Input and Summary

User Inputs:

Lifetime

Multi-Family 11.25 years

Laundromat 7.125 years

Discounting future values:

Discount Rate 7.0%

Year to discount to 2007

Market Impact

Economic Growth

National Impact Summary - Cumulative from 2010 to 2055

Energy Savings 0.114 quad

Water Savings 0.054 trillion gal

Discounted Incr. Equipment Cost 0.303 billion $

Discounted Oper. Cost Savings 0.381 billion $

NPV 0.078 billion $

CCW (horizontal and vertical axis)

% Energy for Water Container 

PP elasticity - 1%

Set Base Case/ Standards Case

Reference

Level Efficiency Level MEF

% Energy for 

WH

Water 

Factor

Container 

Volume

cu.ft./kWh/cyc % gal / cu.ft cu.ft.

0 DOE Standard (effective 2007) 1.26 36% 9.5 2.8

1 CEE Tier 1 1.42 34% 9.5 2.8

2 CEE Tier 2 ** 1.60 27% 8.5 2.8

3 2007 ENERGY STAR ** 1.72 25% 8 2.8

4 CEE Tier 3A ** 1.80 24% 7.5 2.8

5 Added based on stakeholder 2.00 25% 5.5 2.8

6 Max. Available ** 2.20 20% 5.1 2.8

** Installed Price is place holder. Price NOT based on manufacturing cost data submitted by AHAM.

Base Case Efficiency Trend

Standard Dishwashers

Design # 0 1 2 3 4

2005 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2006 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2007 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2008 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2009 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2010 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2011 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2012 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

PP elasticity - 1%

Set Base Case/ Standards Case

Reference
2013 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2014 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2015 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2016 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2017 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2018 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2019 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2020 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2021 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2022 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2023 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2024 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2025 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

Standard Case Efficiency Trend

Standard Dishwashers

Design # 0 1 2 3 4

2005 60% 10% 10% 10% 5%

2006 51% 19% 10% 10% 5%

2007 42% 28% 10% 10% 5%

2008 33% 37% 10% 10% 5%

2009 23% 47% 10% 10% 5%

2010 13% 57% 10% 10% 5%

2011 4% 66% 10% 10% 5%

2012 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2013 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2014 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2015 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2016 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2017 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2018 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2019 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2020 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2021 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2022 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2023 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2024 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

2025 0% 51% 29% 10% 5%

Base Case Weighted Average Energy/Water Use and Price

MEF Annual Energy Use Annual Water Use

Electricity Gas

cu.ft./kWh/cyc kWh/yr MMBTU/yr

2005 1.42 2005 910 7.76 2005

2006 1.42 2006 910 7.76 2006

2007 1.42 2007 910 7.76 2007

2008 1.42 2008 910 7.76 2008

2009 1.42 2009 910 7.76 2009

2010 1.42 2010 910 7.76 2010

2011 1.42 2011 910 7.76 2011

2012 1.42 2012 910 7.76 2012

2013 1.42 2013 910 7.76 2013

2014 1.42 2014 910 7.76 2014
2015 1.42 2015 910 7.76 2015

2016 1.42 2016 910 7.76 2016

2017 1.42 2017 910 7.76 2017

2018 1.42 2018 910 7.76 2018

2019 1.42 2019 910 7.76 2019

2020 1.42 2020 910 7.76 2020

2021 1.42 2021 910 7.76 2021

2022 1.42 2022 910 7.76 2022

2023 1.42 2023 910 7.76 2023

2024 1.42 2024 910 7.76 2024

2025 1.42 2025 910 7.76 2025

Standards Case Weighted Average Energy/Water Use and Price

MEF Annual Energy Use Annual Water Use

Electricity Gas

cu.ft./kWh/cyc kWh/yr MMBTU/yr

2005 1.42 2005 910 7.76 2005

2006 1.44 2006 902 7.66 2006

2007 1.45 2007 894 7.56 2007

2008 1.47 2008 886 7.46 2008

2009 1.48 2009 877 7.35 2009

2010 1.50 2010 869 7.25 2010

2011 1.51 2011 860 7.14 2011

2012 1.55 2012 842 6.90 2012

2013 1.55 2013 842 6.90 2013

2014 1.55 2014 842 6.90 2014

2015 1.55 2015 842 6.90 2015

2016 1.55 2016 842 6.90 2016

2017 1.55 2017 842 6.90 2017

2018 1.55 2018 842 6.90 2018

2019 1.55 2019 842 6.90 2019

2020 1.55 2020 842 6.90 2020

2021 1.55 2021 842 6.90 2021

2022 1.55 2022 842 6.90 2022

2023 1.55 2023 842 6.90 2023

2024 1.55 2024 842 6.90 2024

2025 1.55 2025 842 6.90 2025
Assumptions

Multi-Family Laundromat

Cycles / yr 1246 2190

Water Heating Fuel Shares

Electric 20% 0%

Gas 80% 100%

Clothes Dryer Fuel Shares

Electric 40% 0%

Gas 60% 100%

Source for WH & Dryer Fuel Shares:

Commercial, Family-Sized Washers: 

An Initiative Description of the Consortium

for Energy Efficiency, 1998 CEE.

WH Energy Dryer Energy

Elec per Gas per Elec per Gas per Machine 

andards Case

RMC

Elec per 

cycle Elec

Gas per 

cycle Gas

Elec per 

cycle Elec

Gas per 

cycle Gas

Machine 

Energy

% kWh/cycle kWh/yr MMBtu/cycle MMBtu/yr kWh/cycle kWh/yr MMBtu/cycle MMBtu/yr kWh/yr

55% 0.790 186.4 0.0036 4.14 1.30 612.794 0.005 4.55 184.6

50% 0.663 156.5 0.0030 3.48 1.18 554.555 0.004 4.11 184.6

49% 0.480 113.3 0.0022 2.52 1.16 545.263 0.004 4.04 158.2

47% 0.409 96.4 0.0019 2.14 1.11 521.428 0.004 3.87 158.2

46% 0.370 87.3 0.0017 1.94 1.07 505.538 0.004 3.75 158.2

41% 0.353 83.3 0.0016 1.85 0.93 440.027 0.004 3.26 158.2

39% 0.256 60.3 0.0012 1.34 0.90 426.090 0.003 3.16 158.2

5 6 Total

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

andards Case
3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

5 6 Total

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

3% 2% 100%

Annual Water Use Price

Standard Standard

1000 gal/yr $

34.743 2005 $1,042

34.743 2006 $1,042

34.743 2007 $1,042

34.743 2008 $1,042

34.743 2009 $1,042

34.743 2010 $1,042

34.743 2011 $1,042

34.743 2012 $1,042

34.743 2013 $1,042

34.743 2014 $1,042
34.743 2015 $1,042

34.743 2016 $1,042

34.743 2017 $1,042

34.743 2018 $1,042

34.743 2019 $1,042

34.743 2020 $1,042

34.743 2021 $1,042

34.743 2022 $1,042

34.743 2023 $1,042

34.743 2024 $1,042

34.743 2025 $1,042

Annual Water Use Price

Standard Standard

1000 gal/yr $

34.743 2005 $1,042

34.743 2006 $1,053

34.743 2007 $1,064

34.743 2008 $1,075

34.743 2009 $1,087

34.743 2010 $1,099

34.743 2011 $1,111

34.004 2012 $1,138

34.004 2013 $1,138

34.004 2014 $1,138

34.004 2015 $1,138

34.004 2016 $1,138

34.004 2017 $1,138

34.004 2018 $1,138

34.004 2019 $1,138

34.004 2020 $1,138

34.004 2021 $1,138

34.004 2022 $1,138

34.004 2023 $1,138

34.004 2024 $1,138

34.004 2025 $1,138
Annual Energy Use Annual Installed

Elec Gas Water Price

kWh MMBtu 1000 gal $

984 8.69 36.91 $924

896 7.59 36.91 $1,047

817 6.56 33.03 $1,170

776 6.01 31.08 $1,252

751 5.69 29.14 $1,306

682 5.12 21.37 $1,443

645 4.50 19.82 $1,580








Historical Shipment

Historical Shipment of Commercial Clotheswashers (includes both horizontal and vertical axis)

millions

1972 0.167

1973 0.167

1974 0.166

1975 0.167

1976 0.167

1977 0.167 Assumptions:

1978 0.166 Growth in New Housing saturation 0.0%

1979 0.164

1980 0.170

1981 0.171

1982 0.163

1983 0.163

1984 0.167

1985 0.176

1986 0.186

1987 0.194

1988 0.213

1989 0.215

1990 0.225

1991 0.193

1992 0.188

1993 0.190

1994 0.205

1995 0.209

1996 0.232

1997 0.241

1998 0.265

1999 0.239

2000 0.215

2001 0.194

2002 0.175

2003 0.191

2004 0.178

2005 0.177










Base Case

Historical and Forecasted Shipments of Dishwashers

Base Case - Standard Dishwasher

Year New 

Shipment Total Stock

% of 

retirements 

not 

Replaced

Replacement

s for Retiring 

Units

Ship due to 

new 

construction

Saturation in 

new MF 

construction

Actual 

Retirement

s

Repl. 

