### For Units Sold from 2005 to 2030 Discounted at 7% to 1997 (in billion 1997 $)

2F40 I F40 2F96 1 ES 2F96HOIES All T12 Total Quad Saved 

### 0.37 0

.02 0.20 0

.02 0.61 

### Total Benefit 0.71 0

.03 0.35 0.02 1.12 Total Equipment Cost 0.19 0 . 02 0.13 0.01 0.34 Net Present Value 052 0

.02 0.23 0.01 

### 0.78 

### I

For Units Sold from 2005 to 2030 Discounted at No to 1997 (in billion 1997 $)

2F40 1F40 2F96/ES 2F96HOIES All T12 Total Quad Saved 0.26 0
.01 0.01 018 Total Benefit 0.49 0

.01 0.01 0.51 

### Total Equipment Cost 0.18 0.01 0
.00 0.19 Net Present Value 0.31 0
.00 0.01 0.32 

# 4^7 Energy Saving and Net Present. Values for Ballasts**~**

Total Quad Saved Total Benefit Total Equipment Cost Net Present Value

Total Quad Saved Total Benefit Total Equipment Cost Net Present Value COrll'erti"g/1'0111 

### EEM 10 

### Elet:lronk Rapid Starl 

### For Units Sold (rom 2005 to 2030 

### Discounted at 

## 7% to 

## 1997 (in billion 

## 1997 $) 

### 2F40 IF40 lF961ES 0.37 0.02 

### 0.20 0.71 0.03 0.35 0.19 0.02 

# o.n 0.52 0.02 

### 0.23



### f'olll'el'lillgfrom 

## HEM10 

## Cat/lOde Culout For Units Sold from 2005 to 2030 

### Discounted at 

## 7% to 

## 1997 (in billion 

## 1997 $) 

### 2F40 

## IF40 2F961ES 0.26 

### 0.01 0.49 

### 0.01 0.18 

### 1t.0l 0.11 0.00 

### 2F96HO/ES 

### AllT12**~l** '

# EI~0F**1~IDJm~** 

# , . 

### 0.01 0.61 

### 0.02 

### 1.12 0.01 

### 0.34 (}'ol 

### 0.78



### 2F96HOIES AllT12 0.0] 0.28 

### 0.01 0.51 ".00 

### 0.19 0.01 

### 0.32.

## Discounting
Shjpment

### EIA 

### Annual Energy Outlook 1998 j 2 

### +!---r-----,--.---. 

### 1990 2000 2010 2020
5 

### Industrial Elec Price

# ~**2~i--.-----,--.---.** 

### 1990 2000 2010 2020

## Start Year

# Comparison of Energy Price Projections (1997$)
Commercial Electricity Price

5 High Growth . a 4 ®-AEO1999 3 ' °°'GRI1998 2 Low Growth 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



## Industrial Electricity Price

High Growth 0 2 ®^AEO1998

Low Growth GRI 1998 01995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030



