U.S. Soybean Production

1985 - 1994
Dillion Bushels
2.60 ttaeee 0 Prereeeeee ee eeee eee Ceeereee rece eee rere reese rere reer reer rr rrerererrerey Py 9 errr rrr rrr 228 .
—7 194 1.04 : 193 1.89
2.00 | O44 I ee pt eey 1.92 7 3 + 81--

1.60

1.00

0.60

D6DRKWWUF

VW

0.00

85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94
Year
Cottonseed: Production, United States,
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994
Product?
State :------ +--+ 22 --eeeee neneen enennen eneneeereee eee eee ees
1992 1993 1994
1,000 T
US 6,230.1 6,347.2 7,469.5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-20 NASS, USDA


enough ahead of schedule so that the lull in crop development in July still left
the Nation's row crops ahead of the average. The lack of precipitation.
combined with hotter-than-normal weather in the Western States, rapidly matured
the smal? grains. July started with corn silking and sorghum heading just
beginning. By the end of the month, cotton squaring was complete, while corn
doughing and rice heading were starting. July began with torrential rains from
Tropical Storm Alberto, which caused flooding and interrupted field activities
from the Florida Panhandle to Georgia. A storm system originated over the
Dakotas and passed through the Great Lakes region, slowing the wheat harvest.
Later in the month, continued rain and hot weather in the Deep South increased
disease problems and delayed harvest activity. In the Corn Belt. cool weather
improved corn and soybean conditions, but many States contTriued to report short
soil moisture supplies. In the central Great Plains, the winter wheat harvest
was Slowed by Scattered rain storms but was over half complete for the Nation.

Corn: Acreage to be harvested for grain is forecast at 71.8 million acres, up
14 percent from last year’s flood reduced acreage. The August Corn
Objective Yield data indicate a record high stalks per acre count for the ten
objective yield States (Illinois, Indiana, lowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri,
Nebraska, Ohio, South Dakota, and Wisconsin). The forecasted ears per acre from
the objective yield models exceeds last year’s final count of ears per acre.

As of July 31, 98 percent of the Iowa crop was reported in good to excellent
condition and 98 percent of the crop had silked by that time. The August 1
stalk count for lowa is below last year as is the forecasted number of ears.

The Illinois corn crop was reported 84 percent good to excellent at the end of
July, and 98 percent was silking at that time. The number of stalks counted was
below last year in Illinois, but the projected ear count was above last year’s
actual count.

The Nebraska corn crop was reported 92 percent good to excellent and 98 percent
was silking as of August 1. A record high stalk count and forecasted number of
ears are projected.

The Indiana corn crop was 95 percent silking compared with 80 percent at this
time last year. Stalks per acre are below the past two years, but projected
ears per acre are only exceeded by the final 1992 actual ears per acre.

The Minnesota crop is developing well ahead of average and last year.
Ninety-one percent of the crop was silking as of July 31, compared with

9 percent last year and a 40 percent average. The number of stalks per acre
continue to increase to record levels and the projected number of ears is only
exceeded by the 1992 record actual number of ears.

Ohio’ has suffered the most during the growing season with only 72 percent of the
Crop in the good to excellent range. The crop is maturing well with 83 percent
silked as of July 31. Stalk counts are the lowest since 1989 as are projected
ear numbers.

Sorghum for Grain: The initial 1994 production forecast is 661 million bushels,
up 16 percent from 1993. Area for grain is forecast at

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-4 NASS, USDA


Grapes: Total Production by Crop, State. and United States,
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Crop and State ier enn nner ree ne nce ene renner rere tte t eee reer eee
1992 1993 1994
Tons
Grapes (Table Type) :
CA : 645,000 630,000 630,000
Grapes (Wine Type) :
CA : 2,145,000 2,345, 008 2,400.000
Grapes (Raisin Type) 2/ .
CA 2,670,000 2,410,000 2,500,000
All Grapes :
AZ : 25,000 24,000 26,000
AR : 5,000. 8,000 6.000
CA : 5,460,000 5,385,000 5,530,000
GA : 3,400 3,400 4,000
MI : 47,000 55,000 50,000
rile) : 1,850 2,350 2,700
NY : 180,000 118,000 175.000
NC : 1,300 1,500 1,500
OH : 10,300 6,000 7,200
OR : 12,300 12,300 13,500
PA : 78,000 54,000 70,000
sc : 500 600 : 700
WA : 227,000 354,000 215,000
us : 6,051,650 6,024,150 6,101,600

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons): 1992-19,450;
1993-8,600.
2/ Fresh basis.

Ginger Root: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production,
Hawaii 1992-94

Area Harvested Yield : Production

1992: 1993 : 1994: 1992: 1993 : 1994: 1992: 1993 : 1994

--- 1,000 Pounds ---

290 360 100 «40,000 27,500 42,000 11,600 9,900 4,200

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-37 NASS, USDA


The hay harvest in the eastern and southeastern States was hampered by the heavy
rains early in July that left fields saturated but boosted hay yields. The
frequent rains have encouraged hay growth but limited the drying time and
lowered the quality of the hay harvested.

Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures: The U.S. production is forecast at 81.6 million

tons, 1 percent above last year. The total area
cut and to be cut, at 24.7 million acres. is unchanged from June but down
slightly from 1993. Yield per acre is expected to average 3.31 tons per acre.
up 0.04 ton from the 1993 average yield.

All Other Hay: Production of all other hay is expected to total 69.8 million
tons, 3.percent above a year ago. Area harvested is expected to

total 35.6 million acres, unchanged from the June “Acreage” report but down

slightly from last year. Yield per acre is expected to average 1.96 tons.

0.05 tons above 1993.

Tobacco: U.S. all tobacco production for 1994 is forecast at 1.56 billion

pounds, down 3 percent from 1993. Harvested acres are expected to be
685,210 acres, down 8 percent from last year. Yields for 1994 are estimated to
average 2,275 pounds per acre, 116 pounds above the average for 1993.

Flue-cured production is expected to total 862 million pounds. up 4 percent from
the forecast of a month ago but 3 percent below last year.

Buriey production js expected to total 601 million pounds, 5 percent below the
production of 1993. Yield is expected to average 2.240 pounds per acre,
132 pounds above 1993.

Sugarbeets: Production for the U.S. is expected to total 29.2 million tons, an
increase of 11 percent from 1993. Area for harvest, at

1.44 million acres, is virtually unchanged from the June “Acreage” report but is

2 percent above a year ago. The average yield, at 20.3 tons per acre, is

1.7 tons above last year's yield.

Sugarcane: Sugarcane production for sugar and seed in 1994 is forecast at
31.4 million tons, up 1 percent from last year. The U.S. harvested

acreage is expected to total 952.600 acres, virtually unchanged from 1993. The

forecasted yield of 33.0 tons per acre is up 0.2 tons from a year earlier.

A wet June and July for Louisiana hampered some field activities but growing
conditions have been favorable. The sugarcane growing region in Florida was not
harmed by the flooding caused by tropical storm Alberto.

Pasture and Range Feed Condition: The pasture and range feed condition on
August 1 for the 48 contiguous States was
80 percent, 3 points below August 1, 1993, but 7 points above the 1983-92

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-9 NASS, USDA


State :

All Wheat:

Area Harvested :

1

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August 1. 1994

Production

Yield

1993

1994

AL L/
AZ 1/
AR 1/
CA 1/

DE 1/
FL I/
GA L/
1D
IL
IN
IA L/
KS
KY
LA L/
MD 1/
MI
MN
MS L/

MT
NE
WoL
Nd i/
NM 1/
NY 1/
NC
ND
OH
OK
OR
PA 1/
sc 1/
SD
TM
TMX
uT 1/
VA i/
WA
wes
wi ols
wy 1/

BH

: ua,

noe

993 1994
1.000 Acres

95 95
85 123
000 900
540 569
583 2,642
63 70
25 20
360 400
390 1,430
550 900
670 630
40 50
100 =—-:11,400
470 450
95 80
200 220
540 580
298 2,627
210 160
400 1,100
214 5,328
100 2,000
9 9
33 35
270 240
85 110
560 620
800 11,285
610 1,200
400 5.300
925 932
165 165
260 360
488 3,319
340 290
700 3,000
180 182
255 255
790 2,545
11 ll
125 141
213 198
647 61,971

Aug 1

weeccee --- 1
40.0 3
92.7 7
48.0 40
81.6 43
31.8 96
50.0 3
42.0
53.0 13
75.9 110
57.0 68
61.0 34
45.0 1
37.0 388
59.0 23
38.0 2
49.0 10
50.0 22
36.9 71
45.0 6
45.0 53
32.5 204
33.0 73
81.1
45.0 1
22.0 6
51.0 3
51.0 23
34.0 335
58.0 52
27.0 162,
63.4 64
50.0 7
54.0 9
28.4 111
50.0 13
26.0 118
42.5 7
56.0 13
54.5 177
44.0
48.8 4
22.3 6
38.5 2,402

,000 Bushels -

.230
‘790
+000
"800
'990
1591

825
.680
1350
200
1840
000
500
"030
1375
800
5140
1190
1930
:200
(484
‘500

800
419
+210
1910
1520
"060
1520
000
1960
1425
[880
1522
940
1400
1270
1515
1580

473
660
1546

3

ll,
43,
46,
84,

3,

21,
108,
51,
38,
2,
421,
26,
3,
10,
29,
96,

7

49,

172

66,

1,
5,
5.
31,
383,
69,
143,
59,
8,
19,
94,
14,
78,
7,
14,

800
396
200
405
044
500
840
200
510
300
430
250
800
550
040
780
000
850
200
500
968
000
730
575
280
610
620
655
600
100
090
250
440
413
500
000
732

i/ Estimates for current year carried forward from

Crop Production
August 1994

A-14

earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics

NASS,


Report Features

This report includes revisions for the 1993-94 Hawaii coffee crop.

These

data will also be included in the September issue of "Crop Production” as
was earlier scheduled. Beginning next year, these revisions will be scheduled

for release in August rather than September.

The “Hazelnut Production” report for 1994 will be released as scheduled on

August 24.

The initial forecast for the 1994-95 California Navel orange crop will be in

the September "Crop Production” report.

The next "Crop Production” report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on

September 12, 1994,

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National
Agricultural Statistics Service to contact for additional information.
C. Ray Halley, Chief (202) 720-2127
Field Crops Section
Bill Dowdy, Head (202) 720-3843
Dan Kerestes - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds, Rice (202) 720-9526
Greg Preston - Weekly Crop Weather. Sugar, Hay, Tobacco (202) 720-7621
Vaughn Siegenthaler - Rye, Sorghum, Wheat (202) 720-8068
Charles Van Lahr - Barley, Corn, Oats, Pasture Condition (202) 720-7369
Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section
Stephen Ropel. Head (202) 720-3843
Jim Brewster - Fruits, Fresh Vegetables (202) 720-7688
Arvin Budge - Potatoes, Dry Beans, Onions (202) 720-4285
Kirby Cavett - Peanuts (202) 720-8843
Roger Latham - Cotton (202) 720-5944
David Mueller - Fresh and Processing Vegetables (202) 720-2157
Blair Smith - Fruits. Citrus, Nuts (202) 720-5412
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-17 NASS, USDA


Statistically the “Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made
concerning expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final
end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors affecting this year’s forecast are
not different from those influencing recent years.

For example. the “Root Mean Square Error“ for the August 1 corn for grain
production forecast is 8.5 percent. This means that chances are 2 out of 3 that
the current production forecast of 9.21 billion bushels will not be above or
below the final estimate by more than 8.5 percent or approximately 783 million
bushels. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the
difference will not exceed 14.7 percent or approximately 1.35 billion bushels.

Also, shown in the following table is a 10-year record for selected crops of the
differences between the August 1 forecast and the final estimates. Using corn
again as an example. changes between the August 1 forecast and the final
estimate during the past 10 years have averaged 338 million bushels, ranging
from 16 million to 1.08 billion bushels. The August 1 forecast has been below
the final estimate 6 times and above 4 times. This does not imply that the
August 1 corn forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final
production. For most crops, the number of years the forecasts have been below
or above the final estimate is about equally distributed.

Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts
:Root Mean Square Error 10-year Record of
: Differences Between Forecast
and Final Estimate

: :90% Confidence
Crop and I I Level
Unit Percent:

Quantity No. of Years

:Percent: Quant:: : : Below : Above
: : :: Avg:Small:Large: Final : Final

Feed Grains 1/ Mt:

7.5 12.9 9 1 21 7 3
Corn For Grain Bu: 8.5 14.7 338 16 1,079 6 4
Sorghum For Grain Bu: 7.0 12.1 46 16 78 7 3
Oats Bu: 7.4 12.9 20 1 58 3 7
Barley Bu: 7.1 12.8 20 2 61 5 5
All Wheat Bu: 2.5 4.4 68 7 154 4 6
Winter Bu: 1.1 1.8 11 o1 23 4 6
Durum Bu: 9.4 16.2 9 2 16 5 5
Other Spring Bu: 8.5 14.6 48 3 123 5 §
Rice Cwt: 4.5 7.8 6 0 14 8 2
Soybeans For :
Beans Bu: 6.1 10.6 92 19 174 6 4
Cotton Bales 2/: 8.0 13.9 779 «34 «2,400 5 §
Dry Edible :
Beans Cwt: 8.3 14.3 1.8 0 4.2 3 7
1/ «Corn for grain, sorghum for grain, oats and barley.
2/ Quantity is in thousands of bales.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1994 B-15 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans:

Area Harvested, Yield, Production, by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 1/

Production

Area Harvested Yield
1993 1994 1993 1994
- 1,000 Acres - --- Pounds ---
104.0 135.0 2,110 2,100 2
185.0 205.0 1,530 1,600 2
123.0 138.0 1.700 2,050 1
27.0 28.0 1,400 1,600
380.0 330.0 1,600 1,200 4
88.0 120.0 950 1,500 1
11.0 10.0 1,900 2,000
130.0 180.0 1,400 2,050 2
14.0 12.5 1,350 1,800
34.0 37.0 1,350 1,400
380.0 490.0 780 =1,200 4
8.9 9.9 1,960 2,250
27.0 28.0 1,150 1,100
6.1 5.6 440 270
42.0 37.0 1,900 2,000
10.0 9.8 1,450 1,800
30.0 44.0 1,300 1,940
600.0 1,819.8 1,365 1,538 22

2,194
2.
2,091

831
378

080

836
155

820

189
459

+964

174
311

27
798
145
390

1/ Excludes beans grown for garden seed.

