Reference Case Low Demand Case

Imported Crude Oil 6.080156 5.5858110.494345 Domestic Crude Oil **9.288825 9.25585** 0.032975 Total Crude Oil 15.368981 14.841661 0.527320.937467
Light Product Demand 16.93547 16.4812860.454184 Imported Light Products 1.670363 1.6416390.028724 Net Imported Light Prod. -0.891071 -0.9150680.0239970.052835
Refinery Capacity 18.129658 18.129658 No Refinery Closures refinery Utilization 84.011528 81.102928 2.9086PercentFraction of reduced crude oil demand which is imported

Fraction of reduced product demand which is reduced light product imports
No Refinery Closures**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference**

**Crude Oil** Canada 3.319465 3.235554 3.319785 3.188432 3.341267 Mexico 0.398189 0.329823 0.398315 0.324843 0.405117 North Sea 0.01824 0.016757 0.018327 0.016666 0.018505 OPEC 1.815287 1.517711 1.841174 1.541975 1.866933 Latin America 0.544586 0.455313 0.552352 0.462593 0.56008 North Africa 0.054459 0.045531 0.055235 0.046259 0.056008 West Africa 0.272293 0.227657 0.276176 0.231296 0.28004 Persian Gulf 0.943949 0.78921 0.957411 0.801827 0.970805 Other Middle East 0 0 0 0 0 Other Latin America 0.364809 0.335149 0.366546 0.333313 0.370109 Other Africa 0.091202 0.083787 0.091636 0.083328 0.092527 Other Asia 0.072962 0.06703 0.073309 0.066663 0.074022 Total Crude Oil 6.080156 5.585811 6.109093 5.555221 6.16848
**Light Refined Products 1/** Canada 0.684849 0.673072 0.68618 0.675133 0.690181 Northern Europe 0.417591 0.41041 0.418403 0.411667 0.420842 Southern Europe 0.066815 0.065666 0.066944 0.065867 0.067335 OPEC 0.133629 0.131331 0.133889 0.131733 0.134669 Latin America 0.040089 0.039399 0.040167 0.03952 0.040401 North Africa 0.034744 0.034146 0.034811 0.034251 0.035014 West Africa 0.04677 0.045966 0.046861 0.046107 0.047134 Persian Gulf 0.012027 0.01182 0.01205 0.011856 0.01212 Caribbean Basin 0.033407 0.032833 0.033472 0.032933 0.033667 Asian Exporters 0.167036 0.164164 0.167361 0.164667 0.168337 Other 0.167036 0.164164 0.167361 0.164667 0.168337 Total Light Refined Products 1.670363 1.641639 1.67361 1.646666 1.683369
**Heavy Refined Products 2/** Canada 0.125064 0.125153 0.124889 0.124805 0.124718 Northern Europe 0.089332 0.089395 0.089207 0.089146 0.089085 Southern Europe 0.017866 0.017879 0.017841 0.017829 0.017817 OPEC 0.125064 0.125153 0.124889 0.124805 0.124718 Latin America 0.008755 0.008761 0.008742 0.008736 0.00873 North Africa 0.087545 0.087607 0.087422 0.087363 0.087303 West Africa 0.02001 0.020025 0.019982 0.019969 0.019955 Persian Gulf 0.008755 0.008761 0.008742 0.008736 0.00873 

### Imported Liquids by Source **(million barrels per day)**

**Sources 2023**  **2024 2022** Caribbean Basin 0.044666 0.044698 0.044603 0.044573 0.044542

Asian Exporters 0.303728 0.303944 0.303302 0.303097 0.302888 Other 0.187597 0.18773 0.187334 0.187207 0.187078 Total Heavy Refined Products 0.893317 0.893953 0.892066 0.891461 0.890846

- - = Not applicable. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. natural gasoline, liquefied petroleum gases, olefins, ethanol, and biodiesel. 2/ Includes residual fuel oil, asphalt, road oil, lubricants, petrochemical feedstocks, and unfinished oils. OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries - Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Venezuela. Caribbean Basin = Bahama Islands, Colombia, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Netherlands Antilles, Panama, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, and the Virgin Islands. 1/ Includes motor gasoline, motor gasoline blending components, aviation gasoline, jet fuel, distillate fuel oil, ethane,**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.206072 3.316306 3.238432 3.333754 3.302866 3.370225 3.316943 3.393368 0.330908 0.43064 0.325048 0.442892 0.320882 0.461959 0.349001 0.473708 0.016666 0.018551 0.016535 0.018954 0.016837 0.019387 0.017148 0.019752 1.51852 1.880214 1.452244 1.972661 1.483583 2.048577 1.535579 2.124246 0.455556 0.564064 0.435673 0.591798 0.445075 0.614573 0.460674 0.637274 0.045556 0.056406 0.043567 0.05918 0.044507 0.061457 0.046067 0.063727 0.227778 0.282032 0.217837 0.295899 0.222537 0.307287 0.230337 0.318637 0.78963 0.977711 0.755167 1.025784 0.771463 1.06526 0.798501 1.104608 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.33333 0.371022 0.330707 0.379075 0.336747 0.387742 0.342958 0.395032 0.083332 0.092755 0.082677 0.094769 0.084187 0.096936 0.085739 0.098758 0.066666 0.074204 0.066141 0.075815 0.067349 0.077548 0.068592 0.079006 5.555494 6.183692 5.511785 6.31792 5.612451 6.462374 5.71596 6.583871

0.674435 0.681992 0.676275 0.676517 0.666326 0.672885 0.661773 0.666658 0.411241 0.415849 0.412363 0.41251 0.406297 0.410295 0.40352 0.406499 0.065798 0.066536 0.065978 0.066002 0.065007 0.065647 0.064563 0.06504 0.131597 0.133072 0.131956 0.132003 0.130015 0.131295 0.129126 0.13008 0.039479 0.039921 0.039587 0.039601 0.039004 0.039388 0.038738 0.039024 0.034215 0.034599 0.034309 0.034321 0.033804 0.034137 0.033573 0.033821 0.046059 0.046575 0.046185 0.046201 0.045505 0.045953 0.045194 0.045528 0.011844 0.011976 0.011876 0.01188 0.011701 0.011817 0.011621 0.011707 0.032899 0.033268 0.032989 0.033001 0.032504 0.032824 0.032282 0.03252 0.164496 0.16634 0.164945 0.165004 0.162519 0.164118 0.161408 0.162599 0.164496 0.16634 0.164945 0.165004 0.162519 0.164118 0.161408 0.162599 1.644962 1.663395 1.649451 1.650042 1.625186 1.641182 1.614081 1.625994

0.124718 0.12644 0.124632 0.126366 0.126052 0.126336 0.125989 0.125877 0.089085 0.090315 0.089023 0.090261 0.090037 0.09024 0.089992 0.089912 0.017817 0.018063 0.017805 0.018052 0.018007 0.018048 0.017998 0.017982 0.124718 0.12644 0.124632 0.126366 0.126052 0.126336 0.125989 0.125877 0.00873 0.008851 0.008724 0.008846 0.008824 0.008844 0.008819 0.008811 0.087303 0.088508 0.087243 0.088456 0.088236 0.088435 0.088193 0.088114 0.019955 0.02023 0.019941 0.020218 0.020168 0.020214 0.020158 0.02014 0.00873 0.008851 0.008724 0.008846 0.008824 0.008844 0.008819 0.008811 **2024 2025**  **2026 2027**  **2028**0.044542 0.045157 0.044512 0.045131 0.045018 0.04512 0.044996 0.044956

0.302888 0.307069 0.302679 0.306888 0.306125 0.306817 0.305974 0.305701 0.187078 0.18966 0.186949 0.189548 0.189077 0.189505 0.188984 0.188815 0.890846 0.903145 0.890231 0.902611 0.900368 0.902402 0.899924 0.899121

2/ Includes residual fuel oil, asphalt, road oil, lubricants, petrochemical feedstocks, and unfinished oils. OPEC = Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries - Algeria, Angola, Ecuador, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Nigeria, Qatar,

Caribbean Basin = Bahama Islands, Colombia, Guatemala, Jamaica, Mexico, Netherlands Antilles, Panama, Puerto Rico, Trinidad 1/ Includes motor gasoline, motor gasoline blending components, aviation gasoline, jet fuel, distillate fuel oil, ethane,**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.321267 3.476158 3.341444 3.561017 3.378742 3.608663 3.43137 3.593213 0.355939 0.469063 0.350803 0.457683 0.337211 0.471684 0.342006 0.491522 0.0174 0.020086 0.01754 0.020296 0.017562 0.020727 0.017847 0.020969 1.600879 2.147527 1.628304 2.137845 1.611049 2.206845 1.64028 2.275994 0.480264 0.644258 0.488491 0.641353 0.483315 0.662053 0.492084 0.682798 0.048026 0.064426 0.048849 0.064135 0.048331 0.066205 0.049208 0.06828 0.240132 0.322129 0.244246 0.320677 0.241657 0.331027 0.246042 0.341399 0.832457 1.116714 0.846718 1.111679 0.837746 1.147559 0.852945 1.183517 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.348006 0.40172 0.350806 0.405926 0.351231 0.41454 0.356944 0.419389 0.087001 0.10043 0.087701 0.101482 0.087808 0.103635 0.089236 0.104847 0.069601 0.080344 0.070161 0.081185 0.070246 0.082908 0.071389 0.083878 5.800093 6.695328 5.846759 6.765434 5.853848 6.909001 5.949073 6.989813

0.654369 0.654218 0.643498 0.64306 0.634098 0.635556 0.623505 0.633721 0.399006 0.398913 0.392377 0.39211 0.386645 0.387534 0.380186 0.386415 0.063841 0.063826 0.06278 0.062738 0.061863 0.062005 0.06083 0.061826 0.127682 0.127652 0.125561 0.125475 0.123726 0.124011 0.121659 0.123653 0.038305 0.038296 0.037668 0.037643 0.037118 0.037203 0.036498 0.037096 0.033197 0.03319 0.032646 0.032624 0.032169 0.032243 0.031631 0.03215 0.044689 0.044678 0.043946 0.043916 0.043304 0.043404 0.042581 0.043279 0.011491 0.011489 0.0113 0.011293 0.011135 0.011161 0.010949 0.011129 0.03192 0.031913 0.03139 0.031369 0.030932 0.031003 0.030415 0.030913 0.159602 0.159565 0.156951 0.156844 0.154658 0.155014 0.152074 0.154566 0.159602 0.159565 0.156951 0.156844 0.154658 0.155014 0.152074 0.154566 1.596023 1.595653 1.569508 1.568439 1.54658 1.550135 1.520743 1.545662

