**Statistics**

**LCC Savings Percentile**  **min max**  **average 5%**  **25%** 1Product Class 1 EL1 -$58 $314 $1 $0 $0 2Product Class 1 EL2 -$57 $484 $4 -$11 $0 3Product Class 1 EL3 -$109 $617 -$15 -$59 -$43 4Product Class 1 EL4 -$113 $1,195 $41 -$52 -$11 5Product Class 1 EL5 -$122 $2,131 $108 -$52 $0 6Product Class 1 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 7Product Class 1 EL7 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 8Product Class 1 EL8 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**Pay back Periods**  **Percentile min**  **max average**  **5% 25%**  1Product Class 1 EL1 1.3 1357.1 19.8 1.7 2.9 2Product Class 1 EL2 1.6 2046.0 14.9 2.8 6.0 3Product Class 1 EL3 2.6 645098.2 453.8 6.8 16.0 4Product Class 1 EL4 0.3 7821.2 13.2 0.7 3.2 5Product Class 1 EL5 0.3 808.4 8.2 0.7 2.2 6Product Class 1 EL6 NA NA NA NA NA 7Product Class 1 EL7 NA NA NA NA NA 8Product Class 1 EL8 NA NA NA NA NA

**Retail Price Percentile**  **min max**  **average 5%**  **25%** 0Product Class 1 EL0 $321 $334 $327.45 $322 $326 1Product Class 1 EL1 $346 $359 $352.73 $347 $351 2Product Class 1 EL2 $365 $378 $371.47 $366 $370 3Product Class 1 EL3 $416 $431 $423 $417 $421 4Product Class 1 EL4 $424 $440 $431 $425 $429 5Product Class 1 EL5 $434 $451 $442 $435 $440 6Product Class 1 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 7Product Class 1 EL7 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Product Class 1 EL7 8Product Class 1 EL8 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**Total Installed Price Percentile**  **min max**  **average 5%**  **25%** 0Product Class 1 EL0 $624 $637 630.45 $625 $629 1Product Class 1 EL1 $649 $662 655.73 $650 $654 2Product Class 1 EL2 $668 $681 674.47 $669 $673 3Product Class 1 EL3 $719 $734 $726 $720 $724 4Product Class 1 EL4 $727 $743 $734 $728 $732 5Product Class 1 EL5 $737 $754 $745 $738 $743 6Product Class 1 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 7Product Class 1 EL7 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 8Product Class 1 EL8 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**Total Operating Cost (discounted) Percentile**  **min max**  **average 5%**  **25%** 0Product Class 1 EL0 $5 $4,945 $489 $52 $144 1Product Class 1 EL1 $14 $4,357 $445 $60 $145 2Product Class 1 EL2 $12 $4,077 $417 $54 $133 3Product Class 1 EL3 $11 $3,824 $396 $52 $127 4Product Class 1 EL4 $10 $3,082 $318 $43 $104 5Product Class 1 EL5 $8 $2,262 $232 $34 $80 6Product Class 1 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 7Product Class 1 EL7 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 8Product Class 1 EL8 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**An nual Electricity** 

**Use (kWh) Percentile**  **min max**  **average 5%**  **25%**0Product Class 1 EL0 2.02 1011.19 211 23.58 67.67 1Product Class 1 EL1 21.74 885.62 195 38.72 74.45 2Product Class 1 EL2 16.77 846.92 196 36.60 74.88 3Product Class 1 EL3 17.03 812.74 201 39.15 78.72 4Product Class 1 EL4 16.27 638.98 150 30.89 59.37 5Product Class 1 EL5 16.70 485.17 145 34.45 59.72 6Product Class 1 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7Product Class 1 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8Product Class 1 EL8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**An nual Gas Use (MMBtu)**  **Percentile min**  **max average**  **5% 25%**  0Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 3.04 0.62 0.00 0.00 1Product Class 1 EL1 0.00 2.71 0.55 0.00 0.00 2Product Class 1 EL2 0.00 2.34 0.47 0.00 0.00 3Product Class 1 EL3 0.00 1.99 0.40 0.00 0.00 4Product Class 1 EL4 0.00 1.78 0.36 0.00 0.00 5Product Class 1 EL5 0.00 0.75 0.15 0.00 0.00 6Product Class 1 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7Product Class 1 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8Product Class 1 EL8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**An nual Oil Use (MMBtu)**  **Percentile min**  **max average**  **5% 25%**  0Product Class 1 EL0 0.00 2.95 0.04 0.00 0.00 1Product Class 1 EL1 0.00 2.64 0.04 0.00 0.00 2Product Class 1 EL2 0.00 2.27 0.03 0.00 0.00 3Product Class 1 EL3 0.00 1.93 0.03 0.00 0.00 4Product Class 1 EL4 0.00 1.73 0.02 0.00 0.00 5Product Class 1 EL5 0.00 0.73 0.01 0.00 0.00 6Product Class 1 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7Product Class 1 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8Product Class 1 EL8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**An nual Water Use (1000 gal)**  **Percentile min**  **max average**  **5% 25%**  0Product Class 1 EL0 0.02 3.98 1.40 0.22 0.46 1Product Class 1 EL1 0.02 3.55 1.25 0.20 0.41 2Product Class 1 EL2 0.02 3.06 1.08 0.17 0.35 3Product Class 1 EL3 0.02 2.60 0.92 0.15 0.30 4Product Class 1 EL4 0.01 2.33 0.82 0.13 0.27 5Product Class 1 EL5 0.01 0.98 0.35 0.05 0.11 6Product Class 1 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7Product Class 1 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8Product Class 1 EL8 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**Household Characteristics Percentile**  **min max**  **average 5%**  **25%** Product Class 1 Cycles 4 612 216 34 71 Product Class 1 Lifetime 1.3 41.8 15.5 5.4 10.6 Product Class 1 Discount Rate 0% 37% 4.91% 0% 2% Product Class 1 Avg Elec Price $0.09 $0.19 $0.12 $0.09 $0.10 Product Class 1 Avg Gas Price $10.00 $34.34 $14.35 $10.00 $12.47 Product Class 1 Avg Oil Price $14.54 $19.08 $17.09 $14.65 $16.14 Product Class 1 Avg Water Price $4.98 $8.02 $7.11 $4.98 $7.59**LCC Savings**

**50% 75%**  **95% min**  $0 $0 $0 1 Product Class 2 EL1 -$43 $0 $0 $32 2 Product Class 2 EL2 -$35 -$6 $0 $33 3 Product Class 2 EL3 $0 $1 $66 $236 4 Product Class 2 EL4 $0 $43 $160 $476 5 Product Class 2 EL5 $0 $0 $0 $0 6 Product Class 2 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 7 Product Class 2 EL7 $0 $0 $0 $0 8 Product Class 2 EL8 $0

**Pay back Periods**  **50% 75%**  **95% min**  5.9 13.1 55.8 1 Product Class 2 EL1 0.0 10.9 17.5 26.5 2 Product Class 2 EL2 0.3 33.7 68.6 252.2 3 Product Class 2 EL3 NA 6.6 15.1 38.1 4 Product Class 2 EL4 NA 4.5 9.8 26.6 5 Product Class 2 EL5 NA NA NA NA 6 Product Class 2 EL6 NA NA NA NA 7 Product Class 2 EL7 NA NA NA NA 8 Product Class 2 EL8 NA

**Retail Price 50%**  **75% 95%**  **min** $327 $330 $334 0 Product Class 2 EL0 $313 $352 $356 $359 1 Product Class 2 EL1 $314 $370 $374 $378 2 Product Class 2 EL2 $329 $422 $427 $431 3 Product Class 2 EL3 $0 $430 $435 $440 4 Product Class 2 EL4 $0 $441 $446 $451 5 Product Class 2 EL5 $0 $0 $0 $0 6 Product Class 2 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 7 Product Class 2 EL7 $0 Product Class 2 EL7 $0 $0 $0 8 Product Class 2 EL8 $0

**Total Installed Price 50%**  **75% 95%**  **min** $630 $633 $637 0 Product Class 2 EL0 $616 $655 $659 $662 1 Product Class 2 EL1 $617 $673 $677 $681 2 Product Class 2 EL2 $632 $725 $730 $734 3 Product Class 2 EL3 $0 $733 $738 $743 4 Product Class 2 EL4 $0 $744 $749 $754 5 Product Class 2 EL5 $0 $0 $0 $0 6 Product Class 2 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 7 Product Class 2 EL7 $0 $0 $0 $0 8 Product Class 2 EL8 $0

**Total Operating Cost (discounted) 50%**  **75% 95%**  **min** $324 $661 $1,475 0 Product Class 2 EL0 $4 $302 $595 $1,307 1 Product Class 2 EL1 $11 $281 $558 $1,224 2 Product Class 2 EL2 $8 $267 $531 $1,155 3 Product Class 2 EL3 $0 $216 $425 $926 4 Product Class 2 EL4 $0 $160 $310 $659 5 Product Class 2 EL5 $0 $0 $0 $0 6 Product Class 2 EL6 $0 $0 $0 $0 7 Product Class 2 EL7 $0 $0 $0 $0 8 Product Class 2 EL8 $0

**An nual Electricity** 

**Use (kWh) 50%**  **75% 95%**  **min**129.13 273.64 761.14 0 Product Class 2 EL0 1.63

124.74 240.29 671.61 1 Product Class 2 EL1 21.43 130.72 259.81 641.18 2 Product Class 2 EL2 15.96 141.33 275.25 615.45 3 Product Class 2 EL3 0.00 100.09 196.17 484.66 4 Product Class 2 EL4 0.00 112.73 208.63 368.88 5 Product Class 2 EL5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6 Product Class 2 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7 Product Class 2 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 Product Class 2 EL8 0.00

**An nual Gas Use (MMBtu)**  **50% 75%**  **95% min**  0.24 0.98 2.45 0 Product Class 2 EL0 0.00 0.21 0.87 2.19 1 Product Class 2 EL1 0.00 0.18 0.75 1.89 2 Product Class 2 EL2 0.00 0.15 0.64 1.60 3 Product Class 2 EL3 0.00 0.14 0.57 1.43 4 Product Class 2 EL4 0.00 0.06 0.24 0.60 5 Product Class 2 EL5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6 Product Class 2 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7 Product Class 2 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 Product Class 2 EL8 0.00

**An nual Oil Use (MMBtu)**  **50% 75%**  **95% min**  0.00 0.00 0.00 0 Product Class 2 EL0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1 Product Class 2 EL1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2 Product Class 2 EL2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3 Product Class 2 EL3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4 Product Class 2 EL4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5 Product Class 2 EL5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6 Product Class 2 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7 Product Class 2 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 Product Class 2 EL8 0.00

**An nual Water Use (1000 gal)**  **50% 75%**  **95% min**  1.10 2.20 3.42 0 Product Class 2 EL0 0.02 0.98 1.96 3.05 1 Product Class 2 EL1 0.01 0.85 1.69 2.63 2 Product Class 2 EL2 0.01 0.72 1.44 2.23 3 Product Class 2 EL3 0.00 0.64 1.29 2.00 4 Product Class 2 EL4 0.00 0.27 0.54 0.84 5 Product Class 2 EL5 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6 Product Class 2 EL6 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7 Product Class 2 EL7 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8 Product Class 2 EL8 0.00

**Household Characteristics 50%**  **75% 95%**  **min** 170 338 526 Product Class 2 Cycles 4 15.0 19.8 27.1 Product Class 2 Lifetime 1.3 4% 7% 13% Product Class 2 Discount Rate 0% $0.11 $0.14 $0.18 Product Class 2 Avg Elec Price $0.09 $13.14 $15.69 $19.93 Product Class 2 Avg Gas Price $10.00 $17.51 $18.35 $18.64 Product Class 2 Avg Oil Price $14.54 $7.69 $7.69 $8.02 Product Class 2 Avg Water Price $4.98**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** $677 $13 -$3 $0 $0 $0 $94 $1,540 $52 -$1 $0 $0 $61 $267 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** 636.5 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 4.2 1372.0 5.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 4.7 12.2 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** $324 318.43 $314 $317 $318 $321 $324 $326 319.82 $315 $318 $319 $322 $326 $342 335.19 $330 $333 $334 $338 $342 $0 0.00 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0.00 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0.00 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** $627 621.43 $617 $620 $621 $624 $627 $629 622.82 $618 $621 $622 $625 $629 $645 638.19 $633 $636 $637 $641 $645 $0 0.00 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0.00 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0.00 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** $3,579 $356 $38 $105 $236 $480 $1,071 $2,867 $301 $44 $103 $206 $401 $863 $1,937 $206 $31 $71 $141 $273 $586 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%**740.59 160 19.03 52.91 101.42215.63557.46

595.08 144 34.89 61.14 98.66 187.21452.92 411.11 107 27.01 46.71 78.07 144.53313.14 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** 2.10 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.68 1.70 1.64 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.53 1.32 0.98 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.32 0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** 2.05 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** 2.76 0.97 0.15 0.32 0.76 1.52 2.37 2.14 0.75 0.12 0.25 0.59 1.18 1.84 1.29 0.45 0.07 0.15 0.36 0.71 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

**Percentile**

**max average**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95%** 612 216 34 71 170 338 526 41.8 15.5 5.4 10.6 15.0 19.8 27.1 37% 4.91% 0% 2% 4% 7% 13% $0.19 $0.12 $0.09 $0.10 $0.11 $0.14 $0.18 $34.34 $14.35 $10.00 $12.47 $13.14 $15.69 $19.93 $19.08 $17.09 $14.65 $16.14 $17.51 $18.35 $18.64 $8.02 $7.11 $4.98 $7.59 $7.69 $7.69 $8.02**Summary**

**User Input: Product Class 1 (2010$)** 

**Energy Price Trend**

**Start Year**

**# of Trials** 0 PC 1 EL0 **Subgroup** 1 PC 1 EL1 2 PC 1 EL2 **Experience Curve** 3 PC 1 EL3 4 PC 1 EL4 **Product Class** 5 PC 1 EL5 6 PC 1 EL6 7 PC 1 EL7 8 PC 1 EL8 **Efficiency Level** **Efficiency Level Description**



### 10000

Product Class 1 

### National

PPITrend AEO2011 Reference



### 2018**AEO 2011 Reference, PPI Trend, National Sample**

**Net Cost No Impact** **Net Benefit** $630 $489 $1,120 $0 $656 $445 $1,101 $0 $1 2% 96% 2% 5.9 $674 $417 $1,092 $0 $4 14% 71% 15% 10.9 $726 $396 $1,122 $0 -$15 51% 38% 10% 33.7 $734 $318 $1,052 $0 $41 30% 20% 50% 6.6 $745 $232 $977 $0 $108 23% 9% 68% 4.5 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 100% 0%NA $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 100% 0%NA $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 0% 100% 0%NA **Median Payback Period (years)**  **Life-Cycle Cost Savings**

