DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-i APPENDIX 10B: NATIONAL ENERGY SAVING S AND NET NATIONAL PRESENT VALUE RESULTS

TABLE OF CONTENTS 10B.1 1% LOAD GROWTH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-1 10B.1.1 7% Discount Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-1 10B.1.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-1 10B.1.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-9 10B.1.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-17 10B.2 0% LOAD GROWTH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-25 10B.2.1 7% Discount Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-25 10B.2.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-25 10B.2.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-33 10B.2.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-41 10B.3 1% LOAD GROWTH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-49 10B.3.1 3% Discount Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-49 10B.3.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-49 10B.3.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-57 10B.3.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-65 10B.4 0% LOAD GROWTH . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-73 10B.4.1 3% Discount Rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-73 10B.4.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-73 10B.4.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-81 10B.4.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-89

LIST OF TABLES Table 10B.1.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-1 Table 10B.1.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-2 Table 10B.1.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-3 Table 10B.1.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-3 Table 10B.1.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-4 Table 10B.1.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-5DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-ii Table 10B.1.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-5 Table 10B.1.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-6 Table 10B.1.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-6 Table 10B.1.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-7 Table 10B.1.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-7 Table 10B.1.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-8 Table 10B.1.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-8 Table 10B.1.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-9 Table 10B.1.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-10 Table 10B.1.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-11 Table 10B.1.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-11 Table 10B.1.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-12 Table 10B.1.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-13 Table 10B.1.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-13 Table 10B.1.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-14 Table 10B.1.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-14 Table 10B.1.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-15 Table 10B.1.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-15 Table 10B.1.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-16 Table 10B.1.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-16 Table 10B.1.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-17DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-iii Table 10B.1.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-18 Table 10B.1.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-19 Table 10B.1.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-19 Table 10B.1.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-20 Table 10B.1.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-21 Table 10B.1.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-21 Table 10B.1.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-22 Table 10B.1.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-22 Table 10B.1.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-23 Table 10B.1.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-23 Table 10B.1.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-24 Table 10B.1.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-24 Table 10B.2.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-25 Table 10B.2.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-26 Table 10B.2.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-27 Table 10B.2.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-27 Table 10B.2.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-28 Table 10B.2.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-29 Table 10B.2.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-29 Table 10B.2.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-30 Table 10B.2.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-iv Table 10B.2.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-31 Table 10B.2.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-31 Table 10B.2.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-32 Table 10B.2.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-32 Table 10B.2.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-33 Table 10B.2.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-34 Table 10B.2.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-35 Table 10B.2.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-35 Table 10B.2.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-36 Table 10B.2.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-37 Table 10B.2.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-37 Table 10B.2.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-38 Table 10B.2.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-38 Table 10B.2.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-39 Table 10B.2.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-39 Table 10B.2.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-40 Table 10B.2.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-40 Table 10B.2.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-41 Table 10B.2.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-42 Table 10B.2.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-43 Table 10B.2.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-43DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-v Table 10B.2.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-44 Table 10B.2.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-45 Table 10B.2.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-45 Table 10B.2.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-46 Table 10B.2.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-46 Table 10B.2.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-47 Table 10B.2.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-47 Table 10B.2.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-48 Table 10B.2.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-48 Table 10B.3.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-49 Table 10B.3.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-50 Table 10B.3.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-51 Table 10B.3.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-51 Table 10B.3.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-52 Table 10B.3.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-53 Table 10B.3.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-53 Table 10B.3.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-54 Table 10B.3.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-54 Table 10B.3.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-55 Table 10B.3.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-55 Table 10B.3.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-56DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-vi Table 10B.3.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-56 Table 10B.3.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-57 Table 10B.3.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-58 Table 10B.3.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-59 Table 10B.3.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-59 Table 10B.3.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-60 Table 10B.3.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-61 Table 10B.3.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-61 Table 10B.3.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-62 Table 10B.3.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-62 Table 10B.3.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-63 Table 10B.3.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-63 Table 10B.3.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-64 Table 10B.3.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-64 Table 10B.3.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-65 Table 10B.3.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-66 Table 10B.3.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-67 Table 10B.3.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-67 Table 10B.3.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-68 Table 10B.3.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-69 Table 10B.3.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-69DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-vii Table 10B.3.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-70 Table 10B.3.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-70 Table 10B.3.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-71 Table 10B.3.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-71 Table 10B.3.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-72 Table 10B.3.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-72 Table 10B.4.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-73 Table 10B.4.2 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-74 Table 10B.4.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-75 Table 10B.4.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-75 Table 10B.4.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-76 Table 10B.4.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-77 Table 10B.4.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-77 Table 10B.4.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-78 Table 10B.4.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-78 Table 10B.4.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-79 Table 10B.4.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-79 Table 10B.4.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-80 Table 10B.4.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-80 Table 10B.4.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-81 Table 10B.4.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-82DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-viii Table 10B.4.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-83 Table 10B.4.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-83 Table 10B.4.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-84 Table 10B.4.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-85 Table 10B.4.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-85 Table 10B.4.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-86 Table 10B.4.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-86 Table 10B.4.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-87 Table 10B.4.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-87 Table 10B.4.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-88 Table 10B.4.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-88 Table 10B.4.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-89 Table 10B.4.28 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-90 Table 10B.4.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-91 Table 10B.4.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-91 Table 10B.4.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-92 Table 10B.4.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-93 Table 10B.4.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-93 Table 10B.4.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-94 Table 10B.4.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-94 Table 10B.4.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-95DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-ix Table 10B.4.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-95 Table 10B.4.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-96 Table 10B.4.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-96

