CHAPTER 11. L IFE­CYCLE C OST S UB­GROUP A NALYSIS

TABLE O F C ONTENTS

1 1.1 INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................11­1

1 1.2 GENERAL A PPROACH T O T HE L IFE­CYCLE C OST S UB­GROUP A NALYSIS.......11­1

11­iCHAPTER 11. L IFE­CYCLE C OST S UB­GROUP A NALYSIS

1 1.1 INTRODUCTION

Th e l ife­cycle c ost ( LCC) s ubgroup analysis e valuates i mpacts o f s tandards o n

i dentifiable g roups o f c ustomers, such a s d ifferent p opulation g roups o f c onsumers o r d ifferent

b usiness t ypes, which m ay b e d isproportionately a ffected b y a ny n ational e nergy c onservation

s tandard l evel. I n t he N OPR p hase o f t his r ulemaking, D OE w ill a nalyze t he L CCs a nd P BPs f or

c onsumers t hat f all i nto s uch g roups. Th e a nalysis will d etermine w hether a ny p articular g roup

of c onsumers w ould b e a dversely a ffected b y a ny o f t he t rial s tandard l evels.

D OE plans t o e xamine v ariations i n e nergy p rices a nd e nergy u se t hat m ight a ffect t he

NP V of a standard f or c ustomer s ub­populations. D OE c an p erform a dditional a nalysis t o

c onsider h ow differences i n e nergy u se w ill a ffect s ubgroups o f c ustomers. D OE w ill d etermine

t he e ffect o n c ustomer s ubgroups u sing t he L CC s preadsheet m odel. A s d escribed i n C hapter 8

,

t he A NOPR L CC a nalysis i ncludes v arious c ustomer t ypes t hat u se t he t wo c ategories o f l amps.

Th is a nalysis i ncludes c onsumers p urchasing l amps i n d ifferent s ectors, purchasing l amps f or

d ifferent b uilding t ypes, replacing d ifferent b aseline l amps o r l amp/ballast s ystems, and

u ndergoing d ifferent p urchasing e vents.

1 1.2 GENERAL A PPROACH T O T HE L IFE­CYCLE C OST S UB­GROUP A NALYSIS

F or I RL, D OE c an e stimate L CC s avings a nd p ayback p eriods f or c onsumers i n t he

r esidential, c ommercial, a nd i ndustrial s ectors. F or G SFL, D OE c an p erform a n L CC a nalysis

f or c onsumers i n t he c ommercial a nd i ndustrial s ectors. A subgroup analysis f or c onsumers o f

G SFL i n t he r esidential s ector c ould a lso be p reformed i f D OE a ssumes G SFL r esidential l amps

h ave t he s ame op erating h our p rofile a s I RL r esidential l amps. D OE r equests c omment o n t his

a ssumption.

D OE c an a lso a nalyze t he L CC i mpacts o n c onsumers l iving i n d ifferent b uildings i n t he

c ommercial a nd r esidential s ector. F or e xample, D OE c an a nalyze t he i mpact o f s tandards f or

p eople r unning e ducational f acilities a nd f or t hose w ho l ive i n a mobile h ome. D OE a lso h as t he

a

bility t o a nalyze t he i mpacts o f c onsumers l iving i n d ifferent r egions o f t he c ountry.

F or G SFL a nd I RL, D OE h as t he a bility t o e valuate t he L CC i mpacts o n c onsumers w ho

p urchase d ifferent b aseline l amps o r l amp/ballast s ystems. F or e xample, t he e conomic i mpacts

o f a standard w ill b e d ifferent f or a consumer w ho o wns a typical 4 ­foot T8 lamp/ballast s ystem

t han f or a consumer w ho o wns a typical 4 ­foot T1 2 l amp/ballast s ystem. D OE c an a lso e valuate

t he e conomic i mpacts o n c onsumers w ho p urchase l amps w ith l ow, m id­range, o r h igh p rices.

C onsumers w ho p urchase l ess e xpensive l amps m ay e xperience g reater l ife c ycle c ost s avings

t han t hose c onsumers w ho p urchase e xpensive l amps.

F or G SFL, D OE a lso h as t he a bility t o a nalyze t he L CC i mpact o f a standard o n

c onsumers f aced w ith a variety o f d ifferent l amp p urchasing e vents. Th e LC C i mpacts o n a

11­1consumer w ho m ust r eplace a lamp f or t heir e xisting s ystem a re v ery d ifferent t han t hose i mpacts

o n a consumer w ho m ust p urchase a lamp b ecause t hey a re c onstructing a new b uilding.

I n t he L CC s ubgroup analysis, DOE w ill e xamine a variety o f c onsumer s ub­populations.

Th is a nalysis w ill d etermine w hether a ny p articular g roup of c onsumers w ould b e a dversely

a ffected b y a ny o f t he t rial s tandard l evels.

11­2