### INDIANA DEPARTMENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT



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# an4 Our Environment. Mitchell E. D, lf}niels Jr. · · '''\.**(~~ ~**  100 North Senate Avenue Governor {;**,"'~v** 

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### Ms. Susan Hedman Regional Administrator U.S. Environmental Protection Agency Region 5 77 West Jackson Boulevard Chicago, IL 60604-3950

Dear Ms. Hedman:

Re: MOBILE6.2 to MOVES MVEB Replacement Update to the Indiana Portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-KentuckyIndiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-Hour Ozone Standard

The Indiana Department of Environmental Management (IDEM) submits the enclosed MOBILE6.2 to Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES) Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget (MVEB) replacement update for the Ind iana portion of the CincinnatiHamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. IDEM requests that the United States Environmental Protection Agency (U.S

. EPA) process this final submittal for approval into Indiana's State Implementation Plan.

IDEM provided an opportunity for a public hearing on the MVEB replacement update to the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati

- Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana maintenance area if a public hearing request was received by November 20, 2012. A hearing was scheduled for November 28, 2012. No request for a public hearing was received and the hearing was cancelled

. In addition, IDEM received no comments during the public notice process. Documents related to the public participation process are included in Appendix C of this submittal.

This MOBILE6.2 to MOVES MVEB replacement update incorporates onroad emission estimates and revised MVEBs using U.S. EPA's recently adopted MOVES model. The onroad emission estimates were calculated using the MOVES-based emission factors and data extracted from the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana area's travel-demand model.

Recycled Paper 

## (i) An Equal Opportunity Emp loyer Pl eas e Recycle 

## O

### Ms. Hedman Page 2
MVEBs are being revised in anticipation of the mandatory use of the MOVES model in future transportation conformity determinations. Preliminary use of the new model indicates that emission estimates can be considerably different than similar calculations using MOBILE6.2, which was used to create the MVEBs in the original ozone maintenance plan.
Onroad safety margins, established through the interagency consultation process, are included for nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs). These onroad safety margins are allocated to on road emission estimates in order to account for the wide array of assumptions that are factored into the calculation process. With the addition of on road safety margins applied to mobile sources, the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana maintenance area will continue to remain well below the overall safety margins for all sources. MVEBs are also constrained to ensure that total NOx and VOC emissions (i.e., all source categories) do not exceed attainment year emissions to ensure continued maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard.

This submittal consists of one (1) hard copy of the required documentation. An electronic version of the submittal in PDF format that is identical to the hard copy has been sent to Pamela Blakley, Chief of U.S. EPA Region 5's Control Strategies Section.

IDEM respectfully requests that U.S. EPA proceed with review of the MOBILE6.2 to MOVES MVEB replacement update and revised transportation conformity budgets and approval into Indiana's State Implementation Plan for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. If you have any questions or need additional information, please contact Scott Deloney, Chief, Air Programs Branch, at (317) 233-5694.

KB/sad/sms

Enclosures: Sincerely,
:/

### r-~1 

## D**~-w,___** 

## IL).,.,""**~­** ·1 

## 0 Keith Baugues Assistant Commissioner Office of Air Quality

Onroad Emissions MOBILE6.2 to MOVES Replacement Submittal for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-Hour Ozone Standard and Appendices Electronic MOVES-based modeling input and output data files
Cc: Doug Aburano, U.S. EPA Region 5 (w/ enclosures) Ed Doty, U.S. EPA Region 5 (w/ enclosures) Pamela Blakley, U.S. EPA Region 5 (w/ enclosures) Pat Morris, U.S. EPA Region 5 (w/ enclosures) Steve Rosenthal, U.S. EPA Region 5 (no enclosures)

&cycled Paper 

## (!) An Equal Opportunity Employer Please Recycle 

## 0

### Ms. Hedman Page 3
Jennifer Dines, Ohio EPA (w/ enclosures) Mark 

## R. Policinski, OKI (w/ enclosures) Andy Reser, OKI (w/ enclosures) Scott Deloney, IDEM (no enclosures) Shawn Seals, IDEM (w/ enclosures)

Recycled Paper 

## $ An Equal Opportunity Employer Please Recycle 

## 0

# I

# I

I 

# I

I I

# Onroad Emissions MOBILE6.2 to MOVES Replacement Submittal

For the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati- Hamilton, OhioKentucky- Indiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-Hour Ozone Standard

Final

December 2012

### This page intentionally left blank

### Introduction

On January 21,2010, the Indiana Department of Environmental Management (IDEM) submitted a 

### Request for Redesignation and Maintenance Planfor Ozone Attainment in the Indiana Portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana 8-Hour Ozone Nonattainment Area. The United States Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) subsequently approved the Indiana redesignation of the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area to attainment for ozone on May 11, 2010 (75 FR 26118). Onroad emissions for the January 21, 2010, submittal were calculated using MOBILE6.2. U.S. EPA has encouraged mobile source stakeholders to transition to the new Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES) model as expeditiously as possible. Therefore, IDEM is providing this MOBILE6.2 to MOVES replacement update to the previously submitted 8-hour ozone maintenance plan for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area that incorporates MOVES-based onroad emiSSIOnS.



### Emission Inventory

The tables, "2005 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources" and "2008 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources" were included in Appendix C ofthe original Redesignation Petition and Maintenance Plan. The tables, "20 15 Entire Cincinnati- Hamilton, OH- KY- IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources" and "2020 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-INNonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources" were included in Appendix E of the original Redesignation Petition and Maintenance Plan. The consolidated table, "2005, 2008,2015, and 2020 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources" (to be considered a replacement ofthe existing separate 2005,2008,2015, and 2020 tables included in Appendices C and E as detailed above) has been revised to incorporate updated onroad emission estimates for nitrogen oxides (NOx) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) for the years 2005, 2008, 2015, and 2020 and results in a different overall safety margin for the area. It 

### should be noted that, "2005, 2008,2015, and 2020 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-INNonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources" includes only Ohio and Indiana MOVES-based onroad emissions consistent with the manner in which the Motor Vehicle Emission Budgets (MVEBs) were established in the original Ohio and Indiana State Implementation Plans (SIPs).

1

### 2005 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources (MOBILE6.2-based Onroad Emissions)
(Tons per Summer Day- MOBILE6.2-based)

. .· . 

### State County

. · Sector NO, · . . 

