Cr Pr 2-2 (5-03)

Washington, D.C.

Crop

Production

Released May 12, 2003, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, U.S. Department of

Agriculture. For information on "Crop Production" call (202) 720-2127, office hours 7:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.

Winter Wheat Production Up 37 Percent

All Orange Production Up 1 Percent

Winter wheat production is forecast at 1.56 billion bushels, up 37 percent from 2002. Based on May 1

conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 42.9 bushels per acre, 4.4 bushels more than last year. Grain area

totals 36.4 million acres, up 23 percent from last season.

Hard Red production is up 55 percent from a year ago to 942 million bushels. Soft Red is up 12 percent and

totals 372 million bushels. White production totals 250 million bushels, up 24 percent from a year ago.

The U.S. all orange May 1 forecast for the 2002-03 crop is 11.4 million tons, up 1 percent from the April

forecast but 9 percent below last season’s utilization. If attained, this utilization will be the lowest since the

1998-99 crop. Florida’s all orange forecast, at 200 million boxes (9.00 million tons), is up 1 percent from the

previous forecast but 13 percent lower than last season. The early and midseason varieties forecast is

unchanged at 112 million boxes (5.04 million tons) but is 12 percent less than last season’s final utilization. 

Florida’s Valencia forecast is 88.0 million boxes (3.96 million tons), up 2 percent from the April forecast but

14 percent below the previous season. If realized, this will be the lowest utilized production since the 1998-

99 crop of 186 million boxes. Arizona, California, and Texas orange production forecasts are carried forward

from April 1.

Florida frozen concentrated orange juice (FCOJ) yield is projected at 1.53 gallons per box at 42.0 degrees

Brix. The early and midseason portion is final at 1.49 gallons per box, the same as in April. The projected

season average yield for the Valencia portion is lowered to 1.58 gallons per box from 1.65 last month. All

projections of yield assume that the processing relationships this year will be similar to those of the past

several years.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 2 NASS, USDA

This report was approved on May 12, 2003.

Secretary of

Agriculture

Ann M. Veneman

Agricultural Statistics Board

Chairperson

Rich Allen
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 3 NASS, USDA

Contents

Page

Almonds .............................................................................. 8

Avocados ............................................................................ 15

Bananas ............................................................................. 15

Citrus ................................................................................ 7

Cotton ............................................................................... 16

 Cotton Cumulative Boll Counts ......................................................... 19

 Cotton Harvest Loss per Acre ........................................................... 18

Cottonseed ........................................................................... 18

Crop Comments ....................................................................... 30

Crop Summary ........................................................................ 20

Guavas .............................................................................. 15

Hay Stocks ............................................................................ 6

Information Contacts ................................................................... 38

Papayas .............................................................................. 15

Peaches ............................................................................... 8

Potatoes, Spring ........................................................................ 8

Reliability of Production Data in this Report ................................................. 36

Taro ................................................................................ 15

Tobacco by Class and Type .............................................................. 10

Tobacco by States ....................................................................... 9

Tobacco - Farm Marketings .............................................................. 14

Weather Maps ........................................................................ 26

Weather Summary ..................................................................... 28

Wheat, Durum ......................................................................... 5

Wheat, by Class ........................................................................ 5

Wheat, Winter ......................................................................... 4
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 4 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2002 and Forecasted May 1, 2003

State

Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AR

CA

CO

DE

GA

ID

IL

IN

KS

KY

MD

MI

MS

MO

MT

NE

NY

NC

OH

OK

OR

PA

SC

SD

TN

TX

VA

WA

WY

Oth

 Sts 1

US

840

300

1,650

58

200

690

650

330

8,100

340

180

490

205

760

750

1,520

128

480

810

3,500

710

185

190

625

300

2,700

170

1,750

120

920

29,651

610

350

2,200

47

230

710

780

420

9,700

300

150

660

125

780

1,700

1,650

119

420

960

4,700

940

160

200

1,440

300

3,700

160

1,800

160

976

36,447

46.0

75.0

22.0

70.0

41.0

79.0

49.0

53.0

33.0

53.0

66.0

67.0

44.0

45.0

28.0

32.0

58.0

42.0

62.0

28.0

41.0

54.0

37.0

29.0

46.0

29.0

63.0

59.0

19.0

41.3

38.5

52.0

70.0

30.0

65.0

53.0

79.0

56.0

64.0

40.0

59.0

64.0

66.0

46.0

51.0

36.0

38.0

63.0

41.0

68.0

34.0

53.0

53.0

40.0

39.0

52.0

31.0

59.0

62.0

26.0

44.2

42.9

50,440

26,600

66,000

3,477

10,600

51,830

43,920

25,080

328,000

23,760

11,025

35,840

11,700

41,040

19,140

59,200

6,360

18,330

60,300

122,100

28,000

8,320

9,030

11,840

18,360

108,800

10,200

106,750

2,880

42,557

1,361,479

38,640

22,500

36,300

4,060

8,200

54,510

31,850

17,490

267,300

18,020

11,880

32,830

9,020

34,200

21,000

48,640

7,424

20,160

50,220

98,000

29,110

9,990

7,030

18,125

13,800

78,300

10,710

103,250

2,280

37,963

1,142,802

31,720

24,500

66,000

3,055

12,190

56,090

43,680

26,880

388,000

17,700

9,600

43,560

5,750

39,780

61,200

62,700

7,497

17,220

65,280

159,800

49,820

8,480

8,000

56,160

15,600

114,700

9,440

111,600

4,160

43,152

1,563,314

 1 Other States include AL, AZ, FL, IA, LA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, ND, UT, WV, and WI. Individual State level estimates will be

published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary."
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 5 NASS, USDA

Durum Wheat: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by State

and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted May 1, 2003 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Bushels Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

AZ

CA

MT

ND

Oth

 Sts 2

US

89

90

565

1,950

9

2,703

103

95

95.0

100.0

23.0

25.0

27.8

29.4

97.0

90.0

7,917

8,505

11,880

54,600

654

83,556

8,455

9,000

12,995

48,750

250

79,450

9,991

8,550

 1 Area harvested for the U.S. and remaining States will be published in "Acreage" released June 30, 2003. Yield and production

will be published in "Crop Production" released July 11, 2003. 2 Other States include MN and SD. Individual State level estimates will be published in the "Small Grains 2003 Summary."

Wheat: Production by Class, United States, 2001-2002

and Forecasted May 1, 2003 1

Year

Winter Spring 2

Total 2

Hard

Red

Soft

Red White HardRed White Durum

1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels 1,000 Bushels

2001

2002

2003

766,795

609,243

942,001

399,670

332,275

371,735

195,014

201,284

249,578

475,515

356,597

36,493

37,592

83,556

79,450

1,957,043

1,616,441

 1 Wheat class estimates are based on varietal acreage survey data. The previous end-of-season class percentages are used

throughout the forecast season except in Colorado, Kansas, and Nebraska, which have been updated with current data. 2 Spring wheat production by class and total production will be published in "Crop Production" released July 11, 2003.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 6 NASS, USDA

Hay: Stocks on Farms by State and United States,

December 1 and May 1, 2000-2003

State

Dec 1 May 1

2000 2001 2002 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AZ

AR

CA

CO

CT

DE

FL

GA

ID

IL

IN

IA

KS

KY

LA

ME

MD

MA

MI

MN

MS

MO

MT

NE

NV

NH

NJ

NM

NY

NC

ND

OH

OK

OR

PA

RI

SC

SD

TN

TX

UT

VT

VA

WA

WV

WI

WY

US

1,000

250

2,150

1,954

1,770

82

29

450

950

2,857

1,700

1,629

4,500

4,500

5,316

415

145

525

108

3,460

4,446

850

5,392

3,168

3,500

801

66

156

600

2,280

1,300

5,212

3,390

3,700

1,766

2,800

11

518

8,200

3,405

7,104

1,150

280

2,900

1,303

1,144

4,800

1,550

105,582

2,100

223

2,280

1,961

1,990

59

16

510

1,599

2,568

1,600

1,311

4,300

5,600

4,214

1,096

137

355

105

3,450

4,213

1,833

6,989

3,600

4,800

776

50

90

600

2,250

1,215

5,020

3,591

3,300

1,901

2,100

8

448

8,235

4,140

7,477

1,470

288

2,384

1,513

939

4,300

1,506

110,510

1,700

203

3,000

2,235

1,560

61

10

475

1,464

2,972

1,400

1,021

3,900

4,800

4,085

709

140

264

90

2,109

4,759

1,631

6,350

4,019

3,400

881

48

55

620

2,236

785

4,300

1,832

4,500

2,550

2,200

9

400

5,800

3,566

10,803

1,200

281

1,929

1,620

934

3,600

1,250

103,756

100

33

270

180

286

21

4

25

190

265

340

342

700

500

1,439

30

40

61

30

1,000

960

45

799

427

500

112

14

47

75

625

277

1,120

835

450

241

1,200

2

100

1,550

804

1,450

200

70

745

195

276

1,980

151

21,106

650

28

280

232

535

9

5

90

350

444

355

287

1,050

1,040

943

200

25

62

31

811

680

390

1,021

845

1,280

111

9

15

65

600

158

1,050

551

500

183

550

2

110

1,900

809

1,625

210

87

411

170

205

1,350

180

22,494

246

45

640

200

360

14

4

80

250

673

285

96

1,100

1,150

552

186

39

55

21

480

925

249

1,019

970

900

167

9

11

110

520

50

940

236

1,000

330

390

1

65

1,100

542

4,017

175

80

226

285

95

1,100

200

22,188
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 7 NASS, USDA

Citrus Fruits: Utilized Production by Crop, State, and United States,

2000-2001, 2001-2002 and Forecasted May 1, 2003 1 2

Crop and State

Utilized Production

Boxes

Utilized Production

Ton Equivalent

2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03

1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Boxes 2 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

