CITRUS FRUIT 1/

TON EQUIVALENT

CROP fawn nana n-ne nee e 2+ +2 ee eee o ee eee e222 eee ee
AND UTILIZED T INDICATED
STATE :
1988-89
1,000 UNITS 2/ 1,000 UNITS
ORANGES,EARLY MID_ :
& NAVEL 3/:
ARIZ 4/: 1,000 610 550 37 23 21
CALIF : 34,500 31,500 35,000 1,294 1,182 1,313
FLA : 65,800 78,500 89,000 2,961 3,532 4,005
TEX : 500 940 1,200 22 40 51
US 101,800 111,550 125,750 4,314 4,777 5,390
ORANGES, VALENCIA
ARIZ 4/: 1,700 1,200 1,450 64 45 54
CALIF : 235400 27,300 26,000 878 1,024 975,
FLA : 53,900 59,500 61,000 2,425 2,677 2,745
TEX : 375 490 650 16 21 28
us : 79,375 88,490 89,100 3,383 3,767 3,802
ALL ORANGES :
ARIZ 4a: 2,700 1,810 2,000 101 68 75
CALIF : 57,900 58,800 61,000 2,172 2,206 2,288
FLA : 119,700 138,000 150,000 5,386 6,209 6,750
TEX : 875 1,430 1,850 38 61 79
us : 181,175 200,040 214,850 7,697 8,544 9,192
TEMPLES :
FLA : 3,400 3,550 3,800 153 160 ira)
GRAPEFRUIT, WHITE
SEEOLESS :
FLA > 26,900 29,200 28,500 1,143 1,241 1,211
GRAPEFRUIT, COLORED:
SEEDLESS :
FLA : 20,000 21,900 23,000 850 930 978
OTHER GRAPEFRUIT
FLA : 2,900 2,750 2,500 123 Ww 106
ALL. GRAPEFRUIT
ARIZ af: 2,200 1,500 1,300 70 48 42
CALIF 4/5/:
DESERT : 4,300 4,200 3,900 137 135 125
OTHER AREAS: 5,000 4,700 168 158
TOTAL : 9,300 8,900 305 293
FLA : 49,800 53,850 54,000 2,116 2,288 2,295
TEX : 1,925 3,800 4,500 77 152 180
US : 63,225 68,050 2,568 2,781
TANGERINES :
ARIZ af: 700 450 500 26 7 19
CALIF af: 2,230 2,090 1,800 83 78 68
FLA : 2,340 2,450 2,700 111 V7 128
us : 5,270 4,990 5,000 220 212 215
LEMONS 4/:
ARIZ : 7,100 3,650 3,900 270 139 148
CALIF : 21,500 17,000 18,500 817 646 703
US : 28,600 20,650 22,400 1,087 785 851
TANGELOS :
FLA : 4,000 4,200 3,900 180 189 176

1/ THE CROP YEAR BEGINS WITH THE BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR SHOWN AND ENDS WITH
YEAR HARVEST IS COMPLETED. 2/ NET LBS PER BOX: QORANGES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-
90, TEX-85; GRAPEFRUIT-~CALIF DESERT & ARIZ-64, CALIF OTHER-67, FLA-85, TEX-80;
LEMONS~76; TANGELOS & TEMPLES-90; TANGERINES-CALIF & ARIZ-75, FLA-95.

3/ NAVEL ANO MISCELLANEOUS VARIETIES IN CALIFORNIA AND ARIZONA. EARLY AND MID-
SEASON VARIETIES IN FLORIDA AND TEXAS, INCLUDING SMALL QUANTITIES OF TANGERINES
IN TEXAS. 4/ ESTIMATES FOR CURRENT YEAR CARRIED FORWARD FROM EARLIER FORECAST
5/ THE FIRST FORECAST FOR CALIF GRAPEFRUIT “OTHER AREAS" WILL BE AS OF APR 1.

CROP PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
FEBRUARY 1989 5 NASS, USDA



TEMPLES: The Florida forecast, at 3.80 million boxes, is unchanged from

January 1 but 7 percent above the previous season. Harvest as of
February 1 was about 18 percent complete. Movement has been slow through
January due to lagging maturity.

