**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Production

Dry Gas Production 24.92 25.31 26.70 29.34 31.91 38.05 41.82

Conventional 7.33 7.08 7.02 6.99 6.87 8.12 7.73

Unconventional 17.59 18.24 19.68 22.35 25.04 29.93 34.09

Supplemental Natural Gas 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Net Imports

Pipeline 0.79 0.33 (0.27) (0.89) (1.03) (0.26) 1.14

Liquefied Natural Gas 0.06 (0.16) (0.09) (0.96) (1.45) (1.47) (1.45)

**Total Supply 25.77**  **25.49 26.34**  **27.48 29.44**  **36.32 41.51** 

Demand

Firm 8.67 8.75 8.82 9.05 9.44 10.78 11.14

Interruptible 6.82 6.88 6.92 7.14 7.55 8.61 9.28

Electric Power 8.27 7.84 8.39 8.93 9.94 14.06 18.06

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 0.71 0.69 0.72 0.77 0.81 0.93 0.94

Lease and Plant Fuel 1.29 1.31 1.46 1.57 1.67 1.91 2.05

Net Storage Injection 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.03

**Total Demand 25.77**  **25.49 26.34**  **27.48 29.44**  **36.32 41.51** 

Natural Gas Prices

(2011 dollars per million Btu)

Henry Hub Spot Price 4.33 4.96 4.99 5.69 6.00 6.56 8.65

Lower-48 Average Wellhead Price 4.13 4.72 4.75 5.40 5.62 6.06 8.00

Lower-48 Average Citygate Price 4.70 5.33 5.33 6.08 6.33 6.85 8.82

**U.S. Natural Gas Production by Supply**  **Region**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Dry Production (trillion cubic feet)

Lower-48 24.79 25.18 26.47 29.11 31.70 37.85 41.64

Conventional 7.20 6.94 6.79 6.76 6.66 7.92 7.55

Unconventional 17.59 18.24 19.68 22.35 25.04 29.93 34.09

Alaska 0.13 0.13 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18

Conventional 0.13 0.13 0.23 0.22 0.21 0.20 0.18

Unconventional

- - - - - - -

U.S. Total 24.92 25.31 26.70 29.34 31.91 38.05 41.82

Conventional 7.33 7.08 7.02 6.99 6.87 8.12 7.73

Unconventional 17.59 18.24 19.68 22.35 25.04 29.93 34.09

Lower-48 Onshore

Northeast 4.06 4.25 4.63 5.43 6.38 8.75 11.44

Conventional 0.45 0.48 0.47 0.44 0.39 0.30 0.23

Unconventional 3.61 3.77 4.16 4.99 5.99 8.46 11.22

Gulf Coast 8.07 8.55 9.27 10.44 11.31 12.34 12.85

Conventional 1.52 1.61 1.66 1.65 1.51 1.45 1.47

Unconventional 6.56 6.94 7.61 8.79 9.80 10.89 11.38

Midcontinent 3.01 3.06 3.25 3.50 3.70 4.20 4.42

Conventional 1.19 1.22 1.24 1.20 1.09 0.90 0.77

Unconventional 1.83 1.84 2.02 2.30 2.61 3.30 3.65

Southwest 2.68 2.76 2.83 2.86 2.71 2.29 1.86

Conventional 0.94 0.93 0.90 0.83 0.73 0.55 0.40

Unconventional 1.74 1.83 1.93 2.02 1.99 1.74 1.46

Rocky Mountain 4.89 4.95 5.07 5.36 5.71 6.57 7.15

Conventional 1.04 1.09 1.11 1.13 1.07 1.04 0.96

Unconventional 3.85 3.86 3.95 4.23 4.63 5.52 6.19

West Coast 0.22 0.23 0.25 0.26 0.25 0.23 0.38

Conventional 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.25 0.24 0.21 0.18

Unconventional 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.20

Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional)

