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NIST

PUBLICATIONS REFERENCE

SSSWstSSSBl WMHIiWs

NISTIR 85-3273-20

(Rev. 4/05)

Energy Price Indices and Discount Factors for

Life-Cycle Cost Analysis - April 2005

Annual Supplement to Sieglinde K. Fuller

NIST Handbook 135 and Amy S. Rushing

NBS Special Publication 709

United States Department of Energy

Federal Energy Management Program

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ril 2005

NISTIR 85-3273-20

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U.S. Department of Commerce

Technology Administration

National Institute of Standards and Technology

Office of Applied Economics

Building and Fire Research Laboratory

Gaithersburg, MD ? 08QQ

ENERGY PRICE INDICES AND DISCOUNT FACTORS

FOR LIFE-CYCLE COST ANALYSIS

Annual Supplement to NIST Handbook 135 and NBS Special Publication 709

April 1, 2005 to March 31, 2006

Data for the Federal Methodology for Life-Cycle Cost Analysis, Title 10, CFR. Part 436, Subpart A;

and for the Lnergy Conservation Mandatory Performance Standards for New Federal Residential Buildings,

Title 10, CFR, Part 435

Sicglinde K. Fuller

Amy S. Rushing

Sponsored by:

National Institute of Standards and Technology

Building and Fire Research Laboratory

Office of Applied Economics

Gaithersburg, MD 20899

and

U.S. Department of Energy

Federal Energy Management Program

Washington, DC 20585

April 2005

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

Carlos M. Gutierrez, Secretary’

TECHNOLOGY ADMINISTRATION

Philip J. Bond, Under Secretary for Technology’

NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF STANDARDS AND TECHNOLOGY

Hratch G. Semerjian, Acting Director

iii
IV
ABSTRACT

This is the April 2005 edition of energy price indices and discount factors for performing life-cycle cost analyses of energy and water conservation and renewable energy projects in federal facilities. It will be effective from April 1, 2005 to March 31, 2006. This publication supports the federal life- cycle costing methodology described in 10 CFR 436A and OMB Circular A-94 by updating the

energy price projections and discount factors that are described, explained, and illustrated in NIST

Handbook 135 (HB 135, Life-Cycle Costing Manual for the Federal Energy Management Program.)

It supports private-sector life-cycle cost analysis by updating the energy price indices that are described, explained, and illustrated in NBS Special Publication 709 (SP 709).

v
PREFACE

This is the April 2005 Annual Supplement to NIST Handbook 135, Life-Cycle Costing Manual for

the Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP). The annual supplement provides energy price

indices and discount factors for use with the Federal Energy Management Program's procedures for

life-cycle cost analysis, as established by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in Subpart A of Part 436 of Title 10 of the Code of Federal Regulations (10 CFR 436A), and amplified in NIST

Handbook 135. These indices and factors are provided as an aid to implementing life-cycle cost evaluations of potential energy and water conservation and renewable energy investments in existing

and new federally owned and leased buildings.

The update of the Annual Supplement to Handbook 135 is released on April 1 of each year. Its price

indices and discount factors are calculated with the most recent energy price projections from DOE’s

Energy Information Administration (ElA) and the most recent discount rates from FEMP and the

Office of Management and Budget (OMB) Circular A-94. This issue of the Annual Supplement is intended for use from April 1, 2005 to March 31, 2006. The updated editions of the NIST Building

Life-Cycle Cost (BLCC) programs are released at the same time as this Annual Supplement, for use over the same time period. The software products are discussed below.

At the request of a number of users, a text file of the EIA energy price projections underlying this Annual Supplement has been made available by NIST. For information on obtaining this file (ENCOST05.txt) contact the authors via e-mail at sieglinde.fuller@nist.gov or amy.rushing@nist.gov.

The life-cycle costing methods and procedures, as set forth in 10 CFR 436A, arc to be followed by

all federal agencies, unless specifically exempted, for evaluating the cost effectiveness of potential

energy and water conservation and renewable energy investments in federally owned and leased

buildings. For most other federal LCC analyses OMB Circular A-94 provides the relevant guidelines.

As called for by legislation (Energy Policy and Conservation Act, P.L.94-163, 1975, 92 Stat 3206, 42

USC 8252 ct seq), the National Institute of Standards and Technology has provided technical

assistance to the U.S. Department of Energy in the development and implementation of life-cycle

costing methods and procedures. This is the second of a three-volume set, which together provide the

methods, data, and computational tools for federal life-cycle cost analysis.

Included in the three-volume set for federal life-cycle cost analysis arc the following:

(1) Life-Cycle Costing Manual for the Federal Energy' Management Program, National Institute of Standards and Technology, Handbook 135 (1995).

The manual is a guide to understanding life-cycle costing and related methods of economic analysis

as they are applied to federal decisions, especially those subject to 10 CFR 436A rules. It describes

the required procedures and assumptions, defines and explains how to apply and interpret economic

performance measures, gives examples of federal decision problems and their solutions, explains

how to use energy price indices and discount factors, and provides worksheets and other

computational aids and instructions for calculating the required measures. The 1995 edition of

Handbook 135 is a complete revision of the 1987 edition, with updated information on the FEMP

LCC requirements of 10 CFR 436A.

vi
(2) Energy Price Indices and Discount Factors for Life-Cycle Cost Analysis, Annual Supplement

to NIST Handbook 135 and NBS Special Publication 709, National Institute of Standards and

Technology, NISTIR 85-3273.

This report, which is updated annually, provides the current DOE and OMB discount rates, projected

energy price indices, and corresponding discount factors needed to estimate the present values of

future energy and non-energy-related project costs. Request the latest edition when ordering. (This is the report that you are holding in your hands.)

(3) NIST "Building Life-Cycle Cost" (BLCC) Computer Programs, BLCC5 and BLCC4, National

Institute of Standards and Technology. These programs use as default values the same

discount factors and energy price projections that underly the discount factor tables in the

Annual Supplement. Use versions BLCC 5.3-05 and BLCC 4.9-05 for the period from April

1, 2005 to March 31, 2006.

The BLCC5 program is a windowed version of the DOS-based BLCC4. It is programmed in Java and

uses an xml file format, making it platform-independent. The system requirements arc those of Java. They include Microsoft Windows 95, 98, NT4.0 with Service Pack 5, ME, 2000 Professional, or XP

operating system. A Mac OS X installer is available upon request.

The BLCC5 User’s Guide is part of its Help system. BLCC 5.3 has six modules, all of them

consistent with the life-cycle cost methodology of 10 CFR 436A, but programmed to include default

inputs and nomenclature for specific uses:

( 1 ) FEMP Analysis, Energy Project

for energy and water conservation and renewable energy projects under the FEMP rules,

agency-funded;

(2) Federal Analysis, Financed Project

for federal projects financed through Energy Savings Performance Contracts (ESPC) or

Utility Energy Services Contracts (UESC) as authorized by Executive Order 13123 (6/99);

(3) OMB Analysis, Federal Analysis, Projects subject to OMB Circular A-94

for projects subject to OMB Circular A-94 (most other, non-energy, federal government

construction projects, but not water resource projects);

(4) MILCON Analysis, Energy Project

for energy and water conservation and renewable energy projects in military construction,

agency-funded;

(5) MILCON Analysis, ECIP Project

for energy and water conservation projects under the Energy Conservation Investment

Program (ECIP).

(6) MILCON Analysis, Non-Energy Project

for military construction designs that are not primarily for energy or water conscn. at ion

The remaining user-specific modules now in BLCC4 (i.e., private-sector analyses including taxes and

mortgage financing) will be transferred to BLCC5 in the future.

vii
The BLCC4 program is designed to run on IBM PC and compatible microcomputers in a MS-DOS

environment. The current version is BLCC 4.9-05. BLCC4-associated programs are the following:

• QuickBLCC (version 2.9-05) can be used to set up multiple project alternatives for LCC

analysis in a single input file when only a limited number of inputs are needed.

• DISCOUNT (version 3.9-05) is a stand-alone program that computes present-value, futurevalue, and annual-value factors for any discount rate and study period, including UPV*

factors needed for federal LCC analyses of energy projects.

• ERATES (version 1.11) is a stand-alone program that generates block-rate, time-of-use-rate,

and demand-rate schedules for electricity prices. It computes monthly and annual electricity costs that can be imported directly into BLCC4 and entered manually into BLCC5.

• EMISS (version 1.00) is a stand-alone program that generates files of local air-pollution

emission coefficients for use with the BLCC4 program.

The set of LCC programs also includes

• EERC 1 .0-05, Energy Escalation Rate Calculator, a program that computes an average rate of

escalation for a specified time period, based on the DOE energy price escalation rates used

for calculating the FEMP discount factors. This average rate can be used as an escalation rate for contract payments in Energy Savings Performance Contracts (ESPC) and Utility Energy

Services Contracts (UESC).

The NIST BLCC programs provide comprehensive economic analysis capabilities for the evaluation

of proposed capital investments that are expected to reduce the long-term operating costs of buildings

and building systems. They compute the LCC for project alternatives, compare project alternatives in order to determine which has the lowest LCC, perform annual cash flow analysis, and compute net savings (NS), savings-to-investment ratio (SIR), and adjusted internal rate of return (AIRR) for

project alternatives over their designated study period. The BLCC programs can be used to perform

economic analysis of capital investment projects undertaken by federal, state, and local government

agencies, as well as by the private sector (BLCC4). In their application to federal energy

conservation and renewable energy projects, BLCC5 and BLCC4 arc consistent with NIST

Handbook 135, and the federal life-cycle cost methodology and procedures described in 10 CFR

436A and OMB Circular A-94. In their application to private-sector and non-federal public-sector

projects, they are consistent with ASTM standards for building economies.

The U.S. Department of Energy was directed by legislation and executive order to make available to the private sector the methods, procedures, and related aids developed for federal use. In response to

this directive, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, under sponsorship of the U.S.

Department of Energy, published a life-cycle costing book for use by the private sector entitled

Comprehensive Guide for Least-Cost Energy Decisions, NBS SP 709 (January 1987). The private sector guide is supported by the data provided here, as well as by the BLCC4 computer program. The

BLCC4 program supersedes the NBSLCC program that is documented in SP 709.

The latest versions of the programs and publications described above can be downloaded from the

DOE/FEMP web site at: http://www.cere.cncrgy.gov/femp/program/lifccyclc.cfm

To request diskettes of BLCC4, a CD of BLCC5 and hard copies of the above publications, please

call the FEMP Help Desk:

Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Clearing House

DOE-EREC (877) 337-3463

viii
or write or fax your request to: U.S. Department of Energy, Federal Energy Management Program,

EE-90, 1000 Independence Avenue, S.W.

Washington, DC 20585-0121

Fax: (202) 586-3000

BLCC4 may also be purchased from the following vendors:

FlowSoft Energy Information Services

5 Oak Forest Court St. Johnsbury, VT 05819-0381

Saint Charles, MO 63303-6622 P.O. Box 381

(636) 922-FLOW (3569) (802) 748-5148

http://www.flowsoft.com

In some years, depending on funding availability, NIST, under the sponsorship of DOE, conducts

three workshops:

The two-day Basic LCC Workshop explains the underlying theory of present-value analysis and

integrates it with the FEMP criteria. The two-day Project-Oriented LCC Workshop builds on the

Basic Workshop, focuses on the use of the BLCC computer programs and applies the LCC

methodology to more complex issues. Further information is available from the FEMP Help Desk or

the DOE/FEMP web site. The third workshop is a two-hour televised course that introduces the

elements of life-cycle cost analysis of energy and water conservation projects. For information on

registration and downlinking, contact Fleather Schoonmaker, telephone (865) 777-9869, e-mail

trainingsolutions@tds.net.

FEMP-Qualified Instructors are available to conduct LCC workshops on their own account across the

U.S. For a list of instructors call the Office of Applied Economics, NIST BFRL, (30 1 ) 975-6 1 34 or e- mail sieglinde.fuller@nist.gov.

Three video training films in a series entitled "Least-Cost Energy> Decisions for Buildings" have been

prepared by NIST. These films include "Introduction to Life-Cycle Costing," " Uncertainty> and Risk,"

and "Choosing Economic Evaluation Methods." The video films and companion workbooks can be

ordered from

Video Transfer, Inc. 5800 Arundel Avenue

Rockville, MD 20852

Telephone (301) 881-0270, Fax (301) 770-9131.

Further information on the Federal Energy Management Program can be obtained from the Federal

Energy Management Program Staff, Office of the Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency and

Renewable Energy, U.S. Department of Energy (www.eere.cnergy.gov/fcmp). Please direct

communication to

FEMP, EE 90

U.S. Department of Energy

1000 Independence Avenue, SW

Washington, DC 20585.

IX
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors wish to thank Mr. Theodore Collins of the Federal Energy Management Program of the

U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) for his continued support and direction of this work. Appreciation

is extended to Paul Kondis and Paul Holtberg, DOE Energy Information Administration, for

providing the energy price projections upon which this report is based. Thanks are also due to Stephen Petersen, who originated this publication, and to J’aime Maynard for her assistance in producing this document.

x
CONTENTS

Page

ABSTRACT iii

PREFACE iv

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS viii

LIST OF TABLES x

ABBREVIATIONS xiii

INTRODUCTION 1

PART I: TABLES FOR FEDERAL LIFE-CYCLE COST ANALYSIS 3

A. Single Present Value and Uniform Present Value Factors for Non-Fuel Costs 3

B. Modified Uniform Present Value Factors for Fuel Costs 1

1

B.l. FEMP Modified Uniform Present Value Factors 14

B.2. OMB Modified Uniform Present Value Factors 20

C. Projected Average Fuel Price Indices and Escalation Rates (Real) 26

PART II: ENERGY PRICE INDICES FOR PRIVATE SECTOR LCC ANALYSIS 43

xi
LIST OF TABLES

Page

A-l. SPV factors for finding the present value of future single costs (non-fuel) 6

A-2. UPV factors for finding the present value of future annually recurring uniform costs (non-fuel) 7

A-3a UPV* factors for finding the present value of annually recurring costs changing at

at a constant escalation rate, DOE discount rate (3.0%) 8

A-3b UPV* factors for finding the present value of annually recurring costs changing at at a constant escalation rate, OMB short-term discount rate (2.3%) 9

A-3c UPV* factors for finding the present value of annually recurring costs changing at at a constant escalation rate, OMB long-term discount rate (3.1%) 10

sj: t % Ba-1 . FEMP UPV discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and fuel type. Discount Rate = 3.0% (DOE). Census Region 1 (Connecticut, Maine,

Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode

Island, Vermont) 15

$ Ba-2. FEMP UPV discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and fuel type. Discount Rate = 3.0% (DOE). Census Region 2 (Illinois, Indiana,

Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota,

Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin) 16

Ba-3. FEMP UPV

* discount factors adjusted for fuel price ...escalation, by end-use sector and fuel type. Discount Rate = 3.0% (DOE). Census Region 3 (Alabama, Arkansas,

Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,

Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia,

West Virginia) 1

7

Ba-4. FEMP UPV* discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and fuel type. Discount Rate = 3.0% (DOE). Census Region 4 (Alaska, Arizona,

California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,

Washington, Wyoming) 1

8

Ba-5. FEMP UPV* discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and fuel type. Discount Rate = 3.0% (DOE). United States average 19

Bb-1 . OMB UPV discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and

fuel type. Discount Rate = 2.3% (years 1-10) and 3.1% (years 1 1-30), (OMB Circular

A-94). Census Region 1 (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New

Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont) 21

xii
LIST OF TABLES (continued)

Page

Bb-2. OMB UPV discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and

fuel type. Discount Rate = 2.3% (years 1-10) and 3.1% (years 1 1-30), (OMB Circular

A-94). Census Region 2 (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota,

Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin) 22

Bb-3. OMB UPV* discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and

fuel type. Discount Rate = 2.3% (years 1-10) and 3.1% (years 1 1-30), (OMB Circular

A-94). Census Region 3 (Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia,

Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina,

Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia) 23

Bb-4. OMB UPV* discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and

fuel type. Discount Rate = 2.3% (years 1-10) and 3.1% (years 1 1-30), (OMB Circular

A-94). Census Region 4 (Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho,

Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming) 24

Bb-5. OMB UPV* discount factors adjusted for fuel price escalation, by end-use sector and

fuel type. Discount Rate = 2.3% (years 1-10) and 3.1% (years 1 1-30), (OMB Circular

A-94). United States average 25

Ca- 1 . Projected fuel price indices (excluding general inflation) by end-use sector and fuel

type. Census Region 1 (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New

Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont) 28

Ca-2. Projected fuel price indices (excluding general inflation) by end-use sector and fuel

type. Census Region 2 (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota,

Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin) 30

Ca-3. Projected fuel price indices (excluding general inflation) by end-use sector and fuel

type. Census Region 3 (Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida.

Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma.

South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia) 32

Ca-4. Projected fuel price indices (excluding general inflation) by end-use sector and fuel

type. Census Region 4 (Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho,

Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming) 34

Ca-5. Projected fuel price indices (excluding general inflation) by end-use sector and fuel

type. United States average 36

Cb-1. Projected average fuel price escalation rates (excluding general price inflation), b\

end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 1 (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts.

New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont ) Ts

xiii
LIST OF TABLES (continued)

Page

Cb-2.

Cb-3.

Cb-4.

Cb-5.

S-l.

S-2.

S-3.

S-4.

S-5.

Projected average fuel price escalation rates (excluding general price inflation), by

end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 2 (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas,

Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota,

Wisconsin) 39

Projected average fuel price escalation rates (excluding general price inflation), by

end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 3 (Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware,

District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi,

North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West

Virginia) 40

Projected average fuel price escalation rates (excluding general price inflation), by

end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 4 (Alaska, Arizona, California,

Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,

Washington, Wyoming) 41

Projected average fuel price escalation rates (excluding general price inflation), by

end-use sector and fuel type. United States average 42

Projected fuel price indices with assumed general price inflation rates of 3, 4, 5, and

6 percent, by end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 1 (Connecticut, Maine,

Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode

Island, Vermont) 45

Projected fuel price indices with assumed general price inflation rates of 3, 4, 5, and

6 percent, by end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 2 (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa,

Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota,

Wisconsin) 48

Projected fuel price indices with assumed general price inflation rates of 3, 4, 5, and

6 percent, by end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 3 (Alabama, Arkansas,

Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,

Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia,

West Virginia) 51

Projected fuel price indices with assumed general price inflation rates of 3, 4, 5, and

6 percent, by end-use sector and fuel type. Census Region 4 (Alaska, Arizona,

California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah,

Washington, Wyoming) 54

Projected fuel price indices with assumed general price inflation rates of 3, 4, 5, and

6 percent, by end-use sector and fuel type. United States average 57

xiv
ABBREVIATIONS

A - Annual amount

Ao - Annual amount at base-date prices

AE02004 - Annual Energy Outlook 2004 (DOE-EIA publication)

ASTM - American Society for Testing and Materials

BLCC - NIST Building Life Cycle Cost computer program

COAL - Coal

d - discount rate DIST - Distillate Oil

DOE - U.S. Department of Energy

e

- price escalation rate (annual rate of price change)

EIA - Energy Information Administration (DOE)

ELEC - Electricity

ESPC - Energy Savings Performance Contract

FEMP - Federal Energy Management Program

FY - Fiscal Year

GASLN - Gasoline

LCC - Life-Cycle Cost

LPG - Liquefied petroleum gas

N - Number of discount periods (in years)

NEMS - National Energy Modeling System

NIST . - National Institute of Standards and Technology

NTGAS - Natural Gas

OMB - Office of Management and Budget

RESID - Residual Oil

SPV - Single Present Value (factor)

UESC - Utility Energy Services Contract

UPV - Uniform Present Value (factor)

UPV* - Modified Uniform Present Value (factor)

XV
XVI
INTRODUCTION

This report provides tables of present-value factors for use in the life-cycle cost analysis of capital

investment projects for federal facilities. It also provides energy price indices based on Department

of Energy (DOE) forecasts from 2005 to 2035. The factors and indices presented in this report are

useful for determining the present value of future project-related costs, especially those related to operational energy costs. Discount factors included in this report are based on two different federal sources: ( 1 ) the DOE discount rate for projects related to energy conservation, renewable energy

resources, and water conservation; and (2) Office of Management and Budget (OMB) discount rates from Circular A-94 for use with most other capital investment projects in federal facilities.

The DOE discount and inflation rates for 2005 are as follows:

Real rate (excluding general price inflation): 3.0%

Nominal rate (including general price inflation): 4.9%

Implied long-term average rate of inflation: 1 .8%

The DOE nominal discount rate is based on long-term Treasury bond rates averaged over the 12

months prior to the preparation of this report. The nominal, or market, rate is converted to a real rate

to correspond with the constant-dollar analysis approach used in most federal life-cycle cost (LCC)

analyses. The method for calculating the real discount rate from the nominal discount rate is described in 10 CFR 436 and uses the projected rate of general inflation published in the most recent Report of the President’s Economic Advisors, Analytical Perspectives. The procedure would result in a discount rate for 2005 lower than the 3.0% floor prescribed in 10 CFR 436. Thus the 3.0% floor is used as the real discount rate for FEMP analyses in 2005. The implied long-term average rate of

inflation was calculated as 1.8%. Federal agencies and contractors to federal agencies are required by

10 CFR 436 to use the DOE discount rates when conducting LCC analyses related to energy

conservation, renewable energy resources, and water conservation projects for federal facilities.

The nominal and real discount rates applicable to general (non-energy or water) capital investments

are published annually in OMB Circular A-94, Appendix C. OMB has specified two basic types of

discount rates: (1) a discount rate for public investment and regulatory analyses; and (2) a discount

rate for cost-effectiveness, lease-purchase, and related analyses. Only discount rates for the second

type of analyses are included in this Annual Supplement, since the primary purpose of this report is to support cost-effectiveness studies related to the design and operation of federal facilities. OMB discount rates for cost-effectiveness and lease-purchase studies are based on interest rates on

Treasury Notes and Bonds with maturities ranging from 3 to 30 years. Currently (as of January 2005)

five maturities have been specifically identified by OMB, and are shown here with the corresponding

real interest rate to be used as the discount rate for studies subject to OMB Circular A-94:

Maturity: 3-year 5 -year 7-year 1 0-year 30-year

Rate: 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1%

OMB suggests that the actual discount rate for an economic analysis be interpolated from these

maturities and rates, based on the study period used in the analysis. Due to limitations on the si/e ol this Annual Supplement, discount factors for only two of these maturities arc presented: factors lor short term analyses (up to 10 years) based on the 7-year real rate (2.3%), and factors for long-term

1
analyses (longer than 10 years) based on the 30-year real rate (3.1%). As a result, these discount

factors are for approximation purposes only. It is suggested that the NIST Building Life Cycle Cost

(BLCC) or DISCOUNT programs be used to compute the present value factors for the discount rate corresponding to the length of the study period when approximate values are not satisfactory for the

project analysis. (See preface for details on obtaining these programs.)

The energy price indices and corresponding present value factors published in this report are computed from energy price forecasts provided to NIST by the Department of Energy's Energy

Information Administration (ElA). The EIA energy price forecast used in this report was the most

recent available at the time that this report was prepared. A description of the methodology used by

EIA to project energy prices through 2035 is included in section B of this report. DOE has not projected escalation rates for water prices to be used in the LCC analysis of water conservation

projects. Water escalation rates should be obtained from the local water utility when possible.

Federal agencies and contractors to federal agencies are encouraged to seek energy price projections

from their local utility to use in place of the DOE/EIA regional projections, especially when

evaluating alternative fuel types. In such cases the NIST BLCC or DISCOUNT programs can be

used to calculate appropriate "modified uniform present value" (UPV*) factors for use in the LCC

analysis of federal energy conservation or renewable resource projects. Otherwise, 10 CFR 436

requires the use of the DOE energy price forecasts when conducting LCC analyses of such projects.

The UPV* factors for energy costs presented in this report have been precalculated with the DOE

forecast data. Thus the use of these UPV* factors automatically ensures that the DOE forecast data

have been included in the analysis.

All of the tables of discount factors contained in this report are based on real discount rates and are therefore intended for use only with economic analyses conducted in constant dollars (in which the

purchasing power of the dollar is held constant). The energy price escalation rates and corresponding

energy price indices contained in this report arc also expressed in real terms. If nominal discount

rates and current dollar costs (which both include inflation) are used in the LCC analyses of federal

projects, choose the currcnt-dollar-analysis option in the BLCC5 computer program, which uses a nominal discount rate and adds the rate of general inflation to all dollar amounts.

This report uses the term "present value" instead of "present worth" for the discount factors

presented. The meaning of these two terms is considered to be identical for purposes of economic

analysis. This change in terminology was made to be consistent with the terms used in the American

Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM) compilation of standards on building economics (ASTM

Standards on Building Economics, Fifth Edition, ASTM, Philadelphia, PA, 2004.)

In all of the tables, the “end-of-year” discounting convention is used, that is, all factors and indices

are computed to adjust future dollar amounts to present value from the end of the year in which they

are expected to occur. The factors and indices in this publication, which include energy price

escalation rates (c.g., UPV* factors and energy price indices), were calculated using April 1, 2005

(the date of this publication) as their base date. However, these factors and indices can be used

without adjustment for the LCC analysis of projects with other base dates until the release of the next

revision of this publication (April 2006). Adjustment of these factors and indices for differences in the month-specific base dale is not generally warranted due to uncertainties in estimating future

energy prices.

2
PART I:

TABLES FOR FEDERAL LIFE-CYCLE COST ANALYSIS

A. Single Present Value and Uniform Present Value Factors for Non-Fuel Costs

Table A-I presents the single present value (SPV) factors for finding the present value of future

non-fuel, non-annually recurring costs, such as repair and replacement costs and salvage values.

The formula for finding the present value (P) of a future cost occurring in year t (Ct) is the

following:

P= C,? x = C, x SPV

(i+dy

where d = discount rate, and

t = number of time periods (years) between the present time and the time the cost is incurred.

Table A-2 presents uniform present value (UPV) factors for finding the present value of future

non-fuel costs recurring annually, such as routine maintenance costs. The formula for finding the

present value (P) of an annually recurring uniform cost (A) is the following:

(l+df-l

dQ. + d'f

A x UP VN

where d = discount rate, and

N = number of time periods (years) over which A recurs.

Tables A-3 (a,b,c) present modified uniform present value (UPV*) factors for finding the present

value of annually recurring non-fuel costs, such as water costs, which are expected to change

from year to year at a constant rate of change (or escalation rate) over the study period. The

escalation rate can be positive or negative. The formula for finding the present value (P) of an

annually recurring cost at base-date prices (AO) changing at escalation rate e is the following:

P = A0 x

' 1 + e

'''

K d - e

)

+

V N

^ 1 + d j = Ax UPVx (d =£ e)

orP-A^y n = A*UPV* (d=e)

where A0 = annually recurring cost at base-date prices.

d = discount rate, e = escalation rate, and

N = number of time periods (years) over which A recurs.

3
Note: if the discount rate is expressed in real terms, i.e., net of general inflation, then the

escalation rate must also be expressed in real terms. If the discount rate is expressed in nominal

terms, i.e., including general inflation, then the escalation rate must also be expressed in nominal terms.

In tables A-l, A-2, and A-3 (a,b,c) SPV, UPV, and UPV* factors are provided for both the DOE

and the OMB Circular A-94 real discount rates current as of the date of this publication. The

FEMP SPV, UPV, and UPV* factors were computed using the DOE discount rate. The FEMP

factors are for finding the present value of future costs associated with federal energy and water

conservation projects and renewable energy projects. The OMB SPV, UPV, and UPV* factors were computed using the OMB discount rates. The OMB factors are for finding the present value

of future costs associated with most other federal projects (except those specifically exempted

from OMB Circular A-94). The DOE and OMB discount rates used in computing these tables are

real rates, exclusive of general price inflation. Thus the resulting discount factors are intended for use with future costs that are stated in constant dollars.

Note: We have added to table A-3a a column of UPV*factors that incorporate an escalation rate of -1.8%, the negative of the inflation rate used to calculate the DOE nominal discount rate for

2005. The UPV*factors in this column can be used to calculate present values offixed dollar

amounts when performing a constant-dollar analysis. An example might be a fixed contract

payment in an ESPC project. For these fixed amounts, the assumption that in a constant-dollar

analysis all cash flows change at the rate ofgeneral inflation (so that the differential escalation

rate is zero) does not apply. In real terms, fixed amounts change at a differential rate equal to the negative ofthe inflation rate.

Examples of How to Use the Factors:

SPV (FEMP): To compute the present value of a replacement cost expected to occur in the 8th

year for an energy efficient heating system, go to Table A-l, find the 3.0% SPV factor for year 8

(0.789), and multiply the factor by the replacement cost as of the base date.

SPV (OMB, Short-term): To compute the present value of a repair cost in the 5th year for a floor

covering (non-energy related), go to Table A-l, find the 2.3% SPV factor for year 5 (0.893), and

multiply the factor by the repair cost as of the base date.

SPV (OMB, Long-term): To compute the present value of a repair cost in the 15th year for a floor covering (non-energy related), go to Table A-l, find the 3.1% SPV factor for year 15

(0.633), and multiply the factor by the repair cost as of the base date.

UPV (FEMP): To compute the present value of an annually recurring maintenance cost for a renewable energy system over 20 years, go to Table A-2, find the 3.0% UPV factor for 20 years

(14.88), and multiply the factor by the annual maintenance cost as of the base date.

UPV (OMB, Short-term): To compute the present value of annually recurring costs of office

cleaning over 10 years (for a project not primarily related to energy conservation), go to Table

A-2, find the 2.3% UPV factor for 10 years (8.84), and multiply the factor by the annual cleaning

cost as of the base date.

4
UPV (OMB, Long-term): To compute the present value of annually recurring costs of office

cleaning over 25 years (for a project not primarily related to energy conservation), got to Table

A-2, find the 3.1% UPV factor for 25 years (17.22), and multiply the factor by the annual

cleaning cost as of the base date.

UPV* (all): To compute the present value of annually recurring costs of water usage which are expected to increase at 2% faster than the rate of general inflation over 25 years, find the UPV*

factor from table A-3 (a ,b, or c as appropriate) that corresponds to 2% escalation and a 25 year

study period. From table A-3a (3.0% DOE discount rate) the corresponding UPV* factor is 22.08. Multiply this factor by the annual water cost as computed at base year prices to determine

the present value of these water costs over the entire 25 years.

UPV* (negative inflation rate): To compute the present value of an annually recurring contract

payment that is fixed over a contract period of 10 years, find the UPV* factor from table A-3a

that corresponds to an escalation of -1.8% and a 10-year time period. From table A-3a (3.0%

DOE discount rate) the corresponding UPV* factor is 7.76. Multiply this factor by the annual

contract payment as of the base year to determine the present value of these contract payments

over the entire 10-year period.

Note: UPV factors are generally applied to costs that recur annually in substantially the same

amount. Examples ofsuch costs are routine operating and maintenance costs. UPV* factors are

generally applied to costs that recur annually but change from year to year at a constant

escalation rate. Examples of such costs are water usage costs when they increase from year to year. These costs usually occur every year over the service period of the building life. If there is a planning/design/construction period before the service life begins, during which these annual

costs are not incurred, the appropriate UPV (or UPV*) factor for the service period is the

difference between the UPV (or UPV*) factor for the entire study period and the UPV (or UPV*)

factor for the planning/design/construction period. For example, if the planning/

design/construction period is 3 years and the service period is 25 years, for a total study period

of28 years, the corresponding UPV factor (from Table A-2, DOE 3.0% discount rate) is 18.76 - 2.83 = 15.93.

For further explanation and illustration of how to use these factors, see NIST Handbook 1 35.