FLORIDA CITRUS: This State's groves and trees have been warm and dry during

most of January. There were heavy rains January 21 and 22 in
all areas of the citrus belt. Heavy amounts were recorded in the central and
northern groves with the southern areas reporting less than an inch for the
only rainfall of the month. The higher than normal temperatures have
generated a lot of new growth and various stages of bloom buds. All of this
new growth is vulnerable to frost or freezing temperatures, should either
arrive this year. Harvest of early and mid oranges during January averaged
more than 6.50 million boxes per week. Movement of all grapefruit continued
active through this month as slightly more than 1.0 million boxes per week
were harvested. Tangelo harvest remained active during January with almost
300 thousand boxes moved each week. Temple movement has been slow through
this month due to lagging maturity.

TEXAS CITRUS: Grapefruit and orange harvest moved ahead at a normal pace

during January under mostly good weather. Early orange harvest
was winding down in many groves, Quality remained good. Grapefruit harvest
was a little more than half complete with sizes running medium to small.
Quality was also good. Overall mild weather has caused some early blooming.
Groves are currently in good condition.

PAPAYAS: Fresh papaya production from Hawaii is forecast at 3.80 million

pounds for February, 27 percent more than February 1988. Output is
expected to increase to 4.30 million pounds in March, then rise again to 4.80
million pounds in April. Fresh sales in May are anticipated to decline
slightly to 4.60 million pounds.

January fresh utilization is estimated at 4.40 million pounds, 20 percent
lower than December but 9 percent higher than last January.

Weather conditions during January were unfavorable to papaya growers.
Rain over major growing areas was higher than normal. Pest control schedules
were disrupted which caused increased losses of both mature and immature fruit
in the field. New plantings were also delayed and in some instances fields
need to be replanted.

Crop area in January totaled 4,530 acres, 2 percent less than December but
10 percent more than January 1988. Harvested area, totaling 2,415 acres in
January, was 1 percent more than Jast month and 11 percent more than last
January.

WINTER POTATOES: Winter potato production is forecast at 2.74 million cwt, up
5 percent from 1988 and 10 percent above 1987. Area for har-

vest, Set at 12.8 thousand acres, is up 4 percent from a year ago; while the

average yield is forecast at 214 cwt per acre, up slightly from last year.

Harvest in California is about 85 percent completed. Recent cold weather
slowed progress as quality remains fair to goad. Some sizes are small because
of earlier frost damage. Florida harvest is ready to start with vine killing
underway. Outlook is good for size and quality.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
FEBRUARY 1989 8 NASS, USDA


PAPAYAS - HAWAII 1/

Jeet ene nee eee e ence een een en renee nee : 1988 +: 1989  :FORECAST
. : : 1989

1,000 POUNDS

DEC 4,605

5,480
JAN : 4,120 4,030 4,395
FEB : 43075 3,000 3,800
MAR : 43075 3,100 43300
APR : 45165 4,340 4,800
MAY : 45330 4,350 4,600

1/1988 REVISED.

WINTER POTATOES

AREA HARVESTED YIELD PRODUCTION

STATE: : IND : IND: : : IND

: 1988 : 1989 : 1988 : 1989: 1987 : 1988 : 1989

1,000 ACRES cur 7,000 CWT

CALIF 5.2 5.5 230 240 1,081 1,196 ‘1,320
FLA 71 7.3 200 195 1,420 1,420 1,424
US : 12.3 12.8 213 214 2,501 2,616 2,744
CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,

FEBRUARY 1989 4 NASS, USDA


JANUARY WEATHER SUMMARY

Mild weather dominated much of the Nation, particularly the Corn Belt.
Temperatures were unusually high in the Northwest and eastern two-thirds of
the country during the latter part of the month. In contrast, abnormally cold
weather settled over the Great Basin and in Alaska where a gigantic frigid air
mass covered the northern and central portions of the State. Northway, Alaska,
had the highest pressure ever recorded in North America of 31.85 inches of
mercury. At month's end, the severe cold plunged across Canada's Prairie
Provinces to the American border. Beneficial rain fell over the eastern
portions of the winter wheat in the central and southern Great Plains, while
the western portions received little precipitation. Except for an intense low
pressure system which drenched central Florida with heavy rain, dry weather

continued along the Atlantic seaboard. South Florida had the least amount of
rainfall on record for the September to January period. (Prepared by the

NOAA/USDA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility.)