LIST OF FIGURES Figure 10B.1.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-1 Figure 10B.1.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-2 Figure 10B.1.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . 10B-4 Figure 10B.1.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-9 Figure 10B.1.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-10 Figure 10B.1.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-12 Figure 10B.1.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-17 Figure 10B.1.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-18 Figure 10B.1.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . 10B-20 Figure 10B.2.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-25 Figure 10B.2.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-26 Figure 10B.2.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . 10B-28 Figure 10B.2.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-33 Figure 10B.2.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-34 Figure 10B.2.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-36 Figure 10B.2.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-41 Figure 10B.2.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-42 Figure 10B.2.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . 10B-44DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-x Figure 10B.3.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-49 Figure 10B.3.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-50 Figure 10B.3.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . 10B-52 Figure 10B.3.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-57 Figure 10B.3.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-58 Figure 10B.3.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-60 Figure 10B.3.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-65 Figure 10B.3.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-66 Figure 10B.3.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . 10B-68 Figure 10B.4.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-73 Figure 10B.4.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-74 Figure 10B.4.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) . . . . 10B-76 Figure 10B.4.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-81 Figure 10B.4.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-82 Figure 10B.4.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-84 Figure 10B.4.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-89 Figure 10B.4.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 10B-90 Figure 10B.4.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) . . . . 10B-92DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-1 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.1 Summary Results for A ll Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario APPENDIX 10B: NATIONAL ENERGY SAVING S AND NET NATIONAL PRESENT VALUE RESULTS 10B.1 1% LOAD GROWTH 10B.1.1 7% Discount Rate 10B.1.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.1.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.43 -6.83 -18.88 -36.83 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.97 21.21 25.20 29.10 36.73 41.40 Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.86 18.88 20.77 22.27 17.85 4.57 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.55 10.12 12.06 13.74 17.88 20.84DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-2 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.1.2 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.52 -3.27 -11.56 -29.51 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.60 3.56 4.53 5.20 10.38 15.05 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.02 2.32 2.01 1.93 -1.18 -14.46 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.71 2.29 3.01 3.40 6.61 9.57DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-3 Table 10B.1.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.43 -20.29 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.14 1.23 1.31 1.62 2.84 7.23 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.75 -0.59 -13.07 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.58

Table 10B.1.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.30 -0.87 -2.06 -2.39 -8.13 -9.22 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.45 2.33 3.22 3.57 7.55 7.83 Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.16 1.46 1.16 1.18 -0.59 -1.39 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.43 2.11 2.34 4.83 4.99DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-4 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.1.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.56 -7.32 -7.32 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.37 17.65 20.66 23.91 26.35 26.35 Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.84 16.56 18.75 20.34 19.03 19.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-5 Table 10B.1.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.98 1.11 1.22 1.31 1.41 1.41 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.00 1.00 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.1.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.67 -3.12 -6.02 -6.02 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.23 16.29 19.07 22.03 24.01 24.01 Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.80 15.34 17.40 18.91 17.99 17.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-6 Table 10B.1.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.1.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-7 Table 10B.1.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.71 0.71 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-8 Table 10B.1.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-9 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.1.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.1.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.41 -6.79 -18.61 -36.09 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.95 21.17 25.11 28.95 36.34 40.87 Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.85 18.85 20.70 22.16 17.73 4.77 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.54 10.11 12.02 13.66 17.68 20.55DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-10 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Table 10B.1.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.50 -3.25 -11.37 -28.85 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.60 3.55 4.51 5.17 10.23 14.75 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.02 2.31 2.01 1.92 -1.14 -14.10 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.28 2.99 3.38 6.51 9.38DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-11 Table 10B.1.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.42 -19.85 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.14 1.23 1.31 1.62 2.83 7.09 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.75 -0.59 -12.76 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.49

