APPENDIX 3B MA 2002 TO 2009 VOC & NOx PROJECTIONS BY CATEGORIES - Tons per Year (TPY) and Summer Day (TPSD) Eastern & We

ks/inv2002-sip-rfp/RFP-2009-ema-wma-projections/ jan.29//2008

ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL PRE-CTL POST-CTL POST-CTL POST-CTL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL PROJECT

VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC NOx NOx NOx NOx NOx N

2002 2002 2002 2002 2002-09 2009 2009 2009 2009 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002-09 20

SOURCE CATEGORY SCC TPY TPSD TPSD TPSD 2009 GR.FAC TPSD TPSD TPSD TPSD TPY TPSD TPSD TPSD GR.FAC TP

STATE STATE E.MA W.MA CTL STATE STATE STATE E.MA W.MA STATE STATE E.MA W.MA STATE STA

POINT SOURCES

1. NOx Budget Sources 533.0 1.50 1.35 0.15 0.912 1.37 1.37 1.23 0.14 32940.0 82.77 74.49 8.28 n/a 562. Other Point 5114.0 14.50 13.05 1.45 1.050 15.23 15.23 13.70 1.52 12650.0 46.83 42.15 4.68 1.050 49

TOTAL POINT SOURCES 5647.0 16.00 14.40 1.60 16.59 14.93 1.66 45590.0 129.60 116.64 12.96 105

OTC 2006 Model Rule-BOTW Point Source Glass/Fiberglass Furnaces (NOx only) effective 1/1/2009 -1

NET TOTAL POINT SOURCES 5647.0 16.00 14.40 1.60 16.59 14.93 1.66 45590.0 129.60 116.64 12.96 103.

AREA SOURCES Waste Treatment 1. POTW's 2630020000 511.4 1.40 0.97 0.43 1.075 1.51 1.51 1.04 0.46 

2. HW TSDF 2640000000 84.1 0.23 0.08 0.15 1.075 0.25 0.25 0.09 0.16 3. MSW Landfills 2620030000 1497.2 4.10 2.99 1.12 1.018 4.17 4.17 3.04 1.14 Total Waste Management 2092.7 5.73 4.04 1.70 5.93 4.17 1.76

 Gasoline Distribution

1. Tank Truck Unl. (Stage 1) 2501060051 2081.4 6.72 5.65 1.08 1.023 6.87 6.87 5.78 1.10 2. Vehicle Refuel. (Stage 11) In On-Road Mobile category 3. Underground Tank Breath. 2501060201 1425.6 3.91 3.28 0.62 1.023 4.00 4.00 3.36 0.63 4. Transit Losses 2505030120 213.3 0.69 0.58 0.11 1.023 0.71 0.71 0.59 0.11 5. Aircraft Refuel. 2275900101 275.8 0.76 0.73 0.03 1.021 0.78 0.78 0.75 0.03 6. Petro Vessel Unload. 2505020000 459.0 1.25 1.25 0.00 1.023 1.28 1.28 1.28 0.00 7. Portable Fuel Contain Resident 2501011000 5534.3 15.16 13.03 2.13 0.089 1.028 15.58 14.20 12.20 1.99 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Tables 3.8 & 3-9 an

8. Portable Fuel Contain Commerc 2501012000 1054.2 2.89 2.48 0.41 0.089 1.028 2.97 2.71 2.32 0.38 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Tables 3.8 & 3-9 anTotal Gasoline Distribution 11043.6 31.38 27.00 4.38 30.54 26.28 4.26

 Stationary Source Solvent Evap.

