10

- B

- i APPENDIX 10

- B. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE

USING ECONOMIC GROWTH SCEN ARIOS

TABLE OF CO NTENTS

10- B.1 INTRODUCTION

............................................................................................... 10-B-1

10- B.2 ROOM AIR CONDITIONER RESULTS USING ECONOM IC GROWTH

SCENARIOS

....................................................................................................... 10-B-1

10-B.2.1 Room Air Conditioner NES and NPV Results Using High Economic Growth

Scenario

................................................................................................................ 10-B-1

10- B. 2.2 Room Air Conditioner NES and NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth

Scenario

................................................................................................................ 10-B-3

10- B.3 ROOM AIR CONDITIONER RESULTS USING ECONOM IC GROWTH

SCENARIOS COMPARISON

............................................................................ 10-B-5

10-B.3.1 Room Air Conditioner National Energy Savings (NES) ..................................... 10-B-6

10-B.3.2 Room Air Conditioner Net Present Values (NPV) .............................................. 10-B-9

10- B.4 CLOTHES DRYER RESULTS USING ECONOMIC GROWTH

SCENARIOS

..................................................................................................... 10-B-11

10-B.4.1 Clothes Dryer NES an d NPV Results Using High Economic Growth Scenario 10-B-12

10-B.4.2 Clothes Dryer NES/NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario ...... 10-B-14

10- B.5 CLOTHES DRYER RESULTS USING ECONOMIC GROWTH

SCENARIOS COMPARISON

.......................................................................... 10-B-15

10-B.5.1 Clothes Dryer National Energy Savings (NES) ................................................. 10-B-16

10-B.5.2 Clothes Dryer Net Present Values (NPV)

.......................................................... 10-B-19

LIST OF TABLES

Table 10 -B.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 1 (High Growth) ............................... 10-B-1

Table 10 -B.2.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 2 (High Gro wth) ............................... 10-B-2

Table 10 -B.2.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 3 (High Growth) .............................. 10-B-2

Table 10 -B .2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 4 (High Growth) ............................... 10-B-2

Table 10 -B.2.5 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 5 (High Growth) ............................... 10-B-3

Table 10 -B.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 6 (High Growth) ............................... 10-B-3

Table 10 -B.2.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 1 (Low Growth) ................................ 10-B-3

Table 10 -B.2.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value

for Room Air Conditioners Group 2 (Low Growth) ................................ 10-B-4

Table 10 -B.2.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 3 (Low Growth) ................................ 10-B-410

- B

- ii Table 10 -B.2.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value

for Room Air Conditioners Group 4 (Low Growth) ................................ 10-B-4

Table 10 -B.2.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 5 (Low Growth) ................................ 10-B-5

Table 10 -B.2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Va lue for Room Air Conditioners Group 6 (Low Growth) ................................ 10-B-5

Table 10 -B.4.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Standard Clothes Dryers (High Growth) ............................ 10-B-12

Table 10 -B.4.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryers (High Growth) .................. 10-B-12

Table 10 -B.4.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryers (High Growth) .................. 10-B-12

Table 10 -B.4.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Gas Clothes Dryers (High Growth) .................................................. 10-B-13

Table 10 -B.4.5 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact Ventless 240V Clothes Dryers (High Growth) ... 10-B-13

Table 10 -B.4.6 Cumul ative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Combination Washer/Dryer (High Growth) ....................... 10-B-13

Table 10 -B.4.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Standard Clothes Dryers (Low Growth) ............................. 10-B-14

Ta ble 10-B.4.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryers (Low Growth) ................... 10-B-14

Table 10 -B.4.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryers (Low Growth) ................... 10-B-14

Table 10 -B.4.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Gas Clothes Dryers (Low Growth) .................................................. 10-B-15

Table 10 -B.4.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact Vent -less 240V Clothes Dryers (Low Growth) ... 10-B-15

Table 10 -B.4.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value

for Electric Vent -less Combination Washer/Dryer (Low Growth) ........ 10-B-15

LIST OF FIGURES

F igure 10 -B.3.1 Room Air Conditioners Group 1 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............ 10-B-6 Figure 10 -B.3.2 Room Air Conditioners Group 2 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............ 10-B-6 Figure 10 -B.3.3 Room Air Conditioners Group 3 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............ 10-B-7 Figure 10 -B.3.4 Room Air Conditioners Group 4 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............ 10-B-7 Figure 10 -B.3.5 Room Air Conditioners Group 5 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............ 10-B-8 Figu re 10 -B.3.6 Room Air Conditioners Group 6 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ............ 10-B-8 Figure 10 -B.3.7 Room Air Conditioners Group 1 Energy Price Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) ......................................................................................... 10-B-9 Figure 10 -B.3.8 Room Air Conditioners Group 2 Energy Price Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) ......................................................................................... 10-B-910

