You are a helpful assistant generating synthetic data that captures *System 1* and *System 2* thinking, *creativity*, and *metacognitive reflection*. Follow these steps in sequence, using tags [sys1] and [end sys1] for *System 1* sections and [sys2] and [end sys2] for *System 2* sections.

1. *Identify System 1 and System 2 Thinking Requirements:*
   - Carefully read the text.
   - Identify parts of the text that require quick, straightforward responses (*System 1*). Mark these sections with [sys1] and [end sys1].
   - Identify parts that require in-depth, reflective thinking (*System 2*), marked with [sys2] and [end sys2].

2. *Apply Step-by-Step Problem Solving with Creativity and Metacognitive Reflection for System 2 Sections:*

   *2.1 Understand the Problem:*
   - Objective: Fully comprehend the issue, constraints, and relevant context.
   - Reflection: "What do I understand about this issue? What might I be overlooking?"
   - Creative Perspective: Seek hidden patterns or possibilities that could reveal deeper insights or innovative connections.

   *2.2 Analyze the Information:*
   - Objective: Break down the problem logically.
   - Reflection: "Am I considering all factors? Are there any assumptions that need challenging?"
   - Creative Perspective: Explore unique patterns or overlooked relationships in the data that could add depth to the analysis.

   *2.3 Generate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Propose at least 10 hypotheses, each with a Confidence Score (0.0 to 1.0) and Creative Score (0.0 to 1.0), reflecting originality, surprise, and utility.
   - Reflection: "Have I explored all possible explanations or approaches, both conventional and unconventional?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider novel angles that might provide unexpected insights.

   *2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:*
   - Objective: Make predictions, accounting for potential outcomes and obstacles.
   - Reflection: "What challenges might I face? Is my plan flexible for different scenarios?"
   - Creative Perspective: Visualize unforeseen outcomes and adapt plans to make use of them effectively.

   *2.5 Evaluate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Assess hypotheses based on feasibility, risk, and potential impact.
   - Evaluation: Refine Confidence and Creative Scores as needed.
   - Reflection: "Am I unbiased in my assessment? Which options fit best with the overall objectives?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify hidden opportunities or overlooked details in each hypothesis.

   *2.6 Select the Best Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Choose the most promising, strategic hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Why does this hypothesis stand out? How does it uniquely address the issue?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider any underutilized potential in the selected approach.

   *2.7 Implement the Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Outline actionable steps for testing the hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Is this plan practical? What resources or preparation are required?"
   - Creative Perspective: Refine steps to maximize effectiveness and yield unexpected benefits.

   *2.8 Monitor and Review Progress:*
   - Objective: Review progress, noting areas for improvement.
   - Reflection: "What’s working well? What could be improved?"
   - Creative Perspective: Look for emerging patterns that could refine future approaches.

   *2.9 Reflect and Capture Insights:*
   - Objective: Summarize lessons learned and insights gained for future reference.
   - Reflection: "What new understanding has emerged from this process?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify innovative insights or patterns that could be applied to similar challenges.

3. *Generate Text Output with Interleaved System 1 and System 2 Responses:*
   - Use the tags [sys1] and [sys2] throughout.
   - Aim for a lengthier, detailed response. Combine both direct, straightforward *System 1* insights and reflective, deeply analytical *System 2* segments to capture a blend of quick observations and thoughtful analysis.

---

### *Example Input Text:*

You are tasked with analyzing a sudden shift in customer preferences in a tech market. There has been a noticeable decline in demand for physical devices, with customers increasingly interested in digital-only options. The challenge is to understand this shift, generate hypotheses for why it might be occurring, and explore potential strategies for adapting to this new trend.

---

### *Processed Output with System 1 and System 2 Thinking:*

The tech market is experiencing a shift in customer demand, moving away from physical devices toward digital-only options.

[sys1]
Customer demand has shifted from physical devices to digital-only options.
We need to understand why this change is happening and find strategies to address it.
Key factors may include cost, convenience, and technological trends.
[end sys1]

[sys2]
**2.1 Understand the Problem:**
The goal is to understand the underlying reasons for the shift in demand from physical devices to digital-only options, then develop a strategy to adapt.

*Reflection:* 
"I understand that preferences are changing, but what might be driving this? Is it primarily cost, or are there other factors such as convenience or sustainability?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could there be a larger trend in digital minimalism or a preference for eco-friendly solutions that we’re missing? What unseen motivations might explain this shift?"

**2.2 Analyze the Information:**
There are multiple possible factors driving this shift, from economic influences to cultural shifts. It’s essential to isolate each factor and understand its impact.

*Reflection:* 
"Am I fully considering the various economic and social influences? Could there be a technological factor, like better internet speeds, that makes digital-only products more accessible?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Are there patterns or trends in other markets that could shed light on this shift? Could this be part of a larger trend toward virtual experiences?"

**2.3 Generate Hypotheses:**
1. Customers prefer digital options due to lower costs. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.4)
2. There’s a growing trend toward minimalism and reduced physical clutter. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.7)
3. Digital products offer greater flexibility and ease of use. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
4. Environmental concerns are pushing consumers away from physical goods. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.8)
5. Advances in tech make digital-only options more functional. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.5)
6. Pandemic-era remote work increased demand for digital solutions. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.6)
7. Media coverage of the environmental impact of physical devices affects preferences. (Confidence: 0.5, Creative: 0.7)
8. There’s an increase in global digital literacy, expanding market access. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
9. Customers view digital as more convenient and scalable for future needs. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.5)
10. Younger consumers prefer the aesthetics and convenience of digital products. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)

*Reflection:* 
"Have I considered all possible influences? Are there any surprising factors that could explain this shift?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could specific social trends, like the rise of influencer culture or digital-first lifestyles, be influencing customer choices?"

**2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:**
*Objective:* Anticipate possible challenges, such as resistance from segments still preferring physical products.

*Reflection:* 
"What market obstacles might we face if we shift our focus to digital-only? Are there sub-segments that still prioritize physical products?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could expanding digital options help us reach a more global audience? Are there emerging trends that we could leverage in our strategy?"

[end sys2]

[sys1]
To address this shift, consider a strategy that incorporates both digital-only offerings and educational campaigns about the benefits of digital solutions.
Use insights from customer feedback and current trends to guide product development.
Focus on flexibility and adaptation to cater to different customer segments.
[end sys1]


A lot has changed since I released the 2020 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings in early February. Along with a full update of the rankings, which you can find below, I wanted to give my thoughts on how to value some of the newly injured players and uncertain situations heading into the heaviest month of drafting. Here is the Updated 2020 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (+separate write-ups on injured players and biggest movers):

Mike Clevinger CLE, RHP – Don’t panic. Clevinger has a chance to return sometime in April coming off surgery to repair a partial tear of the medial meniscus in his left knee. I don’t have to tell you that it isn’t easy finding near ace level production, and while any injury that delays the start of your season is concerning, a knee injury isn’t as bad as an elbow or shoulder. His ranking isn’t budging.

Luis Severino NYY, RHP – It’s too late to panic as Severino is already out for the season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. For dynasty purposes, I’m now valuing him around still unproven, but high upside starters like Julio Urias, Jesus Luzardo, Brandon Woodruff, and Frankie Montas. If you are competing this season, I can see selling low for a win now piece, but Severino’s long term upside is still too good to panic trade him.

Blake Snell TB, LHP – Received a cortisone shot in his pitching elbow which he labeled as precautionary and is unsure of his status for opening day. If you already own Snell, there is nothing you can do but hold and pray (if you don’t believe in prayer, maybe you can build a vision board. If you don’t believe in anything, who cares, none of this matters anyway). I already factored in added risk with Snell in my original ranking, which is why I only have him dropping from #39 to #48, but any other hint of bad news could have him plummeting another 30 spots.

Aaron Judge NYY, OF – Continues to have soreness and discomfort in his right shoulder/pectoral area dating back to September 2019. The Yankees are still unsure of the exact issue. Shoulder injuries are always scary because any surgery to repair them usually requires a long rehab process. I’d be shying away from drafting Judge with many safer options, who are about just as good as him ranked behind him. He falls from #20 to #29. Update: Has a stress fracture in his rib which will shut him down for a couple weeks. Surgery is a possibility. He now falls to #40.

Giancarlo Stanton NYY, OF – Suffered a grade 1 calf strain which puts his status for opening day in question. Stanton was already downgraded on my list for injury concerns, and this injury doesn’t seem to be a major issue. His value remains unchanged. If you were already avoiding Stanton because of his injury risk, this only emboldens your position.

Carlos Carrasco CLE, RHP – Expected to make his Spring Training debut today after being diagnosed with a mild right hip flexor strain a few weeks ago. The man beat leukemia and came back to pitch in that very same season! Did you think a fucking mild hip strain was going to shut him down?!?!

Chris Sale BOS, LHP – Another player whose ranking was already dinged for injury concerns. Sale is likely to begin the season on the IL after a bout of pneumonia put him behind schedule. This doesn’t look too serious as he is expected to pitch a simulated game on Thursday. Value remains unchanged. Update on the update!: Sale is going for an MRI on his elbow. Ranking may change now based on the results. I will be updating this list daily throughout the rest of March. Updating the update on the update: Underwent Tommy John surgery in late March.

Griffin Canning LAA, RHP – Was scheduled to begin throwing on Saturday but his elbow was still barking and will now undergo further testing. It doesn’t sound good. Also remember that Canning’s draft stock slipped in 2017 due to injury/workload concerns. I dropped him from #228 to #263. Update: Will undergo “biological injections” and be reassessed in 3 to 4 weeks.

Josh JamesHOU, RHP – Brad Peacock injury puts James in the driver’s seat for the 5th starter job. His elite strikeout upside makes him worth reaching for. He moves up from #450 to #293. Go get him.

Tarik Skubal DET, LHP – I talked about why I wanted to bump up Skubal in the Top 100 Prospects episode of Halp’s Dynasty Baseball Podcast. He went from #279 to #256. I also talked about the thought process behind my “prime projections,” why Jasson Dominguez should be the #1 pick in first year player drafts, conspiracy theories regarding international prospects, how China is taking over the coffee game, and much more.

Eric Pardinho TOR, RHP – Underwent Tommy John surgery and will miss all of 2020. Long term outlook doesn’t change all that much, but it’s hard to move up the rankings when you are not on the field and your peers get the opportunity to pass you. He moves down over 100 spots from #705 to #809.

Miles Mikolas STL, RHP – Received a platelet enriched plasma injection for his elbow which should keep him out for up to a month into the season. It dings his value a little bit, but I already wasn’t going out of my way to draft him with an initial ranking of 306 (now dropped to 313). This news really has more of an impact on Carlos Martinez, who will likely be ensured a starting role now (jumps from 221 to 191), and Giovanny Gallegos, who is looking like the favorite for the closer job (jumps from 449 to 401). Kwang-hyn Kim will now also likely start the year in the rotation, but his value remains unchanged as I already valued him as a heavily used 6th starter.

Jose Garcia CIN, SS – @willscharnagl has been trying to tell us that Jose Garcia is being underrated for months now, and his 3 Spring Training homers in 12 at-bats really got the hype bubbling. It always feels great when the guy you’ve been hyping blows up, even if it is only during exhibition games. With only Freddy Galvis in his way, Garcia could be on the fast track to the majors. He bumps up from #429 to #379.

Yasiel Puig FA, OF – The longer Puig remains unsigned the more concerning it becomes. We’ve already seen last year with Craig Kimbrel and Dallas Keuchel that it isn’t a guarantee Puig gets signed before the season starts. The longer it goes, the harder it will be for him to get up to speed. It’s not time to panic, but there are comparable players in the rankings who don’t have the headache of being unsigned. He slides in the rankings from #130 to #145.

Andrew McCutchen PHI, OF – I already warned you against drafting a 33 year old player coming off such a serious injury. It has been announced McCutchen will not be ready for opening day as he is still recovering from the torn ACL. I didn’t rank him very high to begin with, but this news has him dropping from #273 to #294.

Cameron Maybin DET, OF, 33.0 – Welcome to the top 1,000 Cameron Maybin. Signing with Detroit gives him the chance for close to everyday at-bats. It took the former top prospect 13 years to break out, but better late than never as his raw talent is still intact. He did it on the back of a career high 88.8 MPH average exit velocity and a 39.4% FB%, which he combined with his already above average speed and strong walk rates. He slots in at #782, and puts a major dent in Victor Reyes’ expected playing time. 2020 Projection: 66/15/48/.255/.338/.418/11

Jarrod Dyson PIT, OF, 35.8 – Signing with Pittsburgh puts him in line for the starting CF job. Only thing he will provide is stolen bases, but steals are scarce enough to move him up from #974 to #777.

Joe Musgrove PIT, RHP – Bothered by “pinching” in his right shoulder. It doesn’t appear serious right now, but any shoulder discomfort is bad news. I’m holding tight, but I would be watching this situation closely.

Brock Burke TEX, LHP, 23.8 – Out for the season after undergoing left labrum debridement surgery in late February. It wasn’t that long ago that Burke was knocking on the door of some people’s top 100 lists (he rose to as high as #174 on mine in 2019). This is the life of a pitching prospect. He drops from #917 to #1011.

CLICK HERE FOR THE TOP 487 PROSPECTS RANKINGS FOR 2020 FANTASY BASEBALL DYNASTY LEAGUES

Player Name TEAM, POSITION, AGE (Years.Months on 2020 Opening Day – Months are on a scale of 0-11 … I know it is not mathematically correct, but I do all of this manually)

Projections (Hitters): R/HR/RBI/AVG/OBP/SLG/SB

(Pitchers): Wins/ERA/WHIP/K/Saves

*Prime Projections – These projections are meant to give you a general idea of what I think about a prospect’s future stat profile in a relatively good outcome scenario. I find this helpful as a quick reference to see how a prospect’s tools/skills translate to fantasy categories.

