APPENDIX F. DETAILED LIFE-CYCLE COST OUTPUT 

TABLE OF CONTENTS 

F.1 INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................... F-1 

F.2 LCC RESULTS ........................................................................................................................... F-1 

F.2.1 Equipment Category: Fully-Cooled, Large Size, Indoor Only (A-L-IN) ........................F-1 

F.2.2 Equipment Category: Fully Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor Only (A-M-IN) ...................F-6 

F.2.3 Equipment Category: Fully Cooled, Small, Indoor Only (A-S-IN) ...............................F-11 

F.2.4 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Large Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-L-IO) .................F-16 

F.2.5 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor-Outdoor 

(B-M-IO)........................................................................................................................ F-21 

F.2.6 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Small Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-S-IO) .................F-26 

F.3 LCC SENSITIVITY TO FUEL PRICE ESCALATION - RESULTS ......................................F-31 

LIST OF TABLES 

Table F.2.1 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) 

by Efficiency Level for A-L-IN.................................................................................F-2 

Table F.2.2 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN .................F-4 

Table F.2.3 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) 

by Efficiency Level for A-M-IN................................................................................F-7 

Table F.2.4 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN ................F-9 

Table F.2.5 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) 

by Efficiency Level for A-S-IN...............................................................................F-12 

Table F.2.6 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN................F-14 

Table F.2.7 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) 

by Efficiency Level for B-L-IO...............................................................................F-17 

Table F.2.8 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO................F-19 

Table F.2.9 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) 

by Efficiency Level for B-M-IO..............................................................................F-22 

Table F.2.10 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO ..............F-24 

Table F.2.11 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) 

by Efficiency Level for B-S-IO ...............................................................................F-27 

Table F.2.12 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO................F-29 

Table F.3.1 Summary of Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-L-IN..................................................................F-31 

Table F.3.2 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-M-IN .................................................................F-32 

Table F.3.3 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 Low-Price Scenario: A-S-IN...................................................................F-32 

Table F.3.4 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-L-IO...................................................................F-33 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
Table F.3.5 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-M-IO..................................................................F-33 

Table F.3.6 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 Low-Price Scenario: B-S-IO...................................................................F-34 

Table F.3.7 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: A-L-IN..................................................................F-34 

Table F.3.8 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: A-M-IN.................................................................F-35 

Table F.3.9 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: A-S-IN..................................................................F-35 

Table F.3.10 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: B-L-IO..................................................................F-36 

Table F.3.11 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: B-M-IO.................................................................F-36 

Table F.3.12 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: B-S-IO ..................................................................F-37 

LIST OF FIGURES 

Figure F.2.1 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost 

for A-L-IN (Level 1 Baseline)...................................................................................F-2 

Figure F.2.2 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

A-L-IN .......................................................................................................................F-3 

Figure F.2.3 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

A-L-IN (Level 1 Baseline).........................................................................................F-4 

Figure F.2.4 Cumulative Chart of Payback Periods for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN ................F-5 

Figure F.2.5 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost 

for A-M-IN (Level 1 Baseline)..................................................................................F-7 

Figure F.2.6 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

A-M-IN ......................................................................................................................F-8 

Figure F.2.7 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

A-M-IN (Level 1 Baseline)........................................................................................F-9 

Figure F.2.8 Cumulative Chart of Payback Periods for All Efficiency Levels: 

A-M-IN ....................................................................................................................F-10 

Figure F.2.9 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost 

for A-S-IN (Level 1 Baseline) .................................................................................F-12 

Figure F.2.10 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

A-S-IN .....................................................................................................................F-13 

Figure F.2.11 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

A-S-IN (Level 1 Baseline).......................................................................................F-14 

Figure F.2.12 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN ...............F-15 

Figure F.2.13 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost 

for B-L-IO (Level 1 Baseline) .................................................................................F-17 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
Figure F.2.14 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

B-L-IO .....................................................................................................................F-18 

Figure F.2.15 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

B-L-IO (Level 1 Baseline).......................................................................................F-19 

Figure F.2.16 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO ...............F-20 

Figure F.2.17 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost 

for B-M-IO (Level 1 Baseline) ................................................................................F-22 

Figure F.2.18 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

B-M-IO ....................................................................................................................F-23 

Figure F.2.19 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

B-M-IO (Level 1 Baseline)......................................................................................F-24 

Figure F.2.20 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO ..............F-25 

Figure F.2.21 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost 

for B-S-IO (Level 1 Baseline) .................................................................................F-27 

Figure F.2.22 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

B-S-IO......................................................................................................................F-28 

Figure F.2.23 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

B-S-IO (Level 1 Baseline) .......................................................................................F-29 

Figure F.2.24 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO................F-30 

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APPENDIX F. DETAILED LIFE-CYCLE COST OUTPUT
 

F.1 INTRODUCTION 

This appendix contains detailed output from the life-cycle cost (LCC) analysis for 

beverage vending machines as developed using the LCC spreadsheet. LCC and payback periods 

(PBPs) are presented in terms of national average LCC, national average LCC savings from the 

baseline (Level 1) and national average PBP results for each of the six equipment size categories 

in two equipment classes (A and B) at each efficiency level. In the LCC figures, market baseline 

(Level 0) is also shown for comparison. See Chapter 8 of the technical support document (TSD) 

for an explanation of the tables and figures in this appendix. The LCC spreadsheet is available on 

the U.S Department of Energy’s web site at 

http://www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/commercial/beverage_machines.ht 

ml. 

