Minority Population

Growth: 1995 to 2050

The Emerging Minority Marketplace

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE Issued September 1999

U.S. Department of Commerce

William M. Daley, Secretary

Robert L. Mallett, Deputy Secretary

Minority Business

Development Agency

Courtland Cox, Director
“America is a growing dynamic

country whose population will

increase fifty percent over the

next fifty years. Almost ninety

percent of that increase will be

in the minority community; and

this is where the emerging

markets will take place in

America. It is clear that both

Fortune 1000 companies and

minority businesses need to pay

attention to this growing

population.”

Preface

The Minority Business Development Agency (MBDA) commissioned the Census

Bureau to prepare this report on “Minority Population Growth: 1995 to 2050.” It

is one of a series of products that MBDA will be developing on The Emerging

Minority Marketplace to organize and disseminate information for and about

minority business. Visit our Internet web site at www.mbda.gov for more detailed

information about this report and county-level maps. It is our hope that the

information contained in this report will contribute to a National discussion about

the economic benefits of minority business development for all Americans.

Our next project will develop estimates of future minority population buying power.

Current buying power of minority groups is approximately 1 trillion dollars; but will

increase substantially over the next 50 years as the U.S. economy grows, minority

population increases, and disparities diminish in income between minorities and

nonminorities.

“If America is to continue its

position as the principal economic

force in the global marketplace,

it must include all members of its

society in productive enterprise.

As this report shows, the minority

community will be getting much

larger; therefore it is necessary

to have a strong business and

economic infrastructure that will

serve both minority communities

and all of America.”

Minority Business

Development Agency

Courtland Cox, Director

Secretary of Commerce

William M. Daley

Deputy Secretary of Commerce

Robert L. Mallett
Table 1. Projections of the Population of the United States by Race and Hispanic Origin: 1995 to 2050

[Millions. Resident population]

Year

Total Minority

NonMinority

(NonHispanic

White)

Race Origin

White Black

American

Indian,

Eskimo,

and Aleut

Asian and

Pacific

Islander Hispanic

NonHispanic

1995 .......................... 262.8 69.3 193.6 218.1 33.1 2.2 9.4 26.9 235.9

2000 .......................... 274.6 77.6 197.1 225.5 35.5 2.4 11.2 31.4 243.3

2005 .......................... 286.0 86.2 199.8 232.5 37.7 2.6 13.2 36.1 249.9

2010 .......................... 297.7 95.3 202.4 239.6 40.1 2.8 15.3 41.1 256.6

2015 .......................... 310.1 105.1 205.0 247.2 42.6 2.9 17.4 46.7 263.4

2020 .......................... 322.7 115.3 207.4 254.9 45.1 3.1 19.7 52.7 270.1

2025 .......................... 335.0 125.9 209.1 262.2 47.5 3.3 22.0 58.9 276.1

2030 .......................... 346.9 136.9 210.0 269.0 50.0 3.5 24.3 65.6 281.3

2035 .......................... 358.5 148.4 210.1 275.5 52.5 3.7 26.8 72.6 285.8

2040 .......................... 370.0 160.4 209.6 281.7 55.1 3.9 29.2 80.2 289.8

2045 .......................... 381.7 172.9 208.8 288.0 57.8 4.1 31.8 88.1 293.6

2050 .......................... 393.9 186.0 207.9 294.6 60.6 4.4 34.4 96.5 297.4

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 1996, Population Projections of the United States by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1995 to 2050,

Current Population Reports, P25-1130, Washington, DC.

The Emerging Minority Marketplace

Percent Increase

in Population:

1995 to 2050

Total

Minority

Non-Minority

(Non-Hispanic White)

Black

American Indian,

Eskimo, and Aleut

Asian and

Pacific Islander

Hispanic

50

169

7

83

95

267

258

FIGURE 1.

All racial and ethnic groups will grow in population from 1995 to 20502

(Figure 1). Overall, the population of the United States is projected to grow from

263 million in 1995 to 394 million in 2050, a 50-percent increase (Table 1). The

Minority population will account for nearly 90 percent of this increase of 131

million people over the 55 years of the projection.

The U.S. population is becoming increasingly diverse. As the Nation enters

the twenty-first century, the populations of race and ethnic minority groups will

continue to experience more rapid growth than the non-Hispanic White population.