Table 10B.1.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.87 -2.05 -2.37 -7.95 -9.00 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.45 2.32 3.21 3.55 7.40 7.66 Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.16 1.46 1.16 1.18 -0.55 -1.34 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.42 2.10 2.32 4.74 4.88DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-12 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.6 Results Table for Dr y-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Table 10B.1.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.54 -7.24 -7.24 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.36 17.62 20.60 23.78 26.12 26.12 Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.82 16.53 18.70 20.24 18.87 18.87 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-13 Table 10B.1.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.97 1.10 1.22 1.30 1.40 1.40 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.01 1.07 1.09 0.99 0.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.1.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.66 -3.10 -5.96 -5.95 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.22 16.26 19.01 21.91 23.80 23.80 Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.79 15.31 17.35 18.81 17.84 17.84 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-14 Table 10B.1.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.1.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-15 Table 10B.1.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.70 0.70 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-16 Table 10B.1.25 Summary Results Table for Pr oduct Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)
Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-17 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.7 Summary Results for A ll Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.1.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.1.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.10 -2.30 -4.29 -6.53 -17.24 -32.96 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.83 20.87 24.49 27.79 33.77 37.75 Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.72 18.57 20.20 21.26 16.53 4.79 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.48 9.96 11.72 13.13 16.44 18.96DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-18 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.1.28 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.22 -2.45 -3.17 -10.63 -26.35 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.59 3.52 4.43 5.07 9.63 13.62 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.02 2.30 1.99 1.90 -0.99 -12.73 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.27 2.94 3.32 6.13 8.65DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-19 Table 10B.1.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.87 -3.35 -18.20 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.14 1.22 1.30 1.62 2.78 6.58 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.87 0.86 0.85 0.74 -0.57 -11.62 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.89 1.06 1.74 4.17

Table 10B.1.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.86 -1.99 -2.30 -7.27 -8.15 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.45 2.30 3.13 3.45 6.85 7.04 Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.15 1.44 1.14 1.16 -0.42 -1.12 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.89 1.41 2.05 2.26 4.39 4.48DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-20 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.1.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.1.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.53 -1.07 -1.85 -3.36 -6.61 -6.61 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.24 17.34 20.06 22.72 24.14 24.13 Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.71 16.27 18.21 19.36 17.52 17.52 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-21 Table 10B.1.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.14 -0.20 -0.37 -0.37 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.96 1.08 1.18 1.24 1.29 1.29 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.89 0.99 1.03 1.04 0.93 0.93 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.1.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.93 -1.61 -2.94 -5.42 -5.42 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.12 16.01 18.51 20.92 21.98 21.98 Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.69 15.07 16.90 17.98 16.55 16.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-22 Table 10B.1.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.1.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.12 -0.12 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.14 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-23 Table 10B.1.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.1.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.15 -0.62 -0.63 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.41 0.66 0.66 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-24 Table 10B.1.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0006 -0.0006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.1.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-25 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.1 Summary Results for A ll Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.2 0% LOAD GROWTH 10B.2.1 7% Discount Rate 10B.2.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.2.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.43 -6.83 -18.88 -36.83 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.76 20.86 24.85 28.68 35.71 40.02 Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.65 18.53 20.42 21.85 16.82 3.19 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.45 9.97 11.90 13.55 17.42 20.24DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-26 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.2.2 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.52 -3.27 -11.56 -29.51 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.38 3.21 4.18 4.77 9.36 13.67 Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.81 1.97 1.67 1.50 -2.21 -15.84 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.85 3.21 6.15 8.97DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-27 Table 10B.2.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.43 -20.29 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.53 2.61 6.70 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.82 -13.59 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.69 4.37