Oranges

 Early Mid &

 Navel 3

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 Valencia

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Temples

 FL

Grapefruit

 White Seedless 5

 FL

 Colored Seedless

 FL

 All

 AZ 4

 CA 4

 FL

 TX 4

 US

Tangerines

 AZ 4 6

 CA 4 6

 FL 7

 US

Lemons 4

 AZ

 CA

 US

Tangelos

 FL

K-Early Citrus 8

 FL

480

35,500

128,000

2,000

165,980

420

19,000

95,300

235

114,955

900

54,500

223,300

2,235

280,935

1,250

18,700

27,300

250

6,300

46,000

7,200

59,750

650

2,200

5,600

8,450

3,600

22,600

26,200

2,100

40

270

34,000

128,000

1,530

163,800

250

20,500

102,000

210

122,960

520

54,500

230,000

1,740

286,760

1,550

18,900

27,800

160

6,000

46,700

5,900

58,760

620

2,200

6,600

9,420

2,800

19,000

21,800

2,150

30

200

40,000

112,000

1,400

153,600

200

22,000

88,000

180

110,380

400

62,000

200,000

1,580

263,980

1,300

16,500

22,500

100

5,600

39,000

5,500

50,200

400

2,500

5,400

8,300

2,900

23,000

25,900

2,350

18

1,331

5,760

85

7,194

16

713

4,288

10

5,027

34

2,044

10,048

95

12,221

56

795

1,160

8

211

1,955

288

2,462

24

83

266

373

137

859

996

95

2

10

1,275

5,760

65

7,110

9

769

4,590

9

5,377

19

2,044

10,350

74

12,487

70

803

1,182

5

201

1,985

236

2,427

23

83

314

420

106

722

828

97

1

8

1,500

5,040

60

6,608

8

825

3,960

8

4,801

16

2,325

9,000

68

11,409

59

701

956

3

188

1,657

220

2,068

15

94

257

366

110

874

984

106

 1 The crop year begins with the bloom of the first year shown and ends with the completion of harvest the following year. 2 Net lbs. per box: oranges-AZ & CA-75, FL-90, TX-85; grapefruit-AZ & CA-67, FL-85, TX-80; lemons-76; tangelos, K-Early

Citrus & Temples-90; tangerines-AZ & CA-75, FL-95. 3 Navel and miscellaneous varieties in AZ and CA. Early (including Navel) and midseason varieties in FL and TX. Small

quantities of tangerines in TX. 4 Estimates for current year carried forward from earlier forecast. 5 Includes seedy. 6 Includes tangelos and tangors. 7 2000-01 through 2001-02 includes Robinson, Fallglo, Sunburst, Dancy, and Honey varieties; 2002-03 includes Fallglo, Sunburst,

and Honey varieties only. 8 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 8 NASS, USDA

Spring Potatoes: Area Planted, Harvested, Yield, and Production

by State and United States, 2001-2002 and Forecasted May 1, 2003

State

Area

Yield Production

Planted Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003 2002 2003 2001 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Cwt Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt 1,000 Cwt

AZ

CA

FL

 Hastings

 Other FL

NC

TX

Total

7.8

19.0

27.0

19.5

7.5

21.5

12.5

87.8

7.6

18.5

28.0

19.5

8.5

18.0

13.0

85.1

7.8

19.0

26.3

19.0

7.3

21.0

12.0

86.1

7.6

18.5

27.3

19.0

8.3

17.0

12.5

82.9

270

405

300

315

260

170

170

271

275

410

250

250

250

165

240

269

2,214

6,045

7,970

5,940

2,030

3,515

2,070

21,814

2,106

7,695

7,883

5,985

1,898

3,570

2,040

23,294

2,090

7,585

6,825

4,750

2,075

2,805

3,000

22,305

Peaches: Total Production by Crop, California,

2001-2002 and Forecasted May 1, 2003

State

Total Production

2001 2002 2003

Million Pounds Million Pounds Million Pounds

Freestone

Clingstone 1

Total

775.0

952.0

1,727.0

796.0

1,124.0

1,920.0

770.0

1,140.0

1,910.0

 1 CA Clingstone is over-the-scale tonnage and includes culls and cannery diversions.

Almonds (shelled basis): Utilized Production,

California, 2001-2002 and Forecasted May 1, 2003

State

Utilized Production

2001 2002 1 2003

1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CA 830,000 1,085,000 920,000

 1 Revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 9 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, Production, Price, and Value

by State and United States, 2001-2002 1

State

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

CT

FL

GA

IN

KY

MD

MA

MO

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV

WI

US

2,270

4,500

26,100

4,200

115,700

2,200

1,140

1,300

161,700

6,100

3,100

32,000

39,690

29,500

1,300

1,510

432,310

1,890

4,600

26,500

4,000

111,100

1,700

1,160

1,300

168,300

5,500

3,400

30,500

35,900

30,000

1,300

1,510

428,660

1,662

2,600

2,460

2,250

2,201

1,500

1,585

2,370

2,393

1,960

1,989

2,450

2,189

2,150

1,450

2,397

2,293

1,672

2,600

2,100

2,000

2,007

1,400

1,623

2,385

2,067

1,750

2,004

1,950

2,096

2,225

1,500

2,526

2,055

3,772

11,700

64,206

9,450

254,653

3,300

1,807

3,081

386,920

11,956

6,166

78,400

86,893

63,415

1,885

3,619

991,223

3,161

11,960

55,650

8,000

222,991

2,380

1,883

3,101

347,920

9,625

6,815

59,475

75,261

66,747

1,950

3,815

880,734

Price

per Pound

Value of

Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

CT 2

FL

GA

IN

KY

MD

MA 2

MO

NC

OH

PA

SC

TN

VA

WV

WI

CT& MA 3

US 4

5.550

1.871

1.855

1.944

1.985

1.680

5.650

1.895

1.858

1.938

1.550

1.841

2.016

1.906

1.960

1.650

23.000

1.957

5.450

1.879

1.845

1.944

2.015

1.480

5.250

1.900

1.821

1.963

1.379

1.774

2.061

1.879

1.967

1.750

1.937

12,915

21,891

119,102

18,371

505,436

5,544

8,447

5,838

719,018

23,171

9,560

144,334

175,163

120,888

3,695

5,971

40,411

1,939,755

12,399

22,473

102,674

15,552

449,320

3,522

8,211

5,892

633,534

18,894

9,401

105,509

155,117

125,439

3,836

6,677

1,706,165

 1 2001 and 2002 revised. 2 Price and value includes type 51 only. Shade type 61 is not included in State totals to avoid disclosure of individual operations. 3 Includes type 61 only. CT and MA combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available for

2002. 4 Includes estimated 2002 value of production for CT and MA type 61. Used 2001 CT and MA type 61 price to compute the 2002

value of production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 10 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2001-2002 1

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

Class 2, Fire-cured

 Type 21, VA Belt

 VA

 Type 22, Eastern

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 23, Western

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Total 21-23

Class 3, Air-cured

 Class 3A, Light

 Air-cured

 Type 31, Burley

 IN

 KY

 MO

 NC

 OH

 TN

 VA

 WV

 US

 Type 32, Southern MD

 Belt

 MD

 PA

 US

 Total 31-32

42,000

20,500

62,500

93,000

20,000

32,000

52,000

4,500

26,100

30,600

238,100

1,200

3,300

6,500

9,800

3,100

520

3,620

14,620

4,200

105,000

1,300

6,700

6,100

32,000

7,700

1,300

164,300

2,200

1,100

3,300

167,600

43,000

22,000

65,000

98,000

21,000

30,500

51,500

4,600

26,500

31,100

245,600

730

2,450

5,000

7,450

2,400

390

2,790

10,970

4,000

103,000

1,300

6,300

5,500

30,000

7,200

1,300

158,600

1,700

1,300

3,000

161,600

2,500

2,370

2,457

2,400

2,400

2,450

2,431

2,600

2,460

2,481

2,432

1,835

3,400

3,000

3,135

3,460

3,175

3,419

3,098

2,250

2,100

2,370

1,600

1,960

2,000

1,620

1,450

2,033

1,500

1,860

1,620

2,025

2,225

2,340

2,264

2,020

2,135

1,950

2,025

2,600

2,100

2,174

2,105

2,015

3,160

3,110

3,126

3,650

3,550

3,636

3,182

2,000

1,915

2,385

1,500

1,750

1,900

1,900

1,500

1,892

1,400

1,850

1,595

1,886

105,000

48,585

153,585

223,200

48,000

78,400

126,400

11,700

64,206

75,906

579,091

2,202

11,220

19,500

30,720

10,726

1,651

12,377

45,299

9,450

220,500

3,081

10,720

11,956

64,000

12,474

1,885

334,066

3,300

2,046

5,346

339,412

95,675

51,480

147,155

197,960

44,835

59,475

104,310

11,960

55,650

67,610

517,035

1,471

7,742

15,550

23,292

8,760

1,385

10,145

34,908

8,000

197,245

3,101

9,450

9,625

57,000

13,680

1,950

300,051

2,380

2,405

4,785

304,836

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 11 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type,

State, and United States, 2001-2002 1 (continued)

Class and Type

Price per

Pound

Value of

Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

Class 1, Flue-cured

 Type 11, Old Belts

 NC

 VA

 US

 Type 12, Eastern NC

 Belt

 NC

 Type 13, NC Border &

 SC Belt

 NC

 SC

 US

 Type 14, GA-FL Belt

 FL

 GA

 US

 Total 11-14

Class 2, Fire-cured

 Type 21, VA Belt

 VA

 Type 22, Eastern

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 23, Western

 District

 KY

 TN

 US

 Total 21-23

Class 3, Air-cured

 Class 3A, Light

 Air-cured

 Type 31, Burley

 IN

 KY

 MO

 NC

 OH

 TN

 VA

 WV

 US

 Type 32, Southern MD

 Belt

 MD

 PA

 US

 Total 31-32

1.856

1.895

1.868

1.857

1.849

1.841

1.844

1.871

1.855

1.857

1.857

1.759

2.195

2.154

2.169

2.101

2.102

2.101

2.130

1.944

1.977

1.895

1.950

1.938

1.977

1.979

1.960

1.973

1.680

1.350

1.554

1.966

1.829

1.854

1.838

1.815

1.803

1.774

1.786

1.879

1.845

1.851

1.820

1.884

2.398

2.374

2.382

2.362

2.408

2.368

2.357

1.944

1.980

1.900

1.948

1.963

1.968

1.975

1.967

1.974

1.480

1.250

1.364

1.964

194,880

92,069

286,949

414,482

88,752

144,334

233,086

21,891

119,102

140,993

1,075,510

3,873

24,628

42,003

66,631

22,535

3,470

26,005

96,509

18,371

435,929

5,838

20,904

23,171

126,528

24,686

3,695

659,122

5,544

2,762

8,306

667,428

174,990

95,444

270,434

359,297

80,838

105,509

186,347

22,473

102,674

125,147

941,225

2,771

18,565

36,916

55,481

20,691

3,335

24,026

82,278

15,552

390,545

5,892

18,409

18,894

112,176

27,018

3,836

592,322

3,522

3,006

6,528

598,850

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 12 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Area Harvested, Yield, and Production by Class, Type, State,

and United States, 2001-2002 1 (continued)

