build back the nation that we know and love together all right gang let's dive right in here pundits across the nation are indeed recognizing that this last tuesday's elections were an ominous warning sign to the democrats that the worst is yet to come if the democrats suffered such huge losses in predominantly blue states and districts which they did that spells disaster of epic proportions for the upcoming midterms the calculus is relatively simple here historically speaking as gallup is tracked for decades historically speaking when a president is under water that is when a president is under NUMBER_TOKEN percent approval we can expect to see a loss of an average of NUMBER_TOKEN seats in the house for the president's party as we speak president brandon's approval is sunk below NUMBER_TOKEN percent the latest trafalgar poll which by the way kudos to trump fogger because they were the only ones who got new jersey right they were the only polling outfit that saw the gubernatorial race as very very close but their latest poll has biden sinking to just NUMBER_TOKEN approval the latest quinnipiac poll has brandon barely clinging up to life at NUMBER_TOKEN and the latest zogby poll has brandon's approval rating cratering to an utterly humiliating NUMBER_TOKEN so we've got three independent back-to-back polls of the last couple of weeks all showing biden in the NUMBER_TOKENs obviously that's that alone given gallup's average loss for a president underwater being in the NUMBER_TOKENs alone spells disaster for the democrats in the midterms but what's also so concerning for the democrats is how virginia and new jersey tend to be bell weathers for the midterms now check this out vox is reporting that as the last NUMBER_TOKEN governor's elections in these two states since NUMBER_TOKEN the incumbent president's party has lost NUMBER_TOKEN of them the one exception was back in NUMBER_TOKEN when terry mcauliffe won while barack obama was president now that of course fits with the general trend of the pendulum swing where the president's party loses seats in the midterms but what we're getting here with what happened this last tuesday is we're not simply seeing a predictable cycle playing itself out instead we're seeing massive double-digit swings away from the democrats into the republicans so for example the texas house seat in san antonio district that's NUMBER_TOKEN percent latino and they voted for bottom by NUMBER_TOKEN points they flipped on tuesday to a conservative republican which represent a NUMBER_TOKEN-point shift towards the republicans and that's all par for the course and what we saw in the rio grande region of texas over the last few months where blue district after blue district has been defecting and turning red it was even more dramatic in virginia where there was a republican shift in almost every single corner in the state youngkin won more votes than any of his republican predecessors in all but a half dozen of virginia's NUMBER_TOKEN counties now this massive shift to the right spells disaster for the democrats in the midterms the last time we saw such an extraordinary shift was back in NUMBER_TOKEN with bob mcdonnell when he won the governorship and that was a bellwether
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