F.2 LCC RESULTS 

F.2.1 Equipment Category: Fully-Cooled, Large Size, Indoor Only (A-L-IN) 

Figure F.2.1 shows the variation of the LCC with the installed cost for each of the 

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price 

and the installation cost of the equipment (which remains relatively flat). The increasing 

equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from 

Level 2–8 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher 

efficiency levels (Level 2–7), the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than 

the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (because of 

reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at most 

efficiency levels is lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product 

category. Table F.2.1 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline 

(Level 1) calculated for this product for higher efficiency levels (2–7). For efficiency Level 8, 

the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Figure F.2.2 shows this distribution of 

LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed. 

Figure F.2.3 shows the effect on PBP as the efficiency level changes from Level 1 

(baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy 

prices, sales taxes, and installation costs. Table F.2.2 shows the national distribution of PBPs 

calculated for most efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with 

a payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.4 show this distribution of payback results graphically 

for each efficiency level analyzed. 

F-1 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

 Equipment= A-L-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Life Cycle Cost 

$9,000 

$8,000 

$7,000 

$6,000 

$5,000 

$4,000 

$3,000 

$2,000 

$1,000 

$0 

$6,079 

$2,859 

Level 1 

(Energy 

Star Tier 1) 

$6,028 

$2,889 

Level 2 

$6,008 

$2,931 

Level 3 

$5,986 

$2,977 

Level 4 

$5,970 

$3,010 

Level 5 

$5,966 $5,982 

$7,742 

$3,043 $3,078 $4,425 

Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 

(Max Tech) 

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.1 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for 

A-L-IN (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.1 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by 

Efficiency Level for A-L-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

2 -1 32 46 55 65 73 83 95 111 137 

3 -22 37 62 80 97 113 131 152 181 230 

4 -45 42 80 106 132 155 182 214 257 331 

5 -62 45 93 125 157 185 219 259 312 404 

6 -83 39 94 132 168 201 240 286 348 454 

7 -112 18 77 118 159 194 236 285 352 468 

8 -1,886 -1,736 -1,664 -1,616 -1,568 -1,541 -1,487 -1,445 -1,347 -1,215 

201 

349 

509 

624 

708 

744 

-935 

84 

132 

184 

222 

244 

240 

-1,481 

F-2 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
A-L-IN Level 2 A-L-IN Level 3 

A-L-IN Level 4 A-L-IN Level 5
 

A-L-IN Level 6 A-L-IN Level 7
 

A-L-IN Level 8
 

Figure F.2.2 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

A-L-IN 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff 

 Equipment= A-L-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Payback Period (Years) 

120.0 

100.0 

80.0 

60.0 

40.0 

20.0 

0.0 

2.9 

$2,889 

Level 2 

3.9 

$2,931 

Level 3 

4.4 

$2,977 

Level 4 

4.6 4.9 5.5 

100.0 

$3,010 $3,043 $3,078 $4,425 

Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max 

Tech) 

Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.3 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

A-L-IN (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.2 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 %

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

0.5 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.3 4.3 2.3 85 

0.7 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.5 6.1 3.1 51 

0.8 1.8 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.4 5.1 6.8 3.4 41 

0.8 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.5 5.3 7.1 3.6 39 

0.8 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.8 5.6 7.7 3.8 29 

0.9 2.2 2.7 3.3 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.7 5.4 6.3 8.7 4.3 25 

7.2 29.3 46.4 87.8 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 83.8 0 

F-4 

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A-L-IN, Level 2 A-L-IN, Level 3 

A-L-IN, Level 4 A-L-IN, Level 5 

A-L-IN, Level 6 A-L-IN, Level 7 

A-L-IN, Level 8 

Figure F.2.4 Cumulative Chart of Payback Periods for All Efficiency Levels: A-L-IN 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
F.2.2 Equipment Category: Fully Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor Only (A-M-IN) 

Figure F.2.5 shows the variation of the LCC with the installed cost for each of the 

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price 

and the installation cost of the equipment (which remains relatively flat) and the increasing 

equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from 

Levels 2–8 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher 

efficiency levels (Levels 2–7), and the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC 

than the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (because of 

reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at 

efficiency levels 2–7 are lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this 

product category. For efficiency Level 8, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). 

Table F.2.3 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Level 1) 

calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels (2–8). Figure F.2.6 shows this 

distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed. 

Figure F.2.7 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from 

Level 1 (baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy 

prices, sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.4 shows the national distribution of PBPs 

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and percent of units with a 

payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.8 show this distribution of payback results graphically for 

each efficiency level analyzed. 

F-6 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life Cycle Cost 

$8,000 

$7,000 

$6,000 

$5,000 

$4,000 

$3,000 

$2,000 

$1,000 

$0 

Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

 Equipment= A-M-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

$5,808 $5,708 $5,678 $5,680 $5,654 $5,659 $5,680 

$7,188 

$2,625 $2,676 $2,687 $2,749 $2,797 $2,831 $2,864 $3,986 

Level 1 

(Energy 

Star Tier 1) 

Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 

(Max Tech) 

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.5 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for 

A-M-IN (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.3 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by 

Efficiency Level for A-M-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

2 1 64 91 108 126 142 160 182 212 

3 5 85 118 140 162 182 206 233 271 

4 -38 66 112 142 173 200 233 270 322 

5 -62 74 134 174 214 250 293 342 410 

6 -86 59 126 170 215 254 301 355 430 

7 -117 35 104 152 200 241 290 348 427 

8 -1,615 -1,464 -1,389 -1,331 -1,281 -1,243 -1,190 -1,143 -1,035 

263 

334 

410 

525 

557 

562 

-885 

384 

486 

621 

802 

862 

885 

-575 

162 

207 

235 

296 

305 

295 

-1,183 

F-7 

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A-M-IN Level 2 A-M-IN Level 3 

A-M-IN Level 4 A-M-IN Level 5 

A-M-IN Level 6 A-M-IN Level 7 

A-M-IN Level 8 

Figure F.2.6 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

A-M-IN 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff 

 Equipment= A-M-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Payback Period (Years) 