Class and Type

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres Pounds Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Class 3, Air-cured

Class 3B, Dark

 Air-cured

 Type 35, One Sucker

 Belt

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 36, Green River

 Belt

 KY

 Type 37, VA Sun-cured

 Belt

 VA

 Total 35-37

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 Type 41, PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

 Class 5A, CT Valley

 Binder

 Type 51, CT Valley

 Broadleaf

 CT

 MA

 US

 Class 5B, WI Binder

 Type 54, Southern WI

 WI

 Type 55, Northern WI

 WI

 Total 54-55

 Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 Type 61, CT Valley

 Shade-grown

 CT

 MA

 US

All Cigar Types

 Total 41-61

All Tobacco

2,750

670

3,420

1,550

100

5,070

2,000

1,300

840

2,140

1,200

310

1,510

3,650

970

300

1,270

6,920

432,310

2,100

510

2,610

1,150

70

3,830

2,100

1,250

850

2,100

1,200

310

1,510

3,610

640

310

950

6,660

428,660

2,875

2,600

2,821

2,775

1,540

2,782

2,060

1,790

1,780

1,786

2,535

1,860

2,397

2,039

1,490

1,040

1,383

1,925

2,293

3,000

2,600

2,922

2,560

1,655

2,790

2,100

1,820

1,840

1,828

2,625

2,145

2,526

2,120

1,385

1,030

1,268

1,992

2,055

7,906

1,742

9,648

4,301

154

14,103

4,120

2,327

1,495

3,822

3,042

577

3,619

7,441

1,445

312

1,757

13,318

991,223

6,300

1,326

7,626

2,944

116

10,686

4,410

2,275

1,564

3,839

3,150

665

3,815

7,654

886

319

1,205

13,269

880,734

See footnote(s) at end of table. --continued
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 13 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Price and Value by Class, Type, State,

and United States, 2001-2002 1 (continued)

Class and Type

Price per

Pound

Value of

Production

2001 2002 2001 2002

Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

Class 3, Air-cured

Class 3B, Dark

 Air-cured

 Type 35, One Sucker

 Belt

 KY

 TN

 US

 Type 36, Green River

 Belt

 KY

 Type 37, VA Sun-cured

 Belt

 VA

 Total 35-37

Class 4, Cigar Filler

 Type 41, PA Seedleaf

 PA

Class 5, Cigar Binder

 Class 5A, CT Valley

 Binder

 Type 51, CT Valley

 Broadleaf

 CT

 MA

 US

 Class 5B, WI Binder

 Type 54, Southern WI

 WI

 Type 55, Northern WI

 WI

 Total 54-55

 Total 51-55

Class 6, Cigar Wrapper

 Type 61, CT Valley

 Shade-grown

 CT 2

 MA 2

 US 2

All Cigar Types

 Total 41-61

All Tobacco 3

1.835

1.815

1.831

1.822

1.686

1.827

1.650

5.550

5.650

5.589

1.650

1.650

1.650

3.673

23.000

5.597

1.957

2.135

2.029

2.117

2.061

1.778

2.098

1.450

5.450

5.250

5.369

1.750

1.750

1.750

3.565

2.792

1.937

14,508

3,162

17,670

7,836

260

25,766

6,798

12,915

8,447

21,362

5,019

952

5,971

27,333

40,411

74,542

1,939,755

13,451

2,690

16,141

6,068

206

22,415

6,395

12,399

8,211

20,610

5,513

1,164

6,677

27,287

33,682

1,706,165

 1 2001 and 2002 revised. 2 CT and MA type 61 price and value for 2001 combined to avoid disclosure of individual operations. Price and value not available

for 2002. 3 Includes estimated 2002 value of production for CT and MA type 61. Used 2001 CT and MA type 61 price to compute the 2002

value of production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 14 NASS, USDA

Tobacco: Farm Marketings, Percent of Sales by Class,

Month, and State, 2002 Marketing Year

Class

and

State

2002 2003

Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Total

Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent Percent

Flue-cured

 FL

 GA

 NC

 SC

 VA

Fire-cured

 VA

 KY

 TN

Air-cured

 IN

 KY

 MD

 MO 1

 NC

 OH

 PA 1

 TN

 VA

 WV 1

23

20

10

18

4

49

47

30

38

25

28

31

35

35

27

2

23

9

36

2

8

37

35

45

36

37

43

75

19

37

42

24

40

41

25

79

49

31

21

13

30

19

14

13

38

12

7

10

4

2

8

13

1

76 24

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

100

 1 Sales by month are not available.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 15 NASS, USDA

Avocados: Bearing Acreage, Yield, Production, Price,

and Value, by State and United States, 2001-2003

Year Bearing

Acreage 1

Yield

per

Acre

Production Utilization

Total Utilized Fresh Processed

Acres Tons Tons Tons Tons Tons

CA

 2001-02 2

 2002-03

FL

 2001-02

 2002-03

HI

 2001-02

 2002-03

US

 2001-02

 2002-03

58,000

58,000

5,900

5,900

230

250

64,130

64,150

3.45

3.22

3.90

5.25

1.30

1.40

3.48

3.40

200,000

187,000

23,000

31,000

300

350

223,300

218,350

200,000

187,000

23,000

31,000

300

350

223,300

218,350

200,000

187,000

23,000

31,000

300

350

223,300

218,350

Price per Ton Value of Production

Fresh Processed All Fresh Processed All

Dollars Dollars Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars 1,000 Dollars

CA

 2001-02 2

 2002-03

FL

 2001-02

 2002-03

HI

 2001-02

 2002-03

US

 2001-02

 2002-03

1,790.00

1,710.00

676.00

556.00

1,140.00

1,120.00

1,670.00

1,550.00

1,790.00

1,710.00

676.00

556.00

1,140.00

1,120.00

1,670.00

1,550.00

358,000

319,770

15,548

17,236

342

392

373,890

337,398

358,000

319,770

15,548

17,236

342

392

373,890

337,398

 1 Bearing acreage estimates are based on periodic orchard inventory surveys. 2 Revised.

Papayas: Area and Fresh Production, by Month, Hawaii, 2002-2003

Month

Area Fresh Production 1

Total in Crop Harvested

2002 2003

2002 2003 2002 2003

Acres Acres Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Mar

Apr

2,490

2,480

2,255

2,255

1,930

1,935

1,735

1,740

3,375

2,995

4,015

3,725

 1 Utilized fresh production.

Bananas, Guavas, Papayas, and Taro: Area Harvested, Yield,

and Production, Hawaii, 2001-2002

Crop

Area Harvested Yield Production

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

Acres Acres 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds 1,000 Pounds

Bananas 1 2

Guavas 2

Papayas 1 2

Taro 3

1,490

610

1,950

440

1,300

550

1,720

430

18.8

25.1

28.2

15.0

17.6

26.7

28,000

15,300

55,000

6,400

19,500

9,700

45,900

6,100

 1 2002 revised. 2 Only utilized production is estimated. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acres. Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 16 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Area Planted and Harvested and Yield

by Type, State, and United States, 2001-2002 1

Type

and

State

Area

Planted

Area

Harvested Yield

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres Pounds Pounds

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL

 GA

 KS

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

610.0

295.0

1,080.0

630.0

125.0

1,490.0

40.5

870.0

1,620.0

405.0

68.0

970.0

270.0

300.0

620.0

6,000.0

105.0

15,498.5

7.8

240.0

5.2

17.0

270.0

610.0

302.8

1,080.0

870.0

125.0

1,490.0

40.5

870.0

1,620.0

405.0

73.2

970.0

270.0

300.0

620.0

6,017.0

105.0

15,768.5

590.0

215.0

960.0

480.0

120.0

1,450.0

80.0

520.0

1,170.0

380.0

54.0

940.0

200.0

290.0

565.0

5,600.0

100.0

13,714.0

8.3

210.0

7.1

18.5

243.9

590.0

223.3

960.0

690.0

120.0

1,450.0

80.0

520.0

1,170.0

380.0

61.1

940.0

200.0

290.0

565.0

5,618.5

100.0

13,957.9

605.0

290.0

1,065.0

625.0

124.0

1,480.0

35.5

855.0

1,600.0

400.0

65.0

965.0

185.0

296.0

615.0

4,250.0

104.0

13,559.5

7.5

239.0

5.2

16.5

268.2

605.0

297.5

1,065.0

864.0

124.0

1,480.0

35.5

855.0

1,600.0

400.0

70.2

965.0

185.0

296.0

615.0

4,266.5

104.0

13,827.7

540.0

213.0

920.0

477.0

115.0

1,360.0

68.0

495.0

1,150.0

368.0

50.0

920.0

180.0

200.0

530.0

4,500.0

98.0

12,184.0

8.2

209.0

7.1

18.3

242.6

540.0

221.2

920.0

686.0

115.0

1,360.0

68.0

495.0

1,150.0

368.0

57.1

920.0

180.0

200.0

530.0

4,518.3

98.0

12,426.6

730

1,142

826

1,359

612

720

407

580

719

834

916

832

511

686

763

481

929

694

928

1,283

969

1,059

1,254

730

1,137

826

1,338

612

720

407

580

719

834

920

832

511

686

763

483

929

705

507

1,381

871

1,469

401

557

539

717

808

796

816

421

557

314

741

538

465

651

1,013

1,386

1,041

1,110

1,342

507

1,368

871

1,444

401

557

539

717

808

796

844

421

557

314

741

540

465

665

 1 2002 revised.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 17 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Production and Bales Ginned by Type,

