Ministry of Earth Sciences
Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘VAYU’ over Northeast & adjoining Eastcentral Arabian Sea: Cyclone Warning for Gujarat Coast: Orange Message
The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘VAYU’  over Eastcentral & adjoining Northeast Arabian Sea moved north-northwestwards with a speed of about 11 kmph in last six hours and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of today, the 13th June, 2019 near latitude 20.3°N and longitude 69.5°E over northeast & adjoining eastcentral Arabian Sea, about 150 km south-southwest of Diu, 110 km southwest of Veraval  and 150 km nearly south of Porbandar .
It is very likely to move north-northwestwards for some time and then northwestwards skirting the Saurashtra coast affecting Gir Somnath, Diu, Junagarh, Porbandar and Devbhoomi Dwarka with wind speed 135-145 kmph gusting to 160 kmph from afternoon of 13th June 2019 .
Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:
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Date/Time
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Position

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Maximum sustained surface wind speed 
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Category of cyclonic disturbance
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13.06.19/0530
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20.3/69.5
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135-145 gusting to 160
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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13.06.19/1130
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20.8/69.4
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135-145 gusting to 160
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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13.06.19/1730
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21.2/69.3
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135-145 gusting to 160
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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13.06.19/2330
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21.5/69.1
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130-140 gusting to 155
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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14.06.19/0530
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21.7/68.9
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130-140 gusting to 155
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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14.06.19/1730
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22.0/68.5
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120-130 gusting to 145
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Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
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15.06.19/0530
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22.1/68.2
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110-120 gusting to 135
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Severe Cyclonic Storm
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15.06.19/1730
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22.2/67.8
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100-110 gusting to 125
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Severe Cyclonic Storm
Warnings:
 Heavy rainfall warning:
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Sub-Divisions
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13 June 2019|
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14 June 2019|
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Konkan & Goa
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Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places
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Fairly widespread rainfall
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Saurashtra
& Kutch
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Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places in the coastal districts of Saurashtra
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Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places in the coastal districts of Saurashtra.
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Gujarat Region
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Rainfall at a few places with heavy falls at isolated places
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Rainfall at a few places
Note:Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.
Legends: Yellow: Be Updated; Orange- Be prepared; Red- Take action, Green: No warning
Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day
 Wind warning
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13th June: Gale wind speed of the order of 135-145 kmph gusting to 160 kmph very likely over north Arabian Sea & Gujarat coast. It is very likely to be 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph over north Maharashtra Coasts & northern parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea.
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14th June: Gale wind speed of the order of 120-130 kmph gusting to 145 kmph very likely over north Arabian Sea & Gujarat coast in morning hours and decrease gradually thereafter. It is very likely to be 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph over northern parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea.
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15th June: Gale wind speed of the order of 100-110 kmph gusting to 125 kmph very likely over north Arabian Sea & Gujarat coast till evening and decrease gradually thereafter.
 Sea condition
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The sea condition is phenomenal over north Arabian Sea & Gujarat coast till 15th June 2019 and over northern parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea during next 12 hours.
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The Sea condition is very likely to be very rough to high along & off north Maharashtra Coast on 13th June, 2019.
 Fishermen Warning
 Storm Surge Warning
Storm surge of height of about 1.6m near Mangrol, Junagadh district above the astronomical tides likely to inundate the low lying coastal areas in the afternoon of 13th June 2019.
 Damage Expected and Action suggested for Gir Somnath, Diu, Junagarh, Porbandar and Devbhoomi Dwarka:
 Total destruction of thatched houses/extensive damage to Kutcha houses. Some damage to pucca houses. Potential threat from flying objects. Bending/uprooting of power and communication poles.  Major damage to Kutcha and Pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes. Minor disruption of railways, overhead power lines and signalling systems.  Widespread damage to standing crops, plantation, orchards, falling of green coconuts and tearing of palm fronds. Blowing down bushy trees like mango. Small boats, country crafts may get detached from moorings. Visibility severe affected.
Action suggested:
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Regulate road & rail traffic  Total suspension of fishing operations.  Evacuation from low lying areas of the above mentioned Districts, coastal Hutment dwellers, urban slum dwellers and people staying in unsafe house to safer places. People in affected areas to remain indoors. Movement in motor boats & small ships unsafe. Inundation of low lying areas in the along the coasts due to heavy rainfall and storm surge.