Silviase/jgov_v1.4_full_ann huggingface dataset:
(58) 通商産業省所管

所管·組織·項	虛出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済虛出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
沖縄開発事業費	2,125,734,000	127,732,000	0	0	2,141,866,000	111,600,000	0
定住構想推進調査費	34,351,000	0	0	0	33,816,846	0	534,154
水資源開発事業費	5,177,817,000	1,616,031,000	0	0	5,275,782,387	1,440,180,000	77,885,613
国土総合開発事業調整費	35,140,000	0	0	0	34,750,640	0	389,360
環境保全総合調査研究促進調整費	0	1,968,000	0	0	1,878,262	0	89,738
通商産業本省検査機関
通商産業本省検査所	2,970,816,000	0	0	6,858,000	2,973,576,453	0	4,097,547
工業技術院	67,866,912,000	249,970,000	0	0	66,768,609,439	451,759,000	896,513,561
工業技術院	1,790,620,000	0	0	0	1,717,599,069	0	73,020,931
鉱工業技術振興費	9,215,946,000	20,922,000	0	0	9,133,792,045	0	103,075,955
大型工業技術研究開発費	13,147,382,000	200,036,000	0	0	12,930,050,790	411,759,000	5,608,210
工本ルギー技術研究開発費	10,018,048,000	0	0	0	9,835,045,869	40,000,000	143,002,131
工本ルギー技術研究施設費	138,377,000	0	0	0	138,358,880	0	18,120
工業技術院試験研究所	30,191,134,000	0	0	0	29,619,831,881	0	571,302,119
工業技術院試験研究所施設費	704,322,000	29,012,000	0	0	733,244,200	0	89,800
特別研究促進調整費	131,775,000	0	0	0	131,667,903	0	107,097
国立機関原子力試験研究費	695,939,000	0	0	0	695,827,834	0	111,166
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	1,832,540,000	0	0	0	1,832,362,568	0	177,432
南極地域観測事業費	829,000	0	0	0	828,400	0	600
資源工本ルギー庁	261,325,405,000	182,900,005	0	15,555,000	260,729,682,617	385,041,812	409,135,576
資源工本ルギー庁	1,845,480,000	0	0	15,555,000	1,855,271,996	0	5,763,004
工本ルギー対策費	1,661,780,000	27,110,000	0	0	1,539,289,120	100,045,000	49,555,880
石油稅財源石油及石油代替工本ルギー対策費	252,000,000,000	0	0	0	251,783,000,000	0	217,000,000
地下資源対策費	5,818,145,000	155,790,005	0	0	5,552,121,501	284,996,812	136,816,692
特許庁
特許庁	18,147,529,000	0	0	113,048,000	18,238,334,447	0	22,242,553
中小企業庁	179,949,160,000	1,937,000	0	0	177,157,416,108	0	2,793,680,892
通商産業省所管 運輸省所管 （ 59 ）