1) Ronald Acuna ATL, OF, 22.3 – Combination of age and stolen base upside is what separates Acuna from the pack, but a 26.3% K% presents a risk that other candidates for the top spot don’t have. In anything other than a 5×5 league (points, OBP), I would look elsewhere with the top pick. 2020 Projection: 111/37/98/.285/.367/.524/31

2) Mike Trout LAA, OF, 28.8 – Turning 29 during the 2020 season, career low 13 steal attempts, and a much younger crop of generational talent establishing themselves in 2019 are why Trout is no longer the obvious #1 pick in dynasty. I still have him #1 in redrafts. 2020 Projection: 113/46/107/.299/.442/.631/15

3) Juan Soto WASH, OF, 21.5 – Flipped hitting profile from rookie season, upping FB% to 37.2% (from 28.8%) and lowering GB% to 41.6% (from 53.7%). 97 MPH FB/LD exit velocity is 2.1 MPH higher than Trout and 1.4 MPH higher than Acuna. Soto is my #1 pick in non 5×5 dynasty leagues. 2020 Projection: 108/36/105/.296/.404/.553/10

4) Cody Bellinger LAD, 1B/OF, 24.9 – Career bests in BB% (14.4%), K% (16.4%), average exit velocity (90.7 MPH), and launch angle (17.6 degree launch). On the flip side, OPS declined every month of the season (1.397, .998, .967, .952, .918, .891, playoffs-.549). 2020 Projection: 110/43/110/.288/.383/.598/14

5) Christian Yelich MIL, OF, 28.4 – Here is what I wrote about Yelich in my 2019 Top 1,000: “… posted the lowest GB% of his career by a good margin in August and September (46% and 44%, respectively). If he can carry those gains over a full season, the power breakout may not be a complete outlier.” That is exactly what happened, with Yelich posting a 43.2% GB% and hitting a career high 44 homers. The fractured knee cap that ended his season supposedly won’t have any long term effects. 2020 Projection: 111/37/104/.309/.410/.605/20

6) Mookie Betts LAD, OF, 27.6 – Boston did well in the second iteration of the trade, nabbing Alex Verdugo, Connor Wong and Imaginary Brick Wall favorite Jeter Downs. Move to LA doesn’t change Mookie’s ranking, but it is a ballpark downgrade. 2020 Projection: 119/33/82/.310/.402/.552/20

7) Trea Turner WASH, SS, 26.9 – Power took a big step forward, raising average exit velocity 2.5 MPH to 90.3 MPH. Remains a speedster with the 2nd fastest sprint speed in baseball, behind only Tim Locastro (Buxton is a close 3rd). 2020 Projection: 104/24/77/.293/.350/.488/41

8) Fernando Tatis Jr. SD, SS, 21.3 – With a 29.6% K% and a 6.9 degree launch angle, you can look at Tatis’ 2019 in one of two ways. Either you think he got lucky and there is serious regression coming, or you are scared at the thought of what his stats might look like when he inevitably improves on those underlying numbers. I’m in camp #2. 2020 Projection: 101/35/99/.274/.348/.531/26

9) Francisco Lindor CLE, SS, 26.4 – Small step back in K%, BB%, GB% and sprint speed, but I’m willing to write that off to his early season calf injury considering overall production remained strong. 2020 Projection: 104/32/87/.285/.349/.520/20

10) Trevor Story COL, SS, 27.4 – Carried over the major improvements he made in K% and stolen bases in 2018 into 2019. One of the premier power/speed combos in the game. 2020 Projection: 100/36/100/.283/.354/.546/22

11) Wander Franco TB, SS, 19.1 – Recently signed international prospects are the best class of prospect to invest in for upside value. The top owners in your dynasty league have been able to reap massive rewards by acquiring prospects like Juan Soto, Vlad Jr., Ronald Acuna, Victor Robles and Wander Franco within a few years of their signing at bargain rates that were not commensurate with their universally agreed upon elite talent (I know, I know … Kevin Maitan exists too). High School players selected in the MLB Draft don’t get that same risk baked into their ranking. It’s too late to get Franco, and rankings are starting to catch up, but there is still value to be found. 2020 Projection: September-13/4/9/.277/.341/.445/4 Prime Projection: 114/33/113/.316/.405/.595/17

12) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR, 3B, 21.0 – Modest rookie season, but make no mistake, the thunder is coming. 2020 Projection: 95/32/106/.298/.373/.538/2

13) Rafael Devers BOS, 3B, 23.5 – Ranked 16th overall in average exit velocity (92.1 MPH) and cut K% by 7.7% to 17%. 2020 Projection: 98/33/104/.302/.360/.549/7

14) Alex Bregman HOU, 3B, 26.0 – How much the cheating helped his production is an unknown. Relatively low 92.3 MPH FB/LD exit velocity is another red flag. 2020 Projection: 103/30/101/.291/.403/.538/9

15) Jose Ramirez CLE, 3B, 27.6 – Armageddon 1st half (.218/.308/.344) followed by a beastly 2nd half (.327/.365/.739) that was interrupted and ultimately cut short by a fractured hamate bone. Like Bregman, low FB/LD exit velocity (91.8 MPH) indicates some power downside. 2020 Projection: 98/30/93/.279/.358/.518/25

16) Nolan Arenado COL, 3B, 29.0 – Steady as they come. 40 homers with a high average. I wouldn’t sell on the trade rumors, because teams are already going to value him as if he had been traded, so might as well wait until it actually happens to make a decision. 2020 Projection: 103/39/116/.298/.375/.568/2

17) Austin Meadows TB, OF, 24.11 – When I ranked Meadows 54th overall in last year’s ranking, someone asked me what I was smoking. Apparently I was toking on salvia divinorum, aka, sage of the diviners, aka it’s a plant you smoke and then you hallucinate, because Meadows broke out with a .291 BA, 33 homers, and 12 steals. He hits it very hard, hits it in the air, has speed, and has a strong plate approach. 2020 Projection: 93/32/96/.282/.351/.531/15

18) Bryce Harper PHI, OF, 27.6 – Strikeout rate going in the wrong direction (26.1%), but power, speed, and walks are all in peak form. 2020 Projection: 100/36/103/.265/.381/.533/14

19) Yordan Alvarez HOU, OF, 22.9 – Hitting profile looks mighty similar to Bryce Harper without the speed. 2020 Projection: 93/35/104/.273/.369/.542/4

20) Bo Bichette TOR, SS, 22.1 – Like Tatis, the impressive triple slash (.311/..358/.571) is considerably better than the underlying numbers, but I’m betting on the underlying numbers mostly catching up to the slash line, rather than the other way around. 2020 Projection: 93/24/79/.282/.340/.481/18 Prime Projection: 118/34/95/.296/.373/.542/15

21) Ozzie Albies ATL, 2B, 23.3 – Average exit velocity jumped 2.5 MPH to 88.8 MPH, although exit velocity on fly balls actually decreased by 0.3 MPH. It’s still a good sign that there is another level of power in here as he matures. 2020 Projection: 107/26/84/.288/.356/.490/17

22) Gerrit Cole NYY, RHP, 29.7 – I don’t factor in age with pitchers quite as much as with hitters because every pitcher is one injury away from a career altering injury. Young pitchers also haven’t proven their arm can withstand season after season of 200+ innings which makes them more risky than an older pitcher with more miles on their arm. 2020 Projection: 18/2.92/0.98/295 in 205 IP

23) Walker Buehler LAD, RHP, 25.8 – Throws the fastest cutter by a starter at 92.8 MPH (1.8 MPH ahead of 2nd, Marcus Stroman). Final hurdle to cross is how his arm responds after a career high 195 IP (including the postseason), which is a 34 IP increase from 2018. 2020 Projection: 17/3.23/1.01/230 in 191 IP

24) Jacob deGrom NYM, RHP, 31.9 – Career high velocity on all of his pitches. Upped slider and fastball usage while ditching his sinker and minimizing the curve. 2020 Projection: 14/2.86/0.99/260 in 208 IP

25) Gleyber Torres NYY, 2B, 23.4 – Exit velocities and K/BB are solid but don’t jump out at you. 17.4 degree launch angle ensures healthy power production, and I’m expecting continued improvement in all aspects of his game. 2020 Projection: 97/32/106/.283/.352/.521/4

26) Xander Bogaerts BOS, SS, 27.6 – Maintained exit velocity gains from 2018 and notched a career high 10.9% BB%. With only 6 steal attempts in 155 games, you can no longer count on him in the speed department as you build your roster. 2020 Projection: 99/28/108/.296/.369/.529/7

27) Javier Baez CHC, SS, 27.4 – Getting by with pure exit velocity and speed. 2020 Projection: 98/33/103/.278/.319/.520/13

28) Anthony Rendon LAA, 3B, 29.10 – From my 2019 Top 1,000: “With a 13.7% K% and 17.7 degree launch angle, there is potential for a monster career season lurking in here.” … The monster was unleashed and it landed him a $245 million contract. 2020 Projection: 104/32/108/.306/.382/.560/4

29) Keston Hiura MIL, 2B, 23.8 – Underlying stats profile as a low average, power hitting beast with a handful of steals. Ultimately should develop into more of a 20% strikeout hitter than the 30% he put up in 2019. 2020 Projection: 88/34/96/.268/.333/.507/11

30) Jack Flaherty STL, RHP, 24.6 – Velocity up about 1 MPH on every pitch and BB% was down 2.5%. Third year in a row posting well below average exit velocities against (86.1 MPH) gives hope the low BABIP’s (.242) is a skill. 2020 Projection: 16/3.38/1.11/229 in 194 IP

31) Shane Bieber CLE, RHP, 24.10 – Not a flamethrower but has advanced command over a 4 pitch mix. Batters were able to make some good contact against him with a 90.4 MPH average exit velocity against. Cole and Verlander both sat at 87.3 MPH for comparison. 2020 Projection: 15/3.41/1.09/220 in 195 IP

32) Yoan Moncada CHW, 3B, 24.10 – Not quite the speedster we all thought he was, but power showed up in a big way, upping exit velocity 2.3 MPH to 92.8 MPH. .315 batting average (.406 BABIP) is coming down. 2020 Projection: 96/30/89/.273/.360/.513/13

33) Pete Alonso NYM, 1B, 25.4 – Alonso is going to mash no matter how much Manfred loosens up those seams. 2020 Projection: 91/43/109/.263/.360/.557/1

34) Manny Machado SD, 3B/SS, 27.9 – Career worst 19.4% K% and low BABIP led to a career low .254 BA. The lack of steals was easy to predict, but now you have to worry about a mediocre average too. 2020 Projection: 92/34/102/.278/.351/.515/8

35) Eloy Jimenez CHW, OF, 23.4 – Elite exit velocity and 31 homers in 122 games proves the power wasn’t over-hyped. Has the ability to hit for both power and average when his K% comes down, and his minor league numbers suggest it will. 2020 Projection: 88/33/99/.283/.335/.530/1

36) Luis Robert CHW, OF, 22.8 – New $50 million contract has Robert’s hype skyrocketing. I already had him ranked #2 overall because of the elite power/speed combo, but a 24.7% K% and 4.9% BB% at Triple-A is almost all you need to know to realize the road to fantasy glory might not be a completely straight line. 2020 Projection: 72/27/83/.254/.306/.471/19 Prime Projection: 94/34/101/.277/.339/.521/25

37) Freddie Freeman ATL, 1B, 30.7 – Underlying numbers are very similar to his past two seasons when he put up 28 and 23 homers, respectively, but this season he managed to knock 38 homers. For reference, he hit 34 homers in 2016, but his exit velocity was about 2 MPH higher than 2017-2019. Freeman might be the clearest example of the impact of the juiced ball. 2020 Projection: 95/31/105/.298/.391/.543/5

38) Ketel Marte ARI, 2B/OF, 26.6 – From my 2019 Top 1,000: “13.7% K%, 9.3% BB%, 88.6 MPH average exit velocity, 92 MPH on FB/LD, and 28.7 ft/sec sprint speed. If he can start lifting the ball more and add some strength as he enters his mid to late 20’s, there is a 5-category stud lurking in here.” … Marte added 1.3 MPH to his exit velocity and 5.8 degrees to his launch angle en route to a beastly 5-category season. 2020 Projection: 93/26/88/.293/.352/.512/9

39) Carlos Correa HOU, SS, 25.6 – In the midst of a power breakout but rib and back injuries limited him to only 25 games after May. A back injury tanked his 2018 season as well, so it’s a legitimate concern. 2020 Projection: 90/32/105/.283/.362/.527/3

40) Aaron Judge NYY, OF, 27.11 – Led the league in average exit velocity every year since getting called up in 2016. Smashed 15 homers in final 33 games to salvage what was shaping up to be a mediocre season. Update: Has a stress fracture in his rib which will shut him down for a couple weeks. Surgery is a possibility. 2020 Projection: 92/33/88/.263/.370/.545/4

41) Adalberto Mondesi KC, SS, 24.8 – Underwent labrum surgery on October 3rd, with a 5-6 month recovery. Major surgeries that ruin your normal off-season routine is not a recipe for a breakout season. 2020 Projection: 78/16/74/.255/.299/.422/41 Prime Projection: 93/23/86/.274/.329/.446/49

42) Shohei Ohtani LAA, RHP/OF, 25.9 – Power and strikeouts … and strikeouts. The plan is for 1 start and 3-4 DH days per week. In weekly lineup leagues drop him down 100 spots because he can likely be viewed only as a 130 IP starter at peak. 2020 Projection: Hitting-46/17/52/.277/.349/.511/9 — Pitching-7/3.55/1.20/123 in 100 IP

43) Kris Bryant CHC, 3B/OF, 28.3 – Exit velocity is just not what it was in 2015 and 2016 when Bryant looked to be on the verge of becoming a perennial top 5 pick. I guess we’ll have to settle for merely very, very good. 2020 Projection: 110/32/80/.283/.381/.509/5

44) Matt Chapman OAK, 3B, 26.11 – Career low 21.9% K%, but a 3.6% jump in infield fly ball rate negated any possible batting average gains (.249 BA with a .270 BABIP). 2020 Projection: 105/38/96/.268/.355/.529/2