## voc 

# . Indiana Dearborn County AREA 

### 0.26 2.07 Indiana Dearborn County NONROAD 

### 1.26 0.82 Indiana Dearborn County ONROAD +.44 .J.-.00 Indiana Dearborn County 

### EGU 25.31 0.33 Indiana Dearborn County POINT 

### 5.09 2.91 Kentucky Boone County AREA 

### 4.99 8.13 Kentucky Boone County NONROAD 

### 12.96 1.71 Kentucky Boone County ONROAD 

### Wd+**~** 

### Kentucky Boone County 

### EGU 23.80 0.17 Kentucky Boone County POINT 

### 0.14 2.40 Kentucky Campbell County AREA 

### 1.41 4.77 Kentucky Campbell County NONROAD 

### 6.33 1.76 Kentucky Campbell County ONROAD**~** :6.§2 

### Kentucky Campbell County 

### EGU 0.00 0.00 Kentucky Campbell County POINT 

### 0.00 0.25 Kentucky Kenton County AREA 

### 4.17 8.53 Kentucky Kenton County NONROAD 

### 8.43 2.33 Kentucky Kenton County ONROAD**~** 4,J;l 

### Kentucky Kenton County 

### EGU 0.00 0.00 Kentucky Kenton County POINT 

### 0,04 1.20

Ohio Butler County AREA 

### 2.15 11.96 Ohio Butler County NONROAD 

### 10.25 6.88 Ohio Butler County ONROAD**~** 

### 9M Ohio Butler County 

### EGU 3.88 0,03 Ohio Butler County POINT 

### 12.03 3.64 Ohio Clermont County AREA 

### 1.65 6.98 Ohio Clermont County NONROAD 

### 5.03 4.33 Ohio Clermont County ONROAD +J.\)4 {>..86 

### Ohio Clermont County 

### EGU 42.96 0.49 Ohio Clermont County POINT 

### 0.15 0.24 Ohio Clinton County AREA 

### 0.42 3.24 Ohio Clinton County NONROAD 

### 2.26 1.77 Ohio Clinton County ONROAD**~ ~**  

### Ohio Clinton County 

### EGU 0.00 0.00 Ohio Clinton County POINT 

### 0.00 0.00 Ohio Hamilton County AREA 

### 5.19 33.04 Ohio Hamilton County NONROAD 

### 20.57 17.45 Ohio Hamilton County ONROAD**~** ;!9.47 

### Ohio Hamilton County 

### EGU 15.23 0.28 Ohio Hamilton County POINT 

### 6.72 2.66 Ohio Warren County AREA 

### 1.15 8.40 Ohio Warren County NONROAD 

### 6.10 4.79 Ohio Warren County ONROAD**~** +!R 

### Ohio Warren County 

### EGU 0.00 0.00 Ohio Warren County POINT 

### 2.68 0.53



## 2

## 2008 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources (MOBILE6.2-based Onroad Emissions)
(Tons per Summer Day- MOBILE6.2-based) • • State ··· .. County. · · ••••••• Sector NO, 

# .. voc Indiana Dearborn County AREA 0.26 Indiana Dearborn County NONROAD Ll4 Indiana Dearborn County ONROAD 

### hl4 Indiana Dearborn County 

### EGU 27.34 Indiana Dearborn County POINT 3.21 Kentucky Boone County AREA 5.02 Kentucky Boone County NONROAD 11.02 Kentucky Boone County ONROAD 

### So£ Kentucky Boone County 

### EGU 23.15 Kentucky Boone County POINT 0.12 Kentucky Campbell County AREA 1.32 Kentucky Campbell County NONROAD 5.34 Kentucky Campbell County ONROAD 4.&8 Kentucky Campbell County 

### EGU 0.00 Kentucky Campbell County POINT 0.02 Kentucky Kenton County AREA 4.06 Kentucky Kenton County NONROAD 7.33 Kentucky Kenton County ONROAD**~** Kentucky Kenton County 

### EGU 0.00 Kentucky Kenton County POINT 0.03

Ohio Butler County AREA 2.18 Ohio Butler County NONROAD 8.89 Ohio Butler County ONROAD**~** Ohio Butler County 

### EGU 2.87 Ohio Butler County POINT 10.53 Ohio Clermont County AREA 1.67 Ohio Clermont County NONROAD 4.22 Ohio Clermont County ONROAD H.()!; Ohio Clermont County 

### EGU 22.61 Ohio Clermont County POINT 0.18 Ohio Clinton County AREA 0.43 Ohio Clinton County NONROAD 2.01 Ohio Clinton County ONROAD**~** Ohio Clinton County 

### EGU 0.00 Ohio Clinton County POINT 0.00 Ohio Hamilton County AREA 5.27 Ohio Hamilton County NONROAD 17.21 Ohio Hamilton County ONROAD 46.81} Ohio Hamilton County 

### EGU 12.92 Ohio Hamilton County POINT 6.17 Ohio Warren County AREA Ll7 Ohio Warren County NONROAD 5.19 Ohio Warren County ONROAD 

### .J+..U Ohio Warren County 

### EGU 0.00 Ohio Warren County POINT 3.14



### 3 ... 2.42 0.74 IJ.+§ 0.35 3.23 8.41 5.07 4,00 0.17 2.64 4.34 1.51 ;!,;l9 0.00 0.28 7.88 1.95 J.8$ 0.00 Ll7 10.31 5.68 

### +£:/. 0.03 2.77 6.05 3.68**~** 0.27 0.09 2.85 1.65**~** 0.00 0.00 28.80 14.66 

### n.+G

0.24 2.85 7.30 4.10 lbl6 0.00 0.82

### 2015 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources (MOBILE6.2-based Onroad Emissions)
(Tons per SummerDay- MOBILE6.2-based)

. ..· .

. · . · . 

### State · .. ·. County . 

### Sector . I

. 

### NO,

. 

# voc

.. Indiana Dearborn County AREA 0.27 1.79 Indiana Dearborn County NONROAD 0.78 0.62 Indiana Dearborn County ONROAD 

### Mil**~** Indiana Dearborn County EGU 25.30 0.44 Indiana Dearborn County POINT 5.12 3.51 Kentucky Boone County AREA 5.03 8.50 Kentucky Boone County NONROAD 9.77 4.55 Kentucky Boone County ONROAD +.@ 

### +.+7 Kentucky Boone County EGU 24.97 0.18 Kentucky Boone County POINT 

### 0.11 2.86 Kentucky Campbell County AREA 1.30 4.20 Kentucky Campbell County NONROAD 4.57 1.29 Kentucky Campbell County ONROAD**~** 

### +.'14 Kentucky Campbell County EGU 0.00 0.00 Kentucky Campbell County POINT 0.02 0.30 Kentucky Kenton County AREA 4.02 7.66 Kentucky Kenton County NONROAD 6.15 1.76 Kentucky Kenton County ONROAD**~ ~**  Kentucky Kenton County EGU 0.00 0.00 Kentucky Kenton County POINT 0.03 

### 1.31

Ohio Butler County AREA 2.19 9.76 Ohio Butler County NONROAD 5.91 4.95 Ohio Butler County ONROAD**~** 4.8+ Ohio Butler County EGU 2.86 0.02 Ohio Butler County POINT 11.98 4.25 Ohio Clermont County AREA 1.67 5.74 Ohio Clermont County NONROAD 2.76 3.13 Ohio Clermont County ONROAD**~** 

### bl9 Ohio Clermont County EGU 50.Q7 0.52 Ohio Clermont County POINT 0.16 0.26 Ohio Clinton County AREA 0.43 2.72 Ohio Clinton County NONROAD 1.39 1.26 Ohio Clinton County ONROAD**~** 

### +A+ Ohio Clinton County EGU 0.00 0.00 Ohio Clinton County POINT 0.00 0.00 Ohio Hamilton County AREA 5.30 27.38 Ohio Hamilton County NONROAD 

### 11.18 12.70 Ohio Hamilton County ONROAD 

### ::l-h-1-l 

### HM Ohio Hamilton County EGU 28.32 0.31 Ohio Hamilton County POINT 7.39 2.97 Ohio Warren County AREA 1.17 6.94 Ohio Warren County NONROAD 3.22 3.39 Ohio Warren County ONROAD &.;g 

### 44! Ohio Warren County EGU 0.00 0.00 Ohio Warren County POINT 2.70 0.57



## 4

### 2020 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources (MOBILE6.2-based Onroad Emissions)
(Tons per Summer Day- MOBILE6.2-based) · . 