0.126248 0.125823 0.126082 0.125888 0.125991 0.125443 0.125605 0.12641 0.090177 0.089873 0.090059 0.08992 0.089994 0.089602 0.089718 0.090293 0.018035 0.017975 0.018012 0.017984 0.017999 0.01792 0.017944 0.018059 0.126248 0.125823 0.126082 0.125888 0.125991 0.125443 0.125605 0.12641 0.008837 0.008808 0.008826 0.008812 0.008819 0.008781 0.008792 0.008849 0.088374 0.088076 0.088257 0.088121 0.088194 0.08781 0.087924 0.088487 0.0202 0.020132 0.020173 0.020142 0.020159 0.020071 0.020097 0.020226 0.008837 0.008808 0.008826 0.008812 0.008819 0.008781 0.008792 0.008849 **2028 2029**  **2030 2031**  **2032**0.045089 0.044937 0.045029 0.04496 0.044997 0.044801 0.044859 0.045146

0.306603 0.305569 0.306199 0.305727 0.305978 0.304648 0.305041 0.306996 0.189373 0.188734 0.189123 0.188832 0.188987 0.188165 0.188408 0.189615 0.901775 0.898733 0.900586 0.899198 0.899936 0.896024 0.897179 0.90293**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.446947 3.541662 3.556179 3.551211 3.548741 3.644773 3.547346 3.747947 0.342185 0.508797 0.344605 0.534471 0.345042 0.54321 0.350425 0.552497 0.018006 0.02107 0.018326 0.021369 0.018371 0.021818 0.018461 0.022283 1.672557 2.340893 1.65817 2.396288 1.678723 2.430257 1.701944 2.458803 0.501767 0.702268 0.497451 0.718886 0.503617 0.729077 0.510583 0.737641 0.050177 0.070227 0.049745 0.071889 0.050362 0.072908 0.051058 0.073764 0.250884 0.351134 0.248725 0.359443 0.251808 0.364538 0.255292 0.36882 0.86973 1.217264 0.862248 1.24607 0.872936 1.263733 0.885011 1.278577 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.360111 0.421408 0.366524 0.427383 0.367418 0.436367 0.369212 0.445665 0.090028 0.105352 0.091631 0.106846 0.091854 0.109092 0.092303 0.111416 0.072022 0.084282 0.073305 0.085477 0.073484 0.087273 0.073842 0.089133 6.001856 7.023462 6.108739 7.123044 6.123633 7.272789 6.153533 7.427744

0.617687 0.628994 0.618797 0.628538 0.621072 0.628472 0.620193 0.631078 0.376639 0.383533 0.377315 0.383255 0.378702 0.383214 0.378166 0.384804 0.060262 0.061365 0.06037 0.061321 0.060592 0.061314 0.060507 0.061569 0.120524 0.122731 0.120741 0.122642 0.121185 0.122629 0.121013 0.123137 0.036157 0.036819 0.036222 0.036792 0.036355 0.036789 0.036304 0.036941 0.031336 0.03191 0.031393 0.031887 0.031508 0.031883 0.031463 0.032016 0.042184 0.042956 0.042259 0.042925 0.042415 0.04292 0.042355 0.043098 0.010847 0.011046 0.010867 0.011038 0.010907 0.011037 0.010891 0.011082 0.030131 0.030683 0.030185 0.03066 0.030296 0.030657 0.030253 0.030784 0.150655 0.153413 0.150926 0.153302 0.151481 0.153286 0.151267 0.153922 0.150655 0.153413 0.150926 0.153302 0.151481 0.153286 0.151267 0.153922 1.506555 1.534131 1.50926 1.533019 1.51481 1.532858 1.512666 1.539216

0.125109 0.126118 0.124679 0.125065 0.124471 0.124696 0.124348 0.124246 0.089364 0.090084 0.089056 0.089332 0.088908 0.089068 0.08882 0.088747 0.017873 0.018017 0.017811 0.017866 0.017782 0.017814 0.017764 0.017749 0.125109 0.126118 0.124679 0.125065 0.124471 0.124696 0.124348 0.124246 0.008758 0.008828 0.008728 0.008755 0.008713 0.008729 0.008704 0.008697 0.087576 0.088283 0.087275 0.087545 0.08713 0.087287 0.087044 0.086972 0.020017 0.020179 0.019949 0.02001 0.019915 0.019951 0.019896 0.019879 0.008758 0.008828 0.008728 0.008755 0.008713 0.008729 0.008704 0.008697

**2033 2034**  **2035 2036**  **2032**0.044682 0.045042 0.044528 0.044666 0.044454 0.044534 0.04441 0.044373

0.303837 0.306287 0.302792 0.303729 0.302286 0.302832 0.301989 0.30174 0.187664 0.189177 0.187019 0.187597 0.186706 0.187043 0.186523 0.186369 0.893637 0.900843 0.890564 0.89332 0.889077 0.890683 0.888203 0.887469**Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** **Low growth Reference** 

3.574214 3.831086 3.637882 3.940742 3.697567 4.012207 3.733467 4.021209 0.353225 0.558256 0.347336 0.577288 0.35046 0.582499 0.352763 0.611661 0.01859 0.022592 0.018772 0.023227 0.019055 0.023359 0.019086 0.023636 1.711379 2.463445 1.709096 2.527412 1.731965 2.490845 1.703043 2.536623 0.513414 0.739033 0.512729 0.758224 0.51959 0.747254 0.510913 0.760987 0.051341 0.073903 0.051273 0.075822 0.051959 0.074725 0.051091 0.076099 0.256707 0.369517 0.256364 0.379112 0.259795 0.373627 0.255456 0.380493 0.889917 1.280991 0.88873 1.314254 0.900622 1.295239 0.885582 1.319044 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.37179 0.451832 0.375449 0.464535 0.381098 0.467179 0.38171 0.472714 0.092948 0.112958 0.093862 0.116134 0.095275 0.116795 0.095428 0.118178 0.074358 0.090366 0.07509 0.092907 0.07622 0.093436 0.076342 0.094543 6.196503 7.530535 6.257487 7.742245 6.35164 7.786319 6.361838 7.878564

0.623002 0.628671 0.628747 0.624818 0.624069 0.619122 0.619454 0.614522 0.379879 0.383336 0.383382 0.380986 0.38053 0.377514 0.377716 0.374709 0.060781 0.061334 0.061341 0.060958 0.060885 0.060402 0.060434 0.059953 0.121561 0.122668 0.122682 0.121916 0.12177 0.120804 0.120869 0.119907 0.036468 0.0368 0.036805 0.036575 0.036531 0.036241 0.036261 0.035972 0.031606 0.031894 0.031897 0.031698 0.03166 0.031409 0.031426 0.031176 0.042546 0.042934 0.042939 0.04267 0.042619 0.042282 0.042304 0.041967 0.010941 0.01104 0.011041 0.010972 0.010959 0.010872 0.010878 0.010792 0.03039 0.030667 0.030671 0.030479 0.030442 0.030201 0.030217 0.029977 0.151952 0.153334 0.153353 0.152395 0.152212 0.151005 0.151086 0.149883 0.151952 0.153334 0.153353 0.152395 0.152212 0.151005 0.151086 0.149883 1.519517 1.533345 1.533529 1.523945 1.522121 1.510054 1.510862 1.498835

0.124501 0.123986 0.124278 0.123581 0.12429 0.124621 0.123965 0.123347 0.088929 0.088562 0.08877 0.088272 0.088778 0.089015 0.088547 0.088105 0.017786 0.017712 0.017754 0.017654 0.017756 0.017803 0.017709 0.017621 0.124501 0.123986 0.124278 0.123581 0.12429 0.124621 0.123965 0.123347 0.008715 0.008679 0.008699 0.008651 0.0087 0.008724 0.008678 0.008634 0.087151 0.08679 0.086995 0.086506 0.087003 0.087235 0.086776 0.086343 0.01992 0.019838 0.019884 0.019773 0.019886 0.019939 0.019834 0.019735 0.008715 0.008679 0.008699 0.008651 0.0087 0.008724 0.008678 0.008634 **2036 2037**  **2038 2039**  **2040**0.044465 0.044281 0.044385 0.044136 0.044389 0.044508 0.044273 0.044052

0.30236 0.301109 0.301818 0.300124 0.301847 0.302652 0.301059 0.299556 0.186752 0.185979 0.186417 0.185371 0.186435 0.186932 0.185948 0.18502 0.889294 0.885615 0.8877 0.882718 0.887784 0.890154 0.885467 0.881048**Low growth Reference**  **Low growth**

3.752934 1.80% 1.60% 0.358708 -1.70% -3.50% 0.019089 3.50% 2.70% 1.678807 -1.60% -3.10% 0.503642 -1.30% -2.70% 0.050364 -3.00% -4.40% 0.251821 -1.80% -3.20% 0.87298 -1.70% -3.20% 0- - - - 0.381788 -1.40% -2.10% 0.095447 -0.40% -1.20% 0.076358 -3.40% -4.10% 6.363131 -0.30% -1.00%

0.61239 1.00% 1.00% 0.373409 -0.80% -0.80% 0.059745 -1.00% -1.00% 0.119491 -0.70% -0.70% 0.035847 -1.40% -1.40% 0.031068 -1.30% -1.30% 0.041822 0.30% 0.30% 0.010754 1.50% 1.40% 0.029873 2.30% 2.30% 0.149363 -0.20% -0.20% 0.149363 -2.10% -2.10% 1.493634 -0.20% -0.20%

0.123802 3.10% 3.20% 0.08843 1.90% 1.90% 0.017686 2.30% 2.30% 0.123802 2.30% 2.30% 0.008666 -3.60% -3.60% 0.086661 5.30% 5.30% 0.019808 0.40% 0.40% 0.008666 3.50% 3.50%

**Growth Rate (2012-2040) 2040** 0.044215 1.00% 1.10%

0.300662 1.70% 1.70% 0.185703 3.50% 3.50% 0.8843 2.30% 2.30%**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**Production 1/ (million barrels per day)**  **Lower 48 Total 8.900111**  **8.867136 8.824425**  **8.786826**

**Lower 48 Onshore 7.188561**  **7.162668 7.15023**  **7.122798** Northeast 0.034288 0.034403 0.032556 0.032523 Gulf Coast 2.381176 2.370118 2.316759 2.309522 Midcontinent 0.406339 0.40521 0.42771 0.422815 Southwest 2.015574 2.007468 2.01127 2.009016 Rocky Mountain 1.837814 1.835603 1.843294 1.838642 West Coast 0.513369 0.509867 0.518641 0.51028

**Lower 48 Offshore 1.71155**  **1.704468 1.674195**  **1.664028** Gulf 1.664602 1.657521 1.62862 1.618453 Shallow 0.140141 0.139988 0.142083 0.141999 Deep 1.524461 1.517533 1.486537 1.476454 Pacific 0.046947 0.046947 0.045575 0.045575 Atlantic 0 0 0 0

**Wellhead Prices (2012 dollars per barrel)**

**Lower 48 Average 97.80838**  **96.338959 100.253662**  **98.817451**

**Lower 48 Onshore** Northeast 94.112473 92.783409 96.664772 95.256226 Gulf Coast 101.565804100.093513104.050888102.638084 Midcontinent 94.523308 93.143295 97.100655 95.593483 Southwest 96.73336 95.19173499.262184 97.774902 Rocky Mountain 90.621925 89.27779493.108444 91.702591 West Coast 100.724861 99.140396103.176003101.782082

