Author: Abt Associates Inc.

Date Created: 11/30/2009

Date Modified: 4/1/2011

Purpose:

Calculates economic impact (income, jobs, earnings) of individual 316(b) regulatory options on a total economy basis, on a year-by-year, affected

sector basis, accounting for activity effect of compliance outlays and loss in ouput from increased electricity rates

File Contents:

Worksheet Contents

Total, Summarized, tbs 9 & 10 Summary results tables for reporting in the EA chapter

Total, Generators and Mfg Compilation of total economic impact results, on year-by-year basis across Electric Generator and Manufacturers sectors

Generators Analysis of total economic impact, on year-by-year basis, for Electric Generators

Total Mfg Compilation of total economic impact results, on year-by-year basis across individual Manufacturers sectors

Pulp, Paper Analysis of total economic impact, on year-by-year basis, for Pulp and Paper manufacturers sector

Refineries Analysis of total economic impact, on year-by-year basis, for Refineries manufacturers sector

Aluminum Analysis of total economic impact, on year-by-year basis, for Aluminum manufacturers sector

Iron, Steel Analysis of total economic impact, on year-by-year basis, for Iron and Steel manufacturers sector

Chemicals Analysis of total economic impact, on year-by-year basis, for Chemicals manufacturers sector

Food, Kindred Products Analysis of total economic impact, on year-by-year basis, for Food and Kindred Products manufacturers sector

RIMS Mult Matrix Specific RIMS multipliers assigned to sectors for this analysis

Summary Results Summary results tables for export to Total Economic Impact Analysis file

Input Files:

External data used in calculations/analysis:

Analysis of Total Economic Impact

for 316(b) Existing Facilities Rule

Options

Provides compliance costs and business impact (change in income and employment in direct impact sectors) from electricity rate impact analysis for

use in calculating multiplier-based effects on income and employment.

File_Info 1 of 29
Output Effect, Reported as Average Annual Values by Effect Category for Indicated Time Periods SUMS, BEFORE CALCULATING ANNUAL AVERAGE

(millions, $2009) x x x x x

x x x x x Total Output Effect

x Compliance Outlay Effects Household Demand with x Demand with Compliance Outlay Effects Household Demand with

Year Interval

Initial/

One-Time Recurring

Sector

Effects

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity x

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity

Initial/

One-Time Recurring

Sector

Effects

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity

Option 3: Cooling Towers Everywhere

2012 - 2017 $2,647 $16 -$4,403 -$4,521 -$1,609 x -$6,261 -$3,349 15,880 95 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2018 - 2022 $30,773 $3,371 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 x $23,436 $26,931 153,867 16,855 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2023 - 2027 $11,310 $7,331 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 x $7,932 $11,426 56,548 36,654 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2028 - 2031 $0 $8,468 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 xx -$2,240 $1,254 0 33,873 -21,133 -21,699 -7,722

2032 - 2036 $24 $8,468 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 x -$2,216 $1,278 120 42,341 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2037 - 2041 $23 $8,468 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 x -$2,217 $1,277 116 42,341 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2042 - 2046 $41 $8,468 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 x -$2,199 $1,295 205 42,341 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2047 - 2051 $10 $8,468 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 x -$2,230 $1,264 51 42,341 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2052 - 2056 $0 $5,076 -$5,283 -$5,425 -$1,931 x -$5,632 -$2,137 1 25,381 -26,417 -27,124 -9,653

2012 - 2056 $5,040 $6,272 -$5,166 -$5,304 -$1,888 x $841 $4,258 226,788 282,224 -232,468 -238,693 -84,945

Employment Effect, Reported as Average Annual Values by Effect Category for Indicated Time Periods SUMS, BEFORE CALCULATING ANNUAL AVERAGE

(full-time-equivalent jobs) x x x x x

x x x x x Total Output Effect

x Compliance Outlay Effects Household Demand with x Demand with Compliance Outlay Effects Household Demand with

Year Interval

Initial/

One-Time Recurring

Sector

Effects

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity x

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity

Initial/

One-Time Recurring

Sector

Effects

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity

Option 3: Cooling Towers Everywhere

2012 - 2017 20,096 66 -33,353 -41,543 -29,664 x -54,734 -42,855 120,576 397 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2018 - 2022 228,047 12,879 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 x 151,051 165,306 1,140,236 64,396 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2023 - 2027 84,294 28,081 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 x 22,499 36,754 421,468 140,404 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2028 - 2031 0 32,454 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 xx -57,421 -43,167 0 129,815 -160,093 -199,407 -142,389

2032 - 2036 187 32,454 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 x -57,235 -42,980 933 162,269 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2037 - 2041 179 32,454 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 x -57,242 -42,987 896 162,269 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2042 - 2046 318 32,454 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 x -57,103 -42,848 1,592 162,269 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2047 - 2051 79 32,454 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 x -57,343 -43,088 393 162,269 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2052 - 2056 2 19,451 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 x -70,422 -56,168 9 97,254 -200,116 -249,259 -177,986

2012 - 2056 37,469 24,030 -39,134 -48,744 -34,806 x -26,379 -12,441 1,686,103 1,081,342 -1,761,019 -2,193,478 -1,566,279