120.0 

100.0 

80.0 

60.0 

40.0 

20.0 

0.0 2.7 

$2,676 

Level 2 

2.5 

$2,687 

Level 3 

3.9 

$2,749 

Level 4 

4.2 4.6 5.1 

100.0 

$2,797 $2,831 $2,864 $3,986 

Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max 

Tech) 

Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.7 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

A-M-IN (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.4 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 %

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

0.5 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.1 4.0 2.1 87 

0.5 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.8 2.0 91 

0.7 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.5 6.0 3.1 55 

0.7 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.8 6.5 3.3 47 

0.8 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.6 5.3 7.2 3.6 39 

0.9 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.4 5.1 6.0 8.2 4.0 25 

5.4 19.3 28.0 43.7 54.6 86.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 71.0 0 

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A-M-IN, Level 2 A-M-IN, Level 3 

A-M-IN, Level 4 A-M-IN, Level 5
 

A-M-IN, Level 6 A-M-IN, Level 7 

A-M-IN, Level 8
 

Figure F.2.8 Cumulative Chart of Payback Periods for All Efficiency Levels: A-M-IN 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
F.2.3 Equipment Category: Fully Cooled, Small, Indoor Only (A-S-IN) 

Figure F.2.9 shows the variation of the LCC with the installed cost for each of the efficiency 

levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price and 

the installation cost of the equipment. The former is the largest contributor to the 

increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from Levels 2–8 (with reduced 

energy consumption). The LCC results show that at most of the higher efficiency levels 

(Levels 2–7), and the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the 

total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (because of 

reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at 

efficiency Levels 2–7 are lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this 

product category. For efficiency Level 8, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 

1). 

Table F.2.5 shows the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Level 1) 

calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels (2–8). Figure F.2.10 shows this 

distribution of LCC savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed. 

Figure F.2.11 shows the effect on PBP as the efficiency level changes from Level 1 

(baseline) to Level 8, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy 

prices, sales taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.6 shows the national distribution of PBPs 

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and the percent of units with a 

payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.12 show this distribution of payback results graphically 

for each efficiency level analyzed. 

F-11 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Life Cycle Cost 

Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

Equipment= A-S-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

$7,000 

$6,000 

$5,000 

$4,000 

$3,000 

$2,000 

$1,000 

$0 

$2,206 $2,247 $2,294 $2,340 $2,368 $2,395 $2,425 $3,436 

Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Level 4 Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 

(Energy (Max Tech) 

Star Tier 1) 

$5,316 $5,236 $5,219 $5,202 $5,192 $5,195 $5,214 

$6,652 

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.9 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for 

A-S-IN (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.5 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by 

Efficiency Level for A-S-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

0 10

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

2 1 51 72 87 101 114 129 147 171 212 311 130 

3 -26 50 86 109 132 153 177 206 245 312 471 179 

4 -51 51 98 130 162 190 223 263 316 407 626 227 

5 -67 51 105 142 180 213 251 297 358 465 718 255 

6 -87 42 99 142 183 219 262 311 379 496 775 265 

7 -114 19 79 125 169 206 252 304 375 500 796 255 

8 -1,566 -1,412 -1,343 -1,291 -1,240 -1,212 -1,157 -1,116 -1,011 -879 -603 -1,153 

F-12 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
A-S-IN Level 2 A-S-IN Level 3 

A-S-IN Level 4 A-S-IN Level 5 

A-S-IN Level 6 A-S-IN Level 7 

A-S-IN Level 8 

Figure F.2.10 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

A-S-IN 

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Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff 

 Equipment= A-S-Indoor-Only, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Payback Period (Years) 

120.0 

100.0 

80.0 

60.0 

40.0 

20.0 

0.0 2.7 

$2,247 

Level 2 

3.8 

$2,294 

Level 3 

4.3 

$2,340 

Level 4 

4.5 4.8 5.4 

100.0 

$2,368 $2,395 $2,425 $3,436 

Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max 

Tech) 

Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.11 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

A-S-IN (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.6 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

0.5 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.1 4.1 2.1 87 

0.7 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.7 4.3 5.9 2.9 59 

0.7 1.8 2.1 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.2 5.0 6.8 3.3 47 

0.8 1.8 2.2 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.4 5.2 7.2 3.5 41 

0.8 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.8 5.6 7.8 3.8 33 

0.9 2.1 2.6 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.6 5.4 6.3 8.9 4.2 25 

5.6 23.1 37.1 72.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 80.9 0 

F-14 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
A-S-IN, Level 2 A-S-IN, Level 3 

A-S-IN, Level 4 A-S-IN, Level 5
 

A-S-IN, Level 6 A-S-IN, Level 7 

A-S-IN, Level 8
 

Figure F.2.12 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: A-S-IN 

F-15 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
F.2.4 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Large Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-L-IO) 

Figure F.2.13 shows the variation of the LCC with the installed cost for each of the 

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price 

and the installation cost of the equipment (which remains relatively flat) and so the increasing 

equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from 

Levels 2–7 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at some of the higher 

efficiency levels (Levels 2–3), the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than 

the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (because of 

reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at 

efficiency Levels 2–3 are lower than the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product 

category. For efficiency Levels 4–7 with all inputs at national average values, the LCC was 

higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Table F.2.7 shows the national distribution of LCC 

savings above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels 

(2–7) and shows a slightly different picture of relative LCCs. The weighted average of the 

distribution indicates a slight net LCC savings at Levels 4–5, meaning that the weighted average 

of LCCs at Levels 4–5 is slightly less than the baseline (Level 1). In either case, Levels 4 and 5 

are very close to having $0 net LCC savings. Figure F.2.14 show this distribution of LCC 

savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed. 

