# OAR Box 

# 1828

Prepped by Ollie Stewart



### Document

Number: 

# 324 ) IV-B-2 8
Docket Number: 

# A-83-2 7

Printed 11/12/200811:13:00AM Sheet 324 of 325P. 2



### ' K 

# RADIA N A - A 3 - 9 7

CORPORATIO N

J^** » ^ i

'» • f

I IV-B-28 -
MEMORANDU

M

DATE : Augus t 15 , 198 7
TO : Walte r H . Stevenso nan d Fre dL . Porter , EPA/OAQPS/SD B FROM : Davi dM . White , Radia nCorporatio n SUBJ : Alternativ e Estimate s o f Nationa l Impact s Base don Steam Generatin g Uni t Sale s Dat a

1. 0 INTRODUCTIO N

1. 1 IFCA

M

A t bot hproposa l an

d promulgation , estimate s o f nationa l economi c an d emissio nimpact s associate dwit hth e sulfu r dioxid e (S0 2 ) NSP S fo r industrial-commercial-institutiona l stea m generatin g unit s wer e base do n 1 2 projection s mad e b

y th e Industria l Fue l Choic e Analysi s Mode l (IFCAM) . ' IFCA M i s a n energ y deman dmode l develope dt o evaluat e industria l stea m generatin g uni t fue l choic e decision s amon g coal , oil , an d natura l gas . Th e populatio no f ne w

industria l stea

m generatin g unit s i s projecte di n IFCA M an dthe nfo r eac hnew

stea m generatin g uni t th e tota l cos t o f firin g alternativ e fossi l fuels , includin g th e cost s impose db y environmenta l regulations , i s compare don a n after-ta xdiscounte dcas hflow basi s ove r a 15-yea r investmen t period . Thi s allow s IFCA M t o selec t th e lowes t cos t combinatio no f fossi l fue l an d emissio ncontro l system fo r eac hne w

stea m generatin g unit . Thes e result s ar e the naggregate dt o yiel dfive-yea r nationa l projection s o f fossi l fue l consumption , capita l an d annualize d costs , sulfu r dioxid e emissions , an d soli dan

d liqui dwaste s generate di n respons e t o environmenta l regulation s impose do n new stea m generatin g units . Th e magnitud e o f th e economic , environmental , an d energ y impact s projecte db

y IFCA M in respons e t o alternativ e regulation s i s a functio no f two majo r variables . Thes e ar e th e numbe r o f ne w fossi l fuel-fire d steam generatin g unit s an

d th e typ e o f fue l selecte dfo r eac ho f thes e steam generatin g units .P. 3

Th e projecte dnumbe r o f ne w industria l steam

generatin g unit s i s a functio no f th e projecte dgrowt hinindustria l fossi l fue l energ y deman d betwee n198 5 an

d199 0 presente din"Annua l Energ y Outloo k 1983, " issue db y th e Departmen t o f Energy . Base donthi s tota l industria l energ y demand , IFCA M project s fossi l fue l us e b y new industria l stea

m generatin g unit s wit h
a hea t inpu t capacit y o f mor e tha n10 0 millio nBtu/hou r ove r a five-yea r perio dt o b e abou t 49 8 trillio nBtu/year . Thi s compare s t o tota l industria l fossi l fue l energ y

consumptio nin198 2 o f abou t 17. 3 quadrillio nBtu , o f whic habou t 7. 0 quadrillio nBt u wer e consume d b y existin g industria l steam * generatin g units . Base donthi s projecte dfossi l fue l energ y demand , IFCA

M project s constructio no f abou t 60 0 new coal- , oil - an

dgas-fire dindustria l stea m generatin g unit s wit ha hea t inpu t capacit y greate r tha n10 0 millio n Btu/hour . Th e typ e o f fossi l fue l selecte d(i.e. , coal , oil , o r gas ) fo r eac hne w steam generatin g uni t inIFCA M i s a functio no f fue l cost s (i.e. , projecte d price s fo r coal , oil , an dnatura l gas) , capita l an dnon-fue l steam generatin g uni t costs , an dth e cost s impose db y regulation s limitin g S0 2 emission s fro

m combustio no f coa l o r oil . Tota l annualize dcost s ar e calculate db

y IFCA M usin g (1 ) algorithm s t o estimat e capita l an doperatin g cost s fo r steam

generatin g unit s o f differen t sizes , fue l types , an d capacit y factors , an

d(2 ) recen t fue l pric e forecast s fo r coal , oil , an d natura l ga s ineac ho f th e te nFedera l regions . Sinc e IFCA M select s th e lowes t cos t combinatio no f fossi l fue l an demission s contro l system fo r eac h
ne w stea m generatin g unit , a key featur e o f IFCA