**Average Savings**  **Households that Experience Installed**  **Price Lifetime** 

**Operating Cost** * **Life-Cycle**

**Cost Basecase** 

**LCC Average Life-Cycle Cost** **AEO 2011 Reference, PPI Trend, National Sample**

1% 1% 9% 0% 0% 100% 100% 100% **Undefined Payback Period (years)** **LCC & PBP Calcs**

**Import Parameters Product Class 1**  **From: Product Class 1**  **RECS samples Lev** **el** Water Heating Fuel Type 1 1=elec, 2=gas, 3=oil Annual # of Cycles 69 **>>**0 **Lifetime** 1 Lifetime (years) 19.5 2 **Discount Rate** 3 Discount rate 7.0% 4 **Energy & Water Prices**  (in 2010$) 5 2009 Elec Price $0.111 $/kW h 6 2010 Gas Price $17.14 $/MMBtu 7 2009 Oil Price $17.95 $/MMBtu 8 2010 Water Price* $7.69 $/1000 gal **Base Case Eff Dist** Base Level 0 **Equipment Prices** Total Installed Price

0 $628.40 1 $653.52 2 $672.15 3 $723.58 4 $731.77 5 $742.45 6 $0.00 7 $0.00 8 $0.00 **Energy & Water Use per Cy** **cle** Machine Energy (kW h) 0 0.559 1 0.441 2 0.520 3 0.590 4 0.382 5 0.501 6 0.000 7 0.000 8 0.000 Standby Power (watt)

0 0.00 hours per year = 8766 - 1 2.30 cycles per year 2 1.70 3 1.70 4 1.70 5 1.70 6 0.00 7 0.00 8 0.00 Water Use (gallon)

0 6.5 1 5.8 2 5.0 3 4.3 4 3.8 5 1.6 6 0.0 7 0.08 0.0 **Water Heating Energy Use per Cy** **cle** Elec Water Heating (kW h) 0 1.09 1 0.97 2 0.84 3 0.71 4 0.64 5 0.27 6 0.00 7 0.00 8 0.00 Gas Water Heating (MMBtu)

0 0.0050 1 0.0044 2 0.0038 3 0.0032 4 0.0029 5 0.0012 6 0.0000 7 0.0000 8 0.0000 Oil Water Heating (MMBtu)

0 0.0050 1 0.0044 2 0.0038 3 0.0032 4 0.0029 5 0.0012 6 0.0000 7 0.0000 8 0.0000**Product Class 1 Installed** **Annual Energy Use (incl WH)**

**Efficiency**

**Lev el**  **AE U**  **Water Use Standby**  **Price Elec**  **Gas Oil**  kWh/yeargal/cycle W $ kWhMMBtuMMBtu Product Class 1 EL0 355 6.50 0.00 $628 1140.0000.000 Product Class 1 EL1 324 5.80 2.30 $654 1180.0000.000 Product Class 1 EL2 307 5.00 1.70 $672 1090.0000.000 Product Class 1 EL3 295 4.25 1.70 $724 1050.0000.000 Product Class 1 EL4 234 3.80 1.70 $732 850.0000.000 Product Class 1 EL5 180 1.60 1.70 $742 680.0000.000

0 0 0.00 0.00 $0 00.0000.000 0 0 0.00 0.00 $0 00.0000.000 0 0 0.00 0.00 $0 00.0000.000**An nual**  **First Year (2018) Operating Cost Cumulativ** **e Life**  **LCC Oper. Cost** 

**Water Fuel Cost** **Water Cost Total Op.Cost** **Cash Flow Cy** **cle Cost Sav** **ings Sav** **ing** 1000 gal.$ / year $ / year $ / year $ $ $ $ 0.4 $12 $4 $16 $940 $794 0.4 $12 $3 $16 $963 $819 -$25 $25 $0.0 0.3 $11 $3 $14 $954 $822 -$28 $44 $1.4 0.3 $11 $2 $13 $988 $865 -$71 $95 $2.3 0.3 $9 $2 $11 $951 $849 -$55 $103 $4.6 0.1 $7 $1 $8 $899 $826 -$32 $114 $7.7 0.0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0.0 0.0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0.0 0.0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0.0 **Price Increase** **A NNUA** **L CA SH FLOW CA** **LCULA TION :**  **Pay back** **Total Net**  **No Net**  **PB Basecase**  **Period Oper.Cost** **Cost Impact** **Benefit undefined**  **LCC Energy**  **Price** year $ **Elec Gas** 

$166 $794 **Ag e** **Year**$/kW h$/MMBtu 1,357.08$165 1 1 N/A $0.111$17.14 30.70 $150 1 N/A 0 42.06 $141 1 N/A 1 2018$0.104$16.37 22.65 $117 1 N/A 2 2019$0.104$16.46 14.91 $84 1 N/A 3 2020$0.105$16.71 indef $0 1 1 N/A 4 2021$0.105$16.95 indef $0 1 1 N/A 5 2022$0.104$17.17 indef $0 1 1 N/A 6 2023$0.104$17.44 7 2024$0.103$17.73 8 2025$0.103$18.00 9 2026$0.103$18.22 10 2027$0.103$18.42 11 2028$0.103$18.57 12 2029$0.103$18.65 13 2030$0.102$18.69 14 2031$0.102$18.81 15 2032$0.102$19.00 16 2033$0.102$19.21 17 2034$0.103$19.39 18 2035$0.103$19.62 19 2036$0.103$19.84 20 2037$0.103$20.05 21 2038$0.103$20.27 22 2039$0.103$20.48 23 2040$0.102$20.70 24 2041$0.102$20.93 25 2042$0.102$21.15 26 2043$0.102$21.38 27 2044$0.102$21.61 28 2045$0.102$21.84 29 2046$0.102$22.08 30 2047$0.102$22.08 31 2048$0.102$22.08 32 2049$0.102$22.08 33 2050$0.102$22.08 34 2051$0.102$22.08 35 2052$0.102$22.08 36 2053$0.102$22.08 37 2054$0.102$22.08 38 2055$0.102$22.08 39 2056$0.102$22.08 40 2057$0.102$22.08 41 2058$0.102$22.08 42 2059$0.102$22.08 43 2060$0.102$22.08 44 2061$0.102$22.08 45 2062$0.102$22.08 46 2063$0.102$22.08 47 2064$0.102$22.08 48 2065$0.102$22.08 49 2066$0.102$22.08 50 2067$0.102$22.08**Energy**

**Price Water** 

**Oil Price**  **Discount Efficiency**  **Lev el**  $/MMBtu$/1000gal**Factor 0**  **1 2**  **3 4**  **5 6**  **7** $17.95 $7.69 1.00 $628 $654 $672 $724 $732 $742 $0 $0 $22.13 $8.45 0.93 $16 $16 $14 $13 $11 $8 $0 $0 $22.65 $8.54 0.87 $16 $16 $14 $13 $11 $8 $0 $0 $23.14 $8.64 0.82 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $23.41 $8.73 0.76 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $23.75 $8.83 0.71 $16 $16 $14 $13 $11 $8 $0 $0 $24.08 $8.92 0.66 $16 $16 $14 $13 $11 $8 $0 $0 $24.41 $9.02 0.62 $16 $16 $14 $13 $11 $8 $0 $0 $24.69 $9.11 0.58 $16 $16 $14 $13 $11 $8 $0 $0 $24.98 $9.21 0.54 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.09 $9.30 0.51 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.22 $9.40 0.47 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.20 $9.49 0.44 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.16 $9.59 0.41 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.64 $9.68 0.39 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.81 $9.78 0.36 $16 $16 $14 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.70 $9.87 0.34 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.74 $9.97 0.31 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.77 $10.06 0.29 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $25.96 $10.15 0.27 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $26.15 $10.25 0.26 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $26.33 $10.34 0.24 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $26.52 $10.44 0.22 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $26.72 $10.53 0.21 $16 $16 $15 $14 $11 $8 $0 $0 $26.91 $10.63 0.20 $16 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.10 $10.72 0.18 $16 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.30 $10.82 0.17 $16 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.49 $10.91 0.16 $17 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.69 $11.01 0.15 $17 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.10 0.14 $17 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.20 0.13 $17 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.29 0.12 $17 $16 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.39 0.11 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.48 0.11 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.58 0.10 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.67 0.09 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.77 0.09 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.86 0.08 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $11.96 0.08 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.05 0.07 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.15 0.07 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.24 0.06 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.34 0.06 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.43 0.05 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.53 0.05 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.62 0.05 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.72 0.04 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.81 0.04 $17 $17 $15 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $12.91 0.04 $17 $17 $16 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $13.00 0.04 $17 $17 $16 $14 $12 $8 $0 $0 $27.89 $13.10 0.03 $17 $17 $16 $15 $12 $8 $0 $0 **Product Class 1 8** 

$0

$0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0**Rebuttable Pay back Period** 

**Import Parameters Product Class 1**  **From: Top-Loading**  **RECS samples Level** **Efficiency Level**  **AE U** 

cu.ft./kWh/cyc 0Top-Loading EL0 355 Annual # of Cycles 215 1Top-Loading EL1 324 **Energy & Water Prices in Start Year**  (in 2010$) 2Top-Loading EL2 307 2018 Elec Price $0.116$/kWh 3Top-Loading EL3 295 2018 Water Price $7.88$/1000 gal 4Top-Loading EL4 234 **Equipment Prices:** 5Top-Loading EL5 180 Total Installed Price 6Top-Loading EL6 0 0 $628.40 7Top-Loading EL7 0 1 $653.52 8Top-Loading EL8 0 2 $672.15 3 $723.58 4 $731.77 5 $742.45 6 $0.00 7 $0.00 8 $0.00 **Energy & Water Use per Cy** **cle:** Machine Energy (kWh) 0 0.559 1 0.441 2 0.520 3 0.590 4 0.382 5 0.501 6 0.000 7 0.000 8 0.000 Standby Power (watt) 0 0.00 hours per year = 8760 - 1 2.30 cycles per year - 40 2 1.70 3 1.70 4 1.70 5 1.70 6 0.00 7 0.00 8 0.00 Water Use (gallon) 0 6.5 1 5.8 2 5.0 3 4.3 4 3.8 5 1.6 6 0.0 7 0.0 8 0.0 **Wa ter Heating Energy**  **Use per Cy cle:**  Elec Water Heating (kWh) 0 1.09 1 0.97 2 0.84 3 0.71 4 0.64 5 0.27 6 0.007 0.00 8 0.00 Gas Water Heating (MMBtu) 0 0.0050 1 0.0044 2 0.0038 3 0.0032 4 0.0029 5 0.0012 6 0.0000 7 0.0000 8 0.0000 Oil Water Heating (MMBtu) 0 0.0050 1 0.0044 2 0.0038 3 0.0032 4 0.0029 5 0.0012 6 0.0000 7 0.0000 8 0.0000**Installed Annual Energy Use**  **An nual** **An nual** **Oper. Cost Rebuttable** 

**Price**TotalMachineElec. WHGas WHOil WH**Wa ter** **Oper.Cost Saving**  **Pay back**  $ kWh/yrkWh/yrkWh/yrMMBtu/yrMMBtu/yr1000 gal.$ / year $ year $628 355 120 235 1.07 1.07 1.4 $52 $654 324 95 209 0.95 0.95 1.2 $47 $5 5.26 $672 307 112 181 0.82 0.82 1.1 $44 $8 5.40 $724 295 127 154 0.70 0.70 0.9 $41 $11 8.85 $732 234 82 137 0.62 0.62 0.8 $34 $19 5.57 $742 180 108 58 0.26 0.26 0.3 $24 $29 4.00 $0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.0 $0 $52 0.00 $0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.0 $0 $52 0.00 $0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.0 $0 $52 0.00**RECS Households**

**Export Parameters for Product Class 1 Product Class 1**  **To LCC & PBP Calcs:** Water Heating Fuel Type 1 1=elec, 2=gas, 3=oil Gas or LPG N/A 1=gas, 2=lpg Cycles per Year 69 **To Equipment Prices:** Div & Lrg State 5 to select Sales Tax **To Energy**

**and Water Prices:** Div & Lrg State 5 to select Energy Price Census Division 5 to select Price Trend Census Region 3 to select W ater Price **To Discount Rate:** Repl or New? 1 1=repl, 2=new

**Dishw asher Usage (cy** **cles per y ear)**  Test Procedure **215** RECS Average **174**

**Product Class 1 Product Class 2** 

Water Heating Fuel Type 1 1 1=elec, 2=gas, 3=oil, 0=no W H Gas or LPG N/A N/A Cycles per Year 69 69

Div & Lrg State 5 5 to select Energy Price Census Division 5 5 to select Energy Price Trend Census Region 3 3 to select W ater Price

Repl or New? 1 1 1=repl, 2=new

**Product Class 1 Product Class 2**  Household ID 2541 2541 National 221 221 Low Income 109 109 Seniors Only

row offset = 1468 1468 Household Attributes

FUELH20 5 5 YEARMADE 7 7 DWASHUSE 12 12

**RECS Variable Definitions DWA** **SHUSE** Dishwasher cycles per year code cycles/year < once/week 11 41 once/week 12 56 2-3 times/week 13 106 4-6 times/week 20 213 at least once/day 30 409

**REGIONC** 1 = Northeast Census Region 2 = Midwest Census Region 3 = South Census Region 4 = West Census Region **Product Class Parameters DIVISION & Large State**  1 = New England Census Division 2 = Middle Atlantic Census Division 3 = East North Central Census Division 4 = West North Central Census Division 5 = South Atlantic Census Division 6 = East South Central Census Division 7 = West South Central Census Division 8 = Mountain Census Division 9 = Pacific Census Division 10 = New York State 11 = California 12 = Texas 13 = Florida

**FUELH2O** Fuel used for heating water 1 = Natural gas From Underground Pipes 2 = Bottled gas (LPG or propane) 3 = Fuel oil 4 = Kerosene 5 = Electricity 7 = Wood 8 = Solar 21 = Other 95 = Don't Use Hot Water