Using the latest projection data, this report describes the trends in U.S. population

distribution and growth from 1995 to 2050 on the National level and 1995 to 2025

on the state level. The report depicts these trends for individual race and ethnic

origin groups1

, as well as for a combined Minority population group. The term

“Minority” in this report is used to represent the combined population of people

who are Black, American Indian, Eskimo, Aleut, Asian, Pacific Islander, or of

Hispanic origin (who may be of any race). Equivalently, the Minority population

comprises all people other than non-Hispanic Whites (who are termed the “nonMinority” population when compared to the combined Minority population group).

The Minority population will account for nearly 90 percent of the total

growth in the U.S. population from 1995 to 2050.

2 All population totals in this report are projections rather than estimates. Implicit is the phrase “if the fertility, mortality, and migration

assumptions of the projections hold” in all statements regarding the population situation for all groups and areas for all years from

1995 to 2050.

1 The racial classification used in this report adheres to Office of Management and Budget (OMB), Statistical Directive No. 15:

“Race and Ethnic Standards for Federal Agencies and Administrative Reporting,” Federal Register 43:19269-19270, May 4, 1978.

New standards were adopted by OMB in October 1997 and will be implemented by all Federal agencies no later than January 1,

2003.

Minority Population Growth:

1995 to 2050

1

	




U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

FIGURE 3.

Among the minority groups, Asian and Pacific Islanders and Hispanics

(who may be of any race) are by far the fastest growing populations. The

267-percent increase for Asians3 and 258-percent increase for Hispanics

imply that these two groups will more than triple their 1995 population sizes,

reaching 34 million and 97 million people, respectively, in 2050. The population

increase during each 5-year projection period for Asian and Pacific Islanders

will be more than that of non-Hispanic

Whites from 2025 on. By 2010, Hispanics

will become the second largest race/ethnic

group, second only to non-Hispanic Whites.

The Black population is projected to

reach 61 million in 2050, an increase of

83 percent. From 2015 on, more Blacks

will be added to the total population than

non-Hispanic Whites every year. The

American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut

population also will nearly double,

increasing 95 percent to more than

4 million people in 2050.

Every Minority group will represent an

increasing share of the future U.S.

population.

As a result of the faster growth of

minority groups, the race and ethnic

distribution will become even more

diversified as the Nation progresses through

the twenty-first century (Figure 2). Asian

and Pacific Islanders and Hispanics will

considerably expand their portion of the

total U.S. population. The Asian population

will more than double its 1995 proportion

of 4 percent to become 9 percent in 2050.

The Hispanic-origin share of the total

population will increase by 2.4 times. In

1995, 10 in every 100 people in the United

States were of Hispanic origin; by 2050,

24 in every 100 will be Hispanic.

In 1995, the Black population was the

largest minority group, representing 13

percent of the total population. Its share

of the total population will increase to 15

percent in 2050. However, the more

rapid growth of people of Hispanic

origin will result in Hispanics

becoming the most populous minority

group by 2010 (Figure 3). The

Hispanic population will continue to

grow rapidly throughout the projection

period, reaching 97 million in 2050

and exceeding the Black population

of 61 million (including Black

Hispanics) by 50 percent.

The faster growth of minority

groups will lead to a substantial

decrease of the proportion of the

non-Hispanic White (i.e., nonMinority) population, a 21-point drop

from 74 percent to 53 percent.

The Minority population most

likely will surpass the non-Minority

population after 2050.

The higher growth rates of each

minority race and ethnic group

relative to non-Hispanic Whites

implies that the total combined

Minority population of the United

States is growing much more rapidly

than the non-Minority (non-Hispanic

White) population. As a group, the

Minority population will more than

2

3 For this report, the group “Asian and Pacific Islander” is sometimes

referred to as “Asian.” This group will be classified into two separate

groups of “Asian” and “Native Hawaiian and Other Pacific Islander”

in the 2000 Census of Population and Housing. The group “American

Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut” is sometimes referred to as “American

Indian” in this report, but will be classified as “American Indian and

Alaska Native” in the 2000 census.

Percent Distribution

of U.S. Population

1995

Total Population 262.8 million

2050

Total Population 393.9 million

by Race

Asian—4%

American Indian—1%

Black—13%

Hispanic White—9%

Non-Hispanic White

(Non-Minority)—74%

by Hispanic Origin

Hispanic

(of any race)—24%

Non-Hispanic—76%

by Race

Asian—9%

American Indian—1%

Black—15%

Hispanic White—22%

Non-Hispanic White

(Non-Minority)—53%

by Hispanic Origin

Hispanic

(of any race)—10%

Non-Hispanic—90%

FIGURE 2.

