[PUBLISH]

IN THE UNITED STATES COURT OF APPEALS

 FOR THE ELEVENTH CIRCUIT

 ________________________

 No. 11-12410 

 ________________________

 D.C. Docket No. 0:07-cv-61542-UU

JOSEPH C. HUBBARD, individually and on

behalf of all others similarly situated,

llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll Plaintiff,

STATE-BOSTON RETIREMENT SYSTEM, 

llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll Plaintiff - Appellant,

versus

BANKATLANTIC BANCORP, INC., 

JAMES A. WHITE, 

VALARIE C. TOALSON,

JARETT S. LEVAN,

ALAN B. LEVAN,

llllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll Defendants - Appellees.

________________________

 Appeals from the United States District Court

 for the Southern District of Florida

 ________________________

(July 23, 2012)

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 1 of 35 
Before TJOFLAT, PRYOR and FAY, Circuit Judges.

TJOFLAT, Circuit Judge:

This appeal concerns a private securities fraud class action brought under

§ 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and SEC Rule 10b-5 against a 1 2

bank holding company, BankAtlantic Bancorp, Inc., and its management

(collectively, “Bancorp”) by State-Boston Retirement System, a shareholder and

3

 Section 10(b) provides, in relevant part: 1

It shall be unlawful for any person, directly or indirectly, by the use of any

means or instrumentality of interstate commerce or of the mails, or of any facility

of any national securities exchange—

. . . .

(b) To use or employ, in connection with the purchase or sale of

any security registered on a national securities exchange or any security

not so registered, . . . any manipulative or deceptive device or contrivance

in contravention of such rules and regulations as the [Securities and

Exchange] Commission may prescribe as necessary or appropriate in the

public interest or for the protection of investors.

15 U.S.C. § 78j(b).

 Rule 10b-5, promulgated under § 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act, provides: 2

It shall be unlawful for any person, directly or indirectly, by the use of any

means or instrumentality of interstate commerce, or of the mails or of any facility

of any national securities exchange,

(a) To employ any device, scheme, or artifice to defraud,

(b) To make any untrue statement of a material fact or to omit to state a

material fact necessary in order to make the statements made, in the light of the

circumstances under which they were made, not misleading, or

(c) To engage in any act, practice, or course of business which operates or

would operate as a fraud or deceit upon any person,

in connection with the purchase or sale of any security.

17 C.F.R. § 240.10b-5.

 The officers named as defendants were James White, the former Executive Vice 3

President and Chief Financial Officer (“CFO”) of the holding company and former CFO of its

subsidiary, BankAtlantic; John Abdo, the Vice Chairman of the Board of Directors for the

2

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 2 of 35 
the lead plaintiff. State-Boston sought to prove at trial that the holding company

had misrepresented the level of risk associated with commercial real estate loans

held by its subsidiary, BankAtlantic. After the trial, the District Court submitted

the case to the jury on a verdict form seeking general verdicts and answers to

special interrogatories under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 49(b). When the

jury returned a verdict partially in favor of State-Boston, Bancorp moved for

judgment as a matter of law under Federal Rule of Civil Procedure 50. Perceiving

an inconsistency between two of the jury’s interrogatory answers, the District

Court discarded one of them and granted the motion on the basis of the remaining

findings.

This was error. When a court considers a motion for judgment as a matter

of law—even after the jury has rendered a verdict—only the sufficiency of the

evidence matters. Chaney v. City of Orlando, 483 F.3d 1221, 1227 (11th Cir.

2007). The jury’s findings are irrelevant. See id. at 1227–28. Despite the District

Court’s error, we may affirm for any reason supported by the record. E.g., United

States v. Harris, 608 F.3d 1222, 1227 (11th Cir. 2010). In this case, we conclude

holding company and the subsidiary; Valerie Toalson, the CFO of the holding company and

Executive Vice President and CFO of the subsidiary; Jarett Levan, the President of the subsidiary

and, after January 16, 2007, the President of the holding company and CEO of the subsidiary;

and Alan Levan, the former Chairman of the Board and CEO of the holding company and former

Chairman of the Board and President and CEO of the subsidiary.

3

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 3 of 35 
that the evidence was insufficient to support a finding of loss causation, an

element required to make out a securities fraud claim under Rule 10b-5. See, e.g.,

Dura Pharm., Inc. v. Broudo, 544 U.S. 336, 342, 125 S. Ct. 1627, 1631, 161 L. Ed.

2d 577 (2005) (listing among the elements of a § 10(b) securities fraud claim “loss

causation, i.e., a causal connection between the material misrepresentation and the

loss” (emphasis omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted)). We therefore affirm.

I.

A.

BankAtlantic Bancorp, Inc., is a publicly traded bank holding company

incorporated and headquartered in Florida. Its subsidiary, BankAtlantic, is a

federally chartered bank that offers consumer and commercial banking and

lending services throughout Florida. This case concerns allegations that from

October 19, 2006, until October 25, 2007 (the “class period”), Bancorp 4

fraudulently misled the public about the deteriorating credit quality of

 The class certified by the District Court originally included everyone who bought 4

Bancorp stock between November 9, 2005, and October 25, 2007, and suffered damages as a

result. But on August 18, 2010, the District Court granted Bancorp summary judgment on all

claims arising from the period from November 9, 2005, through October 18, 2006. Because

State-Boston does not challenge that disposition on appeal, no claims from that period are before

us.

4

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 4 of 35 
BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate portfolio. That portfolio comprised land

5

acquisition and development loans; land acquisition, development, and

construction loans; and builder land bank loans (“BLB loans”). Each of these

categories comprised loans to investors to buy land for initial development

followed by sale for further development. The relevant distinction for purposes of

this case is between BLB loans, which were made to investors after they had sold

options to purchase lots to homebuilders, and non-BLB loans, which involved no

such pre-disbursement option contracts.

BankAtlantic internally monitored the risk associated with these land loans

by assigning each loan a grade on a scale from one to thirteen—the lower the

grade, the safer the loan. Grades one through nine were considered passing. But

once a loan was assigned a grade of ten—and therefore classified as a “special

mention” asset—or a grade of eleven—and therefore classified as a “substandard”

asset—it was placed on a “Loan Watch List” to allow the bank’s management to

 Because of the procedural posture of this case, in reciting the facts, we give credence to 5

State-Boston’s evidence, as well as uncontradicted and unimpeached evidence supporting

Bancorp, and draw all reasonable inferences in State-Boston’s favor. See Reeves v. Sanderson

Plumbing Prods., Inc., 530 U.S. 133, 150–51, 120 S. Ct. 2097, 2110, 147 L. Ed. 2d 105 (2000). 