Gulf 1.85 1.38 1.16 1.26 1.63 3.47 3.55

Pacific 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Atlantic

- - - - - - -

**Gas End-of-Year Reserves and A nnual Reserve A**  **dditions**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

U.S. Reserves

Dry Natural Gas (trillion cubic feet)

Lower-48 Onshore 359.2 368.5 407.1 456.9 494.8 616.0 664.4

Conventional 50.8 50.9 49.4 45.8 39.6 34.7 30.7

Unconventional 308.4 317.6 357.7 411.1 455.2 581.3 633.7

Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional) 5.8 5.5 6.0 7.6 9.5 23.1 17.9

Alaska (Conventional) 9.7 9.6 8.9 8.1 7.9 7.1 6.3

Total 374.7 383.6 422.0 472.6 512.2 646.2 688.6

Conventional 66.3 66.0 64.3 61.5 57.1 64.9 54.9

Unconventional 308.4 317.6 357.7 411.1 455.2 581.3 633.7

U.S. Reserve Additions

Dry Natural Gas (trillion cubic feet)

Lower-48 Onshore 30.9 32.9 34.7 37.4 36.0 44.1 43.2

Conventional 5.8 5.5 5.0 4.4 3.6 3.7 3.3

Unconventional 25.1 27.4 29.7 33.0 32.4 40.4 39.9

Lower-48 Offshore (Conventional) 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 4.2 2.6

Alaska (Conventional) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Total 31.9 33.9 35.9 38.8 37.8 48.4 45.9

Conventional 6.8 6.5 6.2 5.9 5.4 8.0 6.0

Unconventional 25.1 27.4 29.7 33.0 32.4 40.4 39.9

**Natural Gas Imports and Exports**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Volumes (trillion cubic feet)

Total Net Imports 0.85 0.17 (0.36) (1.86) (2.48) (1.73) (0.32)

Total Imports 2.40 2.04 1.75 1.58 1.67 3.00 4.22

Pipeline Imports from Canada 2.06 1.70 1.39 1.25 1.43 2.80 4.02

Pipeline Imports from Mexico 0.09 0.10 0.05 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.06

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports 0.26 0.25 0.31 0.24 0.15 0.13 0.15

Total Exports 1.56 1.87 2.10 3.43 4.15 4.73 4.54

Pipeline Exports to Canada 0.43 0.45 0.62 0.83 0.90 0.84 0.65

Pipeline Exports to Mexico 0.93 1.02 1.09 1.40 1.65 2.29 2.29

Liquefied Natural Gas Exports 0.20 0.40 0.40 1.20 1.60 1.60 1.60

Border Prices

(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)

Average Import Price 4.78 5.51 5.59 6.45 6.63 6.96 8.22

Pipeline Import Prices

From Canada 4.70 5.39 5.50 6.39 6.57 6.91 8.15

From Mexico 5.44 6.79 5.99 6.92 7.24 7.96 9.96

From Bahamas N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

LNG Price (including regasification) 5.25 5.86 5.91 6.62 6.87 7.49 9.49

**Natural Gas Consumption by End-Use Sector and Census Division** 

**(trillion cubic feet)**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

FIRM

New England 0.39 0.38 0.39 0.40 0.41 0.44 0.45

Middle Atlantic 1.55 1.53 1.53 1.56 1.60 1.67 1.72

East North Central 2.20 2.16 2.17 2.19 2.23 2.33 2.39

West North Central 0.77 0.75 0.76 0.77 0.78 0.81 0.84

South Atlantic 0.85 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.85 0.88 0.90

