# Simulation Results **Compact Freezer**



# RunSimulation



# RunSensitiv

ities 

# RunRef erenceCase **10000** 

# Iterations **Seed 1**  **Simulation Controls**

0 50

1 2 3 4 5 **Life**
**- Cy** **cle Cost** **Sav ings** 



# RunSimulation **10000**

-150 -100 -50 0 50

1 2 3 4 5**C o** **s t** **( $** **2 0** **0 9** **)** 

## Life
**- Cy** **cle Cost** **Sav ings** 

75%
Median
25%
Mean 

# RunSimulation



# RunSensitiv

ities 

# RunRef erenceCase **10000**

-200 -150 -100 -50 0 50

1 2 3 4 5**C o** **s t** **( $** **2 0** **0 9** **)**



## Efficiency **L ev** **el Life** 
**- Cy** **cle Cost** **Sav ings** 

75%
Median
25%
Mean 

# RunSimulation



# RunSensitiv

ities 

# RunRef erenceCase **10000**

0 $182 1 $189 2 $201 **Installed Price**  **Efficiency Lev** **el Efficiency**  **Lev el**  **Description Ave** **rage Life-Cy cle Cost**  

# RunSimulation



# RunSensitiv

ities 

# RunRef erenceCase **10000**

2 $201 3 $242 4 $252 5 $282 6 $289 7 $360

**The abov e simulation results are based on the follow** **ing options:** 

# Iterations10000 RunSimulation



# RunSensitiv

ities 

# RunRef erenceCase **10000**



# Iterations10000 Energy Price Trend

# AEO 2010 Reference Efficiency Market Share Scenario

# Rollup Manufacturing Cost Scenario

# Base Case

**5% 25%**  **50%** 

# RunSimulation



# RunSensitiv

ities 

# RunRef erenceCase **10000**

**5% 25%**  **50% 1**  -1.2 3.6 9.1 **2** -10.5 -2.7 5.1 **3** -48.6 -37.8 -27.3 **4** -55.8 -42.1 -28.8 **5** -83.5 -68.0 -53.2 

# RunSimulation



# RunSensitiv

ities 

# RunRef erenceCase **10000**

## 6 -88.2 -69.8 -52.3 **7** -155.5 -133.3 -112.2

**5% 25%**  **50% 1**  1.4 1.8 2.2 **2** 2.5 3.4 4.2 **3** 6.0 7.9 9.8 **4** 5.6 7.4 9.1 **5** 6.9 9.2 11.4 **6** 6.3 8.4 10.4 **7** 8.8 11.7 14.4

## 6 7 20 25 **Pay back** **Period**

6 7

5 10 15 20 25**Y e** **a r** **s** 

## Pay**back Period** 

6 7

0 5 10 15 20 25

1 2 3 4 5 6**Y e** **a r** **s**



## Efficiency **L ev** **el Pay** **back Period** 

**Net Cost No Impact** **Net Benefit Median**  **Ave rage**  $200 $382 $182 $370 $12 7.98% 4.66% 87.36% 2.2 2.2 $172 $373 $9 33.86% 0.00% 66.14% 4.2 4.3 **An nual**  **Operating Cost** * **Life-Cy cle** 

**Cost Ave** **rage**

**Sav ings**  **Households that Experience Ave** **rage Life-Cy cle Cost**  **Pay back Period (y** **ears) Life-Cy** **cle Cost Sav ings** 

$172 $373 $9 33.86% 0.00% 66.14% 4.2 4.3 $163 $404 -$22 87.42% 0.00% 12.58% 9.8 10.0 $153 $405 -$23 84.54% 0.00% 15.46% 9.1 9.2 $146 $428 -$46 92.40% 0.00% 7.60% 11.4 11.5 $137 $426 -$44 89.59% 0.00% 10.41% 10.4 10.5 $124 $484 -$102 96.72% 0.00% 3.28% 14.4 14.5

**The abov e simulation results are based on the follow** **ing options:**



# AEO 2010 Reference

**75% 95%**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95% Ave** **rage**

LCC BoxPlot Calculations **75% 95%**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95% Ave** **rage** 16.1 32.4 **1** 4.8 3.6 5.5 7.0 16.3 11.6 15.5 39.8 **2** 7.8 -2.7 7.8 10.4 24.3 8.9 -13.6 18.5 **3** 10.9 -37.8 10.5 13.7 32.0 -22.4 -11.8 28.2 **4** 13.8 -42.1 13.2 17.0 40.0 -22.8 -33.4 13.0 **5** 15.5 -68.0 14.8 19.7 46.5 -45.9

## -29.0 25.3 **6** 18.4 -69.8 17.5 23.3 54.4 -43.9

-84.4 -19.2 **7** 22.2 -133.3 21.1 27.8 65.2 -102.1

**75% 95%**  **5% 25%**  **50% 75%**  **95% Ave** **rage** 2.6 3.0 **1** 0.4 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.2 5.0 6.0 **2** 0.8 3.4 0.8 0.8 1.1 4.3

PBP BoxPlot Calculations

11.7 14.1 **3** 1.9 7.9 1.9 1.9 2.4 10.0 10.9 12.6 **4** 1.8 7.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 9.2 13.8 16.1 **5** 2.3 9.2 2.2 2.4 2.3 11.5 12.6 14.6 **6** 2.1 8.4 2.0 2.2 2.1 10.5 17.3 20.1 **7** 2.9 11.7 2.7 2.9 2.8 14.5

## 7**LCC Summary Compact Freezer** 
**User Input: Import Parameters**  **ANNUAL CASH FLOW CALCULATION : Engineering Data**  **Average Elec**  **Energy Price Trend** NIA flag 0 **from Equipment Price** $168 Installed Price **Age Year**  $/kWh CO2 Price flag0 **from Energy Use** **:** 324 kWh TECBase 2007 $0.10 **Efficiency Market Share Scenario** 0 1 2014 $0.10 **Manufacturing Cost Scenario from** **Discount Rate** 8.4% Discount rate 2 2015 $0.10 **from Energy Prices** **:** 3 2016 $0.10 **Average Lifetime** 7 2014 Electricity Price$0.101 $/kWh(in 2009$) 4 2017 $0.10 **Average Volume** 10 5 2018 $0.10 **Sector Parameters from** **Base Case Eff Dist** Base Case Level 6 2019 $0.10 1 **Share** 0 7 2020 $0.10
**> Residential**  50% 8 2021 $0.10 **Commercial** 50% 9 2022 $0.10 **Links :** 10 2023 $0.10