Figure F.2.15 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from 

Levels 2–7, on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices, sales 

taxes and installation costs. Table F.2.8 shows the national distribution of payback periods 

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and percent of units with a 

payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.16 show this distribution of payback results graphically for 

each efficiency level analyzed. 

F-16 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

Equipment= B-L-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Life Cycle Cost 

$9,000 

$8,000 

$7,000 

$6,000 

$5,000 

$4,000 

$3,000 

$2,000 

$1,000 

$0 

$5,132 

$2,118 

Level 1 

(Energy 

Star Tier 1) 

$5,110 

$2,143 

Level 2 

$5,116 

$2,162 

Level 3 

$5,137 

$2,201 

Level 4 

$5,149 

$2,214 

Level 5 

$5,759 

$7,647 

$2,678 $3,950 #N/A 

Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 

(Max Tech) 

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.13 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for 

B-L-IO (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.7 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by 

Efficiency Level for B-L-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

2 -9 10 18 25 32 37 43 51 61 

3 -24 0 11 20 29 38 47 57 70 

4 -60 -28 -12 1 15 28 41 56 76 

5 -74 -42 -25 -11 4 17 31 46 68 

6 -732 -658 -630 -606 -583 -565 -549 -521 -483 

7 -2,780 -2,583 -2,531 -2,491 -2,456 -2,428 -2,400 -2,367 -2,324 

79 117 

94 145 

107 181 

100 177 

-427 -318 

-2,260 -2,151 

43 

46 

40 

30 

-545 

-2,414 

F-17 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
B-L-IO Level 2 B-L-IO Level 3 

B-L-IO Level 4 B-L-IO Level 5 

B-L-IO Level 6 B-L-IO Level 7 

Figure F.2.14 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

B-L-IO 

F-18 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff 

 Equipment= B-L-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Payback Period (Years) 

120.0 

100.0 

80.0 

60.0 

40.0 

20.0 

0.0 

4.2 

$2,143 

Level 2 

5.8 

$2,162 

Level 3 

8.4 

$2,201 

Level 4 

9.7 

100.0 100.0 

$2,214 $2,678 $3,950 #N/A 

Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max 

Tech) 

Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.15 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

B-L-IO (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.8 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 %

2 

3 

4 

5 

6

7 

0.7 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.7 4.3 4.9 6.8 3.3 45 

0.8 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.2 5.0 5.9 6.7 9.8 4.5 23 

1.1 3.1 3.8 4.3 5.0 5.6 6.0 7.1 8.5 10.2 16.1 6.5 7 

1.2 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.6 6.3 6.8 8.1 9.8 11.9 19.7 7.5 1 

 5.4 27.9 46.3 87.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 83.8 0 

64.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0 

F-19 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
B-L-IO, Level 2 B-L-IO, Level 3 

B-L-IO, Level 4 B-L-IO, Level 5 

B-L-IO, Level 6 B-L-IO, Level 7 

Figure F.2.16 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-L-IO 

F-20 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
F.2.5 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Medium Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-M-IO) 

Figure F.2.17 shows the variation of the LCC with the installed cost for each of the 

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price 

and the installation cost of the equipment (which remains relatively flat). The increasing 

equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from 

Levels 2–7 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at some of the higher 

efficiency levels (Levels 2–3), the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than 

the total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (because of 

reduced electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at 

efficiency Levels 2–3 are lower than the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product 

category. For efficiency Levels 4–7, with all inputs at national average values, the LCC was 

higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Table F.2.9 shows the national distribution of LCC 

savings above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product for the higher efficiency levels 

(2–7) and shows a slightly different picture of relative LCCs. The weighted average of the 

distribution indicates a slight net LCC savings at Levels 4 and 5, meaning that the weighted 

average of LCCs at Levels 4–5 is slightly less than the baseline (Level 1). In either case, 

Levels 4–5 are close to having $0 net LCC savings. Figure F.2.18 shows this distribution of LCC 

savings graphically for each efficiency level analyzed. 

Figure F.2.19 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from 

Levels 2–7 on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices, sales 

taxes, and installation costs. Table F.2.10 shows the national distribution of payback periods 

calculated for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and percent of units with a 

payback of less than 3 years. Figure F.2.20 show this distribution of payback results graphically for 

each efficiency level analyzed. 

F-21 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

 Equipment= B-M-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Life Cycle Cost 

$8,000 

$7,000 

$6,000 

$5,000 

$4,000 

$3,000 

$2,000 

$1,000 

$0 

$5,017 

$2,046 

Level 1 

(Energy 

Star Tier 1) 

$4,997 

$2,071 

Level 2 

$5,000 

$2,094 

Level 3 

$5,026 

$2,134 

Level 4 

$5,039 

$2,146 

Level 5 

$5,658 

$7,347 

$2,610 $3,734 #N/A 

Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 

(Max Tech) 

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.17 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for 

B-M-IO (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.9 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by 

Efficiency Level for B-M-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

2 -10 9 17 23 30 35 41 49 59 

3 -27 -1 11 21 31 41 50 61 76 

4 -65 -33 -17 -3 11 25 38 53 74 

5 -80 -47 -30 -16 0 14 27 43 65 

6 -749 -673 -644 -621 -597 -579 -562 -534 -496 

7 -2,584 -2,395 -2,345 -2,305 -2,272 -2,244 -2,219 -2,183 -2,139 

76 114 

102 157 

106 181 

99 178 

-439 -330 

-2,078 -1,978 

41 

49 

36 

26 

-558 

-2,230 

F-22 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
B-M-IO Level 2 B-M-IO Level 3 