For a fuller statement of the standard of review of a ruling on a motion for judgment as a matter

of law, see infra part III.

5

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 5 of 35 
keep track of loans that might pose problems.6

The Loan Watch List, which was updated monthly, was a purely internal

risk-monitoring tool; it was not released to the public. Bancorp’s public

disclosures did regularly reveal the amount of loans designated “nonaccrual,” as

opposed to “accruing.” That designation indicated the bank’s judgment that a loan

was unlikely to be repaid according to the terms of the loan agreement. But many

commercial real estate loans that were graded ten or eleven, and therefore

catalogued on the Loan Watch List, were not designated nonaccrual. Concern

about these loans, therefore, was not revealed to the public.

B.

State-Boston’s case concerns these commercial real estate loans designated

 According to BankAtlantic’s Commercial Real Estate and Commercial Loan Policy,

6

special-mention assets, assigned a grade of ten, “have potential weaknesses that deserve

management’s close attention. If left uncorrected, these potential weaknesses may result in

deterioration of the repayment prospects for the asset or in the institution’s credit position at

some future date.” A grade of eleven—or, equivalently, a designation of “substandard”—reflects

an assessment that the loan “is inadequately protected by the current sound worth and paying

capacity of the obligor or the collateral pledged, if any.” Substandard assets have a “well defined

weakness or set of weaknesses” and “are characterized by the distinct ‘possibility’ that the Bank

will sustain some loss.” That loss potential, however, need only exist “in the aggregate amount

of Substandard assets”; it “does not have to exist in individual assets classified Substandard.”

BankAtlantic’s policies also provided that a grade of twelve or thirteen warranted

placement on the Loan Watch List. Those grades, however, were seldom assigned in practice. 

Typically, by the time a loan had deteriorated enough to warrant a grade of twelve or thirteen, a

write-down of its value had already occurred, making a further downgrade within the one-tothirteen risk-grading system unnecessary. Notably, the Loan Watch List also included any loans

designated “nonaccrual,” a term we explain below, or past due 90 days or more.

6

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 6 of 35 
special-mention or substandard, or otherwise identified as potentially problematic,

but not designated nonaccrual and therefore not disclosed to the public as a source

of concern. According to State-Boston, Bancorp knew at least as early as the fall

of 2006 that it had reason to be worried about the credit quality of the commercial

real estate portfolio. State-Boston introduced evidence of what it viewed as lax

underwriting, as well as internal communications within BankAtlantic that

revealed concern that some borrowers might be unable to sell the land securing

their loans to homebuilders, making their loans difficult to pay off.

In public statements, however, Bancorp denied concern about

BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate portfolio. On October 19, 2006, in a

quarterly earnings conference call open to the public, James White, then Bancorp’s

Chief Financial Officer, said, “There’s really nothing significant to note on the

credit quality front[,] which in itself[,] given the current real estate environment[,]

I think is a favorable commentary.” White noted that the land securing

BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate loans might be developed more slowly than

anticipated, but suggested that the bank’s underwriting gave investors reason for

confidence: “[I]n our situation and because of our insistence on hard equity in

projects,” he said, “we believe we’re dealing with borrowers with staying power

that will enable them to ride through this if indeed that trend does manifest.” On

7

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 7 of 35 
November 29, 2006, at an investor conference in New York, Jarett Levan, then

President of BankAtlantic, announced that there were no troubling credit quality

trends ahead.

Over time, however, Bancorp’s private concerns about the commercial real

estate portfolio—as reflected in the increasing number of accruing but specialmention or substandard loans on the Loan Watch List—intensified. The first

iteration of the Loan Watch List generated during the class period showed no

special-mention or substandard commercial real estate loans that were accruing

and therefore unknown to the public. On March 31, 2007, however, the Loan

Watch List showed, in addition to more than $20.5 million in nonaccrual land

loans, an accruing but substandard land loan of more than $21.2 million.

By then, concern about the commercial real estate portfolio had registered in

other internal communications as well. For example, in an email to several

BankAtlantic officers dated March 14, 2007, Alan Levan, then Bancorp’s CEO

and Chairman of the Board of Directors, noted a “parade of land loans coming in

for extensions recently” and warned, “It’s pretty obvious the music has stopped. 

In most cases, the presold contract to a builder has either gone away or is in

dispute or being modified.” And at a Credit Policy Committee meeting on March

21, 2007, several BankAtlantic officers discussed the recent “migrat[ion]” of about

8

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 8 of 35 
$90 million in commercial real estate loans from grade four, in the bank’s riskgrading system, to the lower, but still passing, grades of five, six, and seven

because of the weakening housing market.

On April 25, 2007, in an 8-K reporting financial results for the first quarter

7

of 2007, and in another earnings conference call the next day, Bancorp partially

disclosed its concern about the commercial real estate portfolio. In addition to

disclosing the amount of BankAtlantic’s nonaccrual loans, the 8-K warned,

The current environment for residential land acquisition and

development loans is a concern, particularly in Florida, and represents

an area where we remain very cautious in our credit management. In

view of market conditions, we anticipate we may experience further

deterioration in the portfolio over the next several quarters as the

market attempts to absorb an oversupply of available lot inventory.

During the April 26 conference call, Alan Levan mentioned two nonaccrual

loans in BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate portfolio—one for about $12.5

million and one for about $7.5 million. Levan said both were BLB loans. He

warned that the Florida housing market was slowing and that, as a result, the risk

associated with the BLB portfolio could worsen. Because of market conditions,

Levan said, homebuilders were becoming more reluctant to buy lots on the land

 According to the SEC’s website, “Form 8-K is the ‘current report’ companies must file 7

with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about.” Form 8-K, U.S.

Sec. & Exch. Comm’n, http://www.sec.gov/answers/form8k.htm (last modified July 22, 2009).

9

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 9 of 35 
that secured the BLB loans. That day, Bancorp’s stock price dropped from $10.55

per share to $9.99.

C.

Some of the risk associated with BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate

portfolio remained undisclosed. During the April 26 conference call, Levan did

not disclose that a $21.2 million BLB loan had been designated “substandard” and

placed on the Loan Watch List. Nor did he disclose concern about the non-BLB

portion of the commercial real estate portfolio. But, in fact, the smaller of the two

loans Levan mentioned during the conference call was a non-BLB loan, and the

“parade” of extensions mentioned in his March 14 email had included non-BLB

loans.