Base Case Eff Dist Equipment Price 11 2024 $0.10 Energy Use Energy Prices 12 2025 $0.10 Energy Price Trends Discount Rate 13 2026 $0.10 Lifetime Standards 14 2027 $0.10 AV Equations 15 2028 $0.10 16 2029 $0.11 **Compact Freezer :** 17 2030 $0.11 **Installed TEC**  **Annual Cumulative**  **Life LCC**  **Price Oper. Cost** **Payback Net**  **No Payback**  18 2031 $0.11 **Level Efficiency Level Source**  **Price Elec**  **Oper. Cost Cash Flow**  **Cycle Cost Savings** **Increase Saving**  **Period Cost**  **Impact undefined**  19 2032 $0.11 $ kWh/yr $ / year $ $ $ year 20 2033 $0.11
**>** 0 1.00 $168 324 $34.43 $404 $342 21 2034 $0.11 1 1.10 $175 291 $31.19 $388 $332 $10 $7 $3.2 2.09 22 2035 $0.11 2 1.15 $187 275 $29.57 $389 $336 $6 $19 $4.9 3.88 23 2036 $0.11 **Efficiency Index** AEO 2010Ref

erence **Samp le C** **alc C** **B Simulat** **ion**

Rollup

BaseCase

2 1.15 $187 275 $29.57 $389 $336 $6 $19 $4.9 3.88 23 2036 $0.11 3 1.20 $228 259 $27.92 $419 $368 -$27 $60 $6.5 9.16 1 24 2037 $0.11 4 1.25 $238 243 $26.28 $417 $370 -$28 $70 $8.2 8.53 1 25 2038 $0.11 5 1.30 $268 227 $25.16 $439 $394 -$52 $99 $9.3 ######### 1 26 2039 $0.11 6 1.35 $275 210 $23.52 $436 $393 -$52 $107 $10.9 9.78 1 27 2040 $0.11 7 1.42 $346 189 $21.33 $492 $453 -$111 $177 $13.1 ######### 1 28 2041 $0.11 8 0.00 $346 189 $21.33 $346 $346 -$111 $177 $13.1 ######### 1 29 2042 $0.12 30 2043 $0.12 **Compact Freezers: Sample Calc LCC Savings accountng for Product Efficiency Distribution** 31 2044 $0.12

**Base Case Efficiency Level (and % market share)** 32 2045 $0.12 **LCC Savings** 95.4% 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 33 2046 $0.12

**Level Efficiency Level**  Efficiency **0 1**  **2 3**  **4 5**  **6 7**  **8** Total PopulationAffected

Population 34 2047 $0.12 **1** Between DOE and Default 2012 1.10 $10 $9.6 $9.1 $9.57 35 2048 $0.12 **2** Default 2012 Standard 1.15 $6 $5.7 -$3.9 $5.2 $5.23 36 2049 $0.12 **3** Revised based on Stkholders 1.20 -$27 -$26.7 -$36.3 -$32.4 -$27.2 -$27.19 37 2050 $0.12 **4** Added base on Stkholders 1.25 -$28 -$28.4 -$38.0 -$34.1 -$1.7 -$28.9 -$28.85 38 2051 $0.12 **5** Max Available 1.30 -$52 -$52.4 -$62.0 -$58.0 -$25.6 -$24.0 -$52.8 -$52.82 **6** Max Available 1.35 -$52 -$51.6 -$61.2 -$57.2 -$24.8 -$23.2 $0.8 -$52.0 -$52.02 **7** Max Available 1.42 -$111 -$111.3 -$120.9 -$117.0 -$84.6 -$82.9 -$58.9 -$59.7 -$111.7-$111.75 **8** Max Available 0.00 -$111 -$111.3 -$120.9 -$117.0 -$84.6 -$82.9 -$58.9 -$59.7 $0.0 -$111.7-$111.75 **Incremental Equipment Prices** $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 **1** Between DOE and Default 2012 1.10 $7 $6.8 $6.5 $6.77 **2** Default 2012 Standard 1.15 $19 $18.9 $12.1 $18.6 $18.56 **3** Revised based on Stkholders 1.20 $60 $59.6 $52.8 $40.7 $59.3 $59.27 **4** Added base on Stkholders 1.25 $70 $69.5 $62.8 $50.7 $10.0 $69.2 $69.22 **5** Max Available 1.30 $99 $99.2 $92.5 $80.4 $39.7 $29.7 $98.9 $98.94 **6** Max Available 1.35 $107 $106.7 $100.0 $87.9 $47.2 $37.2 $7.5 $106.4 $106.43 **7** Max Available 1.42 $177 $177.5 $170.7 $158.6 $117.9 $108.0 $78.2 $70.8 $177.2 $177.18 **8** Max Available 0.00 $177 $177.5 $170.7 $158.6 $117.9 $108.0 $78.2 $70.8 $0.0 $177.2 $177.18 **Operating Cost Savings** $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 $0.0 **1** Between DOE and Default 2012 1.10 $3 $3.2 $3.1 $3.24 **2** Default 2012 Standard 1.15 $5 $4.9 $1.6 $4.7 $4.71 **3** Revised based on Stkholders 1.20 $7 $6.5 $3.3 $1.6 $6.4 $6.36 **4** Added base on Stkholders 1.25 $8 $8.2 $4.9 $3.3 $1.6 $8.0 $8.00 AEO 2010Ref

erence **Samp le C** **alc C** **B Simulat** **ion**

Rollup

BaseCase**5** Max Available 1.30 $9 $9.3 $6.0 $4.4 $2.8 $1.1 $9.1 $9.12

**6** Max Available 1.35 $11 $10.9 $7.7 $6.0 $4.4 $2.8 $1.6 $10.8 $10.76 **7** Max Available 1.42 $13 $13.1 $9.9 $8.2 $6.6 $4.9 $3.8 $2.2 $12.9 $12.95 **8** Max Available 0.00 $13 $13.1 $9.9 $8.2 $6.6 $4.9 $3.8 $2.2 $0.0 $12.9 $12.95 **Payback Periods 1**  Between DOE and Default 2012 1.10 2.1 2.1 2.09 **2** Default 2012 Standard 1.15 3.9 7.4 3.9 4.04 **3** Revised based on Stkholders 1.20 9.2 16.2 24.8 9.3 9.48 **4** Added base on Stkholders 1.25 8.5 12.8 15.4 6.1 8.7 8.73 **5** Max Available 1.30 10.7 15.3 18.3 14.4 26.7 10.9 10.92 **6** Max Available 1.35 9.8 13.0 14.5 10.7 13.5 4.6 9.9 9.93 **7** Max Available 1.42 13.6 17.3 19.3 17.9 21.8 20.4 32.4 13.7 13.73 **8** Max Available 0.00 13.6 17.3 19.3 17.9 21.8 20.4 32.4 13.7 13.73**ANNUAL CASH FLOW CALCULATION :**