Electricity Price Effects

in Dependent Product

Electricity Price Effects in

Dependent Product

Electricity Price Effects

in Dependent Product

Electricity Price Effects in

Dependent Product

Total, Summarized, tbs 9 & 10 2 of 29
Total Output Effect

Demand with

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity

-37,566 -20,095

117,181 134,653

39,661 57,132

-8,960 5,017

-11,079 6,392

-11,084 6,387

-10,994 6,477

-11,149 6,322

-28,159 -10,687

37,851 191,599

Total Output Effect

Demand with

Elasticity

only

Supply

Elasticity

-328,402 -257,129

755,257 826,530

112,497 183,770

-229,684 -172,666

-286,173 -214,900

-286,209 -214,937

-285,514 -214,241

-286,713 -215,440

-352,112 -280,839

-1,187,052 -559,853

Total, Summarized, tbs 9 & 10 3 of 29
Output

Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household Total Output Effect Construction

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Household

Sector

Bsns Elec w/o

ES

Bsns Elec

with ES without ES with ES Capital

2012 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 4 4 0

2013 55 122 4 2 0 4 1 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -10,522 -7,027 426

2014 56 122 4 4 0 8 1 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -10,515 -7,021 430

2015 56 122 4 6 0 12 1 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -10,508 -7,014 435

2016 56 122 4 8 0 16 1 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -10,502 -7,008 435

2017 15,025 122 7 10 1 20 1 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 4,476 7,971 116,422

2018 29,964 2,641 7 193 2 30 920 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 23,048 26,542 232,183

2019 29,964 2,641 7 375 2 41 1,841 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 24,161 27,655 232,183

2020 29,964 2,641 7 557 2 51 2,761 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 25,274 28,768 232,183

2021 29,964 2,641 7 740 2 62 3,681 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 26,387 29,881 232,183

2022 20,770 2,641 11 922 2 72 4,601 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 18,311 21,805 160,941

2023 11,608 848 11 997 4 79 5,104 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 7,943 11,437 89,945

2024 11,608 848 11 1,071 4 86 5,596 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 8,516 12,010 89,945

2025 11,608 848 11 1,146 4 92 6,087 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 9,088 12,583 89,945

2026 11,608 848 11 1,221 4 99 6,579 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 9,661 13,155 89,945

2027 5,833 848 0 1,295 9 106 7,070 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 4,453 7,947 45,200

2028 0 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,240 1,254 0

2029 0 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,240 1,254 0

2030 0 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,240 1,254 0

2031 0 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,240 1,254 0

2032 0 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,240 1,254 0

2033 30 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,210 1,284 233

2034 30 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,210 1,284 233

2035 30 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,210 1,284 233

2036 30 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,210 1,284 233

2037 30 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,210 1,284 233

2038 21 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,219 1,276 166

2039 21 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,219 1,276 166

2040 21 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,219 1,276 166

2041 21 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,219 1,276 166

2042 21 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,219 1,276 166

2043 46 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,194 1,300 357

2044 46 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,194 1,300 357

2045 46 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,194 1,300 357

2046 46 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,194 1,300 357

2047 46 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,194 1,300 357

2048 1 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,239 1,256 9

2049 1 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,239 1,256 9

2050 1 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,239 1,256 9

2051 1 0 0 1,295 9 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,239 1,256 9

2052 1 0 0 1,295 4 106 7,058 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -2,244 1,250 9

Total, Generators & Mfg 4 of 29
Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

Employment

Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household Total Employment Effect

Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Household

Sector

Bsns Elec

w/o ES

Bsns Elec

with ES without ES with ES

0 15 0 0 0 0 0 0.0 0 15 15

465 16 8 0 16 4 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -88,941 -74,686

465 16 16 0 33 4 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -88,911 -74,656

465 16 25 0 50 4 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -88,880 -74,626

465 16 33 0 67 4 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -88,855 -74,601

465 25 42 4 84 4 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 27,170 41,424

10,082 25 738 7 123 3,513 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 156,796 171,051

10,082 25 1,434 7 163 7,026 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 161,045 175,300

10,082 25 2,129 7 203 10,540 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 165,294 179,549

10,082 25 2,825 7 243 14,053 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 169,543 183,798

10,082 53 3,521 7 283 17,566 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 102,578 116,833

3,255 53 3,822 18 315 19,504 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 27,038 41,292

3,255 53 4,123 18 347 21,380 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 29,246 43,501

3,255 53 4,424 18 379 23,256 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 31,455 45,709

3,255 53 4,724 18 411 25,132 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 33,663 47,918

3,255 0 5,025 40 443 27,008 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -8,904 5,351

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,421 -43,167

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,421 -43,167

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,421 -43,167

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,421 -43,167

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,421 -43,167

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,188 -42,933

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,188 -42,933

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,188 -42,933

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,188 -42,933

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,188 -42,933

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,255 -43,001

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,255 -43,001

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,255 -43,001

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,255 -43,001

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,255 -43,001

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,065 -42,810

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,065 -42,810

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,065 -42,810

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,065 -42,810

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,065 -42,810

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,412 -43,158

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,412 -43,158

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,412 -43,158

0 0 5,025 41 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,412 -43,158

0 0 5,025 15 443 26,945 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -57,438 -43,184

Total, Generators & Mfg 5 of 29
Output

Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household Total Output Effect Construction

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Household

Sector

Bsns Elec w/o

ES

Bsns Elec

with ES without ES with ES Capital

2053 0 0 0 1,036 0 85 5,646 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -3,941 -447 0

2054 0 0 0 777 0 63 4,235 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -5,633 -2,138 0

2055 0 0 0 518 0 42 2,823 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -7,325 -3,830 0

2056 0 0 0 259 0 21 1,412 -5,283 -5,425 -1,931 -9,016 -5,522 0

Present value

7.0% 39,466 83,742

3.0% 51,017 133,300

Annualized value

7.0% 2,901 6,155

3.0% 2,081 5,437

Total, Generators & Mfg 6 of 29
Year

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household Total Employment Effect

Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Household

Sector

Bsns Elec

w/o ES

Bsns Elec

with ES without ES with ES

0 0 4,020 0 354 21,556 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -63,945 -49,690

0 0 3,015 0 266 16,167 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -70,427 -56,173

0 0 2,010 0 177 10,778 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -76,910 -62,655

0 0 1,005 0 89 5,389 -40,023 -49,852 -35,597 -83,392 -69,138

Present value

7.0% -43,169 137,449

3.0% -343,494 -7,830

Annualized value

7.0% -3,173 10,102

3.0% -14,009 -319

Total, Generators & Mfg 7 of 29
Utility Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Annual Rate

Recovery Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

2012 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0

2013 13.8 54.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.0 -2,235.1 44 121 2 1 0 2 0

2014 13.9 54.6 0.8 1.3 0.0 1.8 0.0 -2,235.1 45 121 2 3 0 4 0

2015 14.1 54.6 0.8 1.9 0.0 2.7 0.0 -2,235.1 46 121 2 4 0 6 0

2016 14.1 54.6 0.8 2.5 0.0 3.6 0.0 -2,235.1 46 121 2 6 0 8 0

2017 4,643.1 54.6 2.9 3.2 0.0 4.5 0.0 -2,235.1 15,014 121 7 7 0 10 0

2018 9,266.4 1,192.7 2.9 85.5 0.3 9.2 415.6 -2,235.1 29,964 2,641 7 189 1 20 920

2019 9,266.4 1,192.7 2.9 167.8 0.3 13.9 831.2 -2,235.1 29,964 2,641 7 372 1 31 1,841

2020 9,266.4 1,192.7 2.9 250.1 0.3 18.6 1,246.8 -2,235.1 29,964 2,641 7 554 1 41 2,761

2021 9,266.4 1,192.7 2.9 332.5 0.3 23.4 1,662.4 -2,235.1 29,964 2,641 7 736 1 52 3,681

2022 6,179.3 1,192.7 0.3 414.8 0.3 28.1 2,078.0 -2,235.1 19,981 2,641 1 919 1 62 4,601

2023 3,083.9 377.7 0.3 441.8 1.6 28.5 2,299.9 -2,235.1 9,972 836 1 978 4 63 5,093

2024 3,083.9 377.7 0.3 468.8 1.6 29.0 2,521.8 -2,235.1 9,972 836 1 1,038 4 64 5,584

2025 3,083.9 377.7 0.3 495.8 1.6 29.5 2,743.7 -2,235.1 9,972 836 1 1,098 4 65 6,075

2026 3,083.9 377.7 0.3 522.8 1.6 29.9 2,965.6 -2,235.1 9,972 836 1 1,158 4 66 6,567

2027 1,542.0 377.7 0.0 549.8 1.6 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 4,986 836 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2028 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2029 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2030 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2031 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2032 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2033 7.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 25 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2034 7.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 25 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2035 7.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 25 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2036 7.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 25 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2037 7.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 25 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2038 6.6 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 21 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2039 6.6 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 21 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2040 6.6 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 21 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2041 6.6 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 21 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2042 6.6 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 21 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2043 1.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 6 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2044 1.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 6 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2045 1.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 6 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2046 1.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 6 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2047 1.8 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 6 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2048 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2049 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2050 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2051 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2052 0.0 0.0 0.0 549.8 1.8 30.4 3,187.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 1,217 4 67 7,058

2053 0.0 0.0 0.0 439.8 0.0 24.3 2,550.0 -2,235.1 0 0 0 974 0 54 5,646

2054 0.0 0.0 0.0 329.9 0.0 18.2 1,912.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 730 0 40 4,235

2055 0.0 0.0 0.0 219.9 0.0 12.2 1,275.0 -2,235.1 0 0 0 487 0 27 2,823

2056 0.0 0.0 0.0 110.0 0.0 6.1 637.5 -2,235.1 0 0 0 243 0 13 1,412

Generators 8 of 29
Utility Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Household Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household

Annual Rate

Recovery Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Annual Rate

Recovery

0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0

-5,186 345 461 7 5 0 7 0 -39,286

-5,186 349 461 7 11 0 15 0 -39,286

-5,186 353 461 7 16 0 23 0 -39,286

-5,186 353 461 7 21 0 30 0 -39,286

-5,186 116,339 461 25 27 0 38 0 -39,286

-5,186 232,183 10,082 25 723 3 78 3,513 -39,286

-5,186 232,183 10,082 25 1,419 3 118 7,026 -39,286

-5,186 232,183 10,082 25 2,115 3 158 10,540 -39,286

-5,186 232,183 10,082 25 2,811 3 197 14,053 -39,286

-5,186 154,832 10,082 2 3,506 3 237 17,566 -39,286

-5,186 77,272 3,193 2 3,735 14 241 19,442 -39,286

-5,186 77,272 3,193 2 3,963 14 245 21,317 -39,286

-5,186 77,272 3,193 2 4,191 14 249 23,193 -39,286

-5,186 77,272 3,193 2 4,419 14 253 25,069 -39,286

-5,186 38,636 3,193 0 4,647 14 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 195 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 195 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 195 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 195 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 195 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 166 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 166 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 166 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 166 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 166 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 46 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 46 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 46 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 46 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 46 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 4,647 15 257 26,945 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 3,718 0 205 21,556 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 2,788 0 154 16,167 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 1,859 0 103 10,778 -39,286

-5,186 0 0 0 929 0 51 5,389 -39,286

Generators 9 of 29
Utility Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Annual Rate

Recovery Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Totals 200,168 17,991 43 41,148 119 2,379 234,749