Units

pre-2010 million million million million million

post-2010

1985 0.176 1.768 0.136 0.040 6.0% 0.136

1986 0.186 1.798 0.156 0.030 4.7% 0.156 0.156

1987 0.194 1.825 0.167 0.027 5.8% 0.167 0.167

1988 0.213 1.871 0% 0.167 0.046 11.3% 0.167 0.167

1989 0.215 1.919 0% 0.167 0.048 13.0% 0.167 0.167

1990 0.225 1.978 0% 0.166 0.059 19.7% 0.166 0.166

1991 0.193 2.004 0% 0.167 0.026 14.9% 0.167 0.167

1992 0.188 2.023 0% 0.168 0.019 11.4% 0.168 0.168

1993 0.190 2.043 0% 0.171 0.019 11.9% 0.171 0.171

1994 0.205 2.073 0% 0.175 0.030 11.7% 0.175 0.175

1995 0.209 2.102 0% 0.180 0.029 10.5% 0.180 0.180

1996 0.232 2.148 0% 0.185 0.046 14.7% 0.185 0.185

1997 0.241 2.199 0% 0.190 0.050 14.8% 0.190 0.190

1998 0.265 2.270 0% 0.193 0.072 20.7% 0.193 0.193

1999 0.239 2.307 3% 0.196 0.049 14.5% 0.196 0.190

2000 0.215 2.303 14% 0.193 0.049 14.5% 0.193 0.167

2001 0.194 2.293 17% 0.176 0.048 14.5% 0.176 0.147

2002 0.175 2.241 29% 0.176 0.050 14.5% 0.176 0.125

2003 0.191 2.256 11% 0.158 0.050 14.5% 0.158 0.140

2004 0.178 2.173 34% 0.195 0.050 14.5% 0.195 0.129

2005 0.177 2.178 15% 0.150 0.050 14.5% 0.150 0.128

2006 0.214 2.172 14% 0.168 0.047 14.5% 0.191 0.168

2007 0.219 2.174 12% 0.170 0.050 14.5% 0.190 0.170

Market Segments Annual Shipments

2007 0.219 2.174 12% 0.170 0.050 14.5% 0.190 0.170

2008 0.226 2.182 10% 0.176 0.050 14.5% 0.194 0.176

2009 0.229 2.195 8% 0.181 0.048 14.5% 0.196 0.181

2010 0.233 2.215 6% 0.186 0.047 14.5% 0.197 0.186

2011 0.234 2.240 4% 0.189 0.045 14.5% 0.197 0.189

2012 0.237 2.273 2% 0.192 0.045 14.5% 0.196 0.192

2013 0.240 2.314 0% 0.196 0.044 14.5% 0.196 0.196

2014 0.244 2.358 0% 0.200 0.044 14.5% 0.200 0.200

2015 0.244 2.403 0% 0.199 0.045 14.5% 0.199 0.199

2016 0.248 2.449 0% 0.202 0.046 14.5% 0.202 0.202

2017 0.255 2.497 0% 0.207 0.048 14.5% 0.207 0.207

2018 0.262 2.546 0% 0.213 0.049 14.5% 0.213 0.213

2019 0.267 2.594 0% 0.219 0.048 14.5% 0.219 0.219

2020 0.273 2.641 0% 0.226 0.047 14.5% 0.226 0.226

2021 0.277 2.687 0% 0.232 0.045 14.5% 0.232 0.232

2022 0.280 2.731 0% 0.235 0.045 14.5% 0.235 0.235

2023 0.283 2.776 0% 0.238 0.045 14.5% 0.238 0.238

2024 0.287 2.821 0% 0.242 0.045 14.5% 0.242 0.242

2025 0.291 2.867 0% 0.246 0.046 14.5% 0.246 0.246

2026 0.297 2.914 0% 0.250 0.047 14.5% 0.250 0.250

2027 0.303 2.962 0% 0.254 0.049 14.5% 0.254 0.254

2028 0.308 3.012 0% 0.259 0.050 14.5% 0.259 0.259

2029 0.314 3.063 0% 0.263 0.051 14.5% 0.263 0.263

2030 0.319 3.115 0% 0.267 0.052 14.5% 0.267 0.267
2031 0.324 3.167 0% 0.272 0.052 14.5% 0.272 0.272

2032 0.329 3.219 0% 0.277 0.052 14.5% 0.277 0.277

2033 0.334 3.272 0% 0.281 0.053 14.5% 0.281 0.281

2034 0.339 3.324 0% 0.286 0.053 14.5% 0.286 0.286

2035 0.344 3.377 0% 0.291 0.053 14.5% 0.291 0.291

20360 3.082

20370 2.782

20380 2.478

20390 2.168

20400 1.852

20410 1.532

20420 1.220

20430 0.943

20440 0.699

20450 0.491

20460 0.319

20470 0.182

20480 0.083

20490 0.021

20500 0.000

20510 0.000

20520 0.000

20530 0.000

20540 0.000

20550 0.000
Unit Energy & Water Consumption Total Energy (site) & Water Consumption

New 

Cons 

Units

Total 

Shipment Efficiency Elec Gas Water Elec Gas Water

million million cycles/kWh kWh/yr MMBtu/yr 1000gal/yr quad quad trillion gal

910.0 7.76 34.7

0.030 0.186 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.027 0.194 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.046 0.213 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.048 0.215 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.059 0.225 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.026 0.193 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.019 0.188 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.019 0.190 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.030 0.205 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.029 0.209 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.046 0.232 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.050 0.241 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.072 0.265 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.049 0.239 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.049 0.215 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.048 0.194 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.050 0.175 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.050 0.191 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.050 0.178 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.050 0.177 910.0 7.76 34.7

0.047 0.214 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0068 0.0170 0.0763

0.050 0.219 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0068 0.0170 0.0762

Annual Shipments

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

0.40

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015

Millions

Shipments - Historical and Projected

Historical Shipments

modelled Shipments

Actual Retirements

Replacements

0.050 0.219 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0068 0.0170 0.0762

0.050 0.226 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0068 0.0171 0.0764

0.048 0.229 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0069 0.0171 0.0768

0.047 0.233 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0069 0.0173 0.0773

0.045 0.234 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0070 0.0174 0.0781

0.045 0.237 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0071 0.0177 0.0791

0.044 0.240 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0072 0.0179 0.0804

0.044 0.244 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0073 0.0183 0.0819

0.045 0.244 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0075 0.0186 0.0835

0.046 0.248 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0076 0.0190 0.0851

0.048 0.255 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0078 0.0194 0.0868

0.049 0.262 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0079 0.0197 0.0885

0.048 0.267 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0081 0.0201 0.0901

0.047 0.273 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0082 0.0205 0.0918

0.045 0.277 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0083 0.0208 0.0933

0.045 0.280 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0085 0.0212 0.0949

