2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Report Annual Energy Outlook 2011Scenario ref2011 Reference caseDatekey d120810cRelease Date December 2010

d Disposition

otherwise noted)

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

4.96 5.36 5.43 5.31 5.44 5.47 5.64 5.72 5.83 5.97 6.02 6.05 6.05

0.69 0.65 0.61 0.59 0.55 0.53 0.52 0.49 0.47 0.45 0.42 0.40 0.42

4.28 4.71 4.82 4.72 4.90 4.94 5.12 5.23 5.36 5.53 5.60 5.65 5.63

9.75 8.97 9.17 9.13 8.95 9.08 8.94 8.81 8.73 8.58 8.47 8.36 8.34

9.78 9.01 9.21 9.17 8.98 9.11 8.97 8.84 8.76 8.62 8.50 8.39 8.38

0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03

-0.06 0.01 0.01 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

14.66 14.33 14.61 14.51 14.39 14.55 14.58 14.53 14.56 14.56 14.49 14.41 14.39

4.10 3.59 3.36 3.43 4.26 4.38 4.39 4.39 4.37 4.32 4.33 4.37 4.35

1.78 1.91 1.96 1.95 2.14 2.18 2.18 2.22 2.23 2.26 2.29 2.33 2.37

1.39 0.75 0.37 0.48 1.13 1.21 1.21 1.17 1.13 1.04 1.02 1.02 0.97

 3/ 1.55 1.27 0.97 1.04 1.04 1.06 1.05 1.06 1.04 0.99 0.98 1.02 0.98

0.76 0.68 0.62 0.66 0.78 0.80 0.81 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.80 0.79 0.78

0.79 0.72 0.70 0.69 0.78 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81 0.81

1.71 1.92 1.92 1.92 1.48 1.46 1.46 1.51 1.53 1.57 1.57 1.59 1.61

1.00 0.98 1.03 1.00 0.99 0.99 1.00 1.00 1.01 1.02 1.02 1.02 1.01

-0.07 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.76 0.81 1.01 1.23 1.22 1.26 1.28 1.40 1.48 1.58 1.67 1.75 1.85

0.66 0.76 0.89 0.95 1.03 1.06 1.07 1.12 1.16 1.21 1.29 1.35 1.44

0.64 0.73 0.86 0.90 0.97 0.98 0.99 1.01 1.04 1.09 1.16 1.21 1.29

0.61 0.72 0.86 0.89 0.94 0.96 0.97 0.95 0.96 0.99 1.04 1.10 1.18

0.03 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.11 0.11

0.02 0.02 0.02 0.05 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10

0.04 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.10 0.10

-0.02 -0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

5/ 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07

0.10 0.05 0.12 0.28 0.19 0.20 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.31 0.33 0.34 0.34
19.51 18.73 18.97 19.17 19.87 20.19 20.24 20.32 20.40 20.45 20.50 20.53 20.59

2.04 2.13 2.13 2.10 2.26 2.29 2.31 2.32 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.33 2.34

0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.17 0.22

8.99 9.00 9.02 9.09 9.33 9.38 9.39 9.40 9.40 9.36 9.29 9.23 9.18

1.54 1.39 1.40 1.41 1.52 1.52 1.53 1.55 1.56 1.58 1.59 1.60 1.62

0.62 0.51 0.53 0.55 0.60 0.60 0.59 0.59 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60 0.60

2.38 2.15 2.16 2.21 2.30 2.38 2.41 2.45 2.45 2.45 2.43 2.42 2.41

1.06 1.04 1.00 1.00 0.99 0.97 0.96 0.95 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91

4.69 4.25 4.37 4.50 4.78 4.93 4.96 5.00 5.02 5.02 5.00 4.99 4.98

13.87 13.61 13.74 13.88 14.03 14.21 14.25 14.31 14.38 14.45 14.50 14.53 14.60

0.21 0.18 0.20 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20

19.52 18.81 18.98 19.10 19.99 20.30 20.36 20.45 20.54 20.60 20.62 20.64 20.69

-0.01 -0.08 0.00 0.07 -0.11 -0.11 -0.12 -0.13 -0.13 -0.14 -0.13 -0.11 -0.10

acity 16/ 17.6 17.7 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.6 17.5 17.5 17.3 17.2 17.1 16.9 16.7

17/ 85.0 83.0 86.0 85.0 83.4 84.4 85.0 84.9 85.8 86.3 86.6 87.1 87.9

ied (perc 57.2 51.9 50.2 50.1 50.9 51.1 50.3 49.4 48.7 47.5 46.9 46.2 45.8

Crude Oil and

dollars) 272.70 203.67 217.88 274.19 279.81 291.96 295.96 300.55 305.86 311.83 316.14 320.90 326.21

ons plus unaccounted for crude oil and crude stock withdrawals minus crude product supplied.

ls.

utput is greater than input due to the processing of crude oil into products which, in total,

oil processed.