Average Annual Values, by relevant time period

2013-2017 40,034 3,598 9 8,230 24 476 46,950

2013-2027 13,345 1,199 3 2,743 8 159 15,650

2013-2046 5,887 529 1 1,210 4 70 6,904

2018-2046 6,902 620 1 1,419 4 82 8,095

2018-2056 5,133 461 1 1,055 3 61 6,019

2013-2056 4,549 409 1 935 3 54 5,335

Output Employment

Initial outlays Recurring res elec effs Initial outlays Recurring res elec effs

2013-2017 43,640 55,679 -45,638 323,981 212,559 -345,720

2013-2027 14,547 18,560 -15,213 107,994 70,853 -115,240

2013-2046 6,418 8,188 -6,711 47,644 31,259 -50,841

2018-2046 7,524 9,600 -7,869 55,859 36,648 -59,607

2018-2056 5,595 7,138 -5,851 41,536 27,251 -44,323

2013-2056 4,959 6,327 -5,186 36,816 24,154 -39,286

Generators 10 of 29
Utility Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

Totals

Average Annual Values, by relevant time period

2013-2017

2013-2027

2013-2046

2018-2046

2018-2056

2013-2056

2013-2017

2013-2027

2013-2046

2018-2046

2018-2056

2013-2056

Employment

Household Construction Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Utilities Household

Annual Rate

Recovery Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

Annual Rate

Recovery

-228,188 1,551,058 68,683 162 157,086 455 9,080 896,175 -1,728,598

-45,638 310,212 13,737 32 31,417 91 1,816 179,235 -345,720

-15,213 103,404 4,579 11 10,472 30 605 59,745 -115,240

-6,711 45,619 2,020 5 4,620 13 267 26,358 -50,841

-7,869 53,485 2,368 6 5,417 16 313 30,903 -59,607

-5,851 39,771 1,761 4 4,028 12 233 22,979 -44,323

-5,186 35,251 1,561 4 3,570 10 206 20,368 -39,286

Generators 11 of 29
Aggregate Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

2012 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0

2013 3.2 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.2 -41.9 10.4 0.7 1.9 0.7 0.0 2.0

2014 3.3 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.0 1.4 0.2 -41.9 10.6 0.7 1.9 1.3 0.0 4.0

2015 3.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 2.2 0.2 -41.9 10.7 0.7 2.0 2.0 0.0 6.0

2016 3.3 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.0 2.9 0.2 -41.9 10.7 0.7 2.0 2.7 0.0 8.0

2017 3.3 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.3 3.6 0.2 -41.9 10.7 0.7 0.0 3.4 0.9 10.1

2018 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.3 3.6 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.9 10.1

2019 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.3 3.6 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.9 10.1

2020 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.3 3.6 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.9 10.1

2021 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.3 3.6 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.9 10.1

2022 243.8 0.0 3.4 1.2 0.3 3.6 0.0 -41.9 788.4 0.0 10.2 3.4 0.9 10.1

2023 505.8 3.9 3.4 6.3 0.3 5.5 3.9 -41.9 1635.5 11.8 10.2 18.3 0.9 15.7

2024 505.8 3.9 3.4 11.4 0.3 7.4 3.9 -41.9 1635.5 11.8 10.2 33.2 0.9 21.4

2025 505.8 3.9 3.4 16.4 0.3 9.3 3.9 -41.9 1635.5 11.8 10.2 48.1 0.9 27.1

2026 505.8 3.9 3.4 21.5 0.3 11.2 3.9 -41.9 1635.5 11.8 10.2 63.1 0.9 32.7

2027 262.0 3.9 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 3.9 -41.9 847.1 11.8 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2028 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2029 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2030 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2031 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2032 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2033 1.5 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2034 1.5 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2035 1.5 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2036 1.5 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2037 1.5 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 4.9 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2038 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2039 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2040 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2041 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2042 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2043 12.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 40.1 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2044 12.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 40.1 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2045 12.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 40.1 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2046 12.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 40.1 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2047 12.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 40.1 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2048 0.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2049 0.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2050 0.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

2051 0.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 1.8 13.0 0.0 -41.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 78.0 5.3 38.4

Total Mfg 12 of 29
Aggregate Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

Employment

household household

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0.0 0.0 0 0 9 0 0 0 0 0

0.7 -97.3 81 4 9 3 0 9 4 -737

0.7 -97.3 82 4 9 6 0 18 4 -737

0.7 -97.3 83 4 9 9 0 27 4 -737

0.7 -97.3 83 4 9 12 0 37 4 -737

0.7 -97.3 83 4 0 15 4 46 4 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 15 4 46 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 15 4 46 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 15 4 46 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 15 4 46 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 6109 0 50 15 4 46 0 -737

11.8 -97.3 12673 63 50 87 4 74 63 -737

11.8 -97.3 12673 63 50 160 4 102 63 -737

11.8 -97.3 12673 63 50 233 4 130 63 -737

11.8 -97.3 12673 63 50 305 4 158 63 -737

11.8 -97.3 6564 63 0 378 26 186 63 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 38 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 38 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 38 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 38 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 38 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 311 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 311 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 311 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 311 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 311 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 9 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 9 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 9 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 9 0 0 378 26 186 0 -737

Total Mfg 13 of 29
Aggregate Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

2052 0.4 0.0 0.0 26.5 0.0 13.0 0.0 -41.9 1.2 0.0 0.0 78.0 0.0 38.4

2053 0.0 0.0 0.0 21.2 0.0 10.4 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 62.4 0.0 30.7

2054 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.9 0.0 7.8 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 46.8 0.0 23.0