0.045 0.283 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0086 0.0215 0.0964

0.045 0.287 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0088 0.0219 0.0980

0.046 0.291 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0089 0.0222 0.0996

0.047 0.297 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0090 0.0226 0.1012

0.049 0.303 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0092 0.0230 0.1029

0.050 0.308 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0094 0.0234 0.1046

0.051 0.314 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0095 0.0238 0.1064

0.052 0.319 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0097 0.0242 0.1082
0.052 0.324 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0098 0.0246 0.1100

0.052 0.329 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0100 0.0250 0.1118

0.053 0.334 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0102 0.0254 0.1137

0.053 0.339 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0103 0.0258 0.1155

0.053 0.344 1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0105 0.0262 0.1173

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0096 0.0239 0.1071

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0086 0.0216 0.0967

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0077 0.0192 0.0861

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0067 0.0168 0.0753

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0058 0.0144 0.0644

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0048 0.0119 0.0532

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0038 0.0095 0.0424

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0029 0.0073 0.0327

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0022 0.0054 0.0243

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0015 0.0038 0.0171

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0010 0.0025 0.0111

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0006 0.0014 0.0063

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0003 0.0006 0.0029

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0001 0.0002 0.0007

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000

1.42 910.0 7.76 34.74 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000
Equipment Cost Operating Cost

per Unit Total Fuel Water Total

$ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $

$1,042 0.223 0.366 0.169 0.535

$1,042 0.228 0.348 0.175 0.523

2020 2025 2030 2035

istorical and Projected

$1,042 0.228 0.348 0.175 0.523

$1,042 0.235 0.339 0.182 0.521

$1,042 0.239 0.331 0.190 0.520

$1,042 0.243 0.326 0.198 0.524

$1,042 0.244 0.321 0.208 0.529

$1,042 0.247 0.322 0.218 0.540

$1,042 0.250 0.330 0.230 0.560

$1,042 0.254 0.333 0.243 0.576

$1,042 0.254 0.333 0.257 0.590

$1,042 0.258 0.339 0.272 0.610

$1,042 0.266 0.346 0.287 0.634

$1,042 0.273 0.357 0.304 0.661

$1,042 0.278 0.369 0.321 0.690

$1,042 0.285 0.375 0.339 0.714

$1,042 0.289 0.385 0.358 0.743

$1,042 0.292 0.394 0.377 0.771

$1,042 0.295 0.401 0.398 0.799

$1,042 0.299 0.412 0.419 0.831

$1,042 0.303 0.423 0.442 0.865

$1,042 0.309 0.432 0.466 0.898

$1,042 0.315 0.442 0.492 0.934

$1,042 0.321 0.451 0.518 0.970

$1,042 0.327 0.461 0.547 1.008

$1,042 0.332 0.476 0.577 1.053
$1,042 0.338 0.487 0.608 1.095

$1,042 0.343 0.498 0.641 1.140

$1,042 0.348 0.510 0.676 1.186

$1,042 0.353 0.522 0.713 1.234

$1,042 0.358 0.533 0.751 1.285

0.490 0.711 1.201

0.445 0.666 1.111

0.399 0.615 1.014

0.352 0.558 0.910

0.302 0.495 0.797

0.252 0.424 0.676

0.202 0.351 0.553

0.157 0.281 0.438

0.117 0.216 0.334

0.083 0.158 0.241

0.054 0.106 0.160

0.031 0.063 0.094

0.014 0.030 0.044

0.004 0.008 0.011

0.000 0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000 0.000


Standards Case

Historical and Forecasted Shipments of CCW

Standards Case 

Market Segments

Year New 

Shipment Total Stock Removed Units

% of 

retirement

s not 

Replaced

Replacement

s for Retiring 

Units

Ship due to 

new 

construction

Saturation in 

new MF 

construction

pre-2010 million million million

post-2010

1985 0.176 1.768 0.136 0.040 6.0%

1986 0.186 1.798 0.156 0.030 4.7%

1987 0.194 1.825 0.167 0.027 5.8%

1988 0.213 1.871 0.000 0% 0.167 0.046 11.3%

1989 0.215 1.919 0.000 0% 0.167 0.048 13.0%

1990 0.225 1.978 0.000 0% 0.166 0.059 19.7%

1991 0.193 2.004 0.000 0% 0.167 0.026 14.9%

1992 0.188 2.023 0.000 0% 0.168 0.019 11.4%

1993 0.190 2.043 0.000 0% 0.171 0.019 11.9%

1994 0.205 2.073 0.000 0% 0.175 0.030 11.7%

1995 0.209 2.102 0.000 0% 0.180 0.029 10.5%

1996 0.232 2.148 0.000 0% 0.185 0.046 14.7%

1997 0.241 2.199 0.000 0% 0.190 0.050 14.8%

1998 0.265 2.270 0.000 0% 0.193 0.072 20.7%

1999 0.239 2.313 0.006 3% 0.196 0.049 14.5%

2000 0.215 2.330 0.026 14% 0.193 0.049 14.5%

2001 0.194 2.322 0.029 17% 0.176 0.048 14.5%

2002 0.175 2.292 0.051 29% 0.176 0.050 14.5%

2003 0.191 2.274 0.018 11% 0.158 0.050 14.5%

2004 0.178 2.239 0.067 34% 0.195 0.050 14.5%

2005 0.177 2.200 0.022 15% 0.150 0.050 14.5%

2006 0.214 2.196 0.023 14% 0.168 0.047 14.5%

2007 0.219 2.194 0.020 12% 0.170 0.050 14.5%

2008 0.225 2.198 0.018 10% 0.176 0.050 14.5%

2009 0.228 2.207 0.014 8% 0.181 0.048 14.5%

2010 0.232 2.222 0.011 6% 0.186 0.047 14.5%

2011 0.233 2.243 0.008 4% 0.189 0.045 14.5%

2012 0.234 2.270 0.004 2% 0.192 0.045 14.5%

2013 0.238 2.304 0.000 0% 0.196 0.044 14.5%

2014 0.242 2.346 0.000 0% 0.200 0.044 14.5%

2015 0.242 2.389 0.000 0% 0.199 0.045 14.5%

2016 0.246 2.433 0.000 0% 0.202 0.046 14.5%

2017 0.253 2.479 0.000 0% 0.207 0.048 14.5%

2018 0.260 2.527 0.000 0% 0.213 0.049 14.5%

2019 0.265 2.573 0.000 0% 0.219 0.048 14.5%

2020 0.271 2.619 0.000 0% 0.226 0.047 14.5%

2021 0.275 2.663 0.000 0% 0.232 0.045 14.5%

2022 0.277 2.707 0.000 0% 0.235 0.045 14.5%

2023 0.281 2.751 0.000 0% 0.238 0.045 14.5%

2024 0.284 2.795 0.000 0% 0.242 0.045 14.5%

2025 0.289 2.840 0.000 0% 0.246 0.046 14.5%

2026 0.294 2.887 0.000 0% 0.250 0.047 14.5%

2027 0.300 2.935 0.000 0% 0.254 0.049 14.5%

2028 0.305 2.984 0.000 0% 0.259 0.050 14.5%

2029 0.311 3.035 0.000 0% 0.263 0.051 14.5%

2030 0.316 3.086 0.000 0% 0.267 0.052 14.5%
2031 0.321 3.137 0.000 0% 0.272 0.052 14.5%

2032 0.326 3.189 0.000 0% 0.277 0.052 14.5%

2033 0.331 3.241 0.000 0% 0.281 0.053 14.5%

2034 0.336 3.293 0.000 0% 0.286 0.053 14.5%

2035 0.340 3.346 0.000 0% 0.291 0.053 14.5%

20360 3.054

20370 2.757

20380 2.455

20390 2.148

20400 1.835

20410 1.518

20420 1.209

20430 0.934

20440 0.693

20450 0.487

20460 0.316

20470 0.181

20480 0.082

20490 0.021

20500 0.000

20510 0.000

20520 0.000

20530 0.000

20540 0.000

20550 0.000
CumulativeTotal Energy (site) & Water Cons

MS Impact Repl. 