Crop Production
August 1994

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


9.30 million acres, down 2 percent from last year. Yields are forecast at an
average of 71.1 bushels per acre, up 11.2 bushels per acre from 1993. If
realized, this yield would be the second highest on record.

This year’s crop is developing ahead of average in most States. Conditions
ratings are generally fair to good. The Texas harvest is active in the
Blacklands and Central areas of the State.

Oats: Production of oats is forecast at 248 million bushels, down slightly from

last month but is 20 percent above 1993. Area for harvest and to be
harvested, at 4.13 million acres, is unchanged from July 1 but is 9 percent
above last year’s 3.79 million acres.

The expected yield is forecast at 60.0 bushels, down slightly from last month
but 5.6 bushels above last year.

Barley: Total production is forecast at 389 million bushels, down 4 percent
from last month and 3 percent below 1993. The expected yield per acre

is forecast at 56.8 bushels, down 2.5 bushels from July 1 and 2.1 bushels below

last year. Area harvested and to be harvested. at 6.85 million acres, is

1 percent above last year’s 6.79 million acres.

Winter Wheat: Acres for harvest are 41.5 million acres, unchanged from the July
forecast. Harvest advanced rapidiy during July, reaching

89 percent completion in the 19 major States by July 31. At that time, most

remaining area for harvest was in Montana and the Pacific Northwest, Wrap-up of

the Indiana harvest rea)ized record high yields with high test weight and

excellent quality. Kentucky and North Carolina growers also enjoyed record high

yields. Michigan’s harvest has resulted in better than expected yields.

Durum Wheat: Production is forecast at 97.9 million bushels. down 3 percent

from last month but 42 percent higher than 1993. Yields are
expected to average 37.1 bushels per acre, off 1.2 bushels from a month ago.
The biggest yield decline was 17 bushels in Minnesota, where scab has greatly
hurt the crop. Last year’s yield was 33.6 bushels per acre. Grain area is
unchanged from July 1. totaling 2.64 million acres.

Other Spring Wheat: Area for grain remains at 17.8 million acres, up 6 percent

from 1993. Disease problems exist in the Red River Valley:
the impact is more severe on the Minnesota side. North Dakota's crop is
developing well ahead of last year but slightly behind average. Harvest
progress is ahead of average in South Dakota. Half of Washington's spring wheat
was harvested as of July 31; yields have varied widely. Overall, Idaho's
harvest is ahead of average; 35 percent of the crop in the southwestern counties
is harvested.

Peanuts: Production for 1994 is forecast at 4.09 billion pounds, 21 percent
above the 1993 drought affected crop but 5 percent below 1992.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-5 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested. United States,
1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 (Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested 1/
000 a ©) » eee
1993 1994 1993 1994
Hectares
Corn : 29,673,080 31,876,220 25,491,830 29,039,340
Sorghum : 4,246,010 4,127,430 3,838,890 3,763,210
Oats > 3,214,860 2,711,420 1,534,990 1,672,180
Barley : 3,167,100 2,957,070 2,748,250 2,771,320
All Wheat : 29,221,860 28,517,690 25,352.610 25,079,040
Winter : 20,933,400 20,051,180 17,744,040 16,793,830
Ourum : 886,680 1,090,640 829,610 1,067,980
Other Spring : 7,401,780 7,375,880 6.778.960 7,217,240
Rice : 1,181,690 1,357,730 1,146,490 1,335,480
Soybeans : 24,020,370 24,999,720 22,843,540 24,565,490
Peanuts : 701,530 680, 690 683,850 664,300
All Cotton : 5,438,350 5,659,100 5,173,270 §.401,150
Upland >: 5,361,450 5,588,280 5,096,830 5,330,900
Amer -Pima : 76,890 70,820 76,450 70,250
All Hay : 24,442,470 24,408,880
Alfalfa 4 10,020,930 9,988,960
All Other : 14,421,530 14,419,910
Ory Edible Beans : 748,640 797,930 647,500 736,450
Tobacco : 302,520 277,300
Sugarbeets : 581,820 594,080 570,370 583,200
Sugarcane for i
Sugar and Seed : 383.770 385,510
Hops : 17,440 17,160

l/ Harvested for principal use of each crop. ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested,
United States, 1993-94 (Metric Units)

Area Planted Area Harvested

Crop bec eee eee eee cee eee eee eee eee eee
1993 : 1994 1/ 1993 1994 1/
Hectares
Rye : 604,200 658.840 154.190 163,490
Sunflower : 1,123,420 1,388,090 1,013,340 1,331,830
Flaxseed : 83,370 76,490 77,300 73,650
Potatoes. :
Winter : 5,790 5,020 5,500 4,980
Spring : 35,170 37.070 33,910 36,580
Summer. : 38.080 38.320 36,100 36.870
Fall : 481,860 488,780 457,790 480,890
Total : 560.900 569,200 $33,300 559,320
Sweetpotatoes : 33,630 34,200 32,460 32,860
l/ 1994 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1994 A-5 NASS, USDA


Apples, Commercial: Total Production by State and United States,
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 ]/

Million Pounds

AZ 90.0 61.0 61.0
AR 8.0 12.0 7.0
CA 840.0 880.0 920.0
co 90.0 92.0 93.0
CT 42.0 24.5 25.0
DE 21.0 28.0 22.0
GA 25.0 34.0 28.0
1D 75.0 195.0 170.0
IL 88.0 90.0 50.0
IN 70.0 80.0 50.0
IA 14.0 9.5 10.0
KS 6.0 7.0 5.5
KY 16.0 22.0 10.0
ME 83.0 55.0 62.0
MD 50.0 42.0 28.0
MA 85.0 59.0 59.0
MI 1,080.0 1,020.0 900.0
MN : 29.0 23.0 24.0
MO : 37.0 56.0 32.0
NH 54.0 36.5 35.0
NJ 55.0 75.0 74.0
NM 15.0 7.0 12.0
NY 1,170.0 870.0 1,030.0
NC 240.0 320.0 230.0
OH 115.0 135.0 90.0
OR 175.0 160.0 190.0
PA 500.0 530.0 420.0
RI 6.5 5.3 5.0
SC 68.0 60.0 60.0
TMN 13.0 21.0 13.0
UT 60.0 53.0 47.0
VT 60.0 38.0 38.0
VA 370.0 370.0 300.0
WA 4,650.0 5,000.0 5,500.0
wy 225.0 190.0 160.0
WI 63.0 62.0 62.0
US 10,578.5 10,722.8 10,822.5

1/ In orchards of 100 or more bearing age trees.
2/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (million pounds):
United States; 1992 - 104.2, 1993 - 111.9.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-35 NASS, USDA


Cotton: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by Type. State,
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1,

1994

Production 1/
and [eee eneneeesrescnsnen nnn ne sat n ren erem en nmemnnnesnensnnanccennnascanans

Type : Area Harvested
State: 1993: 1994
: -- 1,000 Acres -- --- Pounds
Uptand
AL : 430.0 460.0 524
AZ : 315.0 314.0 1,204 1,
AR : 970.0 930.0 541
CA : 1,045.0 1,085.0 1,340 1,
FL : 53.5 68.0 696
GA : 600.0 850.0 586
KS : 1.4 1.1 206
LA : 875.0 885.0 606
MS : 1,300.0 1,310.0 572
MO : 335.0 350.0 539
NM : 48.7 55.0 769
NC : 385.0 487.0 535
OK : 350.0 365.0 370
sc : 198.0 216.0 495
TMN : 615.0 555.0 425
1X > 5,050.0 5,200.0 484
VA : 22.8 41.7 634
US : 12,594.4 13,172.8 601
Amer-Pima :
AZ : 56.9 48.0 734
CA : 91.0 79.8 1,192 1,
MS 3/ 2
NM : 11.0 11.8 816
TMX : 30.0 34.0 784
US : 188.9 173.6 967 1,
All
AL : 430.0 460.0 524
AZ : 371.9 362.0 1.132 1,
AR : 970.0 930.0 541
CA : 1,136.0 1,164.8 1,328 1,
FL : 53.5 68.0 696
GA : 600.0 850.0 586
KS : 1.4 1.1 206
LA : 875.0 885.0 606
MS : 1,300.0 1,310.0 572
MO 335.0 350.0 539
NM 69.7 66.8 777
NC 385.0 487.0 535
OK 350.0 365.0 370
Sc 198.0 216.0 495
TMN 615.0 555.0 425
1TM 5,080.0 5,234.0 486
VA 22.8 4l.7 634
US 12,783.3 13,346.4 606

715
223
800
371
706
734
480
786
769
727
742
631
381
689
631
471
650

686

850
233

814
805

015

715
173
800
362
706
734
480
786
769
727
754
631
381
689

ue

15,

wr

138.
293.

19.
56.

508.

621.

NN VOCCCCBMNGDOONDWOD00

oe AVRO

469.
790.
1,094.
2,918.
77.
733.
0.
1,105,
1,550.
376.
78.
429,
270.
204.
545.
5,095.
30.

15,764.
87.
225.

18.
49.

380.

wr
van
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wn
a
°

OB HOCOCONDOCOMOMWHOOD

BW FPOESCSTOSOSOOROMDODDS

nan ow oS

ne
red
ao
oo

D NECSCSCGCBCOHOGDO0SO

18,827.
85.
205.

20.
57.

367.

o oo 320

685.

300.
450.

Re Be wH

on
wo
°

DA NESCSCCSCCGCOHSOGDC5DR

1/ Production ginned and to be ginned.
2/ = 480-1b net weight bales.
3/ Estimates discontinued in 1993.

Crop Production
August 1994 A-21

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


All Other Hay: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State -
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Area Harvested Yield : Production

State :--------- 2-2 eee none ene ree er nee ee enn ne ne en nee nee ence eee
1993 1994 1994: 1992
1,000 Acres ~~~ TONS --- 0 weer eee

AL : 720 750 2.00 2.60 1,491

AZ 3 35 40 3.60 4.80 129

AR : 1,150 1,100 2.00 2.10 2,691

CA : 460 560 2.70 2.50 1,323

co : 550 490 1.90 1.60 1,225

CT : 64 61 1.80 2.10 136

DE : 12 lL 2.20 2.80

FL : 220 240 3.00 3.30 875

GA : 600 650 1.90 3.30 1.624

1D : 280 230 2.30 2.00 288

IL : 460 400 2.40 2.40 726

IN + 370 350 2.60 2.40 750

1A : 500 500 1.70 2.00 880

KS : 1,600 1,650 2.00 1.70 3,100

KY : 1,920 1,950 2.30 2.20 3,885

LA : 250 280 2.40 2.60 644

ME : 216 219 1,60 1.90 371

MD : 145 140 2.40 2.70 375

MA : 72 75 1.60 1.70 170

MI : 300 350 2.50 2.20 500

MN 650 700 1.80 2.00 1,300 1,170 1.400
MS 720 750 2.40 2.20 2,025 1,728 1,650
MO 3.100 3,.000 1.95 1.80 5,580 6.045 5.400
MT 870 750 1.70 1.60 1,360 1,479 1,200
NE 2,250 2,000 1.25 1.00 2,473 2,813 2,000
NV 270 250 1.30 1.50 188 351 375
NH 75 65 1.40 1.40 147 105 91
NJ 90 90 1,80 2.40 220 162 216
NM 70 70 1.90 2.40 126 133 168
NY 1,050 1,120 1.80 1.90 1,710 1,890 2,128
NC 450 490 1.50 2.30 1,150 675 1,127
ND 1,250 1,350 1.45 1.30 1,760 1,813 1,755
OH 700 720 2.10 2.70 1,750 1,470 1,944
OK 1,800 1,880 1.70 1.80 3,420 3,060 3,384
OR 620 680 2.10 1,90 840 1,302 1,292
PA 1,100 1.120 2.10 2.10 2,180 2,310 2,352
RI 7 6 1.60 1.65 13 11 “10
sc 230 280 1.80 2.50 450 414 700
So 1,900 1,800 1.30 1.20 2,400 2,470 2,160
TMN 1,640 1.650 2.00 2.10 3,213 3,280 3,465
TX 3.400 3,600 2.10 2.40 9,250 7,140 8,640
UT 150 160 2.20 1.90 280 330 300
NT 260 245 1.70 1.90 616 442 466
VA 1,070 1,060 2.00 2.00 2,415 2,140 2,120
WA 270 240 2.50 2.20 754 675 §28
WV 490 510 1.90 1.60 950 931 816
WI 600 450 2.00 2.00 800 1,200 900
WY 630 550 1.60 1.30 708 1,008 715
US 35,636 35,632 1.91 1.96 69,292 67,976 69,809

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-27 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans: Area Planted, by Commercial Class, State.
and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 (continued)

Class and State : 1993 1993 1994
1,000 Acres 1.000 Acres
Black Turtle Soup: :: Other
co : 2.9 0.6 :: CA 6.5 12.0
1D : 2.4 3.0 + co 0.9 1.6
MI : 60.0 80.0: 10 1.2 1.0
NE : 3.0 2.0: KS 1.4 0.5
NY : 8.0 9.0: MI 3.0 15.0
ND 6.8 6.5: MN 5.8 6.0
WA : 1.7 2.7: NE 3.0 1.0
Total : 84.8 103.8 : NM 0.1 0.3
: rr ONY 4.0 4.0
Blackeye : nt ND 8.6 2.0
CA : 24.0 49.0 :: OR 2.3 2.2
1X : 10.0 14.0: TX 6.0 5.0
Total : 34.0 54.0: WA 0.5 2.8
: si OWY 2.0 1.0
Garbanzo : z: Total 45.3 54.4
CA : 17.0 12.5 :: :
10 : 2.1 1.5 7: US 2 1,849.9 1,971.7
OR 1.5 1.0 :: :
WA 6.2 5.5
Total 26.8 20.5
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1994 A-23 NASS, USDA


Pears: Total Production by Crop, State, and United States.

