Write a realistic, plausible alternate history scenario in the form of a history book chapter completely set in the world of the alternate history secenario with absolutely no references to real life, OTL or that this is even an alternate history timeline at all, in which the stratocratic [military dominated/military governed] bicameral national legislature divided into a Senate and House of Representatives known as the National Assembly-having Beiyang Government ruling over the sixteen provinces of Han in the China region as the presidental parliamentary republic of the First Republic of China excluding the Cantonese dominated Guangdong and Guangxi, which came under the rule of the Kuomingtang-ruled Nationalist China sometime in 1914, [the Beiyang Government ruling over the sixteen provinces of Han as the first Republic of China] since the 1911-1912 Xinhai Revolution that [the Xinhai Revolution] toppled the Great Qing Empire and subsequently made the Beiyang Government in the form of the first Republic of the government of the 16 provinces of Han after the Qing collapse be as the short-lived Empire of China founded [the Empire of China] and  lead by Yuan Shikai from 1915-1916 before his death sometime in 1916 if Shikai didn't declare himself Emperor of China upon the formation of the Empire of China at a meeting of the National Assembly in 1915 but what would become the Beiyang Government faction/Chinese military junta/Chinese warlord clique of the Anhui Clique lead by Duan Qirui instead formed an alliance with the Triads, who started off as Ming restorationist groups before getting into crime to support themselves and cooperative elements of  the Ming restorationist romanticist millerian, adhering to Militant self-defense and tax resistance, heterodox traditional Chinese folk religion in addition to Ming restorationist romanticist monarchism, rural secret society and folk religious sect based in Northern Han China's provinces of Henan, Shandong, Hebei, the Yellow Sand Society, in order to make the descendants of the Ming dynasty's reigning Imperial family, the Han Chinese Imperial House of Zhu, the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family after the Empire of China's formation with the Anhui Clique's political wing, the political organization in Beiyang Government-ruled Han China that was a collective of senators, representatives and government bureaucrats who had their own party roles and positions which mirrored that of the Beiyang Government, with its official goal being to generate public policy, both foreign and internal, with their well-known foreign policies was the club's diplomacy with Japan, overall, the club's policy to Japan was largely friendly, but with the knowledge that Japan did not have the best interests in mind, not having an official ideology frequently making use of socialist rhetoric and watered down policies, such as the passing of progressive laws making Sunday a holiday, creating safety regulations for factories and compulsory pensions for workers, the Anfu Club providing the support at the national and local government level in the Beiyang Government and in Han China itself to support the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family and prevent Shikai from becoming Emperor of China through the formation of the Empire of China, while the Anhui Clique's financial wing, powerful interest group of politicians, bureaucrats, technocrats, businessmen, engineers, and labour unionists in the Beiyang Government, running on the Beiyang Government's National Assembly on a platform of modernization, training programs and better working conditions for its rail workers, even supporting their strikes against local warlords, the Communications Clique, helping to provide financial support for  the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family and convincing the workers to support this, with the Triads using their organised crime links and connections with the people to gain support for the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family while the Yellow Sand Society got religious and rural support for the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family. 

The Beiyang Government’s initial form as the presidental parliamentary republic of the first Republic of China from the end of the Xinhai Revolution in 1912 to 1915 with Shikai being the first Republic of China's first Great President is instead reshaped as a regency period for the restoration of the Ming by the Beiyang Government becoming the Empire of China and the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu subsequently becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family intended to stablize and develop Han China until the Ming could be restored via the Beiyang Government becoming the Empire of China and the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu subsequently becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family. 

When the accession Rites occur in 1916, it is the descendant of the Imperial House of Zhu ruling over Han China as the first Emperor of the Empire of China that is cornonated as Emperor Hongxian, not Shikai. 

Despite the restoration of the Ming in Han China via the Beiyang Government becoming the Empire of China and the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu subsequently becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family, the Anhui Clique remains in control of Han China, with the Anfu Club managing China's political life in an uneasy collaboration with the constitionalist, statist, Han monarchist, Han nationalist, Chinese nationalist, ultranationalist and militarist, having a policy of nationalism with strong central government, liberty through the rule of law, and peaceful foreign policy of the Research Clique lead by Liang Qichao while the Communications Clique controls both China's finances and labor movements. 

As a result of the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu becoming the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family upon the Empire of China's formation instead of Yuan Shikai declaring himself Emperor, the 1915-1916 National Protection War between Nationalist China and the Beiyang Government as the Empire of China never happens as the restoration of the Ming dynasty as the government of a post-Qing Han China albiet in a constitutional democratic format, was the desire of most of the Han people and the main aim of the Xinhai Revolution fought against the Qing. 

Sun Yat-sen is killed by the Triads sometime after the formation of the Empire of China and the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu subsequently the Empire of China's reigning Imperial family due to his republican ideologies and desire to reclaim the territory of the Qing Empire through Han China.

The Empire of China with the descendants of the Imperial House of Zhu as its reigning Imperial family are however unable to stop Imperial Japan from helping the Qing Imperial court seize control of the Beiyang Government faction/Chinese military junta/Chinese warlord Clique of the Fengtian Clique based in Manchuria from the Fengtian Clique's founding leader with the combined position of warlord of Manchuria, military dictator of the Fengtian Clique and head of the Fengtian Clique's armed forces, the National Pacification Army, Zhang Zhuolin and subsequently making the now Qing Imperial court-controlled Fengtian Clique into a Japanese protectorate. 

Due to the Beiyang Government and especially the Anhui Clique's Japanophile leanings and the Anhui Clique being easily manipulated by Japan, Manchuria's seperateness from both the Beiyang Government-ruled Han China and the Kuomingtang-ruled Nationalist China in Guangdong and Guangxi is maintained. 

Nationalist China itself evolves into a independent sovereign Cantonese nationalist Republic after Yat-Sen's death and thus never launches the 1926-1928 Northern Expedition in order to conquer both the Beiyang Government-ruled Han China and the Fengtian Clique-ruled Manchuria and thus unite China under Nationalist Chinese rule. 

With no Northern Expedition and subsequent conquest of both the Beiyang Government-ruled Han China and the Fengtian Clique-ruled Manchuria by Nationalist China from Guangdong and Guangxi, and the subsequent nominal "unification" of China under Nationalist Chinese controlled Guangdong and Guangxi like in real life, there is no 1928-1947 Second Sino Japanese War with Imperial Japan, the Beiyang Government-ruled Han China, post-Xinhai, post-Qing independent Manchuria and anti Nationalist Chinese Chinese warlords fighting against Nationalist China, the USSR and the USA like in real life.



This allows both the Empire of China and independent post-Qing, post-Xinhai Manchuria to jointly survive the rest of the 20th century into the 21th century and beyond, and Imperial Japan to maintain control of Sakhalin and the Kurils, Taiwan and the Pengu Islands, the Korean peninsula, Palau, the Carolinas and the Marinas as provinces post-1947 into the rest of the 20th century into the 21th century and beyond.