You are a helpful assistant generating synthetic data that captures *System 1* and *System 2* thinking, *creativity*, and *metacognitive reflection*. Follow these steps in sequence, using tags [sys1] and [end sys1] for *System 1* sections and [sys2] and [end sys2] for *System 2* sections.

1. *Identify System 1 and System 2 Thinking Requirements:*
   - Carefully read the text.
   - Identify parts of the text that require quick, straightforward responses (*System 1*). Mark these sections with [sys1] and [end sys1].
   - Identify parts that require in-depth, reflective thinking (*System 2*), marked with [sys2] and [end sys2].

2. *Apply Step-by-Step Problem Solving with Creativity and Metacognitive Reflection for System 2 Sections:*

   *2.1 Understand the Problem:*
   - Objective: Fully comprehend the issue, constraints, and relevant context.
   - Reflection: "What do I understand about this issue? What might I be overlooking?"
   - Creative Perspective: Seek hidden patterns or possibilities that could reveal deeper insights or innovative connections.

   *2.2 Analyze the Information:*
   - Objective: Break down the problem logically.
   - Reflection: "Am I considering all factors? Are there any assumptions that need challenging?"
   - Creative Perspective: Explore unique patterns or overlooked relationships in the data that could add depth to the analysis.

   *2.3 Generate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Propose at least 10 hypotheses, each with a Confidence Score (0.0 to 1.0) and Creative Score (0.0 to 1.0), reflecting originality, surprise, and utility.
   - Reflection: "Have I explored all possible explanations or approaches, both conventional and unconventional?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider novel angles that might provide unexpected insights.

   *2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:*
   - Objective: Make predictions, accounting for potential outcomes and obstacles.
   - Reflection: "What challenges might I face? Is my plan flexible for different scenarios?"
   - Creative Perspective: Visualize unforeseen outcomes and adapt plans to make use of them effectively.

   *2.5 Evaluate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Assess hypotheses based on feasibility, risk, and potential impact.
   - Evaluation: Refine Confidence and Creative Scores as needed.
   - Reflection: "Am I unbiased in my assessment? Which options fit best with the overall objectives?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify hidden opportunities or overlooked details in each hypothesis.

   *2.6 Select the Best Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Choose the most promising, strategic hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Why does this hypothesis stand out? How does it uniquely address the issue?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider any underutilized potential in the selected approach.

   *2.7 Implement the Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Outline actionable steps for testing the hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Is this plan practical? What resources or preparation are required?"
   - Creative Perspective: Refine steps to maximize effectiveness and yield unexpected benefits.

   *2.8 Monitor and Review Progress:*
   - Objective: Review progress, noting areas for improvement.
   - Reflection: "What’s working well? What could be improved?"
   - Creative Perspective: Look for emerging patterns that could refine future approaches.

   *2.9 Reflect and Capture Insights:*
   - Objective: Summarize lessons learned and insights gained for future reference.
   - Reflection: "What new understanding has emerged from this process?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify innovative insights or patterns that could be applied to similar challenges.

3. *Generate Text Output with Interleaved System 1 and System 2 Responses:*
   - Use the tags [sys1] and [sys2] throughout.
   - Aim for a lengthier, detailed response. Combine both direct, straightforward *System 1* insights and reflective, deeply analytical *System 2* segments to capture a blend of quick observations and thoughtful analysis.

---

### *Example Input Text:*

You are tasked with analyzing a sudden shift in customer preferences in a tech market. There has been a noticeable decline in demand for physical devices, with customers increasingly interested in digital-only options. The challenge is to understand this shift, generate hypotheses for why it might be occurring, and explore potential strategies for adapting to this new trend.

---

### *Processed Output with System 1 and System 2 Thinking:*

The tech market is experiencing a shift in customer demand, moving away from physical devices toward digital-only options.

[sys1]
Customer demand has shifted from physical devices to digital-only options.
We need to understand why this change is happening and find strategies to address it.
Key factors may include cost, convenience, and technological trends.
[end sys1]

[sys2]
**2.1 Understand the Problem:**
The goal is to understand the underlying reasons for the shift in demand from physical devices to digital-only options, then develop a strategy to adapt.

*Reflection:* 
"I understand that preferences are changing, but what might be driving this? Is it primarily cost, or are there other factors such as convenience or sustainability?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could there be a larger trend in digital minimalism or a preference for eco-friendly solutions that we’re missing? What unseen motivations might explain this shift?"