Black and Hispanic

Population: 1995 to 2050

(In millions)

1995

2010

2050

33

27

40

41

61

97

Black

Hispanic

The Emerging Minority Marketplace
FIGURE 4.

double between 1995 and 2050

(increasing by 169 percent),

compared to just a 7-percent

increase for the non-Minority

population. The 1995 Minority

population of 69 million will increase

by 117 million people over the entire

55-year projection, reaching 186

million by 2050 (Figure 4). Minority

5-year population increase will

expand from 8 million during the

1995-2000 period to 13 million for

2045-2050.

The non-Minority population,

on the other hand, is growing at a

much slower rate. It will add only

14 million people during the

projection period, changing from a

1995 population of 194 million to

208 million in 2050. The 5-year

increment in population size

generally will decline during the

projection, and from 2035 onward,

the non-Minority population will

decrease in size.

The combination of the high

growth of the Minority population

and the slow (and even negative)

change of the non-Minority

population will most likely produce a reversal in the relative sizes of these two

groups. Minority groups, which represented 26 percent of the U.S. population

in 1995, are projected to make up 47 percent of the total population in 2050.

Although the non-Hispanic White (non-Minority) population will remain the most

populous race/ethnic group by the end of the projection period, if the trends in

the U.S. population in these two groups were to continue beyond 2050, then the

Minority population would surpass the non-Minority population decades before

the end of the twenty-first century.

Minority children (aged 5 and under)

will exceed non-Minority children

by 2030.

While the total Minority

population still will be less than the

non-Minority population in 2050, the

Minority population will exceed the

non-Minority population at young ages

much earlier (Figure 5). Over time,

the relationship of a larger Minority

population will hold for increasingly

older ages. In 2030, the Minority

population will exceed the non-Minority

population at each age 0 through 5

years, with one-half million more

Minority children in these ages than

non-Minority children. By 2040, there

will be 6 million more Minority

population through age 21. In 2050,

the Minority population will exceed the

3


	




Minority and Non-Minority Population:

1995 to 2050

(In millions)

0

50

100

150

200

250

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

Minority

Non-Minority

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

The Emerging Minority Marketplace

FIGURE 5. Difference Between Minority

and Non-Minority Populations by Age

(In thousands) Minority more

than non-Minority

2050

-2000

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

0-4

5-9

10-14

15-19

20-24

25-2930-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-6465-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

2030

Non-Minority more

than Minority

-2000

-1500

-1000

-500

0

500

1000

Age

	




2000, California’s Minority population

will surpass the non-Minority population,

and the Minority population will

represent more than 50 percent of the

total state population in Texas by 2015.

These 5 states will represent onefourth of the total U.S. population...

Adding the two most populous

states of California and Texas to

4

FIGURE 6.

4 “States” include the 50 states and the District of Columbia.

5 “Region” refers to the four regions: Northeast, Midwest, South

and West.

6 While the National projections were prepared for the period

1995 to 2050, the state-level projections only cover the 30-year

period, 1995 to 2025.

non-Minority population at every age,

0 through 34, and the aggregated

difference in these ages will be about

18 million. During the 55 years from

1995 to 2050, the Minority population

under age 35 will more than double,

from 43 to 100 million, while the nonMinority population under age 35 will

decline from 92 million to 82 million.

Even for ages 35 years and over, the

difference between these two

populations in 2030 will be reduced

by 2050 for every age from 35 to 83

years.

In 2025, the Minority population will

exceed the non-Minority population

in 5 states.

In 1995, 24 states4

 had less than

15 percent Minority of their total

population (Figure 6). Alternatively,

the non-Minority population in these

states represented 85 percent or more

of their total population. The

concentration of Minority population

was relatively greater in border and

coastal states in the South and the

West regions5

. During the projection,

the percent Minority will increase in

every state, and the state-level

concentration of Minority population

will extend northward and westward.

As a result, by 20256

, the number of

states with less than 15 percent

Minority population will decline to 11,

and most of those states will be in the

Northeast and Midwest.

