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1
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A

2
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Good morning NICE, good morning Live Hit Engineer, same as usual, you can just tell me if my voice is too loud compared to the music

3
00:01:42,340 --> 00:01:51,340
Then we're gonna wait maybe 30 seconds for more people to join and we'll start the stream

4
00:02:01,340 --> 00:02:08,340
Good morning ABX, good morning Spy's Vengeance, good morning Replay Guy, voice up a bit, okay

5
00:02:12,340 --> 00:02:15,340
I'm gonna turn down the music a bit

6
00:02:23,340 --> 00:02:26,340
It should be better now, if not, let me know

7
00:02:26,340 --> 00:02:30,340
Good morning Lil Green, good morning Mr. What

8
00:02:30,340 --> 00:02:39,340
Good morning Oulukman

9
00:02:39,340 --> 00:02:47,340
Yeah guys, Mr. What is saying with H1 retest but MA is sloping down

10
00:02:47,340 --> 00:02:55,340
Umm, yeah so let's start I think today is a very interesting day, you've seen my updates in Intradayplan

11
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You know I got my eyes on this 30 minute compression

12
00:03:02,340 --> 00:03:09,340
If this breaks down I expect a bigger pullback on the altcoins for the rest of the week

13
00:03:09,340 --> 00:03:14,340
And till now, well it's a compression, it has some potential

14
00:03:14,340 --> 00:03:25,340
So that means we want to be maybe looking for another meme into VC coin rotation

15
00:03:25,340 --> 00:03:28,340
You remember how memes were dominating?

16
00:03:28,340 --> 00:03:39,340
And then SWE came and we had SWE completely rip

17
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If you follow the market you've probably seen memes have been doing ridiculously well

18
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Pepe, Bonk, all of them, look at that

19
00:03:53,340 --> 00:04:07,340
So in the meantime we have Sei who I've been talking about it in market discussions like 2 hours ago

20
00:04:07,340 --> 00:04:13,340
We have Sei consolidating with a very big resistance

21
00:04:13,340 --> 00:04:21,340
So that's one of the coins I have in my radar right now

22
00:04:21,340 --> 00:04:30,340
And where is the total hour? We're just gonna use the trendline

23
00:04:30,340 --> 00:04:39,340
So I'm looking at this range to play with and when I look and see it's quite nice

24
00:04:39,340 --> 00:04:53,340
I got a nice traction from 1HMA200, some sort of meme diagonal

25
00:04:53,340 --> 00:05:01,340
So we'll see what we get very soon

26
00:05:01,340 --> 00:05:06,340
I don't want to buy here

27
00:05:06,340 --> 00:05:11,340
It's really gonna depend on that 30 minute compression on Ys

28
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Even though Ys has been performing pretty badly, well except when we longed it sub 2500

29
00:05:20,340 --> 00:05:25,340
But except that time Ys has performed pretty poorly

30
00:05:25,340 --> 00:05:32,340
So you might think "Oh but Ys is not relevant" but the problem is we had a very nice impulse on Ys

31
00:05:32,340 --> 00:05:46,340
And if that was to fail I think most L1s could just cool off which would be ok

32
00:05:46,340 --> 00:05:51,340
Maybe something like somewhere in the mid range, that sounds a bit extreme

33
00:05:51,340 --> 00:05:54,340
Something like that rather

34
00:05:54,340 --> 00:06:04,340
Ok so there's Sei, Sui is very interesting as well

35
00:06:04,340 --> 00:06:11,340
It's like, don't mind that, that's some scalping I've been doing last night

36
00:06:11,340 --> 00:06:20,340
Don't mind the setup

37
00:06:20,340 --> 00:06:24,340
It's not the nicest prior section because it looks quite choppy

38
00:06:24,340 --> 00:06:37,340
But I could do it to like PS styles with Ys horizontal and do something like that

39
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We could just slow grind up

40
00:06:40,340 --> 00:06:46,340
So yeah that's the thing, so you were talking about Weave

41
00:06:46,340 --> 00:06:51,340
Let's take a look at Weave

42
00:06:51,340 --> 00:06:56,340
Yeah, one Australians started to turn descending but it's

43
00:06:56,340 --> 00:07:04,340
The candle is not closed so you must understand that if this candle closes slightly higher

44
00:07:04,340 --> 00:07:11,340
Then EMA21 is still going to be ascending and EMA13 the green one would be flat

45
00:07:11,340 --> 00:07:18,340
So it's a good thing you're looking at whether the EMA is ascending or descending

46
00:07:18,340 --> 00:07:25,340
You should be doing that but keep in mind it's not done until the hourly close

47
00:07:25,340 --> 00:07:29,340
So this is what I want to remind you of

48
00:07:29,340 --> 00:07:34,340
Let's see what other tickers do we have

49
00:07:34,340 --> 00:07:41,340
Zane is saying "Stream Gun" did YouTube cut us off

50
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No it looks ok

51
00:07:43,340 --> 00:07:47,340
Let me guys know in the chat

52
00:07:47,340 --> 00:07:49,340
No, okay, looks good

53
00:07:49,340 --> 00:07:53,340
Zane I don't know, I'm sorry bro, might be your connection

54
00:07:53,340 --> 00:08:00,340
The problem is, that's YouTube again, it's not my fault

55
00:08:00,340 --> 00:08:05,340
Basically I'm streaming in very very high resolution and the problem is

56
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It goes first to YouTube Europe servers and then by the time YouTube replicates the content

57
00:08:12,340 --> 00:08:16,340
To other regions of the world it might lag

58
00:08:16,340 --> 00:08:22,340
So Zane if the stream is dying for you unfortunately there's nothing I can do about that

59
00:08:22,340 --> 00:08:30,340
You can try to change the resolution from 4k to 4HD, that might just be the trick

60
00:08:30,340 --> 00:08:37,340
What request do we have?

61
00:08:37,340 --> 00:08:43,340
Mr.Pobody is asking a very important question

62
00:08:43,340 --> 00:08:47,340
City question, no it's not a city question at all because I'll be very honest

63
00:08:47,340 --> 00:08:53,340
That's a mistake I've made myself in the past cycles

64
00:08:53,340 --> 00:09:01,340
Going full altcoin worked extremely well for me in 2017

65
00:09:01,340 --> 00:09:08,340
Then it worked horribly during the rally in Spring 2019

66
00:09:08,340 --> 00:09:12,340
Especially back then USDT pairs were not the standard

67
00:09:12,340 --> 00:09:17,340
Most of our altcoins were on Bitcoin pairs

68
00:09:17,340 --> 00:09:22,340
So basically whenever there's a Bitcoin rally all your altcoins try

69
00:09:22,340 --> 00:09:32,340
And then it somehow hurt me a little bit in the 2020 cycle

70
00:09:32,340 --> 00:09:35,340
Now this cycle I've learned from my mistakes

71
00:09:35,340 --> 00:09:41,340
Although to be frank I have nowhere near the Bitcoin exposure I might have wanted to have

72
00:09:41,340 --> 00:09:44,340
But I'm still very happy by this rally

73
00:09:44,340 --> 00:09:49,340
So no it's not a city question at all

74
00:09:49,340 --> 00:09:55,340
You're just gonna need to be patient

75
00:09:55,340 --> 00:10:00,340
Because the way it is it's pretty straightforward

76
00:10:00,340 --> 00:10:05,340
I mean either the cycle is over

77
00:10:05,340 --> 00:10:11,340
Either altcoins are going to massively catch up

78
00:10:11,340 --> 00:10:18,340
Even Ethereum, even as poorly as it's performed so far

79
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There will be a time where Ethereum is gonna come hard

80
00:10:22,340 --> 00:10:31,340
So I guess the good thing is you do want to have some Bitcoin exposure

81
00:10:31,340 --> 00:10:35,340
Sometimes there are some simpler ways to do it

82
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Like let's say I don't know if you trade on Binance futures or buy Bitcoin

83
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Now that you have what they call the unified account or the shared margin account

84
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So basically what you can do is like you can use Bitcoin as a collateral for your futures trading

85
00:10:54,340 --> 00:10:57,340
So you don't need to have a ton of Bitcoin

86
00:10:57,340 --> 00:11:03,340
But instead of just having a big stash of USDT to trade Perpetuals

87
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You can just have some Bitcoin as collateral to trade Perps

88
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And that's like a nice bonus and it gives you some Bitcoin exposure

89
00:11:16,340 --> 00:11:21,340
So yeah do keep your hopes up

90
00:11:21,340 --> 00:11:28,340
In fact since there is no specific ticker request

91
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We're gonna look at Bitcoin dominance

92
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I'm afraid this is a chart that is not as good as it used to be

93
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Mostly why? Because we have these USDT pairs everywhere now

94
00:11:50,340 --> 00:12:00,340
So before it used to be either altcoins or bitcoins

95
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You were in either of the two but there was no USDT, no stablecoins

96
00:12:05,340 --> 00:12:09,340
So this chart used to make really a lot of sense

97
00:12:09,340 --> 00:12:16,340
Now as you can see there is a famous pattern

98
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This one actually back then it was used

99
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This one back then it's what made me call the alt season in 2020 when my son was born

100
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At the Pico top here

101
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It was same in 2017

102
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So you want to look for this pattern?

103
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And so typically BTCD does this

104
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The classic sweep and close back video

105
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Like every single big Bitcoin build altcoin season was that

106
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So my guess, and actually I had, that was what? That was like a year ago

107
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And a year ago I said "That's funny, I'm only opening this chart because we were specifically answering the question of Bitcoin dominance

108
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I haven't opened it for a very long time"

109
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And you see even a year ago I was expecting BTC dominance to reach such levels

110
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Actually we're very close, we slightly passed through it

111
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So my guess is

112
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So far you do not want to fade the momentum on Bitcoin dominance

113
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But let's say you try to find the last swing, so it could be this one

114
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You find the blow off and as soon as we close below

115
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This is where you can be pretty confident, I know we had some fake outs here

116
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If you get this pattern then you start closing below

117
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So here you can be pretty confident it's going to be the alt season

118
00:14:10,340 --> 00:14:19,340
Kind of just like you remember how for the past 6 months we kept saying "Oh my god, crypto's depressing"

119
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"The stock market is outperforming crypto and why would you buy crypto if the sub market keeps outperforming?"

120
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And we also said that it's just a matter of psychology, you know, the moment crypto starts outperforming

121
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Then the narrative suddenly flips making that "Oh, crypto is attractive again, so I'm going to buy crypto"

122
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Which as a result is going to make crypto pump, which is going to make it look more attractive

123
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Which is going to make more people buy it, which is going to make it pump more and so on and so on

124
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And that's how, this is just why markets, they do cycles, you know

125
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It's because it's full of self-reinforcing processes

126
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So as soon as you pass the pivot point then you have long moves like that

127
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So right now it's "Oh, stocks are outperforming, stocks are outperforming"

128
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And then "Oh my god, crypto starts outperforming stocks"

129
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And then the complete opposite happens, okay?

130
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And I believe the exact same thing, just like how the stock market was outperforming Bitcoin

131
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And then until it was not and the exact opposite happened

132
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I believe it's going to be exactly the same here with Bitcoin dominance, is right now

133
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Okay, cool, we have a very strong rally, it's dangerous to fade, but

134
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The moment we're going to have a break in this structure, you see, the structure

135
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You know why we talk about market structure, that's like the basics of technical analysis

136
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Higher highs, higher lows, higher highs, higher lows, higher highs, higher lows

137
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Even on lower timeframes, okay?

138
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And so far this structure is intact

139
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But the moment this structure breaks, altcoins are going to do something really ridiculous, okay?

140
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So yeah, don't lose hope, don't lose hope

141
00:16:28,340 --> 00:16:34,340
And you will know for next time, when you start seeing a big Bitcoin rally, you

142
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You don't mess with a big Bitcoin rally, okay?

143
00:16:38,340 --> 00:16:46,340
"Tongfam asking can I take a look at grass?"

144
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Yes, wait, hold on a second, I need to grab my text tool tab

145
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Here it is

146
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How does this work?

147
00:17:02,340 --> 00:17:10,340
Alright, you're asking me to look at grass

148
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This has a more liquidity

149
00:17:22,340 --> 00:17:29,340
We have two coins called grass, both with high liquidity, very different prices

150
00:17:29,340 --> 00:17:34,340
This is confusing, I don't know which one you want me to look at

151
00:17:34,340 --> 00:17:42,340
I'm confused by this, there's like

152
00:17:42,340 --> 00:17:44,340
No, it can't be this one

153
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This one has 26 million liquidity, but there's no volume, nothing

154
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What the fuck is that?

155
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Let's go for this one then

156
00:17:54,340 --> 00:18:02,340
Okay, that's not better

157
00:18:02,340 --> 00:18:13,340
This one only has 1 million liquidity, let's pick it up

158
00:18:13,340 --> 00:18:18,340
I don't know bro, none of those charts are good

159
00:18:20,340 --> 00:18:24,340
I have one on buy beats, so I guess that's the one

160
00:18:24,340 --> 00:18:30,340
But I want it full history, because there's not much TA I can do on that

161
00:18:30,340 --> 00:18:33,340
I mean, super strong trend, now it's consolidating

162
00:18:33,340 --> 00:18:39,340
I mean, I can do the usual TA, you have

163
00:18:39,340 --> 00:18:44,340
You have here the consolidation that led to the big move

164
00:18:44,340 --> 00:18:48,340
Very similar consolidation here

165
00:18:49,340 --> 00:18:54,340
Except this time, you see you have one top, two top

166
00:18:54,340 --> 00:18:58,340
Higher low, higher low, breakout retest

167
00:18:58,340 --> 00:19:02,340
Here, similar structure

168
00:19:02,340 --> 00:19:06,340
Higher low, higher low, breakout retest

169
00:19:06,340 --> 00:19:13,340
Now, we might have wanted to see something like that

170
00:19:13,340 --> 00:19:17,340
Now we have a pretty clean horizontal here

171
00:19:17,340 --> 00:19:23,340
Let's slap some moving averages to that

172
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Okay, very nice

173
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Very nice

174
00:19:31,340 --> 00:19:39,340
But I really would have liked more history

175
00:19:41,340 --> 00:19:47,340
I'm pretty sure the price is on chain garbage, but

176
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Textool is not filtering the wrong coin

177
00:19:52,340 --> 00:19:56,340
I guess this one has a logo, has to be this one

178
00:19:56,340 --> 00:20:00,340
Ah, now that looks more like it

179
00:20:00,340 --> 00:20:08,340
I'm very confused, okay, this started at 62 cents

180
00:20:08,340 --> 00:20:14,340
Okay, something doesn't make sense to me

181
00:20:14,340 --> 00:20:20,340
How did Bybit list this before on chain?