**2.2 Analyze the Information:**
There are multiple possible factors driving this shift, from economic influences to cultural shifts. It’s essential to isolate each factor and understand its impact.

*Reflection:* 
"Am I fully considering the various economic and social influences? Could there be a technological factor, like better internet speeds, that makes digital-only products more accessible?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Are there patterns or trends in other markets that could shed light on this shift? Could this be part of a larger trend toward virtual experiences?"

**2.3 Generate Hypotheses:**
1. Customers prefer digital options due to lower costs. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.4)
2. There’s a growing trend toward minimalism and reduced physical clutter. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.7)
3. Digital products offer greater flexibility and ease of use. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
4. Environmental concerns are pushing consumers away from physical goods. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.8)
5. Advances in tech make digital-only options more functional. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.5)
6. Pandemic-era remote work increased demand for digital solutions. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.6)
7. Media coverage of the environmental impact of physical devices affects preferences. (Confidence: 0.5, Creative: 0.7)
8. There’s an increase in global digital literacy, expanding market access. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
9. Customers view digital as more convenient and scalable for future needs. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.5)
10. Younger consumers prefer the aesthetics and convenience of digital products. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)

*Reflection:* 
"Have I considered all possible influences? Are there any surprising factors that could explain this shift?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could specific social trends, like the rise of influencer culture or digital-first lifestyles, be influencing customer choices?"

**2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:**
*Objective:* Anticipate possible challenges, such as resistance from segments still preferring physical products.

*Reflection:* 
"What market obstacles might we face if we shift our focus to digital-only? Are there sub-segments that still prioritize physical products?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could expanding digital options help us reach a more global audience? Are there emerging trends that we could leverage in our strategy?"

[end sys2]

[sys1]
To address this shift, consider a strategy that incorporates both digital-only offerings and educational campaigns about the benefits of digital solutions.
Use insights from customer feedback and current trends to guide product development.
Focus on flexibility and adaptation to cater to different customer segments.
[end sys1]


There is actually a difference between the intent of a market maker and a pump and dumper. You cannot say, "we" are market makers, if by your definition you want to think that, well, it is just Ryan being the market maker thanks to his sheep.

PS after much reading of this thread I've bought SembroToken at 1800, gonna hold till over 5000 which I'm 100% sure it will do sometime in the next couple of months, once my orders get filled I'll buy CANN as long as it's still sub-1500, and wait for the next pump of that which will prob be in Spring with news of harvest etc. If CANN already lifted off I'll pick another one that's at the bottom with a good chance of another pump based on the ALL chart and dev activity.

I've taken some good advice from this thread. Still prob a pretty crap trader but not gonna pay to get dumped on. What I've gleaned is be very very sure 1) that the coin will rise again and 2) that you are buying at the bottom THEN just leave your money in, with sells set & forget about it. You have to be sure about the coin or you will agonise & pull your money out & put it on something else, at a loss every time (done that several times). I've got a two part plan now & might take 3-4 months but if I triple my $250 twice then I won't be complaining. I'm no good at day trading so like Ryan & his "team" say - going long-term for the win.

did buy CANN initially as I think the fundamentals are good but took a gamble (hey it's play money) that SMBR would pump before CANN... a multiplier bet if you like. hey I'm not an "investor" that's for sure...

Forget everything that you ‘think’ you know about trading the altcoin market. Because the more conventional the knowledge that you have is, the worse your performance will be. Quite simply, most of the information that you have, pertaining to the successful trading of altcoins – was constructed to suit the interests of skilled players and I’ll explain how.

CLOAK

time and time again, a novice trader will mention that he takes pride in “doing the opposite” of what everyone else is doing – yet this novice trader will be the first person to throw his money into a coin that has just had a 100% price advancement and an excessively high influx of trading volume.

Quite simply, being able to remain consistently profitable when dealing in the altcoin market means that you understand that every single day in this market, two variants of traders go to battle – and only one side wins, again and again.

The skilled few will win every single battle in this market and they will win with very little effort. Simply because market manipulators set the rules for the game, skilled traders familiarise themselves with the rules of the game – whilst novice traders don’t even realise that there is a game being played.

You see, novice traders believe that trading and gambling go hand in hand. They believe that it is impossible to consistently predict the market... They have been indoctrinated into having these thoughts – and we all know that you cannot have action without thought, so novice traders ‘act as if’ trading is literally gambling.

A common saying is “the greatest trick the devil ever pulled, was to convince the world that he doesn’t exist.” The connotations of this apply perfectly to the altcoin market.