WINTER WHEAT

Lack of moisture stressed winter wheat in the central and southern Plains
during most of January. In the second week of the month, rain brought some
relief to winter wheat in portions of eastern Texas. Snowfall provided needed
moisture and protection in portions of central Oklahoma. In the third week of
January, rain improved winter wheat conditions in central and eastern Texas,
but the Plains and Cross Timbers area remained dry. In the last week of the
month, rain brought some relief in portions of the central and southern Plains
but additional moisture was needed. Greenbug damage was a continuing problem
due to above-normal temperatures. In the northern Plains, snow cover was
mostly adequate early in the month. By month's end, snow cover was needed
except in Montana and North Dakota, where it was still mostly adequate.
Winter wheat was mostly good to fair in the Corn Belt but lacked snow cover.
In the Delta and Southeast, winter wheat was mostly good. Seeding was

- complete by mid-month in Georgia. Seeding continued in California during
January. In Arizona, rain slowed seeding early in the month but by month's
end, seeding was nearly complete. The emerged crop condition was good.

ORANGES: The U.S. all orange crop is forecast at 215 million boxes for the

1988-89 season, virtually unchanged from the January 1 forecast and
7 percent more than the 1987-88 season. Florida's all orange crop is estimated
at 150 million boxes as of February 1, unchanged from last month but 9 percent
more than last season's crop. Production prospects for early and mid-season
oranges in Florida is 89.0 million boxes, 13 percent more than 1987-88. The
Valencia crop in Florida is forecast at 61.0 million boxes, the same as a
month ago and 3 percent more than the 1987-88 season.

Harvest of all U.S. oranges as of February 1 was about 35 percent complete.
Harvest of Florida early mid-season varieties is 69 percent complete, while the
Valencia crop harvest has not started.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
FEBRUARY 1989 6 NASS, USDA


qatior United States
sanetes Department of
ro Service Agriculture
Fact Finding

P rod u ct i re] n for Agriculture Asricultural

Board

Washington, D.C.

RELEASED: February 9, 1989
3:00 P.M. ET

HIGHLIGHTS

CITRUS production is forecast at 13.2 million tons, 6 percent above last season
and 13 percent above the 1986-87 crop.

ORANGE production is forecast at 215 million boxes, virtually unchanged from
January 1 but 7 percent above last season.

GRAPEFRUIT production, including California's “Desert” grapefruit but excluding
California's “Other Areas" grapefruit, is forecast at 63.7 million
boxes, unchanged from January 1 but 1 percent above last season.

WINTER POTATO production is forecast at 2.74 million cwt, up 5 percent from
last year and 10 percent above two years ago.

IKK IKI II IK IKI KIKI REIKI IRI IIIA III KIA III IA IIIS IK IRIS III III IK

NOTICE *

*

Requests for a subscription order form covering all available reports *
should be directed to Agricultural Statistics Board Publications, Room *
5829-South Building, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250. (202) 447-4021. *
*

This report and other statistical, economic, marketing and news reports*
are available electronically as soon as possible following release *
through USDA's EDI SERVICE. For more information, call or write: *
Russell Forte, (202) 447-5505, OGPA, USDA, Washington, D.C. 20250. *
*

*

ee ee

The next issue of this report will be published March 9, 1989
KIRK KERR IKI IRIE RIK IKEA RIKER KIKI KIA IER IERIE RIKER IK ER EI ERIARIERRRERREK

CrPr 2-2 (2-89) For Information Call: (202) 447-2127


The California all orange forecast, at 61.0 million boxes, is the same as
last month and 4 percent more than last season's production. The Navel orange
output forecast, at 35.0 million boxes, is 11 percent more than the 1987-88
harvest. As of February 1, 33 percent of California's Navel crop had been
harvested. The California Valencia orange crop forecast, at 26.0 million
boxes, is the same as a month ago and down 5 percent from last season's crop.
Harvest has not yet begun. The all orange forecast for Arizona, which was
carried forward from last month, is expected to total 2.00 million boxes, 10
percent greater than last season's production. The Texas all orange forecast
is 1.85 million boxes, up 6 percent from last month and compares with 1.43
million boxes harvested last season.

Changes in U.S. production between the February 1 forecast and final
production averaged 7.58 million boxes over the past ten seasons, ranging from
a low of 270 thousand boxes in 1980-81 to a high of 17.1 million boxes in
1981-82.

FLORIDA FROZEN CONCENTRATED JUICE YIELD: The 1988-89 forecast of yield for all

Frozen Concentrated Orange Juice for
Florida is 1.52 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees Brix equivalent, up from last
month's projection of 1.50 gallons per box. This increase is due to the
continued gains in both Brix and pounds of unfinished juice per box.