### State Comity • 

### Sector NO, . · 

## voc Indiana Dearborn County AREA 0.27 Indiana Dearborn County NONROAD 0.65 Indiana Dearborn County ONROAD 

### o.4l Indiana Dearborn County 

### EGU 26.03 Indiana Dearborn County POINT 5.19 Kentucky Boone County AREA 5.03 Kentucky Boone County NONROAD 9.48 Kentucky Boone County ONROAD**~** Kentucky Boone County 

### EGU 26.35 Kentucky Boone County POINT 0.12 Kentucky Campbell County AREA 1.30 Kentucky Campbell County NONROAD 4.34 Kentucky Campbell County ONROAD 

### +M Kentucky Campbell County 

### EGU 0.00 Kentucky Campbell County POINT 0.03 Kentucky Kenton County AREA 4.02 Kentucky Kenton County NONROAD 5.75 Kentucky Kenton County ONROAD 

### J.M Kentucky Kenton County 

### EGU 0.00 Kentucky Kenton County POINT 0.03

Ohio Butler County AREA 2.19 Ohio Butler County NONROAD 4.64 Ohio Butler County ONROAD**~** Ohio Butler County 

### EGU 2.95 Ohio Butler County POINT 11.91 Ohio Clermont County AREA 1.67 Ohio Clermont County NONROAD 2.17 Ohio Clermont County ONROAD 

### J.M Ohio Clermont County 

### EGU 51.49 Ohio Clermont County POINT 0.16 Ohio Clinton County AREA 0.43 Ohio Clinton County NONROAD 1.13 Ohio Clinton County ONROAD 

### +.4± Ohio Clinton County 

### EGU 0.00 Ohio Clinton County POINT 0.00 Ohio Hamilton County AREA 5.30 Ohio Hamilton County NONROAD 8.73 Ohio Hamilton County ONROAD 

### 14M Ohio Hamilton County 

### EGU 29.13 Ohio Hamilton County POINT 7.56 Ohio Warren County AREA 1.17 Ohio Warren County NONROAD 2.38 Ohio Warren County ONROAD 4.@ Ohio Warren County 

### EGU 0.00 Ohio Warren County POINT 2.70



## 5 1.79 0.60 

### o.4l 0.46 3.69 8.50 4.36**~** 0.19 3.01 4.20 1.22**~** 0.00 0.31 7.66 1.73 

### 'Me 0.00 1.42 9.76 4.80 

### 4-..W 0.02 4.56 5.74 2.96 3-,04 0.53 0.27 2.72 1.08 .f...;Q 0.00 0.00 27.38 12.19 .J+.Olj

0.31 3.12 6.94 3.15 J..&& 0.00 0.57

## 2005, 2008, 2015, and 2020 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources including Only Ohio and Indiana Onroad Emissions (MOVES-Based Onroad Emissions)
(Tons per Summer Day- MOVES-based)

Sector 2005NOx

. 2008 NO, 2015 NO. 2020 NOx Area 

### 21.39 21.38 21.38 21.38 Nonroad 

### 73.19 62.35 45

.73 39

. 27 Onroad 

### 157.38 131.28 81.96 63.59 Point 

### 138.03 112.29 159.03 163.65 Total 

### 389.99 327.30 309.41 289.20 Overall 

### NA NA 

### 17.89 38.10 Safety Margin 

### Sector 2005 

# voc 2008VOC 2015VOC ,. 2020VOC Area 

### 87.12 78.36 74.69 74.69 Nonroad 

### 41.84 39.04 33.65 32.09 Onroad 

### 93.68 95.55 48.75 37.23 Point 

### 15.13 14.91 17

. 50 18.46 Total 

### 237.77 227

. 86 1 74. 5 9 162.47 Overall 

### NA NA 

### 53.27 65. 3 9 Safety Margin



### Onroad emission estimates in table, "2005, 2008, 2015, and 2020 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources including Only Ohio and Indiana Onroad Emissions" were calculated using U.S. EPA ' s MOVES model-produced emission factors and data extr acted from the area's travel-demand model. The MOVES model implements a significantly different approach to emissions estimation than the previous model (MOBILE6.2). Preliminary use ofthe MOVES model indicates that emission estimates can be considerably different than similar calculations using MOBILE6.2, which was used to create the original MVEBs for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area. A general summary ofthe MOV E S methodology used in this area can be found in Appendix A

. In addition, MOVES input and output files are being provided electronically with this submittal. Growth and control strategy assumptions for non-mobile sources (i.e. area, nonroad, and point) from the original submittal for the years 2005, 2008, 2015 , and 2020 were developed before the economic challenges ofthe last several years. Because ofthis , the factors included in the original submittal may project more growth than will actually occur in the future

. As a result, the growth and control strategy assumptions for the non-mobile sources for the years 2005, 2008, 2015, and 2020 continue to be valid and do not affect the overall conclusions ofthe plan.

Onroad safety margins have been included for onroad emission estimates to accommodate the wide array of assumptions that are factored into the calculation process. Since assumptions change over time, it is necessary to have an onroad safety margin that will accommodate the impact of refined assumptions in the process

. The plan continues to meet all applicable Clean Air Act (CAA) requirements as the revised emission inventories clearly illustrate that total NOx and VOC emissions in the Indiana portion ofthe Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana

6

### Area will continue to decline leading to local reductions between 2008 (base year) and 2020 (maintenance plan horizon).
Transportation Conformity Budgets



### Table 5.1 was included on Page 25 ofthe original Redesignation Petition and Maintenance Plan for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area. Table 5.1**~A** 

### (to be considered a replacement of Table 5.1) has been revised to incorporate U.S. EPA's MOVES model-produced emission factors and data extracted from the region's travel-demand model. Table 5.1 from the original submittal included omoad emissions for Ohio, Kentucky, and Indiana. For consistency throughout this replacement, Table 5.1**~A** 

### includes MOVES-based omoad emissions for only Ohio and Indiana.

Table 5.1 Emission Estimations for On-Road Mobile Sources for the Cincinnati-Hamilton OH-KY-IN Ozone Nonattainment Area (MOBILE-Based Onroad Emissions)

Cincinnati-Hamilton OH-KY-IN NAArea 

### VOC (tons/day) NO, (tons/day) Lawrenceburg Township (Dearborn County Indiana) subtotal 

### VOC (tons/day) NO, (tons/day) Lawrenceburg Township subtotal%


### VOC (tons/day) NO, (tons/day) 

### 2005**~ ~** 

±,00 

### -1-.44

-1-.44
±.()§



### 7 2008 2015 2020**~ ~** **~ ~**  !>±.Q4**~ ~**  

### g,w Q.A.2, 

### ±.±4 Q.W Q.A.2,**~** ±,4± 

### 1oM ±,00 ±.±& ±dQ

## Table 5.1- A Emission Estimates for On-Road Mobile Sources for the Cincinnati-Hamilton OH

-KY-IN Ozone Nonattainment Area (MOVES-Based Onroad Emissions)

Cincinnati-Hamilton OH

- KY

- IN NAArea 

### 2005 2008 2015 2020

VOC (tons/day) 

### 93

. 68 95

. 55 48

. 75 37

. 23 NO. 