**YEA RMA** **DE** Year Home Built 1 = Before 1940 2 = 1940-49 3 = 1950-59 4 = 1960-69 5 = 1970-79 6 = 1980-1984 7 = 1985-89 8 = 1990-1994 9 = 1995-99 10 = 2000-2002 11 = 2003 12 = 2004 13 = 20015 96 = Don't know **Region Weights** 1New England Census Division 5% 2Middle Atlantic Census Division 7% 3East North Central Census Division 15% 4West North Central Census Division 8% 5South Atlantic Census Division 14% 6East South Central Census Division 6% 7West South Central Census Division 3% 8Mountain Census Division 8% 9Pacific Census Division 5% 10New York State 4% 11California 10% 12Texas 8% 13Florida 7%**RECS 2005 Dishw ashers Sample**  DOEIDNWEIGHTREGIONCDiv&LrgStateYEARMADEDWASHUSEFUELH2O Division 2480 1 25678.0 3 12 3 30 1 7 2 24261.84 11 6 11 1 9 3 31806.32 3 4 12 1 3 5 18842.5 3 6 8 30 5 6 6 5665.9 1 2 5 30 1 2 9 34572.1 3 13 9 13 1 5 10 29899.0 1 2 7 11 5 2 11 26711.7 3 5 6 11 5 5 12 31646.8 1 2 6 30 1 2 14 36233.9 3 13 5 13 5 5 16 25591.0 3 7 9 13 5 7 18 25955.24 11 2 13 1 9 19 36422.64 11 5 12 1 9 21 29329.4 1 2 8 30 1 2 24 19827.8 3 6 4 20 5 6 25 28107.3 1 2 2 20 1 2 26 29637.1 3 7 5 13 1 7 27 27042.04 11 7 13 1 9 29 4997.1 2 4 12 30 5 4 31 28137.42 4 4 11 5 4 33 28054.62 3 11 12 7 3 34 5146.7 1 2 3 11 3 2 35 30307.0 1 2 4 20 1 2 38 26169.02 3 12 12 5 3 41 29874.0 3 5 9 11 2 5 43 12080.6 1 1 4 20 2 1 45 22659.9 1 2 1 12 3 2 46 23793.84 11 5 13 5 9 47 14540.8 1 1 1 13 1 1 49 18135.3 3 6 9 13 5 6 50 29467.62 4 6 13 5 4 51 3908.24 8 6 30 1 8 52 24261.84 11 7 12 1 9 53 23022.92 4 2 11 1 4 57 27565.82 3 9 20 1 3 58 36130.42 3 8 20 1 3 59 26873.5 1 10 3 30 1 2 60 24906.72 3 9 20 2 3 65 27601.0 3 6 6 20 5 6 71 30402.74 9 8 13 5 9 72 27556.44 8 6 11 5 8 73 30199.0 1 2 3 11 1 2 74 15840.7 1 1 6 30 5 1 75 36233.9 3 13 6 11 5 5 78 40131.3 3 13 7 12 5 5 79 50112.6 3 5 1 12 1 5 80 28629.2 3 12 9 13 1 7 81 4083.0 1 1 4 20 1 1 84 22333.64 9 5 12 5 9 86 12080.6 1 1 1 13 3 1 87 14710.3 1 1 1 20 1 1 90 21699.04 11 5 13 5 9 91 3908.24 8 5 20 5 893 31305.82 3 7 20 2 3 95 32365.8 3 5 5 13 5 5 97 25500.6 3 12 12 12 1 7 100 26330.62 4 9 30 1 4 101 18258.8 3 6 3 30 1 6 102 34098.7 1 10 11 30 2 2 103 20428.7 3 6 9 13 1 6 107 32651.22 4 7 12 1 4 108 22696.54 11 8 13 1 9 109 29397.44 11 3 13 1 9 110 24610.62 4 2 30 1 4 111 18502.0 3 6 9 13 5 6 115 25636.1 2 4 5 20 1 4 116 15573.2 1 1 1 20 3 1 118 20763.54 8 7 20 5 8 119 30307.0 1 2 9 13 1 2 120 29678.9 3 12 4 12 5 7 122 28333.52 3 1 12 1 3 129 22696.54 11 9 20 1 9 133 13303.1 1 1 9 12 3 1 134 28936.34 11 3 30 1 9 135 31646.8 1 2 9 30 1 2 136 22818.04 9 7 30 5 9 137 29248.5 3 5 9 20 5 5 140 28107.3 1 2 5 11 1 2 141 25355.7 1 2 2 30 3 2 145 43872.62 3 1 20 1 3 146 24610.62 4 3 30 5 4 148 47137.8 3 5 6 12 5 5 150 19922.8 3 6 7 20 5 6 152 34415.7 3 13 5 20 5 5 154 18263.0 1 1 1 11 1 1 155 50300.3 3 13 9 11 5 5 156 36448.84 9 9 12 5 9 157 19968.54 11 3 13 1 9 158 31646.8 1 2 6 11 1 2 159 22431.2 3 6 8 11 5 6 161 33714.5 3 5 1 13 5 5 164 30307.0 1 2 1 13 1 2 166 25292.74 8 5 13 1 8 167 27504.1 3 5 9 20 5 5 168 36752.9 3 13 5 30 5 5 169 6998.22 4 3 13 1 4 170 20260.2 3 6 9 30 5 6 172 21304.94 8 8 20 1 8 173 19849.34 8 8 12 5 8 174 11185.8 1 1 10 20 3 1 176 22977.3 3 6 7 30 5 6 180 24298.84 8 9 11 1 8 182 25955.24 11 10 13 1 9 187 28107.3 1 2 3 12 1 2 188 7032.62 3 3 11 1 3 189 28252.9 3 12 8 20 1 7 192 20806.2 3 6 3 13 5 6 193 18258.8 3 6 11 11 5 6 197 23022.92 4 1 13 1 4 199 19117.8 3 6 1 12 1 6 201 20342.1 4 8 5 30 1 8202 26641.9 1 2 5 13 95 2 205 28333.52 3 11 13 1 3 208 29902.4 1 2 6 13 1 2 210 38455.34 11 7 12 1 9 211 32830.5 3 12 6 20 5 7 214 35127.8 3 5 7 20 5 5 218 21744.44 8 12 11 1 8 220 19712.54 8 6 11 5 8 221 44319.8 1 2 8 12 1 2 222 22831.1 2 3 1 12 2 3 224 30280.72 3 4 13 5 3 225 22845.74 9 9 13 5 9 227 37075.4 3 12 7 11 1 7 228 25500.6 3 12 5 30 1 7 231 52136.92 4 10 20 5 4 235 30043.0 1 2 7 11 1 2 236 20091.9 3 6 3 13 5 6 240 30307.0 1 2 2 20 1 2 243 28107.3 1 2 4 20 1 2 245 20472.22 4 8 30 5 4 246 24261.84 11 7 11 1 9 249 4034.94 8 6 20 5 8 252 44095.9 1 2 6 11 1 2 253 34586.2 3 13 5 13 5 5 254 27844.7 3 6 9 20 5 6 255 29566.5 3 6 8 12 5 6 256 11921.7 1 1 5 20 3 1 258 31433.2 3 5 8 20 5 5 259 30628.72 3 9 30 1 3 260 27805.3 1 2 5 13 5 2 262 20694.5 1 1 7 12 1 1 264 19849.34 8 5 20 1 8 268 33659.0 3 5 5 13 1 5 270 17182.1 1 1 1 12 5 1 272 27397.42 3 1 30 5 3 273 31999.1 1 2 10 13 1 2 275 19753.32 3 10 13 95 3 276 27969.1 2 4 8 30 1 4 280 24280.2 1 10 5 11 1 2 282 20600.44 8 7 13 1 8 283 34586.2 3 13 5 12 5 5 284 36349.04 11 3 11 1 9 285 3323.5 1 1 3 30 2 1 286 24261.84 11 10 11 1 9 287 29892.34 11 5 13 1 9 288 20183.64 8 5 13 1 8 289 11577.3 1 1 2 30 3 1 290 35740.1 4 9 5 12 5 9 293 27895.5 3 5 5 30 1 5 294 5288.4 1 2 3 11 1 2 295 21978.64 8 4 13 1 8 296 11921.7 1 1 8 30 3 1 297 22696.54 11 2 30 1 9 304 37178.4 1 10 1 30 1 2 306 23521.04 8 5 11 5 8 308 59791.8 3 13 11 30 5 5 309 25632.52 4 4 12 1 4 310 36912.02 3 4 12 1 3312 43872.62 3 5 11 1 3 313 27969.1 2 4 4 13 1 4 315 20700.8 3 6 5 13 1 6 317 20537.74 8 9 13 1 8 318 43872.62 3 4 12 1 3 319 23352.22 3 5 20 5 3 320 19621.3 3 6 5 13 1 6 321 35917.2 3 13 3 11 5 5 323 51209.92 3 8 11 1 3 325 24788.54 11 6 20 1 9 326 19018.0 3 6 5 11 1 6 328 16007.6 1 1 4 30 1 1 329 28481.22 3 2 30 1 3 330 11921.7 1 1 3 30 5 1 333 31433.2 3 5 9 20 5 5 334 31113.92 3 1 11 5 3 335 30598.5 3 12 10 11 1 7 336 12980.94 9 4 13 5 9 337 31119.32 4 7 12 5 4 338 22667.22 4 7 20 1 4 341 18968.2 3 6 5 13 5 6 342 37228.62 4 8 13 5 4 346 27814.1 4 11 7 13 1 9 347 25862.84 11 4 13 1 9 350 28955.1 3 5 8 11 5 5 352 28123.52 3 1 12 1 3 353 26330.62 4 9 20 5 4 355 37931.0 1 2 1 11 5 2 358 24134.44 9 9 12 5 9 362 30813.52 3 1 20 5 3 367 29248.5 3 5 6 30 1 5 368 25059.92 3 4 30 1 3 369 16758.7 1 1 1 13 1 1 370 51828.0 3 12 12 30 1 7 371 28060.22 3 7 30 1 3 372 22696.54 11 10 11 1 9 374 19271.3 3 6 1 13 5 6 375 2970.2 1 1 3 13 1 1 376 5562.7 3 13 5 12 5 5 378 25292.74 8 8 20 1 8 379 28781.9 1 2 4 11 5 2 381 27063.5 1 10 1 30 2 2 383 25292.74 8 10 12 5 8 385 13470.0 1 1 4 11 1 1 387 22742.44 8 8 20 5 8 388 33659.0 3 5 7 20 1 5 390 30280.72 3 8 20 1 3 391 20608.24 9 7 20 5 9 392 22797.04 8 6 11 1 8 395 22607.94 9 7 20 5 9 396 14168.7 1 1 3 20 1 1 398 25636.1 2 4 4 20 1 4 399 24050.94 8 5 13 1 8 400 22807.34 9 9 13 1 9 401 15597.9 1 1 8 13 1 1 403 34572.1 3 13 3 20 5 5 405 25292.74 8 7 30 1 8 406 20091.9 3 6 10 13 5 6407 11185.8 1 1 12 20 3 1 411 20053.94 8 9 13 1 8 412 20897.2 3 6 4 20 5 6 413 27815.74 9 9 30 5 9 416 26873.5 1 10 1 12 1 2 417 44543.22 3 1 13 1 3 418 25955.24 11 3 11 1 9 419 34572.1 3 13 10 11 5 5 421 36616.72 3 8 13 1 3 425 21223.4 3 6 11 13 1 6 427 6885.04 9 5 30 1 9 428 36752.9 3 13 5 13 5 5 429 14540.8 1 1 1 30 3 1 430 20564.34 8 5 12 1 8 432 30598.5 3 12 5 30 1 7 433 38165.62 3 9 13 5 3 434 23269.34 8 3 13 1 8 435 23793.84 11 5 13 2 9 436 19637.1 4 11 5 11 5 9 438 31305.64 11 4 20 1 9 439 21344.74 11 7 13 1 9 440 31166.4 1 2 7 11 1 2 442 11577.3 1 1 4 13 5 1 444 28486.4 3 5 8 12 5 5 447 26668.22 4 6 13 2 4 450 24610.62 4 2 13 1 4 451 17951.92 3 10 13 1 3 454 27970.0 3 5 8 20 5 5 455 17171.5 3 6 8 13 5 6 457 25292.74 8 6 11 1 8 458 22977.3 3 6 5 13 5 6 459 31443.92 3 6 12 5 3 460 20428.7 3 6 5 20 5 6 462 28333.52 3 1 30 1 3 464 4845.82 3 8 13 5 3 466 36233.9 3 13 3 13 5 5 467 37854.52 3 2 13 1 3 469 26797.52 4 5 30 5 4 470 32187.4 1 2 4 12 1 2 471 28252.9 3 12 6 13 1 7 472 26026.44 9 2 13 5 9 473 28084.64 8 9 12 1 8 474 17489.4 1 1 3 11 1 1 475 30307.0 1 2 8 11 1 2 476 8236.74 9 4 11 1 9 477 27565.82 3 6 20 1 3 478 36233.9 3 13 5 30 5 5 479 26026.44 9 1 12 5 9 481 22464.64 11 6 20 1 9 483 22742.44 8 9 12 5 8 487 22807.34 9 6 20 1 9 488 24383.32 4 4 20 1 4 489 15100.8 1 1 9 20 3 1 490 32092.7 3 5 10 13 1 5 492 4560.4 1 2 1 30 1 2 493 3922.0 1 1 3 30 5 1 495 33008.04 8 7 11 1 8 496 27504.1 3 5 9 13 1 5497 31433.2 3 5 9 30 5 5 498 30971.42 3 7 13 1 3 499 29405.3 3 7 4 13 5 7 500 36233.9 3 13 4 12 5 5 502 36752.9 3 13 9 20 2 5 503 28252.9 3 12 5 20 1 7 504 36752.9 3 13 5 20 5 5 505 19827.8 3 6 8 20 1 6 506 36690.32 3 4 11 1 3 507 24134.44 9 13 13 5 9 508 25678.0 3 12 6 11 1 7 509 27238.2 3 6 7 12 1 6 510 24134.44 9 4 13 5 9 511 11921.7 1 1 5 13 3 1 512 31293.74 9 12 13 1 9 514 23366.5 3 6 9 30 5 6 515 31896.1 2 4 6 11 5 4 517 57893.94 8 8 20 1 8 518 4440.9 3 5 7 13 1 5 519 28531.1 3 12 9 20 5 7 520 19271.3 3 6 8 30 5 6 521 38772.5 1 2 4 13 1 2 523 28234.04 8 11 11 2 8 524 47137.8 3 5 5 11 1 5 528 31498.32 3 9 20 1 3 531 24392.72 4 7 12 1 4 532 20091.9 3 6 7 13 5 6 533 30280.72 3 4 13 5 3 534 19700.5 3 6 8 30 5 6 535 17167.8 1 1 4 12 5 1 536 19827.8 3 6 8 13 1 6 538 17215.8 3 6 5 13 1 6 542 20600.44 8 5 30 1 8 543 31646.8 1 2 5 20 1 2 544 28955.1 3 5 9 13 5 5 546 29606.0 3 12 4 30 1 7 548 28531.1 3 12 7 20 5 7 549 29467.62 4 9 12 5 4 552 59791.8 3 13 9 13 5 5 553 28486.4 3 5 11 30 5 5 554 8236.74 9 8 30 1 9 555 15100.8 1 1 11 13 3 1 556 21344.74 11 1 13 1 9 557 25840.2 3 12 2 20 1 7 558 31904.92 3 9 30 1 3 559 36622.82 3 6 13 1 3 560 16119.0 1 1 3 13 5 1 561 26057.4 3 12 9 20 1 7 562 30185.82 3 1 20 1 3 564 24261.84 11 7 11 1 9 565 22054.94 8 1 30 1 8 567 21057.5 3 6 5 30 5 6 568 36752.9 3 13 3 20 5 5 569 35808.82 3 5 12 1 3 570 22807.34 9 9 30 5 9 572 34281.72 4 2 13 1 4 573 25678.0 3 12 7 30 1 7 575 48242.8 3 7 3 30 1 7576 22132.64 11 8 30 1 9 579 20897.2 3 6 6 13 5 6 580 34415.7 3 13 5 13 5 5 587 24902.1 4 9 8 11 1 9 588 24311.5 3 7 5 20 1 7 589 22464.64 11 1 30 1 9 590 13303.1 1 1 10 13 3 1 592 25355.7 1 2 4 11 3 2 593 38625.7 1 10 10 13 1 2 594 29553.22 3 2 12 1 3 596 31904.92 3 1 12 1 3 597 6159.1 1 2 1 11 5 2 600 4124.3 1 2 7 13 5 2 601 23051.7 1 2 5 30 5 2 602 29678.9 3 12 7 30 1 7 605 21344.74 11 6 13 5 9 606 43872.62 3 9 13 1 3 607 31305.64 11 3 30 1 9 609 30293.1 3 5 10 13 1 5 610 34572.1 3 13 6 12 5 5 611 30598.5 3 12 7 11 1 7 612 19621.3 3 6 2 20 1 6 613 24945.7 1 2 4 30 1 2 615 22742.44 8 6 13 1 8 616 5288.4 1 2 3 30 1 2 618 34201.3 1 10 9 13 1 2 619 27015.62 4 1 13 1 4 620 13299.3 1 1 1 30 1 1 621 27465.22 4 4 11 1 4 622 29556.5 1 10 5 13 3 2 623 29637.1 3 7 1 20 1 7 625 22742.44 8 7 13 5 8 626 27042.04 11 9 30 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4122 0.0 4122 0.0 1 1 1 4123 45867.3 4123 45867.3 0 0 1 4125 0.0 4125 0.0 0 0 4 4126 0.0 4126 0.0 0 0 3 4134 0.0 4134 0.0 0 0 3 4135 0.0 4135 0.0 0 0 3 4138 0.0 4138 0.0 0 1 1 4139 0.0 4139 34056.9 0 0 4 4145 0.0 4145 0.0 0 2 2 4146 0.0 4146 30280.7 0 0 2 4147 0.0 4147 0.0 0 0 5 4149 0.0 4149 0.0 0 2 4 4151 0.0 4151 0.0 0 0 1 4152 0.0 4152 0.0 0 0 4 4155 0.0 4155 0.0 0 1 1 4156 0.0 4156 26817.5 0 2 2 4157 0.0 4157 26211.1 0 0 3 4164 0.0 4164 0.0 0 0 3 4166 0.0 4166 0.0 0 0 2 4167 0.0 4167 0.0 0 3 3 4169 0.0 4169 14399.2 0 0 3 4170 0.0 4170 0.0 0 0 4 4171 0.0 4171 0.0 0 0 4 4173 0.0 4173 0.0 0 0 2 4175 0.0 4175 0.0 0 0 4 4176 0.0 4176 0.0 0 0 4 4177 0.0 4177 0.00 1 1 4183 0.0 4183 29556.0 0 0 2 4184 0.0 4184 0.0 1 0 4 4185 22807.3 4185 0.0 0 0 5 4189 0.0 4189 0.0 0 0 2 4191 0.0 4191 0.0 0 0 2 4193 0.0 4193 0.0 0 0 2 4195 0.0 4195 0.0 0 0 6 4196 0.0 4196 0.0 0 0 3 4197 0.0 4197 0.0 0 1 1 4198 0.0 4198 31062.6 1 1 3 4201 27892.1 4201 0.0 1 0 2 4202 30825.3 4202 0.0 0 0 5 4203 0.0 4203 0.0 0 0 2 4204 0.0 4204 0.0 0 2 2 4205 0.0 4205 33309.8 0 0 5 4206 0.0 4206 0.0 1 0 4 4208 5196.1 4208 0.0 0 0 3 4209 0.0 4209 0.0 0 0 2 4212 0.0 4212 0.0 0 0 3 4214 0.0 4214 0.0 0 0 5 4219 0.0 4219 0.0 0 0 2 4220 0.0 4220 0.0 0 0 1 4225 0.0 4225 0.0 0 0 2 4227 0.0 4227 0.0 0 0 6 4228 0.0 4228 0.0 0 0 3 4229 0.0 4229 0.0 0 0 7 4230 0.0 4230 0.0 0 2 2 4232 0.0 4232 30971.4 0 0 1 4234 0.0 4234 0.0 0 0 3 4238 0.0 4238 0.0 0 0 1 4240 0.0 4240 0.0 1 0 3 4242 26075.7 4242 0.0 0 1 1 4243 0.0 4243 34715.2 0 0 5 4244 0.0 4244 0.0 0 0 2 4245 0.0 4245 0.0 0 0 4 4246 0.0 4246 0.0 0 0 3 4247 0.0 4247 0.0 0 0 2 4248 0.0 4248 0.0 0 0 3 4249 0.0 4249 0.0 0 0 5 4250 0.0 4250 0.0 0 0 3 4252 0.0 4252 0.0 0 2 2 4255 0.0 4255 14222.2 0 0 1 4256 0.0 4256 0.0 0 0 6 4258 0.0 4258 0.0 0 0 5 4261 0.0 4261 0.0 0 0 1 4262 0.0 4262 0.0 0 0 2 4263 0.0 4263 0.0 1 0 4 4265 32882.4 4265 0.0 0 0 2 4266 0.0 4266 0.0 0 0 3 4268 0.0 4268 0.0 0 0 2 4270 0.0 4270 0.0 0 1 3 4274 0.0 4274 0.0 1 0 3 4275 20806.3 4275 0.0 0 2 2 4276 0.0 4276 31113.9 0 2 2 4277 0.0 4277 30971.4 0 0 2 4278 0.0 4278 0.0 1 1 2 4279 20079.8 4279 0.0 0 2 2 4280 0.0 4280 13089.20 0 3 4281 0.0 4281 0.0 0 0 3 4282 0.0 4282 0.0 0 0 4 4288 0.0 4288 0.0 0 0 1 4289 0.0 4289 0.0 0 0 1 4291 0.0 4291 0.0 0 0 2 4292 0.0 4292 0.0 0 0 1 4294 0.0 4294 0.0 0 0 3 4295 0.0 4295 0.0 0 1 2 4296 0.0 4296 0.0 0 1 2 4297 0.0 4297 0.0 0 0 1 4299 0.0 4299 0.0 0 0 2 4300 0.0 4300 0.0 0 0 2 4301 0.0 4301 0.0 0 0 4 4302 0.0 4302 0.0 0 0 2 4305 0.0 4305 0.0 0 0 3 4307 0.0 4307 0.0 0 0 2 4309 0.0 4309 0.0 0 0 2 4310 0.0 4310 0.0 1 2 3 4314 16372.8 4314 0.0 0 0 3 4319 0.0 4319 0.0 1 0 1 4326 22716.2 4326 0.0 0 0 2 4328 0.0 4328 0.0 0 0 2 4329 0.0 4329 0.0 1 0 3 4332 40131.3 4332 0.0 0 0 4 4334 0.0 4334 0.0 0 0 2 4335 0.0 4335 0.0 1 0 6 4336 19882.6 4336 0.0 0 1 1 4338 0.0 4338 5296.1 0 0 5 4339 0.0 4339 0.0 0 0 2 4344 0.0 4344 0.0 0 0 2 4345 0.0 4345 0.0 0 1 1 4349 0.0 4349 36968.7 0 1 2 4351 0.0 4351 0.0 0 0 4 4352 0.0 4352 0.0 0 0 4 4354 0.0 4354 0.0 0 0 4 4355 0.0 4355 0.0 0 0 4 4356 0.0 4356 0.0 0 0 4 4357 0.0 4357 0.0 0 1 2 4359 0.0 4359 0.0 0 0 2 4360 0.0 4360 0.0 0 0 2 4361 0.0 4361 0.0 0 0 2 4363 0.0 4363 0.0 0 1 1 4369 0.0 4369 18092.4 0 1 3 4370 0.0 4370 0.0 0 0 2 4372 0.0 4372 0.0 0 0 4 4374 0.0 4374 0.0 0 0 1 4376 0.0 4376 0.0 0 0 2 4381 0.0 4381 0.0 1 0 2 4382 22718.0 4382 0.0**Energy & Water Use**