In 1995, the District of Columbia,

Hawaii, and New Mexico already had

Minority populations exceeding 50

percent of their total population. By

2025

1995

Percent Minority by State

Percent Minority

Less than 15.0

15.0 to 24.99

25.0 to 49.99

50.0+

AK

WA

OR

ID

MT

WY

UT

ND

SD

NE

KS

OK

MN

IA

MO

AR

IL

MI

WI

CA

NV

AZ NM

TX HI LA

IN OH

KY

TN

MS AL

FL

GA

SC

WV VA

PA

NY

ME VT

NH

MA

RI

NJ

DE

MD

DC

CT

NC

AK

WA

OR

ID

MT

WY

UT

ND

SD

NE

KS

OK

MN

IA

MO

AR

IL

MI

WI

CA

NV

AZ NM

TX HI LA

IN OH

KY

TN

MS AL

FL

GA

SC

WV VA

PA

NY

ME VT

NH

MA

RI

NJ

DE

MD

DC

CT

NC

CO

CO

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

The Emerging Minority Marketplace
... and 13 more states will be over

one-third Minority.

In addition to the 5 top Minority

states, by 2025, there will be 13 more

states that are one-third or more

Minority (Figure 7). These include

populous states of Florida, New York,

Illinois, Georgia, New Jersey, and

Virginia.

At the bottom of the distribution

— states with less

than 10 percent

Minority population —

are three states in the

Northeast, one in the

Midwest and one in

the South. They are

Maine, Vermont, New

Hampshire, Iowa, and

West Virginia,

respectively.

The states with the

highest percentage

of each race/ethnic

group will be the

same in 1995 and

2025.

Over the 30-

year projection

period, the states

with the highest

percentage of

each race/ethnic

population in total

state population will

remain the same in

2025 as in 1995.

Maine will continue

to be the state where

non-Hispanic Whites

comprise the

maximum percentage

(96 percent in 2025)

of the total state

population.

population living in states with over 50

percent Minority in 2025 signifies a 16-

fold increase. (In 2025, 5 million people

will live in the original 3 states and 82

million in the 5 states.) This implies

that by the end of the state projection,

about one-fourth of the total U.S.

population will be living in states where

the Minority population exceeds the

non-Minority population.

5


	




Washington, DC will remain the

place where Blacks have the highest

concentration, 64 percent in 1995

and 59 percent in 2025. Alaska’s

top ranking as the state with the

highest percentage of the American

Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut population,

15 percent in 1995 and 11 percent

in 2025, will be maintained. Hawaii,

with 64 percent Asian and Pacific

Islanders in 1995 and 66 percent in

2025, will remain the state with the

highest percentage of Asian and

Pacific Islander population. New

Mexico not only will continue to host

the largest state proportion of

Hispanics, but also will undergo a

considerable increase, from 39

percent to 48 percent.

The states with the lowest

percentage of race/ethnic population

will change over the 30 years,

although the lowest-ranked states

in 1995 remain near the bottom in

2025. In 1995, 28 percent of the

Washington, DC population were

non-Hispanic Whites, but by 2025,

Hawaii will become the state with

the smallest percentage of nonHispanic White population. For each

minority group, the lowest

percentage of the state population

will be about 1 percent. Montana

will continue to be the state with the

lowest percentage of Black

population. West Virginia, the state

with the lowest percentage of

American Indians, Asians, and

Hispanics in 1995, will continue to

host the lowest percentage of

American Indian, Eskimo, and Aleut

population, but will be replaced by

Arkansas for Asian and Pacific

Islanders, and by Alabama for

Hispanics.

States Ranked by

Percent Minority: 2025

HI

DC

CA

NM

TX

NY

MD

NJ

AK

LA

AZ

FL

NV

GA

MS

IL

VA

SC

DE

CT

CO

NC

AL

MA

OK

RI

MI

WA

TN

KS

PA

AR

OH

OR

MO

WI

WY

UT

ID

MN

IN

NE

SD

MT

ND

KY

IA

WV

NH

VT

ME

77

74

66

60

54

47

46

45

43

43

41

40

39

39

37

35

33

43

31

31

30

29

29

28

27

26

24

24

21

20

20

19

19

18

17

17

16

16

15

15

15

14

14

13

12

10

9

6

6

4

4

FIGURE 7.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

The Emerging Minority Marketplace

	




The Asian and Pacific Islander

and Hispanic populations will

double in nearly all states

between 1995 and 2025.