### (tons/day) Lawrenceburg Township (Dearborn County Indiana) subtotal 

### 15 7 .38 131.28 81.96 63.59

VOC (tons/day) NO. 

### (tons/day) Lawrenceburg Township subtotal% 

### VOC (tons/day) NOx 

### (tons/day) 

### 1.31 1.35 2.18 1.82

1.40 1.41 1.39 1.39 0.69 0.53 1.14 0

. 89

1.42 1.42 1.39 1.40



### Table 

## 5.2 was also included on Page 

## 25 ofthe original Redesignati on Petition and Maintenance Plan for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area. Table 

## 5.2- A (to be considered a replacement of Table 

## 5.2) has been revised to incorpora te MVEBs calcul ated using U.S

. EPA ' s MOVES model-produced emission factors and data extracted from the region's travel-demand model as detailed in Table 5.1 -A.



## Table 5.2 Motor Vchicle Emission Budgets (MVEB) for th e Ohio and Indiana Portions of the Cincinnati-Hamilton OH-KY-IN Ozone Nonattainment Area (MOBILE6.2-Based Onroad Emissions)

2015 2020
VOC (tons/day)**~ ~**  

### NOx (tons/day) 49-,00**~**



### 8

### Table 5.2- A Motor Vehicle Emission Budgets (MVEB) for the Ohio and Indiana Portions of the Cincinnati-Hamilton OH-KY-IN Ozone Nonattainment Area (MOVES-Based Onroad Emissions)

2015 2020
VOC (tons/day) 

### 56.06 42.81 NOx (tons/day) 

### 94.25 73.13



### Through the interagency consultation process, it was determined that a maintenance plan interim year budget of2015 and a horizon year budget of2020, would be appropriate. The interagency consultation group approved onroad margins of safety of fifteen percent (15%) for both VOC and NOx onroad emission estimates for the years 2015 and 2020

. A summary ofthis interagency consultation discussion can be found in Appendix B. These revised emission inventories clearly illustrate that onroad VOC and NOx emissions in the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area will continue to decline leading to local reductions between 2008 (base year) and 2015 (maintenance plan interim), as well as 2008 (base year) and 2020 (maintenance plan horizon).
Furthermore, when compared to the overall safety margin as defined in the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) at 40 CFR 93.101, it is evident the onroad safety margin allocation is reasonable and appropriate. More specifically, even with the allocation of an onroad safety margin to mobile sources, emissions will continue to remain well below the overall safety margin for all
sources as detailed in table, "2005, 2008, 2015, and 2020 Entire Cincinnati-Hamilton, OH-KY-IN Nonattainment Area All Anthropogenic Sources including Only Ohio and Indiana Onroad Emissions". MVEBs are constrained to ensure that the total emissions (i.e., all source categories) do not exceed the 2008 attainment year emissions of either VOC or NOx, thereby ensuring continued maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard.

Conclusion

This MOBILE6.2 to MOVES replacement update to the previously submitted 8-hour ozone maintenance plan for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati

-Hamilton, Ohio

- Kentucky

-Indiana Area incorporates onroad emission estimates and a revised MVEB using U.S. EPA's recently adopted MOVES model. MVEBs have been revised in anticipation ofthe mandatory use of the MOVES model in future transportation conformity determinations. The onroad emission estimates were calculated using the MOVES-based emission factors and data extracted from the area's traveldemand model. Onroad safety margins for VOCs and NOx, established through the interagency consultation process, are included in order to account for the wide an-ay of assumptions that are factored into the calculation process. MVEBs are also constrained to ensure that total VOC and NOx emissions (i.e., all source categories) do not exceed attainment year (2008) emissions to
ensure continued maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard

. With the addition of MOVESbased onroad safety margins applied to mobile sources, the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati

## 9

### Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area will continue to remain well below the overall safety margins for all sources into the future. As such, the 8-hour ozone maintenance plan for the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area continues to meet all applicable CAA requirements.

10

# Appendix A

Cincinnati- Hamilton, Ohio- Kentucky- Indiana Maintenance Area MOVES Methodology

### This page left intentionally blank

# Mobile Source Emissions Inventory for Cincinnati Ozone Maintenance Area

- MOVES emissions model
Includes a portion of Dearborn County, Indiana, the counties of Boone, Campbell, 

### I<en ton in Kentucky, and the counties of Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Hamilton, and Warren in Ohio

. Emission estimates for the Year 2005, 2008, 2015, 2020, and 2030 developed in support of revision to Ozone State Implementation Plan

April2012

Prepared for the Indiana D epartment of Env iro n mental Management, the Kentucky Division for Air Quality and the Ohio Environmenta l Protection Agency by


### OKI Regional Council of Governments

Ohio • K e ntucky • In d iana Regional Counc i l of Govern ments

### Acknowledgments

Title


### Abstract

Date

Agency

Project Manager

Project Staff Mobile Source Emissions Inventory for Cincinnati Ozone Maintenance Area

This report was prepared for the Indiana Department of Environmental Management, the Kentucky Division for Air Quality and the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency. The Cincinnati Ozone Maintenance area includes a portion of Dearborn County Indiana, the counties of Boone, Campbell, Kenton in Kentucky, and the counties of Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Hamilton, and Warren in Ohio. Clinton County is outside of OKI's MPO area with emission estimates prepared by the Ohio Department of Transportation. This report includes emission estimates for the years 2005, 2008, 2015, 2020 and 2030 was generated to support a revision to the SIPs for the 8-hour Ozone standard. EPA's Motor Vehicle Emission Simulation (MOVES) 2010 was used to generate the emission rates.
April2012

Ohio

- Kentucky

- Indiana Regional Council of Governments Mark Policinski, Executive Director Robert Koehler, P.E., Deputy Director

Andrew J. Reser, AICP

Harikishan Perugu, PTP La r ry Buckler

The preparation of this document was financed cooperatively by the Federal Highway Administration, the Federal Transit Administration, the Commonwealth of Kentucky Tr ansportation Cabinet, the Ohio Departm e nt of Tran sportat ion, and the units of local and county government in the 01<1 region. The opinions, findings, and co nclu sions expressed in this document are those of the OKI Regional Council of Governments and are not n ecessar ily those of the U.S

. Department of Tran sportation. This report doe s not constitute a standard, specification, or regulation.

# MOBILE Source Emissions Inventory for the Cincinnati Ozone Maintenance area

This report was prepared for the Indiana Department of Environmental Management, the Kentucky Division for Air Quality and the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency. The Cincinnati Ozone Maintenance area includes a portion of Dearborn County Indiana, the counties of Boone, Campbell, Kenton in Kentucky, and the counties of Butler, Clermont, Clinton, Hamilton, and Warren in Ohio. Clinton County Ohio is outside OKI's MPO boundaries. The Ohio Department of Transportation prepares emission estimates for Clinton County. This report includes emission estimates for the years 2005, 2008, 2015, 2020 and 2030 generated to support the SIPs for the 8-hour ozone standard. EPA's Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES) 2010 model was used to generate the vehicle emission rates. In December 2009, MOVES replaced MOBILE6.2 as the EPA's official emission factor model. The OKI travel demand model version 7.6 was used to generate VMT and speed estimates. MOVES emission rates
were generated for VOC's, and NOx.
OKI, as the MPO, is responsible for transportation planning and air quality/transportation conformity. Transportation conformity is a mechanism to ensure that federal funding and approval are given to those tra n s portation activities that are consistent with the air quality goals of the State Implementation Plans (SIP s) for Indiana, Kentucky and Ohio. The Sl Ps include an inventory of projected emissions from

v e hicl es. One or more of the analysis years in the projected inve ntory may be designated as the motor vehicle emissions bud get (MVEB). Thi s budg et establishes a maximum allowable limit on future emissions from vehicles (mobile sources). OKI's tran s portation plans and prog rams must b e s hown to be in conformity with all SIP provi s ion s

. The conformity process is a quantit a tive analysis, u sing U.S. EPA's v e hicle emissions software (currently MOVES), demonstrating that forec as t ed regional vehicle emissions do not exceed the es tablished budget.