5
Table A-l. SPY factors for finding the present value of future single costs (non-fuel)

Single Present Value (SPV) Factors

Number of DOE OMB Discount Rates /a

years from Discount rate Short term/b Long Term/c

base date 3 . 0% 2 . 3% 3 . 1%

0.25 0 . 993 0 . 994 0 . 992

0 . 50 0 . 985 0 . 989 0 . 985

0 .75 0 . 978 0 . 983 0 . 977

1 0 . 971 0 . 978 0 . 970

2 0 . 943 0 . 956 0 . 941

3 0 . 915 0 . 934 0 . 912

4 0 . 888 0 . 913 0 . 885

5 0.863 0 .893 0 .858

6 0 . 837 0 . 872 0 .833

7 0 . 813 0 .853 0 . 808

8 0 .789 0 . 834 0 .783

9 0.766 0 . 815 0 .760

10 0.744 0.797 0.737

11 0 . 722 0.715

12 0.701 0 . 693

13 0 . 681 0 . 672

14 0 . 661 0 . 652

15 0 . 642 0 . 633

16 0 . 623 0 . 614

17 0 . 605 0 .595

18 0 . 587 0.577

19 0 . 570 0 .560

20 0.554 0 . 543

21 0.538 0 . 527

22 0.522 0 . 511

23 0 . 507 0 .496

24 0.492 0 .481

25 0 . 478 0 .466

26 0 .464 0 .452

27 0 .450 0 .439

28 0 .437 0 . 425

29 0 . 424 0 .413

30 0 .412 0 .400

a OMB discount rales as of February 2005.

'’Short-term discount rale based on OMB discount rate for 7-year study period.

c Long-term discount rate based on OMB discount rate for 30-year study period.

6
Table A-2. LJPV factors for finding the present value of annually recurring uniform costs

(non-fuel)

Uniform Present Value (UPV) Factors

Number of DOE OMB Discount Rates /a

years from Discount rate Short term/b Long Term/c

base date 3 . 0% 2 . 3% 3.1%

1 0.97 0 . 98 0 . 97

2 1 . 91 1 . 93 1 . 91

3 2 . 83 2 . 87 2 . 82

4 3 . 72 3 .78 3 .71

5 4 . 58 4 . 67 4 . 57

6 5 . 42 5 . 55 5 . 40

7 6.23 6 .40 6.21

8 7 . 02 7.23 6.99

9 7 .79 8 . 05 7 .75

10 8.53 8 . 84 8.49

11 9.25 9.20

12 9.95 9.89

13 10 . 63 10 . 57

14 11 . 30 11.22

15 11 . 94 11 . 85

16 12 . 56 12 .47

17 13 . 17 13.06

18 13.75 13.64

19 14 . 32 14.20

20 14 . 88 14 .74

21 15 . 42 15.27

22 15 . 94 15.78

23 16 . 44 16.27

24 16 . 94 16.75

25 17 .41 17.22

26 17 . 88 17 . 67

27 18 . 33 18.11

2 8 18.76 18 . 54

29 19.19 18.95

30 19.60 19.35

aOMB discount rates as of February 2005.

b Short-term discount rate based on OMB discount rate for 7-year study period.

c Long-term discount rate based on OMB discount rate for 30-year study period.

7
Table

A-3a.

UPV*

factors

for

finding

the

present

value

of

annually

recurring

costs

changing

ata

constant

escalation

rate,

DOE

discount

rate.

o\° O

m

II 0

P

0

p

P

CP

O

u

to -H

-aw

o

Q

0)pp

ic

o

c

COp

o

-pu

tfl IP

*>

OjD

0

P

1 1 to >

-pc

CD

to

0)p

P-1 g

po

ip

- H

cD

T5

0) H

p

H

X)o£

1 l CM CD CM o o CM r- oo CM oo r- oo X

1 CM CD CM o CM CD OO CM LO x—

1

(?) rH CD LO o 00

1 o\o LO

1 O o x—

1

CM oo LO r- O) X—

1

oo CD CTi CM LO (?) oo r- X—1 CD x—

1

CD CM r- O r- CM (?)

1 l X

1 CM 00 LO CD r- CO (?) x—1 CM 00 CD r- CO o X1 00 CD O' G'i o CM LO (?) o

1

1

i x—

1

t—1 \—

i

X

1 X—1 X—

1

X—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM oo 00 00 00 oo 00

1

1 i t 1 00 CD o LO x—

1

00 CD LO LO CD 00 CM CD CM (?) r** CD CD r- (?) 00 00 rH o o X—

1

00 r1 4% l o o O X—

1

X—

1

CM CM 00 LO CD CP\ O CM 00 LO r- (?) X

1 00 CD 00 x—

1

o 00 CD (?)

1 I rH CM 00 LO CD r- CO (?) O x—

1

CM 00 LO CD r- CO (?) O CM oo LO r- 00 c? X 1 CM 00

1

1

1 x—1 x—1 ti X 1 X—1 T 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM oo 00 00 oo

1

1 l o o O o o O o O o o o o o o o o o o O O O O O O O O o O O o

1 3

% l o o O o o O o o o o o o o o o o o o O O O O O O O O o O O o

1 l X—1 CM oo LO CD r- 00 (?) o t—1 CM 00 LO CD r- CO (?) O X 1 CM 00 *vT LO CD O' 00 (?) o

1

1

1 t—1 \

1 x—1 X 1 X 1 ;—

1

rH t—

i

X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM oo

1

1 l r- o CD O oo CD r- 00 00 r- LO CM (?) (?) 00 CD 00 O O O CTi 00 LO CM 00 CO

1 o\o l (?) (?) (? (? CO 00 r- CD LO oo CM X 1 O CO r- LO CM O (?) l> LO CM O 00 CD 00 X 1 CO 0 1 CM 1 CP 1 l o \—

i

CM oo LO CD 0- 00 (?) o x—1 CM 00 00 LO CD r- CO CO G^ O x—

1

CM CM 00 -vT LO LO c

td

1

1

1 \

1 t-H X 1 x—1 x—1 rH x—1 X—1 x—1 x—1 x—1 x—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM p

u

1

1 1 00 00 \—

i

CM x—

1

00 00 p-* (?) o G'* CD CM r- o CM CM x—

1

00 LO (?) 00 CD r- r- CD o CD

1 o\P 1 (?) (? 00 CO [" CD 00 t—

i

(?) CO LO 00 X

1 00 CD 00 O r- 00 o CD 00 (?) LO x—

1

00 (?) 0 1

\—

1

1 u 1 l o t—

i

CM 00 LO CD r- 00 00 G^ O X

1 CM CM 00 LO LO CD r-' r- 00 00 (?) o o rH X 1 CM

-HP

1

1

l x—

1

rH x—1 x—

1

x—1 x—1 X—1 x—1 x—1 rH rH rH X 1 X—1 CM CM CM CM CM

cx 1

1 I r-~ t

i 00 CM CO CM 00 CM (?) 00 LO LO 00 O CD r- LO CM 00 CM T—

1

00 oo CD (?) o

MH 1 o\° I (? O) CO LO CM o O' LO CM G> CD 00 CD LO X 1 r- 00 00 (?) CTi 00 00 r- rH CD o 1

1 O II o rH CM oo LO CD 00 CT\ cr> O rH X 1 CM 00 00 LO LO CD CD 0

" 00 00 (?) (?) 0

p

1

1

I X 1 x—1 X 1 x—1 X 1 x—1 X—1 rH rH x—

1

X 1 x—1 T 1 X—1 x—1 x—1 x—1 X 1

rd

}H

1

1 i CD (?) r- 00 LD G) CM CM o CD CD (?) CM 00 CM (?) 00 o o 00 CD x—

1

CD (?) o x—

1

1 o\° I (?) 00 0" CD CM G) r- o r- 00 o> LO o CD x—

1

CD o LO (?) 00 x—

1

LO (?) CM LO (?) CM

i—

1

1 x—1 l fd 1 1 l o x—1 CM 00 "sT LO LO CD r- 00 00 CT\ <y\ o X—1 rH CM CM 00 oo 00 LO LO LO CD CD CD r- pc

1

1

1 X 1 X—1 x—1 X 1 X 1 rH X 1 X—1 X—

1

X—

1

rH x—1 X—1 x—1 x—1 rH rH cc

1

1 1 lo CD oo CD G) t—1 CTi 'st1 CD CD CM CD CD CM ["- (?) o CO LO o 00 LO LO CM 00 00 r1 00 1 (?) 00 r- LO 00 O 00 \—

i

r- 00 CT» (?) oo r- CM LO (?) 00 CD (?) CM LO 00 o 00 LO

1 X—1 l o x—1 CM 00 LO LO CD O' r- 00 00 (T\ cy\ o O x—1 X 1 CM CM CM 00 00 00 LO LO LO

1

1

1 1 i“H X 1 x—

1

rH rH rH X—

1

X—1 X 1 rH X—1 x—1 X 1 rH x—1 X 1

1

1 i in CD CM CM CD 0" 00 CO CD X 1 00 X—1 CD (?) O (?) CD rH CD CD LO 00 (?) 00 o

1

- 2% 1 00 r-> in 00 O r- vT o CD CM 00 oo 00 00 X—1 CD (?) 00 r- o OO CD (?) CM r- G't CM

1 I o \1 CM oo LO LO CD O' O' 00 00 a\ CT\ o o rH x—1 x—1 CM CM 00 00 00 00 LO

1 l rH X—1 x—

1

rH X—1 x—

1

X—

1

x—

1

rH x—1 rH x—

1

X—

1

X 1 x—

1

x—1

1 o 00 LO o CD CD 00 o

1 I 00 CD LO (?) (?) LO CD LO o t—1 o CD Gn o 00 00 o 00 LO CO rH 00 LO r- (?) T—

1

00 LO

1 o\o I (?) 00 CD t—i 00 LO x—1 r- oo 00 oo r- X 1 CD (?) 00 CD o

1 CO I rH rH X 1 CM CM CM CM CM 00 00 oo

1 1 i o l—1 CM 00 LO CD CD O' r- 00 CO <y\ (?) (?) o O X—1 x—1 x—1 x—1 i—1 x—1 X 1 X 1 rH rH X—1 rH

1 I x—1 rH rH

1 x—

1

CD (?) o O 00 LO x—1 CD o 00 LO

1 I 00 o T—1 r- r* CM 00 O oo G> CM CM cr\ r- O' LO rH 00 LO 00 o rH 00 LO CD 00 (?) o

1 o\<> I c? 00 CD oo o r- 00 G) (?) oo 00 CM LO C? CM LO CO

1 I o O O o rH X—1 x—1 rH x—1 x—1 X—1 CM

1

1

i l

1 o X—1 CM 00 LO LO CD CD r-" r^~ 00 00 00 (?) CTi (?) x—1 rH x—1 rH rH t—1 x—1 rH X 1 X 1 x—1 X—1

P O CD O P Pi P n3 P TJ

0) to P P 0) E rC to P 0 tO S >i X!

(Njoo-vTLDtrji^-ascriOtPCNjrO'Xi-n^Dr^ooc^OrH

rH t—I x—I rH x—I x—I x—I t—I x—I x—I 0\] C\]

c\] n ^ h

CM CM CM CM CM CM CO m O

cm c\] m

8
Table

A-3b.

UPV*

factors

for

finding

the

present

value

of

annually

recurring

amounts

changing

ata

constant

escalation

rate,

OlVf B

short-term

discount

rate. I nCD^hHOOCOHCOh

o\° I OOt—ICN^TLO r^OCNLO

LO II T-HCMro^rm^or^c^OrH I CMLOOr^LOCDCOCMOOCD

o\° I o o <—i »-h cm oo cd cn

'vT II »—I (NJ ro ^ if) [ COCT'iO

OJo\° CO

CM

II

CD

4-> 03M

-Pc30u

CO *H

tjep0

-p1 +jpo

.G

co m2o

0)pPIcoc

copo

-pu0

IP*>

&<D

CDP1 1 0>

-pG

0)CO0P

CL, epop

-HcD

T30

-H

-H

T3O2 \—i 1 l i—i

CM O' o LO c? LO »—1

CO 1 o\° l o o o o \—1

T—1 T 1 CM CO 00 1 CO I 1 l \—1

CM co LO CD O' 00 c? o 11 l \—1 11 I o c? co O' CD CM o O' 1 o\o I o (? (? (? (? (? (? (? co 00 0 1 CM l Cn 1 l \—1 t—i

CM CO LO CD O' 00 (?) c 1 i 03 1 G 1 a 1 i cr> CD CM O' \—i

vT LO CD LO co 1 o\° i (? (?) C? CO CO O' CD LO vr co 0 1 \—1 1 a 1 i o 1—1

CM co LO CD O' 00 (?

*H 1 l p 1 D-i 11 i CO co O' 00 O' LO

O co LO xT

M-4 1 o\° l (? (? CO O' CD LO •vT CM o 00 o 1 O 1 1 1 o \—1

CM co LO CD O' 00 00 0 1 l p> 1 03 1 p 1 i O' o c—1

(? *vT CD LO CM O' (?) 1 o\° I (? (? 00 CD LO CO t—1

(? CD CO '—1 1 r—\ i 03 1 1 i o \—1

CM CO LO CD CO O' 00

p 1 i c 1 c 1 < 1 i CD CO LO o o CO CM co \—1

CD 1 o\° 1 00 o CD rH (? CD co (? 1 CM 1 11 i l1 o \—1

CM CO LO LO CD O' O' 11 i lO un O l—1

O' o CT> CD LO 1 o\° l (?) 00 o LO CM o CD co (? LO 1 CO l 11 1 ii o \—i

CM CO LO LO CD CD O' 11 i *vT CM LO CM LO co O' O' O' 1 o\° l (? CO CD vT \—1

00

O CD \—1 1 i 1 i l o \—1

CM CO LO CD CD O' l ro<Tia^'vr('or--LDCMrr)'p

o\° l crir-'LnmoLDcsioorooo

ld I I l OHOjrO'sr^iniocDCD E 1 p o 0 1 o p -p 1 p 0 1 p TS 1 hcmo^tlocdocooo 0 w 1 t—1 G p 0 1 £ (0 CO 1 p 0 0 1 2 >1 X! 1

T3O

"p

<uo.

>. T3

c3

OJ>. o

CQ oCsl ^ = ° p "a

-O oj

QJ c/3 U. cS

<4- •£> o oj

C/3 P 5 <D co I 2 3 9
Table

A-3c.

UPV*

factors

for

finding

the

present

value

of

annually

recurring

amounts

changing

ata

constant

escalation

rate,

OMB

long-term

discount

rate.

OMB

long-term

discount

rate

=

3.1%

a

Modified

Uniform

Present

Value

(UPV*)

Factors

(non-fuel)

o\° LO

o\o

o\° co

CD

Cr> G

fO rCO

(Uo

•Ha

o\° CM

4-1O

CD -P

n3u

o\° O

o\°

o\° co

I

o\°

I

o\° LO

I

CM LO 1 1 00 o cy r- p- cy i—i o i—i LO CM 1—1 CM LO co CM LO o p' 00 CM cy 00 i—i O o 1 1 i—1 CM LO LO CO o CM LO 00 1—1 O' i—i LO co CO CO 00 ^r cy LO CM co LO CO

i—1 CM CO vT LO LO p' 00 cy i—i CM co LO O' 00 o 1—1 CM LO C' 00 o i—i co LO LO CO o

\—i 1—1 i—i i—

i

i—

1

i—

i

r-H CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO CO CO co CO

i—

1

CO LO <y 00 cy LO CM o cy cr> o CM LO cy •vT O r- LO LO P' o LO o LO CO CM o o o o i—

1

\—

i

CM co vT LO O' 00 <y o CM 'vT LO O' cy i—

i

CO LO 00 o co LO 00 1—

1

1—

1

CM 00 LO LO r- 00 o \—

i

CM 00 LO O' 00 cy o i—

i

CO LO LO 00 cy O i—

i

co

\—

i

1 1 «—

1

i—

1

i—

i

i—

i

l—

1

i—

1

i—

i

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO co o O cy cy cy 00 O' LO LO CM i—

1

o CO O' LO CM O 00 LO CO 1—

1

cy LO 1—

1

00 LO o O <y cy cy cy cy <y cy cy cy cy cy cy CO 00 00 00 00 CO o r" P" p' LO LO LO LO LO LO

1—

1

CM CM co LO LO r- 00 cy o i—

i

CM co LO LO o 00 cy o i—

i

CM co LO LO P" 00 CTt

\—

i

i—

i

i—l i—

i

i—

i

1—

1

i—

1

i—i T—

1

i—

i

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

cy cy 00 \—

i

co co co CM o O' co 00 CM LO 00 o o O cy P" LO i—

1

p- CM LO cy 1 1 cy cy <y CO 00 p' p' LO LO CO CM o cy LO *vT CM 1—

1

cy O CM o 00 LO co O p' LO O i—

i

CM CO •vT LO LO p' 00 cy O i—

1

CM CM co LO LO o- CO cy O 1—

1

1—

1

CM CO LO

i—l i—

1

i—

1

i—

i

i—

i

1—

1

i—

1

i—

1

1—1 i—

i

i—

1

i—

i

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

00 00 o o cy LO o co LO CM cy O' cy O cy LO co 00 i—

i

LO CO O LO CM LO

(T\ cy 00 00 r- LO co \—

i

cy O' LO CM o O-' CM 00 LO CM 00 LO i—

i

p' co cy LO O LO 1—

1

O i—

1

CM co LO LO p' 00 00 cy O i—

i

CM CM co LO LO LO r- 00 00 cy cy O i—

1

1—

1

CM

i—l i—

i

i—l i—

1

i—

i

i—

i

i—

i

1—

1

i—

1

i—l i—

i

t-H 1—

1

i—

i

i—

i

CM CM CM CM

r- i~H CM 1

1 o 1—

1

cy LO O' o cy O' CM LO O' LO o o 00 LO CM p" rH LO LO cy cy 00 p- LO CM cy p' CM 00 LO CM 00 O LO CM o CM r" CM p' CM LO i—

1

LO cy CO O \—

i

CM co LO LO LO p" co cy cy o i—l 1—

1

CM CO co LO LO LO LO P' P^ 00 00 00 cy

t-H i—

1

l—

1

r-H t-H 1—

1

1—

1

t-H i—

1

T 1 i—

1

1—1 i—

1

i—

1

i—

1

1—1 1—

1

1—1

LO 00 p" CM CO CM r- cy cy LO cy i—

i

o O- 1—

1

CO CO CM 00 CM LO LO LO CO cy P' cy o o

cy 00 p- LO vT CM y LO co o LO co cy o LO O LO cy 00 CM LO o co p" o co p' o

o 1—

1

CM CO 'vT LO LO LO p' 00 00 cy cy o 1—

1

1—

1

CM CM CM co CO LO LO LO LO LO LO p"

1—

1

t-H 1—

1

i—

1

i—

1

1—1 i—

i

1—

1

i—l i—

i

1—1 i—

i

t-H t-H 1—

1

1—

1

1—

1

LO in r—

1

CO i—

1

r-H LO CM LO 00 O' 'vT 00 o i—

1

cy LO cy CM CO CO i—

i

00 CO p' o CM Cy 00 p' LO CO o p- o LO CM CM O' CM LO r-H LO co CM LO <y CM LO 00 O CO LO 00 o

o »—

i

CM co LO LO LO p' p- 00 00 cy cy O O r-H i—

1

i—

i

CM CM CM CO co CO LO

r-H i—

1

i—

1

T“H i—

i

r-H i—

i

1—1 i—l 1—1 l—

1

i—

i

i—

i

i—

i

1—

1

rH

CO LO <sT 00 r- co *sr CM LO O' LO i—i co co i—

1

LO o i—

i

i—

1

00 lO cy CM -vT CM cy lO

CTi 00 LO i—

i

00 LO i—i

i

P' CM O' CM O' i—

i

LO cy CM LO cy CM p" cy CM •vT LO 00 O i—

i

CO O r—

1

CM CO •vT LO LO LO p~ O' 00 00 cy cy cy O O o i—

1

i—

1

1—

1

X—

1

CM CM CM CM CO CO CO

i—

1

i—l i—

i

i—l t-H 1—

1

1—

1

i—

1

i—l r-H 11 i—

1

1—1 1—

1

CO o T—

1

LO LO 1—

1

CM 00 i—

1

o LO 00 O' 00 o O 00 CO O 1—

1

o 00 LO i—

1

LO cy 1—

1

CO

03 00 LO 00 o p* co CO 'vT cy CO o- 1—

1

LO 00 CM LO O' o CM LO C' cy o CM LO LO 00 cy O 1—

1

CM CO LO LO LO LO O' o- 00 00 00 cy cy cy o O o o o t-H i—

1

i—

i

i—

1

rH rH 1—

1

T—

1

i—

1

1—

1

1—

1

i—

i

i—l i—l i—

i

i—

1

i—

1

i—

1

1—

1

CM r- LH P' LO i—

i

CO rH LO LO co 00 o cy LO t-H LO LO CM cy 00 i—

1

co CM cy r- LO CM cy LO t—

1

LO i—

1

LO cy co LO o CM LO 00 o CM <sT LO p' cy o CM CO LO LO p* o 1

1 CM 00 co LO LO LO LO LO O' O' 00 00 00 00 cy cy cy cy cy cy o O o o o o o

l—l i—

1

r-H t-H i—

i

i—

i

1—

1

i e

14-4 0 0

I O M 4-1

I 4-1 0

I U X)

I 0 0

I 1 4 0

I E rC to

I P 0 0

I 2 >1 XI

(NimxinLOocooiOHtMO'j’inLDomffiOHr'iro^'inLD

iI tI iI iI i—l r—I i—I t-H t—I i—I Csl CM CM CN] CM CM CM

r-CM co o o

CM CM CO

10

a

OMB

discount

rate

as

of

February

2005.

Long-term

discount

rate

based

on

OMB

discount

rate

for

30-year

study

period.
B. Modified Uniform Present Value Factors for Fuel Costs

This section presents FEMP and OMB modified uniform present value (UPV*) discount factors

for calculating the present value of energy usage for federal projects. Factors are provided for the

four major Census regions and for the overall United States. The factors are modified in the sense that they incorporate energy price escalation rates based on future energy prices projected

by DOE for the years 2005-2035. There are two sets of UPV* tables: the "Ba" tables present

FEMP UPV* factors based on the DOE discount rate (3.0% real), and the "Bb" tables present

OMB UPV* factors based on two OMB discount rates (2.3% real for short-term study periods of

I to 10 years, 3.1% real for long-term study periods of 1 1 to 30 years). The underlying energy

price indices for the years 2006 to 2035, on which these UPV* calculations are based, are shown

in tables Ca-1 through Ca-5. The corresponding average energy price escalation rates for selected

time intervals between 2005 and 2035 are shown in tables Cb-1 through Cb-5.

Energy Price Projections

The FEMP and OMB UPV* factors incorporate energy price escalation rates computed from

future energy prices projected by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) of the U.S.

Department of Energy. Energy prices through 2025 were generated by EIA using the National

Energy Modeling System (NEMS) and published in the Annual Energy Outlook 2005

(AE02005). At the request of FEMP, EIA extrapolated energy prices from 2026 to 2035 based on selected growth rates from the AEO 2005 projections.

NEMS is an energy market model designed to project the impacts of alternative energy policies or assumptions on U.S. energy markets. NEMS produces projections of the U.S. energy future,

given current laws and policies and other key assumptions, including macroeconomic indicators

from Data Resources, Inc., the production policy of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting

Countries, the size of the economically recoverable resource base for fossil fuels, and the rate of

development and penetration of new technologies. NEMS balances energy supply and demands

with modules representing primary fuel supply, end-use demand for four sectors, and conversion

of energy by refineries and electricity generators. Macroeconomic and international oil modules

reflect the impacts of energy prices, production, and consumption on world oil markets and the

economy.

The EIA energy price projections presented in this report, like those of other forecasters, are dependent on the data, methodologies, and specific assumptions used in their development

Many of the assumptions concerning the future cannot be known with any degree of certainty

Thus, the projections are not statements of what will happen, but what might happen given the

particular assumptions and methodologies used. Although EIA has endeavored to make these

forecasts as objective, reliable, and useful as possible, these projections should serve as an

adjunct to, not a substitute for, the analytical process. The AE02005 was prepared by 1 I A as required under statute by federal legislation. The price projections to 2035 were prepared in accordance with a Service Request from the Federal Energy Management Program.

11
UPV* Calculation Method

The formula for finding the present value (P) of future energy costs or savings is the following:

» I, p = vz (2005+0

/ -i (i + dy

= A0 xUPVn

where A0 = annual cost of energy as of the base date (April 1, 2005);

t = index used to designate the year of energy usage;

N = number of periods, e.g., years, over which energy costs or savings accrue;

I(2005+t) = projected average fuel price index

1

given in Tables Ca-1 through Ca-5

for the year 2005+t (where I2005 = TOO); and

d = the real discount rate.

This formula is based on end-of-year energy prices and end-of-year discounting. Note that

annual energy costs as of the base date of the LCC analysis (Ao, to be supplied by the analyst)

should reflect the current energy price schedule as of that date, which may not be the same as the

energy price itself on that date. That is, the annual energy cost should reflect summer-winter

rate differences, time-of-use rates, block rates considerations, and demand charges (as

appropriate) anticipated to be in effect that year. If energy and demand costs are calculated

separately (as is sometimes done for electricity), the UPV* factor should be applied to both

costs.

The data in the tables that follow are reported for the four Census regions and the U.S. average.

Figure B-l presents a map showing the states corresponding to the four Census regions. The

Census regions do not include American Samoa, Canal Zone, Guam, Puerto Rico, Trust

Territory of the Pacific Islands, or the Virgin Islands. Analysts of federal projects in these areas should use data that are "reasonable under the circumstances," and may refer to the tables with

U.S. average data for guidance.

1 For greater precision, the UPV* factors reported in the Ba and Bb tables were computed using the unrounded form

of the indices given in Tables Ca-1 through Ca-5.

2 While the UPV* factors provided in this publication were computed using energy price indices that correspond to energy prices as of April 1 in the current and future years, the analyst is encouraged to use for determining A() the energy prices prevailing as of the base date of the LCC analysis for the project evaluated.

12
CO

o>—3

ex

13

Source:

U.S.

Census

Bureau
B.l. FEMP Modified Uniform Present Value Factors

The FEMP Modified Uniform Present Value (FEMP UPV*) factors presented in the "Ba" tables,

based on the current DOE discount rate (3.0%), are for calculating the present value of energy

costs or savings accruing over 1 to 25 years and are to be used in life-cycle cost analyses of

federal energy conservation and renewable energy projects. Factors are reported in the "Ba"

tables for 30 years to accommodate a planning/design/construction period of up to 5 years. (See

"Examples of How to Use FEMP UPV* Factors" below for instructions on use with

planning/design/construction periods.

)

These factors apply only to annual energy usage or energy savings that are assumed to be the same each year over the service period. The NIST BLCC computer program can compute the

present value of energy usage and savings that are not the same in each year.

Examples of How to Use the FEMP UPV* Factors:

FEMP UPV*, no planning/design/construction period: To compute the present value of heating

with natural gas over 25 years in a federal office building in New Mexico, go to Table Ba-4, find

the FEMP UPV* factor for commercial natural gas for 25 years (15.62), and multiply this factor

by the annual heating cost at base-date natural gas prices.

FEMP UPV*, with planning/design/construction period: To compute a present value factor for a service period following a planning/design/construction period (1) find the FEMP UPV* factor

for the combined length of the planning/design/construction period and the service period (not to exceed 30 years), and (2) subtract from (1) the FEMP UPV* factor for the planning/design/

construction period alone. The difference is the FEMP UPV* factor for the years over which

energy costs or savings actually accrue. For example, suppose a new federal office building in New York is being evaluated with several energy conserving design options. It is expected to have a planning/design/construction period of 5 years, after which it will be occupied for 25

years. To compute the present value of natural gas costs over 25 years of occupancy, go to Table

Ba-1 and find the FEMP UPV* factors for commercial natural gas for 5 years (3.97) and for 30

years (17.49). The difference (13.52) is the FEMP UPV* factor for natural gas costs over 25

years, beginning 5 years after the base date. Multiply 13.52 by the annual natural gas cost at base

date prices (not occupancy-date prices) to calculate the present value of natural gas costs over the

entire 25-year occupancy period.

14
Table

Ba-1.

FEMP

IJPV*

Discount

Factors

adjusted

for

fuel

price

escalation,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type

Discount

rate

=

3.0

percent

(DOE)

2 I rHC\jcr>'3, u">vor"Goa'kO (Mor)^tnu3 r-ooc^OHCNjro'^in'Di^co(T>o

i—1<—1<—It—1»—I «—li—li—I CM CM CM CM CNJ CM C\] CM CM CNJ OO

Sc

2 w <

ccH

c\jrv r'fOv£>vD'!TO':TVDrv-^)(yicr>'Tr^(yi(DCD'Xiroo)o,)r'cr»OHO(T'vo

^r^inroor^'trr-Hr'rncriLnt-HVDcsjr^cMr'Osjr^csj^Ot—)Lncri'trcocNjLncr>

OHCNjoitrtrin^^r'i^coa^cnoo (NCNjrooO'^tr^ininiDVDvD

CO <M £«Z

CC

to TJ g W 2 ^ W CC

r^<r>cr»'vDooco'trr^ooco^rcrNCMroro<—icoooodocnjcnj.—ioo^rcr>or)vx)r' cr»oor^ l^ouornoooLOCM<r>'X>cNjcr»LOT-Ht^cNjoorocr> ,^rcr\’^i oorr)r^c\iv£>o

OHMn^m^D'DhcocoaiooHCMCMfnrn'T'Tinin^^hhODcoiJ'

ocoocoroinLnin'Tno^HhHLnhcocrioDiOM’OinofovDhcDoo

co'X>*tror-rr)CTNLr)<—ir^-rnoo'^cTiLnoi-nomoLOOLnc^'trcooj'^Do^r

OHCMmn'TTin^vDhhCDcocyiooHHCMCNforon^'Tinin^u)

rnrv (Yitj, (M(Tt'TO^(Yivor^coco^)trovoo'^r'CO<TtO(Tia3'X)(r)o |vDi—

i

c^r'incMcr>LncNjooir)T-Hr'rocr>Lr)t-Hr'CNoomoorooo^rooor)oorooocN]rcr»f-HCT\'^rcoror^cr>crir^rr)OOr—(rocM^HComr-T—iro'tr^r^rcNjG^LOOtnoo

oor''^rcN](^r^^r<-HOOLnc\iooini-Hr-rooo*vro>LDoir)OLOO'^, cr»'=Tooc\j

cMLnror'r'*tr--Hcr>(X)r'i-Oc\jco'^ro^r'vD(^'X>^ t—i'X)orO':trLO*vrcMCO'tr (T>r^-LOc\]C?i^orocr.'X'roor^or)or'rooNiLOr—ir-'rooo'trcri^rcr>'^o^rocx)

c3a>

o

O

Cl

03 O

-P <u -o gw

s * oo

Hinrohhvofocon^aMyiODMncMhH^Ln^infOoino'Thcoc^

a^r^mtMcnvorocri^ocNjco^ro'XiCNjcorocritrcritrcri'g'crirooDCM'XiO'T

c\jor)m'^, LO'X> vX)r^r'aD<T>a>>oorH t-HCMc\jroro’^r^rLnLnv£>(^)r--r^

a)(D^co'i)MocricooDh^oinontrnHODnh(TiHO(T»^na)(N

oQVDmor^'^rrHr^'^rt—ioolocsjoolDi—ir^or)cr>'^roLOO'sDrHLOOLncy>'tr

OH(\nro^rinmvDhhco(yiO)o

C

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cj ^X) _c‘5d

"c- ^C3 co a § C3 • —

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*2 .2 c > S a> 5 -c o -£ o , C3 5?