M i s tha t i t allow s explici t evaluatio no f "fue l switching " fro m coa l o r oi l t o natura l ga s fo r complianc e wit halternativ e S0 2 emissio nstandards .
1. 2 Alternativ e Methodolog y
Durin g th e publi c commen t perio do nth e propose dregulation , severa l commenter s state dtha t IFCA M overestimate s bot hth e numbe r o f new fossi l fuel-fire d steam

generatin g unit s t o b e buil t an d th e numbe r o f thes e unit s tha t woul dfue l switc hi nrespons e t o a nNSP S fo r S0 2 . Commenter s suggeste d

49 8 trillio nBt u= 0.00049 8 quadrillio nBtu .P. 4

fue l switching , a s allowe db y IFCAM , mask s th e tru e cos t an dcost effectivenes s o f th e NSP S b y selectin g a les s expensiv e contro l optio n(fue l switching ) tha t show s mor e S0 2 emission s reductio ntha ni f post-combustio n flu e ga s desulfurizatio n(FGD ) technolog y wa s applied . Thi s mem o addresse s thes e comment s b

y presentin g result s o f a nalternat e analytica l methodolog y fo r projectin g th e emission s reductions , costs , an dcost-effectivenes s o f S 0 2 standards . Th e alternativ e methodolog y i s les s refine d tha nIFCA M an d i s base do

n two ke y simplifyin g assumptions : (1 ) th e same numbe r an d typ e o f steam generatin g unit s buil t ove r th e pas t fiv e year s wil l b e buil t inth e nex t fiv e years ; and(2 ) th e same amoun t o f coal , oil , an dnatura l ga s fire din new steam generatin g unit s buil t ove r th e pas t fiv e year s wil l b e fire din new steam generatin g unit s buil t inth e nex t fiv e years . Becaus e o f thes e assumptions , fue l switchin g fro m coa l o r oi l t o natura l ga s inrespons e t o S0 2 standard s i s no t allowe dt o occur . Thus , a new stea m generatin g uni t projecte dt o fir e coa l o r oi l inth e absenc e o f S0 2 standards , i s projecte d t o continu e firin g coa l o r oi l followin g adoptio no f S0 2 standards , eve ni f firin g natura l ga s woul dhav e bee nles s expensive . Finally , thi s alternativ e methodolog y doe s no t conside r region-specifi c cos t dat a a s i s don e i nIFCAM . Alternativ e S0 2 standard s addresse dinthi s pape r include :

o Alternativ e A--n o standar d (emissio nlimit s o f 2. 5 lb s S0 2 /millio n Bt ufo r coal-fire d unit s o f les s tha n25 0 millio nBtu/hou r hea t inpu t capacity , 1. 2 lbs/millio nBt ufo r coal-fire d unit s large r tha n25 0 millio nBtu/hou r hea t inpu t capacity , an d3. 0 lbs/millio nBt ufo r al l oil-fire dunit s ar e assumed) ,

o Alternativ e B--establis ha nemissio nlimi t base d onus e o f low sulfu r fuel s (equa l t o 1. 2 lb s S0 2 /millio nBt ufo r coa l an d0. 8 lbs/millio n Bt ufo r oil) ,

o Alternativ e C--establis ha nemissio nlimi t base donus e o f lowe r sulfu r fuel s (equa l t o 1. 2 lb s S0 2 /millio nBt ufo r coa l and0. 3 lbs/millio nBt ufo r oil) ,P. 5

o Alternativ e D--requir e us e o f 9 0 percen t S0 2 remova l technolog y fo r coal - an doil-fire dunits , bu t exemp t fro m percen t reductio nunit s wit ha nannua l capacit y

facto r o f 3 0 percen t o r les s (thes e unit s woul db e require dt o mee t th e emissio nlimit s inAlternativ e C) , an d

o Alternativ e E--requir e us e o f 9 0 percen t S0 2 remova l technolog y fo r coal - an doil-fire dunit s withou t an y exemptions .
2. 0 FOSSI L FUEL-FIRE D UNI T DAT A SOURCE S