1. Dry Cleaning 2420000000 9.0 0.03 0.03 0.00 1.043 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.00 2. Solvent Clean -Degr Cold Cln 2415300000 6456.5 24.83 21.50 3.33 0.34 0.952 23.64 15.60 13.51 2.09 2009 Reductions derived from Pechan/OTC TSD Model Rules March 31 2001 Ta

2. Solvent Clean -Degr Vapor 2415100000 2021.1 7.77 6.73 1.04 0.952 7.40 7.40 6.41 0.993. Consumer Products -Solvents 2465000000 22690.1 62.16 54.26 7.91 0.16 1.030 64.02 53.84 47.00 6.85 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Table 3.7 and Appe4. Graphic Arts: 2425000000 3683.1 14.17 12.28 1.89 1.015 14.38 14.38 12.46 1.92 5. Industrial Adhesives -Point 402007XX 347.4 0.95 0.81 0.14 0.22 1.425 1.35 1.06 0.90 0.16 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Table 3.5 and Appe

6. Indus/comm Adhesives-Area 2440020000 3526.9 9.66 8.21 1.45 0.64 1.380 13.33 4.80 4.08 0.72 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Table 3.5 and AppeTotal Solvent Evaporation 38734.1 119.57 103.82 15.76 97.11 84.39 12.73

 Non-Indus. Surface Coating:

1. Auto. Refinish 2401005000 2380.5 9.16 7.84 1.31 1.023 9.37 9.37 8.02 1.34 2. AIM Architect. Coating 2401001000 11827.2 42.12 36.77 5.36 0.31 1.023 43.09 29.73 25.95 3.78 2009 Reductions derived from Pechan/OTC TSD Model Rules March 31 2001 Ta

3. AIM Traffic Marking 2401008000 1285.6 4.58 4.00 0.58 0.31 1.020 4.67 3.22 2.82 0.41 2009 Reductions derived from Pechan/OTC TSD Model Rules March 31 2001 Ta3.AIM High Perf. Maintenance 2401100000 2056.9 7.33 6.39 0.93 0.31 0.940 6.89 4.75 4.14 0.60 2009 Reductions derived from Pechan/OTC TSD Model Rules March 31 2001 Ta4. AIM Oth. Speclty Purp Coat 2401200000 2056.9 7.33 6.39 0.93 0.31 0.950 6.96 4.80 4.19 0.61 2009 Reductions derived from Pechan/OTC TSD Model Rules March 31 2001 TaTotal Auto Ref & AIM Coating 19607.1 70.52 61.39 9.11 51.88 45.12 6.74

 Industrial Coating:

 1. Furniture & Fixtures 2401020000 2560.4 9.85 8.42 1.43 1.000 9.85 9.85 8.42 1.43 

2. Metal Containers 2401040000 201.6 0.78 0.61 0.16 0.957 0.75 0.75 0.58 0.15 3. Motor Vehicles New 2401070000 121.1 0.47 0.41 0.05 1.070 0.50 0.50 0.44 0.05 4. Machinery & Equip. 2401055000 3687.4 14.18 12.22 1.96 0.960 13.61 13.61 11.73 1.88 5. Appliances 2401060000 863.9 3.32 2.85 0.47 0.878 2.91 2.91 2.50 0.41 6. Other Transportation Equip. 2401990000 439.1 1.69 1.42 0.26 1.070 1.81 1.81 1.52 0.28 7. Metal Sheet, Strip,Coil 2401045000 956.3 3.68 3.30 0.37 0.946 3.48 3.48 3.12 0.35 8. Factory Finished Wood 2401015000 2736.6 10.53 9.13 1.39 1.000 10.53 10.53 9.13 1.39 9. Electric Insulation 2401065000 820.7 3.16 2.73 0.43 0.884 2.79 2.79 2.41 0.38 10. Other Prod. Coating 2401090000 1928.3 7.42 6.47 0.94 0.950 7.05 7.05 6.15 0.89 11. Marine Coatings 2401080000 242.1 0.93 0.81 0.12 1.070 1.00 1.00 0.87 0.13 Total Industrial Coating 14557.5 56.01 48.37 7.58 54.28 46.87 7.35

 Miscelleneous Solvents:

1. Cutback Asphalt 2461022000 328.5 3.64 3.18 0.46 1.00 1.018 3.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Table 3.6 and Appe