**Discount Efficiency Level**  **Factor 0**  **1 2**  **3 4**  **5 6**  **7** 8.4% 1.00 $168.39$175.16$187.26$227.97$237.93$267.64$275.13$345.89 0.92 $32.70 $29.43 $27.79 $26.16 $24.52 $22.89 $21.25 $19.08 0.85 $34.44 $31.23 $29.62 $27.99 $26.36 $25.34 $23.71 $21.54 0.79 $34.66 $31.44 $29.82 $28.17 $26.53 $25.50 $23.86 $21.67 0.73 $34.83 $31.58 $29.95 $28.30 $26.65 $25.62 $23.97 $21.77 0.67 $34.80 $31.56 $29.93 $28.28 $26.63 $25.60 $23.95 $21.76 0.62 $34.70 $31.47 $29.85 $28.20 $26.56 $25.53 $23.88 $21.70 0.57 $34.87 $31.62 $29.99 $28.34 $26.69 $25.65 $24.00 $21.80 0.53 $35.04 $31.78 $30.14 $28.48 $26.81 $25.77 $24.11 $21.90 0.49 $35.12 $31.85 $30.20 $28.54 $26.87 $25.82 $24.16 $21.94 0.45 $35.24 $31.96 $30.31 $28.63 $26.96 $25.91 $24.24 $22.01 0.41 $35.33 $32.03 $30.38 $28.70 $27.03 $25.97 $24.29 $22.06 0.38 $35.30 $32.01 $30.36 $28.68 $27.01 $25.95 $24.28 $22.05 0.35 $35.44 $32.14 $30.48 $28.80 $27.12 $26.05 $24.37 $22.13 0.32 $35.63 $32.30 $30.63 $28.94 $27.25 $26.18 $24.49 $22.24 0.30 $35.79 $32.45 $30.78 $29.08 $27.38 $26.29 $24.59 $22.33 0.28 $36.21 $32.83 $31.13 $29.41 $27.69 $26.59 $24.87 $22.58 0.26 $36.54 $33.13 $31.41 $29.68 $27.94 $26.82 $25.08 $22.77 0.24 $36.91 $33.46 $31.73 $29.97 $28.21 $27.08 $25.32 $22.99 0.22 $37.22 $33.74 $31.99 $30.22 $28.45 $27.30 $25.52 $23.17 0.20 $37.38 $33.88 $32.12 $30.34 $28.56 $27.40 $25.62 $23.26 0.19 $37.62 $34.10 $32.33 $30.54 $28.75 $27.58 $25.78 $23.40 0.17 $37.85 $34.30 $32.52 $30.72 $28.92 $27.73 $25.93 $23.53 0.16 $38.11 $34.54 $32.75 $30.93 $29.12 $27.92 $26.10 $23.69 0.15 $38.29 $34.70 $32.90 $31.08 $29.25 $28.04 $26.22 $23.79 0.13 $38.47 $34.86 $33.05 $31.22 $29.39 $28.17 $26.34 $23.90 0.12 $38.65 $35.03 $33.21 $31.37 $29.52 $28.30 $26.45 $24.00 0.11 $38.84 $35.19 $33.36 $31.51 $29.66 $28.42 $26.57 $24.11 0.11 $39.02 $35.36 $33.52 $31.66 $29.80 $28.55 $26.69 $24.22 0.10 $39.20 $35.52 $33.68 $31.80 $29.93 $28.68 $26.81 $24.32 0.09 $39.39 $35.69 $33.83 $31.95 $30.07 $28.81 $26.93 $24.43 0.08 $39.57 $35.86 $33.99 $32.10 $30.21 $28.94 $27.05 $24.54

0.08 $39.76 $36.02 $34.15 $32.25 $30.35 $29.07 $27.17 $24.65 0.07 $39.95 $36.19 $34.31 $32.40 $30.49 $29.20 $27.30 $24.76

0.07 $40.14 $36.36 $34.47 $32.55 $30.64 $29.34 $27.42 $24.87 0.06 $40.33 $36.53 $34.63 $32.70 $30.78 $29.47 $27.54 $24.98 0.06 $40.52 $36.71 $34.79 $32.86 $30.92 $29.60 $27.67 $25.09 0.05 $40.71 $36.88 $34.96 $33.01 $31.06 $29.74 $27.79 $25.20 0.05 $40.90 $37.05 $35.12 $33.16 $31.21 $29.87 $27.92 $25.32

# Base Case Eff Dist back to Summary

**Export Parameters Compact Freezer Market Share Efficiency**  **Data**
**To LCC Summary :**  **Base Case**Level 0 Base Case Efficiency 1.00 1 Corresponding Eff. Level 0 2 3 4 5 6 7

Non ES 0 ES

**Compact Freezer Market Share Efficiency Data** 

**Non HFC** Level

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Non ES 0 ES

# Compact Freezer Market Share Efficiency **Data**Efficiency

Index 2014 1.00 **95%** 0 **95%** 1.10 **5%** 1 **5%** 1.15 **0%** 2 **0%** 1.20 **0%** 3 **0%** 1.25 **0%** 4 **0%** 1.30 **0%** 5 **0%** 1.35 **0%** 6 **0%** 1.42 **0%** 7 **0%**
Base Case Efficiency for Household = 1.00

**Compact Freezer Market Share Efficiency Data** Efficiency

Index 2014 1.00 **100%** 0 **100%** 1.10 1 **0%** 1.15 2 **0%** 1.20 3 **0%** 1.25 4 **0%** 1.30 5 **0%** 1.35 6 **0%** 1.39 7 **0%**
Base Case Efficiency for Household = 1.00 Distribution by Efficiency Level

Distribution by Efficiency

Level

# Division back to Summary

**Export Parameters**

**Census Division 3**  From Residential Distribution From Commercial Distribution

**Number of Customers by Divison and Large States** 

**Residential** New England 1 Middle Atlantic 2 East North Central 3 West North Central 4 South Atlantic 5 East South Central 6 West South Central 7 Mountain 8 Pacific 9 New York State 10 California 11 Texas 12 Florida 13

**Commercial** New England 1 Middle Atlantic 2 East North Central 3 West North Central 4 South Atlantic 5 East South Central 6 West South Central 7 Mountain 8 Pacific 9 New York State 10 California 11 Texas 12 Florida 13

# 3 13

**Number of Customers by Divison and Large States** 

6,122,590 8,601,844 19,558,522 8,969,792 16,891,240 7,895,454 4,802,093 8,722,741 5,020,777 6,933,304 12,819,149 9,166,849 8,445,561

831,765 1,133,406 2,372,723 1,339,783 2,366,518 1,338,491 693,435 1,284,080 575,840 1,016,069 1,785,796 1,413,358 1,117,907

# Repair Cost back to Summary
**Export Parameters To LCC Summary** **:** Annual Repair Cost Level 0 $1.80 1 $1.86 2 $1.88 3 $1.88 4 $1.88 5 $2.50 6 $2.50 7 $2.50