2. 1 Steam

Generatin g Uni t Sale s

Th e alternat e methodolog y assume s installation s o f fossi l fuel-fire d steam generatin g unit s durin g th e nex t fiv e year s wil l be a t th e same rat e a s th e pas t fiv e year s (i.e. , 1982-1986) . Historica l dat a coverin g sale s o f industria l steam

generatin g unit s firin g coal , oil , an dnatura l ga s a s thei r primar y fue l durin g thi s perio dwer e provide db y th e America nBoile r Manufacturer s Associatio n(ABMA) . Summar y statistic s fo r thes e fuel s b y numbe r o f unit s an

dcapacit y

ar e show

ninTabl e 1 . Th e sale s dat a show s coal-fire d unit s predominan t wit h4 4 percen t o f stea m generatin g uni t sale s b y numbe r an

d5 7 percen t o f steam generatin g uni t capacity . Coa l i s followe db

y natura l ga s whic hrepresent s 2 9 percen t o f th e steam generatin g unit s b y numbe r an

d2 1 percen t o f stea

m generatin g uni t capacity .
2. 2 Uni t Capacit y

Factor s

Th e ABM A sale s dat a inSectio n2. 1 provide s informatio nonth e number , size , andfuel s fire dinnew stea m generatin g unit s sol dinth e pas t fiv e years . Thi s dat a wa s supplemente dwit hoperatin g informatio nfro m a recen t 3 * EP A surve y t o determin e typica l uni t annua l capacit y factors . Becaus e o f th e larg e rang e incoal-fire d stea m generatin g uni t size s covere db y th e surve y (100-1,00 0 millio nBtu/hou r hea t inpu t capacity) , coal-fire d unit s

* Annua l capacit y

facto r - (Btu/y r o f fossi l fue l fired )

(Btu/h r nameplat e capacity ) x(876 0 hrs/year )P. 6

TABL E 1 . STEA

M GENERATINGUNI T SALE S STATISTIC S FOR1982-1986 *

No . o f Unit s Tota l Capacit y (billio nBtu/hr ) Averag e Uni t Siz e (millio nBtu/hr )
Percen t o f Unit s Percen t o f Capacit y Coa l 

### 98 26. 4


### 27 0

44. 1 57. 1 

### Oi

l 6 0 10. 2


### 17 1

27. 0 22. 1 

### Ga

s 6 4 9. 6
14 9

28. 8 20. 8 Tota l

Fossi l Fue l 

### 22 2 46. 2


### 208
10 0 10 0

* Base donABM

A sale s dat a

wer e divide dint o two subsets : smal l unit s (100-25 0 millio nBtu/hou r hea t inpu t capacity ) an

dlarg e unit s (large r tha n25 0 millio nBtu/hour) . Oil-fire dunit s ar e generall y smalle r tha n25 0 millio nBtu/hou r an dwer e handle da s a singl e siz e category . Th e capacit y

facto r dat a fo r coal - an doil-fire dunit s i neac hsiz e categor y wer e aggregate dint o thre e capacit y facto r groupings : unit s wit h capacit y factor s o f les s tha n3 0 percent , 3 0 t o 4 5 percent , an dgreate r tha n 4 5 percent . Th e steam generatin g unit s exhibitin g th e highes t capacit y facto r wer e larg e coal-fire d unit s (>25 0 millio nBtu/hr ) wit ha naverag e capacit y facto r o f 6 9 percent , followe db y smal l coal-fire d unit s (100-25 0 millio nBtu/hr ) wit ha naverag e capacit y

facto r o f 6 4 percent , an d oil-fire d unit s wit hanaverag e capacit y facto r o f 3 8 percent . Averag e capacit y factor s withi neac ho f thes e fuel , size , an dcapacit y

facto r categorie s ar e show ninTabl e 2 . Becaus e natura l gas-fire d unit s ar e no t covere d b y th e S 0 2 standard , capacit y facto r dat a fo r thes e unit s wer e no t compiled .P. 7

TABL E 2 . AVERAG E ANNUA L UNI T CAPACIT YFACTO R(% ) B YFUE L AN D UNI T SIZ E

Fuel-Fire d (Uni t Size ) Annua l Capacit y Facto r Rang e (% ) 0-3 0 30-4 5 45-10 0 Overal l
Coa l (100-25 0 millio nBtu/hr ) Coa l (>25 0 millio nBtu/hr ) Oi l (al l sizes ) 9 3 7 7 4 1 9 3 8 8 4 1 2 3 3 6 2 6 4 6 9 3 8

