表4－2 重力モデル推計結果

[1]	[2]	[3]	[4]	[5]	[6]	[7]	[8]	[9]	[10]	[11]	[12]	[13]	[14]	[15]	[16]	[17]	[18]	[19]	[20]
OLS	OLS	OLS	OLS	OLS	OLS	OLS	OLS	OLS	OLS	RE	RE	RE	RE	RE	RE	RE	RE	RE	RE
lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV	lnV
ln(输出国GDP)	1.098	0.734	0.364	0.034	0.33	1.109	0.73	0.379	0.048	0.331	1.222	0.719	0.484	0.048	0.436	1.205	0.676	0.485	0.052	0.423
[0.025]**	[0.012]**	[0.025]**	[0.020]	[0.036]**	[0.034]**	[0.017]**	[0.036]**	[0.027]	[0.051]**	[0.103]**	[0.056]**	[0.082]**	[0.060]	[0.100]**	[0.099]**	[0.052]**	[0.084]**	[0.057]	[0.103]**
ln(输入国GDP)	1.02	0.64	0.38	-0.095	0.475	0.963	0.617	0.345	-0.109	0.454	1.115	0.617	0.477	-0.109	0.614	1.068	0.585	0.452	-0.124	0.594
[0.023]**	[0.015]**	[0.020]**	[0.023]**	[0.029]**	[0.028]**	[0.019]**	[0.027]**	[0.035]**	[0.041]**	[0.187]**	[0.099]**	[0.128]**	[0.108]	[0.140]**	[0.176]**	[0.089]**	[0.124]**	[0.103]	[0.140]**
-0.767	-0.436	-0.331	0.707	-1.037	-0.718	-0.403	-0.315	0.705	-1.021	-0.652	-0.446	-0.213	0.624	-0.83	-0.655	-0.441	-0.225	0.596	-0.817
ln(2国間距離)	[0.047]**	[0.018]**	[0.045]**	[0.034]**	[0.059]**	[0.070]**	[0.025]**	[0.068]**	[0.044]**	[0.082]**	[0.154]**	[0.095]**	[0.142]	[0.133]**	[0.231]**	[0.171]**	[0.069]**	[0.162]	[0.117]**	[0.229]**
FTA/EPAダミー	0.782	-0.067	0.849	-0.613	1.462	0.57	-0.235	0.805	-0.803	1.608	0.252	0.002	0.254	-0.07	0.303	0.296	-0.028	0.329	0.049	0.251
[0.154]**	[0.069]	[0.146]**	[0.174]**	[0.193]**	[0.244]**	[0.075]**	[0.234]**	[0.168]**	[0.201]**	[0.080]**	[0.015]	[0.075]**	[0.118]	[0.126]**	[0.105]**	[0.018]	[0.099]**	[0.116]	[0.148]
-0.245	-0.089	-0.156	0.015	-0.172	-0.733	-0.27	-0.463	-0.076	-0.387	-0.222	-0.103	-0.121	-0.003	-0.116	-1.672	-0.543	-1.137	-0.671	-0.464
危機ダミー	[0.071]**	[0.037]**	[0.057]**	[0.054]	[0.082]**	[1.370]	[0.735]	[1.372]	[1.229]	[1.936]	[0.022]**	[0.007]**	[0.019]**	[0.022]	[0.023]**	[0.625]**	[0.203]**	[0.500]**	[0.568]	[0.560]
危機ダミー	×ln(輸出国GDP)	-0.023	0.01	-0.032	-0.03	-0.002	-0.02	0.005	-0.025	-0.003	-0.003
危機ダミー	×ln(輸出国GDP)	[0.050]	[0.025]	[0.050]	[0.040]	[0.073]	[0.015]	[0.005]	[0.013]	[0.015]	[0.015]
×ln(输入国GDP)	0.127	0.05	0.077	0.033	0.044	0.128	0.044	0.085	0.038	0.047
危機ダミー	[0.044]**	[0.029]	[0.038]**	[0.045]	[0.058]	[0.027]**	[0.009]**	[0.020]**	[0.024]	[0.021]*
×ln(2国間距離)	-0.108	-0.073	-0.035	0.004	-0.038	-0.006	-0.027	0.021	0.052	-0.03
危機ダミー	[0.094]	[0.035]**	[0.088]	[0.069]	[0.116]	[0.022]	[0.006]**	[0.023]	[0.026]*	[0.030]
×FTA/EPAダミー	0.383	0.302	0.082	0.332	-0.25	-0.04	0.057	-0.098	-0.174	0.083
四半期ダミー	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes
定数項	-13.911	-7.824	-6.087	-14.969	8.882	-13.699	-7.753	-5.946	-14.954	9.008	-17.979	-7.212	-10.134	-14.24	3.643	-17.054	-6.213	-9.708	-13.852	3.999
[0.696]**	[0.369]**	[0.694]**	[0.629]**	[0.974]**	[0.948]**	[0.492]**	[1.011]**	[0.886]**	[1.371]**	[4.348]**	[2.383]**	[3.151]**	[2.628]**	[3.836]	[4.175]**	[2.071]**	[3.202]**	[2.510]**	[3.876]
觀測数	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880	880
国-ア数
決定係数	0.72	0.79	0.35	0.16	0.32	0.72	0.79	0.36	0.16	0.32	0.73	0.79	0.35	0.15	0.29	0.73	0.79	0.35	0.15	0.29
Chow test	F=7.90	F=3.43	F=8.06	F=0.66	F=1.37	F=185.78	F=336.52	F=108.23	F=27.16	F=31.14
Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=	Pr>F=
0.000	0.004	0.000	0.653	0.235	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

注: 括弧内の数値は頑健標準誤差を示している. 変量効果モデルの決定係数については between 推計の決定係数を示している.