<D

Slj

co i ojLomr-'X'moocMLnr'Cor'LnmovD^H'^rr^oocDr'LOrHr^^H'T'X'r'OO

03 i (T'rv-ir)CNjc^iD(McriLnHr-(oa)inHiDCMr-cMr'CM[^c\]r'HiDO'trcoc\ O

4-> I OH(NJ(r)03'3, iOir)^hhODCO(^OOHHCNICN]fO(¥)'T ,7lOinU)VDVDr' 2 i »—i «—i i—i i—i i—i <—i <—i t—i «—i i—i <—i »—i

«—i

<—i i—i i—

i

^ i rHLnLDCNjr^cr>cyir-'troocMm'trmor'CN]'X)cocr»(Ttr^'^0'^rcDocNjCNjrH

1 cr‘t^' uo^or''^rrHco^r>—ir'OOcr>LOO'X'T-i'vD>-H'X)rH ,vD^HLr)cr>^rcocNjvD

CNjro^r^rLnvD'X)r^cooocr»criOHi-HC\i(\]rorr)^r'trLr)Lnin'sDVDr'r^

O

E-H Q-1 I 2 1—1 I «—I i—I «—I i—I t—I i—I i—I rH i—I i—I i—I x—I x—I i—I i—I i—

I

u

Q

f_i i ooa)Lnco(X)iOH'X)^Hf\)oooir)0'trr'(ri(T\oo'i5ncritrcoH(0^^q'

id -M i cD^^HCDin(Mco^Hhnco ,Toinoinoinoin(ri^o3fr)rHin(j'

U co i c£ -h i o«-HCNrom'^iiomvor~~r~oococr>ooHr-icNCNirornfo^^iDLnvDvDVD

Q I X

1 '—I I—I 1—I t I I I X—I I 1 1—I I I i—I I—I I I I—I I—I x—

(

I HlO'^CMCTiinCNJCO'C’COHHOCO^OOHCMH^inorOinin^TC'JCDnr'

o i (TihLnnocD^nHcovDroo^ncTivo^cofoaiLnoinoino^cnm

(D I i—i i o«-HCNjro'^r':^

, LO'vDr^r-oocr»oOrHt-HcsjrorO'^r'^TLr)VD^Dr^r^oooooo^

c\jm'trLr)'<Dr'00cr,OrHCMro'trLO^Dr~cx)cr»OHCMm'trir)'<Dt^-aocr»o

x—I H i—I i—li—I i—I «—I i—I i—I i—I (\J CNJ CNJ CNJ CNI CM (NJ 04 CNJ (NJ ry')

>, S3

"O C/3 <L> C

1> C/3 b C

* CL

- 0/ D ^

ij

15
Table

Ba-2.

FEMP

UPV*

Discount

Factors

adjusted

for

fuel

price

escalation,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

Discount

Rate

=

3.0

percent

(DOE)

CNcoo'in'Dp-oooso

H

cco a

Q-j i—

I

cn co 2 03 < o

ccH

(Mn'T^invD^hcoco(ri(y\ooHH(M(Mnm^'srininvD^)kDh

OHCNro-NTin^^r-cocyiaio rHONjcocoo’o'ininDDr'P'COcoasas

CNcocoo'O’in'D'Dr^P'COOoasoo CNjcMrorotr'CT'^Lnin^'X) 2

H3 <

4-> M

O — cc: T3

to c H •H

Q) -H CO to C CO D <D C C Q CC •H 0U M

to -H 4-) c to

ns •H tn * Q

-«H 03 XI -l-i U O

•H O s 03 <U Q —

1

w

if) x:

fb 4->

if) D

c O

tfl if)

o —1 03 •H 03 5 x: O O o o

M

03 to

03 X (0 c o o

03 4-J •H 03 2

TJ Q

c XI M X < TJ

-P H •H U O to

CO O os QJ •H 25 w os o s

c 2

•rH 03 o

(—

1

u X

l— to if) H 03 •H M Q X

CN <D 2

CNcocoo, inin'Dr^r^ooooasoot-Ht-HCNCNcocoo, o, inin'D'Dp-r^

OrHCNjcoo'o’inDDP-ooaoasoorHrHCNcocoo’o'ininDDp-p-p-ao

CNcoo, ininiop-aoooasoOrHCNCNooo, o'inin'D'Dr^ooooooasas

fNjm^LnvD'^r-ooc^crtOHHCMCsjfO'^'TtninvD^or^r'CDiDCDcri

OHcsinntrinm^hr'CocricnooHHOjc^oom^M’inLnvD^hh

o, r'OocOrHp-cN'DasrHcococNtHcoinrHinascNin'Dp'p''Dincoor''CN cDr-incN^incNjoDM’Hr-ncDinovDCMr'CMcoroconooroconcocMr^

OtHCNcocoo, inin'DP'P'OOOoosoorHrHCNCNcoioo, o, Lnin'D'DP'rHin^r(T'HCMHcr\incriHnfO(N]oo3^(T'(NLn^vD^D^fN)(X)^cncNj^ asp-incNor^o'OP-cooDCNaoo'asinoDtHDtH'DrHDoinaso'co

OH(\]nM’^iD'i)^r'oooocri(j>ooH(Nj(\inmtrtrLnin^vD^hh

o'CN'DP'incNP-CN'DocNcocNtHOOcop-asooo'DCN'DOSrHtHOooo’as

c o i as 00 CD o* CNJ O p* in CNJ o p- O' t-H 00 O' rH P CO o in rH p CN p CO 00 CO P CN ID o 0) i •rH •—

i

i o 1—

1

CM PS o' OS in ID p* 00 oo os O o «—

1

CNJ CNJ PS O' O' in in D VD p r- 00 OO os OS X u rH I—

1

rH t—

1

i—

1

i—

1

X

1 1—

1

t—

1

rH tH t—

1

X—

1

rH 1—

1

i—

1

X—

1

rH

0) o

cc o

if) in if) p

•rH to a

to i 0\J in O o ID OS o O o OS p CO OS O' 00 CNJ O' m m in CO O in O O' P- OS o o OS

(D 03 i as O' ln CNJ 00 O' rH p* CO oo O' o LO 1—

1

ID CNJ p CNJ p CNJ p CN D t—

t

in as CO 00 CN in O O i X i o t—

t

CNJ CO CO O' in in CD D p oo 00 os OS O o i—

i

•—

i

CNJ CNJ CO co O' O' O' in in ID D

i «—

1

i—

i

i—

i

x—

1

1—

1

tH X—

1

tH t—

1

1-1 rH 1-1 i—

1

i OS o CD OS O'. X) CNJ C" as T—

1

i—

i

as p CO OS CO p os o OS 00 in X

1 ID OS CN O' m O' CO

i CO O' o' ,—| OO lo CNJ oo O' t—

1

P CNJ 00 O' OS in o in X—

1

in o in o O' 00 CO p* i—

i

LO OS

XI o i < a. i O 1—

1

CNJ CO CO O’ in LO D r" p 00 00 OS OS o i—i i—i CNJ CNJ CO PS O' O' O' in LfS ID ID D

M

H

XI i »—

i

i—

i

rH 1-1 1-1 rH tH t—

1

t—

1

t—

i

tH X

1 t—

t

t—

1

w i O CNJ OS CO CNJ os O' oo o o os p O' I—

1

*D t—

1

in 00 O o 00 <D CN 00 CN D OS O t—

1

u X i OS p* o1 CNJ OS in CNJ oo LO I—

1

D CNJ 00 O' as in o in tH CD o in O O' OS CO P- CN D o

M in i to -H i o i—

i

CNJ co CO O' in in CD p* p 00 00 OS as o i—

i

i—

i

CNJ CNJ CO CO O' O’ O' LfS l/S ID D p* u

a; a i rH i—

i

i—

i

i—1 1-1 •h t—1 rH I—1 x—1 t—

1

x—1 t—1 t—1

i O' 00 lo o CNJ CNJ «—

i

00 CO p* as os p O' os CO O' O' CNJ 00 CO ID OO 00 p in <D OS

lec

i O'. 00 p- ID O' CN o p- in CNJ os D CO o CD CO os in x—

1

CD CN P CN p CN r" CN ID o in

i o X—

1

CNJ CO O' in M0 D p* oo oo os o 1—

1

,H CNJ CNJ co O' O' in LO D D p p' 00 00 OS os w i

i

1—

1

’ 1 rH «H x—

1

*H X

1 «H «H t—

1

*H tH *H t—

1

rH rH

jz; I H(\(yi^invDr-oo(TiOHr\io,)^Ln^i^cocriOH(M(ri^rin'X)(v cocrio HrlHrlHHHHHH(N|(\IC\l(M(N(M(N(M(N(M(rl

16

Note:

UPV*

factors

are

reported

for

years

26-30

to

accommodate

a

planning/construction

period

of

up

to 5

years.

(See

p.

14

for

instructions

on

use;

page

xiii

for

abbreviations.)
2 l rH CNJ CO in VO 00 OS o <—i

CM COm VO 00 os o t—1

CM CO UO VO r- oo as o

rH—i i—1 I—1 i—i X 1 t—i X

—1 t—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM C0

Zj—

H >* a:O

C I oo OS

O VO o i—i o j 1—1

'VT in in co o uo OS CM CO CO CM OS VO i—1

uo 00 t—1

CM CM t—i o

__ a. •—1 I os

p CO CO i—t

oom i—ioo o VO CM CO C0 oo OS OS CO OO CO r- t—1

VO o oo CM ZJ 00 0 I 0 I o >—i

CM com VO VO 00 00 OS OS o o t—i t—1

CM CM co co ^r U)

U ) VO VO VO Cm < o I X 1 1—1 t—i l—1 t—1 t—1 t—1 t—1

tH t—itH I—1 t—1 t—1 t—1 X 1 - 03 ix "3 03 -H H C C C

03 -H 3 H CP lm 0 44 l r- o i—1

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CO o 3 > 1—1 1 as os OO VO m CO i—i

OS

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VO t—1VO t—1uo o as CO

O 0 1 ZJ XI 4-4 o 1 o 1—1

CM CO in VO VO oo os os o X 1 rH CM CM oo 'vr U) U) VO VO r- r- 00 OO oo OS

Zj CO o 1 «—i

rH rH rH t—i t—i

rH t—1 I—1 t—1rH t—1rH t—irH t—1 t—irH

c/3 - 0

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m CM o VO i—i

VO i—1VO o CO CO o [-" as CO r- as tH CM CM

c/3

U - 0 1 CO 40 CM OS

m i—i

VO CM 00 OS

m o VO

x

—1

r- CM r~~ CM ["- CM VO t—1

uo o •=T oo co t—1 - 3 03 o 1 i 4-4 -H -44 1 o i—1

CM CM oom a) VO VO CO 00 OS os

O o t—1 X

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17

Note l

PV*

factors

are

reported

for

years

26-30

to

accommodate a

planning/construction

period

of

up

to 5

years.

(See p

14

for

instructions

on

use;

page

xiii

for

abbreviations.)
Table

Ba-4.

FEMP

UPV*

Discount

Factors

adjusted

for

fuel

price

escalation,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type

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18

Note:

UPV*

factors

are

reported

for

years

26-30

to

accommodate

a

planning/construction

period

of

up

to 5

years.

(See

p.

14

for

instructions

on

use;

page

xiii

for

abbreviations.)
Table

Ba-5.

FEMP

UPV*

Discount

Factors

adjusted

for

fuel

price

escalation,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type

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19

Note:

l

P\

*

factors

are

reported

for

years

26-30

to

accommodate

a

planning/constniction

period

of

up

to 5

years.

(See p

14

for

instructions

on

use;

page

xiii

for

abbreviations.)
B.2. FEMP Modified Uniform Present Value Factors

The OMB Modified Uniform Present Value (OMB UPV*) factors presented in the "Bb" tables,

based on the current OMB discount rates (2.3% short term and 3.1% long term), are for

calculating the present value of energy costs accruing over 1 to 30 years when conducting a life- cycle cost analysis of a federal project not explicitly related to energy or water conservation or renewable resources. Factors are reported in the "Bb" tables for 30 years. These factors apply

only to annual energy usage that is assumed to be the same each year over the service period.

The NIST BLCC computer program can compute the present value of energy usage and savings

that are not the same in each year.

Examples of How to Use the OMB UPV* Factors:

OMB UPV* (OMB discount rate): To compute the present value over 30 years of electricity costs associated with the occupancy of a federal office building in Ohio (where energy

conservation is not a specific consideration in the LCC analysis), go to Table Bb-2, find the

OMB UPV* factor for commercial electricity for 30 years (19.43), and multiply this factor by

the annual electricity cost in base-date dollars.

Note: Because the discount rate used to calculate the Bb tables (OMB discount rate) is usually

different for years 1 to 10 than for years 1 1 to 30, these factors cannot be used with a planning/

design/construction period as shown abovefor the Ba tables (DOE discount rate). Use the BLCC

or DISCOUNT computer program for this purpose. For further explanation of the use of UPV* factors, see NIST Handbook 135.

20
Table

Bb-1.

OMB

UPV*

Discount

Factors

adjusted

for

fuel

price

escalation,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type

Discount

Rate

=

2.3%

(years

1-10)

and

3.1%

(years

11-30),

(OMB

Circular

A-94)

Census

Region

1

(Connecticut,

Maine,

Massachusetts,

New

Hampshire,

New

Jersey,

New

York,

Pennsylvania,

Rhode

Island,

Vermont)

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21

'OMB

discount

rate

as

of

February

2005.

See

p.

20

for

instructions

on

use;

page

xiii

for

abbreviations.
Table

Bb-2.

OMB

UPV*

Discount

Factors

adjusted

for

fuel

price

escalation,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type

Discount

Rate

=

2.3%

(years

1-10)

and

3.1%

(years

11-30),

(OMB

Circular

A-94

a)

Census

Region

2

(Illinois,

Indiana,

Iowa,

Kansas,

Michigan,

Minnesota,

Missouri,

Nebraska,

North

Dakota,

Ohio,

South

Dakota,

Wisconsin)

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as

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2005.

See

p.

20

for

instmctions

on

use;

page

xiii

for

abbreviations.
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i LniDHLOCDCD^rrHr^cMCDHLor-r-r^'^rcTkroLncDinrooincT'. h n n (n U i (TicD^inroHa'r-’^c^iocNCO'TO'XicNjr'fncoroooncocgvo.'incT'''

a) rH i oH(Mn^’inincDr'CooDaicr'OHHCM(Njnro'T'TiniovDvDr^r'h-oo

Cl] I x—I i—1 rH i—I i—I rH i—I rH rH rH rH I—(

«—4 rH rH • H r 4

% i Hcs](r)

,q, io^)hoD(r>OH(N](Y)Tio^r'CD^OH(Nn'TiovohOD(7'': »—IrHHHHHrHrHi—

I

i—IC\J CNJ Cc] CNJ C\J (N CN CNJ <N CM rO

25

‘‘OMB

discount

rate

as

of

February

2005.

Seep

20

for

instructions

on

use:

page

xiii

for

abbreviations.
C. Projected Average Fuel Price Indices and Escalation Rates (Real)

Tables Ca-1 through Ca-5 present projected fuel price indices for the four Census regions and

for the United States. These indices, when multiplied by annual energy costs computed at basedate prices (i.e., as of April 1, 2005), provide estimates of future-year costs (also as of April 1) in constant base-date dollars. Constant-dollar cost estimates are needed when discounting is performed with a real discount rate (i.e., a rate that does not include general price inflation).

These indices were used in the calculation of the UPV* factors for energy prices in the Ba and

Bb tables in this publication. While they are based on April 1 energy prices to maintain

consistency in the computation of these UPV* factors, the level of precision implied here is not

required for most LCC analyses. That is, the analyst need not calibrate base-year energy prices

precisely to April 1, 2005 levels to use these indices (or the corresponding UPV* factors);

instead, the analyst should use current price levels as of the base-date of the LCC analysis,

regardless of the time of the year that the study is undertaken.

Example of How to Use the Indices:

To estimate the price of industrial coal in 2008 in Connecticut (in constant 2005 dollars), go to Table Ca-1, find the year 2008 index for industrial coal (0.98), and multiply by the price for

industrial coal in Connecticut in 2005.

For further explanation of how to use these tables, see NIST Handbook 135.

Tables Cb-1 through Cb-5 present the projected average fuel price escalation rates (percentage

change compounded annually) for selected periods from 2005 to 2035 for the four Census

regions and for the overall United States. Note that these are real rates exclusive of general price

inflation. Their use results in prices expressed in constant dollars.

The average fuel escalation rates consolidate the information provided by the indices in the Ca

tables so that trends in projected price changes can be seen at a glance. They are provided

primarily to accommodate computer programs (such as BLCC) which require price escalation

rates as inputs.

Unless there is a compelling reason to use escalation rates, it is recommended that you use the

indices in the Ca tables when you need estimates of future-year energy prices, since the indices

include year-to-year information rather than averages over a number of years.

Example of How to Use the Escalation Rates:

To estimate the unit price of residential natural gas at the end of 2015 (pi 5) in Wyoming using

the DOE energy price escalation rates, go to Table Cb-4 and find the 2005-2010 and the 2010-

2015 escalation rates for residential natural gas (-4.5% for 5 years and 0.7% for 5 years,

respectively). Enter these values and the unit price of residential natural gas in Wyoming in 2005

(p05) into the following formula. Then solve for the 2015 energy price (stated in 2005 dollars):

26
N

ki Ps = Po-m^) i =

I

As = A»5 x (

1 + eJ' x (1 + a)*

2

= p05 x (l - 0.045 f

x (l + 0.007)5

= p05 x 0.794359x1.035493 = p05 x 0.822

where py = price at end of year y;

po = unit price at base date;

e* = annual compound escalation rate for period i from the Cb tables (in decimal

form); and

ki = number of years over which escalation rate e; occurs.

Note that the compounded escalation rate factor (0.822) corresponds to the fuel price index in

region 4, residential natural gas, for the year 2015 in table Ca-4 (0.82).

The data in the Ca and Cb tables on the following pages are reported for the four Census regions

and the U.S. average. Figure B-l on page 13 presents a map showing the states corresponding to the four Census regions. The Census regions do not include American Samoa, Canal Zone,

Guam, Puerto Rico, Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands, or the Virgin Islands. Analysts of

federal projects in these areas should use data which are "reasonable under the circumstances,"

and may refer to the tables with U.S. average data for guidance.

27
ita,

4—>

MM

4>3oSa

s-o

CD it

it P

•H

it CO P o

<*

a c o 3i o £ o

rtf £ X P

rp

II

C 0

it 2 >

a) 2 -

LOo

-O T5 - C o

CM

CO ftf c P i—1

T* .o -P CO (D M

CO

—1 «C p a) T3

•HPa 3 u o

rtf ,g

co pc

a CO CO !_ rtf v

CD

(j it 2 m c •H •P

CJ

OX) oc

v c

CD rtf . c >

•H i—1

T3CH

rtf >i 2 CO

CDU 3 •P C 3 ' C “ p -p a)

P-i

p ^ u ,

| it •H v 0P

</3 IP cu

p) ^ U P

a; o

it

G >H »P G o O 3 r—) O CD — 2

•HP o a,

>i <

*C

C 0 T5

a 0 O CO •H P av

CH 0

CD P) & 3

CO (D

-pu0

•ro Op

it P ^ (P ** CO it G

it CD (J o

S— Cu o

Csl O

CM

OSt—I o

CM

00x—I o

Csl i—o

CM

cnx—I O

CM

LT) t—I O

CMi—i o

csl

coX 1 o

CM

Csl i—I o

CMO

CMOX I o

CM

OSO

CM

00Oo

Csl

r'oo

CM

COO

CM

co cn o OS o as T—

H o •vT CM co o LO LO LO o co OS 00 o co as as as O as as CO as 00 T 1 o o o <—1 o o o o X—1 o o o o o

CM cn OS 00 as as o as 'vT o CO as LO LO O co CO CO as co as co as o as 00 CO as CO X 1 o o o o o o o o X 1 o o o o o X 1 LD OS cn O' 00 as O' *vT r' co O' X 1 LO o CO oo CO as 00 co 00 as as as co 00 as 00 X 1 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 00 LO cn O' 00 cn LO CM cn o LO •nT o 00 00 CO as 00 00 co as as as co oo as 00 X—1 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o CO LO O' O' cn X 1 LO as cn o 00 CO 00 as 00 00 00 as as as 00 o- as 00 1—1 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o co r- *=T 'sT cn cn cn LO co X 1 as cn o 00 CO- CO as 00 00 00 as as as 00 r' as 00 X—1 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

OS CO r- CM

X 1 cn LO LO o «P co r- cn co

OS 00 CO 00 as 00 00 00 as as as 00 as 00 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

CM rX 1 r- cn 00 LO co

X 1 CM LO cn co

os 00 co 00 00 00 CO 00 as 00 as 00 O' as 00 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

LOX

—1 cn o LO co CM LO co i—i x—1 cn

OS 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 as 00 as 00 O' as 00 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

l—1 X 1 cn o as LO CM CM cn o o o cn OS 00 co 00 00 00 00 as 00 as 00 o- as 00 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

os Tp cn I—1 00 CO I—1 CM rP CO as LO O' LO

00 00 00 00 o- 00 00 00 as 00 00 O' O' as 00 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

00X

—1 r- co 00 co CM CO o CO o cn 00 LO

00 00 CO 00 r- 00 CO 00 o 00 00 00 o as 00 o o o o o o o o t—i o o o o o o

cn co 00 LO 00 LO LO

X 1 LO cn CO as 00 00

00 CO 00 00 o- 00 00 00 o 00 00 00 O' as 00 o o o o o o o o X 1 o o o o o o

00 cn OS as 00 O' o as o 00 [" 00 00 o

CO 00 00 00 00 00 as 00 o 00 00 00 CO as as o o o o o o o o x—1 o o o o o o X 1 co CM CM O' as LO CM cn X—1 as LO OS os OS as as as as as as as as as as as as o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o I C3 us05 H 0 1 1—1 i—1

rp 0 P 1 H •H •P C G

ip 1 o o <—l o —i O •P 1 >i if) >1 •P if) >i •p if) •P i—1

T3 1 1—1 P 0 rtf

p 0 o rtf P 0 o rtf P O

G 1 rtf

Hp e> •H

p

O <—1

•Pp

O ftf if)

rtf 1 •HO rtf rtfO rtf 1—1

rtf

O 0 rp P 0 1 -P •H •—1 i—i

-H •H rH rtf i—1

•P •P 1—1

ntf i—l P O P 1 c P i—1

rtf o P i—1 P rtf P P rp P rtfO

O 1 0 -P •H P M P •H T3 P P P •P T5 P a P P 1 TJ O P P (U O P •P P i—1

if) o 1 ' •P P i—lif) o O 1 •H 0 if) e> P P 0 if) if) P rtf P 0 if) if) P rtf c p 0 1 if) i—1

•H CL) rtf £ i—1•H 0 rtf

O T3 1—1

•P 0 rtf

O rtf o

CO 1 0 u

Q j 2 o U

Q PC o C

u

a PC 2 CJ P 2 1 PC u M (H

28
Table

Ca-1,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

(excluding

general

inflation),

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type. 1 LO 1 CD LO 00 CM CT CT 00 i—i

CD o O'X

—1 X

—1 1 00 1 o CT CT CT o O O CT CT X—1 O X 1 CT O CT 1 O 1 11 CM 11 i—i O O O I—1 \—1

rH

OO rH

X 1 X

—1 o x

—1 O 1 i o- LO LO r-» CD x—1

00 00 00 o LO 00 CD

X

—1 X

—1 1 OO 1 o (T CT CT o o o CT CT x—1 O o CT o CT 1 O 1 11 CM 11 X—1 O O o X—1 1—1 X—1 O O X 1 x—1 X—1 O X 1 O 1 00 1 CD LO O' CD o CD 00 CO o CD LO o O 1 OO 1 O CT CT CT O o O CT CT t—1 o O CT o CT 1 O 1 11 CM 11 i—1 o O o x—1 t—1 X—1 O O X—1 X—1 X 1 O X—1 O o 1 CM 1 CD oo CD LO CT LO O' 00 CT cn LO o O o 1 00 1 O CT CT CT CD CT o CT CT O o O CT o CT

•* 4-> 1 O 1 a) a 1 CM 1 i—1 O o O i—l O

X 1 O

O

X 1 X

—1 X 1 O

X 1 O

p o 1 1 *H e II jC 5-4 1 rH 1 CD oo CD LO OO xT O' r- CO CM CO xT CT CT

CO (D LO 1 00 1 O CT CT CT o CT o CT CT o O o CT CT CO a > o 1 O 1 t o 1 CM 1 «—1 O O O 1—1 O X 1 O o x—1 X—1 X 1 O O o

03 CM 1 1 X T3c 1 o 5 03 X—1 1 ro

a> rH 1 O X CO <H 1 CM 1—1

•H 1 ** u

(0 <D a, 1 CT

4-) T3 < 1 CM

4-)

O 1 o

(D x: 1 CM

CO cc CO 1 p (D JC O 1 00 O 03 •H 1 CM

03 •H T3 1 O (0 C C 1 CM

CO 03

H 1 rd > 2 i—1

CD 1 O' >1 O 1 CM “ CO

CD c, C c

""I Q)

(0 CL, s- Mn 3 O

<->

X -Hs i ® z C ^ O > u Q) "" CO

3-4 1—11

CD

*“D

C• H CD tT1 ^

CD cc

COp

COc

CD o

5-4 a<

T3

CD -PU

CD i—i Ou

CL,

CM

CMO

CM

CMO

CM

VD CM LD o <r <r <r «—1 o o o

lo \—i co lo O CTi (Tt x—i o o o

LO rH 00 ^ O (Ti (?I CTi »—I o o o

lo o oo

CD CT <T CT

t—i o o o

lo cm ro o oo oo crx (—I o o o ^ CT\ CM CO O CO (Ti (Ti c—I O O O

CO CM CM

O CO <T CT t—I o o o

OO CX) CM I CD CO CT CT H o o o O h H H O 00 CT CT H CD CD O

00

h i—I o

CD co cr cr '—I o o o T r- CM CD O CT O CT CT r—I O t—I O O

'(T

OH 1/)

h

CD CT CD CT CT x—I CD t—I O O

'vriooLor-~

CD CT CD CT <T H CD H CD CD

00 ^ OO 'T

h

O CT CT CT CT x—I O O O O

OO OO

h LD

O CT CT (T CT x—I o o o o

CM CM CD 0O CD O CT CT CT CT

<—I O

OOO

CM <—I LO CM CD O CT CT CT CT

rH

OOOO

r—I <—I KT CM CD O CT CT CT CT «—I o o o o

T—I O 00 CM lo O CT CT CT CT <—I o o o o H CD CM H LO O CT CT CT CT «—I o o o o

CO i—I CM 0O CT O O O CT CT x—I «—I i—I CD CD O O H CM CT O CT CT i—I x—I \—I CD CD O CT CT H (T O CT CT CT CT

rH

OO

O

O

LD CO CO i—I CT O CT CT CT CT x—I CD CD O CD

IO

h LD

O CO

O CT CT CT CT r—I O O O O

LO CD LO CT 00 O CT CT 00 CT <—1 o o o o

lo 'xr co oo

O CT CT 00 CT

rH

OO

OO

oo OO

O LD

O CT CT 00 CT «—I CD CD CD CD

oo cm o- cd O CT CT 00 CT x—I o o o o

OO i—I CD CD O CT CT 00 CT i—I o o o o o

O'

00o

ooo

CD

COo

LO

00 i—1 11 (D 1 i—1 i—1 1—1

<0 P 1 •H -H -H C C

Eh 1 o o i—l o •—i O •H 1 >i CO >i -H CO >1 •H CO •H i—1

T3 1 —1

4-4 CD 03 4-> CD o 03 4-> CD o 03 4-4 o C 1 03 -H 4-4 e> i—1

-H 4-4

O i—I

-H -P

O 03 cn

03 1 •H o 03 03

U 03 i—1

03

U 03 i—1

4-4 fT3 1 4-> *1—1 i—1 •—i

-H •H 1—1

03 i—l

•H •H i—1

03 rH 3-4 e>

3-4 1 C SH i—1

03O 3-4 1—1 P 03 3-1 5-1 •—1 P 03

O

O 1 CD 4-) -H

U 5-4 4-> -H T3 3-1 -P 4-4 •H T3 3-4

a

M

4-) 1 T5

O 4-4 P CD

U -P •H P —1

CO

a 4-4 •H P •—l

CO o O 1 •H CD CO o -P £ CD CO CO 4-) 03 P CO CO CO 4-4 03 c 4-1 CD 1 CO i—1

•H a, 03 £ i—1

•H CD 03

O T3 •—i H CD 03O 03 o

C/3 1 CD

w

a hd 2 O

W

Q CC 2 OC

w

a CC

X CJ

U 2 1 CC U H Eh

29
Table

Ca-2.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

(excluding

general

inflation),

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

O

CMO

CM *—i co Lo ^ i o o O CO 00 00 O 03 03 03 03

CD CO 03 LO 03 O O CO CO o

r-co t—I o o o i—I o o o o t—I o o o o o

03I—I o

CM I—I l_n LO CO O 00 CO 00

co o co co lo co co co o> co O O OO CO O O O OO CO O CO \—I o o o x—1 CD CD CO CO <—I o o o o o

GO\—1 o

CM o r-i cm co C"" cd c O CO CO CO O CO CO CO c

CO CO

C

H

C CD

O

C 00 CDC CO

rH

OOO

x—I CD

O CD CD rH

OOOOO

cd 4Jo — cn c

<D -H £ Cd £ £

-H

O S u

if)

«*. -H £ IS

fdto - •H 03 XI AD o o

•H ^ 2 03 Q w x:

03 AD

if)

p £ o

03 co - o

03 *H 5 x: o o M

03c

fd •HT3c

if) •Ho£

•HI—I

rHM

CM£o

•H

tn0

PC

if) P

if) C

<u u

(d ADO

fd Q

x:

4J£o2

03 XC

if) 03£

X)

CD

•H

ClPO

if)

if) •Hs o co o o oo co 00

rH

OOO

x—ICCDlDC- O CO CO CO 03

rH

OOO

O

H CM CD

O

O

O 03 CO CO 03

rH

OOOO

00O

03 CM CO

O

03 00 00 00 O O O O o c in

m c O 00 00 00 03

rH

OOOO

O rH LOO 03

03 00 00 03

rH

O

O

O

O

LO00

03 rH CM

O

03 00 CO 00

CD CD CD CD

03 rH CM 00

03 co co r- o o o o

03CD^rLnr-~

03 00 00 00 03 o o o o o

r-cDCM^rr03 00 00 00 03 o o o o o

03 rH co

O 03

03 03 00 00 03 O O O O O

CD rH CM 00 00

03 03 OO r~ 03 o o o o o

LO

00o

LO

00o

O'O CM CD 03 00 CO O- o o o o

in CDH (3J c

03 OO 00 00 03 o o o o o

Si 1 rH

x—I LO 03

03 03 00 O' 03 O O O O O

CD

O rH LO 03 oo oo r o o o o

CO IX)