**Lower 48 Offshore** Gulf 101.565804100.093513104.050888102.638084 Pacific 100.724861 99.140396103.176003101.782082 Atlantic 100.388268 99.070137102.775673101.427277 **2022 2023**  

### Lower 48 Crude Oil Production and Wellhead Prices by Supply Region

**Region**

1/ Includes lease condensate. - - = Not applicable. Note: Oil and Gas Supply Model regions are defined in Appendix F of the Annual Energy Outlook. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 may differ from official EIA data reports due to internal conversion factors within the AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System.Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013); EIA, Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC, August 2013);

and EIA, Office of Energy Analysis. Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. Sources: 2011 and 2012: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Petroleum Supply**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**8.727163 8.684845**  **8.677514 8.624203**  **8.525279 8.437649**  **8.380886 8.263172** 

**7.107878 7.069014**  **7.040334 6.983428**  **6.896193 6.804597**  **6.776772 6.661268**  0.032597 0.032646 0.030844 0.030725 0.028549 0.028418 0.024324 0.024243 2.263959 2.248317 2.224121 2.199647 2.191852 2.147961 2.174088 2.118921 0.44528 0.438848 0.46188 0.455662 0.432717 0.425399 0.411832 0.405837 2.004265 2.005962 1.96632 1.967267 1.905734 1.903286 1.853967 1.846131 1.845085 1.836385 1.841 1.824675 1.821488 1.795151 1.80013 1.768221 0.516692 0.506856 0.51617 0.505451 0.515852 0.504383 0.512432 0.497915

**1.619285 1.61583**  **1.63718 1.640775**  **1.629087 1.633052**  **1.604115 1.601904**  1.574737 1.571282 1.59384 1.597435 1.586689 1.590654 1.54154 1.53933 0.141077 0.140962 0.144515 0.142128 0.143759 0.143629 0.146613 0.138318 1.43366 1.43032 1.449324 1.455307 1.442931 1.447025 1.394927 1.401011 0.044548 0.044548 0.04334 0.04334 0.042397 0.042397 0.041327 0.041327 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.021248 0.021248

**102.645958 100.853104** **104.900368 102.782249** **106.887436 104.930107**  **109.2752 107.149368** 

99.083099 97.526764101.577057 99.30262103.538445101.595657105.798943103.672546 106.512489104.646385108.727554106.616371110.699409108.742256 113.14904 110.94474 99.591713 97.84491101.844383 99.676254103.839073101.813599106.255486104.071945 101.710388 99.889267103.954224101.778992105.880997103.898132108.303497 106.10408 95.525131 93.871246 97.814186 95.749779 99.772545 97.882599101.920731 100.05896 105.58136103.926483108.131889106.006462110.270653108.192215112.696999 110.55442

106.512489104.646385108.727554106.616371110.699409108.742256 113.14904 110.94474 105.58136103.926483108.131889106.006462110.270653108.192215112.696999 110.55442 105.148201103.486481107.336594105.257095109.173943107.232239113.038216110.911354

**2024 2025**  **2026 2027** 

Note: Oil and Gas Supply Model regions are defined in Appendix F of the Annual Energy Outlook. Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 may differ from official EIA data reports due toAnnual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013); EIA, Petroleum Marketing Monthly, DOE/EIA-0380(2013/08) (Washington, DC, August 2013);**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**8.244573 8.104976**  **8.125161 7.990507**  **8.064343 7.922351**  **7.932957 7.805292** 

**6.653513 6.54824**  **6.523207 6.434907**  **6.383477 6.311785**  **6.258595 6.190552**  0.023502 0.023467 0.023068 0.022716 0.022286 0.022136 0.02163 0.02152 2.14563 2.099233 2.112138 2.071599 2.07325 2.039193 2.034595 2.004821 0.394679 0.392233 0.379515 0.376814 0.36359 0.361557 0.347439 0.345026 1.804189 1.795094 1.760746 1.755326 1.722773 1.720081 1.694137 1.691505 1.77217 1.740743 1.734296 1.710753 1.689474 1.671698 1.649228 1.631239 0.513343 0.49747 0.513445 0.4977 0.512102 0.497121 0.511565 0.496442

**1.59106 1.556736**  **1.601955 1.5556**  **1.680866 1.610565**  **1.674362 1.61474**  1.53046 1.496137 1.545068 1.498713 1.584825 1.530295 1.574176 1.514554 0.146829 0.142958 0.145839 0.143542 0.143921 0.144526 0.139111 0.138238 1.383631 1.353179 1.399229 1.35517 1.440904 1.385769 1.435065 1.376316 0.043514 0.043514 0.042577 0.042577 0.070796 0.055025 0.073127 0.073127 0.017085 0.017085 0.01431 0.01431 0.025246 0.025246 0.027059 0.027059

**110.995583 108.8442**  **113.00386 110.621506** **114.693359 112.061508** **116.703568 113.656937** 

107.284348105.291985109.186829106.999275 110.88205108.297531112.679344109.900459 114.800568112.635162116.772446114.381012118.380623115.696655120.356071117.225113 108.167122105.851814110.191055107.655128111.839012109.132179114.010544110.891106 110.063263107.806938112.046005109.568642113.663773111.166931115.661476112.821571 103.622887101.683167105.561508103.401772107.201324104.688889109.153198106.210686 114.414192112.344604116.451683114.187187118.079697115.570755120.055336 117.05468

114.800568112.635162116.772446114.381012118.380623115.696655120.356071117.225113 114.414192112.344604116.451683114.187187118.079697115.570755120.055336 117.05468 114.520943112.412209116.471664114.136032118.339943115.738251120.382896 117.41732 **2031 2028**  **2029 2030** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**7.79967 7.719016**  **7.704468 7.588954**  **7.596154 7.503014**  **7.494101 7.390216** 

**6.128838 6.069671**  **6.013788 5.956047**  **5.903867 5.843049**  **5.791162 5.730945**  0.021191 0.021093 0.020659 0.020643 0.019888 0.020109 0.0191 0.019221 1.988744 1.966975 1.941352 1.927007 1.895096 1.883398 1.843749 1.837933 0.334477 0.333197 0.325831 0.324401 0.321337 0.318135 0.318279 0.310227 1.667218 1.664677 1.645648 1.640574 1.622184 1.614721 1.60502 1.595799 1.607493 1.589755 1.569666 1.55354 1.531489 1.51651 1.490282 1.476997 0.509714 0.493973 0.510631 0.489882 0.513874 0.490176 0.514732 0.490768

**1.670832 1.649345**  **1.69068 1.632908**  **1.692287 1.659965**  **1.702939 1.659272**  1.542279 1.517609 1.538468 1.501592 1.535595 1.502838 1.54986 1.504078 0.139531 0.137903 0.140406 0.139086 0.136076 0.136089 0.1337 0.131916 1.402748 1.379706 1.398062 1.362506 1.399519 1.366749 1.416159 1.372161 0.10258 0.105763 0.130363 0.109467 0.137733 0.138168 0.136281 0.138396 0.025973 0.025973 0.021849 0.021849 0.018959 0.018959 0.016798 0.016798

**118.922768 115.930054** **121.23806 118.722717** **123.499855 120.6371** **125.590073 122.317917** 

114.77874112.050858117.158493114.489487119.328743116.290031121.450577117.947067 122.539429119.424538124.844772 121.89637 127.00766123.775307129.070984 125.42041 116.800583113.442802119.825394117.188972122.216454119.015732124.450798120.873154 117.894066115.056175120.161224118.612717122.885612120.632469124.925697122.460823 111.26149108.453339113.366493110.968483115.528435112.707542117.596268114.230469 122.131439119.230835124.426384 121.8255125.956573123.740234127.975883125.225403

122.539429119.424538124.844772 121.89637 127.00766123.775307129.070984 125.42041 122.131439119.230835124.426384 121.8255125.956573123.740234127.975883125.225403 122.504211119.590118124.806946121.978409126.926399123.768692128.860779125.377731 **2035 2032**  **2033 2034** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**7.386033 7.293817**  **7.339821 7.250445**  **7.237151 7.189365**  **7.241581 7.16858** 

**5.665342 5.61087**  **5.555617 5.487158**  **5.444775 5.371232**  **5.340479 5.272998**  0.021293 0.018544 0.024065 0.017593 0.026145 0.019328 0.027762 0.022657 1.788208 1.784765 1.734106 1.730661 1.68166 1.679637 1.631678 1.630798 0.314977 0.30438 0.313427 0.301236 0.308989 0.299096 0.303458 0.298189 1.588877 1.579974 1.576182 1.55989 1.564958 1.544091 1.552804 1.529646 1.439325 1.433414 1.39853 1.39088 1.357903 1.344599 1.319116 1.308179 0.512662 0.489793 0.509307 0.486898 0.505121 0.48448 0.505661 0.483529

**1.72069 1.682946**  **1.784204 1.763287**  **1.792376 1.818134**  **1.901103 1.895582**  1.55264 1.529593 1.595032 1.585563 1.59863 1.636442 1.622759 1.661948 0.132069 0.132519 0.12847 0.131547 0.125397 0.12728 0.122333 0.125187 1.420571 1.397074 1.466562 1.454016 1.473233 1.509162 1.500426 1.536761 0.136691 0.138235 0.137591 0.1343 0.127465 0.127701 0.17087 0.168046 0.03136 0.015117 0.051582 0.043425 0.066281 0.05399 0.107474 0.065588

**127.469971 123.769135** **129.331207 125.82296** **131.588776 127.543411** **134.449875 130.055283** 

123.284927119.413498 124.91304121.352882127.046906122.860672129.828384125.373131 130.829636126.770523132.531296128.732346134.660233130.382095137.352585132.830276 126.334633122.342545128.356567124.346802130.370377126.356377 134.04982128.961243 126.983871124.047829128.932526126.135582131.320297127.771072134.774384130.184357 119.427788115.616196121.403931117.580391123.758728119.256325126.632462121.812378 129.696075126.566574131.317551128.552765 133.54245130.213852134.826904132.595947

130.829636126.770523132.531296128.732346134.660233130.382095137.352585132.830276 129.696075126.566574131.317551128.552765 133.54245130.213852134.826904132.595947 131.445129127.524765132.980713129.420151135.159256131.038879137.762634133.490051 **2037 2038**  **2039 2036** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**7.220181 7.192811**  **0.70% 0.70%** 

**5.231455 5.168177**  **0.50% 0.40%**  0.029056 0.025275 -4.10% -4.60% 1.572722 1.574737 2.10% 2.10% 0.297892 0.294778 -1.80% -1.90% 1.539118 1.514737 0.10% 0.10% 1.286249 1.274366 0.50% 0.50% 0.506418 0.484283 0.00% -0.10%

**1.988725 2.024635**  **1.40% 1.40%**  1.698679 1.738388 1.00% 1.10% 0.119727 0.12082 -2.70% -2.70% 1.578953 1.617568 1.60% 1.60% 0.175838 0.182517 2.80% 2.90% 0.114207 0.10373- - - -