State, and United States, 2001-2002

Type

and

State

Production in

480-lb Net Weight

Bales 1

Lintseed

Ratio 2

Bales Ginned in

480-lb Net Weight

Bales 3

2001 2002 4 2001 2002 2001 2002 4

1,000 Bales 1,000 Bales Bales Bales

Upland

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL 5

 GA

 KS 5

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

Amer-Pima

 AZ

 CA

 NM

 TX

 US

All

 AL

 AZ

 AR

 CA

 FL 5

 GA

 KS 5

 LA

 MS

 MO

 NM

 NC

 OK

 SC

 TN

 TX

 VA

 US

920.0

690.0

1,833.0

1,770.0

158.0

2,220.0

30.1

1,034.0

2,396.0

695.0

124.0

1,673.0

197.0

423.0

978.0

4,260.0

201.3

19,602.4

14.5

639.0

10.5

36.4

700.4

920.0

704.5

1,833.0

2,409.0

158.0

2,220.0

30.1

1,034.0

2,396.0

695.0

134.5

1,673.0

197.0

423.0

978.0

4,296.4

201.3

20,302.8

570.0

613.0

1,669.0

1,460.0

96.0

1,578.0

76.3

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

85.0

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,040.0

95.0

16,530.3

17.3

603.3

15.4

42.3

678.3

570.0

630.3

1,669.0

2,063.3

96.0

1,578.0

76.3

739.0

1,935.0

610.0

100.4

806.0

209.0

131.0

818.0

5,082.3

95.0

17,208.6

0.382

0.401

0.413

0.396

0.388

0.412

0.377

0.385

0.404

0.412

0.396

0.393

0.412

0.382

941,500

659,900

1,818,200

1,800,550

2,220,650

1,064,200

2,378,700

686,450

58,650

1,696,950

199,000

415,650

973,100

4,324,250

181,850

19,598,450

14,600

638,750

13,050

33,750

700,150

941,500

674,500

1,818,200

2,439,300

2,220,650

1,064,200

2,378,700

686,450

71,700

1,696,950

199,000

415,650

973,100

4,358,000

181,850

20,298,600

585,050

598,450

1,655,200

1,477,350

69,850

1,595,400

70,600

770,100

1,928,300

595,150

40,750

809,050

208,600

130,450

813,600

5,088,000

91,450

16,527,350

17,450

603,050

18,100

39,500

678,100

585,050

615,900

1,655,200

2,080,400

69,850

1,595,400

70,600

770,100

1,928,300

595,150

58,850

809,050

208,600

130,450

813,600

5,127,500

91,450

17,205,450

 1 Production ginned and to be ginned. 2 Estimates available only for the 7 States shown. Three-year average. 3 Equivalent 480-lb net weight bales ginned, not adjusted for cross-State movement. 4 Revised. 5 Bales withheld to avoid disclosure of individual gins, but are included in U.S. totals.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 18 NASS, USDA

Cottonseed: Production and Farm Disposition

by State and United States, 2001-2002

State

Production

Farm Disposition Seed for

Planting Sales to 2

Oil Mills Other 1

2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 2002 2001 3 2002

1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons 1,000 Tons

AL

AZ

AR

CA

FL

GA

KS

LA

MS

MO

NM

NC

OK

SC

TN

TX

VA

US

315.0

261.0

708.0

849.0

53.0

764.0

11.4

380.0

877.0

268.0

47.8

559.0

80.0

137.0

351.0

1,724.0

67.0

7,452.2

195.0

232.4

627.0

731.0

29.0

544.0

28.0

271.0

697.0

218.0

35.5

272.0

81.0

44.0

291.0

1,855.0

33.0

6,183.9

44.0

3.0

568.0

20.0

38.0

434.0

7.3

170.0

820.0

183.0

15.6

79.0

66.0

89.0

296.0

1,028.0

0.0

3,860.9

48.0

5.6

491.0

81.0

18.0

309.0

13.0

131.0

548.0

139.0

15.3

44.0

72.0

20.0

244.0

1,109.0

0.0

3,287.9

271.0

258.0

140.0

829.0

15.0

330.0

4.1

210.0

57.0

85.0

32.2

480.0

14.0

48.0

55.0

696.0

67.0

3,591.3

147.0

226.8

136.0

650.0

11.0

235.0

15.0

140.0

149.0

79.0

20.2

228.0

9.0

24.0

47.0

746.0

33.0

2,896.0

6.8

2.0

9.1

5.9

1.3

18.0

0.8

4.7

11.7

4.0

0.7

8.5

2.2

2.0

4.0

56.2

0.9

138.8

6.7

1.9

9.8

6.0

1.1

17.0

1.1

4.8

12.5

4.3

0.7

8.1

2.2

1.8

4.2

58.2

0.9

141.3

 1 Includes planting seed, feed, exports, inter-farm sales, shrinkage, losses, and other uses. 2 Included in " other " farm disposition. Seed for planting is produced in crop year shown, but used in the following year. 3 Revised.

Cotton: Objective Yield Data

The National Agricultural Statistics Service conducted Objective Yield surveys in 7 cotton producing States

during 2002. Randomly selected cotton fields were visited monthly from August through harvest to obtain

specific counts and measurements. Data in this table and the table on the next page are actual field counts

from this survey.

Cotton: Harvest Loss per Acre, by State, 1998-2002

State 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds Pounds

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

122

180

121

75

84

83

37

71

103

128

93

94

117

41

59

91

108

60

95

179

43

80

123

115

74

121

180

46

102

177

153

82

158

185

60
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 19 NASS, USDA

Cotton: Cumulative Boll Counts, and Selected States, 1998-2002 1

State Month 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002

Number Number Number Number Number

AR

CA

GA

LA

MS

NC

TX

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Final

637

644

633

638

640

755

670

665

655

655

629

731

716

690

690

694

607

600

600

600

835

852

823

821

821

626

583

590

597

597

498

467

477

479

482

720

700

693

689

689

921

805

779

777

776

596

582

621

636

632

722

743

728

728

728

761

803

767

766

766

623

646

619

621

622

465

446

447

455

456

874

767

755

755

755

760

790

801

800

800

597

631

621

629

629

722

692

674

674

674

657

665

652

650

650

670

724

743

747

747

408

388

397

404

448

747

780

816

756

756

939

902

921

918

918

590

677

651

664

664

625

592

582

588

588

754

696

680

679

679

719

722

696

705

705

441

435

439

445

445

840

763

784

772

772

945

1,041

1,009

1,011

1,011

569

604

591

600

608

663

756

749

742

742

802

783

768

767

767

636

629

560

567

564

536

511

520

497

497

 1 Includes small bolls (less than one inch in diameter), large unopened bolls (at least one inch in diameter), open bolls, partially

opened bolls, and burrs, per 40 feet or row. November, December, and Final exclude small bolls.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 20 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres 1,000 Acres

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

5,073.0

79,054.0

5,005.0

450.0

3,240.0

1,395.0

9,580.0

60,358.0

41,735.0

2,909.0

15,714.0

1,459.0

785.0

191.0

1,358.0

3.4

219.0

73,758.0

2,585.0

13,957.9

13,714.0

243.9

1,427.9

21.5

1,922.1

302.7

221.0

1,310.0

15.8

87.8

62.2

1,144.2

97.2

5,379.0

79,022.0

4,828.0

3,038.0

9,451.0

61,697.0

44,308.0

2,833.0

14,556.0

1,249.0

1,244.0

73,182.0

2,517.0

14,253.0

14,053.0

200.0

1,399.3

1,522.8

15.0

85.1

93.5

4,135.0

69,313.0

7,490.0

64,497.0

23,135.0

41,362.0

2,098.0

220.0

3,207.0

286.0

7,299.0

352.0

45,817.0

29,651.0

2,703.0

13,463.0

1,275.0

704.0

175.0

1,296.7

3.1

196.0

72,160.0

2,205.0

12,426.6

12,184.0

242.6

1,361.0

1,026.1

428.7

11.6

1,726.9

279.7

209.0

6.2

0.3

29.3

80.2

1,275.7

15.7

86.1

59.1

1,114.8

18.0

83.3

0.4

63,552.0

2,204.0

36,447.0

417.5

14.8

82.9

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Area is total acres in crop, not harvested acreage.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 21 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

1,000 1,000

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice 2

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflower

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland 2

 Amer-Pima 2

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas 2

 Dry Edible Beans 2

 Dry Edible Peas 2

 Lentils 2

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

Bu

"

Ton

"

"

"

Bu

"

Cwt

Bu

"

Ton

Bu

"

"

"

Lb

Ton

Bu

Lb

"

"

"

Bu

Lb

Bale

"

"

Ton

"

Lb

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

"

"

"

Cwt

"

"

"

"

Lb

Cwt

Lb

54.9

130.0

14.0

2.34

3.19

1.86

56.8

12.5

6,578

24.4

50.7

9.5

35.3

38.5

29.4

29.3

1,218

17.9

705

2,561

1,461

1,520

37.8

1,133

665

651

1,342

20.2

35.1

2,055

1,414

1,736

1,517

1,200

1,370

45,000

1,990

85

363

268

271

304

374

108

150

42.9

281

269

226,873

9,007,659

104,979

150,962

73,824

77,138

119,132

2,755

210,960

6,985

369,758

3,360

1,616,441

1,142,802

79,450

394,189

1,552,520

6,183.9

12,569

123,450

3,320,490

4,530

297,980

2,729,709

2,497,236

17,208.6

16,530.3

678.3

27,550

36,026

880,734

164

29,974

4,242

2,508

457

8,500

14,400

58,336.6

6,818

462,713

4,206

23,294

17,985

417,228

1,942

12,498

6,100

1,563,314

4,153

22,305

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Yield in pounds. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 22 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Domestic Units) 1

Crop Unit

Production

2001 2002 2003

1,000 1,000 1,000

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

Ton

"

"

"

"

"

"

1,000 Lbs

Ton

Lb

Ton

"

Lbs

1,000 Lbs

Ton

"

"

Lb

Ton

Lb

"

Ton

Gal

2,462

2

996

12,221

95

373

56

9,428.7

82.5

28,000.0

6,569.6

134.0

55,000.0

2,433.3

1,001.8

150.0

21.2

830,000

49.5

338,500

161,000

305.0

1,049

2,427

1

828

12,487

97

420

70

8,592.1

90.1

19,500.0

7,144.0

99.0

45,900.0

2,575.4

911.5

158.0

15.9

1,085,000

18.0

178,400

300,000

282.0

1,356

2,068

984

11,409

106

366

59

920,000

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 23 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Area Planted and Harvested, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Area Planted Area Harvested