B-M-IO Level 4 B-M-IO Level 5 

B-M-IO Level 6 B-M-IO Level 7 

Figure F.2.18 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

B-M-IO 

F-23 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff 

 Equipment= B-M-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

120.0 

100.0 

80.0 

60.0 

40.0 

20.0 

0.0 

4.4 

$2,071 

Level 2 

5.9 

$2,094 

Level 3 

8.9 

$2,134 

Level 4 

10.2 

100.0 100.0 

$2,146 $2,610 $3,734 #N/A 

Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max 

Tech) 

Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.19 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

B-M-IO (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.10 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO Payback Period (Years) 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 %

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

0.7 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.4 5.1 7.1 3.4 43 

0.8 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.3 5.0 6.0 6.9 10.1 4.6 23 

1.1 3.2 3.9 4.5 5.2 5.8 6.3 7.4 9.0 10.8 17.6 6.9 5 

1.2 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.9 6.6 7.1 8.5 10.3 12.6 21.6 7.9 1 

5.5 29.7 51.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 85.4 0 

49.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.9 0 

F-24 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
B-M-IO, Level 2 B-M-IO, Level 3 

B-M-IO, Level 4 B-M-IO, Level 5 

B-M-IO, Level 6 B-M-IO, Level 7 

Figure F.2.20 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-M-IO 

F-25 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
F.2.6 Equipment Category: Zone Cooled, Small Size, Indoor-Outdoor (B-S-IO) 

Figure F.2.21 shows the variation of the LCC with the installed cost for each of the 

efficiency levels considered for the analysis. The installed cost is the sum of the equipment price 

and the installation cost of the equipment (which remains relatively flat) and the increasing 

equipment price contributes to the increasing total installed cost as the efficiency level rises from 

Levels 2–7 (with reduced energy consumption). The LCC results show that at one of the higher 

efficiency levels (Level 2), the lifetime operating cost has more of an impact on the LCC than the 

total installed cost. In other words, the decrease in lifetime operating costs (due to reduced 

electricity costs) offsets the increase in total installed cost. As a result, the LCC at efficiency 

Level 2 is lower than that for the baseline efficiency level (Level 1) for this product category. For 

efficiency Levels 3–7, the LCC was higher than the baseline level (Level 1). Table F.2.11 shows 

the national distribution of LCC savings above the baseline (Level 1) calculated for this product 

for the higher efficiency levels (2–7). The weighted average of the distribution indicates a slight 

net LCC savings at Levels 3–5, meaning that the weighted average of LCCs at Levels 3–5 is 

slightly less than the baseline (Level 1). In either case, Levels 3–5 are close to having $0 net 

LCC savings. Figure F.2.22 shows this distribution of LCC savings graphically for each 

efficiency level analyzed. 

Figure F.2.23 shows the effect on payback period as the efficiency level changes from 

Levels 2–7 on a national averaged basis weighted over all building types, energy prices, sales taxes 

and installation costs. Table F.2.12 shows the national distribution of payback periods calculated 

for all efficiency levels as well as the average payback and percent of units with a payback of less 

than 3 years. Figure F.2.24 shows this distribution of payback results graphically for each 

efficiency level analyzed. 

F-26 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff 

 Equipment= B-S-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

Life Cycle Cost 

$8,000 

$7,000 

$6,000 

$5,000 

$4,000 

$3,000 

$2,000 

$1,000 

$0 

$4,700 

$1,822 

Level 1 

(Energy 

Star Tier 1) 

$4,685 

$1,848 

Level 2 

$4,721 

$1,900 

Level 3 

$4,721 

$1,900 

Level 4 

$4,737 

$1,913 

Level 5 

$5,387 

$6,920 

$2,377 $3,354 #N/A 

Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 

(Max Tech) 

Installed Cost-LCC Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.21 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Life-Cycle Cost for 

B-S-IO (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.11 Distribution of Life-Cycle Cost Savings from a Baseline Level (Level 1) by 

Efficiency Level for B-S-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

2 -12 4 12 17 24 29 35 42 51 

3 -65 -41 -28 -16 -5 6 16 29 45 

4 -65 -41 -28 -16 -5 6 16 29 45 

5 -81 -56 -43 -31 -19 -8 2 17 34 

6 -793 -716 -688 -666 -646 -630 -613 -591 -554 

7 -2,476 -2,289 -2,238 -2,202 -2,165 -2,140 -2,115 -2,081 -2,040 

67 102 

73 134 

73 134 

62 126 

-508 -415 

-1,985 -1,881 

35 

16 

16 

2 

-612 

-2,129 

F-27 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
B-S-IO Level 2 B-S-IO Level 3 

B-S-IO Level 4 B-S-IO Level 5 

B-S-IO Level 6 B-S-IO Level 7 

Figure F.2.22 Cumulative Chart of Life-Cycle Cost Savings for All Efficiency Levels: 

B-S-IO 

F-28 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Owner's Installed Cost-Payback Tradeoff 

 Equipment= B-S-Indoor-Outdoor, Fuel Price=AEO 2009 - Reference Case, Start Year= 2012 

120.0 

100.0 

80.0 

60.0 

40.0 

20.0 

0.0 

5.0 

$1,848 

Level 2 

11.1 

$1,900 

Level 3 

11.1 

$1,900 

Level 4 

13.7 

100.0 100.0 

$1,913 $2,377 $3,354 #N/A 

Level 5 Level 6 Level 7 Level 8 (Max 

Tech) 

Installed Cost-Payback Period Tradeoff

Installed Cost and Efficiency Level 

Figure F.2.23 Effect of the Change in Efficiency Level on Average Payback Period for 

B-S-IO (Level 1 Baseline) 

Table F.2.12 Summary of Payback Period Results for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO Payback Period (Years) 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 %

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

0.7 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.7 4.3 5.0 5.9 8.4 3.9 35 

