GRAIN: PLANT POPULATION PER ACRE,
SELECTED STATES, 1977-81 1/

NUMBER OF PLANTS
TL : 20,100 19,600 20,600 21,200 20,700

IND : 19,100 19,300 20,000 21,100 19,700
IOWA : 18,800 19,800 20,300 20,200 20,800
MICH : 18,300 18,600 19,000 19,300 18,800
MINN : 19,100 20,000 20,200 19,600 19,500
MO : 15,600 15,100 15,400 16,000 16,600
NEBR : 17,600 19,000 18,400 19,800 19,300
OHIO : 20,200 19,900 20,700 21,400 20,800
S DAK : 11,700 13,300 13,700 14,500 13,300
WIS : 19,700 20,100 19,600 19,800 20,000

J/ BASED ON STALK COUNTS IN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD SAMPLES.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CROP PRODUCTION (Qe

joard

Released:

November 12, 1981 Statistical Reporting
3:00 P.M. ET Service

U.S. Department
of Agriculture

Washington, D.C.
20250

HIGHLIGHTS

CORN production is forecast at a record high 8.10 billion bushels (206 million
metric tons), virtually unchanged from the QGctober 1 forecast but 22
percent more than last year. This forecast is up 2 percent from the
previous record set in 1979. The 90 percent confidence interval for this
1981 production forecast is 7.73 to 8.46 billion bushels.

SORGHUM GRAIN production is forecast at 876 million bushels (22.2 million
metric tons), up 49 percent from last year's drought-stricken crop.

FEED GRAIN production (corn, sorghum, oats, and barley combined) is expected
to total 246 million metric tons, up 24 percent from last year's
production of 198 million metric tons.

SOYBEAN production is forecast at 2.08 billion bushels (56.5 million metric
tons), down 1% from last month's forecast but 16 percent above the 1980
crop. The 90 percent confidence interval for the 198] production
forecast is 1.98 to 2.17 billion bushels.

OILSEED production (soybeans, cottonseed, peanuts, flaxseed and sunflowers) is
forecast at 66.2 million metric tons, up 19 percent from last year.

ALL_COTTON production is forecast at 15.6 million bales, up 1 percent from the
October 1 forecast and 40 percent greater than in 1980. The 90 percent
confidence interval for this production forecast is 14.5 to 16.6 million
bales.

ALL TOBACCO production is forecast at 2.03 billion pounds (919 thousand metric
tons), 14 percent above last year's crop. fFlue-cured production is up 5
percent and burley production is up 29 percent from a year earlier.

SUGAR CROPS: Sugarbeet production is forecast at 26.7 million tons (24.2

million metric tons), 14 percent above last year. Sugarcane
production is expected to total 29.4 million tons (26.7 million metric tons),
9 percent greater than in 1980.

CrPr 2-2 (11-81) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127



SUGARBEETS: The Nation's sugarbeet crop is forecast at 26.7 million tons (24.2 million metric

tons), up 4 percent from the October 1 forecast as a result of higher yields than
anticipated in Colorado, Nebraska, Idaho, Wyoming, North Dakota, Minnesota, Montana, Oregon and
Texas.

In California, harvest neared completion in the Central Valleys. Planting of the 1982 crop
is nearly complete in the Imperial Valley.

North Dakota and Minnesota harvest was frequently stalled by wet weather and freezing
temperatures, but good progress was made late in the month.

Idaho's harvest is almost two weeks behind schedule. The start of harvest in Michigan was
delayed by wet fields until] mid-October but was nearly complete by early November.

Colorado producers waited for cooler temperatures to enable them to stockpile beets.
Harvest started a week later than normal but was catching up by the end of the month. Tonnage
‘improved substantially during late September and early October as a result of good weather
conditions.

SUGARCANE: Production of sugarcane for sugar and seed is forecast at a record high 29.4 million

tons (26.7 million metric tons), virtually the same as the October 1 forecast but up
9 percent from the 1980 crop. The combination of greater than expected average yields and the
largest acreage for harvest since 1977 in accounting for the expected record production.

Sugarcane in Florida continues in good to excellent condition with production estimated at a
record level. Yield outlook is the best since 1975 and acreage for harvest is a record high.
Cutting cane for sugar began in late October. Cutting for seed and planting remains active.

The island of Hawaii received much needed moisture in October but most sections in the
island chain were generally dry. Irrigation, wherever available, kept fields in fair to good
condition. A few mills closed during the second half of October for annual repairs.

Louisiana's harvest was 29 percent complete by November 1 compared with 15 percent last year
and the average of 21 percent. Planting was completed earlier than normal.

Rain caused some delays in Texas but by month's end, harvest was in full swing. Quality
appears to be excellent.

PASTURE AND RANGE FEED: The condition of pasture and range feed on November 1 in the 48

contiguous States averaged 80 percent. This is 15 points more than a
year ago and 3 points above the 1970-79 average for this date. Fair to good conditions were
reported in most areas, except the Southeast where dry weather earlier in the season resulted in
very poor to fair conditions. Livestock were moved to winter grazing areas as summer pastures
declined seasonally. Growers across the southern part of the Nation planted crops for winter
grazing, but dry soils in some areas of the Southeast slowed germination and growth through
mid-October. Rainfal] later in the month improved pasture conditions and promoted the growth of
grasses.

PAPAYAS: Hawaii fresh papaya production is forecast at 5.25 million pounds (2380 metric tons)

for November, up 7 percent from October and 17 percent more than a year ago. Fresh
output is expected to be down seasonally in December to 4.60 million pounds (2090 metric tons).
January 1982 fresh production is forecast at 5.20 million pounds (2360 metric tons) and February
at 5.00 million pounds (2270 metric tons), up 19 and 22 percent, respectively, from the same
months of 1981.

October fresh production is estimated at 4.90 milvion pounds (2220 metric tons), down 7
percent from September and 8 percent less than October 1980. Cumulative 19813 fresh production,
through October, totaled 50.1 million pounds (22.7 thousand metric tons), 41 percent more than
the comparable period last year.