# Equipment Price back to Summary
**Export Parameters Compact Freezers** (all prices in 2009$) **To LCC Summary :**  Total Installed Price **Level Efficiency**  **Level Source Efficiency**  Level 0 Level 0 1.00 0 $168 1 Level 1 1.10 1 $175 2 Level 2 1.15 2 $187 3 Level 3 1.20 3 $228 4 Level 4 1.25 4 $238 5 Level 5 1.30 5 $268 6 Level 6 1.35 6 $275 7 Level 7 1.42 7 $346

Max Level # 7 **Markups From RECS Household:**  **Manufacturer Markup** 100% Div & Lrg State **Baseline** Retailer Markup 145% Price Trend Factor 0.9030 Sales Tax 6.9% **Total Markup incl. Sales Tax 155%** 

**Baseline Equipment Price** Price of Unit $175.00 Average Price of Baseline Unit 188 $ Cost (2008$) Frequency



# 25 9 50 11 75 92 100 115 125 134 150 31066 175434631 200287169 225 93842 250 1940 275 6 300 9 325 4 350 20 375 9 400 33 425 14 450 63 475 27 500 16

# 750 219 1500 2 2500 0 3500 0

# Delta Mnfr **Retail Installation**  **Total Installed**

**Price from Base Price**  **Cost Price**  $120.69 $168.39 $0.00 $168.39 $5.41 $175.16 $0.00 $175.16 $15.08 $187.26 $0.00 $187.26 $47.62 $227.97 $0.00 $227.97 $55.57 $237.93 $0.00 $237.93 $79.32 $267.64 $0.00 $267.64 $85.31 $275.13 $0.00 $275.13 $141.85 $345.89 $0.00 $345.89
**Sales Tax by**

**Divison and Large States** Refrigerators 

# 1 New England 6.1% 4.8% 2 Mid Atlantic 6.6% 7.3% **Incremental** 3 East North Central 6.9% 16.7% 117% 4 West North Central 6.9% 7.5% 6.9% 5 South Atlantic 6.6% 13.5% **125%** 6 East South Central 7.9% 6.0% 7 West South Central 8.4% 3.4% 8 Mountain 6.8% 6.6% Fraction of Households by Division and Large State



# 8 Mountain 6.8% 6.6% 9 Pacific 7.5% 4.3% 10 New York State 8.5% 6.1% 11 California 9.2% 10.7% 12 Texas 8.1% 6.9% 13 Florida 6.7% 6.0%

U.S. Average 7.2%

# Delta Manufacturing Cost

**Level Eff Improvement**  **Base Case**

**Eff Improvement**

**Non HFC** 0 - - 1 10.0% $5.99 

# 10.0%12.32 $ 2 15.0% $16.70 

# 15.0%43.01 $ 3 20.0% $52.73 

# 20.0%56.59 $ 4 25.0% $61.54 

# 25.0%77.47 $
5 30.0% $87.84 

# 30.0%89.41 $ 6 35.0% $94.47 

# 35.0%120.76 $
7 41.7% $157.09 

# 38.7%154.24 $

Freezers 

# 3.2% 6.0% 18.7% 11.1% 15.4% 8.2% 5.2% 8.2% Fraction of Households by Division and Large State



# 6.1% 2.9% 5.5% 6.1% 3.3%

# Rebuttable PBP back to Summary

Base Case **Total Installed TEC**  **Level Efficiency** 

**Level Source Efficiency**  **Price kWh**  0 Level 0 1.00 $187.74 332.8 1 Level 1 1.10 $195.23 299.5 2 Level 2 1.15 $208.63 282.9 3 Level 3 1.20 $253.72 266.2 4 Level 4 1.25 $264.74 249.6 5 Level 5 1.30 $297.65 232.9 6 Level 6 1.35 $305.94 216.3 7 Level 7 1.42 $384.30 194.2

Non HFC **Total Installed TEC**  **Level Efficiency** 

**Level Source Efficiency**  **Price kWh**  0 Level 0 1.00 $187.74 332.8 1 Level 1 1.10 $203.15 299.5 2 Level 2 1.15 $241.55 282.9 3 Level 3 1.20 $258.55 266.2 4 Level 4 1.25 $284.67 249.6 5 Level 5 1.30 $299.61 232.9 6 Level 6 1.35 $338.84 216.3 7 Level 7 1.39 $380.73 203.9

# 1st Year**Rebuttable**

**Energy Cost**  **PBP** 36.7 $33.0 $ 2.0

31.2 $ 3.8

29.4 $ 9.0

27.5 $ 8.4

25.7 $ 10.0

23.9 $ 9.2

21.4 $ 12.9

**1st Year Rebuttable**  **Energy Cost**  **PBP** 36.7 $33.0 $ 4.2

31.2 $ 9.8

29.4 $ 9.6

27.5 $ 10.6

25.7 $ 10.2

23.9 $ 11.8

22.5 $ 13.6

# Energy Use back to Summary
**Compact Refrigerators**



# ESAF= 1 **TEC**

**Lev el**  **Efficiency Lev el** 

**Source Standard Unit**  

# kWh 0 Level 0 1.00 323.75 1 Level 1 1.10 291.37 2 Level 2 1.15 275.18 3 Level 3 1.20 259.00 4 Level 4 1.25 242.81 5 Level 5 1.30 226.62 6 Level 6 1.35 210.43 7 Level 7 1.42 188.91

random # for cum % 88% Volume picked from distribution **9.5** 

# Adj. Volume **16.44**

cum. % size Cu.Ft 0% 1.5 0% 2.5 0% 3.5 0% 4.5 0% 5.5 0% 6.5 0% 7.5 10% 8.5 51% 9.5 100% 10.5 Source: CEC Database 

# Efficiency **Index**

# 0.397464

# Energy Prices back to Summary

**Export Parameters Scale 2007 Prices in 2008$**  **To LCC Summary :**  **2007 Residential Energy Prices**  2007 Elec Price $0.102 $/kWh Div. & Elec Lrg State 2009$ / kWh 1 $0.162 **Import Parameters** 2 $0.127 **From Distribution of Household/Businesses:** 3 $0.102 Div & Lrg State 3 4 $0.088 5 $0.098 6 $0.087 **CPI's used to scale $ to 2008$** 7 $0.093 year CPI 8 $0.097 2005 195.3 9 $0.099 2006 201.6 10 $0.178 2007 207.3 11 $0.150 2008 215.3 12 $0.128 2009 214.5 13 $0.116 U.S. Avg $0.115
**2007 Commercial Energy Prices**  Div. & Elec Lrg State 2009$ / kWh 1 $0.153 2 $0.111 3 $0.091 4 $0.075 5 $0.085 6 $0.086 7 $0.085 8 $0.083 9 $0.094 10 $0.168 11 $0.136 12 $0.118 13 $0.101 U.S. Avg $0.106