1.2 3.7 4.4 5.2 6.1 7.0 7.5 9.1 11.3 13.9 25.8 8.7 1 

1.2 3.7 4.4 5.2 6.1 7.0 7.5 9.1 11.3 13.9 25.8 8.7 1 

1.4 4.2 5.1 6.1 7.1 8.3 8.9 11.0 13.9 17.5 37.3 10.9 1 

6.9 65.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 94.7 0 

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 0 

F-29 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
B-S-IO, Level 2 B-S-IO, Level 3 

B-S-IO, Level 4 B-S-IO, Level 5 

B-S-IO, Level 6 B-S-IO, Level 7 

Figure F.2.24 Cumulative Chart of Payback Period for All Efficiency Levels: B-S-IO 

F-30 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

F.3 LCC SENSITIVITY TO FUEL PRICE ESCALATION - RESULTS 

This section contains detailed output from the LCC sensitivity analysis to the fuel price 

escalation rates reported in chapter 8. These analyses were carried out using the LCC spreadsheet 

with the aggregated results reported in terms of national average LCC savings or national 

average PBP for each of the six equipment categories at each efficiency level. See TSD chapter 8 

for a further explanation of the sensitivity analysis and results. 

Table F.3.1 through Table F.3.6 show the impacts of the Annual Energy Outlook 2009 

(AEO2009) low-price scenario for fuel price escalation rates on LCC and PBP results, while 

Table F.3.7 through Table F.3.12 show the impacts of AEO2009 high-price scenario for fuel 

price escalation rates on LCC and PBP results. As expected, high-price fuel price escalation rates 

increase the benefits of efficiency levels beyond the baseline (increase LCC savings). 

Table F.3.1 Summary of Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009 

Low-Price Scenario: A-L-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

Savings 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

-3 28 42 51 60 67 77 88 103 128 190 

-25 30 54 71 87 102 120 140 167 214 327 

-50 31 67 93 117 139 166 196 236 308 476 

-67 32 77 109 139 166 199 236 286 375 583 

-89 24 76 113 147 178 217 259 318 419 660 

-119 2 56 98 136 169 211 257 321 430 692 

-1,905 -1,756 -1,690 -1,643 -1,597 -1,568 -1,518 -1,477 -1,385 -1,261 -992 

78 99 

120 99 

167 97 

201 97 

219 95 

213 93 

-1,514 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

0 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 3.0 3.4 4.5 2.4 79 

3 0.7 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.7 6.3 3.2 49 

4 0.8 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.5 5.3 7.1 3.6 37 

5 0.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.7 5.5 7.5 3.7 33 

6 0.9 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.4 5.1 5.9 8.0 4.0 27 

7 1.0 2.3 2.8 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.9 5.7 6.6 9.1 4.4 21 

8 7.5 31.5 51.4 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 85.2 0 

F-31 

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EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table F.3.2 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

Low-Price Scenario: A-M-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Savings 

% 

2 -2 57 82 99 116 131 149 169 198 246 361 150 99 

3 1 76 108 129 150 168 192 217 253 313 458 192 100 

4 -43 52 96 127 156 181 213 249 297 381 581 215 99 

5 -68 56 113 154 191 225 267 313 377 488 751 269 97 

6 -94 42 103 149 190 226 273 324 394 516 805 275 97 

7 -124 17 79 129 173 212 261 315 390 518 825 263 93 

8 -1,636 -1,489 -1,412 -1,361 -1,313 -1,276 -1,223 -1,181 -1,076 -936 -636 -1,218 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8

0.5 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.8 3.2 

0.5 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.0 

0.7 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 4.0 4.7 

0.8 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.3 5.0 

0.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.8 5.6 

0.9 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.2 4.6 5.3 6.3 

 5.6 20.5 30.2 48.4 63.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

4.2 

4.0 

6.3 

6.8 

7.6 

8.6 

100.0 

2.2 

2.1 

3.2 

3.4 

3.7 

4.2 

73.6 

87 

87 

49 

43 

33 

25 

0 

Table F.3.3 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

Low-Price Scenario: A-S-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

Savings 

100 %

2

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

-2 45 66 79 93 105 120 136 160 

-30 41 73 97 119 138 162 189 226 

-57 39 81 115 144 171 204 240 291 

-73 37 86 125 159 191 229 271 329 

-94 25 79 122 160 195 236 282 347 

-122 1 59 103 144 180 224 273 342 

-1,586 -1,432 -1,367 $1,316 -1,270 -1,244 -1,187 -1,148 -1,051 

198 

290 

377 

430 

458 

460 

-926 

292 121 99 

441 164 99 

585 205 97 

671 230 97 

723 238 95 

740 227 93 

-659 -1,186 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.8 3.2 

 0.7 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.9 4.5 

 0.8 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.4 5.2 

 0.8 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.6 5.5 

 0.8 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.3 5.0 5.9 

 0.9 2.2 2.7 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.3 4.8 5.6 6.7 

 5.9 25.0 41.2 86.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

4.2 

6.2 

7.2 

7.5 

8.2 

9.4 

100.0 

2.2 

3.1 

3.5 

3.6 

3.9 

4.4 

82.6 

87 

55 

41 

37 

29 

25 

0 

F-32 

BVM_FINAL_FR_TSD_AppendixF_08-14-09.doc 

EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table F.3.4 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

Low-Price Scenario: B-L-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

Savings 

% 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

-10 7 15 21 28 34 39 47 56 73 109 39 97 

-25 -3 7 16 24 33 41 51 64 86 134 40 89 

-62 -33 -18 -5 9 21 32 46 66 96 165 31 69 

-77 -47 -31 -17 -3 10 22 37 57 88 162 21 59 

-741 -668 -640 -617 -595 -579 -562 -535 -501 -448 -344 -559 0 

-2,792 -2,597 -2,544 -2,504 -2,470 -2,442 -2,416 -2,383 -2,341 -2,277 -2,166 -2,430 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