Area harvested in October totaled 2210 acres (890 hectares), up 2 percent from September and
13 percent more than last October.

PRUNES: The California prune crop (dried basis) is forecast at 155 thousand tons (141 thousand

metric tons), 8 percent less than last year's crop but the same as the September 1
forecast. Harvest was complete by the second week of September -- about a week earlier than
usual. The fruit was of excellent size, quality and sugar level with few off-grade fruit. The
dry away ratio should be between 3.10 and 3.15 compared with last year's 3.48.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 A-12 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


Upland production in the Western States--Arizona, California, and New Mexico--is forecast at
5.16 million bales, up 5 percent from October 1 and 13 percent above 1980. Harvest was about
two-thirds complete in San Joaquin Valley and about 40 percent finished in Arizona by November
1. Yields are turning out better than expected. Picking is just beginning in the Imperial
Valley where yield prospects have been reduced by late season insect build up.

The Bureau of the Census reports 5,538,987 running bales ginned prior to November 1 compared
with 4,599,488 ginned to the same date last year and 4,798,539 bales in 1979.

Cotton Seed: Cottonseed production, based on a three-year average lint-seed ratio, is
forecast at 6.19 million tons (5.61 million metric tons) compared with 4.47 million tons (4.06
million metric tons) produced in 1980.

ORY EDIBLE BEANS: Dry bean production is forecast at 31.2 million hundredweight (1.41 million

metric tons) in 1981, up 19 percent from a year ago. With harvest nearing
it's close, the November 1 prospects gained 1 percent from the October 1 forecast. Area for
harvest is estimated at 2.17 million acres (879 thousand hectares), 18 percent above last year.
The average yield inched up to 1436 pounds per acre, 14 pounds above the 1980 average.

Colorado and Wyoming bean producers indicate better yields than earlier anticipated. Harvest
is virtually completed. Colorado, Wyoming and California are expecting record high average
yields. Recent rains in California resulted in some damage to fields and harvesting delays.
Late maturing fields are being cut and windrowed with declining harvest to continue through
mid-November.

Michigan farmers worked long hours to take advantage of warm days at the end of October.
Ory bean harvest is 95 percent complete with some very wet eastern "thumb" fields remaining to
be combined. Cool October temperatures reduced deterioration of unharvested beans, keeping
quality at an acceptable level.

Idaho has only a few fields remaining to be combined. Dry bean harvest in Washington was
completed in early October. In North Dakota, warm weather late in the month helped dry muddy
fields. About three percent of the acreage remained for harvest, as of November 1.

TOBACCO: Production of all tobacco is forecast at 2.03 billion pounds (919 thousand metric

tons), up 14 percent from the 1.78 billion pounds (809 thousand metric tons) produced
in 1980 and 1 percent above last month. Burley and flue-cured account for most of the increased
Production from 1980. Yield per acre, at 2102 pounds, is 159 pounds above 1980 and 16 pounds
greater than the October 1 forecast.

Flue-cured production is placed at 1.14 billion pounds (519 thousand metric tons), 5 percent
above a year earlier and 1 percent more than last month. North Carolina and Virginia Type 1}
and South Carolina Type 13 registered increases from last month. Yield, at 2135 pounds per
acre, compares with 1968 last year and 2105 pounds estimated last month.

Producers of fire-cured tobacco expect to harvest 41.5 million pounds (18.8 thousand metric
tons), 14 percent more than in 1980. Production is up fractionally from last month because
average yields in the Virginia Belt increased 25 pounds per acre.

Burley output is expected to total 717 million pounds (325 thousand metric tons), 29 percent
larger than the 1980 crop and the same as the October 1 forecast. Yield per acre is now
estimated at 2201 pounds. Stripping is ahead of normal in Kentucky and Tennessee.

Production of Southern Maryland Type is forecast at 44.6 mitlion pounds (20.2 thousand
metric tons), up 70 percent from 1980 but unchanged from last month. Yield is expected to
average 1303 pounds per acre, compared with 1092 pounds last year. The acreage increases from
1980 fn North Carolina and Virginia and the addition of acreage in South Carolina all
contributed to the increased production.

Production of dark air-cured tobacco, at 18.1 million pounds (8200 metric tons), is 9 percent
above last year. The production forecast is virtually unchanged fom October 1.

All cigar-type production is forecast at 60.4 million pounds (27.4) thousand metric tons), 1
percent more than in 1980 and 2 percent above the October | forecast. Cigar-filler and binder
Production are up I and 3 percent, respectively from last year. Wrapper production is down 14
percent from the previous year.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 A-11 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE

WASHINGTON, D.C. 20250

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In Kansas, winter wheat seeding reached 96 percent complete by November 1. Although this is
slightly ahead of normal, planting in the south central, east central, and southeast districts
has been slowed by heavy rainfall. In addition to slowing the seeding pace, the rain also
forced farmers to resow some fields where the seed was washed out or rotted in standing water.
Aside from these problems, development has been exceptional. A great deal of wheat pasture
should be available, unlike the past 2 years. Seeding reached 90 percent complete in Oklahoma
and 79 percent in Texas by the end of October. Heavy rains damaged some fields in these States
and they will be reseeded as fields dry. Nebraska producers were finished seeding the 1982
crop. Timely rains gave an additional boost to growth. The Nebraska crop had rooted well and
was in good condition. Montana seedings were finished during October. Soil moisture supplies
were improved by rain received at the end of the month. The moisture, followed by warm weather,
should improve the condition of wheat going into the winter. The crop came up very spotty in
most of the northeastern and eastern parts of the State due to dry conditions at seeding. The
Washington crop was 96 percent seeded by the beginning of November. A number of growers
reseeded acreage due to poor stands and heavy cheat grass infestations.