182
00:20:20,340 --> 00:20:23,340
Well, this has to be another pool

183
00:20:23,340 --> 00:20:29,340
Sorry for going back and forth between the pairs, but it's important I really understand what's going on

184
00:20:29,340 --> 00:20:37,340
Is that not an on chain coin?

185
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It launched at the same time, oh it's a VC coin, okay, good

186
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Thanks guys, I was wondering, okay

187
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Good, good, good

188
00:20:47,340 --> 00:20:50,340
Okay, so maybe next time

189
00:20:50,340 --> 00:20:55,340
Yeah, let me know if it's, you know, I don't trade on Bybit, I'm on Binance

190
00:20:55,340 --> 00:21:01,340
So if it's a Bybit listing only, then chances are I'm not gonna know about it, okay

191
00:21:01,340 --> 00:21:05,340
So I trade on Binance, I trade on Chain

192
00:21:05,340 --> 00:21:09,340
Wow, that was pretty clean

193
00:21:09,340 --> 00:21:15,340
Now, as I said, there's a change in structure

194
00:21:15,340 --> 00:21:22,340
Before you see the slightly, the lower high here would not buzz on me, just like we have here

195
00:21:22,340 --> 00:21:27,340
But we kept making higher lows, now the structure is kind of broken

196
00:21:27,340 --> 00:21:32,340
Of course now we have big order block here

197
00:21:32,340 --> 00:21:39,340
And as you can see it's printing a pretty clean 1H compression

198
00:21:39,340 --> 00:21:41,340
I'm saying clean, why?

199
00:21:41,340 --> 00:21:48,340
Because 1HMA 100 is super well respected, 1HMA 200 is super well respected

200
00:21:48,340 --> 00:21:58,340
So if you do that and it starts holding, do something like that, you have your own

201
00:21:58,340 --> 00:22:06,340
But because of the big single print here

202
00:22:06,340 --> 00:22:16,340
And the fact the Magic Line on your listing just appeared here

203
00:22:16,340 --> 00:22:23,340
I would say you kind of want to see some reaction here, I think that's how it would play it

204
00:22:23,340 --> 00:22:27,340
Yeah, do something like that, you have a long backflow and try it

205
00:22:27,340 --> 00:22:35,340
And you play it, but first you're gonna have, it's gonna be like a 1H compression

206
00:22:35,340 --> 00:22:40,340
So it might do something like that, okay

207
00:22:40,340 --> 00:22:44,340
I would wait for some reaction, that's what I do with this

208
00:22:44,340 --> 00:22:53,340
And if this was to break and we go tap the Magic EMA, it's here

209
00:22:53,340 --> 00:22:57,340
Then I guess you want to do it, okay

210
00:22:57,340 --> 00:23:03,340
Next one, oh it's on Binance Props 2

211
00:23:03,340 --> 00:23:05,340
Why did I miss it?

212
00:23:05,340 --> 00:23:10,340
I have a tab with all the new Binance listing

213
00:23:10,340 --> 00:23:18,340
Crass, oh yes it was, okay, this is our one

214
00:23:18,340 --> 00:23:25,340
It might be VC coin, this is an after all, that means we have 2 more, Drift and Swell

215
00:23:25,340 --> 00:23:37,340
I don't know where this garbage, maybe we actually want to be looking at that

216
00:23:37,340 --> 00:23:42,340
Okay

217
00:23:42,340 --> 00:23:48,340
Typical Binance listing pump and dump, not sure what you think about that

218
00:23:48,340 --> 00:23:52,340
But all of this makes me want to trade more and more on Bipids

219
00:23:52,340 --> 00:23:58,340
I keep saying I might want to return Bipids, but you know, once you get your habits it's complicated

220
00:23:58,340 --> 00:24:07,340
And the other one is Swell

221
00:24:07,340 --> 00:24:17,340
That is brand new, oh that's Bipids, but maybe Bipids listing Perps as of then

222
00:24:17,340 --> 00:24:26,340
And also Binance features big pump and dump

223
00:24:26,340 --> 00:24:34,340
I guess we'll stick to grass then, and hopefully what we just saw on Swell and Drift

224
00:24:35,340 --> 00:24:40,340
Is not what's going to happen to grass

225
00:24:40,340 --> 00:24:47,340
But you see, very important, I saw 2 other listings at the same time as grass, I decided to check them

226
00:24:47,340 --> 00:24:51,340
And these 2 other listings have been big pump and dumps

227
00:24:51,340 --> 00:25:03,340
And grass does look better here, because not only it had a very strong series of consolidation and pump

228
00:25:03,340 --> 00:25:06,340
Oh wow, that's already X6

229
00:25:06,340 --> 00:25:14,340
Bipids has really been nailing their listings this cycle, much better than Binance

230
00:25:14,340 --> 00:25:18,340
So yeah, this is a very bullish structure

231
00:25:18,340 --> 00:25:24,340
This feels a bit more like distribution, personally

232
00:25:24,340 --> 00:25:31,340
But yeah, if the 1-H compression is intact, you can go for it

233
00:25:31,340 --> 00:25:41,340
What's next? Next ticker is a guy, SheepZig

234
00:25:41,340 --> 00:25:48,340
Ah yes, and Umag asked me, asked a very good question, and I couldn't answer it last stream

235
00:25:48,340 --> 00:25:55,340
Is how do we decide when to enter 4th trend and when to use a daily trend

236
00:25:56,340 --> 00:26:01,340
What's next?

237
00:26:01,340 --> 00:26:06,340
Ah, actually let's take care of that

238
00:26:06,340 --> 00:26:20,340
It's a very big question, and it would have been nice if I had some examples prepared to illustrate

239
00:26:20,340 --> 00:26:26,340
Do I have... no, but we can just improvise a bit

240
00:26:26,340 --> 00:26:31,340
Let's come with a clean shot

241
00:26:31,340 --> 00:26:38,340
Is there a clean shot somewhere? Let's clean this one

242
00:26:44,340 --> 00:26:54,340
Okay, so there's one thing very important with the system, is if I had to summarize our EMA system

243
00:26:54,340 --> 00:27:04,340
You know how price is fractal, as in the classic pattern you see in shots

244
00:27:04,340 --> 00:27:10,340
You can zoom in, zoom out, and you're always going to see the same pattern

245
00:27:10,340 --> 00:27:14,340
Just what makes it look like a price chart

246
00:27:14,340 --> 00:27:20,340
And what I've explained many times in my educational content is

247
00:27:20,340 --> 00:27:32,340
No matter the time frame you use, you can find ranges within the trend

248
00:27:32,340 --> 00:27:37,340
So you see you have a strong uptrend and then rearrange

249
00:27:37,340 --> 00:27:43,340
And you can find trends within the ranges, like if this was a big range

250
00:27:43,340 --> 00:27:49,340
If I zoom in, I will find times where it's very trending actually

251
00:27:49,340 --> 00:27:57,340
But it still contains within another higher time frame range

252
00:27:57,340 --> 00:28:03,340
There's a detailed educational article in my educational content

253
00:28:05,340 --> 00:28:13,340
You do ask a very good question, you mag, I'm not sure how much yet you have studied my educational content

254
00:28:13,340 --> 00:28:20,340
But I will continue on this topic because it's a very important one

255
00:28:20,340 --> 00:28:26,340
This is a very important one, very important article, kind of on the topic

256
00:28:31,340 --> 00:28:37,340
You have this one that explains how you have ranges within the trend

257
00:28:37,340 --> 00:28:40,340
And the trend within the range

258
00:28:40,340 --> 00:28:47,340
And there's many articles about that, about all this topic

259
00:28:47,340 --> 00:28:53,340
But to go back to the explanation is

260
00:28:54,340 --> 00:29:02,340
We want to be focusing on whatever trend is supporting the current momentum

261
00:29:02,340 --> 00:29:07,340
So if I have a high time frame range

262
00:29:07,340 --> 00:29:13,340
This is not a very good range because it's not like the classic rectangle but it doesn't matter

263
00:29:13,340 --> 00:29:21,340
What happens, we know this even 3D trend, you see 3D trend has been okay

264
00:29:21,340 --> 00:29:28,340
But you see here, price started to chop through

265
00:29:28,340 --> 00:29:31,340
So you know 3D trend is going to be no good

266
00:29:31,340 --> 00:29:35,340
So what do you do when 3D trend is chopping through price?

267
00:29:35,340 --> 00:29:41,340
You either want to zoom in to find trend on lower time frames

268
00:29:41,340 --> 00:29:47,340
Or you want to simply zoom out and revert to higher time frame trend

269
00:29:48,340 --> 00:29:54,340
So it's like here, we could have done that with the weekly as well

270
00:29:54,340 --> 00:29:58,340
Actually here the weekly was slightly cleaner

271
00:29:58,340 --> 00:30:01,340
The weekly worked perfectly here, perfectly here

272
00:30:01,340 --> 00:30:03,340
We had some sort of fake out here

273
00:30:03,340 --> 00:30:08,340
So yeah, we could start with the weekly

274
00:30:08,340 --> 00:30:10,340
You have the weekly trend as support here

275
00:30:10,340 --> 00:30:12,340
And then price starts chopping through

276
00:30:12,340 --> 00:30:17,340
You know you don't want to ignore the weekly trend

277
00:30:17,340 --> 00:30:20,340
Here we have similar sinking

278
00:30:20,340 --> 00:30:24,340
Here we notice strong new leg up from the daily

279
00:30:24,340 --> 00:30:26,340
And then the daily is ignored here

280
00:30:26,340 --> 00:30:31,340
This is actually a sign that conditions have changed

281
00:30:31,340 --> 00:30:37,340
You see actually the big impulse here first came from a daily trend retest

282
00:30:37,340 --> 00:30:39,340
Reclaim, then daily trend continuation

283
00:30:39,340 --> 00:30:43,340
As soon as the daily trend starts chopping here

284
00:30:43,340 --> 00:30:48,340
It's a big signal that the market conditions you had here and here have changed

285
00:30:48,340 --> 00:30:51,340
So your eyes are going to start zooming in

286
00:30:51,340 --> 00:30:55,340
Because price chopping through your daily trend

287
00:30:55,340 --> 00:30:59,340
Means you are most likely going to range at least on the daily

288
00:30:59,340 --> 00:31:02,340
So you would want to zoom out

289
00:31:02,340 --> 00:31:07,340
And look for lower time frame trends

290
00:31:07,340 --> 00:31:11,340
Or you are going to revert to bigger trends

291
00:31:11,340 --> 00:31:17,340
So for example when you start chopping through the weekly trend here

292
00:31:17,340 --> 00:31:19,340
You might want to reverse to the monthly

293
00:31:19,340 --> 00:31:25,340
Oh and the monthly trend actually surprisingly good

294
00:31:25,340 --> 00:31:28,340
Now we escaped the range

295
00:31:28,340 --> 00:31:31,340
So this time the opposite happens

296
00:31:31,340 --> 00:31:34,340
You know the more you have chopped

297
00:31:34,340 --> 00:31:36,340
What we just said the more you have chopped

298
00:31:36,340 --> 00:31:40,340
The more you want to revert to wider, higher time frame trend

299
00:31:40,340 --> 00:31:47,340
For the continuation of the higher time frame structure and trend

300
00:31:47,340 --> 00:31:51,340
Or you want to zoom in to look for trend within the range

301
00:31:51,340 --> 00:31:55,340
Now what just happened? We escaped the range

302
00:31:55,340 --> 00:32:01,340
So that means the momentum is going to start accelerating

303
00:32:01,340 --> 00:32:03,340
So we had a daily compression

304
00:32:03,340 --> 00:32:09,340
That means at first we were on monthly weekly trend

305
00:32:09,340 --> 00:32:14,340
So now we have a big impulse of a daily compression

306
00:32:14,340 --> 00:32:18,340
So we are first going to start looking for support from the daily trend

307
00:32:18,340 --> 00:32:22,340
Now the daily trend gives new impulses

308
00:32:22,340 --> 00:32:24,340
So what we are going to do?

