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# OAR Box 1828 Prepped by Ollie Stewart



### Document

Number: 

# 159 ) ll-K-(B)-15 8 Docket Number: 

# A-83-2 7

Printed 11/12/2008 11:12:53 AM Sheet 159 of 325/

• y 

### 'ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTA L ANALYSIS , INC . 185 5 NORT

H POR T MYE RDRIV E ARLINGTON, VIRGINI A 2220 9 703/528-190 0

Novembe r 7 , 198 4 P. 2 

# A-83-2 7

II-K-CB)-15 8

Mr . Rober t Shor t Economi c Analysi s Branc h U.S . Environmenta l Protectio nAgenc y Mai l Drop-1 2 Researc hTriangl e Park , N C 2771 1 Subject : EPA

Contrac t No . 68-02-3564 , Wor kAssignmen t #1 9 Projecte dIndustria l Fue l Price s Dea r Robert : Attache dar e severa l table s whic hsummariz e after-ta xne t presen t value s o f industria l fue l price s currentl y use di nth e industria l boile r S0 2 NSP S analysis . Thes e table s ar e consisten t wit hEEA' s report : "Regiona l Forecast s o f Industria l Residua l Fue l Oi l an dNatura l Ga s Prices" , Jul y 1984 . Th e procedure s use dt o generat e thes e after-ta xNPV' s ar e explaine di n anothe r EEA

report : "Th e Curren t Basi s fo r Comparin g Lif e Cycl e Cost s i nIFCA M fo r New

Industria l Fossi l Fuel-Fire dBoile r Fue l Choic e De cisions" , Jun e 10 , 1983 . Sincerely , A****

- rsto<v*~ Ti m Hoga n ij TH/ce Enclosure s cc : Juli e Maddo x(Radia nCorporation ) Dr . A . Weh e (EPA )

MANAGEMENT /

ECONOMIC S /

ENGINEERINGTABL E 1 . PROJECTE DINDUSTRIAL OI L ANDGA S PRICES : REFERENC E CASE 3 (198 2 $/MMBtu ) P. 3



### 1 .CVI 

### 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 , 10 . Regio n Ne w Englan d Ne w York/New

Jerse y Middl e Atlanti c Sout hAtlanti c Midwes t Southwes t Centra l Nort hCentra l Wes t Northwes t Natura l ga s 22.1 4 21.9 1 21.7 3 22.6 4 22.2 8 20.2 7 20.6 4 18.5 1 20.5 9 21.1 3 Res 3. 0 17.9 0 17.8 6 17.8 6 17.7 9 18.3 9 17.8 6 18.2 8 17.1 8 16.3 9 16.2 5 idua l fue l

1. 6 19.1 0 19.0 7 19.0 7 18.9 9 19.5 9 19.0 7 19.4 7 18.3 9 17.6 0 17.4 6 oi l {% S )

0. 8 0. 3 20.5 0 20.4 6 20.4 6 20.3 8 20.9 9 20.4 6 20.8 6 19.7 8 19.1 1 18.9 5 21.8 9

21.8 6 21.8 6 21.7 7 22.4 1 21.8 6 22.2 7 21.1 7 20.3 6 20.2 0
After-ta xne t presen t value s use di nIFCA M fue l choic e decision s fo r ne w industria l boiler s ina 199 0 mode l run .P. 4

TABL E 2 . PROJECTE DINDUSTRIAL OI L ANDGA S PRICES :

HIGHE ROI L AN DGA S PRICES 3 (198 2 $/MMBtu )



### 1 .CVI 

### 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 . 

### 10 . Regio n Ne wEnglan d Ne wYork/Ne wJerse y Middl e Atlanti c Sout hAtlanti c Midwes t Southwes t Centra l Nort hCentra l Wes t Northwes t Natura l ga s 24.9 4 24.9 1 24.8 8 25.1 7 25.2 8 23.3 4 22.8 0 20.3 4 22.5 5 22.3 1 ' Res
3. 0 23.4 5 23.4 1 23.4 1 23.3 4 23.8 8 23.4 1 23.7 7 22.8 0 21.8 6 21.7 4 idua l fue l

1. 6 25.0 8 25.0 3 25.0 3 . 24.9 8 25.5 1 25.0 3 25.4 1 24.4 2 23.5 0 23.3 7 oi l _%

S ) 0. 8 0. 3 26.9 7 26.9 4 26.9 4 26.8 7 27.4 1 26.9 4 27.3 0 26.3 3 25.5 5 25.4 2 28.7 7

28.8 3 28.8 3 28.7 6 29.3 2 28.8 3 29.2 0 28.2 2 27.3 0 27.1 6
After-ta xne t presen t value s usedinIFCA M fue l choic e decision s fo r new industria l boiler s i na 199 0 mode l run .P. 5



### TABL E 3 . PROJECTE DINDUSTRIAL BITUMINOU S COAL PRICES 3



### (198 2 $/MMBtu )

Regio n 

### 1 . 2 . 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 . 

### 10 . Ne wEnglan

d Ne wYork/Ne wJerse y Middl e Atlanti c Sout h Atlanti c Midwes t Southwes t Centra l Nort h Centra l Wes t Northwes t 13.7 2 12.7 7 11.4 7 11.7 5 12.1 2 12.2 7 11.4 4 7.2 4 10.1 6 11.5 5 13.5 8

12.5 8 10.7 9 11.0 2 11.6 9 11.8 2 11.2 0 6.8 5 10.4 0 10.8 8 13.3 3

12.0 2 10.4 7 10.9 4 11.2 6 11.7 5 11.0 2 6.7 8 10.1 7 10.3 0 12.5 9

11.4 1 10.0 9 10.6 1 10.7 2 11.6 6 10.6 8

-

-

- 11.6 6 10.4 4 8.9 4 10.2 2 9.7 9 11.2 7 9.4 7

-

-

- 11.9 4 10.4 7 8.8 3 9.5 8 9.1 5 10.7 6 8.9 7

-

-

-

a 

### After-ta xne t presen t value s use di nIFCA M fue l choic e decision s fo r ne w industria l boiler s i na 199 0 mode l run .P. 6

.»-- •

. '» .



### TABL E 4 . PROJECTE DINDUSTRIAL SUBBITUMINOU S COA L PRICES 3 

### (198 2 $/MMBtu )

Regio n 

### 1 . 2 . 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 . 10 . New England New York/New

Jerse y Middl e Atlanti c Sout hAtlanti c Midwes t Southwes t Centra l Nort hCentra l Wes t Northwes t -

-

-

- 12.2 0 12.6 6 9.9 1 5.1 4 10.3 1 9.6 7 -

-

-

- 12.0 2 12.2 9 9.7 4 5.0 9 9.9 5 9.4 5 -

-

-

- 11.9 3 12.0 7 9.8 0 4.6 6 9.6 0 7.6 2

a 

### After-ta xne t presen t value s use di nIFCA M fue l choic e decision s fo r ne w industria l boiler s i na 199 0 mode l run .