CORN FOR GRAIN: Production of corn for grain is forecast at a record high 8.10 billion bushels
(206 million metric tons). This is virtually unchanged from last month's
forecast but 22 percent greater than last year's drought-stricken crop.

Average yield per acre is forecast at 109.2 bushels, up 0.2 bushel from iast month's yield
and 18.2 bushels greater than last year. If realized, the yield will be the second highest of
record, exceeded only by the 1979 crop yield of 109.7 bushels. Of the major producing States,
yields are at record high jevels in, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, and Wisconsin.

Corn harvesting in the 17 major producing States on November 1 was 59 percent complete,
lagging last year's 86 percent and the average progress of 70 percent. Progress was behinc
normal in nearly all States except in the Southeast where dry weather enabled growers to harvest
at a rapid pace. Harvesting was 20 percentage points or more behind schedule in Colorado,
Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Onio and Wisconsin. However, mild, dry weather late in October
and early November in the major producing areas helped to dry fields and lower grain moisture
content. This enabled growers to spend long hours in the fields taking advantage of the good
weather conditions.

U.S. CORN PRODUCTION

NOVOEER 1981

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CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 : A-8 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CITRUS FRUIT vs

+ PRODUCTION PRODUCTION
cRnp 2 BOXES : TON EQUTVALENT
AND AITILE7EO INDICATED? UTILIZED INDICATED
STATF 197460 £ 19804K1 t 19K1=82 1980-81 t 19A1=82
ws 1,000 UNITS 27 2000 UNITS
ORANGES,EARLY MID & MAYEL ast
ARIZ : aS 900 900 32 34 3a
CALIF 32,400 38,750 25,000 1,223 1,453 938
FLA : 105,600 93,000 5,706 4,752 4,185
TEX ? 2,600 3,300 a7 110 141
us : 147,850 122,200 6,654 6.349 52296
OWANGES, VALENCIA apt
ART? 3 2,650 1,700 1,759 99 64 65
CALIF : 26,400 27,500 22,000 1,005 1,031 825
FLA t AH, ROO 66,400 73,000 3,995 34006 3,285
Tex : 12730 \.730 2,100 74 74 Bo
us 2 119,980 97,730 98,850 5,174 44175 4,264
ALL ORANGES ast
ARTZ 2 34500 2,600 2,650 131 98 99
CALtF : 59,400 66250 AT, 000 2,228 2,484 AsTes
FLA 2 172,400 = 146,000 9,392 7,758 7,470
TEX : 4,330 5,400 171 184 230
us : 245,540 221,950 11,832 10,524 9, She
TEMPLES iB
FLA ast 34600 4,200 270 162 189
GRAPEFRUIT, .HITE SEEOLESS = ¢
FLA 4/7 34,100 28,400 32,006 1,322 1,207 1,360
GRAPEFRUIT, PINK SEEDLESS = ¢
FLA 4st 15,800 14,600 16,000 eT ean 680
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT :
FLA as 3 72900 72300 7,000 336 310 298
ALL GRAPEFRUIT 3
ARIZ : 3,000 2800 2,700 9% 90 86
CALIF rans
DESERT t 4,200 4260 4,000 134 136 126
ATHER AQEAS + 5,300 3-800 M1 127
TOTAL : 7,500 A060 2a5 263
FLA ars 54,400 594300 55,000 2,329 2.138 2,338
TEX z 64700 19,500 316 268 420
us : 674560 2,986 2,789
TANGFRINES 3
ARIZ 3 700 890 28 26 30
CALIF 3 1,660 1,700 62 70 64
FLA ass 3,900 3,100 185 143 147
us : 5,560 5,600 27s 239 aay
LEMONS :
ARTZ. : THN00 7,800 ti6 266 296
CALIF : 24, ROG 19,800 673 942 732
ns : Rr, 800 27,600 TAD 1,208 1,048
TANGELOS :
FLA 4,900 5,500 288 2a 248

1/ THF CROP YEAR AEGINS eJTH THE AL00M OF THE FIRST YEAR
SHOWN AND ENDS WITH YEAH HARVEST TS COMPLETED,

2s WET LHS PER BOXS ORANGES@CALTF 2% AREZ=7TS,FLAR=90,

GRAPEFRUTT=COLIF SERT & ART7e64, CALTF

EReb67, FLACBS, TEXAN; LEMONS@767 TANGELOS &
TEMPLES-907 TANGERIH CALIF ® ARIZ=75, FLA=95.

3/ NAVEL AND MISCELLANEDNS VARIETIES Is CALIFORNIA AND
ARTZONA, EARLY AND HTNSEASON VARIETIES TN FLORTDA ANN
TEXAS, INCLUOING SMALL BHANTITIES OF TANGERINES IN
TEAS,

4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

S/ THE FIRST FOUECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFSUTT "OTHEH AREAS
WILL HE AS OF APR 1,

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-9 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


SOYBEANS: DISTRIBUTION OF MAJOR VARIETIES, OBJECTIVE YIELD STATES,
PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED, ‘get crop 1/

LEADING VARIETIES BY PERCENT OF ACREAGE HARVESTED

SECOND

NAME PERCENT NAME PERCENT NAME

RANSOM 18.9 1 ESSEX 16.9 BRAGG

ALA 16.2
ARK FORREST 24.6 : BEDFORD 17.0 BRAGS 14.0
GA BRAGG 48.3 + DAVIS 17 + COKER 5/ 8.3
TLL WILLIAMS 2/ 30.1 : WOODWORTH wT + ASGROW 5/ 6.7
IND WILLIAMS 2/ 26.9 2 AMSOY 2/ 7.4 + WOODWORTH 6.5
TOWA CORSOY 2/~ 14.4 : NORTHRUP KING 5/ 8.7 ASGROW 5/ 74
tA BRAGG 20.7 1 RANSOM 16.1 CENTENNTAL 14.9
MINN CORSOY 2/ 25.8 : HODGSON 18.7 PETERSON S/ 1.0
MISS CENTENNTAL 32.3 2 BRAGG 14.9 LEE 2/ 14.1