2. Emulsified Asphalt 2461021000 434.4 4.79 4.18 0.61 0.90 1.018 4.88 0.49 0.43 0.06 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Table 3.6 and Appe3. Pesticide Use 2461800000 910.7 4.26 2.97 1.29 1.029 4.38 4.38 3.06 1.33 4. Bakeries 2302050000 648.3 1.78 1.61 0.16 1.073 1.91 1.91 1.73 0.17 5. Breweries/Wineries 2302070001 86.8 0.24 0.21 0.03 1.018 0.24 0.24 0.21 0.03 6. Petroleum Spills 2830000000 327.3 0.90 0.73 0.17 1.023 0.92 0.92 0.75 0.17 7. Asphalt Roofing 2461023000 536.7 2.41 1.95 0.46 1.115 2.69 2.69 2.17 0.51 10.4 0.05 0.04 0.01 1.015 08. Leaking USTs 2660000000 6.1 0.02 0.01 0.00 1.018 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.00 Total Miscellaneous Solvents 3278.8 18.04 14.84 3.18 10.65 8.36 2.28 10.40 0.05 0.04 0.01 0

 Small Statonary Fuel Combustion

1. Residential Coal 2104002000 10.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.071 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.071 02. Residential D.Oil 2104004000 330.4 0.32 0.28 0.04 1.064 0.34 0.34 0.30 0.04 8340.9 8.16 7.12 1.04 1.074 83. Residential N.Gas 2104006000 300.5 0.29 0.25 0.04 1.126 0.33 0.33 0.28 0.05 5136.1 5.02 4.38 0.64 1.118 54. Residential Wood-burning 2104008000 66217.0 15.14 13.01 2.13 1.042 15.78 15.78 13.56 2.22 1332.0 0.17 0.15 0.02 1.064 05. Residential Kerosene 2104011000 2.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.765 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.6 0.05 0.04 0.01 1.739 06. Residential LPG 2104007000 18.5 0.02 0.02 0.00 1.031 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 863.6 0.85 0.74 0.11 1.019 0Total Residential Fuel 66878.4 15.77 13.56 2.21 16.46 14.16 2.31 15727.2 14.25 12.43 1.82 15
 APPENDIX 3B MA 2002 TO 2009 VOC & NOx PROJECTIONS BY CATEGORIES - Tons per Year (TPY) and Summer Day (TPSD) Eastern & We

ks/inv2002-sip-rfp/RFP-2009-ema-wma-projections/ jan.29//2008

ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL PRE-CTL POST-CTL POST-CTL POST-CTL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL PROJECT

VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC NOx NOx NOx NOx NOx N

2002 2002 2002 2002 2002-09 2009 2009 2009 2009 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002-09 20

SOURCE CATEGORY SCC TPY TPSD TPSD TPSD 2009 GR.FAC TPSD TPSD TPSD TPSD TPY TPSD TPSD TPSD GR.FAC TP

STATE STATE E.MA W.MA CTL STATE STATE STATE E.MA W.MA STATE STATE E.MA W.MA STATE STA

1. Commercial/Instit Coal 2103001000 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.045 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.045 02. Commercial/Instit D.Oil 2103004000 26.6 0.03 0.02 0.01 1.228 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 1566.6 1.81 1.57 0.24 1.225 23. Commercial/Instit R.Oil 2103005000 0.7 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.615 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.5 0.04 0.03 0.01 1.676 04. Commercial/Instit N.Gas 2103006000 168.2 0.19 0.16 0.03 1.126 0.21 0.21 0.18 0.03 3059.0 3.53 3.06 0.47 1.103 35. Commercial/Instit Kerosene 2103011000 0.5 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.332 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.0 0.04 0.03 0.01 1.332 06. Commercial/Instit LPG 2103007000 3.3 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.082 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 152.3 0.18 0.16 0.02 1.082 07. Commercial/Instit Wood & Prod 2103081000 15.3 0.02 0.02 0.00 1.000 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.00 198.0 0.23 0.20 0.03 1.000 0Total Commercial/Instit Fuel 214.6 0.24 0.20 0.04 0.27 0.22 0.05 5042.4 5.83 5.05 0.78 6

