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Setup Name: Continuation breakout
Strategy Type: Breakout
Timeframe: Daily chart
Description:

Stage 1 - Uptrend. 
The uptrend should be more than 2 daily candles but less than 10 candles. 
At least 60% of the candles are green candles. 
The last candle in the leg must have the Highest High in the uptrend. 
The Highest High should be at least 20% higher than the lowest low in stage 1.
Stage 1 should demonstrate a strong price movement to the upside.
Volume typically increases during the uptrend stage.

We evaluate the success probability of a chart by judging the stage 1 uptrend by number of green candles:
80% - 100% of the candles are green candles: Great 
60% - 80% of the candles are green candles: Good
40% - 60% of the candles are green candles: Acceptable
Less than 40% of the candles are green candles: Bad


Stage 2 - Consolidation.
After the sharp move in stage 1 - uptrend, prices start to consolidate, and goes into stage 2 - consolidation
Stage 2 has from 2 to 10 daily candles. 
The lowest low candle in stage 2 should be lower than the highest high in stage 2, about 30% or less.
The last candle in stage 2 must not be up more than 2% compared to its previous day.
The second to last candle in stage 2 must not be up more than 2% compared to its previous day.
The first candle of stage 2 must be a red candle or a narrow range candle.
Volume typically decreases during the consolidation stage.
The average volume in the consolidation phase should be lower than the average volume in the uptrend phase
There is no big red candle in this stage 2 consolidation.

We evaluate the success probability of a chart by judging the stage 2 consolidation by the candles at the end of the stage 2:
There are 3 to 4 narrow range candles: Great 
There is 1 to 2 narrow range candles: Good
There is 1 red candle: Acceptable
There is no red or narrow candle: Bad


Stage 3 - Breakout day
After the orderly, compact, low volatility consolidation, prices start to break out to the upside, signaling a potential of another sharp move up, similar to stage 1 - uptrend.
The breakout candle must be a green candle.
The opening price can be less than the close of the previous day.
The opening price can not be more than 4% compared to the close of the previous day.
The closing price must be near 80% of the day high.
The volume of the breakout day doesn’t need to be high if the price of the stock is higher than 50$.
The volume of the breakout day needs to be higher than the average volume in stage 2 - consolidation if the price of the stock is less than 50$.
The volume of the breakout day must always be higher than the volume of the previous day.

Enter:
To enter a continuation breakout:
The best way is to enter as soon as the breakout happens, confirmed by volume today higher than volume yesterday
A good way is to enter at the end of day, 3:58 at latest
Do not enter the day after the breakout day, because it is too late.

Stop:
Stop is always at the low of the breakout day.
For aggressive and pro traders, stops can be set at half the range of the breakout day, or even higher.

Risk Management:
There are 3 main ways to control risk. Traders can follow one of them.
Risk a fixed percentage of account. For example, if the account is 100.000$, and traders want to risk 1% of the account for each trade, the dollar risk will be 1.000$. If the entry price is 100$ and the stop is at the low of the day 90$, traders can buy 100 shares.
Risk a fixed dollar. For example, traders can risk a fixed 1.000$ per trade, regardless of their account size.
Use a fixed number of shares. For example, traders can enter a trade with a fixed lot of 100 shares, 1000 shares, 10.000 shares.

Exit:
This continuation breakout setup goal is to collect singles, not home runs. Singles are defined by moving account size by 0.5% to 5% in one trade. Home runs are defined by moving account size by 10-50% in one trade. Home runs are rare. But singles are common. Thus to trade this continuation breakout setup successfully, traders must do a lot more trades, and prioritize high win rates of more than 50%, choking the trade, letting money on the table, not letting a green trade turn to red. This is totally different from trading setups that focus on home runs: lower win rate of less than 30%, let winners run, not choke the trade, and it’s okay to let a green trade turn to red.

To exit a continuation breakout setup, this description tells just one way of exit management. There are many ways to exit the trades and they depend on different trader's psychology and characteristics.

In the breakout day, if traders enter before the end of day, traders should exit the trade if the low of day is violated.
After the breakout day, there are 3 outcomes of the trade: Go up, go down, or sideway. If a stock goes up with outsized gain, and the account size is moved already 0.5% to 5%, traders can sell 80% of the position into the strength. Now the trade is risk free. 
When the market environment is bullish, traders can hold the trade and sell 3-5 days after the breakout day.
When the market environment is not bullish (choppy or bearish), traders can sell the trade near the end of breakout day if traders enter early, or at the next morning.

Trader’s psychology
Do not enter breakout after the breakout day
Do not make a new breakout trade if your last 3 breakout trades are losses
Do not afraid to increase risk if your last 3 breakout trades are winners
Do not increase risk to revenge trades if your last 3 breakout trades are losses
Learn to not make any trade if the market environment is not bullish
Do not fear of missing out, there is always a next trade because this setup is a high frequency trading setup
The goal of any trader is to stay in this game long enough, by not blowing up your accounts
There are 2 ways of blowing up accounts: take a big trade and if you lose, you lost 50-80% of your account. Or you take hundreds of small losses per day, per week, without stopping trading.