- B

- iii Figure 10 -B.3.9 Room Air Conditioners Group 3 Energy Price Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) ....................................................................................... 10-B-10 Figure 10 -B.3.10 Room Air Conditioners Group 4 Energy Price Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) ....................................................................................... 10-B-10 Figure 10 -B.3.11 Room Air Conditioners Group 5 Energy Price Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) ....................................................................................... 10-B-11 Figure 10 -B.3.12 Room Air Conditioners Group 6 Energy Price Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) ....................................................................................... 10-B-11 Figure 10 -B.5.1 Electric Standard Clothes Dryers Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ......... 10-B-16 Figure 10 -B.5.2 Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) . 10-B-16 Figure 10 -B.5.3 Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) . 10-B-17 Figure 10 -B.5.4 Gas Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ................................ 10-B-17 Figure 10 -B.5.5 Electric Compact 240V Vent

- less Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) ..................................................................................... 10-B-18 Figure 10 -B.5.6 Electric Combination Washer/Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) .... 10-B-18 Figure 10 -B.5.7 Electric Standard Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) ....................................................................................... 10-B-19 Figure 10 -B.5.8 Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) ................................................................................. 10-B-19 Figure 10 -B.5.9 Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) ................................................................................. 10-B-20 Figure 10 -B.5.10 Gas Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) . 10-B-20 Figure 10 -B.5.11 Electric Compact 240V Vent

- less Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) ..................................................... 10-B-21 Figure 10 -B.5.12 Electric Combination Washer/Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) ................................................................................. 10-B-2110

- B

- 1 APPENDIX 10

- B. NATIONAL ENERGY SAVINGS AND NET PRESENT VALUE USING

ECONOMIC GROWTH SCENARIOS

10

- B.1 INTRODUCTION

This appendix presents national energy savings (NES) and net present value (NPV)

results for alternative economic scenarios for room air con ditioners and clothes dryers. DOE explained the calculations of NES and NPV using the reference installation costs and the default energy price forecast in chapter 10, National Impact Analysis.

10

- B.2 ROOM AIR CONDITIONER RESULTS USING ECONOMIC GROWTH

SCENARIOS

For each room air conditioner product class, DOE calculated NES and NPV using energy price scenarios from the High and Low Economic Growth cases. The NES results are the same in each energy price scenario. As one would expect, the NPV is most favorable using prices in the High Growth scenario, and least favorable using prices in the Low Growth scenario.

10-B.2.1 Room Air Conditioner NES and NPV Results Using High Economic Growth

Scenario

Table 10-B.2.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value

for Room Air Conditioners Group 1 (High Growth)

Trial

Standard Level ( T SL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 10.10 0.08 0.15 0.42

2 10.60 0.08 0.15 0.42

3 10.10 0.05 0.13 0.31

4 11.10 0.13 0.02 0.34

5 11.10 0.13 0.02 0.34

6 11.67 0.17

- 1.33

- 1.7110

- B

- 2 Table 10-B.2.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 2 (High Growth)

Trial

Standard Level ( T SL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 10.70 0.11 0.48 0.98

2 10.70 0.14 0.25 0.72

3 10.90 0.08 0.23 0.53

4 10.90 0.23 0.04 0.58

5 11.50 0.23 0.04 0.58

6 11.96 0.29

- 2.27

- 2.93

Table 10-B.2.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 3 (High Growth)

Trial

Standard Level ( T SL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.40 0.001

- 0.003

- 0.002

2 9.40 0.11 0.20 0.58

3 8.47 0.06 0.18 0.42

4 9.40 0.18 0.03 0.47

5 8.47 0.18 0.03 0.47

6 10.15 0.23

- 1.82

- 2.35

Table 10-B.2.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 4 (High Growth)

Trial

Standard Level ( T SL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.40 0.00

- 0.01

- 0.01

2 9.40 0.08 0.15 0.42

3 8.48 0.05 0.13 0.31

4 9.00 0.13 0.02 0.34

5 8.48 0.13 0.02 0.34

6 9.80 0.17

- 1.33

- 1.7110

- B

- 3 Table 10-B.2.5 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 5 (High Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.30 0.01 0.03 0.05

