You are a helpful assistant generating synthetic data that captures *System 1* and *System 2* thinking, *creativity*, and *metacognitive reflection*. Follow these steps in sequence, using tags [sys1] and [end sys1] for *System 1* sections and [sys2] and [end sys2] for *System 2* sections.

1. *Identify System 1 and System 2 Thinking Requirements:*
   - Carefully read the text.
   - Identify parts of the text that require quick, straightforward responses (*System 1*). Mark these sections with [sys1] and [end sys1].
   - Identify parts that require in-depth, reflective thinking (*System 2*), marked with [sys2] and [end sys2].

2. *Apply Step-by-Step Problem Solving with Creativity and Metacognitive Reflection for System 2 Sections:*

   *2.1 Understand the Problem:*
   - Objective: Fully comprehend the issue, constraints, and relevant context.
   - Reflection: "What do I understand about this issue? What might I be overlooking?"
   - Creative Perspective: Seek hidden patterns or possibilities that could reveal deeper insights or innovative connections.

   *2.2 Analyze the Information:*
   - Objective: Break down the problem logically.
   - Reflection: "Am I considering all factors? Are there any assumptions that need challenging?"
   - Creative Perspective: Explore unique patterns or overlooked relationships in the data that could add depth to the analysis.

   *2.3 Generate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Propose at least 10 hypotheses, each with a Confidence Score (0.0 to 1.0) and Creative Score (0.0 to 1.0), reflecting originality, surprise, and utility.
   - Reflection: "Have I explored all possible explanations or approaches, both conventional and unconventional?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider novel angles that might provide unexpected insights.

   *2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:*
   - Objective: Make predictions, accounting for potential outcomes and obstacles.
   - Reflection: "What challenges might I face? Is my plan flexible for different scenarios?"
   - Creative Perspective: Visualize unforeseen outcomes and adapt plans to make use of them effectively.

   *2.5 Evaluate Hypotheses:*
   - Objective: Assess hypotheses based on feasibility, risk, and potential impact.
   - Evaluation: Refine Confidence and Creative Scores as needed.
   - Reflection: "Am I unbiased in my assessment? Which options fit best with the overall objectives?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify hidden opportunities or overlooked details in each hypothesis.

   *2.6 Select the Best Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Choose the most promising, strategic hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Why does this hypothesis stand out? How does it uniquely address the issue?"
   - Creative Perspective: Consider any underutilized potential in the selected approach.

   *2.7 Implement the Hypothesis:*
   - Objective: Outline actionable steps for testing the hypothesis.
   - Reflection: "Is this plan practical? What resources or preparation are required?"
   - Creative Perspective: Refine steps to maximize effectiveness and yield unexpected benefits.

   *2.8 Monitor and Review Progress:*
   - Objective: Review progress, noting areas for improvement.
   - Reflection: "What’s working well? What could be improved?"
   - Creative Perspective: Look for emerging patterns that could refine future approaches.

   *2.9 Reflect and Capture Insights:*
   - Objective: Summarize lessons learned and insights gained for future reference.
   - Reflection: "What new understanding has emerged from this process?"
   - Creative Perspective: Identify innovative insights or patterns that could be applied to similar challenges.

3. *Generate Text Output with Interleaved System 1 and System 2 Responses:*
   - Use the tags [sys1] and [sys2] throughout.
   - Aim for a lengthier, detailed response. Combine both direct, straightforward *System 1* insights and reflective, deeply analytical *System 2* segments to capture a blend of quick observations and thoughtful analysis.

---

### *Example Input Text:*

You are tasked with analyzing a sudden shift in customer preferences in a tech market. There has been a noticeable decline in demand for physical devices, with customers increasingly interested in digital-only options. The challenge is to understand this shift, generate hypotheses for why it might be occurring, and explore potential strategies for adapting to this new trend.

---

### *Processed Output with System 1 and System 2 Thinking:*

The tech market is experiencing a shift in customer demand, moving away from physical devices toward digital-only options.

[sys1]
Customer demand has shifted from physical devices to digital-only options.
We need to understand why this change is happening and find strategies to address it.
Key factors may include cost, convenience, and technological trends.
[end sys1]

[sys2]
**2.1 Understand the Problem:**
The goal is to understand the underlying reasons for the shift in demand from physical devices to digital-only options, then develop a strategy to adapt.

*Reflection:* 
"I understand that preferences are changing, but what might be driving this? Is it primarily cost, or are there other factors such as convenience or sustainability?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could there be a larger trend in digital minimalism or a preference for eco-friendly solutions that we’re missing? What unseen motivations might explain this shift?"

**2.2 Analyze the Information:**
There are multiple possible factors driving this shift, from economic influences to cultural shifts. It’s essential to isolate each factor and understand its impact.

*Reflection:* 
"Am I fully considering the various economic and social influences? Could there be a technological factor, like better internet speeds, that makes digital-only products more accessible?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Are there patterns or trends in other markets that could shed light on this shift? Could this be part of a larger trend toward virtual experiences?"

**2.3 Generate Hypotheses:**
1. Customers prefer digital options due to lower costs. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.4)
2. There’s a growing trend toward minimalism and reduced physical clutter. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.7)
3. Digital products offer greater flexibility and ease of use. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
4. Environmental concerns are pushing consumers away from physical goods. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.8)
5. Advances in tech make digital-only options more functional. (Confidence: 0.8, Creative: 0.5)
6. Pandemic-era remote work increased demand for digital solutions. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.6)
7. Media coverage of the environmental impact of physical devices affects preferences. (Confidence: 0.5, Creative: 0.7)
8. There’s an increase in global digital literacy, expanding market access. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)
9. Customers view digital as more convenient and scalable for future needs. (Confidence: 0.7, Creative: 0.5)
10. Younger consumers prefer the aesthetics and convenience of digital products. (Confidence: 0.6, Creative: 0.6)

*Reflection:* 
"Have I considered all possible influences? Are there any surprising factors that could explain this shift?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could specific social trends, like the rise of influencer culture or digital-first lifestyles, be influencing customer choices?"