2055 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.6 0.0 5.2 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.2 0.0 15.4

2056 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3 0.0 2.6 0.0 -41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.6 0.0 7.7

Totals 8,461 62 59 2,374 142 1,252

Average Annual Values, by relevant time period

2013-2017 1,692 12 12 475 28 250

2013-2027 564 4 4 158 9 83

2013-2046 249 2 2 70 4 37

2018-2046 292 2 2 82 5 43

2018-2056 217 2 2 61 4 32

2013-2056 192 1 1 54 3 28

Output Employment

Initial outlays Recurring cmpl cost Initial outlays Recurring cmpl cost

2013-2017 1,717 766 -856 13,237 3,709 -6,484

2013-2027 572 255 -285 4,412 1,236 -2,161

2013-2046 252 113 -126 1,947 545 -954

2018-2046 296 132 -148 2,282 639 -1,118

2018-2056 220 98 -110 1,697 476 -831

2013-2056 195 87 -97 1,504 421 -737

Total Mfg 14 of 29
Aggregate Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Year

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Totals

Average Annual Values, by relevant time period

2013-2017

2013-2027

2013-2046

2018-2046

2018-2056

2013-2056

2013-2017

2013-2027

2013-2046

2018-2046

2018-2056

2013-2056

Employment

household household

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0.0 -97.3 9 0 0 378 0 186 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 302 0 149 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 227 0 112 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 151 0 75 0 -737

0.0 -97.3 0 0 0 76 0 37 0 -737

62 -4,280 65,565 331 288 11,478 692 6,044 331 -32,420

12 -856 13,113 66 58 2,296 138 1,209 66 -6,484

4 -285 4,371 22 19 765 46 403 22 -2,161

2 -126 1,928 10 8 338 20 178 10 -954

2 -148 2,261 11 10 396 24 208 11 -1,118

2 -110 1,681 8 7 294 18 155 8 -831

1 -97 1,490 8 7 261 16 137 8 -737

Total Mfg 15 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Paper Paper Paper Paper Paper Paper Household Construction Paper Paper Paper Paper Paper Paper

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

2012 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 1 0 0 0 0

2013 0.37 0.19 0.21 0.04 0.00 0.10 0.19 1 1 1 0 0 0 1

2014 0.38 0.19 0.21 0.08 0.00 0.20 0.19 1 1 1 0 0 1 1

2015 0.38 0.19 0.21 0.12 0.00 0.30 0.19 1 1 1 0 0 1 1

2016 0.38 0.19 0.21 0.16 0.00 0.39 0.19 1 1 1 0 0 1 1

2017 0.38 0.19 0.00 0.20 0.09 0.49 0.19 1 1 0 1 0 2 1

2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.09 0.49 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 2 0

2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.09 0.49 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 2 0

2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.09 0.49 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 2 0

2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.09 0.49 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 2 0

2022 48.76 0.00 1.40 0.20 0.09 0.49 0.00 158 0 4 1 0 2 0

2023 104.99 3.69 1.40 1.74 0.09 1.38 3.69 340 11 4 5 0 4 11

2024 104.99 3.69 1.40 3.29 0.09 2.26 3.69 340 11 4 10 0 7 11

2025 104.99 3.69 1.40 4.83 0.09 3.14 3.69 340 11 4 15 0 10 11

2026 104.99 3.69 1.40 6.38 0.09 4.02 3.69 340 11 4 20 0 12 11

2027 56.23 3.69 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 3.69 182 11 0 24 2 15 11

2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2031 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2032 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2033 0.38 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 1 0 0 24 2 15 0

2034 0.38 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 1 0 0 24 2 15 0

2035 0.38 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 1 0 0 24 2 15 0

2036 0.38 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 1 0 0 24 2 15 0

2037 0.38 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 1 0 0 24 2 15 0

2038 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2039 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2040 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2041 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2042 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2043 4.35 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 14 0 0 24 2 15 0

2044 4.35 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 14 0 0 24 2 15 0

2045 4.35 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 14 0 0 24 2 15 0

2046 4.35 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 14 0 0 24 2 15 0

2047 4.35 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 14 0 0 24 2 15 0

2048 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2049 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2050 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2051 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.71 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 2 15 0

2052 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.92 0.00 4.90 0.00 0 0 0 24 0 15 0

2053 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.34 0.00 3.92 0.00 0 0 0 20 0 12 0

2054 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.75 0.00 2.94 0.00 0 0 0 15 0 9 0

2055 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.17 0.00 1.96 0.00 0 0 0 10 0 6 0

2056 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.58 0.00 0.98 0.00 0 0 0 5 0 3 0

Pulp, Paper 16 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Household Construction Paper Paper Paper Paper Paper Paper Household

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0

0 9 3 3 1 0 2 3 0

0 9 3 3 1 0 3 3 0

0 10 3 3 2 0 5 3 0

0 10 3 3 3 0 6 3 0

0 10 3 0 3 2 8 3 0

0 0 0 0 3 2 8 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 2 8 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 2 8 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 2 8 0 0

0 1,222 0 23 3 2 8 0 0

0 2,631 61 23 29 2 23 61 0

0 2,631 61 23 54 2 37 61 0

0 2,631 61 23 79 2 51 61 0

0 2,631 61 23 105 2 66 61 0

0 1,409 61 0 130 12 80 61 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 10 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 10 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 10 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 10 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 10 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 109 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 109 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 109 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 109 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 109 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 12 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 130 0 80 0 0

0 0 0 0 104 0 64 0 0

0 0 0 0 78 0 48 0 0

0 0 0 0 52 0 32 0 0

0 0 0 0 26 0 16 0 0

Pulp, Paper 17 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Household Construction Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