East South Central 0.39 0.38 0.38 0.38 0.39 0.41 0.42

West South Central 0.88 1.09 1.13 1.25 1.49 2.48 2.64

Mountain 0.60 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.61 0.63 0.65

Pacific 1.05 1.03 1.04 1.06 1.08 1.12 1.14

Total 8.67 8.75 8.82 9.05 9.44 10.78 11.14

INTERRUPTIBLE

New England 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13

Middle Atlantic 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 0.52 0.56

East North Central 1.18 1.19 1.21 1.23 1.28 1.54 1.66

West North Central 0.87 0.89 0.89 0.90 0.93 1.07 1.15

South Atlantic 0.53 0.54 0.56 0.56 0.59 0.70 0.74

East South Central 0.43 0.43 0.42 0.44 0.49 0.58 0.62

West South Central 2.03 2.05 2.05 2.17 2.35 2.58 2.80

Mountain 0.34 0.34 0.34 0.36 0.37 0.42 0.46

Pacific 0.87 0.88 0.88 0.91 0.96 1.08 1.16**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Total 6.82 6.88 6.92 7.14 7.55 8.61 9.28

ELECTRIC POWER

New England 0.50 0.48 0.50 0.48 0.50 0.59 0.62

Middle Atlantic 0.88 0.78 0.88 0.79 0.90 1.42 1.91

East North Central 0.44 0.35 0.40 0.41 0.61 1.05 1.69

West North Central 0.07 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.14 0.42 0.50

South Atlantic 2.08 1.98 2.10 2.34 2.71 4.35 5.49

East South Central 0.72 0.60 0.68 0.75 0.71 0.85 1.01

West South Central 2.03 1.96 2.07 2.16 2.29 2.79 3.50

Mountain 0.49 0.54 0.48 0.57 0.65 1.00 1.40

Pacific 1.04 1.09 1.22 1.36 1.42 1.58 1.93

Total 8.27 7.84 8.39 8.93 9.94 14.06 18.06

TOTAL

New England 1.01 0.99 1.01 1.01 1.03 1.16 1.21

Middle Atlantic 2.87 2.75 2.86 2.80 2.96 3.61 4.19

East North Central 3.82 3.70 3.77 3.83 4.11 4.92 5.74

West North Central 1.71 1.70 1.72 1.74 1.85 2.30 2.48

South Atlantic 3.46 3.35 3.49 3.74 4.16 5.93 7.13

East South Central 1.54 1.40 1.47 1.56 1.58 1.84 2.05

West South Central 4.95 5.10 5.24 5.58 6.14 7.85 8.94

Mountain 1.43 1.47 1.42 1.53 1.64 2.05 2.51

Pacific 2.96 3.00 3.14 3.33 3.46 3.78 4.23

Total 23.75 23.47 24.13 25.12 26.93 33.45 38.48

**Production A rea Prices** 

**(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Lower-48 4.25 4.87 4.90 5.56 5.79 6.24 8.24

Lower-48 Onshore

Northeast 4.65 5.28 5.31 5.99 6.18 6.54 8.39

Gulf Coast 4.20 4.79 4.80 5.42 5.66 6.19 8.29

Midcontinent 4.08 4.68 4.74 5.40 5.64 6.12 8.19

Southwest 4.15 4.73 4.74 5.36 5.62 6.16 8.26

Rocky Mountain 4.14 4.78 4.81 5.50 5.63 5.95 7.79

West Coast 4.33 5.04 5.09 6.01 6.30 6.83 8.33

Lower-48 Offshore

Gulf 4.22 4.86 4.97 5.64 5.95 6.25 8.49

Pacific 5.13 6.45 5.66 6.58 6.90 7.57 9.49

**Natural Gas Prices by Census Division** 

**(2011 dollars per thousand cubic feet)**

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050

Average Citygate Price

New England 5.26 5.92 5.96 6.73 6.93 7.51 9.38

Middle Atlantic 5.09 5.73 5.75 6.49 6.71 7.16 9.00

East North Central 4.85 5.52 5.61 6.44 6.68 7.17 9.18

West North Central 4.69 5.37 5.45 6.24 6.50 7.04 9.10

South Atlantic 5.24 5.64 5.63 6.38 6.71 7.30 9.42

East South Central 4.66 5.29 5.32 6.04 6.34 6.93 9.09

West South Central 4.38 4.99 5.01 5.71 6.01 6.60 8.76

Mountain 4.52 5.17 5.21 5.97 6.14 6.57 8.59

Pacific 4.98 5.93 5.69 6.59 6.85 7.38 9.27

U.S. Average 4.83 5.47 5.48 6.24 6.50 7.04 9.07

**Regional Supply**

**and Demand Balance (BCF per y ear)** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### New **England**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production

