[DO NOT PUBLISH]

IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

 FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT

 ________________________

 No. 12-12556 

Non-Argument Calendar

 ________________________

 D.C. Docket No. 4:10-cv-00118-HLM

FREDDIE MITCHELL, 

JOHNETTA MCSEARS, 

 llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllPlaintiffs-Appellants,

RICHARD BROOKS,

 llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllPlaintiff,

versus

CITY OF LAFAYETTE, 

 llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllDefendant-Appellee.

________________________

 Appeal from the United States District Court

 for the Northern District of Georgia

 ________________________

(January 28, 2013)

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Before DUBINA, Chief Judge, WILSON and ANDERSON, Circuit Judges.

PER CURIAM:

Appellants Freddie Mitchell and Johnetta McSears appeal the district

court’s grant of defendant City of LaFayette’s (“City”) motion for summary

judgment in their employment discrimination suit under the Age Discrimination in

Employment Act of 1967 (“ADEA”), 29 U.S.C. § 623(a)(1). On appeal, Mitchell

and McSears argue that plaintiffs may establish a prima facie case of age

discrimination in a reduction-in-force (“RIF”) context by showing that

substantially younger employees either replaced them or were retained in the same

position. They argue that, even if that showing was insufficient, they established a

prima facie case by showing that they were more qualified than younger

employees who were retained in the same positions they had occupied, that

statistical evidence indicates that the protected class was disproportionately

harmed in the RIF, and that the person who decided which positions to terminate,

Johnnie Arnold, harbored ageist stereotypes.

 Mitchell and McSears further argue that City’s proffered legitimate,

nondiscriminatory reason for their terminations—eliminating positions to avoid

unnecessary expenditures—was insufficient, because in an RIF case an employer

must explain why the specific plaintiff was chosen for termination. They argue

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that a reasonable jury could find that Arnold did not actually believe his assertion

that Mitchell and McSears worked less than one-quarter of the time for which they

were paid, based on the conflicts within Arnold’s testimony and contradictory

testimony by their department supervisors. They further assert that their statistical

evidence and their evidence that Arnold harbored ageist stereotypes also show that

Arnold’s stated reasons were a pretext for age discrimination. 

I.

We review de novo a district court’s grant of summary judgment and must

view all of the evidence and make reasonable inferences from the evidence in

favor of the non-moving party. Chapman v. AI Transp., 229 F.3d 1012, 1023

(11th Cir. 2000) (en banc). Summary judgment is appropriate if the movant shows

that no genuine issue of material fact exists, and that it is entitled to judgment as a

matter of law. Fed.R.Civ.P. 56(a). The moving party bears the burden of

demonstrating that no genuine issue of material fact exists, see Brooks v. Cnty.

Comm’n, 446 F.3d 1160, 1162 (11th Cir. 2006), although the non-moving party

must make a sufficient showing on each essential element of his case for which he

has the burden of proof, see Celotex Corp. v. Catrett, 477 U.S. 317, 322-23, 106 S.

Ct. 2548, 2552, 91 L. Ed. 2d 265 (1986). “A ‘mere scintilla’ of evidence

supporting the opposing party’s position will not suffice.” Brooks, 446 F.3d at

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1162 (internal quotations marks omitted). 

II.

The ADEA prohibits employers from discharging an employee who is at

least 40 years of age because of that employee’s age. 29 U.S.C. §§ 623(a)(1),

631(a). Absent direct evidence of discrimination, we have applied the

burden-shifting framework established in McDonnell Douglas Corp. v. Green, 411

U.S. 792, 802-04, 93 S. Ct. 1817, 1824-25, 36 L. Ed. 2d 668 (1973), when

evaluating discrimination claims under the ADEA. See Chapman, 229 F.3d at

1024. The Supreme Court in Gross v. FBL Fin. Servs., Inc., held that, to establish

a disparate-treatment claim under the ADEA, a “plaintiff must prove by a

preponderance of the evidence . . . that age was the ‘but-for’ cause of the

challenged employer decision.” 557 U.S. 167, 177-78, 129 S. Ct. 2343, 2351, 174

L. Ed. 2d 119 (2009); see also Mora v. Jackson Mem’l Found., Inc., 597 F.3d

1201, 1204 (11th Cir. 2010) (noting, in our only published opinion interpreting

Gross, that “an ADEA plaintiff must establish ‘but for’ causality” and that “the

employer either acted ‘because of’ the plaintiff’s age or it did not”). Even so, the