**137.627213 132.893082**  **1.30% 1.20%** 

132.912704128.115585 1.40% 1.30% 140.403458135.613663 1.40% 1.20% 137.415436131.756332 1.50% 1.40% 137.879364132.963898 1.50% 1.30% 129.98877124.748863 1.60% 1.40% 137.895203134.942444 1.00% 0.90%

140.403458135.613663 1.00% 0.90% 137.895203134.942444 1.20% 1.10% 140.884201136.240723- - - -

**2040 Growth Rate (2012-2040)** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**Production** Crude Oil and Lease Condensate 19.797363 19.726751 19.588774 19.507233 Natural Gas Plant Liquids 3.615733 3.581611 3.734002 3.69321 Dry Natural Gas 30.852615 29.915485 31.604639 30.53087 Coal 1/ 21.943829 21.239628 22.013521 21.402643 Nuclear / Uranium 2/ 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 Hydropower 2.821391 2.837783 2.834963 2.837932 Biomass 3/ 4.852269 4.706735 4.949065 4.748595 Other Renewable Energy 4/ 3.024961 3.122074 3.048689 3.129983 Other 5/ 0.236875 0.236875 0.236668 0.236875 **Total 95.299744**  **93.521645 96.165031**  **94.24205**

**Imports** Crude Oil 13.471543 12.375824 13.537369 12.309898 Petroleum and Other Liquids 6/ 4.224775 4.201827 4.213912 4.199896 Natural Gas 7/ 2.208058 2.124297 2.121711 2.042368 Other 8/ 0.172805 0.169349 0.165868 0.157004 **Total 20.077179**  **18.8713 20.038858**  **18.709166**

**Exports** Petroleum and Other Liquids 9/ 6.335088 6.338159 6.403109 6.39669 Natural Gas 10/ 4.682336 4.833418 4.992368 5.185117 Coal 3.188219 3.188219 3.232064 3.232064 **Total 14.205644**  **14.359797 14.627541**  **14.81387**
**Discrepancy 11/ -0.312188**  **-0.305506 -0.283621**  **-0.29132**

**Consumption** Petroleum and Other Liquids 12/ 36.657078 35.429153 36.539845 35.178841 Natural Gas 28.203798 27.029894 28.555622 27.207373 Coal 13/ 18.75152 18.036129 18.768921 18.150547 Nuclear / Uranium 2/ 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 8.154711 Hydropower 2.821391 2.837783 2.834963 2.837932 Biomass 14/ 3.519106 3.379081 3.610688 3.424139 Other Renewable Energy 4/ 3.024961 3.122074 3.048689 3.129983 Other 15/ 0.350907 0.349834 0.346535 0.345146 **Total 101.483467**  **98.338654 101.85997**  **98.428665**
**Prices (2012 dollars per unit)** Brent Spot Price (dollars per barrel) 101.571045100.177994104.215752102.635941 

### Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary **(quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)**

**Supply, Disposition, and Prices 2023**  **2022**West Texas Intermediate Spot Price (dollars

p 99.571045 98.205429102.215752100.666252 Natural Gas at Henry Hub (dollars per mmB tu) 4.821756 4.483842 4.958053 4.699736 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per ton) 16/ 47.639824 47.47473948.214897 48.127991 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per million Btu) 1 6/ 2.386652 2.383241 2.416909 2.416306
Coal, Delivered (dollars per million Btu) 17/ 2.916656 2.891781 2.945767 2.925613 Electricity (cents per kilowatthour) 10.015067 10.092216 9.983873 10.082653

**Prices (nominal dollars per unit)** Brent Spot Price (dollars per barrel) 118.883827127.704903124.058952135.413803 West Texas Intermediate Spot Price (dollars p 116.542931125.190315121.678146132.815079 Natural Gas at Henry Hub (dollars per mmB tu) 5.643625 5.715912 5.902091 6.200646 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per ton) 16/ 55.760033 60.519848 57.395256 63.498165 Coal, Minemouth (dollars per million Btu) 1 6/ 2.793456 3.038108 2.8771 3.187978
Coal, Delivered (dollars per million Btu) 17/ 3.4138 3.686384 3.506655 3.859938 Electricity (cents per kilowatthour) 11.722136 12.865355 11.884852 13.302653
1/ Includes waste coal. 2/ These values represent the energy obtained from uranium when it is used in light water reactors. The total energy content of uranium is much larger, but alternative processes are required to take advantage of it. 3/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste; biomass, such as corn, used for liquid fuels production; and non-electric energy demand from wood. Refer to Table 17 for details. 4/ Includes grid-connected electricity from landfill gas; biogenic municipal waste; wind; photovoltaic and solar thermal sources; and

9/ Includes crude oil, petroleum products, ethanol, and biodiesel. 10/ Includes re-exported liquefied natural gas. 11/ Balancing item. Includes unaccounted for supply, losses, gains, and net storage withdrawals. 12/ Estimated consumption. Includes petroleum-derived fuels and non-petroleum-derived fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, and coal-based synthetic liquids. Petroleum coke, which is a solid, is included. Also included are natural gas plant liquids and crude oil consumed as a fuel. Refer to Table 17 for detailed renewable liquid fuels consumption. non-electric energy from renewable sources, such as active and passive solar systems. Excludes electricity imports using renewable sources and nonmarketed renewable energy. See Table 17 for selected nonmarketed residential and commercial renewable energy data. 5/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, methanol, and some domestic inputs to refineries. 6/ Includes imports of finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, alcohols, ethers, blending components, and renewable fuels such as ethanol. 7/ Includes imports of liquefied natural gas that are later re-exported. 8/ Includes coal, coal coke (net), and electricity (net). Excludes imports of fuel used in nuclear power plants.

13/ Excludes coal converted to coal-based synthetic liquids and natural gas. 14/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste, non-electric energy from wood, and biofuels heat and coproducts used in the production of liquid fuels, but excludes the energy content of the liquid fuels. 15/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, and net electricity imports.17/ Prices weighted by consumption; weighted average excludes export free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) prices.

Btu = British thermal unit. MmBtu = Million Btu. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 are model results and may differ from official EIA data reports. 16/ Includes reported prices for both open market and captive mines. Prices weighted by production, which differs from average minemouth prices published in EIA data reports where it is weighted by reported sales.

Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. 2012 petroleum supply values and 2011 crude oil and lease condensate production: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013). Other 2011 petroleum supply values: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012). 2011 and 2012 crude oil spot prices and natural gas spot prices at Henry Hub: Thomson Reuters. Other 2011 and 2012 coal values: EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2012, DOE/EIA-0121(2012/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2013). Other 2011 and 2012 values: EIA, Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013). Sources: 2011 natural gas supply values: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Natural Gas Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0131(2011) (Washington, DC, January 2013). 2012 natural gas supply values: EIA, Natural Gas Monthly, DOE/EIA-0130(2013/06) (Washington, DC, June 2013). 2011 and 2012 coal minemouth and delivered coal prices: EIA, Annual Coal Report 2012, DOE/EIA-0584(2012) (Washington, DC, December 2013).**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

19.336222 19.24489 19.190516 19.075912 18.827377 18.639853 18.479458 18.22765 3.795619 3.759443 3.841077 3.807074 3.882074 3.840885 3.907962 3.863929 32.128975 30.882107 32.565762 31.201923 33.17931 31.425081 33.798073 31.912706 22.20298 21.413237 22.364708 21.523249 22.312677 21.501364 22.320375 21.500319 8.154711 8.154711 8.154716 8.154716 8.154716 8.154716 8.154711 8.154711 2.841253 2.838088 2.841416 2.838222 2.842601 2.838357 2.850831 2.838463 4.991743 4.800946 5.081632 4.849515 5.120971 4.902009 5.147976 4.919647 3.075994 3.145301 3.085657 3.159305 3.106894 3.170739 3.145751 3.193692 0.236668 0.236668 0.236875 0.236875 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 **96.76416 94.475388** **97.362358 94.846786** **97.663292 94.709671** **98.041809 94.847794** 

13.672913 12.314678 13.702909 12.219724 13.988398 12.444866 14.313476 12.679505 4.20438 4.185137 4.196534 4.181661 4.17438 4.164902 4.155082 4.141096 2.094624 2.011441 2.038294 1.957669 1.986471 1.920177 1.95378 1.887918 0.171333 0.162796 0.14894 0.135349 0.160833 0.137874 0.173443 0.142554 **20.14325 18.674051** **20.086678 18.494404** **20.310081 18.66782** **20.595779 18.851072** 

6.445256 6.441656 6.484701 6.485577 6.571178 6.571702 6.658559 6.651224 5.282618 5.297138 5.44732 5.461329 5.724477 5.540161 6.07186 5.885454 3.272233 3.264626 3.307855 3.269378 3.272009 3.231409 3.269187 3.230794 **15.000107 15.00342**  **15.239875 15.216284** **15.567664 15.343272**  **15.999607 15.767472** 

**-0.260056 -0.27533**  **-0.243354 -0.247721**  **-0.231986 -0.238692**  **-0.219532 -0.21876** 

36.412403 34.919727 36.280689 34.6322436.125835 34.343163 36.010014 34.070129 28.758499 27.414442 28.971956 27.513693 29.252851 27.619331 29.486954 27.725441 18.930254 18.1376 19.025957 18.2103 19.019447 18.228037 19.052816 18.241209 8.154711 8.154711 8.154716 8.154716 8.154716 8.154716 8.154711 8.154711 2.841253 2.838088 2.841416 2.838222 2.842601 2.838357 2.850831 2.838463 3.650854 3.47064 3.74386 3.51921 3.783503 3.568272 3.809391 3.58591 3.075994 3.145301 3.085657 3.159305 3.106894 3.170739 3.145751 3.193692 0.34339 0.340835 0.348266 0.344951 0.351854 0.350299 0.347044 0.3406 **102.167358 98.421349** **102.452515 98.372627** **102.637695 98.272911** **102.857513 98.150154** 

106.68821104.905891108.988052107.003708110.920845108.871544113.348221111.160934 **2024 2025**  **2026 2027** 104.688217102.939308106.988045105.040115108.920845106.908493111.348213109.199532

5.11958 4.795829 5.233528 4.974164 5.360766 5.134153 5.487433 5.272003 49.06646 48.784725 49.668922 49.247917 50.185238 49.834908 50.811157 50.52195

2.458772 2.449168 2.491694 2.475759 2.520603 2.505973 2.552941 2.543511

2.982548 2.952664 3.018979 2.986209 3.053654 3.021886 3.082893 3.056599 10.093805 10.067577 10.123871 10.113838 10.163352 10.085598 10.240662 10.220685

129.19516143.289932134.247238151.178513138.992798 159.03479144.522156 168.14328

126.773239 140.60379131.783722148.404297136.486633156.167252141.972107165.176422

6.199606 6.550576 6.446456 7.027671 6.717474 7.499747 6.996632 7.974491 59.417515 66.634583 61.180248 69.579155 62.886166 72.796654 64.785652 76.420067

2.977474 3.345295 3.069172 3.497838 3.15852 3.660615 3.255072 3.847344

3.611746 4.033015 3.718661 4.219019 3.826476 4.414239 3.930775 4.623446 12.223194 13.751205 12.47019 14.289178 12.735503 14.7326 13.057131 15.459922

2/ These values represent the energy obtained from uranium when it is used in light water reactors. The total energy content of uranium
3/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste; biomass, such as corn, used for liquid fuels production; and non-electric
4/ Includes grid-connected electricity from landfill gas; biogenic municipal waste; wind; photovoltaic and solar thermal sources; and

12/ Estimated consumption. Includes petroleum-derived fuels and non-petroleum-derived fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, and coal-based synthetic liquids. Petroleum coke, which is a solid, is included. Also included are natural gas plant liquids and crude oil consumed as a fuel. non-electric energy from renewable sources, such as active and passive solar systems. Excludes electricity imports using renewable sources and nonmarketed renewable energy. See Table 17 for selected nonmarketed residential and commercial renewable energy data. 5/ Includes non-biogenic municipal waste, liquid hydrogen, methanol, and some domestic inputs to refineries. 6/ Includes imports of finished petroleum products, unfinished oils, alcohols, ethers, blending components, and renewable fuels such as ethanol.
8/ Includes coal, coal coke (net), and electricity (net). Excludes imports of fuel used in nuclear power plants.