All minority groups will double

their populations in some states

between 1995 and 2025. However,

the magnitude of growth is far from

the same between the groups. From

1995 to 2025, Asian and Pacific

Islanders will double their population

in 46 states and Hispanics in 44

states (Figure 8). That is, during

the three decades of the state

projections, nearly all states will

experience an increase of more than

100 percent in their Asian and

Hispanic populations. The Black

population is projected to double in

7 states, and the American Indian

population in 3 states. By contrast,

there is no state in which nonHispanic Whites will double their

population.

The population of specific

groups in some less-populated

states will more than triple, with

increases in population of 200

percent or more. The Hispanic

population of Nevada and the Asian

population of Wyoming will increase

three-fold during the projection

period. Alaska’s Asian

population is projected to

experience a six-fold

increase.

The non-Hispanic

White population of 11

states will be smaller in

2025 than in 1995.

The non-Hispanic

White population is

projected to grow slower

than every minority race

and ethnic group in

almost all states. The

states with the largest

percentage increase in

the non-Hispanic White

population are in the West

region. However, the largest

percentage increase will be less than

40 percent (Figure 9). Furthermore,

in 11 states, the non-Hispanic White

population will undergo negative

changes. That is, the projected nonHispanic White population for these

11 states will be less in 2025 than

in 1995. Nine of these states will be

in the Northeast or Midwest, plus

California and West Virginia. The

largest percentage decline of the

non-Hispanic White population will

be in New York; its population will

be reduced by more than

1 million from 1995 to

2025, equivalent to a 12-

percent decrease.

Most of the population

increase for minority

groups will occur in the

West or the South.

Among the minority

race/ethnic groups, the

Hispanic population

increase (32 million) from

1995 to 2025 will be more than the

combined increase of the Black (14

million), Asian and Pacific Islander

(13 million), and American Indian,

Eskimo, and Aleut (1 million)

populations. A regional distribution

of population growth shows that

most of the increase for these

groups takes place in the West or

the South (Figure 10). The West

will contain about half of the

population increase of American

Indians, Asians, and Hispanics, but

only a small share (about one-tenth)

of the Black population growth.

The South will sustain the largest

regional share (about three-fifths)

of the Black increase, as well as

the second largest growth for

American Indians (about onefourth) and Hispanics (nearly onethird). The smallest share of the

Hispanic and Asian population

increase will take place in the

Midwest, and the least American

Indian increase will occur in the

Northeast.

Number of States With More Than

100 Percent Increase of Population

in Specific Race/Ethnic Groups:

1995 to 2025

Asian

Hispanic

Black

American Indian

White, Non-Hispanic

46

44

7

3

0

FIGURE 8.

FIGURE 9. States With the Largest Percent

Increase or Decrease of NonHispanic Whites: 1995 to 2025

Idaho

Utah

Wyoming

California

West Virginia

Ohio

Michigan

Illinois

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

Connecticut

Massachusetts

New Jersey

New York

Percent

-20 -10 0 10 20 30 40

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

The Emerging Minority Marketplace

6
7


	




The Minority youth population will

more than double from 1995 to

2050, while the non-Minority youth

population will decline.

Strikingly different patterns of

the projected youth (ages 0-14) and

elderly (ages 65 and over)

populations for Minority and nonMinority emerge during the period

1995 to 2050 (Figure 11). During

the projection period, the Minority

youth population will more than

double, from 19 to 46 million. In

contrast, the pattern for the nonMinority youth population shows a

decline from 38 million in 1995 to 34

million in 2050. The projected

growth patterns of the Minority and

non-Minority elderly populations are

roughly parallel until 2015, sharply

widen until 2030 as the Baby

Boomers (born between 1946 and

1964) age, and narrow afterward.

Although there is some similarity in

the elderly patterns, the number of

non-Minority elderly far exceeds the

number of Minority elderly

throughout the projection.

Contrasting age distributions

within the Minority

and non-Minority

populations also are

indicated in Figure

11. For the Minority

population, youths

consistently number

about 15 million more

than the elderly, and

these two broad age

groups grow rapidly

and in a parallel

direction. However,

for non-Minority, the

youth and elderly

populations will

change in opposite directions until

about 2035, and follow a parallel

trend thereafter. In 1995, there were

10 million more non-Minority youths

than elderly, but the two groups will

become about the same size around

2015. The youth population then

will stabilize at around 35 million,

while the elderly will undergo a steep

increase to reach 52 million in 2030

and then remain a similar size until

2050.

Every minority group will remain

much younger than the nonHispanic White population.