所管·組織·項	虛出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済虛出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不用額(円)
中小企業庁	841,973,000	0	0	0	830,776,556	0	11,196,444
中小企業対策費	179,107,187,000	1,937,000	0	0	176,326,639,552	0	2,782,484,448
通商産業局	11,736,589,000	0	0	66,794,000	11,775,902,426	0	27,480,574
通商産業局	11,072,195,000	0	0	66,794,000	11,120,768,746	0	18,220,254
商工鉱業統計調査費	345,306,000	0	0	0	338,323,478	0	6,982,522
工木ルギー対策費	283,989,000	0	0	0	282,379,656	0	1,609,344
国民生活安定対策等経済政策推進費	35,099,000	0	0	0	34,430,546	0	668,454
鉱山保安監督官署
鉱山保安監督官署	1,344,874,000	0	0	0	1,326,643,476	0	18,230,524
通商産業省所管合計	655,006,165,000	9,584,255,165	567,005,000	0	651,351,384,773	7,156,301,100	6,649,739,292
運輸省所管
運輸本省	1,172,665,970,000	49,233,067,129	414,431,000	233,176,000	1,184,433,567,110	28,576,599,705	9,536,477,314
運輸本省	50,369,813,000	1,302,441,661	396,218,000	233,176,000	51,137,117,770	285,780,000	878,750,891
海運助成費	9,020,649,000	0	0	0	8,660,953,057	0	359,695,943
造船業経営安定対策費	1,776,000,000	0	0	0	1,776,000,000	0	0
船員雇用促進対策事業費	1,977,786,000	0	0	0	1,351,312,607	0	626,473,393
日本国有鉄道事業助成費	670,154,000,000	5,343,708,062	0	0	665,411,013,095	4,187,272,442	5,899,422,525
日本鉄道建設公団事業助成費	75,142,134,000	19,629,745,406	0	0	83,716,243,460	10,024,709,263	1,030,926,683
本州四国連絡橋公団事業助成費	5,897,949,000	0	0	0	5,897,949,000	0	0
地方鉄道軌道整備助成費	58,994,401,000	0	0	0	58,722,307,555	0	272,093,445
観光事業費	1,810,049,000	0	0	0	1,762,149,684	0	47,899,316
港湾等事業指導監督費	145,104,000	0	0	0	145,007,757	0	96,243
海岸事業費	25,041,200,000	1,179,276,000	0	0	25,540,643,899	674,445,000	5,387,101
海岸事業工事諸費	391,800,000	0	0	0	391,732,000	0	68,000
港湾事業費	166,839,000,000	6,071,518,000	0	0	166,856,528,000	5,814,420,000	239,570,000
外貿埠頭公団出資	800,000,000	0	0	0	767,000,000	0	33,000,000
空港整備事業費	39,072,822,000	14,540,957,000	0	0	47,261,307,000	6,278,890,000	73,582,000
( 60 ) 運輸省所管

所管·組織·項	歲出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済歳出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
航空機燃料稅財源空港整備事業費	44,612,162,000	0	0	0	44,612,162,000	0	0
日本国有鉄道防災事業費	9,841,000,000	1,030,442,000	0	0	9,665,804,458	1,143,433,000	62,204,542
港湾施設災害復旧事業費	6,227,900,000	43,282,000	0	0	6,216,274,107	52,390,000	2,517,893
港湾災害復旧事業工事諸費	9,600,000	0	0	0	9,600,000	0	0
港湾施設災害関連事業費	39,000,000	0	0	0	35,380,170	0	3,619,830
生活基盤充实問題調査研究費	3,773,000	0	0	0	3,556,130	0	216,870
行政情報処理調査研究費	3,976,000	0	0	0	3,975,220	0	780
北海道海岸事業費	570,000,000	0	0	0	569,549,213	0	450,787
北海道特定開発事業推進調査費	17,984,000	0	0	0	17,982,960	0	1,040
国民生活安定対策等経済政策推進費	674,000	0	0	0	625,640	0	48,360
環境保全総合調査研究促進調整費	13,450,000	0	0	0	13,447,100	0	2,900
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	19,360,000	0	0	0	19,360,000	0	0
沖縄振興開発総合調査費	11,294,000	0	0	0	11,275,120	0	18,880
沖縄開発事業費	771,000,000	40,823,000	0	0	716,642,290	94,940,000	240,710
災害対策総合推進調整費	7,301,000	0	0	0	7,299,990	0	1,010
定住構想推進調査費	33,547,000	0	0	0	33,482,270	0	64,730
離島振興事業費	2,756,000,000	50,874,000	0	0	2,786,554,000	20,320,000	0
国土総合開発事業調整費	295,242,000	0	0	0	295,121,558	0	120,442
運輸省施設災害復旧費	0	0	18,213,000	0	18,210,000	0	3,000
運輸本省試験研究機関	5,046,434,000	91,327,000	0	0	5,057,992,953	37,583,000	42,185,047
運輸本省試験研究所	3,892,477,000	0	0	0	3,850,345,190	0	42,131,810
運輸本省試験研究所施設費	801,127,000	91,327,000	0	0	854,832,540	37,583,000	38,460
特別研究促進調整費	2,669,000	0	0	0	2,669,000	0	0
海洋開発調査研究促進費	15,338,000	0	0	0	15,338,000	0	0
国立機関原子力試験研究費	129,453,000	0	0	0	129,449,960	0	3,040
運輸省所管 (61)

