Ministry of Earth Sciences
Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds very likely over southwest Peninsular India during next 5 days; Isolated heavy rainfall also likely over south & ghat areas of Tamil Nadu and Kerala & Mahe and Coastal & South Interior Karnataka during 14th-16th April
Isolated rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds very likely over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha during next 4-5 days and over Jharkhand during next 24 hours
Heat Wave conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch on 12th April
According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department :
Significant Weather Features
♦ Under the influence of trough/cyclonic circulations at lower tropospheric levels over south Peninsula; scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds  very likely over southwest Peninsular India during next 5 days.
Isolated heavy rainfall also likely over south & ghat areas of Tamil Nadu and Kerala & Mahe and Coastal & South Interior Karnataka during 14th-16th April, 2021.
♦ A cyclonic circulation lies over southwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood at lower levels. Under its influence, isolated rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds  very likely over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Telangana, Chhattisgarh, Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha during next 4-5 days and over Jharkhand during next 24 hours.
♦ A fresh active Western Disturbance is very likely to affect Western Himalayan Region during 14th-17th April and adjoining plains during 15th-17th April. It is very likely to cause, scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds  during 14th-17th April over Western Himalayan Region and light isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm, lightning & gusty winds  over adjoining plains during 15th-17th April. Isolated hailstorm also very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh on 14th April. Isolated heavy rainfall also very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad on 15th & 16th April. Thunderstorm/Duststorm at isolated places also likely over West Rajasthan on 14th & 15th April, 2021.
♦ Due to thunderstorm activities over most parts of the country, no significant change in maximum temperatures likely over most parts of the country during next 4-5 days. However, Heat Wave conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch on 12th April.
Main Weather Observations
♦ Rain/Thundershowers observed : at a few places over Arunachal Pradesh, Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad and Kerala & Mahe and at isolated places over Assam & Meghalaya, Odisha, Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Karnataka.
♦ Rainfall recorded  : Punalur-6; Thiruvananthapuram-3; Belgaum-1.
♦ Thunderstorm observed : at a few places over North Interior Karnataka and at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Jharkhand, Odisha, West Bengal & Sikkim, Assam & Meghalaya, Madhya Pradesh, Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Karnataka, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe.
♦ Yesterday, Heat Wave conditions were observed in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch.
♦ Maximum Temperature Departures as on 11-04-2021: Maximum temperatures were appreciably above normal  at a few places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim and Saurashtra & Kutch; at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, West Rajasthan and Gujarat Region; above normal  at most places over Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi; at many places over Assam & Meghalaya and Konkan & Goa; at a few places over Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan, Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and Coastal & South Interior Karnataka. They were appreciably below normal  most places over Vidarbha; at a few places over Chhattisgarh, Marathwada and Telangana; at isolated places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad and Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal; below normal  at most places over North Interior Karnataka; at a few places over Madhya Maharashtra and Rayalaseema; at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Kerala & Mahe and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the highest maximum temperature of 42.6°C was reported at Ahmedabad  over the country.
♦ Minimum Temperature Departures as on 11-04-2021: Minimum temperatures were above normal  at a few places over Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, West Rajasthan, Saurashtra & Kutch and Madhya Maharashtra; at isolated places over Sub- Himalayan west Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, East Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat Region and Andaman & Nicobar Islands. They were appreciably below normal  at isolated places over Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, East Rajasthan and Tamil Nadu, Puducherry & Karaikal; below normal  at most places over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad; at many places over Telangana; at a few places over Gujarat Region, West Madhya Pradesh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam and Lakshadweep and near normal over rest parts of the country. Yesterday, the lowest minimum temperature of 10.1°C was reported at Pantnagar  over the plains of the country.Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day
For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact: +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798 
Meteorological Analysis 
♦ The Western Disturbance as a trough in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level now runs roughly along longitude 76°E to the north of latitude 30°N.
♦ The trough in westerlies roughly along longitude 88°E to the north of latitude 24°N at 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The cyclonic circulation over southwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood extending upto 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The trough in easterlies from north Kerala to above cyclonic circulation over southwest Madhya Pradesh & neighbourhood across Interior Karnataka and Marathwada at 1.5 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The cyclonic circulation over Comorin area & neighbourhood between 1.5 km & 2.1 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ The cyclonic circulation over Southwest Bay of Bengal & adjoining south Sri Lanka between 3.1 km & 3.6 km above mean sea level persists.
♦ Two fresh Western Disturbances very likely to affect Western Himalayan Region from the night of 12th & 14th April, 2021.
Weather Forecast for next 5 daysupto 0830 hours IST of 17th April, 2021
♦ Meteorological sub-division wise detailed 5 days precipitation forecast is given in Table-1.
♦ No significant change in maximum temperatures over most parts of Gujarat during next 24 hours and fall by 2-3°C thereafter.
♦ Fall in maximum temperatures by 2-3°C over most parts of Central India during next 2-3 days.
♦ No significant change in maximum temperatures over rest parts of the country during next 4-5 days.
Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days from 17th April, 2021 to 19th April, 2021
♦ Under the influence of a Western Disturbance; scattered to fairly widespread rainfall/snowfall with thunderstorm/lightning over Western Himalayan Region and isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning over adjoining plains during the outlook period.
♦ Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning likely over parts of Northeast India and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.
♦ Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall with thunderstorm/lightning likely over parts of Kerala & Mahe and Tamilnadu & adjoining Karnataka.
♦ Dry weather likely over rest parts of the country.Red color warning does not mean "Red Alert" Red color warning means "Take Action".
Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day
For more details kindly visit www.imd.gov.in or contact: +91 11 24631913, 24643965, 24629798 
Weather Warning during next 5 days12 April : ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds  very likely at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal, Odisha, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit- Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, East Madhya Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Konkan & Goa, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Lakshadweep.
♦ Heat Wave conditions very likely in isolated pockets over Saurashtra & Kutch.
13 April :♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds  very likely at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha, Odisha, Assam & Meghalaya, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning at isolated places over Chhattisgarh, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Konkan & Goa, South Interior Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Lakshadweep.
14 April :♦ Thunderstorm with lightning, hail & gusty winds  very likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad and Himachal Pradesh; with lightning & gusty winds  at isolated places over Vidarbha, Gangetic West Bengal, Assam & Meghalaya, Madhya Maharashtra, Marathwada, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Lakshadweep.
♦ Thunderstorm/Duststorm very likely at isolated places over West Rajasthan.
♦ Heavy rainfall very likely at isolated places over Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and south & ghat areas of Tamilnadu.
15 April : ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds  likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Vidarbha, Jharkhand, West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Assam & Meghalaya, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Bihar, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Lakshadweep.
♦ Thunderstorm/Duststorm likely at isolated places over West Rajasthan.
♦ Heavy rainfall likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and south & ghat areas of Tamilnadu.
16 April : ♦ Thunderstorm with lightning & gusty winds  likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Vidarbha, Jharkhand, West Bengal & Sikkim, Odisha, Assam & Meghalaya, Telangana and Kerala & Mahe and with lightning at isolated places over Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Bihar, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Coastal Andhra Pradesh & Yanam, Rayalaseema, Karnataka, Tamilnadu, Puducherry & Karaikal and Lakshadweep.
♦ Thunderstorm/Duststorm likely at isolated places over West Rajasthan.
♦ Heavy rainfall likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan & Muzaffarabad, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Kerala & Mahe and south & ghat areas of Tamilnadu.

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