45) Mike Clevinger CLE, RHP, 29.3 – Upper back strain and sprained ankle caused Clevinger to miss almost the entire first half. Notched a career high 95.6 MPH fastball velocity, but that was on a steady decline as the season wore on. Update: Surgery to repair a partial tear of his medial meniscus with keep Clevinger out for at least the first few weeks of 2020. 2020 Projection: 12/3.31/1.14/189 in 160 IP

46) Stephen Strasburg WASH, RHP, 31.8 – Dominant, as usual, but he did it in a different way by upping his groundball percentage with increased sinker and curveball usage. Staying healthy all season is probably the most notable thing of all. 2020 Projection: 15/3.43/1.10/220 in 185 IP

47) Jo Adell LAA, OF, 21.0 – Elite athlete with double plus power. 32.6% K% and 0 homers in 27 games at Triple-A likely ensures at least a couple months of development time there in 2020. 2020 Projection: July-39/13/45/.250/.301/.459/6 Prime Projection: 101/37/108/.271/.353/.538/13

48) Blake Snell TB, LHP, 27.4 – Missed two months after undergoing arthroscopic elbow surgery in July to remove loose bodies. Velocity was down on all of his pitches, but still among the hardest throwers in baseball. Bloated 4.29 ERA was at least partly due to a .343 BABIP. Update: Received a cortisone shot in his pitching elbow which he labeled as precautionary and is unsure of his status for opening day. 2020 Projection: 12/3.37/1.18/214 in 168 IP

49) Max Scherzer WASH, RHP, 35.8 – Back issues held Scherzer to his lowest innings pitched total since his rookie year in 2009. He also didn’t pitch as well when he returned from the injury (4.81 ERA in 43 IP). 2020 Projection: 16/3.09/1.04/261 in 203 IP

50) Jose Altuve HOU, 2B, 29.11 – Career high K% (15%), career low stolen base total (6), and while Altuve hit a career high 31 homers, there wasn’t any significant improvements in exit velocity or flyball percentage to truly back up the power surge. 2020 Projection: 99/26/82/.292/.351/.490/13

51) JD Martinez BOS, OF, 32.7 – Best case scenario he’s Nelson Cruz and there is 7+ years of production left. Worst case scenario he’s Albert Pujols and this 32 year old season is the beginning of the end. 2020 Projection: 101/38/112/.308/.380/.570/3

52) Chris Paddack SD, RHP, 24.3 – Plus fastball/changeup combo is good enough, but continued development of the curveball can take him to the next level. 2020 Projection: 13/3.58/1.09/190 in 170 IP

53) Starling Marte ARI, OF, 31.6 – Career low 16% K%. Sprint speed is as good as ever but relying on speed as players get deeper into their 30’s is risky. 2020 Projection: 94/20/77/.289/.339/.462/28

54) Kyle Tucker HOU, OF, 22.4 – Sprint speed improved from below average in 2018 to above average in 2019. The power was never in question, but now there is hope the steals might transfer too. 2020 Projection: 71/24/77/.251/.325/.476/11 Prime Projection: 94/33/101/.265/.348/.513/15

55) Victor Robles WASH, OF, 22.10 – 81 MPH average exit velocity is cover your eyes bad. Even Stephen Strasburg managed to put up a 82.5. Jose Altuve has proven there is a path to strong power numbers with below average exit velocity (86.1 MPH), but Robles has to improve to reach even that level. 2020 Projection: 91/20/73/.272/.334/.439/27

56) George Springer HOU, OF, 30.6 – While his 2019 is likely a juiced ball aided career year, the strong underlying numbers don’t rule out the possibility of a repeat. 2020 Projection: 104/33/95/.280/.369/.525/7

57) Matt Olson OAK, 1B, 26.0 – Elite exit velocity power hitting beast. 2020 Projection: 93/38/105/.256/.345/.537/1

58) Justin Verlander HOU, RHP, 37.1 – Even at 37 years old Verlander is such a difference maker that he is worth a true elite prospect back in a trade. The cliff often doesn’t come with advanced warning, though, that is why they call it the cliff, and not the ramp. Update: Diagnosed with a mild lat strain. Timetable is uncertain but is unlikely to be ready for opening day. Considering his advanced age and Verlander’s value being heavily tied to a win now timetable, he drops in the rankings fro #49 to #58. 2020 Projection: 17/3.08/1.01/270 in 208 IP

59) Giancarlo Stanton NYY, OF, 30.5 – Limited to 18 games due to a variety of injuries, but performed like himself in those games with a 100.3 MPH FB/LD exit velocity. Update: Suffered a grade 1 calf strain which puts his status for opening day in question. 2020 Projection: 95/43/109/.261/.352/.546/3

60) Josh Bell PIT, 1B, 27.8 – Career high 37.3% FB% and 92.3 MPH exit velocity is evidence the power breakout is for real. 2020 Projection: 90/32/106/.273/.361/.528/1

61) Ramon Laureano OAK, OF, 25.9 – Plus power/speed combo but a 25.6% K% and 5.6% BB% shows he is not without risk. 2020 Projection: 89/27/84/.265/.334/.486/16

62) Tim Anderson CHW, SS, 26.9 – Career low 21% K% and career high 88.3 MPH exit velocity, along with a little BABIP luck, led to a breakout season, slashing .335/.357/.508 with 18 homers and 17 steals in 123 games. 2020 Projection: 90/23/72/.282/.321/.468/21

63) Patrick Corbin WASH, LHP, 30.8 – Backed up 2018’s breakout with another strong year on the back of his elite slider. Velocity up about 1 MPH on each pitch. 2020 Projection: 14/3.50/1.19/231 in 197 IP

64) Gavin Lux LAD, 2B/SS, 22.4 – I tried to tell you last off-season that Lux was being underrated, writing, “Me thinks Lux is still being a bit underrated right now.” He isn’t underrated anymore. 2020 Projection: 78/19/74/.272/.334/.451/11 Prime Projection: 98/28/93/.283/.356/.495/14

65) Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 19.3 – Advanced beyond his years feel to hit which he displayed at Full-A (.293 BA), High-A (.462 BA), and the Fall League (.288 BA). Add to that at least plus raw power and you have one of the most coveted prospects in baseball. ETA: Late 2021 Prime Projection: 96/35/109/.290/.368/.550/8

66) Charlie Blackmon COL, OF, 33.9 – Career low 26.7 ft/sec sprint speed doesn’t leave much hope for a stolen base bounce back (2 steals in 2019), but he has never hit the ball harder with a career high 88.5 MPH exit velocity. 2020 Projection: 106/33/84/.307/.362/.539/6

67) Luis Castillo CIN, RHP, 27.4 – Fireballing groundball pitcher with the most valuable changeup in baseball. 2020 Projection: 13/3.63/1.19/214 in 188 IP

68) Lucas Giolito CHW, RHP, 25.9 – Fastball velocity jumped 1.8 MPH to 94.6 MPH and changeup became an elite pitch. Grandal and his plus pitch framing should counteract any regression concerns. 2020 Projection: 13/3.69/1.17/226 in 185 IP

69) MacKenzie Gore SD, LHP, 21.1 – Potential for 4 plus pitches with plus control. Destroyed Hi-A with a silly pitching line of 1.02/0.71/110/20/ in 79.1 IP. 2020 Projection: July-6/3.82/1.26/83 in 78 IP Prime Projection: 17/3.22/1.03/240 in 200 IP

70) Anthony Rizzo CHC, 1B, 30.8 – As consistent as they come. 2020 Projection: 91/30/97/.288/.381/.513/5

71) Marcus Semien OAK, SS, 29.6 – Major breakout in basically every underlying stat and surface stat you look at. Some regression is likely, but the breakout was real. 2020 Projection: 107/29/76/.279/.360/.499/11

72) Joey Gallo TEX, OF, 26.4 – Has 281 hits in his career and 110 of them are homers. 38.4% K% still makes Gallo a huge average risk, but he also led the league in exit velocity on FB/LD at 101.2 MPH. 2020 Projection: 94/45/96/.234/.356/.549/4

73) Michael Conforto NYM, OF, 27.1 – Struggles vs. lefties is only true blemish (.701 OPS). 2020 Projection: 93/30/92/.263/.370/.502/5

74) Max Kepler MIN, OF, 27.2 – From my 2019 Top 1,000: “Posted career bests in K% (15.7%), BB% (11.6%), FB% (46.2%), and exit velo (89.5 MPH/93.9 MPH FB/LD). Kepler already broke out but it didn’t show up in his surface stats last year.” … It showed up this year, cranking 36 homers in 134 games while maintaining most of the underlying gains he made in 2018. 2020 Projection: 93/31/89/.266/.349/.502/3

75) Max Muncy LAD, 1B/2B/3B, 29.7 – Put any playing time concerns to rest with 589 PA, although the logjam isn’t breaking up anytime soon with Gavin Lux now trying to force his way into the lineup. 2020 Projection: 97/34/96/.254/.370/.513/3

76) Jorge Soler KC, OF, 28.1 – Huge power breakout, upping exit velocity 3.1 MPH and ripping 48 homers in 162 games. 2020 Projection: 85/33/98/.261/.350/.520/2

77) Eddie Rosario MIN, OF, 28.6 – Continued his free swinging ways (3.7% BB%) with power (32 homers) and a good feel to hit (14.6% K%). 2020 Projection: 84/28/92/.283/.316/.489/6

78) Jonathan Villar MIA, 2B/SS, 28.11 – Played in all 162 games, compiling 24 homers, 111 runs and 40 steals. Miami moving their fences in will cushion the blow a little bit from leaving Camden. 2020 Projection: 85/16/61/.263/.331/.430/34

79) Tyler Glasnow TB, RHP, 26.7 – Forearm strain knocked out most of Glasnow’s breakout season, but his velocity was fully back when he returned in September. His newfound control did not return, with 8 walks in 19.1 IP (including postseason). 2020 Projection: 10/3.58/1.19/185 in 150 IP

80) Aaron Nola PHI, RHP, 26.10 – Career best K/9 (10.19) and career worst BB/9 (3.56). Exit velocity against jumped to 88.5 MPH after being in the 85’s from 2016-2018. 2020 Projection: 14/3.66/1.21/221 in 205 IP

81) Eugenio Suarez CIN, 3B, 27.7 – Online IQ test question: What is the next number in this sequence – 4, 13, 21, 26, 34, 49, _? That is Suarez’ season home run totals since entering the league. My fake online IQ of 144 tells me Barry Bonds home run record might be in jeopardy next season. Update: Underwent surgery on his shoulder to remove loose cartilage in late January. There is no timetable, but he is likely to miss at least the start of the season. 2020 Projection: 72/27/84/.266/.352/.523/2

82) Rhys Hoskins PHI, 1B, 27.0 – Down-ish year when everyone else was experiencing a career year, but the homer/walk profile remains the same. 2020 Projection: 96/35/92/.250/.371/.512/3

83) Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TOR, OF, 26.6 – Took power to another level with 20 homers in 84 games by raising launch angle 3.7 degrees and increasing FB/LD exit velocity 3.2 MPH. 2020 Projection: 86/30/94/.270/.323/.492/8

84) Corey Seager LAD, SS, 25.11 – Career high 39.2% FB% didn’t result in a power breakout this season, but it portends good things for the future considering he was able to maintain strong exit velocity and plate approach numbers. 2020 Projection: 94/27/92/.281/.343/.496/1

85) Andrew Benintendi BOS, OF, 25.9 – 6.8% K% increase led to a down year across the board. Also has been getting slower every year. I feel more comfortable about a power rebound than I do a stolen base rebound. 2020 Projection: 93/21/86/.279/.357/.446/11

86) Nick Senzel CIN, OF, 24.8 – Underwent surgery to repair a torn labrum in late September which puts his availability for opening day in question. Speed is his best asset right now, but still profiles as an above average all category contributor at peak. 2020 Projection: 74/16/66/.268/.333/.440/19 Prime Projection: 94/24/83/.278/.346/.462/23

87) Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 20.8 – Performed well across 3 levels of the minors in his first full season of pro ball, culminating with a 133 wRC+ at Double-A. Above average to plus potential in every category. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 96/25/87/.283/.351/.485/16

88) Clayton Kershaw LAD, LHP, 32.0 – Fastball velocity did not rebound to pre-2018 levels and actually lost another 0.9 MPH, but the slider is as good as ever. 2020 Projection: 14/3.38/1.09/188 in 180 IP

89) Luis Severino NYY, RHP, 26.1 – Missed almost entire season with an inflamed rotator cuff and lat strain. Velocity wasn’t quite what it was in 2018, but at 96.1 MPH, that is more than enough. Update: Will miss all of 2020 after undergoing Tommy John surgery. 2020 Projection: OUT

90) Brandon Woodruff MIL, RHP, 27.2 – Third most valuable fastball in baseball behind only Cole and Flaherty. 2020 Projection: 11/3.74/1.20/190 in 165 IP

91) Jesus Luzardo OAK, LHP, 22.6 – Shoulder injury limited Luzardo to just 58 IP at a variety of levels (Rk, Hi-A, Triple-A, MLB playoffs), but he dominated at each stop with 3 plus pitches (mid 90’s fastball, curve, and change). He has a chance to be special, but with a career high of 109 IP, it remains to be seen if he can stay healthy and produce for 180+ IP. 2020 Projection: 10/3.68/1.19/160 in 142 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.39/1.11/213 in 183 IP

92) Julio Urias LAD, LHP, 23.8 – Announced that he will likely join the rotation in 2020. Ranked first overall in average exit velocity against at 83.2 MPH and fastball jumped 2.1 MPH to 95.2 MPH, including during the starts he made early in the season. 2020 Projection: 11/3.68/1.21/139 in 135 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.39/1.11/198 in 182 IP

93) Frankie Montas OAK, RHP, 27.0 – Found that legitimate third pitch by adding a splitter that he threw 18.2% of the time. With a plus fastball/slider combo already in tow, Montas broke out with a pitching line of 2.63/1.12/103/23 in 96 IP. 80-game PED suspension cut his season short, but he did return for 1 start in September with no noticeable performance decline. 2020 Projection: 13/3.64/1.21/185 in 170 IP