309
00:32:24,340 --> 00:32:29,340
We are going to start hoping for an acceleration of the momentum

310
00:32:29,340 --> 00:32:32,340
So what we are going to do is we are going to look at forage trend

311
00:32:32,340 --> 00:32:35,340
Then forage trend gives a new leg

312
00:32:35,340 --> 00:32:42,340
Now this is very similar to the educational article I have here

313
00:32:42,340 --> 00:32:46,340
Imagine for example red is your daily trend

314
00:32:46,340 --> 00:32:49,340
Blue is your forage trend

315
00:32:49,340 --> 00:32:51,340
And green is your 1H trend

316
00:32:51,340 --> 00:32:55,340
So typically you are going to have multiple types of the 1H trend

317
00:32:55,340 --> 00:32:58,340
Eventually the 1H trend gets exhausted

318
00:32:58,340 --> 00:33:00,340
You revert back to the forage trend

319
00:33:00,340 --> 00:33:04,340
Forage trend gives one tap here, one tap here

320
00:33:04,340 --> 00:33:08,340
Fails to give a new leg up from this tap

321
00:33:08,340 --> 00:33:11,340
You revert back to the daily trend

322
00:33:11,340 --> 00:33:13,340
Now daily trend shops a bit

323
00:33:13,340 --> 00:33:16,340
We start trending again

324
00:33:16,340 --> 00:33:19,340
You go back forage trend, forage trend

325
00:33:19,340 --> 00:33:25,340
And between the types of the forage trend you look for support from the 1H trend

326
00:33:25,340 --> 00:33:28,340
When the 1H trend is exhausted you go back to forage trend

327
00:33:28,340 --> 00:33:36,340
So here I was saying we got this leg from the daily trend

328
00:33:36,340 --> 00:33:39,340
Then we are going to look for forage trend

329
00:33:39,340 --> 00:33:43,340
And because we are better on momentum, but potentially accelerating

330
00:33:43,340 --> 00:33:45,340
Then we are going to start looking at 1H trend

331
00:33:45,340 --> 00:33:47,340
1H trend, 1H trend, 1H trend

332
00:33:47,340 --> 00:33:51,340
Here 1H trend stops giving a good signal

333
00:33:51,340 --> 00:33:54,340
So we revert back to forage trend

334
00:33:54,340 --> 00:33:59,340
Which is what I was saying in intraday plan a few days ago

335
00:33:59,340 --> 00:34:06,340
Sadly also what I said in intraday plan here yesterday

336
00:34:06,340 --> 00:34:10,340
Yeah, unfortunately the forage trend got slightly front run

337
00:34:10,340 --> 00:34:14,340
So I didn't get that many beats filled here

338
00:34:14,340 --> 00:34:18,340
It got slightly front run here, it happens

339
00:34:22,340 --> 00:34:26,340
I actually wicked into it on this last night

340
00:34:26,340 --> 00:34:31,340
And again it has to do as well with sometimes with the angle

341
00:34:31,340 --> 00:34:35,340
So let's say if the forage trend here

342
00:34:35,340 --> 00:34:38,340
If we were starting to consolidate

343
00:34:38,340 --> 00:34:43,340
And the forage trend start to become flat even slightly descending here

344
00:34:43,340 --> 00:34:47,340
Then I would be deciding saying

345
00:34:47,340 --> 00:34:53,340
Oh, it's time to have bigger mean reversion into the daily trend

346
00:34:53,340 --> 00:34:57,340
Which is here, probably would catch up to here back then

347
00:34:57,340 --> 00:35:00,340
So that would give us something like 84K

348
00:35:00,340 --> 00:35:08,340
So basically this EMA system is really both a trend and a mean reversion system

349
00:35:08,340 --> 00:35:13,340
Except that, you know, unlike classic mean reversion that works with horizontal

350
00:35:13,340 --> 00:35:17,340
It's like a moving mean reversion

351
00:35:17,340 --> 00:35:21,340
Based on where the momentum is accelerating or slowing down

352
00:35:21,340 --> 00:35:24,340
Okay

353
00:35:24,340 --> 00:35:27,340
So I hope it kind of addresses your question

354
00:35:27,340 --> 00:35:31,340
And this usually tells us which trend we want to be waiting for

355
00:35:31,340 --> 00:35:37,340
So last week you asked this question why because

356
00:35:37,340 --> 00:35:44,340
Why why why

357
00:35:44,340 --> 00:35:49,340
Yeah I think it's because

358
00:35:49,340 --> 00:35:53,340
I think it was around here

359
00:35:53,340 --> 00:35:55,340
Yeah it was around here

360
00:35:55,340 --> 00:35:58,340
You see on Solana we had a huge move on Solana

361
00:35:58,340 --> 00:36:03,340
Huge move supported by

362
00:36:03,340 --> 00:36:08,340
One tap of daily up for an edge trend, a new leg on one edge trend

363
00:36:08,340 --> 00:36:15,340
And then as you can see here we have this one edge trend start chopping, you see

364
00:36:15,340 --> 00:36:19,340
One edge trend goes flat and price chops through it

365
00:36:19,340 --> 00:36:23,340
And when that happens I'm like okay you guys want to be the forage trend

366
00:36:23,340 --> 00:36:27,340
And then if we go back to forage chart

367
00:36:27,340 --> 00:36:30,340
You wait for the forage trend to catch up

368
00:36:30,340 --> 00:36:33,340
Perfect week into it

369
00:36:33,340 --> 00:36:39,340
And that's how last weekend we made all these forage trend moves

370
00:36:39,340 --> 00:36:43,340
And that's why you asked me the question

371
00:36:43,340 --> 00:36:46,340
When was that? On Sunday, the last stream was on Sunday you mag

372
00:36:46,340 --> 00:36:50,340
And you asked me this question and sadly we didn't have time to go through

373
00:36:50,340 --> 00:36:53,340
So now I hope this helped you

374
00:36:53,340 --> 00:36:55,340
If you still have questions about it

375
00:36:55,340 --> 00:36:59,340
Because today I really want to see as many tickers as possible

376
00:36:59,340 --> 00:37:03,340
So I answered it because I promised you I would answer it

377
00:37:03,340 --> 00:37:08,340
Please check again my educational content because there's a lot of information about it

378
00:37:08,340 --> 00:37:13,340
And if you still have question let me know and we'll address it in another stream

379
00:37:13,340 --> 00:37:17,340
Okay

380
00:37:17,340 --> 00:37:21,340
Okay now let's start looking at tickers again

381
00:37:21,340 --> 00:37:26,340
So grass was done

382
00:37:26,340 --> 00:37:33,340
Carl is asking so it's on goats

383
00:37:33,340 --> 00:37:35,340
Hi goat is hasn't changed

384
00:37:35,340 --> 00:37:41,340
We looked at goats

385
00:37:41,340 --> 00:37:44,340
In the last stream

386
00:37:44,340 --> 00:37:50,340
And this was our squiggly line okay

387
00:37:50,340 --> 00:37:54,340
Actually I couldn't have drawn a better squiggly line

388
00:37:54,340 --> 00:37:57,340
Look at that okay

389
00:37:57,340 --> 00:38:02,340
The idea was that it's probably going to slow grind up but still going to be very choppy

390
00:38:02,340 --> 00:38:11,340
So I remember back then I said I'm not a big fan of this price going back below the forage trend

391
00:38:11,340 --> 00:38:16,340
So most likely it's going to chop and do something like that

392
00:38:16,340 --> 00:38:20,340
Or we have our magic line waiting for us here

393
00:38:20,340 --> 00:38:24,340
So last time the observation was like

394
00:38:24,340 --> 00:38:27,340
Buy goat on the magic line lower

395
00:38:27,340 --> 00:38:30,340
Or trade the chop here

396
00:38:30,340 --> 00:38:34,340
And okay I get it it's still making higher highs

397
00:38:34,340 --> 00:38:38,340
But it's still extremely choppy

398
00:38:38,340 --> 00:38:42,340
So yeah nothing changed since last time on goats

399
00:38:42,340 --> 00:38:49,340
Also I think you already have at least one or two analysts

400
00:38:49,340 --> 00:38:55,340
Who have provided trades on goats so they have been following this coin more than me

401
00:38:55,340 --> 00:38:59,340
So that's it I'm not going to say more

402
00:38:59,340 --> 00:39:02,340
You're welcome you mag I'm glad it's helping

403
00:39:02,340 --> 00:39:09,340
Again it's a system that takes time because you know you have a lot of lines on the charts

404
00:39:09,340 --> 00:39:14,340
You have to pay attention whether the big moving averages are compressing or not

405
00:39:14,340 --> 00:39:24,340
You have to pay attention to whether the trends are ascending or descending

406
00:39:24,340 --> 00:39:29,340
And on top of that you might have conflicting signals depending on which time frame you're using

407
00:39:29,340 --> 00:39:34,340
So I get it it's a system that can be quite difficult to understand

408
00:39:34,340 --> 00:39:43,340
But once you master this system it's going to work so well

409
00:39:43,340 --> 00:39:53,340
Yeah I don't think I want to look at Is on the monthly

410
00:39:53,340 --> 00:39:58,340
Is is going to do what I said earlier

411
00:39:58,340 --> 00:40:01,340
It's kind of like Bitcoin and stocks

412
00:40:01,340 --> 00:40:06,340
It's like one outperforms the other until it doesn't

413
00:40:06,340 --> 00:40:13,340
For now basically as long as one is outperforming focus on the outperforming one

414
00:40:13,340 --> 00:40:18,340
And still keep a very open mind that means as soon as market conditions change

415
00:40:18,340 --> 00:40:24,340
And let's say it can really catch a bit

416
00:40:24,340 --> 00:40:29,340
You need to acknowledge that market conditions have changed and adjust

417
00:40:29,340 --> 00:40:33,340
You can't be like the broken record

418
00:40:33,340 --> 00:40:39,340
Because I can tell you eventually there's going to be a big Israeli

419
00:40:39,340 --> 00:40:42,340
And people are going to keep shorting it

420
00:40:42,340 --> 00:40:47,340
Why? Because it worked for them very well

421
00:40:47,340 --> 00:40:51,340
Until now

422
00:40:51,340 --> 00:40:56,340
But there will be a time the market conditions will change

423
00:40:56,340 --> 00:41:04,340
And if will if or Solana whatever will be the domain that will be the the outperforming coin

424
00:41:04,340 --> 00:41:11,340
And people will fail to adjust to that and they're going to keep shorting every if rally

425
00:41:11,340 --> 00:41:14,340
Why? Because they made money with it in the past

426
00:41:14,340 --> 00:41:18,340
And they're actually going to give back a lot of the money they made in the past

427
00:41:18,340 --> 00:41:21,340
Because they wanted to be right you know the trading proverb

428
00:41:21,340 --> 00:41:24,340
Do you want to be right or do you want to make money?

429
00:41:24,340 --> 00:41:29,340
It's very applicable in many situations and this is one of them

430
00:41:29,340 --> 00:41:34,340
So that's all I'm going to say about this high time frame

431
00:41:34,340 --> 00:41:40,340
A shorter time frame on east that's what I said in intraday plan

432
00:41:40,340 --> 00:41:42,340
That's what I said you want

433
00:41:42,340 --> 00:41:46,340
There's this that I don't really like here

434
00:41:46,340 --> 00:41:50,340
You see forward strength starting to turn descending

435
00:41:50,340 --> 00:41:52,340
So it's a good example here you see

436
00:41:52,340 --> 00:41:57,340
We had a clear forward strength now you have forward strength shopping surprise

437
00:41:57,340 --> 00:42:03,340
So the way Pierre would play it most likely is Pierre would just say

438
00:42:03,340 --> 00:42:06,340
Okay you wait for the daily trend

439
00:42:06,340 --> 00:42:10,340
We hit major resistance for a trend is shopping

440
00:42:10,340 --> 00:42:12,340
You wait for the daily trend

441
00:42:12,340 --> 00:42:16,340
And this is perfectly valid and that's that's basically the explanation I've given you before

442
00:42:16,340 --> 00:42:20,340
But how how do we know which trend you want to pay attention to?

443
00:42:20,340 --> 00:42:25,340
Okay now if you're like me more focused on lower time frames

444
00:42:25,340 --> 00:42:31,340
You have this clean 30m compression

445
00:42:31,340 --> 00:42:36,340
And that's where I'm torn

446
00:42:36,340 --> 00:42:40,340
On one hand I think the market's appetite for risk is still intact

447
00:42:40,340 --> 00:42:43,340
And we should be betting on more risk on

448
00:42:43,340 --> 00:42:46,340
On the other hand this

449
00:42:46,340 --> 00:42:51,340
It does look distributive and so we'll see

450
00:42:51,340 --> 00:42:54,340
And the problem is we hit this big resistance

451
00:42:54,340 --> 00:42:58,340
If we didn't and still had more upside I would say

452
00:42:58,340 --> 00:43:03,340
I would say you just just yellow the 30m compression

453
00:43:03,340 --> 00:43:06,340
Actually this might just work but

454
00:43:06,340 --> 00:43:10,340
I don't know

455
00:43:10,340 --> 00:43:14,340
A safe way of playing the system if you don't want to get chopped

456
00:43:14,340 --> 00:43:18,340
Because the problem is if you get chopped on this by longing is

457
00:43:18,340 --> 00:43:21,340
It's gonna be super painful in inside you're gonna be

458
00:43:21,340 --> 00:43:25,340
Hey I know it is underperforming why am I longing is

459
00:43:25,340 --> 00:43:30,340
And why why did I do that am I am I stupid do I love pain

460
00:43:30,340 --> 00:43:34,340
While the simple version of the system is just telling you

461
00:43:34,340 --> 00:43:40,340
Oh for each trend is shopping just wait for just wait for the daily trend

462
00:43:40,340 --> 00:43:45,340
So this is a good example where actually you want to just chill out

463
00:43:45,340 --> 00:43:50,340
And just set some alerts of beads on the daily trend

464
00:43:50,340 --> 00:43:55,340
What else what else what else

465
00:43:55,340 --> 00:44:00,340
We have

466
00:44:00,340 --> 00:44:05,340
Olukman asking a good question example of scalping using EMAs in aggressive trend

467
00:44:05,340 --> 00:44:10,340
I like that I think we covered this a bit in our last stream but

468
00:44:10,340 --> 00:44:15,340
It's the same as what I explained here you see

469
00:44:15,340 --> 00:44:21,340
If we have a very very strong so there are a few more subtleties

470
00:44:21,340 --> 00:44:25,340
In the system actually but you remember this setup here

471
00:44:25,340 --> 00:44:30,340
This was this was a wireless trend continuation

472
00:44:30,340 --> 00:44:35,340
In general here I would have said on ease I would have wanted to use the

473
00:44:35,340 --> 00:44:40,340
Forage trend and because ease had been down trending with

474
00:44:40,340 --> 00:44:45,340
A daily trend resistance here it would have made a lot of sense to wait

475
00:44:45,340 --> 00:44:50,340
For the fresh trend but that's one of the exceptions I make

476
00:44:50,340 --> 00:44:55,340
To the system and that's but that's don't worry if you don't know all these subtleties

477
00:44:55,340 --> 00:44:59,340
These are subtleties you learn with experience so if you're less experienced with the system

478
00:44:59,340 --> 00:45:05,340
It's perfectly normal that these are looking complicated and you don't know about them yet

479
00:45:05,340 --> 00:45:10,340
But with enough experience and enough practice you will know all of these

480
00:45:10,340 --> 00:45:16,340
Whenever we have a huge impulse from the lows I like to play one edge trend

481
00:45:16,340 --> 00:45:20,340
Okay

482
00:45:20,340 --> 00:45:25,340
So here

483
00:45:25,340 --> 00:45:30,340
You want to know when it's trend scalping this is this is all you need to know