Over the year, the risk associated with the commercial real estate portfolio

worsened considerably. By the end of April 2007, the Loan Watch List showed

$60.3 million in special-mention or substandard BLB loans, in addition to the

$12.5 million loan Levan had mentioned, and more than $38.7 million in specialmention or substandard non-BLB loans, in addition to the $7.5 million nonaccrual

loan Levan had mentioned. By the end of June 2007, BankAtlantic had $12.6

million in nonaccrual BLB loans and $3.2 million in nonaccrual non-BLB loans,

which were reflected in the total amount of nonaccrual loans disclosed in an 8-K

10

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 10 of 35 
on July 24, 2007. Undisclosed, however, were the additional $90.7 million in

accruing but special-mention or substandard BLB loans and $55.5 million in

accruing but special-mention or substandard non-BLB loans.

As had Alan Levan during the April 26 conference call, Bancorp’s public

statements continued to note the risk associated with BankAtlantic’s BLB loans

but minimized the risk associated with the non-BLB portion of the commercial

real estate portfolio. Bancorp’s 10-Q for the first quarter of 2007, filed on May 8

10, told the public that “management consider[ed] these other loans”—the nonBLB loans—“to be of relatively lower risk than the ‘builder land loans.’” In 9

 Form 10-Q, a report that “must be filed [with the SEC] for each of the first three fiscal 8

quarters of the company’s fiscal year,” “includes unaudited financial statements and provides a

continuing view of the company’s financial position during the year.” Form 10-Q, U.S. Sec. &

Exch. Comm’n, http://www.sec.gov/answers/form10q.htm (last modified Sept. 2, 2011).

 The context of this remark was as follows: 9

Conditions in the residential real estate market nationally and in Florida

continued to deteriorate during the first quarter of 2007. New home sales and

applications for building permits fell significantly from peak levels during 2005

and inventories of unsold homes have significantly increased. The Bank’s

commercial real estate loan portfolio consists of several sub-categories of loans,

each with differing collateral and different levels of risk. The “builder land loan”

segment, at approximately $140 million, consists of land loans to borrowers who

have option agreements with regional and/or national builders. These loans were

originally underwritten based on projected sales of the developed lots to the

builders/option holders and timely repayment of the loans is primarily dependent

upon the acquisition of the property pursuant to the options. If the lots are not

acquired as originally anticipated, we anticipate that the borrower may not be in a

position to service the loan with the likely result being an increase in

nonperforming loans and loan losses in this category.

The “builder land loan” segment discussed above is part of BankAtlantic’s

total commercial real estate acquisition and development portfolio of

11

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 11 of 35 
another publicly accessible quarterly earnings conference call on July 25, 2007,

Alan Levan said BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate portfolio had “performed

extremely well.” “The one category that we just are focused on,” he said, “is this

land loan builder portfolio”—that is, the BLB portfolio—“because, you know, just

from one day to the next, the entire homebuilding industry, you know, went into a

state of flux and turmoil and is impacting that particular class.” But, he said,

“there are no particular asset classes that we’re concerned about other than that

one class.” And in both its first-quarter and second-quarter 10-Qs, Bancorp gave a

figure purporting to represent BankAtlantic’s “total potential problem

loans” —$7.8 million in the first-quarter 10-Q and $8.3 million in the second10

quarter 10-Q—that could not possibly have included all of the commercial real

approximately $562 million as of March 31, 2007. The loans other than the

“builder land loans” in this category are generally secured by residential and

commercial real estate which will be fully developed by the borrower or sold to

third parties. These loans generally involve property with a longer investment and

development horizon and are guaranteed by the borrower or individuals and/or

secured by additional collateral such that it is expected that the borrower will have

the ability to service the debt under current conditions for a longer period of time. 

Accordingly, management considers these other loans to be of relatively lower

risk than the “builder land loans.”

Similar language appeared in Bancorp’s second-quarter 10-Q filed on August 9, 2007.

 Total potential problem loans, as presented in the 10-Qs, represented the sum of loans 10

past due 90 days or more, performing-impaired loans, and restructured loans.

12

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estate loans on the Loan Watch List.11

On October 25, 2007, Bancorp released an 8-K that, according to StateBoston, brought the fraud to an end. The 8-K reported that BankAtlantic’s

provision for loan losses in the third quarter of 2007 was $48.9 million, up from

$4.9 million in the previous quarter. It also revealed that BankAtlantic held

$156.3 million in nonaccrual commercial real estate loans, up from $21.8 million 12

in total nonaccrual loans at the end of June 2007. And it revealed for the first time

the amount of substandard commercial real estate loans held by BankAtlantic—at

that point, $90.3 million, not counting nonaccrual loans. By the time the 8-K 13

was released, Bancorp’s stock price had already fallen gradually over the class

period, from $12.66 per share to $7.65. On October 26, 2007, it fell by another

$2.93, or 38 percent, to $4.72.

II.

 At the end of the first quarter of 2007—that is, at the end of March—the Loan Watch 11

List showed more than $21.2 million in accruing but special-mention or substandard commercial

real estate loans. And as we note in part I.B, supra, at the end of the second quarter of

2007—that is, at the end of June—the Loan Watch List showed about $146.2 million in accruing

but special-mention or substandard commercial real estate loans.

 BLB loans accounted for $81.1 million of this total, and non-BLB loans for $75.2 12

million.

 Of this total, BLB loans accounted for $28.7 million, and non-BLB loans for $61.6 13

million. The 8-K referred to these loans as “classified,” but Jay McClung, BankAtlantic’s Chief

Risk Officer, testified that “classified” was equivalent to “substandard.”

13

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 13 of 35 
Three days later, the present action was filed in the United States District

Court for the Southern District of Florida. State-Boston asserted claims under 14

§ 10(b) of the Securities Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5, alleging that Bancorp had

fraudulently misrepresented the risk associated with BankAtlantic’s commercial

real estate portfolio. State-Boston alleged that although some of that risk was 15

revealed in the 8-K released on April 25, 2007, Bancorp had continued to mislead

the public by suggesting that the risk was limited to the BLB segment of the

portfolio. State-Boston asserted a fraud-on-the-market theory, invoking the

16

presumption of reliance approved by the Supreme Court in Basic, Inc. v.

Levinson, 485 U.S. 224, 245–47, 108 S. Ct. 978, 990–92, 99 L. Ed. 2d 194 (1988). 

It claimed that Bancorp’s misrepresentations had artificially inflated the price of

 Although the initial complaint was filed on October 29, 2007, by an individual 14

shareholder named Joseph Hubbard, our characterization of the allegations relies on the First

Amended Consolidated Complaint filed by State-Boston on January 12, 2009, after it was

appointed lead plaintiff.