 Fischer-Tropsch liquids, and renewable feedstocks used for the production

ding components, other hydrocarbons, and ethers.

t liquids, other inputs, refinery processing gain, and net product imports.

nol (renewable) and 15 percent motor gasoline (nonrenewable). To address

ol varies seasonally. The annual average ethanol content of

o gasoline.

 from petroleum and biomass feedstocks.

cal feedstocks, lubricants, waxes, asphalt, road oil, still gas,

product supplied, methanol, and miscellaneous petroleum products.

at and power, which produces electricity and other useful thermal energy.
ctricity-only and combined heat and power plants whose primary business

 the public. Includes small power producers and exempt wholesale generators.

for supply, losses and gains.

s annual input to atmospheric crude oil distillation units by their

ndar day.

nents due to independent rounding. Data for 2008 and 2009

m official EIA data reports.

 based on: Energy Information Administration (EIA),

(2009) (Washington, DC, August 2010).

nual 2008, DOE/EIA-0340(2008)/1 (Washington, DC, June 2009).nual 2009, DOE/EIA-0340(2009)/1 (Washington, DC, July 2010).

 Modeling System run ref2011.d120810c.
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035

2009-

2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2035

5.84 5.80 5.79 5.79 5.84 5.82 5.82 5.81 5.92 5.90 5.87 5.73 0.3%0.42 0.41 0.37 0.34 0.32 0.29 0.27 0.31 0.37 0.42 0.40 0.39 -1.9%5.41 5.39 5.41 5.44 5.52 5.52 5.55 5.50 5.55 5.48 5.47 5.34 0.5%8.39 8.40 8.39 8.34 8.29 8.28 8.29 8.30 8.22 8.25 8.32 8.52 -0.2%8.42 8.43 8.42 8.38 8.32 8.31 8.32 8.34 8.25 8.28 8.35 8.55 -0.2%0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 -1.3%0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

14.23 14.20 14.17 14.13 14.13 14.09 14.11 14.11 14.14 14.15 14.19 14.24 0.0%

4.42 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.41 4.38 4.39 4.41 4.43 4.43 4.43 4.43 0.8%2.61 2.63 2.65 2.68 2.71 2.72 2.74 2.77 2.80 2.83 2.87 2.90 1.6%0.86 0.84 0.84 0.83 0.81 0.78 0.77 0.76 0.74 0.72 0.70 0.66 -0.5%0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.93 0.92 0.93 0.92 0.92 0.91 0.89 0.85 -1.5%0.76 0.76 0.76 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.76 0.76 0.77 0.5%0.80 0.80 0.80 0.80 0.81 0.80 0.81 0.82 0.82 0.83 0.83 0.84 0.6%1.64 1.65 1.66 1.67 1.68 1.69 1.71 1.73 1.76 1.77 1.79 1.80 -0.2%0.94 0.93 0.92 0.90 0.90 0.89 0.88 0.88 0.89 0.87 0.87 0.87 -0.5%0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -2.22 2.33 2.41 2.52 2.60 2.76 2.86 2.98 3.05 3.17 3.25 3.30 5.6%1.80 1.89 1.96 2.06 2.12 2.25 2.31 2.38 2.42 2.51 2.55 2.56 4.8%1.52 1.57 1.58 1.63 1.65 1.74 1.76 1.79 1.77 1.79 1.81 1.82 3.6%1.37 1.41 1.42 1.44 1.45 1.53 1.52 1.55 1.55 1.56 1.56 1.56 3.0%0.15 0.16 0.17 0.18 0.20 0.21 0.23 0.24 0.22 0.23 0.24 0.26 12.2%0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 7.1%0.12 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 0.13 5.2%0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -0.15 0.20 0.25 0.31 0.35 0.38 0.42 0.47 0.53 0.58 0.61 0.62 - -0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -0.10 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.22 0.25 0.29 0.32 0.36 0.39 0.43 0.47 - -0.32 0.31 0.29 0.27 0.26 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 0.27 6.6%
20.87 20.94 20.99 21.06 21.14 21.24 21.36 21.50 21.62 21.75 21.87 21.97 0.6%

2.34 2.33 2.31 2.29 2.28 2.27 2.26 2.25 2.24 2.23 2.21 2.19 0.1%0.54 0.60 0.62 0.67 0.70 0.82 0.83 0.86 0.82 0.84 0.83 0.83 26.2%8.92 8.89 8.91 8.90 8.94 8.87 8.94 8.99 9.09 9.15 9.23 9.31 0.1%1.67 1.68 1.69 1.69 1.70 1.71 1.72 1.73 1.73 1.74 1.74 1.75 0.9%0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.62 0.62 0.7%2.39 2.38 2.37 2.36 2.36 2.36 2.37 2.38 2.39 2.40 2.41 2.41 0.4%0.89 0.88 0.88 0.87 0.87 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.86 0.85 0.85 0.85 -0.8%4.96 4.94 4.91 4.88 4.86 4.84 4.84 4.84 4.84 4.83 4.82 4.80 0.5%

14.87 14.95 15.03 15.12 15.23 15.35 15.47 15.61 15.72 15.85 15.98 16.11 0.6%

0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.8%

20.93 20.98 21.03 21.09 21.18 21.26 21.39 21.52 21.63 21.75 21.86 21.97 0.6%

-0.06 -0.05 -0.04 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.03 -0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 - -

16.4 16.1 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 16.0 15.9 16.0 16.0 16.0 -0.4%88.8 90.0 90.2 90.0 90.0 90.1 90.3 90.1 90.7 90.5 90.7 91.0 0.4%45.1 44.9 44.8 44.4 44.0 43.6 43.5 43.3 42.5 42.3 42.4 42.9 -0.7%

349.58 354.97 358.69 361.69 361.94 365.44 366.91 369.44 366.76 369.12 373.07 382.21 2.5%