2 9.30 0.09 0.17 0.47

3 9.60 0.05 0.15 0.35

4 9.60 0.15 0.03 0.38

5 10.00 0.15 0.03 0.38

6 10.35 0.19

- 1.49

- 1.92

Table 10-B.2.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 6 (High Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.30 0.00 0.01 0.03

2 9.30 0.09 0.17 0.48

3 9.50 0.05 0.15 0.35

4 9.50 0.15 0.03 0.38

5 9.50 0.15 0.03 0.38

6 10.02 0.19

- 1.49

- 1.93

10-B.2.2 Room Air Conditioner NES and NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth

Scenario

Table 10-B.2.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 1 (Low Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 10.10 0.08 0.09 0.30

2 10.60 0.08 0.09 0.30

3 10.10 0.05 0.10 0.24

4 11.10 0.13

- 0.07 0.14

5 11.10 0.13

- 0.07 0.14

6 11.67 0.17

- 1.45

- 1.9810

- B

- 4 Table 10-B.2.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 2 (Low Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 10.70 0.11 0.40 0.82

2 10.70 0.14 0.16 0.51

3 10.90 0.08 0.17 0.41

4 10.90 0.23

- 0.11 0.24

5 11.50 0.23

- 0.11 0.24

6 11.96 0.29

- 2.47

- 3.37

Table 10-B.2.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 3 (Low Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.40 0.001

- 0.003

- 0.004

2 9.40 0.11 0.13 0.41

3 8.47 0.06 0.14 0.33

4 9.40 0.18

- 0.09 0.19

5 8.47 0.18

- 0.09 0.19

6 10.15 0.23

- 1.98

- 2.71

Table 10-B.2.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 4 (Low Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.40 0.000

- 0.006

- 0.009

2 9.40 0.08 0.09 0.30

3 8.48 0.05 0.10 0.24

4 9.00 0.13

- 0.07 0.14

5 8.48 0.13

- 0.07 0.14

6 9.80 0.17

- 1.45

- 1.9810

- B

- 5 Table 10-B.2.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Room Air Conditioners Group 5 (Low Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.30 0.01 0.02 0.04

2 9.30 0.09 0.10 0.33

3 9.60 0.05 0.11 0.27

4 9.60 0.15

- 0.07 0.16

5 10.00 0.15

- 0.07 0.16

6 10.35 0.19

- 1.62

- 2.22

Table 10-B.2.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value

for Room Air Conditioners Group 6 (Low Growth)

Trial

Standard Level (TSL) CEER NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 9.30 0.004 0.011 0.021

2 9.30 0.09 0.10 0.33

3 9.50 0.05 0.11 0.27

4 9.50 0.15

- 0.07 0.16

5 9.50 0.15

- 0.07 0.16

6 10.02 0.19

- 1.63

- 2.22

10

- B.3 ROOM AIR CONDITIONER RESULTS USING ECONOMIC GROWTH

SCENARIOS COMPARISON

The following figures graphically display the NES and 7 percent NPV for all room air conditioner product classes under the low growth, the reference case, and the high growth economic growth scenarios. NES are not impacted by economic growth, so only one scenario is shown in the graphs.10

- B

- 6 10-B.3.1 Room Air Conditioner National Energy Savings (NES)

Figure 10 -B.3.1 Room Air Conditioners Group 1 Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

Figure 10 -B.3.2 Room Air Conditioners Group 2 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (quads)

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25 0.30 0.35

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (quads)10

- B

- 7 Figure 10 -B.3.3 Room Air Conditioners Group 3 Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

Figure 10 -B.3.4 Room Air Conditioners Group 4 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (quads)

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (quads)10

- B

- 8 Figure 10 -B.3.5 Room Air Conditioners Group 5 Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

Figure 10 -B.3.6 Room Air Conditioners Group 6 Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (quads)

0.00 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.20 0.25

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (quads)10

- B

- 9 10-B.3.2 Room Air Conditioner Net Present Values (NPV)

Figure 10 -B.3.7 Room Air Conditioners Group 1 Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV , 7% Discount Rate)

Figure 10 -B.3.8 Room Air Conditioners Group 2 Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) - 1.60 - 1.40 - 1.20 - 1.00 - 0.80 - 0.60 - 0.40 - 0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