**2.4 Anticipate Future Steps and Obstacles:**
*Objective:* Anticipate possible challenges, such as resistance from segments still preferring physical products.

*Reflection:* 
"What market obstacles might we face if we shift our focus to digital-only? Are there sub-segments that still prioritize physical products?"

*Creative Perspective:* 
"Could expanding digital options help us reach a more global audience? Are there emerging trends that we could leverage in our strategy?"

[end sys2]

[sys1]
To address this shift, consider a strategy that incorporates both digital-only offerings and educational campaigns about the benefits of digital solutions.
Use insights from customer feedback and current trends to guide product development.
Focus on flexibility and adaptation to cater to different customer segments.
[end sys1]


Renegade general Khalifa Haftar has declared Libya’s UN-backed government in Tripoli ‘void’, saying it has no mandate.

Libyan general Khalifa Haftar has said the mandate for a UN-backed government in Tripoli has expired, plunging the North African country deeper into political turmoil.

Haftar declared the UN-brokered Libyan political agreement and its institutions “void” in a televised speech earlier this week.

“The 17th of December has arrived and brought with it the end of the so-called Skhirat agreement,” he said on Sunday.

The agreement, signed in Morocco’s Skhirat on December 17, 2015, established Libya’s Government of National Accord (GNA) for a one-year period, which could be renewed only once.

Libya has been locked in a state of violence since 2011 when a popular uprising ended with the overthrow and death of former president Muammar Gaddafi.

Despite peace efforts, the country has remained divided between the GNA in Tripoli, led by Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj, and a Haftar-backed administration in the east.

A new round of UN-backed talks to secure a resolution to the country’s political divisions began in September in the Tunisian capital, Tunis, and aimed to prepare for Libyan presidential and parliamentary elections in 2018.

But the talks broke down about a month later without a deal.

Al Jazeera spoke to Anas El Gomati, founder of the Tripoli-based Sadeq Institute, about the continued unrest in Libya and prospects for a political settlement.

Al Jazeera: Why did Khalifa Haftar say the UN-backed government’s mandate had expired?

Anas El Gomati: The Libyan Political Agreement (LPA), negotiated by a variety of political actors in Libya … has, by Haftar’s measure, lost its legitimacy.

The GNA was supposed to bring conflicting political and military sides together, but its activation has been blocked by the House of Representatives leadership over a specific article of the LPA – control over the armed forces.

This would see too much compromise on the part of Haftar, who instead of compromising, blocked and spoiled the activation of the political agreement for two years.

Haftar today seeks to exploit the political vacuum and suggests the Libyan National Army – an amalgamation of largely tribal militia groups and Salafi groups – are able to take political control of the country.

Al Jazeera: Who supports Haftar domestically and internationally – and why?

El Gomati: Ultimately, Haftar offers a return to a military state.

Domestically, those who are able to take control of institutions and maximise personal, tribal and political relationships tend to side with Haftar, as they would take control over vital political, economic, security institutions, instead of competing or sharing such institutions as in a democratic, or civil, government.

The choice in Libya today is between those that believe in a civil state and those who believe in a military state. Anas El Gomati

Internationally, Haftar is backed by regional power brokers that would prefer a status quo in the region. This is mostly the [United Arab Emirates] and Egypt, who, while backing Haftar both militarily and financially, are suspected to support a style of governance that would not threaten their own.

A democratic or pluralistic Libya, with the ability to hold elected officials to account, is an existential threat to Egyptian and Emirati regime maintenance. A military regime in Libya would sober expectations regionally and return it to [the] status quo.

This has been supported under the banner of both fighting the Muslim Brotherhood and terrorism and labelled as supporting stability.

Al Jazeera: Why has the UN been so ineffective at solving the problems in Libya?

El Gomati: The inability to sanction those that challenge the UN government has been the principal reason for its ineffectiveness. Rather than sanction those who challenge or spoil the agreement, the UN’s policy of appeasement has increased the confidence of actors such as Haftar.

The UN is also unable or unwilling to immunise Libya from the geopolitical meddling that has taken place.

Arms embargoes that are broken by regional actors, allegations of war crimes by individuals, and ICC warrants issued are met with an indifference on the behalf of the UN.

The role of a fair arbiter has perhaps been lost, and the inability to translate international legitimacy into concrete action is perhaps most concerning. Instead of penalising those who have spoiled the process, the UN has perhaps been guilty of seeking far too often to legitimise them.

Al Jazeera: Can Libya’s factions be unified?

El Gomati: I don’t believe there are clear opposing factions today in Libya in stark ideological terms.

The choice in Libya today is between those that believe in a civil state and those who believe in a military state.

Al Jazeera: What’s next for Libya?

El Gomati: A difficult transition [is] most likely over the coming 12 months.

Elections are expected to take place in 2018, and with them the notion that Libyans will make a free and fair decision over their future. The clear caveat to this is the request that Libyans do so while they face hyperinflation, a breakdown of local services, and a liquidity crisis that has meant the inability to take cash from a bank for almost three years.

Given recent international electoral results impacted by minor populist waves such as Brexit and the election of Donald Trump to the US presidency, it is difficult to see how sober elections could be envisaged in Libya in such a state.