0.7 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.2 3.3 3.8 4.5 5.1 

0.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.7 4.2 4.4 5.2 6.2 7.1 

1.1 3.2 3.9 4.4 5.2 5.9 6.2 7.4 9.0 10.7 

1.2 3.6 4.4 5.0 5.9 6.6 7.1 8.5 10.4 12.6 

5.7 30.5 52.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

77.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

7.2 

10.4 

17.4 

21.4 

100.0 

100.0 

3.4 

4.7 

6.9 

7.9 

85.8 

100.0 

43 

23 

5 

1 

0 

0 

Table F.3.5 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

Low-Price Scenario: B-M-IO 

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) Mean Units 

Level Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Savings with 

% 2008$ $ LCC 

Savings 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 % 

2 -11 6 14 20 26 32 37 45 54 70 106 38 97 

3 -28 -5 7 16 26 35 44 55 69 93 146 43 89 

4 -68 -39 -23 -10 4 17 29 43 63 94 166 28 65 

5 -83 -53 -36 -$2 -8 6 18 33 54 86 161 17 57 

6 -758 -683 -655 -631 -609 -593 -575 -549 -515 -461 -356 -573 0 

7 -2,596 -2,407 -2,358 -2,319 -2,285 -2,259 -2,233 -2,200 -2,159 -2,100 -1,992 -2,246 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

0.7 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.9 4.6 5.4 

0.9 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.8 4.3 4.5 5.2 6.3 7.3 

1.1 3.3 4.0 4.6 5.5 6.1 6.5 7.8 9.5 11.4 

1.3 3.7 4.5 5.2 6.1 6.9 7.4 8.9 11.0 13.4 

5.7 32.6 59.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

57.3 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

7.5 

10.7 

19.1 

23.7 

100.0 

100.0 

3.6 

4.8 

7.3 

8.4 

87.1 

99.9 

41 

21 

5 

1 

0 

0 

F-33 

BVM_FINAL_FR_TSD_AppendixF_08-14-09.doc 

EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table F.3.6 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

Low-Price Scenario: B-S-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 1) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

Savings 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 %

2

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

 -13 2 9 15 21 26 31 38 47 61 95 31 93 

-68 -45 -33 -21 -10 0 9 21 38 63 121 9 53 

-68 -45 -33 -21 -10 0 9 21 38 63 121 9 53 

-83 -61 -48 -36 -25 -14 -5 8 25 51 112 -5 37 

-801 -725 -698 -676 -658 -642 -625 -604 -569 -524 -439 -625 0 

-2,487 -2,299 -2,251 -2,213 -2,178 -2,153 -2,129 -2,095 -2,055 -2,003 -1,894 -2,142 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

0.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.5 5.3 6.2

1.3 3.8 4.6 5.5 6.4 7.4 7.8 9.6 12.1 14.9 

1.3 3.8 4.6 5.5 6.4 7.4 7.8 9.6 12.1 14.9 

1.4 4.4 5.3 6.3 7.5 8.8 9.3 11.6 15.0 19.1 

7.2 80.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

 9.0 

28.9 

28.9 

43.4 

 100.0 

 100.0 

4.0 

9.3 

9.3 

11.8 

95.5 

100.0 

31 

1 

1 

1 

0 

0 

Table F.3.7 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

High-Price Scenario: A-L-IN 

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Mean Units 

Level Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Savings with 

% 2008$ $ LCC 

Savings 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 % 

2 0 36 50 60 70 79 89 101 118 147 213 90 100 

3 -20 44 70 88 106 122 141 164 194 247 370 143 99 

4 -42 52 92 118 146 170 198 232 277 355 541 201 99 

5 -57 58 108 140 174 205 239 281 337 434 664 243 97 

6 -78 55 112 149 189 223 263 311 376 488 754 268 97 

7 -107 34 97 137 180 218 261 313 383 508 794 266 95 

8 -1,866 -1,715 -1,641 -1,592 -1,541 -1,509 -1,458 -1,414 -1,311 -1,172 -881 -1,450 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8 

0.5 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.8 3.2 

0.7 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.8 4.4 

0.8 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.2 4.9 

0.8 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.4 5.1 

0.8 2.0 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.7 5.5 

0.9 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.4 3.8 4.1 4.6 5.2 6.1 

7.0 27.7 43.3 78.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

4.2 

5.9 

6.6 

6.9 

7.4 

8.4 

100.0 

2.2 

3.0 

3.3 

3.5 

3.7 

4.1 

82.6 

87 

57 

45 

41 

33 

25 

0 

F-34 

BVM_FINAL_FR_TSD_AppendixF_08-14-09.doc 

EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table F.3.8 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

High-Price Scenario: A-M-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

Savings 

% 

2 4 71 98 117 135 152 172 194 226 

3 8 93 127 151 174 195 220 248 287 

4 -34 78 126 157 189 218 252 292 345 

5 -56 90 152 193 236 274 317 370 440 

6 -80 79 147 192 239 281 328 386 464 

7 -110 54 128 175 226 269 320 381 462 

8 -1,594 -1,438 -1,364 -1,304 -1,253 -1,211 -1,160 -1,103 -994 

280 406 

356 514 

439 659 

563 852 

598 917 

608 943 

-835 -516 

173 100 

222 100 

255 99 

322 99 

334 97 

326 97 

-1,148 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8

0.5 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.0 

0.5 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.8 

0.7 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.7 4.3 

0.7 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 4.0 4.7 

0.8 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.4 5.1 

0.9 2.1 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.9 4.3 4.9 5.8 

 5.3 18.4 26.5 40.7 49.6 77.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

3.9 

3.7 

5.8 

6.3 

7.0 

7.9 

100.0 

2.1 

2.0 

3.0 

3.2 

3.5 

3.9 

68.9 

89 

93 

59 

49 

41 

29 

0 

Table F.3.9 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming AEO2009

High-Price Scenario: A-S-IN 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Savings 