 The individuals named as defendants were also alleged to be liable as control persons 15

under § 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act. See 15 U.S.C. § 78t(a) (“Every person who,

directly or indirectly, controls any person liable under any provision of this chapter or of any rule

or regulation thereunder shall also be liable jointly and severally with and to the same extent as

such controlled person . . . is liable . . . , unless the controlling person acted in good faith and did

not directly or indirectly induce the act or acts constituting the violation or cause of action.”).

 Although the First Amended Consolidated Complaint did not allege any other fraud 16

after April 25, 2007, State-Boston argued at trial that Bancorp’s statements during that period

had also fraudulently concealed the level of risk associated with the BLB portfolio by omitting to

mention accruing but special-mention or substandard BLB loans.

14

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 14 of 35 
its stock and that investors had suffered damages when the price dropped in

response to the disclosures on April 25, 2007, and October 25, 2007. The District

Court certified a plaintiff class of “[a]ll persons or entities who purchased or

otherwise acquired shares of the Class A common stock of BankAtlantic Bancorp,

Inc. between November 9, 2005 and October 25, 2007 and were damaged

thereby.”17

State-Boston’s only evidence of loss causation and damages was the expert

testimony of Candace Preston, a financial analyst. Preston performed an event

study, a statistical technique for measuring the effect of new information on the

market price of a security, to determine how much of the decline in the price of

Bancorp’s stock on April 26, 2007, and October 26, 2007, was attributable to

factors specific to Bancorp, rather than to general market or industry factors.

18

 As noted above, however, the District Court later granted summary judgment for 17

Bancorp on all claims arising from the period between November 9, 2005, and October 18, 2006,

effectively shortening the class period. See supra note 4.

 The methodology of an event study is as follows: 18

Event study analysis compares the day-to-day percentage change in the

market price of a company’s common stock (known as a “return”) to the return

predicted by a market model that uses a market index, such as the S&P 500 Index

or the NASDAQ Composite Index, and possibly an industry index. The market

model describes the normal relation between the return on the company’s

common stock and the return on the market and industry indexes. When

significant new information about the company (e.g., corrective disclosures,

earnings reports, dividend changes, stock splits, regulatory rulings, acquisition

bids, asset sales, or tax legislation) is disclosed to the market, the market model is

used to determine the component of the stock return that would be expected based

15

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 15 of 35 
Preston used the S&P 500 Index to eliminate any portion of the price declines

attributable to market-wide factors. To remove the effect of industry-specific

factors, she relied on the NASDAQ Bank Index, an index of the stock prices of

hundreds of banks and bank holding companies traded on the NASDAQ. She

testified that these were the indexes used by Bancorp to compare its stock price

movements to market and industry trends and that she had found a “statistical fit”

between Bancorp’s stock price movements and those indexes.

On April 26, 2007, although Bancorp’s stock price dropped more than 5

percent, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ Bank Index each fell less than 1 percent. 

Preston concluded based on those indexes that, of the 56-cent April 26 price

decline, 55 cents could not be explained by market or industry factors and

therefore must have resulted from company-specific factors. To isolate the

amount attributable to the alleged fraud, as opposed to other company-specific

factors, Preston looked at several analysts’ projections of Bancorp’s earnings per

share for 2007. Those projections, she observed, dropped by an average of 15

on the return of the overall market and industry. The remaining component of the

stock return (that which cannot be explained by the return on the market and

industry) is attributed to the new company-specific information or to chance. If

the disclosure of the new information is accompanied by a stock return that is

outside of the stock’s normal volatility range (as measured by the market model),

then the return is said to be “statistically significant.”

Frank Torchio, Proper Event Study Analysis in Securities Litigation, 35 J. Corp. L. 159, 160–61

(2009) (footnotes omitted).

16

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 16 of 35 
cents after the April 26 disclosures. Based on information in the analysts’ reports,

Preston concluded that two-thirds of that drop in Bancorp’s projected earnings

were attributable to the disclosure of previously concealed risk in the commercial

real estate portfolio on April 26. She then reasoned that the same proportion of

the 55-cent residual decline in Bancorp’s stock price—two-thirds, or 37 19

cents—was attributable to the fraud.

On October 26, 2007, as Bancorp’s stock fell 38 percent, the S&P 500 rose

about 1 percent, and the NASDAQ Bank Index rose 2 percent. Preston concluded

that but for company-specific factors, Bancorp’s stock price would have risen on

that day. She thus found a residual decline of $3.15, even more than the actual

decline of $2.93. To exclude company-specific factors other than the fraud,

Preston looked at analyst reports responding to the October 25 disclosures. 

Because analysts seemed most concerned about the deterioration of the

commercial real estate portfolio, Preston concluded that all of the residual decline

was attributable to the disclosure of previously concealed risk in that portfolio. 

She therefore opined that the entire October 26 price decline of $2.93 was

 Preston used the term “residual decline” to refer to the difference between the stock 19

price’s predicted behavior, based on the indexes chosen, and its actual behavior—that is, the

portion of the stock price decline not explainable by market or industry forces, as determined by

the event study.

17

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 17 of 35 
attributable to the fraud.

The District Court submitted the case to the jury on a verdict form that

divided the case into two periods, the first from October 19, 2006, to April 25,

2007—that is, up to the partial disclosure in the April 25 8-K—and the second

from April 26, 2007, to October 25, 2007. For each period, the verdict form

requested a general verdict on liability and damages, along with answers to several

interrogatories asking whether each of nineteen alleged misstatements was

fraudulent and made with scienter, and a number of questions related to controlperson liability under § 20(a) of the Securities Exchange Act. See Fed. R. Civ.

20

P. 49(b)(1) (“The court may submit to the jury forms for a general verdict, together

with written questions on one or more issues of fact that the jury must decide.”).

With respect to the first period, the jury found that Bancorp had violated

§ 10(b) but awarded no damages. With respect to the second period, the jury

found that Bancorp, in eight statements, had violated § 10(b) and awarded

damages of $2.41 per share. Upon the return of the verdict form, the District

 Section 20(a) provides, in relevant part: 20

Every person who, directly or indirectly, controls any person liable under any

provision of this chapter or of any rule or regulation thereunder shall also be liable

jointly and severally with and to the same extent as such controlled person . . . is

liable . . . , unless the controlling person acted in good faith and did not directly or

indirectly induce the act or acts constituting the violation or cause of action.

15 U.S.C. § 78t(a).

18

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 18 of 35 
Court noted an apparent inconsistency in the jury’s findings on the first statement

from the second period. The jury found that Alan Levan had “acted knowingly 21

with respect to that statement.” It also found, however, that Levan had “acted in

good faith and did not directly or indirectly induce the Section 10(b) violation.”22

Bancorp moved for judgment as a matter of law under Federal Rule of Civil

Procedure 50(b) and for a new trial under Rule 59. In ruling on the Rule 50(b)

23

motion, the District Court focused on the jury’s findings. Because of the

perceived inconsistency noted above, the District Court discarded the jury’s

finding that the first statement from the second period had been made knowingly

and refused to consider that statement as a potential basis for liability. The court

 This was Alan Levan’s statement during the earnings conference call on April 26, 21

2007, that both of the nonaccrual commercial real estate loans were BLB loans.