Table 1 shows daily mobile source emissions for the combined Indiana and Ohio portions of the M a intenance area, including Clinton County. Table 2 shows daily mobile source emissions for the K

e ntucky portion of the Maintenance area. Separate MVEB' s are typically designated for the se two
areas. An additional safe ty m argin s hould be added to the MVEB's due uncertainty with growth assumptions utiliz ed in the OKI travel demand model and MOVES. Daily mobile source emissions for each county are shown in Table 3.



## 5 OK/ Ozone Mobile Source E m issions Inventory Using EPA MOVES, Apri /2012Table 1 Mobile Source Emiss ions Inventory for the Indi ana and Ohio Portions of t he Cincinnati Ozo ne Maintenance A rea 'tons per day) 

### 2005 2008 2015 2020 2030 

## voc 93.68 95.54 48.75 37.24 31.81 NOx 157.38 131.28 81.95 63.59 56.48

T able 2 Mobile Source Emissions Inventory for the Kentucky Port ion of t he Cincinnati Ozo n e Maintenance Are a 'tons per day) 

### 2005 2008 2015 2020 2030 

## voc 25 .20 16 .5 3 9.08 5.89 4.53 NOx 80. 14 55

. 34 31.!)5 18.75 14.37



## 6 OKI Ozone Mobile Source Emissions Jnv ent01y Using EPA MOVES, Apri/2012Table 3 Mobile Source Emissions by State/County for the Cincinnati Ozone Ma inten a nce Area (tpd) State 

### 2005 2008 2015 2020 2030 Indiana Dearborn NA VMT 599,761 613,027 686,339 730,126 800,277 

## voc 1.31 1. 35 0.69 0.53 0.45 NOx 2.18 1.82 1.14 0.89 0.80 Ohio Butler VMT 7,804,476 8 , 133,554 8,721,511 9,277,916 10,1 69,344 

## voc 16. 70 17.1 2 8.72 6

. 68 5.72 NOx 27.76 23.15 14.53 11.36 10.16 Clermont VMT 5,391,578 5,599,530 5,810,859 6,181,573 6,775,503 

## voc 11

. 13 11.41 5.81 4.45 3.81 NOx 18.50 15.42 9.68 7.57 6

. 77 Hamilton VMT 23,170,766 23,481,421 25,598,858 27,231,982 29,848,450 

## voc 49.03 50.26 25.59 19

. 61 16.80 NOx 81.49 67 .9 5 42.65 33.35 29.82 Warren VMT 6 , 263,010 6,464 , 2 1 7 6,571,210 6,990,432 7,662,077 

## voc 12

. 59 12

. 90 6

.57 5 .0 3 4.31 NOx 20.92 17.44 10

. 95 8

. 5 6 7.65 OKI OHliN Total VMT 43,229,591 44,291,749 47,388,777 50,412,029 55 , 255 , 652 VOC 90. 7 6 93.03 47

.38 36

. 31 3 1.1 0 NOx 150

. 85 1 2 5 .78 78

.95 61.73, 55.20 Clinton, OH VMT 1,956,501 1,939,190 2,215,886 2,349 , 923 2,736,782 VOC 2

. 92 2.51 1.37 0. 93 0 .7 1 NOx 6

. 53 5

. 50 3 .01 1. 86 1 .28 OHliN VOC Total 93.68 95.54 48.75 37

. 24 3 1.81 OHliN NOx Total 157.38 131.28 8 1.9 5 63

. 59 56.48

Kentucky 

### 2005 2008 2015 2020 2030 Boone

VMT 4,186 ,00 6 4,355,527 4,712,49 7 5 ,129, 347 5,802,955 

## voc 9

. 71 6 .3 7 3.50 2 .2 7 1.75 NOx 30

. 88 2 1 .32 12.16 7 .22 5

. 54 

## 7 OK/ Ozone Mobil e Sou rce Emi ssion s In ven t ory Using EPA MOVES, Apri/ 2 012Ca m pbell VMT 2,437,698 2,495,174 2,727,746 2 , 969,033 3,358,939 

# voc 5.62 3.69 2. 03 1.31 1.01 NOx 1 7

. 87 12.34 7 .04 4.18 3.20 Ken t on VMT 4, 1 82 , 0 42 4 ,197,027 4 , 79 1,791 5,215,655 5,900 , 597 

# voc 9.87 6.47 3

.56 2.31 1.77 NOx 31.40 21.68 12 .36 7.34 5.63 OKI KYTotal VMT 10,805,746 1 1 , 047,728 1 2,232,034 13,314 , 036 1 5,062,492 

# voc 25.20 16

. 53 9.08 5.89 4.53 NOx 80

. 14 55.34 3 1 .55 18

. 75 14

. 37 NA Area Total 

# voc 1 1 8.88 1 1 2

. 07 5 7 .84 43

. 13 36.34 NOx 237.52 186.62 1 13.50 82.34 70.85


### Mobil e Source Emi s sion Forecas t Process
Emi s s io n Factor Model Ol< l 's conformity assess m e nt u t ili zed U.S.EPA's emiss i o n s mode l MOVES 2010 t o deve l op em i ss i o n factors f or VOC and N Ox

. Table 4 summar i zes t h e sett i ngs u sed i n the MOVES ru n specificat i o n fi l e

. Table 5 lists t h e data used i n t h e MOVES County-Dat a Manage r

. Further technical detai l s on the u se of MOVES a r e f o un d i n t he appe n d i x t o t h e OK I report "Mobile Source Emissions Inventory for Cincinnati PM2.5 Nonattainment Area ", revised De cember 2010.

Tab l e4

MOVES Ru nSpec Parameter Settings MOVES 2010a, d efault database 20100829 Scale County, Em i ssion Rates Time Span Time aggregation = Hour July weekday, J uly met eorolo g ical data All hours of day selected Weekdays only Geographic Bo u nds Two Custom Domains 1 ) 4 Oh io count i es and Lawrenceb u rg I N , 2) 3 Kentucky counties Ve h icles/E quip ment All source ty pes , gasoline and diesel Road Type All road types i ncluding off

- network Polluta n ts and Processes All Ozone categories, Total Energy Consumption Strategies Mod i fied AVFT strategy fi l e to reflect 0% CNG buses in the transit fleet General Output U n its= grams, jo u l es and miles Output Em i ssions Time = hour, L ocat i on =county, on - road emission rates by road type and source use type

. 