Units

New 

Units

Total 

Shipment Elec Gas Water Shipment Impact

Shipment 

Impact Elec

million million million kWh/yr MMBtu/yr 1000gal/yr million million quad

902.1 7.7 34.7

902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.167 0.046 0.213 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.167 0.048 0.215 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.166 0.059 0.225 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.167 0.026 0.193 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.168 0.019 0.188 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.171 0.019 0.190 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.175 0.030 0.205 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.180 0.029 0.209 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.185 0.046 0.232 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.190 0.050 0.241 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.193 0.072 0.265 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.196 0.049 0.245 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.193 0.049 0.242 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.176 0.048 0.223 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.176 0.050 0.226 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.158 0.050 0.208 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.195 0.050 0.245 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

0.150 0.050 0.199 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000

-0.1% 0.168 0.047 0.214 902.1 7.7 34.7 0.000 0.000 0.0068

-0.2% 0.169 0.050 0.219 894.1 7.6 34.7 0.000 0.001 0.0067

Annual Shipments Unit Energy & Water Consumption

0.00

0.05

0.10

0.15

0.20

0.25

0.30

0.35

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Millions

Shipment - Historical and Projected

Base Case

Standards Case

-0.2% 0.169 0.050 0.219 894.1 7.6 34.7 0.000 0.001 0.0067

-0.3% 0.176 0.050 0.225 885.9 7.5 34.7 0.001 0.001 0.0068

-0.4% 0.180 0.048 0.228 877.5 7.4 34.7 0.001 0.002 0.0068

-0.5% 0.185 0.046 0.232 869.0 7.2 34.7 0.001 0.004 0.0068

-0.7% 0.188 0.045 0.233 860.3 7.1 34.7 0.002 0.005 0.0068

-0.9% 0.190 0.044 0.234 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.007 0.0069

-0.9% 0.194 0.044 0.238 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.010 0.0069

-0.9% 0.198 0.044 0.242 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.012 0.0070

-0.9% 0.197 0.044 0.242 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.014 0.0071

-0.9% 0.200 0.046 0.246 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.016 0.0072

-0.9% 0.205 0.048 0.253 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.018 0.0073

-0.9% 0.211 0.049 0.260 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.020 0.0074

-0.9% 0.217 0.048 0.265 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.002 0.021 0.0075

-0.9% 0.224 0.046 0.271 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.022 0.0076

-0.9% 0.230 0.045 0.275 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.024 0.0078

-0.9% 0.233 0.044 0.277 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.025 0.0079

-0.9% 0.236 0.044 0.281 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.025 0.0080

-0.9% 0.240 0.045 0.284 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.026 0.0081

-0.9% 0.243 0.045 0.289 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.027 0.0082

-0.9% 0.247 0.047 0.294 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.027 0.0084

-0.9% 0.252 0.048 0.300 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.028 0.0085

-0.9% 0.256 0.049 0.305 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.028 0.0087

-0.9% 0.260 0.051 0.311 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.028 0.0088

-0.9% 0.265 0.051 0.316 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.029 0.0090
-0.9% 0.270 0.052 0.321 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.029 0.0091

-0.9% 0.274 0.052 0.326 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.030 0.0093

-0.9% 0.279 0.052 0.331 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.030 0.0094

-0.9% 0.283 0.052 0.336 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.031 0.0096

-0.9% 0.288 0.053 0.340 842.1 6.9 34.0 0.003 0.031 0.0097

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.029 0.0089

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.026 0.0080

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.023 0.0071

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.020 0.0062

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.017 0.0053

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.014 0.0044

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.011 0.0035

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.009 0.0027

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.007 0.0020

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.005 0.0014

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.003 0.0009

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.002 0.0005

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.001 0.0002

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 0.0001

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 0.0000

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 0.0000

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 0.0000

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 0.0000

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 0.0000

842.1 6.9 34.0 0.000 0.000 0.0000
Total Energy (site) & Water ConsumptionIncr. Equip. Cost Operating Cost Energy & Water Saving Discounted Values

Gas Water per Unit Total Fuel Water Total Total 

Energy Water Discount Factor

quad trillion gal $ billion $ billion $ billion $ billion $ quad trillion gal

0.0168 0.0763 $11 0.003 0.362 0.169 0.531 0.000 0.000 1.070

0.0168 0.0762 $22 0.005 0.344 0.175 0.519 0.000 0.000 1.000

0.0168 0.0764 $34 0.008 0.334 0.182 0.516 0.001 0.000 0.935

0.0168 0.0768 $45 0.011 0.325 0.190 0.515 0.001 0.000 0.873

0.0168 0.0773 $57 0.015 0.318 0.198 0.517 0.001 0.000 0.816

0.0169 0.0781 $69 0.018 0.312 0.208 0.520 0.001 0.000 0.763

0.0169 0.0789 $97 0.025 0.311 0.218 0.528 0.001 0.000 0.713

0.0170 0.0800 $97 0.025 0.316 0.229 0.544 0.002 0.000 0.666

0.0172 0.0814 $97 0.026 0.316 0.241 0.558 0.002 0.001 0.623

0.0173 0.0828 $97 0.026 0.314 0.255 0.568 0.002 0.001 0.582

0.0175 0.0842 $97 0.026 0.317 0.269 0.586 0.002 0.001 0.544

0.0177 0.0857 $97 0.027 0.322 0.284 0.605 0.003 0.001 0.508

0.0180 0.0872 $97 0.028 0.330 0.300 0.630 0.003 0.001 0.475

0.0182 0.0887 $97 0.028 0.339 0.316 0.655 0.003 0.001 0.444

0.0184 0.0902 $97 0.029 0.343 0.333 0.677 0.003 0.002 0.415

0.0187 0.0916 $97 0.029 0.352 0.351 0.703 0.004 0.002 0.388

0.0189 0.0931 $97 0.030 0.359 0.370 0.729 0.004 0.002 0.362

0.0192 0.0945 $97 0.030 0.365 0.390 0.755 0.004 0.002 0.339

0.0195 0.0960 $97 0.030 0.374 0.411 0.785 0.004 0.002 0.317

0.0198 0.0975 $97 0.031 0.384 0.433 0.817 0.004 0.002 0.296

0.0201 0.0991 $97 0.031 0.392 0.456 0.849 0.004 0.002 0.277

0.0205 0.1008 $97 0.032 0.402 0.481 0.883 0.004 0.002 0.258

0.0208 0.1024 $97 0.033 0.410 0.507 0.917 0.004 0.002 0.242

0.0212 0.1042 $97 0.033 0.419 0.535 0.954 0.004 0.002 0.226

0.0215 0.1059 $97 0.034 0.432 0.565 0.997 0.004 0.002 0.211
0.0219 0.1077 $97 0.034 0.442 0.596 1.037 0.004 0.002 0.197

0.0222 0.1095 $97 0.035 0.452 0.628 1.080 0.005 0.002 0.184

0.0226 0.1113 $97 0.035 0.463 0.662 1.125 0.005 0.002 0.172

0.0230 0.1131 $97 0.036 0.473 0.698 1.171 0.005 0.002 0.161

0.0233 0.1149 $97 0.036 0.484 0.735 1.219 0.005 0.002 0.150

0.0213 0.1048 0.445 0.696 1.141 0.004 0.002 0.141

0.0192 0.0946 0.404 0.652 1.056 0.004 0.002 0.131

0.0171 0.0843 0.362 0.602 0.964 0.003 0.002 0.123

0.0150 0.0737 0.319 0.546 0.865 0.003 0.002 0.115

0.0128 0.0630 0.274 0.484 0.759 0.003 0.001 0.107

0.0106 0.0521 0.228 0.415 0.644 0.002 0.001 0.100

0.0084 0.0415 0.183 0.343 0.527 0.002 0.001 0.094

0.0065 0.0321 0.142 0.275 0.418 0.001 0.001 0.088

0.0048 0.0238 0.106 0.212 0.318 0.001 0.001 0.082

0.0034 0.0167 0.075 0.154 0.229 0.001 0.000 0.076

0.0022 0.0108 0.049 0.104 0.153 0.000 0.000 0.071

0.0013 0.0062 0.028 0.062 0.090 0.000 0.000 0.067

0.0006 0.0028 0.013 0.029 0.042 0.000 0.000 0.062

0.0001 0.0007 0.003 0.008 0.011 0.000 0.000 0.058

0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.055

0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.051

0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.048

0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.044

0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.042

0.0000 0.0000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.039
Discounted Values

Incr. Equip. 