Crop and State

Bartlett
CA
OR
WA

Total

Excluding Bartlett
CA
OR
WA

Total

All
CA
co
CT
MI
NY
OR
PA
UT
WA

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (tons):
U.S.; 1992 - 1,950, 1993 - 1.350

Coffee:

1/ Parchment basis.

Crop Production
August 1994

315,
74,
170,

559,

23,
140,
167,

330,

000
000
000

000
000
000
000

000

A-36

1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

20.000
160,000
220.000

400,000

Utilized Production, Hawaii 1992-94

30.
165,
205,

400,

330,
5

239,

000
000
000

000

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


Rice: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

1,000 Acres Pounds wwe 1,000 Cwt ------
AR : 1,230 1,400 5,050 5,300 75.914 62,094 74,200
CA : 437 520 8.300 8.400 33,490 36,271 43,680
LA : 530 635 4,550 4,650 28,846 24,108 29,528
MS : 245 295 5,300 5,740 15,675 12,985 16,933
MO 3 93 112 4,900 4,900 5.376 4,557 5,488
5,400 5,500 20,357 16,095 18,590

TX : 298 338

Rice: Production by Class, United States,
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

1.000 Cwt
1992 : 128,015 50.633 1,010 179,658
1993 : 103,064 51,873 1,173 156,110
1994 1/ : 126,427 61,022 970 188,419

l/ Indicated August 1, 1994, rice class forecasts are based on a five-year
average of class percentages. The class percentages are adjusted as data
become available through the growing season.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-18 NASS, USDA


U.S. Corn Production
1985 - 1994

Billion Bushels

. B21-

YW
HiZf7f
(ll
WZ
: a
: WZ
WA

i=] Q 9° i=] ° °o og
°o ° °o i~) in] So i=]
Nn o oO o + “ °

vee 4B

7.93

86 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 98
Year


Papayas:

Area and Fresh Production. by Month, Hawaii, 1993-94

Fresh Production

--- Acres
dun : 3.795 3,285 2,520
Jul : 3,805 3,245 2,450
Aug : 3.410 2,445
Sep 3,450 2,505
Oct 3,435 2,455
Nov 3.430 2,530

-- 1,000 Pounds --

2,305 4,630 5,255
2,145 5.210 4,430
5.045
5,230
4,875
5,720

Hops:

1993

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 Forecasted August 1, 1994

--- Acres ---- --+-- Pounds ----

ID: 3,961
oR =: 7.900
WA: 31,239

4,000 1,375 1,410
8,000 1,500 1,500
30,399 1,884 1,800

42,399 1,767 1,707

-- 1,000 Pounds --

5,546.4 5,444.7 5,640.0
11, 684.0 11,850.0 12,000.0
§7,106.3 58,849.0 54,.718.2

74,336.7 76,143.7 72,358.2

State

Olives: Total Production, California,
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Total Production

1993 1994
Tons
122,000 105,000

Crop Production
August 1994

A-33

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS. USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Area Harvested: Yield Production

CT 1,500 1,610 1,609 1,638 2,320 2,413 2,637
FL 7.100 7,000 2,630 2,450 19,575 18,673 17,150
GA 43,000 39,000 2,240 2,200 100,980 96,320 85,800
IN 8,100 7,100 2,150 2,150 18,900 17,415 15,265
KY 207.300 186,400 2,195 2,315 524,378 455,080 431,510
MD 9,500 8,500 1,290 1,450 11,931 12,255 12,325
MA : 400 460 1,735 1,635 678 694 752
MO : 2,800 3,300 1,700 2,200 3,298 4,760 7,260
NC : 271,000 252,500 2,237) 2.354 609,873 606,210 594,425
OH 9,000 8.500 2,100 2,150 21,840 18,900 18,275
PA 10,000 9,600 2,030 2,044 20,840 20,300 19,620
sc 52.000 48,000 2,130 2,300 112,320 110,760 110,400
TN 69,940 62.440 1,993 2,151 146,556 139,423 134,280
VA 49,100 45,500 2,027 2,178 111,459 99,544 99,110
Ww 2,000 2,000 1,800 1,800 3,623 3,600 3,600
Wr 4,800 3.300 1,509 1,933 13,100 7,244 6,380

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-30 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Acre and Production,
United States, 1993-94 (Domestic Units)

Yield per Acre Production
Crop and Unit Potten eee ee eee ene ce een ee eee ee nn eee eee ee eee
1993): 1994 J/ 1993: 1994 J/
serene 1,000 -------
Potatoes :
Winter Cwt : 188 193 2,552 2,372
Spring "oy 235 250 19,654 22,559
Summer . : 230 237 20,552 21,585
Fall “ : 333 376,789
Total "oy 318 419,547
Sweet Cherries Ton : 168.6 168.2
Tart Cherries lb: 323,400 256,800
Apricots Ton : 96.4 137.8
Dried Prunes (CA) . : 121.0 175.0
Almonds (CA) Lb: 490,000 640 000
Walnuts (CA) Ton : 260.0 260.0

2/ «(1994 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production,
United States, 1993-94 (Metric Units)

Metric Tons

Potatoes :
Winter : 21.05 21.60 115,760 107,590
Spring : 26.29 27.97 891,490 1,023,260
Summer : 25.82 26.55 932,220 979,080
Fall : 37.33 17,090,860
Total : 35.68 19,030,330
Sweet Cherries : 182,950 152,590
Tart Cherries : 146,690 116,480
Apricots : 87,410 125,010
Dried Prunes (CA) : 109,770 158,760
Almonds (CA) : 222,260 290,300
Walnuts (CA) : 235,870 235,870

1/ 1994 estimates carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-7 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary: Yield per Hectare and Production, United States,
1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 (Metric Units)

:Yield per Hectare: Production
Crop Dots ttre c ee ence eee reer eee ee eee eee rece eer t eee
: : : dul 1, Aug 1,
1993: 1994 : 1993 : 1994 1994
Metric Tons
Corn for Grain 6.32 8.06 161,146,170 234,057,050
Sorghum for Grain 3.76 4.46 14,424,490 16,795,250
Oats 1.95 2.15 2,993,750 3,601,900 3,596,120
Barley 3.17 3.05 8.713.870 8,834,860 8.464, 250
All Wheat 2.58 2.59 65.373.230 65,844,220 64,931.300
Winter 2.71 2.71 48,148,590 45,134,960 45,461,820
Durum 2.26 2.49 1,875,860 2,752,280 2,663,310
Other Spring 2.26 2.33 15,348,780 17,956,980 16,806.170
Rice 6.18 6.40 7,081,030 8,546,540
Soybeans for Beans 2.15 2.53 49,220,340 62,115,850
Peanuts for Nuts 2.25 2.79 1,538,770 1,854,410
All Cotton 0.68 0.77 3,515,140 4,179,130
Upland 0.67 0.77 3,432,270 4,099, 230
Amer-Pima : 1.08 1.14 82.870 79,900
Cottonseed : 5,758,080 6.776,220
All Hay > §.52 §.63 135,038,080 137,370,450
Alfalfa 2 7.32 7.41 73,371,290 74,040.790
All Other : 4.28 4.39 61,666,790 63,329,660
Dry Edible Beans : 1.53 1.72 990,740 1,269,200
Tobacco > 2.42 2.55 731,910 707,050
Sugarbeets : 41.75 45.47 23,812,690 26,515,200
Sugarcane for :
Sugar and Seed 73.52 73.88  28.214,350 28,480,160
Hops > 1.98 1.91 34,540 32,820
Apples, Comm’] : 4,863,780 4,909,000
Peaches : 1,205,010 1,122,100 1,116,200
Pears : 861,100 889,040
Grapes : 5,465,020 5,535,280
Olives (CA) : 110,680 95,250
Prunes and Plums :
(Excl CA) : 25.580 36.290
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1994 A-6 NASS, USDA


Soybeans for Beans:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Production

>
HEH oORe

=
a
NwoROe

US : 56,

Crop Production

August 1994

1,000 Acres
295 300
450 3.250
215 220
50 40
480 500
700 9,400
850 4,680
200 8,850
850 2,050
150 1,120
250 1,150
570 550
440 1,540
000 5,600
.950 1,900
+550 4,540
500 2,850
147 147
.200 1,350
540 610
040 3,850
260 280
295 315
520 620
700 2,400
990 1,050
205 200
470 520
580 820
447 60.702

Yield
1993: 1994
--- Bushels --
24.0 29.0
25.0 32.0
23.0 34.0
25.0 24.0
17.0 30.0
43.0 43.0
44.0 43.0
30.0 44.0
28.0 33.0
33.0 35.0
23.0 26.0
26.0 36.0
38.0 35.0
22.0 39.0
22.0 27.0
33.0 33.0
35.0 40.0
29.0 31.0
24.0 29.0
17.0 24.0
38.0 40.0
24.0 27.0
39.0 40.0
15.0 23.0
21.0 30.0
31.0 33.0
19.0 28.0
21.0 30.0
35.0 40.0
32.0 37.6
A-19

18,560
405,490
194,360
357,280

68.450

44.080

35,100

17,985

47,520
172,800

59,500
161,500
103,320

4,224

36,450

17,250
145,200

5,940

11,115

14,740

63,000

33,250

12.870

15,500

22,080

2,187,904

11

1,808

080
.250
+945
250
160
374,
213,
246,
61,
37,
28.
14,
54,
110.
42,
117,
87,
4,
28,
9,
153,
6,240
505
7,
35,
30,
3,
9,
20.

100
400
000
800
950
750
820
720
000
900
150
500
263
800
180
520

800
700
690
895
870
300

404,200
201,240
389,400
67,650
39,200
29,900
19,800
53.900
218,400
51.300
149,820
114,000

4,557
39,150
14,640
154,000

7,560
12,600
14, 260
72,000
34,650

5.600
15,600
32,800

538 2,282,367

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Corn for Grain: Area Harvested. Yield. and Production, by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Area Harvested :

1993 : 1994 1992 1993 1994
1,000 Acres --- Bushels --- 9 -------- 1,000 Bushels --------

AL 250 260 55.0 90.0 30,080 13,750 23,400
AZ 10 13 160.0 170.0 1,870 1,600 2,210
AR 90 90 91.0 120.0 12,350 8,190 10,800
CA 170 180 165.0 165.0 24,750 28,050 29,700
co 825 900 120.0 145.0 123,580 99,000 130,500
cTy
Ee 160 152 85.0 110.0 19,159 13,600 16,720
FL 100 80 65.0 75.0 8,250 6,500 6.000
GA 560 540 70.0 104.0 69,000 39,200 56,160
1D 45 30 125.0 135.0 4,290 5,625 4,050
IL 10,000 11,550 130.0 135.0 1,646,450 1.300.000 1,559,250
IN 5,400 6,150 132.0 132.0 877,590 712,800 811,800
IA 11,000 12,400 80.0 145.0 1,903,650 880,000 1,798,000
KS 1,800 2,000 120.0 140.0 259,500 216,000 280.000
KY 1,220 1,220 104.0 118.0 171,600 126,880 143,960
he ] 210 280 95.0 110.0 37,080 19,950 30,800
El
He ; 420 380 78.0 110.0 58,280 32.760 41,800
AL
MI 2,150 2,150 110.0 106.0 241,500 236.500 227,900
MN 4,600 6,300 70.0 134.0 741,000 322,000 844,200
MS 190 280 78.0 102.0 27,000 14,820 28,560
MO 1,850 2,300 90.0 113.0 324,000 166.500 259.900
MT 8 25 105.0 110.0 2,750 840 2.750
Ne v 7,550 8.000 104.0 138.0 1,066,500 785,200 1,104,000
NJ 80 83 96.0 110.0 9,840 7,680 9,130
NM 85 85 165.0 165.0 11,360 14,025 14,025
NY §80 540 105.0 110.0 61,640 60,900 59,400
NC 850 850 65.0 93.0 98,800 55,250 79,050
ND 365 500 45.0 82.0 36,540 16,425 41,000
OH 3,280 3,500 110.0 124.0 507,650 360,800 434,000
OK 140 180 110.0 100.9 18,225 15.400 18,000
OR 19 25 155.0 170.0 2,250 2,945 4,250
ra ] 970 1,000 96.0 112.0 118,800 93,120 112,000