* 3 Base do nSurve y

o f Ne w Industria l Boile r Projects . 2. 3 Annualize dCost s an dEmission s fo r Typica l Unit s
Estimate s o f annualize dcost s an demission s fo r individua l unit s wer e take nfro

m analyse s o f coal - an d oil-fire dstea

m generatin g unit s usin g 4 recen t fue l pric e forecasts . Typica l uni t size s use dinth e analysi s wer e 15 0 an d40 0 millio nBtu/hou r hea t inpu t fo r coal-fire d unit s an d 15 0 millio n Btu/hou r fo r oil-fire dunits . Regio nV wa s assume dt o b e representativ e o f al l te nEPA

regions ; therefore , cos t an demissio nestimate s wer e base do n fue l qualit y

an dcost s inRegio nV .
3. 0 METHODOLOG YFORFOSSI L FUEL-FIRE D UNIT S

3. 1 Estimatio no f Steam Generatin g Uni t Populatio n

Th e fossi l fuel-fire d stea m generatin g uni t populatio nuse db y th e alternativ e mode l wa s derive dfro m th e abov e dat a base d onth e tota l steam generatin g capacit y

i neac ho f th e subcategorie s define dby :

o o steam

generatin g uni t siz e (100-25 0 an d>25 0 millio nBtu/hou r fo r coal , >10 0 millio nBtu/hou r fo r oil) , fue l typ e (coa l an

doil) , an

d capacit y facto r (<30 , 30-45 , an d>4 5 percent) .P. 8

Th e projecte dcoal-fire d stea m generatin g uni t populatio nwa s divide d betwee nsmal l unit s (15 0 millio nBtu/hour ) an dlarg e unit s (40 0 millio n Btu/hour ) s o a s t o hav e th e averag e siz e o f al l coal-fire d unit s equa l th e ABM A sale s averag e o f 27 0 millio nBtu/hour . Th e numbe r o f stea m generatin g unit s i neac hcategor y i s base donth e tota l generatin g capacit y divide db

y typica l uni t siz e o f th e category . Tabl e 3 show s th e numbe r o f unit s an d tota l steam

generatin g capacit y i neac hfuel , size , an dcapacit y

facto r categor y use dfo r th e analysis . Th e tota l o f 22 9 fossi l fuel-fire d unit s (9 7 coal , 6 8 oil , an

d6 4 gas ) use dinth e alternativ e analysi s i s les s tha n hal f o f th e 60 4 ne w

unit s projecte db

y IFCAM .
3. 2 Estimatio no f Annualize dCost s an d Emission s fo r Individua l Unit s

Th e cos t an

demissio ndat a reference di nSectio n2. 3 wer e calculate d usin g th e Industria l Boile r Cos t (IBCOST ) algorithm s fo r "typical " steam generatin g unit s operatin g a t selecte dcapacit y factors . T o simplif y th e calculatio no f cost s an demission s a t othe r capacit y factors , th e cos t an d emission s estimate s obtaine dfro m IBCOS T fo r typica l coal - an doil-fire d unit s wer e converte dint o linea r equation s o f th e for m y=mx+b . Th e resultin g equation s wer e the nuse dt o calculat e a unit' s tota l annua l cos t (y* ) base do nit s capacit y facto r (x) , variabl e cos t (m*) , an dfixe dcos t (b*) . Similarly , th e unit' s annua l emission s ( y ) wer e estimate dbase don it s capacit y

facto r (x ) an

demissio nrat e ( m

) ; becaus e a uni t ha s zer o emission s whe ni t i s no t operatin g (i.e. , x= 0 percent) , th e valu e o f bi s zero . Th e calculate dvalu e o f b* , ITU , an dm fo r eac hsteam

generatin g uni t siz e an dfue l an

dregulator y

alternativ e ar e show ni nTabl e 4 . Th e resultin g value s o f y * an dy ar e i nmillio ndollar s an dton s o f S0 2 pe r year .