O rH OO

03 00 00 00 03 o o o o o

rH rH o 03

03 03 00 r- 03 o o o o o

CD

O rH LT) 03 oo oo r- o o o o

rH IX) 03 o 00

03 CO C" CO 03 o o o o o

rH

O 03 CO 03

03 03 [ t 03 o o o o o

00o

CD rH rH CD

03 00 00 f O O O O <—i co o 0303 CO CO 03 o o o o o

rH CD 00 CO 03

03 00 [ r" 03 o o o o o

00o

LO CO CM 03 03 CO CO c- o o o o H

O CM 03

03 00 00 00 03 o o o o o

CM LOO CD 03

03 00 00 f 03

CD CD CD CD

O

00o

IX) LT) CM

03 00 00 00 o o o o H CD 03 03

03 00 00 00 03 o o o o o

CM r- CO 03 03

03 00 00 l 03 o o o o o

00

00o ( C' CD 00

03 00 00 00 o o o o

00 00 00 03 03

03 co CO OO 03 o o o o o h co in 03

03 00 00 00 03 o o o o o

03o O CM CM lo 03 03 03 ^ ^ c in o

03 03 03 03 o h

m cd coh

03 03 03 03 o

CD

03

rHOOO o o o o O

OO

O rH 1—1 11 CD 1 1—1 •—1 i—1 0 P 1 •H •H •H £ £

(X 1 o o i—1 o 1 1 o •H 1 if) >1 •H if) •H Cd •H i—1

TJ 1 i—1

AD CD fd AD CD o fd AD 0 o fd 4J o £ 1 fd •rH AD cj i—i

•H P CJ i—i

•H -P CJ fd if) fd 1 •H CJ fd fd o fd i—1

fd CJ «d i—1

4J td 1 -P •H i—1

rH •H •H i—ifd rH •H •H <—ifd i—i P CJ

M 1 £ SH i—1fd

U P rH P fd P P •—i P fd o O 1 CD AD •rH U P AD •H T5 P AD AD •H T3 P CL, P

4-1 1 T5 CJ -U P 0 O

p •H P i—1

U) CJ AD •H

p 1—1

if)

O o 1 •H 0 if) o -P £ 0 if) if) AD fd P CD if) if) AD fd £ AD

CD 1 if) i—1

•H n. fd £ i—1

•H (D fd o T3 i—1

•H 0 fd

O fd

O

if) 1 0 (XI

Q

OW

Q PC CJ

C 1X1

Q n, 2 CJ P s 1 PC CJ M Eh

30
Table

Ca-2,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

(excluding

general

inflation),

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

IT) cno

c\j

ro

h in

O OD OD CD

rH

OOO ( ) M 1 %—I t—I lO x—I CD i—I CD CD ^ ID

H (D

m

x—I CD \—I OD CD \—1 i—I t—I CD «—I

Cl

gdo

^rao

CM

ci vo

CD OD OD C5D H O O O

O CO

OO LO i—I O i—I o o

CO LO OD 00 sr H O O OD O X—I x—I x—I CD x 1

CO

O'O

co

COo

CM

CO LD CO O OD OD OD x—I o o o o nj co cri co ^ oo r- O O O OD O H O O OD

O

x—I X—I X—I CDx—I x

—I x—I x—I CDx—I

CMODO 1 CM 1 CM LO CO CO CD X—1

CO OD CM CO VO VO CD

03 1 CO 1 O OD od od

O o o CD o X 1 o o CD o 4-4 1 O 1 . o o .—

1 CM 1 O o o X—1 X 1 X 1 o X—1 X—1 X 1 X 1 o X 1 in C I I QJ •H X 1 c cn 1 H 1 CM CM CM CO o LO CO CO CM CM LO CO CD X c 1 CO 1 O od od OD o o o CD o X 1 o o CD o

•H o 1 O 1 o 2 o 1 CM 1 i—1 o o o X—1 X 1 r—1 o X—1 H X—1 X—1 o X—1

cn I •rH I—1 c S 1 O 1 CM co CM CM 00 CD CO r- CO 1—1

rH CO CO CD

03 1 CO 1 O od od <ys o CD o CD o X 1 o o CD o

CT> ** o 1 O 1 o

•H 03 1 CM 1 X

—1 o o o X 1 o X

—1 o X 1 X—1 X 1 X 1 o X 1 cu

4-4 o

CM 1 1 o

••H 1 OD 1 CM co

X 1 X 1 CO CO CM r"~ co rH

X

—1 X 1 vT co CD

03 1 CM 1 O OD OD CD o CD o CD o X

—1 o o CD o Q 1 O 1 o

to sz

03 -P

CO P c o

03 CO

x

a,

<c

x

—I CD

O

O

CM CM <—I '—I O CTi (Ti H O O O

x—I CDx—I CDx—I

r- r- cd md co O OD O OD O x—I CD x—I CD x—I X 1 X 1 \ 1 CD

X 1 O O O co CO

«—I O

O ODO

X 1 X 1 X 1 CD

x 1 - o

rrj -H 3 J= O O

w

a)u

-H

T5C

r-CMO

CM

CM i—I OO

O Ci (D i—I O O O

r~- VO OD Lf) CO O CTi CTi O O x—I CD CD CD i—I O O'! CO CM co H CT\ CTi CTi O x—I O O O x—I

od

ooo - 03

03 4-4 c o

03 -V •X 03 T3 Q C

t-H x:

4-> - x

CO

O

•H s oc - •X 03 i—I -X

rH CO H 03 — X

x>

cn a) z co -

•r—I -H

tr>

x

CD P

cc o

CO CO CO P -X

CO S c

CD O

CDO

•HX

CUap

ix

-HXa<

T3

CD -PU

CD •nOX

(X

X)

CMO

CM

LO

CMO

CM

CMO

CM

00

CMo

CM

CM

CMO

CMX 1 CMO

CM

OD CM o o CD r- VO r- co CD CO X—1

CM CO o CD CD 00 o CD CD CD o o CD CD CD o o x—1 o o o x—1 o o o X 1 X 1 o o o X 1 CO

CM o o CD VO LO VO CM CD r- LO o CM CO o CD CD oo o CD CD CD o o CD CD CD o o r—1 o o o X—1 o o o X—1 X 1 o o o X—1

00

CM o CD 00 VO LO co CM CO LO CD

X 1 00 o CD 00 00 o CD CD CD o o CD CD 00 o o X—1 o o o X—1 o o o x—1 X—1 o o o x—1

CMO OD r"-

O (Ti CO CO H O O O

CD CO CM CM O Cl cn Ci o H O O O H

CO LO COCH o c C CO o H O O O H

00

COo

CM

C CO

O 00 CO 00 H O O O

LO CO CM CM

O o c c c o H O O O HCO LO CM COO o c C CO o H O O O H

rCOo

CM 00 00 CO O 00 00 00 H O O O

lo cm

x—i x—i r~-~

O OD OD OD OD H O O O O

r"- ^ h r- CD O C C CO o H O O O H

r-00o 1—1 11 CD

CD 1 1—1 1—1 1—1 C p 1 *rH -rH •rH c •X

(X 1 o o rH o r

—1 o 1—1 1 !>i cn >1 •rH cn >i •X cn •X O

T3 1 1—1

4-4 CD 03 4-4 CD o 03 4-4 CD o 03 4-4 cn c 1 cd •rH 4-) o 1—1

•H 4-)

O i—I

-H 4-)

O 03 03

03 1 -H o 03 03 o 03 '—1

03 o 03 t—1

-P

O 1 4-4 •X 1—1 1—1

•H •rH 1—1

03 •—i

•X •H

r

—1

03 rH

X

X 1 c X 1—1

03

u

X 1—1 p 03XX •—1 P 03

O

X o 1 CD X *H X X 4-4 -rH T5 X 4-) 4-4 •H T3 X a o

4-4 1 T5 o 4-)

p CD o 4-4 -H

p i—1

cn

O 4-) •X P H cn

4-4 o 1 *H CD cn u 4-4 B CD cn cn -X 03 P CD cn cn 4-4 03 c o

CD 1 CO 1—1•H CL, 03

B 1—1

-rH CD 03

O T3 rH

X CD 03

O 03 2

CO 1 CD

w

a hC| s o w

a cc L)

C IX

Q DC 2 CJ

X 1 oz u H Eh

31
Table

Ca-3.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

(excluding

general

inflation),

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type, 1 o 1 r-~ as 00 VO

O Csl Csl p" 00 CO as vo O' VO 1 C\] 1 as 00 CO CO as as as as as as as 00 00 as 00 1 o r 11

Csl il o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o 1 as i so 00 O' LO o \—i \—i

C" vo co [-" 'vT O' vo 1 <—i i as CO CO CO as as as as as as as 00 CO as 00 1 o i 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

rtf rtf c 1 CO i CO LT) CO LO as o as r- LO co vo \—1

co LO

ttf 1 *—1 i as CO CO CO as CO as 00 as as as CO 00 as 00 U 1 o i O O 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

CD

U 1 i o rtf -—

CJ o 1 i Csl CO r- co r"~ as r- CO CM vo 00 co LO o 1 X—1 i as OO OO CO as 00 CO 00 as as as 00 C" as CO

rtf x: 1 o i T3 P l—1 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

•H 3 1 i U O II O CO 1 CD i Cs] Csl r- CO Csl r" 00 r- r- CM \—i

LO r- O' LO LO 1 X 1 i as 00 00 CO as CO 00 CO as as as CO as CO o 1 O i

rtf o 1 Cs] i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o r

Csl 1 i

rtf op

V 1 LO i Csl Csl VO CO Csl VO C" r- r- CM c—1

r- r^- ,Q rtf <—1 1 <—1 i as CO 00 00 as 00 CO CO as as as CO r- as CO 6 'Z? 1 o i P 1—1 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o i—1 o o

•Hc

-HM 1 i u H a 1 i \—i X

—1

voX

—1 \—i

VO VO LT) r- \—i C 1 CO LO O'

rtf to < 1 i—i i as CO OO 00 as 00 00 CO as as as CO r- as CO P C ' 1 o i o -Hi—1

-H> CO 11

Cs] ii o o o o o o o O o o o o o o o P O (D O M a 1 CO i i—i X—1

LT) o as VO LO CO r- as c—1

CO CM o-

•H 1 x

—1 i as CO 00 00 CO 00 00 CO as 00 as CO as 00

U

u (D "O 1 o i P 12 c 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o

CO x:

M 1 i P Q V-i CD 1 Csl i o I—1

LO as CO LO CS] r- CO \—i

CM

x

—1

OO LO o

•H

O 1 x—1 i as 00 00 O' 00 00 00 00 as CO as 00 r- as 00 c •H 1 o i 0) •H U 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o u

to CX 1 i

rtf 3: (X •H i—1 1 x

—1 i o o LO CO 00 LT) ca »—I

r- 00 o <—1

as as lO

rtf (X > CD 1 x

—1 i as 00 00 r- CO 00

a> 00 as CO as 00 vo as 00 P 1 o i CD (0

** Cm 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o Q CO 1 i \—I

CO

X 1 o i *—i X

—1

LO as 00 Csl c—I

00 as vo I—1 o 00 LO

(0 CO

(D <—1 1 »—1 i as 00 00 r- 00 00 00 CO as 00 00 00 as 00

rtf

H •H 1 o i CO s U 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o c " a 1 i

rtf

CL) <

2* T5 CL) 1 OS i \—i

Csl VO o as t—1CO o LO coX 1 as vo

M c T3 1 o i as 00 00 CO 00 00 00 00 as as 00 00 r- as 00 < rtf CO CD 1 o i (L) P 1 Cs) i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o C o 1 i

rtf P

i—i

CD £ rtf •ro 1 CO i Csl r- Csl o VO r- CM CO o r- vo co as 00

rtf s H

O 1 o i as 00 00 00 as 00 00 00 as as 00 CO r- as 00

£)

M 1 o i

rtf CU 1 Csl i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o i—1 5

rtf 1 i C

rtf 1 r- i VO as O' CO as Csl r- 00 co 00 t—1 o as

X

—1 1 o i as OO 00 00 as 00 as 00 as as 00 as 00 as as

CO CO 1 o i 1 Cs] i o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o C p 1 i p 1 VO i 00 X—1

CO CO O' as CO as r- co as as o vo

to 1 o i as as as as as as as as as as as as 00 o as

CD 1 o i (X >1 1 C\1 i o o o o o o o o o o o o o X

—1 o

a; 1 i CO o 3 3

CO P C c 1 i

(1) d) 1 •

i i u 1 CD i •

i ii •i CD 1 P i •H *rH •H C c 1 IX i o O i—i o 

i o •H 1 i >i co !>i •H CO >1 •H CO H i—1 1 X) i i—i P CD rtf P CD o rtf P a) o rtf P o l c i rtf •H P o 1—1 H P e> i—1 -H p o rtf CO 1 rtf i •H a rtf rtf O rtf i—1 cti a rtf i—1 P rtf 1 i P •H i—1 1—1 •H •H i—1

rtf 1—1•H *H 1—1rtf 1—1 M CJ 1 M i a M —1

rtf

O

u i—1 3 rtf

U P 1—1 3 rtf o 1 O i CD P •H U U p •H Ttf M P P •H T5 U a. 1 P i T5 O P P Cl) o P •H p •—i

CO o P •H 3 1—1

(0 o 1 O i •H CD CO o P £ CD V) (0 p rtf 3 01 CO C/) P rtf C p 1 CD i CO i—1 •H (X rtf £ •

1 •H CD rtf o T3 >I •H a) rtf O rtf o 1 CO i CD w a 1-1 2 d w Q (X 2 o C U a (X 2 o U s 1 i (X CJ M H

32
a>—acw

i-co0

(/> 04

</) s1 T3E

04E

.o«

C=

l.04c

04OX) oxe

04X

04

!/) 04

.04 •5

.s

04

.04 ‘Caa04 W0404 "o’

0.

CL. d043

.Ce0

041 3u

_04 z

et H

(0 a) h c

O' -H M i—I o o 0) M O <0 U m x:

T) 4-> •H 3 M O O CO > I Du

03 - E m o

•H Jp XI 3 E -H 3 ^ o

cjQ

JJ ° 4-1 ° M H W (D

L-t

O S 4-> J

co x:u i Jc2

03 -H * s ar m a, ^ i—I

’H

0) CO ' D m 2 v CO

CO CO

03 *H

CO s c

03

v

X T3 P C < 03

03 P e oj

03 S

XI oo

inoo

CM

•H3ac

CO

CDo

•HXc

CDp

Du

•HPaCX

a) xo

CD

-r-i 0P

01

noo

CM

a*

cmo

CM

00

CM

CMo

CM

CMO

CM

IT) CMO

CM

CMo

CM

CO

CM

LO CD LO CD

C5* a* <T* O* o o o o

LO LO LO LT) O* O* a* C* o o o o

lo lo lo

O'* O'* O'* CT* o o o o

lo ^

o* cr* cr* cr* o o o o

O* O'* O'* O* O O O O

co co

o* o* o* o'* o o o o

cm co cm

cr* cr* cr* cr* o o o o

«—i co cm

0* 0* CT* CT* o o o o i—i cm c—i

O'* O'* CT* O'* o o o o o cm i—i

CT* CT* CT* CT* o o o o ^ (T> CM O

O'* CO O'* O'* o o o o M1 CT* CM o

O'* CO O'* O'* o o o o

'sT CO i—ICP) O'* CO O'* 00 o o o o O LO CM

O «—I O O T-l o o

CD 4—I CD rH O O t-H o o o ro o o i—i

O'* o o ct* o O C—I C—I O c—I

a* cm co co o ooooo O t—I i—I o

CT* t—I VO CO o 0 0 0 0*0 o o m h o

CT* CD CD CT* CT*

00 CO CO co O'* 0* 0*0 0* 0* O O rH O O

co

h cm o a* 0* 0*0 0* 0* O O rH O O

00 CO

O LO o* 0* 0*0 0* 0*

co o o* a*

ct* ct* ct* ct* ct* o o o o o

r-* co o*

CT* CT* CT* CT* CT* o o o o o

r- co r- co co

CT* O* CT* O* CT* o o o o o

r-' co lo co oo

CT* CT* CT* CT* CT* o o o o o

CM o* 00 rH 0 0 0 0*0 4 1 4 1 O 4 1 4—I *D CO h i—I 0 0 0 0*0 4 1 4 1 O 4 1 4—I

LO co CO 4—I 0 0 0 0*0 4 1 4 1 4 1 CD 4 1 4 1 M-1 LO LO 4 1 0 0 0 0*0 4 1 4 1 CD 4—I H CO CO ^ H 0 0 0 0*0 4 1 4 1 4 1 CD 4 1 O CM vH CO O 0 0 0 0*0

4—I O 4—I O 4—I O CM O 0 0 0 0*0 4 1 4 1 CD 4 1 O O o* 4—I o* 0 0 0* 0* 0* o a* o o* 0 0* 0* 0* 0* 4—I o o o o

O* CO VD O* O*

O* O* O* CO o* o o o o o

o* r- ld co o*

O* O* O* 00 o* o o o o o

co lo r- a*

a* o* o* co a* o o o o o

co ld co r- co O* O* O* 00 o* o o o o o

o*o

CO

o*o

CM

o*o

CMo*oo

o*

o*

CO

o*

00o

00o

COCOo

r-00 1—1

cd 1 1 < c

a3 1 CM 1 M1 CO 4 1 a* r- CM co CO CO LO CM r- CO O'- 1 CM 1 O* 00 ct* oo a* a* o* a* a* a* a* a* co a* 00

CO CO 1 O 1 1 CM 1 O o o o CD CD CD CD o o o o o o o c 3 1 1 o oX 1 t—1 1 o a* r~~ 4 1 CO co r- 00 o r- 00 r- O* 1 CM 1 o* co ct* 00 a* ct* a* a* a* a* a* a* 00 a* 00

CD 1 O 1 PC >7 1 CM 1 o o o o CD CD CD CD o o o o o o o 1 1

if)

u

p 3

CO

X c c 1 1 CD CD 1 i—1 1 U 1 CD 1 —i i—1 i—i 0 1 3 1 H •H -H c C 1 IX 1 o o •—i o •—i o •H 1 1 > co -H co -H co •H i—1 I X 1 i 1 X a* 03 X 0 o 03 X CD o 03 X o 1 c 1 03 •H X <J 1—1

•H

X o 1—1•HX o 03 CO 1 3 1 -H a 03 03 U 03 i—1

03

a 03 i—1 X 03 1 1 X H i—1 1—1

•rH -H i—1

03 i—1 H •H i—1

03 i—1 P o 1 p 1 C P i—1

03a Sh i—1 P 03 P U i—1 P 03 o 1 o 1 CD X •H P P X -H T3 Sh X X •H TJ P a P 1 X 1 T3 a X P CD O X •H P i—i

CO

u

X •H P i—i

CO o 1 o 1 -H (D CO 15 X h CD CO CO X 03 3 CD CO CO X 03 c X 1 CD 1 CO i—1

-HX 03 E i—1

•H CD 03 o T5 i—1*H 0 03 o 03 o 1 if) 1 (D X a h-J 2 o M a PC 2 u c w Q PC 2 o P s 1 I PC CJ M H

33
1 O 1 o o o 1 CM 1 03 O'* 00 CO 1 O 1 11 CM 11 o o o o

atQ. 1 03 1 03 CO O'* CM 1 t—1 1 00 CO r~ 00 1 O 1 1 Os] 1 o o o O 1 | Ot 1 00 1 03 o- 00 o 1 <—t 1 00 CO r~ 00 on 11 O 1 CM 1 o o o o

cs 1 1

i, o 1 r- i 03 X) O'* V—1 o-w C o 11 i—i i O 1 CO CO r~~ 00

QJ

•H \—1 1 CM 1 o o o o

Ot -H § 1 1 </5 -H ° II OI

i/5

ro ~ 3

13

rfl

mo 111

VO 1 i-H 1 O 1

.89 X)

00 .79 . 82

3G JT o 1 CM 1 o o O o

•a

CO

C\1 1 1 e o ti 1 in i o in r- CM

0/ T3 ? 1—1 1 T—1 1 03 00 r- 00

>-> JQ

m -H O

lJ-‘ 1—1

-H 111 O 1 CM 11 o o o o

Cv

m <« P o 5 a 1 i o in r- o S u s < 1 t—i i 03 00 r"~ 00 — 1 O 1 -M«

c:

rt) "S -4 ^ c id

CO

CDO 111

CM 11 CO 1 o

O'* o o

00 oO'* s M D •H 1 t—i i 00 00 r- ["- •** o T3 1 O 1 i 4-1 ' C 1 CM 1 o o o o

05 •H £ M 1 1 L.a/

,£ °

rt £ (D 1 CM 1 O'* 00 00 c U 1 i—1 1 00 00 r- rat p •H 1 O 1 ox ^ o P 1 CM 1 o o o o

ox 0c

Ch 1 1 .c o R i—1 1 i—1 1 O'* 00 n- N ° CD 1 rH 1 00 00 r~ r- 3 •H ^ P 1 O 1 3 kn 1 CM 1 o o o o “ I 1 <—1 X 1 O 1 o CO O'* at rrt i—1 1 r-H I O'* 00 r- n- a-' JS S •H 1 O 1 C/5 (0 ^ P 1 04 1 o o o o

at 0 a, 1 1 at i—1 * <

<c 12 1 03 i <—i

LO O'* cn o 3 T3 T5 1 O 1 03 00 r~- 00 _c 03 CD 1 O 1 4-) 1 0M 1 O o o o

at

at

cp c z O

CD 1 i o •r~* 1 00 1 CO r- o 00 'h H

**

O 1 O 1 O'* 00 00 00 CL 05 !2 P 1 O 1 _ at £

ds 2 w £

Oa 1 CM 1 o o o o

at a 11 1

r~~ i VD I—1

CO 4 O 1 O 1 O'* 00 00 o> o CO 1 O 1 a* c 1 CM 1 o o o o •*—<

at o u £ 1 1 CJa> 1 IX) I O'* r- rtt) 1 O 1 03 O'* 00 <T\ o TJ 1 O 1 L- M 1 CM 1 o o o o

On 1 1

C" <S

D 03 03 in o o 00 r- 03 03

CO (T\ 00 00 03 03 o 00 CO 03 CO o O O o o O 1—1 o o O O

r- in CO <sO in 03 o r- CO 00

00 o^ CO CO 03 CO o 00 00 03 00 o o o o o O l—1 o o O O

<X) ID in

m 00 03 X) CM C" CO

00 (Ts CO CO 03 00 03 00 CO 03 00 o o O o o O o o o O o

rm in in in CO 03 in CO VO 00

CO a^ 00 CO 03 00 03 00 00 03 CO o o o o o o o o o O o

CM 03 00 in C"

00 O'* 00 CO 03 00 03 00 CO 03 00 o o o o O O o o o O o

00 t—iCO r- 03 CO

m r- 00 O'* CO 00 03 00 03 00 CO 03 CO o o o o o O o o o o o

00 \—1 CM X) 03 r- CO co CO r- CO O'* 00 00 03 00 03 00 00 03 00 o o o o O O o o o o o »—1 1—1

00 r- CM i—iCO

00 03 00 00 03 00 03 00 CO 03 CO o o o o o o o o o o o

<x> 03 o CO in 00 X) I—1 03 r- 00 00 00 00 03 00 03 00 r- 03 00 o O o o o o o o o o o

r- 03 03 CO X) 00 ^r o 03 in

00 00 r- 00 03 00 03 00 r- 03 00 o O o o O o o o o o o

00 CO 03 CO r- o CM 03 o VO C" 00 00 C" 00 03 03 03 00 03 00 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o X) CO CM o 00 o

03 CO 00 03 03 03 CO 00 03 03 o o o o O o o o o o o

CM i-H CO o 00 CO in CO 03 03 o

03 00 03 03 03 03 00 00 03 03 o o o o O o o o o o o

in 00 •^r 03 in 'cr in 03 t—1

O'* 03 00 03 03 03 03 00 03 03 03 o o o o O o o o o O o

00 CO X) 00 o 00 00m 03O in

O'* 03 03 03 o 03 03 03 03

O 03 o o o o 1—1 o o o o rH o i—i ii <D i 1—1 i—1 1—1 0 P i •H •H •H c a

Cjh i o o i—i o rH o i >i CO >i •H CO >i •rH CO •H i—1 T3 i i—i

4-J CD rO 4-) 0 o rd -U 0 O rd 4-J o C i •H 4-) (J i—i

•H 4-J e> i—l•H 4->

O 0 U)

cO i •H

O rO cd

O id i—1

rd

O rd i—1 P to i -P •H i—1 i—1

•H •H rH rd i—i•H •H •—1

rd rH

U e>

>H i c ^4 i—1

rd

U i—1 P rd

u rH P rd

O

O i CD 4-J •H

U >H 4-) •H TJM 4J 4-J •rH TJ P a

4-J i T3 o 4-> P CD

U 4-J •H P i—1

CO o -P •H 3 t—i 0 o O i •H CD (0 et 4-) £ CD CO CO 4-) rd P 0 CO CO 4J 0 c CJ

<D i CO i—1

•H CM a) £ •—1

•H 0 rd

O TJ rH •H 0 0 O 0 o cn i CD w Q 2 O W a PC 2 O C w Q PC 2 o P s i PC O M Eh

34
is

1/1 3i o3

is3cs

a*c

is0JD on3

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is

s/5 aw33

is

is *caP

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is

isis ”ou

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03 X

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m 2

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n3>

a) c 2 0

•H

01 c (D ~

CC^ ^-P ^ o d

CO SA c

QJ o o2 oo

LOoo

c\lpa<

CO

CDO

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T3CP

O, <

T3

a)

4-) u

cu -r—> op

cu o

CMmo

CM

cocoo

CM

CMcoo

CMo

CMO

COo

CM

CMO

CM

rCMo

CM

VO

CMO

CM

CMO

CM

CMO

CM

CMO

CM

CM

CMO

CM

CMO

CM

n

h cm

h

cr> o cr> o'* o i—too

CO

O 1—1 vo

CT CD CTi Gi O 1-i o o

CO

O i—I vo

cr cd cr cr O t-H o o

CM O'*O LD Gl (T CT'i CT o o o o

CM COO ^

ct ct ct ct o o o o

cm r- o ^ m (Ti CTi CTi o o o o

cm r- cn co

av gi co cr o o o o

CM VO (JV CO

Gi ct co cr o o o o H m CO CM cr cr co cr o o o o H LO CO CM

cr> cr oo

g o o o o <—i 'M1 <—i g g oo g o o o o

rH LO LO o O O OO O o o o o H LO ^ CO o O CO CO o o o o I—I co co CO O O CO CO o o o o <—1 CM CM VO O O CO CO o o o o x

—I t—I CTO CMx

—I g «—i o o o

CD i—I \—I t—I o o r~- <—i <—i

CTO i—I CD

OO

CD

x

—I »—1 t—I i—I

CD CTO VO t—I O G o o o o o oo o o g o o o o

CD

x—I i—I i—I i—I o r- ro o cti G O O or G O t-l t-l O O O vo H 00 O

(Ti

OO

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CD

x

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ao lo cd co ao co o o o o

CD

r—I i—I CD CD

av av r- ov CO O O O O O «—I o o o o co vo o

oo o o o o O i—I o o o O CM VO VO o

CO

O (T

OO

O I—1 o o o O CM ^ LO OO CO O O CTi (Ti O rH O O O

COH CO ^ O

CO

O (Ti

OO

O

x—I o o o

00O CM CO CO CO O O (Ti (Ti O x—I o o o

00OH CM vo

CO CTiOO (Ti o o o o o

00 ["- CD t—I

VO CO CTi O CTi (Ti o o o o o

'sf LO CO LO LO G <—I O O O

CD

x—I i—I i—I x—I ^ ^ lo G i—I o o o

CD t—I «—I i—I x

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CO CO LO CO LO G <—I CD CD CD

CD

x—I x—I i—1 \—I

CO CM co CM LO

CT'i \—I CD CD CD

CD <—I x—I x

—1 <—I

CO i—I CM i—I LO G rH CD CD CD

CD

x 1 X 1 X 1 l 1

CM CD CD CD

O1 G t—I O O O

CM

G

GG

CTi

O (Ti CTiO

O

x—I O

O

x

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CM CO CO

g

CT'i OGG

O

O

x—I O

Ox—I

CM oo vo co

q1 O O Gi T\ O

CD

x—I CD CDx—I

>—i r- lo r- 'qr (T O O O O

CD

x

—I CD CD

x—I <—i vo co vo q1 O O O G\ O O t—I O O x—I <—i fo cm q r' or o g or o

CDx

—I CD CDx

—I H CM H CO LO G CD G G CD

CD rH CD CD t—I

rH CM

O CM OT

G CDGGG

O t-IOOO

CD CD Gi CD Gi G CD CO G G O rH O O O

VO

CTi

LO

CTi

CTi O

CO

CT'i

CO

CT'i O

CMG

CM

CT'i O

CT'i O

CTi COO 30

is1 aV

is -o

«3 H

a) 1 1—1 i—1 1—1

Q)

p 1 -H -H -H

CC

Ch 1 o o i—l o i—1 O •H 1 CO -rH CO >i -H CO -H i—1

TJ 1 1—1-P (U 03 -ID CD

O 03 -ID (U o -P o C 1 03 -H -ID o 1—1

-H -ID

O

—l

•H -ID

O 03 xn

03 1 •HO 03 03

a 03 i—1

03

U 03 i—1-P <0 1 -P •H 1—1 1—1

-H -H i—1

03 i—i

•H •H i—1

03 i—i P CJ P 1 C P 1—1

03U

U i—1 P 03

U

U—1 P 03

O

O 1 <U -P -rH SH P -P -H T3U 4D -ID •H T3

U

a lu -P 1 T3 U -ID p Q) U -ID •H P —1

CO

O -ID •rH P •—1

CO o u 1 •«H 0) CO C3 -ID £ Q) CO CO -P 03 P (U CO CO -ID 03 a 4-1 cu 1 CO 1—1

-H CU 03 £ i—1•H CD 03

O T3 1—1

•H 0) fti

O 03

O

CO 1 CD

w

Q 2 O

W

Q PC

XO

C

w

Q PC 2 (Jp 2 1 PC O »—1

Eh

35
Table

Ca-5.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

(excluding

general

inflation),

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

O

CMO

CMO

C\J O

CM 0

CO

rtf P0><0

-P

-P00

T30

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LOoo

CMpa<

CO

0)u

•H

TJC0PPa

<cT5

a)

4-> o(D

•nOP

CX o

CM

IT) T I o

CMO

CMO

CMO

CMO

CM

r-* oo

CMoo

CM

cd cd r- cd

co co oo o o o o

LO CD CD LO O CO CO CO o o o o

lo cd ro

O OO CD CO o o o o ^ lo cm O CO CO 00 o o o o o lo cm

CO CO CO CO o o o o

co cm

O CO CO CO o o o o

CO CM co o O CO CO CO o o o o

CM CM CD CO W CO CO h o o o o

CMH CO

h

CO 00 00 o o o o i—I t—I CO O' O CO CO C' o o o o i—I i—I CO 00 O 00 CO o o o o H CM co H