14/ Includes grid-connected electricity from wood and wood waste, non-electric energy from wood, and biofuels heat and coproducts used in the17/ Prices weighted by consumption; weighted average excludes export free-alongside-ship (f.a.s.) prices.

Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 16/ Includes reported prices for both open market and captive mines. Prices weighted by production, which differs from average minemouth prices

Other 2011 petroleum supply values: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012).
Other 2011 and 2012 coal values: EIA, Quarterly Coal Report, October-December 2012, DOE/EIA-0121(2012/4Q) (Washington, DC, March 2013). Other 2011 and 2012 values: EIA, Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013). Sources: 2011 natural gas supply values: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Natural Gas Annual**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

18.153067 17.853607 17.865959 17.576313 17.711773 17.40333 17.404036 17.128471 3.932132 3.893183 3.945454 3.895056 3.984065 3.918668 4.026133 3.936094 34.387623 32.40332434.836823 32.868595 35.18605 33.372856 35.426735 33.549149 22.310526 21.440317 22.429293 21.521612 22.612162 21.669098 22.63945 21.70134 8.163456 8.154711 8.177249 8.154711 8.181016 8.154711 8.190217 8.154711 2.855819 2.838564 2.867222 2.842927 2.872291 2.843005 2.875683 2.843073 5.177241 4.956806 5.241425 4.976249 5.294027 5.024656 5.338264 5.042326 3.17336 3.218101 3.197264 3.231514 3.225287 3.247433 3.26386 3.259852 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 0.236668 **98.3899 94.995285** **98.797363 95.30365** **99.303345 95.87043** **99.401047 95.851685** 

14.575418 12.861354 14.824636 12.966301 15.004932 12.983387 15.326821 13.197363 4.133234 4.110453 4.106264 4.081038 4.078588 4.057458 4.059441 4.0269 1.950454 1.873755 1.970111 1.869012 2.013158 1.873117 2.05434 1.933619 0.198209 0.150996 0.175567 0.155937 0.118782 0.108195 0.115244 0.106665 **20.857317 18.996555**  **21.07658 19.072289** **21.215458 19.022158** **21.555847 19.264545** 

6.709257 6.713497 6.786674 6.779294 6.907672 6.854432 7.022534 6.950993 6.405602 6.216995 6.746223 6.575678 6.963191 6.964603 7.108747 7.121623 3.296443 3.235815 3.390912 3.345461 3.552814 3.532385 3.612713 3.592756 **16.411301 16.166306** **16.923809 16.700434** **17.423676 17.351421**  **17.743994 17.665371** 

**-0.211531 -0.208408**  **-0.191185 -0.183527**  **-0.171375 -0.167665**  **-0.160147 -0.14785** 

35.887566 33.801048 35.744495 33.51905435.649609 33.277729 35.566242 33.095238 29.73498 27.866608 29.858309 27.962698 30.030592 28.076645 30.164454 28.144724 19.044132 18.188608 19.038383 18.15671 19.006927 18.081627 18.969868 18.054014 8.163456 8.154711 8.177249 8.154711 8.181016 8.154711 8.190217 8.154711 2.855819 2.838564 2.867222 2.842927 2.872291 2.843005 2.875683 2.843073 3.837834 3.626506 3.902033 3.645943 3.953909 3.694345 3.995415 3.712037 3.17336 3.218101 3.197264 3.231514 3.225287 3.247433 3.26386 3.259852 0.350301 0.339803 0.356361 0.34548 0.346868 0.333336 0.347306 0.335069 **103.047447 98.033943** **103.141319 97.859032** **103.266502 97.708832** **103.373047 97.598709** 

115.313896112.976303 117.3424114.764809118.993767116.230247121.067307118.082336

**2028 2029**  **2030 2031** 113.313896111.016846 115.3424112.808739116.993767114.276695119.067307116.131638

5.59464 5.3736 5.776204 5.547831 6.034758 5.64707 6.169094 5.851986 51.595455 51.241463 52.265583 51.846302 53.14962 52.851368 53.745762 53.390923

2.592211 2.580547 2.627047 2.612129 2.668806 2.658302 2.696581 2.682808

3.111119 3.081109 3.137243 3.103677 3.171798 3.132777 3.195009 3.154068 10.280457 10.27707 10.334393 10.303707 10.425936 10.324251 10.520489 10.349606

149.637344176.928192155.054718186.313797160.186829195.526932166.207062205.919861

147.042038173.859558152.411942183.138229157.494476192.240601163.461365202.518112

7.259898 8.415406 7.632601 9.006571 8.12386 9.499716 8.469231 10.205084 66.952965 80.247444 69.063057 84.169373 71.548866 88.908577 73.784782 93.106651

3.363789 4.041304 3.471346 4.240635 3.592689 4.471897 3.701997 4.67846

4.03715 4.825215 4.145512 5.038634 4.269806 5.270077 4.386264 5.500274 13.34046 16.094557 13.655731 16.727453 14.035169 17.367847 14.443036 18.048332**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

17.225822 16.923906 17.17374 16.622532 17.050535 16.550041 16.813204 16.459606 4.052212 3.964031 4.067114 3.990084 4.0895 4.02003 4.082143 4.009636 35.811348 33.76255436.170731 34.001003 36.517929 34.320919 36.887135 34.671249 22.64122 21.677496 22.618437 21.686935 22.650522 21.677013 22.676699 21.755203 8.192535 8.154711 8.203629 8.154711 8.215731 8.154711 8.228396 8.154711 2.881055 2.84314 2.881191 2.843239 2.883274 2.849832 2.889709 2.851765 5.358579 5.062461 5.38223 5.082047 5.418451 5.110288 5.442934 5.147247 3.303057 3.273425 3.331328 3.28541 3.384349 3.29442 3.442269 3.304714 0.236668 0.236668 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 **99.702499 95.898392** **100.064857 95.902412** **100.446747 96.213715** **100.698944 96.590576** 

15.512356 13.314757 15.581769 13.549527 15.789996 13.578166 16.123373 13.642287 4.060393 4.004359 4.039649 3.99533 4.01438 3.986428 4.000389 3.980057 2.023565 1.930051 2.023806 1.942017 2.037226 1.960567 2.055088 1.979314 0.109283 0.114827 0.100264 0.106275 0.091871 0.09643 0.108073 0.093616 **21.705597 19.363995** **21.745487 19.593149** **21.933474 19.621592** **22.286922 19.695276** 

7.127731 7.042706 7.204719 7.151627 7.316747 7.256863 7.396861 7.334403 7.279791 7.29592 7.377421 7.429931 7.466819 7.554155 7.603891 7.705195 3.655406 3.582644 3.655339 3.618609 3.723315 3.656878 3.807796 3.765373 **18.062929 17.92127**  **18.237478 18.200167**  **18.50688 18.467896**  **18.808548 18.804972** 

**-0.151667 -0.120462**  **-0.133417 -0.097412**  **-0.122196 -0.085676**  **-0.106838 -0.065407** 

35.488327 32.912827 35.416527 32.745407 35.381374 32.607857 35.365353 32.477226 30.343412 28.165445 30.593811 28.270893 30.859961 28.476776 31.101389 28.687305 18.927328 18.03335 18.900223 18.003294 18.859365 17.957857 18.820854 17.925045 8.192535 8.154711 8.203629 8.154711 8.215731 8.154711 8.228396 8.154711 2.881055 2.84314 2.881191 2.843239 2.883274 2.849832 2.889709 2.851765 4.015746 3.732187 4.039173 3.748593 4.075393 3.776823 4.102876 3.813782 3.303057 3.273425 3.331328 3.28541 3.384349 3.29442 3.442269 3.304714 0.345367 0.346504 0.340406 0.341262 0.336099 0.334817 0.333315 0.331738 **103.496834 97.461578** **103.706284 97.392807** **103.995537 97.453087** **104.284157 97.546288** 

123.396637120.281227125.632835122.711456127.705498124.510269129.765854126.174187 **2033 2034**  **2035 2032** 121.396645118.331734123.632835120.757957125.705505 122.56031127.765854124.229553

6.359075 6.050321 6.585333 6.198103 6.736744 6.267483 6.924771 6.555499 54.279789 53.981659 54.963959 54.584862 55.749699 55.044285 56.368313 55.982605

2.724712 2.714702 2.756246 2.745277 2.79165 2.769052 2.823757 2.81169

3.219081 3.182331 3.24436 3.210133 3.267167 3.236015 3.292048 3.258547 10.553414 10.411896 10.573455 10.461965 10.648924 10.550886 10.742988 10.579538

172.806366217.413681179.548264230.053223 186.30925242.341187193.273895255.061127

170.005539213.889877176.689957226.390915183.391449238.545883 190.29509251.130051

8.905336 10.936224 9.411434 11.61989 9.82822 12.198748 10.313788 13.251942 76.014168 97.574249 78.551781102.332939 81.333099107.135719 83.955238113.168839

3.815724 4.906946 3.939092 5.146707 4.072731 5.389559 4.205718 5.683832

4.508046 5.752205 4.63668 6.018196 4.766462 6.298434 4.903192 6.587154 14.779147 18.819965 15.111061 19.613562 15.535689 20.53577 16.000658 21.386538**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

16.564762 16.363443 16.449987 16.254816 16.149881 16.10915 16.099022 16.057278 4.054708 4.00287 4.094332 3.994071 4.065044 3.931273 4.032364 3.941248 37.160206 35.025181 37.48925 35.367256 37.855762 35.579891 38.182117 35.853085 22.573128 21.649076 22.325602 21.420486 22.32378 21.410332 22.450769 21.476879 8.269506 8.154711 8.319079 8.154711 8.370747 8.154711 8.434354 8.154711 2.892824 2.852507 2.892971 2.86255 2.894455 2.8635 2.900717 2.863639 5.466829 5.173742 5.494514 5.199347 5.52736 5.212928 5.57404 5.220307 3.530954 3.319651 3.612816 3.332871 3.714874 3.357712 3.796523 3.390991 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 0.23646 **100.749374 96.777634** **100.915009 96.822563** **101.138359 96.855957** **101.706367 97.194595** 