Table 10B.2.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.30 -0.87 -2.06 -2.39 -8.13 -9.22 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.27 2.02 2.92 3.24 6.74 6.97 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.97 1.15 0.86 0.85 -1.39 -2.25 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.97 2.18 4.46 4.60DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-28 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.2.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.56 -7.32 -7.32 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.37 17.65 20.66 23.91 26.35 26.35 Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.84 16.56 18.75 20.34 19.03 19.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-29 Table 10B.2.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.98 1.11 1.22 1.31 1.41 1.41 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.02 1.07 1.09 1.00 1.00 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.2.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.67 -3.12 -6.02 -6.02 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.23 16.29 19.07 22.03 24.01 24.01 Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.80 15.34 17.40 18.91 17.99 17.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-30 Table 10B.2.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.2.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-31 Table 10B.2.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.2.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.07 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.71 0.71 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-32 Table 10B.2.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-33 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.2.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.2.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.11 -2.33 -4.41 -6.79 -18.61 -36.09 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.74 20.83 24.77 28.53 35.34 39.52 Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.63 18.50 20.36 21.74 16.72 3.43 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.44 9.95 11.86 13.48 17.23 19.96DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-34 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Table 10B.2.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.24 -2.50 -3.25 -11.37 -28.85 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.38 3.21 4.17 4.75 9.22 13.40 Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.81 1.97 1.66 1.50 -2.15 -15.45 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.84 3.19 6.06 8.79DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-35 Table 10B.2.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.88 -3.42 -19.85 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.53 2.60 6.58 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.81 -13.28 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.68 4.29

Table 10B.2.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.87 -2.05 -2.37 -7.95 -9.00 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.26 2.01 2.91 3.22 6.62 6.83 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.97 1.14 0.86 0.85 -1.34 -2.17 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.96 2.17 4.38 4.50DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-36 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.6 Results Table for Dr y-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Table 10B.2.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -1.09 -1.91 -3.54 -7.24 -7.24 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.36 17.62 20.60 23.78 26.12 26.12 Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.82 16.53 18.70 20.24 18.87 18.87 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-37 Table 10B.2.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.15 -0.21 -0.40 -0.40 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.97 1.10 1.22 1.30 1.40 1.40 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.90 1.01 1.07 1.09 0.99 0.99 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.2.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.95 -1.66 -3.10 -5.96 -5.95 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.22 16.26 19.01 21.91 23.80 23.80 Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.79 15.31 17.35 18.81 17.84 17.84 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-38 Table 10B.2.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.003 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.2.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.03 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.15 0.15 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-39 Table 10B.2.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.2.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.16 -0.68 -0.68 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.42 0.70 0.70 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.21 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-40 Table 10B.2.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0007 -0.0007 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0006 0.0006 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.07 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-41 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.7 Summary Results for A ll Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.2.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.2.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.10 -2.30 -4.29 -6.53 -17.24 -32.96 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 17.61 20.53 24.15 27.37 32.84 36.52 Net Present Value ($Billions) 16.51 18.23 19.86 20.84 15.60 3.57 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.38 9.81 11.57 12.95 16.02 18.43DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-42 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.2.28 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.57 -1.22 -2.45 -3.17 -10.63 -26.35 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.38 3.18 4.09 4.65 8.70 12.39 Net Present Value ($Billions) 1.81 1.96 1.65 1.49 -1.93 -13.96 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.60 2.11 2.79 3.13 5.71 8.12DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-43 Table 10B.2.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.28 -0.37 -0.45 -0.87 -3.35 -18.20 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.12 1.19 1.26 1.52 2.56 6.11 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.84 0.82 0.80 0.65 -0.79 -12.09 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.87 1.02 1.65 3.98

