I. Climate change on ancient Mars. II. Exoplanet geodynamics and climate.

This thesis describes work related to long-term climate stability, on Mars and exoplanets./nMars is the only planet known to record a major transition in planetary habitability. The evidence for surface temperatures near the melting point of water on Early Mars is difficult to explain, because theory predicts a faint young Sun. Seasonal snowmelt need not require high annual mean temperatures, but surface water ice tends to migrate away from the warmer regions of the planet where melting is energetically possible. In the first part of this thesis I use geological analysis, mesoscale models, and idealized surface energy balance models to examine two possible solutions to this problem./nImpacts into icy targets, groundwater outbursts, and phreatic explosions are all expected to inject water vapor into the Mars atmosphere. I use mesoscale models to track the atmospheric response to these transient, localized vapor sources. Using idealized boundary conditions, I show that storms with updraft speeds >50 m/s and localized precipitation are expected near transient lakes >10^3 km^2 in size. Snow deposited in this way is out of equilibrium with orbital forcing, and correspondingly more likely to melt. Canyon paleolakes in the Valles Marineris are frequently associated with streams preserved on the plateaux just downwind of the canyons. Using geologically realistic boundary conditions, I study the atmospheric response to two short-lived paleolakes. In each case, the plateau streams are in the locations expected for localized precipitation./nLiquid water availability favors lithification, so the Martian sedimentary rock record is a wet-pass filter. Orbital variability strongly affects liquid water availability, so considering only averaged orbital conditions is neither sufficient not appropriate. To find the likelihood of snow melting, I consider all possible orbital forcings using an idealized but self-consistent model of snowpack energy balance and the CO2 greenhouse effect. Seasonal snowmelt on Early Mars is possible under unusual orbital conditions provided that the snow is dust-contaminated. The predicted distribution of snowmelt can explain the distribution of sedimentary rocks on Mars, but only if Mars had a thin atmosphere when the sedimentary rocks formed. This framework is the first to link upcoming observations by the Mars Science Laboratory Curiosity rover at the lower Gale Crater mound to past global climate on Mars. The model makes predictions about the lower Gale Crater mound that can be tested using Curiosity rover data./nEarth is the only example of long term climate stability that is available for study, so long term climate stability is difficult to understand. Extrasolar planets may ameliorate this problem of uniqueness. It is clear that rates of volcanic activity and of surface weathering are important in regulating long term climate. In the second part of this thesis, I model the rate of volcanism on massive Earth-like planets, and the surface weathering rate on planets in 1:1 spin:orbit resonance. ``Super-Earths'' in the range 1-10 Earth masses have been detected by radial velocity and transit methods. Using an idealized mantle thermal evolution model to drive mantle-melting models, I show that the rate of volcanism on massive Earth like planets is a weak function of planet mass. Planet mass can, however, affect tectonics by changing the mode of mantle convection. Earth's climate stability depends on a negative feedback involving the temperature-dependent rate of weathering and mean surface temperature. I use an idealized model to show that for intermediate surface pressures and for low-opacity atmospheres, nonlinearities in the surface energy balance can reverse the sign of this dependence on tidally-locked planets. This leads to climate instability./nI conclude by discussing future observations and research aimed at understanding long-term climate stability.

Advisor: Manga, Michael