# RESIDENTIAL 2007 priceSource: EIA

Div. & Elec Lrg State 2006$ / kWh 1 $0.152 2 $0.119 3 $0.096 4 $0.082 5 $0.092 6 $0.081 7 $0.087 8 $0.091 9 $0.093 10 $0.167 11 $0.141 12 $0.120 13 $0.109 U.S. Avg $0.108

COMMERCIAL 2007 PriceSource: EIA Div. & Comm. Elec Lrg State 2007$/kWh 1 $0.148 2 $0.107 3 $0.088 4 $0.072 5 $0.082 6 $0.083 7 $0.082 8 $0.081 9 $0.091 10 $0.163 11 $0.131 12 $0.115 13 $0.098 U.S. Avg $0.102Energy Price Trends back to Summary

**Import Parameters AEO 2010 Residential Energy Price Projection for Electricity**  **AEO 2010 Commercial Energy Price Projection for Electricity from: LCC Summary (GUI)**  **1 Reference Case**  **1 Reference Case**  Electricity Price Projection Index1 **2 High Growth Scenario**  **2 High Growth Scenario**  Negociation material

i.e.AEO 2010 Reference **3 Low Growth Scenario**  **3 Low Growth Scenario**  Alternative CO2 Prices RESAlternative CO2 Prices COM **Export Parameters Electricity Price**  **Electricity Price Electricity Price**  **Electricity Price to: LCC Summary**  Trend relative to 2007 **(in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in cent / kWh)**  **(in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in cent / kWh)**  **(in 2008$ / MMBtu) (in 2008$ / MMBtu)**  **Carbon Cap price factor**