Table 10B.2.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.29 -0.86 -1.99 -2.30 -7.27 -8.15 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 1.26 1.99 2.84 3.13 6.14 6.28 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.97 1.13 0.85 0.84 -1.14 -1.87 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.26 1.91 2.11 4.06 4.14DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-44 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.2.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.2.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.53 -1.07 -1.85 -3.36 -6.61 -6.61 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 15.24 17.34 20.06 22.72 24.14 24.13 Net Present Value ($Billions) 14.71 16.27 18.21 19.36 17.52 17.52 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-45 Table 10B.2.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.07 -0.09 -0.14 -0.20 -0.37 -0.37 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.96 1.08 1.18 1.24 1.29 1.29 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.89 0.99 1.03 1.04 0.93 0.93 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.2.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.43 -0.93 -1.61 -2.94 -5.42 -5.42 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 14.12 16.01 18.51 20.92 21.98 21.98 Net Present Value ($Billions) 13.69 15.07 16.90 17.98 16.55 16.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-46 Table 10B.2.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.2.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.01 -0.01 -0.02 -0.04 -0.12 -0.12 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.11 0.14 0.14 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.02 0.02 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-47 Table 10B.2.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.003 -0.003 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.004 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.2.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.06 -0.15 -0.62 -0.63 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.12 0.19 0.27 0.41 0.66 0.66 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.26 0.03 0.03 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-48 Table 10B.2.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0002 -0.0006 -0.0006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0005 0.0005 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 -0.0001 -0.0001 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.2.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 -0.07 -0.06 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.06 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 -0.01 -0.01 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-49 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.3 1% LOAD GROWTH 10B.3.1 3% Discount Rate 10B.3.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.3.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.60 -8.73 -13.47 -37.21 -72.51 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 54.89 64.92 77.03 89.00 112.94 127.56 Net Present Value ($Billions) 52.71 60.32 68.29 75.53 75.74 55.05 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.55 10.12 12.06 13.74 17.88 20.84DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-50 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.3.2 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.13 -2.44 -4.95 -6.43 -22.75 -58.06 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 8.15 11.24 14.19 16.31 32.83 47.45 Net Present Value ($Billions) 7.03 8.80 9.24 9.88 10.08 -10.61 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.71 2.29 3.01 3.40 6.61 9.57DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-51 Table 10B.3.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.73 -6.75 -39.92 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.50 3.76 4.02 5.05 8.90 22.59 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.95 3.03 3.13 3.32 2.15 -17.33 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.58

Table 10B.3.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.06 -4.70 -16.00 -18.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 4.65 7.48 10.17 11.26 23.93 24.86 Net Present Value ($Billions) 4.07 5.77 6.11 6.56 7.93 6.72 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.43 2.11 2.34 4.83 4.99DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-52 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.3.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.16 -3.78 -7.04 -14.46 -14.46 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 46.74 53.68 62.83 72.69 80.12 80.11 Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.68 51.52 59.05 65.65 65.66 65.66 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-53 Table 10B.3.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.15 -0.18 -0.30 -0.42 -0.80 -0.80 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.97 3.36 3.71 3.97 4.28 4.28 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.19 3.42 3.55 3.48 3.48 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.3.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.29 -6.16 -11.89 -11.88 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 43.28 49.53 57.98 66.97 73.01 73.01 Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.42 47.65 54.68 60.81 61.12 61.12 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-54 Table 10B.3.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.3.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.47 0.47 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-55 Table 10B.3.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.3.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.35 -1.35 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.15 2.15 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.81 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-56 Table 10B.3.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0012 0.0017 0.0017 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.19 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-57 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.3.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.3.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.59 -8.69 -13.39 -36.68 -71.07 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 54.84 64.79 76.76 88.52 111.68 125.82 Net Present Value ($Billions) 52.66 60.21 68.07 75.13 75.00 54.75 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.54 10.11 12.02 13.66 17.68 20.55DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-58 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Table 10B.3.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.43 -4.92 -6.39 -22.37 -56.76 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 8.15 11.22 14.13 16.22 32.31 46.45 Net Present Value ($Billions) 7.02 8.78 9.20 9.83 9.94 -10.31 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.28 2.99 3.38 6.51 9.38DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-59 Table 10B.3.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.72 -39.06 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.50 3.75 4.02 5.04 8.86 22.15 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.95 3.03 3.13 3.31 2.14 -16.91 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.90 1.06 1.77 4.49