3. 3 Estimatio no f Nationa l Annualize dCost s an dEmission s
Nationa l annualize dcost s an demission s fo r a give nregulator y alternativ e wer e calculate db y combinin g th e projecte dnationa l stea m generatin g uni t populatio n(Tabl e 3) , capacit y factor s (Tabl e 2) , an dannua lP. 9



### TABL E 3 . MODELE D STEA

M GENERATINGUNI T STATISTIC S

No . o f Unit s

Tota l Capacit

y (millio n Btu/hr ) Annua l

Capacit y Factor(% )

<3 0 30-4 5 >4 5 Al l
<3 0 30-4 5 >4 5 

### Al l Smal l

Coal Unit s
5 5 4 3
5 3
75 0 75 0 6,45 0 7,95 0 Larg

e Coal Unit s .
4 9 3 1
4 4 1,60 0 3,60 0 12,40 0 17,60 0 Al l

Coal Unit s
9 1 4 7 4
9 7 2,35 0 4,35 0 18,85 0 25,55 0 Al l

Oi l Unit s
2 4 1 4 3 0
6 8 3,60 0 2,10 0 4,50 0 10,20 0



### TABL E 4 . PARAMETE RVALUE S USE D T O CALCULAT E COS T AND EMISSION S

Uni t Siz e an

d Fue l

15 0 MMBtu/h

r Coa l

40 0 MMBtu/h

r Coa l

15 0 MMBtu/h

r Oi l Regulator y Alternativ

e

2. 5 1. 2 FG D
1. 2 FG D 3. 0 0. 8 0. 3 FG D Cos t

b $

3.20 5 3.20 5 3.71 7
7.29 0 8.00 7 0.92 0 0.92 0 0.92 0 1.38 0 Parameter s

m $

0.0444 4 0.0466 7 0.0492 2
0.1244 5 0.1277 1 0.0418 2 0.0476 4 0.0541 5 0.0493 5 Emission s

m 

### e
13.8 0 7.1 0 1.4 3
16.8 2 3.8 0
21.3 1 5.6 9 2.1 3 0.4 4P.1 0



### cost s an demission s fro

m individua l stea

m generatin g unit s (Tabl e 4) . Th e formul a fo r calculatin g cos t fo r a singl e stea m generatin g uni t categor y is :

Y * = n(m* x+ b $ 

### )

where : Y * = tota l annualize dcos t fo r al l unit s ina categor y (millio n dollar s pe r year) , n= numbe r o f unit s ina categor y (fro m Tabl e 3) , nu= variabl e cos t pe r uni t (fro m Tabl e 4 ) (millio ndollars/yea r - % capacit y factor) , x= capacit y

facto r inpercen t (fro

m Tabl e 2) , an

d b * = fixe dcos t pe r uni t (fro m Tabl e 4 ) (millio ndollars/year) . Th e formul a fo r calculatin g emission s fo r a singl e stea m generatin g uni t categor y is : Y e 

### = n(m e 

### x )

where : Y= tota l annualize demission s fo r al l unit s ina category , an d m = emissio nrat e pe r uni t (fro m Tabl e 4 ) (to

nS0 2 

### /yea r - %

capacit y factor) . Th e tota l nationa l cos t an demission s fo r al l unit s ar e obtaine db y summin g th e total s fo r eac hcategor y a s follows .

nn Cos t = £ Y t 

### . Emission s = £ Y. 1= 1 $ 1 

### i= l e i


### 4. 0 ANALYSI S O F MIXE D FUEL-FIRE D UNIT S

IFCA M project s cos t an

demissio nimpact s fo r onl y fossi l fuel-fire d stea m generatin g units . T o estimat e th e nationa l impac t o f alternat e NSP S onal l steam

generatin g unit s covere db y th e NSPS , a separat e analysi s o fP.1 1

fuel-fire duni t analysi s wer e the nadde d t o th e IFCA M result s t o estimat e tota l nationa l impacts . Th e mixe dfuel-fire d uni t impact s tha t wer e adde d t o IFCA M result s wer e base donestimate s provide db y th e woo dindustr y

fo r unit s firin g mixture s o f woo dandfossi l fuels . Base do nthes e data , i t wa s estimate dtha t 3 5 mixe dfuel-fire d unit s woul dbe built . Th e fue l mixture s inthes e unit s rang e fro

m 2 0 percen t nonfossi l fuel/8 0 percen t fossi l fue l t o 8 0 percen t nonfossi l fuel/2 0 percent fossi l fuel . Consisten t wit hth e alternativ e analysi s o f fossi l fuel-fire dunit s discusse dabove , recen t sale s dat a onmixe dfuel-fire d unit s wer e als o examined . Revie w