+ WILLIAMS 2/ 54.5 + FORREST 8.7 MACK ay 4.2

: : UNION 4/

NEBR AMSOY 3/ 2/ 11.7 : ASGROW 3/ 5/ 11.7 : WILLIAMS 2/ 10.0
NC RANSOM 37.7 : CENTENNTAL 14.4 2 FORREST 12.3
OHIO WILLIAMS 2/ 27.7 : CALLAND 8.0 AMSOY 2/ 7.1
sc BRAGG 30.0 1 COKER 5/ 21.4 RANSOM 0

: BEDFORD 1.9 : FORREST 26.3 ESSEX 4

1/ REPORTED FOR SAMPLE FIELDS USED FOR OBTAINING OBJECTIVE YIELD 2/ INCLUDES VARIETIES WITH ADDITIONAL

VE TA.
NUMERICAL DESIGNATIONS SUCH AS WILLIAMS "79", AMSOY "71", PICKETT "71", ETC. 3/  TIEO FOR FIRST PLACE

4/ TIED FOR THIRD PLACE. 5/ PRIVATE VARIETY. INCLUDES ALL NUMERICAL VARIETY DESIGNATIONS MARKETED UNDER
TOMPANY NAME.

MEASURED ROW SPACING OF SOYBEANS: PERCENTAGES DISTRIBUTION AND
AVERAGE WIOTH FOR SELECTEO STATES, 1979-81 1/

ROW WIDTH GROUPS (INCHES)

AVERAGE
34.6 & WIDTH 27
GREATER

CINCHES)
PERCENT OF PLOTS °

ARK : 23.7 62.7 36.1
" 24.5 50.4 34.7
1 23.3 52.6 33.9

= NOT AVAILABLE. 1/ BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS iN PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELO SAMPLES.
y BROADCAST SOYBEANS INCLUDED AS 10.0 INCHES AND LESS BUT EXCLUDED IN COMPUTATION OF AVERAGE WIDTH.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 8-15 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USOA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(weTRIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED. YIELD PER aecraRE

INDICATED +
1981

HECTARES METRIC TONS

= INDICATED
1981

CORN FOR GRAIN 567 060 30 004 930 5.71 6.85 168 855 140 205 278 060 205 679 140
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 148 470 5 517 140 2.90 4.03 14 935 810 22 286 630 22 244 460
RICE 333 450 1511 110 4.93 5.48 6 579 950 8 109 420 8 283 820
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 460 640 27 071 330 1.78 2.09 48771 940 57 331 390 56 526 620
PEANUTS FOR NUTS 566 080 620 960 -1..85 2.92 1046 820 1 756 760 «1: 813 650
ALL COTTON 347 900 5 864 410 0.45 0.61 2421 540 ©3369 550 3-387 690
UPLAND 318 880 5 540 650 0.45 0.61 2 398 850 3 348 890 3 366 960
AMER-P IMA 29 020 23 760 0.78 0.87 22 690 20 660 20 730
COTTONSEED 4055 570 5 581 450 5 611 480
DRY EDIBLE BEANS : 743 010-878 5801.59 1.61 1 183 870 1: 404 680—-1-414-570
TOBACCO : 371340 389 8802.18 2.36 808 580 910 740 918 610
SUGARBEETS : 480 970 496 030 44.32, 48.81 21 317 930 23 281 080 24 210 950
SUGARCANE FOR :
SUGAR AND SEED : 296 520 302 870 82.49 88.03 24 460 420 26 668 510 26 663 070
ORIEO PRUNES (CALIF) = 152 410 1/140 610 140 610
CRANBERRIES : 122 360 121 430 120 560
FILBERTS : 13.970 13 880 13 610
1980-81 1981-82 1981-82

CITRUS FRUITS 2/
“TERORS

1095 880 = 036 STO 950 730

1/ SEPT 1, 1981. 2/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN ANO ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION
OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY 1/
(weTRIC UNITS)

“BREA HARVESTED “YIELD PER HECTARE

PRODUCTION

INDICATED
1981

CROP INDICATED

1981

INDICATED

1980
HECTARES METRIC TONS

OATS 496 520 3-906 880 1.90 1.89 6 641 940 7 394 750
BARLEY 927 120 3 670 540 2.67 2.82 7 806 370 10 364 350
ALL WHEAT 673 500 32 654 030 2.25 2.29 64 491 740 74 836 880
WINTER 790 540 23 684 480 2.98 2.37 51 471 420 56 042 380
DURUM 958 700 2 285 690 1.51 2.17 2 950 030 4955 620
OTHER SPRING 924 260 6 683 860 1.70 2.07 10 070 290 13 838 880
RYE 268 710 267 00 1.54 1.62 413 150 433 930
FLAXSEED 284 500 259 000 0.73 0.77 206 460 200 490
SUNFLOWERS 490 470 1 584 360 1.14 1.29 1 697 170 2 038 000
ALL HAY 053 560 24 056 390 4.94 5.33 118 904 700 128 252 330
ALFALFA 630 800 10 588 710 6.82 7.06 72 452 310 74 710 290
ALL OTHER 422 760 13 467 680 3.46 3.98 46 452 390 $3 542 040
ORY EOIBLE PEAS 54 630 45 330 2.73 2.24 149 000 101 600
POTATOES.
WINTER 4 650 4690 23.05 21.26 107 180 99 700
SPRING 28 980 31730 26.71 29.67 774 140 941 290
SUMMER 36 460 38.450 21.15 23.52 771 060 904 320
FALL 397 080 422 740 30.43 30.80 12 084 910 13 020 350
TOTAL 467 170 497 610 29.41 30.08 13 737 290 14 965 660
‘SWEETPOTATOES 41 360 44030 12.01 12.85 496 820 565 760
PEPPERMINT OIL 32 900 27 520 0.06 0.07 2 090 1-790
SPEARMINT OLL 12 670 11 940 0.08 0.07 970 870
HOPS 15 010 17 440 2.28 2.07 34 270 36 040
APPLES, COM'L 4 004 470 3 $92 210
PEACHES 1 394 150 1 322 490
PEARS 810 840 776 820
GRAPES 5 075 790 3.851 360
SHEET CHERRIES 155 760 139 800
TART CHERRIES 98 930 62 600
APRICOTS 107 950 97 700
NECTARINES (CALIF) 174 630 181 440
PLUMS (CALIF) 145 150 163 290
OLIVES (CALIF) 100 700 39 920
PRUNES AND PLUMS
{EXCL CALIF) 69 490 59 960
PECANS 83 230 153 310
ALMONDS (CALIF) 146 060 204 120
WALNUTS (CALIF) 178 720 195 040
CITRUS FRUITS 2/ 1980-81 1981-82
ORANGES 9 S47 210 8 674 500