- 3.00 - 2.50 - 2.00 - 1.50 - 1.00 - 0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 10 Figure 10 -B.3.9 Room Air Conditioners Group 3 Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate)

Figure 10 -B.3.10 Room Air Conditioners Group 4 Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate) - 2.50 - 2.00 - 1.50 - 1.00 - 0.50 0.00 0.50

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

- 1.60 - 1.40 - 1.20 - 1.00 - 0.80 - 0.60 - 0.40 - 0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 11 Figure 10 -B.3.11 Room Air Conditi oners Group 5 Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate)

Figure 10 -B.3.12 Room Air Conditioners Group 6 Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV, 7% Discount Rate)

10

- B.4 CLOTHES DRYER RESULT S USING ECONOMIC GROWTH

SCENARIOS

For each clothes dryer product class, DOE calculated NES and NPV using the high growth, reference case, and low growth economic growth scenarios. The NES results are the

same in each economic growth scenario. As one would expect, the NPV is most favorable using prices in the High Growth scenario, and least favorab le using prices in the Low Growth scenario. - 1.80 - 1.60 - 1.40 - 1.20 - 1.00 - 0.80 - 0.60 - 0.40 - 0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

- 1.80 - 1.60 - 1.40 - 1.20 - 1.00 - 0.80 - 0.60 - 0.40 - 0.20 0.00 0.20 0.40

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 12 10-B.4.1 Clothes Dryer NES and NPV Results Using High Economic Growth Scenario

Table 10-B.4.1 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Standard Clothes Dryers (High Growth)

Trial Standard

Level ( T SL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.56 0.00 0.00 0.01

2 3.61 0.04 0.19 0.46

3 3.73 0.37 1.20 3.28

4 3.73 0.37 1.20 3.28

5 4.08 1.37

- 0.76 3.33

6 5.42 3.15

- 4.47 3.01

Table 10-B.4.2 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryers (High Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.43 0.000 0.00 0.00

2 3.61 0.001 0.00 0.01

3 3.61 0.001 0.00 0.01

4 3.61 0.001 0.00 0.01

5 4.08 0.002

- 0.01

- 0.01

6 5.41 0.004

- 0.02

- 0.03

Table 10-B.4.3 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryers (High Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$)

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.12 0.000 0.00 0.00

2 3.27 0.001 0.01 0.02

3 3.27 0.001 0.01 0.02

4 3.27 0.001 0.01 0.02

5 3.60 0.006

- 0.05

- 0.07

6 4.89 0.017

- 0.10

- 0.1210

- B

- 13 Table 10-B.4.4 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Gas Clothes Dryers (High Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.16 0.00 0.01 0.02

2 3.20 0.01 0.04 0.11

3 3.20 0.01 0.04 0.11

4 3.30 0.04 0.07 0.26

5 3.61 0.18

- 1.52

- 1.91

6 3.61 0.18

- 1.52

- 1.91

Table 10-B.4.5 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact Ventless 240V Clothes Dryers (High Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 2.55 0.000 0.00 0.00

2 2.69 0.002 0.01 0.02

3 2.69 0.002 0.01 0.02

4 2.55 0.000 0.00 0.00

5 2.80 0.004

- 0.01

- 0.01

6 4.03 0.017

- 0.05

- 0.03

Table 10-B.4.6 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Combination Washer/Dryer (High Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 2.08 0.00 0.00 0.00

2 2.56 0.01 0.04 0.10

3 2.56 0.01 0.04 0.10

4 2.08 0.00 0.00 0.00

5 2.56 0.01 0.04 0.10

6 3.69 0.03

- 0.04 0.0210

- B

- 14 10-B.4.2 Clothes Dryer NES/NPV Results Using Low Economic Growth Scenario

Table 10-B.4.7 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Standard Clothes Dryers (Low Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.56 0.00 0.00 0.01

2 3.61 0.04 0.15 0.34

3 3.73 0.32 0.85 2.29

4 3.73 0.32 0.85 2.29

5 4.08 1.17

- 1.38 0.95

6 5.42 2.70

- 5.53

- 1.82

Table 10-B.4.8 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryers (Low Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.43 0.000 0.00 0.00

2 3.61 0.000 0.00 0.00

3 3.61 0.000 0.00 0.00

4 3.61 0.000 0.00 0.00

5 4.08 0.002

- 0.01

- 0.01

6 5.41 0.003

- 0.02

- 0.03

Table 10-B.4.9 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryers (Low Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$)