### OK 5 -High Growth
. 4 

### .... ·-AEO 199& 3**~=GRI199S** 

### 2 -Low Growlh 1995 

### 2000 200S 

### 2010 2015 2020 2025

5 

## Industrial Electricity Price

3 •• c ••**~.':o~** 

### ..**~.:** 

### .. ..**""'-~** ..**~_** '&.
.... 

## --t.

• ••'. '**'~__ ~_o'"**  •••••

# ~-~'~-=-::::~~~::.:~~ -High 

### Growth 4

2 

### --o-AEO 1998 -Low Growth 

### ;**~GRI]998** 0-',-. • 

### 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025



### OK

# Historical and Projected Shipments of T12 Ballasts (in millions)

6 2F96 LBNL Regression -,i 0 User Forecast

4
I
01990 2000 2010 2020 2030 :"1"4
...:",

## ':4'.~ ,':
.. :•. :. '_'.-:
..... _":
..

## ~:.::.' . '. 

### t4-:": .": .' _. ;...: .: ... : ..

## ~..

## ::~~:.:~

]0

20 

### t )0

0 1990

4
J 

# Historical and Projected Shipments of T12 

# Ballasts (in millions)

2F40 -LBNL Regression 

## <> UserForecnst



# - ..........................**~**

2000 1010 W20 2030
IF40 -L8NlRegressioo 1 Lmnp Fixtu..re 

# o Tolal- U.ser Fom:nst 8
6 ) 4 J 1
01990

Q_6
0_4

0.2 

### lF96 -LBNL**ltegn:s~OQ** 

### 0 U.iC1 Forecast

2000 21HO 2020 W30
2F9WO

-- LBNL Regression



## <> User Forcrnsl



## o i 0_0**-I--'---r-~.-r---'Qj_IDl~** 1990 'WOO 2010 2020 2010 1990 2000 2tHO 2020 2000PE Wit wt 9Z'Ltt 01ZI Slfa!-Jp113 Z Sz L8' 6t tsI- 097£t 0'921 InainD apilma 1 HK 96'ZZf O 'Ott ae1Jasa•O 0 mllaiiad +ae}la4 rad ammlaad f1Lal d Mig tKir zsa® 1i'^I .°_ X14 4M1 EuJ-su( ' (511 (aanPU ® omt4 y051fi IAOC3Y 9S 16'11 Of EOYZt E'S6 Slf 'awojlaa!g z 9E 8L'01S i9i 06YEt 8'IXJ1 1aNO3 2pa4IDJ l 66f It'czs Will II OUT-no 0 801ASs M-4 1100 •33OI I'vali (5L6)mud • t ougduasap la•71 (pagan aulpoel lou Vueial BSI a nU 53(LIJ01-IZ
Ef SCSI 9ZC EO'SZS 0'16 S71'a!aU1913 Z 4Z 18'kS' rtf SYtTI 6 'h ThuiiJ 2p19193 I SIC fCLIS I's01 aU!pc 0 in pad atfil4 tad amisiliad (5L0 amd AMR vo!idu-15wQ I'M WI Seus141h1 is0J 71u1 34l 4 fpa+W ®ayncl `a+ayz0 dmml C -j 59JZI.IBtJt
BE MIS LZZ SE' Zzs 0 'Z9 Ell'anxsrrf3 Z 0Z 0iI t Liz OE'91S 6 '59 Inutro aPC I I 19Z Ot-1ft t'nL aa !IMU O 8a!ASS LIAM IsuJ'r.IUI L44 (SLi) 7'114 MaN Vn!Iduas-,G IaM C-apu dml r ql (.3/ZIJttJZ Ltl LS'Efs EBB Zt9t1 SOLI S8'`!oI'4,'a13 Z CL If•-1't LM 4L'Lit EYBI lfQIIt aPu414J I O(01 IU%.f Jt0( au!Iaseg 0 tuctrs gn { IsXIJ •lau( 44M1 (t6s) cpd A MN uugduilaa la'l smilzId961Z If I OII lot IK'0£S ['111 Sb =4W1'31if Y 1na0n3 aINJIrc) I tst II 6t0 19x1 1uc p01 0 8uttr.S4!6{ W13 a( 44A11 11!61- ''apd A IN u0 tie:,a fatal SA <Ll9G1Z 01T Is-it LAU 06111 Z'90 Sd'3!Ieuwal3 Z EoZ Wit ME cf'Lif B'001 iootIJ alxst(rJ 1 C591 tZ ' Z15 Will auslaas9 0 uegeq d 2u II 4Jaf Isgie+a 'ad Istlfai and tt3N un!Id1r_xaJ fa1f SutAe54 ,ni IWJ 'iau) 44hvI Ism) -pa !atw-MOW SJ2110t31 91 Wort Lil W ,Us >-zc 98''!ounaal3 z it 116 (1 Otl 09- L IS 6"8£ IIK1In3 OfW4l0) I Ifi 11 0 15 Qt a6!la g 0 JuLtZ94M4 111(3 MOI '4I & 1SL61 bpd MAN Qo!idplsap psa7
Lp1 auntzil IBaanle IIUUJaOI