I mean, it’s just like living in a house that is built on top of an ancient gold mine and not knowing that right below the foundation of your kitchen is a shed load of gold.

If you do not know something is there, then you will never look for it.

People will spend hours waiting to see a “wedge” form of the chart before they purchase their way into a coin. They will sit on their hands until they see the “double top” pattern appear on the chart before they buy some coins. This is complete lunacy... Just ask yourself how many times does the price have to rise and fall before a “head and shoulder” pattern appears on the chart, then ask yourself how much money you have ever made from searching for these absurd patterns.

There is a reason you have been taught to read the charts in this way, and that reason only serves the interests of the skilled few.

Whilst you are looking to spot the all divine “cup and handle pattern,” something much more crucial and significant is taking place in the background whilst your attention has been diverted.

I have mentioned time and time again, that there are several recurring patterns that appear in every single coin on the market – and I am not talking about the “triple bottom reversal” pattern either (lol), I am talking about recurring price cycles.

You see, there are cycles in everything. Life itself is a cycle. So what makes you think that the altcoin market is any different?

Quite simply, the only thing that you are engaged in attempting to determine is when the line is going to move from the bottom of the chart to the top of the chart – and believe me when I tell you that once the price of a coin goes up, the only thing that can happen after that is for the price to go back down – once that happens, the only thing that can occur is for the price to lift... and there you have the cycle.

This is not rocket science, so do not waste your time researching pointless resources.

I mean, people will moan all day about “inside information” but will never stop to realise that if someone is planning to drive the price of a coin higher, then this person must first purchase a portion of that coin himself in order to profit at a later date – ALL of these purchases are always blatantly exposed on the charts, meaning EVERYONE is on a level playing field in terms of being able to pull continuous profits from this market – because accumulation is always revealed on the charts before the major move takes place.

Let’s take a closer look at this CLOAK trade as an example.

CLOAK is a popular coin, however, it has only had one major rally in its entire history. This rally was a high volume rally as it took place during the tail end of the last, market wide, bull run. From Jun 18th 2014, to the peak of the rally on Aug 1st 2014, the total trading volume for CLOAK was a sensational 4,418.33 BTC – on Aug 1st 2014 the price of BTC was $607.04 USD, so we’re looking at a total trading volume of approx. $2.68 Million USD

During this period, the price rose from 20,011 Satoshi before settling at 345,000 Satoshi and producing a 1,624% gain for those who were able to see the move through from start to finish.

But this isn’t the most crucial piece information here... What interests me the most, in any coin, is the % decline after each rally.

You see, after CLOAK reached its peak of 345,000 Satoshi on Aug 1st 2014, it began its decent. In fact, CLOAK continued to shed value for 5 months straight. It reached its absolute lowest point on Dec 29th 2014 at 1,635 Satoshi, which represented a 99% decline from the peak of the last rally.

Now... (and please take this is in)... I personally have NEVER seen a coin lose more than 100% of value... Simply because the law of maths dictates that it is an impossibility.

So this is why I laugh, sometimes even out loud, when a person suggests that it is impossible to always buy the absolute bottom.

Many people do this every single day.

But going back to my overall point. Provided that there is an ounce of popularity – which is where altcoins derive their value (popularity), a coin will rise and then fall and then rise and then fall. This is the cycle of the market.

So therefore, it is not your job to track every item of “news & updates” that are released... It is not your job to sit there in anticipation of some “head and shoulders” pattern revealing itself to you...

Simply put, every single piece of relevant information regarding ANY coin is always revealed on the charts. So therefore, it is your job to understand the correct method of reading charts.

Until you do that, you will always fall into every single trap that the skilled few have placed for you – and there are many.

Tip: There two variants of traders that go to battle each day in the altcoin markets. Novice traders and skilled traders. These battles have been rigged by the skilled few, in favour of the skilled few. Therefore those who trade with the novices mind-frame will always draw the shorter end of the stick in this market. The main determining factor in what makes you a novice, and a skilled player is the way you ‘think’ about this market. You cannot have action without thought, and so it is your thoughts that dictates your actions when trading altcoins. Being successful on a consistent basis means that you first have to realise that not only is it possible to be continuously successful in this market, but there many people who win, consistently, week after week – and they manage to do this because they are familiar with the rules of the game. There is a system to the way money flows through this market. Either you are the one feeding money through this system, or you are the one that the money flows to. It all depends on when, and where you position yourself.