# 8 OK/ Ozone Mobile Source Emissions Inventory Using EPA MOVES, Apri12012

# I Advanced Performance 

# I none

Table 5
County Data Manager Data Source Source Ty p e Population L ocal and default. L oca l data from KYTC (2011} and ODOT (2010} f ro m mo t or ve hicle re g istration data. Def a ult data used for source ty pes 41, 61 and 62. Vehicle T y p e VMT Local and default

. H PMSVTypeYear VMT=dai l y VMT from OKI t r ave l demand mode l with EPA's daily to annua l VM T converter applied

. monthVMTFract ion = default. dayVMTFraction=defau l t, hourVMTFraction =loca l. 1/M Prog r ams Default modified to reflect discontinued 1/M program in 2006 Fue l Formu l ation Modified to reflect l ow RVP fuel program in So uthwest Ohio Fuel Supply Default Meteorology Data Loca l. MOBILE6 converted values for Ohio and Kentucky values from Kentucky Division for Air Quality

. Ramp Fract ion L ocal. OK I travel demand mod e l. Road Type D i st ri buti o n L oca l. OK I travel demand model. Age Distribution Local and default. Local data from KYTC (2011} and ODOT (2010} from motor vehicle regi s tration data. Default data used for source types 41, 61 and 62

. Average Speed Distribution L oca l. OKI tra ve l demand m ode l.



### OKI Travel De mand Model Vehicle mi l es t rave l ed and ve hi cle hours were estimated using the OK I Travel Demand Mode l Vers i on 7.6. The OKI Trave l De m and Mode l is composed of CUBE Voyager prog ra m s and a ser i es of FORTRAN programs wr itten by OK I. It is a state of the practice mod e l that uses th e standa r d 4 phase sequential mode li ng approach of trip generation, di s tribution, moda l choice and assignment. Th e model uses demographic and land u se data and capac ity and free -fl ow speed characteristics for eac h roadway segment in the network to produce a " l oaded" highway network with forecasted traffic vo lu mes with revised speeds ba sed on s pecified speed/capacity re l a tionship s.

Trave l a n a ly sis zones are the basic geograph i c unit for estimating travel in the OKI model. The 01<1 region is subdivided into 1608 traffic ana lys i s zones to permit detail as well as mana geab ility. A variety of socioecono mic data items are u sed in th e OKI transportation planning pro cess. These data are u sed primarily to forecast future travel patterns by servi n g as i ndependent variabl es in OKI trip generation
e quat i on s

. Th e follo wing catego r ies of pla nni ng data are utili ze d :

• Pop u latio n (h o u se hold and g roup quarter) 

# 9 OJ([ Ozone Mobile Source Emi ssions Inventory Using EPA MOVES, Apri/2012• Households
• Household vehicles
• Employment (by employment category and zone of work)
• Labor force participation (by zone of residence)
• Area type The principal data requirements of the OKI travel demand forecasting model are popu lat ion and employment. From these variables, other characteristics including households, labor force, and personal vehicles may be derived. Chapter 5 of OK/ 2030 Regional Transportation Plan 2008 Update provides a complete demographic overview of the region.

OKI utilizes both base year (2005) and future year data (2010, 2020 and 2030) in the planning process. Planning data are maintained at the Traffic Analysis Zone (TAZ) level, and originate in the 2000 Census of Population and Housing. Base year 2005 and future year data for each variable are developed through various methods. More detailed explanation of base year and future year data generation for each of the above-mentioned categories of planning data follows. All of the variables represent the latest OKI planning assumptions. 

## Popu lation Base and Future Year Data: Popul ation data for base year 2005 and future years 2010, 2020 and 2030 originate with the 2000 Census of Population and Housing. Utilizing ArcView GIS, population data at the zonal leve l for 2000 was derived from the area proportion allocation of block l eve l population.

As a tri

- s t ate regional planning agency, OKI uses county level projections as prepared by the respective state data centers (Ohio Department of Deve lopm en t Office of Strategic Research, Kentucky State Data Center and Indiana Business Research Center) as control totals. The most current projections (years 2005 to 2030) were released by the Ohio and Indiana state data centers in 2003 and the Kentucky State Data Center in 2004. Population projections at the zonal leve l are calculated by multiplying household size by the projected zona l households. Household size is factored so that, in each county, the sum of the zonal populations equals the control total.


## Households Base Year Data: Household data for base year 2005 originates with the 2000 Census of Population and Housing. Utili zing the geo g raphic informat ion syst e m ArcMap, household data at the zonal level for 2000
was derived from the area proportion allocation of block l eve l households. Year 2000 household data
was updated to 2005 with residential building permits issued between January 2000 and December 2004. The residential b uildin g l oca ti ons were geo-coded in ArcMap, then aggregated to the TAZs. The housing unit totals for each TAZ were converted to households by applying a vacancy rate, an adju stment for permitted but unbuilt units, and subtracting demolitions (where data was avai l able). These households were then added to the year Census 2000 zonal household total to arrive at 2005 households for each TAZ.



## 10 OK/ Ozone Mobile Source Emissions Inventory Using EPA MOVES, Apri12012Future Year Data: The preparation of household projections was accomp li sh ed by calculating th e number of households for a project ed county population using ratios of hou se h o ld ers to total population by age specific cohorts derived from the 2000 Census for eac h analysis y ea r

. Di saggrega tion to TAZs was determined by historic al tre nd s, existing and future land use, topo g raphy, flood plain information, ava ilability of land , lo ca l knowl edge and other factors.


## Household Vehicles Ba se and Future Year Data: Base and future year household vehicle data were obtained from the 2000 Census of Population and Housin g. The 2000 Cen sus is the only source of hou se hold ve hicl e data
ava il a ble a t the block group l evel. Average vehicles per hou se hold were calcu l ated fo r bloc k g r o u ps then app li ed to the TAZs associated w ith ea ch blo ck group. The 2005, 2010, 2020 and 2030 vehicles per household l eve l was held at the 2000 l eve l ba sed on the fact that, since 2002, th e numb e r of v ehicl es per hou sehold has exceeded the numb e r of d r ive rs pe r household.


## Labor Force Base an d Future Yea r Data: Th e OKI labor force is a function of the population a s det e rmined by a labor force participation ratio (the numb er of e mployed persons in the labor force per p e r sons 16 and over). Hous e hold data for base ye ar 2005 originates with the 2000 Census of Population and Hou sin g. Utili z in g the geogra phic information system ArcMap, household data at the zonal leve l for 2000 was d e riv ed from th e area proportion a llo cat i on of b l ock group l eve l emp loyed l abor forc e. Th e l a bor force projections for 2005, 2010, 2020 a nd 2030 were based on the most rec e nt projections of national l a bor force par ticipatio n rat es by age a nd sex cohorts from the U.S. Departm e nt of L abo r, Burea u of L abor Statistics for each of those years. These**~ates** were th e n ap p li ed to t h e projected county age/ sex cohorts
a nd adju ste d to e limi nate th e un employed to arrive a t a county emp loyed l abor fo rce contro l total. Employe d l abo r force a t the zo nal l eve l i s calcu l ated by multi p l ying the l abor force participation rate by t he zon al populati o n . The l abor force par t i cip at ion rate i s adjusted so that, i n each co un t y, the s um o f th e zo nal l a bor force co unts equals th e co ntrol tota l. 