o f dat a fro

m ABM A an dth e EPA

Boile r Replacemen t Surve y identifie dte nwood/coal-fire d unit s ordere dbetwee n198 1 an d1985 . Th e percent woo dfire dinthes e unit s range dfro m 6 t o 8 0 percent . Revie w o f dat a o nwood/oil-fire dboiler s indicate d tha t thes e unit s us e ver y littl e oil ; therefore , thes e unit s wer e droppe dfro m furthe r analysis . Fo r us e inth e alternativ e analysis , th e te nwood/coal-fire d unit s wer e subdivide dint o two siz e an dthre e capacit y

facto r categorie s a s show ni n Tabl e 5 base donavailabl e dat a an dsubjectiv e judgment . Becaus e th e averag e capacit y

factor s use dinth e alternativ e analysi s wer e th e same a s thos e use di nth e recen t revie w o f mixe d fuel-fire d units , cost s an d emission s fo r eac hsiz e an dcapacit y

facto r categor y

wer e take ndirectl y fro m thi s recen t revie w

o f mixe dfuel-fire d unit s (i.e. , us e o f linea r equation s wa s no t required) .

TABL E 5 . DISTRIBUTIO N O F MIXE D FUEL-FIRE D UNIT S B YSIZ E AN D CAPACIT YFACTO R

-

No . o f Unit s Annua l

Fossi l Fue l Capacit y Facto r Rang e (% ) 

### <30 30-4 5 

### >4 5 Averag e

Annua l Fossi l Fue l Capacit y Facto r (% ) 

### 1 2 3 0 4 8 Numbe r

Smal l Unit s 15 0 MMBtu/h r 

### 2 2 1 o f Unit s

Larg e Unit s 40 0 MMBtu/h r 

### 1 2 2

1 0P.1 2

5. 0 CALCULATIO N

O F NATIONA L IMPACT S

Th e alternativ e methodolog y previousl y

discusse d fo r fossi l fuel-fire d
an dmixe dfuel-fire dunit s wer e adde d togethe r an duse dt o estimat e nationa l impact s associate dwit halternativ e regulator y standards . T o reduc e calculatin g time , th e dat a an dequation s fo r bot hfossil - an dmixe d fuel-fire d unit s wer e entere dint o a computerize dspreadshee t program . A se t o f decisio ncommand s wer e inserte dint o th e spreadshee t t o allow automati c recalculatio no f cos t an demissio ntotal s under alternat e regulator y

options . Th e inpu t listin g t o th e spreadshee t fo r Alternativ e D i s show ni nTabl e 6 . Th e outpu t fro

m th e computerize dspreadshee t i s a listin g o f summar y statistic s detailin g th e tota l numbe r o f units , stea m generatin g capacity , Bt ufired , averag e capacit y factor , annualize dcost , annua l emissions , an d
annua l wast e disposa l quantitie s fo r eac hfue l type . Th e cost s an d emission s fo r al l fuel s ar e the ntotale dt o calculat e nationa l impacts . A sampl e outpu t fo r Alternativ e D i s presente di nTabl e 7 . Th e nationa l impact s estimate dfo r eac ho f th e fiv e regulator y alternative s wer e the ntallie d ina separat e spreadshee t t o calculat e averag e an

dincrementa l cos t effectivenes s value s fo r eac halternative . Th e resultin g estimate s o f nationa l costs , emissio nreductions , averag e C E values , an

dincrementa l C E value s fo r fossi l fuel - an dmixe dfuel-fire d stea m generatin g unit s separatel y an dincombinatio nar e presente din Tabl e 8 .



### 1 1TABLE 6
. INPU T VALUE S USED I N NATIONAL IMPAC T ANALYSI S BASED O N BOILE R SALE

S (Alternativ e D )

BOILE R DISTRIBUTIO N DAT A Typ e LSO

= 0. 3 dis t CF Cutoff = 3 0
Cas e ID

C-150CV ) C-150CV ) C-150(V ) C-400CV ) C-400(V ) C-400(V ) 0-150(V ) 0-150(V ) 0-150(V ) G-150(V ) G-150(V ) G-150(V ) M-150(V ) M-150(V ) M-150(V ) M-400(V ) M-400(V ) M-400(V )
TOTA L Fossi l MF F # Unit s