16.466021 13.741631 16.688995 13.873507 17.153801 14.075157 17.249319 14.098662 3.990967 3.979446 3.971073 3.976148 3.950523 3.960329 3.958355 3.942448 2.097705 2.0211 2.138121 2.061986 2.164393 2.124006 2.193256 2.150311 0.112101 0.085089 0.123591 0.083086 0.12378 0.095911 0.130121 0.108964 **22.666792 19.827267**  **22.92178 19.994728** **23.392498 20.255404** **23.531052 20.300385** 

7.459906 7.426569 7.557948 7.499065 7.63188 7.515467 7.664593 7.592549 7.738072 7.859837 7.840524 7.981259 7.946939 8.103606 8.060628 8.223051 3.712768 3.682183 3.504877 3.481556 3.507544 3.488008 3.641567 3.570926 **18.910746 18.968588** **18.903349 18.961882**  **19.086363 19.107082**  **19.366789 19.386526** 

**-0.097599 -0.055918**  **-0.089205 -0.042692**  **-0.073557 -0.023272**  **-0.063383 -0.030722** 

35.345112 32.371124 35.36573 32.301842 35.397236 32.245201 35.390163 32.139 31.283096 28.924797 31.548811 29.182652 31.830194 29.330853 32.067436 29.50861 18.813879 17.898851 18.782572 17.867922 18.777382 17.857702 18.772505 17.852627 8.269506 8.154711 8.319079 8.154711 8.370747 8.154711 8.434354 8.154711 2.892824 2.852507 2.892971 2.86255 2.894455 2.8635 2.900717 2.863639 4.131771 3.840288 4.162952 3.865556 4.194007 3.883733 4.230904 3.892371 3.530954 3.319651 3.612816 3.332871 3.714874 3.357712 3.796523 3.390991 0.335887 0.330309 0.337718 0.329998 0.339146 0.334139 0.341411 0.337224 **104.60302 97.69223** **105.022644 97.898102** **105.518051 98.02755** **105.934013 98.139175** 

131.605621127.663841133.752213129.628586135.774567131.258636138.460205133.730652

**2036 2037**  **2038 2039** 129.605621125.723747131.752213127.690247133.774567129.325165136.460205131.798965

7.184536 6.697116 7.227438 6.685741 7.262855 6.943284 7.423724 7.161473 56.489666 56.195335 57.159962 56.699223 57.470722 57.231571 58.026016 57.516747

2.834356 2.827396 2.866313 2.85095 2.881977 2.877165 2.907769 2.890171

3.316737 3.282623 3.339171 3.304189 3.35985 3.325241 3.390973 3.351992 10.84128 10.645356 10.919644 10.691734 10.953766 10.767891 11.037162 10.862707

200.220428268.257996 207.86586283.220642215.550919298.352936224.620239316.288757

197.177689264.181305204.757645278.985626212.375778 293.95813221.375687311.720093

10.930314 14.072543 11.232244 14.607426 11.530252 15.782192 12.043307 16.937727 85.941505118.082367 88.832954123.880005 91.238487130.088257 94.134041136.033875

4.312095 5.941162 4.454571 6.228932 4.575325 6.53984 4.717194 6.835595

5.045974 6.897724 5.189445 7.219199 5.333979 7.558324 5.501083 7.927856 16.493565 22.368917 16.970345 23.359968 17.389812 24.475584 17.905289 25.691582**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

15.996357 16.036381 0.50% 0.50% 3.991315 3.920468 0.80% 0.70% 38.370724 36.090431 1.60% 1.40% 22.610752 21.665577 0.30% 0.20% 8.49116 8.154711 0.20% 0.00% 2.901317 2.863791 0.30% 0.20% 5.606266 5.244791 1.40% 1.20% 3.888971 3.421023 2.50% 2.00% 0.236253 0.236253 -2.00% -2.00% **102.093109 97.633423**  **0.90% 0.80%** 

17.425735 14.110908 -0.20% -1.00% 3.92962 3.917202 -0.30% -0.30% 2.277222 2.21452 -1.20% -1.30% 0.097823 0.092808 -4.50% -4.70% **23.7304 20.335438**  **-0.40% -0.90%** 

7.700371 7.634516 0.70% 0.70% 8.09186 8.26055 5.90% 6.00% 3.78604 3.765193 0.60% 0.60% **19.57827 19.660259**  **2.00% 2.00%** 

**-0.06649 -0.030647** **- - - -** 

35.353397 32.036709 -0.10% -0.40% 32.319588 29.777775 0.80% 0.50% 18.747803 17.834044 0.30% 0.10% 8.49116 8.154711 0.20% 0.00% 2.901317 2.863791 0.30% 0.20% 4.261736 3.915877 1.90% 1.60% 3.888971 3.421023 2.50% 2.00% 0.347764 0.335318 -0.40% -0.50% **106.311729 98.339249**  **0.40% 0.10%** 

141.456161136.523712 0.80% 0.70% **Growth Rate (2012-2040) 2040** 139.456177134.593445 1.40% 1.30%

7.652016 7.189444 3.70% 3.50% 59.155956 58.570904 1.40% 1.40%

2.960135 2.938333 1.40% 1.40%

3.42591 3.37922 1.00% 0.90% 11.134843 10.797623 0.40% 0.30%

234.53244 335.89978 2.70% 4.00%

231.216492331.150604 3.30% 4.60%

12.686941 17.68874 5.60% 6.90% 98.079788144.106491 3.30% 4.70%

4.907864 7.229407 3.30% 4.70%

5.680112 8.314154 2.80% 4.20% 18.461422 26.566221 2.30% 3.60%**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

**Crude Oil** Domestic Crude Production 1/ 9.288825 9.25585 9.190735 9.153136 Alaska 0.388714 0.388714 0.36631 0.36631 Lower 48 States 8.900111 8.867136 8.824425 8.786826 Net Imports 5.942179 5.447834 5.974879 5.421006 Gross Imports 6.080156 5.585811 6.109093 5.555221 Exports 0.137977 0.137977 0.134215 0.134215 Other Crude Supply 2/ 0 0 0 0 **Total Crude Supply 15.231005**  **14.703684 15.165613**  **14.574142**
**Other Petroleum Supply 0.160282**  **0.115645 0.089492**  **0.044176** Net Product Imports -0.891071 -0.915068 -0.942516 -0.963858 Gross Refined Product Imports 3/ 1.006778 0.990698 1.01992 1.001245 Unfinished Oil Imports 0.515077 0.515077 0.511461 0.511461 Blending Component Imports 0.595522 0.595909 0.586201 0.587269 Exports 3.008449 3.016753 3.060099 3.063833 Refinery Processing Gain 4/ 1.051354 1.030713 1.032008 1.008034 Product Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 **Other Non-petroleum Supply 4.046521**  **4.006035 4.13366**  **4.090694** Supply from Renewable Sources 1.04257 1.037225 1.040906 1.037634 Ethanol 0.915509 0.898026 0.914924 0.899861 Domestic Production 0.84875 0.831288 0.854392 0.831302 Net Imports 0.066759 0.066739 0.060532 0.06856 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 Biodiesel 0.089 0.08892 0.088025 0.087494 Domestic Production 0.07703 0.07703 0.075851 0.075386 Net Imports 0.01197 0.011889 0.012174 0.012108 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 Other Biomass-derived Liquids 5/ 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050278 Domestic Production 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050278 Net Imports 0 0 0 0 Stock Withdrawal 0 0 0 0 Liquids from Gas 2.704508 2.678952 2.793027 2.76252 Natural Gas Plant Liquids 2.704508 2.678952 2.793027 2.76252 Gas-to-Liquids 0 0 0 0 Liquids from Coal 0 0 0 0 Other 6/ 0.299444 0.289859 0.299727 0.290541
**Total Primary Supply 7/ 19.437809**  **18.825363 19.388767**  **18.709013** 

### Petroleum and Other Liquids Supply and Disposition **(million barrels per day, unless otherwise noted)**

**Supply and Disposition 2023**  **2022 Product Supplied** 

**by Fuel** 16.93547 16.481286
Liquefied Petroleum Gases and Other 8/ 2.779921 2.720527 2.815053 2.750314 Motor Gasoline 9/ 8.100252 7.968296 7.963089 7.808892 of which: E85 10/ 0.204473 0.20991 0.222566 0.234668 Jet Fuel 11/ 1.502339 1.488837 1.508082 1.493557 Distillate Fuel Oil 12/ 4.348485 4.093716 4.378462 4.100627 of which: Diesel 4.005528 3.758273 4.040004 3.770045 Residual Fuel Oil 0.38962 0.384097 0.390509 0.384649 Other 13/ 2.326933 2.17955 2.343264 2.180738 **by Sector** Residential and Commercial 0.864389 0.860278 0.856255 0.851496 Industrial 14/ 5.48176 5.230692 5.536664 5.262894 Transportation 13.021044 12.6661 12.924597 12.525912 Electric Power 15/ 0.081549 0.079098 0.082155 0.079623 **Total 19.44755**  **18.835024 19.398457**  **18.718777**
Discrepancy 16/ -0.009741 -0.009661 -0.009689 -0.009764

Domestic Refinery Distillation Capacity 17/ 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 Capacity Utilization Rate (percent) 18/ 84.011528 81.102928 83.650841 80.38839 Net Import Share of Product Supplied (perce nt) 26.391024 24.49564 26.330032 24.254704 **Net Expenditures for Imports of Crude Oil a nd** 
Petroleum Products (billion 2012 dollars) 214.502243194.328156220.992096198.503998 16.93547

1/ Includes lease condensate. 2/ Strategic petroleum reserve stock additions plus unaccounted for crude oil and crude stock withdrawals minus crude product supplied. 3/ Includes other hydrocarbons and alcohols. 4/ The volumetric amount by which total output is greater than input due to the processing of crude oil into products which, in total, have a lower specific gravity than the crude oil processed. 5/ Includes pyrolysis oils, biomass-derived Fischer-Tropsch liquids, biobutanol, and renewable feedstocks used for the

cold starting issues, the percentage of ethanol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of 74 percent is used for this forecast. 11/ Includes only kerosene type. on-site production of diesel and gasoline. 6/ Includes domestic sources of other blending components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers. 7/ Total crude supply plus other petroleum supply plus other non-petroleum supply. 8/ Includes ethane, natural gasoline, and refinery olefins. 9/ Includes ethanol and ethers blended into gasoline. 10/ E85 refers to a blend of 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address12/ Includes distillate fuel oil from petroleum and biomass feedstocks.

13/ Includes kerosene, aviation gasoline, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants, waxes, asphalt, road oil, still gas, special naphthas, petroleum coke, crude oil product supplied, methanol, and miscellaneous petroleum products.