CO CO OO o o o o

cm lo

co oo co oo o o o o

CD [ CO CO 00 00 00 o o o o

00 rH CM LO

co co co co o o o o

CD

O t—I O CD

co co co co co o o o o o

If) <T\

O CTi CD

CO CO CO CO CO o o o o o

(Ti co r' cd

m co oo co cn o o o o o

co r- r- cd cd

co co co co co o o o o o

CO r- CD CD CD

co oo oo co co o o o o o

CM CD LD CD CD

CO CO CO CO CO o o o o o H CD ^ ^ CD

CO CO CO o o o o o

CD CO CO CD

CO 00 00 CO o o o o o

co ld cm cm r^- CO OO OO CO OA o o o o o

[*" lo «—i i—if

00 00 00 00 CO o o o o o

r- »h th oo CO co co co o> o o o o o [ CM co cr^ 00 00 00 00 CO o o o o o

oo cd lo lo a> oo oo oo oo co o o o o o

rH oo o co co

co co co co co o o o o o

cd co lo ac

CO CO CO CO CO o o o o o

CO LO CO CD 00 CO CO 00 00 CO o o o o o

CO LO CO ^ CO

CO CO CO 00 CO o o o o o

CO LO

O i—I CO

CO CO 00 CO CO o o o o o

lo cd co co

co co co r- co o o o o o

^rroLOCorco co co r- co o o o o o

ro ro ^ co ( CO CO 00 ( CO o o o o o

cm oo co

co co co r- co o o o o o o oo cm r- co co oo r- co o o o o o

OO CMHO

h

CO CO CO O' CO o o o o o

COH

O CM CO

oo co oo r- co o o o o o

CO I o oo 00

CO CO CO o- CO o o o o o

Of

H LD CO

CO 00 00 P~ CO o o o o o H CO LD O' CO

co oo oo co o o o o o

co co o co CO 00 CO 00 CO o o o o o [— r"~ cm o

CO CO CO CO o O O O O rH

00o

CD

00o

CD

COo

LT) 00o

LD00o

in

00o

00o

00o

r-00

00o

COo

CD

CO 0 i rH r—1

rH <D

p i •H •H •H

C c

IX i o o rH o i—1 O •H i >i >1 •H in >1 •H in H i—1

T3 i •—i

-P 0 rtf 4-J 0 o rtf 4-J 0 o rtf 4-J 0 C i rtf •H -P a i—1

•H 4-J

O rH •H 4-J

O rtf in

rtf i •HU rtf rtfu rtf rH rtfO rtf i—1

4-J rtf i -P •H i—1 •—i

•H •H rH rtf i—1•H •H rH rtf

—i P O P i C P i—1

rtf

a P i—1 P rtf P P <—1 P rtf o O i 0 -P •H P P -P •H T3 P 4-J 4-J •H T3 P cx P

-P i TJU -P P 0 U 4-> •H P rH in

U P H P rH inO

O i •H 0 if) to -P

p 0 in (/) P rtf P 0 in in P rtf

C -P 0 i U) rH •H CM rtf P i—1 H 0 rtf O T3 rH •H 0 rtf O rtf o

in i CD

w

Q o wa QC 2; CJ

Cw

a CC 2 O P s i VC CJ H Eh

36
Table

Ca-5,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

(excluding

general

inflation),

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type. 1 LO 1 r- 1 co i OD 1 O 1 11 CM 11 o 1 i r- 1 CO 1 CD 1 O 1 l1 CM 11 o 1 CO 1 r- 1 CO 1 CD 1 O 1 11 CM 11 o o 1 CM 1 r- o 1 co i CD 1 O 1 X 1 1 CM 1 o

II 1 X 1 1 r- LO 1 P0 1 CD o 1 O 1 o 1 CM 1 o

CM 1 1 1 O 1 X 1 1 CO 1 CD 1 O 1 1—1 1 CM 1 o H 1 1 Pa 1 CD | < 1 CM 1 CD —

1 O 1 1 CM 1 o

CO 1 1 CD

CD

U 1 00 1 rO' •H 1 CM 1 CD

rd X3 1 O 1 P C 1 CM 1 o

CD I—i 1 1 < CD 1 r- f O 1 CM 1 CD

CO •H 1 O 1 (D P 1 CM 1 o

-P Ch 1 1 rd

4_) •—1 1 VO 1 VO

CO a> 1 CM 1 CD p 1 O 1 T5 h-, 1 CM 1 o

CD 1 1 -P x—1

•H 1 LO 1 VO c 1—1 1 CM 1 CD D •H 1 O 1 P 1 CM 1 o

O, 1 1 < 1 i VO

T3 1 CM 1 CD

CD 1 O 1 -P 1 CM 1 o U 1 1 CD •ro 1 CO 1 VO O 1 CM 1 CD P 1 O 1 0-i 1 CM 1 O

VO LO VO i—1 *vT CD o CM CD CD CD o o O o O o O O X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1

LO LO o oo 00 CD

X

—1 CD CD CD o o o CD o o O O X—1 X—1 X—1 O X 1

LO LO o CM VO CD

X 1 CD CD CD o O o CD o O o O X—1 X—1 X 1 O X—1 o X 1 LO CO X—1

CD CD CD o o o CD o O o o X 1 X 1 X 1 O X—1

co CO CD o X 1 CD CD CD CD o o CD o O o o O X—1 X—1 O X—1

CM 00 00 CD CD CM rX 1 CD CD • CD CD CD O CD o O o o O O X—1 o X 1

CM CM co CD CO

x—1

VO

X 1 CD CD CD CD CD o CD o O O O O O x—1 O X 1 x—1

CM CM OO o VO o

CD CD CD CD CD o CD o O O O O o X—1 O x—1 O CM x—1

00 VO 00 LO o

CD CD CD CD CD CD CD o O O O O o O O x—1 o X—1 X 1 00 LO CD

CD CD CD CD CD CD CD CD O O O O O O o o

CD

x

—1 O r- VO CD

00 CD CD CD CD CD CD CD O O O o o O O O

CD

X

—1 O r~~ CO LO CO CD

00 CD CD CD CD CD CD CD O O O O o O O O

CO

O CD ["* CM CM CD

CO CD 00 CD CD CD CD CD O O O o O o O O

CT» CTi CTi oo o o o o cd t—I x—I x—I CD x—I CD

co co co ro no

OOO CDO CD

x—I \—I \—I CDx—I CD t— vo ["- co co

OOO CD

O CD

x—I t—I

i—I CDx—I CD

CO CD LO CD CO CM O O O CD O CD t—I x—I i—I CD i—I CD

CO LO CO LO CO CM O O O CD O CD x—I x—I \—I CD x—I CD

cm r-1 cm <—i O O O CD O CD i—1 x—I t—1 CD x—I CD

CM COO CO CM r-H

OOO CDO CD

x—I x—I x—I CDx—I CD

CM CM CD CO r—I O O O CD CD O CTi x—I x—I CD CD t—1 CD x—\ x—I h CM H O O O CTi Ci O CD X I X I O O X I O x—I x—I VO i—I x—I CD o O C C O 00

x—I x—I OO x—i O

HC ^ OH CD

O Ci Ci Ci

O 00 t—I CD CD CD i—I O O CO co C H CO o C C CO O 00 x—I CD CD CD t—I O

CD C"- CM CO CD CO O C C 00 O 00 x—I O O O x—I o

CM

CMO

CM

vo co c oo r- cm co cm C 00 CO 00 Ci C C C5^ c O

x

—I 00 O'!

O (C Cl CO Ci

r-oo o o o o o o o o o x-H O O O O o

CMo

CM

vo r^- co co rH cm i—i h C CO CO CO CD CD CD CD CD o vo o r- cd O Ci Cl 00 Ci co o o o o o o o o o o o o o o i—1 11 (D 1 1—1 i—1 1—1

CD P 1 -H -H -H C C

P, 1 o o i—1 o i—1 O •H 1 >1 CO -H CO -H CO •H <—1

T5 1 i—1

-p CD rd -p 0) o rd -P CD o rd -P o C 1 rd -H -P O i—1

-H -p

O i—1•H -P

O rd

m

rd 1 -H

O rd rdO rd i—1rd

O rd i—1-P a) 1 -P •H i—1 i—1

-H -H i—1rd i—1•H P <—lrd 1—1 P (J P 1 C P i—1

rd

U P i—1 P rd P P i—1 P rd

O

O 1 a> -P •H P P -P -H T3 P -P -P -H T3 P a,

-P 1 T5

O -P P CDO -P -H P i—1

CO o -P •H P rH CO o O 1 *H CD CO o -P £ CD CO CO -P rd P CD CO (0 -P rd c 4-1 CD 1 CO i—1

•1—1

rd £ i—1

-H CD rd

O T3 i—1

•H CD rd

O rd o

CO 1 CD

W

Q

OW

Q PC 2 O

C

w

Q PC 2 O P 2 1 PC CJ M

37
Table Cb-1. Projected average fuel price escalation rates, excluding general inflation,

by end-use sector and fuel type.

Census Region 1 (Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire,

New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Vermont

)

Percentage change compounded annually

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Sector and Fuel to to to to to to

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Residential

Electricity -2.2 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2

Distillate Oil -4 .

1

0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8

LPG -2 .

9

0.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.4

Natural Gas -4.2 0.7 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.5

Commercial

Electricity -4.8 3.7 1 .

4

0.4 0.4 0.4

Distillate Oil -3.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.0 1.0

Residual Oil -4 .

1

1 .

1

1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3

Natural Gas -3.9 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6

Coal -0.7 -0.4 -0.1 0.5 0.2 0.2

Industrial

Electricity -4.2 2.8 1 .

9

0.6 0.6 0.6

Distillate Oil -3.0 1.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9

Residual Oil -4 .

6

1.4 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.4

Natural Gas -5.7 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.8

Coal -0.6 -0.2 -0.1 0.6 0.2 0.2

Transportation

Motor Gasoline -3.3 -0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6

38
I'able Cb-2. Projected average fuel price escalation rates, excluding general inflation

by end-use sector and fuel type.

Census Region 2 (Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota,

Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Dakota, Wisconsin)

Percentage change compounded annually

2005 2010

Sector and Fuel to

2010

to

2015

Residential

Electricity CT> O

1 0.7

Distillate Oil -4.2 0.2

LPG -4 . 1 0.3

Natural Gas -5.3 0.9

Commercial

Electricity -1 .

9

1 .

7

Distillate Oil -3.5 0.6

Residual Oil 1 ’vT 00 1.3

Natural Gas -4.3 1.3

Coal CM O 1 1 o u>

Industrial

Electricity 00 i 1 1— 1.5

Distillate Oil -3 .

1

1.3

Residual Oil 1 CO 1.3

Natural Gas o 1 CD 1 .

6

Coal -0 .

3

0.0

Transportation

Motor Gasoline 1 u> o

CM O

1

2015 2020 2025 2030

to to to to

2020 2025 2030 2035

0.5 0.1 0.1 0 .

1

1.2 0.8 0.7 0.8

0.9 0.7 0.5 0.5

1.2 1.0 0.7 0.7

1 .

1

0.4 0.3 0.3

1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0

1.4 1.3 1.5 1.5

1 .

1

0.8 0.7 0.7

o o 1.0 0.2 0.2

1 .

5

0.5 0.4 0.4

0.5 0.7 1.0 0.9

1 . 4 1.3 1.5 1.5

1 .

4

1 .

1

0.9 0.9

0 .

1

0 .

6

0.3 0.3

0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6

39
Table Cb-3. Projected average fuel price escalation rates, excluding general inflation,

by end-use sector and fuel type.

Census Region 3 (Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida,

Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South

Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia)

Percentage change compounded annually

Sector and Fuel

2005

to

2010

2010

to

2015

2015

to

2020

2020

to

2025

2025

to 2030

2030

to

2035

Residential

Electricity -1.9 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0

Distillate Oil -4.2 0.3 1 .

1

0.6 0.7 0.8

LPG -3.2 ' 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4

Natural Gas -4 .

6

1.0 1.3 0.5 0.6 0.6

Commercial

Electricity -2.4 0.7 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3

Distillate Oil . -3.5 0.6 1.0 0.9 1 .

1

1.0

Residual Oil -3.9 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.4

Natural Gas -4.2 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.7 0.7

Coal -0.3 -0.2 0.0 0.3 -.0.1 0.2

Industrial

Electricity -2.3 0.7 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3

Distillate Oil - 3.6 1.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0

Residual Oil -4.2 0.8 1 .

1

1.4 1 .

4

1.5

Natural Gas -6.9 2.0 2.1 0.6 1 .

1

1.0

Coal -0.3 -0.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2

Transportation

Motor Gasoline -3.1 -0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6

40
Table Cb-4. Projected average fuel price escalation rates, excluding general inflation

by end-use sector and fuel type.

Census Region 4 (Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii

,

Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, Washington, Wyoming)

Percentage change compounded annually

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Sector and Fuel to to to to to to

2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

Residential

Electricity -2 . 1 -0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2

Distillate Oil -3.5 0.3 1 . 1 0.9 0.7 0.7

LPG -4 . 8 -0.2 0.8 1 . 6 0.6 0.5

Natural Gas -4.5 0.7 0.5 1.5 0.7 0.6

Commercial

Electricity -2.4 -0.1 -0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2

Distillate Oil -2.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 0 . 9 0.9

Residual Oil -4 . 7 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4

Natural Gas -3.5 0.9 0.3 1 . 4 0.7 0.7

Coal -0.7 -0.6 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.2

Industrial

Electricity -2.0 -0.2 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.3

Distillate Oil -1 . 6 1.2 0.5 1 . 1 0.9 0.8

Residual Oil -4.5 1.2 0.9 1 . 3 1 . 4 1.5

Natural Gas -4.3 1 . 1 0.6 1 . 9 0.9 0.9

Coal -0.9 -0.4 1 . 0 1 . 0 0.1 0.2

Transportation

Motor Gasoline -2.8 - 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5

41
Table Cb-5. Projected average fuel price escalation rates, excluding general inflation

by end-use sector and fuel type.

United States Average

Percentage change

2005 2010

Sector and Fuel to to

2010 2015

Residential

Electricity 00 1 1 1— 0.6

Distillate Oil -4 .

1

0.5

LPG -3.7 0.2

Natural Gas -4 .

7

0.8

Commercial

Electricity 1 Os] 00 1.2

Distillate Oil -3.5 0.6

Residual Oil 1 Os] 1 .

1

Natural Gas -4 .

1

1 .

1

Coal o i -0.3

Industrial

Electricity -2.3 1.0

Distillate Oil 1 Os] 1.2

Residual Oil -4.4 1.0

Natural Gas -6.2 1 .

7

Coal -0.4 <

—

o 1 1

Transportation

Motor Gasoline -3.1 -0.2

compounded annually

2015 2020 2025 2030

to to to to 2020 2025 2030 2035

0.4 0.1 0.1

i

—

1

o

o 00 0.6 0.7 0.8

o CO 0.8 0.4 0.5

1 .

1

1.0 0.6 0.6

o 00 0.3 0.3 0.3

o 00 o 00 1.0 1.0

1.2 1 .

1

1.3 1.3

0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7

o o 0.7 0.2 0.2

1.2 0.4 0.4 0.3

0.5 0.9 0.9 0.9

1.1 1.3 1 .

4

1.5

1.7 0.9 1.0 1.0

0.1 0.5 0.2 0.2

0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6

42
PART II: ENERGY PRICE INDICES FOR PRIVATE SECTOR LCC

ANALYSIS

This section presents tables of projected nominal (i.e., including inflation) fuel price indices for

four fuels in the residential sector and five fuels in the commercial sector for each of the years

from 2005 through 2035. These price indices are based on the DOE energy price projections,

reported in Part 1, Section B of this document, used to calculate the FEMP and OMB UPV*

factors for energy costs. Tables S-l to S-5 are provided as an update to similar tables originally

published in Comprehensive Guide for Least-Cost Energy Decisions (NBS SP 709).

As a convenience for the user, the indices include the effect of four alternative, hypothetical rates of general price inflation: 2, 3, 4, and 5%. Selection of these rates is in no way intended to suggest what actual rates might be. Use of the indices produce price estimates in current dollars,

inclusive of general price inflation. Current-dollar prices are needed when discounting is performed with discount rates that include general price inflation (i.e., nominal or market

discount rates).

The calculated indices with inflation rates of 2, 3, 4, and 5% allow the analyst to perform

evaluations based on the assumption of a positive rate of general price inflation that changes the

purchasing power of the dollar. Performing evaluations in current dollars is sometimes preferred

for private investment decisions, primarily because it facilitates the treatment of taxes.

The indices in Tables S-l through S-5 are derived from the indices reported in Tables Ca-1

through Ca-5 by means of the following equation:

Wc*(i+sr,

where Is = index found in Tables S-l through S-5;

Ic = index found in Tables Ca-1 through Ca-5;

g = annual rate of general price inflation in decimal form; and

N = number of years, in this case equal to the year of the index minus 2005.

Example of How to Use the Indices:

Suppose you wish to estimate the annual cost of natural gas for a house in Maryland in year

2010, given the annual cost in 2005 (April 1) prices, and you expect an annual inflation rate of

3% per year. From table S-3, find the column with residential natural gas indices at an inflation

rate of 3%; then locate the index for the year 2010. This index is 0.91. Multiply the annual cost

in 2005 prices by the index to find the estimated annual cost in year 2010 prices.

If this annual cost in year-2010 prices is to be discounted to present value, you must use a nominal discount rate that includes the same assumption with regard to general price inflation

(3% in this example). To obtain a present-value cost over the entire study period, the presentvalue calculation must be repeated for each year that there are natural gas costs, and the results

summed. (UPV* factors are not given for private sector use because of the large number o! tables required to cover potential discount rates that might be used by the analyst.) 1 he Bl ( (

43
computer program can perform LCC analyses using any inflation rate and discount rate, in constant or in current (market) dollars. The DISCOUNT program, included with BLCC, can compute UPV* factors based on DOE energy price escalation rates using any inflation rate and

discount rate. (See page iv for more information on these programs.) Of course, the private sector analyst may use the UPV* factors reported in Part I, provided the analysis is performed in constant dollars and the desired discount rate corresponds to the DOE or OMB discount rates used in Part I.

For further explanation of the use of these indices, see NBS Special Publication 709, appendix B,

Part 1.

The data in the tables that follow are reported for the four Census regions and the U.S. average.

Figure B-l on page 13 presents a map showing the states corresponding to the four Census

regions. The Census regions do not include American Samoa, Canal Zone, Guam, Puerto Rico,

Trust Territory of the Pacific Islands, or the Virgin Islands. Analysts of federal projects in these

areas should use data which are "reasonable under the circumstances," and may refer to the

tables with U.S. average data for guidance.

44
Table

S-l.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type. 11 11 05 00 CO o CO r- CM 05 CO CD

p CM CM co CD 00 05 CM CD o «sT 05 uo CM o 00 CD 05 CM 1 1 o\o 05 05 05 o o o X 1 rH CM CO p in CD r- co 05 o I—1

no CD P" CO o CMp uo P^ 05 CM 1 CO

cd 1 O

O o I—1 I 1 X

—1 rH

X

—1 X 1 X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 i—i i—i i—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO no CO CO CO P 1 1 CD 1 <j 1 P CD CD CD 00 X 1 in o p- p 05 m co CM o 00 P" CO co CM CM CM CM no uo p- 05 CO V£ 1 1 cd o\° 05 05 05 05 05 o o 1—1 X—1

CM CM COm CD CD co 05 o i—1

CM COp uo CD p- 00

O

X 1 1 —i 1 cd p 1 03 1 O O o o o X 1 l—1 X 1 X—1 X 1 X 1 rH X 1 i—i i—1 X—1 X 1 i—i X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO 1 P 1 c 1 P 1 o 1 P 1 •p p- p CO CO p m CO CM p- CM CD X 1 CD co CO o UO I—1

p^ no 05 CD CM 05 CD CO i—1

05 p~ l 03 1 p o\o 05 05 05 05 05 05 05 o o X 1 lH CM CM co co uo in CD CD p" P" CO 05 05 o X 1 CM CM no 1 2 1 cd m 11 11 —i p o o o o o o o X 1 X 1 rH X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 I—1 i—i X 1 X 1 i—1

rHX 1 i—1 i—1 i—1 I—1CM CM CM CM CM 11 11 cM CO CO o 05 05 o CM uo 00 CM p r- X—1

CD 05 co p- o COX 1 m CO CM CD o P 00 CM p-

(D 1 1 o\° 05 05 05 CO CO 05 05 05 05 o o o X 1 i—1 i—1

CM CM co no no

p

p UO UO CD CD CD P- PM 1 1 CM

•H 1 1 o o o o o o o o o X 1 X

—1 X 1 X 1 i—1 x

—1 X 1 X 1 I—1 I—1 x—1 i—i X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X

—1 X 1 X i rH

X

—1

.c 1 1

if)

p o 1 Q, c o 1 E o 1 cd b l—1 1 1 X p 1 1 CO CO CM in o uo

X 1 CO uo CM o CO CD r- CO 05 o CM rX 1 uo I—1 pp CM

X 1 i—1 CM

CD II 1 1 o\<> 05 05 o o i—1 X 1 CM CM CO

p uom CD 00 05O CM CO vT uo p^ CO

O I—1 CO uo p- 05 i—1 3 > 1 1 LO

CD

m 1 1 O o I—1 I—1 X 1 X 1 X

—1 x—

H

X 1 X

—1 X 1 X 1 X—1 i—i i—i i—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co co no CO CO CO P 2 o 1 1 o 1 1 CD

*. c CM 1 1 P p- p- 05X

—1

uo 05 no CO CO 05m

X 1 C" CM o P" UO CMO 05 05 05 05 o CM CO CD 05

CO cd 1 1 cd o\° 05 05 05 o o o X

—1 X 1 CM CM CO

pm CD r-~ P- 00 05

O i—1 X 1 CM no P CD P~ 00 05

O

-p i—i 1 CO 1 cd P

-p CO I—1 1 O, 1 o o o I—1 X 1 p

X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 i—i X 1 i—i i—1 X 1 i—1 X 1 i—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO

cu P 1 a 1 c

CO 1—1 1 1 o p CD •H 1 1 •pH CD uo CD 00 o no CD o CO rX 1 CD o m

O uo i—1 CDx

—1 CD CM CO 05 CD CM 05 CD P i—1 jC T5 P 1 1 P o\<> 05 05 05 05 o o o rH X 1 X 1 CM CM CO no •^r UO m CD CD P- p~ 00 00 05 o O i—1

CM co

u o a 1 1 03 00

cd ,c cC 1 1 i—1 O o O o *

1 X

—1 r—1 X 1 I—1 X 1 I 1 X 1 X 1 i—i X 1 i—i x

—1 i—i i—1 i—1 i—1 i—i X 1 X—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM

(O cd 1 1 Pi

CO 1 1 C

01 CO 1 1 H uo no CO

p

m P" 05

X 1 p CD 05 CM

m 00 Ip CO

X 1 P^

O CO CD o co p- i—1 uo 05 CM s cd CD 1 1 o\° 05 05 05 05 05 05 05 o o o o i—1 X—1 x—1

CM CM CM co co co

p P uo uo uo CD CD CD P~

HU 1 1 CM

C 1 1 o o O o o o o X 1 X 1 X 1 X

—1 X 1 X 1 i—1 i—1 i—1 i—1 i—i X 1 rH i—i I—1 i—1

rH i—i

rH rH i—1 P P

<p cd T3 1 1 c > C hp •H i—i

1—l <

01

H s CO CD H 1 c O 2 1 CD

p CD 05p COp *—1

CO

m no

X

—1 o o 05 05 o x—1

co uo 05 no 05 uo CM o 05 05 o CO c H W 1 o\° 05 05 05 05 o o X 1 CM CM co p in CD r- P" 00 o i—1

CM CO CD P- 05 i—1

co P CD 05 1—1

•P CD P Q i—1 1 in P CU Id t—1

-H 1 O

O

O o X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 1—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 i—i i—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co CO CO

p

U CO o 1 •H •—1 w 1 CD P p CD Pd CD 1 P m no

pm 05 CM p~ CM r** no 05

X 1 00 UO CM

O CO CD co P p UO p- 05 CM CD o a p p 1 P 1 03 o\° 05 05 05 05 05 o o X 1 X—1

CM CM co KT in CD P" p" CO 05 o i—i CJ O'"p UO CD 00 05 rH

CD o 2 1 03 1 PC

p c >H 1 i—1 1 o o o o o X 1 X

—1 X 1 X 1 T 1 X 1 X 1 ip i—1 X 1 i—1 X—1 X 1 X 1 I—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co c X—1 1 i—1 1 C o 3 1 •H 1 o

CJ CD i 1 1 P 1 H

p

X

—1 I—1 CM

p r- o p CO CM CD o in o 05 vT 05m o CD CM 05 CD co o r- UO P CM

— 2 *f—1 1 CO 1 P o\° 05 05 05 05 05 05 o o o *—1 X 1 CM CM no no no in CD CD P- P~ CO 05 o o rH CM co P 1 •H 1 03 CO I 1 a 1 Q 1 i—l O o O o o o X 1 X—1 rH X 1 X 1 tp i—i X 1 x—1 X 1 i—i i—i X—1 rH X—1 i—1 i—1 p 1—1 CM CM CM CM CM c 1 1 P c CD I 1 C o CO T5 1 1 P CO 05 00 00 o X 1 no CD 05 X 1 p o no CD 05 CM uo 05 CM in 05 CO r- I—1 m 05 P 00 CO

-Hp CD 1 1 o\° 05 00 00 00 05 05 05 05 05 o o o i—i i—i x

—1 x

—1 CM CM CM no co no

pp UOm uo CD CD P*

tT> CD P 1 1 CM

CD *"0 o 1 1 O o o o o o o o o r—1 X 1 X

—1 i

i i

i i—1 i—1 iP I—1 X 1 rH ii ii 1—1 rHp i—i

rH rH rH P

cd CD 1 1 3 r~i 1 CO CD o 1 p 2 p 1 CO Id 1 1 c 1 1 05 o pp CM CO CO no no

X 1 o i—ino CD P" 05 co r- i—i

p- co o p- CD CD P~ CD

CD 1 1 o\° 05 05 o o X 1 CM CO

pm CD r- 00 05 o ip CM CO CD p" 05 o CMp uo r- 05

p co CD o 1111 P 1111 CD m O o I—1 I—1 X—1 X 1 X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X—1 X 1 x—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO co co co CO P P P 1 •H 1 P 00 m r- CO 05 CD P CM X 1 00 p p 05 P" CD CM 05 05 05 CO f t 05 o p co CD 05 CD 1 O 1 03 o\o 05 05 05 o o X 1 CM CO p p m CD CD r- CO 05 O O rH CM co p UO p' 00 05 O CO P 1 •pH 1 cd p 1 P 1 O o o I—1 I—1 X 1 x—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 P i—1 i—i i—1 1—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co co co 1 P 1 c 1 O 1 o 1 CD 1 •pH p p 05 p 05 CD CO 05 p 05 no 05 m o CD iP CD CM 00 •^r P P- p rH 00 CD CO H 05 1 1 1 1 P o\° 05 05 05 05 o o X 1 CM CM CO CO in CD CD 00 00 05 o O rH CM CM CO P 1 W 1 03 CO 11 11 i—l P o o o o X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 p X 1 i—1 i—i i—i X 1 i—1 P X—1 i—1

rH iH P CM CM CM CM CM CM 11 11 c1—1 CD CM CM m 05 no 05 no CO CM P r- «—i

in 05 CM UO 00 rp UO 00 CM CD 05 CO r- in 05 11 11

o\° CM 05 05 05 05 05 o o l—1 X—1

CM CM CM co co CO ^rm in uo CD CD CD CO CD 00

CM o O

OOOX 1 X 1 rHX

—1

rH i—1 X 1 X 1 rH rH i—1rH rH rH rH rH rH - - - - ^ -

JH CD P- CO 05

O rH CM cop uo CD p~ CO 05 o i—1CM ro P UO CD 00

cd

OOOO i—1 i—1 P «—i X 1 I—1 i—1 p 1—1 P CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CMOOO rr

0)OOOO o o O o o o O

O o O

O

OO

O

O

OO o o o o o o c

>H CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM Os

45
Table

S-l,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

0

U

-H0a

£

0x

02

0P

4-> 0

0

DX

U

0

0

(0

03 2

0

C

P

C

o

£

u

0>

-ac

03

i—

I

0M

0

XSOX

cc

aJ •HC

03>

03 >i 2 0

c

- c P 0

d a. u

•rH ^ P 44 u u

0 O

C >h C

O 2

CJ 02

>i c 0

o 0

•H P

Cn 0

0 h) X

5

to d) D 2

0

c0

CJ

o

o

LT> O

O

CM

•HUa

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0

d)u

•H

XJcM

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CU

0

D

Ch

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M

H

Pa

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u

0

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p

cu

0

oo

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•rH o

r~Htop

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•rH Q

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u

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o’ O ID CNJ o’ 03 o’ O p O’ rH 03 p ID D p CO o CO LO 00 CO r~- CNJ o ID m O’ oo in

o\° LO o 1-1 i—1 CNJ CNJ CNJ co o’ o’ in ID ID p CO 03 o co O’ m ID oo 03 x—

1

CO O’ ID 00 o CM

i—i i—1 <

1 x—

1

-< t—i X

1 i—1 CM CNJ CN1 CNJ CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO O’ O’ 0

-P co CO CO r- 00 CNJ m 03 m o m p CO 03 p m O’ CO 03 03 03 00 03 O CM CO in 03 0 o\° o o t—

1

<—

i

1—1 CNJ CNJ CM CO o’ o’ in LO CD ID p CO 03 O rH x—1 CNJ oo O’ m r- OO 03 o rH

cc o’ C

5f

1-1 I—

1

1-1 i—

i

i—1 1-1 1-1 i—

i

i—

i

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rH i—1 rH i—

1

CNJ CNJ CNJ CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO o

-H CNJ ID O CO CNJ m p O CO p o O’ 00 CNJ p CM r* co 03 O’ 03 in O' O’ o r-~ O’ 03

-P o\° O O i—| i—

i

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1

i—i <—i CN1 CN1 CM CO co CO O’ O’ in m ID ID r- r* oo 03 03 o '—

1

i—

i

CNJ 00 CO 0 CO

'—

1

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1-1 rH 1-1 i—

i

i—

1

i—

i

I—

1

i—

i

1-1 i—

1

1-1 1-1 1-1 *• i—

i

1-1 rH rH CM CM CM CM CNJ CM CM o’ p oo r-~ OD 03 CO m p 03 CNJ O’ p o co O' O CO VD o CO ID o 00 O' O O’ OO

o\°

CNJ o o o o o O O X 1 i—

i

CNJ CM CM CO CO CO O’ O’ O’ m in m VD VD VD r- r- ri-H rH X—1 (—

1

rH rH t-H rH rH rH rH rH rH rH rH I—

1

rH X 1 rH rH i—

1

rH rH x—

1

x—

1

rH rH X—1 rH

03 OO 00 i—

1

in o VD CO rH 03 r" in in VD r- 00 o X 1 CO r- rH VD rH 00 m co CO CO m 00

5% 03 03 03 o o I—

1

i—

1

CNJ CO CO O’ in VD r- oo 03 x—

1

CM CO O’ VD r- 03 o CM O’ VD 00 o CM O O O I—

1

X

1 «—

1

t—

1

x—

1

x 1 x—

1

CM CNJ CM CM CM CM CNJ CO co CO CO CO O’ O’ 0

-P 00 VD VD r-~ o CO 00 O’ o r- CM 00 m O’ CM o 03 VD m O’ CO CO O’ m VD 00 O CO r- 0 o\° 03 03 03 03 o o o rH CM CM co CO O’ m VD r- r- OO 03 o rH CM CO O’ m VD 00 03 o CNJ CC O’ c O O O o 1-1 I—

1

rH '—

1

X

1 x 1 X1 X1 i—

i

X—

1

rH 1-1 CM CM CM CM CM CNJ CM CM CM CO CO o

•H r- O’ CO O’ in 00 m o m 03 CO 00 m O VD VD CM OO O’ X

1 r- O’ X—

1

00 D O’ CM O

P o\° 03 03 03 03 03 03 o o X

1 >—

i

rH CNJ CNJ co O’ O’ in m VD VD r- CO 00 03 o o i—

1

CM CO O’ 0 CO

i—

1

4H o O O O o o <—

1

i—

i

I—

1

1-1 rH x—

1

rH t—

i

1—

1

«—

1

X

1 x 1

i—

1

rH 1—

1

rH 1—

1

CM CM CNJ CM CM CNJ C

i-i VD CNJ O O CM O’ C" O’ r- 03 CO oo I—

1

in 00 rH in 00 CNJ VD 03 CO r- CM D O m 03 2%

03 03 03 03 03 03 03 03 o O o O x—

1

CM CM CM CO co CO O’ O’ O’ m in VD D r- r- r- O O O o O O O O rH rH rH rH x—

1

x—

1

i—

1

X

1 i—

1

I—

1

rH i—

1

1—

1

1—

1

1—

1

X

1 X1 rH >—

1

rH rH rH

CM 03 03 O CO 03 D co x 1 03 00 r- n- 00 03 O CO D 03 O’ o 00 D D D 00 CM r* co CM 5% O 03 03 o O O X 1 CNJ CO CO O’ in D r- 00 o 1—1 CM CO in r~ 00 O CM O’ D 03 O’ P- O o 1—1 -1 H -1 1—1 rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co CO CO O’ O’ O’ 0P rH r- D D 03 CO 03 O’ o CO o CO m O’ CM O O o i—1 co D 03 CO C" CO 03 D O’ 0 dP O 03 03 03 03 o O <—

