U.S. flag
      An official website of the United States government, Department of Justice.
        Here's how you know
      Here's how you know**Official websites use .gov**
            
            A **.gov** website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
      **Secure .gov websites use HTTPS**
            
            A **lock** (
            A locked padlock
            ) or **https://** means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Menu

      
        close

            
            
                                              About NIJ
        
                    
  
          About NIJ
      
    
          The NIJ Director
          How NIJ Is Organized
          Mission and Guiding Principles
          Research and Development Process
          Strategic Framework
          Assessments of NIJ
          Annual Reports & Reports to Congress
          Staff Directory
          Funding & Awards
        
                    
  
          Funding & Awards
      
    
          Current Funding
          Forthcoming Funding
          Expired Funding
          Awards: Listing of Funded Projects
          Guidance for Applicants and Awardees
          Fellowship & Student Programs
          Travel Scholarships
          NIJ Challenge Program
          Library & Multimedia
        
                    
  
          Library & Multimedia
      
    
          NIJ Journal
          Podcasts
          Publications Listing
          Multimedia Listing
          Rated Practices on CrimeSolutions
          Rated Programs on CrimeSolutions
          Software & Databases
          Datasets
          Patents
          Topics
        
                    
  
          Topics
      
    
          Article Listing
          Corrections
          Courts
          Crime Prevention
          Crimes
          Drugs and Crime
          Equipment and Technology
          Forensic Sciences
          Youth Justice
          Justice System Reform
          Law Enforcement
          Tribal Crime and Justice
          Victims of Crime
          Events
        
                    
  
          Events
      
    
          NIJ 2024 Research Conference
          Scheduled Events
          On-Demand Events
          Research Meetings & Workshops
          NIJ-Hosted Online Training

                            
                                About
          Contact Us
          Subscribe
          Topics A-Z
                  Share
FacebookXLinkedInRedditPinterestEmail Home
                            Funding & Awards
 Statistical Infrastructure for the Use of Error Rate Studies in the Interpretation of Forensic Evidence
Award Information
Awardee
              UNIVERSITY OF CENTRAL FLORIDA BOARD OF TRUSTEES, THE
Award #
              2018-DU-BX-4228
Funding Category
              Competitive Discretionary
Location
                    ORLANDO, FL
Congressional District
              7
Status
              Closed
Funding First Awarded
              2020
Total funding (to date)
              $87,206
Original Solicitation
              NIJ Non-solicited Applications, FY 2020
Description of original award (Fiscal Year 2020, $87,206)
The forensic identification of source problem is a fundamental question of interest in forensic science and is concerned with whether or not a set of traces with an unknown origin arose from a specified source of traces. This question forms the basis upon which more complicated questions, such as activity-level questions, are built. This question is usually restated in the context of two competing propositions, one associated with the prosecution model that a specified source is the source of the traces and one associated with the defense model that a source in some relevant background population is the actual source of the traces. This restatement of the question reframes the forensic identification of source problem as a non­nested model selection problem. Recently, the National Institute of Standards and Technology has been tasked with organizing and supporting the broad community of forensic scientists with the goal of developing general standards for the implementation and practice of forensic science. One of the more contentious efforts concerns the standards for expressing conclusions in a forensic identification of source problem. In part, this is due to several distinct statistical traditions being used to quantify uncertainty in forensic source conclusions. In this research program we will focus on the use error rate based methods to solving the forensic identification of source problem, with the specific goal of building up a suite of statistical tools to support long term research into the interpretation and presentation of the value of forensic evidence using error rates. It is expected that this work will lead to at least 4 different research programs that will be appropriate to be extended in PhD dissertations in mathematical statistics and statistical pattern recognition. Manuscripts on findings will be promptly prepared and submitted for publication. The computer codes and the user guides will be made publicly available on investigators' websites. CA/NCF
Note: This project contains a research and/or development component, as defined in applicable law," and complies with Part 200 Uniform Requirements - 2 CFR  200.210(a)(14).



  
Grant-Funded Publications
        
                      Statistical Infrastructure for the Use of Error Rate Studies in the Interpretation of Forensic Evidence
                  Order-restricted inference for clustered ROC data with application to fingerprint matching accuracy

  
Date Created: September 21, 2020
    
          Side navigation
  

        

  
  
              Current Funding
    
      
            
            
            
      Forthcoming Funding
    
      
            
            
            
      Expired Funding
    
      
            
            
            
      Awards: Listing of Funded Projects
    
      
            
            
            
      Guidance for Applicants and Awardees
    
      
            
            
            
      Fellowship & Student Programs
    
      
            
            
            
      Travel Scholarships
    
      
            
            
            
      NIJ Challenge ProgramSimilar Awards
        
                      Policing Leadership and Accountability: Harnessing Big Data and Causal Inference for Evaluating Police Reform Practices
                  Quantifying the strength of support in fingerprint casework comparisons
                  Democratizing investigative genetic genealogy
 Top

      National Institute of Justice

        
        
                        About NIJ
                    About NIJ
      
    
                  How NIJ Is Organized
      
    
                  NIJ Director
      
    
                  Research Disclaimer
      
    
                  Funding & Awards
                    Funding & Awards Home
      
    
                  Awards Listing
      
    
                  Current Funding
      
    
                  Guidance for Applicants and Awardees
      
    
                  Resources
                    Events
      
    
                  Podcasts
      
    
                  Publications
      
    
                  Topics
      
    
                  Multimedia
      
    
                  Reuse Policy
      
    
                  Contacts
                    Contact NIJ
      
    
                  Staff Directory
      
    
                  Submit a FOIA Request
      
    
                  File a Civil Rights ComplaintFacebook
          
                      X
          
                      YouTube
  

      810 7th St. NW, Washington, D.C. 20531
      
              Secondary Footer link menu
            Accessibility
              Plain Language
              Privacy Policy
              Legal Policies and Disclaimer
              No FEAR Act
              Freedom of Information Act
              USA.gov
              Justice.gov