- - - - - - -

Conventional

- - - - - - -

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic 724 747 729 839 932 1,116 1,132**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Canada 115 77 30 5 13 24 29

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Everett

- - 55 164 88 80 78

Neptune

- - 85

- - - - Northeast Gateway 179 170 116

- - - - Storage Extraction

- - - 0 3 9 9

**Total Supply 1,018**  **994 1,015**  **1,008 1,036**  **1,229 1,248** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,014 992 1,012 1,008 1,033 1,159 1,206

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 5 1 3 0

- 58 32

Canada

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 0 0 0 0 0 1 0

Lease and Plant Fuel

- - - - - - - Storage Injection

- - - 0 3 10 10

**Total Demand 1,018**  **994 1,015**  **1,008 1,036**  **1,229 1,248** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Middle A

**tlantic**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 3,054 3,186 3,438 3,983 4,589 5,793 6,943

Conventional 136 160 149 140 121 88 62

Unconventional 2,917 3,026 3,289 3,843 4,468 5,705 6,881

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

New England 5 1 3 0

- 58 32

East North Central 164 139 134 78 26

- -

South Atlantic 601 445 497 310 187 220 141

Canada 42 26 18 17 8 5 3

Storage Extraction 293 332 329 299 322 319 346

**Total Supply 4,158**  **4,130 4,420**  **4,687 5,133**  **6,396 7,465** 

Demand:

Consumption 2,873 2,752 2,863 2,803 2,958 3,611 4,188

Pipeline Exports:

New England 724 747 729 839 932 1,116 1,132

East North Central

- - - - 31 360 518

South Atlantic 110 102 148 178 196 238 389

Canada 14 47 185 375 474 482 586

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 35 37 43 52 58 64 60

Lease and Plant Fuel 106 111 120 139 159 201 241

Storage Injection 296 335 332 302 325 322 350

**Total Demand 4,158**  **4,130 4,420**  **4,687 5,133**  **6,396 7,465** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### East North Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 227 254 304 369 407 673 914

Conventional 158 164 165 157 139 106 78

Unconventional 69 90 139 212 268 567 835

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic

- - - - 31 360 518

West North Central 2,144 2,027 2,057 1,942 2,025 2,541 2,939

South Atlantic 1

- - 18 156 295 295

East South Central 1,874 1,804 1,828 1,860 1,777 1,301 1,045

West South Central 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

Canada

- - - - - - 37

Storage Extraction 660 665 713 707 747 817 823

**Total Supply 5,137**  **4,981 5,133**  **5,126 5,374**  **6,217 6,802** 

Demand:

Consumption 3,823 3,696 3,773 3,829 4,113 4,924 5,738

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 164 139 134 78 26

- -

West North Central 30 29 29 3 6 62 119

South Atlantic

- - - - - - -

East South Central

- - - - - - -

Canada 413 403 431 454 427 355 64

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 34 34 36 38 37 36 31

Lease and Plant Fuel 7 8 9 11 12 16 19**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Storage Injection 666 671 720 714 754 825 831

**Total Demand 5,137**  **4,981 5,133**  **5,126 5,374**  **6,217 6,802** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### West North Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 444 431 405 363 317 255 227

