Write a realistic, sensible, plausible and alternate history scenario in the form of a historical documentary book chapter set in the world of the alternate historical scenario with no references to this being an alternate history scenario or to the real world timeline at all in which the stratocratic [military dominated/military governed |stratorcratic|] Beiyang Government-ruled federal parliamentary presidential republic of the first Republic of China ruling over Han China proper formed [the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC] after the national liberation movement/revolutionary movement of the 10 October 1911 – 12 February 1912 Xinhai Revolution launched [the Xinhai Revolution] by the Han nationalist, Han supremacist, anti-Manchu Tongmenghui and its [the Tongmenghui's] charismatic figurehead, the Cantonese-Hakka medical doctor in training turned anti-Manchu Han nationalist revolutionary and statesman Dr. Sun Wen, who [Wen] was [Wen] better known as "Dr. Sun-Yat Sen" and [Wen/"Yat-Sen"] also [Wen/"Yat-Sen"] founded [what Wen/"Yat-Sen" founded]   the Han nationalist, Han supremacist, Chinese nationalist, Chinese imperialist, Marxist-Stalinist political party/militant group/secret society of the KMT/Kuomingtang in [when   Wen/"Yat-Sen" founded the KMT/Kuomingtang]  24 November 1894 against [the nation the Xinhai Revolution was |the Xinhai Revolution| launched |the Xinhai Revolution| against]  post-1644, pre-1911, the Manchu Imperial House of Aisin Gioro-ruled, Manchu-dominated imperial absolute dynastic federalist royal monarchy of the Great Qing Empire ruling [the Great Qing Empire] over Han China, Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan, East Turkestan, Tibet, Inner and Outer Mongolia and Tuva from [the Great Qing Empire's stronghold] Inner and Outer Manchuria, [the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC being |the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC| formed |the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC| after the Xinhai Revolution] as the government [the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC] of post Xinhai, post-Qing Han China, [the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC] maintains its [the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC's] status as [what type of government and state the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC was] a provisional regency [the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC] for the restoration of the pre-Qing, pre-1644 Han Chinese Imperial House of Zhu-ruled absolute imperial dynastic royal monarchy of the Great Ming State/Great Ming Empire/Empire of the Great Ming/Great Ming/"Ming Empire" as per the goal of the Xinhai Revolution, which [the goal of the Xinhai Revolution] was [the Goal of the Xinhai Revolution] to "overthrow Qing, restore Ming", in other words reinstate the Great Ming State and the Imperial House of Zhu as the government of Han China proper after the overthrow of the Ming due to [why the Beiyang Government-ruled ROC remains a regency state for the restoration of the Ming as the government of post-Xinhai, post-Qing Han China] the strong influence of  the influence of the millenianist Chinese folk religious sect focused on militant self-defense and tax resistance along with romanticised monarchism, wishing to restore the pre Qing Han Chinese Imperial House of Zhu-ruled Great Ming State/Great Ming Empire/"Ming dynasty" as the government of China, the Yellow Sand Society and other Ming restorationist and Han monarchist groups among both the Han Chinese people and the Cantonese people. 

When former top dog in the Great Qing Empire's post-1895 modernized army corps, the New Army turned rising star and later the first president of the Beiyang-ruled ROC after the Xinhai Revolution, the Han Chinese Yuan Shikai, [Shikai] dissolves the first ROC in [when Shikai dissolves the first ROC] on 1 September 1915 and [Shikai] subsequently transforms the Beiyang Government into the short lived unitary parliamentary constitutional imperial monarchy of the Empire of China, [Shikai] does not crown himself [Shikai] Emperor of Han China like in OTL but [Shikai] instead reenthrones the Chinese imperial family [the Imperial House of Zhu] upon [Shikai] forming the Empire of China, thus [Shikai] restoring the Chinese monarchy [the Great Ming State and the Imperial House of Zhu] through the Empire of China. 

Due to Shikai restoring the monarchy [the Great Ming State and the Imperial House of Zhu] through the Empire of China instead of [Shikai] making himself [Shikai] Emperor of Han China like in OTL, the post-Xinhai, post-Qing modern warlord era of modern Chinese history from 1916 to 1928 never happens due to the restored Chinese monarchy  [the Great Ming State and the Imperial House of Zhu] continuing and [the restored Chinese monarchy] expanding on the federalist, parliamentary and democratic systems introduced to Han China proper by the Beiyang Government through the first ROC. 

The National Protection War of 25 December 1915 – 14 July 1916 between the Beiyang Government-ruled Empire of China and the then embryonic KMT-ruled  Unitary, adhering to Sun Yat Sen's three principles of the people, nationalism, democracy and socialism [social welfare] one-party ruled and dominated directorial republic under a military dictatorship of the Second Republic of China/Nationalist China/National Government of the Republic of China, [the still-embryonic Nationalist China] lead  [the still-embryonic Nationalist China] by Dr. Sun Yat-Sen still happens but the reenthroned Chinese monarchy  [the Great Ming State and the Imperial House of Zhu] manages to [the reenthroned Chinese monarchy] get Yunnan on its [the reenthroned Chinese monarchy's side] by allowing Yunnan to [Yunnan] secede from the Empire of China along with [Yunnan] subsequently restoring the Bai-Han Chinese Imperial House of Duan-ruled Daili Kingdom as its [Yunnan's] government [the reenthroned Chinese monarchy allowing a restored Daili Kingdom in Yunnan to secede from the Empire of China] in exchange for Yunnan aiding the Empire of China in the fight against the Chinese nationalists. 

The Empire of China is thus [the Empire of China] able to win the National Protection War against the Nationalists and [the Empire of China] restabilize Han China, although Nationalist China survives in its [Nationalist China's] stronghold of Cantonia [Guangdong and Guangxi]. The loss in the National Protection War leads to the ousting of Wen/"Yat-Sen" from power in the rump Nationalist China and the emergence of a mostly buisness-oriented, anti-Chinese, anti-unification, pro-independence Cantonese nationalist and Cantonese independence clique in the government of the rump Nationalist China. These Cantonese nationalists and independence activists make a series of negotiations that ensure the independence of the rump Nationalist China in Cantonia from the restored Ming Empire in Han China proper in all but name.