484
00:45:30,340 --> 00:45:35,340
Okay study this article

485
00:45:35,340 --> 00:45:41,340
Because that's study this article it's it's it's an extremely good summary of what we discussed today

486
00:45:41,340 --> 00:45:47,340
We're still going to look at practical examples

487
00:45:47,340 --> 00:45:52,340
Yes leave it you're saying so it's a certain time frame shop you know price will be

488
00:45:52,340 --> 00:45:58,340
Training on this time frame so either I zoom in to find a trend within the range

489
00:45:58,340 --> 00:46:04,340
Either I zoom out to revert to a higher time frame trend

490
00:46:04,340 --> 00:46:09,340
Because the key here

491
00:46:09,340 --> 00:46:15,340
When I look at a chart like that is that

492
00:46:15,340 --> 00:46:20,340
I had I identify a range here so either I could scalp within the range

493
00:46:20,340 --> 00:46:25,340
And I don't even need to use the EMA system

494
00:46:25,340 --> 00:46:32,340
I can usually you see this I can just like use range trading strategies

495
00:46:32,340 --> 00:46:38,340
But what's going to make me do that it's because some MAs are going to start shopping

496
00:46:38,340 --> 00:46:45,340
Okay and when MAs are going to start shopping

497
00:46:45,340 --> 00:46:54,340
What options do I have either I wait for a higher time frame trend to catch up

498
00:46:54,340 --> 00:47:01,340
So typically here at the end of the range this is where I'm going to have the daily the weekly

499
00:47:01,340 --> 00:47:06,340
Or even as the BTC example we looked at the monthly trend catch up

500
00:47:06,340 --> 00:47:11,340
And it's going to give me the new leg up this is very PS style

501
00:47:11,340 --> 00:47:18,340
And within our system you can also combine that with the famous compressions the bananas

502
00:47:18,340 --> 00:47:25,340
Because usually at the end of this job you're going to have a compression

503
00:47:25,340 --> 00:47:31,340
Tending you volatility is going to come back okay

504
00:47:31,340 --> 00:47:39,340
So typical example would be

505
00:47:39,340 --> 00:47:49,340
Usually as the educational system explained because one HMA 200 is similar to daily EMA 13

506
00:47:49,340 --> 00:47:55,340
Very often you're going to have the daily trend catch up with the consolidation

507
00:47:55,340 --> 00:47:59,340
Whenever you're going to have a one edge compression

508
00:47:59,340 --> 00:48:05,340
Okay and that's actually kind of what we're seeing here is that you see we're starting to see some chop

509
00:48:05,340 --> 00:48:13,340
If we were to dump we could like tap one HMA 200

510
00:48:13,340 --> 00:48:20,340
If I look at the daily trend here the daily trend you can see the daily trend is still below

511
00:48:20,340 --> 00:48:25,340
Okay let's let's use this as a practical example

512
00:48:25,340 --> 00:48:33,340
And so I'm going to draw this in green to represent when the one edge trend is going to catch up

513
00:48:33,340 --> 00:48:39,340
Okay because that's one HMA 13 that's one HMA 21

514
00:48:39,340 --> 00:48:45,340
So I'm going to give them their usual colors

515
00:48:45,340 --> 00:48:50,340
That's a green then I go back to one edge I'm going back to the one edge shot

516
00:48:50,340 --> 00:48:55,340
So remember this this is my daily trend okay

517
00:48:55,340 --> 00:49:00,340
And now at the same time we're going to look at the one edge compression

518
00:49:00,340 --> 00:49:04,340
So between these

519
00:49:04,340 --> 00:49:14,340
Okay and so you'll notice that

520
00:49:14,340 --> 00:49:22,340
When we're going to have our tight compression here

521
00:49:22,340 --> 00:49:25,340
Imagine price doing something like that

522
00:49:25,340 --> 00:49:30,340
When our banana is tight here I'm going to do the opposite

523
00:49:30,340 --> 00:49:33,340
I'm going to delete that

524
00:49:33,340 --> 00:49:40,340
And you will see that when our banana is going to be tight the one edge compression is going to be tight

525
00:49:40,340 --> 00:49:44,340
That's where the green line our daily trend catches up

526
00:49:44,340 --> 00:49:51,340
Okay and so usually by the time we have this tight one edge compression

527
00:49:51,340 --> 00:49:56,340
This is where we will have

528
00:49:56,340 --> 00:49:59,340
Price

529
00:49:59,340 --> 00:50:04,340
Or the EMA catch up with price or price catch up with EMA

530
00:50:04,340 --> 00:50:06,340
It doesn't matter how you want to word it

531
00:50:06,340 --> 00:50:11,340
With the daily stock reset

532
00:50:11,340 --> 00:50:20,340
And so Pierre will typically be buying back to daily trend with daily stock reset

533
00:50:20,340 --> 00:50:29,340
While I'm most likely going to be playing the one edge compression

534
00:50:29,340 --> 00:50:32,340
And so typically what happens is

535
00:50:32,340 --> 00:50:35,340
The one edge compression is going to be giving me a tighter stop and invalidation

536
00:50:35,340 --> 00:50:40,340
So I'm going to have a better RR than Pierre

537
00:50:40,340 --> 00:50:43,340
But because sometimes it's going to be a 13m compression

538
00:50:43,340 --> 00:50:47,340
Sometimes there's going to be some big fakeouts below

539
00:50:47,340 --> 00:50:50,340
My win rate is going to be worse than Pierre

540
00:50:50,340 --> 00:50:53,340
Pierre has a much better win rate than I

541
00:50:53,340 --> 00:50:56,340
So this is the difference

542
00:50:56,340 --> 00:51:04,340
But now you even got some sort of highlight about how you combine the one edge bananas with the daily trend

543
00:51:04,340 --> 00:51:09,340
But again all of that this is all explained in my educational content

544
00:51:09,340 --> 00:51:14,340
So do yourself a favour and study that again

545
00:51:14,340 --> 00:51:18,340
So guys we can maybe finally look at some tickers

546
00:51:18,340 --> 00:51:24,340
But I mean you guys are asking good questions and these are very important questions

547
00:51:24,340 --> 00:51:27,340
So I want to answer them

548
00:51:27,340 --> 00:51:31,340
But let's take a look at some tickers

549
00:51:31,340 --> 00:51:34,340
Ok

550
00:51:34,340 --> 00:51:36,340
We should be looking at some tickers

551
00:51:36,340 --> 00:51:39,340
So what were the requests?

552
00:51:39,340 --> 00:51:45,340
Ah good we covered Zig, Zig on bybit

553
00:51:45,340 --> 00:51:47,340
Oh very trending

554
00:51:47,340 --> 00:51:53,340
There are some drawings so it looks like I've looked at this before but

555
00:51:53,340 --> 00:51:55,340
Ah

556
00:51:55,340 --> 00:51:57,340
See what I was saying

557
00:51:57,340 --> 00:51:59,340
If I drew that back then

558
00:51:59,340 --> 00:52:03,340
Ok so basically last time we looked at it it was a wrench

559
00:52:03,340 --> 00:52:07,340
So I probably said it's going to keep wrenching

560
00:52:07,340 --> 00:52:10,340
Which apparently it did

561
00:52:10,340 --> 00:52:13,340
And guess what?

562
00:52:13,340 --> 00:52:16,340
We started to have a big move

563
00:52:16,340 --> 00:52:19,340
When we had our banana fully forming

564
00:52:19,340 --> 00:52:23,340
And you see daily ma 100 going down

565
00:52:23,340 --> 00:52:25,340
And the compression is pinching

566
00:52:25,340 --> 00:52:29,340
And when we have the pinch, the compression getting tight

567
00:52:29,340 --> 00:52:32,340
This is where we have the big move and we exit the wrench

568
00:52:32,340 --> 00:52:35,340
So

569
00:52:35,340 --> 00:52:38,340
Well perfect illustration in the

570
00:52:38,340 --> 00:52:39,340
Like you

571
00:52:39,340 --> 00:52:43,340
I didn't make this up I haven't opened this chart in a very long time

572
00:52:43,340 --> 00:52:46,340
So we got a wrench

573
00:52:46,340 --> 00:52:49,340
We got a huge impulse here

574
00:52:49,340 --> 00:52:51,340
Guess from where?

575
00:52:51,340 --> 00:52:53,340
Right from the magic line

576
00:52:53,340 --> 00:52:56,340
So you remember the magic line on new listings?

577
00:52:56,340 --> 00:52:58,340
Wow

578
00:52:58,340 --> 00:53:03,340
You got an 80% by blindly beating the magic line

579
00:53:03,340 --> 00:53:04,340
Ok

580
00:53:04,340 --> 00:53:07,340
So now I don't have much

581
00:53:07,340 --> 00:53:09,340
More to say

582
00:53:09,340 --> 00:53:12,340
You have your daily compression here

583
00:53:12,340 --> 00:53:14,340
You have escaped the wrench

584
00:53:14,340 --> 00:53:17,340
So that means pullbacks are for buying

585
00:53:17,340 --> 00:53:20,340
Pullbacks are for buying

586
00:53:20,340 --> 00:53:23,340
If we observe here

587
00:53:23,340 --> 00:53:25,340
You see we already had

588
00:53:25,340 --> 00:53:30,340
Several continuation from the fore-edge trend

589
00:53:30,340 --> 00:53:36,340
So I guess you could bet on another tap of the fore-edge trend here

590
00:53:36,340 --> 00:53:40,340
In fact actually we had a few taps from the fore-edge trend

591
00:53:40,340 --> 00:53:43,340
So a few scenarios here

592
00:53:43,340 --> 00:53:46,340
Either the momentum accelerates

593
00:53:46,340 --> 00:53:51,340
And we start following the one-edge trend

594
00:53:51,340 --> 00:53:54,340
But to be frank

595
00:53:54,340 --> 00:53:56,340
We already had one tap

596
00:53:56,340 --> 00:53:59,340
We already had one tap of one-edge trend

597
00:53:59,340 --> 00:54:02,340
Second tap of one-edge trend

598
00:54:02,340 --> 00:54:06,340
I see that each new leg is getting lower than the previous one

599
00:54:06,340 --> 00:54:10,340
I'm starting some bearish divs

600
00:54:10,340 --> 00:54:15,340
Meaning I don't really want to be beating on this one-edge trend

601
00:54:15,340 --> 00:54:17,340
I would like to wait for a trend again

602
00:54:17,340 --> 00:54:20,340
The problem is we go back to fore-edge chart

603
00:54:20,340 --> 00:54:26,340
We already had one, two, three, four taps of the fore-edge trend

604
00:54:26,340 --> 00:54:31,340
Meaning that we might actually want to be beating for the daily trend this time

605
00:54:31,340 --> 00:54:36,340
We already have the daily supermax here

606
00:54:36,340 --> 00:54:42,340
I would say based on just flipping through these three timeframes

607
00:54:42,340 --> 00:54:47,340
I would probably want to buy a zig on the daily trend

608
00:54:47,340 --> 00:54:50,340
Also by the time we go back to daily trend

609
00:54:50,340 --> 00:54:57,340
It would be like some nice horizontal area to beat

610
00:54:57,340 --> 00:54:59,340
So I might be wrong

611
00:54:59,340 --> 00:55:02,340
But hey, if it bumps without me I'm not losing money

612
00:55:02,340 --> 00:55:05,340
Never forget that

613
00:55:05,340 --> 00:55:09,340
So yeah, you could add some outlets here

614
00:55:09,340 --> 00:55:12,340
Zig daily trend

615
00:55:12,340 --> 00:55:17,340
And I'll use that as an opportunity to answer Ulukman's question

616
00:55:17,340 --> 00:55:24,340
About how to use the one-edge trend for scalping

617
00:55:24,340 --> 00:55:27,340
As you see here

618
00:55:27,340 --> 00:55:34,340
Here I just had a new leg up from fore-edge trend

619
00:55:34,340 --> 00:55:37,340
So if I have a new leg up from the fore-edge trend

620
00:55:37,340 --> 00:55:44,340
Again, back to this educational article

621
00:55:44,340 --> 00:55:47,340
If you have your first tap of the fore-edge trend

622
00:55:47,340 --> 00:55:52,340
You know that in between each tap of the fore-edge trend

623
00:55:52,340 --> 00:55:57,340
It's going to do little taps of the one-edge trend

624
00:55:57,340 --> 00:56:05,340
So the idea is whenever you get

625
00:56:05,340 --> 00:56:10,340
A nice impulse from the fore-edge trend like here

626
00:56:10,340 --> 00:56:14,340
You want to buy the first one-edge trend retest

627
00:56:14,340 --> 00:56:21,340
Because we expect that every tap between fore-edge trend

628
00:56:21,340 --> 00:56:26,340
Maybe the next one is going to be here or here

629
00:56:26,340 --> 00:56:29,340
We're going to have one-edge trend be support

630
00:56:29,340 --> 00:56:32,340
Now it's already the third one

631
00:56:32,340 --> 00:56:34,340
I don't want to play it

632
00:56:34,340 --> 00:56:36,340
But yes, that's a good tip

633
00:56:36,340 --> 00:56:41,340
The more training the coin is the better

634
00:56:41,340 --> 00:56:47,340
On very training coins you can even apply this to 15-minute trend

635
00:56:47,340 --> 00:56:49,340
But on Zieg, as we said

636
00:56:49,340 --> 00:56:52,340
Fore-edge trend been stopped multiple times

637
00:56:52,340 --> 00:56:54,340
I would rather buy the daily trend

638
00:56:54,340 --> 00:56:56,340
But like super-trending trend

639
00:56:56,340 --> 00:57:03,340
We gave the example one ada not long ago

640
00:57:03,340 --> 00:57:08,340
See you had ada continuation of fore-edge trend

641
00:57:08,340 --> 00:57:15,340
Now the stuff has ada's been giving some like huge huge huge pump

642
00:57:15,340 --> 00:57:22,340
Now we have a first consolidation into the 15-minute trend

643
00:57:22,340 --> 00:57:24,340
This is a kind of nice scallop

644
00:57:24,340 --> 00:57:28,340
Don't be too greedy on that because

645
00:57:28,340 --> 00:57:30,340
Basically the 15-minute trend pump

646
00:57:30,340 --> 00:57:34,340
They're aware of the momentum is the fastest

647
00:57:34,340 --> 00:57:36,340
So that means you should expect blow-off top

648
00:57:36,340 --> 00:57:38,340
And if you expect blow-off top

649
00:57:38,340 --> 00:57:41,340
That means, yeah blow-off top you're here

650
00:57:41,340 --> 00:57:46,340
You know at best it's going to chop more and re-consolidate after a blow-off top

651
00:57:46,340 --> 00:57:49,340
And so when you have the blow-off top

652
00:57:49,340 --> 00:57:59,340
This is where you want to be starting to wait again for higher time-frame trends

653
00:57:59,340 --> 00:58:03,340
Let's look at tickers

654
00:58:03,340 --> 00:58:12,340
Umag is asking A icon

655
00:58:12,340 --> 00:58:14,340
Tau weekly looks good

656
00:58:14,340 --> 00:58:16,340
Daily going below the trend

657
00:58:16,340 --> 00:58:17,340
Let's take a look

658
00:58:25,340 --> 00:58:33,340
Well the problem with tau is now it's time to sort of introduce some game theory

659
00:58:33,340 --> 00:58:38,340
But the problem is tau

660
00:58:38,340 --> 00:58:42,340
We had a big accumulation here

661
00:58:42,340 --> 00:58:51,340
This is one of the coins that said you want to buy when you break

662
00:58:51,340 --> 00:58:55,340
And reclaim this accumulation range plus the magic EMA

663
00:58:55,340 --> 00:58:57,340
The red one that was here

664
00:58:57,340 --> 00:59:00,340
But the problem is I didn't

665
00:59:00,340 --> 00:59:04,340
And I'm guessing a lot of people didn't either

666
00:59:04,340 --> 00:59:06,340
So what does it mean?