## Employment B

ase Year D ata : Qu a rterl y C e ns u s of Employment and Wag es {Q CEW or ES202) d a t a for 2005 was utilized as th e primary tool to calcul a t e emp loym e n t at th e zona l l eve l. Individu al bu si n ess r eco rd s containing physical location, numb e r of e mployees a nd SI C cod e were geocoded through ArcMap a nd aggregated to the TAZ leve l. This data set was suppl e m e nt e d by other sourc es of d a ta to c ompl ete th e
comm utin g employment picture in th e OKI r eg i o n. Each zone's e mploym e nt was divid ed acco rding to the S I C code into three cla sses {r e t a il , office, indu s tri al) based upon th e pote ntial f o r ge n e rat in g trips.

Future Year Data: For future year e mploym e nt proj ect i on, ca lcul a tion was fi rst m a d e of the
e mployme n t a t the re g i onal level. At th e r eg i ona l l eve l , e mployment is a ca lcul a tion of t h e r eg ion' s
e mploye d labor force m i nus workers who li ve in t h e regio n but c ommute out to wo r k, plus w orke rs who li ve outside th e r eg i o n but commute in to w or k. The r eg i o nal total was di sagg r egate d firs t to th e county l eve l based on h istoric trend s and expected changes in th e county's share of the r eg ion' s emp l oyment 

## 11 OK/ Ozone Mobile Source Emissions Inv en tory Using EPA MOVES, Apri/2012and then to the TAZ level. Disaggregation to TAZs was determined by historical trends, existing and future land use, topography, flood plain information, availability of land, local knowledge and other factors.


### Area Type Base and Future Year Data: For each analysis year, each TAZ is assigned an area type designation as CBD, Urban, Suburban or Rural based on population and employment densities.


### Model Calibration OKI's Travel Demand Model has been validated to observed traffic volumes for the model base year 2005. The modeling network encompasses the entire ozone Maintenance area with the exception of Clinton County, Ohio. The modeling network also includes Greene, Miami and Montgomery counties in Ohio and the remainder of Dearborn County Indiana. The difference between estimated vehicle miles traveled (VMT) and 2005 observed VMT is less than 1%. A highway screenline analysis compares the screenline observed and simulated traffic volume discrepancies with the ODOT standard of maximum desirable deviation. The comparison shows that the model performs at a satisfactory level and all the
errors were under the ODOT curve. Further information can be found in OKI's 2007 report, "OKI/MVRPC Travel Demand Model Methodology/ Validation Report". For the calibration, OKI used over 3000 traffic counts collected through 2006 by the Ohio Department of Transportation (ODOT), the Kentucky Transportation Cabinet, many county and local governments, transportation engineering consultants, and OKI. These traffic counts cover nearly 50% percent of the links in the OKI portion of the modeling network. Th e m e thodology provides consistency with past emission inventory and conformity analysis work performed by OKI.



### Loc a l Inputs a nd Po s t-Model Processing OKI incorporates a variety of sources of local data to both improve and confirm the accuracy of VMT, as well as other travel-related parameters. Free flow speeds used on the highway and transit networks are bas ed on travel time studies performed locally. The OKI post-processing program, IMPACT, uses the loaded highway network to generate VMT by hour, VMT by speed distribution and VMT by facility type. These tables are then included as input into MOVES. Two separate sets of VMT tables are generated:
one for the four Ohio counties plus Dearborn County Indiana, and a second for the three Kentucky counties. The VMT by hour tables utili z e hourly traffic distribution and directional split factors for different roadway types as developed 

### by OKI. The main source of the data was the p e rmanent traffic counting stations located throughout the OKI region for the years of 2004-2006. This data was supplemented with data collected at coverage count stations (locations with counts taken on only onetwo days). The stations were classified 

### by area type: urban and rural, and functional classification: freeway, arterial and collector. Speeds representing various "loaded" conditions (with traffic volumes)
are estimated using techniques from the 1997 Highway Capacity Manual. This permits the estimation of speeds as conditions vary from hour to hour on the different facility types throughout the region

. The IMPACT program performs the appropriate summation by area and roadway type as w e ll as regional totals

. OKI has also developed seasonal conversion factors to adjust traffic volumes to summer 

## 12 OKI Ozone Mobile Source Emissions Inventory Using EPA MOVES, April 2012conditions. The factors were derived from lo ca l data co ll ected at perman e nt traffic count in g s tations during 1994-1997 utilizing the average daily traffic monthly conve r sion factors for June, July and August

. Further information on OKI' s IMPACT program i s docum e nt ed in th e report, " Trav el Demand Model Summary R epo rting and Impact Summary R ep orting: OKI/MVRPC Travel Dema nd Model User's Guide" , OK/2003.



## 13 OJa Ozone Mobile Source Emissions Inven to ry Usin g EPA MOVES, April2012

### I

## II

## I

I 

## I

I

## I

I

## I

# Appendix B

Indiana Portion of the CincinnatiHamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Area Interagency Consultation Group Meeting Minutes/Summary

### This page left intentionally blank

### Interagency Consultation Group (ICG) Conference Call Minutes

For the MOBILE6.2 to MOVES MVEB Replacement Update Related to the Indiana Portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-Hour Ozone Standard

ICG Conference Call Date and Time



### • May31,2012at9amEastem

ICG Attendees



### • Shawn Seals (IDEM), Patricia Morris (EPA), Steve Smith (INDOT), Larry Heil (FHWA-Indiana), Greg Katter (INDOT), Jenifer Dines (OEPA), Erica Fetty (OEPA), Andy Reser (OKI), John Gowins (KYDAQ), and Leigh Oesterline (FHWA-Ohio)

ICG Discussion Topics and Conclusions 

### 1. For the Ozone MVEB Replacement submittal, mobile source margins of safety and minor rounding inconsistencies were discussed. A. After discussion, the consensus of the ICG was that the 15% mobile source margin of safety for VOC and NOx emissions does not result in an exceedance ofthe all sources margins of safety, and is reasonable and appropriate for inclusion in MVEB Replacement submittal. The Indiana and Ohio submittals will include an MVEB that include onroad emissions for only these two states. The subsequent Kentucky submittal will include a separate MVEB for only Kentucky onroad emissions. The attached spreadsheet demonstrates that a 15% mobile source margin of safety for VOC and NOx emissions fall well below the all sources margins of safety and, as such, will be reflected in the Ozone MVEB Replacement submittal. B. It was noted that there are minor rounding differences between the source document (Version 2.12) for onroad emissions provided by OKI. The Indiana and Ohio MVEB replacement submittals will include values including two decimal points. These values will be totaled based on the two decimal point values and reflect mathematically accurate values.

B-1

# Appendix C

Indiana Portion of the CincinnatiHamilton, Ohio- Kentucky- Indiana Maintenance AreaPublic Participation Documentation

• Legal Notice of Public Hearing

o IDEM Webmaster Certification of Legal Notice Publication

o Screenshot Verification of Legal Notice Posting on IDEM Website

• Summary of Comments and Responses Thereto

o No Comments Received

### This page left intentionally blank

### LEGAL NOTICE OF PUBLIC HEARING

Motor Vehicle Emission Budgets Replacement Update to the Indiana Portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-Hour Ozone Standard

Mter December 1, 2012, legal notices for public hearings shall no longer be published in newspapers, but will be found on the Indiana Department of Environmental Management web site at: http ://www.in
. gov/idem/5474
.htm
. Notice is hereby given under 40 CFR 51

. 102 that the Indiana Department of Environmental Management (IDEM) is accepting written comment and providing an opportunity for public hearing regarding the Motor Vehicle Emission Budget (MVEB) replacement update to the Indiana portion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-KentuckyIndiana maintenance area under the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. Onroad emissions for the original submittal were calculated using the MOBILE6.2 mobile model and are now being replaced with the United States Environmental Protection Agency's (U.S. EPA's) recently adopted Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES) mobile model. All interested persons are invited and will be given reasonable opportunity to express their views conceming the submittal ofthe proposed MVEB replacement update to the maintenance area oflndiana's portion ofthe Cincinnati

-Hamilton, Ohio-KentuckyIndiana.