**Export Parameters for Product Class 1 Product Class 1 (energy and w** **ater use per cycle) Water Heating A**  **ssumptions: To LCC & PBP Calcs:**  **Standby Standby**  **kWh Machine**  **Water % Energy for**  Recovery Efficiency of Water Heaters **Machine Energy per Cycle: Level** **Efficiency Level pow** **er AEU**  **AEU Water Use** **per Cycle Energy**  **Heating Water Heating**  Electric Water Heater100% Level W kWh/yearkWh/yeargal/cyclekWh/cyclekWh/cyclekWh/cycle Gas Water Heater 75% 0 0.56 0Product Class 1 EL00.00 355 0.0 6.50 1.651 0.559 1.09 66% Oil Water Heater 75% 1 0.44 1Product Class 1 EL12.30 324 19.7 5.80 1.416 0.441 0.97 69% Temp. Difference for Water Heating70deg F 2 0.52 2Product Class 1 EL21.70 307 14.5 5.00 1.360 0.520 0.84 62% Energy (kWh) to heat water0.0024kWh/gal/oF 3 0.59 3Product Class 1 EL31.70 295 14.5 4.25 1.304 0.590 0.71 55% 4 0.38 4Product Class 1 EL41.70 234 14.5 3.80 1.021 0.382 0.64 63% 5 0.50 5Product Class 1 EL51.70 180 14.5 1.60 0.770 0.501 0.27 35% 6 0.00 7 0.00 8 0.00 **Water Use per Cycle:**

0 6.5 1 5.8 **Product Class 1 (energy and w ater use per cycle)** 

2 5.0 **Standby Standby**  **kWh Machine**  **Water % Energy for**  3 4.3 **Level Efficiency Level**  **pow er**  **AEU AEU**  **Water Use per Cycle** **Energy Heating** **Water Heating**

4 3.8 W kWh/yearkWh/yeargal/cyclekWh/cyclekWh/cyclekWh/cycle 5 1.6 0Product Class 1 EL00.00 355 0.0 6.50 1.651 0.559 1.09 66% 6 0.0 1Product Class 1 EL12.30 324 19.7 5.80 1.416 0.441 0.97 69% 7 0.0 2Product Class 1 EL21.70 307 14.5 5.00 1.360 0.520 0.84 62% 8 0.0 3Product Class 1 EL31.70 295 14.5 4.25 1.304 0.590 0.71 55% 7 0.0 2Product Class 1 EL21.70 307 14.5 5.00 1.360 0.520 0.84 62% 8 0.0 3Product Class 1 EL31.70 295 14.5 4.25 1.304 0.590 0.71 55% **Standby Pow er:**  4Product Class 1 EL41.70 234 14.5 3.80 1.021 0.382 0.64 63%

0 0.00 5Product Class 1 EL51.70 180 14.5 1.60 0.770 0.501 0.27 35% 1 2.30 2 1.70 3 1.70 4 1.70 5 1.70 **Product Class 2 (energy and w ater use per cycle)**  6 0.00 **Standby Standby**  **kWh Machine**  **Water % Energy for**  7 0.00 **Level Efficiency Level**  **pow er**  **AEU AEU**  **Water Use per Cycle** **Energy Heating** **Water Heating** 8 0.00 W kWh/yearkWh/yeargal/cyclekWh/cyclekWh/cyclekWh/cycle **Water Heating Energy per Cycle** 0Product Class 2 EL00.00 260 0.0 4.50 1.209 0.453 0.76 63%

Elec WH (kWh) 1Product Class 2 EL12.30 222 19.7 3.50 0.941 0.353 0.59 62% 0 1.09 2Product Class 2 EL21.70 154 14.5 2.10 0.649 0.296 0.35 54% 1 0.97 2 0.84 3 0.71 4 0.64 5 0.27 6 0.00

7 0.00 8 0.00 Gas WH (MMBtu) 0 0.0050

1 0.0044

0.0038 2 3 0.0032

4 0.0029

5 0.0012 6 0.0000

7 0.0000 8 0.0000 Oil WH (MMBtu) 0 0.0050 1 0.0044 2 0.0038 3 0.0032 4 0.0029 5 0.0012 6 0.0000

7 0.0000 8 0.0000**Base Case Eff Dist**

**Export Parameters for Product Class 1 Product Class 1 Market Share Efficiency**  **Data To LCC & PBP Calcs:**  Level Base Case Design Level 0 0Product Class 1 EL0 0 1Product Class 1 EL1 1 2Product Class 1 EL2 2 3Product Class 1 EL3 3 4Product Class 1 EL4 4 5Product Class 1 EL5 5 6Product Class 1 EL6 6 7Product Class 1 EL7 7 8Product Class 1 EL8 8

Base Case Design Level Distribution**PC1 PC2**  2018 2018 2018 3.80% 0 3.8% 0 25.0% 25.19% 1 25.2% 1 25.0% 32.70% 2 32.7% 2 50.0% 18.55% 3 18.5% 3 0.0% 10.80% 4 10.8% 4 0.0% 8.96% 5 9.0% 5 0.0% 0.00% 6 0.0% 6 0.0% 0.00% 7 0.0% 7 0.0% 0.00% 8 0.0% 8 0.0% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 0 0 2**Equipment Price**

**Product Class 1 (all prices in 2010$) Markups**  **Div & Lrg State:** 5 **Baseline Mnfr. Price** $190.98 **Mnfr. Markup Incr. Mnrf.**  **Cost from Retail Price** **Installation Retail Markup**  Baseline Incremental **Lev el**  **Efficiency Level**  **AE U**  **Baseline before tax**  **Cost** 1.45 1.17 **Sales Tax:** 6.5% 0 Product Class 1 EL0 355 $348.92 $303.00 1 Product Class 1 EL1 324 $18.27 $375.86 $303.00 **Sales Tax Rates Retail Price:**  2 Product Class 1 EL2 307 $31.82 $395.83 $303.00 Sales Tax (2009)

Level Product Class 1 3 Product Class 1 EL3 295 $69.23 $450.98 $303.00 1 New England 5.55% 0 $325.40 4 Product Class 1 EL4 234 $75.18 $459.76 $303.00 2 Mid Atlantic 6.62% 1 $350.52 5 Product Class 1 EL5 180 $82.95 $471.21 $303.00 3 East North Central 6.88% 2 $369.15 6 Product Class 1 EL6 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 4 West North Central 7.06% 3 $420.58 7 Product Class 1 EL7 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 5 South Atlantic 6.51% 4 $428.77 8 Product Class 1 EL8 0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 6 East South Central 7.93% 5 $439.45 7 West South Central8.42% 6 $0.00 8 Mountain 6.81% 7 $0.00 9 Pacific 5.23% 8 $0.00 Product Class 1 Product Class 2 10 New York State 8.45% $190.98 $185.72 11 California 9.20% 12 Texas 8.05% 13 Florida 6.65% **To LCC & PBP Calcs:** Level Product Class 1Product Class 2 U.S. Average **Total Installed Price:** 0 PC1: 7.17%