1
sc 240 345 40.0 69.0 30,800 9.600 23,805
sD 2,550 3,300 63.0 86.0 277,200 160,650 283,800
TN 650 570 84.0 120.0 79,360 46,200 68.400
TM 1,850 1,950 115.0 120.0 202,500 212,750 234,000
ut 1 22 24 130.0 130.0 3,240 2,860 3,120
VTL
VA 285 340 60.0 92.0 40.020 17,100 31,280
WA 80 95 190.0 180.0 15,840 15,200 17.100
wy 43 40 85.0 90.0 5,400 3,655 3,600
WI 2.350 3,000 92.0 120.0 306,800 216,200 360,000
wy 44 50 80.0 120.0 5,194 3,520 6,000
US 62,991 71,757 100.7 128.4 9,481,688 6,344,045 9,214,420
L/ Not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1994 A-9 NASS, USDA


All Hay:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

“1993

1994

4
pad
an

a fa)
a >
NNYON Pee

=
o
WONw we

o
Rn
ReReN

ons

sted

1994

1,000 Acres
720 750
185 200
180 1,125
380 1,510
400 1,350
84 80
17 15
220 240
600 650
330 1,250
250 1,100
700 700
050 1,750
450 2.500
200 2.250
250 280
235 238
210 200
103 108
500 1,550
250 2.300
720 750
560 3,370
370 2,300
650 3,500
505 490
90 81
120 120
325 335
750 1,800
470 510
950 2.900
350 1,400
130 2,200
040 1,100
880 1,920
9 8
230 289
200 4,300
700 1,700
485 3,690
650 685
350 340
200 1,210
750 720
530 550
800 2.700
270 1,210
398 60,315

NR RNYMWONEONANE EN NENE EN EEE NUNN NNR ORME NNN NVOOWHWNMHWUNOAND

--- Tons ----

NM PMP WON PONE RE RN NOE NN ENE NEN EN WOH WHEN NN WHWWWWWNMURD TN’
to : :
o

Crop Production

August 1994

Production
19920: 1993: 1994
wrreecee 1.000 Tons ----------
1,491 1,440 1,950
1,224 1,236 1,472
2.796 2,390 2,385
7,755 7,590 7.765
3.961 4,275 3.794
194 163 185
52 45 49
875 660 792
1,624 1,140 2,145
3,655 4,844 4,438
3,316 4,106 3,760
1.971 2,282 2,065
6.615 4,803 5,375
6.670 6,430 5.950
4,935 5,452 5,400
644 600 728
417 399 AlL
648 550 618
248 186 204
4,640 5.790 5.450
6,550 5,970 7,000
2,025 1,728 1.650
7,030 7,333 6.418
4,720 5,229 4,765
8,023 7,573 6.950
1,062 1,385 1.407
181 140 128
333 231 327
1,401 1,434 1,520
3,590 3.605 4,032
1,234 715 1,187
3,515 5,043 4,855
4,550 3.745 4,664
4,750 4,248 4,568
2,440 3.066 2,972
4.900 4,728 5.072
18 15 15
450 414 700
7.020 8.450 7.410
3,465 3.478 3.640
9.800 7.506 9,072
2,240 2,530 2.450
835 654 675
2,905 2,491 2.570
2,962 2,835 2.688
1,070 1,059 936
6,090 6.260 6.525
1,973 2.608 2,233
148,863 148,854 151.425
Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS. USDA


National

Crop Asvieulura

Statistics

Production Service

United States
Department of
Agriculture

Washington, D.C.

Released August 11, 1994, by the Agricultural Statistics Board. Forecasts refer
to August 1, 1994.

Corn Production Up 45 Percent

Corn production is forecast at 9.21 billion bushels, up 45 percent from the 1993
production but 3 percent below the record high production of 1992. Based on
August 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 128.4 bushels, up

27.7 bushels from last year. Acreage for harvest, at 71.8 million acres, is
unchanged from the June “Acreage” estimate but 14 percent above the 1993
acreage.

All cotton production for 1994 is forecast at a record high of 19.2 million
bales, 19 percent larger than the 1993 output. Yields are expected to average
690 pounds per harvested acre, up 84 pounds from last year. Harvested acreage
increased 4 percent from last year primarily from a 25 percent increase in the
Southeastern States. California expects a record high yield and Georgia's
production is the largest since 1937. The Southeast shows the largest regional
production increase, up 60 percent from last year. Delta States’ production is
36 percent greater than 1993.

The first soybean production forecast of the 1994 crop is a record high

2.28 billion bushels, up 26 percent from the previous year and 4 percent above
1992. Yield is expected to be 37.6 bushels per acre, up 5.6 bushels from 1993,
and tying the record high yield of 1992. Soybean planting was completed at a
earlier date than in 1993. The average plant maturity, as well as the
percentage of pods set, is ahead of last year’s pace. The number of lateral
branches per plant is above 1993. Soybeans are rated in mostly good condition.
Area to be harvested, at 60.7 million acres, is down fractionally from June but
is up 8 percent from last year. Florida and Georgia showed the only decreases
from June with 8,000 and 10,000 acres, respectively.

Index and report features are located at the end of this report. For
information call (202) 720-2127. Office hours are 8:00 a.m. to 4:30 p.m. ET.

Cr Pr 2-2 (8-94)


total 1.36 billion pounds, down 1 percent from last month and 13 percent less
than last year.

The Michigan peach crop in southwest counties was destroyed by the extremely
cold winter. Prospects are fair to good in west central orchards.
Pennsylvania's peach tree buds atso froze during January 1994. Temperatures in
some areas fell as low as 30 below zero. killing some trees, South Carolina's
harvest continued well ahead of normal with good conditions, Scattered showers
across the State hampered some harvest activities. Harvest is virtually
complete in the ridge area, while harvest continues to be heavy in the upstate.
Harvest continues in Washington.

Apples: The first forecast of the 1994 crop is 10.8 billion pounds, 1 and
2 percent more than the 1993 and 1992 crops, respectively.

In the Eastern States. production of 2.58 billion pounds is down 6 percent from
a@ year ago. Producers in northern Georgia have had problems due to excess rain.
Fruit are sizing well but rains made it difficult to meet spray schedules.
Seven percent of the crop 1s harvested, 1 percentage point less than the
five-year average. New Jersey producers expect a normal crop despite winter
damage and recent hail damage. In New York, warm, humid conditions during July
pushed the crop to a normal stage of development. The Lake Ontario region
received sufficient moisture, but the Hudson River Valley was dry until
recently. There was some winter injury in the Hudson Valley and Lake Champlain
regions. The Pennsylvania crop is very spotty. Winter damage to buds and trees
has affected some varieties more than others. A spring frast also damaged some
prospects. Hail has been a problem and there is scattered disease and insect
damage. Bloom in Virginia was very light this spring. Plentiful rains during
late July and early August should help sizing. West Virginia's trees were
stressed by last year’s dry weather, The prolonged frigid temperatures in late
danuary and scattered hail damage in July have further reduced crop potential.

Central States are expected to produce 1.25 billion pounds. down 18 percent from
last year, The severe winter weather, spring freezes, and summer storms limited
production potential throughout the central region. Winterkill of trees and
buds was serious in all the states. Additional injury by freezes or ice storms
occurred in Arkansas, Kansas, Kentucky, and Tennessee. Indiana and Iowa lost
some orchards to floods and excess rain in 1993. The Michigan crop is very good
to excellent except for hail damage primarily in the Belding area. Hail also
hurt the Minnesota crop. Prospects in Wisconsin range from good to total crop
failure. Dry weather also limited fruit size.

Production in the Western States is forecast at 6.99 billion pounds, up

8 percent from 1993. California and Washington, with prospects of record crops.
contribute most to the increase. California's fresh market apples have
excellent color and size due to ideal growing conditions. Hail in May damaged
fruit in some San Joaquin Valley orchards. Cool weather and no rain during
bloom produced a Gravenstein crop with good sizes. Growers have been harvesting
Gravensteins and Galas since late July. Granny Smith harvest will begin in a
few weeks. Washington’s Gala harvest will start within 2 weeks in Chelan
County. Smoke from forest fires has reduced sunburn. Water stress was
noticeable in Yakima County orchards. There are also quality concerns due to
hot weather and sunburn in the Yakima area. The Arizona season began with late
frosts followed by above normal temperatures. The smai] fruit caused by frost
are now damaged by the sun. A warm season in Colorado has apple development a
few days ahead of normal. Quality is very good. The Idaho season has been
extremely hot and dry. Sunburn is a major concern. Many apples are expected to

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-11 NASS. USDA


Oats: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by State
and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Area Harvested : Yield Production
State : 1994
> 1993 1994 1993 ;-------------- steers 1993 1994
Juli Aug 1

1,000 Acres = -------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels --

AL 1/ : 30 38 45.0 60.0 60.0 1,350 2,280
AR 1/ i 20 20 68.0 77.0 77.0 1,360 1,540
CA : 30 35 80.0 75.0 75.0 2,400 2,625
co : 32 30 62.0 60.0 60.0 1,984 1,800
GA 1L/ : 50 50 60.0 67.0 67.0 3,000 3,350
ID : 15 25 80.0 70.0 70.0 1,200 1,750
IL : 90 90 51.0 58.0 61.0 4,590 5,490
IN : 40 40 56.0 58.0 60.0 2,240 2,400
IA : 225 450 40.0 65.0 65.0 9,000 29,250
KS : 30 120 34.0 48.0 48.0 1,020 5,760
ME : 26 21 75.0 70.0 75.0 1,950 1,575
MD 1/ : 8 6 53.0 63.0 63.0 424 378
MI : 130 110 55.0 55.0 60.0 7,150 6.600
MN : 475 475 50.0 65.0 61.0 23,750 28,975
MO : 14 30 49.0 55.0 57.0 686 1,710
MT : 70 80 65.0 57.0 $4.0 4,550 4,320
NE : 160 160 43.0 55.0 55.0 6,880 8,800
NY : 105 100 62.0 68.0 71.0 6,510 7,100
NC : 30 40 60.0 70.0 70.0 1,800 2,800
ND : 530 520 70.0 61.0 64.0 37,100 33,280
OH : 150 120 60.0 59.0 59.0 9,000 7,080
OK : 25 30 35.0 38.0 38.0 875 1,140
OR : 30 55 100.0 97.0 100.0 3,000 5,500
PA : 200 170 50.0 60.0 60.0 10.000 10,200
sc l/ : 30 40 50.0 58.0 58.0 1,500 2,320
SD 510 560 52.0 56.0 54.0 26,520 30,240
TX 140 150 53.0 44.0 44.0 7,420 6,600
UT 13 10 78.0 78.0 78.0 1,014 780
WA 30 20 68.0 60.0 55.0 2,040 1,100
WV L/ 5 5 48.0 50.0 50.0 240 250
WI $25 500 46.0 58.0 58.0 24,150 29,000
wy 25 32 62.0 59.0 55.0 1,550 1,760
US 3.793 4,132 54.4 60.1 60.0 206,253 247,753

l/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-12 NASS, USDA


Sorghum for Grain:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

1,000 Acres
19 20
215 230
190 170
40 35
210 180
800 800
10 20
120 110
65 72
640 620
250 200
165 160
15 20
290 290
8 15
210 130
39 27
200 200
486 299

38.
58.
42.
36.
83.
63.
75.
60.
65.
73.
59.
45.
45.
50.
20.
50.
80.
57.

50.
70.
48.
55.
96.
77.
85.
65.
70.
85.
89.
45,
55.
50.
55.
52.
80.
61.

244,

143,

250 722
160 12.470
030 7,980
640 1.440
780 17,430
000 176,400
900 750
232 7,200
500 4,225
840 46,720
820 73,750
300 7,425
000 675
490 14,500
408 160
060 “10,500
600 3,120
000 182,400

215,600

52,700
106,800

Crop Production

August 1994

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


60.7 million acres, is down fractionally from June. Florida was down 8,000 acres
and Georgia was down 10,000 acres due to wet weather and related problems.

Soybean planting was completed at an earlier date than in 1993. In all eight
objective yield States. plant maturity was ahead of last year. The plant count
in Arkansas was the largest of the last five years. The average number of
lateral branches per plant was up from 1993. Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, and
Ohio showed a decrease in the number of laterals; however, Arkansas. Iowa,
Minnesota, and Nebraska showed an increase from 1993. The forecasted average
number of pods was up from 1993 with Indiana and Nebraska, the only two
objective yield States to show a decrease from 1993. Soybeans are rated in
Mostly good condition.

Cotton: Upland cotton plantings, at 13.8 million acres. increased 4 percent

from the previous year, while harvested acreage increased 5 percent to
13.2 million acres. American-Pima planted and harvested acreages both declined
from 1993 by 8 percent to 175,000 acres planted and 173,600 acres expected for
harvest.