Supreme Court expressly reserved the question of whether the evidentiary

framework of McDonnell Douglas is appropriate in the ADEA context. Gross,

557 U.S. at 175 n.2, 129 S. Ct. at 2349 n.2. Since the Supreme Court did not

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explicitly overrule our precedent in applying the McDonnell Douglas test to

ADEA cases involving circumstantial evidence, we will review Mitchell’s and

McSears’s claims under both McDonnell Douglas and Gross. See Gandara v.

Bennett, 528 F.3d 823, 829 (11th Cir. 2008) (explaining that “we are bound by the

holdings of earlier panels unless and until they are clearly overruled en banc or by

the Supreme Court”) (quoting Swann v. S. Health Partners, Inc., 388 F.3d 834,

837 (11th Cir. 2004). 

Applying the McDonnell Douglas framework, a plaintiff may establish a

prima facie case for an ADEA violation by demonstrating that: (1) he was a

member of a protected class; (2) he was subjected to an adverse employment

action; (3) he was qualified to do the job; and (4) he was replaced by or otherwise

lost a position to a younger individual. Chapman, 229 F.3d at 1024. We have

modified the plaintiff’s prima facie burden where he was terminated as part of an

RIF, such that the plaintiff must make a showing that: (1) he was in a protected

age group; (2) he was adversely affected by an employment decision; (3) he was

qualified for his current position or to assume another position at the time of

discharge; and (4) the evidence could lead a factfinder reasonably to conclude that

the employer intended to discriminate on the basis of age. Smith v. J. Smith Lanier

& Co., 352 F.3d 1342, 1344 (11th Cir. 2003); see also Rowell v. BellSouth Corp.,

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433 F.3d 794, 798 (11th Cir. 2005). The variant test alters the fourth prong of the

McDonnell Douglas test, that a person outside the protected class replaced the

plaintiff, because, in RIFs, employers rarely seek replacements for the discharged

employee. See Mauter v. Hardy Corp., 825 F.2d 1554, 1557 (11th Cir. 1987). 

 In order to satisfy the last prong, the plaintiff must produce some evidence

that the employer did not treat him neutrally with respect to his age, but, instead,

discriminated based upon it. See Rowell, 433 F.3d at 798. The evidence must lead

the factfinder to reasonably conclude either that the employer consciously refused

to consider retraining or relocating the plaintiff due to his protected-class

membership, or that the employer considered his protected-class membership as a

negative factor in that consideration. Id. Statistical proof or other evidence of a

pattern of terminating older workers may be used to satisfy the last prong. Pace v.

S. Ry. Sys., 701 F.2d 1383, 1388 (11th Cir. 1983). However, to be accepted,

statistical calculations must come from a witness, not a party’s lawyer. Watkins v.

Sverdrup Tech., Inc., 153 F.3d 1308, 1315 n.16 (11th Cir. 1998). Absent any

analytical foundation, statistical evidence is “virtually meaningless,” and thus,

cannot have any probative value. Wilson v. B/E Aerospace, Inc., 376 F.3d 1079,

1089 (11th Cir. 2004) (quoting Evans v. McClain of Ga., Inc., 131 F.3d 957, 963

(11th Cir. 1997)). 

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Once a plaintiff establishes a prima facie case of discrimination, the

employer may rebut the resulting presumption of discrimination by articulating at

least one legitimate, nondiscriminatory reason for its action. Watkins, 153 F.3d at

1314. Eliminating a position to avoid an unnecessary expenditure may be a

legitimate, nondiscriminatory reason for an employment decision. See Tidwell v.

Carter Prods., 135 F.3d 1422, 1426 (11th Cir. 1998) (“Carter proffered its RIF as

a legitimate, nondiscriminatory reason for terminating Tidwell, eliminating the

presumption of discrimination.”). 