1/1981 ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST EXCEPT CHERRIES END-OF-SEASON ESTIMATES.
x SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE
‘OLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 Ad CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



SOWGHUM FOR GRAIN

STEO

PRODUCTION

to
1961

1979 3 1960 ¢ 1981

1,000 ACHES BUSHELS 1,000 BUSHELS

3a aS 37.00 33400 3540 1,036 1,122
26 22 710 75.0 BOLO 1,775 1,950
203 290 29.0 © 62.0 5,887

182 135 73.0 75.0 96
350 590 35.0 «37.0 12,250
ag 130 Pao 28.0 1,968
62 Ao 59.0 67.0 3,658
® W 52.0 45,0 ate
19 19 70.0 78,0 1,406 1330
3,640 3,700 43.9 70.0 156,520
26 a7 50.0 61,0 1,300
1a 75 34.0 36.0 476
3A So 35.0 43,0 1,330
900 970 ae, Hb. 03,200
1030 2.050 79,0 A040 121,800
257 260 40,0 50.0
62 36.0 50.0

ano 3a.9 005.0 22,500
5 50.0

15 22.0 32.0 S76

325 33.0 7.0 19,270

35 42.0 54.0 3,510

3,950 46.0 56.0 200,800

9 43.0 © 46.0 387 506

12,722 587,997 875,726

46.2 64,42 808,862

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT VEAW CARRIED FORWARD FROM FARLTER FORECAST.
2/7 FSTIMATES DISCOMTINUEN AFTER 1940 CHOP,

RICE

ARFA HAPVESTEU

PRODUCTION

POUNDS

ap 1,020.0 1,240.0 1,809.0 4,320 4,110 4,600 = 44,064 = 52,615 69, 000
CALIF 522.0 544.0 590.0 6,520 6,440 7,100 = 34,082 35, 301 41,890
La 528.0 5AS.0 Aone 3,550 3,950 20,643 = 20,768 26, 070
MISS 207.0 2an.o 335.0 3,nan 4,390 8,384 9,226 © 14,405
vo 4 35.0 56.0 77.0 4,180 4,200 1,533 2,341 3,234
Tey S8?.o So. 872.0 4,280 4,900 23,421 24,a12 28,028
ws 1 2,809.0 3,295.0 567 R40 4,403 4,891 131,947 105,063 182,627

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAN CARRIED FOW*ARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST.

PEANITS FAK SUITS

AREA HaARYESTED

PRAUUCTLON

1979

1,000 SCRES

1,000 POUNDS

us 700.0 210.0 2,785 14325 24760 5A4A50 © 265,000 579,000
FLA 59.0 40.0 3,270 24600 2950 179,850 143,000 «177,000
ir 555.0 3,235 1,935 24.990 1,704,885 994,590 1,609,500
MESS t/t 745 2,650 te250 14790124375, 7,500 12,750

9.9 2,750 2,540 2,800 25,300 22,382 23,760

2,280 16755 2,950 378,4A0 291,330 $91, 500
2,200 14335 2,350 © 264,000 = 140,175 277, 300
2,150 e100 = 2,100 32,250 14,300 31,500
1,725 14275 1675 535,025 293,250 43,125
2,919 14350 3,100 253,510 136,359 322,400
2,611 14650 2,606 3,968,485 2,307,847 3,998,435

1519.7

A/ FSTIMATES Foe CHRUFNT YEAw CARRLED ENRWAD FRO! FARLTER FORECAST.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-2 CRNP REPORTING BOARD, SRS+ ISDA



COTTON

AREA HARVESTED
z 2 IND
1979 2 1980 ¢ 1984

1979 = 1980

1,000 ACRES PONNDS 1,000 BALES 27

COTTON, UPLAND
ALA ? 305.0 321.0 365.0 Slo 411 513 324.0 275.0 390.0
ARIZ : 575.0 589.0 599.0 14069 1,103 1,242 14280.0 1,354.0 4,550.0
ARK 3 530.0 645.0 600.0 549 330 520 606.0 444.0 650.0
CALIF 2 1,635.0 1,590.0 14490.0 1,000 995 14128 3,408.0 3,109.0 3, 500,0
FLA Bre 3.4 5.9 12.7 565 610 s52 4.0 7.5 14.6
GA 2 150.0 160.0 170.0 486 25a 395 152.0 86.0 140.0
LA : 465.0 540.6 695.0 N12 394 553 690.0 460.0 800.0
MISS # 1,050.0 1,125.0 1,270.0 657 488 600 1,437.0 1,143.0 = 1,525.0
“Oo : 137.0 241.0 185.0 550 353 428 157.0 177.0 165.0
NEV ast 1.1 of 1.1 635 640 655 1.5 1.2 1.5
N MEX : 126.0 120.0 116.0 396 428 455 104.0 107.0 110.0
Ne : 45.0 65.0 80.0 ass 381 480 43.0 52.0 80.0
OKLA : 5A0,0 565.0 630.0 432 174 389 522.0 205,0 510.0
sc 3 109.0 120.0 117.0 S10 309 607 116.9 77,0 148.0
TENN : 230.0 275.0 310.0 387 349 434 171.0 200.0 280.0
TEX £ 6,800.0 6,850.0 74200,0 389 233 379 5515.0 3,320.0 5-600.0
vA ws - 3 320 320 480 . 22 .
us : 13,193.1 13,691.41 Sar 402 S42 14,530.7 11-017.9 15,464,4
cotran, A
ART7 3 M2a4 33.8 743 baa 89s 67.0 72.3
CALIF 3/2 a “0 480 4R0 0 al a
N MEX t 7.0 6.9 246 464 5a 7.5 6.8
Tey t 22.5 16.0 373 533 667 24,0 25.6
Wes 2 89,1 7147 58.7 S31 698 7178 98.6 104.2
COTTON, ALL
ALA ¢ 305.0 321.0 345.0 S10 ai $13 324.0 275.0