The West Texas crop waS subject to high temperatures and sparse rainfall during
the past month. Although 82 percent of the crop was in good to excellent
condition in early July, only half of the crop was rated that high by early
August. In the Plains. some dryland stands were cutting out due to low
moisture. Defoliation began in Central Texas and Blacklands in early maturing
fields. Harvest in the Valley and Coastal Bend was in full swing. Boll set in
Texas. at 60 percent. was 10 percent ahead of the 5-year average. In Oklahoma,
66 percent of the acreage was setting bolls. 24 percent above the usual rate.
The Texas crop has the second largest number of squares, small bolls, and total
fruit since 1984, but large bol) counts are the third lowest for August.

The Delta States (Arkansas, Louisiana. Mississippi, Missouri, and Tennessee)
rated cotton mostly in good to excellent condition on August 1. In Tennessee.
99 percent of the crop was in excellent condition. The Mississippi crop began
deteriorating in late July due to higher than normal rainfall. Condition on
August 1 rated about 65 percent of the acreage as good to excellent. ‘Data from
objective yield surveys show large bol] counts for Arkansas at the third highest
level since 1984. Small bolls and squares are the second highest for this same
time. Compared with the previous 10-year counts, Louisiana's large bolls ranked
fifth while small boll counts were fourth highest and the number of squares
ranked third. Large and small boll counts in Mississippi were the second
highest in the past 10 years, but squares were the Towest for the same period.

Ninety-five percent of Arizona’s crop was in good to excellent condition and
boll set was 98 percent complete on August 1. Al of the California crop was
good to excellent on the same date. Boll set, at 90 percent, was equal to the
5-year average for California. Although the San Joaquin Valley crop started
Tate due to cool spring temperatures and rainfall, squaring percentage equaitied
the average by mid-July and bolls set equaled the average on August 1. Cotton
objective yield counts show Arizona with the highest total fruit counts since
1984. While Arizona's large bolls ranked fourth during this period, smal? bolts
and squares ranked second. California had the highest count of small bolls in
the past 10 years, but large bolls were third lowest and squares ranked fourth.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-7 NASS, USDA


Pasture and Range Feed: Condition by State and United States.
1993-94 and Average 1/

State : Average
: 1983-92

Percent

AL : 76 70 96 71 96 67
AZ : 74 70 58 84 60 90
AR : 70 83 89 78 40 75
CA : 71 78 62 76 68 53
co : 78 77 67 75 65 92
CT : 79 50 70 70 63 89
OE : 72 45 79 67 97 86
FL i 84 85 86 76 81 86
GA : 68 39 98 76 92 91
1D : 74 93 61 80 110 71
IL 2 70 97 83 71 51 75
IN : 71 90 80 85 30 70
TA : 71 88 88 63 50 80
KS : 76 89 85 75 100 88
KY : 77 73 83 77 55 98
LA 82 93 95 68 72 66
ME 80 70 75 76 96 72
MD 69 60 93 79 80 95
MA 82 50 65 73 69 83
MI 72 90 85 79 87 55
MN 74 95 92 76 66 87
MS 79 90 90 71 93 85
MO 71 90 82 80 103 67
MT + 72 102 84

NE : 77 108 89 73 83 80

1/ Good to excellent, 80 and over: poor to fair 65-79: very poor, 50-64;
severe drought, 35-49; extreme drought, under 35.

Prunes and Plums: Total Production by State and United States,
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Total Production 1/

Tons

7,000 5.000
7,000 8.000
4,500 18,000
9,700 9.000
28,200 40,000

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold(tons):
1992 - 200: 1993 - 2,270.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-32 NASS, USDA


be processed or unharvested because of this. Oregon apples are in excellent
condition except for some sunburn and heat stress. In Utah, early season
weather was favorable but some hail damage has occurred. Hot, dry weather has
pushed maturity.

Pears: Total U.S. production is placed at 980,000 tons, 3 percent more than
1993 and 6 percent more than 1992. Increases in the California and
Oregon crops offset the decline in Washington's total pear production.

Bartlett production in California, Oregon, and Washington is forecast at
544,000 tons, 6 percent above a year ago. Picking is well underway in
California with over 40 percent of the crop harvested. Excellent quality is
reported. The Oregon crop looks much better than last year. Irrigation was
critical this season in the Hood River and Medford areas due to heat.
Washington's harvest should begin by August 8 in Chelan County. Average fruit
size is expected. A few orchard edges in Chelan County were damaged by fires.
Water stress is noticeable in some Yakima County orchards.

Production of pears, other than Bartlett. in the Pacific Coast States, totals
400,000 tons, unchanged from last year. In California, Asian pear picking is
underway with good quality reported. Oregon's crop improved from last year
especially in the Medford area. Washington’s crop is developing well.

Colorado pears are of good quality and size. Crop maturity is a few days ahead
of 1993. Mesa County had frost damage during the early part of the season.

Much of the damage occurred on March 28. In Delta County. set was normal. A
few orchards had rust mite damage but it was not a major concern. The Michigan
harvest will start the week of August 22. New York pears have some winter
injury. In the Hudson Valley, Bartletts show a good crop. while Bosc have a
fair crop. Fruit are sizing well. Pennsylvania's crop had some winter damage,
but not as severe as peaches and apples. There has been some hail damage. Utah
growers reported that hail and freezing conditions damaged the crop this year,
but the crop is still better than last year.

Coffee: The 1993-94 Hawaiian coffee production totaled 2.90 million pounds, up

21 percent from the 1992-93 season estimate of 2.40 million pounds.
Coffee estimates now include production from the island of Kauai. The increase
in production is due to the addition of new acreage for harvest on Molokai,
Kauai. and Maui.

Grapes: The production forecast for al] grapes in the U.S. is 6.10 million

tons, 1 percent more than both the 1993 and 1992 crops. A large
decrease in Washington was offset by a large increase in California, New York,
and Pennsylvania. .

The California ail grape forecast is 5.53 million tons, up 2 percent from a
month ago and up 3 percent from a year ago. The raisin type grape forecast is
2.50 million tons, up 4 percent from both last month and last year. This
forecast is based on the grape objective measurement survey. Bunch counts per
vine are up from last year and bunch size is similar to last year. Raisin grape
picking will begin in late August.

The wine type grape forecast is 2.40 million tons. unchanged from last month but
up 2 percent from last year. Picking should soon begin in the San Joaquin
Valley.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-12 NASS, USDA


Sugarbeets:
and United States, 1992-93

Area Harvested

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and Forecasted August 1, 1994 1/

Production

1,000 Acres vo-- Tons ----- 9 ---+--- 1,000 Tons --------
CA 136.0 135.0 26.0 27.0 4,230 3,536 3,645
co 40.0 43.3 23.1 22.5 954 924 974
ah) 204.0 201.0 23.2 25.5 4,900 4,733 5,126
MI 187.0 187.0 17.0 16.0 3,098 3,179 2,992
MN 379.0 414.0 14.1 18.0 6,845 5,344 7,452
MT 54.1 54.1 21.6 22.0 1,272 1,169 1,190
NE 79.6 74.5 18.5 18.7 1,387 1,473 1,393
ND 190.9 203.0 16.3 17.4 3,388 3,112 3,532
OH 17.5 15.0 12.1 17.0 328 212 255
OR 15.2 16.0 24.5 27.0 394 372 432
TX 39.2 24.5 21.0 23.0 838 823 564
wy 64.4 62.0 19.7 20.0 1,437 1,269 1,240
Oth
Sts 2/ 2.5 11.7 41.2 37.0 72 103 433
US 1,409.4 1,441.1 18.6 20.3 29,143 26,249 29.228
i/ Relates to year of intended harvest except for overwintered spring planted
beets in CA.
2/ NM and WA.
Sugarcane for Sugar and Seed: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production
by State and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1. 1994
Area Harvested Yield ]/ Production 1/
State  :------2- 2-2-2222 eee ee eee ne eee nn ee eee een ee nen ee eee ee eee ences
1993 1994 1993 1994 1992 1993 1994
: 1.000 Acres e--- TONS --- 0 =----2- 1.000 Tons ------
FL : 444.0 445.0 34.1 34.0 14,707 15,152 15,130
HI : 69.9 67.7 80.2 87.0 5,622 5,606 5,890
LA : 390.0 395.0 22.8 23.0 8,706 8,904 9,085
1X : 44.4 44.9 32.4 28.7 1.328 1,439 1,289
US 948.3 952.6 32.8 33.0 30,363 31,101 31,394
ve Net tons.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-31 NASS, USDA


Selected Crops: Area Planted by State
and United States, 1992-94

Cotton Ory
State :-------+--------------+--- Edible Sugarbeets
Upland Amer-Pima Beans
1,000 Acres
AL : 470.0
Az : 315.0 48.0
AR : 950.0
CA : 1,090.0 80.0 *140.0 *137.0
co : . 215.0 *44.2
FL : *69.0
GA > *860.0
1D : 140.0 202.0
KS : 1.6 30.0
LA : 900.0
MI : *390.0 196.0
MN : 125.0 415.0
MS : *1.330.0
MO > 360.0
MT : *10.2 54.4
NE : 190.0 82.3
NM : 60.0 *12.0 12.5 l/
NY : *39.0
NC : 490.0
ND : 540.0 204.0
Ok : 16.1
OK > *390.0
OR : 10.0 *16.8
sc : *221.0
TN : 560.0
TX : *5,700.0 35.0 30.0 25.5
UT 3 6.0
VA : *42.2
WA : *37.0 i/
: .0
0

1993 :13,248.3 190.0 1,849.9 1437.7
1994 : 13,808.8 175.0 1,971.7 1468.0
* Updated from “Acreage” released June 30, 1994.

i/ Included in other States.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-8 NASS, USDA


Dry Edible Beans:

Area Planted. by Commercial Class, State,

and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August 1. 1994

Class and State

Large Lima
CA

Baby Lima
CA

Navy
co
1D
KS
MI
MN
NE

Great Northern

10
NE
WY
Total

Smal1 White
1D
MI
OR
WA
Total

Pinto
co
1D
KS
MI
MN
MT
WE
NM
ND
OR
1TMX
UT
WA
wy
Totat

1993
1,000 Acres
14.0 24.
13.0 21.
1.7
4.5
2.0
260.0 23
36.0 4
5.0
4.1
125.0 13.
1.6
2.5
442.4 42
0.2 0
3.0 5
66.0 75
2.5 4
71.7 85
2.5 7
2.0 1
1.7 1
1.7 1
7.9 11
186.5 201
45.3 65
25.6 29
7.0 8
27.0 28.
12.0 10
76.0 94
9.0 7
360.0 390
1.9 4
14.0 11
6.4 6
10.7 9
35.0 39
816.4 902

NOPORRBROOON

FeCOncGCOUMO o

PoOOMNw

WHNCO

MAVESOHOrPONncocomNn

:: Light Red
Kidney

CA
co
10
MI
MN
NE
NY
WA
Total

:: Dark Red
: Kidney

CA
1D
MI

WA
Total

Small Red

1D
WA
Total

Cranberry

MI
MN
Total

Crop Production
August 1994

Class and State : 1993 : 1994
1,000 Acres
20.0 16.0
12.8 8.7
1.2 1.0
8.0 13.0
7.0 9.0
17.0 14.0
20.0 21.0

1.1
87.1 82.7
8.0 7.5
1.3 1.0
10.0 13.0
31.0 34.0
5.0 5.0
6.2 5.5
10.5 10.0
72.0 76.0
4.5 7.0
34.7 21.0
0.8 1.0
3.4 6.0
6.0 3.7
49.4 38.7
26.8 25.0
15.1 11.0
41.9 36.0
40.0 30.0
3.2 4.0
43.2 34.0
--continued

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


DROUGHT SEVERITY
(LONG TERM, PALMER)
ona . ‘August 6, 1994
{ UPDATED BI-WEEKLY
+ it SEVERE, fl ‘MOIST 7

EXTREME, ‘SEVERE SEVERE

Uf,

\ (Gout

i @ / SJ monesare

ExTRENE MOIT | = SEVERE
t (a)
7 =
rT \\ MODERATE
p 4 (MODERATE onary ,y
7
4 aa § 9 / os
‘0/7 N as Qos
eae) ) a bo non] ERE Y
4 aN / jOmsT,
a IaonV I
SEVERE) Vv \ MOIST,
\
N
MODERATE (//SEVERE \
“N
SEVERE’

NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on preliminary reports:

Drought Severity

Drought severity index (Palmer): Depicts prolonged (months, years) abnormal
dryness or wetness: responds slowly: changes little from week to week: and
reflects long term moisture runoff, recharge, and deep percolation, as wel) as
evaportranspiration.

Uses...applicable in measuring disruptive effects of prolonged dryness or
wetness on water sensitive economies; designating disaster areas of drought or
wetness and reflecting the general long-term status of water supplies in
aquifers. reservoirs, and streams.

Limitations...is not generally indicative of short-term (few weeks) status of
drought or wetness such as frequently affects crops and field operations (this
is indicated by the crop moisture index).

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-2 NASS, USDA


July Weather Summary: Despite the almost daily presence of an impressive ridge

of high pressure across the West, Corn Belt crops
progressed through early stages of reproduction immune to the heat wave in
progress a thousand miles to the west. A ridge (the western edge of the
“Bermuda High") also dominated the East, delivering heat to the Northeast, and
copious tropical moisture, including the flood-producing remnants of Tropical
Storm Alberto, to the Southeast. While temperatures in the Northwest and New
England averaged up to 5 degrees F above normal. readings in the central Plains
and western Corn Belt ranged up to 5 degrees F below normal.