 The verdict form asked for a determination of that fact because it is a defense to 22

control-person liability under § 20(a) that “the controlling person acted in good faith and did not

directly or indirectly induce the act or acts constituting the violation or cause of action.” 15

U.S.C. § 78t(a).

 Bancorp had timely moved for judgment as a matter of law at the close of State- 23

Boston’s evidence at trial.

We note that because the jury returned a general verdict awarding no damages with

respect to the first part of the class period, Bancorp’s renewed motion for judgment as a matter of

law—and the ruling under review here—concerned only the § 10(b) claim based on statements

made during the second period, from April 26, 2007, to October 25, 2007. See In re

BankAtlantic Bancorp, Inc. Sec. Litig., No. 07-61542-CIV-UNGARO, slip op. at 19–20 (S.D.

Fla. Apr. 25, 2011) (“The parties agree on most of the judgment compelled by the verdict—all

Defendants are entitled to judgment in their favor for the first period and Defendants [John]

Abdo, Jarett Levan, and [James] White are entitled to judgment in their favor for the second. 

The parties dispute only the proper judgment regarding Defendants Bancorp, Alan Levan, and

[Valerie] Toalson as to the second period.”).

19

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then turned to the other statements the jury had found to violate § 10(b), ignoring

the others. Concluding that State-Boston had not presented evidence sufficient to

support a finding that the statements found by the jury to violate § 10(b) had

caused their losses, the District Court granted Bancorp’s motion for judgment as a

matter of law. The court also conditionally denied Bancorp’s motion for a new

trial. See Fed. R. Civ. P. 50(c)(1) (“If the court grants a renewed motion for

judgment as a matter of law, it must also conditionally rule on any motion for a

new trial by determining whether a new trial should be granted if the judgment is

later vacated or reversed.”). State-Boston now appeals the District Court’s grant

of judgment as a matter of law, and Bancorp cross-appeals the conditional denial

of its motion for a new trial.

III.

We review a district court’s ruling on a motion for judgment as a matter of

law de novo. Goodman-Gable-Gould Co. v. Tiara Condo. Ass’n, 595 F.3d 1203,

1213 n.29 (11th Cir. 2010). In deciding a motion for judgment as a matter of law,

we review all the evidence, drawing all reasonable inferences in favor of the

nonmoving party. Reeves v. Sanderson Plumbing Prods., Inc., 530 U.S. 133, 150,

120 S. Ct. 2097, 2110, 147 L. Ed. 2d 105 (2000). We do not make credibility

determinations or weigh the evidence. Id. We give credence to evidence

20

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supporting the nonmoving party’s case, as well as “uncontradicted and

unimpeached” evidence supporting the moving party, “at least to the extent that

that evidence comes from disinterested witnesses.” Id. at 151, 120 S. Ct. at 2110

(internal quotation marks omitted).

A.

The District Court erred when it relied on the jury’s findings in granting

Bancorp’s renewed motion for judgment as a matter of law. Federal Rule of Civil

Procedure 50 allows a district court to grant a motion for judgment as a matter of

law if “the court finds that a reasonable jury would not have a legally sufficient

evidentiary basis to find for the [nonmoving party].” Fed. R. Civ. P. 50(a). This is

the standard whether the motion is made before or after the case is submitted to the

jury. Chaney v. City of Orlando, 483 F.3d 1221, 1227 (11th Cir. 2007); see also

9B Charles Alan Wright & Arthur R. Miller, Federal Practice and Procedure

§ 2537, at 619–24 (3d ed. 2008) (“The standard for granting a renewed motion for

judgment as a matter of law under Rule 50(b) is precisely the same as the standard

for granting the pre-submission motion under Rule 50(a). Thus, the post-verdict

motion for judgment can be granted only if the prior motion should have been

granted.” (footnote omitted)). Only the sufficiency of the evidence matters; what

the jury actually found is irrelevant. See Chaney, 483 F.3d at 1227–28.

21

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Thus, we held in Chaney that the District Court had erred when, in granting

a renewed motion for judgment as a matter of law, it “effectively based its

conclusions on the jury findings contained in the special verdict form.” Id. at

1227. In Chaney, the plaintiff sued the City of Orlando and a city police officer

under 42 U.S.C. § 1983, alleging wrongful arrest, excessive force, and malicious

prosecution. Id. at 1222. The District Court submitted the case to the jury on a

special-verdict form, and the jury found, among other things, that the plaintiff’s

arrest had been supported by probable cause. Id. at 1225. The court relied heavily

on that finding in its order granting the officer’s renewed motion for judgment as a

matter of law. See id. at 1225–26. The court reasoned that because the arrest was

supported by probable cause, it could not be wrongful. Id. at 1225. The court also

relied on the probable-cause finding to justify its rejection of the plaintiff’s other

claims. Id. at 1226. We held that it was error to grant the Rule 50 motion based in

part on the jury’s findings instead of focusing solely on the sufficiency of the

evidence. Id. at 1228.

The District Court made a similar error here. Instead of considering

whether the evidence was sufficient to support a verdict in favor of State-Boston,

the court relied on the perceived inconsistency of two of the jury’s answers to the

22

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special interrogatories as a ground for discarding the possibility that one of

24

Bancorp’s statements could support liability. The court also ignored statements

not found by the jury to violate § 10(b), solely on the basis of the jury’s findings. 

This the court could not do.

B.

Nevertheless, we may affirm for any reason supported by the record. E.g.,

United States v. Harris, 608 F.3d 1222, 1227 (11th Cir. 2010). In this case, we

discern such a reason: State-Boston did not introduce evidence sufficient to

support a finding in its favor on the element of loss causation. It failed to

adequately separate losses caused by fraud from those caused by the 2007 collapse

of the Florida real estate market. The jury therefore did not have a sufficient

evidentiary basis to conclude that the fraud was a substantial contributing factor in

bringing about the class’s losses.

1.

In a Rule 10b-5 securities fraud action, the plaintiff must prove (1) a

material misrepresentation or omission, (2) scienter, (3) a connection between the

misrepresentation or omission and the purchase or sale of a security, (4) reliance

 We leave unanswered the question whether the jury’s findings were in fact inconsistent 24

and, if they were, what the effect of any such inconsistency might be. No answer is necessary to

the disposition of this appeal.