Level Product Class 1 1 $18.27 $1.00 PC2: 7.17% 0 $628.40 2 $31.82 $12.11 1 $653.52 3 $69.23 **Experience Curve** 2 $672.15 4 $75.18 **Correction Factor** 0.876 3 $723.58 5 $82.95 4 $731.77 6 5 $742.45 7 6 $0.00 8

7 $0.00

8 $0.00 Level Product Class 1Product Class 2 0 $303.00 $303.00 1 $303.00 $303.00 2 $303.00 $303.00 3 $303.00 $0.00 4 $303.00 $0.00 5 $303.00 $0.00 6 $0.00 $0.00 7 $0.00 $0.00 8 $0.00 $0.00 1.26

**Installation Costs Incremental Mnfr. Price**  **Import Parameters**

**Baseline Mnfr. Price**

**Export Parameters for Product Class 2**

**Local Parameters Energy**  **& Water Prices**

**Import Parameters Residential Energy**  **Prices (2010$)**  **from: RECS sample** Year of Energy Prices: 2009 2010 2009 2009 Div.& Large State 5 Div. & Elec Gas LPG Oil Census Region 3 Lrg State $ / kW h $ / MMBtu $ / MMBtu $ / MMBtu Gas Fuel Type N/A 1 $0.178 $15.68 $31.44 $18.64 2 $0.139 $14.26 $31.29 $18.35 **Export Parameters for Product Class 1** 3 $0.113 $12.47 $24.04 $16.41 **To LCC & PBP Calcs:** 4 $0.094 $12.07 $20.21 $16.46 2009 Elec Price $0.111 $/kW h 5 $0.111 $17.14 $28.16 $17.95 2010 Gas Price $17.14 $/MMBtu 6 $0.098 $14.00 $26.96 $16.09 2009 Oil Price $17.95 $/MMBtu 7 $0.087 $13.89 $23.38 $14.54 2010 Water Price* $7.69 $/1000 gal 8 $0.104 $11.41 $24.60 $16.14 (* =water price + waste water price) 9 $0.102 $13.14 $27.10 $18.21 **To Rebuttable Pay back:**  10 $0.188 $15.69 $31.12 $19.08 2009 Elec Price $0.123 $/kW h 11 $0.151 $10.00 $28.46 $18.43 2010 Gas Price $13.11 $/MMBtu 12 $0.126 $12.86 $26.82 $14.65 2009 Oil Price $18.44 $/MMBtu 13 $0.126 $19.93 $34.34 $17.51 2010 Water Price* $7.17 $/1000 gal U.S. Avg $0.123 $13.11 $25.85 $18.44

2010 Water Prices Res. Water Res. Waste Cen. Reg $/1000 gal $/1000 gal 1 $4.07 $3.53 2 $2.21 $2.77 3 $3.01 $4.68 4 $4.06 $3.96 U.S. Avg $3.30 $3.87**Energy Price Trends** 

**Import Parameters AE** **O 2010 Residential Energy Price Projection for Electricity**  **and Gas from: LCC Summary** 

**(GUI) 1** **Reference Case** Fuel Price Trend Index 3 AEO 2011 Reference **2 High Growth Scenario**  Region 5 **3 Low Growth Scenario**  Gas Fuel Type N/A 1=nat gas, 2=lpg **Product Class 1 Export Parameters for Product Class 1**  **to: LCC Summary ($ / MMBtu)** 

Elec Gas Oil **Ref. High**  2009 2010 2009 **2008**31.5531.55 2008 0.95 1.26 1.37 **2009**33.1833.18 2009 1.00 1.11 1.00 **2010**33.4233.45 2010 1.01 1.00 1.14 **2011**30.9731.07 2011 0.93 0.95 1.19 **2012**31.1031.29 2012 0.93 0.94 1.08 **2013**31.2231.43 2013 0.94 0.94 1.10 **2014**31.1031.40 2014 0.93 0.93 1.12 **2015**31.1531.44 2015 0.93 0.94 1.13 **2016**31.0731.40 2016 0.93 0.95 1.16 **2017**31.2831.68 2017 0.94 0.95 1.21 **2018**31.4732.00 2018 0.94 0.96 1.23 **2019**31.5632.19 2019 0.94 0.96 1.26 **2020**31.7932.54 2020 0.95 0.97 1.29 **2021**31.7832.63 2021 0.94 0.99 1.30 **2022**31.6432.63 2022 0.94 1.00 1.32 **2023**31.6232.68 2023 0.93 1.02 1.34 **2024**31.5832.71 2024 0.93 1.03 1.36 **2025**31.6832.92 2025 0.93 1.05 1.38 **2026**31.8033.06 2026 0.93 1.06 1.39 **2027**31.8933.14 2027 0.93 1.07 1.40 **2028**31.91 33.17 2028 0.93 1.08 1.41 **2029**31.9433.28 2029 0.93 1.09 1.40 **2030**31.8533.26 2030 0.92 1.09 1.40 **2031**31.91 33.40 2031 0.92 1.10 1.43 **2032**31.9733.62 2032 0.92 1.11 1.44 **2033**32.0633.77 2033 0.92 1.12 1.43 **2034**32.1733.74 2034 0.93 1.13 1.43 **2035**32.3333.71 2035 0.93 1.14 1.44 2036 0.93 1.16 1.45 2037 0.93 1.17 1.46 2038 0.93 1.18 1.47 2039 0.93 1.20 1.48 2040 0.93 1.21 1.49 2041 0.92 1.22 1.50 2042 0.92 1.23 1.51 2043 0.92 1.25 1.52 2044 0.92 1.26 1.53 2045 0.92 1.27 1.54 2046 0.92 1.29 1.55 2047 0.92 1.30 1.57 2048 0.92 1.32 1.58 2049 0.92 1.33 1.59 2050 0.91 1.34 1.60 2051 0.91 1.36 1.61 2052 0.91 1.37 1.62 2053 0.91 1.39 1.63 2054 0.91 1.40 1.652055 0.91 1.42 1.66 2056 0.91 1.43 1.67 2057 0.91 1.45 1.68 2058 0.91 1.46 1.69 2059 0.91 1.48 1.71 2060 0.90 1.50 1.72 2061 0.90 1.51 1.73 2062 0.90 1.53 1.74 2063 0.90 1.55 1.76 2064 0.90 1.56 1.77 2065 0.90 1.58 1.78 2066 0.90 1.60 1.79 2067 0.90 1.61 1.81

For energy price trend after 2035: Electricity - The rate of change from 2020 to 2035 is used Gas - The rate of change from 2020 to 2035 is used Distillate - The rate of change from 2020 to 2035 is used**AE O 2010 Residential Energy** 

**Price Projection for Electricity and Gas** 

**High Growth Scenario**

**($ / MMBtu) (in cent / kWh)** 

**Low Ref.**  **High Low**  **Ref. High** **Low Ref.**  **High Low**  **Ref.** 31.5510.7710.7610.76 16.6216.6216.6233.1933.1933.1923.83 33.1811.3211.3211.32 14.6914.6914.6927.3027.3027.30 17.45 33.4411.4011.41 11.41 13.1713.2013.1829.3329.3329.33 19.92 30.9510.5710.6010.56 12.5612.6212.5829.6029.6029.6020.85 31.0210.61 10.6810.58 12.4712.5612.4531.7731.8431.69 18.95 31.1410.6510.7210.62 12.4812.6412.4332.2232.3232.09 19.32 30.9810.61 10.71 10.57 12.4012.5712.2932.6832.81 32.53 19.73 30.9010.6310.7310.54 12.5612.7612.3933.0433.2932.8920.10 30.7810.6010.71 10.50 12.6512.9012.4633.4733.7333.2420.92 31.0310.6710.81 10.59 12.7313.0012.5234.01 34.3233.71 21.61 31.2010.7410.9210.65 12.8113.11 12.5934.5334.8934.1522.24 31.2610.7710.9810.67 12.9113.2412.6635.0235.4234.6522.81 31.4210.8511.1010.72 13.1313.4712.8535.4535.8835.0523.14 31.3510.8411.1310.70 13.3513.7313.0335.8536.3035.41 23.39 31.1210.8011.1310.62 13.5614.0313.2036.1936.6835.7223.64 31.0210.7911.1510.58 13.8114.2813.41 36.5337.0536.0223.93 30.9210.7711.1610.55 14.0614.6413.6336.8337.3336.3224.35 30.9410.81 11.2310.56 14.3114.9513.8437.11 37.6836.5924.62 30.9410.8511.2810.56 14.5015.2014.01 37.3837.9336.8524.88 30.9010.8811.31 10.54 14.7015.4014.1637.5938.0736.9525.10 30.81 10.8911.3210.51 14.8415.6014.2837.7838.2437.0325.35 30.7210.9011.3610.48 14.9415.7214.3437.9438.4037.1325.56 30.5710.8711.3510.43 15.0415.9014.3738.0638.5437.3025.72 30.5910.8911.4010.44 15.2216.1614.4638.1338.6537.4525.81 30.6810.91 11.4710.47 15.3916.4214.61 38.1538.7937.5925.92 30.6810.9411.5210.47 15.5816.6714.7738.1738.8437.6625.96 30.7310.9811.51 10.49 15.7816.7814.91 38.1738.9537.6526.16 30.8811.0311.5010.54 16.0516.9315.0938.1839.0537.6226.28 **Electricity**

**Price Natural Gas Price**  **LPG Price ($ / MMBtu)**  **($ / MMBtu)**1 2 3 4 5 6

**High Low**  Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 23.8323.83 200852.37 44.01 30.73 25.65 31.55 27.56 17.4517.45 200951.27 43.50 32.02 26.80 33.18 28.16 19.9219.92 201052.60 44.48 33.68 28.27 33.42 26.75 20.8520.85 201155.40 42.91 30.60 25.49 30.97 24.71 19.0218.89 201256.29 44.23 30.42 25.44 31.10 24.70 19.5619.14 201356.72 44.87 30.67 26.06 31.22 24.50 20.0819.49 201456.03 44.80 30.61 25.92 31.10 24.22 20.61 19.75 201555.61 44.67 30.66 25.89 31.15 24.06 21.2720.32 201654.51 44.12 30.58 25.64 31.07 24.04 21.9621.07 201753.75 43.75 30.36 25.53 31.28 24.44 22.6021.52 201852.79 43.42 30.06 25.36 31.47 24.45 23.2522.02 201952.33 43.18 29.75 25.21 31.56 24.45 23.7922.50 202051.75 43.29 29.55 25.09 31.79 24.45 24.2422.76 202151.46 42.90 29.33 24.98 31.78 24.25 24.6023.09 202251.01 42.50 29.12 24.91 31.64 24.08 25.0123.41 202350.42 42.17 28.97 24.96 31.62 23.76 25.2923.73 202449.94 41.92 28.83 24.86 31.58 23.54 25.7024.01 202549.37 41.81 28.83 24.81 31.68 23.52 25.9324.29 202648.43 41.60 28.84 24.79 31.80 23.52 26.0124.40 202747.89 41.37 28.81 24.67 31.89 23.54 26.1724.52 202847.18 41.24 28.91 24.63 31.91 23.52 26.3824.50 202946.45 41.18 29.09 24.73 31.94 23.55 26.6024.46 203046.08 41.11 29.14 24.69 31.85 23.40 26.9624.93 203146.05 41.02 29.22 24.67 31.91 23.40 27.1825.10 203245.94 41.24 29.30 24.69 31.97 23.41 27.2024.99 203345.86 41.42 29.42 24.70 32.06 23.41 27.3325.03 203446.02 41.63 29.52 24.68 32.17 23.42 27.5125.06 203545.91 41.93 29.68 24.72 32.33 23.33

Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 200852.37 44.01 30.73 25.65 31.55 27.56 200951.27 43.50 32.02 26.80 33.18 28.16 201052.67 44.56 33.71 28.28 33.45 26.80 201155.60 43.11 30.69 25.51 31.07 24.77 201256.64 44.55 30.63 25.54 31.29 24.82 201356.93 45.17 30.87 26.14 31.43 24.69 201456.30 45.23 30.88 26.05 31.40 24.59 201555.95 44.90 30.94 26.07 31.44 24.44 201654.93 44.53 30.85 25.80 31.40 24.36 201754.25 44.20 30.67 25.69 31.68 24.82 201853.73 43.98 30.48 25.60 32.00 24.96 201953.15 43.90 30.31 25.51 32.19 25.04 202052.75 43.94 30.06 25.42 32.54 25.10 202152.57 43.52 29.81 25.41 32.63 25.00 202251.77 43.33 29.75 25.40 32.63 24.94 202351.64 43.01 29.73 25.44 32.68 24.66 **Electricity**

**Regional Price Forecasts ($ / MMBtu)**  **Oil Price**

**Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario** 202450.71 42.84 29.76 25.43 32.71 24.65 202549.94 42.74 29.88 25.43 32.92 24.87 202649.37 42.78 30.05 25.54 33.06 25.00 202749.05 42.75 30.16 25.52 33.14 24.96 202848.59 42.69 30.28 25.57 33.17 24.96 202947.91 42.52 30.46 25.78 33.28 25.05 203047.31 42.50 30.59 25.85 33.26 24.95 203147.34 42.69 30.77 25.90 33.40 24.97 203247.25 43.00 30.92 25.98 33.62 25.00 203346.82 43.02 31.04 26.06 33.77 25.05 203446.13 42.72 30.93 26.04 33.74 24.99 203545.84 42.42 30.76 25.97 33.71 24.72

Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 200852.37 44.01 30.73 25.65 31.55 27.56 200951.27 43.50 32.02 26.80 33.18 28.16 201052.62 44.52 33.70 28.29 33.44 26.77 201155.50 42.99 30.61 25.47 30.95 24.73 201256.23 44.15 30.32 25.35 31.02 24.64 201356.51 44.66 30.54 25.86 31.14 24.42 201455.83 44.55 30.46 25.74 30.98 24.08 201555.53 44.39 30.23 25.70 30.90 23.77 201654.45 43.76 29.89 25.41 30.78 23.68 201753.56 43.44 29.65 25.30 31.03 24.09 201852.61 43.00 29.37 25.07 31.20 24.09 201951.74 42.69 29.09 24.81 31.26 24.11 202051.23 42.51 28.81 24.58 31.42 23.98 202150.71 42.14 28.50 24.34 31.35 23.72 202250.29 41.71 28.28 24.22 31.12 23.49 202349.64 41.42 28.15 24.24 31.02 23.22 202448.96 41.31 28.09 24.17 30.92 22.97 202548.13 40.99 28.06 24.06 30.94 22.91 202647.43 40.65 28.01 23.97 30.94 22.80 202746.92 40.45 27.94 23.80 30.90 22.68 202845.95 40.25 27.89 23.67 30.81 22.56 202945.44 40.14 27.88 23.61 30.72 22.42 203045.06 39.89 27.85 23.53 30.57 22.36 203144.91 39.86 27.92 23.54 30.59 22.44 203244.83 39.97 27.96 23.57 30.68 22.63 203344.84 39.96 27.99 23.60 30.68 22.54 203444.79 40.13 28.07 23.58 30.73 22.57 203545.00 40.34 28.23 23.67 30.88 22.43 **Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario** 7 8 9 10 1 2 3

Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 35.08 29.10 34.15 33.16 200816.99 15.93 12.49 32.35 29.84 35.60 33.62 200916.39 14.53 10.61 30.94 27.40 34.74 33.53 201014.56 12.64 9.92 27.82 25.90 34.69 31.50 201113.20 11.56 9.17 28.10 26.60 34.66 31.71 201213.10 11.50 8.90 28.30 27.13 34.45 31.89 201312.98 11.37 8.84 28.40 27.28 34.52 31.81 201412.82 11.14 8.77 28.60 27.57 34.36 31.80 201512.91 11.17 8.89 28.70 27.44 33.56 31.58 201613.03 11.25 9.01 28.80 27.57 33.17 31.56 201713.21 11.34 9.10 28.80 27.67 32.79 31.47 201813.40 11.47 9.21 28.57 27.81 32.49 31.35 201913.65 11.63 9.35 28.74 27.88 32.21 31.36 202013.91 11.80 9.62 28.90 28.07 31.97 31.28 202114.15 11.98 9.83 29.24 28.32 31.97 31.22 202214.34 12.14 9.98 29.55 28.68 31.82 31.18 202314.54 12.30 10.17 29.84 29.07 31.70 31.15 202414.72 12.46 10.39 30.09 29.34 31.73 31.20 202514.94 12.63 10.58 30.36 29.71 31.74 31.25 202615.12 12.75 10.73 30.66 30.06 31.33 31.26 202715.32 12.91 10.90 30.96 30.35 30.96 31.26 202815.50 13.04 11.00 31.13 30.68 30.76 31.30 202915.70 13.18 11.07 31.13 30.75 30.30 31.21 203015.89 13.32 11.14 31.39 30.92 30.05 31.25 203116.08 13.47 11.26 31.55 31.14 29.78 31.31 203216.24 13.57 11.40 31.77 31.37 29.58 31.39 203316.44 13.72 11.58 31.91 31.57 29.58 31.49 203416.60 13.82 11.78 32.32 31.84 29.82 31.67 203516.78 13.95 12.03

Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 35.08 29.10 34.15 33.16 200816.99 15.93 12.49 32.35 29.84 35.60 33.62 200916.39 14.53 10.61 30.96 27.41 34.75 33.56 201014.61 12.68 9.95 27.90 25.93 34.71 31.59 201113.26 11.62 9.22 28.32 26.82 34.74 31.90 201213.18 11.58 8.98 28.59 27.66 34.54 32.12 201313.13 11.51 8.97 28.81 27.83 34.59 32.11 201412.98 11.28 8.93 29.12 28.19 34.45 32.12 201513.11 11.34 9.08 29.20 28.14 33.87 31.94 201613.28 11.45 9.25 29.30 28.28 33.52 31.96 201713.49 11.57 9.36 29.40 28.39 33.13 31.97 201813.71 11.71 9.50 29.53 28.60 32.85 31.98 201913.97 11.88 9.67 29.82 28.80 32.79 32.08 202014.27 12.09 9.97 30.11 29.10 32.72 32.09 202114.54 12.29 10.21 30.68 29.41 32.66 32.14 202214.80 12.51 10.45 31.01 29.86 32.50 32.16 202315.03 12.70 10.65 **Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario**  **Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario**31.26 30.07 32.58 32.19 202415.26 12.89 10.95

31.90 30.33 32.67 32.37 202515.49 13.07 11.18 31.70 30.68 32.57 32.42 202615.74 13.26 11.39 32.29 31.10 32.27 32.52 202715.98 13.45 11.56 32.76 31.50 31.96 32.60 202816.21 13.64 11.68 32.87 31.90 31.83 32.67 202916.45 13.81 11.78 32.87 32.13 31.68 32.65 203016.70 14.01 11.91 33.23 32.43 31.60 32.80 203116.90 14.15 12.13 33.54 32.75 31.48 32.97 203216.97 14.14 12.34 33.89 33.12 31.39 33.09 203317.12 14.18 12.56 33.96 33.12 31.22 33.00 203417.03 14.07 12.52 34.00 33.01 31.08 32.89 203517.00 14.00 12.53

Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 35.08 29.10 34.15 33.16 200816.99 15.93 12.49 32.35 29.84 35.60 33.62 200916.39 14.53 10.61 30.96 27.40 34.74 33.55 201014.56 12.64 9.92 27.88 25.91 34.69 31.52 201113.21 11.58 9.18 28.09 26.50 34.66 31.65 201213.06 11.47 8.88 28.16 26.89 34.44 31.77 201312.91 11.31 8.79 28.15 27.04 34.49 31.65 201412.71 11.05 8.67 28.34 27.18 34.05 31.52 201512.76 11.05 8.74 28.71 27.01 33.34 31.29 201612.85 11.10 8.82 28.69 27.05 32.88 31.24 201712.98 11.17 8.87 28.59 27.09 32.35 31.10 201813.15 11.28 8.97 28.55 27.09 31.83 30.95 201913.35 11.39 9.09 28.69 27.36 31.86 30.93 202013.60 11.57 9.33 28.49 27.60 31.78 30.77 202113.80 11.71 9.48 28.56 27.72 31.52 30.59 202213.97 11.85 9.63 28.86 27.86 31.18 30.50 202314.16 12.01 9.80 29.19 28.00 30.98 30.45 202414.30 12.11 9.99 29.39 28.29 30.94 30.43 202514.50 12.27 10.14 29.58 28.56 30.79 30.39 202614.62 12.35 10.26 29.76 28.68 30.50 30.32 202714.76 12.45 10.39 29.96 28.87 30.08 30.22 202814.88 12.53 10.49 29.96 29.06 29.80 30.13 202915.03 12.63 10.52 29.91 29.20 29.49 30.02 203015.19 12.76 10.52 30.05 29.42 29.24 30.05 203115.33 12.85 10.58 30.29 29.61 28.94 30.12 203215.46 12.94 10.69 30.58 29.79 28.73 30.15 203315.62 13.05 10.84 30.64 29.96 28.73 30.21 203415.77 13.15 10.97 30.34 30.12 28.64 30.25 203515.93 13.26 11.14 **Updated Regional Residential Electricity Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario**  **Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario**4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year 11.91 16.62 14.64 13.46 11.05 12.54 13.62 2008 10.06 14.69 12.90 11.39 10.08 10.10 11.88 2009 9.84 13.17 11.26 10.03 9.76 10.67 11.02 2010 9.11 12.56 10.67 9.77 9.18 9.94 10.29 2011 9.06 12.47 10.68 9.70 9.18 9.91 10.16 2012 9.02 12.48 10.73 9.71 9.20 9.88 10.11 2013 8.94 12.40 10.69 9.61 9.13 9.77 10.01 2014 9.04 12.56 10.89 9.75 9.27 9.85 10.12 2015 9.16 12.65 10.98 9.81 9.40 9.95 10.22 2016 9.28 12.73 11.04 9.83 9.50 10.11 10.33 2017 9.43 12.81 11.10 9.85 9.63 10.31 10.45 2018 9.62 12.91 11.18 9.89 9.76 10.54 10.61 2019 9.93 13.13 11.45 10.12 10.00 10.84 10.86 2020 10.13 13.35 11.69 10.31 10.24 11.09 11.08 2021 10.27 13.56 11.89 10.45 10.42 11.24 11.25 2022 10.44 13.81 12.14 10.66 10.62 11.40 11.44 2023 10.64 14.06 12.42 10.89 10.84 11.56 11.65 2024 10.80 14.31 12.67 11.09 11.00 11.71 11.83 2025 10.94 14.50 12.86 11.23 11.17 11.87 11.99 2026 11.13 14.70 13.03 11.35 11.42 12.08 12.18 2027 11.24 14.84 13.13 11.39 11.56 12.20 12.30 2028 11.32 14.94 13.18 11.39 11.70 12.34 12.40 2029 11.41 15.04 13.28 11.43 11.83 12.47 12.51 2030 11.52 15.22 13.46 11.55 11.96 12.58 12.65 2031 11.66 15.39 13.66 11.71 12.11 12.73 12.79 2032 11.86 15.58 13.86 11.84 12.33 12.95 12.98 2033 12.05 15.78 14.09 12.01 12.53 13.15 13.16 2034 12.32 16.05 14.39 12.23 12.76 13.41 13.39 2035

Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year 11.91 16.62 14.64 13.46 11.05 12.54 13.62 2008 10.06 14.69 12.90 11.39 10.08 10.10 11.88 2009 9.87 13.20 11.29 10.06 9.79 10.70 11.05 2010 9.16 12.62 10.73 9.82 9.22 9.99 10.34 2011 9.13 12.56 10.77 9.79 9.24 9.96 10.24 2012 9.14 12.64 10.88 9.86 9.31 9.99 10.25 2013 9.09 12.57 10.86 9.79 9.27 9.91 10.16 2014 9.24 12.76 11.07 9.94 9.47 10.04 10.31 2015 9.40 12.90 11.22 10.05 9.63 10.19 10.46 2016 9.55 13.00 11.29 10.09 9.78 10.39 10.59 2017 9.73 13.11 11.37 10.13 9.96 10.63 10.75 2018 9.93 13.24 11.48 10.20 10.11 10.86 10.92 2019 10.28 13.47 11.75 10.43 10.42 11.24 11.21 2020 10.52 13.73 12.02 10.65 10.69 11.53 11.46 2021 10.74 14.03 12.29 10.88 10.97 11.77 11.71 2022 10.93 14.28 12.54 11.07 11.20 11.96 11.92 2023 **Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario Natural Gas Regional Price Forecasts** 11.20 14.64 12.93 11.42 11.46 12.14 12.19 2024

11.40 14.95 13.23 11.67 11.66 12.32 12.42 2025 11.61 15.20 13.47 11.87 11.88 12.51 12.63 2026 11.79 15.40 13.62 11.97 12.13 12.73 12.82 2027 11.93 15.60 13.72 12.02 12.33 12.91 12.98 2028 12.04 15.72 13.80 12.05 12.52 13.09 13.12 2029 12.18 15.90 13.96 12.17 12.71 13.30 13.30 2030 12.40 16.16 14.25 12.41 12.96 13.51 13.52 2031 12.64 16.42 14.53 12.64 13.18 13.76 13.70 2032 12.90 16.67 14.80 12.85 13.46 14.04 13.91 2033 12.81 16.78 14.90 12.90 13.25 13.90 13.85 2034 12.79 16.93 15.06 13.00 13.11 13.71 13.83 2035

Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. Year 11.91 16.62 14.64 13.46 11.05 12.54 13.62 2008 10.06 14.69 12.90 11.39 10.08 10.10 11.88 2009 9.84 13.18 11.27 10.04 9.76 10.67 11.02 2010 9.12 12.58 10.69 9.79 9.18 9.95 10.30 2011 9.04 12.45 10.66 9.68 9.15 9.89 10.14 2012 8.97 12.43 10.68 9.65 9.13 9.83 10.06 2013 8.84 12.29 10.59 9.51 9.03 9.68 9.91 2014 8.91 12.39 10.72 9.59 9.12 9.72 9.97 2015 8.97 12.46 10.80 9.64 9.19 9.76 10.04 2016 9.05 12.52 10.84 9.63 9.25 9.86 10.11 2017 9.18 12.59 10.90 9.65 9.35 10.02 10.21 2018 9.35 12.66 10.95 9.66 9.47 10.25 10.35 2019 9.62 12.85 11.19 9.84 9.67 10.51 10.57 2020 9.77 13.03 11.38 9.99 9.84 10.72 10.74 2021 9.91 13.20 11.56 10.12 10.03 10.89 10.90 2022 10.07 13.41 11.80 10.30 10.19 11.03 11.07 2023 10.24 13.63 12.07 10.52 10.37 11.17 11.24 2024 10.36 13.84 12.26 10.65 10.52 11.30 11.40 2025 10.47 14.01 12.44 10.77 10.65 11.41 11.52 2026 10.59 14.16 12.58 10.86 10.81 11.53 11.65 2027 10.70 14.28 12.70 10.92 10.96 11.65 11.76 2028 10.76 14.34 12.72 10.88 11.07 11.76 11.83 2029 10.77 14.37 12.72 10.81 11.13 11.82 11.87 2030 10.83 14.46 12.83 10.87 11.22 11.90 11.95 2031 10.94 14.61 13.05 11.02 11.30 11.98 12.07 2032 11.11 14.77 13.26 11.16 11.47 12.15 12.22 2033 11.23 14.91 13.43 11.25 11.57 12.29 12.34 2034 11.42 15.09 13.64 11.39 11.73 12.48 12.51 2035 **Updated Regional Residential Natural Gas Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario**1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 34.44 34.07 26.68 23.34 33.19 31.23 30.79 28.55 34.73 28.57 28.37 22.19 19.40 27.30 25.93 25.49 23.66 28.66 30.69 30.48 23.83 20.84 29.33 27.86 27.39 25.42 30.79 30.97 30.75 24.05 21.04 29.60 28.11 27.64 25.66 31.08 32.08 32.56 26.32 23.53 31.77 29.98 28.62 28.11 30.07 32.54 33.01 26.78 23.99 32.22 30.44 29.07 28.57 30.53 33.00 33.47 27.23 24.45 32.68 30.90 29.53 29.03 30.98 33.36 33.83 27.59 24.81 33.04 31.26 29.89 29.39 31.34 33.79 34.26 28.02 25.24 33.47 31.69 30.32 29.82 31.77 34.33 34.81 28.57 25.78 34.01 32.23 30.86 30.36 32.32 34.85 35.32 29.08 26.30 34.53 32.74 31.38 30.87 32.83 35.33 35.81 29.57 26.78 35.02 33.23 31.87 31.36 33.32 35.76 36.24 30.00 27.22 35.45 33.66 32.30 31.79 33.75 36.17 36.64 30.40 27.62 35.85 34.07 32.70 32.20 34.15 36.51 36.98 30.74 27.96 36.19 34.41 33.04 32.54 34.49 36.85 37.32 31.08 28.30 36.53 34.75 33.38 32.88 34.83 37.15 37.62 31.38 28.60 36.83 35.05 33.68 33.18 35.13 37.43 37.90 31.67 28.88 37.11 35.33 33.96 33.46 35.41 37.69 38.17 31.93 29.14 37.38 35.59 34.23 33.72 35.68 37.91 38.38 32.14 29.36 37.59 35.81 34.44 33.94 35.89 38.09 38.57 32.33 29.54 37.78 35.99 34.63 34.12 36.08 38.26 38.73 32.49 29.71 37.94 36.16 34.79 34.29 36.24 38.38 38.85 32.62 29.83 38.06 36.28 34.91 34.41 36.37 38.45 38.93 32.69 29.90 38.13 36.35 34.98 34.48 36.44 38.47 38.94 32.71 29.92 38.15 36.37 35.00 34.50 36.46 38.49 38.96 32.72 29.94 38.17 36.39 35.02 34.52 36.47 38.49 38.96 32.73 29.94 38.17 36.39 35.02 34.52 36.48 38.49 38.97 32.73 29.94 38.18 36.39 35.03 34.52 36.48

Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 34.44 34.07 26.68 23.34 33.19 31.23 30.79 28.55 34.73 28.57 28.37 22.19 19.40 27.30 25.93 25.49 23.66 28.66 30.69 30.48 23.83 20.84 29.33 27.86 27.39 25.42 30.79 30.97 30.75 24.05 21.04 29.60 28.11 27.64 25.66 31.08 32.16 32.63 26.39 23.61 31.84 30.06 28.69 28.19 30.14 32.63 33.11 26.87 24.08 32.32 30.53 29.16 28.66 30.62 33.13 33.60 27.36 24.58 32.81 31.02 29.66 29.15 31.11 33.61 34.08 27.85 25.06 33.29 31.51 30.14 29.64 31.59 34.04 34.52 28.28 25.49 33.73 31.94 30.58 30.07 32.03 34.64 35.11 28.87 26.09 34.32 32.54 31.17 30.67 32.62 35.21 35.68 29.44 26.66 34.89 33.11 31.74 31.24 33.19 35.74 36.21 29.97 27.19 35.42 33.64 32.27 31.77 33.72 36.20 36.68 30.44 27.65 35.88 34.10 32.73 32.23 34.19 36.62 37.09 30.85 28.07 36.30 34.52 33.15 32.65 34.60 37.00 37.47 31.24 28.45 36.68 34.90 33.53 33.03 34.99 37.37 37.84 31.61 28.82 37.05 35.27 33.90 33.40 35.36

**Updated Regional Residential LPG Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario LPG Regional Price Forecasts** 37.65 38.12 31.88 29.10 37.33 35.55 34.18 33.68 35.63

38.00 38.47 32.24 29.45 37.68 35.90 34.53 34.03 35.99 38.25 38.73 32.49 29.70 37.93 36.15 34.78 34.28 36.24 38.39 38.86 32.62 29.84 38.07 36.29 34.92 34.42 36.37 38.56 39.03 32.79 30.01 38.24 36.46 35.09 34.59 36.54 38.72 39.19 32.96 30.17 38.40 36.62 35.25 34.75 36.71 38.86 39.33 33.09 30.31 38.54 36.76 35.39 34.89 36.84 38.97 39.44 33.20 30.42 38.65 36.87 35.50 35.00 36.95 39.11 39.58 33.35 30.56 38.79 37.01 35.64 35.14 37.09 39.16 39.63 33.39 30.61 38.84 37.06 35.69 35.19 37.14 39.26 39.74 33.50 30.71 38.95 37.16 35.80 35.29 37.25 39.37 39.84 33.60 30.82 39.05 37.27 35.90 35.40 37.35

Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 34.44 34.07 26.68 23.34 33.19 31.23 30.79 28.55 34.73 28.57 28.37 22.19 19.40 27.30 25.93 25.49 23.66 28.66 30.69 30.48 23.83 20.84 29.33 27.86 27.39 25.42 30.79 30.97 30.75 24.05 21.04 29.60 28.11 27.64 25.66 31.08 32.01 32.49 26.25 23.46 31.69 29.91 28.54 28.04 30.00 32.41 32.88 26.64 23.86 32.09 30.31 28.94 28.44 30.39 32.85 33.32 27.09 24.30 32.53 30.75 29.38 28.88 30.83 33.20 33.68 27.44 24.65 32.89 31.10 29.74 29.23 31.19 33.56 34.03 27.79 25.01 33.24 31.45 30.09 29.58 31.54 34.03 34.50 28.26 25.48 33.71 31.93 30.56 30.06 32.01 34.47 34.94 28.70 25.92 34.15 32.37 31.00 30.50 32.45 34.96 35.44 29.20 26.41 34.65 32.86 31.50 30.99 32.95 35.36 35.84 29.60 26.81 35.05 33.26 31.90 31.39 33.35 35.72 36.20 29.96 27.17 35.41 33.62 32.26 31.75 33.71 36.03 36.51 30.27 27.49 35.72 33.93 32.57 32.06 34.02 36.34 36.81 30.57 27.79 36.02 34.24 32.87 32.37 34.32 36.64 37.11 30.88 28.09 36.32 34.54 33.17 32.67 34.63 36.91 37.38 31.14 28.36 36.59 34.81 33.44 32.94 34.89 37.17 37.64 31.40 28.62 36.85 35.07 33.70 33.20 35.15 37.27 37.74 31.50 28.72 36.95 35.16 33.80 33.30 35.25 37.34 37.82 31.58 28.80 37.03 35.24 33.88 33.37 35.33 37.45 37.92 31.68 28.90 37.13 35.35 33.98 33.48 35.43 37.62 38.09 31.86 29.07 37.30 35.52 34.15 33.65 35.61 37.76 38.24 32.00 29.21 37.45 35.66 34.30 33.79 35.75 37.90 38.38 32.14 29.35 37.59 35.80 34.44 33.93 35.89 37.97 38.45 32.21 29.42 37.66 35.87 34.51 34.00 35.96 37.97 38.44 32.20 29.42 37.65 35.87 34.50 34.00 35.95 37.93 38.41 32.17 29.38 37.62 35.83 34.47 33.96 35.92

**Updated Regional Residential LPG Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario**10 1 2 3 4 5 6

Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 29.46 200824.68 25.03 24.41 24.76 23.83 24.68 24.63 200918.08 18.33 17.87 18.14 17.45 18.04 26.49 201020.63 20.92 20.40 20.70 19.92 20.58 26.72 201121.61 21.90 21.36 21.68 20.85 21.55 28.50 201219.87 20.45 18.32 17.86 18.95 18.03 28.96 201320.25 20.82 18.68 18.22 19.32 18.40 29.42 201420.69 21.22 19.08 18.62 19.73 18.79 29.79 201521.11 21.64 19.47 19.01 20.10 19.19 30.22 201621.94 22.52 20.28 19.82 20.92 20.00 30.77 201722.66 23.25 20.97 20.50 21.61 20.70 31.29 201823.33 23.89 21.57 21.11 22.24 21.31 31.78 201923.91 24.48 22.14 21.67 22.81 21.88 32.21 202024.25 24.82 22.47 22.00 23.14 22.19 32.62 202124.54 25.11 22.67 22.20 23.39 22.41 32.97 202224.94 25.60 22.92 22.45 23.64 22.67 33.31 202325.16 25.78 23.19 22.72 23.93 22.94 33.61 202425.66 26.32 23.61 23.13 24.35 23.36 33.90 202525.88 26.51 23.87 23.40 24.62 23.63 34.17 202626.12 26.73 24.13 23.66 24.88 23.89 34.39 202726.41 27.06 24.35 23.87 25.10 24.10 34.58 202826.63 27.26 24.60 24.12 25.35 24.36 34.75 202926.91 27.58 24.80 24.33 25.56 24.57 34.87 203026.89 27.46 24.97 24.50 25.72 24.73 34.95 203126.97 27.58 25.06 24.59 25.81 24.82 34.97 203227.06 27.67 25.16 24.68 25.92 24.92 34.99 203327.11 27.74 25.20 24.73 25.96 24.97 35.00 203427.31 27.94 25.40 24.93 26.16 25.16 35.01 203527.44 28.07 25.53 25.06 26.28 25.30

Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 29.46 200824.68 25.03 24.41 24.76 23.83 24.68 24.63 200918.08 18.33 17.87 18.14 17.45 18.04 26.49 201020.63 20.92 20.40 20.70 19.92 20.58 26.72 201121.61 21.90 21.36 21.68 20.85 21.55 28.57 201219.93 20.52 18.38 17.92 19.02 18.09 29.06 201320.49 21.06 18.92 18.46 19.56 18.64 29.55 201421.04 21.56 19.41 18.95 20.08 19.13 30.04 201521.61 22.14 19.97 19.51 20.61 19.69 30.48 201622.29 22.84 20.60 20.14 21.27 20.33 31.08 201723.02 23.58 21.29 20.83 21.96 21.03 31.65 201823.68 24.22 21.89 21.42 22.60 21.63 32.19 201924.35 24.89 22.51 22.05 23.25 22.26 32.66 202024.91 25.47 23.08 22.61 23.79 22.81 33.08 202125.37 25.93 23.50 23.03 24.24 23.25 33.47 202225.81 26.41 23.85 23.38 24.60 23.61 33.85 202326.25 26.85 24.27 23.79 25.01 24.02 **Oil Regional Price Forecasts**

**Updated Regional Residential Oil Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario**34.13 202426.57 27.21 24.54 24.07 25.29 24.30

34.49 202526.99 27.63 24.94 24.47 25.70 24.71 34.74 202627.25 27.90 25.17 24.69 25.93 24.94 34.88 202727.29 27.91 25.26 24.78 26.01 25.03 35.06 202827.45 28.07 25.41 24.94 26.17 25.18 35.23 202927.68 28.31 25.63 25.15 26.38 25.40 35.37 203027.82 28.43 25.91 25.43 26.60 25.68 35.49 203128.14 28.70 26.20 25.73 26.96 25.98 35.63 203228.37 28.93 26.43 25.95 27.18 26.20 35.69 203328.38 28.95 26.45 25.97 27.20 26.22 35.80 203428.52 29.08 26.58 26.10 27.33 26.35 35.91 203528.71 29.29 26.75 26.27 27.51 26.53

Nat. Year Div 1 Div 2 Div 3 Div 4 Div 5 Div 6 29.46 200824.68 25.03 24.41 24.76 23.83 24.68 24.63 200918.08 18.33 17.87 18.14 17.45 18.04 26.49 201020.63 20.92 20.40 20.70 19.92 20.58 26.72 201121.61 21.90 21.36 21.68 20.85 21.55 28.43 201219.81 20.39 18.26 17.80 18.89 17.97 28.83 201320.06 20.64 18.51 18.05 19.14 18.22 29.27 201420.46 21.00 18.86 18.40 19.49 18.57 29.63 201520.78 21.33 19.11 18.65 19.75 18.83 29.98 201621.39 21.99 19.69 19.23 20.32 19.41 30.46 201722.11 22.70 20.40 19.94 21.07 20.13 30.90 201822.59 23.16 20.84 20.38 21.52 20.57 31.40 201923.11 23.69 21.34 20.87 22.02 21.07 31.80 202023.63 24.22 21.82 21.36 22.50 21.56 32.17 202123.91 24.56 22.06 21.59 22.76 21.79 32.48 202224.33 25.04 22.37 21.90 23.09 22.11 32.79 202324.67 25.36 22.69 22.22 23.41 22.43 33.10 202425.02 25.74 23.02 22.54 23.73 22.75 33.37 202525.33 26.08 23.29 22.82 24.01 23.03 33.63 202625.59 26.32 23.57 23.09 24.29 23.30 33.73 202725.70 26.43 23.66 23.19 24.40 23.40 33.81 202825.94 26.72 23.78 23.30 24.52 23.53 33.92 202926.04 26.89 23.76 23.28 24.50 23.50 34.09 203025.66 26.36 23.73 23.26 24.46 23.45 34.24 203126.10 26.75 24.15 23.68 24.93 23.91 34.38 203226.23 26.87 24.32 23.84 25.10 24.08 34.45 203326.09 26.74 24.22 23.75 24.99 23.97 34.45 203426.13 26.78 24.26 23.79 25.03 24.01 34.42 203526.17 26.83 24.34 23.87 25.06 24.06 **Updated Regional Residential Oil Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario**7 8 9 10

Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. 24.37 24.76 24.78 24.75 17.43 18.13 18.16 18.12 19.89 20.68 20.72 20.68 20.82 21.67 21.70 21.67 19.12 18.45 19.66 19.93 19.49 18.74 20.04 20.30 19.90 19.15 20.44 20.72 20.27 19.52 20.82 21.14 21.08 20.32 21.36 21.98 21.77 21.01 21.84 22.70 22.41 21.64 22.33 23.34 22.98 22.20 22.88 23.93 23.30 22.53 23.38 24.27 23.55 22.77 23.95 24.56 23.80 23.02 24.35 24.98 24.08 23.30 24.64 25.20 24.50 23.74 25.01 25.70 24.77 24.01 25.29 25.92 25.03 24.25 25.58 26.16 25.24 24.47 25.88 26.46 25.49 24.70 26.06 26.67 25.70 24.90 26.31 26.97 25.86 25.16 26.61 26.93 25.96 25.24 26.64 27.04 26.06 25.33 26.54 27.13 26.10 25.37 26.53 27.19 26.30 25.56 26.60 27.39 26.42 25.72 26.75 27.53

Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. 24.37 24.76 24.78 24.75 17.43 18.13 18.16 18.12 19.89 20.68 20.72 20.68 20.82 21.67 21.70 21.67 19.19 18.51 19.73 20.00 19.72 18.98 20.23 20.54 20.24 19.49 20.65 21.06 20.77 20.02 21.04 21.63 21.43 20.67 21.59 22.31 22.13 21.36 22.11 23.04 22.77 21.99 22.69 23.68 23.41 22.63 23.27 24.35 23.95 23.17 23.87 24.92 24.39 23.60 24.93 25.39 24.75 23.98 25.32 25.84 25.16 24.38 25.66 26.28 **Updated Regional Residential Oil Price Forecasts - High Growth Scenario**25.44 24.67 26.04 26.61

25.84 25.06 26.41 27.03 26.07 25.29 26.65 27.30 26.15 25.35 26.76 27.33 26.30 25.50 26.90 27.49 26.52 25.71 27.06 27.73 26.73 25.93 27.12 27.88 27.09 26.29 27.23 28.18 27.32 26.60 27.45 28.41 27.34 26.61 27.51 28.43 27.46 26.73 27.67 28.57 27.64 26.93 27.67 28.76

Div 7 Div 8 Div 9 Nat. 24.37 24.76 24.78 24.75 17.43 18.13 18.16 18.12 19.89 20.68 20.72 20.68 20.82 21.67 21.70 21.67 19.06 18.37 19.60 19.87 19.30 18.56 19.91 20.12 19.66 18.91 20.27 20.49 19.91 19.16 20.58 20.81 20.49 19.73 21.17 21.44 21.23 20.47 21.51 22.15 21.68 20.91 21.81 22.61 22.18 21.41 22.18 23.13 22.67 21.97 22.61 23.65 22.92 22.19 23.50 23.97 23.25 22.53 23.84 24.40 23.57 22.87 24.17 24.73 23.89 23.19 24.51 25.10 24.17 23.47 24.76 25.42 24.44 23.70 25.05 25.67 24.55 23.80 25.20 25.78 24.67 23.90 25.34 26.03 24.64 23.95 25.46 26.15 24.61 23.94 25.57 25.77 25.07 24.34 25.74 26.18 25.24 24.53 25.87 26.31 25.12 24.43 25.90 26.19 25.16 24.47 26.01 26.23 25.19 24.52 26.09 26.28 **Updated Regional Residential Oil Price Forecasts - Low Growth Scenario Wa** **ter Price Trend**

