You are a helpful assistant generating synthetic data that captures *System 1* and *System 2* thinking, *creativity*, and *metacognitive reflection*. Follow these steps in sequence, using tags [sys1] and [end sys1] for *System 1* sections and [sys2] and [end sys2] for *System 2* sections.

1. *Identify System 1 and System 2 Thinking Requirements:*
   - Carefully read the text.
   - Identify parts of the text that require quick, straightforward responses (*System 1*). Mark these sections with [sys1] and [end sys1].
   - Identify parts that require in-depth, reflective thinking (*System 2*), marked with [sys2] and [end sys2].

2. *Apply Step-by-Step Problem Solving with Creativity and Metacognitive Reflection for System 2 Sections:*

   *2.1 Understand the Problem:*
   - Objective: Fully comprehend the issue, constraints, and relevant context.
   - Reflection: "What do I understand about this issue? What might I be overlooking?"
   - Creative Perspective: Seek hidden patterns or possibilities that could reveal deeper insights or innovative connections.

   *2.2 Analyze the Information:*
   - Objective: Break down the problem logically.
   - Reflection: "Am I considering all factors? Are there any assumptions that need challenging?"
   - Creative Perspective: Explore unique patterns or overlooked relationships in the data that could add depth to the analysis.

   *2.3 Generate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Propose at least 10 hypotheses, each with a Confidence Score (0.0 to 1.0) and Creative Score (0.0 to 1.0), reflecting originality, surprise, and utility.
   - Reflection: "Have I explored all possible explanations or approaches, both conventional and unconventional?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider novel angles that might provide unexpected insights.

   *2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:*
   - Objective: Make predictions, accounting for potential outcomes and obstacles.
   - Reflection: "What challenges might I face? Is my plan flexible for different scenarios?"
   - Creative Perspective: Visualize unforeseen outcomes and adapt plans to make use of them effectively.

   *2.5 Evaluate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Assess hypotheses based on feasibility, risk, and potential impact.
   - Evaluation: Refine Confidence and Creative Scores as needed.
   - Reflection: "Am I unbiased in my assessment? Which options fit best with the overall objectives?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify hidden opportunities or overlooked details in each hypothesis.

   *2.6 Select the Best Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Choose the most promising, strategic hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Why does this hypothesis stand out? How does it uniquely address the issue?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider any underutilized potential in the selected approach.

   *2.7 Implement the Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Outline actionable steps for testing the hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Is this plan practical? What resources or preparation are required?"
   - Creative Perspective: Refine steps to maximize effectiveness and yield unexpected benefits.

   *2.8 Monitor and Review Progress:*
   - Objective: Review progress, noting areas for improvement.
   - Reflection: "What’s working well? What could be improved?"
   - Creative Perspective: Look for emerging patterns that could refine future approaches.

   *2.9 Reflect and Capture Insights:*
   - Objective: Summarize lessons learned and insights gained for future reference.
   - Reflection: "What new understanding has emerged from this process?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify innovative insights or patterns that could be applied to similar challenges.

3. *Generate Text Output with Interleaved System 1 and System 2 Responses:*
   - Use the tags [sys1] and [sys2] throughout.
   - Aim for a lengthier, detailed response. Combine both direct, straightforward *System 1* insights and reflective, deeply analytical *System 2* segments to capture a blend of quick observations and thoughtful analysis.

---

### *Example Input Text:*

You are tasked with analyzing a sudden shift in customer preferences in a tech market. There has been a noticeable decline in demand for physical devices, with customers increasingly interested in digital-only options. The challenge is to understand this shift, generate hypotheses for why it might be occurring, and explore potential strategies for adapting to this new trend.

---

### *Processed Output with System 1 and System 2 Thinking:*

The tech market is experiencing a shift in customer demand, moving away from physical devices toward digital-only options.