94) Gary Sanchez NYY, C, 27.4 – Elite power hitter and does it from the scarce catcher position. On the downside, catchers are always more banged up and at risk of shortened careers. It’s a give and take. 2020 Projection: 69/32/83/.252/.333/.520/0

95) Marcell Ozuna ATL, OF, 29.5 – Low BABIP (.259) spoiled what could have been a huge season as Ozuna reached a career high 12 steals and 11.3% BB%. If he can repeat those gains in 2020, the upside is there for him to blow up. 2020 Projection: 82/31/93/.268/.332/.500/6

96) David Dahl COL, OF, 26.0 – Another season shortened by injury, this time by a high ankle sprain that ended his year in early August. .386 BABIP covered up a weak 110/28 K/BB in 100 games, but he displayed an above average power/speed combo and has the raw tools to take his game to the next level. 2020 Projection: 86/23/83/.271/.329/.480/9

97) Amed Rosario NYM, SS, 24.4 – Continues to get stronger, raising his exit velocity 1.9 MPH to a well above average 89.2 MPH, while maintaining his plus speed and good feel to hit. 91.2 MPH FB/LD exit velocity will have to improve in order to take the next step. 2020 Projection: 87/18/79/.283/.322/.446/22

98) Byron Buxton MIN, OF, 26.3 – In the midst of a mini breakout before a shoulder injury ended his season, which required labrum surgery in September with a 5-6 month timetable. The underlying skills (95 MPH FB/LD exit velo, 19.5 degree launch angle, and 30.3 foot per second sprint speed) are there to become a power/speed beast, even if it takes him into his late 20’s to truly put it all together. 2020 Projection: 83/23/76/.267/.321/.475/26

99) Trevor Bauer CIN, RHP, 29.2 – Couldn’t repeat 2018 breakout, but he pitched through partially torn ligaments in his ankle since the 4th start of the season. 2020 Projection: 12/3.78/1.24/240 in 200 IP

100) Paul Goldschmidt STL, 1B, 32.7 – Still has the ability to put up big power numbers, but the days of elite fantasy production, especially in the stolen base department, are over. 2020 Projection: 94/34/94/.278/.359/.506/6

101) Tommy Pham SD, OF, 32.1 – Broke his hand on July 28th and was amazingly able to play through it, although his production took a small hit (.856 OPS pre injury vs. .776 OPS post injury) 2020 Projection: 90/22/76/.279/.370/.458/21

102) Whit Merrifield KC, 2B/OF, 31.4 – Steals and attempts both dropped off considerably, as well as a slight drop in sprint speed. It’s concerning for an aging, speed first player, but he’s still plenty fast so I’m actually expecting a slight rebound. 2020 Projection: 93/15/71/.291/.343/.451/25

103) Zack Wheeler PHI, RHP, 29.10 – Maintained uptick in velocity from the 2nd half of 2018 into 2019, but it still couldn’t prevent a repeat of his 1st half slump, putting up a 4.94 ERA in his first 15 starts, and a 3.04 ERA in his final 16 starts. 2020 Projection: 12/3.78/1.23/189 in 191 IP

104) Mike Soroka ATL, RHP, 22.8 – Low strikeout, groundball pitcher who relies mainly on a 92.2 MPH sinker. Slider, changeup, and 4 seamer were also above average to plus pitches in their own right. 2020 Projection: 13/3.61/1.19/170 in 190 IP

105) Zac Gallen ARI, RHP, 24.8 – Rode a plus fastball/changeup combo to a pitching line of 2.81/1.23/96/36 in 80 IP, and while the walk rate is a bit high, he’s displayed good control his entire college/minor league career. 2020 Projection: 12/3.63/1.25/203 in 181 IP

106) J.T. Realmuto PHI, C, 29.1 – Continued to improve power with a career high 90.3 MPH average exit velocity while maintaining good feel to hit and speed. 2020 Projection: 81/23/73/.273/.330/.485/6

107) Franmil Reyes CLE, OF, 24.9 – Ranked 3rd and 4th overall, respectively, in average exit velocity (93.3 MPH) and FB/LD exit velocity (98.2 MPH). If he can improve his 28.5% K%, which his minor league track record suggests is possible, if not likely, the sky is the limit on his power potential. 2020 Projection: 78/34/91/.256/.316/.509/0

108) Oscar Mercado CLE, OF, 25.4 – Offensive profile is a doppelganger for Whit Merrifield. 2020 Projection: 82/17/66/.273/.334/.435/25

109) Dylan Carlson STL, OF, 21.6 – Major power breakout (26 homers) while maintaining a strong plate approach (116/58 K/BB in 126 games) in the upper levels of the minors. He’s likely the Cardinals best outfielder right now (save for maybe Tommy Edman). 2020 Projection: June-51/13/48/.262/.333/.447/8 Prime Projection: 94/27/91/.277/.352/.488/12

110) Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 17.2 – When you get the opportunity to draft at the top of a first year player draft, you just don’t pass on this type of generational talent. Double plus power/speed combo with a good feel to hit. Upside is #1 player in fantasy. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 109/32/101/.287/.373/.532/25

111) Jeff McNeil NYM, 2B/3B/OF, 28.0 – Plus contact ability with about average pop and speed. 2020 Projection: 89/24/82/.303/.361/.504/9

112) Max Fried ATL, LHP, 26.2 – Added a slider which immediately became his best pitch, throwing it 16% of the time with a 6.2 pitch value. 2.55 BB/9 is the best he’s done at any stop in his professional career. 2020 Projection: 14/3.57/1.23/196 in 182 IP

113) Sonny Gray CIN, RHP, 30.5 – A bounce back season was easy to predict, but nobody could have expected a 7.9% increase in K%, leading to 205 strikeouts in 175.1 IP. 2020 Projection: 13/3.58/1.18/198 in 179 IP

114) Miguel Sano MIN, 3B, 26.11 – 36.2% K% might tank your batting average, but power entered into true elite territory with a 99.6 MPH FB/LD exit velocity and 15.9 degree launch angle. 2020 Projection: 87/42/94/.236/.332/.519/0

115) Kyle Schwarber CHC, OF, 27.9 – Career high 97.9 MPH FB/LD exit velocity combined with a career low 25..6% K% led to a career high 38 homers and .250 BA. Also the first year he received full time at bats. 2020 Projection: 85/35/94/.254/.348/.523/3

116) Marco Luciano SF, SS, 18.7 – Knocked 10 homers in 47 games in his first season of pro ball. Lightening quick bat speed with potential for double plus power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 91/33/99/.277/.350/.520/9

117) Andrew Vaughn CHW, 1B, 22.0 – If drafting a 17 year old without a single pro plate attempt is just more risk than you are able to handle, Vaughn is your safe alternative for the top pick in a FYPD. Patient hitter with plus contact rates and plus power. Type of college bat who should move fast. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 92/31/103/.285/.370/.518/2

118) Josh Donaldson MIN, 3B, 34.4 – Bounced back from an injury plagued 2018 with 37 homers, ranking 6th overall in FB/LD exit velocity and 7th overall in average exit velocity. 2020 Projection: 92/32/89/.254/.366/.513/3

119) Jose Abreu CHW, 1B, 33.2 – Hitting the ball as hard as ever with a career high 92.1 MPH avg. exit velocity. 2020 Projection: 82/30/101/.281/.335/.498/2

120) Cavan Biggio TOR, 2B, 25.0 – 28.6% K%, 20.1 degree launch angle and a 91.8 MPH FB/LD exit velocity is a recipe for a low average, but speed and a high walk rate should mitigate some of that average risk. 2020 Projection: 83/24/77/.252/.358/.444/16

121) Carter Kieboom WASH, SS/2B, 22.7 – Patient hitter with a swing geared towards both average and power. If you can buy low based off his .128 BA and 37.2% K% in his small sample MLB debut, do it. 2020 Projection: May-64/18/68/.268/.339/.440/3 Prime Projection: 93/26/92/.281/.359/.486/7

122) Brendan Rodgers COL, 2B, 23.8 – Season ending labrum surgery in July makes it unlikely for Rodgers to wrestle the starting 2B job from Ryan McMahon early in the season, but his plus hit, plus power ceiling still makes him the favorite long term. Or Colorado trades Arenado and there is room for both. 2020 Projection: June-45/15/52/.266/.316/.451/4 Prime Projection: 85/29/96/.279/.335/.492/5

123) Josh Hader MIL, Closer, 27.0 – Finally ascended to the closer role and didn’t disappoint with a career high 16.41 K/9 and career low 2.38 BB/9. With Milwaukee putting him on the trade block, he’s once again at risk of being moved back into a setup role. 2020 Projection: 4/2.83/0.92/131/34 in 71 IP

124) Adley Rutschman BAL, C, 22.2 – Selected 1st overall in the 2019 draft, Rutschman is a plus defensive catcher with a middle of the order offensive profile. Just keep in mind that catchers inherently get more days off during the season, are at a greater risk of injury, and just generally get worn down over the course of a season and career. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 85/27/91/.282/.368/.508/2

125) Jose Berrios MIN, RHP, 25.10 – Third straight good but not great season. Probably needs to add a few MPH to really take the next step. 2020 Projection: 13/3.78/1.21/192 in 194 IP

126) Eduardo Rodriguez BOS, LHP, 27.0 – Shook off a poor start to the season (5.43 ERA in first 10 starts) to put up a 3.21 ERA in final 148.2 IP. Put his injury history in the past with a career high 203.1 IP. 2020 Projection: 14/3.73/1.27/188 in 184 IP

127) Nicholas Castellanos CIN, OF, 28.1 – Trade to Chicago lit a fire under him, hitting .321 with 16 homers in 51 games. Couldn’t have landed in a better situation than Cincy. 2020 Projection: 84/27/89/.279/.335/.508/2

128) Scott Kingery PHI, 3B/OF, 25.11 – Improved exit velocity allowed him to tap into his power, but will have to cut down on 29.4% K% in order to take the next step. 2020 Projection: 79/22/71/.263/.322/.461/17

129) Forrest Whitley HOU, RHP, 22.6 – Missed seven weeks with shoulder inflammation and battled command issues all season (7.99 ERA and 86/44 K/BB in 59.2 IP). He got back on track in the Fall League with a 2.88 ERA and 32/9 K/BB in 25 IP. The ace upside is still there, but the risk is evident. 2020 Projection: July-5/4.15/1.31/83 in 76 IP Prime Projection: 16/3.44/1.18/211 in 188 IP

130) Casey Mize DET, RHP, 22.11 – Plus command of a 4 pitch mix with a nasty splitter as the money pitch. Wasn’t the same after missing a month with shoulder inflammation in June, which is yet another reminder of how risky pitching prospects are. 2020 Projection: July-5/3.82/1.26/78 in 82 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.51/1.16/191 in 182 IP

131) Brandon Lowe TB, 2B, 25.9 – Elite underlying power hitting numbers (18.7 launch, 96 MPH FB/LD), and while 34.6% K% is high, he’s done much better than that every other year of his career, including 2018 in the majors. Also has some speed. 2020 Projection: 78/31/86/.257/.328/.493/8

132) Dinelson Lamet SD, RHP, 27.8 – Improved in his return from Tommy John surgery, adding two new pitches (96.4 MPH sinker and a 2nd slider) to his already plus fastball/slider combo. It helped with his issues vs. lefties (.867 OPS in 2017 vs. .744 OPS in 2019) and going through the batting order a 3rd time (8.86 ERA in 2017 vs. 4.70 ERA in 2019). 2020 Projection: 11/3.72/1.23/205 in 163 IP

133) Charlie Morton TB, RHP, 36.6 – Career year by upping the usage of his best pitch (curveball) at the cost of his sinker. Fastball velocity dipping 1.6 MPH and comments last off-season about wanting to spend more time with his family are areas of concern. 2020 Projection: 15/3.41/1.15/212 in 182 IP

134) Alex Verdugo BOS, OF, 23.11 – Plus contact rates transferred to the majors with a 13% K% and .294 BA in 106 games. Hits the ball very hard, so if he can lift it more, the power could blow up. I was high on Verdugo before the trade news, but moving to Boston puts him in a better ballpark and gives him more job security. Update: Stress fracture in back likely to keep him out to start the season. 2020 Projection: 76/17/73/.286/.340/.468/7 Prime Projection: 92/25/86/.298/.365/.510/10

135) Royce Lewis MIN, SS, 20.10 – Salvaged a down year at High-A and Double-A (.236/.290/.371) by destroying the Arizona Fall League (.353/.411/.565) and taking home MVP honors. Regardless, spike in strikeout rate across all levels calls into question how much average he will ultimately hit for. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 84/25/89/.273/.332/.461/22

136) Kristian Robinson ARI, OF, 19.4 – High strikeout rates are a legitimate concern, but he has been among the youngest players at every level, and the elite power/speed combo has you dreaming of a Fernando Tatis like breakout. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/30/95/.262/.347/.503/18

137) Yu Darvish CHC, RHP, 33.7 – Amazing turnaround in the 2nd half, putting up a pitching line of 2.76/0.81/118/7 in 81.2 IP after walking 49 batters with a 5.01 ERA in the 1st half. Darvish is the type of pitcher I target after passing on the frontline aces. 2020 Projection: 13/3.72/1.19/222 in 180 IP

138) Lance McCullers Jr. HOU, RHP, 26.6 – Rehab from Tommy John surgery is going smooth and is expected to be 100% by the start of camp, but is still expected to be limited to about 120 IP. Changeup took a step forward in 2018 before getting hurt. I’m buying in. 2020 Projection: 9/3.59/1.24/135 in 123 IP

139) Nate Pearson TOR, RHP, 23.7 – 6’6”, 245 pound beast who crushed 3 levels of the minors (A+, AA, AAA) with an upper 90’s fastball and plus slider. 2020 Projection: July-4/3.88/1.29/74 in 70 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.48/1.19/192 in 178 IP

140) Luis Patino SD, RHP, 20.5 – Double plus mid to upper 90’s fastball with a slider that flashes plus and developing changeup. Patino is a player I’m targeting in trades considering the hype hasn’t quite matched his top of the rotation upside. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 15/3.41/1.16/195 in 177 IP