1. Small Industrial Coal 2102001000 0.1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.951 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.8 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.951 02. Small Industrial D.Oil 2102004000 22.0 0.03 0.02 0.01 1.020 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 388.7 0.54 0.47 0.07 1.018 03. Small Industrial R.Oil 2102005000 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.950 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.956 04. Small Industrial N.Gas 2102006000 443.3 0.61 0.53 0.08 1.189 0.73 0.73 0.63 0.10 8060.6 11.16 9.66 1.50 1.163 135. Small Industrial Kerosene 2102011000 0.1 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.9 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.000 06. Small Industrial LPG 2102001000 6.1 0.01 0.01 0.00 1.019 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.00 283.5 0.39 0.33 0.06 1.014 07. Small Industrial Wood-Products 2102008000 362.1 0.50 0.43 0.07 1.173 0.59 0.59 0.50 0.08 4686.0 6.49 5.58 0.91 1.149 7Total Small Industrial Fuel 833.7 1.15 0.99 0.16 1.35 1.17 0.19 13433.5 18.60 16.06 2.54 211. Open Burning -M.Solid Waste 2610030000 0.8 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.2 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.020 02. Open Burning -Brush Waste 2610000400 174.3 0.13 0.10 0.03 1.024 0.13 0.13 0.10 0.03 45.9 0.03 0.02 0.01 1.020 03. Open Burning -Leaf Burning 2610000100 17.3 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.8 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.020 04. Open Burning -Yard Waste 2610040400 142.3 0.11 0.09 0.02 1.024 0.11 0.11 0.09 0.02 37.5 0.03 0.02 0.01 1.020 0Total Open Burning 334.7 0.24 0.19 0.05 0.25 0.19 0.05 88.4 0.06 0.04 0.02 01. Wildfires: Forest/Brush 2810001000 345.3 1.69 1.36 0.33 1.000 1.69 1.69 1.36 0.33 57.2 0.28 0.23 0.05 1.000 02. Structural Fires 2810030000 75.9 0.18 0.15 0.02 1.000 0.18 0.18 0.15 0.02 9.7 0.02 0.02 0.00 1.000 03. Vehicle Fires 2610000000 17.3 0.05 0.04 0.01 1.000 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.01 2.2 0.01 0.01 0.00 1.000 04. Food Preparation Backyard Grills 2810025000 374.8 3.26 2.78 0.48 1.018 3.32 3.32 2.83 0.49 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.015 05. Food Prep - Commercial Charbroi 2302002000 642.7 1.76 1.53 0.23 1.045 1.84 1.84 1.60 0.24 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.039 06. Food Prep - Comm. Deep Fat Fryi 2302003000 722.1 1.98 1.72 0.26 1.045 2.07 2.07 1.80 0.27 0.0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.039 0Total Other Fires and Cooking 2178.1 8.92 7.58 1.33 9.15 7.78 1.36 69.1 0.31 0.26 0.05 0

TOTAL COMBUSTION 70439.5 26.32 22.52 3.79 27.48 23.52 3.95 34360.6 39.05 33.84 5.21 44

TOTAL AREA SOURCE 159753.3 327.57 281.98 45.50 277.88 238.71 39.08 34371.0 39.10 33.88 5.22 44.ON-ROAD MOBILE* 57185.5 151.89 127.41 24.47 74.23 63.50 10.73 143367.6 453.05 381.35 71.70 202.