Other 2012 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013). Projections: EIA, AEO2014 National Energy Modeling System. - - = Not applicable. Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012 are model results and may differ from official EIA data reports. Sources: 2011 and 2012 product supplied based on: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), Monthly Energy Review, DOE/EIA-0035(2013/09) (Washington, DC, September 2013). Other 2011 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012). 14/ Includes energy for combined heat and power plants that have a non-regulatory status, and small on-site generating systems. 15/ Includes consumption of energy by electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status. 16/ Balancing item. Includes unaccounted for supply, losses, and gains. 17/ End-of-year operable capacity. 18/ Rate is calculated by dividing the gross annual input to atmospheric crude oil distillation units by their operable refining capacity in barrels per calendar day.**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

9.072848 9.03053 9.004183 8.950871 8.832944 8.745314 8.66966 8.551946 0.345685 0.345685 0.326669 0.326669 0.307665 0.307665 0.288774 0.288774 8.727163 8.684845 8.677514 8.624203 8.525279 8.437649 8.380886 8.263172 6.035929 5.422943 6.052687 5.380779 6.187996 5.482528 6.332961 5.586545 6.16848 5.555494 6.183692 5.511785 6.31792 5.612451 6.462374 5.71596 0.132551 0.132551 0.131005 0.131005 0.129924 0.129924 0.129414 0.129414 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **15.108777 14.453472**  **15.05687 14.331651**  **15.020941 14.227841**  **15.002621 14.138491** 

**0.038306 -0.00755**  **-0.009492 -0.062266**  **-0.08664 -0.137652**  **-0.149423 -0.205919**  -0.975656 -0.99655 -1.006822 -1.027595 -1.068271 -1.084962 -1.122708 -1.138517 1.03091 1.015811 1.05515 1.026715 1.058768 1.040581 1.065757 1.045527 0.507846 0.507846 0.504231 0.504231 0.500615 0.500615 0.497 0.497 0.575914 0.573341 0.550558 0.564921 0.538036 0.543576 0.524864 0.529558 3.090325 3.093548 3.116761 3.123461 3.16569 3.169734 3.210329 3.210602 1.013961 0.989001 0.99733 0.96533 0.981631 0.94731 0.973285 0.932598 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.182935 4.138651**  **4.214941 4.173586**  **4.244542 4.201786**  **4.266077 4.219076**  1.042815 1.036447 1.041019 1.037042 1.040587 1.039907 1.040669 1.039909 0.915553 0.898795 0.915236 0.899264 0.915088 0.900485 0.915186 0.900521 0.854377 0.83569 0.854388 0.83569 0.854392 0.835683 0.85523 0.835683 0.061176 0.063105 0.060848 0.063573 0.060696 0.064803 0.059957 0.064838 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.089305 0.087477 0.087722 0.0875 0.087542 0.089247 0.087525 0.089213 0.077146 0.075386 0.075544 0.075386 0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.077146 0.012159 0.012091 0.012178 0.012114 0.012155 0.012102 0.012139 0.012067 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037958 0.050175 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.038061 0.050278 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.839025 2.811954 2.872898 2.847439 2.903315 2.872403 2.922893 2.889831 2.839025 2.811954 2.872898 2.847439 2.903315 2.872403 2.922893 2.889831 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.301095 0.29025 0.301023 0.289105 0.30064 0.289475 0.302516 0.289337

**19.330017 18.584572**  **19.262318 18.442972**  **19.178843 18.291975**  **19.119274 18.151648**  **2024 2025**  **2026 2027** 2.834736 2.775943 2.843309 2.781815 2.840814 2.777341 2.844868 2.776608

7.821501 7.641741 7.672413 7.463881 7.538225 7.297091 7.41816 7.14177 0.242672 0.256068 0.262485 0.281853 0.279335 0.306238 0.294067 0.326706 1.514818 1.499295 1.522291 1.505126 1.529134 1.51034 1.53507 1.514718 4.404473 4.101923 4.436998 4.111108 4.460839 4.115834 4.47965 4.109755 4.069851 3.776159 4.106392 3.789812 4.135476 3.799778 4.159101 3.798867 0.392071 0.385228 0.392706 0.385574 0.392729 0.386003 0.39312 0.386391 2.372275 2.190201 2.404312 2.205044 2.426516 2.215048 2.458132 2.232167

0.848676 0.8436 0.841073 0.835328 0.833714 0.827143 0.826392 0.818874 5.589576 5.298027 5.635637 5.321144 5.657545 5.328629 5.694529 5.345308 12.819832 12.373958 12.713536 12.217359 12.616394 12.067966 12.527696 11.919618 0.08302 0.079925 0.083024 0.079907 0.081849 0.079105 0.081641 0.078804 **19.339874 18.59433**  **19.272028 18.452549**  **19.188255 18.301657**  **19.129 18.161409** 

-0.009857 -0.009758 -0.00971 -0.009577 -0.009413 -0.009682 -0.009726 -0.009762

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 83.337349 79.722801 83.051041 79.050865 82.852859 78.47826482.751808 77.98542

26.557705 24.222178 26.574638 24.013866 27.074511 24.461384 27.628391 24.928505

228.389603202.427719234.269226204.645966243.981995212.512894254.790054220.807526

2/ Strategic petroleum reserve stock additions plus unaccounted for crude oil and crude stock withdrawals minus crude product supplied.
4/ The volumetric amount by which total output is greater than input due to the processing of crude oil into products which, in total,
5/ Includes pyrolysis oils, biomass-derived Fischer-Tropsch liquids, biobutanol, and renewable feedstocks used for the

cold starting issues, the percentage of ethanol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of 10/ E85 refers to a blend of 85 percent ethanol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address13/ Includes kerosene, aviation gasoline, petrochemical feedstocks, lubricants, waxes, asphalt, road oil, still gas, special naphthas, petroleum coke, crude oil product supplied, methanol, and miscellaneous petroleum products.

Other 2012 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2012, DOE/EIA-0340(2012)/1 (Washington, DC, September 2013). Note: Totals may not equal sum of components due to independent rounding. Data for 2011 and 2012

Other 2011 data: EIA, Petroleum Supply Annual 2011, DOE/EIA-0340(2011)/1 (Washington, DC, August 2012). 14/ Includes energy for combined heat and power plants that have a non-regulatory status, and small on-site generating systems. 15/ Includes consumption of energy by electricity-only and combined heat and power plants that have a regulatory status.

18/ Rate is calculated by dividing the gross annual input to atmospheric crude oil distillation units by their**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

8.515922 8.376325 8.380416 8.245762 8.304714 8.162722 8.159544 8.031879 0.271349 0.271349 0.255255 0.255255 0.240371 0.240371 0.226587 0.226587 8.244573 8.104976 8.125161 7.990507 8.064343 7.922351 7.932957 7.805292 6.455387 5.671608 6.566886 5.718318 6.635491 5.723905 6.779545 5.819617 6.583871 5.800093 6.695328 5.846759 6.765434 5.853848 6.909001 5.949073 0.128485 0.128485 0.128441 0.128441 0.129943 0.129943 0.129456 0.129456 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **14.971308 14.047933**  **14.947302 13.96408**  **14.940206 13.886626**  **14.939089 13.851496** 

**-0.195052 -0.270869**  **-0.257532 -0.333205**  **-0.336527 -0.39916**  **-0.415023 -0.474069**  -1.158872 -1.189224 -1.214273 -1.239077 -1.293569 -1.291988 -1.368313 -1.360743 1.065918 1.046118 1.061431 1.041712 1.056016 1.040657 1.05697 1.037131 0.493385 0.493385 0.489769 0.489769 0.486154 0.486154 0.482538 0.482538 0.51505 0.515686 0.505088 0.504998 0.496122 0.494222 0.486642 0.482324 3.233226 3.244414 3.270561 3.275556 3.331861 3.313021 3.394464 3.362735 0.963821 0.918355 0.956742 0.905872 0.957042 0.892829 0.95329 0.886674 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.283629 4.237919**  **4.290867 4.236521**  **4.322494 4.253311**  **4.356712 4.266138**  1.040782 1.03762 1.04022 1.037749 1.040669 1.037628 1.041856 1.037358 0.915334 0.900014 0.91476 0.900128 0.914831 0.899995 0.914635 0.899708 0.855847 0.835686 0.855835 0.83569 0.855847 0.835694 0.855847 0.835679 0.059487 0.064327 0.058925 0.064438 0.058984 0.0643 0.058788 0.064029 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08749 0.087432 0.087502 0.087446 0.08788 0.087459 0.089263 0.087475 0.075386 0.075386 0.075386 0.075386 0.07575 0.075386 0.077146 0.075386 0.012104 0.012046 0.012116 0.01206 0.012131 0.012073 0.012118 0.012089 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0.037958 0.050175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2.940651 2.91142 2.950508 2.912771 2.978853 2.929972 3.010346 2.94256 2.940651 2.91142 2.950508 2.912771 2.978853 2.929972 3.010346 2.94256 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.302197 0.288879 0.300139 0.286002 0.302972 0.28571 0.30451 0.28622

**19.059887 18.014982**  **18.980637 17.867395**  **18.926172 17.740778**  **18.880777 17.643566**  **2028 2029**  **2030 2031** 2.857808 2.776372 2.848682 2.765212 2.840257 2.754894 2.836118 2.743698

7.31573 7.004065 7.224996 6.878806 7.146273 6.766458 7.080946 6.670387 0.305464 0.343178 0.313237 0.357678 0.318727 0.368611 0.321052 0.376489 1.540705 1.5187 1.545791 1.522208 1.550583 1.525358 1.555024 1.528188 4.487029 4.097168 4.498954 4.089481 4.516384 4.086142 4.528018 4.086884 4.170933 3.791174 4.186929 3.787973 4.20793 3.788746 4.224582 3.794646 0.394136 0.386457 0.394859 0.38691 0.396202 0.387424 0.396595 0.387824 2.474024 2.242129 2.476266 2.233929 2.485746 2.229466 2.493514 2.235642

0.819928 0.811213 0.813193 0.803779 0.807109 0.796964 0.80122 0.790156 5.724005 5.354008 5.71842 5.333894 5.722938 5.319901 5.727085 5.315573 12.445028 11.782169 12.377145 11.661172 12.324268 11.555061 12.281888 11.470179 0.081735 0.0787 0.08204 0.078884 0.082366 0.078991 0.08125 0.077882 **19.069431 18.024893**  **18.989548 17.876547**  **18.935446 17.749741**  **18.890217 17.652622** 

-0.009544 -0.009911 -0.008911 -0.009151 -0.009274 -0.008963 -0.009439 -0.009056

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 82.579086 77.485916 82.446686 77.023392 82.407532 76.596176 82.40139 76.402405

28.164417 25.305363 28.574669 25.497496 28.600803 25.412018 29.035553 25.703379

263.618317227.833954272.543701 233.34053278.598022236.335953289.048889 243.16362**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

8.072735 7.932821 8.044679 7.790892 7.984591 7.753178 7.872269 7.709124 0.273065 0.213805 0.340211 0.201937 0.388438 0.250164 0.378168 0.318908 7.79967 7.719016 7.704468 7.588954 7.596154 7.503014 7.494101 7.390216 6.862329 5.874372 6.897704 5.98298 6.998343 5.998932 7.149344 6.030087 6.989813 6.001856 7.023462 6.108739 7.123044 6.123633 7.272789 6.153533 0.127484 0.127484 0.125759 0.125759 0.124701 0.124701 0.123445 0.123445 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **14.935063 13.807194** **14.942383 13.773872**  **14.982935 13.75211**  **15.021612 13.739212** 