23

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upon the misrepresentation or omission, (5) economic loss, and (6) loss causation. 

Ledford v. Peeples, 657 F.3d 1222, 1248 (11th Cir. 2011). Proving loss causation

requires more than showing that the plaintiff bought the security at a price that

was artificially inflated by fraudulent misrepresentations or omissions. Dura

Pharm., Inc. v. Broudo, 544 U.S. 336, 338, 125 S. Ct. 1627, 1629, 161 L. Ed. 2d

577 (2005); Robbins v. Koger Props., Inc., 116 F.3d 1441, 1448 (11th Cir. 1997). 

The plaintiff must offer “proof of a causal connection between the

misrepresentation and the investment’s subsequent decline in value.” Robbins,

116 F.3d at 1448. In other words, in a fraud-on-the-market case, the plaintiff must

prove not only that a fraudulent misrepresentation artificially inflated the

security’s value but also that “the fraud-induced inflation that was baked into the

plaintiff’s purchase price was subsequently removed from the stock’s price,

thereby causing losses to the plaintiff.” FindWhat Investor Grp. v. FindWhat.com,

658 F.3d 1282, 1311 (11th Cir. 2011) (citing Robbins, 116 F.3d at 1448).

As the Supreme Court observed in Dura, when an investor buys stock at an

artificially inflated price and resells at a lower price, the price decline, and the

investor’s consequent loss, may result in part from factors other than the

dissipation of fraud-induced inflation. “[T]hat lower price,” the Court explained,

“may reflect, not the earlier misrepresentation, but changed economic

24

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 24 of 35 
circumstances, changed investor expectations, new industry-specific or firmspecific facts, conditions, or other events, which taken separately or together

account for some or all of that lower price.” 544 U.S. at 343, 125 S. Ct. at 1632. 

Recognizing as much in Robbins, we concluded that loss causation does not

require proof that the fraud—or, more precisely, the dissipation of the fraudinduced inflation—was the sole cause of the security’s decline in value. 116 F.3d

at 1447. We held, however, that the plaintiff must show that it was a “substantial”

or “significant contributing cause.” Id. (quoting Bruschi v. Brown, 876 F.2d 1526,

1531 (11th Cir. 1989)) (internal quotation marks omitted). We also noted that the

standard for proof of damages is more demanding. As we explained in Robbins,

The distinction between the loss causation requirement and proof of

damages is important. To satisfy the loss causation element, a

plaintiff need not show that a misrepresentation was the sole reason

for the investment’s decline in value. Ultimately, however, a plaintiff

will be allowed to recover only damages actually caused by the

misrepresentation. . . . [A]s long as the misrepresentation is one

substantial cause of the investment’s decline in value, other

contributing forces will not bar recovery under the loss causation

requirement. But in determining recoverable damages, these

contributing forces must be isolated and removed.

Id. at 1447 n.5.

Thus, to succeed in a fraud-on-the-market case, it is not enough to point to a

decline in the security’s price after the truth of the misrepresented matter was

25

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 25 of 35 
revealed to the public. The plaintiff must also offer evidence sufficient to allow

the jury to separate portions of the price decline attributable to causes unrelated to

the fraud, leaving only the part of the price decline attributable to the dissipation

of the fraud-induced inflation. A precise apportionment, as we explained in

Robbins, is needed only to prove the amount of damages owed to the plaintiff. 

See id. at 1447 & n.5; see also Miller v. Asensio & Co., 364 F.3d 223, 232 (4th

Cir. 2004) (“[I]n a given case, a jury could properly conclude that (1) the plaintiff

proved the defendant’s fraud constituted a substantial cause of plaintiff’s loss and

so find the defendant liable but (2) the plaintiff failed to provide a method to

discern by just and reasonable inference the amount of plaintiff’s loss solely

caused by defendant’s fraud, and so refuse to award the plaintiff any damages.”

(citation omitted) (internal quotation marks omitted)). But if there are

confounding factors that could account for much of the decline in the price of the

security, the plaintiff must offer some evidence separating the various causes of

the decline in the security’s price even to establish loss causation. Otherwise the

jury has no basis on which to conclude that the dissipation of the fraud-induced

inflation was a substantial factor in bringing about the plaintiff’s loss. See In re

Scientific Atlanta, Inc. Sec. Litig., 754 F. Supp. 2d 1339, 1376 (N.D. Ga. 2010)

(“[A] determination of the substantiality of the fraudulent conduct’s effect requires

26

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 26 of 35 
some measurement of the loss attributable to that conduct.”).

2.

In this case, State-Boston claims class members purchased Bancorp stock at

prices that were artificially inflated because Bancorp fraudulently concealed the

poor credit quality of BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate portfolio, and that

those shares lost value when the portfolio’s deterioration was revealed to the

market. In effect, State-Boston relies on what some courts have called a

“materialization of the concealed risk” theory of loss causation. Lentell v. Merrill

Lynch & Co., 396 F.3d 161, 173 (2d Cir. 2005); see also Ray v. Citigroup Global

Mkts., Inc., 482 F.3d 991, 995 (7th Cir. 2007) (“There are several ways in which a

plaintiff might go about proving loss causation. The first is sometimes called the

‘materialization of risk’ standard.”). That theory allows liability on a securities

fraud claim even if the decline in a security’s price is not caused by the market’s

reaction to a corrective disclosure revealing precisely the facts concealed by the

fraud, as they existed at the time of the defendant’s misstatements. Under the

theory, the plaintiff may prove loss causation by showing, instead, that the

materialization of a fraudulently concealed risk caused the price inflation induced

27

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 27 of 35 
by the concealment of that risk to dissipate.

25

In its briefs to this court, State-Boston does not appear to commit to either a

 For example, in In re Omnicom Group, Inc. Securities Litigation, 597 F.3d 501 (2d 25

Cir. 2010), investors brought a securities fraud class action alleging, under a fraud-on-the-market

theory, that Omnicom, a marketing and advertising holding company, had failed to accurately

report in its books the declining value of Internet companies it owned. Id. at 508. On appeal

from a grant of summary judgment for the defendants, the Second Circuit concluded that the

plaintiffs had not shown that any corrective disclosure of the inaccurate bookkeeping had caused

a price decline. Id. at 513.