Conventional 344 348 339 308 259 193 146

Unconventional 100 83 66 55 58 63 81

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

East North Central 30 29 29 3 6 62 119

West South Central 640 835 999 978 970 945 912

Mountain 1,857 1,662 1,533 1,688 1,828 2,523 2,627

Canada 1,088 970 901 733 833 1,159 1,649

Storage Extraction 184 172 166 166 133 187 200

**Total Supply 4,242**  **4,099 4,033**  **3,932 4,087**  **5,131 5,735** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,709 1,702 1,722 1,741 1,847 2,303 2,483

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 2,144 2,027 2,057 1,942 2,025 2,541 2,939

West South Central 114 111 3

- - 3 11

Mountain

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 68 65 66 65 67 84 90

Lease and Plant Fuel 21 20 19 16 14 11 10

Storage Injection 185 173 168 168 134 189 202

**Total Demand 4,242**  **4,099 4,033**  **3,932 4,087**  **5,131 5,735** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### South A **tlantic**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 703 729 803 992 1,286 2,147 3,386

Conventional 85 84 80 72 61 46 34

Unconventional 618 645 723 920 1,225 2,101 3,352

Supplemental Natural Gas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pipeline Imports:

Middle Atlantic 110 102 148 178 196 238 389

East North Central

- - - - - - -

East South Central 3,252 2,960 2,915 2,753 2,896 4,011 3,923

Offshore

- - 135 148 169 277 294

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Cove Point

- - - - - - -

Elba Island 77 77 55 77 63 52 70

Storage Extraction 166 89 87 160 116 170 160

**Total Supply 4,309**  **3,957 4,143**  **4,308 4,726**  **6,896 8,222** 

Demand:

Consumption 3,463 3,353 3,487 3,737 4,157 5,929 7,130

Pipeline Exports:

Middle Atlantic 601 445 497 310 187 220 141

East North Central 1

- - 18 156 295 295

East South Central

- - - - 12 136 266

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 45 36 36 36 39 46 75

Lease and Plant Fuel 31 32 35 44 58 97 152

Storage Injection 168 90 88 162 118 173 163

**Total Demand 4,309**  **3,957 4,143**  **4,308 4,726**  **6,896 8,222** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### East South Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 277 281 283 282 278 306 385

Conventional 216 221 221 216 199 171 163

Unconventional 61 61 62 67 79 135 222

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

East North Central

- - - - - - -

South Atlantic

- - - - 12 136 266

West South Central 5,917 5,514 5,594 5,492 5,445 5,879 5,202

Offshore 564 456 427 484 607 922 1,253

Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Gulf LNG Energy LLC

- - - - - - - Storage Extraction 232 275 261 315 307 353 366

**Total Supply 6,991**  **6,526 6,565**  **6,573 6,649**  **7,596 7,473** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,537 1,400 1,474 1,561 1,585 1,839 2,049

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 1,874 1,804 1,828 1,860 1,777 1,301 1,045

South Atlantic 3,252 2,960 2,915 2,753 2,896 4,011 3,923

West South Central

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 85 77 76 73 72 78 72

Lease and Plant Fuel 8 9 9 9 9 10 13

Storage Injection 234 277 263 318 310 356 370

**Total Demand 6,991**  **6,526 6,565**  **6,573 6,649**  **7,596 7,473** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### West South Central

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 12,645 13,255 14,268 15,772 16,795 18,055 18,434

Conventional 2,873 2,994 3,046 2,982 2,714 2,426 2,262

Unconventional 9,773 10,260 11,222 12,790 14,082 15,629 16,172

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West North Central 114 111 3

- - 3 11

East South Central

- - - - - - -

Mountain 71 53 21 57 85 74 3

Offshore 1,195 854 549 567 777 2,097 1,825

Mexico

- - - - - - - Liquefied Natural Gas Imports:

Cameron

- - - - - - - Freeport

- - - - - - -

Golden Pass

- - - - - - -

Lake Charles

- - - - - - -

Sabine Pass

- - - - - - - Storage Extraction 285 378 420 513 617 783 1,024

**Total Supply 14,309**  **14,651 15,260**  **16,909 18,274**  **21,011 21,297** 

Demand:

Consumption 4,946 5,102 5,244 5,579 6,140 7,852 8,943

Pipeline Exports:

East North Central 230 230 230 230 230 230 230

West North Central 640 835 999 978 970 945 912

East South Central 5,917 5,514 5,594 5,492 5,445 5,879 5,202

Mountain 528 512 569 734 785 625 298

Pacific

- - - - - - -

Mexico 695 778 832 1,110 1,338 1,870 1,870

Liquefied Natural Gas Exports 201 402 402 1,202 1,601 1,601 1,601

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 255 258 277 307 332 350 322

Lease and Plant Fuel 608 639 688 761 810 868 884

Storage Injection 287 382 424 517 622 790 1,033

**Total Demand 14,309**  **14,651 15,260**  **16,909 18,274**  **21,011 21,297** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Mountain

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 5,373 5,432 5,553 5,834 6,140 6,923 7,433

Conventional 1,321 1,366 1,381 1,380 1,293 1,210 1,084

Unconventional 4,052 4,066 4,172 4,454 4,847 5,712 6,349

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West North Central

- - - - - - -

West South Central 528 512 569 734 785 625 298

Pacific

- - - - - 5 45

Canada 322 149 27 0 2 597 823

Mexico

- - - - - - - Storage Extraction 116 93 107 124 177 179 197

**Total Supply 6,339**  **6,186 6,256**  **6,693 7,104**  **8,329 8,796** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,433 1,474 1,423 1,528 1,640 2,050 2,510

Pipeline Exports:

West North Central 1,857 1,662 1,533 1,688 1,828 2,523 2,627**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

West South Central 71 53 21 57 85 74 3

Pacific 2,281 2,315 2,568 2,647 2,688 2,689 2,588

Mexico 69 76 81 104 119 164 164

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 141 140 147 155 158 183 201

Lease and Plant Fuel 371 373 376 389 409 465 504

Storage Injection 117 94 108 125 178 181 199

**Total Demand 6,339**  **6,186 6,256**  **6,693 7,104**  **8,329 8,796** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Pacific (Lower 48)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 221 233 246 258 253 227 378

Conventional 218 229 239 247 238 209 179

Unconventional 2 4 7 11 15 18 200

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West South Central

- - - - - - -

Mountain 2,281 2,315 2,568 2,647 2,688 2,689 2,588

Offshore 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Canada 489 475 410 493 576 1,012 1,475

Mexico 89 98 49 87 89 73 58

Storage Extraction 182 171 148 173 196 221 190

**Total Supply 3,264**  **3,294 3,423**  **3,660 3,803**  **4,223 4,690** 

Demand:

Consumption 2,861 2,901 3,041 3,234 3,352 3,669 4,123

Pipeline Exports:

Mountain

- - - - - 5 45

Canada

- - - - - - -

Mexico 163 163 173 188 190 258 252

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 29 28 28 30 31 40 49

Lease and Plant Fuel 28 30 31 33 32 28 29

Storage Injection 183 173 149 175 198 224 192

**Total Demand 3,264**  **3,294 3,423**  **3,660 3,803**  **4,223 4,690** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Lower 48 Offshore

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 1,849 1,379 1,168 1,261 1,633 3,469 3,546

Conventional 1,849 1,379 1,168 1,261 1,633 3,469 3,546

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - **Total Supply 1,849**  **1,379 1,168**  **1,261 1,633**  **3,469 3,546** 

Demand:

Pipeline Exports:

South Atlantic

- - 135 148 169 277 294

East South Central 564 456 427 484 607 922 1,253

West South Central 1,195 854 549 567 777 2,097 1,825

Pacific L-48 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Pipeline Fuel 19 16 13 15 19 44 43