所 管 · 組 織 · 項	歳 出 予 算 額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済歳出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	205,370,000	0	0	0	205,358,263	0	11,737
運輸本省教育機関	14,361,052,000	0	98,626,000	△	18,111,000	14,241,011,516	0
学校及訓練所	10,130,136,000	0	98,626,000	△	18,111,000	10,014,918,612	0
航空大学校施設費	379,517,000	0	0	0	378,053,310	0	1,463,690
船舶建造費	3,847,786,000	0	0	0	3,844,426,644	0	3,359,356
国立機関原子力試験研究費	3,613,000	0	0	0	3,612,950	0	50
海運局
海運局	8,601,399,000	0	0	25,973,000	8,614,507,476	0	12,864,524
港湾建設局
港湾建設局	2,827,304,000	0	0	0	2,808,695,771	0	18,608,229
陸運局
陸運局	4,746,674,000	0	0	0	4,736,802,238	0	9,871,762
地方航空局
地方航空局	1,024,001,000	0	0	0	1,018,738,792	0	5,262,208
船員労働委員会
船員労働委員会	472,631,000	0	0	0	471,795,039	0	835,961
海上保安庁	116,057,141,000	259,611,000	0	△	241,038,000	115,849,841,203	0
海上保安官署	89,837,098,000	0	0	△	241,038,000	89,375,039,568	0
海上保安官署施設費	1,675,701,000	116,696,000	0	0	1,792,333,306	0	63,694
船舶建造費	14,357,245,000	0	0	0	14,357,231,241	0	13,759
航路標識整備費	9,757,008,000	142,915,000	0	0	9,895,184,728	0	4,738,272
特別研究促進調整費	153,642,000	0	0	0	153,628,136	0	13,864
海洋開発調查研究促進費	41,910,000	0	0	0	41,909,347	0	653
放射能調査研究費	70,106,000	0	0	0	70,097,144	0	8,856
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	22,186,000	0	0	0	22,180,712	0	5,288
災害対策総合推進調整費	6,587,000	0	0	0	6,586,305	0	695
国土総合開発事業調整費	124,788,000	0	0	0	124,786,820	0	1,180
( 62 ) 運輸省所管 郵政省所管