1

CM CM CO O’ O’ in D r- OO 03 O rH CM CO O’ m r- CO O i—

1

CO m

CC O’ c

rH o o O O X

1 t—

1

(—

1

i—

I

r’ I—

1

X

1 rH rH 1-1 1-1 rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO co o

*H O m CO CO O’ r" CNJ D o in o m o D CM r- O’ o D CO O 00 r" in O’ CO CO co O’ m

p o\° o 03 03 03 03 03 o o rH rH CM CM CO CO O’ O’ in D D r" 00 OO 03 o rH CM CO O’ m D

0 CO

1—

1

p

X—

1

o O O O o (—

1

t—

l

i—

1

'H rH rH X—

1

1-1 rH x—

1

X 1 X—

1

rH X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM cM 03 O’ O 03 03 CM m 00 O’ 00 i—

i

in 00 CM D o O’ 00 CM r** CM r- CM 00 CO 03 m 00

o\° CNJ 03 03 03 OD 00 03 03 03 o o o i—

i

t—

i

1—

1

CM CM CO CO CO O’ O’ m m D D r-* c- 00 03 03 O o O O O o o O *—

1

X—

1

X—

1

rH rH X

1 X1 i—

1

1—

1

rH X

1 rH i—

i

rH x—

1

x—

1

i—

1

rH rH rH x—

1

X—

1

r* D OO O D O’ o r~ CO rH 00 r- D D m D r- OD O m o D CM o CO OD 03 i—

1

O’ 03 5%

03 03 03 O O i—

1

CM CM CO O’ O’ m D r- 00 03 o X—1 CO O’ D P* 03 rH CM O’ D 03 CO o o o x—

1

X 1 X

1 X—1 X 1 X1 x—

1

rH i—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO CO CO CO O’ O’ 0P D O’ m ["- 1—

1

n- CM r— CM 0D CO o r- O' i—

1

00 D O’ CM CM CO CO in D 00 in 03 O’ O

0 o\° 03 03 03 03 o o i—

1

i—

i

CM CM CO O’ O’ in D D r- OD 03 O X

1 CM CO O’ in r* OD 03 rH CO

CC O’ c O O o O 1—

1

i—

i

rH rH X—

1

rH 1—

1

x—

1

rH x—

1

x—

1

X—

1

1-1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM cn CO o

•H in CM CM CO r- i—

i

in OO CM D o o* 03 in 03 O’ o O’ O r- O’ 00 m CO I—

1

03 00 r- r-~ P o\° 03 03 03 03 03 o o O rH rH CM CM CM CO CO O' in in D D r- 0D OO 03 o rH i—

1

CM co O’ 0 CO

rHP

O O O O o rH t—

i

i—

1

l—

1

I—

1

rH rH x—

1

rH rH rH t—

i

X—

1

x—

1

(—

1

i—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM O’ o O 03 CM in oo o CO m 00 O’ r" O CO C" 03 CO r* CNJ D o m 03 O’ 03 O’ 03 O’

o\° 03 03 03 00 03 03 03 o o o o i—

i

CM CM CM CM CO CO O’ O’ in in in D D r- r" 00 O O O O o o O rH X—

1

rH x—

1

rH rH X

1 rH rH i—

1

rH X—

1

1—

1

rH rH rH rH X

1 rH x—

1

rH rH rH

x—

1

i—

1

in o D 00 03 i—

1

co CM CM CO D 00 o CM CO p X

1 D CM 00 LO O’ CO CO O’ P rH

o\° 03 03 03 03 o O CM O’ in D r" 00 03 o CM CO O’ in r* 00 o x—

1

CO in p 03 CO D

O O O o x—

1

i—

1

i—

1

t—

1

x—

1

i—

1

i—

1

rH x—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO co CO 00 O' O' O' 0P D O OO rH in o o 03 03 03 D CO CM rH O 03 r* in O' O’ O’ O’ in r- 00 rH O’ p D

0 o\° 03 03 OO 03 03 o 1—

1

rH CM CO O’ m D r- 00 00 03 o 1—

1

CM CO O’ in D p 03 O I—

1

CO O'

CC O’ c O o o O o I—

1

rH 1—

1

i—

1

i—

1

t—

i

rH x—

1

rH x—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 00 00 CO co o

•H in oo in OO o in co O 03 D VD CO o D CM r- CM oo m 0D O’ rH 03 D O* CM o 03 p o\o 03 00 oo 00 03 03 O t—

1

<—

1

CM co co O’ m in D D p* r- 00 03 03 o i—

l

i—

1

CM CO O’ m m

0 CO

'—

1

p

o o o O o o i—

1

i—

1

rH 1-1 rH 1—

1

rH i—

i

x—

1

i—

1

X 1 1—

1

1—

1

rH X—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM c

IH O’ D co O’ D 03 D CM 03 O’ 00 X—

1

D X—

1

in 03 CM O’ 00 CM D 03 CO P in O O’ 03 CO

o\o CM

03 00 00 00 00 00 03 O O <—

1

rH CM CM co CO CO O’ O’ O’ m m LO D D P P OO OD oo 03 OOOOOOOrHi—

I

<—li—IrHrHrHrHrHrHrHr-IrHrHrHi—li—li-Hr-Ht—I H H H

P d P

0 O O

0

>H CNJ CNJ

oo 03 o o

o o

CNJ CNJ

O ' I

I—I I—

I

0.0

CNJ CNJ

CNJ CO

<—I i—

I

o o

CNJ CNJ

o’ in

i—i »—

i

o o

CNJ CNJ

cc p

i—I rH o o

CNJ CNJ

00 03 O rH CM

rH rH CNJ CNJ CNJ O O O O O

CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ

CO o’

CNJ CNJ O O

CNJ CNJ

in CD Is- CO 03 o

CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CO O O O O O O

CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ

i—i cm co o’ i n

CO CO CO CO CO o o o o o

CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ 46
Table

S-l,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type. I 1 *vT 00 Oh 00 LO CM Oh LO o Oh oo Oh o CM

X 1 Oh oo ,—1O' 00 oo CM *vT in l 1 o\° O O I—1 1—1

CM CM oo ^r vT LO LO r> 00 00 Oh o CM OO LO O' 00 o CM 00 LO r" Oh co 11 11 i—1 1—1 1—1 X 1 I—1 1—1 X 1 I—1 t—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co 00 co CO 1l 11

03 P OO LO o LO 00 LO

X 1 LO CM r-* CM Oh LO Oh O' LO LO LO LO LO LO 00O LO 1 1 03 o\° o O ,—1 1—1 I—1

CM CM CO CO 'LT ^r LO LO LO O' O' oo Oh o I—1

CM co LO LO P" 00 o i—iCM 1 03 1 PC l O 1 T—1

r—| I—1 I—1 1—1 X

—1

I—1 I—1rH I—1 X 1 I—1 I—1 x

—1 <—1 I—1

rHX

—1CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO < v ) to 11 O 11 ao l 1 -H CM r- I—1

CM 00 rH LO Oh CO LO o oo ^r 00

X 1 O' 00 Oh LO CM CO CM Oh 1 1 P o\o O o o I—1 f—1 I—1

rH CM CM CM CO CO RJ1 LO LO LO ["- CO 00 Oh

OO i—iCM CM co •vT 1 1 03 co 11 11 i—1 P i—1 i—i

rH t—1

1-1 I—1 <—1rH 1-1x

—1 X 1 1-1 1-1 I—1 I—1 X 1 X 1 <—1 X 1 x

—1 T 1 i—1

CM tM CM CM CM CM CM 11 11 cM i—1

CM LO O' 00 o CM ^r r~" Oh

X 1 CO LO oo CM 00 CM LO Oh oo LOO 00 LO

X 1 Oh CM 1 1 o\o o O o o o o '—1 I—1 X 1 1—1 I—1

CM CM CM CM CO CO CO LO LO LO LO LO p" p- p" 00 111 11 1—1 i—1

rH «—1 I—1 5 1 I—1 X

—1 X—1 I—1 X 1 (—1

1-1 I—1 X 1 1-1 i—1 X 1 X

—1 i—i I—1 i—1 11l 11 CD OO CM CO LO Oh LO CM o Oh LO CO CO LO LO 00 Oh o CM LO o LO o LO CO 00 LO Oh 1 1 o\° LO

Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh o CM CM CO •vT LO LO r- oo Oh I—1

CM CO LO LO CO Oh i—1

CO

m r- Oh I—1 1 to

03 1 O o o o o o X 1 1—1 1—1 I—1 X

—1 X 1 I—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO co co co CO I 1 03 l O 1 P UO X—1

Oh Oh rH 00 oo o r- CM 00 LO LO CO '—1Oh O' LO LO LO LO LO LO 00

O CM LOO 1 1 03 o\o O'i

Oh 00 00 Oh Oh Oh o r-1 1—1

CM CM CO =cr LO LO LO r- 00 Oh o i—1CM CO LO p" CO

O

x

—1

03 1 •—1 1 PC 1 03 1 O o o o o o o rH I—1

rH I—1rH rH rH rH rHX 1 X 1 rH I—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO co

H 1 P 1 C 1 P 1 O o 1 P 1 •H Oh P" LO LO oo »—1

LO

X

—1

LO o Oh LO CM oo vT oo *^r I—1

O'O r- CM o 00 rm

a£

03 3G co£P

03 > oI—1

II 111111

03 2 111111 P

03 i—1 PCM

o\o CO

Oho

oo

COo

r00o

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00o

CM

CDo

CO

Oho

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1

CM o

LO 1—1 I—1Oh I—1 I—1LO

CMx—1 o

COI—1COX 1

00 CM

X 1

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LOX 1

00

LOX 1

CM

LO

LO

r-o

00 00

CO

Oh

CM

O

CM

pX 1

CM t—1 CM

LO

CM

CM'

1

co

CMm

03

1-0 1 1 o\° Oh CO oo 00 oo 00 00 00 Oh Oh Oh o o X 1 X 1 I—1CM CM CM CO co LO LO LO LO p" o I 1 OsJ T3C o

CM 11 11 o o o o o o o o o o o X

—1

1-1

X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 rH rH 1—1 l—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 1—1rHX 1 i—i

to 03 P '—1 P CO

03COP

x:u

03

(0

(0 i—1 1 1 i—i

O' O' oo ,

1 O'X 1 Oh LO LO LO LO LO COX 1 co CM 00 LO LO LO oo CM p" co

Rhode

•HPa< 111111 <—l • Ho 111111

03 P

o\° LO oI—1 o

Oho

LO

OhoOho o

LO o1—1 I—1 1—1LO

CM

CM

CM

i-H

oo

CO

LO

LO

CO

LO

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CO

00I—1

Oh1—1 o

CM

Oh

CM

CM

00

CO

CM

oo

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CM

00

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CMo

00

CM

CM

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CM00

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CM

LOCO

p"

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CO

00

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in

CO l 1 03 o\° o Oh Oh Oh Oh o o x

—1 I—1

CM CO CO •vr LO LO r- O' oo Oh o CM 00 LO P" COO i—i

co

m

03

03 1 03 1 PC O 1 P 1 X

—1 o o o o I—1 1—1 1—1 X 1 X 1 I—1 l—1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO co co co

-H XI T5 1 C

03 03 T5 < •H 1 o C H CO 1 -H Oh ^r

X

—1 o <—1

LO Oh vT Oh CO CO CO 00 o LO CM CO LO CM Oh [-" LO LO 00 00 O’ LO

l—l

pc 03 1 p o\P Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh o o rH

X 1 CM CM CO LO LO LO [-"

r~- OO Oh o rH CM 00 *vT ln LO

03 s H PC 1 03 00

to

03O

COD 11 i—1 P o o o o o o o I—1 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 I—1 1—1 I—1 X 1 X 1 X

—1 I—1 I—1 X 1 i—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

-H

Q 1 C Ppo

03 cu P 1 H oo CM CO r- r- o oo LO Oh CO LO o CO r- rH Oh CO O'

X 1 LO <1 LO CM P" CO Ohm CM OO

CUM11 111o\°

Cn] ONo

Oho

COooooooo

OhoOhoOhoOho o o X

—1 X 1 (—1

CM CM CM CO CO 'sT

M1 LO LO LO LO O' r- 00 Oh Oh

•Hp

03 1 1 o

03

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00 LO CM Oh LO LO LO LO CO LO LO O' Oh LO I—1

[-" 00 CM CM •^r LO

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•H 11 <—1 11

o\° LO ON Oh Oh o o CM CM oo LO LO O' 00 Oh o X

—1CM oo LO 00 o CM LO 00 o CO in P 1 •H 1 (P o o (—1 1—1 X—1 x—1 x—1 X—1 X—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO 00 oo a 1 o 1 1-1 < 1 1 03

03

toP

03 hj 1 03 1 P LO LO CO "31 o LO o LO O' 00 LO Oh I—1

CM CO LO Oh CM LO i—i

LO CM 1 P 1 03 o\° Oh Oh Oh Oh o 1—1 CM CM CO CO *LT LO LO LO O' 00 Oh Oh I—1

CM CO LO LO 00 Oh

X 1 CM

H

Cr> 03 c£

03 1 03 1 PC P • U

03 111 i—1 i—-H 111 CO

O o o o X 1 1—1 I—1 X 1 1—1 1-1 I—1 X

—1

rH 1—1 1—1 I—1 X

—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co

r~i 1 P 1 -H LO CM CO LO Oh CO CM LO Oh CO p"

X 1 LO rH LO 1—1

LO o LO i—1

00 LO 00

X 1 Oh OO C" LO

toD

COc

03 u 5 O 1 CO 1 P o\o ON Oh Oh Oh Oh o t—1 t—1 rH CM CM Ch CO ^r LO LO LO LO O' OO 00 Oh o X 1 X

—1 CM oo LT

m P

P-i 11

-rH Q 11 03 i—1 O0 O o o o o X 1 I—1 X 1 X 1 I—1 1—1 1—1 1—1 1—1 X 1 1—1 X 1 1—1 rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 111 111 PCH nT o I—1 LO LO r- Oh O' o CO LO Oh CM LO oo co oo CM LO i—1

LO

O inO LO rH 1 1 o\° CM Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh o o o o *-• I—1 CM CM CM CM CO CO CO LO LO LO LO O' p" OO 00 Oh 111 11 O o o o o I—1 >

1 x—1 I—1 X—1

1-1 1-1 1-1 1—1 1—1 1—1 I—1 >

i i—1 i—1 i—1

rH i—1 X 1 rH rH 111 11 O O' 00 X—1

CO O' r- r" o 1—1 1—1 <

1 oo I—1

r~ oo oo 00 o LO LO LO r- o T o 1 1 o\° LO O Oh Oh o o o 1-1 CM •^r LO LO O' 00 Oh X 1 CM CO ^r LO r- Oh rH CM ^T LO 00 o CO m 00 1 1 -i o o I—1 H 1—1 I—1 I—1 I—1 n 1—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co co CO CO 00 ^r •'T 1 P 1 03 1 -H 1 P Oh LO LO P" 00 rH Oh 00 00 r- LO CO CM CO CO CM x—1

Oh Oh o o x

—1 CO LO

—1 T Oh o 1 O 1 03 o\° Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh o o 1—1 CM CO 'LT LO LO O' 00 Oh o o co LO LO O' 00 o rH CM cr LO 1 •H 1 PC 1 P 1 o o o o o rH X 1 x—1 I—1 I—1 rH 1—1 r—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co OO CO co CO 1 P 1 C 1 o 1 o 1 03 1 H 00 'LT CO CO LO CM Oh C" LO o LO CO rH oo LO X—1

LO CM Oh LO CO o 00 LO

T CM rH o Oh 1 i—1 1 P o\o Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh Oh o o <—1

CM CO CO LO LO LO p- O' 00 00 Oh

O I—1 rH CM co rr in LO LO 1 w 1 03 oo 11 11 •

1 P o o o o o o I—1 X—1 X—1 I—1 X 1 X 1 1—1 I—1 X—1 1—1 1—1 X—1

rH rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 11 11 CH r- CM o o Oh o LO 1—1

O' CO O'X

—1

LO CM

X

—1 LO O' CM LO o <3* 00 CM r* VO 1 1 o\° CM

Oh Oh Oh Oh 00 Oh Oh o o rH 1—1

CM CM CO CO "=r LO LO LO LO LO r- 00 00 Oh Oh 111 11 o o o o o o o I—1 X—1

1-1 rH 1—1 X

—1 1—1

rH 1—1rH 1—1 X

—1

rH rH rH x-1 rH *-< 111 P LO r** 00 Oh o 1—1

CM CO •LT LO LO O' oo Oh o I—1

CM CO ^r LO LO CO Ch ro •T 1 03 o o o o 1—1 I—1 1—1 1—1

T—) I—1 1—1 t—1 1—1rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM prj ro ro ro CO 1 03 o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o O o O O o o o 1 >H CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 47
Table

S-2.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

rtf 4-> O

—

co

G

0) -G G CO c c

-H

O S o

CO -H c s

rtf tr> - *H rtf rC 4J O o

•HS rtf Q

co x:

rtf 4-J co p G O

rtf CO

*4- O

rtf -G 5 x: o o M- rtf

rtf 4-J C O

rtf ^

•G rtf T3 Q Cm x!

4-J

v

G

CO

O

•hoG - •H rtf rH ^

rH CO i—i rtf G

C\l 02 Co - •H *G

Cb

G

CO

CO CO P -H

CO S G0O 11 11 on LO CD i>

O CD 00 i—1 o r- •nJ1 00 CD 00 ON

O CM LO ON CO 00T 1 00 r- r- 00 o 1 1 o\° LO

ON cr> O'* O'* ON

OOX

—1 Csl oo co LO CD oo ON t—1

CM CO CD ON I 1 CM CD 00

X

—1 1 CO

rtf 1 o o o o O

X 1 X 1 rH t—1 X

—1 X—1 X 1 X 1 x

—1 X—1 X 1 x

—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co CO CO O' 1 1 0 1 o 1 4-J CO LO oo CM 00 LO O'* LO t—1

CO oo 00 LO CMX 1 ON r- LO CO CO LO CD 00 o r- 1 1 rtf o\° ON O'* O'* ON ON O'* O'* O x—1 X 1 CM CM 00 LO CD CD r- CO ON o X 1 CM CO LO CD CO ON o 1 1—1 1 04 O' 1 rtf 1 o o o O O o o x—1 x—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 x—1 X 1 x—1 i—1 x—1 \—i x—1 X—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co 1 G 1 G 1 P 1 o 1 4-) 1 •H r- oo o O'* CO ON CO 0" CM X 1 ON CD CM 00 ON 'vT o CD CM ON LO CM ON r- o CM o 1 rtf 1 4-) o\° ON on O'* CO CO CO O'* on O o X 1 X—1

rH CM CO co LO CD CD r- r- 00 ON ON o rH CM co 1 2 1 rtf 00 11 11 i—1

4-1 o o o o o O o o X

—1 x—1 X 1 X

—1 x—1 rH

X

—1 X

—1 i—i x—1 t—1 X

—1 X

—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM 11 11 GM CD CM LO o CD o CO r- ON CM LO O oo CM LO 00 CM LO ON CO X—1 'vT ON CO r- CM 1 1 o\° CM on O'* 00 CO 00 00 00 O'* O'* ON ON O o X—1 X—1 X 1 CM CM CM CO CO CO LO LO LO CD CD 111 11 o o o o o o o o o o o X—1 x—1 X—1 X—1 \

1 X 1 rH T 1 rH rH \

1 »—i X 1 X 1 x—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 o 111 1 o 1 1 CD o r- O'* o 00 o ’sT CM X—1 ON ON ON X—1 CM CD CO o ON X—1

00 CD CD CD 1 1 6\° on O'* on O'* o o X 1 CM CM 00 LO LO CD r- ON O x—1 » CM CO LO CD [-" ON CM O' CD CO o —1 1 1 LO

II 11 11 o o o o i—i X 1 *

1 X—1 X

—1 x—1 X

—1 X 1 x

—1 x

—1 X

—1 *

1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO O'

LO 11 11 0

4-J LO oo

O CD ON CM r- CM CD CM 00x

—1 00 LO CM

O ON CD LO LO CD rO CM CD o 1 1 rtf o\° on O'* ON on O'* o o rH X—1 CM Csl co LO CD r- 00 00 ON o X 1 CM co LO CD 00 ON O o 1 CJ 1 04 o'

c\] 1 04 1 o o O o O rH rH

x

—1 rH rH

X 1 X 1 X 1 5 1 *—1 x

—1 X—1 X

—1 x—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM Csl CM CM CO 1 i-4 1 C - 1 1 o t—1 1 1 •H o l—1 i—1 CM o CD o co r- x—1

LO ON ON LO o CD

X

—1 CM r- CO ON CD CM ON CD CO

T 1 ON 1 1 4-J o\o on O'* O'* O'* on O'* o o o x—1 x—1 X—1

CM CM 00 LO LO CD CD r- r- 00 ON ON o CM CM 1—1 1 1 rtf 00

•G 1 1 i—1 o o o o o O

X 1 X 1 i—i X

—1 X—1 X—1

rH rHx

—1

rH rHX 1 x

—1 X 1 T 1 X—1 X—1 X—1

rH CM CM CM CM

G 1 1 4—1 a 1 1 G c 1 1 i—i

00 O'* O'* O'* o X 1 co CD 00 o CO CD ON CM CD

O CO r- o CO CD o CO rx

—1

00 CM CD

X

—1 1 1 o\° CM ON 00 00 00 O'* O'* O'* ON ON o o O O *—1 X 1 CM CM CM CO CO CO LO LO LO CD CD r—

CO0a 1 1 o o o o o o o O

O rHX

—1 i—1

rH rHX 1 X

—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 x

—1

rH rH rHX

—1 i—1

rH rH

X 1 x

—1 X—1

21 •H

TJ 1—1 c H 1 M 53 1 r- CD 00

x

—1

oo r- co ON CD 00 o 00 00 ON o CM LO r- ON ON CM CD CM 00 CD LO o LO t— o W 1 o\<> on O'* ON o o o I—1 X 1 CM oo vT LO CD 00 ON o rH CM CO LO CD 00 ON t—1

CO LO r~~ ON CM 0 Q I 1 1 140 o M -H 1 o o O 1—1 I—1

rHX

—1 1—1 i—1 x—1 X 1 *—i x—1 i—1 1—1 x—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO co CO O' •H CO o 1 G w 1 0

a* 04 0 1 4-> CD o CD O' CO i—1

LO o LO o CD CM o 00 CD LO •vT CO

X

—1 r** CD CD CD r- ON

x

—1 o r- i—1

LT) 1 4-> 1 rtf o\° ON ON ON O'* O'* o o rH rH CM CM 00 LO CD 0" 00 ON ON O *—1

CM co CD r- 00 o x

—1 i—i 1 rtf 1 04 o 0 1 i—1 1 o O O o o rH X—1

rH rHX 1 i—1 x

—1 X 1 rH

x

—1 X 1 X—1 X 1 rH

x

—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO P 1 i—1 1 C

Cm 1 •H 1 O 1 4-J 1 •H U0 CM 00 oo oo 140 00 CM CD ON 00 CO ON LO rH 00 ON CM 00 rH CO LO CO t—1 ON CD x—l 1 CO 1 4-J o\° O'* O'* O'* O'* O'* O'* ON O O O X 1 x—1 CM CM oo LO LO CD CD r- 00 00 ON O *

1 *1 CM 00 1 •H 1 rtf 00 i—1 1 Q 1 

1 o O O o o o o X 1 X 1 i—1 X—1 X—1 i—1 *1 x—1 i—1 *i rH x—1rH

X 1 rH

x

—1

rH '1 CM CM CM CM CM

•H 1 1 4-1 G 1 1 C a 1 1 H o O

O o O'* o CM r- ON CM LO 00 CD rH LO ON CM rx

—1

LO ON co r- CM CD rH' CD c 1 1 o\° CM on O'* O'* O'* 00 O'* ON o> ON ON O O o t—1 X 1 CM CM CM CO CO co LO LO CD CD r- r"- v>0

4-J 111 11 o o o o o o o o o O i—1 rH rH t—1 rH

T 1 x

—1 i—1 X—1 X—1 X

—1 *—i «—i X—1 t—1

rHX

—1 X—1

rH rH

a) •i—i 0 111 11 LO O' o CD CM O'* CD oo CM o ON ON o rH CM CO LO o 00 o CD CM CM CM O' G 1 1 o\° o o T 1 *—1

CM CM CO LO CD O' r- 00 o x

—1

CM CO LO r- 00 ON rH CO CD 00O CM O'

CU 1111

^>1

4-> 1111 CD

LO \—i

rHX

—1

rH

x

—1 X 1 X—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 t—1 X—1 x—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co CO CO O' 1 •G 1 4-) o LO r- t—1 CD I—1 r- oo o r-* co o LO CO rH 00 CD ^r co CM CM CM CM co LO o CO 1 O 1 rtf o\<> o o o c—1 X 1 CM CM oo LO CD CD r- 00 ON ON o X 1 CM CO LO CD CO ON o CM oo 1 •H 1 os o' 1 G 1 c—i t—1 \—1

rH

X

—1

rH *—i X 1 *—i *—i I—1 X

—1 *—i

rH *—1rHX 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM Csl CM CO CO CO 1 4-J 1 c 1 u 1 o 1 CD 1 •G oo oo o r- T 1 LO O'* CO ON co CM r- CO CO CO 00 CO 00 O CD CM 00 x—1 00 LO CM ON 1 1 1 1 4-) o\° o o o o X—1 x—1 *

1 CM CM oo CO LO LO CD CD r- r- > > ON ON O O x—1 CM CM CO O' 1 U 1 rtf 00 11 11 i—1

4-1 I—1 T 1 i—i

rH

x

—1 *

1 «—1 X 1 rH

X 1 *—i X

—1 X 1 *—1 X

—1 x

—1 X—1

rH rHX

—1 x

—1 rH CM CM CM CM Csl CM CM CM 11 11 GH CM rH t—i

oo CD 00 rH 00x

—1

CO CD o 00 r- o CM LO 00

x

—1

LO 00 rH 00 t—1LO ON CM CD 1 1 o\o CM o O o o O o rH rH rH Csl CM CM 00 00 co LO LO LO CD CD CD r- r- 00 00 111 11 X—1 x—1 1—1 <—1 X—1 X—1 rH x—1 T—1

rH

x

—1 X

—1 1—1

rH

x

—1 X

—1 rH rH rH rH rH <

1 x

—1 rH

X

—1 X—1 rH rH

X

—1 rH 111 G CD O' CO on o x—1 CM CO LO CD r- 00 ON o X—1 CM CO LO CD r- 00 ON o X—1 CM CO LO 1 rtf O o o o rH *

1 rH x—1 rH x—1 i—1 X—1 rH x—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO 00 CO 1 0 O o o o o o O o o o O o O o o O O O o O O O O O o o O o o o 1 >H CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

48
Table

S-2,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

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<—I i—I i—I i—I «—I t—I x—I t—I i—I «—I x—I t—I t—I i—I t—I t—I i—I t—I t—I t—I CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CH (MCOinh(^H(M^^COHfO^ICOH(OOin(^(M^Cr\{M^O(OhH^)C?i

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t—I i—I t—I i—I t—I <—I i—I i—I t—I t—I i—I <—I <—I i—I t—I t—I i—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I <—I t—I t—I i—I i—I t—

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i—I CD CD CD CD CD CD CD x—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I ?—I t—I x—I t—I t—I t—I t—I »—I t—I x—I t—I CM CM CM CM CM CM

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1—I rH CD x—I t—I i—I t—I i—I t—I x—I i—I t—I t—I x—I x—I i—I i—I i—I«—I x—I

<—I tH CM CM CM CM CM CM r J 4MC

ih G'>r'-r^oooco'x>H<x>H^roocMr~oinoorHrraocMin<T>ror' h vo c d°(T'05Cn(J\OOOHH(MCMCM(1OCO'T'T^inininiOlD^r' r- a r * CM CD CD CD CD x—I i—I x—I t—I i—I i—I t—I t—I i—I i—I I—I t—H »H rH iH rH •—I r—I r i till - < 4

5h CD r05 O O

0 CD CD

>h CM CM

CO CTt O t—I CM CO

CP CD x—I t—I x—I t—

I

O O O O CD CD

CM CM CM CM CM CM

nT lO O O

CM CM

cd r- oo

t—I t—I rH o o o

CM CM CM

<T» O

r-l CM O O

CM CM

rH CM

CM CM O O

CM CM

CO <3* CM CM O O

CM CM

lO CD

CM CM O O

CM CM

O' 00

CM CM O O

CM CM

ON O

CM CO O O

CM CM

•H CM

fO ro O O

CM CM

49
Table

S-2,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

C 5

Cn - H ro jz -p o o

•H ^Q

co jz

Cti -P

(O o c o

rO CO - o

(0 P 5 XZ O O

ua<a<

TJ

<D

4-> O'

<D •ro 0M

01

CO 2 C

CD O

rOO

CJ

CO

rO

rOU3P

rO 2—l

•Ho

rOP

•H

CO

<1>

d) p

rO

•HP

CO PQMPU0) rH

Ld

a; p

ro ccco

-Hp

rO i—I Pc

o\° LO

o\° P

o\° ro

o\o CM

Q) p

rfl cdco

-Hp

to

o\° LO

o\° p

o\° ro

o\° CM

<U P

rO CCao

-H

o\° LO

o\° p

rO rH o\° P ro CM

o\° CM

o\° ID 0P

rO QC

o\o

C

p

OHP

rO P o\o ro CM

o\o CM

o\o LO

a) p

to cd

o\o

a

p o

•HP

rO P o\° P ro CM

o\°

(NJH

tO

CD >h

CD CO LO o CD CO cr> CD CM i—1

CTv O' O' O' CD 00 CO CM CD rH P CD CM

O OO CO OO CO

OO rH CM CM CO CO LO CD CD O- CD o\

O CM P LO O' 00

O CO LO CD 00O CM LO i—1

rH i—1 i—1 i—1rH i—i I—1 i—1 X 1 i—1 i—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO to CO CO CO CO P p P

LO r- CM LO

O CD o LO CTi CD CM OO LO CM CO O' LO P P P CO P CO P CD O' o CM LD

O o o i—1

CM CM CO CO CO P LO LO CD O' O- OO CO

O

r

—1

CM CO P LO CD O' 00 o <—1CM P

rH i—i i—1 i—1 X 1 rH rH

x

—1 <—1 <—1 n rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO

p LO COp CT\ LO 00 CO CD

X

—1

CD o LO o LO 00 P o O- <o CO O- CO I—1

00 CD LO o o O CM CM CM CO CO p P LO LO CD CD O' O' OO CO CO o o CM CO CO P LO I—1 >—1 <—1 «—1 1—1 '—1 i—1

rH i—1rHx

—1

rH r>

n rH

X 1 rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

ro ro LO r- CO CM CO * r- o CO LO CO I , P O' o P 00 CM LO co CM LO

O CO COX

—1

IT)