Table 10B.3.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.03 -4.66 -15.65 -17.70 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 4.65 7.46 10.11 11.18 23.45 24.30 Net Present Value ($Billions) 4.07 5.76 6.08 6.52 7.80 6.60 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.90 1.42 2.10 2.32 4.74 4.88DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-60 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.6 Results Table for Dry-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Table 10B.3.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.15 -3.77 -7.00 -14.31 -14.31 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 46.70 53.58 62.63 72.30 79.37 79.37 Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.64 51.42 58.87 65.30 65.06 65.06 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-61 Table 10B.3.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.18 -0.29 -0.42 -0.79 -0.79 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.96 3.36 3.70 3.95 4.24 4.24 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.18 3.41 3.53 3.45 3.45 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.3.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.28 -6.13 -11.76 -11.76 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 43.24 49.44 57.80 66.61 72.32 72.32 Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.39 47.56 54.51 60.48 60.56 60.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-62 Table 10B.3.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.3.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.46 0.46 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-63 Table 10B.3.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.3.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.33 -1.34 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.13 2.14 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.80 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-64 Table 10B.3.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0017 0.0017 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.18 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-65 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.7 Summary Results for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.3.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.3.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.17 -4.52 -8.46 -12.88 -33.97 -64.89 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 54.43 63.81 74.76 84.76 103.32 115.67 Net Present Value ($Billions) 52.26 59.28 66.29 71.88 69.36 50.78 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.48 9.96 11.72 13.13 16.44 18.96DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-66 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.3.28 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.41 -4.81 -6.23 -20.90 -51.84 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 8.12 11.13 13.86 15.88 30.32 42.68 Net Present Value ($Billions) 7.00 8.72 9.05 9.65 9.41 -9.16 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.70 2.27 2.94 3.32 6.13 8.65DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-67 Table 10B.3.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.60 -35.80 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.49 3.75 4.01 5.02 8.71 20.46 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.95 3.02 3.12 3.30 2.11 -15.34 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 0.86 0.89 1.06 1.74 4.17

Table 10B.3.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.68 -3.92 -4.52 -14.31 -16.04 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 4.63 7.38 9.85 10.86 21.61 22.21 Net Present Value ($Billions) 4.05 5.69 5.93 6.34 7.30 6.17 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.89 1.41 2.05 2.26 4.39 4.48DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-68 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.3.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.3.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.05 -2.11 -3.65 -6.64 -13.07 -13.05 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 46.31 52.68 60.89 68.88 73.01 72.99 Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.26 50.57 57.24 62.23 59.94 59.94 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-69 Table 10B.3.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.17 -0.28 -0.40 -0.72 -0.72 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.91 3.28 3.57 3.77 3.91 3.91 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.77 3.11 3.29 3.37 3.19 3.19 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.3.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.85 -1.84 -3.18 -5.80 -10.71 -10.71 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 42.91 48.62 56.19 63.40 66.47 66.47 Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.06 46.78 53.01 57.60 55.76 55.76 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-70 Table 10B.3.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.007 0.009 0.009 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.3.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.25 -0.25 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.32 0.43 0.43 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.18 0.18 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-71 Table 10B.3.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.011 0.011 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.3.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.30 -1.23 -1.23 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.81 1.25 1.99 1.99 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.50 0.69 0.94 0.75 0.75 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-72 Table 10B.3.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0012 -0.0012 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0016 0.0016 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.3.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.13 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.17 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-73 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00 24.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.1 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.4 0% LOAD GROWTH 10B.4.1 3% Discount Rate 10B.4.1.1 Low Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.4.1 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 4.79 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.60 -8.73 -13.47 -37.21 -72.51 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 53.96 63.40 75.50 87.13 108.45 121.50 Net Present Value ($Billions) 51.77 58.80 66.76 73.66 71.24 48.98 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.45 9.97 11.90 13.55 17.42 20.24DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-74 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.2 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.4.2 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 3.50 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.13 -2.44 -4.95 -6.43 -22.75 -58.06 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 7.22 9.72 12.66 14.44 28.33 41.38 Net Present Value ($Billions) 6.09 7.28 7.71 8.01 5.58 -16.68 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.85 3.21 6.15 8.97DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-75 Table 10B.4.3 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.73 -6.75 -39.92 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.39 3.61 3.81 4.63 7.91 20.28 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.84 2.89 2.92 2.90 1.16 -19.64 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.69 4.37

Table 10B.4.4 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 1.89 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.06 -4.70 -16.00 -18.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.83 6.11 8.85 9.81 20.42 21.10 Net Present Value ($Billions) 3.25 4.40 4.79 5.11 4.41 2.97 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.97 2.18 4.46 4.60DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-76 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.3 Results Table for Dry-Type, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00)