2002 2003 2002 2003

Hectares Hectares Hectares Hectares

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain 2

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 3

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain 2

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 3

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 3

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 3

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 4

2,052,990

31,992,360

2,025,470

182,110

1,311,200

564,540

3,876,930

24,426,280

16,889,740

1,177,240

6,359,300

590,440

317,680

77,300

549,570

1,380

88,630

29,849,130

1,046,120

5,648,620

5,549,920

98,700

577,860

8,700

777,850

122,500

89,440

530,140

6,390

35,530

25,170

463,050

39,340

2,176,830

31,979,410

1,953,840

1,229,450

3,824,730

24,968,160

17,931,000

1,146,490

5,890,670

505,460

503,430

29,616,020

1,018,600

5,768,050

5,687,110

80,940

566,280

616,260

6,070

34,440

37,840

1,673,390

28,050,280

3,031,130

26,101,290

9,362,500

16,738,790

849,040

89,030

1,297,840

115,740

2,953,830

142,450

18,541,680

11,999,460

1,093,880

5,448,340

515,980

284,900

70,820

524,760

1,250

79,320

29,202,430

892,340

5,028,920

4,930,740

98,180

550,780

415,250

173,470

4,690

698,860

113,190

84,580

2,510

130

11,860

32,460

516,260

6,350

34,840

23,920

451,150

7,280

33,710

170

25,718,860

891,940

14,749,740

168,960

5,990

33,550

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the full

2003 crop year. 2 Area planted for all purposes. 3 Total may not add due to rounding. 4 Area is total hectares in crop, not harvested hectares.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 24 NASS, USDA

Crop Summary: Yield and Production, United States, 2002-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Yield Production

2002 2003 2002 2003

Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons Metric Tons

Grains & Hay

 Barley

 Corn for Grain

 Corn for Silage

 Hay, All 2

 Alfalfa

 All Other

 Oats

 Proso Millet

 Rice

 Rye

 Sorghum for Grain

 Sorghum for Silage

 Wheat, All 2

 Winter

 Durum

 Other Spring

Oilseeds

 Canola

 Cottonseed 3

 Flaxseed

 Mustard Seed

 Peanuts

 Rapeseed

 Safflower

 Soybeans for Beans

 Sunflowers

Cotton, Tobacco & Sugar Crops

 Cotton, All 2

 Upland

 Amer-Pima

 Sugarbeets

 Sugarcane

 Tobacco

Dry Beans, Peas & Lentils

 Austrian Winter Peas

 Dry Edible Beans

 Dry Edible Peas

 Lentils

 Wrinkled Seed Peas 3

Potatoes & Misc.

 Coffee (HI)

 Ginger Root (HI)

 Hops

 Peppermint Oil

 Potatoes, All 2

 Winter

 Spring

 Summer

 Fall

 Spearmint Oil

 Sweet Potatoes

 Taro (HI) 3

2.95

8.16

31.42

5.25

7.15

4.18

2.04

0.70

7.37

1.53

3.18

21.40

2.37

2.59

1.98

1.97

1.36

1.12

0.79

2.87

1.64

1.70

2.54

1.27

0.75

0.73

1.50

45.38

78.70

2.30

1.58

1.95

1.70

1.35

1.54

50.44

2.23

0.10

40.65

30.03

30.32

34.11

41.95

0.12

16.82

2.88

31.45

30.16

4,939,580

228,805,080

95,235,350

136,950,420

66,972,010

69,978,420

1,729,200

62,480

9,568,990

177,430

9,392,290

3,048,140

43,992,310

31,101,970

2,162,270

10,728,070

704,210

5,609,940

319,270

56,000

1,506,150

2,050

135,160

74,290,500

1,132,730

3,746,730

3,599,050

147,680

24,992,940

32,682,240

399,490

7,440

1,359,600

192,410

113,760

20,730

3,860

6,530

26,460

3,090

20,988,310

190,780

1,056,600

815,790

18,925,140

880

566,900

2,770

42,546,430

188,380

1,011,740

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production may not add due to rounding. 3 Yield is not estimated.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 25 NASS, USDA

Fruits and Nuts Production, United States, 2001-2003

(Metric Units) 1

Crop

Production

2001 2002 2003

Metric tons Metric tons Metric tons

Citrus 2

 Grapefruit

 K-Early Citrus (FL) 3

 Lemons

 Oranges

 Tangelos (FL)

 Tangerines

 Temples (FL)

Noncitrus

 Apples

 Apricots

 Bananas (HI)

 Grapes

 Olives (CA)

 Papayas (HI)

 Peaches

 Pears

 Prunes, Dried (CA)

 Prunes & Plums (Ex CA)

Nuts & Misc.

 Almonds (CA)

 Hazelnuts

 Pecans

 Pistachios (CA)

 Walnuts (CA)

 Maple Syrup

2,233,490

1,810

903,560

11,086,700

86,180

338,380

50,800

4,276,790

74,810

12,700

5,959,840

121,560

24,950

1,103,730

908,800

136,080

19,230

376,480

44,910

153,540

73,030

276,690

5,240

2,201,740

910

751,150

11,328,020

88,000

381,020

63,500

3,897,310

81,770

8,850

6,480,930

89,810

20,820

1,168,180

826,850

143,340

14,380

492,150

16,330

80,920

136,080

255,830

6,780

1,876,060

892,670

10,350,070

96,160

332,030

53,520

417,310

 1 Data are the latest estimates available, either from the current report or from previous reports. Current year estimates are for the

full 2003 crop year. 2 Production years are 2000-2001, 2001-2002, and 2002-2003. 3 Estimates discontinued as of the 2002-03 crop.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 26 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 27 NASS, USDA
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 28 NASS, USDA

April Weather Summary

Cool, wet weather slowed fieldwork and crop development in California but provided drought relief across

the Great Basin, Northwest, and northern and central Rockies. In contrast, unfavorably dry weather prevailed

in the Four Corners region. Farther east, abundant rain and snow aided winter grains on the northern and

central Plains, although some pastures and rangelands continued to exhibit the adverse effects of long-term

drought. On the southern Plains, however, warm, breezy, mostly dry weather depleted topsoil moisture and

increased stress on winter wheat and emerging summer crops. Meanwhile, widespread Midwestern showers

boosted topsoil moisture reserves for winter wheat and newly planted summer crops. Although long-term

precipitation deficits persisted in much of the Midwest, underlying dryness allowed spring fieldwork to

proceed with few delays. Across the South, mostly dry weather west of the Delta contrasted with wet

conditions in the Southeast. By month’s end, warm, dry weather in the western Gulf Coast region hastened

winter wheat maturation but stressed emerging summer crops. Meanwhile, frequently heavy rainfall slowed

fieldwork in the southern Atlantic States.

Monthly temperatures were mostly above normal in areas from the High Plains to the Appalachians,

excluding the Great Lakes region. The passage of several high-pressure systems across southeastern Canada

and the Northeastern United States not only brought late-season cold outbreaks and freezes to the Great Lakes

States and New England, but also kept cool air frequently locked into place east of the Appalachians. Areas

west of the Rockies were also unusually cool, largely due to the persistence of an upper-level trough near the

West Coast. Monthly temperatures averaged as much as 8 degrees F below normal in California’s Central

Valley and ranged from 2 to 6 degrees F below normal in New England, but were up to 4 degrees F above

normal on the Plains.

April Crop Summary

Seasonally heavy rains fell in the Pacific Northwest. Rainfall was about average in California early to

midmonth, but was above normal late in the month. Precipitation was sporadic across the Rockies and Great

Plains. Sub-soil moisture remained short there even though significant precipitation was received in some

areas, and temperatures for the month were generally above normal. Dry conditions continued in the

Southwest from Southern California to the Texas Panhandle. Severe storms were reported across eastern

Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Missouri, Arkansas, and Tennessee. Hot, windy conditions depleted topsoil

moisture levels in the southern Great Plains and minimized improvements from the rain. The southern Corn

Belt received rain, but the northern Corn Belt, upper Great Plains, and upper Mississippi Valley continued

dry. This disparity was seen in Illinois, where dry, dusty conditions prevailed in the northern part of the State

while intermittent rainfall slowed fieldwork in the south. Warm, dry weather enabled Dakota producers to

make good progress planting crops, and helped bring pastures out of dormancy. Ample rainfall was received

over a wide swath including Florida, the Southeast, the Atlantic Coast, and the Northeast. Southeast

producers were behind on planting corn and soybeans due to wet soils. Nationally, at month’s end, spring

planting was ahead of the 5-year average pace for corn, spring wheat, barley, oats, sugarbeets, and rice. 

Planting was equal to or behind the 5-year average for soybeans, cotton, sorghum, and peanuts. 

The corn crop was 29 percent planted as of April 27, ahead of last year’s pace by 4 percentage points and

6 points ahead of the 5-year average. The crop was 6 percent emerged, 1 point behind last year but equal to

the 5-year average. Most of the Corn Belt made good planting progress after midmonth despite scattered

showers, with most States advancing ahead of their 5-year average. Only Nebraska received enough rainfall

to limit progress significantly. Planting in Illinois progressed to 21 points ahead of the 5-year average pace

with a late-month surge in activity. Planting in Indiana and Iowa also progressed rapidly after midmonth as

producers took advantage of favorable weather. Planting continued in the Texas Panhandle but was

completed in most central and southern areas. Cool weather across Indiana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania slowed

emergence of early planted fields.

By April 27, the Nation’s winter wheat was 21 percent headed, ahead of last year’s pace and the 5-year

average of 20 percent. The crop broke dormancy in the northern Rockies and northern Great Plains

significantly earlier than last year due to mild temperatures and adequate rainfall. After midmonth, fields

quickly entered the heading stage in the southern Great Plains and lower Mississippi Valley despite below

normal temperatures. More than half of the crop was headed in Arkansas and Oklahoma under warm, dry

conditions. The crop was 90 percent headed in California despite continued cool conditions. In Kansas, the

crop was 86 percent jointed on April 27, six percentage points ahead of normal.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 29 NASS, USDA

Cotton planting advanced to 18 percent complete by April 27, six percentage points behind last year and

1 point behind the 5-year average. Prior to midmonth, planting was active mostly in the southern Great Plains

and Southwest, where soils were warm enough to germinate seed. California planting progress was well

behind average by the middle of April, and emergence and plant growth slowed due to rainy, cool weather. 

These persistent weather conditions caused California’s progress to continue to lag for the remainder of the

month. After midmonth, weather conditions allowed for significant planting progress in the middle

Mississippi Valley. Wet conditions limited planting progress across most of the Southeast. Pre-planting

irrigation continued in northern Texas, while planting was winding down and cultivation began in southern

areas. Good moisture levels in the Rio Grande Valley benefited cotton acreage.

Three percent of the soybean crop was planted by April 27, equal to last year and the 5-year average. Planting

was about normal in Louisiana but well ahead of average in Mississippi and Arkansas which had warmer

weather and adequate soil moisture. Planting activities were just getting underway in most of the Corn Belt,

where progress was isolated. Planting had not yet begun in the northern Great Plains.

