Ballast Energy Standards

June 1 , 1999

:..:.:::::::::::...............................................

Summary of DOE results

for Electronic Standard

1

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1,1999 

Summary of DOE Results 

for Electronic Standard 

1 
Ballast Energy Standards

Jane 1,1999

!. r. rS'/ r. ..N

LCC Savings

2F40 T12 (Commercial) Tria ls Electroni c

.0321

.024 -i

.016-i

.008 -I

.000

($15) ($4) $8 $19 $30

Certainty is 80.14% from $0 to +Infinity

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

~ -.-

.032 

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

LCC Savings 

2F40 T12 (Commercial) 10,000 Trials .. T12 Electronic 

.024+··············· .. ··· .. ········· .. ··················· ............................................................................... -

.g .016 +······· .. ····················· .. ··· .. ·······".1. • ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• ••••••••••• .. 1 

.Q 

e 

a.. 

.008+··············· •••••• .... ···································.,······· .. 1 

($15) ($4) $8 $19 $30 

Certainty is 80.14% from $0 to +Infinity 
E, Standa'r

LCC Savings

2F40 T12 i 10,000 Trials - T8 Electric

.023 i

.021-i

.007-i

.000

($10) $10 $30 $50 $70

Certainty is 98.82% from $0 to +Infinity

i . ........................................ ...............................

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

.028 

.021 

. 014 

.007 

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

LCC Savings 

2F40 T12 (Commercial) 10,000 Trials - TS Electric 

HI.III~· .... ····,··················· .. ·· .. ···············•• ..................................... . 

.... · ........ · .... ·· .... ···· .... wIIIIHHHIIIII ........ ·it································ ...... ········ -

.OOO-L--~""'" 

($10) $10 $30 $50 $70 

Certainty is 98.82% from $0 to +Infinity '-------------
Ballast Energy Standards

Zune 1, 1999

Scenarios

• Magnetic Ballast Shipments

• Magnetic T 12 to Electronic T 12

• Magnetic T12 to Electronic T8

4

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

Scenarios 

• Magnetic Ballast Shipments 

• Magnetic TI2 to Electronic TI2 

• Magnetic TI2 to Electronic T8 

4 
Ballast L T Stan i1s

Scenarios

Magnetic T12 to

Electronic T 12 with

Market Transition by

2015

Magnetic T12 to

Electronic T8 with

Market Transition by

2015

Magnetic T12 to

Electronic T12 with

M arket Transition by

2027

Magnetic T12 to

Electronic T8 with

Market Transition by

2027

5

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

Scenarios 

Magnetic T12 to Magnetic T 12 to 

Electronic T 12 with Electronic T 12 with 

Market Transition by Market Transition by 

2015 2027 

Magnetic T12 to Magnetic T12 to 

Electronic T8 with Electronic T8 with 

Market Transition by Market Transition by 

2015 2027 

5 
Ballast Energy Standards

June 1,1999

ULM avf.•:: A: J.i:^ .}:f.,^/^^i/'i'•!ii?i?'}:::::i^iiiiiiiijivviv^^i::iiii }: i:::L^:i:

al Shipments

Affected Magnetic Ballasts

45

40

35

30

25

0

20

15

10

A

0

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Year

Historical

- Slow decline

- Rapid Decline

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

(J) 

c 

0 

~ 

45 

40 

35 

30 

25 

20 

15 

10 

5 

o 

1990 

.. 

.. 

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

Annualll.S. Shipments 

of Affected Magnetic Ballasts 

"At.~ -

~ I"-....... 