Once the employer articulates a legitimate, nondiscriminatory reason for its

action, the burden shifts back to the plaintiff to produce evidence that the

employer’s proffered reason is a pretext for discrimination. See Watkins, 153 F.3d

at 1314. To demonstrate pretext, the plaintiff must show both that the employer’s

proffered reason is false, and that discrimination was the real reason. See Brooks,

446 F.3d at 1163. The plaintiff must meet the employer’s reason head on and

rebut it, and may not simply quarrel with the wisdom of the reason. See id. He

may do this either directly by establishing that a discriminatory reason more likely

than not motivated the employer, or indirectly by showing that the proffered

reason is unworthy of credence. See Watkins, 153 F.3d at 1314. Under the latter

approach, the plaintiff must demonstrate such weaknesses, implausibilities,

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inconsistencies, incoherencies, or contradictions in the proffered reason that a

reasonable factfinder could conclude that it is unworthy of credit. Id.

“We are not in the business of adjudging whether employment decisions are

prudent or fair,” and are solely concerned with “whether unlawful discriminatory

animus motivate[d] a challenged employment decision.” Damon v. Fleming

Supermarkets of Fla., Inc., 196 F.3d 1354, 1361 (11th Cir. 1999). “[W]e do not sit

as a super-personnel department that reexamines an entity’s business decisions.” 

Alphin v. Sears, Roebuck & Co., 940 F.2d 1497, 1501 (11th Cir. 1991) (internal

quotation marks omitted). “The inquiry into pretext centers upon the employer’s

beliefs, and not the employee’s own perceptions of his performance.” Holifield v.

Reno, 115 F.3d 1555, 1565 (11th Cir. 1997). 

III.

We conclude from the record that Mitchell and McSears failed to establish a

prima facie case of age discrimination. First, the fact that younger employees

were retained in Mitchell’s and McSears’s departments does not support an

inference of discriminatory intent in light of the fact that the City also retained

other employees who were well over the age of 40 in those departments, and many

of the employees retained were older than Mitchell and McSears. See Smith, 352

F.3d at 1344. The statistical calculations proffered by Mitchell and McSears lack

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probative value, as they were proffered by their attorney and they have not named

an expert to establish a proper analytical foundation. See Wilson, 376 F.3d at

1089; Watkins, 153 F.3d at 1315 n.16. Although Mitchell is correct that he could

establish a prima facie case in the traditional manner of showing that he was

replaced by a younger individual, he is unable to make that showing, as the

purpose of the RIF was to reallocate labor resources following a position

elimination. Further, the evidence that Mitchell and McSears argue indicates that

they were better qualified than younger employees who were retained in the RIF

does not necessarily show that they were, in fact, more qualified at the time of

their terminations. Their contention that Arnold harbored ageist stereotypes is

also unavailing, as his comments regarding Mitchell’s agility and computer skills

were based on Arnold’s personal knowledge. 

Even if Mitchell and McSears had established a prima facie case of age

discrimination, they failed to present sufficient evidence tending to show that the

City’s proffered reason for their terminations was a pretext for age discrimination.

See Watkins, 153 F.3d at 1314. Mitchell and McSears failed to meet head on and

rebut the City’s proffered reason for terminating them, namely, that the City’s

budget shortfall necessitated terminating some positions to reduce costs. See

Brooks, 446 F.3d at 1163. They have cited no binding authority in support of their

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argument that the City was required to explain why their positions were eliminated

instead of others. Further, the evidence identified by Mitchell and McSears did

not indicate that the specific reasons that Arnold gave for their terminations were a

pretext for age discrimination. The fact that the testimony from their department

heads tended to show that Mitchell and McSears were working their full hours was

irrelevant, as Arnold made the decision to terminate Mitchell and McSears based

on his own observations and without any input from the department heads.

Finally, for the reasons stated above, Mitchell and McSears also failed to

show that they would not have been selected for inclusion in the RIF but for their

age. See Gross, 557 U.S. at 177-78; 129 S. Ct. at 2351. 

For all the aforementioned reasons, we affirm the district court’s grant of

summary judgment in favor of the city.

AFFIRMED.

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