Sorghum planting advanced to 19 percent complete on April 27, just 1 point behind last year but equal to the

5-year average. Wet soils limited planting progress in the Mississippi Valley early in the month but progress

increased after midmonth as conditions improved. At month’s end, eight of the 11 major producing States

were at or below their 5-year average planting rate. Elsewhere, planting continued as weather conditions

allowed.

On April 27, the rice crop was 58 percent planted compared with 57 percent planted last year and the 5-year

average of 52 percent. The crop was 30 percent emerged, 4 points behind last year but 3 points ahead of the

5-year average. Planting of rice fields continued where local conditions allowed. Arkansas was 16 points

ahead of their average planting pace while Louisiana was 8 points behind their average. Planting in Texas

was behind last year’s pace, but equal to the 5-year average. Cool temperatures hindered emergence in

Louisiana, where emergence was 12 percentage points behind average. 

Spring wheat planting progressed to 45 percent complete on April 27, ahead of last year by 25 percentage

points and 15 points above the 5-year average. The crop was 12 percent emerged, 8 points ahead of last year

and 4 points ahead of normal. Steady crop development continued in Washington and Idaho fields during

April, with emergence ahead of last year’s pace and the 5-year average. After midmonth, favorable

conditions allowed planting to accelerate rapidly in South Dakota, reaching 27 points ahead of last year’s pace

and the 5-year average. Emergence in South Dakota was 16 points ahead of the 5-year average.

The barley crop was 41 percent seeded on April 27, compared with last year’s 21 percent and the 5-year

average of 31 percent. The crop was 12 percent emerged, 6 points ahead of last year and 2 points above the

5-year average. Favorable weather conditions for planting were reported in each of the 5 major producing

States with rapid progress made after midmonth. Emergence was slowed by cool weather in Minnesota and

North Dakota.

The oat crop was 52 percent seeded and 17 percent emerged on April 27. Planting was ahead of last year’s

pace of 41 percent and the 5-year average of 44 percent, while emergence was even with last year and the

normal pace. South Dakota growers took advantage of favorable conditions, and planting progressed

25 points ahead of the 5-year average pace. Progress was ahead of average in all major producing States,

except for Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Emergence was ahead of average in Iowa and South Dakota, but

cool conditions hindered emergence in the Great Lakes region and the eastern Ohio Valley, with Ohio and

Pennsylvania significantly behind their averages.

Sugarbeet planting progressed to 48 percent complete on April 27 in the four major sugarbeet- producing

States. Planting was ahead of last year by 10 percentage points and 1 point ahead of normal for this date. 

Planting in Idaho was 16 points ahead of last year’s pace, with nearly one-third of the crop being planted in

the week following midmonth. Planting was 31 points behind the 5-year average in Michigan, where soil

conditions did not allow any planting to occur before midmonth.

Peanut planting was 4 percent complete on April 27. This was 2 percentage points behind last year and

1 point below the 5-year average. Planting in Oklahoma was 10 points ahead of the 5-year average, and

4 points ahead of average in Alabama due to warm weather and favorable soil conditions. Wet conditions

slowed progress in Florida, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 30 NASS, USDA

Winter Wheat: Production is forecast at 1.56 billion bushels, up 37 percent from 2002. Based on May 1

conditions, the U.S. yield is forecast at 42.9 bushels per acre, 4.4 bushels more than last year. Yields are

above a year ago in all States except California, Idaho, Michigan, and the Mid-Atlantic States. Grain area

totals 36.4 million acres, up 23 percent from last season. The sharp increase in harvested acreage is the result

of both increased plantings and a rebound from larger than normal abandonment last year. The portion of the

winter wheat crop rated good to excellent on April 27, at 54 percent, was 18 percentage points higher than

last year.

In Texas and Oklahoma, wheat development was ahead of last year due to warmer spring weather. The crop

in Kansas progressed ahead of the 5-year average, but moisture reserves are low, especially in the southwest. 

Colorado spring precipitation has been average to above average this year, leaving topsoil moisture supplies

adequate except in the southeastern border counties. Nebraska winter wheat development is about one week

ahead of normal. Montana spring conditions have been very good as the winter wheat breaks dormancy. 

With the exception of the southwest district, most areas of the State received above normal precipitation

during April.

In Arkansas, poor stands due to excessive fall moisture have resulted in less acreage for harvest than normal. 

In Illinois, no major weather problems have affected the crop. Timely rains in Ohio last fall resulted in good

germination and uniform stands.

Oregon yield prospects are drastically improved from last year’s drought reduced crop. Most of their winter

wheat growing areas are now at about normal annual precipitation levels. Washington’s yield prospects are

good with both topsoil and subsoil moisture supplies over 90 percent adequate. The crop sustained only

limited winterkill and wind erosion.

Durum Wheat: Production of Durum wheat in Arizona and California is forecast at a collective 18.5 million

bushels. This is up 6 percent from their 2002 total of 17.5 million. Cool temperatures have slowed crop

development in California’s Imperial and San Joaquin valleys. Some wheat stripe rust has been reported

throughout the State.

Hay Stocks on Farms: All hay stored on farms May 1, 2003 totaled 22.2 million tons, down 1 percent from

the previous year. This decrease was mainly the result of lower hay production in 2002. Disappearance of

hay from December 1, 2002 - May 1, 2003, totaled 81.6 million tons, 7 percent less than the disappearance of

88.0 million tons for the same period a year earlier. Disappearance was down from the previous year despite

unfavorable winter weather conditions east of the Mississippi River and lingering effects of the drought in the

central and northern Great Plains. Texas’s stocks are the highest on record, following record high production

in 2002.

Thirty-one of the 48 reporting States had lower hay stocks than a year ago. Most of the States reporting a

decrease in stocks were located in the eastern Corn Belt, Southeast, northern Great Plains, central Rocky

Mountains, lower Delta, California, and along the Atlantic Coast. Severely damaged pastures in Nebraska

and South Dakota resulted in significantly lower stocks. 

States in the Northwest, northern Rocky Mountains, Southwest, southern Great Plains, and upper Mississippi

Valley reported increases in hay stocks due to favorable weather conditions and more grain and Conservation

Reserve Program land cut for hay in 2002 compared to 2001.

Almonds: The 2003 California almond crop is forecast at 920 million pounds, shelled basis, down

15 percent from the revised record high 2002 crop. Bearing acreage, at 530,000, is unchanged from the

previous crop year. The average yield is forecast at 1,740 pounds per acre, down 15 percent from last year. 

Heavy rainfall in December brought worries of possible disease problems that have not materialized so far in

major growing areas. Despite cool, wet weather conditions during the critical bloom and pollination period,

sets for most varieties are generally reported in good condition. However, the Nonpareil variety has displayed

one of the weakest bloom in years, with spotty and uneven sets throughout the State.

Avocados: U.S. avocado production for the 2002-03 season totaled 218,350 tons, down 2 percent from last

season. Bearing acres, at 64,150, is virtually unchanged from the 2001-02 level. The value of U.S. avocados

for the current season totaled $337 million, down 10 percent from the previous season. California avocado
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 31 NASS, USDA

production is 187,000 tons, down 6 percent from the previous season. The value of the 2002-03 California

avocado crop decreased 11 percent from the previous season, to $320 million. Generally favorable weather

conditions kicked off the harvest season but windstorms struck orchards in southern California knocking

several million pounds of fruit off trees. However, not all of the fallen fruit was lost as some was salvaged. 

In San Diego County, the presence of Mexican fruit flies led to the establishment of a large quarantine zone in

the fall of 2002. Growers in the outer edges of the quarantined area were cleared for harvest during midFebruary and harvest within the core quarantined area is expected to begin during the summer. Florida

produced 31,000 tons of avocados in 2002-03, up 35 percent from last season. Value of production totaled

$17.2 million for Florida growers, 11 percent above the previous season. Hawaii produced 350 tons of

avocados, up 17 percent from 2001-02. Hawaii’s value of production increased 15 percent to $392,000 for

the 2002-03 season.

Papayas: Hawaii fresh papaya utilization is estimated at 3.73 million pounds for April 2003, down 7 percent

from last month but 24 percent above a year ago. Area in crop totaled 2,255 acres, unchanged from last

month but 9 percent less than a year ago. Harvested area totaled 1,740 acres, virtually unchanged from last

month but 10 percent lower than April 2002. Weather conditions were variable with frequent showers,

providing non-irrigated orchards with adequate soil moisture.

Hawaii’s total papaya utilization during 2002 is estimated at 45.9 million pounds, 17 percent below the final

2001 utilized production. Bearing acres decreased 12 percent from the previous season while yields declined

5 percent. Lower yields in 2002 are attributed to a shift in harvested acreage to the lower yielding Kapoho

variety and a drop in the yield of the older, less productive orchards of the Rainbow variety. The Kapoho

variety, while susceptible to the Papaya Ringspot Virus (PRV), has not been modified through biotechnology

and is accepted for the Japanese export market. The biotechnology variety Rainbow is resistant to PRV but

not accepted in the Japanese market. As a result, acreage has shifted back to the Kapoho variety. Routine

field inspections and roguing of infected trees have kept PRV losses to a minimum.

California Peaches: The California 2003 peach crop is forecast at 1.91 billion pounds, down 1 percent

from 2002 but 11 percent above two years ago. Bearing acres are estimated at 71,100, up 2 percent from last

year. 

The California Freestone crop is forecast at 770 million pounds, down 3 percent from last year and 1 percent

below 2001. Freestone bearing acreage is estimated at 39,000, unchanged from 2002. Fewer than adequate

chilling hours during the winter resulted in a lengthy bloom period for the Freestone crop. Fruit set in the

early varieties looks good, while set in the middle to late varieties is down slightly from last season. Harvest

of the crop began during the first week of April.

The California Clingstone crop is forecast at 1.14 billion pounds, up 1 percent from last year and 20 percent

above 2001. Clingstone bearing acreage is estimated at 32,100, up 4 percent from 2002. California orchards

experienced less than adequate chilling hours during the winter season, which mostly affected the bloom of

the Stanislaus variety. Fruit set is reported to be lighter in the Modesto area than in the northern area of the

State. Clingstone peach growers in the southern Modesto area reported some hail damage. Harvest of the

crop is expected to begin around the middle of June.