667
00:59:06,340 --> 00:59:09,340
It means a lot of people have been buying here

668
00:59:09,340 --> 00:59:11,340
Buying here

669
00:59:11,340 --> 00:59:16,340
They saw tau being shield heavily

670
00:59:16,340 --> 00:59:19,340
Then there was this chop here

671
00:59:19,340 --> 00:59:23,340
And maybe they were expecting to hold until 3 figures

672
00:59:23,340 --> 00:59:25,340
Until 4 figures here

673
00:59:25,340 --> 00:59:27,340
To 1000

674
00:59:27,340 --> 00:59:30,340
Then it started here, they capitulated

675
00:59:30,340 --> 00:59:34,340
It bounced again hard on the magic EMA

676
00:59:34,340 --> 00:59:40,340
And what happened is maybe they puked back here

677
00:59:40,340 --> 00:59:42,340
They bought back here

678
00:59:42,340 --> 00:59:43,340
They didn't take profit here

679
00:59:43,340 --> 00:59:45,340
And now they're like

680
00:59:45,340 --> 00:59:47,340
"Ahh, not again"

681
00:59:47,340 --> 00:59:52,340
And this is the coin where

682
00:59:52,340 --> 00:59:55,340
Whenever you have a huge move like that

683
00:59:55,340 --> 00:59:59,340
It's... I'm not sure how to word it well, explain it well

684
00:59:59,340 --> 01:00:06,340
But it's a coin where people are going to be out of synchronization

685
01:00:06,340 --> 01:00:09,340
And because of that they're going to make a lot of mistakes

686
01:00:09,340 --> 01:00:13,340
And that's how we're going to end up with very ugly shots

687
01:00:13,340 --> 01:00:15,340
You know?

688
01:00:15,340 --> 01:00:18,340
Like huge rally and then you have this

689
01:00:18,340 --> 01:00:21,340
This kind of consolidation but it's

690
01:00:21,340 --> 01:00:24,340
It's with a disgusting structure because

691
01:00:24,340 --> 01:00:27,340
It's making higher highs but it's still disgusting

692
01:00:27,340 --> 01:00:31,340
And then you have all the people who bought in this consolidation

693
01:00:31,340 --> 01:00:34,340
Who didn't take any profit, who are puking little by little

694
01:00:34,340 --> 01:00:38,340
It's why I'm not going to trade this one

695
01:00:38,340 --> 01:00:41,340
I don't care what it does, I'm not going to trade this one

696
01:00:41,340 --> 01:00:43,340
Because

697
01:00:43,340 --> 01:00:47,340
It creates this sort of very predatory price action

698
01:00:47,340 --> 01:00:51,340
It's because people have been massively out of synchronicity

699
01:00:51,340 --> 01:00:57,340
They missed this upside, they bought the top, they puked here

700
01:00:57,340 --> 01:00:59,340
So

701
01:00:59,340 --> 01:01:02,340
The problem with tau is I think it's better not to choose at all

702
01:01:11,340 --> 01:01:14,340
I think you want to buy tau when

703
01:01:14,340 --> 01:01:17,340
All the people out of synch have given up

704
01:01:17,340 --> 01:01:19,340
Like

705
01:01:19,340 --> 01:01:21,340
You have this sort of

706
01:01:21,340 --> 01:01:23,340
Massive consolidation triangle

707
01:01:23,340 --> 01:01:25,340
Yeah, okay

708
01:01:25,340 --> 01:01:28,340
Because when it starts chopping in a tight zone

709
01:01:28,340 --> 01:01:33,340
I know it's not like the emotional roller coaster that people are going through right now

710
01:01:33,340 --> 01:01:37,340
And I would say if I have a nice consolidation like this

711
01:01:38,340 --> 01:01:43,340
Yeah, even give it 2000 targets

712
01:01:43,340 --> 01:01:45,340
I don't care, why not?

713
01:01:45,340 --> 01:01:49,340
But it's going to need time, I'm pretty sure it's going to need time

714
01:01:49,340 --> 01:01:55,340
Yeah, I think tau is a coin I really don't want to touch

715
01:01:55,340 --> 01:01:59,340
The good play was to

716
01:01:59,340 --> 01:02:02,340
Well, you know

717
01:02:02,340 --> 01:02:04,340
The good play was the magic line

718
01:02:04,340 --> 01:02:07,340
You have perfect tap here, perfect tap here

719
01:02:07,340 --> 01:02:10,340
You consolidate below, supported by daily trend

720
01:02:10,340 --> 01:02:14,340
Yeah, this was a super clean long gear, I missed it

721
01:02:14,340 --> 01:02:21,340
Then you're basically back to the listing price

722
01:02:21,340 --> 01:02:23,340
Weird shop

723
01:02:23,340 --> 01:02:27,340
You lose the daily trend, you want to get the fuck out of it

724
01:02:27,340 --> 01:02:33,340
Yeah, yeah, I wouldn't touch tau at all, I think it's

725
01:02:36,340 --> 01:02:39,340
Well, buy when it's slow, buy when it's back around here

726
01:02:39,340 --> 01:02:42,340
Buy it here

727
01:02:42,340 --> 01:02:45,340
And actually your question, you're raising a good point actually

728
01:02:45,340 --> 01:02:47,340
Because your question was whether we should be

729
01:02:47,340 --> 01:02:50,340
Reverting back to the weekly trend

730
01:02:50,340 --> 01:02:54,340
You know, I don't really trade high timeframes

731
01:02:54,340 --> 01:02:56,340
But it's a great question actually

732
01:02:56,340 --> 01:03:01,340
Because since I'm saying the daily trend is choppy and

733
01:03:01,340 --> 01:03:03,340
It's most likely going to be predatory

734
01:03:04,340 --> 01:03:07,340
You might actually want to revert to the weekly trend

735
01:03:07,340 --> 01:03:09,340
And weekly trend is holding

736
01:03:09,340 --> 01:03:14,340
So when I said you want to back, kind of like

737
01:03:14,340 --> 01:03:18,340
Back the full retracement for consolidation here

738
01:03:18,340 --> 01:03:20,340
That's actually the weekly trend

739
01:03:20,340 --> 01:03:22,340
So, good point

740
01:03:22,340 --> 01:03:27,340
I personally don't work much with the higher timeframes or the weekly trend

741
01:03:31,340 --> 01:03:34,340
But it's valid, yes, it's a valid point

742
01:03:34,340 --> 01:03:37,340
Yeah, I think tau is just going to keep chopping people

743
01:03:37,340 --> 01:03:49,340
Yeah, this thing is so...

744
01:03:49,340 --> 01:03:53,340
He's saying even in such a strong market period

745
01:03:53,340 --> 01:03:56,340
I made poor trades and ended up losing money while I was profited

746
01:03:56,340 --> 01:04:00,340
My mistake was trying to outperform BDC without recognizing the mincon trade

747
01:04:00,340 --> 01:04:02,340
And being stupid

748
01:04:02,340 --> 01:04:04,340
That's the thing is

749
01:04:04,340 --> 01:04:07,340
If you have, just like I said

750
01:04:07,340 --> 01:04:10,340
You have stocks outperforming BDC

751
01:04:10,340 --> 01:04:13,340
Just wait for BDC to start outperforming stocks

752
01:04:13,340 --> 01:04:15,340
You have BDC outperforming it is

753
01:04:15,340 --> 01:04:17,340
Wait for that to change

754
01:04:17,340 --> 01:04:21,340
You have mincoins outperforming everything else

755
01:04:21,340 --> 01:04:23,340
Just stick to it, okay?

756
01:04:23,340 --> 01:04:28,340
What other ticker?

757
01:04:29,340 --> 01:04:31,340
So, Zig recovered

758
01:04:31,340 --> 01:04:34,340
Tau recovered

759
01:04:34,340 --> 01:04:39,340
Reply guys, bidding the 30-minute ban on an STX

760
01:04:39,340 --> 01:04:42,340
Ah, it's a good thing I haven't looked much at STX

761
01:04:42,340 --> 01:04:46,340
Well, you see STX I got...

762
01:04:46,340 --> 01:04:48,340
That's not a setup I took

763
01:04:48,340 --> 01:04:50,340
That's one of the...

764
01:04:50,340 --> 01:04:53,340
Setup where I got chopped

765
01:04:53,340 --> 01:04:56,340
Well, actually I'm happy I didn't

766
01:04:57,340 --> 01:05:00,340
I don't... No, I don't think... I haven't taken this trade

767
01:05:00,340 --> 01:05:02,340
Well, that's one of the streams setup that failed

768
01:05:02,340 --> 01:05:03,340
Can't win them all

769
01:05:03,340 --> 01:05:04,340
But...

770
01:05:04,340 --> 01:05:09,340
Yeah

771
01:05:09,340 --> 01:05:13,340
I think I covered STX on my last... No, I didn't

772
01:05:13,340 --> 01:05:15,340
Did I?

773
01:05:15,340 --> 01:05:17,340
I don't remember if I covered STX

774
01:05:17,340 --> 01:05:18,340
What I know is I haven't traded it

775
01:05:18,340 --> 01:05:19,340
Or I would remember it

776
01:05:19,340 --> 01:05:24,340
What is this, 60%

777
01:05:24,340 --> 01:05:25,340
60%

778
01:05:25,340 --> 01:05:29,340
My guess...

779
01:05:29,340 --> 01:05:32,340
I guess this 60% we could look at

780
01:05:32,340 --> 01:05:34,340
We're not gonna do that now

781
01:05:34,340 --> 01:05:35,340
You look at...

782
01:05:35,340 --> 01:05:37,340
A summary of my...

783
01:05:37,340 --> 01:05:41,340
Previous stream, maybe I talked about it

784
01:05:41,340 --> 01:05:49,340
I see 60% here so I guess it's because we had flagged this line as a major liquidity level

785
01:05:49,340 --> 01:05:52,340
And so I said if you accumulated in this area

786
01:05:52,340 --> 01:05:55,340
You want to sell at least 60%

787
01:05:55,340 --> 01:05:58,340
On that line before turning it into a swing

788
01:05:58,340 --> 01:05:59,340
Well, guess what?

789
01:05:59,340 --> 01:06:06,340
That line got tapped exactly and it rejected exactly there

790
01:06:06,340 --> 01:06:10,340
So... Yeah, pay attention to liquidity, always

791
01:06:10,340 --> 01:06:14,340
I don't have that much to say

792
01:06:14,340 --> 01:06:21,340
We had highlighted this big inefficiency to get filled in yellow

793
01:06:22,340 --> 01:06:23,340
It got filled

794
01:06:23,340 --> 01:06:26,340
We got a very strong rejection so now...

795
01:06:26,340 --> 01:06:31,340
You want this area to be defended

796
01:06:31,340 --> 01:06:34,340
It's quite choppy to me

797
01:06:34,340 --> 01:06:44,340
I'm not sure I really like STX

798
01:06:44,340 --> 01:06:46,340
On top of that, STX...

799
01:06:47,340 --> 01:06:52,340
It was a coin that was supposed to be Bitcoin beta

800
01:06:52,340 --> 01:06:59,340
And the fact it hasn't pumped yet while Bitcoin has been going full chat

801
01:06:59,340 --> 01:07:03,340
I would say this is a concern

802
01:07:03,340 --> 01:07:05,340
So... Same thing as usual

803
01:07:05,340 --> 01:07:10,340
Maybe STX could be the coin you want to buy

804
01:07:10,340 --> 01:07:13,340
Along with the Sats and Rats

805
01:07:16,340 --> 01:07:18,340
How are these doing?

806
01:07:18,340 --> 01:07:21,340
Ah, same, chopping

807
01:07:21,340 --> 01:07:26,340
So I would say it's the 1000 Rats

808
01:07:26,340 --> 01:07:29,340
1000 Sats

809
01:07:29,340 --> 01:07:36,340
STX

810
01:07:36,340 --> 01:07:40,340
Those three coins probably going to be very correlated

811
01:07:40,340 --> 01:07:45,340
How's the Rats?

812
01:07:45,340 --> 01:07:52,340
Yeah, those are not moving

813
01:07:52,340 --> 01:08:01,340
So I would say STX is most likely going to move when these move

814
01:08:11,340 --> 01:08:17,340
These are the same chart, it's the old Bitcoin beta

815
01:08:17,340 --> 01:08:25,340
And the last one is...