Lease and Plant Fuel 68 50 42 45 59 127 130

**Total Demand 1,849**  **1,379 1,168**  **1,261 1,633**  **3,469 3,546** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Al **aska**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 132 133 229 223 214 201 176

Conventional 132 133 229 223 214 201 176

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas 0 0 0 0 0 0 2

**Total Supply 132**  **133 230**  **223 214**  **201 177** 

Demand:

Consumption 94 95 96 101 105 110 112

Pipeline Exports:

Canada

- - - - - - - Pipeline Fuel

- - - - - - -

Lease and Plant Fuel 38 38 133 123 109 92 66

**Total Demand 132**  **133 230**  **223 214**  **201 177** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)



### Florida (subset of South A **tlantic)**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 4 4 3 4 4 4 3

Conventional 4 4 3 4 4 4 3

Unconventional

- - - - - - - Supplemental Natural Gas 1 0 0 0 0 0 0

Pipeline Imports:

East South Central 1,177 1,194 1,151 1,151 1,228 1,487 1,706

Offshore

- - 135 148 169 277 294

South Atlantic 77 76 55 76 62 52 69

Storage Extraction 3 2 1 1 1 5 6

**Total Supply 1,263**  **1,276 1,346**  **1,379 1,464**  **1,826 2,078** 

Demand:

Consumption 1,255 1,270 1,342 1,376 1,461 1,817 2,070

Pipeline Exports:

East South Central

- - - - - - -

South Atlantic

- - - - - 0

- Pipeline and Storage Fuel 4 3 2 1 1 2 1

Lease and Plant Fuel 1 1 1 1 1 1 1

Storage Injection 4 2 1 1 1 6 6

**Total Demand 1,263**  **1,276 1,346**  **1,379 1,464**  **1,826 2,078** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### Ar **izona/New Mexico (subset of Mountain)**

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 999 985 958 939 945 1,025 1,089

Conventional 399 397 383 351 301 223 161

Unconventional 601 588 574 588 644 802 928

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West South Central 528 512 569 734 785 625 298

Mexico

- - - - - - -

Mountain North 500 520 612 630 614 854 1,119

California

- - - - - 5 5

Storage Extraction 5 4 11 13 16 23 28

**Total Supply 2,032**  **2,021 2,149**  **2,316 2,360**  **2,533 2,539** 

Demand:

Consumption 477 469 442 473 462 580 744

Pipeline Exports:

West South Central 71 53 21 57 85 74 3

Mountain North

- - - 37 37 28 25

California 1,268 1,279 1,454 1,488 1,496 1,498 1,393

Mexico 69 76 81 104 119 164 164

Pipeline and Storage Fuel 52 52 57 60 60 63 66

Lease and Plant Fuel 90 87 84 83 86 103 117

Storage Injection 5 4 11 13 16 23 29

**Total Demand 2,032**  **2,021 2,149**  **2,316 2,360**  **2,533 2,539** 

2016 2018 2020 2025 2030 2040 2050



### California (subset of Pacific)

Supply:

Dry Gas Production 217 228 240 249 243 215 185

Conventional 217 228 239 246 238 209 179

Unconventional 0 0 1 3 5 6 7

Supplemental Natural Gas

- - - - - - - Pipeline Imports:

West South Central

- - - - - - -

Offshore 3 3 2 2 1 1 0

Mexico 89 98 49 87 89 73 58

Arizona/New Mexico 1,268 1,279 1,454 1,488 1,496 1,498 1,393

Mountain North 581 580 597 722 893 1,053 1,189

Pacific Northwest 460 450 447 404 308 430 593

Storage Extraction 153 142 119 144 167 192 161

**Total Supply 2,771**  **2,779 2,908**  **3,097 3,197**  **3,462 3,580** 

Demand:

Consumption 2,410 2,427 2,566 2,711 2,787 2,958 3,118

Pipeline Exports:

Mexico 163 163 173 188 190 258 252

Arizona/New Mexico

- - - - - 5 5**Base Case w ith 316(b) & CCR regulations** 

**2016 2018**  **2020 2025**  **2030 2040**  **2050**

**U.S. Natural Gas Supply , Disposition, and Prices** 

(trillion cubic feet, unless otherwise noted)

Mountain North

- - - - - - - Pipeline and Storage Fuel 16 16 18 19 19 19 18

Lease and Plant Fuel 28 30 31 32 32 28 24

Storage Injection 154 143 120 146 169 194 163

**Total Demand 2,771**  **2,779 2,908**  **3,097 3,197**  **3,462 3,580** 

## Base Case with 316(b) & CCR regulations

**Pipeline capacity additions (BCF per year) 2016**  **2018 2020**  **2025**



# New **England**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **- -**  New England

- - - -

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

Canada

- - - - 

# Middle A

**tlantic**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 730** 

**- 95** 

Middle Atlantic

- 475

- 95

New England

- - - -

East North Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- 256

- -

Canada

- - - - 

# East North Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **548 548** 

**- -** 

East North Central 365 365

- -

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

We st North Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- - - -

East South Central

- - - -

Canada 183 183

- - 

# West North Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 365** 

**- -** 

We st North Central

- 183

- -

East North Central

- 183

- -

We st South Central

- - - -

Mountain

- - - - 

# South A **tlantic**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **256 310** 

**- -** 

South Atlantic 256 310

- -

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

East North Central

- - - -

East South Central

- - - - 

# East South Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 256**  **220 164** 

East South Central

- - - -

East North Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- 256 220 164

We st South Central

- - - - 

# West South Central

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- 548**  **711 669** 

We st South Central

- - 205 58

East North Central

- - - -

We st North Central

- 183 155 63

East South Central

- - 193 313

Mountain

- - - -

Mexico

- 365 159 235



# Mountain

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **365 73**  **50 290** 

Mountain 183

- 50 214

## We st North Central 183 73

- -

We st South Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - 76

Mexico

- - - - 

# Pacific (Low **er 48)**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **227 95** 

Pacific (Lower 48)

- - 208 80

Mountain

- - - -

Canada

- - - -

Mexico

- - 19 15



# Al **aska**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **- -** 

Alaska

- - - -

Canada

- - - - 

# Canada

Pipeline capacity

additions into region: **183**

**- -**  **-**

Canada 183

- - -

East North Central

- - - -

Middle Atlantic

- - - -

Mountain

- - - - New England

- - - -

We st North Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - -



# Low **er-48 Offshore**

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **135 13** 

Lower-48 Offshore

- - - -

East South Central

- - - -

South Atlantic

- - 135 13

We st South Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - - 

# Mexico

Pipeline capacity

additions into region:

**- -**  **- -** 

Mexico

- - - -

Mountain

- - - -

We st South Central

- - - - Pacific (Lower 48)

- - - -

## 2030 **2040 2050** 

**- -**  **-**

- - -

- - -

- - -

**380 781**  **1,251**

297 619 731

- - -

- - -

- 52 149

83 110 371

**- -**  **58**

- - 58

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -

**- -**  **49**

- - -

- - 49

- - -

- - -

**- 47**  **2,572**

- 47 2,491

- - -

- - -

- - 81

**151 954**  **369**

- - -

- - -

151 954 369

- - -

**882 1,724**  **1,050**

481 1,162 984

- - -

10

- 50

190 114 15

- - -

202 448

-

**313 560**  **775**

178 404 669

## - 0

-

- - -

134 137 106

- 19

-

**69 162**  **159**

69 84 159

- - -

- - -

- 78

-

**- -**  **-**

- - -

- - -

**72 1,644**  **2,610**

72 1,644 2,569

- - -

- - -

- - 32

- - -

- - -

- - 9

**21 620**  **382**

- 512 31

- - 335

21 108 16

- - -

- - -

**- -**  **-**

- - -

- - -

- - -

- - -