Bananas: Hawaii banana production for 2002 is estimated at 19.5 million pounds, down 30 percent from last

year. Harvested acreage, at 1,300, is down 190 acres from 2001. In September, the bunchy top virus was

once again found in the Kailua-Kona area of Hawaii Island. This was the first incidence of the virus in the

eradication zone since December 2000. The disease has not spread, but is a serious concern because of its

potential to spread to the major commercial orchards on the east side of the island. Weather for 2002 was

generally favorable, with no major wind damage.

Guavas: Guava utilized production in Hawaii for 2002 is estimated at 9.70 million pounds, down 37 percent

from 2001. Harvested area totaled 550 acres compared to 610 acres a year ago. Yield (based on utilized

production) averaged 17,600 pounds per acre, down 30 percent from the previous year. Fruit demand and

prices were low for the 2002 crop. Some small growers abandoned their orchards due to the low prices.

Taro: Hawaii taro production for crop year 2002 is estimated at 6.10 million pounds, down 5 percent from

the previous year. Area harvested, at 430 acres, is down 10 acres from 2001. Early season flooding slowed
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 32 NASS, USDA

plant development which resulted in a setback of production in major growing areas. Floods also assisted in

the spread of the apple snail infestations.

Grapefruit: The 2002-03 U.S. grapefruit crop is forecast at 2.07 million tons, down 2 percent from the

previous forecast and 15 percent below last season’s final utilization. Florida’s grapefruit forecast is

39.0 million boxes (1.66 million tons), down 2 percent from the previous forecast and 17 percent below last

season. If realized, this will be the smallest utilization since the 1989-90 season. The all white grapefruit

forecast was increased 500,000 boxes for a total of 16.5 million boxes (701,000 tons), up 3 percent from last

month but 13 percent less than last season’s final utilization. As of May 1, only 8 percent of the grapefruit

rows remain for harvest. Colored grapefruit utilization is forecast at 22.5 million boxes (956,000 tons),

6 percent below last month and down 19 percent from last season’s final utilization. The route survey

indicated only about 4 percent of the colored rows remaining for harvest. Arizona, California, and Texas

grapefruit forecasts are carried forward from April.

Tangerines: The 2002-03 U.S. tangerine crop is forecast at 366,000 tons, up 3 percent from the previous

forecast but 13 percent below last season’s utilization of 420,000 tons. Florida’s tangerine forecast is up

4 percent, at 5.40 million boxes (257,000 tons) but 18 percent lower than last season’s utilization. Late

season indications and utilization of the Honey variety have dispelled concerns that the crop was adversely

affected by the cold weather in late January. Harvest is winding down. The 2002-03 Florida tangerine

forecast includes only the Fallglo, Sunburst, and Honey tangerines. It does not include the Robinson and

Dancy varieties as in previous seasons. This program change was implemented because of the

declassification of Robinson and Dancy tangerines by the Florida Citrus Commission. Arizona and California

tangerine forecasts are carried forward from April.

Tangelos: Florida’s 2002-03 tangelo forecast is final at 2.35 million boxes (106,000 tons), unchanged from

the previous month but 9 percent more than last season’s utilized production. Utilization is higher than the

previous three seasons, but below any others since 1968-69. Harvest is virtually complete.

Temples: Florida’s Temple production is final at 1.30 million boxes (59,000 tons) for the 2002-03 season,

unchanged from last month but 16 percent below last season. This final utilization is the second lowest

utilization in the series since it began in 1951-52. The 2000-01 utilized production, at 1.25 million boxes,

was the smallest crop on record.

K-Early Citrus: K-Early citrus has been dropped from the citrus estimation program. This fruit type has

been declassified by the Florida Citrus Commission and forecasts have been discontinued.

Florida Citrus: Total rainfall during April was about average, however, most fell within a three to five day

period, leaving the rest of the month warm and dry. Growers in all areas used irrigation to maintain good tree

condition during fruit set. Bloom was generally complete by the end of March with some older trees still

showing bloom flowers into the first week of April. Abundant winter moisture provided ideal conditions for

this year’s prolific bloom. Most trees also produced a tremendous amount of new growth. Valencia harvest

was very active during April. Grapefruit movement slowed as available fruit ran out in some areas. Some

grapefruit packinghouses closed mid-month due to the shortage of good packable fruit. Several processing

plants began closing for the weekends to more efficiently handle their remaining fruit supplies. Temple

harvest was completed by the end of April. Movement of Honey tangerines slowed during the month as

harvest began to wind down. Caretakers were very active cutting cover crops prior to harvest and for fire

protection. Hedging and topping continued in harvested groves. Dead and dying trees were pushed out and

burned. Some young trees are being planted. Most post bloom nutritional sprays have been completed with

some second sprays now underway. Spring herbicides are being applied in all areas.

California Citrus: Picking was active during April in orange, lemon, and grapefruit groves. Rind staining

or skin breakdown continued to be problematic, especially on the higher color and smaller sized fruit. Good

quality and high demand for late Navel varieties was noted as harvest continued despite being slowed at times

by rain. Hail was reported in many areas but caused little damage to citrus crops. Bloom in orange groves

was well underway in most areas.

California Noncitrus Fruits and Nuts: Cultivation, irrigation, and fruit thinning continued in orchards and

vineyards across the State. April was a wet month with a series of storms that brought both rain and hail to
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 33 NASS, USDA

many areas of the State. Tree fruit orchards were treated to control fungal and microbial disease problems

caused by the wet weather. Hail caused some fruit damage in many areas. Ground was prepared for the

planting of new fruit trees. Vigorous shoot growth and cluster development occurred in raisin, wine, and

table grape vineyards. Flower clusters were evident in many varieties. Table grape vineyards were thinned

and suckered. A few grape growers were removing vines and piling the brush for chipping and burning. Pear

and apple orchards were leafing out. Codling moth treatments were underway in pear orchards. Strawberry

harvest in Fresno and Tulare counties began in early April and continued throughout the month. Some

strawberry rot damage was reported due to rains. Picking and packing of cherries commenced in the Reedley

district by month’s end. Early picking of peaches began in late April in a few orchards in the San Joaquin

Valley. Figs were sizing well despite the cool weather. Avocado and olive bloom continued to develop on

schedule. By mid-month, bloom in early walnut varieties was ending, while late-season varieties were just

beginning their bloom period. Blight sprays continued in walnut orchards.

Spring Potatoes: Spring production in 2003 is forecast at 22.3 million cwt, down 6 percent from the April

forecast and 4 percent below last year. Area for harvest is estimated at 82,900 acres, down 1 percent from the

April estimate and 4 percent below last year. The average yield is forecast at 269 cwt per acre, down 13 cwt

from last month and 2 cwt below a year ago.

Spring rains delayed planting and early growth in Florida and North Carolina resulting in lower yield

potential. Harvest is underway in Florida but some areas are delayed as much as three weeks. Florida

production is now forecast at 6.83 million cwt, down 13 percent from both the April 1 forecast and last year’s

output. North Carolina’s potato crop, forecast at 2.81 million cwt, is unchanged from last month. Harvest

will start about two weeks late due to the wet spring.

Texas spring production is forecast at 3.00 million cwt, the same as last month. Harvest is underway in early

areas and just beginning in the Winter Garden area. May acreage estimates for both Arizona and California

are less than the April estimates. Arizona growers now report 7,600 acres for harvest, down 5 percent from

last month, contributing to a production forecast of 2.09 million cwt, down 7 percent from the April forecast. 

Production in California is forecast at 7.59 million cwt, down 3 percent from last month with acreage also

down 3 percent for the same period. Growers in the Kern County area expect to start harvesting ahead of

normal.

Tobacco: U.S. tobacco production for 2002 is revised down 1 percent. Harvested acreage is down less than

1 percent, while the average yield decreased 13 pounds per acre. Total production, at 881 million pounds in

2002, is down 11 percent from 2001 and at the lowest level since 1908. Growers harvested 428,660 acres in

2002, down 1 percent from the previous year and the lowest harvested acreage since 1874. Final yields

averaged 2,055 pounds per acre, down 238 pounds from 2001.

Flue-cured production, at 517 million pounds, is revised down 2 percent from December 2002. This is

11 percent less than 2001 when 579 million pounds were produced. Growers harvested 245,600 acres, up

3 percent from the previous year. Flue-cured yields averaged 2,105 pounds per acre, down 327 pounds from

2001. North Carolina, the leading producer of flue-cured tobacco, produced 338 million pounds, nearly

two-thirds of all flue-cured tobacco grown in the United States.

Burley production, which accounted for 98 percent of all light air-cured tobacco, is revised down 1 percent

from December 2002 to 300 million pounds. This is 10 percent less than 2001 when 334 million pounds

were produced. Producers of burley tobacco harvested 158,600 acres in 2002, down 3 percent from the

previous year. Yields averaged 1,892 pounds per acre, 141 pounds less than 2001. Kentucky, the leading

producer of burley tobacco, produced 197 million pounds, which is two-thirds of all burley grown in the

United States.

Total fire-cured production is revised up 7 percent from December 2002 to 34.9 million pounds. However,

this is 23 percent less than the previous season. Growers harvested a total of 10,970 acres, 25 percent less

than 2001. Fire-cured yields averaged 3,182 pounds per acre, up 84 pounds from the previous year.

Dark air-cured production is revised up 11 percent from December 2002. Production totaled 10.7 million

pounds in 2002, down 24 percent from the previous year. Growers harvested 3,830 acres in 2002, down

24 percent from 2001. Yields averaged 2,790 pounds per acre, up 8 pounds from 2001. Kentucky, the
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 34 NASS, USDA

leading producer of dark air-cured tobacco, produced 9.24 million pounds in 2002, which is 87 percent of all

dark air-cured grown in the United States.

Production of cigar tobacco, which includes filler, binder, and wrapper, is revised up 4 percent from

December 2002 to a total of 13.3 million pounds for 2002. This is less than 1 percent below the 2001

production. Growers harvested 6,660 acres in 2002, down 4 percent from the previous year. Average yields

were 1,992 pounds per acre, up 67 pounds from 2001.

Cotton: The 2002 U.S. all cotton production is estimated at 17.2 million bales, 15 percent below the record

high 2001 production. Upland cotton production, at 16.5 million bales, was 16 percent less than the previous

year. American-Pima production totaled 678,300 bales, down 3 percent from 2001. The area planted to all

cotton totaled 14.0 million acres, down 11 percent from 2001. Harvested area decreased 10 percent to

12.4 million acres. Yields for the U.S. averaged 665 pounds per harvested acre, down 40 pounds per acre

from a year ago. Data from the combined seven Objective Yield States showed the highest number of bolls,

highest average boll weight, and highest harvest loss of the previous five years. 

