### I :\ballast\Icc\Icc runs 3-99\3-25-99 C rystal Ball Repo rt Simulation started on 3/25/99 at 10:19:59 Simulation stopped on 3/25/99 at 10:24:23



### Ssu tins 5/26/99 8:38 AM 

## Assumption-

. Commercial Electricity Dist. 11cc v -3 - 3-25-99.xIsJElec Price D ist , .036 a .Oa .018 -I
.-F11 .aoo , 1.29 I Can 97 Avg ® ec Price

11.72 2215 3257 43.00 

### 1 

## : Industr i 

## al Electr i 

## c i

## ty 

# Pri

# ce f;,-retc v4. 

### 3-3-25- 99-

### xIsiElec Price D

### ist - tr bial Price Dist

0.87 9.62 18.37 27.12 35.87



### Page 1 

### 1:\ballast\lcc\lcc runs 3-99\3-25-99


### - - 

### Crystal Ban 

## Report Simulation started on 3/25/99 

### at 10:19:59 

### Simulation stopped on 3/25/99 

### at 10:24:23 

## Assumptions 5/26/99 8:38 AM 

## Assumption: commercial Electricity Price Dist. [Icc v4.3-3-25-99.xlsJElec price Dist ' Com 97 Avg Sec Price .036 

# £' .CI lTZ! lie .CI (:) 

# ... .018 C. (jJ**.~** .COO 

# - of! (jJ 

### c::: .<XX) 1.29 11.72 22.15 32.57 43.00 

## Assumption: Industrial Electricity Price DiS'tkc_V4.3-3-25-99.xISJEleC price Dist, Industrial Price IJist .056 

## £' 

# :s .042 lie .CI (:) 

## ... .028 C. (jJ 

### > .014 :;::: lie (jJ 

### c::: .<XX) 0.87 9.62 1&37 27.12 35.87



### page 1

## Z abed

SFL8 969'9 L6I'17 8LEz



### ° 3-s, M J8 [sly °SZ°2°£° n X31] 11
(® I (I S ° ®r- ^! ® 

### I..^°CJr tip s£L'8 969 '9 L6t1 &L' I I
F 'LO'


### ° sl t . ,,_ ° l °^Z® X11 (®e 1) + _ '' °z9,o Wo Lb'o- 65os8D- L9' 914 r ZLb 

### a -1 [E - - - ° 317 0 r Lob' Iz



### 82 :8 66/9Z/S 66-SZ°2\66-2 sung ool\z)oI\lselleq\:I 1:\ballast\lcc\lcc runs 3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM - - Electricity Price [Icc _ V4.3-3-25=99.xlsJElec price Dist ' Epsilon .230**.~** .CI .172**~** .CI Cl ... .115 0.. Ii) :> .OS! :;::;**~** "ii3 c: .000 -0.85 .Q.51 .Q.17 0.18 0.52 Assumption: Oper .. Hr .. 1F40 (Com..) lice _ v4.3=3=25=99.xlsJOper Hr Dist = Oper. HI'-1F40 (Com) .. 143 ;§ .107 .CI**~** .CI Cl ... .071 0.. Q.)**.~** .036 -**~** Q.) c: .000 259 2,378 4.497 6,616 8,735 Assumption: oper" Hr .. 2F40 (Com..> Oper. HI' - 2F40 (Com) .143**~** :E .107**~** .CI Cl ... .071 0.. Q.) :> .036 :;::;**~** "ii3 c: .000 259 2,378 4.497 6.616 8,735 page 2

### I:\ballast\Icc\Icc runs 3-99\3-25-99



## Oper . 

## Hr - 2F96 (Comm) Llcc

Oper. It -2F96( )


## ASSumption: m Hr - 2F96 (Ind.) [Icc 4 .3-3-25-99-xGs] er Hr Dist - .138 a .104

.000 °- 147 Oper. It -2F96 Ord)