= 618.3 31.1 632.8 1-946 1,085 1,224 1,347.0 1.426,3

: 530.0 645.0 600.0 949 330 $20 606.0 444.0

2 1,635.1 1,500.1 1,490.0 1,000 995 1,128 3,408.1 3,199,1

2 3.4 349 12.7 565 610 552 4,0 7,5

: 150.0 160,0 170.0 486 254 395 152.0 A660

z 465.0 560.0 695.0 M12 394 553 690.0 460.0

> 1,050.0 1,125,0 1,220 457 aBR 690 1,437.0 1,143.0

z 137.0 241.0 185.0 550 353 428 157.0 177.0

3 del oo 1.1 645 640 655 1.9 1.2

: 140.8 127.0 122.9 340 430 458 2122,5 113,86

z 45.0 65.0 80.0 455 BAY 4A0 43,0 52.0

: 370.0 565.0 630.0 432 174 389 $22.0 205.0

: 109,0 120.0 11746 Sto 309 607 116.6 77.0 144.0

: 230.0 275.0 310.0 357 34g 43a 171.0 200.0 260.0

t 6,830.9 60872,5 75118,0 3a9 234 379 5,539.0 3,345.0 5,625.0

: 3 3 3 320 320 480 a2 22 3

+ 12e830.9 134214,8 13,749,8 S47 40a S430 14,629.3 11,122.1 15,559.6

1/ PRODUCTION GINNED AND TO BE GINNED,
2/ 4bMelL2, NET WEIGHT BALES,
3/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST.

COTTONSEED

PRODUCTION

: 1,000 TONS

5,778.3 4,470.5 6,185.6

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-4 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED YIELO PER ACRE PRODUCTION

INDICATED

CROP AND UNIT INDICATED:
18t

1,000 ACRES

CORN FOR GRAIN 73,061 74,143 91.0 109.2 6,647,534 8,081,941 8,097,231

‘SORGHUM FOR GRAIN 12,722 13,633 46.2 64.2 587,997 877,386 875,726

RICE 3,295.0 3,734.0 4,403 4,891 145,063 178, 782 182,627

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS 67,856 66,894 26.4 31.0 1,792,062 2,106,568 2,076,998

PEANUTS FOR NUTS 1,398.8 1,534.4 1,650 2,606 2,307,847 3,873,010 3,998,435,

ALL COTTON 13,214.8 943 1,122.1 15,476.3 15,559.6
UPLAND 13, 143.1 542 11,017.9 15,381.4
AMER-PIMA n.7 778 104.2, 94.9

COTTONSEED 4,470.5 6,152.5

ORY EDIBLE BEANS 1,836.0 1,436 26,100 30,968

TOBACCO 917.6 2,102 1,782,618 2,007,841

‘SUGARBEETS 1,188.5 21.8 23,499 25,663

SUGARCANE FOR

SUGAR AND SEED 732.7 748.4 36.8 39.3 26,963 29,397

PASTURE AND RANGE 2/ 65 80

DRIED PRUNES (CALIF) 168.0 (3/155.0

CRANBERRIES 2,697.5 2,677.0

FILBERTS 15.4 15.3

£ITRUS FRUITS 4/ 1980-81 1981-82 3981-82
LEMONS BOX 31,800 5 fi

1/ YLELO IN POUNDS.
3/ SEP 1, 1981.
FOLLOWING YEAR.

2/_ PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION AS OF FIRST OF MONTH.
4/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE

THE 1970-79 AVERAGE IS 7? PERCENT.

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY 1/
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

AREA HARVESTED

YIELD PER ACRE

1,000 ACRES

oars 8,640 9,654 53.0 52.8 457,593 509, 457

BARLEY 7,233 9,070 49.6 52.5 358,544 476,031

ALL WHEAT " 70,853 80,689 33.4 34.1 2,369,666 2,749,785
WINTER " 51,374 58,525 36.8 35.2 1,891,251 2,059, 205,
ouRuM " 43,840 5,648 22.4 32.2 108,395 182,088
OTHER SPRING * 14,639 16,516 25.3 30.8 370,020 508,492

RYE 664 661 24.5 25.8 16,265 17,083

FLAXSEED 703 640 11.6 12.3 8,128 7,893

SUNFLOWERS 3,683, 3,915 1,036 1,148 3,741,640 4,493,050

ALL HAY 59,437 59,444 2.21 2.38 131,070 141,374
ALFALFA 26,269 26,165 3.04 3.35 79,865 82,354
ALL OTHER 33, 168 33,279 1.54 1.77 51,205 59,020

DRY EDIBLE PEAS 135.0 V2.0 2,433 2,000 3,285 2,240

POTATOES
WINTER is 11.6 205 189 2,363, 2,198
SPRING 76 78.4 238 265 17,067 20,752
SUMMER 90.1 95.0 189 210 16,999 19,937
FALL 981.2 1,044.6 272 275 266,428 287,051
TOTAL 1,154.4 1,229.6 262 268 302,857