Corn Belt maximum temperatures were optimal, mostly in the 80's, occasionally
edging into the Tower- to middile-90's. Rainfall across the Corn Belt was
similarly favorable, except for spotty wetness in the north and west (eastern
North Dakota southward into eastern Nebraska, and eastward into Lower Michigan),
and a slowly expanding area of dryness in the southwest (eastern Missouri to
west-central Indiana). Farther south, wetness plagued parts of Alabama,
Georgia, and Florida. Record flooding devastated Georgia's Flint and Ocmulgee
River basins several days after Tropical Storm Alberto made landfall on July 3.
A July-record 18.16 inches of rain defuged Macon, GA, three-fourths of which
fell on July 3-7. Atlanta, GA, endured an all-time monthly record 17.71 inches.
Monthly rainfall totaled 22.18 inches in Dothan, AL, and 24.79 inches in Plains,
GA. Even after Alberto's remnant circulation dissipated, humid, showery weather
plagued the Southeast for the duration of the month, Atlanta reported 22 cloudy
days during July (normal is 12) and a trace or more of rain on 26 of the

31 days.

Wet conditions stretched westward to the Mississippi Delta, then northwestward
into the central Plains. Tulsa noted its wettest July on record, with

11.39 inches. Wetness also extended along the east coast. except for southern
Florida, the Carolinas, and coastal New England. Record July wetness was
observed as far north as Norfolk, VA (14.37 inches) and Philadelphia, PA

(10.42 inches). Philadelphia also registered its warmest July. 5.4 degrees F
above normal. With an average temperature of 78.5 degrees F, it was the hottest
month on record in Bridgeport, CT. Boston, MA, tallied its greatest number of
90-degree days (15) during any month. Record heat also enveloped the Northwest,
where Medford, OR, logged its hottest July. With the heat exacerbating the
effects of a sub-par 1993-94 wet season, the Northwest's wildfire situation
turned explosive during July. in contrast to the summer of 1993, which was the
coolest, third wettest on record. Through July, western wildfires burned more
than 2 million acres. compared to about 1.3 million acres during al) of 1993.

In the Southwest and southern High Plains, heat eased slightly from the record-
setting levels of late June, but temperatures continued to average above normal.
Records were set as far east as San Antonio, TX, which logged a July-record

12 consecutive days (July 16-27) of 100-degree heat. £1 Paso. TX, saw a 23-day
string of 100-degree highs finally end on July 16. Late in the month, an
unusually strong summer cold front pressed southward between the Rockies and the
Appalachians. On July 27, temperatures dipped into the 40's throughout the
Dakotas and Nebraska. A day later, Amarillo, TX, noted 55 degrees F.

General Crop Comments: The cool weather in the Central United States slowed the
rate of crop development when compared to the pace of
this year’s spring planting. The early spring planting set the row crops far

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-3 NASS, USDA


The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in
its programs on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age,
disability, political beliefs, and marital or familial status. Persons with
disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program
information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the

USDA Office of Communications at (202) 720-5881 (voice) or (202) 720-7808 (TOD).

To file a complaint, write the Secretary of Agriculture, USDA, Washington, D.C..
20250, or call (202) 720-7327 (voice) or (202) 720-1127 (TDD). USDA is an equal
employment opportunity employer.

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Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-18 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield and Production by Class, Type,
and United States. 1994

Class and Type

Class 1, Fiue-cured
Type 11, Old and
Middle Belts
N

VA

US
Type 12, Eastern NC
Belt

NC
Type 13. NC Border &
SC Belt

Type 14, GA-FL Belt

U
Total 11-14
Class 2, Fire-Cured
Type 21, VA Belt
VA

Type 22, Eastern
District

KY

TN

US
Type 23, Western
District

KY

TN

US
Total 21-23
Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3A. Light
Air-Cured
Type 31, Burley

Type 32, Southern MD
Beit

MD
PA

US
Total 31-32

99,
: 36.
: 135,

: 129,

34,
$2,
86,

7
43,
: 50
: 400,

000
000
060

000

000
000
000

100
000
100
100

200

100
000

2,800

000
000
000
800

2,000

700

600
+500
000
700

93,000
33,000
126,000

120,000

31,000
48,000
79,000

7,000
39,000
46,000

371,000

1,400

3,800
8,200
12,000

3,800
640
4,440
17,840

7,100
175,000
3,300
8,500
8,500
53,000
11,000
2,000
268.400

8,500
3,600
12,100
280,500

New
Ny
°
°

NRYONNH NWN
=
a
i)

nen
>
a
°o

eynn
a
o
oa

150

VENNNYNMNND
wr
on
o

299,

80,
110,
190,

18,

114;
886.

605
985

512
548
060
917

415
+300

4,760

315
900
035
308

3,600

633

255
650
905

State,

220,875
72,600
293,475

282,000

72,850
110,400
183,250

17,150
85,800
102,950
861.675

2.170

9,500
20.090
29,590

18,275
111.300
24,200
3,600
601.100

12,325
7,020
19,345
620,445

--continued

Crop Production
August 1994

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Yield per Acre and Production, United States,

1993 and Forecasted August 1. 1994

(Domestic

Units)

Crop and Unit

: Yield

per Acre:

Production

Corn for Grain
Sorghum for Grain
Oats
Barley
Al) Wheat

Winter

Durum

Other Spring
Rice

l/

Soybeans for Beans

Peanuts for Nuts
All Cotton
Upland
Amer-Pima
Cottonseed
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Ory Edible Beans
Tobacco
Sugarbeets
Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed
Hops
Pasture and Range
Feed 2/
Apples, Comm’1
Peaches
Pears
Grapes
Olives (CA)
Prunes and Plums
(Excl CA)

vi]

Pet :

16,1
15.7
3
6.3.

148,
80.
67,
21,

1,613,
26,

31

415
44.9
64.3
80.6
47.2
854
878
976
842
591
249

101

76.143.7

10,722
2,656
9

6.0

1

800
600
49.2
24.2
22.0

248,151 247,753
405,782 388.760
2,419,361 2,385,817
1,658,426 1,670,436
101.129 97,860
659,806 617,521

2,282,367
4,088,275
19,194.6
18,827.6
367.0
7,469.5
151,425
81,616
69,809
27,981
1,558,789
29,228

31,394
72,358.2

10,822,500

2.473.800 2,460,800
980.0

6.101.6

105.0

1/ Yield in pounds.
2/ > Pasture and Range Feed condition as of first of month. The 1983-92

average is 73 percent.

Crop Production
August 1994

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


average. Conditions were above last year in 23 States, below last year in
23 States, and unchanged in 2 States.

Conditions in all States west of the Mississippi River except for Arkansas,
Iowa, and Louisiana were below last year. East of the River only Illinois,
Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin reported conditions below last year.

Very poor conditions were reported in Arizona, California, Idaho, New Mexico,
and Washington.

Prunes and Plums: Production in Idaho, Michigan, Oregon, and Washington is
expected to total 40.000 tons. 42 percent more than last
year’s short crop but 10 percent less than the 1992 crop.

Some Idaho growers reported pollination problems this year. Many producers
indicated their plums could be unharvested, due to poor quality. Harvest of
Stanleys in Michigan is slated to start around Labor Day. The crop will be down
slightly in the southwest but heavier elsewhere. Shipments began from the
Yakima. Washington area about July 15.

Papayas: Fresh papaya production is estimated at 4.43 million pounds for July,
16 percent lower than June and 15 percent Jower than a year ago.

Year-to-date fresh sales were 7 percent ahead of the same seven-month period of
1993. Weather conditions during July were variable. Mid-month rainfall from
passing storms kept soil moisture adequate over major producing areas. Area
devoted to papaya production totaled 3.245 acres, 1 percent lower than June and
15 percent lower than a year ago. Harvested area is estimated at 2,145 acres,
7 percent lower than last month and 12 percent lower than last July.

Hops: The production forecast of 72.4 million pounds is 5 percent less than
last year and 3 percent less than 1992. Acreage and yield declines in
Washington more than offset small increases in Idaho and Oregon.

Oregon growers expect Glena and Willamette production to be less than last year.
Other varieties appear to be about average. Washington hops started the season
in good to excellent condition but declined because of the recent hot spell and
the lack of water. No major insects problems were reported so far this year.
Harvest of early varieties is expected about mid-August. about one week later
than normal because the heat retarded cone formation.

Olives: The California olive crop forecast is 105,000 tons. down 14 percent

from the 1993 crop of 122,000 tons. Trees had good growth and were in
excellent shape following two large crops. Growers reported a heavy bloom on
the Manzanillo variety; however, mixed hot and cool weather conditions. along
with rain in May, held down production. Sevillano production is expected to be
only half of last year’s crop. To encourage fruit size, some growers pruned
heavily and sprayed thinned trees. Olive harvest is expected to begin by
mid-September.

Peaches: U.S. production is forecast at 2.46 billion pounds, down 1 percent
from last month and down 7 percent from 1993. Production of the crop,
excluding California Clingstone peaches that are mostly canned, is expected to

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-10 NASS, USDA


In the Southeastern States (Alabama, Georgia, North Carolina. and South
Carolina), spring rains enabled the crop to germinate well and resulted in
generally good stands. Adverse weather in the region during July caused crop
condition to deteriorate in Alabama and Georgia. However, the crop in the
Carolina's improved during July. In early August. 30 percent of Alabama’s crop
was in poor to fair condition, while Georgia reported 23 percent of the crop in
fair condition. Although 92 percent of South Caralina’s crop was in good
condition on August 1, beginning in late July. progress was less than average
from the effects of dry weather. Affects from tropical storm Alberto were
minimal in Georgia and-essentially none in Florida. Only the southeastern
portion of Alabama incurred damage, and approximately 3,000 acres may be lost
due to the storm.

American-Pima production is forecast at 367,000 bales, down 4 percent from 1993.
Yields are expected to average 1,015 pounds per harvested acre, up 48 pounds
from last year. In the four estimating States, the crop progressed well after a
slow start from adverse weather. California’s crop was in good to excellent
condition on August 1. as hot weather during June and July speeded recovery from
the cool, wet spring.

Ginnings totaled 112,900 running bales prior to August 1, compared with
9.450 running bales ginned to the same date last year and 14,200 running bales
in 1992.

Dry Edible Beans: The first forecast of dry bean production in 1994 is

28.0 million cwt. up 28 percent from last year and 24 percent
above two years ago. Area for harvest. at 1.82 million acres. is 14 percent
above a year ago and 19 percent above 1992. Yields are expected to average
1,538 pounds per acre, up 173 pounds from last year and up 60 pounds from 1992.
Planted acreage is estimated at 1.97 million acres, 2 percent below the estimate
made in June but 7 percent greater than a year ago.

Planting finished earlier than normal this year and crop progress is ahead of
normal in most States. However, heavy rains during July drowned out thousands
of acres in Michigan's Saginaw Bay area and in the Red River Valley of North
Dakota. Hot weather in the Southwest scorched dryland beans in Utah and
Colorado.

Estimates of planted acres by class show the following changes from last year:
pintos are up 11 percent, blackeyes jumped 59 percent, black turtle soup gained
22 percent. great northern increased 19 percent. }imas combined for a 67 percent
increase, and small whites were up 43 percent. Decreases are noted by a

3 percent slide in navy beans. pinks fell 22 percent. small reds dropped

14 percent, cranberries dropped 21 percent, and garbanzos are off 24 percent.
The kidney total is about the same as last year with lights down 5 percent and
darks up 5 percent.

All Hay: Production is forecast at 151 million tons, an increase of 2 percent

from 1993. Area for harvest, totaling 60.3 million acres, is
unchanged from the June “Acreage” report but down slightly from last year. The
forecasted yield of 2.51 tons per acre is up 0.05 ton from last year’s average
of 2.46 tons per acre.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-8 NASS, USDA


Winter Wheat:

Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

State
1993 1994
1,000 Acres
AL L/ 95 95
AZ: 35 29
AR 1/  : «1,000 900
CALs: 500 510
co : 2,550 2,600
ve: 63 70
FL 1/ 25 20
GA l/ 360 400
1D : 850 800
IL : 1,550 900
IN : 670 630
IA l/s: 40 50
KS : 11,100 11,400
Ky : 470 450
LA 1/ 95 80
MD 1/ 200 220
M1 540 580
MN J/ 40 38
MS 1/ 210 160
MO 1,400 1,100
MT 2.450 1,850
NE 2,100 2,000
NV 1/ 4 5
NJ 1/ 33 35
NM L/ 270 240
NY 1/ 85 110
NC 560 620
NDQ/: 130 35
OH : 1,010 1,200
OK : §,400 5,300
OR : 860 870
PA 1/ 165 165
sc ils: 260 360
SO : 1,450 1,350
TMmMl : 340 290
TX > 3,700 3,000
UT l/s: 155 160
VA l/ 3 255 255
WA : 2,500 2,300
WV L/ : 11 11
WIo1/ 115 130
wy 200 180
US 43.846 41,498

825

680
150
200
840
000
500
030
375
800
140
200
930
200
900
500

400

419
210
+910
520
290
520
000
060
425
880
550
940

3,
2,
43,
40,
80,
3.

21,
60.
51,
38,
2,
421,
26,
3,
10.
29,
1,
7,
49,
68,
66,

3

.000 Bushels ---

230
290
000
000
350
591

800
842
200
800
600
500
840
200
000
300
430
250
800
§50
040
780
000
330
200
500
450
000
450

1,575
5.280
5,
1
1

610

620
155
69,
143,
55,
8,
19,
43,
14,
78,
6,
14,

600
100
680
250
440
200
500

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from

Crop Production

August 1994

earlier forecast.