816
01:08:38,340 --> 01:08:41,340
These three are going to move together

817
01:08:41,340 --> 01:08:43,340
They're all chopped, they're the Bitcoin beta

818
01:08:43,340 --> 01:08:47,340
Wait for a rune narrative

819
01:08:47,340 --> 01:08:50,340
If you have a runes narrative

820
01:08:50,340 --> 01:08:55,340
And runes and FT start doing well, you can ape in these

821
01:08:55,340 --> 01:08:59,340
So you want to keep these three I would say

822
01:08:59,340 --> 01:09:02,340
If you have a revival of runes

823
01:09:02,340 --> 01:09:06,340
You want to focus again on these three coins

824
01:09:06,340 --> 01:09:12,340
But you were more specifically... Sorry

825
01:09:12,340 --> 01:09:16,340
Bear with the typical ADHD creanin

826
01:09:16,340 --> 01:09:21,340
He was saying he wanted to beat the 30 minute compression

827
01:09:21,340 --> 01:09:24,340
So let's see what you got

828
01:09:24,340 --> 01:09:25,340
STX

829
01:09:25,340 --> 01:09:44,340
The problem is, I know why you like it

830
01:09:44,340 --> 01:09:51,340
Because you have clean MA300 here, very clean MA100 here

831
01:09:52,340 --> 01:09:56,340
I understand why you're looking at 30 minutes for STX

832
01:09:56,340 --> 01:09:59,340
And this is actually pretty good reasoning

833
01:09:59,340 --> 01:10:02,340
Sometimes I said when things are chopping

834
01:10:02,340 --> 01:10:06,340
You just look for where... Just like what we said earlier with the trend

835
01:10:06,340 --> 01:10:10,340
You look for which timeframe is trending

836
01:10:10,340 --> 01:10:18,340
Here you kind of look at which timeframe is compressing to try to get clues about upcoming volatility

837
01:10:20,340 --> 01:10:23,340
So I get it, I get it while you're looking at 30 minutes compression on this

838
01:10:23,340 --> 01:10:24,340
The problem is...

839
01:10:24,340 --> 01:10:29,340
Let's be frank, it does look weak

840
01:10:29,340 --> 01:10:36,340
So that means you either want to be looking, longing a scam week into here

841
01:10:36,340 --> 01:10:39,340
For max upside

842
01:10:39,340 --> 01:10:44,340
For max risk reward, max upside, you have a nice horizontal consequence

843
01:10:44,340 --> 01:10:49,340
So the good news is, these provide extreme risk reward

844
01:10:49,340 --> 01:11:04,340
Or... I would personally just wait because you might want to have the 30 minute MA100 flatten

845
01:11:04,340 --> 01:11:07,340
So you see this, even though it's 30 minutes

846
01:11:07,340 --> 01:11:11,340
It could actually take until Friday

847
01:11:11,340 --> 01:11:14,340
Yeah

848
01:11:16,340 --> 01:11:19,340
It could take until...

849
01:11:19,340 --> 01:11:23,340
Yeah, until tomorrow afternoon to pop

850
01:11:23,340 --> 01:11:27,340
And on the other hand

851
01:11:27,340 --> 01:11:34,340
If we end up seeing an early breakout

852
01:11:34,340 --> 01:11:42,340
Nothing stopping you from longing, you know, something like that

853
01:11:42,340 --> 01:11:50,340
Whenever you have action, when we finally break the...

854
01:11:50,340 --> 01:11:54,340
When we finally reclaim the MA100

855
01:11:54,340 --> 01:12:00,340
And that we actually have some more bullish looking low timeframe price action

856
01:12:00,340 --> 01:12:05,340
Okay, you long on the reclaim here, why am I using a red pen?

857
01:12:05,340 --> 01:12:10,340
That's horrible

858
01:12:11,340 --> 01:12:12,340
Blacking

859
01:12:12,340 --> 01:12:14,340
Yeah

860
01:12:14,340 --> 01:12:19,340
So now, the good news is you can actually combine both

861
01:12:19,340 --> 01:12:22,340
And actually it's what you should be doing

862
01:12:22,340 --> 01:12:26,340
This is why these days, when it's like this

863
01:12:26,340 --> 01:12:31,340
I don't provide that many setups because the best way is actually to scale in is

864
01:12:31,340 --> 01:12:34,340
You can put half size here

865
01:12:34,340 --> 01:12:38,340
For maximum risk reward, if it fails, you lose much less

866
01:12:38,340 --> 01:12:41,340
Because you only put half size

867
01:12:41,340 --> 01:12:46,340
And then you add size if you get that price action

868
01:12:46,340 --> 01:12:50,340
You add more size here, okay

869
01:12:50,340 --> 01:12:57,340
So this way, basically the setup on the right, it has a worse win reward ratio

870
01:12:57,340 --> 01:13:00,340
But it's going to have a way better win rate

871
01:13:00,340 --> 01:13:03,340
This is going to have a much better risk reward ratio

872
01:13:03,340 --> 01:13:05,340
But it's going to have a shit win rate

873
01:13:05,340 --> 01:13:09,340
And by actually putting 50% of the risk in each

874
01:13:09,340 --> 01:13:14,340
You're actually maximizing your expected value

875
01:13:14,340 --> 01:13:16,340
Because this will improve the overall risk reward

876
01:13:16,340 --> 01:13:18,340
This will improve the overall win rate

877
01:13:18,340 --> 01:13:22,340
So yeah, you can scale in some here

878
01:13:22,340 --> 01:13:25,340
If we start bleeding here

879
01:13:25,340 --> 01:13:30,340
Which is shit reaction, you can just cut for small profit

880
01:13:31,340 --> 01:13:35,340
And then if we do get, if the 30 minutes compression ends up working

881
01:13:35,340 --> 01:13:37,340
Sure, go add size here

882
01:13:37,340 --> 01:13:40,340
Go add the other 50% of your risk, okay

883
01:13:40,340 --> 01:13:45,340
But again, personally I've explained why

884
01:13:45,340 --> 01:13:49,340
I would personally not like STX that much

885
01:13:49,340 --> 01:13:54,340
But if you do want to play STX, this is the way of playing it, okay

886
01:13:54,340 --> 01:13:56,340
Okay

887
01:13:56,340 --> 01:14:07,340
Yeah, VACNO is saying Loma drawings, yeah it's

888
01:14:07,340 --> 01:14:11,340
I don't know, it feels good to just like

889
01:14:11,340 --> 01:14:15,340
Draw all that stuff, I don't know why

890
01:14:15,340 --> 01:14:22,340
Sebastian is asking, are you using EMA34 on H1 or H4?

891
01:14:22,340 --> 01:14:25,340
Not that much, not that much

892
01:14:25,340 --> 01:14:30,340
Which is why you rarely see EMA34 on my scripts

893
01:14:30,340 --> 01:14:36,340
EMA34 you could, I don't need to see it basically

894
01:14:36,340 --> 01:14:39,340
The good thing is with EMA34

895
01:14:39,340 --> 01:14:44,340
A few things, the main advantage of EMA34 is that

896
01:14:44,340 --> 01:14:51,340
On the daily, daily EMA34 is equal to 4H EMA200

897
01:14:52,340 --> 01:14:58,340
Okay, so before TradingView used to let us display 4H EMA200 on every timeframe

898
01:14:58,340 --> 01:15:03,340
Using daily EMA34 was a trick to be able to visualize

899
01:15:03,340 --> 01:15:09,340
4H EMA200 on the daily

900
01:15:09,340 --> 01:15:14,340
Now, the other thing is, for example here, I can tell you

901
01:15:14,340 --> 01:15:18,340
These weeks here, this is the one at EMA34

902
01:15:18,340 --> 01:15:23,340
And let's say when a coin is very volatile

903
01:15:23,340 --> 01:15:26,340
And you are convinced there will be more upside

904
01:15:26,340 --> 01:15:28,340
And for instance, it was the case here

905
01:15:28,340 --> 01:15:31,340
Because remember we talked about this big yellow inefficiency

906
01:15:31,340 --> 01:15:34,340
And we said this is the liquidity

907
01:15:34,340 --> 01:15:37,340
So basically if you have this impulse

908
01:15:37,340 --> 01:15:41,340
And we had discussed to fill, you know, inefficiencies

909
01:15:41,340 --> 01:15:43,340
They tend to be filled entirely

910
01:15:43,340 --> 01:15:46,340
Again, liquidity things

911
01:15:46,340 --> 01:15:49,340
So as soon as we started to enter the yellow block

912
01:15:49,340 --> 01:15:52,340
I would say you would have high probability to tap here

913
01:15:52,340 --> 01:15:55,340
So that means you have high conviction

914
01:15:55,340 --> 01:15:59,340
That this consolidation is going to give a new leg up

915
01:15:59,340 --> 01:16:03,340
Into the supply level here

916
01:16:03,340 --> 01:16:07,340
So that means you don't want to get chopped by the one at Shrend

917
01:16:07,340 --> 01:16:10,340
That means you might want to wider your stop

918
01:16:10,340 --> 01:16:15,340
Oh, actually I'm looking at 30 minutes

919
01:16:15,340 --> 01:16:17,340
But the reasoning is the same here

920
01:16:17,340 --> 01:16:19,340
You start seeing the trend here, it's wider

921
01:16:19,340 --> 01:16:21,340
So basically one at EMA13

922
01:16:21,340 --> 01:16:26,340
It's like it tells you where to place a wide stop

923
01:16:26,340 --> 01:16:30,340
Whenever you want to play one at Shrend, 4H trend, daily trend

924
01:16:30,340 --> 01:16:33,340
It tells us where to place a wider stop

925
01:16:33,340 --> 01:16:35,340
Like when you have high conviction

926
01:16:35,340 --> 01:16:38,340
Your current trend is going to give a new leg up

927
01:16:38,340 --> 01:16:42,340
Instead of placing your stop below EMA25

928
01:16:43,340 --> 01:16:50,340
You can use a wider, more conservative stop to put your stop below EMA34

929
01:16:50,340 --> 01:16:56,340
JBC, no, we haven't covered Link

930
01:16:56,340 --> 01:17:01,340
But Link, you know, it's a high time frame play

931
01:17:01,340 --> 01:17:07,340
And somehow Link has often been correlated with Ease

932
01:17:07,340 --> 01:17:10,340
Which is why it's been doing worse

933
01:17:10,340 --> 01:17:14,340
So Ease, Link, we basically put here

934
01:17:14,340 --> 01:17:19,340
And we said after we break this resistance

935
01:17:19,340 --> 01:17:24,340
We just want to add size on the retest here

936
01:17:24,340 --> 01:17:29,340
So basically Link on spot, I have beads

937
01:17:29,340 --> 01:17:33,340
I have beads spread in this entire area

938
01:17:33,340 --> 01:17:38,340
But it's a play that's going to require patience

939
01:17:38,340 --> 01:17:41,340
We've always known it

940
01:17:41,340 --> 01:17:45,340
The good news again is

941
01:17:45,340 --> 01:17:47,340
Whenever they're going to be

942
01:17:47,340 --> 01:17:54,340
Chainlink, it's actually one of the few blockchain projects that is actually being used

943
01:17:54,340 --> 01:17:56,340
That's actually generating revenue

944
01:17:56,340 --> 01:18:03,340
So yes, I think when Link is going to start trending

945
01:18:03,340 --> 01:18:06,340
It's going to be really good

946
01:18:06,340 --> 01:18:09,340
So I'm just happy having a spot back here

947
01:18:09,340 --> 01:18:11,340
And we'll see what happens next

948
01:18:11,340 --> 01:18:17,340
But Link, there's absolutely no change from the plan

949
01:18:17,340 --> 01:18:20,340
From the swing spot channel, okay

950
01:18:20,340 --> 01:18:26,340
Mr. AK is asking for TNSR

951
01:18:26,340 --> 01:18:31,340
I've seen there was a big pump yesterday

952
01:18:31,340 --> 01:18:35,340
I didn't rebuy that thing

953
01:18:36,340 --> 01:18:42,340
TNSR, I believe we were playing the 12-edge compression

954
01:18:42,340 --> 01:18:46,340
The 12-edge banana

955
01:18:46,340 --> 01:18:54,340
Who are we? I forgot

956
01:18:54,340 --> 01:18:59,340
I remember trading TNSR in this area

957
01:18:59,340 --> 01:19:03,340
Took a few trades in this area

958
01:19:03,340 --> 01:19:08,340
Then we had marked this block again

959
01:19:08,340 --> 01:19:12,340
Again, breakdown order block, strong resistance

960
01:19:12,340 --> 01:19:15,340
Here, breakdown order block, strong resistance

961
01:19:15,340 --> 01:19:19,340
So this is why after we had a big week into this block

962
01:19:19,340 --> 01:19:21,340
I stopped trading it

963
01:19:21,340 --> 01:19:23,340
Oh, thank God I did

964
01:19:23,340 --> 01:19:27,340
Considering that it pulled back horribly

965
01:19:27,340 --> 01:19:29,340
That's what, that's almost 40% pulled back

966
01:19:30,340 --> 01:19:32,340
(The game is playing)

967
01:19:32,340 --> 01:19:40,340
Even below the ADMA100

968
01:19:40,340 --> 01:19:45,340
And now it wanted more

969
01:19:45,340 --> 01:19:46,340
Interesting, I haven't...