GRAPEFRUIT: U.S. prospects for the 1988-89 season, including California's

"Desert" grapefruit but excluding California's “Other Areas"
grapefruit, is 63.7 million boxes, unchanged from the January 1 forecast but 1
Percent above last season. Production for the California "Other Areas" crop,
which will be forecast as of April 1, accounted for 4.70 million boxes during
the 1987-88 season. The California "Desert Valley" crop forecast is 3.90
million boxes, 7 percent below last season. The Florida all grapefruit
forecast is 54.0 million boxes, -- unchanged from the January 1 forecast and
virtually the same as the 1987-88 crop. Harvest in Florida is about 30
percent finished.

The forecast for Texas is 4.50 million boxes, unchanged from last month
but 18 percent above last season. In Arizona, the forecast is 1.30 million
boxes, 13 percent below the 1987-88 crop.

TANGELOS: The Florida crop, excluding K-early citrus fruits, at 3.90 million

‘boxes, is unchanged from January 1 but 7 percent below the 1987-88
season. Harvest was active during January and was about 91 percent finished
by the end of the month.

TANGERINES: The U.S. all tangerine forecast is 5.00 million boxes, unchanged
from the previous forecast and virtually unchanged from last
season's utilized production.

The Florida forecast is 2.70 million boxes, unchanged from January 1 but
10 percent above 1987-88. The forecast for all Florida tangerines includes
Robinson, Dancy, and Honey tangerines. Florida harvest as of February 1 was
about 65 percent complete. The California crop forecast remains at 1.80
million boxes but is down 14 percent from last season. The Arizona forecast
is 500 thousand boxes, unchanged from the previous forecast but 11 percent
higher than the 1987-88 utilized production.

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
FEBRUARY 1989 7 NASS, USDA


UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

1988 : 1989: «1988: 1989

POTATOES :
WINTER : 12.5 12.8 12.3 12.8

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER ACRE AND PRODUCTION
(DOMESTIC UNITS)

CROP AND UNIT : : INDICATED : : INDICATED 1989
> 1988 : 1989 : 1988 9: ----------------- +++
: : > JAN] FEB 1
POTATOES :
WINTER CWT: 213 214 2,616 2,744 2,744
: 1987-88 1988-89 1988-89
ORANGES 1/ BOX : 200,040 214,750 214,850

1/ HARVEST BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

The CROP PRODUCTION report contains State and National estimates with
related information on selected agricultural commodities. These data were
prepared and adopted by the Agricultural Statistics Board which consists of
commodity statisticians from the field offices and Washington headquarters.

APPROVED: AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD:
Rich D. Allen, Chairperson,
L. Duane Jewell, Secretary,
Robert L. Addison, Thomas E. Kurtz,
i Donald M. Bay, James L. Smith,
} Douglas Bierstedt, Robert L. Freie,
Arvin R. Budge, John D. Witzig.

' ACTING SECRETARY OF AGRICULTURE i

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
FEBRUARY 1989 2 NASS, USDA



UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY
(METRIC UNITS)

AREA PLANTED AREA HARVESTED

CROP pee enn ee eee
: INDICATED INDICATED
1988 1989 1988 7989
HECTARES
POTATOES :
WINTER : 5,060 5,180 4,980 5,180

UNITED STATES CROP SUMMARY - YIELD PER HECTARE AND PRODUCTION
(METRIC UNITS)

PRODUCTION

cRoP : : INDICATED : : INDICATED 1989
: 1988 : 1989 1988 0 fe-en-n nnn nee eee eee enn
: : JAN 1 FEB 1
METRIC TONS
POTATOES :
WINTER : 23.83 24.03 118,660 124,470 124,470
: 1987-88 1988-89 1988-89
ORANGES 1/ : 7,750,990 8,334,310 8,338,840

1/_ HARVEST BEGINS WITH BLOOM OF THE FIRST YEAR AND ENDS WITH THE COMPLETION OF
HARVEST THE FOLLOWING YEAR.

U.5. ORANGE BEARING ACRES AND PRODUCTIO
1977-18 THAU 1988-89

‘000 BEARING ACRES. (THOUSAND) BOXES PRODUCED (HILLION) 0

Ma ACES (7) PRODUCTION

00

600

400 |;

CROP PRODUCTION, AGRICULTURAL STATISTICS BOARD,
FEBRUARY 1989 3 NASS, USDA