2012 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2013 1.12 0.00 0.15 0.09 0.00 0.23 0.00 4 0 0 0 0 1 0

2014 1.14 0.00 0.15 0.17 0.00 0.47 0.00 4 0 0 0 0 1 0

2015 1.15 0.00 0.16 0.26 0.00 0.71 0.00 4 0 0 1 0 2 0

2016 1.15 0.00 0.16 0.35 0.00 0.94 0.00 4 0 0 1 0 2 0

2017 1.15 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07 1.18 0.00 4 0 0 1 0 3 0

2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07 1.18 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07 1.18 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07 1.18 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07 1.18 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2022 23.24 0.00 0.12 0.44 0.07 1.18 0.00 75 0 0 1 0 3 0

2023 45.87 0.01 0.12 0.73 0.07 1.19 0.01 148 0 0 2 0 3 0

2024 45.87 0.01 0.12 1.03 0.07 1.21 0.01 148 0 0 2 0 3 0

2025 45.87 0.01 0.12 1.33 0.07 1.22 0.01 148 0 0 3 0 3 0

2026 45.87 0.01 0.12 1.63 0.07 1.23 0.01 148 0 0 4 0 3 0

2027 22.62 0.01 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.01 73 0 0 4 0 3 0

2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2031 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2032 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2033 0.49 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 2 0 0 4 0 3 0

2034 0.49 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 2 0 0 4 0 3 0

2035 0.49 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 2 0 0 4 0 3 0

2036 0.49 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 2 0 0 4 0 3 0

2037 0.49 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 2 0 0 4 0 3 0

2038 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2039 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2040 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2041 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2042 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2043 0.28 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 1 0 0 4 0 3 0

2044 0.28 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 1 0 0 4 0 3 0

2045 0.28 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 1 0 0 4 0 3 0

2046 0.28 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 1 0 0 4 0 3 0

2047 0.28 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 1 0 0 4 0 3 0

2048 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2049 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2050 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2051 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.12 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2052 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.92 0.00 1.25 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 3 0

2053 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.00 1.00 0.00 0 0 0 4 0 2 0

2054 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.00 0.75 0.00 0 0 0 3 0 2 0

2055 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.00 0.50 0.00 0 0 0 2 0 1 0

2056 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.25 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

Refineries 18 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Household Construction Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Petroleum Household

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0

0 28 0 1 1 0 2 0 0

0 28 0 1 1 0 4 0 0

0 29 0 1 2 0 6 0 0

0 29 0 1 3 0 7 0 0

0 29 0 0 3 1 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 1 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 1 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 1 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 1 9 0 0

0 582 0 1 3 1 9 0 0

0 1,149 0 1 6 1 9 0 0

0 1,149 0 1 8 1 10 0 0

0 1,149 0 1 11 1 10 0 0

0 1,149 0 1 13 1 10 0 0

0 567 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 12 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 12 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 12 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 12 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 12 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 7 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 7 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 7 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 7 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 7 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 1 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 15 0 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 12 0 8 0 0

0 0 0 0 9 0 6 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 0 4 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 0

Refineries 19 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Primary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsHousehold Construction Primary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metals

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

2012 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2013 0.25 0.00 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2014 0.26 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2015 0.26 0.00 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.12 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2016 0.26 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.00 0.16 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2017 0.26 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.20 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2022 5.45 0.00 0.16 0.04 0.01 0.20 0.00 18 0 0 0 0 1 0

2023 10.73 0.13 0.16 0.12 0.01 0.20 0.13 35 0 0 0 0 1 0

2024 10.73 0.13 0.16 0.20 0.01 0.20 0.13 35 0 0 1 0 1 0

2025 10.73 0.13 0.16 0.28 0.01 0.20 0.13 35 0 0 1 0 1 0

2026 10.73 0.13 0.16 0.36 0.01 0.20 0.13 35 0 0 1 0 1 0

2027 5.28 0.13 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.13 17 0 0 1 0 1 0

2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2031 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2032 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2033 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2034 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2035 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2036 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2037 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2038 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2039 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2040 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2041 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2042 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2043 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2044 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2045 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2046 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2047 0.09 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2048 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2049 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2050 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2051 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2052 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.00 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 1 0

2053 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.00 0.16 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

2054 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.12 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 0 0

2055 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.08 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2056 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00 0.04 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Aluminum 20 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Household Construction Primary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsHousehold

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

0 6 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

0 7 0 0 0 0 1 0 0

0 7 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

0 7 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0

0 137 0 2 0 0 2 0 0

0 269 2 2 1 0 2 2 0

0 269 2 2 2 0 2 2 0

0 269 2 2 4 0 2 2 0

0 269 2 2 5 0 2 2 0

0 132 2 0 6 1 2 2 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 2 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 2 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 2 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 2 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 2 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 4 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0

0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0

Aluminum 21 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Primary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsHousehold Construction Primary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metals

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

2012 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2013 0.27 0.00 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.04 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2014 0.28 0.00 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.08 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2015 0.28 0.00 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.12 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2016 0.28 0.00 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.16 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2017 0.28 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.20 0.00 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.03 0.20 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2022 53.43 0.00 0.42 0.04 0.03 0.20 0.00 173 0 1 0 0 1 0

2023 109.91 0.00 0.42 0.97 0.03 0.45 0.00 355 0 1 3 0 1 0

2024 109.91 0.00 0.42 1.90 0.03 0.70 0.00 355 0 1 5 0 2 0

2025 109.91 0.00 0.42 2.83 0.03 0.96 0.00 355 0 1 8 0 3 0

2026 109.91 0.00 0.42 3.77 0.03 1.21 0.00 355 0 1 10 0 3 0

2027 56.47 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 183 0 0 13 1 4 0

