## Ballast Energy Standards June 1 , 199 9 

# :..:.:::::::::::............................................... 

# Summary of DO E results for Electronic Standard

1



# Ballast Energy Standards June 1,1999 

# Summary 

# ofDOE Results 

# for Electronic Standard

1

# Ballast Energy Standards Jane 1,1999

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# LCC Savings 2F40 T12 (C o mm ercial ) T ri a l s Ele ct ron i c .0321 .024 -i .016-i .008 -I .000 ($15) ($4) $8 $19 $30 Certainty is 80.14% from $0 to +Infinity**~** 

# - .- .032 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 LCC Savings 2F40 T12 (Commercial) 10,000 Trials .. T12 Electronic

.024+···············.. ··· .. ········· .. ··················· ............................................................................... - 

## .g .016 +·······.. ····················· .. ··· .. ·······".1. • ••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••• ••••••••••• .. 1 .Q 

# e a.. .008+··············· •••••• .... ···································.,······· .. 1 ($15) ($4) $8 $19 $30 Certainty is 80.14% from $0 to +Infinity

# E, 

# Standa'r LCC Savings 2F40 T12 i 10,000 Trials - T8 Electric .023 i .021-i

.007-i .000 ($10) $10 $30 $50 $70 Certainty is 98.82% from $0 to +Infinity i . ........................................ ............................... .028 .021

.014 .007 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 LCC Savings 2F40 T12 (Commercial) 10,000 Trials - TS Electric**HI.III~·** .... ····,···················.. ·· .. ···············••......................................

....· ........· ....··.... ····.... wIIIIHHHIIIII ........ ·it································ ...... ········ -**.OOO-L--~""'"** ($10) $10 $30 $50 $70 Certainty is 98.82% from $0 to +Infinity '-------------

# Ballast Energy Standards Zu ne 1, 1999 Scenarios

• Magnetic Ballast Shipments
• Magnetic T 12 to Electronic T 12
• Magnetic T12 to Electronic T8

4 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 Scenarios • Magnetic Ballast Shipments • Magnetic TI2 to Electronic TI2 • Magnetic TI2 to Electronic T8

4

### Ballast L T 

# Stan i1 

# s Scenarios Magnetic T12 to Electronic T 12 with Market Transition b y 2015 

### M a 

### gn etic T12 to Electronic T 

### 8 wit 

### h M arket Transition by 2015 M agn etic T12 to Electronic T12 with M ark et Transition b y 2027 M ag netic T12 to Electronic T 8 w ith M arket Transition by 2027

5 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 

# Scenarios Magnetic T12 to Magnetic T 12 to Electronic T 12 with Electronic T 12 with Market Transition by Market Transition by 2015 2027 Magnetic T12 to Magnetic T12 to Electronic T8 with Electronic T8 with Market Transition by Market Transition by 2015 2027

5

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1,1999

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## Shi

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## Affected Magnetic B allasts 45 40 35 30 25 0 20 15 10 A

0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Year Historical - Slow decline - Rapid Decline (J) c 0**~** 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10

5 o 1990 

# .... Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 Annualll.S. Shipments ofAffected Magnetic Ballasts**"At.~** -

# ~I"-....... 

# "**~~ ~** **~**

# ~**~** 2003 is start year**~** for new standards

# ~ "- 

# " 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 Year 2030 A Historical

- Slow decline

- Rapid Decline

# Ballast Energy StanO!-,,j J 

# 1, 1999

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# National Impacts Metri c T12/2027 

### T8/2015 T8/2027 Energy Savings (Quads) 1.04 1.84 2.04 3.61 Net Present value (Billion $) 1.01 1.60 3.18 5.05 Greenhouse Gas Reduction (Mt) 12.0 35.7 Nox Emission Reduction (kt) 40.0 116.8 Peak Indirect employment Gain (jobs) 3600 5800 7200 12000

7 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 National Impacts Metric T12/2015 T12/2027 TS/2015 Energy Savings (Quads) 1.04 1.84 2.04 Net Present value (Billion $) 1.01 1.60 3.18 Greenhouse Gas Reduction (Mt) 12.0 Nox Emission Reduction (kt) 40.0 Peak Indirect employment Gain 3600 5800 7200 (jobs) 

### TS/2027 3.61 5.05 35.7 116.8 12000

7

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1,1999

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# Consumer Impacts Range Consi 

### deri 

### ng Range Con si dering M etric 

### T12/2015 2027 TNI/2015 2027 L ( ife Cycle Cost Savings /ballast) 0-27 16-77 Life Cycle Cost Winners (%) 45-98 98-100 Paybacks (yrs) 2.6-7.1 0 - 2.7

8 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 Consumer Impacts Range Considering Range Considering Metric T12/20I5 & 2027 T8/2015 & 2027 Life Cycle Cost Savings 

### 0-27 16 -77 ($lballast) Life Cycle Cost Winners (%) 

### 45 - 98 98 - 100 Paybacks (yrs) 

### 2.6 - 7.1 0-2.7

8

# Ballast Energy Standa 11rC! i

# ,M 1, 19 9 9 Manufacturer Impacts Metr i 

### c 2 9 

### i /T 

### 12 2027/T12 or T8 B allast Industry Loss in NPV (M illion $ ) 60.7-69.7 77.1 -86.2 M agnetic Ballast M anufacturer Loss in NPV (M illion $ ) 69.9-90.0 93.6-113.7 B allast Industry Direct Domestic Job Loss (jobs) 166 160 M agnetic Ballast M anufacturer Direct Domestic Job Loss (jobs) 666 717 9 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 Manufacturer Impacts Metric 

### 20tS/Tt2 or 

### T8 Ballast Industry Loss in NPV 60.7 - 69.7 (Million $) Magnetic Ballast Manufacturer Loss 69.9 - 90.0 in NPV (Million $) Ballast Industry Direct Domestic 166 Job Loss Gobs) Magnetic Ballast Manufacturer 666 Direct Domestic Job Loss Gobs) 

### 2027/T12 or 

### T8 77.1-86.2 93.6 - 113.7 160 717
9

# Ballast Energy Standards June ll, 13

-93 F-I 

## Manufacturer Impacts Metric 2015/T12 or T8 2027 /71?

### , or T8 Supplier Industry Loss in NPV (Million $) 7.6-16.4 

### 9.5-20.7 Supplier Industry Loss in NPV 184®313 

### 196-340 Total Industry Loss in NPV (Million $) 68.3-86.1 

### 86.6-106.9 Total Industry Direct Domestic Job Loss (jobs) 

### 350 ® 479 356®500 

### 10 

# Ballast Energy Standards June 1, 1999 Manufacturer Impacts Metric 2015/T12 or T8 Supplier Industry Loss in NPV 7.6 - 16.4 (Million 

### $) Supplier Industry Loss in NPV 184 - 313 Total Industry Loss in NPV 68.3 - 86.1 (Million 

### $) Total Industry Direct Domestic Job 350 .. 479 Loss Gobs) 

### 2027/T12 or T8 9.5 - 20.7 196 - 340 86.6 - 106.9 356.. 500 10