5

5 4 3 4 9 3 1 2 4 1 4 3 0 6 4 0 0 2 2 1 1 2 2 23 9 22 9 1 0 Tota l Capacit y 75 0 75 0 645 0 160 0 360 0 1240 0 360 0 210 0 450 0 960 0 0 0 30 0 30 0 15 0 40 0 80 0 80 0
4810 0 4535 0 275 0 Av

g C F 9 3 7 7 4 19 3 8 8 4 1 2 3 3 6 2 0 3 5 6 5 1 2 3 0 4 8 1 2 3 0 4 8 MMMBt u Flred/Yr 59 1 243 1 4181 1 266 3 1198 4 9124 4 378 4 607 1 2444 0 0 0 0 31 5 78 8 63 1 42 0 210 2 336 4
19264 1 18502 0 762 1 Cos t Basel1n e 1 8 2 4 27 9 3 9 10 8 55 0 3 4 3 2 10 5 0 0 0 6 1 0 6 9 2 2 2 6
126 9 119 0 7 9 (mi l $/yr ) LS F 1 8 0 0 3 9 0 0 3 8 0 0 0 0 0 8 1 0 0 9 2 2 0 14 3 9 4 4 8 FG D 0 2 8 31 6 0 11 6 58 1 0 4 2 133 0 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 2 8
125 0 121 6 3 4 Emission s BaselIn e 62 1 255 3 4391 2 127 8 575 1 4379 1 613 7 984 5 3963 5 0 0 0 87 4 163 6 89 9 116 5 152 4 159 8
16121 8 15352 2 769 6 (ton s S02/ y LS F 32 0 0 0 127 8 0 0 61 3 0 0 0 0 0 15 0 37 4 0 20 0 99 8 0
393 2 221 0 172 2 r ) FG D 0 26 5 456 1 0 130 0 989 5 0 20 2 81 2 0 0 0 0 0 14 0 0 0 74 6
1792 0 1703 4 88 6P.1 4

TABL E 7
. OUTPU

T STATISTIC S FRO

M NATIONA

L IMPAC T ANALYSIS BASE

D O N BOILE R SALE

S (Alternativ e D)

SUMMAR Y STATISTIC S Tota l Mixe d AL L UNITS Coa l 01 1 Ga s Fossi l Fue l Tota l Numbe r o f Unit s 9 7 6 8 6 4 22 9 1 0 23 9 % o f Fossi l Unit s 42.4 X 29.7 X 27.9 X 100.O X Tota l Capacit y (MMBtu/hr ) 2555 0 1020 0 960 0 4535 0 275 0 4810 0 X o f Fossi l Capacit y 56.3 X 22.5 X 21.2 X 100.O X Bt u Fire d (MMMBtu/yr) 15072 5 3429 5 0 18502 0 762 1 19264 1 X o f Fossi l Bt u 81.5 X 18.5 X O.O X 100.O X Averag e Capactl y Facto r UNITS SUBJEC

T T O PERCEN

T REDUCTIO

N 67.3 X 38.4 % O.O X 46.6 X 31.6 % 45.7 %

Numbe r o f Unit s X o f Categor y Tota l Capacit y (MMBtu/hr ) X o f Categor y Bt u Fire d (MMMBtu/yr) X o f Categor y 8 8 90.7 X 2320 0 90.8 X 14747 0 97.8 X 4 4

64.7 X 660 0 64.7 X 3051 1 89
. O X 0 O.O X 0 O.O X 0 O.O X 13 2 57.6 X 2980 0 65.7 X 17798 1 96.2 % 3

30.O X 95 0 34.5 X 399 5 52.4 % 135

56.5 X 3075 0 63.9 X 18197 6 94.5 % Averag e Capactl y Facto r 72.6 X 52.8 X O.O X 68.2 % 48.O X 67.6 X

Tota l Cos t (mi l $/yr ) BaselIn e Controlle d Tota l Emission s (ton s S02/yr ) Basel1n e Controlle d Wast e Disposa l Quantitie s Englis h Unit s Metri c Unit s

Cos t (mi l J/yr ) 101 8 109 7

9790 6 1761 8 tons/M g K 66105 7 60272 9 NATIO N

Emission s (ton s S02/yr )

Cos t Effectivenes s (S/to n S02 ) (Averag e C

E versu s Baseline ) 17 2 21 3

5561 7 162 6 gal/c u m 1281 7 36121 9 A L T

Fossi l MF F Tota l Fossi l MF F Tota l Fossi l MF F Tota l 0

0

0 0

OTA L Baselin e 1190.0 5 78.9 0 1268.9 5 15352 2 769 6 16121 8 119 0

131 0

15352 2 1924 4

Contro l 1e d 1310.3 8 82.2 9 1392.6 7 1924 4 260 8 2185 2 7 9

8 2

769 6 260 8

Delt a 120.3 3 3.3 9 123.7 2 -13427 8 -508 8 -13936 6 89 6 66 6 88 8 126 9

1393

16121 8 2185 2

1 3P.1 5

TABL E 8
. NATIONA L IMPACT S BASE D O

N BOILE R SALE

S ANALYSI S

COAL - AN

D OIL Alternativ

e

A-N o Change B-l.2/0. 8 C-1.2/0. 3 D-90 % w / Ex

c E-90 % N o Ex c -FIRE D BOILER S
Cos t (mil $ )
1190.0 5 1212.8 5 1229.8 4 1310.3 8 1325.8 3 El