970
01:19:46,340 --> 01:19:48,340
You see, it's kind of choppy

971
01:19:48,340 --> 01:19:51,340
This kind of makes me think a bit of what I said earlier

972
01:19:51,340 --> 01:19:55,340
About Tau being a coin where a lot of people got out of sync

973
01:19:57,340 --> 01:19:59,340
It's a bit the same here

974
01:19:59,340 --> 01:20:01,340
You had this huge pump

975
01:20:01,340 --> 01:20:06,340
People were accumulating here in expectations of much bigger moves

976
01:20:06,340 --> 01:20:10,340
You have this big blow of top in the resistance we had marked

977
01:20:10,340 --> 01:20:12,340
And then it starts rejecting

978
01:20:12,340 --> 01:20:14,340
And then everybody that's been accumulating here

979
01:20:14,340 --> 01:20:16,340
They puke one by one

980
01:20:16,340 --> 01:20:19,340
And that's how we end up with such a nasty retracement

981
01:20:19,340 --> 01:20:25,340
So I guess actually on coins where people have high expectations

982
01:20:26,340 --> 01:20:30,340
Whenever it starts finding a low and the puking is done

983
01:20:30,340 --> 01:20:34,340
These are probably good buys, something to keep in mind

984
01:20:34,340 --> 01:20:39,340
But you need to really have the coin on your watchlist

985
01:20:39,340 --> 01:20:44,340
And keep monitoring when people are going to keep puking

986
01:20:44,340 --> 01:20:51,340
Because it's not like where you have clean horizontal level

987
01:20:51,340 --> 01:20:54,340
And you can just have a trading view alert

988
01:20:54,340 --> 01:20:56,340
Whenever there's a chart

989
01:20:56,340 --> 01:20:59,340
Here you can't tell when people are going to stop puking

990
01:20:59,340 --> 01:21:07,340
You just observe non-stop bleeding

991
01:21:07,340 --> 01:21:12,340
And you just want to start paying attention when the bleeding stops

992
01:21:12,340 --> 01:21:19,340
I guess final small capitulation week instantly bought up and closed back above

993
01:21:19,340 --> 01:21:21,340
Is a good signal as well

994
01:21:21,340 --> 01:21:28,340
This is a typical place of setup where you want to react more than plan a specific level

995
01:21:28,340 --> 01:21:33,340
So this is a kind of coin that if you really want to have a long

996
01:21:33,340 --> 01:21:35,340
You want to pay attention to it

997
01:21:35,340 --> 01:21:37,340
And keep watching it

998
01:21:37,340 --> 01:21:42,340
Because there was no way to tell whether people would stop puking here or here

999
01:21:42,340 --> 01:21:45,340
Or final week down

1000
01:21:45,340 --> 01:21:47,340
You just wait for it

1001
01:21:48,340 --> 01:21:53,340
Anyway, just like you see we had a big pump here

1002
01:21:53,340 --> 01:21:56,340
Into our liquidity zone

1003
01:21:56,340 --> 01:21:59,340
We just got another week in the next one

1004
01:21:59,340 --> 01:22:03,340
But unlike this one

1005
01:22:03,340 --> 01:22:06,340
This week actually didn't give such a strong rejection

1006
01:22:06,340 --> 01:22:09,340
And we're seeing positive price action after

1007
01:22:09,340 --> 01:22:11,340
Which is a good thing

1008
01:22:11,340 --> 01:22:14,340
Whenever you have a big week up

1009
01:22:14,340 --> 01:22:17,340
And we don't start bleeding like this

1010
01:22:17,340 --> 01:22:19,340
This is a bad sign

1011
01:22:19,340 --> 01:22:21,340
Big week, we start bleeding

1012
01:22:21,340 --> 01:22:23,340
Expect puke later

1013
01:22:23,340 --> 01:22:27,340
Big week up, price holds and consolidates

1014
01:22:27,340 --> 01:22:29,340
This is bullish

1015
01:22:29,340 --> 01:22:39,340
Very very Loma type of sinking I would say

1016
01:22:39,340 --> 01:22:43,340
Although I'm not claiming to be as good as Loma but

1017
01:22:43,340 --> 01:22:49,340
This is how you really kind of interpret price action to me properly

1018
01:22:49,340 --> 01:22:56,340
Now, what setup can we actually find?

1019
01:22:56,340 --> 01:23:02,340
Because I'm saying I like how we got a big week into a strong resistance

1020
01:23:02,340 --> 01:23:06,340
And price actually following up

1021
01:23:06,340 --> 01:23:08,340
Okay

1022
01:23:08,340 --> 01:23:22,340
Do we have a 15 minute compression?

1023
01:23:22,340 --> 01:23:24,340
Nope

1024
01:23:24,340 --> 01:23:26,340
Any compre- oh

1025
01:23:26,340 --> 01:23:30,340
Well

1026
01:23:30,340 --> 01:23:32,340
No we don't

1027
01:23:32,340 --> 01:23:34,340
The moving averages are not so helpful on this one

1028
01:23:34,340 --> 01:23:38,340
There's been a lot of volatility so

1029
01:23:38,340 --> 01:23:41,340
It's hard to find the trend, it's hard to find the proper compression

1030
01:23:41,340 --> 01:23:44,340
But I like the bullishness

1031
01:23:44,340 --> 01:23:47,340
I think I would just keep buying every pullback

1032
01:23:47,340 --> 01:23:51,340
Because most likely it's going to keep slow grinding up

1033
01:23:51,340 --> 01:23:54,340
And then end with another big week

1034
01:23:54,340 --> 01:23:59,340
So I would say if you want a swing play

1035
01:23:59,340 --> 01:24:02,340
Because this big level of liquidity has already been tapped

1036
01:24:02,340 --> 01:24:06,340
For a swing play I would say you accumulate in this area

1037
01:24:06,340 --> 01:24:11,340
And you sell in this area for a nice 50%

1038
01:24:11,340 --> 01:24:19,340
Now the next big breakdown order block was here

1039
01:24:19,340 --> 01:24:22,340
We kind of reconsolidated and failed

1040
01:24:31,340 --> 01:24:33,340
Okay

1041
01:24:33,340 --> 01:24:35,340
So this is going to be your next resistance

1042
01:24:35,340 --> 01:24:37,340
More than this senorizontal line

1043
01:24:37,340 --> 01:24:39,340
Scrap that

1044
01:24:39,340 --> 01:24:42,340
This is going to be your resistance

1045
01:24:42,340 --> 01:24:44,340
You want to sell there

1046
01:24:44,340 --> 01:24:49,340
Now could we go back here?

1047
01:24:49,340 --> 01:24:52,340
No I think that's what I said

1048
01:24:52,340 --> 01:24:56,340
We had this big week, price doesn't bleed after so

1049
01:24:56,340 --> 01:25:00,340
You want to keep having a nice momentum

1050
01:25:00,340 --> 01:25:02,340
Because if you don't

1051
01:25:02,340 --> 01:25:06,340
If you don't have a nice momentum from here

1052
01:25:06,340 --> 01:25:09,340
You can expect to bleed back all the way down here

1053
01:25:09,340 --> 01:25:14,340
So yeah you want to accumulate in here

1054
01:25:14,340 --> 01:25:16,340
That's not such a wide area

1055
01:25:16,340 --> 01:25:20,340
That's like what, between here at 53 cent and 50 cent

1056
01:25:20,340 --> 01:25:26,340
So again you should be accumulating in this area

1057
01:25:26,340 --> 01:25:27,340
I don't want to give clear level

1058
01:25:27,340 --> 01:25:30,340
I don't think it's a good coin to play on low time frame

1059
01:25:30,340 --> 01:25:35,340
So overall I would say something like that

1060
01:25:35,340 --> 01:25:37,340
But you don't wait for 50 cent to start

1061
01:25:37,340 --> 01:25:40,340
You spread beads all the way down to here

1062
01:25:40,340 --> 01:25:46,340
Ideally bigger beads lower in case you get a big week down

1063
01:25:46,340 --> 01:25:52,340
This should be probably a hard stop just in case

1064
01:25:52,340 --> 01:25:55,340
But if we go there

1065
01:25:55,340 --> 01:25:58,340
And then we start bleeding here

1066
01:25:58,340 --> 01:26:00,340
You might want to cut

1067
01:26:00,340 --> 01:26:04,340
And it's not even going to be cut at 0.5 hours

1068
01:26:04,340 --> 01:26:06,340
Because you've been buying all the way down

1069
01:26:06,340 --> 01:26:08,340
So you're real

1070
01:26:08,340 --> 01:26:11,340
This is the real advantage of scaling

1071
01:26:11,340 --> 01:26:13,340
Your average entry

1072
01:26:13,340 --> 01:26:16,340
If we do have this sort of bearish scenario when you cut

1073
01:26:16,340 --> 01:26:19,340
Your average entry is probably going to be here

1074
01:26:19,340 --> 01:26:23,340
So if you cut here

1075
01:26:23,340 --> 01:26:30,340
You're really really not losing much

1076
01:26:30,340 --> 01:26:40,340
So ideally you want to spread between 53, 54 and 50 cent

1077
01:26:40,340 --> 01:26:48,340
Maybe leave some stink beads near 47

1078
01:26:48,340 --> 01:26:52,340
And if it gets there and bleeds you probably want to cut

1079
01:26:52,340 --> 01:26:54,340
And ideally if you have a strong reaction

1080
01:26:54,340 --> 01:26:56,340
This is going to be a good sign

1081
01:26:56,340 --> 01:26:59,340
This would be how I play TNSR

1082
01:26:59,340 --> 01:27:02,340
And I'm actually going to

1083
01:27:02,340 --> 01:27:05,340
You know what? I always say the stream setups are the best

1084
01:27:05,340 --> 01:27:08,340
And then I forget about them

1085
01:27:08,340 --> 01:27:12,340
So in a while we're going to

1086
01:27:12,340 --> 01:27:16,340
It's something I'm going to be doing

1087
01:27:16,340 --> 01:27:19,340
I'm going to call it the stream

1088
01:27:19,340 --> 01:27:22,340
Watchlist whatever, stream setups

1089
01:27:22,340 --> 01:27:32,340
We're going to start doing this

1090
01:27:32,340 --> 01:27:36,340
Also maybe at the end of a stream I could then

1091
01:27:36,340 --> 01:27:40,340
Give you a list of all the coins where we have drawn setups

1092
01:27:40,340 --> 01:27:43,340
Because it's unacceptable that we miss so

1093
01:27:43,340 --> 01:27:44,340
I mean

1094
01:27:44,340 --> 01:27:46,340
You, myself

1095
01:27:48,340 --> 01:27:50,340
The stream setups actually

1096
01:27:50,340 --> 01:27:54,340
It's not a meme, they have a much better win rate than my average setups

1097
01:27:54,340 --> 01:27:56,340
I don't know if it's because I give them more souls

1098
01:27:56,340 --> 01:27:58,340
I don't know why

1099
01:27:58,340 --> 01:28:01,340
But Loma, Main, Pierre, we've all observed that

1100
01:28:01,340 --> 01:28:04,340
So there might be a reason for this

1101
01:28:04,340 --> 01:28:05,340
Okay

1102
01:28:05,340 --> 01:28:08,340
What else? What else? What else?

1103
01:28:08,340 --> 01:28:11,340
You guys want to take a look at

1104
01:28:14,340 --> 01:28:19,340
Reply guys, thanks, after looking without FOMO glasses I see differently now

1105
01:28:19,340 --> 01:28:22,340
FOMO is still hard to battle for me, yes it is

1106
01:28:22,340 --> 01:28:25,340
FOMO is very hard to battle

1107
01:28:25,340 --> 01:28:30,340
The problem is

1108
01:28:30,340 --> 01:28:34,340
Everyone's different, everyone has a different risk tolerance

1109
01:28:34,340 --> 01:28:40,340
Some people prefer some strategies, some people prefer other strategies

1110
01:28:40,340 --> 01:28:43,340
I would say if you're suffering from FOMO

1111
01:28:43,340 --> 01:28:46,340
One of the good things to do is

1112
01:28:46,340 --> 01:28:52,340
Either you force yourself to play the system stupidly

1113
01:28:52,340 --> 01:28:56,340
Meaning that if the system says you want to pull back into 4H trend

1114
01:28:56,340 --> 01:29:00,340
You don't start aping at resistance and you just beat the 4H trend

1115
01:29:00,340 --> 01:29:03,340
And you go do something else without looking at the chart

1116
01:29:03,340 --> 01:29:10,340
Because obviously if you stay glued to low time frame charts all day

1117
01:29:11,340 --> 01:29:14,340
Chances are you are going to feel FOMO

1118
01:29:14,340 --> 01:29:15,340
It's like

1119
01:29:15,340 --> 01:29:18,340
Imagine you're a kid

1120
01:29:18,340 --> 01:29:21,340
And you're looking at the candy shop all day and you're like

1121
01:29:21,340 --> 01:29:24,340
"Oh, I must resist not eating candies"

1122
01:29:24,340 --> 01:29:30,340
Bro, if you're suffering from FOMO stop staring at low time frame charts all day

1123
01:29:30,340 --> 01:29:36,340
Because you're literally a kid at a candy shop, okay?

1124
01:29:36,340 --> 01:29:38,340
So that's one thing

1125
01:29:38,340 --> 01:29:42,340
Second thing is if you're feeling FOMO, do you feel FOMO? Why?

1126
01:29:42,340 --> 01:29:50,340
Because you're in urge to make money or do you feel FOMO because

1127
01:29:50,340 --> 01:29:58,340
You have very high expectations about the asset

1128
01:29:58,340 --> 01:30:02,340
Maybe for whatever reason you were feeling FOMO on STX

1129
01:30:02,340 --> 01:30:07,340
Because you have whatever reason on the fundamental side

1130
01:30:07,340 --> 01:30:11,340
To make you believe STX is a really good bet, okay?