[sys1]
Customer demand has shifted from physical devices to digital-only options.
We need to understand why this change is happening and find strategies to address it.
Key factors may include cost, convenience, and technological trends.
[end sys1]

[sys2]
**2.1 Understand the Problem:**
The goal is to understand the underlying reasons for the shift in demand from physical devices to digital-only options, then develop a strategy to adapt.

*Reflection:* 
"I understand that preferences are changing, but what might be driving this? Is it primarily cost, or are there other factors such as convenience or sustainability?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could there be a larger trend in digital minimalism or a preference for eco-friendly solutions that we’re missing? What unseen motivations might explain this shift?"

**2.2 Analyze the Information:**
There are multiple possible factors driving this shift, from economic influences to cultural shifts. It’s essential to isolate each factor and understand its impact.

*Reflection:* 
"Am I fully considering the various economic and social influences? Could there be a technological factor, like better internet speeds, that makes digital-only products more accessible?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Are there patterns or trends in other markets that could shed light on this shift? Could this be part of a larger trend toward virtual experiences?"

**2.3 Generate Hypotheses:**
1. Customers prefer digital options due to lower costs. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.4)
2. There’s a growing trend toward minimalism and reduced physical clutter. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.7)
3. Digital products offer greater flexibility and ease of use. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
4. Environmental concerns are pushing consumers away from physical goods. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.8)
5. Advances in tech make digital-only options more functional. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.5)
6. Pandemic-era remote work increased demand for digital solutions. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.6)
7. Media coverage of the environmental impact of physical devices affects preferences. (Confidence: 0.5, Creative: 0.7)
8. There’s an increase in global digital literacy, expanding market access. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
9. Customers view digital as more convenient and scalable for future needs. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.5)
10. Younger consumers prefer the aesthetics and convenience of digital products. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)

*Reflection:* 
"Have I considered all possible influences? Are there any surprising factors that could explain this shift?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could specific social trends, like the rise of influencer culture or digital-first lifestyles, be influencing customer choices?"

**2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:**
*Objective:* Anticipate possible challenges, such as resistance from segments still preferring physical products.

*Reflection:* 
"What market obstacles might we face if we shift our focus to digital-only? Are there sub-segments that still prioritize physical products?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could expanding digital options help us reach a more global audience? Are there emerging trends that we could leverage in our strategy?"

[end sys2]

[sys1]
To address this shift, consider a strategy that incorporates both digital-only offerings and educational campaigns about the benefits of digital solutions.
Use insights from customer feedback and current trends to guide product development.
Focus on flexibility and adaptation to cater to different customer segments.
[end sys1]


Call for tender: Senior consultancy services on the fourth review conference of the Mine Ban Treaty

Photo: Anne Håskoll-Haugen

NPA calls for tenders for senior consultancy services in respect to the upcoming fourth review conference of the Mine Ban Treaty, Oslo Norway November 2019. The scope of the Service is a total of 80 work days.

Norwegian People’s Aid (NPA) is a major Norwegian humanitarian and development non-governmental organization (NGO), with global operations. NPA started humanitarian mine action operations in Cambodia in 1992, an activity that over the past 25 years has developed into a consolidated Humanitarian Disarmament Programme (NPA HD). Currently NPA HD has field operations in more than 20 countries and other areas, undertaking survey and clearance of landmines; cluster munitions remnants and other Explosive Remnants of War (ERW). NPA HD implements its own programmes, with international and local staff, often in cooperation with national authorities, United Nations (UN) agencies and other international Mine Action NGOs. In addition to the field programmes, NPA HD works to maintain and develop the international normative and legal framework protecting civilians from effects of armed conflicts, as well as developing new programme and policy responses addressing the humanitarian harm caused by explosive weapons. The overall aim of the NPA HD programme is to protect civilians from explosive weapons

NPA calls for tenders for senior consultancy services in respect to the upcoming fourth review conference of the Mine Ban Treaty, Oslo Norway November 2019.

The scope of the Service is a total of 80 work days.