AEO 2010 Reference

AEO 2010 Reference **Ref. High**  **Low Ref.**  **High Low**  **Ref. High**  **Low Ref.**  **High Low**  **Ref. High**  **Low Ref.**  **High Low**  Com Res ElecCom Elec **2007** 31.82 31.82 31.82 10.86 10.86 10.86 **2007** 28.81 28.81 28.81 9.83 9.83 9.83 **2007** 31.82 31.82 31.82 28.81 28.81 28.81 1 2007 1.00 1.00 **2008** 33.29 33.31 33.29 11.36 11.37 11.36 **2008** 30.47 30.49 30.46 10.40 10.41 10.40 **2008** 33.31 33.33 33.31 30.49 30.51 30.48 1.001 2008 1.05 1.06 **2009** 32.33 32.44 32.27 11.04 11.07 11.01 **2009** 28.94 29.12 28.80 9.88 9.94 9.83 **2009** 32.39 32.50 32.33 28.99 29.17 28.85 1.002 2009 1.02 1.00 **2010** 30.94 31.13 30.70 10.56 10.62 10.48 **2010** 27.37 27.60 27.08 9.34 9.42 9.24 **2010** 30.92 31.11 30.68 27.35 27.59 27.07 0.999 2010 0.97 0.95 **2011** 29.90 30.24 29.44 10.21 10.32 10.05 **2011** 25.72 26.12 25.19 8.78 8.92 8.60 **2011** 29.82 30.15 29.35 25.65 26.05 25.12 0.997 2011 0.94 0.89 **2012** 31.08 31.61 30.40 10.61 10.79 10.38 **2012** 26.72 27.34 25.92 9.12 9.33 8.85 **2012** 31.44 31.97 30.75 27.02 27.66 26.21 1.011 2012 0.98 0.93 **2013** 31.47 32.11 30.68 10.74 10.96 10.47 **2013** 26.81 27.58 25.86 9.15 9.41 8.82 **2013** 32.14 32.79 31.33 27.38 28.16 26.40 1.021 2013 0.99 0.93 **2014** 31.49 32.36 30.52 10.75 11.05 10.42 **2014** 26.55 27.55 25.36 9.06 9.40 8.66 **2014** 32.18 33.08 31.20 27.13 28.16 25.92 1.022 2014 0.99 0.92 **2015** 31.43 32.44 30.47 10.73 11.07 10.40 **2015** 26.55 27.70 25.33 9.06 9.45 8.65 **2015** 32.52 33.57 31.54 27.47 28.66 26.21 1.035 2015 0.99 0.92 **2016** 31.64 32.82 30.72 10.80 11.20 10.48 **2016** 26.81 28.15 25.61 9.15 9.61 8.74 **2016** 32.97 34.19 32.00 27.93 29.32 26.68 1.042 2016 0.99 0.93 **2017** 31.80 33.11 30.70 10.85 11.30 10.48 **2017** 26.97 28.44 25.61 9.21 9.71 8.74 **2017** 33.35 34.72 32.19 28.29 29.82 26.86 1.049 2017 1.00 0.94 **2018** 31.78 33.28 30.49 10.85 11.36 10.41 **2018** 26.98 28.60 25.46 9.21 9.76 8.69 **2018** 33.56 35.15 32.20 28.50 30.21 26.89 1.056 2018 1.00 0.94 **2019** 31.68 33.29 30.30 10.81 11.36 10.34 **2019** 26.93 28.62 25.31 9.19 9.77 8.64 **2019** 33.58 35.28 32.12 28.54 30.34 26.83 1.060 2019 1.00 0.93 **2020** 31.84 33.40 30.39 10.87 11.40 10.37 **2020** 27.12 28.73 25.44 9.26 9.81 8.68 **2020** 33.97 35.62 32.42 28.93 30.65 27.14 1.067 2020 1.00 0.94 **2021** 32.01 33.55 30.62 10.92 11.45 10.45 **2021** 27.31 28.89 25.71 9.32 9.86 8.77 **2021** 34.42 36.07 32.92 29.37 31.06 27.64 1.075 2021 1.01 0.95 **2022** 32.08 33.60 30.70 10.95 11.47 10.48 **2022** 27.42 29.00 25.87 9.36 9.90 8.83 **2022** 34.71 36.36 33.22 29.67 31.38 27.99 1.082 2022 1.01 0.95 **2023** 32.20 33.90 30.63 10.99 11.57 10.46 **2023** 27.62 29.41 25.91 9.43 10.04 8.84 **2023** 34.85 36.70 33.16 29.90 31.83 28.04 1.082 2023 1.01 0.96 **2024** 32.28 34.12 30.45 11.02 11.65 10.39 **2024** 27.77 29.67 25.79 9.48 10.13 8.80 **2024** 35.07 37.07 33.08 30.17 32.23 28.02 1.086 2024 1.01 0.96 **2025** 32.26 34.05 30.34 11.01 11.62 10.36 **2025** 27.72 29.56 25.68 9.46 10.09 8.76 **2025** 35.21 37.17 33.12 30.26 32.27 28.03 1.092 2025 1.01 0.96 **2026** 32.40 34.12 30.37 11.06 11.64 10.36 **2026** 27.87 29.62 25.73 9.51 10.11 8.78 **2026** 35.86 37.77 33.61 30.85 32.78 28.48 1.107 2026 1.02 0.97 **2027** 32.57 34.22 30.40 11.12 11.68 10.38 **2027** 28.05 29.73 25.80 9.57 10.15 8.81 **2027** 36.76 38.62 34.31 31.66 33.56 29.12 1.129 2027 1.02 0.97 **2028** 32.73 34.31 30.53 11.17 11.71 10.42 **2028** 28.25 29.86 26.00 9.64 10.19 8.88 **2028** 37.71 39.54 35.18 32.55 34.40 29.96 1.152 2028 1.03 0.98 **2029** 33.13 34.63 30.92 11.31 11.82 10.55 **2029** 28.67 30.16 26.43 9.78 10.29 9.02 **2029** 38.86 40.61 36.26 33.62 35.37 30.99 1.173 2029 1.04 0.99 **2030** 33.46 34.88 31.29 11.42 11.90 10.68 **2030** 28.99 30.42 26.81 9.89 10.38 9.15 **2030** 39.78 41.47 37.20 34.47 36.17 31.88 1.189 2030 1.05 1.01 **2031** $33.8135.03 31.38 11.47 11.96 10.71 **2031** 29.37 30.60 26.96 9.96 10.44 9.20 **2031** $40.6142.08 37.69 35.28 36.75 32.38 1.201 2031 1.06 1.02 **2032** 34.11 35.19 31.47 11.53 12.01 10.74 **2032** 29.73 30.77 27.10 10.03 10.50 9.25 **2032** 41.39 42.69 38.19 36.07 37.34 32.88 1.213 2032 1.07 1.03 **2033** 34.26 35.34 31.57 11.59 12.06 10.77 **2033** 29.90 30.95 27.24 10.09 10.56 9.30 **2033** 41.98 43.31 38.69 36.64 37.93 33.39 1.226 2033 1.08 1.04 **2034** 34.49 35.49 31.66 11.65 12.11 10.81 **2034** 30.15 31.13 27.38 10.16 10.62 9.35 **2034** 42.70 43.93 39.19 37.32 38.53 33.90 1.238 2034 1.08 1.05 **2035** 34.71 35.65 31.75 11.70 12.17 10.84 **2035** 30.37 31.30 27.53 10.23 10.68 9.40 **2035** 43.39 44.56 39.69 37.97 39.13 34.41 1.250 2035 1.09 1.05 **2036** 34.97 35.80 31.84 11.76 12.22 10.87 **2036** 30.65 31.48 27.67 10.30 10.75 9.45 **2036** 44.30 45.24 40.24 38.69 39.74 34.93 1.262 2036 1.10 1.06 **2037** 35.14 35.96 31.94 11.82 12.27 10.90 **2037** 30.86 31.66 27.82 10.37 10.81 9.49 **2037** 45.01 45.94 40.80 39.33 40.36 35.46 1.274 2037 1.10 1.07 **2038** 35.31 36.12 32.03 11.88 12.33 10.93 **2038** 31.06 31.85 27.97 10.43 10.87 9.54 **2038** 45.73 46.64 41.36 39.97 40.98 35.98 1.287 2038 1.11 1.08 **2039** 35.49 36.27 32.12 11.94 12.38 10.96 **2039** 31.27 32.03 28.11 10.50 10.93 9.60 **2039** 46.45 47.35 41.94 40.62 41.60 36.52 1.299 2039 1.12 1.09 **2040** 35.66 36.43 32.22 12.00 12.43 11.00 **2040** 31.48 32.21 28.26 10.57 10.99 9.65 **2040** 47.19 48.08 42.52 41.27 42.24 37.06 1.311 2040 1.12 1.09 **2041** 35.84 36.59 32.31 12.06 12.49 11.03 **2041** 31.69 32.40 28.41 10.65 11.06 9.70 **2041** 47.94 48.82 43.11 41.94 42.87 37.60 1.323 2041 1.13 1.10 **2042** 36.02 36.75 32.41 12.12 12.54 11.06 **2042** 31.90 32.58 28.56 10.72 11.12 9.75 **2042** 48.71 49.56 43.71 42.61 43.52 38.15 1.336 2042 1.13 1.11 **2043** 36.19 36.91 32.50 12.17 12.60 11.09 **2043** 32.11 32.77 28.71 10.79 11.18 9.80 **2043** 49.48 50.32 44.31 43.28 44.17 38.70 1.348 2043 1.14 1.11 **2044** 36.37 37.07 32.60 12.24 12.65 11.13 **2044** 32.33 32.96 28.86 10.86 11.25 9.85 **2044** 50.27 51.09 44.93 43.97 44.83 39.26 1.360 2044 1.14 1.12 **2045** 36.55 37.23 32.69 12.30 12.71 11.16 **2045** 32.54 33.15 29.01 10.93 11.31 9.90 **2045** 51.07 51.88 45.55 44.66 45.49 39.82 1.372 2045 1.15 1.13 **2046** 36.73 37.39 32.79 12.36 12.76 11.19 **2046** 32.76 33.34 29.17 11.01 11.38 9.96 **2046** 51.88 52.67 46.18 45.36 46.16 40.38 1.385 2046 1.15 1.14 **2047** 36.92 37.56 32.88 12.42 12.82 11.22 **2047** 32.98 33.53 29.32 11.08 11.44 10.01 **2047** 52.71 53.48 46.82 46.06 46.83 40.96 1.397 2047 1.16 1.14 **2048** 37.10 37.72 32.98 12.48 12.87 11.26 **2048** 33.20 33.72 29.48 11.15 11.51 10.06 **2048** 53.55 54.30 47.47 46.78 47.51 41.53 1.409 2048 1.17 1.15 **2049** 37.28 37.89 33.08 12.54 12.93 11.29 **2049** 33.42 33.91 29.63 11.23 11.57 10.11 **2049** 54.40 55.13 48.13 47.50 48.20 42.11 1.421 2049 1.17 1.16 **2050** 37.47 38.05 33.17 12.60 12.99 11.32 **2050** 33.64 34.11 29.79 11.30 11.64 10.17 **2050** 55.26 55.97 48.80 48.23 48.89 42.70 1.433 2050 1.18 1.17 **2051** 37.65 38.22 33.27 12.67 13.04 11.36 **2051** 33.87 34.30 29.95 11.38 11.71 10.22 **2051** 56.14 56.83 49.48 48.96 49.59 43.29 1.446 2051 1.18 1.18 **2052** 37.84 38.38 33.37 12.73 13.10 11.39 **2052** 34.09 34.50 30.10 11.45 11.78 10.27 **2052** 57.04 57.70 50.16 49.71 50.30 43.89 1.458 2052 1.19 1.18 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 **Residential Electricity Price (AEO2010)**