1131
01:30:11,340 --> 01:30:17,340
And so you're starting to look at low time frame setup for STX

1132
01:30:17,340 --> 01:30:22,340
But the problem is low time frame doesn't look that bullish

1133
01:30:22,340 --> 01:30:24,340
So you're going to look at low time frame setup

1134
01:30:24,340 --> 01:30:31,340
You're going to force low time frame setup because you have high expectations based on fundamentals

1135
01:30:31,340 --> 01:30:34,340
What you're missing here is that

1136
01:30:34,340 --> 01:30:38,340
Your expectation on fundamentals, they have no reason to

1137
01:30:38,340 --> 01:30:42,340
Reconcile with low time frame price action

1138
01:30:42,340 --> 01:30:44,340
It's two very different things

1139
01:30:44,340 --> 01:30:50,340
And the problem is most likely you're going to get stopped out on your low time frame long

1140
01:30:50,340 --> 01:30:55,340
But because you have super high expectations for STX

1141
01:30:55,340 --> 01:30:59,340
Maybe even right after you get stopped out, you're going to re-enter

1142
01:30:59,340 --> 01:31:03,340
And then you're going to get stopped out again

1143
01:31:04,340 --> 01:31:07,340
And you're going to be like, okay, fuck that shit for today

1144
01:31:07,340 --> 01:31:09,340
I'm stopping to trade STX

1145
01:31:09,340 --> 01:31:13,340
And then the next day STX prints a nice candle on the one hour chart

1146
01:31:13,340 --> 01:31:16,340
And you're like, oh my god, I knew STX was it

1147
01:31:16,340 --> 01:31:19,340
I knew I was right on the fundamental side

1148
01:31:19,340 --> 01:31:21,340
So I'm going to egg back in

1149
01:31:21,340 --> 01:31:26,340
And then maybe you're even going to oversize to make up for the losses you took the day before

1150
01:31:26,340 --> 01:31:31,340
And that's where the one hour candle is going to just fully revert

1151
01:31:31,340 --> 01:31:34,340
And you're like, oh my god, not again

1152
01:31:34,340 --> 01:31:37,340
And you're going to feel like the entire universe is against you

1153
01:31:37,340 --> 01:31:41,340
And that you have the worst luck of all the crypto traders in the world

1154
01:31:41,340 --> 01:31:43,340
No, no, it's just that

1155
01:31:43,340 --> 01:31:51,340
You're aligning fundamentals expectations on the project with low time frame price action

1156
01:31:51,340 --> 01:31:57,340
If you are bullish on STX because you believe fundamentals are strong

1157
01:31:57,340 --> 01:32:05,340
Buy a small bag and sell it for whenever your scenario of fundamentals being super strong plays out

1158
01:32:05,340 --> 01:32:08,340
Buy a small bag, buy a bit more if it goes lower

1159
01:32:08,340 --> 01:32:17,340
And then sell back much higher

1160
01:32:17,340 --> 01:32:23,340
But yeah, don't start doing low time frame stuff for when it's not suitable

1161
01:32:24,340 --> 01:32:28,340
Wildo is saying in my opinion in these conditions

1162
01:32:28,340 --> 01:32:32,340
Scalping is retarded, swinging is rewarded

1163
01:32:32,340 --> 01:32:34,340
Yeah, I quite agree with that

1164
01:32:34,340 --> 01:32:38,340
I mean, even I'm normally a day trader and

1165
01:32:38,340 --> 01:32:47,340
You see what I'm doing, you see myself holding spot, you see myself into swings, you see myself

1166
01:32:47,340 --> 01:32:53,340
Yeah, looking much less at lower time frames

1167
01:32:54,340 --> 01:32:59,340
But the advantage of scalping is that if you have a good plan like last weekend on 4 hour trends

1168
01:32:59,340 --> 01:33:04,340
I mean, if you look at

1169
01:33:04,340 --> 01:33:07,340
You look at these

1170
01:33:07,340 --> 01:33:15,340
This is when we look at 15 minute chart, all those bananas, they're all

1171
01:33:15,340 --> 01:33:22,340
They're all printed, even fucking XRP printed like almost 50% from that

1172
01:33:23,340 --> 01:33:31,340
So you can play low time frames, you derisk on the bounce on the first pump and then you hold the rest as a swing, okay?

1173
01:33:31,340 --> 01:33:37,340
But you must derisk because low time frame is not

1174
01:33:37,340 --> 01:33:44,340
It's not safe, especially if you guys playing with leverage and then you have a market flush

1175
01:33:44,340 --> 01:33:49,340
Something that's very important to understand is when the volatility is higher on the market like it is now

1176
01:33:49,340 --> 01:33:52,340
You have more volatility to the upside

1177
01:33:52,340 --> 01:33:59,340
But it also means you will have more volatility on the pullbacks

1178
01:33:59,340 --> 01:34:05,340
Which means that if for six months your average pullback on your altcoin was like 5-10%

1179
01:34:05,340 --> 01:34:14,340
Or even on Bitcoin when the average Bitcoin pullback was like 1-2%

1180
01:34:16,340 --> 01:34:19,340
Like if I look at that

1181
01:34:19,340 --> 01:34:30,340
Like when we were here, a bad day on Bitcoin would be like

1182
01:34:30,340 --> 01:34:34,340
Okay, this would be a bad day on Bitcoin, this would be 3%

1183
01:34:34,340 --> 01:34:36,340
Okay? Because we were still kind of chopping

1184
01:34:36,340 --> 01:34:41,340
Now we have entered the super parabolic move, Bitcoin is up 50% in

1185
01:34:41,340 --> 01:34:44,340
Not a long time

1186
01:34:44,340 --> 01:34:48,340
Except expect some pullbacks to be

1187
01:34:48,340 --> 01:34:54,340
You know, if it's a time where we're printing daily 10% candles

1188
01:34:54,340 --> 01:35:00,340
Don't be surprised if instead of being 1-2% the pullbacks now become 4-5

1189
01:35:00,340 --> 01:35:04,340
Maybe 7%, okay? Very important to understand

1190
01:35:04,340 --> 01:35:12,340
And as I always say, the bigger the volatility, the smaller the bags, okay?

1191
01:35:12,340 --> 01:35:14,340
You need to adjust for that, okay?

1192
01:35:14,340 --> 01:35:20,340
Now we received new tickers

1193
01:35:20,340 --> 01:35:28,340
Actually I've been streaming for 135 minutes, the new open is here and not looking good

1194
01:35:28,340 --> 01:35:33,340
I might actually have to stop taking new tickers

1195
01:35:33,340 --> 01:35:37,340
I'm just gonna look at the last tickers here and then we will cut it

1196
01:35:39,340 --> 01:35:42,340
Especially...

1197
01:35:42,340 --> 01:35:48,340
Especially we said, I'm seeing on my external monitor to be very careful

1198
01:35:48,340 --> 01:35:51,340
To be careful about the 30 minute compression

1199
01:35:51,340 --> 01:35:57,340
Because this should set the tone for altcoins for the rest of the week

1200
01:35:57,340 --> 01:36:00,340
And unfortunately it's breaking down here

1201
01:36:00,340 --> 01:36:06,340
So that means... yeah, yeah, this is a bad signal

1202
01:36:08,340 --> 01:36:12,340
Yeah, this is all we want, obviously this is happening when I'm streaming

1203
01:36:12,340 --> 01:36:18,340
The Krillin's Legendary Luck

1204
01:36:18,340 --> 01:36:24,340
It is what it is

1205
01:36:24,340 --> 01:36:30,340
So yeah, 30 minute compression, easy is breaking down

1206
01:36:30,340 --> 01:36:33,340
So that means you want to be careful

1207
01:36:33,340 --> 01:36:37,340
Not a good time to be over leveraged

1208
01:36:37,340 --> 01:36:40,340
I'm seeing SPX's dumping

1209
01:36:40,340 --> 01:36:44,340
I mean, at least dumping on your open

1210
01:36:44,340 --> 01:36:48,340
It's funny because we also have a very tight 30 minute spanner here

1211
01:36:48,340 --> 01:36:53,340
And I believe if we lose that...

1212
01:36:53,340 --> 01:36:56,340
It's bad

1213
01:36:56,340 --> 01:37:03,340
I mean at best it's kind of like a dirt

1214
01:37:04,340 --> 01:37:07,340
Nice, yeah, we have a nice order block here

1215
01:37:07,340 --> 01:37:09,340
We have 1 HMA200

1216
01:37:09,340 --> 01:37:14,340
For now it's defended

1217
01:37:14,340 --> 01:37:20,340
But for SPX scalpers, basically you either want to be longing that

1218
01:37:20,340 --> 01:37:25,340
And I would say I'm not scalping SPX today

1219
01:37:25,340 --> 01:37:30,340
I do have some short on Tesla, the one we discussed in Intradayplan

1220
01:37:32,340 --> 01:37:34,340
Mmm, not cool

1221
01:37:34,340 --> 01:37:38,340
But if it starts puking then expect at least that

1222
01:37:38,340 --> 01:37:42,340
And if we do that, that would be very ugly for Bitcoin

1223
01:37:42,340 --> 01:37:47,340
How's Tesla doing?

1224
01:37:47,340 --> 01:37:49,340
How's our Tesla setup doing?

1225
01:37:49,340 --> 01:37:52,340
Oh, it's not doing...

1226
01:37:52,340 --> 01:37:55,340
This is the Tesla setup

1227
01:37:55,340 --> 01:38:01,340
This is the Tesla setup from Intradayplan

1228
01:38:01,340 --> 01:38:03,340
Ah...

1229
01:38:03,340 --> 01:38:09,340
Yeah, not great, not great

1230
01:38:09,340 --> 01:38:13,340
We'll see, let's just tackle the last few tickers quickly

1231
01:38:13,340 --> 01:38:17,340
Bright is asking, saying "Flockey looks great here"

1232
01:38:17,340 --> 01:38:24,340
Ah, it's... I always have issues with...

1233
01:38:24,340 --> 01:38:27,340
I have a weird word

1234
01:38:30,340 --> 01:38:34,340
Well, Flockey printed 75%, that's not bad

1235
01:38:34,340 --> 01:38:39,340
I do think we could have expected more

1236
01:38:39,340 --> 01:38:46,340
But I would say if you're in from much lower, maybe just keep a trading stop below 4H trend

1237
01:38:46,340 --> 01:38:50,340
Because that's what I've been doing for Bonk until now

1238
01:38:50,340 --> 01:38:56,340
Although here 4H trend looks...

1239
01:38:58,340 --> 01:39:00,340
11% lower

1240
01:39:00,340 --> 01:39:02,340
I don't want that

1241
01:39:02,340 --> 01:39:08,340
I might actually just close the little bit, the little bit I still have

1242
01:39:08,340 --> 01:39:12,340
But, yeah

1243
01:39:12,340 --> 01:39:17,340
You also know my post about momentum, momentum 101

1244
01:39:17,340 --> 01:39:19,340
Is...

1245
01:39:19,340 --> 01:39:23,340
When each new leg...

1246
01:39:24,340 --> 01:39:28,340
When each new high started to be lower than the previous one

1247
01:39:28,340 --> 01:39:32,340
That means momentum is slowing down and you want to be careful

1248
01:39:32,340 --> 01:39:35,340
It doesn't mean you should panic, but it means that...

1249
01:39:35,340 --> 01:39:40,340
Yeah, be careful, that means don't start to be overly greedy because...

1250
01:39:40,340 --> 01:39:42,340
You know, it's like...

1251
01:39:42,340 --> 01:39:48,340
You're playing musical chairs and the more you have this momentum slowing down

1252
01:39:48,340 --> 01:39:51,340
The more likely it is that the music stops, okay?

1253
01:39:52,340 --> 01:39:55,340
And actually if you work with CBS, I mean...

1254
01:39:55,340 --> 01:39:58,340
I've worked with moving averages for so long, so I...

1255
01:39:58,340 --> 01:40:03,340
I don't really need to have the AO...

1256
01:40:03,340 --> 01:40:12,340
To have the AO on my screen, because I just know it's going to be an AO div

1257
01:40:12,340 --> 01:40:17,340
And obviously bingo, we have AO making lower highs

1258
01:40:17,340 --> 01:40:21,340
While the price here Bonk is making higher highs

1259
01:40:21,340 --> 01:40:29,340
So I knew it, you see, I didn't even need to have AO on to know this is a massive AO very stiff

1260
01:40:29,340 --> 01:40:31,340
Anyway...

1261
01:40:31,340 --> 01:40:42,340
Yeah, that's going to be very exciting because I'm pretty sure SPX's dump on Nuroc Open is...

1262
01:40:42,340 --> 01:40:49,340
Obviously very related to what we're seeing on Bitcoin pulling back

1263
01:40:49,340 --> 01:40:51,340
Bitcoin is pulling back

1264
01:40:51,340 --> 01:40:54,340
So the problem is...

1265
01:40:54,340 --> 01:41:00,340
Yeah, SPX holding the banana here

1266
01:41:00,340 --> 01:41:05,340
And bouncing, this is going to be fantastic for crypto

1267
01:41:05,340 --> 01:41:09,340
SPX breaking down this consolidation, that would be pretty disgusting

1268
01:41:09,340 --> 01:41:17,340
Something else I explained in this score lately is that

1269
01:41:17,340 --> 01:41:19,340
Even though...

1270
01:41:19,340 --> 01:41:22,340
Even though...

1271
01:41:22,340 --> 01:41:29,340
Bitcoin has been vastly outperforming the SPX in the past weeks

1272
01:41:29,340 --> 01:41:37,340
Something to keep in mind is that Bitcoin is still like a risk on a set

1273
01:41:37,340 --> 01:41:39,340
So is the SPX

1274
01:41:39,340 --> 01:41:44,340
So while Bitcoin has got the spotlight and is outperforming

1275
01:41:46,340 --> 01:41:51,340
It's still pumping while the king of risk on assets, the SPX is pumping

1276
01:41:51,340 --> 01:41:54,340
So...

1277
01:41:54,340 --> 01:41:57,340
Yeah, who knows

1278
01:41:57,340 --> 01:42:02,340
I mean, this is a stock market reaction to the Trump election

1279
01:42:02,340 --> 01:42:11,340
So remember what I said about market overreacting in the intralight plan

1280
01:42:11,340 --> 01:42:14,340
So yeah, this really could go either way

1281
01:42:15,340 --> 01:42:20,340
I mean SPX, yeah, we have Bitcoin and crypto people want to derisk

1282
01:42:20,340 --> 01:42:24,340
We have SPX opening red

1283
01:42:24,340 --> 01:42:31,340
If SPX running back turbo here, I think many people who have been trotting and hedging Bitcoin in the past

1284
01:42:31,340 --> 01:42:35,340
Two days might have to be squeezed and forced out

1285
01:42:35,340 --> 01:42:37,340
Or...

1286
01:42:37,340 --> 01:42:44,340
If SPX breaks down here, this could be a big puke and a bigger pullback on crypto

1287
01:43:05,340 --> 01:43:09,340
Ok, sorry guys, I'm really gonna have to end the stream

1288
01:43:09,340 --> 01:43:12,340
Wife needs some stuffs, sorry guys

1289
01:43:13,340 --> 01:43:15,340
Well, thanks for tuning in

1290
01:43:15,340 --> 01:43:19,340
I hope the stream was helpful and pray for...

1291
01:43:19,340 --> 01:43:22,340
Keep your eyes on this SPX probably

1292
01:43:22,340 --> 01:43:24,340
Alright, see you