Cost

Oper. 

Cost 

Saving

billion $ billion $

0.003 0.004

0.005 0.004

0.008 0.004

0.010 0.005

0.012 0.006

0.014 0.007

0.018 0.009

0.017 0.010

0.016 0.012

0.015 0.013

0.014 0.014

0.014 0.014

0.013 0.015

0.013 0.015

0.012 0.016

0.011 0.016

0.011 0.015

0.010 0.015

0.010 0.015

0.009 0.014

0.009 0.014

0.008 0.013

0.008 0.013

0.007 0.012

0.007 0.012
0.007 0.011

0.006 0.011

0.006 0.011

0.006 0.010

0.005 0.010

0.000 0.008

0.000 0.007

0.000 0.006

0.000 0.005

0.000 0.004

0.000 0.003

0.000 0.002

0.000 0.002

0.000 0.001

0.000 0.001

0.000 0.001

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000

0.000 0.000
Housing Projections

Projected Total Housing Stock (millions) Projected Housing Starts (millions)

Reference High Low Reference High Low

1990 93.99 93.99 93.99 1990 1.38 1.38 1.38

1991 94.87 94.87 94.87 1991 1.18 1.18 1.18

1992 95.75 95.75 95.75 1992 1.41 1.41 1.41

1993 96.63 96.63 96.63 1993 1.54 1.54 1.54

1994 97.88 97.88 97.88 1994 1.76 1.76 1.76

1995 99.06 99.06 99.06 1995 1.69 1.69 1.69

1996 100.10 100.10 100.10 1996 1.82 1.82 1.82

1997 101.31 101.31 101.31 1997 1.49 1.49 1.49

1998 102.61 102.61 102.61 1998 1.54 1.54 1.54

1999 103.83 103.83 103.83 1999 1.64 1.64 1.64

2000 105.01 105.01 105.01 2000 1.70 1.70 1.70

2001 106.27 106.27 106.27 2001 1.72 1.72 1.72

2002 107.35 107.35 107.35 2002 1.75 1.75 1.75

2003 108.53 108.53 108.53 2003 1.79 1.79 1.79

2004 109.73 109.73 109.73 2004 1.80 1.80 1.80

2005 115.36 115.36 115.36 2005 2.14 2.14 2.14

2006 116.90 116.90 116.90 2006 1.96 2.16 1.76

2007 118.42 118.42 118.42 2007 1.93 2.20 1.66

2008 119.94 119.94 119.94 2008 1.94 2.24 1.64

2009 121.44 121.44 121.44 2009 1.90 2.22 1.58

2010 122.93 122.93 122.93 2010 1.89 2.22 1.58

2011 124.41 124.41 124.41 2011 1.88 2.21 1.55

2012 125.83 125.83 125.83 2012 1.82 2.16 1.49

2013 127.25 127.25 127.25 2013 1.80 2.17 1.44

2014 128.67 128.67 128.67 2014 1.81 2.18 1.44

2015 130.11 130.11 130.11 2015 1.83 2.20 1.46

2016 131.56 131.56 131.56 2016 1.83 2.21 1.45

2017 133.00 133.00 133.00 2017 1.82 2.20 1.44

2018 134.43 134.43 134.43 2018 1.81 2.21 1.41

2019 135.83 135.83 135.83 2019 1.77 2.19 1.36

2020 137.19 137.19 137.19 2020 1.73 2.16 1.30

2021 138.50 138.50 138.50 2021 1.67 2.11 1.24

2022 139.78 139.78 139.78 2022 1.64 2.09 1.19

2023 141.03 141.03 141.03 2023 1.61 2.07 1.15

2024 142.28 142.28 142.28 2024 1.60 2.10 1.11

2025 143.55 143.55 143.55 2025 1.62 2.15 1.10

2026 144.83 144.83 144.83 2026 1.63 2.18 1.08

2027 146.10 146.10 146.10 2027 1.62 2.18 1.06

2028 147.34 147.34 147.34 2028 1.58 2.12 1.04

2029 148.57 148.57 148.57 2029 1.57 2.14 0.99

2030 149.81 149.81 149.81 2030 1.58 2.15 1.00

2031 151.09 151.09 151.09 2031 1.57 2.15 0.98

2032 152.39 152.39 152.39 2032 1.56 2.15 0.96

2033 153.70 153.70 153.70 2033 1.55 2.15 0.94

2034 155.01 155.01 155.01 2034 1.54 2.15 0.93

2035 156.34 156.34 156.34 2035 1.53 2.16 0.91

Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2006 Source: Annual Energy Outlook 2006

REF LO HI REF LO HI REF LO

New Housing Units (million)

Total Single Family Starts Multi-Family Starts
1959 1.52 1.52 1.52 1.23 1.23 1.23

1960 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.99 0.99 0.99

1961 1.31 1.31 1.31 0.97 0.97 0.97

1962 1.46 1.46 1.46 0.99 0.99 0.99

1963 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.01 1.01 1.01

1964 1.53 1.53 1.53 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.56 0.56

1965 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.51 0.51

1966 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.78 0.78 0.78 0.39 0.39

1967 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.45 0.45

1968 1.51 1.51 1.51 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.61 0.61

1969 1.47 1.47 1.47 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.66 0.66

1970 1.43 1.43 1.43 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.62 0.62

1971 2.05 2.05 2.05 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.90 0.90

1972 2.36 2.36 2.36 1.31 1.31 1.31 1.05 1.05

1973 2.05 2.05 2.05 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.91 0.91

1974 1.34 1.34 1.34 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.45 0.45

1975 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.27 0.27

1976 1.54 1.54 1.54 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.38 0.38

1977 1.99 1.99 1.99 1.45 1.45 1.45 0.54 0.54

1978 2.02 2.02 2.02 1.43 1.43 1.43 0.59 0.59

1979 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.55 0.55

1980 1.29 1.29 1.29 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.44 0.44

1981 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.71 0.71 0.71 0.38 0.38

1982 1.06 1.06 1.06 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.40 0.40

1983 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.07 1.07 1.07 0.64 0.64

1984 1.75 1.75 1.75 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.67 0.67

1985 1.74 1.74 1.74 1.07 1.07 1.07 0.67 0.67

1986 1.81 1.81 1.81 1.18 1.18 1.18 0.63 0.63

1987 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.15 1.15 1.15 0.47 0.47

1988 1.49 1.49 1.49 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.41 0.41

1989 1.38 1.38 1.38 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.37 0.37

1990 1.19 1.19 1.19 0.89 0.89 0.89 0.30 0.30

1991 1.01 1.01 1.01 0.84 0.84 0.84 0.17 0.17

1992 1.20 1.20 1.20 1.03 1.03 1.03 0.17 0.17

1993 1.29 1.29 1.29 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.16 0.16

1994 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.20 1.20 1.20 0.26 0.26

1995 1.35 1.35 1.35 1.08 1.08 1.08 0.28 0.28

1996 1.48 1.48 1.48 1.16 1.16 1.16 0.32 0.32

1997 1.47 1.47 1.47 1.13 1.13 1.13 0.34 0.34

1998 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.27 1.27 1.27 0.35 0.35