O o o o o O t—1

CM CM CM CM CO CO COp P p LO LO LO CD CD O' r- O' 00 00 CO <

i 1-1 rH r1 ( 1 rH r1 r1 r* X 1 r1 r1 X 1 rH I 1 r1 r—1

1-1

X

—1 r1 I—1 r1

CD

p CM P CO o o CD CO CO LO 00 o CM CO CD COp CO LO CM o CO CO o CO

CO CO CO CO CO CT\ o CM CO CO

p LO CD O' CO

O CM to LO CD OOO CM CO LD 00O CM

O o OOOO I—1 I 1 X 1 X

—1 -H rH rH t—1 X—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO P P

r- CM CO CO co CM r- CO o 00 CO CO LO P p CO CM CO 00 00 00 OO CO o CMp 00 t—1 CD

<o CO 00 OO 00 CT> o\

O 1—1 rH CM CM CO P LO CD O' O' 00 CO o CMp LO CD O' CO

O CM o O O O o O o 

1 I—1 X—1 <

1 i—1 1—1 1—1 i—1 P X 1 p r—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO

CD

O CD LO LO r- LO

X

—1

O' o P CD CO o CD O' COO CD CO

O CO CD P CM

O co CO OO CD 00 00 cr> CT\ o O 1-1 i—i

CM <op P LO LO CD O' O' OO CO CO

O CM CO P o O O o o o o O rH rH i—i i—1

rH

r

—1 x

—1 r

—1rH

x

—1 X 1 P X

—1

CM CM CM CM CM

LO CO P CM CM LO 00 CO O' <T> I 1 LO

O LOO P CD o P 00 CM CD LOO P CO P CO

co CD 00 00 00 00 00 00 CTi CTi o o i—1

CM CM CM ro CO to P P LO LO CD CD CD O' o O o O o o o o O o O rH 1—1 I—1

1-1

r1 pX 1 X 1 X 1 P X 1 t—1 i—1 i—1 1—1 X—1 t—i

t" CD r- o CD CO o 00 CD LO P P LO CD 00O P 00 CO o O' CD O' OO CD CM o CO o co CO CO o o X—1

CM CM COp LO CD O' OO COX 1 CM CO LO O' OO

O CM

p O' CO CM ID r*' t—i o O o rH p X 1 X 1 X—1 P r> P i—1 I—1 I—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO P P p o LO ro ro LO o LO p O' P o O' LO CO o CO OO 00 CO CO CD O p CO CD CM P CO o CO CO CO CO o o 1—1

<- CM CO CO P LO CD O' O' 00 CO o CM CO P CD O' 00

O CM P LO

rHO o o o rH 1—1 x

—1 X—1

rHr—1 P p rH rH rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO

CT\ CO o o 1—100 CO O' CM O' CM 00 CO CO LO CM 00 LO CM

O OO O' CD LO LD CD CD t-" CO

(O co CO co CO cr> o o *“* CM CM CO CO

p LO LO CD O' 00 00 CO

O

X 1 CM CO P LO CD

O o O o o o o rH 1—1-H

x

—1 P r

—1 X 1 pT 1 rH

r—1 P rH rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

OO CM 00 CD CD <J\ CM LO 00 CM LO <Ti CO CDO

p CO CO O' CM o* CM O' CO CO LD O- P P

co co 00 OO 00 CO CT\ CTi ON

O o O t—1 t—1CM CM CM CO CO P p LO LO CD CD O' OO 00 CO o o o o O O o o O o i—1 1—1 i—1 X—1 I—1 r—1 i—1 T 1 r—1 1—1 r—1 X 1 P x—1 X 1 X 1 rH i—1

CM

r- CD o ro co t—1

cr> LO CM CT> CD LO LO LO P CD 00 00 O' CO CO CD P ro

p LD 00 CO CO

co CO o o o CM CM to P LO CD O' 00 COO I—1CMp LO O' OOO CM

p CD 00 o CO LO o o 1—1 i—i i—i p 1—1 p p P rH rH rH p CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO p P P

CD

p [*" CO •^r o LO o LO

x

—1

O' P CM 00 CD LO CM

x

—1

CM CO P CD 00 o P 00 CM 00 P

co CO CT\ CO o 1—1CM CM CO CO P p LO CD CD O' 00 CO o x

—1

CM CO P LO O' 00 CO t—1

CM P o O o O <—i p 1—1 i—1 i—1 1—1 r—1 p r—1 x—1

rH rH rH r* CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO

LO ro LO CD <T\ OO CM CD cr> CO f"-

r

—1

CD

r

—1

LO P O' CM O' LO CM CO f"- P CM CO 00 00 00

co CO CO <T\ CT\ o X

—1 P •—i

CM CM CO to P P LO LO CD CD O' 00 00 CO o CM CM to P LO o o O O O x—1 rH p x—1 P t—1 r—1 n rH x—1 x—1 'P X—1 x—1 t—1 x—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM p <

i CM CM LO X—1 LO r- CTi X—1 P r" O CO CD ON to CD CO p 00 CO O' CM CD i—1 CD P CM

co co CO CO CT\ o o o O 1—1 r

—1 X—1 CM CM CM CM CO CO to

pp LO LO CD CD O' O' 00 00 CO o o O O O X—1 X—1 X 1 x—1 X—1 P rH r—1 x—1 P P P X 1 r—1 p P P i—1 x—1 X 1 x—1 t—1 x—1

CMp r- CM r**

p CTi 00O

X 1 x

—1

CM P 00 P P oOp CO

px

—1

CO l"- O' 00 CO CM CD CM o o o i—1 i—i

CM CM ro LO CD O' 00 o CM CO

p CD O' 00 o CM ro LO O' CO

p P CD CO

-< rH 1—1 P p rH i—1

rH

r

—1 r—1CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO CO

p P P P i—i

CM P O' ID o 00 O' CD P CM CM CM i—1 X 1 O CO 00 CO CO

O CMp O' o p OO CO CO o O o o P «—1

CM CM CO P LO CD O' OO CO o r

—1 X 1 CM rop CD O' 00 CO 1—1

CM CO LO CD 1—1 i—1 X—1 t—1 P n X 1 x—1 i—1 i—1 P r—1 <—1

rH CM CM CM CM CM 1 CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO o o ro CD 00 CM CTi CD CM 00 P rH CO CD CM 00 P O O' CO O OO LO CO p CO 00 r" CD o o o o O o P I—1

CM CO CO P LO LO CD o- O' OO CO CO o x

—1

rH CM COp P CD CD P'

X

—1 $

rH P P 1—1rH «—1 P P p

X

—1 P 1—1 x—1 i—1 x

—IrH t—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

CO 00 00 CO i—1CM LO o LO o p 00 to ro O' P 00 CM CD

O P CO CO O' CM CD CD

CO CO CO co o o o x

—1 P CM CM CM ro ro

pp LO LO 10 CD CD O' O' O' 00 00 CO CO

O

O

OO o O

pppp P rH P rH

n rH r< P X—1 »—1 i—1 x

—1 p i—1 i—1

CM CM

CD r- 00 co o I—1

CM ro O’ LO CD O' 00 CO o 1 1 CM CO P LO CD O' 00 CO o CM CO P LO

O o o o I—1 I—1 i—1 p

p P x

—1 p

pp CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO ro CO CO

O o o o o o o o o o o o o o O

OOOO

OOOOO o o O o O o

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

50
Table

S-3.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

1

1

1

1

1

1 0 1 1 •H 1 1 C 1 co 1

«. -H 1 rd 1 0 0 CT> 1 O 1 -p c p 1 1 rd 0 -h 1

i—

1

1 Pi •H > 1 rd 1

If) 1 P 1 C

•H 4J 1 P 1 O

p CC 1 -P 1 •H O 0 1 rd 1 -P

P) S 1 1 0

1 1

•—

1

1 1 4-i >i 0 1 1 c ^ -H 1 1 H

U C h-v 1 1 P rH o 1 1 -P O'1 o 1 1 C P 1 1 0 -H t—

1

1 * > 1

II 1

rd 0 m 1 1 •H rd o 1 1 CT* X o 1 1 P 0 CM 1 1 O Eh 1 1 CD K, 1 1 0

O - t 1 1 1 -P

a) 1 1 0

- CD > 1 1 O 1 Pi

rd CO •H 1 P-t 1 T5 CO P 1 PI 1 C

-H CD (X 1 1 o

P C < 1 1 •H O C —

1 1 -P rH CD 1 1 0

Du Eh CO 1 1

i—

1

0 1 1 4-1 v «. U 1 1 C

rd fd •H 1 1 \—

1

-H - C T3 1 1 JQ -H C 1 1 e -h I—

i

1 1 P o 1 1

i—1 P 0 PI O (13 a < o o •H 1—

1

P Fh 1 M-4 X! Oa 1 O +-> W 1 P i—1 Q i—

i

1 +J O 0 M -H 1 O CO P CO o 1 •H Du W 1 0

P - Pi 0 1 -P

-P rd \—

l

1 -p 1 0

co £ rd 1 Pi -H O i—

1

1

i—

l

1 Q x: -H 1

i—

1

1 C

rd P l •H 1 o

1—

1

0, 1 -P 1 •H

CD ^ < l 0 1 -P P O 1 -H 1 0

rd T5 1 a 1

i—

1

£ - 0 1 1 4H

rd rd -P 1 1 C

1 C a 1 1 l—

1

CD -H 0 l 1 Q i—

1

-ro 1 1 O . O l 1 v p P l 1 CO rd P-i 1 rd O 1 CO 1 C 4H 1 1 rd -P 1 1 rX P l 1 P O 1 1 <C 2 1 1

1 1

l -p 1 0

rd -H l H 1 -P E Cb i U 1 0

rd a i -H 1 Pi £> -H l P 1 rd co l -P 1 C

rH CO 1 a 1 o

1—

i

1 0 1 -H ^ CO 1

i—i 1 -P

CO l w 1 0

CO -H l 1i—

1

s 1 1 4H c l 1 G

o - 1 1 M

-H T

3

1 1 tr> c 1 1 CD rd l 1 Pi i—

1

l 1 >i 1 CO P l P rd 1 CO s 1 c 1 0 1 O l

covDincoHLnH(X)^LO(MOO(\!fo^inLr)^(Tiroh(Mco''rcNjHOHfo o\°ONaNaNGNoorHt—icMoo^LncD["-ooaNOtHCMooLncDooaN,HroLor'~aN,—

i

LT) O O O o t—1 t—1 t—1 \—i r—1 i—i »—1 x—

1

X

1 X1 X 1 r—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CD co co (D co

co CO on CO on CD co CO CM o r- X

1 00 CD CD r- CO (T\ rH CO CD o

o\° ON on on ON on ON o o x—

1

CM CM co vT LD LD CD CO 00 CT\ o X—

1

CM co LD r- CO CT\ rH O o o o O o t—

1

!

1 r—

1

\—

1

X

1 X1 X—

1

X

1 r-H i—

1

r—

1

x—

1

X

1 x—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co

CD CM o t—

1

t—

1

CO r- t 1 CD \—

1

m LD X

1 P" co CO CM r-~ co O'. LD X—

1

co •vT X—

1

CTi CD CM

o\° ON ON ON ON ON ON on o o \—

1

X

1 X1 CM CO co LD LD CD CD r- 00 co CTv O O X

1 CM co O o o o O o o 3

1 t—

1

rH X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 x—

1

r—

1

X

1 x—

1

x—1 rH r—

1

X—1 r—1 r—

1

X

1 CM CM CM CM CM

LD t—

1

00 r- r- 00 o co \

1 co CD O CT\ CM LD 00 O 00 X—1 LD CO CM CD O CT\ CO

o\° ON ON CO 00 00 CO on on on o o O X 1 X—1 X 1 CM CM CM co co co LD LD CD : CD O O o o o o o o o \

1 X—1 X 1 X 1 rH X 1 r—1 X 1 X—1 r—1 X—1 1—1 X 1 r—1 X—1 x—1 x—1 X 1 x—

1

X—1 rH

00 00 X—

1

CT\ O CD co o CO LD LD LD r- 00 o CM vT CD o LD o CM x—

1

r—

1

co

o\<> CT\ o o O X—

1

CM CM co LD CD r"~ CO o CM CO *^r LD r- CO o X—

1

co LD r- ON rH o O X—

1

X—

1

rH X—

1

r—

1

X—

1

X—

1

X—

1

x—

1

x—

1

X—

1

x—

1

t—

1

X—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO co CO co CO •nT

CD CO o r- CM r- CM [-* o CD CO x—

1

cr> r- LD CO r—

1

O CT> CTk CTi o CM CD O

o\o cr> on o o o X

1 r—

1

CM CM CO vt1 LD CD CD 00 CT> O i—

1

X

1 CM co CD [ 00 ON x—

1

o o o X—

1

X—

1

X—

1

X—

1

r—

1

X—

1

X—

1

X

1 X—

1

r—

1

x—

1

X—

1

rH x—

1

X—

1

X—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO

CD LD CD X—1 LD 00 CM CD o CT\ O'* LD o LD X—

1

CD x—1 r- CO (T\ CD CM ON 'nT CM

o\° CO

cr> CT\ CT\ o\ o o o X—1 X—1 CM CM CM co CO LD LD CD CD r- CO CO O'* O O rH CM CO o o O O o X 1 rH X—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 X 1 i—1 X

1 X—1 rH x—1 x—1 r—1 X—1 X 1 X—1 rH tH CM CM CM CM CM

LD CM CM CO CD 00 o CM LD 00 X—

1

co r- o r- o CD (T\ CO CD o co r—

1

LD ON CO

2%

CT\ CTt cr> <T\ o O O o X—

1

r—

1

X

1 CM CM CM CO co CO CO ID ID LD CD CD CD I"" O o o O o O O X

1 X1 r—

1

X

1 r—

1

x—

1

r—

1

X

1 r—

1

X

1 x—

1

X

1 x—

1

X

1 rH X—1 X1 t—

1

X—

1

r—

1

r—

1

rH rH

CD LD r- O CO CO CO ON CD vT x—

1

ON ON o O o r—

1

co LD r- r—

1

LD o r- 'sT CM rH CM co CD

o\° LD ON ON ON O O O X—

1

x—

1

CM CO vT LD r- 00 ON O rH CM co LD CD 00 ON r—

1

00 LD ["- ON tH O O O r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

X—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

x—

1

r—

1

x—

1

rH r—

1

r—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO co co 00 00

LD CO CD CO CM CD x—

1

CD r—

1

r" co X—

1

ON CD co r—1 ON r- CD LD LD LD CD ON rH 00 CM

o\°

'vT ON ON ON ON ON O O X—1 T 1 CM CM co LD CD f r-~ 00 ON O rH CM co ID O' 00 ON rH O O O O O rH r—1 X—1 x—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 t—

i

r—1 r—1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co

X 1 CM CM CD ON CM CD O 00 o LD o LD o CD r—1 r- ^T O r- ^r rH ON r- in

o\o CO

ON ON ON ON ON ON ON O O x—1 r—1 r—1 CM co CO LD LD CD CD r- 00 00 ON o O tH CM co o O O O O O O r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 rH i—1 r—1 rH rH r—1 CM CM CM CM CM

CO O ON ON ON O CO LD C" o co LD ON CO r" o CO CD ON co CD o 00 CM CD rH LD o

o\° CM

ON ON CO 00 00 ON ON ON ON o o O O r—1 rH CM CM CM CM co CO LD LD CD CD o O O O O O O O O r—1 X 1 x—1 x—1 t—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 t—1 rH rH rH rH rH rH rH rH rH f-H tH

00 D" r—

1

CD x—

1

r- •vT CM O r- LD LD LD CD CD CD CD o 00 CD o in o CD oo rH ON ON

o\° LD o o O r—

1

r—

1

CM CM CO LD LD CD CO ON O tH CM oo LD CD r~ ON o CM CO in r~ 00 o

X—1 t—

i

t—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

t—

i

t—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO CO co CO CO ST

CM CM co O •vT ON o CD r—

1

r- CM ON O 00 CD LD co CM CM CM co in r*

o\° o O o O r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

CM co 00 LD CD CD r- 00 ON ON O rH CM co in CD r- 00 ON o

r—

1

X—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

x—

1

r—

1

tH r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

rH r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

rH tH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co

x—

1

o r—

1

co LD 00 r—

1

LD ON CO r- r—

1

CD CM rH CD o O CD tH CD CM 00 •<T O CD co o o\o co o o o o O o r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

CM CM co CO LD LD CD CD 00 00 ON ON O tH CM co

X 1 r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

X—

1

r—

1

rH r—

1

r—

1

rH r—

1

t—

1

tH r—

1

rH t—

1

t—

1

rH tH tH tH tH rH CM CM CM CM CM o 00 00 ON o CM CD ON CM r- o r- o CM r- o 00 CD ON CM in 00 in CD

2% o ON ON ON o O o O O r—

1

rH r—

1

CM CM CM 00 00 co co ^r vr ID in in CD CD ID rt—

1

o o O r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

r—

1

rH tH rH r—

1

tH rH r—

1

tH tH tH rH tH t-H rH rH r~4 rH rH H rH

P CD r- 00 ON o t—

1

CM 00 in CD 00 ON O tH CM CO in CD O' 00 ON O tH CM co iD 0 O o o o r—

1

t—

1

t—

1

rH t—i rH tH t—i rH t—

1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO co CO 0 O o o o o o O o o o o o o o O O O O O O O O O O O o O o O Q

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

51
Table

S-3,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

o\° LD ^rco'^rcriLnovD^r I-Hoo iX)LOooc\]CMc\j^rr'CDCNji-OcriLnr-ir^^Dro^r^rLn ooHH(Mnro^mm |vDh(X)(riOHMn^^hcoo(MnLnh(riHro

HHHHHHHHHHHHHH(MCNIC\]CM(\lCMCNCMrnmmCf)fn(r)T'sT

< M 1 O

P

4-1 c

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m

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CM

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-HM

CU

i—

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cuP

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i—

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04

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52
Table

S-3,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

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o\o oorHCMCMcoro'^rioiOMDr-~cocr>Ot—icMooLOV£>r'~aDocMcoior-'ODp-ico

HHHHHHHHHHHHHHCMCMOJCMMOJCMCNmnnnnn^r^

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fCo\°oOtHrHCsic>JCNjor)or)-Nr^rLn'X>'X)r^ooc5>icr»OrHCN]ro*vrLO'vDr^-crvOrHCNj

PC

t—It—It—li—It—1<—1<—It—I i—It—li—It—It—I i—It—It—1<—It—I CM C\J CM CM CM CM (M CM CM CO CO CO CO

-H rOinCOH^ODOfOhH^^rOhHhHhn^inHVDfO^hnOCOVD

4-)o\°OOOi—It—It—ICMC\lCM(r)(Ylfr)':T'TLniDVD ,Xl[ CO OA (Ti O O i—I cm ro ro ^

o5 co

i—| <—I i—I i—1 i—I \—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I t—I t—I pH i—

I

<—I t—I *—I t—I i—I t—I «—I CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

4-4cm cMroLor-oo^HCM'^rcDoopH'^cDcx) [-H'=^r-o^rr-rH^rr-rH^rcx)CMLOorn

o\° O O O O O t—I cH i—I <—I i—I CM CM CM CM CO CO CO '^T ^ ^ LT) Lf) LO 40 CD t"~ 00 CO

CM

i—| i—I t—I i—I t—I t—I «—I <—I i—I j—I *—I t—I i—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I i—I i—I t—I <—I I—I i—I t—I pH i—

I

i I t—I t I

'M, oD^rr^crionc^r^cDCDCMr-HroLOcr)OOcr>0'Mi co'^rcriVDLnon'M, cDODCM

0\°c^cx)cx)oooDcr>cno-—icMm^ri-OCDr^o^oocMro'M’CDr'CTit—icoLor^-cncM

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4-i n^)(MroLnconcrir'4, aiLnLnin4, no^4, nro4, 4'Lncoo(r)r'(Mh

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oi OOOOOOOOt—It—li—I'—It—li—It—It—It—It—It—

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44Ch i—i oo 1^- r' co i—iLf)(Ti'^, 'X) 0^iooLno^cNj'^, r^Hinc?>cr)(DCM[ c\i cm

o\o a^cDr^r^r'~r'-~a)oococr\cr>cr>oHHHCMCM<MPr)rr)pr)^r^rLr)LncD'^>r~r^

CM O O O O O CD O O O O CD O t—It—1<—1<—It—It—I i—li—I i—It—It—I i—It—

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t—

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t—I i—It—I t—

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o\°CDCDCDCDCDCDrHCMCMCO^rLO'£>r~~OOCrit-ICMCOLO t4DCOCDCM^r'£>Cr>t-H'=rr^

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03 co

i—I j—

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CD CD CD CD CD i—I t—I i—I i—I i—I t—I t—I i—I i—I t—I i—I i—I i—I t—I i—I i—I i—I CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

4HCH HinCM^0\(MMh^CMVD(Ti(MLn'^4, a)CM^HLnOinHVDCMC04’H0D

o\°CDc^c^cDcx)a>>0'iC'>a'>CDCDCDHrH t—icMCMooco^r^LnuncDCDr^r^oDcricT*

CM

t—I CD CD CD CD CD CD CD CD t—I t—I t—I t—I i—I t—I i—I t—I <—I rH i—I t—I i—I <—I i—I t—I t—I t—I t—1 pH «—

I

cor^o^cr>T-HC3DLOrHC5DCDLnLOLn^rvx)oocDpHr^'^rocxD'^D'X>'vX)aDCMVDrr) o\o^CiOOOCMCN]n4’4, LniDhCOCr\OHCM^lOhCriO(M4, lDCOH(y)^

LO OOHHHHHHHHHHHHHCMCMCMCMCMCMCMfnnnmm^^'T

a)

4-) r-iocx)0'=^i ^roLOOLn I-Hr'*^rcMoor^LOCMrHco'vrLnr^cDCM'4DOLnor- (CoVoc^oaiooHCNjcMnro^'Tin^^hcotyiOHCMn^iOhosoHmT

PC CD CD CD t—I'—It—It—It—It—It—

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t—Itl<—li—l<—It—It—li—ICMCMCMCMCMCMCMCMCOCOCOCO

g

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03 co

'—I O O CD CD O t—li—li—It—li—1»—It—It—li—I i—It—It—It—It—It—If—I t—I i—I CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

4Hcm LOHCMCMLOr-iLor-c5D tH'=ji r^oor)40cr>m'4Dcr>^rc3Dro(X)ror^cMoorocx)'T o\°C5DCr>C5DCr>aDOOOOi—IrHT-HCMCMCMCNJODOOrO^^LOinVDv^Dr-r-OOOOOD

CM

CD CD CD CD CD t—I i—I t—I t—I t—I t—I i—I i—I i—I t—I t—I t—I «—I «—I t—I <—I <—I i—I i—I r-H <—I i—I pH pH i—

I

CMor)Lnc3Dor)cr>'vrcMpHOoor^ODrHcoLO^Dr^<x)CMr''-Hr^coooovDcDr-(

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* 03o\') OOOOOHHCMfN(Y)^^lDVDhCO(Ti^OHCM^'TiOVDl O' 'D • • r

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1—I i—I CD CD <—I i—I i—It—It—It—

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i—I t—I t—I t—I t—I i—It—I t—I i—I t—I rH i—I t l . I CM (M CM CM r M '

1 4HGm cr>r-vDr~aDcrirH^oocMLOcx>cMr^pHLOooocor^o*^, r'r-<ioaorgvoo ,<r o\o(3i(TiCri(nCi(?iOOOHHHrMCMfv)fr)m4, TTlO lO in 4) \£) '/.• f r I I CM O O O O O O t—It—It—It—I t—I t—I t—I t—I rH t—I t—I rH I—It—I t—I t—I • H • i > I ' I «

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05 O O O O

CL) o o o o

>H CM CM CM CM

O rH CM CO o o o o

CM CM CM CM

^ io cd r oo od

t—I t—I t—I t—I I—I I—

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o o o o o o

CM CM CM CM CM CM

o

CMo

CM

H CM CO ^ lO

CM CM CM CM CM o o o o o

CM CM CM CM CM

KD

CMo

CM

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CM CM o o

CM CM

a> o

CM CO o o

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53
Table

S-4.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type. 1 1 CM CM

r—1 r—1 r—1vr 05 p- LO

O LO 5—1

CM LO 05 5 1 00 P- 5 1 LO 05 LOr—1CD 40 LO LO 40 05 1 1 o\° LO O O o o O o O \—i

CM co LO 40 r- CD o r

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O rH CO LO P" 05

r

—1 1 CO

cd 1 r

—1 r—1 X

—1 r

—1 t—1 r—1 r—1 5 1 X

—1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5—1 5 1 5 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 00 00 CO CO CO CO 'xT 1 1 CD 1 o 1 4-) r—1 o 05 p- r- CO CM CO vT 5 1 40 05 CM CM CM 5 1 05 05 05 05 CD 05 05 o Csl p- O 1 1 cd o\o o o 05 05 05 05 O o X 1 csl CM CM co LO 40 P" P" 00 05 O rH CM 00 LO 40 p" CD O r—1 1 i—1 1 PC 1 cd 1 r 1 r—1 O o O o r—1 r—1 X 1 rH 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 r—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 00 00 1 G 1 c 1 P 1 o 1 -P 1 -H o 05 40 CO CM CM LO o LO o LO CD 5 1 05 LO 5 1 P" O P- CO O P" X—1

05 P- LO 1 cd 1 4-4 o\o o 05 05 05 05 05 05 o O 5—1 5 1 5—1 5 1 CM co 00 LO LO 40 P~~ P" CD 05 05 O r—1 r—1

CM CO 1 2 1 cd co

Cd 1 1 1—1 r

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O o OOOX 1 X 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 rH 5 1 5 1 5 1 rH 5 1 5 1 r

—1 r—1

CM CM CM CM CM c 1 1 4-4 •H 1 1 C

-H £ 1 1 H 05 P" CO o CO r-~ 05 CM 40 o CM CM 'vT CD co 05 CO 40 5 1 LO 05 CM 40 o CD CM rr

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40

O 1 1 o\° 05 05 05 05 00 CO 00 05 05 o O

OOO 5 1 5 1 CM CM 00 CO 00 •vT1 LO LO LO 40 40 P" rfd

I>1 s

(00 111 11 CM

OOOOO o OOO 5—1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5—1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1 r—1

fti pc co i—1 111 o

4-4 Cd LOoo

CM 11 11 \—1

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O 'trO 40O 40 LO CO P" 40 r- CD 05 CO rH LO 05 CO CD co o CD 40 40 40

rdUOi—1 ou c

•H

x:

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cd 11111 11111 CD

o\° LO

05O

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05O05O

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rH o\—i r

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CMx—1

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CO5 1 5 1 5—1LO5 1405 1

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CM CM

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CM

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co

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05

00 s 1 1 4-4 O 00 O CM LO 00 CO p^ o CM p- o 40 00 5 1 5 1 05 5 1 O 05 05 05 05 05 r—1

CM LO P" ' 1 1 cd o\o 05 00 05 05 05 05 o o X—1 5 1 CM CM co CO LO 40 P" P- 05 o O 5 1 CM co 40 P- CD 05 1 O 1 PC

cd •HG

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05 5 1

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P"

CM CM

05

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CD

CM

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CMr—1CM

CD

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P-L, 1 1 4-4 o\o CO 00 00 00 05 05 05 05 o o O 5 1 5 1 5—1 CM co 00 LO 40 40 P- CD 00 05

O

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r

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M-4 •Hi—1

cd CJ 1 1 cd co co

Cd

CD

CO

CDO 1111 1111 i—1

4-4GW

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00 o o

LT)

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LO

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CM l—1CM 5 1 rHCD 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1CD 5 1

CM 5 1

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co 5 1

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5—1 CM 00 CO LO 40 r- CD o 5 1 CM CO LO 40 P' 05 t—1

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CM

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CM

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CM

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cd PC

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CM

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CM

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COp

CO

G i 1 CM os OU ii 11 o o O

O o O

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5—1 5 1 5—1 rH 5 1 rH 5 1 rH 5—1 X

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r—1 r—1 c Oa

CD o o

x: ii 1 cd i 1 CO 40 r* i—1

LO 05 LOX

—1

05 40 CO 05 P** 40 P" CD CD CD o rH P- rH 40 CM CD LO CO CM CM T3 i 1 o\° o O o r—1 I—1 i—1

CM CO CO LO LO 40 P' CD 05

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x

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CM 40 CDO

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5—1 5 1 5 1 rH 5—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO P )

co 00 00 i -G 1 CD i H 1 -P CM p- o CO CM r-* no p" CM 00 CM o r- rH 05 CD P- 40 lO LO 40 r" CD O CM i a 1 cd o\° O o o o X—1 X—1 i—i

CM CM co CO sr 'vT LO 40 p" p~ CD 05 05

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r—1

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rH 5 1 5 1 5 1 r—1 5 1 5 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 00 i 4-4 1 G i O 1 o i <D 1 •H <

1 CM \i CO 40 05 CO 0" 5—1 CO 40 o LO o LO o 05 O LO r—1 CO 05 LO CM 05 40 i 1 1 1 4-4 o\o o O o o o O O X—1 5 1 CM CM CM co CO LO LO LO 40 P" P- CD 00 05 05 o rH r—1 CM i hJ 1 cd CO ii 11 •

1 4-1 <—1 r—1 r—1 T 1 r—1

rH «—1

5—1 5 1 rH 5 1 5—1 x

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—1 r—1 t—1 r

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rH CM CM CM CM CO CO 00 "vT LO LO LO 40 40 40 iii 11 r—1

T—1 o Or—1 T 1 5 1 X

—15—15—1 5—1 5—1 5—1 rH 5 1 5—1

rH 5 1 rH 5 1 rH rH rH rH rH

r—1 r—1 r—1 r

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CM CO LO 40 P" > ' 05 o 5 1 CM 00 LO 40 P- CD 05 o t—1

CM co n- LO i cd O o o O r—1

T—1 <—1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 5 1 rH CM CM CM CM Csl CM CM CM CM CM o ' CO CO co CO 00 i CD O o o O o o O o o o o o o O O O O o o O O O O O O o O o o O i >H CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

54
Table

S-4,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type. 1l ii LO CT CP OO co CP LD CO i—1 O CP 00 00 CP CP P LD CP P CO CM in 1 i <*° O CD i—i i—1

CM CM CO CO LO LD r-~ r- OO CP CD

X 1 CO LO LD P OO o CM CO LOp CTi i—i

co 11 ii i—1 <—1 i—i i—1 X 1 i—1 i—1 X 1 X 1 I—1 <—1 - - - CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co co CO CO co CO 11 ii 0p p CO x—1

LO CP KT CP LO I—1OO LO CP LD CP CD LD LO LO LO LD OO

O LD 1 >—1 i 0 cX> o o (—i ,—i I—1

CM CM CM co CO LO LO LD

p P 00 CP rH <—1

CM co LO LD P OOO

X

—1

CM 1 0 i CC "vT 1 o i 1—1 i—i

r—1 i—i

rH rHx

—1

rH 1—1 x

—1 i—i

rH rH rH rH i—1 i—1 x

—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM OO OO co 11 o ii co 1 i -H CO LT) 00 o CM LD CP CO LD o LO o CO vT OO p •vT 00 CD LO CM 00 *vT CM CP p 1 i p <*° o o o X 1 I—1

t-H rHx—|

CM CM co CO LO LO LD P P 00 CP CP

O o X 1 CM CM CO 1 i 0 co 11 ii •—1 p 1—1

1-1 rH 1-1 <—1

1-1 1-1 t—1 I—1 X 1 X 1 1-1 i—1 X 1 1-1 1-1 1-1 1-1 rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 11 ii cM CM co LD r- 00 CP o CM LO r~ CD CO LD 00 x—1