Reference High Low

0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

**Electricity Price Trends**

AEO 2010 Reference Res Elec
AEO 2010 Reference Com Elec

25 26 27 28 29 30 31

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 **Commercial Electricity Price (AEO2010)**

Reference High
Low 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 **Residential Electricity Price (AEO2010)**

Reference High Low

0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

**Electricity Price Trends**

AEO 2010 Reference Res Elec
AEO 2010 Reference Com Elec

25 26 27 28 29 30 31

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 **Commercial Electricity Price (AEO2010)**

Reference High
Low**Discount Rate**

**Distribution of Real Interest Rates REAL Gains and Losses for Various Assets** 

**Export Parameters 1st Mortgage**  **Home Equity Credit Card**  **Installment Loans Other Residence**  **Other LOC Savings** **CD - 6mo. Treasury** **Corp AAA Stocks**  **Mutual to: LCC Summary**  rate wt rate wt rate wt rate wt rate wt rate wt **Year Accounts**  **CDs Sav Bonds**  **Bonds S&P 500**  **Fund**

Discount Rate 8.4% 0.5% 0.059 0.4% 0.089 0.0% 0.055 0.0% 0.345 0.2% 0.129 0.1% 0.043 1977 -0.6% 1.2% 1.4% -12.7% -8.0% **DISCOUNT RATE (Real Interest Rate) FOR REPLACEMENT/RETROFIT ONLY** 1.6% 0.192 1.5% 0.084 1.4% 0.019 1.4% 0.020 1.5% 0.061 1.4% 0.033 1978 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% -1.0% -0.4%

**Finance Method Share**  **Min Max**  **Mean** 2.5% 0.280 2.6% 0.154 2.5% 0.019 2.4% 0.040 2.5% 0.084 2.5% 0.014 1979 0.1% -1.9% -1.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1Home Equity Loans (after tax) 3.7% 3.0% 0.4%42.5% 2.6% 3.5% 0.244 3.5% 0.257 3.5% 0.033 3.4% 0.053 3.5% 0.153 3.5% 0.044 1980 -0.5% -2.0% -1.4% 16.1% 10.1% 2Credit card 2.1% 3.9% 0.0%36.9%13.6% 4.4% 0.147 4.5% 0.180 4.5% 0.044 4.5% 0.057 4.5% 0.149 4.5% 0.065 1981 5.0% 2.8% 3.5% -13.6% -8.1% 3Other Installment Loans 1.6% 10.7% 0.0%93.5% 0.0% 5.4% 0.043 5.4% 0.112 5.6% 0.061 5.6% 0.067 5.5% 0.177 5.5% 0.124 1982 6.0% 6.2% 7.2% 13.4% 11.0% 4Other Residence Loans 5.3% 6.0% 0.2%17.9% 0.2% 6.4% 0.020 6.4% 0.047 6.7% 0.070 6.7% 0.075 6.5% 0.127 6.7% 0.094 1983 5.9% 7.7% 8.6% 18.5% 14.9% 5Other Line of Credit 0.5% 4.4% 0.1%54.1% 3.5% 7.4% 0.007 7.5% 0.036 7.5% 0.040 7.5% 0.033 7.5% 0.059 7.6% 0.052 1984 5.5% 6.1% 7.8% 8.0% 1.8% 3.8% 6Checking Accounts 4.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 8.5% 0.004 8.5% 0.019 8.7% 0.060 8.6% 0.040 8.6% 0.025 8.7% 0.090 1985 5.4% 4.5% 7.0% 7.5% 26.7% 20.1% 7Savings and Money Market 15.3% 2.3% 0.0% 4.0% 0.1% 9.5% 0.002 9.5% 0.009 9.6% 0.055 9.5% 0.037 9.4% 0.014 9.5% 0.089 1986 6.0% 4.6% 5.8% 7.0% 16.3% 12.8% 8CD (6 month) 8.6% 2.2%-1.1% 6.1% 4.2% 10.5% 0.001 10.6% 0.006 10.6% 0.052 10.6% 0.029 10.6% 0.00410.5% 0.068 1987 3.3% 3.2% 4.8% 5.5% 2.1% 3.0% 9Savings Bonds (Treasury) 1.4% 3.4%-2.0% 7.8% 4.9% 11.6% 0.001 11.8% 0.002 11.5% 0.058 11.5% 0.019 11.6% 0.00511.6% 0.063 1988 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 5.4% 11.9% 9.5% 10Bonds (Corporate AAA) 9.5% 4.1%-1.5% 8.6% 5.8% 12.4% 0.001 12.7% 0.003 12.6% 0.049 12.5% 0.027 12.6% 0.00412.5% 0.065 1989 3.0% 4.1% 3.5% 4.2% 25.4% 18.1% 11Stocks (S&P 500) 29.0% 7.7%-38.9%33.4% 8.4% 13.5% 0.000 13.7% 0.000 13.6% 0.044 13.5% 0.019 14.7% 0.00513.5% 0.019 1990 2.4% 2.6% 3.0% 3.7% -8.0% -4.3% 12Mutual Funds (stock/bond) 18.6% 6.2%-25.8%23.6% 9.9% 14.4% 0.000 14.7% 0.002 14.7% 0.087 14.7% 0.037 15.7% 0.00114.7% 0.040 1991 2.7% 1.6% 3.8% 4.4% 25.0% 17.9% Total 100% 5.1% wt.avg. 5.7% 16.7% 0.000 16.7% 0.000 15.6% 0.074 15.6% 0.017 16.6% 0.00315.6% 0.018 1992 2.1% 0.7% 4.5% 5.0% 4.4% 4.4% 22.9% 0.000 17.5% 0.000 16.4% 0.055 16.5% 0.019 17.9% 0.00116.5% 0.027 1993 1.1% 0.3% 3.5% 4.1% 6.8% 5.7% 42.5% 0.001 17.6% 0.053 17.6% 0.019 17.3% 0.011 1994 1.3% 2.3% 4.7% 5.3% -1.2% 0.8% Finance Method # Sampled 11 18.5% 0.019 18.5% 0.012 18.5% 0.006 1995 2.2% 3.1% 3.9% 4.6% 33.4% 23.6% Real Interest Rate for that method 8% 19.4% 0.023 19.4% 0.007 19.1% 0.012 1996 2.0% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 20.3% 14.7% 20.5% 0.012 20.5% 0.007 20.2% 0.009 1997 2.7% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 28.9% 20.7% 21.4% 0.005 21.5% 0.005 21.5% 0.007 1998 3.4% 3.8% 4.0% 4.9% 26.4% 18.9% **DISCOUNT RATE (Real Interest Rate)** 22.5% 0.003 22.3% 0.002 22.1% 0.002 1999 2.3% 3.2% 3.6% 4.7% 18.3% 13.4% **Industry Sector Share**  **Mean Min**  **Max Std.Dev.** **sampled** 23.6% 0.001 23.4% 0.003 23.5% 0.002 2000 1.7% 3.1% 2.5% 4.1% -12.0% -7.2% 1Lodging 29.11% 5.8% 2.4%12.0% 1.3%7.6% 24.6% 0.003 24.6% 0.004 25.4% 0.004 2001 1.8% 0.8% 2.6% 4.1% -14.3% -8.7% 2Other Commercial 70.89% 6.4% 2.5%15.7% 1.7%7.6% 25.5% 0.003 25.3% 0.003 54.1% 0.002 2002 1.3% 0.2% 3.8% 4.8% -23.2% -14.2% Total wt.avg. 6.2% wt.avg. 7.6% 26.3% 0.002 26.6% 0.000 2003 -0.2% -1.1% 2.6% 3.3% 25.6% 17.9% 27.3% 0.000 27.8% 0.000 2004 -0.7% -0.9% 2.3% 2.9% 7.8% 6.0% Finance Method # Sampled 2 28.4% 0.000 28.5% 0.000 2005 -0.1% 0.3% 1.2% 1.8% 1.4% 1.3% Real Interest Rate for that method **7.6%** 29.3% 0.000 29.3% 0.001 2006 1.1% 2.0% 1.6% 2.3% 12.0% 8.6% 36.9% 0.000 34.1% 0.000 2007 2.0% 2.3% 1.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.4%