fiwpa2UZdu-y**!:n.l1in*~in!J** Dera .. 11 U1JlWIlllzbfillf 1Bou ... JaIl) IFIOT11ITS L:v<l Oca:ripiio.D "lOW PflO::I91I)**tW~<** locr.CII" kWhSa\;ng: B.,..,linc**~l..J** $11.711 Ul CUII,'II. CulllUl 3H.V SIHIl 140**Sl.~1** 11 2 Eleclmaic p RS )2.4 .**S22.~** 117**~JCl.&:I** lfi zF40nvrs j .... 'rf1lcd ..**~"".}** ,.",(m) kWlv)T IDer. Cool kWbS<.viBg

1.01>1 Oc:oiplian NfW ",.""'WI pc. 1:111115' ""rball .... fl<7h.lr ....

0 B.:!«elinr**1Ll:~** SI1.24 2M.7 J C .. l""k CUI'",I IOIl.R II7.S] 240.3 JL'O 2U 2 Electroni.:-. RS 96.2 117.110 22ft.' sur .V.D lf96n!ITS La'" Do::.;;rl['!ion NFW 1'Jiu>(9lJ) klVhI}Y IDt:r. C<:511 lWhS:llinl 0 OMriine IUd SI9.'!I/**~54** J Cl>IlI,wle CUJoul 1 Eire"' .. ;':. RS IIU $3OjCl 401 SI(lW jJ IF!lilTl2110JIS**la~'** tt...Kripli<1. NFW Pri", (illS) kWh!>T !"cr.C',"1 t'o\'b S,,,;n & il lIal<line .!OlD**J~H!** 11») I C.lhodr OJllJUI lK5.) .111.7. go:n S·UI 73 2 Ela:u".k. Ri J16S S46.4! RS) i13.57 tJ7 Jrm'IVES (iIIllamp n ....... )**·:t;jj~·(i·:.** 10 ... , Descripl'"11 NfW p""lm}**k~.,.** lDt:r. elllSl kWh Sa";lIg II BIUCU ... 12,1 $JI.40 l61 I e.1OOde O:IIouI &5.9 S16JO 231 J4.!IO 24 ·2 Ek>o"..roolc, IlS fit.O S22,lj 213 51O.'JS 38 lFtrrlUf3 (ill J limp Om .... btIdr ... ""ftdl Urb'fr Incr.CoiI kWltI:wio,**~~·A'E:~.:**

U:\'el o.A.Tiplion N!'Vr' p"",(!nlj pcrli;t1ute porb.1llasl pe.bo.llart BBlcliIlt! IUS.J Ill.!] HI C.tb"de o.lClUl**~,9** J14.4S**~l** $f.N7 H E1orlnlOic, RS ltJ.D SH.II] 128**~:.!i** 33 Znotl2l£S (1.3 Jam, Ibtaft, not ."" ....... lft<I)**~~~·i):~::~.~~**

["",1 Otg:riplioo "A\' Po1a:(91S] .**t'I!t~** Iocr, eNl kWll**s"vi"~**

0 Ba.o::Jia. IIG.R 523.11 39\1 [ ellUuxlc CuOOIll lOU.1! JJJ.!lO**l<>~** $10.18 36 EJlldrCDic, lIS "5.1 SH.OO J·U rr.!tl 56 1F4IJi1 lIP (Ia 4J .....**jltl"~)** kV.'IIIJ< I"",. eUK lV.1Ha'!"Il**~:·;.}3~ ;~:::;** **te~** Drs.:riptioo J(F\\' I'rl<I:l'1lJ' j'I£'r.:.""qre. po:rhallut pe.! .. lIut 0 B.lser ... (41).0**J22.R~** 5114 I c.u.cdc CulGul 12'-0 S32./iO**~** S4.1J1 1J 1 Eloc1rooic, RS 121.0**~21.26** 4:!<. $2.20 34T12 Shipment

Annual T12 Shipments (in million) based on 199`7 Shipment and Reduction Schedule as speclf ed by User