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.12 0.000 0.00 0.00

2 3.27 0.001 0.00 0.01

3 3.27 0.001 0.00 0.01

4 3.27 0.001 0.00 0.01

5 3.60 0.005

- 0.05

- 0.07

6 4.89 0.015

- 0.10

- 0.1210

- B

- 15 Table 10-B.4.10 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Gas Clothes Dryers (Low Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 3.16 0.00 0.00 0.01

2 3.20 0.01 0.03 0.08

3 3.20 0.01 0.03 0.08

4 3.30 0.04 0.04 0.17

5 3.61 0.15

- 1.43

- 1.91

6 3.61 0.15

- 1.43

- 1.91

Table 10-B.4.11 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value for Electric Compact Vent -less 240V Clothes Dryers (Low Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 2.55 0.000 0.00 0.00

2 2.69 0.002 0.01 0.02

3 2.69 0.002 0.01 0.02

4 2.55 0.000 0.00 0.00

5 2.80 0.003

- 0.01

- 0.01

6 4.03 0.014

- 0.05

- 0.05

Table 10-B.4.12 Cumulative National Energy Savings and Consumer Net Present Value

for Electric Vent

- less Combination Washer/Dryer (Low Growth)

Trial Standard

Level (TSL) Efficiency

Level ( CEF ) NES (Quads) NPV (billion 2009$ )

7% Discount

Rate 3% Discount

Rate

1 2.08 0.000 0.00 0.00

2 2.56 0.010 0.03 0.07

3 2.56 0.010 0.03 0.07

4 2.08 0.000 0.00 0.00

5 2.56 0.010 0.03 0.07

6 3.69 0.021

- 0.05

- 0.02

10

- B.5 CLOTHES DRYER RESULTS USING ECONOMIC GROWTH

SCENARIOS COMPARISON

The following figures graphically display the NES and 7 percent NPV for all clothes dryer product classes under the low growth, the reference case, and the high growth energy price

scenarios.10

- B

- 16 10-B.5.1 Clothes Dryer National Energy Savings (NES)

Figure 10 -B.5.1 Electric Standard Clothes Dryers Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

Figure 10 -B.5.2 Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (Quads)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

0.000 0.001 0.001 0.002 0.002 0.003 0.003 0.004 0.004

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (Quads)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 17 Figure 10 -B.5.3 Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

Figure 10 -B.5.4 Gas Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 0.000 0.002 0.004 0.006 0.008 0.010 0.012 0.014 0.016 0.018 0.020

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (Quads)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

0.00 0.02 0.04 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.20

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (Quads)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 18 Figure 10 -B.5.5 Electric Compact 240V Vent

- less Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES)

Figure 10 -B.5.6 Electric Combination Washer/Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NES) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (Quads)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

0.000 0.005 0.010 0.015 0.020 0.025 0.030

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Source Energy Savings (Quads)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 19 10-B.5.2 Clothes Dryer Net Present Values (NPV)

Figure 10 -B.5.7 Electric Standard Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV ; 7% Discount Rate )

Figure 10 -B.5.8 Electric Compact 120V Clothes Dryer Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) - 6.0 - 5.0 - 4.0 - 3.0 - 2.0 - 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

- 0.030 - 0.025 - 0.020 - 0.015 - 0.010 - 0.005 0.000 0.005

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 20 Figure 10 -B.5.9 Electric Compact 240V Clothes Dryer Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate)

Figure 10 -B.5.10 Gas Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) - 0.12 - 0.10 - 0.08 - 0.06 - 0.04 - 0.02 0.00 0.02

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

- 1.8 - 1.6 - 1.4 - 1.2 - 1.0 - 0.8 - 0.6 - 0.4 - 0.2 0.0 0.2

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth10

- B

- 21 Figure 10 -B.5.11 Electric Compact 240V Vent

- less Clothes Dryer Energy Price Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate)

Figure 10 -B.5.12 Electric Combination Washer/Dryer Energy Price

Scenarios (NPV; 7% Discount Rate) - 0.06 - 0.05 - 0.04 - 0.03 - 0.02 - 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth

- 0.06 - 0.05 - 0.04 - 0.03 - 0.02 - 0.01 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05

TSL 1 TSL 2 TSL 3 TSL 4 TSL 5 TSL 6Net Present Value (Billion 2009$)

Reference

Low Growth

High Growth