Enclosure A 

South Coast Reasonable Further Progress Demonstration 
South Coast Reasonable Further Progress, summer planning, tons per day 

2002 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

Baseline ROG 896.7 654.9 603.1 569.1 549.5 538.4 536.0

CA MVCP/RVP Adjustment 0.0 56.1 73.0 86.6 93.7 98.3 101.6

RACT Corrections 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Adjusted 2002 Baseline ROG in milestone 

year 896.7 840.6 823.7 810.1 803.0 798.4 795.1

RFP commitment for ROG reductions from 

new measures 0 0 0 0 0 0

Required % change since previous 

milestone year (ROG or NOx) compared 

to 2002 

 18% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

Required % change since 2002 (ROG or 

NOx) 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63%

Target ROG levels 735.3 654.6 573.9 493.2 412.5 331.8

Apparent shortfall in ROG 0.0 0.0 0.0 56.3 125.9 204.2

Apparent shortfall in ROG, % 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 15.8% 25.7%

ROG shortfall previously provided by NOx 

substitution, % 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 15.8%

Actual ROG shortfall, % 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 8.8% 9.9%

Baseline NOx 1078.5 862.8 738.5 650.3 578.4 523.9 505.6

CA MVCP Adjustment 0.0 64.7 80.6 93.0 98.3 102.4 105.9

Adjusted 2002 Baseline NOx in milestone 

year 1078.5 1013.8 997.9 985.5 980.2 976.1 972.6

RFP commitment for NOx reductions from 

new measures 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Change in NOx since 2002 151.0 259.4 335.2 401.8 452.2 467.0

Change in NOx since 2002, % 14.9% 26.0% 34.0% 41.0% 46.3% 48.0%

NOx reductions since 2002 already used 

for RFP substitution and contingency 

through last milestone year, % 0.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 10.0% 18.8%

NOx reductions since 2002 available for 

RFP substitution and contingency in this 

milestone year, % 

14.9% 23.0% 31.0% 38.0% 36.3% 29.2%

Change in NOx since 2002 used for ROG 

substitution in this milestone year, % 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7.0% 8.8% 9.9%

Change in NOx since 2002 available for 

contingency in this milestone year, % 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%*

Change in NOx since 2002 surplus after 

meeting substitution and contingency 

needs in this milestone year, % 

11.9% 23.0% 31.0% 31.0% 27.6% 19.3%

RFP shortfall, if any 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

RFP Met? YES YES YES YES YES YES

Contingency Met? YES YES YES YES YES YES*

* 2024 mobile source program reductions are relied upon to meet 2023 contingency requirements. 
Enclosure B 

 San Joaquin Valley Reasonable Further Progress Demonstration 
San Joaquin Valley Reasonable Further Progress, summer planning, tons per day 

2002 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023

Baseline ROG 468.0 428.2 407.7 405.5 402.1 403.6 410.5

CA MVCP/RVP Adjustment 0.0 12.4 17.8 22.4 25.4 26.4 26.5

RACT Corrections 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Adjusted 2002 Baseline ROG in 

milestone year 468.0 455.7 450.2 445.6 442.6 441.6 441.5

RFP commitment for ROG reductions 

from new measures 3.3 15.3 40.5 42.2 44.5 71

Future Year ROG with existing and 

proposed measures 424.9 392.4 365.0 359.9 359.1 339.2

Required % change since previous 

milestone year (ROG or NOx) 

compared to 2002 

18% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

Required % change since 2002 (ROG 

or NOx) 18% 27% 36% 45% 54% 63%

Target ROG levels 373.6 328.7 285.2 243.4 203.1 163.4

Apparent shortfall in ROG 51.2 63.8 79.8 116.4 156.0 175.9

Apparent shortfall in ROG, % 11.2% 14.2% 17.9% 26.3% 35.3% 39.8%

ROG shortfall previously provided by 

NOx substitution, % 0% 5.8% 14.2% 17.9% 26.3% 35.3%

Actual ROG shortfall, % 11.2% 8.4% 3.8% 8.4% 9.0% 4.5%

Baseline NOx 642.30 575.83 505.37 430.21 369.86 327.02 301.12

CA MVCP Adjustment 0.0 16.8 21.2 24.8 26.9 27.8 28.2

Adjusted 2002 Baseline NOx in 

milestone year 642.30 625.5 621.1 617.5 615.4 614.5 614.1

RFP commitment for NOx reductions 

from new measures 0 2.3 4.4 6.3 7.8 8.0 54.2

Change in NOx since 2002 52.0 120.1 193.6 253.3 295.5 367.2

Change in NOx since 2002, % 8.3% 19.3% 31.3% 41.2% 48.1% 59.8%

NOx reductions since 2002 already 

used for RFP substitution and 

contingency through last milestone 

year, % 0.0% 8.3% 17.2% 20.9% 29.3% 38.3%

NOx reductions since 2002 available for 

RFP substitution and contingency in this 

milestone year, % 

8.3% 11.0% 14.2% 20.2% 18.8% 21.5%

Change in NOx since 2002 used for 

ROG substitution in this milestone year, 

% 5.8% 8.4% 3.8% 8.4% 9.0% 4.5%

Change in NOx since 2002 available for 

contingency in this milestone year, % 2.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%*

Change in NOx since 2002 surplus after 

meeting substitution and contingency 

needs in this milestone year, % 

0.0% 2.2% 10.4% 11.9% 9.8% 17.0%

RFP shortfall, if any 5.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

RFP Met? NO YES YES YES YES YES

Contingency Met? YES YES YES YES YES YES**

* 2024 mobile source program reductions are relied upon to meet 2023 contingency requirements. 

** Contingency requirements met in 2023 through reductions from already-adopted mobile source 

measures