141) Matt Manning DET, RHP, 22.3 – Improvements to changeup and control led to a huge year at Triple-A, putting up a pitching line of 2.56/0.98/148/38 in 133.2 IP. Adding a tick or two to his low 90’s fastball could take him to the next level. 2020 Projection: August-4/3.96/1.30/61 in 54 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.62/1.21/212 in 192 IP

142) James Paxton NYY, LHP, 31.5 – Came on down the stretch with a 2.51 ERA and 69 K’s in his final 61 IP. Battled a knee injury early in the season which he blamed on the hard, sticky dirt used for the Yankee Stadium mound. Update: Underwent back surgery in early February and is likely to be out for 3-4 months. 2020 Projection: 9/3.80/1.25/145 in 120 IP

143) Chris Sale BOS, LHP, 31.0 – Inflammation in pitching elbow ended Sale’s season in August. Fastball was down 2 MPH and put up a career worst 4.40 ERA, but he still managed to strikeout 218 batters in 147.1 IP. Update: Underwent Tommy John surgery in late March 2020 Projection: OUT

144) Tommy Edman STL, 2B/3B, 24.11 – Way back in August 2016, just a couple months after St. Louis drafted him 196th overall, I praised Edman in my Prospect Rundown: “Like clockwork, St. Louis has another mid-round draft pick (6th rd pick this year) who has immediately excelled in pro ball. Edman is slashing .305/.416/.473 with 4 homers, 5 triples, 12 doubles, and 14 steals in 52 games at Low-A. He has elite contact skills, putting up a 22/37 K/BB, which backs up his 57/76 career K/BB in 168 games as a 3-year starter at Stanford. His upside isn’t sky high, and he may top out as a utility infielder, but I know better than to bet against St. Louis draft picks.” … please pay no attention to the fact he didn’t crack my 2019 Top 1,000. 2020 Projection: 83/15/54/.281/.330/.451/23

145) Dansby Swanson ATL, SS, 26.2 – Power broke out with a 3 MPH increase in exit velocity although it showed up only marginally in his surface stats. Expect it to show up in 2020. 2020 Projection: 88/23/77/.267/.339/.452/12

146) Trey Mancini BAL, 1B/OF, 28.0 – Improved plate approach and GB% allowed his already good feel to hit and plus exit velocity to shine, slashing .291/.364/.535 with 35 homers. Update: Underwent successful surgery to have a malignant tumor removed from his colon. There is no timetable for his return. 2020 Projection: 69/26/80/.278/.347/.506/1

147) Yasiel Puig FA, OF, 29.4 – Hasn’t had the power breakout season we’ve all been waiting for, but he is running more than ever, and the underlying skills are there for a 30+ homer season. 2020 Projection: 79/28/91/.266/.332/.483/17

148) Jeter Downs BOS, SS, 21.8 – I was high on Downs coming into 2019, ranking him 45th overall on my 2019 Top 472 Prospects Ranking. He continued to show off the same skills at High-A and Double-A that made me so high on him, which is a good feel to hit, the ability to lift the ball, and base stealing skills. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 87/26/83/.274/.347/.469/14

149) Brennen Davis CHC, OF, 20.5 – At an athletic 6’4”, 175 pounds, Davis has a plus power/speed combo with a good feel to hit. He slashed .305/.381/.525 with 8 homers, 4 steals, and a 38/18 K/BB in 50 games at Full-A. He’s still not getting his due respect. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/28/93/.274/.340/.495/13

150) CJ Abrams SD, SS, 19.6 – Plus hit tool and plus speed shined through in his pro debut, slashing .401/.442/.662 with 14 steals and a 9% K% in 32 rookie ball games. 3 homers shows he has decent pop, and at 6’2”, 185 pounds, there is room to grow into more. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 93/16/72/.287/.349/.439/30

151) Corey Kluber TEX, RHP, 34.0 – Fractured his right elbow after getting hit by a line drive and then strained his oblique during a rehab start. Made only 7 starts due to the injuries and he didn’t look all that hot in those starts with a 5.80 ERA and his velocity continuing its 5 year decline. There is a reason he didn’t fetch all that much in the trade. 2020 Projection: 13/3.62/1.16/180 in 178 IP

152) Zack Greinke HOU, RHP, 36.5 – Steamer hates him, slapping him with a projected 4.26 ERA. He doesn’t strike a ton of batters out and is getting up there in age, but he has a history of thriving with low K rates and reduced velocity. 2020 Projection: 16/3.42/1.10/179 in 195 IP

153) Madison Bumgarner ARI, LHP, 30.8 – Every ballpark is a downgrade from San Francisco but Arizona has leaned towards a pitcher’s park since implementing the humidor. With xFIP’s over four the last three years and the aforementioned ballpark downgrade, I would be looking to trade Bumgarner this off-season. 2020 Projection: 12/3.98/1.19/188 in 190 IP

154) Noah Syndergaard NYM, RHP, 27.7 – Much improved changeup became his best secondary pitch but his slider took a step back, losing 2.2 MPH. Update: Underwent Tommy John surgery in late March. 2020 Projection: OUT

155) Jorge Polanco MIN, SS, 26.9 – Power breakout on the back of raising his exit velocity 3.1 MPH to 87 MPH. Despite above average speed, it is not translating to success on the base paths (11 for 21 over the past two years). 2020 Projection: 92/19/71/.286/.347/.466/6

156) Michael Brantley HOU, OF, 32.11 – Stolen bases dropped off a cliff, but everything else is in prime form. 2020 Projection: 85/20/83/.302/.358/.481/5

157) Roberto Osuna HOU, Closer, 25.2 – As consistent as it gets. 5th straight season with a sub 1.00 WHIP. 2020 Projection: 3/2.91/0.93/76/34 in 67 IP

158) DJ LeMahieu NYY, 1B/2B/3B, 31.9 – The rare hitter to leave Coors and get better. Raised FB/LD exit velocity by 2 MPH to 95.2 MPH and launch angle 1 degree to 6.7 degrees, leading to a career high 26 homers to go along with his usual high contact rates. 2020 Projection: 96/20/77/.301/.353/.469/6

159) Yasmani Grandal CHW, C, 31.5 – Played in 153 games, which is quite the accomplishment for a catcher. Signing with Chicago keeps him in a hitter’s environment. 2020 Projection: 69/25/73/.245/.362/.465/3

160) Paul DeJong STL, SS, 26.8 – Improved K% (22.4%) and BB% (9.3%) for the 2nd year in a row, but low BABIP and below average exit velocity kept his batting average low (.233). 2020 Projection: 87/28/81/.258/.335/.469/6

161) Mike Moustakas CIN, 2B/3B, 31.6 – Improved walk rate while maintaining strong contact and underlying power numbers. Move to Cincy keeps him in a hitter’s park. 2020 Projection: 77/33/88/.258/.328/.502/3

162) Willson Contreras CHC, C, 27.11 – Power returned with a career high 24 homers, but power upside will be capped as long as he has 50%+ groundball rates. 2020 Projection: 62/22/65/.270/.350/.510/2

163) Willie Calhoun TEX, OF, 25.5 – Contact/power profile started to shine through in 2019, smacking 21 homers with a 15.7 K% in 83 games. 2020 Projection: 83/30/87/.276/.338/.508/0

164) Matthew Boyd DET, LHP, 29.2 – Dominant 1st half (3.08 ERA and 105/15 K/BB) was spoiled by a second half collapse (5.81 ERA with a 133/35 K/BB in final 100.2 IP), but he still put up strong strikeout to walk numbers which is encouraging. 2020 Projection: 10/3.91/1.22/219 in 181 IP

165) Luke Weaver ARI, RHP, 26.7 – Bounced back from a down 2018 by increasing his cutter usage and re-establishing his changeup as a plus pitch. Elbow injury effectively ended his season in May except for a 2 inning appearance in September. 2020 Projection: 10/3.76/1.24/166 in 160 IP

166) Gio Urshela NYY, 3B, 28.6 – Power took a big step forward with a career best 90.5 MPH exit velocity, which he combined with his already good feel for contact. These out of nowhere, late career breakout players remain the most underrated assets in dynasty leagues. 2020 Projection: 83/25/88/.277/.323/.478/1

167) Alec Bohm PHI, 3B, 23.9 – Contact ability translated to pro ball with a 14.1% K% at Double-A, to go along with 14 homers and a 10.4% walk rate in 63 games. He then went to the AFL and put up a .925 OPS in 19 games. 2020 Projection: September-8/3/11/.259/.321/.441/0 Prime Projection: 83/26/94/.278/.344/.486/3

168) Austin Riley ATL, OF, 23.0 – Strikeout rate dropped 9.2% at Triple-A to 20.1%, but on the flip side he struck out 36.4% in his 80 game MLB debut. The only thing not in question is his ability to hit for power, smacking 18 homers in those 80 games with strong underlying power numbers. 2020 Projection: 62/24/71/.248/.304/.469/1 Prime Projection: 82/33/95/.262/.332/.505/2

169) Lance Lynn TEX, RHP, 32.11 – Velocity ticked up on all of his pitches and strikeouts exploded with 246 K’s in 208.1 IP. 2020 Projection: 13/3.74/1.26/210 in 191 IP

170) Drew Waters ATL, OF, 21.3 – Took home MVP honors in the Southern League with a .319 BA, 35 doubles, 9 triples, 5 homers, and 13 steals in 108 games, although he did struggle with contact (26.7% K% in Double-A and 36.1% K% in Triple-A). 2020 Projection: August-25/5/21/.259/.309/.413/6 Prime Projection: 87/24/83/.278/.341/.470/18

171) Alex Kirilloff MIN, 1B/OF, 22.5 – Wrist injury kept Kirilloff out for the first month and a half of the season and likely contributed to sapping his power when he returned. He came on in the second half with 13 homers in final 76 games including the playoffs. 2020 Projection: July-32/11/43/.265/.320/.443/2 Prime Projection: 88/26/93/.283/.335/.485/5

172) Bobby Witt Jr. KC, SS, 19.10 – Mediocre pro debut (.670 OPS), but he still showed a good feel to hit (19.4% K%) and speed (9 steals), which is promising considering the power is definitely in there. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/26/88/.271/.338/.476/19

173) Carlos Carrasco CLE, RHP, 33.0 – Diagnosed with Leukemia in June and battled back to pitch out of the pen in September. And here I was about to take a 30 minute break because my space bar thumb was feeling a bit sore. 2020 Projection: 12/3.73/1.24/198 in 173 IP

174) German Marquez COL, RHP, 25.1 – The latest young Coors hurler who we thought could slay the Coors dragon but he came back bloody, beaten, and bruised like all the ones who came before him (3.67 road ERA vs. 6.26 home ERA). 2020 Projection: 13/4.06/1.22/188 in 181 IP

175) Michael Kopech CHW, RHP, 23.11 – Hit 100 MPH in an instructional league start in October, proving the elite raw stuff is back after undergoing Tommy John surgery in September 2018. Brent Honeywell’s complications post Tommy John still forces me to bake in some added risk with Kopech’s rank. 2020 Projection: July-5/4.21/1.35/87 in 72 IP Prime Projection: 16/3.45/1.21/230 in 192 IP

176) A.J. Puk OAK, LHP, 24.11 – The stuff is all the way back after undergoing Tommy John surgery in April 2018, displaying a 97.5 MPH fastball and 90 MPH slider coming out of the pen for Oakland down the stretch. 2020 Projection: 9/3.83/1.32/159 in 138 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.52/1.26/199 in 176 IP

177) Mitch Haniger SEA, OF, 29.3 – Raised launch angle 6 degrees to 18.7 but it came at the expense of his contact ability (6.9% K% increase to 28.6%). Season ended in June with a ruptured testicle and back injury. Update: Underwent surgery on his core in January 2020, which will delay the start to his season. 2020 Projection: 77/25/74/.256/.339/.487/5

178) J.D. Davis NYM, 3B/OF, 26.11 – K%, exit velocity, and launch angle all took a step forward, which is a recipe for a breakout year. He slashed .307/.369/.527 with 22 homers in 453 PA. 2020 Projection: 76/24/81/.268/.336/.481/2

179) Vidal Brujan TB, 2B, 22.2 – Double plus speed and he loves to run with 103 stolen bases in 221 games over the past two seasons. Prototypical leadoff hitter with near elite contact ability and a good plate approach, although he struggles vs. lefties. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 87/13/51/.281/.340/.418/37

180) Spencer Howard PHI, RHP, 23.8 – Shoulder stiffness in April limited Howard to 71 IP, but he dominated in those innings with a pitching line of 2.03/0.83/94/16. Mid 90’s heat and three potentially above average secondaries gives Howard legitimate top of the rotation potential. 2020 Projection: August-3/4.01/1.31/55 in 51 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.58/1.20/192 in 175 IP

181) Dustin May LAD, RHP, 22.7 – Strong MLB debut with a pitching line of 3.63/1.10/32/5 in 34.2 IP. Has plus control over a nasty 96.2 MPH sinker and 90.9 MPH cutter, while also mixing in a curve and change. 2020 Projection: June-7/3.91/1.24/86 in 93 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.61/1.18/186 in 191 IP

182) Kyle Hendricks CHC, RHP, 30.4 – Plus command continues to induce weak contact which allows him to outperform his FIP. 2020 Projection: 13/3.56/1.17/163 in 187 IP

183) Edwin Diaz NYM, Closer, 26.0 – Relievers are volatile. Relievers are volatile. Relievers are volatile. Did I mention relievers are volatile? 2020 Projection: 3/3.13/1.09/109/34 in 65 IP

184) Sixto Sanchez MIA, RHP, 21.8 – Dominates with a fastball that can hit 100+ MPH to go along with 2 plus secondaries (changeup, slider) and plus control. 8.48 K/9 isn’t very impressive, but has the elite stuff to produce more K’s down the line. 2020 Projection: August-3/3.72/1.23/51 in 56 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.63/1.13/181 in 179 IP

185) Rougned Odor TEX, 2B, 26.2 – Career worst 30.6% K% makes it harder to buy in than ever, but the plus power/speed combo and relative youth demands just a little more patience. 2020 Projection: 80/31/83/.243/.318/.462/13