1999 1.64 1.64 1.64 1.30 1.30 1.30 0.34 0.34

2000 1.57 1.57 1.57 1.23 1.23 1.23 0.34 0.34

2001 1.60 1.60 1.60 1.27 1.27 1.27 0.33 0.33

2002 1.70 1.70 1.70 1.36 1.36 1.36 0.35 0.35

2003 1.85 1.85 1.85 1.50 1.50 1.50 0.35 0.35

2004 2.06 2.06 2.06 1.60 1.60 1.60 0.34 0.34

2005 2.14 2.14 2.14 1.67 1.67 1.67 0.34 0.34

2006 1.96 1.76 2.16 1.51 1.40 1.62 0.32 0.25

2007 1.93 1.66 2.20 1.42 1.26 1.59 0.34 0.27

2008 1.94 1.64 2.24 1.40 1.20 1.59 0.34 0.27

2009 1.90 1.58 2.22 1.36 1.14 1.57 0.33 0.25

2010 1.89 1.58 2.22 1.36 1.14 1.59 0.32 0.25

2011 1.88 1.55 2.21 1.36 1.12 1.60 0.31 0.24

2012 1.82 1.49 2.16 1.32 1.07 1.57 0.31 0.24

2013 1.80 1.44 2.17 1.30 1.02 1.59 0.31 0.24

2014 1.81 1.44 2.18 1.31 1.01 1.61 0.31 0.25

2015 1.83 1.46 2.20 1.33 1.03 1.63 0.31 0.25
2016 1.83 1.45 2.21 1.32 1.00 1.64 0.32 0.26

2017 1.82 1.44 2.20 1.30 0.98 1.63 0.33 0.28

2018 1.81 1.41 2.21 1.29 0.95 1.63 0.34 0.29

2019 1.77 1.36 2.19 1.27 0.91 1.63 0.33 0.28

2020 1.73 1.30 2.16 1.24 0.87 1.61 0.32 0.27

2021 1.67 1.24 2.11 1.20 0.83 1.59 0.31 0.26

2022 1.64 1.19 2.09 1.18 0.80 1.57 0.31 0.25

2023 1.61 1.15 2.07 1.15 0.76 1.55 0.31 0.25

2024 1.60 1.11 2.10 1.15 0.73 1.57 0.31 0.25

2025 1.62 1.10 2.15 1.17 0.72 1.61 0.32 0.25

2026 1.63 1.08 2.18 1.17 0.71 1.63 0.32 0.25

2027 1.62 1.06 2.18 1.14 0.67 1.61 0.34 0.26

2028 1.58 1.04 2.12 1.10 0.65 1.54 0.34 0.27

2029 1.57 0.99 2.14 1.08 0.61 1.55 0.35 0.27

2030 1.58 1.00 2.15 1.08 0.61 1.55 0.36 0.28

2031 1.58 1.00 2.16 1.09 0.61 1.56 0.36 0.28

2032 1.59 1.01 2.17 1.09 0.61 1.57 0.36 0.28

2033 1.60 1.01 2.18 1.10 0.62 1.58 0.36 0.28

2034 1.61 1.02 2.19 1.10 0.62 1.59 0.36 0.28

2035 1.61 1.02 2.20 1.11 0.62 1.59 0.37 0.29

2036 1.62 1.03 2.21 1.11 0.63 1.60 0.37 0.29

2037 1.63 1.03 2.22 1.12 0.63 1.61 0.37 0.29

2038 1.63 1.04 2.23 1.13 0.63 1.62 0.37 0.29

2039 1.64 1.04 2.24 1.13 0.64 1.63 0.37 0.29

2040 1.65 1.04 2.25 1.14 0.64 1.63 0.38 0.29

2041 1.66 1.05 2.26 1.14 0.64 1.64 0.38 0.29

2042 1.67 1.05 2.27 1.15 0.64 1.65 0.38 0.30
0.00

0.20

0.40

0.60

0.80

1.00

1.20

1965 1973 1981 1989 1997 2005 2013 2021 2029 2037 2045

Multi-Family Housing Starts

HI REF LO HI

Multi-Family Starts Manufactured Home Placements
0.56

0.51

0.39

0.45

0.61

0.66

0.62

0.90

1.05

0.91

0.45

0.27

0.38

0.54

0.59

0.55

0.44

0.38

0.40

0.64

0.67

0.67

0.63

0.47

0.41

0.37

0.30

0.17

0.17

0.16

0.26

0.28

0.32

0.34

0.35

0.34

0.34

0.33

0.35

0.35

0.34 0.12 0.12 0.12

0.34 0.12 0.12 0.12

0.39 0.13 0.11 0.15

0.42 0.16 0.14 0.19

0.42 0.20 0.17 0.23

0.41 0.21 0.19 0.24

0.40 0.21 0.19 0.23

0.39 0.21 0.19 0.22

0.38 0.20 0.19 0.21

0.37 0.20 0.18 0.21

0.37 0.19 0.18 0.20

0.37 0.19 0.18 0.20
0.37 0.19 0.18 0.20

0.39 0.18 0.18 0.19

0.39 0.18 0.17 0.18

0.39 0.17 0.16 0.18

0.38 0.16 0.15 0.17

0.36 0.16 0.15 0.16

0.37 0.15 0.14 0.16

0.37 0.14 0.14 0.15

0.38 0.14 0.13 0.15

0.38 0.14 0.13 0.15

0.40 0.14 0.12 0.16

0.41 0.14 0.12 0.16

0.42 0.14 0.12 0.16

0.43 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.43 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.44 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.44 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.44 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.44 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.45 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.45 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.45 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.45 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.45 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.46 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.46 0.14 0.11 0.16

0.46 0.14 0.11 0.16



Fuel & Water Prices

Average Energy Prices (2006 $ / MMBtu) source: EIA plus AEO2006 price trends Water Price (2006 $ / 1000 gal)