The populations of minority

race and ethnic groups are much

younger on average than the nonMinority population (Figure 12). In

general, these age distribution

differences are largely a function of

higher fertility (such as for Hispanics

and Blacks) or the impact of

international migration (such as for

Hispanics and Asians) relative to the

non-Minority.

In 1995, the Minority

population’s median age was 28.2

Regional Distribution of

Population Increase by

Race/Ethnic Minority

Group: 1995 to 2025

FIGURE 10.

Total Increase: 14.4 million

West—11%

Midwest—14%

Northeast—16%

South—59%

Total Increase: 1.1 million

West—49%

Midwest—20%

Northeast—5%

South—26%

Total Increase: 12.6 million

West—56%

Midwest—9%

Northeast—19%

South—16%

Total Increase: 32.0 million

West—50%

Midwest—7%

Northeast—13%

South—30%

Black

American Indian,

Eskimo, and Aleut

Asian and Pacific Islander

Hispanic

Minority and Non-Minority Population

Aged 0-14 and 65 Years and Over:

1995 to 2050

(In millions)

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

Minority, 0-14

Minority, 65 Years and Over

Non-Minority, 0-14

Non-Minority, 65 Years and Over

FIGURE 11.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

The Emerging Minority Marketplace

	




years, 8.4 years younger than the

non-Minority (36.6). By 2050, the

difference will be even larger, when

the median age for the Minority

population will be 32.3 years, almost

12 years younger than the median

age (44.0) for the non-Minority

population. The large increase in

median age of the non-Minority

population results, in part, from the

aging of the Baby-Boom generation

and the projected continuation of

low fertility rates.

The median ages for minority

groups varied from 26.3 (Hispanic)

to 30.6 (Asian) years old in 1995.

By 2050, the minority groups will

become more similar in their median

ages. Asians, the oldest among the

minority groups, will have a median

age of 34.8 in 2050, 4 years older

than in 1995. On the other hand,

the median ages of Hispanics, the

youngest group, and American

Indians, the second youngest group,

are projected to increase by almost

5 years. All minority groups will still

be younger in 2050 than the nonMinority population of 1995.

Source and Accuracy of

Projections

The numbers used in this report

are based on the latest official Census

Bureau National and state-level

projections as of July 1, 1999. These

projections are consistent with the

1990 census as enumerated, and

are projected forward using the

cohort-component method for future

fertility, mortality, and net immigration

levels (and internal migration for

states). For National level projections,

this report uses the “middle series”

in the Census Bureau’s Current

Population Report P25-1130,

Population Projections of the United

States by Age, Sex, Race, and

Hispanic Origin: 1995 to 2050

(February 1996). The middle series

applies the middle of the three

assumptions for each of the

components of change. For state

level projections, this report uses the

“preferred series” in the Census

Bureau’s report PPL-47, Population

Projections for States by Age, Sex,

Race, and Hispanic Origin: 1995 to

2025 (October 1996). The preferred

series uses a demographically based

time series, which is different in the

internal migration assumptions from

an alternative series using an

economically based set of

assumptions.

As with any projection data,

due to the uncertainties of the levels

and directions of some components,

the actual future population is never

identical to the projected population.

Also, since the preparation of the

projections used in this report,

additional data on births, deaths,

and migration by age, race, and

Hispanic origin have become

available, which, when incorporated

in updated projections, may lead to

some different trends from those

indicated by the current projections.

Therefore, precautions should be

used when interpreting the results

from this report.

Median Age by Race/Ethnic

Group: 1995 and 2050

1995

2050

Minority Non-Minority

(Non-Hispanic

White)

Black American

Indian,

Eskimo,

and Aleut

Asian

and

Pacific

Islander

Hispanic

28.2

32.3

36.6

44.0

29.2

32.7

26.8

31.6 30.6

34.8

26.3

31.0

FIGURE 12.

U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE

The Emerging Minority Marketplace

8
MINORITY BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT AGENCY

Contact

This report was prepared by Wan

He and Frank Hobbs of the U.S.

Census Bureau and funded by the

Minority Business Development

Agency, U.S. Department of

Commerce.

For further information and

additional copies, contact:

Richard L. Stevens

Chief, Office of Market Access

 Room 5093

Minority Business

 Development Agency

U.S. Department of Commerce

Washington, DC 20230

202-482-4671

rstevens@mbda.gov

or visit MBDA’s website at

www.mbda.gov