SWEETPOTATOES 102.2 108.8 107 v5 10,953

PEPPERMINT OIL 81.3 68.0 7 58 4,611

SPEARMINT OIL 31.3 29.5 68 65 2,139

HOPS 37.1 43.1 2,037 1,844 75,560

‘APPLES, COM'L 8,828, 400

PEACHES 3,073, 600

PEARS 293.8

GRAPES 5,595.1

‘SWEET CHERRIES WT

TART CHERRIES 218, 100

APRICOTS, 119.0

NECTARINES (CALIF) 192.5

PLUMS (CALIF) 160.0

OLIVES (CALIF) 11.0

PRUNES AND PLUMS

(EXCL CALIF) 76.6 66.1

PECANS 183,500 338,000

ALMONDS (CALIF) 322,000 450,000

WALNUTS (CALIF) 197.0 215.0

CITRUS FRUITS 3/ 1980-81 1981-82
‘ORANGES: S, 227,050

v

1981 ESTIMATES CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST EXCEPT CHERRIES END-OF-SEASON ESTIMATES.

2/ YIELD IN POUNDS.

3/ SEASON BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CORN FOR GRAIN:

ROW WIDTH FOR SELECTED STATES, 1979-81

PERCENTAGE DISTRIBUTION BY ROW WIDTH AND AVERAGE

STATE
AND

IND

IA

MICH

MINN

MO

NEBR

OHIO

S DAK

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

1979
1980
1981

NUMBER

NUMBER

229
232
220

173
180
170

199
203
212

92
97
79

142
150
145

134

99
116
179

176
188

135
163
139

91
75
87

123
142
133

ROW WIDTH (INC

ny nS
Nou

y

Prey
BYE Loo

wR
DS

HES) 1/

: AVERAGE
. 6 : ROW
36.5 38.5 40.5 GREATER WIDTH
PERCENT OF SAMPLES
319.7 34.1 10.9 a) 34.9
19.0 25.4 7.8 4 34.0
16.4 28.6 6.4 ) 34.0
13.9 24.9 9.3 6 33.7
15.0 20.0 8.3 6 33.4
12.9 25.9 9.4 6 33.8
8.0 36.7 19.1 2.0 35.3
5.4 38.9 19.2 1.0 35.4
9.9 38.7 13.2 9 35.0
7.6 15.2 12.0 4.4 33.2
2.1 21.7 13.4 2.1 33.4
8.9 16.5 11.4 5.1 33.6
14,1 38.0 18.5 2.1 35.6
14.7 36.7 10.7 1.3 34.8
8.3 31.7 14.5 7 34.5
10.5 26.1 18.7 1.5 34.7
5.1 33.3 19.2 2.0 35.7
5.2 29,3 18.1 a) 34.5
19.6 28.5 21.8 5.0 36.1
25.6 26.7 17.6 1.7 35.5
23.9 23.9 11.2 3.7 34.8
5.2 22.2 W.1 7 33.4
11.0 14.7 1.7 2.5 33.3
12.2 10.17 8.6 1.4 32.6
7.7 40.7 41.8 4.4 38.1
2.7 40.0 49.3 2.7 38.2
2.3 47.1 41.4 3.5 38.1
18.7 35.8 23.6 8.1 36.9
6.3 38.0 28.2 2.1 36.3
10.5 36.8 24.8 1.5 36.2

J/ SPACINGS BASED ON ROW MEASUREMENTS IN SAMPLE PLOTS SELECTED FOR OBJECTIVE YIELD DETERMINATIONS.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX NUMBERS OF CROP PRODUCTION
UNITED STATES, 1971-81 (1977=100)

PRODUCTION

YEAR
AND SUGAR COTTON TOBACCO :OIL CROPS
FORAGE CROPS
1971 92 97 81 100 73 89 67
1972 85 88 96 78 110 95 91 72
1973 91 90 101 85 97 90 91 86
1974 83 73 96 91 91 80 104 70
1975 93 90 100 107 113 58 114 86
1976 91 95 93 106 112 74 112 74
1977 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
1978 102 108 106 93 100 75 106 105
1979 2 116 108 108 93 102 80 129
1980 101 97 98 120 97 77 93 100
1981 115 120 103 141 108 108 106 17

J/_ INCLUDES GRASS AND COVER CROP SEEDS, AND SOME MISCELLANEOUS CROP PRODUCTION NOT INCLUDED IN
SEPARATE GROUPS OF CROPS SHOWN,

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with related information
on selected agricultural commodities. These data were prepared and adopted by the Crop Re-
porting Board which consists of commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington
headquarters.

CROP REPORTING BOARD:
W. E. Kibler, Chairman,
G. L. Clampet, Secretary,

APPROVED: D. W. Barrowman, R. L. Schulte,
R. Hobson, R. L. Addison,
M. A. Anderson, W. R. Blackson,
W. T. Brannen, J. &. Brewster,
Jd. S. Buche, A. R. Budge,
(e T. J. Byram, J. L. Dasher,
C. D. James, D. C. Johnson,
S. R. Koyle, DO. €. Lutz,
G. A. Nelson, OD. £. Ransom,

SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1987 A-2 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


INDEX

BEANS, DRY EDIBLE .
CITRUS FRUITS ........

CORN CROPPING PRACTICES
CORN FOR GRAIN ........045
CORN FOR GRAIN ROW WIDTH .
COTTON 2... eee ee eee enceee
COTTONSEED .
CRANBERRIES
NUTS ..
PAPAYAS .ccceceeccseccecetceccens
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION .
PASTURE AND RANGE FEED CONDITION MAPS
PEANUTS FOR NUTS .....ceeaeeaee ere
PRUNES .....4-.
RICE ...-e ee eee
SORGHUM FOR GRAIN .
SOYBEANS, VARIETIES
SOYBEANS FOR BEANS
SUGARBEETS ....eceeeececece .
SUGARCANE FOR SUGAR AND SEED.