2146 4,146 6,145

m 

## oper . (Com 

## m) 5/26/99 8:38 AM

.3-3-25-99.xls'er Hr D ist -

8144 

### Ilcc v4 .3-3-25-99.x1s]per Hr Dist - .147
.074 .037 .000 209 er. It - 2F96HO (Goan)

2193 

# L111 ii ^^ ^_^

4,177 6,162 8,146



### Page 3 1:\ballast\lcc\lcc runs 3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM


### - - 

## Assumption: oper" Hr .. 2F96 (Com..) [Icc _

v4.3-3-25-99.xlsJOper HI" Dist - Oper..... - 2F96 (Com) .177

### ~ .Q .132**~** .Q 

# = ... .008 

### c.. (b) 

### > .044 :;::::**~** 

### a:; c:: .(XX) II I 

# I 

# I I 1.800 3.375 4.944 6.513 

## Assumption: Oper .. Hr .. 2F96 find,,} UCC_V4.3-3-25-99.xlsloper HI" Dist - C Oper..... - 2F96 Ond.) .138

### ~ .Q .104**~** .Q 

# = ... .000 

### c.. (b) 

### .;a: .035 

# -**~** 

### a:; c:: .(XX) 147 2,146 4.146 6, 145 8,144 

## Assumption: Oper .. Hr .. 2F96HO (Com..) [Icc _

v4.3-3-25-99.xlsJOper HI" Dist • Oper..... - 2F96HO (Com) .147

### ~ .Q .111**~** .Q 

# = ... .074 

### c.. a.l 

### > .em :;::::**~** 

### a:; c:: .oco 2ll 2,193 4.177 6.162 8,146

page 3

### I:\ballast\Icc\Icc rubs 3-99\3-25-99 [lee-V4.3-3-25- 99. '

.- .132 .099
.033 125 2130 4,136 8,147 

### 5/26/99 8:38 AM

flee v4m---99mxls] allast Life Dist last W e Disfbibudon (hr)

18,000 35,907 53,814 71,721 

## Assumption-. Incr. Price Dist 1F40 - T12 CC 89,628 

### flee v .3- 3-25-99exls1 allas rice NO Incr. R" 1 -T12



### Page 4 1:\ballast\lcc\lcc runs 3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM
- -



## .. 2F96HO Oper .....- 2F96HO Ond.) .132

# ~ .099 .Q till .Q 

# = Il... .066 

### c..**~ .~**  .033 

# - till "i3 

## a: .000 125 2,130 4.136 6.141 8.147 

# Assumption: Ballast Life Distribution {hr} [Icc V4.3-3-25-99.xlslBanast Life Dist Ballast Ufe Distribution (hr)

18,000 53,814 71.721 89.628 

# Assumption: Incr .. Price Dist 1F40 .. T12 CC lice v4.3-3-25-99.xlsIBaliast price Dis1 Incr. Price Dist 1F40 - 1'12 CC

$3.76 $5.30 $5.84 $8.38 $9.92
Page 4

### I:\ballast\Icc\Icc runs 3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM 

## Assumption-

. Incr. Price [Icc v&3- 3- 25-99.xlsl allast Price D isl

Incr. Price Dist 1F40 -712 ERB



### Ilcc v .3 - -25-99.x151 sliest Price D iSl ncr. Price Dist 1 F40 -18 ERS

$5. 18 

### sam 

## : Incr. Pri ce D i st Ilcc v4.3-3-25 -99.xlsI9allast Price Dist

truer. Price Dist 2F40 - 712 CC t



### Page 5 1:\ballast\lcc\lcc Juns _3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM



## .Assumption: Incr .. Price Dist 1F40 .. T12 ERS Ucc V4.3-3-25-99.xlsJBanast price Dis1 Incr. Price Dist 1F40 -1't2 ERS