The court nevertheless went on to consider whether the plaintiffs had shown that the

stock price decline “was foreseeable and caused by the materialization of the risk concealed by

the fraudulent statement.” Id. (quoting ATSI Commc’ns, Inc. v. Shaar Fund, Ltd., 493 F.3d 87,

107 (2d Cir. 2007)) (internal quotation marks omitted). Even without a corrective disclosure, the

court explained, the plaintiffs could show loss causation if they showed that the subsequent

“resignation [of Robert Callander, a director and the chair of Omnicom’s audit committee,] and

the ensuing negative media attention were foreseeable risks of the fraudulent [bookkeeping] and

caused the temporary share price decline in June 2002.” Id.; see also id. at 511 (noting that

“[e]stablishing either [of the plaintiffs’] theor[ies]”—“that the market reacted negatively to a

corrective disclosure of the fraud” or “that negative investor inferences drawn from Callander’s

resignation and from the news stories in June 2002 caused the loss and were a foreseeable

materialization of the risk concealed by the fraudulent statement”—“would suffice to show loss

causation”). The court concluded, however, that Callander’s resignation and the media’s

reaction—which ultimately caused the stock price decline—were too tenuously related to the

fraudulent bookkeeping to be considered within the “zone of risk” concealed by the fraud. Id. at

513–14.

The Second Circuit entertained a similar theory in Lentell v. Merrill Lynch & Co., 396

F.3d 161 (2d Cir. 2005), an earlier fraud-on-the-market case in which investors sued Merrill

Lynch asserting a claim based on allegedly false reports making investment recommendations. 

Id. at 164. There, the court suggested that the plaintiffs would have adequately pled loss

causation had they alleged facts showing that the market reacted negatively either to a disclosure

of the falsity of Merrill’s recommendations or to the materialization of a risk concealed by the

reports. See id. at 175 (“There is no allegation that the market reacted negatively to a corrective

disclosure regarding the falsity of Merrill’s ‘buy’ and ‘accumulate’ recommendations and no

allegation that Merrill misstated or omitted risks that did lead to the loss. This is fatal under

Second Circuit precedent.” (footnote omitted)).

This court has never decided whether the materialization-of-concealed-risk theory may be

used to prove loss causation in a fraud-on-the-market case. We need not reach the issue here. 

Instead, we assume, without deciding, that this approach is valid and explain why, even on that

assumption, State-Boston failed to offer evidence sufficient to support a verdict in its favor.

28

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 28 of 35 
straightforward corrective-disclosure or materialization-of-risk theory of loss

causation. It characterizes Preston’s testimony as showing that “the entirety of the

October 26, 2007 stock price drop was caused by the revelation of previously

undisclosed information regarding BLB and non-BLB risk, or[] the materialization

of previously concealed BLB and non-BLB risk.” Appellants’ Br. 34 (emphasis

added). But State-Boston can only be relying on a materialization-of-risk theory. 

Suppose for the moment that, as State-Boston’s expert testified, the entire decline

in Bancorp’s stock price on October 26, 2007, did result from the market’s

reaction to the 8-K’s disclosure of problems in BankAtlantic’s commercial real

estate portfolio. Even on that assumption, the portfolio’s condition as disclosed in

the October 2007 8-K was worse than the portfolio’s condition at the time of the

misstatements. Some of the facts the 8-K disclosed—some of the facts that,

26

 Consider the dollar amount of land loans considered “classified” (in the 8-K’s terms) 26

or “substandard” (in the terms of BankAtlantic’s internal risk-grading system) at the time of the

October 2007 8-K and at the times of the various misstatements. The October 2007 8-K

disclosed $90.3 million in classified or substandard land loans, not including loans designated

nonaccrual. But at the time of the April 2007 earnings conference call, according to what was

then the most recent iteration of the Loan Watch List, BankAtlantic had one commercial real

estate loan—a BLB loan—of about $21.2 million that was accruing but substandard. As late as

June 30, 2007—after several of the misstatements were made—the Loan Watch List showed only

about $53.8 million in accruing but substandard commercial real estate loans, comprising $34.2

million in non-BLB loans and $19.6 million in BLB loans.

The dollar amount of nonaccrual commercial real estate loans disclosed in the October

2007 8-K was also much greater than the amount of such loans at the time of any of Bancorp’s

misstatements. The 8-K reported that $156.3 million in commercial real estate loans, both BLB

and non-BLB, were designated nonaccrual. But according to the Loan Watch List, as late as

August 31, 2007—after all the misstatements were made—only $25.5 million in commercial real

29

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 29 of 35 
according to State-Boston, made the stock price fall—did not exist at the time of

Bancorp’s misstatements. And the facts concealed or misrepresented by

Bancorp’s misstatements, as they existed at the time of those misstatements—for

example, the number, type, and dollar value of the land loans on the Loan Watch

List—were not in fact disclosed in the October 2007 8-K. Thus, even if the price

decline on October 26, 2007, reflected only the market’s reaction to the 8-K’s

disclosure of weakness in the commercial real estate portfolio, there is no reason

to believe it reflected only the market’s reaction to the correction of Bancorp’s

previous misstatements. State-Boston’s argument, then, can only be that the

27

estate loans were designated nonaccrual.

 Another way to put the point is that even if, as Preston testified, the price decline 27

resulted solely from the 8-K’s disclosure of weakness in the commercial real estate portfolio, not

all of that decline can be attributed to the dissipation of inflation caused by Bancorp’s

misstatements. That decline still may have reflected the market’s reaction to facts that could not

possibly have been disclosed at the time of Bancorp’s misstatements. There is therefore no

reason, even accepting Preston’s conclusions, to assume that the amount of that decline is equal

to the difference between the price at which class members bought Bancorp’s stock and the price

at which they would have bought it if not for the fraud—the usual measure of damages. See

Robbins v. Koger Props., Inc., 116 F.3d 1441, 1447 n.5 (11th Cir. 1997) (“The proper measure of

damages utilizes the out-of-pocket rule: the plaintiff can recover ‘the difference between the

price paid and the “real” value of the security, i.e., the fair market value absent the

misrepresentations, at the time of the initial purchase by the defrauded buyer.’” (quoting

Huddleston v. Herman & MacLean, 640 F.2d 534, 556 (5th Cir. Unit A 1981), aff’d in part and

rev’d in part on other grounds, 459 U.S. 375, 103 S. Ct. 683, 74 L. Ed. 2d 548 (1983))). Thus, to

allow a jury to award damages on that usual measure, State-Boston would still have to separate

the amount of the stock price decline attributable to the ultimate disclosure of facts about the

portfolio that were known at the time of Bancorp’s misstatements from the portion of the decline

caused by the disclosure of new facts about the portfolio. State-Boston has, however, made no

attempt to do so.

We need not decide whether some other measure of damages would be appropriate in a

30

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 30 of 35 
October 2007 8-K reflected the materialization of a risk—the risk that the

commercial real estate portfolio would deteriorate—that Bancorp had concealed

from the public, and that the materialization of that risk removed the inflation

created by its concealment.