TOBACCO BY STATES .......0e0e
TOBACCO BY CLASS AND TYPE
US SUMMARY ..
WHEAT PASTURE . .
WINTER WHEAT MAP .... sc cececececcc reece eeeeettteeeeetee ese

PRP RBVODVDVVVA>
SOwWaNiINWENNMOND

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 B-16 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA


CRANBERRIES: The final forecast of U.S. cranberry production is 2.66 million barrels (121 thou-
————~_ sand metric tons), 1 percent below both the 1980 crop and prospects on October 1.

During October, prospects held steady in Massachusetts and Wisconsin while declining in New
Jersey, Oregon and Washington. Harvest was nearing completion in all States. Berry size was
reported to be good in Wisconsin but smaller than normal in New Jersey and Massachusetts.

FILBERTS: The production estimate for filberts in Oregon and Washington, at 15.0 thousand tons

(13.6 thousand metric tons) is 2 percent less than last month, 3 percent less than
last year's production but 15 percent more than the 1979 crop. Harvest was nearing completion
by November 1. Rains in October caused poor harvesting conditions and delayed harvest about two
weeks. There has been a greater than normal amount of blank nuts and early deliveries included
many nuts without the husk removed.

GRAPEFRUIT: Prospects for the 1981-82 season, excluding California’s "Other areas” grapefruit,
point to a crop of 72.2 million boxes (2.70 million metric tons), up fractionally
from last month's forecast and 13 percent more than last season. The first forecast for the
California “Other areas" grapefruit crop will be as of April 1. Production for California's
"Other areas" crop was 3.80 million boxes for the 1980-81 season. The October 1 forecast for
Florida of 55.0 million boxes is carried forward for this report. The Texas production forecast
continues at 10.5 million boxes, 57 percent above the 1980-81 harvest. The Arizona forecast of
2.70 million boxes is up 4 percent from last month but 4 percent below last season. California
Desert Valley growers expect to harvest 4.00 million boxes, the same as forecast a month
earlier, but 6 percent Jess than the 1980-8) production. Movement of the 1981-82 crop got
underway slowly in October with good quality but more time is needed for fruit size to improve.

LEMONS: The Arizona-California lemon crop is now forecast at 27.6 million boxes (951 thousand

metric tons), 8 percent less than last month's forecast and 13 percent below last
season. The crop forecast has been lowered based on results of the recently completed Objective
Measurement Survey. The average number of fruit set per tree is down substantially from a year
ago while average fruit sizes and weights are approximately the same. Harvest is underway in
Arizona and light picking is occurring in California.

TANGERINES: The 1981-82 tangerine crop is expected to total 5.60 million boxes (219 thousand

metric tons), up 2 percent from last month's forecast and 1 percent above last
season. The Florida forecast is carried forward from October 1. The California forecast at
1.70 million boxes is unchanged from last month. Arizona growers expect to harvest 800 thousand
boxes, up 14 percent from both last month's forecast and last season's harvested production.
Harvest of early varieties is underway in all States.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981 A-13 CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USDA



DRY EDIBLE BEANS uv

: AREA HARVESTED . t YIELD t PRODUCTION
CROP AND STATE eeceennen nn nn nennnwenncentacneeennete nan enseremnaseeenennenennnerenanennseenarness
IND $ : IND ¢ r t IND
1979 t 1980 ¢ 1981 t 1979. t 1980 t 3984
1,000 cut

LARGE LIMA BEANS .

CALIF 30,0 14960 2,150 2,050 529 183 615
BABY LIMA BEANS .

CALIF 27.0 2,260 2,250 2,200 656 450 $94
BEANS OTHER THAN LIMAS .

CALIF 18840 1,600 3e877
ALL DRY EDIBLE BEANS

CALIF 245.0 1,739 6,386
colo 220.0 1,010 3,102
IDAHO. 244,0 © 1,850 4,392
KANS 33.0 1,000 962
MICH 570,0 1,400 67840
MINN 103,0 1,560 1,339
MONT 11.0 1,800 176
NEBR t 215,0 1,600 3,163
ny : 49,0 1,150 637
N DAK z 255. 360.0 © 14350 3,960
UTAH art 8.0 11.0 13.0 900 59
WASH t 40.0 54.0 66.0 2,000 14188
WYO : 28,0 37.0 42.0 1,900 882
us + 1,383.7 1,836.0 2,171.0 1,480 31,186

1/ EXCLUDES BEANS GROWN FOR GARDEN SEED.

2/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLTER FORECAST,

SOYBEANS FOR BEANS

AREA HARVESTED |

14000 ACRES BUSHELS
15.0
15.0
20,0
22,0
1

2,150
50150

27s

453
2,100
9,720
4,420
8,170
1,560
1,660

2,100

67,856

. PRODUCTION.

34,0

53,750
144,200
8,250
13,137
58,800
379,
159,120
306,375
41,340
53,950
93,800
12,150
30,300
162,560
118,900

$

1,000 BUSHELS

183,645

54,740
6,090

1/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FURECAST,

2/ ESTIMATES DISCONTINUED AFTER 1980 CROP.

CROP PRODUCTION, NOVEMBER 1981

8-3

31,500
65,250
5,200
10,120
23,540
309,875
157,680
316,395
"23,925
36,000
67,000
9,360
304400
149,940
61,606
135,485
53,100
3,492
456
“34,780
3,500
135,360
32000
26520
“20,890
"20,020
45,900
13,860
96150
102890

31,0. 2¢267,901 1.792, 062.

47,150
1000050
6,240
12,116
45,150
366,210
151,800
342,300
48,360
51,000
65,730
10,800
26,200
146,190
81,900
163,200
81,900
4,032

46,250
6,160
101,500
5,460
3,100
33,180
22,330
61,100
14,950
18,360
126580
976,998

CROP REPORTING BOARD, SRS, USE