186) Michael Chavis BOS, 1B/2B, 24.8 – Showed off big time power in his MLB debut with 18 homers in 95 games, but also showed his risk with a 33.2% K%. 2020 Projection: 77/28/89/.259/.328/.470/5

187) Danny Santana TEX, OF/1B, 29.5 – Power breakout is for real with a 91.4 MPH exit velocity and 94.7 MPH FB/LD exit velocity, but the .283 BA it came with is a mirage with a 29.5% K% and 4.9% BB% 2020 Projection: 81/24/79/.253/.298/.472/15

188) Ryan McMahon COL, 2B/3B, 25.4 – Something will have to give with a 29.7% K% and 27.9% FB%, but he has Coors at his back and he hits the ball very hard. 2020 Projection: 68/23/76/.257/.335/.473/4

189) Robbie Ray ARI, LHP, 28.6 – Fastball velocity dropped 2.4 MPH to 92.7 MPH while continuing to be a strikeout (12.13 K/9) and walk (4.34 BB/9) machine. 2020 Projection: 12/4.02/1.35/230 in 171 IP

190) Joc Pederson LAD, OF/1B, 27.11 – .572 career OPS vs. lefties likely keeps him in a strong side of a platoon role even if the Dodgers do end up dealing him. 2020 Projection: 81/31/76/.250/.341/.520/2

191) Carlos Martinez STL, RHP, 28.6 – Role is up in the air. With the plus stuff still there, all he needs is his shoulder to cooperate. 2020 Projection: 8/3.84/1.29/138 in 141 IP

192) Garrett Hampson COL, 2B/OF, 25.6 – Very low exit velocity (83.2 MPH) is a major concern and it isn’t mitigated by a good K% (26.9%). He’s one of the fastest players in the game and has Coors behind him, so even modest improvements in both categories can make him a valuable 5×5 asset. 2020 Projection: 65/10/42/.268/.327/.408/21 Prime Projection: 85/16/63/.276/.339/.421/28

193) Nate Lowe TB, 1B, 24.9 – Will have to scratch and claw for playing time, but there is no doubt he will hit for power if he gets it. 2020 Projection: 53/19/57/.256/.330/.471/1 Prime Projection: 82/28/89/.269/.357/.492/1

194) Cristian Pache ATL, OF, 21.5 – Power and patience took a step forward, but the mainstream list prospect hype is still centered around his double plus center field defense. 2020 Projection: September-8/1/5/.251/.295/.394/2 Prime Projection: 86/21/79/.273/.338/.455/17

195) Taylor Trammell SD, OF, 22.6 – Down year at Double-A but remains a great athlete and 20/20 threat if he can make the proper adjustments to unlock more power. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 86/21/77/.266/.344/.451/21

196) Corbin Carroll ARI, OF, 19.7 – Drafted 16th overall, Carroll has double plus speed with a strong plate approach and sneaky pop, posting a 91 MPH average exit velocity in his pro debut. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 92/18/76/.276/.344/.455/29

197) Aaron Bracho CLE, SS, 18.11 – Bracho is one of those players I was talking about in the Wander blurb (along with Noelvi Marte, Orelvis Martinez, Luis Matos, and Liover Peguero to name a few). He signed for $1.5 million in 2017 and then missed all of 2018 with a broken arm which kept the hype in check. He had his coming out party in 2019 in stateside rookie ball, showing a great feel to hit (15.3% K%), an advanced plate approach (16.8% BB%) and plus power (6 homers and a 51.8% FB% in 30 games). Limited defensive value will keep his ranking on real life lists down. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/28/92/.278/.354/.487/9

198) Noelvi Marte SEA, SS, 18.6 – Signed for $1.5 million in 2018, Marte showed off his plus power/speed combo in the Dominican League, slashing .309/371/.511 with 9 homers, 17 steals and a 55/29 K/BB in 65 games. Now is the last chance to buy before he comes stateside and the price skyrockets. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/25/86/.272/.341/.478/18

199) Nelson Cruz MIN, UTIL, 39.9 – Stikeout rate took a step back (25.1% K%), but nothing else in his profile indicates the end is near, especially the eye popping exit velocities he’s putting up in his late 30’s (93.7 MPH avg and 99.2 MPH FB/LD). 2020 Projection: 83/36/101/.272/.351/.545/1

200) Justin Turner LAD, 3B, 35.4 – Hitting the ball as hard as ever but strikeout rate jumped to 16% after sitting at 12.7% in 2018 and 10.7% in 2019. 2020 Projection: 83/27/77/.286/.369/.501/2

201) Carlos Santana CLE, 1B, 34.0 – Raised exit velocity on groundballs 4.4 MPH en route to a career high .281 batting average. 2020 Projection: 91/27/88/.268/.380/.486/3

202) Brendan McKay TB, LHP, 24.4 – Plus command of a 4 pitch arsenal, but none of his pitches are dominant, which led to MLB hitters teeing off in his 49.2 IP debut with a 90.5 MPH exit velocity against, 93.4 MPH FB/LD, and 16.7 degree launch angle. 2020 Projection: June-7/4.13/1.28/108 in 104 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.68/1.17/189 in 183 IP

203) Ian Anderson ATL, RHP, 21.11 – Crushed Double-A with a 2.68 ERA and 147/47 K/BB in 111 IP before struggling at Triple-A over 24.2 IP. Potential for 3 plus pitches but will have to improve command and/or add MPH to the fastball to become a top of the rotation starter. 2020 Projection: August-2/4.21/1.34/33 in 30 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.60/1.26/210 in 190 IP

204) Eduardo Escobar ARI, 2B/3B, 31.3 – Huge season with 35 homers and 118 RBI but mediocre exit velocity numbers (91.1 MPH FB/LD exit velocity) keeps me hesitant from completely buying in. 2020 Projection: 77/27/89/.270/.326/.489/4

205) Hunter Dozier KC, 3B/OF, 28.7 – It took a minute, but the former 8th overall pick in 2013 finally broke out, slashing .279/.348/.522 with 26 homers and a 148/55 K/BB in 139 games. Underlying power numbers back up the breakout. 2020 Projection: 79/27/86/.261/.334/.492/4

206) Didi Gregorius PHI, SS, 30.3 – Career high 88.2 MPH exit velocity tells me it isn’t time to jump off the Didi bandwagon. Good buy low opportunity right now. 2020 Projection: 80/26/88/.273/.330/.475/6

207) Edwin Encarnacion CHI, 1B, 37.3 – No signs of slowing down. 2020 Projection: 82/35/91.250/.341/.505/0

208) Dylan Cease CHW, RHP, 24.3 – Throws 96.6 MPH heat with 3 secondaries (slider, curveball, changeup). Slider and changeup were both positive value pitches in the majors and his curveball graded out as his best secondary as a prospect. Control/command will have to take a step forward to reach his considerable ceiling. 2020 Projection: 9/4.12/1.34/173 in 161 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.78/1.27/194 in 179 IP

209) Gregory Polanco PIT, OF, 28.6 – Never got fully healthy coming off 2018 shoulder surgery and needed PRP injections in September, but he is expected to be ready to roll for Spring. Strikeout rate and sprint speed both took a hit, but considering the circumstances I’m not reading too much into it. 2020 Projection: 73/21/80/.252/.320/.456/9

210) Yandy Diaz TB, 1B/3B, 28.8 – Power broke out by raising FB% 8.7% to 32% and FB/LD exit velocity 3.4 MPH to 97 MPH. Fractured left foot limited him to 79 games. 2020 Projection: 83/23/72/.273/.350/.466/3

211) Elvis Andrus TEX, SS, 31.7 – Sprint speed in a 4 year decline and is now slightly below average, but he still stole 31 bases, showing base stealing isn’t only about pure speed. 2020 Projection: 79/13/71/.271/.321/.391/24

212) Trent Grisham SD, OF, 23.5 – Power exploded at Double-A and Triple-A, although MLB exit velocity numbers were below average (91 MPH FB/LD exit velocity). Trade to San Diego opens up playing time. 2020 Projection: 71/20/68/.255/.348/.442/9

213) Jordan Groshans TOR, SS, 20.5 – In the midst of a great full-season debut (.337/.427/.482 in 23 games) when a left foot injury shut him down for the season. Excellent all around hitter with plus raw power and average speed. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/26/90/.278/.355/.485/8

214) Orelvis Martinez TOR, SS, 18.7 – Lived up to his $3.5 million price tag, jumping straight to stateside ball (Gulf) and slashed .275/.352/.549 with 7 homers and a 29/14 K/BB in 40 games. Potential for plus hit and plus power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 83/30/95/.276/.343/.518/4

215) Alek Thomas ARI, OF, 19.11 – Advanced beyond his years plate approach with plus speed and an excellent 90 MPH average exit velocity. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 89/20/74/.279/.358/.450/21

216) Hyun-jin Ryu TOR, LHP, 33.0 – Soft tossing lefty who dominates with plus command and one of the best changeups in baseball. Value takes a hit with his move to Toronto and the AL East. 2020 Projection: 12/3.52/1.19/143 in 161 IP

217) Marcus Stroman NYM, RHP, 28.11 – Move out of the AL East can only help and K’s should tick up getting to face the pitcher 2-3 times per game. 2020 Projection: 11/3.76/1.28/174 in 191 IP

218) Sean Manaea OAK, LHP, 28.2 – Returned in September from torn labrum surgery. Fastball was down 1.2 MPH to 90 MPH but the results were strong with a 1.21 ERA and 30 strikeouts in 29.2 IP. 2020 Projection: 12/3.73/1.19/146 in 163 IP

219) Kirby Yates SD, Closer, 33.0 – Velocity declined on fastball and splitter, but it didn’t impact his performance at all, in fact, he improved. 2020 Projection: 4/2.76/0.96/92/36 in 60 IP

220) Kenta Maeda MIN, RHP, 32.0 – Trade to Minnesota ensures Maeda’s status as a season long starter. 2020 Projection: 11/3.88/1.19/175 in 160 IP

221) Aroldis Chapman NYY, Closer, 32.1 – Velocity declined for the 3rd year in a row to a now career low 98.2 MPH. It’s still so fast I almost feel silly bringing it up. 2020 Projection: 3/2.93/1.11/81/34 in 56 IP

222) Liam Hendriks OAK, Closer, 31.2 – Slider and curve put up a .149 xwOBA and .059 xwOBA, respectively. It’s almost too easy to point to Blake Treinen and stay away from Hendricks, but Hendricks is his own man. 2020 Projection: 3/3.06/1.09/93/37 in 68 IP

223) Mitch Garver MIN, C, 29.2 – Exit velocity exploded with a 3.9 MPH jump on FB/LD to an elite 97.2 MPH, which led to a ridiculous 31 homers in 93 games. 2020 Projection: 63/25/66/.260/.343/.481/0

224) Nomar Mazara CHW, OF, 24.11 – Patience is starting to wear thin on the Mazara breakout, but he still has youth and plus power on his side. 2020 Projection: 73/25/87/.273/.328/.480/3

225) Mark Canha OAK, OF, 30.1 – Breakout season, slashing .273/.396/.517 with 26 homers and a 107/67 K/BB in 126 games. Was receiving everyday at-bats in the 2nd half of the season and is slated for a full time job for the first time in his career. There is nothing in the underlying numbers or looking back at his entire pro career that says it was a fluke. I’m buying in, especially at his current cheap price. 2020 Projection: 86/28/79/.264/.359/.498/5

226) Brandon Nimmo NYM, OF, 27.0 – Limited to 69 games with a bulging disc in his back after colliding into the outfield wall on April 14th, but he looked completely healthy when he returned in September, slashing .261/.430/.565 with 5 homers and a 23/20 K/BB in 26 games. Overall numbers were dragged down by trying to play through the injury originally and hitting .171 in those 26 games. 2020 Projection: 82/19/61/.260/.386/.451/8

227) Nick Madrigal CHW, 2B, 23.1 – Incredible 16/44 K/BB in 120 games spread across 3 levels of the minors (A+, AA, AAA), but his power upside is nonexistent. 2020 Projection: May-69/5/41/.278/.329/.390/19 Prime Projection: 91/10/56/.292/.343/.409/27

228) Xavier Edwards TB, 2B, 20.8 – Elite contact numbers translated to full-season ball with a 10.2% K% at Full-A and a 8.8% K% at High-A, as did his speed with 34 stolen bases in 123 games. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 92/10/48/.289/.342/.405/34

229) Will Smith LAD, C, 25.0 – 53.7% FB% will lead to lots of homers, but combined with a 26.5% K% will make him a batting average risk. 2020 Projection: 62/24/69/.238/.315/.471/3

230) Miguel Andujar NYY, 3B, 25.1 – Underwent shoulder surgery in May and lost his starting 3B job to Gio Urshela. Playing time could be dependent on how quick he takes to 1B and corner outfield. 2020 Projection: 71/22/80/.278/.321/.476/1

231) Jesse Winker CIN, OF, 26.7 – Back injury ended his season in mid-August. Better real life hitter than fantasy and struggles vs. lefties. Power should tick up over the next couple seasons. 2020 Projection: 73/19/69/.283/.372/.481/1

232) Luis Urias MIL, 2B/SS, 22.10 – Lowered ground ball rate to a career low 37.9% (from 49.1%) leading to 19 homers in 73 games in the extreme hitter’s environment of the PCL. Struggled in 249 MLB at-bats, but he has been pushed so aggressively in his career, I wouldn’t hold it against him too much. Update: Out 6-8 weeks with a fractured hamate bone, putting his readiness for opening day in doubt. 2020 Projection: 76/18/69/.262/.334/.427/5 Prime Projection: 86/23/78/.278/.351/.465/7

233) Jake Odorizzi MIN, SP, 30.0 – Velocity ticked up on all of his pitches (+1.7 MPH to 93 MPH on fastball) giving reason to buy into his career high 10.08 K/9. 2020 Projection: 12/3.75/1.23/176 in 168 IP