**-0.473337 -0.545828**  **-0.533088 -0.619954**  **-0.618314 -0.693029**  **-0.668815 -0.745559**  -1.427032 -1.426328 -1.482378 -1.493319 -1.563064 -1.55937 -1.613156 -1.605453 1.070215 1.036632 1.072165 1.047891 1.07661 1.059891 1.082227 1.070638 0.478923 0.478923 0.475308 0.475308 0.471692 0.471692 0.468077 0.468077 0.477477 0.472441 0.468303 0.462553 0.456796 0.45267 0.448365 0.443279 3.453647 3.414325 3.498154 3.47907 3.568162 3.543623 3.611825 3.587447 0.953695 0.8805 0.949291 0.873365 0.94475 0.866342 0.94434 0.859894 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.376366 4.288073**  **4.386152 4.308187**  **4.403698 4.32949**  **4.399092 4.320786**  1.041098 1.038408 1.041115 1.039419 1.042102 1.039352 1.04151 1.039222 0.913895 0.900783 0.91389 0.900262 0.914847 0.900181 0.914258 0.900053 0.855835 0.835667 0.855835 0.835667 0.855835 0.835667 0.853584 0.835667 0.05806 0.065116 0.058056 0.064595 0.059012 0.064514 0.060674 0.064386 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.089245 0.08745 0.08937 0.089086 0.089402 0.0891 0.089397 0.089097 0.077146 0.075386 0.077261 0.077011 0.077261 0.077017 0.077261 0.077017 0.0121 0.012064 0.01211 0.012074 0.012141 0.012083 0.012137 0.01208 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037958 0.050175 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037958 0.050175 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.028849 2.96277 3.038397 2.982388 3.054612 3.003846 3.04924 2.995132 3.028849 2.96277 3.038397 2.982388 3.054612 3.003846 3.04924 2.995132 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.306419 0.286895 0.30664 0.286381 0.306984 0.286291 0.308342 0.286433

**18.838093 17.549438** **18.795446 17.462105**  **18.768318 17.388571**  **18.751888 17.31444**  **2033 2034**  **2035 2032** 2.830849 2.735325 2.818017 2.72598 2.792467 2.713211 2.782671 2.693167

7.02686 6.585707 6.982539 6.50852 6.943378 6.440768 6.909336 6.378287 0.319027 0.383066 0.314672 0.38472 0.309967 0.384144 0.297484 0.380681 1.559142 1.530716 1.562889 1.532972 1.566164 1.534828 1.569109 1.536364 4.53449 4.080866 4.544459 4.07794 4.566219 4.078216 4.586548 4.078006 4.234961 3.792562 4.248627 3.793787 4.2736 3.79762 4.297011 3.800663 0.396963 0.388598 0.398011 0.389064 0.398714 0.389238 0.399925 0.390333 2.499404 2.237324 2.498679 2.236481 2.510372 2.240961 2.513114 2.246701

0.795458 0.783334 0.790069 0.776704 0.784119 0.770771 0.779706 0.765316 5.727955 5.309916 5.715195 5.299194 5.703929 5.292738 5.698501 5.28161 12.24421 11.388372 12.219083 11.318069 12.208592 11.256604 12.201549 11.198731 0.081303 0.078078 0.081449 0.078141 0.081865 0.078251 0.082123 0.078333 **18.84771 17.558537**  **18.804594 17.470957**  **18.777315 17.397221**  **18.760704 17.322857** 

-0.009617 -0.009098 -0.009148 -0.008852 -0.008997 -0.00865 -0.008816 -0.008417

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 82.379173 76.158035 82.419548 75.974243 82.643227 75.854218 82.856575 75.783073

29.225126 25.785578 29.185209 26.14994 29.338976 25.971994 29.91165 25.996229

297.603973250.093918305.143311259.808624315.754913264.852844327.328461269.924591**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

7.754629 7.662413 7.699487 7.610111 7.558843 7.540687 7.530283 7.512097 0.368597 0.368597 0.359665 0.359665 0.321691 0.351322 0.288702 0.343518 7.386033 7.293817 7.339821 7.250445 7.237151 7.189365 7.241581 7.16858 7.303795 6.072554 7.406397 6.13335 7.618123 6.227519 7.662498 6.238018 7.427744 6.196503 7.530535 6.257487 7.742245 6.35164 7.786319 6.361838 0.123949 0.123949 0.124137 0.124137 0.124122 0.124122 0.123821 0.123821 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **15.058424 13.734966** **15.105885 13.743461**  **15.176966 13.768206**  **15.192781 13.750114** 

**-0.704074 -0.797507**  **-0.769498 -0.837203**  **-0.811373 -0.848042**  **-0.822815 -0.904255**  -1.650264 -1.65398 -1.716191 -1.691069 -1.761562 -1.701789 -1.777179 -1.754295 1.093154 1.086456 1.095712 1.101345 1.097255 1.105129 1.108745 1.107656 0.464462 0.464462 0.460846 0.460846 0.45723 0.45723 0.453616 0.453616 0.437879 0.433407 0.428378 0.424521 0.418416 0.414649 0.408454 0.404776 3.645758 3.638304 3.701127 3.677781 3.734463 3.678798 3.747993 3.720342 0.94619 0.856473 0.946693 0.853866 0.950189 0.853748 0.954364 0.85004 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 **4.377561 4.316371**  **4.406972 4.311654**  **4.389887 4.262145**  **4.378557 4.271891**  1.039404 1.039425 1.038624 1.039974 1.041671 1.037553 1.0533 1.039845 0.91218 0.900256 0.911655 0.900636 0.914454 0.899496 0.928873 0.918048 0.849833 0.835667 0.847575 0.835667 0.848554 0.833685 0.859024 0.850457 0.062348 0.064589 0.06408 0.064969 0.0659 0.065811 0.069849 0.067591 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.08937 0.089098 0.089115 0.089267 0.089363 0.089098 0.089108 0.089077 0.077261 0.077011 0.077011 0.077184 0.077261 0.077011 0.077011 0.077011 0.012109 0.012087 0.012103 0.012082 0.012102 0.012086 0.012096 0.012066 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.048959 0.035319 0.032719 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.050071 0.037854 0.048959 0.035319 0.032719 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.028998 2.989513 3.058621 2.983441 3.037477 2.936938 3.013617 2.94435 3.028998 2.989513 3.058621 2.983441 3.037477 2.936938 3.013617 2.94435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.309159 0.287433 0.309727 0.288239 0.310739 0.287654 0.31164 0.287696

**18.731911 17.25383**  **18.743359 17.217911**  **18.75548 17.182308**  **18.748524 17.11775**  **2036 2037**  **2038 2039** 2.76675 2.67794 2.771581 2.675535 2.7629 2.661008 2.749513 2.652188

6.881879 6.323015 6.862229 6.274787 6.849751 6.231403 6.844498 6.184044 0.281486 0.374233 0.264501 0.363638 0.245667 0.346893 0.237414 0.343066 1.573336 1.539078 1.577515 1.541707 1.58163 1.544133 1.585529 1.546199 4.59785 4.080296 4.60704 4.08115 4.615688 4.083397 4.62244 4.079254 4.311139 3.805881 4.322987 3.809642 4.334297 3.814622 4.343626 3.813179 0.401219 0.391252 0.40173 0.391631 0.402443 0.393118 0.403421 0.393888 2.519142 2.2506 2.531539 2.261171 2.550776 2.276173 2.550128 2.269242

0.775552 0.760503 0.771922 0.755991 0.768688 0.751518 0.764992 0.746741 5.690427 5.27259 5.708889 5.282168 5.719102 5.284812 5.70614 5.270696 12.192887 11.151599 12.189212 11.110119 12.193395 11.074909 12.201965 11.029038 0.082472 0.078612 0.08277 0.078831 0.083155 0.079115 0.083572 0.079444 **18.740177 17.262182**  **18.751633 17.225981**  **18.763191 17.189232**  **18.755531 17.124817** 

-0.008266 -0.008352 -0.008274 -0.00807 -0.007711 -0.006924 -0.007008 -0.007067

18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 18.129658 83.059608 75.759651 83.321396 75.806503 83.713463 75.942993 83.800713 75.843208

30.578768 26.053631 30.764973 26.247852 31.64176 26.792828 31.827915 26.658756

338.679474274.799194347.810272281.972931363.353607289.935425372.929199295.774231**Reference Low growth** **Reference Low growth** 

7.480167 7.499392 0.50% 0.50% 0.259987 0.30658 -2.50% -1.90% 7.220181 7.192811 0.70% 0.70% 7.742801 6.243674 -0.30% -1.10% 7.866511 6.367384 -0.30% -1.00% 0.12371 0.12371 2.60% 2.60% 0 0- - - - **15.222968 13.743065**  **0.00% -0.30%** 

**-0.862155 -0.942033** **- - - -**  -1.816797 -1.789852 2.50% 2.40% 1.097406 1.10552 0.90% 1.00% 0.45 0.45 -1.00% -1.00% 0.398491 0.394903 -1.50% -1.60% 3.762695 3.740276 0.80% 0.80% 0.954642 0.84782 -0.40% -0.90% 0 0- - - - **4.36415 4.259696**  **0.80% 0.70%**  1.067689 1.042423 0.70% 0.60% 0.946005 0.923088 0.50% 0.40% 0.862785 0.853626 0.10% 0.00% 0.08322 0.069462- - - - 0 0- - - - 0.089448 0.089441- - - - 0.077376 0.077376 0.70% 0.70% 0.012072 0.012065- - - - 0 0- - - - 0.032237 0.029894- - - - 0.032237 0.029894- - - - 0 0- - - - 0 0- - - - 2.983552 2.929423 0.80% 0.70% 2.983552 2.929423 0.80% 0.70% 0 0- - - - 0 0- - - - 0.312909 0.28785 1.80% 1.50%

**18.724962 17.060728**  **0.00% -0.30%**  **Growth Rate (2012-2040) 2040** 2.728679 2.640012 0.60% 0.50%

6.840818 6.145713 -0.90% -1.20% 0.22813 0.325445 11.90% 13.30% 1.589608 1.548459 0.50% 0.40% 4.620763 4.074823 0.80% 0.30% 4.344544 3.811411 0.80% 0.40% 0.404459 0.393987 0.60% 0.50% 2.547176 2.264298 0.90% 0.50%

0.761034 0.742131 -0.80% -0.80% 5.683921 5.254875 0.90% 0.60% 12.203708 10.991612 -0.30% -0.70% 0.083962 0.079765 -0.70% -0.90% **18.731504 17.067293**  **0.00% -0.30%** 

-0.006542 -0.006565- - - -

18.129658 18.129658 0.20% 0.20% 83.967209 75.804321 -0.20% -0.60%

32.156517 26.583559 -0.80% -1.50%

385.393707302.297546 0.70% -0.10%