2F40T12 1F4OT12 1F40T12 2F96T12 2F96T12/HC All TI2 Electronic 4 ft T12s Fi 1L 2L 1 0 728

amp x s amp . 1997 23.00 1.17 1.03 6.00 0.30 31.50 17.92 2001 17.09 0.91 0.80 4.86 0.24 24.70 13.94 2002 16.61 0.04 0.75 4.57 0.23 23.00 12.94 2003 15.33 0.78 0.69 4.29 0.21 21.30 11.95 2004 14.06 0.71 0.63 4.00 0.20 19.60 10.95 2005 12.78 0.65 0.57 3.71 0.19 17.90 9.95 2006 11.50 0.58 0.52 3.43 0.17 16.20 0.96 2007 10.22 0.52 0.46 3.14 0.16 14.50 7.96 2008 8.94 0.45 0.40 2.86 0.14 12.00 6.97 2009 7.67 0.39 0.34 2.57 0.13 11.10 5.97 2010 6.39 0.32 0.29 2.29 0.11 9.40 4.98 2011 5.11 0.26 0.23 2.00 0.10 7.70 3.98 2012 3.83 0.19 0.17 1.71 0.09 6.00 2.99 2013 2.56 0.13 0.11 1.43 0.07 4.30 1.99 2014 1.28 0.06 0.06 1.14 0.06 2.60 1.00 2015 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.86 0. 04 0.90 0.00 2016 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.03 0.60 0.00 2017 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.01 0.30 0.00 

### 2018 

## 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 DAD 0.00 2019 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

## 2021 0.00 0.00 

## 0. 00 

## 0.00 0.00 0.00 

## 0.00 

## 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

## 0.00 

## 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 

## 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

## 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

## 2025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

## 2026 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2027 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0,00 0.00 0.00 

### If you want to update any cell in] this %,r'orksheet manually, you 

### should hit <CRTL><ALT>F9t invoke the calculation T12 Shipment

Annual Til Shipments (in million) based on 

## 1m**Shlpm~nt** and Reduction ScbeduJe as**5Jleclfi~d** by 

### User**El~ctroDic** 

### 2F40TU 

### IF4afU lF40TU 

### 2F'i1tiT12 !F96Tl2/HC ADTU 4 CtTl2s 

### lLampFix 2LampFh 0.728 

### 1997 nOll 1.17 

### 1.03 6.00 1).30 

### 31.50 17.92 2001 11.89 0.9J 0.80 

### U6 0.24 

### 24.71l 13.94 

### 2002 16.61 0.84 0.75 

### 4.57 0.23 23.00 

### 12.94 20m 15.33 0.78 0.69 4.29 0.21 21.30 

### 11.95 2004 14.06 0.71 0.63 4.00 0.20 19.60 10.95 

### 2005 12.78 0.65 0.57 3.71 0.19 17.90 9.95 2006 

### 11.50 0.58 0.52 3AJ 0.17 

### IUD 1l.96 

### 2007 

### 10.22 0.52 0.46 3.14 0.16 J4,S0 7.96 

### 2008 g.94 0.45 0.40 2.86 0.14 

### 12.IlO 6.97 2009 7.67 0.39 0.34 2.57 0.13 11.10 5.97 20JO 6.39 0.32 0.29 

### 2.29 0.11 9.40 

### 4.98 2011 

### 5.1 ) 0.26 0.23 2.00 0.10 

### 7.7it 3.98 

### 2012 3.83 0.19 

### 0.17 J.71 0.09 

### ti.OO 2.99 2013 2.56 0.13 0.11 ].43 

### 0.07 

### 4.30 1.99 2014 1.28 0.06 0.06 1.14 

### 0.06 2.60 1.00 2015 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.86 

### 0.1» 0.90 0.00 2016 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 O.OJ 

### 0.60 0.00 2017 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29 

# om 0.30 0.00 201 It 

### 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### O.itO 0.00 2019 

### 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### 0.00 0.00 2020 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2022 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2023 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### D.nO 0.00 

### 0.00 0.00 2025 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2026 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2021 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### It.Oo 0.00 2028 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### it.oo 0.00 2029 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### 0.00 2030 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 

### 0.00 0.00