Agricultural Statistics
NASS,

Board
USDA


Wheat: Production by Class, United States,
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 1/

Winter Spring
Year Hard Soft Hard Total
Red Red White Red Durum White
1,000 Bushels
1992 : 966,078 427,139 213,317 702.108 97,196 $3,110 2,458,948
1993: 1,073,417 402.715 293,026 509,982 68,926 53,989 2,402,055
1994 : 36 4 ©6257.505 563,764 97,860 53,757 2,385,817

1/ Wheat class estimates are based on the latest varietal acreage survey data
available. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used through
the forecast season, unless otherwise noted.

Peanuts for Nuts: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by State
and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1. 1994 1/

Area Harvested Yield Production

1993 1994 1993 1994 1992 1993 1994

1,000 Acres —----- Pounds ----  --------- 1.000 Pounds --------
AL : 239.0 230.0 1,980 2,150 591,180 473,220 494,500
FL : 84.0 75.0 2,320 2,200 202,400 194,880 165,000
GA : 697.0 665.0 1,985 2,600 1,820,465 1,383,545 1,729,000
NM : 21.8 23.0 2,600 2,600 58,236 56,680 59,800
NC > 143.0 150.0 2,095 2,700 406,980 299,585 405,000
OK : 102.0 107.0 2,290 2,450 236,180 233,580 262,150
SC : 14.0 14.5 1,750 2,850 32,500 24.500 41,325
TX : 295.0 285.0 1,865 2.300 680.150 550.175 655.500
VA : 94.0 92.0 1,875 3,000 256,215 176,250 276,000
US : 1,689.8 1,641.5 2,008 2,491 4,284,306 3,392,415 4,088,275

1/ Estimates comprised of quota and non-quota peanuts.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-17 NASS, USDA


Crop Summary:

Area Planted and Harvested, United States,

1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 (Domestic Units)

1,000 Acres
67 62,991 71,757
99 9,486 9,299
00 3,793 4,132
07 6,791 6,848
68 62,647 61,971
47 43,846 41,498
95 2,050 2,639
26 16,751 17,834
0 2,833.0 3,300.0
75 56.447 60,702
0 1,689.8 1,641.5
8 12,783.3 13,346.4
8 12,594.4 13,172.8
0 188.9 173.6
60,398 60,315
24,762 24,683
35,636 35.632
7 1,600.0 1,819.8
747.5 685.2
0 1,409.4 1.441.1

Crop
Corn 73,323 78,7
Sorghum 10,492 10,1
Oats 7,944 6.7
Barley 7,826 7.3
All Wheat 72,208 70.4
Winter 51,727 49,5
Durum 2,191 2.6
Other Spring 18,290 18.2
Rice 2,920.0 3,355
Soybeans 59,355 61,7
Peanuts 1,733.5 1,682
All Cotton 13, 438.3 13,983
Upland 13,248.3 13,808
Amer-Pima 190.0 175
All Hay
Alfalfa
All Other
Dry Edible Beans 1,849.9 1,971
Tobacco
Sugarbeets 1,437.7 1,468

Sugarcane for
Sugar and Seed
Hops

1/ Harvested for principal use of each crop. ie., grain, beans, nuts, etc.

Crop Summary:
United States,

Area Planted and Harvested,

1993-94 (Domestic Units)

Area Harvested

ea Planted
199.
3 1,6
6 3.4
6 1
12.
91.
94.
1,207.
1,406.
84.

Ar.
Crop

1993
Rye 1,49
Sunflower 2,77
Flaxseed 20

Potatoes.
Winter 14
Spring 86
Summer 94
Fall: 1,190
Total 1,386
Sweetpotatoes 83
1/ 1994 estimates carried forward

Crop Production
August 1994

from earlier

A-3

4 1/ 1993 1994 L/
1,000 Acres

28 381 404
30 2,504 3,291
89 191 182
4 13.6 12.3
6 83.8 90.4
7 89.2 91.1
8 1,131.2 1,188.3
5 1,317.8 1,382.1
5 80.2 81.2
forecast.

Agricultural Statistics Board
NASS, USDA


CROP MOISTURE
{SHORT TEAM, CROP NEED VS. AVAILABLE WATER IN 5-FT. SOIL PROFILE)
August 6, 1994
he fa
Sieve Frodo UPDATED WEEKLY saul
t (oe oa
ay rear] \ 7
[=== iss ‘a fy lau
EXCESSIVELY | ioral
a DRY; ‘ / Pers coy, Fh
=e rena
FAVOR:
rip aaa mag ~~) 4S
f nO ni
oe I LRA | emer Ey
= Ip = aN ee)
Ree VY ar” \ Siomty
WI la hy y!
yy 0} N FAVORABLY
Wy roy
vELy ON i, 1 a
i
l
EXTREMELYG—\h \
Hy
} PAVORABLY
MOLT
Teena
=
NOAMUSDA JOINT AGRICULTURAL WEATHER FACILITY Based on preliminary reports:

Crop Moisture

Depicts short term (up to about 4 weeks) abnormal dryness or wetness affecting
Agriculture, responds rapidly. can change considerably week to week, and
indicates normal conditions at the beginning and end of the growing season.

Uses...applicable in measuring the short term, week-to-week, status of dryness
or wetness affecting warm season crops and field operations.

Limitations...may not be applicable to germination and shallow rooted crops
which are unable to extract the deep or subsoil moisture from a 5-foot profile.
or for cool season crops growing when temperatures are averaging below about

55 degrees fahrenheit. It is not generally indicative of the long term (months.
years) drought or wet spells which are depicted by the drought severity index.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-1 NASS, USDA


Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures:

Area Harvested. Yield, and Production
by State and United States, 1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

z
TM
re

1,000 Acres
150 160
30 25
920 950
850 860
20 19
5 4
050 1,020
790 700
330 350
550 1,250
850 850
280 300
19 19
65 60
31 33
200 1,200
.600 1,600
460 370
500 1,550
400 1.500
235 240
15 16
30 30
255 265
700 680
20 20
700 1,550
650 680
330 320
420 420
780 800
2 2
300 2,500
60 50
85 90
500 525
90 95
130 150
480 480
40 40
.200 2,250
640 660
762 24,683

--- Tons ---

7
3
6
3
2
3
4
3
4
2
3
3
2
3.
2
4
3
2.
2.
3
4,
2
2
5
2
2
1
3
3
4
3
2
2
3
4
4
2
2
4
3
2
2

-40
00
-90
-80
-40
-80
-00
80
00
~65
-80
70
-80
10
30
20
00
80
50
-40
40
«30
30
10
45
00
-90
50
60
20
10
00
-60
30
30
40
.35
70
50
-20
-30
+50

00
00
70
50
00
50
-90
00
50
50
70
70
90
00
30
-90
50
75
30
30
30
-30
70
-10
80
00
00
00
70
00
40
50
-10
50
-80
10
20
00
50
-00
50
30

VNU OHWN A EONNWEWENWN TON FON N WW EN WWW W AW PWWAWO

rR

rPwomPnre

worms

Nee

095 1,110 1,
105 90
432 6.348 6
736 3.230 3,
58 48
21 19
367 4,200
590 3,002
221 1,320
735 3.953
570 3.230
050 1,036
46 53
273 202
78 71
140 5,040
250 4,800
450 1,288
360 3.750
550 4,760
874 1.034
34 35
113 69
275 1,301
880 1,715
84 40
755 3,230
800 2,275
330 1,188
600 1,764
720 2.418
5 4
620 5,980 5.
252 198
550 366
.960 2,200 2.
219 212
490 351
.208 2,160 2,
120 128
.290 5,060 5,
265 1,600 1
571 80,878 81

rPonenw

PROnoap

Pe

NER Nw

Crop Production

August 1994

A-26

Agricultural Statistics

NASS,

Board
USDA


All wheat production is forecast at 2.39 billion bushels, down 1 percent from
both July 1 and the 1993 production. Yields are expected to average

38.5 bushels per acre, off 0.5 bushels from July 1 but 0.2 bushels above last
year. Total area for harvest is 62.0 million acres, unchanged from the last
forecast but down 1 percent from 1993.

Winter wheat final 1994 production forecast is 1.67 billion bushels, up

1 percent from July 1 but 6 percent less than 1993. Yields are expected to
average 40,3 bushels per acre, up 0.3 bushels from last month and equaling last
year’s average. The production increase is primarily due to much better than
expected Soft Red Winter harvests.

Other spring wheat production is forecast at 618 million bushels, down 6 percent
from the July forecast but up 9 percent from 1993. U.S. yields are forecast at
34.6 bushels per acre, down 2.4 bushels from last month. The 1993 average was
33.7 bushels per acre. Head scab has hurt Minnesota's yield prospects. while
hot. dry weather caused the Montana and Washington declines.

a

This report was approved on August 11, 1994, by the Secretary of Agriculture and
the National Agricultural Statistics Service’s Agricultural Statistics Board.

MAa Br fet Ve

Secretary of Agricultural Statistics Board
Agriculture: Chairperson
Mike Espy Rich Allen

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1994 A-2 NASS, USDA


California's table type grape production is forecast at 630,000 tons, unchanged
from both last month and last year. Harvest is active in the San Joaquin Valley
and quality is good.

The Michigan forecast is 50.000 tons. down 9 percent from last season. Although
hot. dry weather in June was excellent for pollination. the severe winter
damaged some varieties. The New York all grape forecast is 175.000 tons, up

48 percent from a year ago. Excellent summer growing conditions offset damage
caused by the severe winter. Disease pressure is high due to hot, humid
conditions. The Pennsylvania crop forecast. at 70,000 tons, is 30 percent above
last year’s crop. Many growers report a good crop that was not damaged by the
winter weather. There is concern the crop may not ripen well. The Washington
all grape crop is 215,000 tons, 39 percent less than last season. Growers are
concerned with the heat and water availability.

Ginger Root: The 1994 Hawaii ginger root crop is estimated at 4.20 million
pounds, down 58 percent from last season and the lowest total
since 1981-82. Harvested acreage totaled 100 acres, down 72 percent from last
season and the lowest since 1981-82. Partially offsetting the decline in
acreage was an increase in average yields to 42,000 pounds per acre. up
53 percent from last season. Bacterial wilt disease devastated the ginger root
industry in 1993. The disease’s presence and last season's low prices
discouraged many farmers from planting ginger root for the 1993-94 season.

Florida Citrus: All areas of the citrus belt received near or above average
rainfall in July. Several dry. hot days occurred during the
first of the month but hard rains and thunderstorms started and continued
through the end of the month. New growth was abundant on trees of all ages as a
result of the high temperatures and plentiful moisture. New crop fruit made
good progress and has excellent size. Some early oranges nearly reached
baseball size and many grapefruit are larger than baseballs. Valencia orange
harvest dragged to a halt about mid-July when utilization ended. There was
little grapefruit harvest during July as supplies were virtually depleted.
Caretakers were busy cutting cover crops, fertilizing, and spraying herbicides.

California Fruits and Nuts: Fruit growers actively harvested summer fruit crops
and treated orchards and vineyards for pests in
July. Plums and Freestone peaches continued to be picked and packed in volume
with excellent quality noted. Bartlett pear and Clingstone peach harvests
Started in mid-July. Gala and Gravenstein apple harvests began in the latter
part of the month. Thompson Seedless, Perlette. and Flame Seedless table grapes
were harvested with good quality reported. Apricot harvest ended. The month
began with above normal temperatures which promoted fruit maturity.
Temperatures were near normal with little precipitation by the end of July.

California Citrus: Harvesting of Valencia oranges, summer grapefruit and South
Coast lemons continued at a slow pace. Treatment of citrus
groves was continued to control thrips, red scale, worms, and mites. The month
began with above normal temperatures which promoted fruit maturity.
Temperatures were near normal with little precipitation by the end of July.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-13 NASS, USDA


Peaches: Total Production by Crop. State, and United States.
1992-93 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

State enn ee nen n ener een n nee reece nnn ee nen ee nee ee eee ree

1992 1993

Million

AL 2/ : 13.0 15.0 17.0
AR 2/ I 12.0 24.0 10.0
CA - Freestone 2/: 642.0 605.0 620.0
cO 2/ : 18.0 18.0 19.0
CT 2/ : 3.9 3.6 2.1
DE 2/ : 3.5 4.0 3.0
GA 2/ : 130.0 150.0 165.0
ID 2/ : 5.4 7.0 4.0
IL 2/ : 18.0 16.0 5.0
IN 2/ 3/ : 6.0 8.0
KS 2/ : 0.5 0.5 0.5
KY 2/ 3/ : 4.0 6.0
LA 2/ : 4.0 3.5 4.0
MD 2/ : 11.0 10.0 3.0
MA 2/ : 1.7 1.7 0.7
MI : 50.0 48.0 10.0
MO 2/ : 9.0 7.5 6.5
NJ : 85.0 90.0 75.0
NY 2/ : 14.0 9.0 7.0
NC 2/ : 12.0 35.0 32.0
OH 2/ 3/ : 14.0 7.7
OK 2/ : 5.0 20.0 25.0
OR 2/ : 15.0 14.0 15.5
PA 3 : 90.0 100.0
SC : 170.0 220.0 250.0
TN 2/ : 4.2 10.4 2.5
TX 2/ : 27.0 25.0 20.0
UT 2/ : 10.8 7.7 11.0
VA 2/ : 25.0 28.0 10.0
WA : 52.0 47.0 43.0
WV 2/ 3/ : 20.0 18.0
Total Above : 1,476.0 1,559.6 1,360.8
CA-Clingstone 2/4/: 1,183.0 1,097.0 1,100.0
US Total : 2,659.0 2,656.6 2,460.8

1/ Includes unharvested production and harvested not sold (million pounds):
U.S., excluding CA clingstone peaches, 1992 - 113.2, 1993 - 106.0.