Table 10B.4.5 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.29 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.16 -3.78 -7.04 -14.46 -14.46 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 46.74 53.68 62.83 72.69 80.12 80.11 Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.68 51.52 59.05 65.65 65.66 65.66 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.84 7.84 9.05 10.33 11.27 11.27DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-77 Table 10B.4.6 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.15 -0.18 -0.30 -0.42 -0.80 -0.80 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.97 3.36 3.71 3.97 4.28 4.28 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.19 3.42 3.55 3.48 3.48 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.4.7 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.29 -6.16 -11.89 -11.88 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 43.28 49.53 57.98 66.97 73.01 73.01 Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.42 47.65 54.68 60.81 61.12 61.12 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.36 7.26 8.39 9.56 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-78 Table 10B.4.8 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.9 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.47 0.47 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.07DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-79 Table 10B.4.10 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.11 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.35 -1.35 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.15 2.15 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.81 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-80 Table 10B.4.12 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0012 0.0017 0.0017 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.13 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Low Price Elasticity Scenario (0.00) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.19 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-81 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.4 Summary Results for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.4.1.2 Medium Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.4.14 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.79 4.78 4.77 4.77 4.73 4.70 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.18 -4.59 -8.69 -13.39 -36.68 -71.07 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 53.91 63.28 75.24 86.66 107.26 119.89 Net Present Value ($Billions) 51.73 58.69 66.55 73.28 70.58 48.83 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.44 9.95 11.86 13.48 17.23 19.96DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-82 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.5 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04)

Table 10B.4.15 Summary Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.50 3.49 3.49 3.48 3.45 3.42 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.43 -4.92 -6.39 -22.37 -56.76 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 7.21 9.70 12.61 14.36 27.89 40.52 Net Present Value ($Billions) 6.09 7.27 7.68 7.98 5.52 -16.23 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.61 2.13 2.84 3.19 6.06 8.79DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-83 Table 10B.4.16 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.58 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.72 -39.06 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.39 3.61 3.81 4.62 7.88 19.88 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.84 2.89 2.92 2.90 1.16 -19.18 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.88 1.03 1.68 4.29

Table 10B.4.17 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.04) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.89 1.88 1.88 1.87 1.85 1.84 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.71 -4.03 -4.66 -15.65 -17.70 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.83 6.09 8.80 9.74 20.01 20.64 Net Present Value ($Billions) 3.25 4.38 4.77 5.08 4.36 2.94 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.28 1.96 2.17 4.38 4.50DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-84 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.6 Results Table for Dr y-Type, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02)

Table 10B.4.18 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.28 1.28 1.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.06 -2.15 -3.77 -7.00 -14.31 -14.31 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 46.70 53.58 62.63 72.30 79.37 79.37 Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.64 51.42 58.87 65.30 65.06 65.06 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.83 7.82 9.02 10.28 11.17 11.17DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-85 Table 10B.4.19 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.18 -0.29 -0.42 -0.79 -0.79 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.96 3.36 3.70 3.95 4.24 4.24 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.82 3.18 3.41 3.53 3.45 3.45 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.41 0.46 0.50 0.53 0.57 0.57

Table 10B.4.20 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 0.99 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.86 -1.88 -3.28 -6.13 -11.76 -11.76 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 43.24 49.44 57.80 66.61 72.32 72.32 Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.39 47.56 54.51 60.48 60.56 60.56 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.35 7.25 8.36 9.51 10.21 10.21DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-86 Table 10B.4.21 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.008 0.010 0.010 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.006 0.005 0.005 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.22 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.27 -0.27 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.33 0.46 0.46 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.20 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-87 Table 10B.4.23 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.006 -0.006 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.012 0.012 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.24 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.31 -1.33 -1.34 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.82 1.27 2.13 2.14 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.51 0.69 0.96 0.80 0.80 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.30 0.30DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-88 Table 10B.4.25 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0013 -0.0013 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0017 0.0017 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.26 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, Medium Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.02) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.14 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.13 0.19 0.18 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.03DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-89 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00 21.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.7 Summary Results for A ll Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario 10B.4.1.3 High Price Elasticity Scenario

Table 10B.4.27 Summary Results Table for All Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 4.77 4.74 4.68 4.64 4.43 4.28 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -2.17 -4.52 -8.46 -12.88 -33.97 -64.89 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 53.50 62.31 73.27 82.95 99.22 110.28 Net Present Value ($Billions) 51.33 57.78 64.81 70.07 65.25 45.39 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 8.38 9.81 11.57 12.95 16.02 18.43DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-90 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-17.00 -12.00 -7.00 -2.00 3.00 8.00 13.00 18.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.8 Results Table for Liquid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.4.28 Summary Results Table for Li quid-Immersed, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 3.49 3.47 3.43 3.42 3.26 3.12 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.12 -2.41 -4.81 -6.23 -20.90 -51.84 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 7.19 9.63 12.38 14.07 26.22 37.28 Net Present Value ($Billions) 6.07 7.22 7.57 7.84 5.31 -14.55 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 1.60 2.11 2.79 3.13 5.71 8.12DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-91 Table 10B.4.29 Summary Results Table for Product Class 1, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.61 1.61 1.61 1.60 1.58 1.45 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.54 -0.73 -0.89 -1.72 -6.60 -35.80 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.38 3.61 3.80 4.60 7.75 18.39 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.84 2.88 2.91 2.89 1.16 -17.41 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.80 0.85 0.87 1.02 1.65 3.98