**Export Parameters for Product Class 1** Water CPI Source: BLS, Series Id: CUUR0000SEHG01 **to: LCC Summary** 1970 34.3 http://www.bls.gov/cpi/home.htm#data Water Price Trend relative to 2010 1971 38.0 Area: U.S. city average (not seasonally adjusted) 1972 39.4 Item: Water and sewerage maintenance 2010 1.00 1973 41.6 Base Period: 1982-84=100 2011 1.01 1974 44.1 2012 1.02 1975 48.4 2013 1.04 1976 53.7 2014 1.05 1977 59.5 2015 1.06 1978 66.2 2016 1.07 1979 69.3 2017 1.09 1980 74.0 2018 1.10 1981 82.8 1981 91.4 2019 1.11 1982 92.7 1982 96.9 2020 1.12 1983 100.4 198399.8 2021 1.14 1984 107.0 1984103.3 2022 1.15 1985 113.4 1985106.9 2023 1.16 1986 119.4 1986108.6 2024 1.17 1987 125.8 1987112.5 2025 1.19 1988 132.7 1988117.0 2026 1.20 1989 140.8 1989122.6 2027 1.21 1990 150.2 1990129.1 2028 1.22 1991 161.1 1991134.3 2029 1.23 1992 172.1 1992138.2 2030 1.25 1993 181.4 1993142.1 2031 1.26 1994 190.6 1994145.7 2032 1.27 1995 196.5 1995149.8 2033 1.28 1996 204.5 1996154.2 2034 1.30 1997 210.0 1997159.1 2035 1.31 1998 217.3 1998163.0 2036 1.32 1999 222.0 1999166.6 2037 1.33 2000 227.5 2000172.2 All Products CPI

0 100 200 300 400

1975

2037 1.33 2000 227.5 2000172.2 2038 1.35 2001 234.6 2001177.0 2039 1.36 2002 242.5 2002179.9 2040 1.37 2003 251.7 2003184.0 2041 1.38 2004 268.1 2004188.9 2042 1.39 2005 283.4 2005195.3 2043 1.41 2006 297.2 2006201.6 2044 1.42 2007 312.6 2007207.3 2045 1.43 2008 331.3 2008215.3 2046 1.44 2009 354.4 2009214.5 2047 1.46 2010218.1 2048 1.47 2049 1.48 2050 1.49 2051 1.51 2052 1.52 2053 1.53 2054 1.54 2055 1.56 2056 1.57 2057 1.58 2058 1.59 2059 1.60 2060 1.62 2061 1.63 2062 1.642063 1.65 2064 1.67 2065 1.68 2066 1.69 2067 1.70 2068 1.72 2069 1.73 2070 1.74 2071 1.75 2072 1.76Source: BLS, Series Id: CUUR0000SEHG01 http://www.bls.gov/cpi/home.htm#data Area: U.S. city average (not seasonally adjusted) Item: Water and sewerage maintenance Base Period: 1982-84=100

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005



# Wa**ter Price CPI Discount Rate** 

**Export Parameters for Product Class 1 DISCOUNT RA**  **TE (Real Interest Rate) FOR NEW HOME INSTA LLA**  **TIONS Discount Rate**  7.0% **Share Finance Method**  **Mean** 100%New home (after tax) 3.0%

**DISCOUNT RA**

**TE (Real Interest Rate) FOR REPLA CEMENTS**  **Share Finance Method**  **Mean** 1 3.7%Home Equity Loans (after tax) 3.9% 2 2.1%Credit card 10.7% 3 1.6%Other Installment Loans 6.0% 4 5.3%Other Residence Loans 4.4% 5 0.5%Other Line of Credit 8.8% 6 4.4%Checking Accounts 0.0% 715.3%Savings and Money Market 2.2% 8 8.6%CD (6 month) 2.1% 9 1.4%Savings Bonds (Treasury) 3.3% 10 9.5%Bonds (Corporate AAA) 4.1% 1129.0%Stocks (S&P 500) 7.8% 1218.6%Mutual Funds (stock/bond) 6.3% Total100.0%

Finance Method # Sampled

Real Interest Rate for that method**DISCOUNT RA TE (Real Interest Rate) FOR NEW HOME INSTA** **LLA TIONS**  **Distribution of Real Interest Rates Min**  **Max Std.Dev.** **Mean 1st Mortgage**  **Home Equity Credit Card**  0.5% 22.9% 5.9%4.4% rate wt rate wt rate wt 0.5% 0.0590.4%0.0890.0% 0.055 1.6% 0.1921.5%0.0841.4% 0.019 **Min Max**  **Std.Dev. sampled**  2.5% 0.2802.6%0.1542.5% 0.019 0.4%42.5% 9.5% 6.4% 3.5% 0.2443.5%0.2573.5% 0.033 0.0%36.9% 9.5% 9.6% 4.4% 0.1474.5%0.1804.5% 0.044 0.0%93.5%17.5% 0.0% 5.4% 0.0435.4%0.1125.6% 0.061 0.2%17.9% 5.5% 3.5% 6.4% 0.0206.4%0.0476.7% 0.070 0.1%54.1%10.9% 5.5% 7.4% 0.0077.5%0.0367.5% 0.040 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 0.0048.5%0.0198.7% 0.060 -0.7% 6.0% 1.7% 1.5% 9.5% 0.0029.5%0.0099.6% 0.055 -1.2% 6.1% 2.2% 2.8% 10.5%0.00110.6%0.00610.6%0.052 -2.0% 7.8% 2.2% 5.3% 11.6%0.00111.8%0.00211.5%0.058 -1.5% 8.6% 2.3% 2.6% 12.4%0.00112.7%0.00312.6%0.049 -38.9%33.4%16.6% 7.0% 13.5%0.00013.7%0.00013.6%0.044 -25.8%23.6%11.4% 2.1% 14.4%0.00014.7%0.00214.7%0.087

wt. avg.5.14% 16.7%0.00016.7%0.00015.6%0.074 22.9%0.00017.5%0.00016.4%0.055 Finance Method # Sampled 11 42.5%0.00117.6%0.053 Real Interest Rate for that method **7.0%** 18.5%0.019 19.4%0.023 20.5%0.012 21.4%0.005 22.5%0.003 23.6%0.001 24.6%0.003 25.5%0.003 26.3%0.002 27.3%0.000 28.4%0.000**D I** **S T** **R I** **B U** **T I** **O N** 

28.4%0.000 29.3%0.000 36.9%0.000

**Av g.** **3.0%**100%**3.9%**100%**10.7%** 100% **Min**0.5% 0.4% 0.0% **Max**22.9% 42.5% 36.9% **Dist. 4.4%**  **6.4% 9.6%**  Source: Estimate using 1989, 1992, 1998, 1998, 2001, 2004, and 2007 Survey of Consumer Finances**Distribution of Real Interest Rates Real Gains and Losses for Various A**  **ssets Installment Loans** **Other Residence Other LOC**  **Savings CD - 6mo.** **Treasury** rate wt rate wt rate wt **Year Ac** **counts CDs** **Sav Bonds** 0.0% 0.3450.2% 0.1290.1% 0.043 1977 -0.6% 1.2% 1.4% 0.0201.5% 0.0611.4% 0.033 1978 0.9% 0.8% 2.4% 0.0402.5% 0.0842.5% 0.014 1979 0.1% -1.9% 3.4% 0.0533.5% 0.1533.5% 0.044 1980 -0.5% -2.0% 4.5% 0.0574.5% 0.1494.5% 0.065 1981 5.0% 2.8% 5.6% 0.0675.5% 0.1775.5% 0.124 1982 6.0% 6.2% 6.7% 0.0756.5% 0.1276.7% 0.094 1983 5.9% 7.7% 7.5% 0.0337.5% 0.0597.6% 0.052 1984 5.5% 6.1% 7.8% 8.6% 0.0408.6% 0.0258.7% 0.090 1985 5.4% 4.5% 7.0% 9.5% 0.0379.4% 0.0149.5% 0.089 1986 6.0% 4.6% 5.8% 10.6% 0.02910.6% 0.00410.5%0.068 1987 3.3% 3.2% 4.8% 11.5% 0.01911.6% 0.00511.6%0.063 1988 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 12.5% 0.02712.6% 0.00412.5%0.065 1989 3.0% 4.1% 3.5% 13.5% 0.01914.7% 0.00513.5%0.019 1990 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 14.7% 0.03715.7% 0.00114.7%0.040 1991 2.7% 1.6% 3.8% 15.6% 0.01716.6% 0.00315.6%0.018 1992 2.1% 0.7% 4.5% 16.5% 0.01917.9% 0.00116.5%0.027 1993 1.1% 0.3% 3.5% 17.6% 0.019 17.3%0.011 1994 1.3% 2.3% 4.7% 18.5% 0.012 18.5%0.006 1995 2.2% 3.1% 3.9% 19.4% 0.007 19.1%0.012 1996 2.0% 2.4% 3.6% 20.5% 0.007 20.2%0.009 1997 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 21.5% 0.005 21.5%0.007 1998 3.4% 3.8% 4.0% 22.3% 0.002 22.1%0.002 1999 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 23.4% 0.003 23.5%0.002 2000 1.7% 3.1% 2.5% 24.6% 0.004 25.4%0.004 2001 1.8% 0.8% 2.6% 25.3% 0.003 54.1%0.002 2002 1.3% 0.2% 3.8% 26.6% 0.000 2003 -0.2% -1.1% 2.6% 27.8% 0.000 2004 -0.7% -0.9% 2.3% 28.5% 0.000 2005 -0.1% 0.3% 1.2% -0.1% 29.3% 0.001 2006 1.1% 2.0% 1.6% 34.1% 0.000 2007 2.0% 2.3% 1.9% 36.1% 0.000 2008 0.2% -0.7% 0.4% 43.6% 0.000 2009 3.6% 1.2% 4.5% 44.3% 0.000 2010 0.6% -1.2% 2.6% 47.2% 0.000 **Av g.**  **2.2% 2.1%**  **3.3%** 93.5% 0.000 **2x A vg.**  **4.4% 4.3%**  **6.7% 6.0%** 100%**4.4%**100%**8.8%**100% **Min** -0.7% -1.2% -2.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% **Max** 6.0% 6.1% 7.8% 93.5% 17.9% 54.1% **Std. Dev. 1.7%**  **2.2% 2.2%**  **0.0% 3.5%**  **5.5%** Source: Golden West Financial Corporation, Federal Reserve, and Demodaran Online Source: Estimate using 1989, 1992, 1998, 1998, 2001, 2004, and 2007 Survey of Consumer Finances**Real Gains and Losses for Various A ssets**  **Corp A AA** **Stocks Mutual**  **Bonds S&P 500**  **Fund** 1.4%-12.7% -8.0% 1.1% -1.0% -0.4% -1.5% 6.4% 3.7% -1.4%16.1%10.1% 3.5%-13.6% -8.1% 7.2%13.4%11.0% 8.6%18.5%14.9% 8.0% 1.8% 3.8% 7.5%26.7%20.1% 7.0%16.3%12.8% 5.5% 2.1% 3.0% 5.4%11.9% 9.5% 4.2%25.4%18.1% 3.7% -8.0% -4.3% 4.4%25.0%17.9% 5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 4.1% 6.8% 5.7% 5.3% -1.2% 0.8% 4.6%33.4%23.6% 4.3%20.3%14.7% 4.9%28.9%20.7% 4.9%26.4%18.9% 4.7%18.3%13.4% 4.1%-12.0% -7.2% 4.1%-14.3% -8.7% 4.8%-23.2%-14.2% 3.3%25.5%17.9% 2.9% 7.9% 6.0% 1.8% 1.4% 1.3% 2.3%12.0% 8.5% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4% 1.7%-38.9%-25.8% 5.7%26.4%19.1% 3.2%12.9% 9.4% **4.1% 7.8%**  **6.3% 8.2%** **15.6% 12.6%**  -1.5%-38.9%-25.8% 8.6%33.4%23.6% **2.3% 16.6%** **11.4%** Source: Golden West Financial Corporation, Federal Reserve, and Demodaran Online**Lifetime**

**Export Parameters for Product Class 1 As** **sumptions: Lifetime (y** 

**ears)** 19.5 Lifetime

Mean 15.4 Min 5.0 Max 50.0 dist. 19.5

Age % retiring% surviving 0.0% 1 0.0% 100.0% 0.4% 2 0.4% 99.6% 0.9% 3 0.9% 98.7% 1.5% 4 1.5% 97.2% 2.2% 5 2.2% 95.1% 2.8% 6 2.8% 92.2% 3.5% 7 3.5% 88.8% 4.1% 8 4.1% 84.7% 4.6% 9 4.6% 80.1% 5.1% 10 5.1% 75.0% 5.4% 11 5.4% 69.6% 5.7% 12 5.7% 64.0% 5.8% 13 5.8% 58.2% 5.8% 14 5.8% 52.3% 5.8% 15 5.8% 46.6% 5.6% 16 5.6% 41.0% 5.3% 17 5.3% 35.7% 5.0% 18 5.0% 30.7% 4.6% 19 4.6% 26.1% 4.2% 20 4.2% 22.0% 3.7% 21 3.7% 18.2% 

### 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0%

3.7% 21 3.7% 18.2% 3.3% 22 3.3% 15.0% 2.8% 23 2.8% 12.1% 2.4% 24 2.4% 9.7% 2.0% 25 2.0% 7.7% 1.7% 26 1.7% 6.0% 1.4% 27 1.4% 4.6% 1.1% 28 1.1% 3.5% 0.9% 29 0.9% 2.6% 0.7% 30 0.7% 1.9% 0.5% 31 0.5% 1.4% 0.4% 32 0.4% 1.0% 0.3% 33 0.3% 0.7% 0.2% 34 0.2% 0.5% 0.2% 35 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 36 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 37 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 38 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 39 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 40 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 41 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 42 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 43 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 44 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 45 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 46 0.0% 0.0% 

### 0.0% 1.0% 2.0%0.0% 47 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 48 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 49 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 50 0.0% 0.0%

Sum 100%

wt. avg. Life =15.43**We ibull Parameters:** 

Shape 2.31 Scale 16.29 Delay 1



### 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0%

# We**ibull Retirement** **Function fo** **r Dishwashers**

**(mean = 15.43 years)**

0.0% 1.0% 2.0%

05101520253035404550