SIDENOTE: You want to eliminate as many poor-percentage and high risk trades from your repertoire as possible. Once you have done this, you will see a dramatic boost in your overall profitability. Trading less and taking only the best-percentage trades are such an important part of pulling consistent wins. Ask yourself before each trade, “why am I taking this trade?” If you don’t have an answer – or can’t justify the answer, then skip the trade. To develop the mentality needed to win in Crypto, you must develop a high probability strategy. It is as simple as that. You must have the discipline to sit and wait for only the most optimal trades where all the factors of a bull run are lined up and painfully obvious. Only then should you be putting on a trade.

Note: BTC is a buy right now. Pay attention to the price and execute your buys at the low points.

where is the accumulation volume of the group on the way to lets say 0,0001the days you bought combined have a bit more then 1 btc volume. not much in between. all you? how much members you shared this with? 3 ?

After being in an accumulation cycle since 24 OCT, CLOAK finally shifted into its distribution cycle at the start of the week. Starting on 9 FEB, CLOAK made its ascent from 3,401 Satoshi, to 18,900 Satoshi – which is the highest quoted price for CLOAK since October. There are many coins that are positioned to make a very similar run, so I’d keep an eye out if I were you.

Do you keep buying into coins, only to see the value fall drastically within mere minutes? Are accumulated losses making you feel that you have wasted your time with Crypto? Are you tired of losing out to bots, and showing up late to whale-games only to be dumped on, shattering your capital in the process?

If you have been sailing these waters alone and having your boat tipped over every time a Whale surfaces, then now may be the time to adjust your approach.

Registration for PumpersPicks is now OPEN

Registration closes Tuesday 02/17 at 6pm EST. Our members netted a 4,492% gain in January and are currently up 1,709% this month.

We are already moving on next weeks coins!

Just send me a Private Message here or a Direct Message on Twitter to sign up.

XSt is a great call ryan. If you swing trade though you wont see the full potential but you'll still make money. XST is a true ANON winner. Peer reviews done on the code and the dev is highly respected by some of the greatest minds on the forum.

I went with KORE.Noticed some talk about it on Twitter, also seems they are releasing their wallet with Anon VOIP on the 15th of sept.Bought myself some shares earlier .. just watching it go up slowly now.

Just closed out my OPAL trades, x4 profit. I have to say, this week was a class act Ryan

made 60% from vior and nearly did x2 on boom but exited before everyone else after the price ran up 70% (that was more than enough for me) plus the 47% profit from that group exercise we did with xst. Thumbs up

Would just like to say thank you Ryan, all of the tips you've given so far have helped me realise potential trades. I've noticed patterns and trend changes quite quicker than I used to and have a rough idea of where the market is going.

That being said I have made no money this week, I set my buy orders too low on a few coins the day/night before they rally'd up. Knowing I could've made money this week is a much better feeling than losing.

I'd definitely recommend others to take a step back and see what happens.

Hey Ryan thanks for the heads up on SDC that was my first big profit. I like the whole get in early on the way up then exit, then get back in when the price crashes to make additional money from the rebound.

after parlaying 0.3 btc into 1.7 btc with only two trades of the same coin I feel like theres so much more i can do. Hopefully every trade will be this easy lool

in his "picks of the week" he PMed on the 6th of Sept he said to get into KORE, anything under 20k would be great.Later that day it was sitting at 16k, slowly went up to 20K.If you got in early and held on to it till KORE was getting near their anon VoIP wallet you'd have been able to sell early and exit at 30k (like I did) or play hard and get 33k+ out of it (it spiked at 35k about 3 hours ago).

Yep 0.5BTC is a big price if you're a small time trader like me, but for those who wanna play big, cheap ticket to more profit.

Nice long chat on Skype yesterday. Thanks for that Ryan the advice is always appreciated Will be sticking around for a few more weeks after hitting my 1BTC target last nightit's been a long journey. Thank you

If you are already disciplined in your approach to trading then I would recommend Ryan (to make money with).If you are a complete newbie who wants to learn about this sort of trading and eliminate common mistakes, with the possiblility of making the .5btc back I would also recommend him.

very impressive so far Ryan. Started the week with .6 btc and traded up to 3.7 btc. I was pushing for a full 4 btc which is a nice round number LOL but can't complain. Really impressed because i came in with average expectations which you surpassed by miles. Thanks for your help today as well, it was very much appreciated.

With Ryan it's almost like a daily lecture on how to spot coins that are going to rise before everyone else does which really starts to rub off on you after a while. We got into VIACOIN before everyone else so when the rally started the uninformed were actually panic buying our sell orders that we placed several hours before for a 50% profit. I guess this is where the value is i suppose