Electricity ($/MMBtu site energy) Gas ($/MMBtu site energy) Water Price

2005 25.90 25.83 25.99 11.90 11.73 12.07 2005 2.13

2006 25.62 25.62 25.62 11.25 11.25 11.25 2006 2.21

2007 24.48 24.67 24.24 10.64 10.66 10.63 2007 2.30

2008 23.62 23.93 23.26 10.39 10.44 10.35 2008 2.38

2009 23.10 23.46 22.64 10.04 10.10 9.99 2009 2.47

2010 22.68 23.10 22.17 9.79 9.84 9.76 2010 2.56

2011 22.23 22.86 21.79 9.54 9.67 9.51 2011 2.66

2012 22.06 22.69 21.50 9.42 9.45 9.38 2012 2.76

2013 22.29 22.96 21.51 9.48 9.49 9.38 2013 2.86

2014 22.21 23.14 21.59 9.34 9.42 9.38 2014 2.97

2015 22.01 22.71 21.37 9.07 9.05 9.07 2015 3.08

2016 22.03 22.74 21.37 9.02 8.99 9.04 2016 3.19

2017 22.06 22.74 21.51 9.05 9.06 9.14 2017 3.31

2018 22.19 22.91 21.61 9.21 9.23 9.21 2018 3.43

2019 22.39 23.11 21.70 9.36 9.38 9.33 2019 3.56

2020 22.36 23.21 21.63 9.35 9.45 9.32 2020 3.70

2021 22.53 23.30 21.68 9.47 9.55 9.38 2021 3.83

2022 22.58 23.49 21.71 9.54 9.64 9.43 2022 3.98

2023 22.52 23.50 21.67 9.61 9.74 9.53 2023 4.12

2024 22.68 23.76 21.80 9.73 9.89 9.66 2024 4.28

2025 22.89 23.83 21.93 9.87 9.99 9.74 2025 4.44

2026 22.91 24.01 22.01 9.95 10.12 9.82 2026 4.60

2027 23.00 24.05 22.01 10.05 10.17 9.90 2027 4.78

2028 23.02 24.14 22.06 10.11 10.27 9.98 2028 4.95

2029 23.07 24.37 22.05 10.19 10.42 10.02 2029 5.14

2030 23.28 24.39 22.22 10.38 10.54 10.21 2030 5.33

2031 23.37 24.51 22.28 10.47 10.65 10.29 2031 5.53

2032 23.47 24.63 22.34 10.56 10.76 10.37 2032 5.74

2033 23.56 24.75 22.40 10.66 10.87 10.46 2033 5.95

2034 23.66 24.88 22.46 10.76 10.98 10.54 2034 6.17

2035 23.75 25.00 22.52 10.85 11.10 10.62 2035 6.40

2036 23.85 25.12 22.59 10.95 11.21 10.71 2036 6.64

2037 23.94 25.25 22.65 11.05 11.32 10.79 2037 6.89

2038 24.04 25.37 22.71 11.15 11.44 10.88 2038 7.14

2039 24.14 25.50 22.77 11.25 11.56 10.96 2039 7.41

2040 24.23 25.63 22.83 11.35 11.68 11.05 2040 7.69

2041 24.33 25.75 22.89 11.45 11.80 11.14 2041 7.97

2042 24.43 25.88 22.95 11.56 11.92 11.23 2042 8.27

2043 24.53 26.01 23.02 11.66 12.04 11.32 2043 8.58

2044 24.63 26.14 23.08 11.77 12.16 11.41 2044 8.90

2045 24.73 26.27 23.14 11.87 12.29 11.50 2045 9.23

2046 24.83 26.40 23.20 11.98 12.41 11.59 2046 9.58

2047 24.93 26.53 23.26 12.09 12.54 11.68 2047 9.93

2048 25.03 26.66 23.33 12.20 12.67 11.77 2048 10.30

2049 25.13 26.79 23.39 12.31 12.80 11.87 2049 10.69

2050 25.23 26.92 23.45 12.42 12.93 11.96 2050 11.09

2051 25.33 27.06 23.52 12.53 13.06 12.05 2051 11.50

2052 25.43 27.19 23.58 12.64 13.20 12.15 2052 11.93

2053 25.54 27.33 23.64 12.76 13.33 12.25 2053 12.37

2054 25.64 27.46 23.71 12.87 13.47 12.34 2054 12.84

2055 25.74 27.60 23.77 12.99 13.61 12.44 2055 13.31

ce (2006 $ / 1000 gal)

Water Price

2.13 2.13

2.21 2.21

2.30 2.30

2.38 2.38

2.47 2.47

2.56 2.56

2.66 2.66

2.76 2.76

2.86 2.86

2.97 2.97

3.08 3.08

3.19 3.19

3.31 3.31

3.43 3.43

3.56 3.56

3.70 3.70

3.83 3.83

3.98 3.98

4.12 4.12

4.28 4.28

4.44 4.44

4.60 4.60

4.78 4.78

4.95 4.95

5.14 5.14

5.33 5.33

5.53 5.53

5.74 5.74

5.95 5.95

6.17 6.17

6.40 6.40

6.64 6.64

6.89 6.89

7.14 7.14

7.41 7.41

7.69 7.69

7.97 7.97

8.27 8.27

8.58 8.58

8.90 8.90

9.23 9.23

9.58 9.58

9.93 9.93

10.30 10.30

10.69 10.69

11.09 11.09

11.50 11.50

11.93 11.93

12.37 12.37

12.84 12.84

13.31 13.31



Heat Rates

Marginal Site to Source Conversion Factor

Elec Gas

(Btu/kWh)

2005 11500 1.083

2006 11500 1.083

2007 11200 1.083

2008 10000 1.087

2009 9737 1.090

2010 9737 1.093

2011 9737 1.096

2012 9649 1.095

2013 9499 1.095

2014 8649 1.095

2015 7324 1.096

2016 7024 1.098

2017 7024 1.099

2018 7024 1.100

2019 7024 1.099

2020 7024 1.099

2021 7024 1.099

2022 7024 1.099

2023 7024 1.098

2024 7024 1.097

2025 7024 1.097

2026 7024 1.097

2027 7024 1.097

2028 7024 1.097

2029 7024 1.097

2030 7024 1.097

2031 7024 1.097

2032 7024 1.097

2033 7024 1.097

2034 7024 1.097

2035 7024 1.097

2036 7024 1.097

2037 7024 1.097

2038 7024 1.097

2039 7024 1.097

2040 7024 1.097

2041 7024 1.097

2042 7024 1.097

2043 7024 1.097

2044 7024 1.097

2045 7024 1.097

2046 7024 1.097

2047 7024 1.097

2048 7024 1.097

2049 7024 1.097

2050 7024 1.097

2051 7024 1.097

2052 7024 1.097

2053 7024 1.097

2054 7024 1.097

2055 7024 1.097





Lifetime back to Summary

Assumptions: From Input

Lifetime of Comm. Clothes Washers (before 2010) Lifetime after 2009:

Multi-Family Laundromat Combined Multi-Family Laundromat

Average 11.250 7.125 10.63 Average 11.250 7.125

Min 7.0 5.0 6.70 Min 7.0 5.0

Max 15.50 9.25 14.56 Max 15.50 9.25

Combo Combined Combo Combined

Age % retiring % surviving Age % retiring % surviving

1 0.0% 100.0% 1 0.0% 100.0%

2 0.0% 100.0% 2 0.0% 100.0%

3 0.0% 100.0% 3 0.0% 100.0%

4 0.0% 100.0% 4 0.0% 100.0%

5 0.0% 100.0% 5 0.0% 100.0%

6 4.0% 96.0% 6 4.0% 96.0%

7 11.1% 84.8% 7 11.1% 84.8%

8 11.1% 73.7% 8 11.1% 73.7%

9 11.1% 62.6% 9 11.1% 62.6%

10 11.1% 51.5% 10 11.1% 51.5%

11 11.1% 40.4% 11 11.1% 40.4%

12 11.1% 29.3% 12 11.1% 29.3%

13 11.1% 18.2% 13 11.1% 18.2%

14 12.1% 6.1% 14 12.1% 6.1%

15 6.1% 0.0% 15 6.1% 0.0%

16 0.0% 0.0% 16 0.0% 0.0%

17 0.0% 0.0% 17 0.0% 0.0%

18 0.0% 0.0% 18 0.0% 0.0%

19 0.0% 0.0% 19 0.0% 0.0%

20 0.0% 0.0% 20 0.0% 0.0%

21 0.0% 0.0% 21 0.0% 0.0%

22 0.0% 0.0% 22 0.0% 0.0%

23 0.0% 0.0% 23 0.0% 0.0%

24 0.0% 0.0% 24 0.0% 0.0%

25 0.0% 0.0% 25 0.0% 0.0%

26 0.0% 0.0% 26 0.0% 0.0%

27 0.0% 0.0% 27 0.0% 0.0%

28 0.0% 0.0% 28 0.0% 0.0%

29 0.0% 0.0% 29 0.0% 0.0%

30 0.0% 0.0% 30 0.0% 0.0%

31 0.0% 0.0% 31 0.0% 0.0%

Sum 100.0% Sum 100.0%

Average= 10.63 Average= 10.63

Max Age = 24





Lifetime pre-2010 Lifetime post-2010

age combined age

Combined 0.0 0.00 0.0

10.63 0.1 0.00 0.1

6.70 0.2 0.00 0.2

14.56 0.3 0.00 0.3

0.4 0.00 0.4

0.5 0.00 0.5

0.5 0.00 0.5

0.6 0.00 0.6

0.7 0.00 0.7

0.8 0.00 0.8

0.9 0.00 0.9

1.0 0.00 1.0

1.1 0.00 1.1

1.2 0.00 1.2

1.3 0.00 1.3

1.4 0.00 1.4

1.4 0.00 1.4

1.5 0.00 1.5

1.6 0.00 1.6

1.7 0.00 1.7

1.8 0.00 1.8

1.9 0.00 1.9

2.0 0.00 2.0

2.1 0.00 2.1

2.2 0.00 2.2

2.3 0.00 2.3

2.3 0.00 2.3

2.4 0.00 2.4

2.5 0.00 2.5

2.6 0.00 2.6

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30

% Surviving by Age

Combined - Existing

Combined - New

2.6 0.00 2.6

2.7 0.00 2.7

2.8 0.00 2.8

2.9 0.00 2.9

3.0 0.00 3.0

3.1 0.00 3.1

3.2 0.00 3.2

3.2 0.00 3.2

3.3 0.00 3.3

3.4 0.00 3.4

3.5 0.00 3.5

3.6 0.00 3.6

3.7 0.00 3.7

3.8 0.00 3.8

3.9 0.00 3.9

4.0 0.00 4.0

4.1 0.00 4.1

4.1 0.00 4.1

4.2 0.00 4.2

4.3 0.00 4.3

4.4 0.00 4.4

4.5 0.00 4.5

4.6 0.00 4.6

4.7 0.00 4.7
4.8 0.00 4.8

4.9 0.00 4.9

5.0 0.00 5.0

5.0 0.00 5.0

5.1 0.00 5.1

5.2 0.00 5.2

5.3 0.00 5.3

5.4 0.00 5.4

5.5 0.00 5.5

5.6 0.00 5.6

5.7 0.00 5.7

5.8 0.00 5.8

5.9 0.00 5.9

5.9 0.00 5.9

6.0 0.00 6.0

6.1 0.00 6.1

6.2 1.00 6.2

6.3 1.00 6.3

6.4 1.00 6.4

6.5 1.00 6.5

6.6 1.00 6.6

6.7 1.00 6.7

6.7 1.00 6.7

6.8 1.00 6.8

6.9 1.00 6.9

7.0 1.00 7.0

7.1 1.00 7.1

7.2 1.00 7.2

7.3 1.00 7.3

7.4 1.00 7.4

7.5 1.00 7.5

7.6 1.00 7.6

7.6 1.00 7.6

7.7 1.00 7.7

7.8 1.00 7.8

7.9 1.00 7.9

8.0 1.00 8.0

8.1 1.00 8.1

8.2 1.00 8.2

8.3 1.00 8.3

8.4 1.00 8.4

8.5 1.00 8.5

8.5 1.00 8.5

8.6 1.00 8.6

8.7 1.00 8.7

8.8 1.00 8.8

8.9 1.00 8.9

9.0 1.00 9.0

9.1 1.00 9.1

9.2 1.00 9.2

9.3 1.00 9.3

9.4 1.00 9.4

9.4 1.00 9.4

9.5 1.00 9.5

9.6 1.00 9.6

9.7 1.00 9.7

9.8 1.00 9.8
9.9 1.00 9.9

10.0 1.00 10.0

10.1 1.00 10.1

10.2 1.00 10.2

10.3 1.00 10.3

10.4 1.00 10.4

10.4 1.00 10.4

10.5 1.00 10.5

10.6 1.00 10.6

10.7 1.00 10.7

10.8 1.00 10.8

10.9 1.00 10.9

11.0 1.00 11.0

11.1 1.00 11.1

11.2 1.00 11.2

11.3 1.00 11.3

11.3 1.00 11.3

11.4 1.00 11.4

11.5 1.00 11.5

11.6 1.00 11.6

11.7 1.00 11.7

11.8 1.00 11.8

11.9 1.00 11.9

12.0 1.00 12.0

12.1 1.00 12.1

12.2 1.00 12.2

12.2 1.00 12.2

12.3 1.00 12.3

12.4 1.00 12.4

12.5 1.00 12.5

12.6 1.00 12.6

12.7 1.00 12.7

12.8 1.00 12.8

12.9 1.00 12.9

13.0 1.00 13.0

13.1 1.00 13.1

13.1 1.00 13.1

13.2 1.00 13.2

13.3 1.00 13.3

13.4 1.00 13.4

13.5 1.00 13.5

13.6 1.00 13.6

13.7 1.00 13.7

13.8 1.00 13.8

13.9 1.00 13.9

14.0 1.00 14.0

14.0 1.00 14.0

14.1 1.00 14.1

14.2 1.00 14.2

14.3 1.00 14.3

14.4 1.00 14.4

14.5 1.00 14.5

14.6 1.00 14.6

14.7 1.00 14.7

14.8 1.00 14.8

14.9 1.00 14.9

14.9 1.00 14.9
15.0 1.00 15.0

15.1 0.00 15.1

15.2 0.00 15.2

15.3 0.00 15.3

15.4 0.00 15.4

15.5 0.00 15.5

15.6 0.00 15.6

15.7 0.00 15.7

15.8 0.00 15.8

15.8 0.00 15.8

15.9 0.00 15.9

16.0 0.00 16.0

16.1 0.00 16.1

16.2 0.00 16.2

16.3 0.00 16.3

16.4 0.00 16.4

16.5 0.00 16.5

16.6 0.00 16.6

16.7 0.00 16.7

16.7 0.00 16.7

16.8 0.00 16.8

16.9 0.00 16.9

17.0 0.00 17.0

17.1 0.00 17.1

17.2 0.00 17.2

17.3 0.00 17.3

17.4 0.00 17.4

17.5 0.00 17.5

17.6 0.00 17.6

17.6 0.00 17.6

17.7 0.00 17.7

17.8 0.00 17.8

17.9 0.00 17.9

18.0 0.00 18.0

18.1 0.00 18.1

18.2 0.00 18.2

18.3 0.00 18.3

18.4 0.00 18.4

18.5 0.00 18.5

18.5 0.00 18.5

18.6 0.00 18.6

18.7 0.00 18.7

18.8 0.00 18.8

18.9 0.00 18.9

19.0 0.00 19.0

19.1 0.00 19.1

19.2 0.00 19.2

19.3 0.00 19.3

19.4 0.00 19.4

19.4 0.00 19.4

19.5 0.00 19.5

19.6 0.00 19.6

19.7 0.00 19.7

19.8 0.00 19.8

19.9 0.00 19.9

20.0 0.00 20.0

20.1 0.00 20.1
20.2 0.00 20.2

20.3 0.00 20.3

20.3 0.00 20.3

20.4 0.00 20.4

20.5 0.00 20.5

20.6 0.00 20.6

20.7 0.00 20.7

20.8 0.00 20.8

20.9 0.00 20.9

21.0 0.00 21.0

21.1 0.00 21.1

21.2 0.00 21.2

21.2 0.00 21.2

21.3 0.00 21.3

21.4 0.00 21.4

21.5 0.00 21.5

21.6 0.00 21.6

21.7 0.00 21.7

21.8 0.00 21.8

21.9 0.00 21.9

22.0 0.00 22.0

22.1 0.00 22.1

22.1 0.00 22.1

22.2 0.00 22.2

22.3 0.00 22.3

22.4 0.00 22.4

22.5 0.00 22.5

22.6 0.00 22.6

22.7 0.00 22.7

22.8 0.00 22.8

22.9 0.00 22.9

23.0 0.00 23.0

23.0 0.00 23.0

23.1 0.00 23.1

23.2 0.00 23.2

23.3 0.00 23.3

23.4 0.00 23.4

23.5 0.00 23.5

23.6 0.00 23.6

23.7 0.00 23.7

23.8 0.00 23.8

23.9 0.00 23.9

23.9 0.00 23.9

24.0 0.00 24.0

24.1 0.00 24.1

24.2 0.00 24.2

24.3 0.00 24.3

24.4 0.00 24.4

24.5 0.00 24.5

24.6 0.00 24.6

24.7 0.00 24.7

24.8 0.00 24.8

24.8 0.00 24.8

24.9 0.00 24.9

25.0 0.00 25.0

25.1 0.00 25.1

25.2 0.00 25.2
25.3 0.00 25.3

25.4 0.00 25.4

25.5 0.00 25.5

25.6 0.00 25.6

25.7 0.00 25.7

25.7 0.00 25.7

25.8 0.00 25.8

25.9 0.00 25.9

26.0 0.00 26.0

26.1 0.00 26.1

26.2 0.00 26.2

26.3 0.00 26.3

26.4 0.00 26.4

26.5 0.00 26.5

26.6 0.00 26.6

26.6 0.00 26.6

26.7 0.00 26.7

26.8 0.00 26.8

26.9 0.00 26.9

27.0 0.00 27.0
Lifetime post-2010

combined

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

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