% 

2 3 57 79 93 109 122 138 156 182 226 328 139 100 

3 -22 61 96 120 145 167 192 222 263 333 500 194 99 

4 -47 64 113 146 180 210 243 285 340 437 665 247 99 

5 -61 66 124 162 201 235 275 323 386 499 764 279 99 

6 -81 57 120 163 206 243 287 339 411 536 825 292 97 

7 -108 36 101 146 193 232 278 334 410 544 850 284 95 

8 -1,547 -1,389 -1,317 -1,264 -1,212 -1,180 -1,129 -1,083 -974 -838 -549 -1,121 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

8

0.5 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6 3.0 

0.6 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.6 4.2 

0.7 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.6 4.1 4.8 

0.7 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.7 4.3 5.0 

0.8 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.0 4.6 5.4 

0.9 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.7 4.0 4.5 5.2 6.1 

 5.5 21.9 34.5 64.1 89.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

3.9 

5.7 

6.6 

6.9 

7.5 

8.6 

100.0 

2.0 

2.9 

3.2 

3.4 

3.6 

4.1 

78.9 

89 

65 

49 

45 

39 

25 

0 

F-35 

BVM_FINAL_FR_TSD_AppendixF_08-14-09.doc 

EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table F.3.10 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: B-L-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

Savings 

% 

2 -8 12 21 28 35 41 48 56 66 84 124 

3 -23 3 15 24 34 43 52 63 77 101 155 

4 -57 -23 -7 8 22 35 49 65 85 119 195 

5 -71 -37 -19 -4 11 25 40 56 78 112 193 

6 -724 -649 -618 -596 -571 -551 -535 -506 -465 -408 -291 

7 -2,768 -2,571 -2,519 -2,477 -2,442 -2,413 -2,386 -2,351 -2,307 -2,242 -2,136 

47 

51 

48 

38 

-531 

-2,399 

99 

93 

79 

69 

0 

0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

0 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 0.7 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.6 4.1 4.7 6.6 3.2 53 

3 0.8 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.8 5.7 6.5 9.4 4.4 25 

4 1.0 3.0 3.7 4.1 4.8 5.4 5.8 6.8 8.2 9.8 15.2 6.3 7 

5 1.1 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.4 6.1 6.6 7.8 9.4 11.4 18.5 7.2 3 

6 5.3 26.2 42.4 75.7 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 82.5 0 

7 57.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 99.9 0 

Table F.3.11 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: B-M-IO 

Efficiency Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) Mean Units 

Level Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results Savings with 

% 2008$ $ LCC 

Savings 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 % 

2 -9 11 20 26 33 39 45 53 64 81 121 45 99 

3 -25 2 15 26 36 46 56 68 84 110 168 55 93 

4 -63 -28 -11 3 18 32 46 62 83 117 196 45 75 

5 -77 -42 -23 -9 7 21 36 53 75 111 193 35 67 

6 -741 -663 -633 -610 -586 -565 -550 -520 -478 -419 -304 -544 0 

7 -2,572 -2,384 -2,332 -2,293 -2,257 -2,229 -2,203 -2,170 -2,123 -2,058 -1,962 -2,215 0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4

5

6 

7

0.7 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.2 3.7 4.3 4.9

0.8 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.9 5.8 6.6

 1.1 3.1 3.8 4.3 5.0 5.7 6.1 7.2 8.6 10.4 

 1.2 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.6 6.4 6.9 8.2 9.9 12.1 

5.3 27.7 46.6 91.2 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

 45.1 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 

 6.8 

 9.7 

16.6 

20.2 

 100.0 

100.0 

3.3 

4.4 

6.6 

7.6 

84.0 

99.9 

45 

25 

7 

1 

0 

0 

F-36 

BVM_FINAL_FR_TSD_AppendixF_08-14-09.doc 

EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Table F.3.12 Summary of Life-Cycle Costs and Payback Period Results Assuming 

AEO2009 High-Price Scenario: B-S-IO 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

Decrease in LCC from Baseline Efficiency (Level 0) 

Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

2008$ 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean 

Savings 

$ 

Units 

with 

LCC 

Savings 

% 

2 -11 6 14 20 27 33 38 46 55 72 108 

3 -63 -37 -22 -11 1 12 23 37 54 83 146 

4 -63 -37 -22 -11 1 12 23 37 54 83 146 

5 -79 -52 -38 -26 -13 -1 10 25 43 73 139 

6 -785 -707 -678 -657 -635 -619 -601 -578 -539 -493 -392 

7 -2,466 -2,278 -2,227 -2,189 -2,154 -2,127 -2,101 -2,067 -2,027 -1,966 -1,868 

38 

23 

23 

10 

-599 

-2,115 

97 

63 

63 

51 

0 

0 

Efficiency 

Level 

% 

PBP Shown by Percentiles of the Distribution of Results 

years 

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 

Mean Less 

than 

3 Years 

Payback 

% 

2 

3 

4 

5 

6 

7 

0.7 1.9 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.6 4.1 4.9 5.7 

1.2 3.6 4.3 5.1 5.8 6.8 7.2 8.8 10.8 13.1 

1.2 3.6 4.3 5.1 5.8 6.8 7.2 8.8 10.8 13.1 

1.4 4.1 5.0 5.9 6.8 8.0 8.5 10.5 13.2 16.5 

6.6 57.5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

98.6 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

8.1 

23.8 

23.8 

33.7 

 100.0 

 100.0 

3.7 

8.3 

8.3 

10.3 

94.0 

100.0 

39 

1 

1 

1 

0 

0 

F-37 

BVM_FINAL_FR_TSD_AppendixF_08-14-09.doc 

EERE-2006-STD-0125 COMMENT 74