36.1% 0.000 2008 0.2% -0.7% 0.4% 1.7% -38.9% -25.8% 43.6% 0.000 2009 3.6% 1.2% 4.5% 5.7% 26.4% 19.1% 44.3% 0.000 **Av g.**  **2.3% 2.2%**  **3.4% 4.1%**  **7.7% 6.2%**  47.2% 0.000 **2 X Avg. 4.5%**  **4.5% 6.7%**  **8.2% 15.3%**  **12.5%** 93.5% 0.000 **Min** -0.7% -1.1% -2.0% -1.5% -38.9% -25.8% 3.0%100% 3.9%100%10.7%100% 6.0%100% 4.4%100% 8.8%100% **Max** 6.0% 6.1% 7.8% 8.6% 33.4% 23.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% **Std. Dev. 1.7%**  **2.1% 2.3%**  **2.3% 16.9%**  **11.5%** 22.9% 42.5% 36.9% 93.5% 17.9% 54.1% Source: Golden West Financial Corporation, Federal Reserve, and Demodaran Online 5.4% 2.6% 13.6% 0.0% 0.2% 3.5% Sources: Estimate using 1989, 1992, 1998, 1998, 2001, 2004, and 2007 Survey of Consumer Finances

# Lifetime back to Summary
**Export Parameters to: LCC Summary**  Lifetime 6.8years **Weibull Parameters:** Scale 

# 7.85 Shape 

# 1.99 Delay 0 Dist. 6.8
**Graph Values Age**  **% Retiring** **% Surviving**  0.0 0.00% 100.00% 1.0 3.24% 96.76% 2.0 6.13% 90.63% 3.0 8.44% 82.19% 4.0 10.01% 72.17% 5.0 10.79% 61.38% 6.0 10.82% 50.57% 7.0 10.21% 40.36% 8.0 9.14% 31.21% 9.0 7.81% 23.40% 10.0 6.38% 17.02% 11.0 5.00% 12.02% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%



# 11.0 5.00% 12.02% 12.0 3.77% 8.25% 13.0 2.73% 5.52% 14.0 1.90% 3.62% 15.0 1.28% 2.34% 16.0 0.83% 1.51% 17.0 0.52% 0.99% 18.0 0.31% 0.68% 19.0 0.18% 0.50% 20.0 0.10% 0.40% 21.0 0.06% 0.34% 22.0 0.03% 0.31% 23.0 0.02% 0.29% 24.0 0.01% 0.29% 25.0 0.00% 0.28% 26.0 0.00% 0.28% 27.0 0.00% 0.28% 28.0 0.00% 0.28% 29.0 0.00% 0.28% 30.0 0.00% 0.28% 31.0 0.00% 0.28% 32.0 0.00% 0.28% 33.0 0.00% 0.28% 34.0 0.00% 0.28% 35.0 0.00% 0.28% 36.0 0.00% 0.28% 37.0 0.00% 0.28% 38.0 0.28% 0.00% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

0

# % Surviving

% Retiring

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 

# % Surviving

% Retiring

# Equation for calculating Standards back to Summary

**UEC = c * AV + d** **1990 Standards Jan-1-1993 Standards**  **Product Class**  **c d**  **c** 0 NA 1 Refrigerator & Refrigerator-Freezer with manual defrost 13.5 2 Refrigerator & Refrigerator-Freezer with partial automatic defrost 10.4 3 Top Mount Freezer without through-the-door ice 23.5 471 16.0 4 Side Mount Freezer without through-the-door ice 27.7 488 11.8 5 Bottom Mount Freezer without through-the-door ice 27.7 488 16.5 6 Top Mount Freezer with through-the-door ice 26.4 535 17.6 7 Side Mount Freezer with through-the-door ice 30.9 547 16.3 8 Upright Freezer with manual defrost 10.3 9 Compact Refrig. and Refrig.-Freezer with manual defrost 16.0 623 14.9 10 Chest Freezers 14.8 233 11.0 11 Compact Refrig. and Refrig.-Freezer with manual defrost 13.5 12 Compact Refrigerator and Refrigerator-Freezer with partial automatic defrost 10.4 13 Compact Top-Mount Refrig.-Freezer with Auto Defrost 16.0 14 Compact Refrigerator-side mounted freezer with automatic defrost 11.8 15 Compact Refrigerator-bottom mount Freezer with automatic defrost 16.5 16 Compact Upright Freezer with manual defrost 10.3 17 Compact Upright Freezer with automatic defrost 14.9 18 Compact Chest Freezers 10.3

# Jan-1-1993 Standards**Jul-1-2001 Standards**

**d c**  **d**

299 8.82 248.4 398 8.82 248.4 355 9.80 276.0 501 4.91 507.5 367 4.60 459.0 391 10.20 356.0 527 10.10 406.0 264 7.55 258.3 391 12.43 326.1 160 9.88 143.7 299 10.70 299.0 398 7.00 398.0 355 12.70 355.0 501 7.60 501.0 367 13.10 367.0 264 9.78 250.8 391 11.40 391.0 264 10.45 152.0