T isslons .(tons )
15352 2 8989 8 8059 7 1924 4 1751 3 Av

g C E ($/ton )

_ - 

### 35 8 54 6 89 6 99 8 In

c C E ($/ton )

_ _

- - 182 7 131 3 892 5

MIXE D FUEL-FIRE D BOILER S Alternativ

e

A-N o Change B-l.2/0. 8 C-1.2/0. 3 D-90 % w / Ex

c E-90 % N o Ex c

AL L BOILER S Alternativ

e

A-N o Chang e B-l.2/0. 8 C-1.2/0. 3 D-90 % ml

Exc E-90 % N o Ex c Cos t (mi l $ )
78.9 0 79.5 5 79.5 5 82.2 9 86.1 7

Cos t (mi l $ )
1268.9 5 1292.4 0 1309.3 9 1392.6 7 1412.0 0 Emission s

(tons )
769 6 362 0 362 0 260 8 168 9

Emission s (tons )
16121 8 9351 8 8421 7 2185 2 1920 2 Av

g C E ($/ton )

- - 

### 15 9 159 66 6 121 0

Av g C E ($/ton )

— 

### 34 6 52 5 88 8 100 7 In

c C E ($/ton )

— —

— 

### 0 270 8 422 2

In c C E ($/ton )

—

— 182 7 133 5 729 4



### 1 4P.1 6

- I

6. 0 REFERENCE S

1 . Energ y

an dEnvironmenta l Analysis , Inc . Projecte dImpact s o f Alternativ e Sulfu r Dioxid e Ne w Sourc e Performanc e Standard s fo r Industria l Fossi l Fuel-Fir d Boilers . Prepare dfo r th e U.S . Environmenta l Protectio nAgency , Offic e o f Ai r Qualit y Plannin g an

d Standards . Marc h1985 . 2 . Energ y

an dEnvironmenta l Analysis , Inc . Revise d Impact s o f Alternativ e Sulfu r Dioxid e Ne w

Sourc e Performanc e Standard s fo r Industria l Fossi l Fuel-Fire d Boilers . Prepare dfo r th e U.S . Environmenta l Protectio n Agency , Offic e o f Ai r Qualit y Plannin g an

dStandards . Februar y 1987 . 3 . U.S . Environmenta l Protectio nAgency . Surve y o f Ne w Industria l Boile r Project s - - 1981-1984 . Offic e o f Ai r Qualit y Plannin g an

dStandards . Publicatio nNo . EPA-450/3-87-006 . Apri l 1987 . 4 . Memorandum

fro m Martinez . J . an

d E . Aul , Radia nCorporation , t o F . L . Porte r an

dW . H . Stevenson , EPA/SDB . Ma y 15 , 1987 . Assumption s an d Procedure s Use dt o Generat e Mode l Boile r Impacts . 5 . Radia nCorporation . Industria l Boile r S0 2 Cos t Report . Prepare dfo r th e U.S . Environmenta l Protectio nAgency . Researc hTriangl e Park , NC . Publicatio nNo . EPA-450/3-85-011 . Novembe r 1984 . 6 . Memorandum

fro m Stackhouse , C . an

dE . Aul , Radia nCorporation , t o W . H . Stevenso nan

dF . L . Porter , EPA/SDB . Apri l 15 , 1987 . Impact s o f Ne w Fue l Price s onth e Nationa l Impact s Analysi s fo r Mixe dFuel-Fire d Steam Generatin g Units . 7 . Radia nCorporation . Analysi s o f Cost s an dCos t Effectivenes s o f S0 2 Contro l fo r Mixe dFuel-Fire d Stea m Generatin g Units . Prepare dfo r th e U.S . Environmenta l Protectio nAgency . Researc hTriangl e Park , N . C . Publicatio nNo . EPA-450/8-86-001 . Jun e 1986 . 6 4 p .



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