2/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

3/ No significant production in 1994 due to frost.

4/ CA clingstone is over the scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery
diversions (million pounds): 1992 - 66.0; 1993 - 60.0.

Crop Production Agricultura) Statistics Board
August 1994 A-34 NASS, USDA


Harvested acres, at 1.64 million acres, is 3 percent below last year. Yields
are expected to average 2.491 pounds per acre. 483 pounds above the 1993 crop
but 71 pounds below the 1992 level.

Production in the Southeastern States (Alabama, Florida, Georgia, and South
Carolina) is expected to total 2.43 billion pounds. up 17 percent from last
year. In the Southeast. 984.500 acres will be harvested, 5 percent below last
year. Yields in the four-State area are expected to average 2,468 pounds per
acre, 460 pounds above 1993. Tropical storm Alberto dumped extremely large.
amounts of rain to already existing wet soils in many areas of Alabama, Florida,
and Georgia. Affects, at this time, are still uncertain. Acreage lost due to
the floods appear to be slight. In Alabama, approximatety 6,000 acres may be
Jost and in Georgia, a loss of 10,000 acres may be attributed to the storm and
related problems. Peanut development in Georgia, as of August 1. was slightly
ahead of normal. However, signs of heavy weed and disease pressure are showing
because the wet conditions delayed or prevented control. In Alabama and
Florida, crop development is somewhat behind normal due to saturated soils. In
South Carolina, peanuts received more normal rainfall amounts which actually
improved the crop. August conditions will prove crucial to this year's crop.
Sunshine and drier weather will be preferred in much of the Southeast. Across
the entire area of Alabama, Florida, and Georgia, about one-third of the peanut
acreage is considered in fair to poor condition. while most of the remaining
two-thirds are rated in good condition.

Virginia-North Carolina production is forecast at 681 million pounds, 43 percent
more than the short 1993 crop of 476 million pounds. Area for harvest is
expected to total 242,000 acres, 5,000 acres more than 1993. Yield per
harvested acre, at 2,814 pounds, is up 806 pounds from last year's drought
reduced yield. July rainfall improved the Virginia-North Carolina peanut crop
significantly. although some poor stands are reported in North Carolina.
Producers indicate minimal disease problems through August 1.

The Southwest peanut crop (New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas) is expected to total
977 million pounds. up 16 percent from last year’s 840 million pounds. The
region's acreage, at 415,000 acres, is 1 percent below the 1993 level. Yields
are expected to average 2.355 pounds, 348 pounds per acre above the 1993 level
of 2,007 pounds. Irrigated fields are in good condition with the only moisture
stress reported on some dryland acreage in Texas. Crop development and
conditions in the Southwest are generally considered slightly better than normal
for August 1.

Rice: Rice production is forecast at 188 million cwt, 21 percent above 1993 and

5 percent above 1992. This production level. if realized. would be the-
highest production on record. Production and acreage are higher in all States.
Yield per acre increased in all States except Missouri where it remained the
samé as last year. Overall, the U.S. yield increased 200 pounds from 1993.
Development of California's crop waS about a week behind normal at the beginning
of August. Arkansas’s progress was ahead of last year and the five-year average.
Rice harvest is underway in Texas and Louisiana.

Soybeans: Growers planted 61.8 million acres of soybeans, unchanged from the
June estimate but up 4 percent from 1993. Area to be harvested. at

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-6 NASS, USDA


Tobacco: Area Harvested. Yield and Production by Class. Type, State,
and United States. 1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994 (continued)

Class and Type

Class 3, Air-Cured
Class 3B, Dark
Air-Cured
Type 35, One Sucker
Belt
KY
TN
US
Type 36, Green River
Belt
KY

Belt
VA
Total 35-37
Class 4, Cigar Filler
Type 41, PA Seedleaf
PA
Class 5, Cigar Binder
Class 5A, CT Valley
Binder
Type 51. CT Valley
Broadleaf
cT
MA
US
Class 5B, WI Binder
Type 54, Southern WI
WI
Type 55, Northern WI
WI
Total 54-55
Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper :

Type 61, CT Valley
Shade-Grown
CT
MA
US
All Cigar Types
Total 41-61

All Tobacco

Crop Production
August 1994

Type 37, VA Sun-cured :

--- Acres ----
2.700 2,500
640 600
3.340 3,100
1.450 1,300
100 100
4,890 4.500
6.500 6,000
650 700
170 180
820 880
2.900 2,200
1,900 1,100
4,800 3,300
5.620 4,180
850 910
230 280
1,080 1.190
13.200 11,370
: 747,540 685,210
A-29

--- Pounds ---
2,370 2,400
2,125 2,150
2,323 2,352
2,320 2,500
1,040 1,400
2,296 2,373
2,100 2,100
1.875 1,830
2,060 1,880
1,913 1,840
1,620 2,100
1,340 1,600
1,509 1,933
1,568 1,914
1,405 1,490
1,495 1,480
1,424 1,487
1,818 1,967
2,159

11

13,

oO~

1

1,

24,

399
360
759

364

104

227

650

6219

350

569

698
+546

1264
1813

194

344
538

001

-- 1,000 Pounds --

6,000
1,290
7,290

3,250

140
10,680

12,600

1,281
338
1,619

4,620
1,760

6,380
7.999

1,356
414
1.770

22,369

2,275 1,613,591 1,558,789

Agricultural Statistics Board

NASS, USDA


Barley: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State
and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August 1. 1994

Area Harvested Production

1,000 Acres = ------- Bushels -------- -- 1,000 Bushels --
AZ U/ : 29 33 100.0 97.0 97.0 2,900 3,201
CA : 200 220 65.0 60.0 60.0 13,000 13,200
co : 90 83 85.0 82.0 82.0 7,650 6,806
OF’: 35 30 65.0 55.0 55.0 2,275 1,650
1D : 750 720 80.0 77.0 77.0 60,000 55.440
KS : 15 13 46.0 40.0 40.0 690 520
KY l/s: 16 14 67.0 75.0 75.0 1,072 1,050
MD : 69 60 69.0 62.0 76.0 4,761 4,560
MI 1/ : 28 33 54.0 54.0 54.0 1,512 1,782
MN : 650 625 58.0 65.0 55.0 37,700 34,375
MT > 1,100 1,150 58.0 55.0 47.0 63,800 54,050
NE 1/ : 32 21 38.0 38.0 38.0 1,216 798
Nols: 5 4 100.0 105.0 105.0 500 420
NJ 1/ : 5 5 60.0 50.0 50.0 300 250
nc lo: 20 25 60.0 70.0 70.0 1,200 1,750
ND : 2,400 2,550 49.0 54.0 54.0 117,600 137.700
OK Y/ : 8 6 35.0 39.0 39.0 280 234
OR : 150 130 75.0 69.0 73.0 11,250 9,490
PA : 95 80 63.0 65.0 70.0 5,985 5,600
sc l/s: 7 7 38.0 58.0 58.0 266 406
so : 360 355 42.0 40.0 40.0 15,120 14,200
THX lo: 7 6 44.0 33.0 33.0 308 198
UT : 110 110 85.0 81.0 78.0 9,350 8,580
VA t 85 85 67.0 70.0 70.0 5,695 5.950
WA : 345 305 67.0 55.0 47.0 23,115 14,335
WI : 70 75 46.0 55.0 53.0 3,220 3,975
WY : 110 103 86.0 84.0 80.0 9,460 8,240
US 6.791 6,848 58.9 59.3 56.8 400,225 388.760
d/) Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

August 1994 A-13 NASS, USDA


Reliability of August 1 Crop Production Forecasts

Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted

between July 22 and August 2 to gather information on
expected yield as of August 1. The objective yield surveys for wheat, corn.
soybeans, and cotton were conducted in the major producing States that usually
account for about 80 percent of the U.S. production. Farm operators were
interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and to seek permission to
randomly locate two sample plots in selected fields (corn, cotton, and
soybeans). The items counted within the selected plots depend on the crop and
the maturity of that crop. In all cases, number of plants are recorded along
with other measurements that provide information to forecast the number of
heads, ears, pods, or bolls and their weight. The counts are used with similar
data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The five-year
average harvesting loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are re-
visited each month until crop maturity when the fruit is harvested and weighed.
After the farm operator has harvested the sample field. another plot is sampled
to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey was conducted primarily by telephone with some use of
mail and personal interviewers. Approximately 30,000 producers were interviewed
during the survey period and asked questions about probable yield and, in the
case of late planted crops, acreage questions were asked to measure changes in
intentions Since the mid-year survey.

Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower

reported survey estimates were reviewed for errors,
reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were
also reviewed considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to
previous month and previous years. Each State Statistical Office submits their
analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB).
The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published
August 1 forecast.

Revision Policy: The August 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead

anew forecast will be made each month throughout the growing
season. At the end of the marketing year, administrative records and a balance
sheet are utilized using carryover stocks. production, exports. processing,
feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if data relationships
warrant changes. Estimates of planted acres for spring planted crops are
subject to revision August 1 if conditions altered the planting intentions since
the mid-year survey. Harvested acres may be revised any time a production
forecast is made if there is strong evidence that the intended harvested area
has changed since the last estimate.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the August 1
production forecasts, the "Root Mean Square Error,” a statistical
measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the
August 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage
of the final estimate. The average of squared percentage deviations for the
1974-1993 20-year period is computed then the square root of the average becomes

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 B-14 NASS, USDA


Index

Page

Table Narrative

w

Apples, Commercial. ........ ccc cc eee eee ee ete eect ee eee
Area Planted, By States.
Barley.............008

Beans, Dry Edible..

wre

rPPrPrrrrrr
BDPOANwWAN

Nr

Cottonseed vee
Crop Moisture Map...
Crop Summary........
Drought Severity Map
Ginger Root........

Grapes.... :
Hay, All... cee cee eee eee

Hay, Alfalfa and Alfalfa Mixtures
Hay, All Other.................4.

Hops...........
Oats... :
Olives.........
Papayas-Hawaii.
Pasture & Range Feed Condit
PeacheS......... cee eee eee eee
Peanuts For Nuts.

w

a

e

eR

ew

WWHKOWHWWHWNNNWL

Prrrrryrrrrrrrrp bY
RVAYVERNBONUOIAGVY

Prunes & PIUMS..... cece cece eect ee te ete eee nee
Reliability
Rice..........
Rice, By Class.
Sorghum For Grain
Soybeans For Beans.
Sugarbeets................
Sugarcane For Sugar & Seed.
Tobacco, By Class and Type.
Tobacco, By States........
Wheat. All.......

Wheat. by Class
Wheat. Durum.......
Wheat. Other Spring . .
Wheat, Winter... cece eee tee eee e ee

a
DARONMNOGVBCTUNDGOWOOONWH

DOBWDDVMMBBWBDBVDBDBTDOW

14 1144 4 4
o
WOO AA

B- 5
B- 5
B- 5

Prrrrrrrrprpyryr

BRE RR eONworRrEE

AAANROOP MEOH @O
o

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 8-16 NASS, USDA


Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield. and Production by State
and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August 1, 1994

Area Harvested Yield Production
State : : : : 1994 :

1993: 1994 : 1993 :------------------- : 1993: 1994

1,000 Acres 1,000 Bushels
AZ 1/ : 50 94 90.0 91.0 91.0 4,500 8,554
CAl/ ss: 40 59 95.0 95.0 95.0 3,800 5,605
MN : 8 39 30.0 47.0 30.0 240 1,170
MT : 114 178 31.0 33.0 31.0 3.534 5,518
ND : 1,820 2,250 31.0 35.0 34.0 56,420 76,500
SD : 18 19 24.0 27.0 27.0 432 513
us 2.050 2,639 33.6 38.3 37.1 68,926 97,860

i/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Other Spring Wheat: Area Harvested. Yield. and Production by State
and United States, 1993 and Forecasted August i, 1994

State : : : : : :
: 1993: 1994 : 1993 :------------------- : 1993: 1994

: : Jul 1 : :
1,000 Acres -------- Bushels ------- -- 1,000 Bushels --
cols: 33 42 80.0 82.0 82.0 2,640 3,444
10 : 540 630 80.0 77.0 77.0 43,200 48,510
MN : 2,250 2,550 31.0 45.0 37.0 69,750 94,350
MT : 2,650 3,300 37.0 37.0 30.0 98.050 99,000
Was: 5 4 80.0 70.0 70.0 400 280
ND : 8,850 9,000 31.0 34.0 34.0 274,350 306.000
ORI : 65 62 60.0 55.0 55.0 3,900 3,410
sD : 2,020 1,950 27.0 25.0 26.0 54,540 50,700
UT l/s: 25 22 49.0 46.0 46.0 1,225 1,012
WA : 290 245 52.0 43.0 40.0 15,080 9.800
WId/ ss: 10 11 29.0 35.0 35.0 290 385
0 35.0 35.0 546 630

WY d/o: 13 18 42.

1/ Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast.

Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board
August 1994 A-16 NASS. USDA