The purpose ofthis notice is to solicit public comment on Indiana's proposed MVEB replacement update. The Indiana portion ofthe Cincinnati-Hamilton, OhioKentucky-Indiana area was designated as nonattainment for the 1997 8-hour ozone standard and subject to the requirements of Section 172 ofthe C l ean Air Act (CAA). One of the compliance requirements mandated by Section 175A(b) ofthe CAA, is the development of a plan demonstrating that ozone maintenance areas will continue to meet the 8-hour ozone standard for the next ten years, which includes MVEBs for onroad sources, beyond the current maintenance period. This submittal ofthe proposed MVEB replacement update to the maintenance area of Indiana's portion ofthe CincilmatiHamilton , Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana is being drafted and submitted consistent with U.S. EPA guidance. Upon completion ofthis public notice process, the MOBILE6.2-based to MOVES-based MVEB replacement updates will be submitted to U.S. EPA for approval into the State Implementation Plan.
Copies ofthe draft documents will be available on or before October 19 , 2012, to any person upon request and at the following locations:

• Indiana Department ofEnvironmental Management, Office of Air Quality,

Indiana Govemment Center-North , 100 North Senate Avenue , lOth 

### Floor-East Wing, Indianapolis, Indiana

• Lawrenceburg Public Library, 150 Mary Street, Lawrenceburg, Indiana



# c- 1

### The draft documents will also be available on the following web page: http://www.in

. gov/idem/4658

.htm

An electronic version of all MOVES mobile model input and output files will be available at the public hearing or upon request. Any person may submit written comments on the MVEB replacement update to the maintenance area oflndiana's portion ofthe Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky

Indiana on or before November 30, 2012. Written comments should be directed to 

## Mr. Shawn Seals, Mail Code 61-50, Office of Air Quality, Indiana Department of Environmental Management, 100 North Senate Avenue, Indianapolis, Indiana 46204; or fax (317) 233-5967; or email at SSea l s@idem.in.gov

. Interested parties may also present oral or written comments at the public hearing, if held.

A public hearing on the MVEB replacement update to the maintenance area of Indiana portion ofthe Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio-Kentucky-Indiana will be held 

### if a public hearing request is received by November 20, 2012. 

### A hearing has been scheduled for November 28, 2012. The meeting will convene at 6:00p.m. (local time) at the Lawrenceburg Public Library, Ewbank Meeting Room 1 and 2, 150 Mary Street, Lawrenceburg, Indiana 4 7025. If a request for a public hearing is not received by November 20, 2012, the hearing will be cancelled. Interested parties can check the online IDEM calendar at http://www.in

. gov/idem /ca lendar.html or contact Mr. Shawn Seals at the provided contact information after November 20, 2012 , to see ifthe hearing has been cancelled.


## ************************************************************************ Individuals requiring reasonable accommodations for participation in this hearing, 

# if held, should contact the IDEM Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA) coordinator at:

Attn: ADA Coordinator Indiana Department ofEnvironmental Management

- Mail Code 50-10 100 North Senate Avenue Indianapolis, 

### IN 46204-2251



### Or call (317) 233-1785 (voice) or (317) 232

- 6565 (I'DD). Pl ease provide a minimum of 72 hours notification.

C-2

### IDEM WEBMASTER CERTIFICATION OF LEGAL NOTICE PUBLICATION

December 11 , 

### 2012



### CERTIFICATE OF PUBLICATION

This is to certify that the Indiana Department of Environmental Management (IDEM) Notice ofthe opportunity for a Public Hearing regarding the following :

• Request to Parallel Process the Draft MOBILE6.2 to MOVES MVEB Replacement Update to the Indiana Pmiion of the Cincinnati-Hamilton, Ohio

Kentucky-Indiana Maintenance Area under the 1997 8-Hom · Ozone Standard

was published on IDEM ' s web site on October 23 , 2012

. It 

### remained posted on the site until at least November 30 , 2012.

The notice in 

## full was available online at the following web address , under " Dearborn" county. http: //www

.in.gov/idern/6394.htm

Web publication of the notice was at the request of Scott Deloney , Branch Chief , Programs Branch, Office of Air Quality , IDEM.

Attachments: Copy of web page as published. By:

Mike Finklestein IDEM Webmaster



# c- 3SCREENSHOTVERIFICATIONOFLEGALNOTICEPOSTINGONIDEMWEBSITEjWI[]SignIn(3)@..)SignIn(Z)5"191'1InSt!fWelcometocm:s£]RNPOOZ6733ZB23B·Web1...@}OradePeopleSoft...>>lnfoflTldtionForAgrleutwreBusinesses&ConsultantsResearchersEnvoronmentallnformatlonYourCommu_!'litYYourEnvironm.entAirToxlcsProgramBlue-GreenAlgaeCTAP:ComplianceandTechnicalL_AsslstanceProarom__________.b)••G'l•Paoe•Safety•Tools•\0•>>Subscriptions:wanttoknowaboutnewnoticesassoonastney'repostec!?Youcannowsubscribetotnlsregionalpublicnoticepage_Bysubscribingtoaregion.youwillbesentane-mailortextmessagetoyourphOneeverytimeIDElliaClefsInformationtothisregional-page.Thisallowsyoutostaycurrentonallpostingandnevermissanewposting.Tosubscribe,clickontne subscriptionlinkIntnelehandcolumn.SoutheastfndianaKcttttilrtZ.Cla.-tPaEAr.a1'/WTPC!arlcRtt":!WJI7010Oe...:012·YeOr:trallr;P"!t!T'irJFCFl11/0-0120121011212012·Ye>10/20/2012Oon,.e.llanNcti01:AcfdraHenNetleeProject'·fiii¥1H,ifi4i·UIMII§si#··UJ:EILeighVonNoticeDate&.TimeITomeZoneITime_____jJ•.(/•....•l_s_:_39:07AM_:ZJCUrrenttinezone:EasternDay5ghtTimeIOKICancelApplyIIifIDEM:Public:_LLC.co.ntoParaJI•IPl1:'ouslh•OrtftCcl!bornMOBILEe.2toMOVESMVEBReplactmo•tIJpd•t•toth.•lndlan5Portionettrr.-eOhic-Kentl.u:Ky-.ln-cfi•n•Ma.inter.anoe-AreatM1997.S-HowStlrtc!IId"MarinaC!'W"1;irtQC-4Ce•rb;:mKPCESOSft-4.·:<012•No:r•.,..lr!lkr'"10/0212012LjPtll-!£ti@ar..p10/23J2012•Y•sf:.rP1.1blicH!it:III'!QtPOFl401'l/tltvrCuslity10119;2.01.2•CtrtlfiqtiorPvblic1110912012Projtc:::Man.agv:.:oeG'NinnAdclrtncnFn>]*aMlr-aMet:AaronMc/.fa!:al'AddressenNotiot