Table 10B.4.30 Summary Results Table for Product Class 2, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.88 1.86 1.82 1.81 1.69 1.67 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.58 -1.68 -3.92 -4.52 -14.31 -16.04 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 3.81 6.02 8.58 9.47 18.46 18.90 Net Present Value ($Billions) 3.23 4.34 4.66 4.95 4.16 2.86 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.81 1.26 1.91 2.11 4.06 4.14DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-92 0.00 3.00 6.00 9.00 12.00 15.00 18.00

One Two Three Four Five Six Trial Standard LevelsCumulative Source EnergySavings (Quads)

-10.00 0.00 10.00 20.00 30.00 40.00 50.00 60.00 70.00 80.00NPV (Billion US$)

Source Energy Savings NPV Figure 10B.4.9 Results Table for Dry-Type, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2)

Table 10B.4.31 Summary Results Table for All Dry-Type Product Classes, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 1.28 1.27 1.25 1.22 1.17 1.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -1.05 -2.11 -3.65 -6.64 -13.07 -13.05 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 46.31 52.68 60.89 68.88 73.01 72.99 Net Present Value ($Billions) 45.26 50.57 57.24 62.23 59.94 59.94 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.78 7.70 8.78 9.81 10.31 10.31DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-93 Table 10B.4.32 Summary Results Table for Product Class 3, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.14 -0.17 -0.28 -0.40 -0.72 -0.72 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 2.91 3.28 3.57 3.77 3.91 3.91 Net Present Value ($Billions) 2.77 3.11 3.29 3.37 3.19 3.19 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.40 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.52 0.52

Table 10B.4.33 Summary Results Table for Product Class 4, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.99 0.98 0.96 0.94 0.90 0.90 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.85 -1.84 -3.18 -5.80 -10.71 -10.71 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 42.91 48.62 56.19 63.40 66.47 66.47 Net Present Value ($Billions) 42.06 46.78 53.01 57.60 55.76 55.76 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 6.30 7.14 8.14 9.07 9.42 9.42DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-94 Table 10B.4.34 Summary Results Table for Product Class 5, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 0.000 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.005 0.007 0.009 0.009 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.002 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.004 0.004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001

Table 10B.4.35 Summary Results Table for Product Class 6, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.02 -0.03 -0.05 -0.09 -0.25 -0.25 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.11 0.17 0.24 0.32 0.43 0.43 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.10 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.18 0.18 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.06 0.06DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-95 Table 10B.4.36 Summary Results Table for Product Class 7, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.000 -0.001 -0.001 -0.002 -0.005 -0.005 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.003 0.005 0.006 0.009 0.011 0.011 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.003 0.004 0.005 0.007 0.006 0.006 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.000 0.001 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002

Table 10B.4.37 Summary Results Table for Product Class 8, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.17 0.17 Equipment Cost ($Billions) -0.04 -0.07 -0.13 -0.30 -1.23 -1.23 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.37 0.57 0.81 1.25 1.99 1.99 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.33 0.50 0.69 0.94 0.75 0.75 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.05 0.08 0.12 0.18 0.28 0.28DRAFT

Transformer_DRAFT_TSD_Appendix10B_version8-1-05_DOE_8/2/05 10B-96 Table 10B.4.38 Summary Results Table for Product Class 9, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.0000 0.0000 -0.0001 -0.0004 -0.0012 -0.0012 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 0.0011 0.0016 0.0016 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.0001 0.0003 0.0005 0.0007 0.0004 0.0004 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.0000 0.0000 0.0001 0.0002 0.0002 0.0002

Table 10B.4.39 Summary Results Table for Product Class 10, High Price Elasticity Scenario (-0.2) Trial Standard Level One Two Three Four Five Six Transformer Shipments 2010-2038 (Billion KVA) 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 Equipment Cost ($Billions) 0.00 0.00 -0.01 -0.05 -0.14 -0.13 Operating Cost (Savings in TSLs) ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.06 0.12 0.18 0.17 Net Present Value ($Billions) 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.08 0.04 0.04 Cumulative Source Savings 2038 (Quads) 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02