OFF-ROAD MOBILE OFF-HIGHWAY

 Aircraft -Logan 2275050000 206.5 0.57 0.57 0.00 1.190 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.00 1294.7 3.55 3.55 0.00 1.176 4 Aircraft -Others 2275050000 792.5 2.17 1.73 0.44 1.150 2.50 2.50 1.99 0.51 1821.1 4.99 1.65 3.34 1.139 51. Total Aircraft 999.0 2.74 2.30 0.44 3.17 2.67 0.51 3115.8 8.54 5.19 3.34 92. Railroads 2285002000 309.8 0.85 0.59 0.26 0.950 0.81 0.81 0.56 0.25 7154.0 19.60 13.65 5.95 0.955 183. Commercial Marine Vessels 2280020010 432.6 1.19 1.19 0.00 1.020 1.21 1.21 1.21 0.00 2589.9 7.10 7.10 0.00 1.016 7Total Off-Highway 1741.4 4.78 4.08 0.70 5.20 4.44 0.75 12859.7 35.24 25.94 9.29 35

 NONROAD MODEL EQUIPMENT

1. Agricultural Equipment 0.25 0.18 1.76 12. Airport Eq 0.06 0.05 0.57 3. Commercial Eq 15.40 12.28 9.13 84. Construction & Mining 7.83 5.16 42.39 35. Industrial Equipment 8.71 4.76 35.32 226. Lawn & Garden -Commercial 53.66 30.62 9.97 87. Lawn & Garden -Residential 34.71 29.32 2.52 28. Logging Eq 0.26 0.16 0.42 09. Pleasure Craft 84.68 65.69 6.47 810.Railroad Eq 0.01 0.01 0.02 011.Recreational Eq 13.47 18.62 0.78 0

 SUBTOTAL NON-ROAD MODEL EQ 54835.8 219.04 192.11 26.97 166.85 144.83 22.01 30046.7 109.35 96.15 13.13 88

Portable fuel containers NonRoad PFC NonRoad CE 0.058: -0.50 -0.43 -0.07 2009 CE & benefits derived from MACTEC/OTC TSD 2/28/07 Table 3.9 and Appe

166.35 144.40 21.94

TOTAL OFF-ROAD MOBILE 56577.2 223.82 196.19 27.67 171.55 148.84 22.69 42906.4 144.59 122.09 22.42 124.

 ANTHROPOGENIC TOTAL 279163.0 719.28 619.98 99.24 540.25 465.99 74.17 266235.0 766.34 653.96 112.30 475.

Totals may not add up correctly due to rounding1. DEP used MACTEC/OTC "Identification & Evaluation of Candidate Control Measures" TSD 2/28/2007 Tables 1-2, 3-5 to 3-9 and Appendix D tables for control efficiencies and reduction benefits for PFCs, Consumer Products, Adhesives & Sealants, and Asphalt Paving. 2. Reductions for Solvent Cleaning and AIM were derived from Pechan/OTC "Control Measure Development Support Analysis of Ozone Transport Commission Model Rules", (OTC MR) March 31 200, Section D-2 and Table IV-6.

OTC MR has CE 66% for Solvent Cleaning, but MA already has 32% in place before 2002, so the 34% remainder is the net 2009 benefit. For the 4 AIM sub-categries, a benefit of 19 tons divided by the 2009 uncontrolled emissions of 61.6 tons gives a 31% control efficiency.

* 2009 On-Road Mobile projections from 2008 Mobile Source Emission Budgets prepared MA Office of Transportation Planning 10/17/2007n/a - not applicableDOE - US Department of Energy
 APPENDIX 3B MA 2002 TO 2009 VOC & NOx PROJECTIONS BY CATEGORIES - Tons per Year (TPY) and Summer Day (TPSD) Eastern & We

ks/inv2002-sip-rfp/RFP-2009-ema-wma-projections/ jan.29//2008

ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL PRE-CTL POST-CTL POST-CTL POST-CTL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL ACTUAL PROJECT

VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC VOC NOx NOx NOx NOx NOx N

2002 2002 2002 2002 2002-09 2009 2009 2009 2009 2002 2002 2002 2002 2002-09 20

SOURCE CATEGORY SCC TPY TPSD TPSD TPSD 2009 GR.FAC TPSD TPSD TPSD TPSD TPY TPSD TPSD TPSD GR.FAC TP

STATE STATE E.MA W.MA CTL STATE STATE STATE E.MA W.MA STATE STATE E.MA W.MA STATE STA