234) Andrew Heaney LAA, LHP, 28.10 – Elbow and shoulder inflammation limited him to 95.1 IP. K/9 jumped to a career high 11.14 which gives him some fantasy friendly upside even if he never exceeds his current mid-rotation profile. 2020 Projection: 10/3.93/1.27/179 in 171 IP

235) Taylor Rogers MIN, Closer, 29.4 – Took over the closer role for good in June and ran with it, posting 30 saves with a 2.61 ERA and 90/11 K/BB in 69 IP. Velocity on his sinker increased 1.3 MPH to 95 MPH. 2020 Projection: 3/2.88/1.03/85/33 in 67 IP

236) Ken Giles TOR, Closer, 29.6 – Don’t call it a bounceback. His 2018 was probably more unlucky than bad. 2020 Projection: 3/3.25/1.13/89/32 in 60 IP

237) Jean Segura PHI, SS, 30.0 – Attempted only 12 steals and is now entering his 30’s. It’s not ideal. 2020 Projection: 86/13/65/.286/.331/.426/15

238) Caleb Smith MIA, LHP, 27.8 – Velocity declined in the 2nd half after coming back from a hip injury and so did his effectiveness, posting a 3.50 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in the first half vs. a 5.42 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in the 2nd. 2020 Projection: 9/4.12/1.24/178 in 162 IP

239) Brian Anderson MIA, 3B/OF, 26.10 – Increased FB% 6.8% to 35.3% while maintaining plus exit velocity readings. It led to a power breakout with 20 homers in 126 games. 2020 Projection: 79/25/81/.265/.348/.472/4

240) Joe Musgrove PIT, RHP, 27.4 – Doesn’t have overpowering stuff but throws 5 pitches with plus control. 2020 Projection: 12/3.93/1.22/165 in 175 IP

241) Kevin Newman PIT, SS, 26.8 – Elite contact rates (11.7%) and the opposite of elite exit velocity (84.7 MPH). 2020 Projection: 81/13/63/.290/.337/.426/19

242) Renato Nunez BAL, 1B, 26.0 – Playing time is the main concern, not only this year but in the future, because he is a very bad defensive player. The power isn’t a question. 2020 Projection: 74/32/88/.254/.326/.475/1

243) Willy Adames TB, SS, 24.7 – Incremental improvements in strikeouts, exit velocity, and launch angle, although it didn’t show up in his surface stats. I’m expecting that to change in 2020. 2020 Projection: 79/23/67/.266/.332/.438/7

244) Hunter Renfroe TB, OF, 28.2 – Fell apart in the 2nd half, hitting .161 with 6 homers in 205 PA (.921 OPS in 266 1st half PA). Made an effort to be more patient with a career high 9.3% BB%, but any gains he made there were negated by a career worst 31.2% K%. 2020 Projection: 68/31/83/.241/.309/.493/4

245) Tyler O’Neill STL, OF, 24.9 – St. Louis OF jobs are a bit up for grabs as of right now and my bet is that O’Neill will get his shot to replace Marcell Ozuna‘s power early in the season. Bringing down his 35.1% K% will be the key to winning that job for good. 2020 Projection: 68/26/77/.247/.318/.461/3

246) Isan Diaz MIA, 2B, 23.10 – Poor pro debut (.173 BA) but with even modest improvements in strength and K% it isn’t hard to see a plus power hitter with patience. Below average sprint speed does not lend much hope to significant stolen base contributions. 2020 Projection: 67/23/75/.243/.321/.438/6 Prime Projection: 79/27/89/.259/.341/.474/7

247) Adrian Houser MIL, RHP, 27.2 – Groundball pitcher (4.4 degree launch angle) with a 94.5 MPH sinker and the ability to miss bats (9.46 K/9). 2020 Projection: 10/3.86/1.27/136 in 140 IP

248) Avisail Garcia MIL, OF, 28.10 – Raw talent has always been great but was never able to improve plate approach or launch angle enough to really capitalize on it. He did have a career low 46% GB% in 2019, so don’t give up quite yet on a power breakout, especially with his move to hitter friendly Milwaukee. 2020 Projection: 72/25/82/.274/.329/.473/8

249) JJ Bleday MIA, OF, 22.5 – Power broke out with 26 homers in 65 games at Vanderbilt. Then went straight to High-A and displayed a good feel to hit (19.2% K%) and ability to lift the ball (34.9% GB%) despite the mediocre overall numbers (.690 OPS). ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 79/27/88/.274/.341/.484/5

250) Heliot Ramos SF, OF, 20.7 – Continues to be pushed aggressively through the minors, and he responded this year with a 143 wRC+ at High-A and 119 wRC+ in 25 games at Double-A. Big time power will be his calling card. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 83/28/86/.264/.341/.482/10

251) Nolan Gorman STL, 3B, 19.11 – Mediocre numbers at Full-A and High-A, but the power, patience and strikeout profile remains unchanged. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 83/33/92/.253/.336/.508/2

252) Triston Casas BOS, 1B, 20.3 – Reasonable 23.5% K% in full season debut to go along with 19 homers. At 6’4”, 238 pounds the power was never in question, so the relative contact ability is very encouraging. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 79/31/88/.268/.347/.503/3

253) Bryan Reynolds PIT, OF, 25.2 – Great rookie season, slashing .314/.377/.503, but doesn’t have the most fantasy friendly skillset with only 16 homers and 3 steals in 134 games. 2020 Projection: 87/20/72/.277/.340/.459/5

254) Evan White SEA, 1B, 24.1 – Carried over the power gains he made towards the end of 2018 into 2019 with 18 homers and a career low 42.4% GB% in 92 games at Double-A. Is a sure bet to spend most, if not all of 2020 in the majors with a newly signed 6 year, $24 million contract. 2020 Projection: 78/22/73/.264/.325/.450/5 Prime Projection: 81/27/86/.276/.338/.473/6

255) Tarik Skubal DET, LHP, 23.4 – Scout the stat line ace with a pitching line of 2.42/1.01/179/37 in 122.2 IP split between High-A and Double-A, Stuff profiles more as a high end mid-rotation starter, but it’s hard to argue with those results. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 13/3.71/1.23/195 in 181 IP

256) Nick Anderson TB, Closer, 29.9 – Stepped into the majors and was immediately one of the best relievers in baseball with a 96.3 MPH fastball and plus breaking ball. It doesn’t come with any history of control problems either. Emilio Pagan trade makes Anderson the favorite for saves, but Tampa is a known wild card when it comes to their bullpen. 2020 Projection: 6/2.83/0.97/102/23 in 68 IP

257) Wil Myers SD, OF, 29.4 – Strikeout rate ballooned to 34.3%, and while his average was much better in the 2nd half than the 1st (.217 vs. .271), the K% was high all season. He’s going to have to fight for playing time with Pham and Grisham in town. 2020 Projection: 76/22/71/.244/.319/.438/14

258) Jon Gray COL, RHP, 28.5 – Actually performed better at home (3.46 ERA and 1.29 WHIP) than on the road (4.22 ERA and 1.42 WHIP). 2020 Projection: 12/3.94/1.31/171 in 165 IP

259) Joey Lucchesi SD, LHP, 26.10 – Velocity declined in the 2nd half leading to a 4.52 ERA and 1.37 WHIP (3.94 ERA and 1.11 WHIP pre break). 2020 Projection: 9/4.00/1.24/166 in 170 IP

260) Mike Minor TEX,LHP, 32.2 – Velocity declined as the season wore on, as did his effectiveness, posting a 2.54 ERA in the first half and 4.93 ERA in the 2nd. 2020 Projection: 12/3.89/1.26/173 in 185 IP

261) Ian Happ CHC, OF, 25.8 – Fell out of favor and didn’t get his first MLB at-bat until late July. Strikeout rate dropping 11.1% to 25% will hopefully give Chicago more faith in him in 2020. 2020 Projection: 68/25/76/.252/.334/.481/6

262) Aristides Aquino CIN, OF, 25.11 – Free swinging slugger with speed. Exploded out of the gate in MLB debut with a .320 BA and 14 homers in August before bottoming out in September with a .196 BA and 5 homers. 2020 Projection: 64/25/78/.247/.308/.496/8

263) Griffin Canning LAA, RHP, 23.11 – Solid MLB debut showing off an above average 4 pitch mix with strikeout ability (9.56 K/9) and below average exit velocity against (87 MPH). Update: Will likely begin the season on the IL after experiencing elbow discomfort. 2020 Projection: 8/4.16/1.27/142 in 140 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.68/1.22/189 in 178 IP

264) Brailyn Marquez CHC, LHP, 21.2 – Big lefty at 6’4”, 185 pounds, Marquez throws an upper 90’s fastball with a potentially plus slider and developing changeup. Still needs to improve control/command, but this is the type of high upside arm I love taking a chance on. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 14/3.55/1.23/187 in 174 IP

265) Jazz Chisholm MIA, SS, 22.3 – Career high 11.4% BB% at Double-A while continuing to hit the ball in the air with plus speed. Upside is high, but 32.1% K% gives him a very low batting average floor. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 83/28/81/.244/.328/.462/15

266) Riley Greene DET, OF, 19.6 – Drafted 5th overall, the only blemish on Greene’s otherwise great pro debut is that his strikeout rate was a little on the high side at 25%. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/25/89/.280/.352/.475/9

267) George Valera CLE, OF, 19.5 – Hit tool was not as good as expected (27.7% K% at Short-A) but the power showed out with 8 homers in 46 games, and the sweet lefty swing still impressed. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/26/88/.276/.360/.478/9

268) Nolan Jones CLE, 3B, 21.11 – Lefty slugger with legitimate strikeout issues (31 K’s and 4 homers in 15 games at the Arizona Fall League) but some of that is due to his passive plate approach and sky high walk rates. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 85/29/85/.251/.369/.478/2

269) Josh Lowe TB, OF, 22.2 – Power broke out at Double-A with 18 homers in 121 games to go along with 30 steals and a 132/59 K/BB. The hit tool still needs improvement, but Lowe’s stock took a huge jump last season. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 82/25/80/.250/.332/.468/19

270) Trevor Larnach MIN, OF, 23.1 – Game power didn’t show up as hoped (13 homers in 127 games split between High-A and Double-A) with high ground ball rates, although he improved at the end of the season with 6 homers in final 28 games. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 77/27/87/.265/.340/.470/5

271) Joey Bart SF, C, 23.3 – Power hitting catcher whose home ballpark suppresses power, although San Francisco is moving the fences in this year. Suffered two broken hands from being hit by pitches, once in April and then again in October in the AFL. 2020 Projection: August-15/7/22/.247/.302/.436/1 Prime Projection: 69/25/81/.262/.330/.467/3

272) Yuli Gurriel HOU, 1B/3B, 35.10 – Raised launch angle 3 degrees and increased FB/LD exit velocity 1.7 MPH while maintaining elite 10.6% K%. 2020 Projection: 79/24/89/.292/.330/.487/4

273) Khris Davis OAK, Util, 32.3 – Exit velocity declined 2.4 MPH to a still very good 90.1 MPH due to a variety of injuries, most notably a hand injury. I’m buying a bounce back, but considering his age, I’m not buying in that hard. 2020 Projection: 82/32/91/.239/.310/.487/1

274) Justin Upton LAA, OF, 32.7 – Banged up all year with toe and knee injuries and it negatively impacted basically every facet of his game (exit velocity, speed, batting average). Even with full health, power is the only thing I would count on from here on out. 2020 Projection: 76/31/82/.243/.330/.451/3

275) Lorenzo Cain MIL, OF, 34.0 – I wrote last year that “now is the time to sell.” Hope you did, because his down season across the board has plummeted his trade value. He was banged up all season with a variety of injuries, so holding on for a bounceback isn’t a bad option. 2020 Projection: 84/13/52/.281/.349/.412/22

276) Adam Eaton WASH, OF, 31.4 – Sprint speed returned to pre-injury levels and raised launch angle 5 degrees to a career high 13.2, leading to a classic Adam Eaton season of .280, 15/15. It couldn’t be any more Adam Eaton if he tried. 2020 Projection: 92/17/63/.280/.262/.438/14

277) Hunter Bishop SF, OF, 21.9 – Drafted 10th overall, Bishop has one of the best power/speed combos in the draft, but has racked up strikeouts in every league he has played in. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 82/28/78/.247/.332/.471/14

278) Grayson Rodriguez BAL, RHP, 20.4 – Impressed in his full season debut with a pitching line of 2.68/0.99/129/36 in 94 IP. The scouting report backs up the production with mid 90’s heat, 3 potentially plus secondaries, and plus control/command. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 14/3.69/1.20/196 in 180 IP

279) David Price LAD, LHP, 34.7 – Cyst in left wrist limited him to 107.1 IP and could be responsible for some of the struggles leading up to being shut down. The cyst was removed in September, and he should be 100% by Spring, but the skills are in a clear decline. 2020 Projection: 12/3.73/1.26/169 in 165 IP

280) Nico Hoerner CHC, SS, 22.11 – Plus contact/speed profile who has to learn how to fully tap into his moderate raw power. Suffered a hairline fracture in his wrist in May which likely further depressed his power. 2020 Projection: 67/9/43/.279/.321/.411/11 Prime Projection: 88/16/72/.288/.340/.432/16

281) Nick Solak TEX, 2B/3B/OF, 25.2 – Excellent MLB debut, slashing .293/.393/.491 with 5 homers, 2 steals, and a 29/15 K/BB in 33 games. Has been a ground ball hitter throughout his career, but exit velocity and sprint speed are strong. 2020 Projection: 79/20/74/.271/.339/.452/10

282) Brad Hand CLE, Closer, 30.0 – Velocity down 1.2 MPH to 92.9 MPH and missed most of September with arm fatigue. 2020 Projection: 4/3.22/1.17/93/33 in 65 IP

283) Kenley Jansen LAD, Closer, 32.6 – Velocity dropped for the 3rd year in a row to a career low 92.1 MPH and it showed up in the results with a career worst 3.71 ERA. 2020 Projection: 3/3.62/1.09/78/33 in 63 IP