Scope

Support NPA on Mine Action Policy, serve as strategic advisor and provide in depth analysis on national level for selected countries related to the Fourth Review Conference of the Mine Ban Treaty;

Liaise with key stakeholders including national mine action authorities, mine action centres, demining organisations, the UN, and other partners to give advice and analyze potential for progress and strategic technical or policy support to specific countries as specified in contract.

Cooperate at national level with all relevant stakeholders to provide analysis and progress plans for article 5 in particular.

Facilitate workshops and write policy positions and talking point for NPAs Secretary General or other spokesperson.

Support NPAs communication department in developing products of high quality and relevance for the fourth review conference.

Liaise with relevant NPA Country Offices to reinforce and support their deliveries for the Fourth Review Conference.

Contribute to NPA HD’s Policy and Programme.

Scope

The Consultant is responsible for conducting outreach and strategic analysis for policy positions related to the review conference.

The Consultant will contribute to policy development for NPA’s Humanitarian Disarmament work related to the Fourth Review Conference and support and contribute to NPA HD’s strategic engagement with various civil society partnerships

The Consultant may be assigned any other responsibility, task or duty (global or programme specific) as assigned by the Department for Humanitarian Disarmament management.

Timeline 2019 will be developed and agreed between consultant and NPA as part of the contract.

Address, deadlines and period of validity

Questions regarding the tender shall be directed to:

Siv Mjaaland, Head of Policy

Email: <PRESIDIO_ANONYMIZED_EMAIL_ADDRESS>

Mobile: + 47 9024759

The bid shall be with Norwegian People’s Aid no later than December 30th 2018. The bid shall be presented either as a printed document with relevant documents attached, or sent via email to the email address provided below, with all relevant documents in standard PDF format.

Postal Address:

Norwegian People’s Aid

Att Siv Mjaaland

Postbox 8844 Youngstorget

N-0028 Oslo

NORWAY

Envelope must be marked: «HD Consultant 2019»

Email address:

with the following text in the subject line: «HD Consultant 2019»

Deadline: December 30th 2018

Bids arriving after the deadline may be rejected. The bid shall be valid for 60 days after the tender deadline. Costs related to the development of the bid will not be refunded.

Criteria for Selection

A successful consultant will need to present and document a solid understanding of the humanitarian and political parameters underpinning global humanitarian mine action and demonstrated ability to deliver high-quality analysis and support within the mine action sector within agreed timelines.

NPA will score the bids with the following criteria (not prioritised):

Knowledge of Mine Action Sector 30%

Experience 30%

Ability to deliver within timeline 20%

Price 20%

NPA will select the bidder that overall presents the most relevant bid for NPA, and maintain the right to use or cancel received bids according to circumstances.

As a minimum, a bid needs to include the following:

Knowledge of Mine Action Sector

Proven results from relevant work in the sector.

Experience with Mine Action Operations.

Experience with and knowledge of mine action donors and stakeholders.

Experience

Updated CV, including the highlighting of competences of particular relevance for the tasks.

Overview of consultant’s experience with the thematic issues.

Relevant results from previous work in the thematic areas.

Ability to deliver within timeline

Ability to conduct high-quality products within a tight deadlines. Must be able to work independently.

Reference to previous tasks of high-quality delivered within agreed timelines.

Price

Overview over the full and total payment for the Service described in this tender. The consultant is responsible for his/her own taxes, insurances, pensions and health care and all other work-related expenses.

Field research trips will be covered by NPA.

The bidder is responsible for the necessary registration related to payment.

The bid should also include the following:

Written acceptance of “NPA Ethical guidelines for procurement, marketing and investment” as per attachment

Written acceptance of “Declaration of confidentiality” relating to NPA and not sharing knowledge of vital character outside NPA.

Selection process

Bids will be opened only after the December 30th deadline. The bids will be opened and reviewed by a select committee of NPA-employees, including as a minimum, one employee from a department separate from the Humanitarian Disarmament department. The bids will be confidential and NPA will keep all information from bidders confidential.

NPA retain the right to contact bidders first for follow-up and clarification after the bids have been opened. NPA retain the right to reject some of all the bids received.