" ~~ 

~ ~ 

2003 is start 

~ year ~ ~ for new standards 

"- ~ " 

1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 

Year 

2030 

A His torical 

- Slow decline 

- Rapid Decline 
Ballast Energy StanO!-,,j J

1, 1999

yS^ ^{k i 1. _- _ _ _. _. .. ._ •: f•..,.^:,;•>;;:;::£::i:::ii';;Yrr:::;:>:.iiii:::i::::i::::::;:>;::::::::::i:::;:;.:<S:::iii>:ii::;::ii:::i::ii:«.%:

National Impacts

Metric T12/2027 T8/2015 T8/2027

Energy Savings (Quads) 1.04 1.84 2.04 3.61

Net Present value (Billion $) 1.01 1.60 3.18 5.05

Greenhouse Gas Reduction (Mt) 12.0 35.7

Nox Emission Reduction (kt) 40.0 116.8

Peak Indirect employment Gain

(jobs)

3600 5800 7200 12000

7

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

National Impacts 

Metric T12/2015 T12/2027 TS/2015 

Energy Savings (Quads) 1.04 1.84 2.04 

Net Present value (Billion $) 1.01 1.60 3.18 

Greenhouse Gas Reduction (Mt) 12.0 

Nox Emission Reduction (kt) 40.0 

Peak Indirect employment Gain 3600 5800 7200 

(jobs) 

TS/2027 

3.61 

5.05 

35.7 

116.8 

12000 

7 
Ballast Energy Standards

June 1,1999

'<:.:^

Consumer Impacts

Range Considering Range Considering

Metric T12/2015 2027 TNI/2015 2027

L

(

ife Cycle Cost Savings

/ballast)

0-27 16-77

Life Cycle Cost Winners (%) 45-98 98-100

Paybacks (yrs) 2.6-7.1 0 - 2.7

8

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

Consumer Impacts 

Range Considering Range Considering 

Metric T12/20I5 & 2027 T8/2015 & 2027 

Life Cycle Cost Savings 0-27 16 -77 

($lballast) 

Life Cycle Cost Winners (%) 45 - 98 98 - 100 

Paybacks (yrs) 2.6 - 7.1 0-2.7 

8 
Ballast Energy Standa

11rC! i,M 1, 19 9 9

Manufacturer Impacts

Metric 2 9 i /T12 2027/T12 or T8

Ballast Industry Loss in NPV

(Million $)

60.7-69.7 77.1 -86.2

Magnetic Ballast Manufacturer Loss

in NPV (Million $)

69.9-90.0 93.6-113.7

Ballast Industry Direct Domestic

Job Loss (jobs) 166 160

Magnetic Ballast Manufacturer

Direct Domestic Job Loss (jobs) 666 717

9

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

Manufacturer Impacts 

Metric 20tS/Tt2 or T8 

Ballast Industry Loss in NPV 60.7 - 69.7 (Million $) 

Magnetic Ballast Manufacturer Loss 69.9 - 90.0 in NPV (Million $) 

Ballast Industry Direct Domestic 166 Job Loss Gobs) 

Magnetic Ballast Manufacturer 666 Direct Domestic Job Loss Gobs) 

2027/T12 or T8 

77.1-86.2 

93.6 - 113.7 

160 

717 

9 
Ballast Energy Standards

June ll, 13-93

F-I

Manufacturer Impacts

Metric 2015/T12 or T8 2027/71?, or T8

Supplier Industry Loss in NPV

(Million $) 7.6-16.4 9.5-20.7

Supplier Industry Loss in NPV 184®313 196-340

Total Industry Loss in NPV

(Million $) 68.3-86.1 86.6-106.9

Total Industry Direct Domestic Job

Loss (jobs) 350 ® 479 356®500

10

EE-RM-97-500 COMMENT 68DD

Ballast Energy Standards 

June 1, 1999 

Manufacturer Impacts 

Metric 2015/T12 or T8 

Supplier Industry Loss in NPV 7.6 - 16.4 (Million $) 

Supplier Industry Loss in NPV 184 - 313 

Total Industry Loss in NPV 68.3 - 86.1 (Million $) 

Total Industry Direct Domestic Job 350 .. 479 

Loss Gobs) 

2027/T12 or T8 

9.5 - 20.7 

196 - 340 

86.6 - 106.9 

356 .. 500 

10