2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2031 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2032 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2033 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2034 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2035 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2036 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2037 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2038 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2039 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2040 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2041 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2042 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2043 2.48 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 8 0 0 13 1 4 0

2044 2.48 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 8 0 0 13 1 4 0

2045 2.48 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 8 0 0 13 1 4 0

2046 2.48 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 8 0 0 13 1 4 0

2047 2.48 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 8 0 0 13 1 4 0

2048 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2049 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2050 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2051 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.21 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 1 4 0

2052 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.70 0.00 1.46 0.00 0 0 0 13 0 4 0

2053 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.76 0.00 1.17 0.00 0 0 0 10 0 3 0

2054 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.82 0.00 0.88 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 2 0

2055 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.88 0.00 0.58 0.00 0 0 0 5 0 2 0

2056 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.00 0.29 0.00 0 0 0 3 0 1 0

Iron, Steel 22 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Household Construction Primary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsPrimary metalsHousehold

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0

0 7 0 1 0 0 0 0 0

0 7 0 1 0 0 1 0 0

0 7 0 1 0 0 1 0 0

0 7 0 1 0 0 2 0 0

0 7 0 0 1 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 0

0 1,339 0 5 1 0 2 0 0

0 2,754 0 5 12 0 6 0 0

0 2,754 0 5 24 0 9 0 0

0 2,754 0 5 35 0 12 0 0

0 2,754 0 5 47 0 15 0 0

0 1,415 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 62 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 62 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 62 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 62 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 62 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 3 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 58 0 18 0 0

0 0 0 0 47 0 15 0 0

0 0 0 0 35 0 11 0 0

0 0 0 0 23 0 7 0 0

0 0 0 0 12 0 4 0 0

Iron, Steel 23 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Household Construction Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

2012 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 1 0 0 0 0

2013 0.84 0.00 0.18 0.09 0.00 0.22 0.00 3 0 1 0 0 1 0

2014 0.85 0.00 0.18 0.18 0.00 0.43 0.00 3 0 1 1 0 1 0

2015 0.86 0.00 0.18 0.27 0.00 0.66 0.00 3 0 1 1 0 2 0

2016 0.86 0.00 0.18 0.36 0.00 0.88 0.00 3 0 1 1 0 3 0

2017 0.86 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08 1.10 0.00 3 0 0 1 0 3 0

2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08 1.10 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08 1.10 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08 1.10 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08 1.10 0.00 0 0 0 1 0 3 0

2022 92.86 0.00 1.10 0.45 0.08 1.10 0.00 300 0 3 1 0 3 0

2023 191.98 0.00 1.10 2.22 0.08 1.75 0.00 621 0 3 7 0 5 0

2024 191.98 0.00 1.10 3.98 0.08 2.41 0.00 621 0 3 12 0 7 0

2025 191.98 0.00 1.10 5.75 0.08 3.06 0.00 621 0 3 17 0 9 0

2026 191.98 0.00 1.10 7.52 0.08 3.71 0.00 621 0 3 22 0 11 0

2027 99.12 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 321 0 0 28 2 13 0

2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2031 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2032 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2033 0.54 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 2 0 0 28 2 13 0

2034 0.54 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 2 0 0 28 2 13 0

2035 0.54 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 2 0 0 28 2 13 0

2036 0.54 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 2 0 0 28 2 13 0

2037 0.54 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 2 0 0 28 2 13 0

2038 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2039 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2040 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2041 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2042 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 0 0 0 28 2 13 0

2043 3.83 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 12 0 0 28 2 13 0

2044 3.83 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 12 0 0 28 2 13 0

2045 3.83 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 12 0 0 28 2 13 0

2046 3.83 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 12 0 0 28 2 13 0

2047 3.83 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 12 0 0 28 2 13 0

2048 0.36 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 1 0 0 28 2 13 0

2049 0.36 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 1 0 0 28 2 13 0

2050 0.36 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 1 0 0 28 2 13 0

2051 0.36 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.56 4.37 0.00 1 0 0 28 2 13 0

2052 0.36 0.00 0.00 9.29 0.00 4.37 0.00 1 0 0 28 0 13 0

2053 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.43 0.00 3.49 0.00 0 0 0 22 0 10 0

2054 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.57 0.00 2.62 0.00 0 0 0 17 0 8 0

2055 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.72 0.00 1.75 0.00 0 0 0 11 0 5 0

2056 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.00 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 6 0 3 0

Chemicals 24 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Household Construction Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Chemicals Household

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0

0 21 0 2 1 0 3 0 0

0 21 0 2 2 0 6 0 0

0 22 0 2 4 0 9 0 0

0 22 0 2 5 0 12 0 0

0 22 0 0 6 1 15 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 15 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 15 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 15 0 0

0 0 0 0 6 1 15 0 0

0 2,327 0 15 6 1 15 0 0

0 4,810 0 15 29 1 23 0 0

0 4,810 0 15 53 1 32 0 0

0 4,810 0 15 76 1 41 0 0

0 4,810 0 15 100 1 49 0 0

0 2,484 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 14 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 14 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 14 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 14 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 14 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 96 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 96 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 96 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 96 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 96 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 9 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 9 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 9 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 9 0 0 123 7 58 0 0

0 9 0 0 123 0 58 0 0

0 0 0 0 99 0 46 0 0

0 0 0 0 74 0 35 0 0

0 0 0 0 49 0 23 0 0

0 0 0 0 25 0 12 0 0

Chemicals 25 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009) Output

Sector Construction Food, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageHousehold Construction Food, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverage

Year Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

2012 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

2013 0.36 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.09 0.02 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

2014 0.37 0.02 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.17 0.02 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

2015 0.37 0.02 0.05 0.04 0.00 0.26 0.02 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

2016 0.37 0.02 0.05 0.05 0.00 0.35 0.02 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

2017 0.37 0.02 0.00 0.06 0.02 0.43 0.02 1 0 0 0 0 1 0

2018 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02 0.43 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02 0.43 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02 0.43 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02 0.43 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

2022 20.06 0.00 0.22 0.06 0.02 0.43 0.00 65 0 1 0 0 1 0

2023 42.31 0.02 0.22 0.50 0.02 0.52 0.02 137 0 1 2 0 2 0

2024 42.31 0.02 0.22 0.94 0.02 0.61 0.02 137 0 1 3 0 2 0

2025 42.31 0.02 0.22 1.38 0.02 0.69 0.02 137 0 1 5 0 2 0

2026 42.31 0.02 0.22 1.82 0.02 0.78 0.02 137 0 1 6 0 3 0

2027 22.25 0.02 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.02 72 0 0 8 0 3 0

2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2031 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2032 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2033 0.10 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2034 0.10 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2035 0.10 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2036 0.10 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2037 0.10 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2038 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2039 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2040 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2041 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2042 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2043 1.38 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 4 0 0 8 0 3 0

2044 1.38 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 4 0 0 8 0 3 0

2045 1.38 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 4 0 0 8 0 3 0

2046 1.38 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 4 0 0 8 0 3 0

2047 1.38 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 4 0 0 8 0 3 0

2048 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2049 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2050 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2051 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.12 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2052 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.26 0.00 0.87 0.00 0 0 0 8 0 3 0

2053 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.81 0.00 0.69 0.00 0 0 0 6 0 2 0

2054 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.36 0.00 0.52 0.00 0 0 0 5 0 2 0

2055 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.00 0.35 0.00 0 0 0 3 0 1 0

2056 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.00 0.17 0.00 0 0 0 2 0 1 0

Food, Kindred Products 26 of 29
Individual Manufacturing Industry Effects (millions, $2009)

Sector

Year

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036

2037

2038

2039

2040

2041

2042

2043

2044

2045

2046

2047

2048

2049

2050

2051

2052

2053

2054

2055

2056

Employment

Household Construction Food, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageFood, beverageHousehold

After-tax cmpl

cost Capital Downtime

Initial

Permitting O&M

Permit

Renewal Monitoring

Energy

Penalty

After-tax cmpl

cost

0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0

0 9 0 1 0 0 2 0 0

0 9 0 1 0 0 3 0 0

0 9 0 1 1 0 5 0 0

0 9 0 1 1 0 7 0 0

0 9 0 0 1 0 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 9 0 0

0 0 0 0 1 0 9 0 0

0 503 0 4 1 0 9 0 0

0 1,060 0 4 10 0 10 0 0

0 1,060 0 4 19 0 12 0 0

0 1,060 0 4 28 0 14 0 0

0 1,060 0 4 36 0 16 0 0

0 557 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 2 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 2 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 2 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 2 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 2 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 34 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 34 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 34 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 34 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 34 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 2 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 45 0 17 0 0

0 0 0 0 36 0 14 0 0

0 0 0 0 27 0 10 0 0

0 0 0 0 18 0 7 0 0

0 0 0 0 9 0 3 0 0

Food, Kindred Products 27 of 29
RIMS Sector Name Short Name Output Earnings Employment

Construction Construction 3.2336 1.0036 25.0564

Utilities Utilities 2.2143 0.4635 8.4533

Households Household 2.3203 0.6423 17.577

Paper manufacturing Paper 3.0814 0.7211 16.4012

Chemical manufacturing Chemicals 2.9782 0.6642 13.2655

Petroleum and coal products manufacturing Petroleum 2.286 0.4541 7.9432

Primary metal manufacturing Primary metals 2.6691 0.5847 12.4519

Food, beverage, and tobacco product manufacturing Food, beverage 3.4481 0.7671 19.9725

RIMS Mult Matrix 28 of 29
Time Period

2013-2017 2013-2027 2013-2046 2018-2046 2018-2056 2013-2056

Output (millions, $2009)

Initial compliance outlays

Generators 43,640 14,547 6,418 7,524 5,595 4,959

Manufacturers 1,717 572 252 296 220 195

Recurring costs

Generators 55,679 18,560 8,188 9,600 7,138 6,327

Manufacturers 766 255 113 132 98 87

Manufacturers' annualized compliance costs -856 -285 -126 -148 -110 -97

Increase in generator revenue requirements

residential customer effects -45,638 -15,213 -6,711 -7,869 -5,851 -5,186

business effects, accounting only for demand

elasticity

business effects, accounting for demand and

supply elasticity

Employment

Initial compliance outlays

Generators 323,981 107,994 47,644 55,859 41,536 36,816

Manufacturers 13,237 4,412 1,947 2,282 1,697 1,504

Recurring costs

Generators 212,559 70,853 31,259 36,648 27,251 24,154

Manufacturers 3,709 1,236 545 639 476 421

Manufacturers' annualized compliance costs -6,484 -2,161 -954 -1,118 -831 -737

Increase in generator revenue requirements

residential customer effects -345,720 -115,240 -50,841 -59,607 -44,323 -39,286

business effects, accounting only for demand

elasticity

business effects, accounting for demand and

supply elasticity

Summary Results 29 of 29