Producers in the Southeastern States had a very challenging season. The upland crop was planted under ideal

conditions and development progressed ahead of average. However, an abnormally dry, hot summer stressed

the crop and the condition of the crop deteriorated. The heat matured the crop rapidly allowing growers to

harvest earlier than normal. Beginning in September, heavy rains delayed harvesting operations. Although

the moisture was welcome, it was too late to help the drought-stressed crop. The untimely rains resulted in

some boll rot and seed germination. Frequent showers throughout October further delayed the harvest. 

During the first half of November, growers were able to re-enter their fields to pick their cotton. However,

harvesting was virtually halted mid-month, as persistent rains returned. The harvest approached completion

by early December as dry weather dominated the region. 

Producers in the Delta States had ideal planting conditions until rains during May interrupted fieldwork. 

Planting activities continued well into June in Tennessee. Cooler than normal July temperatures and timely

rains boosted the condition of the late maturing crop. Two significant storms moved through the lower Delta

region within a two-week period toward the end of September and early part of October. The damage to open

bolls was limited, however, since the crop was considerably behind in maturity. Unrelenting downpours

during the first half of November prevented growers from picking the cotton. The drier, final two weeks of

November allowed the harvest to progress, although well behind the normal pace. Objective yield data

showed above average boll counts in Arkansas and Mississippi. Arkansas boll weights were below average,

but Mississippi boll weights were the highest of the previous fifteen years. Louisiana’s boll counts and

weights were the highest since 1994. 

Producers in the Southwestern States had a relatively good season. Planting remained active in the southern

Great Plains until mid-June, although progress was occasionally interrupted by rain. Moisture shortages

slowed planting progress on the High Plains. Warmer than normal temperatures promoted germination and

growth where moisture supplies were adequate. However, fields in the dryland areas of South Texas and the

Coastal Bend suffered due to inadequate moisture and excessive heat. Irrigated fields responded well to the

weather. Development of the New Mexico and Oklahoma crop progressed well ahead of average, but Texas

maturity was about average. Harvest was underway by August in central and southern areas of Texas and was

nearly complete by the end of September. The Plains area crop was fully matured by early October and

growers began defoliating and harvesting between rain showers. Cooler than normal temperatures in

September slowed the development of Oklahoma’s crop which had been maturing ahead of average. Rains

throughout October and early November delayed harvesting across the region. Conditions improved later in

November and the pace of harvest accelerated rapidly. Data from the Objective Yield survey show Texas boll

counts were the highest in the last fifteen years and weights were the second highest. Record high yields were

established in Texas, New Mexico, and Kansas.

Arizona and California upland cotton growers began planting during March under ideal conditions. Cool,

spring weather in a few areas of California slowed development but warm summer temperatures promoted

growth and good boll retention. The crop was in good to excellent condition throughout the season. Harvest

was well underway by mid-September and progressed under ideal conditions. Data from the Objective Yield

survey show California boll counts were the highest in the last fifteen years but the weights were the lowest. 
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 35 NASS, USDA

A record yield of 1,439 pounds per harvested acre was set in California, surpassing the 1,378 pound yield set

in 2000.

The California Pima growers planted their crop under almost ideal conditions. The crop progressed well

during the year despite some early cool spells in late April and early May. Growth of Pima cotton during the

summer months was good to excellent, with crop progress slightly ahead of average. Insect pressure remained

light with the typical small numbers of whiteflies and aphids late in the season. Harvest of California’s Pima

cotton began in early October. By mid-December, virtually the entire crop had been harvested with only a

few fields remaining to be picked a second time.

Cottonseed: Cottonseed production in 2002 totaled 6.18 million tons, down 17 percent from 2001. Sales to

oil mills accounted for 53 percent of the disposition. The remaining 47 percent will be used for seed, feed,

exports, and various other uses.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 36 NASS, USDA

Reliability of May 1 Crop Production Forecast

Wheat Survey Procedures: Objective yield and farm operator surveys were conducted between April 24

and May 6 to gather information on expected yield as of May 1. The Objective Yield survey was conducted

in three States (Kansas, Oklahoma, and Texas) where winter wheat is normally mature enough to make

meaningful counts. Farm operators were interviewed to update previously reported acreage data and seek

permission to randomly locate two sample plots in selected winter wheat fields. The counts made within each

sample plot depended upon the crop's maturity. Counts such as number of stalks, heads in late boot, and

number of emerged heads were made to predict the number of heads that would be harvested. The counts are

used with similar data from previous years to develop a projected biological yield. The average harvesting

loss is subtracted to obtain a net yield. The plots are revisited each month until crop maturity when the heads

are clipped, threshed, and weighed. After the farm operator has harvested the sample field, another plot is

sampled to obtain current year harvesting loss.

The farm operator survey included a sample of approximately 13,600 producers representing all major

production areas. These producers were selected from an earlier acreage survey and were asked about the

probable winter wheat acres for harvest and yield on their operation. These growers will be surveyed

throughout the growing season to provide indications of average yields as the season progresses.

Orange Survey Procedures: The orange objective yield survey for the May 1 forecast was conducted in

Florida, which produces about 75 percent of the U.S. production. In July and August, the number of bearing

trees and the number of fruit per tree were determined. In subsequent months, fruit size measurement and

fruit droppage surveys are conducted to develop the current forecast of production. Arizona, California, and

Texas conduct grower and packer surveys on a quarterly basis, in October, January, April, and July. 

California also conducts objective measurement surveys in September for navel oranges and in March for

Valencia oranges. 

Wheat Estimating Procedures: National and State level objective yield and grower reported data were

reviewed for reasonableness and consistency with historical estimates. The survey data were also reviewed

considering weather patterns and crop progress compared to previous months and previous years. Each State

Statistical Office submits their analysis of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). 

The ASB uses the survey data and the State analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecasts.

Orange Estimating Procedures: State level objective yield estimates for Florida oranges were reviewed for

errors, reasonableness, and consistency with historical estimates. The Florida State Statistical Office submits

its analyses of the current situation to the Agricultural Statistics Board (ASB). The ASB uses the Florida

survey data and their analyses to prepare the published May 1 forecast. Reports from growers and packers in

Arizona, California, and Texas were also used for setting estimates. The May 1 orange production forecasts

for these three States are carried forward from April. 

Revision Policy: The May 1 production forecast will not be revised; instead, a new forecast will be made

each month throughout the growing season. End-of-season wheat estimates are made after harvest. At the

end of the wheat marketing season, a balance sheet is calculated using carryover stocks, production, exports,

millings, feeding, and ending stocks. Revisions are then made if the balance sheet relationships or other

administrative data warrant changes. End-of-season orange estimates will be published in September’s Citrus

Fruits Summary. The orange production estimates are based on all data available at the end of the marketing

season, including information from marketing orders, shipments, and processor records. Allowances are

made for recorded local utilization and home use.

Reliability: To assist users in evaluating the reliability of the May 1 production forecast, the "Root Mean

Square Error," a statistical measure based on past performance, is computed. The deviation between the

May 1 production forecast and the final estimate is expressed as a percentage of the final estimate. The

average of the squared percentage deviations for the latest 20-year period is computed. The square root of the

average becomes statistically the "Root Mean Square Error." Probability statements can be made concerning

expected differences in the current forecast relative to the final end-of-season estimate, assuming that factors

affecting this year's forecast are not different from those influencing recent years.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 37 NASS, USDA

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 winter wheat production forecast is 6.7 percent. This means

that chances are 2 out of 3 that the current production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by

more than 6.7 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 11.7 percent. Differences between the May 1 winter wheat production forecast and the final estimate

during the past 20 years have averaged 88 million bushels, ranging from 4 million to 285 million bushels. 

The May 1 forecast has been below the final estimate 10 times and above 10 times. This does not imply that

the May 1 winter wheat forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.

The "Root Mean Square Error" for the May 1 orange production forecast is 2.6 percent. This means that

chances are 2 out of 3 that the current orange production forecast will not be above or below the final estimate

by more than 2.6 percent. Chances are 9 out of 10 (90 percent confidence level) that the difference will not

exceed 4.6 percent. Differences between the May 1 orange forecast and the final estimate during the past

20 years have averaged 170,000 tons, ranging from 5,000 tons to 714,000 tons. The May 1 forecast for

oranges has been below the final estimate 7 times and above 13 times. The difference does not imply that the

May 1 forecast this year is likely to understate or overstate final production.
Crop Production Agricultural Statistics Board

May 2003 38 NASS, USDA

Information Contacts

Listed below are the commodity specialists in the Crops Branch of the National Agricultural Statistics Service

to contact for additional information.

Mark Harris, Chief (202) 720-2127

Field Crops Section

Greg Thessen, Head (202) 720-2127

Dave DeWalt - Cotton, Cotton Ginnings (202) 720-5944

Herman Ellison - Soybeans, Minor Oilseeds (202) 720-7369

Lance Honig - Wheat, Rye (202) 720-8068

Darin Jantzi - Corn, Proso Millet (202) 720-9526

Troy Joshua - Hay, Oats (202) 690-3234

Roy Karkosh - Barley, Sorghum,

 Sugar Crops (202) 690-8140

Terry O’Connor - Weekly Crop Weather (202) 720-4288

Mark R. Miller - Peanuts, Rice (202) 720-7688

Fruit, Vegetable & Special Crops Section

Jim Smith, Head (202) 720-2127

Arvin Budge - Dry Beans, Potatoes, Sweet Potatoes (202) 720-4285

Kathy Broussard - Citrus, Tropical Fruits (202) 720-5412

Debbie Flippin - Austrian Winter Peas, Dry Edible Peas, 

 Lentils, Mint, Mushrooms, Peaches, Pears,

 Wrinkled Seed Peas (202) 720-3250

Mike Miller - Berries, Grapes, Maple Syrup,

 Tobacco (202) 720-7235

Terry O’Connor - Apples, Cherries, Cranberries,

 Plums, Prunes (202) 720-4288

Kim Ritchie - Hops (360) 902-1940

Betty Johnston - Floriculture, Nursery, Nuts (202) 720-4215

Biz Wallingsford - Fresh and Processing Vegetables, Onions,

 Strawberries (202) 720-2157
The next "Crop Production" report will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET on June 11, 2003.

The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs on the basis of

race, color, national origin, gender, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, and marital or

family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative

means for communication of program information (braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact the USDA’s

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To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten

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