## Assumption: Incr .. price Dist 1 F40 .. T8 ERS Ucc V4.3-3-25-99.xlsIBallast price Dis1 Incr. Price Dist 1F40 - 18 ERS


## Assumption: Incr. Price Dist 2F40 .. T12 CC lice v4.3-3-25-99.xlslBallast price Dis1 Incr. Price Dist 2F40 - 1't2 

### cc

$4.97 $3.04 $11.07 $13.11

page 

### 5

### 1e\ballast\Icc\Icc runs 3-99\3-25 - 99 5/26/99 8:38



### __ . ['cc v - -2 - .xis' allast Price D IM

L r 

### [lee v . - -25-99 .xls]allast P rice DISI



### O n 

# ione. Incr. Price t 3F4 -7 

# 12 ERS (

# W o n - T a n d e m w i

# red) [lee v4.3-3-25-99.xis]nallast Price Dist



### Page 6 1:\ballast\lcc\iCC Juns _3-99\3-25-99 

### 5/26/99 8:38 AM 

## 2 ERS lice V4.3-3-25-99.xlslsallast price Dis1 Incr. Price !lst2F4O - Tl2 ERS

$327 $8.84 $11.40 '$13.97 $16.53 

# Assumption: Incr" Price Dist 2F32 .. fS ERS [Icc v4.3-3-25-99.xlsIsanast price Dis1 Incr. Price !lst2F32 - 18 ERS

$4.60 $6.49 $8.37 $1025 $1214 

# Assumption: Incr .. price Dist 3F40 .. ,T12 ERS 

# {Non-Tandem Wired} (Bcc V4.3-3-2S-99.xISJBallast Price Dist Incr. Price !lst3F40 - Tl2 ERS

$5.76 $8.11 $10.47 $1283 $15.18

page 6

### I:\ballast\Icc\lcc runs 3-99\3-25-99 5 /26/99 8:38 AM 

## ASSUmption: Incr. Price Dist ' TS ERS ( ) Ilcc v4.3-3-25-99.xls] allast Price D ist Ire. Price Dist 3F32 -18 ERS
Ra 0

: 

## Incr. Price Dist 4F40 - 

## T12 ERS llcc v4.3-3-25-99.xls] allast P rice D ist I ncr. Price Dist4F40 -112 ERS

0 M. 

## Assumption: Incr. Price Dist 4F32 - TS ERS Ilcc v4.3-3-25 -99.x15]9allast Price Dist I ncr. Price Dist 4F32 -18 EIS

0 0 

## CL

Page 7 1:\ballast\lcc\ICc runs 3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM
- - 

# Assumption: Incr .. Price Dist 3F32 .. TS ERS 

# (Non"Tandem Wired) nee V4.3-3-2S-99.xlsIBaliast 

### price Dist Incr. Price Cist 3F32 - 18 ERS

(SB.84) ($4.94) ($4.D3) ($3.12) ($2.22) 

# Assumption: Incr .. Price Dist 4F40 .. T12 ERS [Icc v4.3-3-2S-99.xlslBaUast 

### price Dist Incr. Price Cist4F40 -"2 ERS

$).37 $17.03 $2186 $24.00 

# Assumption: Incr .. Price Dist 4F32 .. TS ERS [Icc V4.3-3-2S-99.xls1Banast 

### price Dist Incr. Price Cist 4F32 - 18 ERS

page 7

### I:\ballast\Icc\icc runs 3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM llcc v - - -2 - 9<xlsl all st P rice D ist



## T12 CC [Icc v4.3-3-25-9 - ls]allast Price ist Incr. 

### Price Dist 2 

### 1•D -112



### i [Icc v4.3-3-25 -99.1s] allast Price Dist

End of Assumptions
Page 8 1:\ballast\lcc\lcc Juns _3-99\3-25-99 5/26/99 8:38 AM 

## price Dist 2F96 .. 2IERS lice v4.3=3=25=99.xlsIBaliast price Dist Incr. Price Dist 2f96 - 1'12 ERS

$9.55 $13.46 $17.37 $21.28 $25.19 

## Assumption: Incr .. price Dist 2F96HO .. T12 CC lice _

V4.3-3-25-99.xlsJBallast price Dist Incr. Price Dist2f96HO -1'12 

### cc


## Assumption: Incr .. price Dist 2F96HO .. T12 ERS

$6.63 End 

### of Assumptions Incr. Price Dist2f96HO -1'12 ERS

$9.34 $1205 $14.70



### page 

### 8 

### [Icc V4.3-3-25-99.xlsJBanast price Dist

$17.47