State-Boston’s expert, Candace Preston, testified that the entire 38 percent

decrease in Bancorp’s stock price on October 26, 2007, resulted from the

materialization of that risk. As described in part II, supra, Preston attempted to

isolate the effect of company-specific factors from the effect of general market

trends by comparing the change in the Bancorp’s stock price to the change in the

S&P 500. She also attempted to separate the effect of company-specific factors

from industry-wide trends by comparing Bancorp stock to the NASDAQ Bank

Index, an index of the stock prices of hundreds of banks and bank holding

companies traded on the NASDAQ.

Preston failed, however, to account for the effects of the collapse of the

Florida real estate market. The NASDAQ Bank Index may be well suited to

capture the effects of national trends in the banking industry, such as the broader

case—like this one, on State-Boston’s theory—in which the materialization of a concealed risk

caused the price to decline by more than the difference between the inflated price at which the

plaintiff purchased the security and the price the plaintiff would have paid had the risk not been

fraudulently concealed. As we explain below, State-Boston has failed for other reasons to

present evidence sufficient to support a finding of loss causation. It therefore cannot prevail on

the issue of liability, and it is unnecessary to reach the damages issue.

31

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 31 of 35 
national financial crisis that reached its nadir in 2008. But in 2007, Florida,

having benefitted more than most states from the real estate boom of the previous

years, was hit harder than most by the ensuing bust. And Florida financial

28

institutions, as Preston admitted on cross-examination, made up only a small

percentage of the NASDAQ Bank Index. That index, therefore, would be

inappropriate for the task of filtering out the effects of industry-wide factors that

might affect the stock price of a bank, or of the holding company of a bank, whose

assets were concentrated in loans tied to Florida real estate in 2007.

BankAtlantic is just such a bank. As Bancorp acknowledged in several

public SEC filings during the class period, BankAtlantic’s assets were

concentrated in loans tied to Florida real estate. As a result, BankAtlantic and

Bancorp were particularly susceptible to any deterioration in the Florida real estate

market, in addition to any national developments. To support a finding that

Bancorp’s misstatements were a substantial factor in bringing about its losses,

 Data compiled by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight, which has since 28

become the Federal Housing Finance Agency, help give a sense of the relative severity of

Florida’s real estate market downturn during 2007. Of the 20 metropolitan statistical areas with

the lowest rates of house price appreciation over the year ending on September 30, 2007, eight

were in Florida. Office of Fed. Hous. Enter. Oversight, House Prices Weaken Further in Most

Recent Quarter 30 (2007), available at http://www.fhfa.gov/webfiles/1174/3q07hpi.pdf. 

Depending on the index used, Florida saw either the fourth-lowest or sixth-lowest rate of house

price appreciation over the same period, see id. at 10, and had the fourth-highest foreclosure rate,

see id. at 14.

32

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 32 of 35 
therefore, State-Boston had to present evidence that would give a jury some

indication, however rough, of how much of the decline in Bancorp’s stock price

resulted not from the fraud but from the general downturn in the Florida real estate

market—the risk of which Bancorp is not alleged to have concealed. Cf. Lentell,

29

396 F.3d at 176–77 (concluding that the plaintiffs did not adequately allege loss

causation because none of the alleged misstatements had concealed the pricevolatility risk that materialized and caused at least some of the plaintiffs’ losses);

Bastian v. Petren Res. Corp., 892 F.2d 680, 686 (7th Cir. 1990) (rejecting a Rule

 In fact, Bancorp affirmatively warned the public of that risk. For example, in its 2006 29

10-K, filed on March 1, 2007, Bancorp cautioned:

The national real estate market is showing signs of a slow down,

particularly in areas that have seen significant growth, including Florida and

California. Our loan portfolio is concentrated in commercial real estate loans

(virtually all of which are located in Florida), residential mortgages (nationwide),

and consumer home-equity loans (Florida). We have exposure to credit losses

that may arise from this concentration in what many believe is a softening real

estate sector. Included in the commercial real estate loans are approximately $389

million of land development loans, which are susceptible to extended maturities

or borrower default due to a slow-down in Florida construction activity, and $95.1

million of development loans for low and mid-rise condominium projects in

Florida, where there is an increasing supply of new construction in the face of

falling demand.

. . . .

The majority of BankAtlantic’s loan portfolio consists of loans secured by

real estate. BankAtlantic’s loan portfolio included $2.2 billion of loans secured

by residential real estate and $1.4 billion of commercial real estate, construction

and development loans at December 31, 2006. At December 31, 2006,

BankAtlantic’s commercial real estate, construction and development loans,

which are concentrated mainly in Florida, represented approximately 37.6% of its

loan portfolio. The real estate market in Florida is currently exhibiting signs of

weakness. If real estate values in Florida were to decline, the credit quality of

BankAtlantic’s loan portfolio and its earnings could be adversely impacted.

33

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 33 of 35 
10b-5 claim because the plaintiffs, investors in oil and gas partnerships, “knew

they were assuming a risk that oil prices might drop unexpectedly” and were

“unwilling to try to prove that anything beyond the materializing of that risk

caused their loss”); In re Merrill Lynch & Co. Research Reports Sec. Litig., 568 F.

Supp. 2d 349, 364 (S.D.N.Y. 2008) (“[T]he [defendants] warned investors that the

fate of CMGI, a company that owned numerous subsidiary Internet-based

holdings, was dependent on the fate of the Internet sector as a whole. . . . [T]he

Complaint does not assert facts that distinguish between the alleged fraud and the

market-wide collapse of Internet stocks as the cause of [the plaintiff’s] losses.”). 

State-Boston failed to do so. None of its evidence excluded the possibility that

class members’ losses resulted not from anything specific about BankAtlantic’s

commercial real estate portfolio that Bancorp hid from the public, but from market

forces that it had warned of—and that would likely have caused significant losses

for an investor in any bank with a significant credit portfolio in commercial real

estate in Florida in 2007. Bancorp is therefore entitled to judgment as a matter of

law.30

 Because we affirm the District Court’s grant of judgment as a matter of law, we 30

dismiss as moot Bancorp’s cross-appeal from the District Court’s conditional denial of its motion

for a new trial. See Rankin v. Evans, 133 F.3d 1425, 1428, 1443 (11th Cir. 1998) (affirming a

post-verdict grant of judgment as a matter of law and dismissing as moot the defendants’ crossappeal from the conditional denial of their motion for a new trial).

34

Case: 11-12410 Date Filed: 07/23/2012 Page: 34 of 35 
IV.

For the foregoing reasons, the judgment of the District Court is 

AFFIRMED.

35

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