LO LD CD CO LD

O co LD CP CM 1 i o\° O o o CD CD o CD «- x—1 i—i

CM CM CM CM co co •vT LO LO LO LD LD LD P p P CO 111 ii «—1 1—1 i—i «—1 X 1 X—1

1-1 rH rH i—1 i—i x

—1 X 1 i—1

rH 1-1 i—i

1-1 1-1

x

—1 i—1

1-1

X 1 x

—1 X 1 i—i i—1

1-1 111 ii CO •vT LO '—1

r- LO CO CM CP CO o 00

x

—1

co P CM LD CM 00 LO CO CM CM LD o 1 i o\° o o o o o 1—1 X 1 CM CO LO LD r- 00 CP X—1

CM CO LO LD 00 CP

x

—1

CO LO P CTv 1-1 1 (00 i * 1 1—1

i—t ! 1 '—1 i—1 X 1 i—i X 1 x 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO co co 1 i 0 1 o i p CM CM CM x—1

CM LO CP LO CM CP LD t—1 o CD CD CP OO 00 CO CO 00 CPO CM CO <—i

in o I i 0 dP O O O o o o CD rH CM CM co CO LO LD P P 00 p o X—1

CM co LO LD P CO o rH co c 1 1—1 i CC 1 0 i i—1 >—|

rH I—1I—1rHx

—IrH i—|

rHX 1 i—1 X 1 x

—1 i—1 i—1 X 1 i—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO <o

T E 1 u i c O 1 p i o

•2 >,

*—» 1 -p i -H i—1 o CT r- r- CP CM O' CM r- o i—1 x

—1

00 LD CM OO LO i—1

OO LOX 1 00 LD CO CM o 00

p

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OO i—| X 1 CM CM CM co CO 'vT LO LO LD P P OO CP (P

CD

x

—1

CM CO CO

3: ^ O 1 2 i 0 co 0 1 i O CD CD o ,—1 X 1 X

—1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM

K c 1 i P o II 1 i c 1 i 1—1 o 00 LD co CM CO LO CP CO LD 00 00

O CTi LO CP CM P i—1

LO CP CO

p LD o m

Om 1 C 1 i o\o o <T CTv CP CTi CP CP CP CD o o O CM CM CO CO LO lO X LD p p 00 00

lO 1 i CM -H 1 i CD

O o o CD CD CD i—1 i—i i—1 X 1 ° w O g O

CMi—1 11111 ii 1 i <—1 P LD r- o LD CO CD 00 LD co CO 'nT LD 00 CM LD CD

p co CO CO LD CPm CM

x

—1 i * i—1

•rl 11 ii 5% o (T CP CP o O

X 1 CM CM CO LO LD

p 00 cr>O CM co LO LD OOO CM LD OO 1-1 P ‘ H 4J 1 i o O o CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co CO CO C D a< 11 -Ho ii 0 O 1 i p o LD CO co LD CD LO X 1 r-~ o P- CM O 00 P P P P CO CD CO LD CD LO X—1 p m CO ^ c 1 '—1 i 0 o\° o CT CP CP CP CD O 1—1 t—i

CM co CO vT LO LD LD P 00 CTi

O rH CO •vT LOp OO o X 1 co

m ^ o

CO 1 0 i cc ^ Cr> 0 1 P i I—1 O CD CD CD

X 1 <—1

rH i—i X 1 r—1 x

—1 X 1 r

—1 X 1 x 1 r—1 i—1 X

—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO co co o »-4 T5 i c u £

-H < -H i o o

T5 1—l

CO i -H cr CO i—1CD X—i 00 CO 00 CM C" CM p- CO OO o P O 00 LD LO co CM CM CM CM co c CJ 0 i p o\° cr CP CP CP CP CP CP o o i—1

CM CM CO CO LO LO LD P p CO CPO i—1CM CO 'Tm LD 0 M cc DC i 0 co 0

[l] i o O CD CD CD CD CD

X 1 x

—1 t—i X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM ° 6 2 i p N -H U 2 i c

-H o i M 00 i—1

CO LD r- CP CM LO CP CM LO 00 CM LD CP CO P CM LD

O LOO LO rH LD CM CO o P

<1 CL, CJ1 ii 2%

cr CP 00 00 00 OO CP CTi CP

O o o i—1 x

—1 X—1

CM CM CO CO LO LO LD LD P p 00 CT» (Tv 1 i o CD o O CD O CD O CD <—1

JS 1 0P w 2 0

hA 11 i d CO «—1 1 i CO LD CP CM CTi LD

x 1 CP r- r" r-~ P CP CM LD

O CP LO CM o CP (Tv rH COp CM CTv 5 -3 i—1 11 —1 ii

o\°

IT) o CD

O CD CM co LO LD r- OO CP i—1CM LO LD 00

O CM CO LO 00 CD CM in P

-H 1 -H i »—i r—1 X

—1 v—1 i—1 I—1 i—i X 1 i—i I—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO ^ 0 c 2 Ua< 111 o0 iii 0p CM CM CO LO r- CM 00 CP LO CM CP LD CO CM CM CM CM CO LO P CD CO p

x

—1 p co o

TJ 1 4-> i 0 o\°

OOOO o i—1 1—1CM CM CO LO LD P 00 CP CD CM co LO P 00 <p CM LD

•zL co 1 0 i cc O' C 0 1 i—1 i <—1 i—1 >—1 X 1 X 1 I—1 i—i i—1 i—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO co co CO

4-J 1 i c a 1 •H i o

.. c 1 4-> i •H »—1 o o i—1

CM LD o LO 00 CO r-" CM O' CO CP LD co

O LD CO

X

—1

00 LD *=T CM i—1 O CTv (Tv CT " o 1 0 i p o\° o o o o O O 1—1 I—1 *—1

CM CM CO CO LO LD P P 00 CP CP CDX

—1

CM CO *>Tm LD

m 2 o 1 -H i 0 CO 1 a i X

—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

C D-i 1 i p

0) o 1

If ii c1—1 o 00p r-~O CO LD 00 OOX 1 LO CP CO OO CM LDX

—1

LO CD ^r CP <P

O

m

r—1 1 i o\° o CP CP CP <P o o CD o i—1

rHX

—1

CM CM CM CO CO ^r LO LO LD LD LD

p P 00 CP CT o

X5 1 i CM M 111 ii CD CD CD CD f—1 X 1 X 1 I—1 i—1 1—1 x 1 r

—1iHX

—1 i—1 I—1 x—1

rH <—1 i—i x—1

rH CM 111 ii CO LD CP CO LD CM 00 LD CO CP LD CO CM CM CO CO CM CO LO p O 00 CO CP LD co CM 1 i o\° IT) o o o CD i—1 i—1

CM CM co LO LD P 00 CP o rH CM CO 'T LD

p 00 o x—1

CO

m P CT 1 i H H -1 -1 i—1 X 1 X 1 i—1 X 1 X 1 •—1 X—1 t—1 i—1 X—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO co CO co CO co 1 p i 0 1 -H i p CM CM CO LO O CP LO o CP O 00 LO CM CP LD CM i—1 O CP CP CP CP o CM T 1 O i 0 o\° O O o o o X 1 i—i X 1 CM CO co co lO LO LD P P OO <p O x—1

CM CM COm

p 00 CT 1 •r) i cc *vT 1 M i t—1 t—1 X 1 X—1 t—1 I—1

rH I—1 i—|

rH i—i x 1 i—i i—1 I—1 i—1 i—1 X

—1 x

—1 X—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 1 P i c 1 a i o 1 0 i -H X 1 rH o 1—1

CM LD o *=T 00 i—i P i—1LD CM LD o LO o lO

O LD CM P T o LD CO 1 i—i i p o\° o O o o O o O I—1 <—I i—1

CM CM CM CO CO ^r LO LO LD LD P P 00 00 CP o O

H CM 1 CO i 0 CO 11 ii —1 p

1-1 1-1

X 1 rH i—1 I—1

iH rH i—1 i—i I—1 1—\ i—1

rH rH i—1

•-* CM CM CM CM 11 ii cM o CP p r-~ 00 00 CP CM LO r-" 00 CD CM LO 00 5T LD CP CM lO 00 rH T p o P 1 i 2% o CP cr CP CP CP CP O o o o X 1 i—1

rH CM CM CM CM CO CO CO

TT to inm LD LD 111 ii X—1 o o CD o CD CD X—1

rH i—i

iHX

—1 i—1 <—1 x

—1 i—1 i—t

iHr—1

rH «H rH *-•

H *“« rH ** 111 u LO p co CP CD X 1 CM co lO LD r- 00 CP o i—1

CsJ co

T LO LD P OO CP o CM coT 1 0 O o o CD X 1 r—1 »—1 X 1 rH i—i

rH i—i 1—1rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO CO CO CO CO CO 1 0 o o o CD o O O o O o O o o o O O O O O O O O O O CD o o o 1 >h CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

55
Table

S-4,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

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00

i—

I

o

CM

O'* o

rH CM O O

CM CM

rH CM

CM CM O O

CM CM

CO

CM CM O O

CM CM

LO LO

CM CM O O

CM CM

r- oo

CM CM O O

CM CM

O'* O

CM CO O O

CM CM

rH CM

CO 00 O O

CM CM

co lo

CO CO CO o o o

CM CM CM

56
Table

S-5.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type. 11 O 00 CO o oo

CO. CD 00

O O' CD O' CT

X 1 00 CO CD o oo O'- oo CO LO 00 CM

X

—1

CM ^r 1 o\° LO O cr CT CT o o O ! 1 CM 00 LO CD O' cr o X—1

CM LO CD CO CT

x

—1

CO LO O' cr I—1

CO

cd 1 xH o O

O

X—1 l—1 i—1 x

—1 X—1 X—1 X 1 i—i x—1 X 1 X

—1 .—i

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM 00 oo 00 oo co 'vT 1 CD o 1 4-J cr CO LO LO LO 00 CM 00 X 1 CD X 1 CO CD LO CM O (T CO r- O' O' O' 00 o CM O' X 1 1 03 o\<> CT <T CT CT cr CT O o X 1 CM CM oo oo LO CD O'- CO 00 O'! o X 1 CM oo •xT CD O' 00 cr rH i—1 1 VC

03 1 o o O

O o O

X 1 X 1 I—1 X 1 x—1 X

—1 X 1 i—i x

—1 x—I X 1 X

—1 X

—1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO

U 1 C P 1 o

4-) 1 •r-| 00 CMx

—1 x—1CM LO o LO o oo O' CM CO o CD xH 0" oo CT LO CM CO LO CM CT O' LO oo

03 1 4-) o\° CT CT CT cr cr CT cr o O

X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM oo LO LO CD CD O' 00 oc CT

O

O

X

—1

CM co 2 1 03 co 11 i—1

4-4 o O

O o o O o X 1 x

—1 1—1 X 1 X 1 x

—1 X 1 x

—1 X 1 X 1 x

—1 X

—1 X 1 X—1 .—i

rHX—1 i—1

CM CM CM CM CM 11 cM r- 00 CT CO O' O' CT CM CD (T CM O' CM CD o O' o 00 X—1

LO cr 00 O' rH LO <T 1 oV> CM

CT cr 00 00 00 00 00 CT CT CT

O o o X 1 X

—1

CM CM CM oo CO CO vr LO LO CD CD CD r* 11 o O O o o O O O O O X 1 x—i X 1 x—1 X 1 X 1 X—1 X—1 X—1 I—1 X 1 .—i X—1 »—i l—1 x—1 x—1 X—1 «—1

Q)tT

rd

C4><

U)

Q)

4-> cd

4-) CO

T5

CD 4J-HCD

II LOoo

CMUa

co

(Uui—i

T3Ct—I

CDO

*H

CM

a'3

Uj

i—l cI—I H2Wa

inw \—I

•HU

Q,

<c

T3

cu

4-)u

(D

•r~i O

*H 11 CD LO 00

X 1 CDX 1 CD co CT\ r-~ LO coX 1 X

—1

CM CO CD O'.

x

—1

00 CM 00 T-H

r O'. O'. o 1 5% CT cr CT o o X—1 .—1

CM CM oo LO CD t"" CO CT\ o X

—1

CM LO CD 00 O'. »—i

CO CD 00

x

—1 11 O o o X—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 X 1 X—1 X 1 X 1 x—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co co co CO co 11

CD

4-) LO CD CO

X—1

LO cr> CT. o CD CM CT\ r- CD CM

X 1 O'. 00 0" O' O' O' 00 o CM 00 1 03 o\° cr cr CT CT o O o X 1 X 1 CM CO CO LO CD i> 00 CT\ O'. o t—1

CM co LO O' CO O'. o o 1 VC Oi 1 O o o o X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X—1 X 1 <—1 x—1 .—i X 1 x—1 X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co

(-0 11 CO 1 •H CM CO CD CM CD O'. co O' CM CD

X 1 CD CM r- co O'. o LO

X 1 00X

—1

00 LO CM o 1 4J o\° CT CT cr cr CTi O O o I—1 X—1

CM CM oo CO LO LO CD r- O' 00 00 O'. o o X 1 CM co 1 03 CO 11 i—1

MH

O o o o O o X

—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 ;—1 t—1 X—1 X—1 x—1

rH i—i i—i X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM 11 cM vT o o o CM oo LO 00 o CM LO 00 X 1 CO x—1

LO CO CM LO 00X 1 LO 00 CM CD o 00 CM 1 2%

CT cr cr <r (T\ <y\ o O o o X

—1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM 00 co oo LO LO CD CD CD O' 11 O o o o O o o o X 1 X—1

t-HX 1 X

—1 X—1 X

—1 X 1 x

—1 X 1 X 1 i

i X 1 X 1 X 1 X

—1 x—1 x

—1 X

—1 i—i

rH r~H 11 CD LO O' O'. 00 X 1 00 LO CO X 1 o o o o I—1

CM O' o o CD CO rH o rH CM LO 1 o\° O'. CT. <T> CT. O O X 1 CM CM CO LO CD O' 00 CT O X—1

CM CO LO CD 00 CT x—1

CO LO CT rH

r—1 1 LO Ho 11 o O

OO

X

—1 X—1 X

—1 X 1 X 1 x

—1 X—1 x—1 X 1 x—1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co CO CO CO CO

<D 11 <D

4-) LO CO CD CT. CM O' CM O' CO CO •xT

X 1 00 CD CO

X 1 CT O' LO LO CD 00x—1

CO xH

4-) 1 rd o\° CT. O^ O'. CT. CT.

O o X 1 t—1

CM CM ro LO CD O' CO CT o i—iCM CO LO O' 00 CT rH

rd 1 VC i—1 1 O o o O

O

X

—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X

—1 x—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO i—1 1 C

•H 1 o

4-) 1 H

X

—1 X 1 CM O' o CO O' CM LO o LO o LO

O LO o LOX—1CO

O CD CO

X—100 CD co

CO 1 4-> o\o CT. O'. CP\ CT. CT. CT. o o o X 1 x

—1

CM CM CO CO LO LO CD CD O' 00 00 CT o o xH CM co

-H 1 rd CO a 11 i—1

MH

O o OOOO

X

—1 X—1 x

—1

I—1 X 1 X 1 x

—1 I—1 x—1 i—1 x—1x—1X—1 X

—1 X

—1 X—1 X—1 X—1 H CM CM CM CM CM 11 C

l—l CO CT. o> CT.

O .—1

CO CD 00X 1 CD o CO CD CT CO CD CT CM CD o CT O' CM CD

O LO CT O' 1 2% O^ 00 00 00 CT. CT CT CT CT o o O I—1

X—1 X 1 i—1

CM CM CM CO CO LO LO CD CD CD O' 11 O o O O O O O O O X—1

X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X

—1 X 1 X—1x—1 X 1 x—1x—1 X

—1rH rH rH rH rH rH 11 co O1 CD X 1 O' CM CT O' LO CO O CT 00 CT CT o o x—1

CM LO CT CO O' CM 00 LO CO rH

O 1 o\<> LO o o O X 1 I—1

CM CM coO1 LO CD CD O' 00 CTX 1 CM co LO CD 00 CT rH CM CD 00

O CM 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 i—1 X 1 X 1 x—1 X 1 X 1 I—1 i—1

rH CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co co CO co CO *cr 1 0)

H 1 4-J CM CM ro O'x—1

CD

X 1 O' CO CT O' o O' LO CO

O O' CM «HO CT 00

r r. 00 CT

O CO CD

U 1 rd o\o o OO o X 1 X 1 CM CM CO CO

O1 LO LO CD O' 00 CO CT

O i—1CM CM CO LO CD 00 CT o

-H 1 VCO1 sh 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 xH

X 1 X 1 X 1 x

—1 x—1 x—1 X 1 X 1 X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM co

4-J 1 C o 1 o

aj 1 •H

X 1 o O CO CD CT CO O' CM CD o CT CT CT CO 00 *^r CT LO rH O' CO CT CD CD i—i 1 4-J o\° O o o o O O X 1 X 1 CM CM CO co CO LO LO CD CD O' O' 00 CT <T o O w 1 rd ro 11 i—1 4H X 1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 X—1 X—1 I—1 X 1 X 1 X 1 rH x—1

rH i—1 i—1rH rH rH rH CM CM 11 CM o 00 O' CT X 1 CO LO 00 CM O1 O' (T CM CD CT CM LO r' o co CD CT CM CD CT 1 oV> o CT CT CT o o O o X 1 X 1 X—1 X 1 CM CM CM CO CO co lO ID lO CD CD 111

CM

X 1 O

OO

X 1 x

—1

xH

X 1 X 1 xH - x

—1 X—1rHx—1rH rH rH rH rH rH - rH rH

C4 CD O' CO CT

O

X 1 CM CO LO CD 00 <T

O i—1CM CO IT) CD 00 CT

O

cd

O

O o O

X 1 X 1 X

—1 i—1 X 1 rHX 1 X 1 X 1 i—1

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

CD

OO o O o o O o O o O o o O

O

OOOOOOO

O

O

O >H CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

57
Table

S-5,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

'^rcr>^roLOOvDc\icrir''^rro<-HOOrHrocor—i^r(^ror'^r<-Hcor'VD'vDa>

o\0 ooHCMC\i(r)rn'C'Tin^Dr'Coc?iOr-icMcoincDr--a'>cDCM^rLnr'--cr><-Hco

i—

I

0

OO

0

-P0

DCco

-H

-P0

I—

I

4-)c

o\° ^r

o\° co

o\° CM

mr^<—icDCTimr^c\]r'CMco^ro'vDrni-HcT\ooaDr^[^^Doococr>cMmLno OOHHHtMCMnrO^^^llDVDrCOCOOHHCMrO^inVDh^OHfO

'—I'—I'—l>—li—l>—IHi—li—It—I <—li—li—li—lr—l<—li—ICMCMCMCMCMCMCMCMCMCMCOCOCO (NincDH(YnD(^(Min^fr)hHLnoinHco'ToincNh'THhinHa)h CDCDCDrHrHrHrHCMCMCMcoco^r^rininiOMDr^oDaoCDaDOrHrHCMcoro^r

«—l<—l<—I rH i—IrHi—li—li—li—li—It—li—l<—li-Hi—li—li—I;—li—I rH t—li—ICMCNCNCMCMCMCM

i—icomr-oocDrHcoinr'--ocM^rr'~cricov£)rHinoorHinoocMincocoiDCD^r oooooHHHHHfMW(MW(\mro^^^inLnm^^iDhhcoa)

co

03 O

i—

l

03UP

-P

03 2

c?\coco--H^rcr\Lr)CMt-Hor'^r^rLnr-o<—icMLOooror^-rooco'Xi'vDr'Cr>ro o\°(TiO>(TlOOOHCMn^'Tin^h(X)OH(Mm'q’^h(y\H(M4''XlCDO(v) m

O O O i—li—li—It-Hi—I

»—li—I i—I i—I H H H CM CN1 CM CM CM CM CM CM CO 00 CO CO 00 ^

0P covD'x>r-cr.rocx)mor'CMr-mmcM f-icr>r^MDLnmLnin'X)oooro'X)OLn

0o\°a'>aD<^<T\cr>cDOrHCMCMcoco^rin'X>r--r''OooDCDrHCMco*^rinr-~cDcr\rHCM

DC CD O O O O <—It—It—li—It—It—li—It—It—li—li—li—It—It—ICMCMCMCMCMCMCMCMCMCOfO

£

O

•h cDinmn^hHLno ,x)(^(Mh4'Oh(Mhn^tncMOiinnoco'>D4’n 4Jo\'>CTiCr\Ol^ai<^OOHHH(M(Mn4’4, inin^^hOOOD^OHH(MOr14’

03 co

fH O O O O O O »—I *—li—li—I i—I rH i—1«—Ir-Ht—It—It—It—

I

t—

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t—IrHi-Ht—I CM CM CM CM CM CM

4-1

II m

o

o

CM

cm f-~cooooH<^r(^Hinr-~cT»cMi^rHincr>cMmcrvoor'~HLnc>vr''-)r-cMr'-<—

i

o\o^^oM^^o^^G\ooooHH(MCM(Mnn(Yi4'4’Lninin^^hha)

CM O O O O O CD O O i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I <—I <—I i—I i—I »—I t—I i—I t—I t—I

<—I i—I i—I i—I t—I i—I i—I i—

I

0

CT> 03U

0

><

CO0

4-) 03

4-J CO

"00

4-J

i—

I

•HU

CO0

u

•H

T5CM

0

O

•rHu

0L 4

PI<

i—

I

05 "P

•rHCO

(U DC

CMcrtcxjorocr>cDro^Ha>oor'r'r^c3>rHrocDo^ocx)CD'X)CDcr>(Mr- ,^rcM o\oO^OiOOOHOjnn4’Ln'DhCDOH(M4'LnhCOO(NJ4'^CriH4'h

LO HOOHHHHHHHHHHHH(M(M(M(M(MCMCMmrOfrl(YinM''T4’

0

4-J t—ir~-'vD'X>aocooo^roiDcoor^incocMrHCDCDCDrHco^DaDoooocoaDr-''^r

03o\0 Ot3i(TiCnC7iOOH(M(Mn^4'LnU)hCO(r\OHCNn4’inhCDOHniO

DC

i—I O O O O t—li—lr—lr—li-Hr-Hr-Hi—I i-H i—I rH t—li—I CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CM CO O') CO CO c

o

rH ommro'^rr-THCDoinoinocDrHr'roocDooooor-in^r^roo'^T'^rin 4Jd»oc^^^c^^ooHH(M(MO)m4, 4, in^vohcDa)criOH(Mn4'in^

03 CO

i—IOOOOO i-Hi—

I

t—It—lr-H<—Hr—l<—IrHi—li—It—I.—li—l<—I rH t—I CM CM CM CM CM CM (M

4-1Cm a>^roa^cjNCMincr)T-H'^rr^rH^oo(MCDo*^roocMr'CMr'CMoo^cr>mcMoo

o\°o>crv<T»oooocrv<Tvcr>ooOrHTH l-icMCMroroor)'^r'=3, Lnm4DCDr^r'Oocr\crt

CM CD O O O O O CD CD t—li—It—li—

I

t—It—

I

t—It—It—l<—l<—It—It—It—I.—It—It—I'—l»—l»—

I

tl<—

I

cD

0

P

U,

rH

•rHUa

<

TJ0P

u

0

•r—

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0

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—

I

•Ho

0p

0

i—

I

fH

•rH -P

CO

•rH Q

c»r-ocMr'^ror'^HC^r^r'r'r-ODrHCM^rcrv^or-in'^r^rLncxjcMoo

0\°CTicrNooOrHCMCMcn'^r'^rLn'X>r'ODcr.rHCMro^r ,sDooa>rHfninr-criCM'^r

LO OOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHCMCMCMCMCMCMCMrOfOfnfOOTT^

0

4-J r-mt^cx)CMr^cMcorocxj^ror'LncMOcrir'inLncDr'Cr>rHmcDomocD 0o\ocri<TiCTi<T\oorH^HCMCMco'^r*^rincDr'r~oo<T>OrHCMooincDr'Cr>ocMro

DC OOOO*—li—lr—(t-Hr—li—l<—l»—It—lr—)rH<—It—It—It—ICMCMCMCMCMCMCMCMCOCOCO

c

o

•h cc^r-«r^r'iHLn<T>cMcc>oinoinocDCMr^cMcr»r- ,:^

, «-HC^r^LnmcMCMrH

po\°cr\cr>(Ticr>cTNOOOrHrHCMCMor)ro^’^, inin’vDvx>r'00o^criOrHCMm^Ln

0 CO

rH OOOOOrHrHi—I H I—li—li—li—IrHi—IrHrHrHi—I rH rH rH rH t—ICMCMCMCMCMCM

4-4cm LncMrHrHrocDcorHroLnoorHLnoorHinc^cMincn^oocor^cMr'CMr^cMco o\°CriO>CT»aNCT»Cr«<T>OOOOf-HtHrHCMCMCMCOCOCO^^inmCDCDr^r'CO<X)

CM O O O CD O O O i—I i—I

<—I i—I i—I t—I rH i—I i—I t—I t—I rH i—I i—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I t—I rH t—

I

>1

•Hu

•Hu

-po

0

•—

I

w

HH(MCDHVD4’(MHOCJ'hr'^OH(M(y1in(3\lv)hCMCOin(Tl(M(MO,)4’

o\o oooOrHrH(Mco'^rLnin'X'r'OOOrHCMco^rLnr'OoorHcoLnr'Cr>rHco

LO HHHHHHHHHHHHHHCMCMCMfNJCMCMCMCMnnnnrOrO^^

0

4J ocr»<T»cMCDocDCMor'COO>r'incOt-H<T>cD^rrocorocofO'^rinr^orovD

0 O\°ocJNcr>oo»-«rHCMcoco^r^Ln'X'r^cx)oocT\OrHCMco’^rinvc'r^ooorHCM

DC HOOHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHCMCMCNICMCMCMCMCMCMfOOOl

c

o

• H (Tir^COH'T030^4’COOCD4'OlDOinOVD(Ma)4’Hh4<1 H(^kD^ JJoV'OiOlOiC^OOOHHCMCMOn^inin^'XlhhCOOOOiOOHCMCMOM'

0 CO

rH OOOOi—IrHrHrHi—IHHi—IHHHrHi—IHHHHrHrHCMCMCMCMCMCMCM

m com^md)coHLnc^coLnco{\)^cri04)coHinco(Mincr>(Md)O'Tco(M

o\o«T»cr»cr<cr»cr>c>ooOrHrHrHCM(MCMcoooco'=r'^r^rLninLncD'sDr'r'r-oo

CM O CD CD CD CD CD !—I <—I rH rH r-H \—I i—I i—I i—I rH <—I 1—I <—I rH t—

I

rH rH i—I t—

I

i—I rH i—I rH rH

U0

0

>H

CD r-~ C30 G\ O H O O O O rH I-H o o o o o o

CM CM CM CM CM CM

CM CO

i—I i—

I

o o

CM CM

^ in o o

CM CM

cd r-~

I—I I—

t

o o

CM CM

CO OD CD

rH rH CM O O O

CM CM CM

rH CM CO

CM CM CM O O CD

CM CM CM

^ m cd

CM CM CM O O O

CM CM CM

r~~ OD CTi CD rH CM CO

CM CM CM CO CO CO CO O O O O O O O

CM CM CM CM CM CM CM

•vT m

CO CO o o

CM CM

58
Table

S-5,

continued.

Projected

fuel

price

indices

with

assumed

general

price

inflation

rates

of

2,

3,

4,

and 5

percent,

by

end-use

sector

and

fuel

type.

LOOLOOLOrHo-^rtHanr^'£>LO^r'^rvD'X>H'40 ['^cN'40 rHanLOiooocNL04D

o\0 OHH(MfMfYin^ininVDhCD(TiOHCM'q, in^)CD(TiHC\]^r^COO(\l'T

LO

i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—It—It—I i—I i—It—It—li—I C\1 CN CN CM CM CM CM (N OO CO OO OO CO ’vT '31 *vT

i-H0

Ou

0

4J ^rO'CNVOon^ooooan^roO'OOOO'LOCNmoooHOOrHCN^r'X'O'CNLO

0 o\° o o i—i '—i

<—i cnj cm oo oo ^ lo lo r— o~ oo on o t—i c\] oo lo lo o* oo on o cm on

PC

(—| i—IH i—

I

t—It—li—It—li—It—IHi—It—It—li—It— —I C\J CM CM CM (M C\J CN C\J CM CM CO CO CO c

o

-h ooLoanH^ro-oono-t—iLOO^roooooocooaocNoo*:3

1 or''OOt—i co lo oo o

4-> o\° O O O t—

I

t—

I

t—IC\JCM(\irr){Y)^r'^'3'ir)lD^D(^r'CD(DCriOOi—i cn cn oo lo 0 on

i—| i—1 rH i—I i—I i—I i—I \—I (—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I i—I t—I t—I t—H i—I i—I i—I t—I CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNJ CNOOLOO'OOOCN^rO'On o\°OOOOOrHHHHH H'vrO'ancNLocooooooooo'O^rO'CNLOooooO'

CNjCNjcNicNimmoo'^^LnLOLncocoNor^r'-r'-ooao

LOo

o

cnj

CO0O

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03U

p

4-> 03 2

O'CNOHooLocNoananLOCNooLOooHCNCN^raocoao'^rHOononooooo

o\° ON ON ON ON ON CTi O t—I <—I CNJ OO *vl1 LO CD ON O t—I CNJ CO LT) CD CO O CNJ m lO 00 O CNJ lO o o o o o o t

1 »—i i—i i—i <—i «—i i—i

«

1 <—i «—i cnj cnj cnj cNi (Nj cm cnj oo m on on on ,^r 0

4_) cDHr-r'COHV£)CNicr>r'CNir-inLO'sr'^CN]cr>r-r'r'(^cocri(Njn, r'HCDH

0 o\o ananoooocoananooH(NCNoo^rLOL£>r'''r''OoonoHCNcoLOLor~'GnocN

PC O O O O OOOi—li—li

1 <—It—It—li—I?—IHi1 <—It—

I

t—ICMCNJCNlCNJCNJCNICNICNJOnon a

o

-H Ln^lO^^VDO^O^^nOUDOnO'DOVDCNJ^^OOOCOin^CNJHO

4Jo\°(Tia}coa)(r)ODcric?ioooHH(NjmM, ^ininvDvDhco^(^OHCMon^r

05 on

I—I O O O O O O O O <—I t—I i—I t—I t—I i—I i—I r—I i—I t—I «—I t—I

'—I

<—I t—I t—I <—I CNJ CNJ (NJ CNJ CNJ

4-4Cm 0- cnj i—i oH^rr'-CNjvDoooLnomoonvoaNPnoocNiNDoinaN-vrCN^raN

o\°CTiCX)OOCX)COCOCOOOCNONONOOrH(-HCNJ(NJCNJCNJOnon^r^rLOir)LONO'vDI^-r^

CNJ o O O O O O O O O O O i—I i—I \—I Hi—I

<—I i—I «—I i—I «—It—I i—I i—I <—I r-H «—It—I «—i .—

I

1 1 CN CTi 00 CT\ CN 00 i—

i

00 CD LO on 'N1 O' on CN CD t—

i

O' on on r- O iO on —

i

—

1

1 1 o\° O on on on O o CN CN on LO CD O' 00 an o CN on LO CD 00 o CN CD on O'

•rH

1 1 an

3-1

1 1 o CD o CN CN CN CN CN CN on on on on on 0

Cr> a

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1

1 -Ho

1

1 0

1 1 4-J i—

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r- LD LO r- CN r- CN o- •^r i—

i

t"- CN o on oo O' O' O- 00 CD on CD o CD i—

i

00 CD

1

1—

1

1 0 o\° O on on on on o o i—

1

rH CN on on LO CD CD 00 on O H on LO O' 00 o i—

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on LO

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