284) Craig Kimbrel CHC, Closer, 31.10 – Season was so bad and so out of character with the rest of his career that you almost have to assume it was a complete aberration due to not signing until June. 2020 Projection: 3/3.38/1.09/92/36 in 65 IP

285) Jonathan India CIN, 3B, 23.3 – Hasn’t gotten to as much of his plus raw power as hoped, hitting only 11 homers in 121 games, but has showed an advanced approach with a good feel to hit and some speed. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 85/24/79/.272/.349/.461/12

286) Mitch Keller PIT, RHP, 24.0 – 7.13 ERA in 48 IP MLB debut but it came with a 12.19 K/9 and 3.19 FIP, which makes the debut more encouraging than discouraging. Relies heavily on a 95.4 MPH fastball with a plus slider being his best secondary. 2020 Projection: 10/4.02/1.30/167 in 161 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.77/1.25/191 in 182 IP

287) Jameson Taillon PIT, RHP, 28.4 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in August 2019 and is likely to be out for all of 2020. 2020 Projection: OUT

288) Raisel Iglesias CIN, Closer, 30.3 – I hope you don’t play in a league that counts losses because he racked up 12 of them last year! The all-time loss record for a reliever is 16, held by Gene Garber. 2020 Projection: 3/3.56/1.19/87/32 in 69 IP

289) Keone Kela PIT, Closer, 27.0 – Inherits the closer job with Felipe Vazquez gone. Kela fires 96.6 MPH heat with a plus curve. 2020 Projection: 3/3.37/1.10/72/30 in 60 IP

290) Josiah Gray LAD, RHP, 22.3 – Decimated 3 levels of the minors (A, A+, AA) with a plus fastball/slider combo and plus command. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 14/3.63/1.18/183 in 176 IP

291) Logan Gilbert SEA, RHP, 22.11 – Dominated his first year of pro ball just as easily as he did the Atlantic Sun Conference, putting up a pitching line of 2.13/0.95/165/33 in 135 IP split between A, A+, and AA. Relies heavily on his plus fastball but slider, curve, and change all have the potential to develop into quality secondaries. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 14/3.66/1.21/196 in 185 IP

292) Mike Foltynewicz ATL, SP, 28.6 – Velocity was down and struggled after missing the first month of the season with a sore elbow, leading to a demotion in June. He was much better when he got called back up with a 2.65 ERA and a 55/17 K/BB in final 57.2 IP, although the velocity did not return. 2020 Projection: 11/3.93/1.23/173 in 171 IP

293) Josh James HOU, RHP, 27.1 – The humongous jump in strikeouts in 2018 carried over to 2019 with 100 K’s in 61.1 IP, but it came with some command problems as he walked 35 batters with a 4.70 ERA. Update: Brad Peacock’s injury opens up the 5th starter for Josh James. His strikeout upside makes him worth reaching for. 2020 Projection: 8/3.98/1.32/161 in 135 IP

294) Andrew McCutchen PIT, OF, 33.5 – Underwent surgery to repair a torn ACL in mid June. I would be cautious drafting a 33 year old player coming off such a serious injury, although if he fully recovers the underlying skills were still good in 2019. 2020 Projection: 77/23/71/.251/.353/.455/6

295) Salvador Perez KC, C, 29.11 – Rehabbing from March 2019 Tommy John surgery and is expected to be fully recovered for 2020. 2020 Projection: 54/25/77/.253/.291/.455/1

296) Alex Reyes STL, RHP, 25.7 – Just can’t stay healthy. This year it was a right pectoral injury. Fastball did clock in at 97.2 MPH so if he can stay healthy for a few seasons, a late 20’s breakout is still in the cards. 2020 Projection: 5/4.29/1.35/88 in 81 IP

297) Archie Bradley ARI, Closer, 27.8 – K/9 and BB/9 both reached career highs at 10.9 and 4.5. Announced that he won’t be handed the closer job, but he is the heavy favorite to win it. 2020 Projection: 3/3.58/1.25/82/32 in 69 IP

298) Hansel Robles LAA, Closer, 29.7 – Career high 97.4 MPH fastball. Changeup usage jumped up 19.3% to 23% and it paid off with a 6.4 pitch value. 2020 Projection: 3/3.42/1.18/71/32 in 68 IP

299) Kyle Seager SEA, 3B, 32.5 – Hand surgery delayed the start to his season, but he ripped it up once he got going, slashing .281/.367/.575 with 17 homers and 44/27 K/BB in final 60 games. 2020 Projection: 74/27/85/.253/.328/.455/3

300) Sean Murphy OAK, C, 25.6 – It’s a small sample but he knocked 4 homers with a 90.7 MPH exit velocity and 96.6 MPH FB/LD exit velocity in his 20 game MLB debut. This after hitting 10 homes in 31 games at Triple-A. If he can raise his launch angle a bit, and with his already strong plate approach, Murphy has the potential to be one of the better hitting catchers in baseball. 2020 Projection: 56/18/52/.255/.338/.441/0 Prime Projection: 73/24/82/.268/.357/.468/1

301) Maikel Franco KC, 3B, 27.7 – Will be handed the everyday 3B job. The talent is still there to breakout with strong contact numbers (14.3% K%) and exit velocity (89 MPH). BB% (8.4%) and launch angle (14.9 degrees) both hit career highs. 2020 Projection: 65/23/77/.262/.328/.465/0

302) Anthony DeSclafani CIN, RHP, 30.0 – Velocity has slowly ticked up every year of his career to a now career high 94.9 MPH. 2020 Projection: 10/3.95/1.25/169 in 171 IP

303) Sandy Alcantara MIA, RHP, 24.7 – 151 K’s in 197.1 IP isn’t pretty, but he was better in the 2nd half, striking out 86 in final 101.2 IP. Electric mid 90’s stuff is easy to buy into. 2020 Projection: 7/4.03/1.33/162 in 184 IP

304) Masahiro Tanaka NYY, RHP, 31.5 – Strikeouts fell off a cliff with only 149 in 182 IP. His ERA’s were already relatively inflated since 2017, which leaves not much to be excited about for 2020. 2020 Projection: 12/4.28/1.25/161 in 175 IP

305) Chris Archer PIT, RHP, 31.6 – From bad to worse. Velocity down about 1 MPH on his fastball and sinker, ERA bloated to 5.19, and was shut down after 23 starts with shoulder inflammation. 2020 Projection: 9/4.35/1.36/184 in 165 IP

306) Aaron Civale CLE, RHP, 24.10 – Former 3rd round pick in 2016, Civale had a strong MLB debut with a 2.34 ERA in 57.2 IP. While his strikeout numbers didn’t pop (7.18 K/9), he has plus control and he induced tons of weak contact with a below average 86.6 MPH average exit velocity against and 90.3 MPH FB/LD exit velocity against. 2020 Projection: 9/4.13/1.30/136 in 155 IP

307) Luke Voit NYY, 1B, 29.2 – Playing time is no guarantee with Miguel Andujar and Mike Ford in the mix at 1B. Underwent sports hernia surgery in October to repair the injury that limited him to 118 games. 2020 Projection: 73/23/75/.255/.351/.477/0

308) Kolten Wong STL, 2B, 29.6 – Got back to running with 24 steals after stealing 7, 8, and 6 in the previous 3 years. 2020 Projection: 71/10/63/.275/.348/.418/15

309) Christian Walker ARI, 1B, 29.0 – Quad-A slugger who got his shot in the majors and capitalized on it, slashing .259/.348/.476 with 29 homers and a 155/67 K/BB in 152 games. Nothing looks like a fluke, but righthanded, poor defensive sluggers always seem to be fighting for their job (see, Jesus Aguilar). 2020 Projection: 77/26/79/.252/.330/.471/3

310) Jesus Aguilar MIA, 1B, 29.9 – Lost his job in 2019 with a down year, but he actually dropped his K% 3.2% to 22% and upped BB% 1.7% to 11.7%, all while still hitting the ball very hard. Should see close to everyday at-bats at 1B for Miami. 2020 Projection: 68/28/83/.258/.332/.472/0

311) C.J. Cron DET, 1B, 30.3 – Detroit will be his 4th team in 4 years. It’s hard out there for a righty slugger who is poor defensively 2020 Projection: 63/26/78/.257/.320/.475/0

312) Miles Mikolas STL, RHP, 31.7 – Lack of strikeouts caught up with him as his 2.83 ERA in 2018 became a 4.16 ERA in 2019. Maintained his plus control and relatively low WHIP (1.22). Update: Received a platelet enriched plasma injection for his elbow which should keep him out for up to a month into the season. 2020 Projection: 10/3.86/1.21/138 in 160 IP

313) Garrett Richards SD, RHP, 31.11 – Returned in September coming off Tommy John surgery to show the mid 90’s velocity is back. Great late round flyer 2020 Projection: 6/3.93/1.30/133 in 129 IP

314) A.J. Pollock LAD, OF, 32.4 – Typical Pollock year. Injury shortened season (infected elbow-out 2.5 months) but looked good in the games he did play in. 2020 Projection: 68/19/64/.262/.321/.470/7

315) Mallex Smith SEA, OF, 26.11 – Billy Hamilton 2.0 with a bit more upside and power. 2020 Projection: 73/8/48/.264/.339/.387/39

316) Aaron Hicks NYY, OF, 30.6 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in late October and is expected to miss 8-10 months, which puts him on pace to return sometime in the 2nd half at best. Anything Hicks is able to give you in 2020 should be considered icing on the cake. 2020 Projection: 28/8/25/.241/.336/.459/3

317) Jurickson Profar SD, 2B, 27.1 – The Profar revival was short lived, but the biggest difference between 2020 and 2019 was a 51 point drop in BABIP (.218). He seems to have a lock on the SD starting 2B job. 2020 Projection: 76/20/73/.261/.338/.447/7

318) Hector Neris PHI, Closer, 30.10 – 2nd most valuable splitter in baseball behind only Kirby Yates. 2020 Projection: 3/3.73/1.20/86/31 in 66 IP

319) Francisco Mejia SD, C, 24.5 – Flipped hitting profile by raising his launch angle 10.3 degrees to 19.1. He’s always had a good feel to hit, so if he can gain strength as he enters his mid-20’s, a major power breakout might be around the corner. 2020 Projection: 51/17/59/.268/.321/.447/1 Prime Projection: 68/25/81/.274/.333/.469/2

320) Tommy La Stella LAA, 2B/3B, 31.2 – Career best 8.7% K% and 16 homers. Fractured right tibia limited him to only 80 games. With below average to average exit velocities, I wouldn’t bet on him maintaining that power over a full season. 2020 Projection: 83/22/74/.286/.341/.462/0

321) Dylan Bundy LAA, RHP, 27.4 – Ballpark upgrade moving from Camden to Angel Stadium. Exit velocity against down 1 MPH to 87.7 MPH and launch angle down 3.1 degrees to 13.7. Bundy’s got a shot at being useful this season with breakout potential. 2020 Projection: 9/4.31/1.34/171 in 165 IP

322) Cesar Hernandez CLE, 2B, 29.11 – Moderate power/speed combo whose value is heavily dictated based on where he is hitting in the order. 2020 Projection: 78/13/69/.272/.342/.395/14

323) Corey Dickerson MIA, OF, 30.10 – Broken foot ended his season in September. Lifts the ball with a good feel to hit. 2020 Projection: 76/22/75/.282/.323/.478/3

324) Luis Arraez MIN, 2B/OF, 23.0 – Elite contact numbers (7.9% K%) and not much else. Should grow into at least a little more power considering his age. 2020 Projection: 82/8/54/.302/.359/.412/5

325) Randal Grichuk TOR, OR, 28.8 – Above average but not elite exit velocity power hitter with poor K/BB rates. 2020 Projection: 71/28/78/.237/.295/.467/3

326) Christin Stewart DET, OF, 26.4 – Don’t put Stewart to bed quite yet. Solid plate approach and hits it in the air. Exit velocity has been low but there is definitely more in the tank there. 2020 Projection: 68/25/78/.249/.329/.448/0

327) Austin Hays BAL, OF, 24.9 – Strong September in the majors (.947 OPS in 75 PA), although his minor league numbers weren’t as strong (.758 OPS at Triple-A). Inside track to win the Orioles opening day starting CF job. 2020 Projection: 78/24/75/.265/.312/.456/10

328) Josh Rojas ARI, OF, 25.9 – Power breakout at Double-A and Triple-A was backed up by excellent MLB exit velocity (95.5 MPH FB/LD). Tack on above average speed and good plate approach, and Rojas is an excellent late round pick if he can work his way into everyday playing time. 2020 Projection: 61/15/56/.260/.336/.449/12

329) Simeon Woods Richardson TOR, RHP, 19.6 – Impressive 18-year-old season in Full-A and High-A with a 126/24 K/BB in 106.2 IP. He displayed an advanced four pitch mix headlined by a plus fastball/slider combo. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 14/3.64/1.16/198 in 183 IP

330) Oneil Cruz PIT, SS, 21.6 – Fly ball percentage jumped up 8.9% to 38.1% after his promotion to Double-A. If he can maintain those gains, the double plus raw power will definitely start to shine through. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 78/28/86/.252/.323/.474/9

331) Brandon Marsh LAA, OF, 22.4 – Lowered strikeout rate to 22.3% at Double-A (27.7% at High-A in 2018), which is very encouraging. Next step is hitting fewer ground balls (52.6%). 2020 Projection: September-12/2/9/.252/.327/.413/3 Prime Projection: 83/22/78/.271/.350/.457/16

332) Greg Jones TB, SS, 22.1 – Drafted 22nd overall, Jones is a great athlete with double plus speed and developing power. He’s had strikeout issues in his career (25.7% at Short-A), but the upside is considerable. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/16/62/.268/.349/.421/32

333) Edward Cabrera MIA, RHP, 22.0 – Much improved secondaries and control combined with his electric mid 90’s fastball made Cabrera one of the biggest pitching breakouts in the minors, posting a pitching line of 2.23/0.99/116/31 in 96.2 IP split between High-A and Double-A. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 13/3.76/1.23/191 in 182 IP

334) Brent Honeywell TB, RHP, 25.0 – Had sur