所管·組織·項	虛出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済虛出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
南極地域觀測事業費	10,870,000	0	0	0	10,863,896	0	6,104
海難審判庁
海難審判庁	1,478,731,000	0	0	0	1,437,057,014	0	41,673,986
気象庁	42,870,162,000	6,929,740	0	0	42,773,137,859	0	103,953,881
気象官署	35,884,508,000	0	0	0	35,816,286,907	0	68,221,093
静止気象衛星業務費	3,068,353,000	0	0	0	3,066,441,421	0	1,911,579
気象官署施設費	934,024,000	6,929,740	0	0	940,921,821	0	31,919
気象研究所	2,707,455,000	0	0	0	2,673,732,335	0	33,722,665
行政情報処理調査研究費	4,511,000	0	0	0	4,501,023	0	9,977
特別研究促進調整費	70,527,000	0	0	0	70,504,615	0	22,385
海洋開発調査研究促進費	34,680,000	0	0	0	34,676,272	0	3,728
放射能調査研究費	52,714,000	0	0	0	52,706,219	0	7,781
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	46,362,000	0	0	0	46,354,916	0	7,084
国土総合開発事業調整費	8,028,000	0	0	0	8,027,272	0	728
南極地域觀測事業費	59,000,000	0	0	0	58,985,058	0	14,942
運輸省所管合計	1,370,151,499,000	49,590,934,869	513,057,000	0	1,381,443,146,971	28,614,182,705	10,198,161,193
郵政省所管
郵政本省	9,708,691,000	0	587,438,000	194,520,000	10,479,483,281	0	11,165,719
郵政本省	7,532,779,000	0	587,438,000	194,520,000	8,304,937,248	0	9,799,752
電波監理費	1,954,075,000	0	0	0	1,953,040,684	0	1,034,316
電波監理施設費	207,673,000	0	0	0	207,612,314	0	60,686
生活基盤充实問題調査研究費	2,559,000	0	0	0	2,539,876	0	19,124
行政情報処理調査研究費	4,313,000	0	0	0	4,078,587	0	234,413
災害対策総合推進調整費	701,000	0	0	0	693,828	0	7,172
定住構想推進調査費	6,591,000	0	0	0	6,580,744	0	10,256
電波研究所	5,349,850,000	0	0	5,083,000	5,328,583,863	0	26,349,137
電波研究所	4,566,987,000	0	0	5,083,000	4,545,766,144	0	26,303,856
電波研究所施設費	661,637,000	0	0	0	661,599,850	0	37,150
郵政省所管 労働省所管 (63)

所 管 · 組 織 · 項	歲 出 予 算 額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済歳出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
特別研究促進調整費	19,503,000	0	0	0	19,501,934	0	1,066
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	56,103,000	0	0	0	56,098,577	0	4,423
災害対策総合推進調整費	18,977,000	0	0	0	18,975,030	0	1,970
南極地域観測事業費	26,643,000	0	0	0	26,642,328	0	672
地方電波監理局
地方電波監理局	8,433,346,000	0	0	△	199,603,000	8,231,917,524	0
郵政省所管合計	23,491,887,000	0	587,438,000	0	24,039,984,668	0	39,340,332
労働省所管
労働本省	424,770,773,000	0	128,554,000	△	367,621,000	365,941,303,995	0
労働本省	35,103,963,000	0	0	△	367,621,000	33,000,635,900	0
労働統計調査費	711,432,000	0	0	0	710,862,444	0	569,556
労働者災害補償保険費	2,250,000,000	0	0	0	2,250,000,000	0	0
失業対策事業費	69,877,906,000	0	0	0	69,877,906,000	0	0
特定地域開発就労事業費	6,933,000,000	0	0	0	5,265,085,000	0	1,667,915,000
職業転換対策事業費	32,413,858,000	0	0	0	21,381,579,401	0	11,032,278,599
政府職員等失業者退職手当	1,364,705,000	0	128,554,000	0	1,493,155,052	0	103,948
雇用保険国庫負担金	267,876,000,000	0	0	0	223,723,371,000	0	44,152,629,000
職業訓練費	8,218,274,000	0	0	0	8,218,274,000	0	0
生活基盤充実問題調査研究費	4,303,000	0	0	0	4,269,510	0	33,490
特別研究促進調整費	3,144,000	0	0	0	3,144,000	0	0
沖縄振興開発総合調査費	5,061,000	0	0	0	5,060,395	0	605
定住構想推進調査費	9,127,000	0	0	0	7,961,293	0	1,165,707
労働本省研究機関	618,022,000	0	0	0	610,744,226	0	7,277,774
労働本省研究所	533,107,000	0	0	0	525,833,126	0	7,273,874
特別研究促進調整費	1,212,000	0	0	0	1,209,800	0	2,200
海洋開発調査研究促進費	4,918,000	0	0	0	4,917,740	0	260
国立機関原子力試験研究費	7,827,000	0	0	0	7,827,000	0	0
( 64 ) 労働省所管 建設省所管

所管·組織·項	歲出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済歳出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	70,958,000	0	0	0	70,956,560	0	1,440
中央労働委員会
中央労働委員会	652,449,000	0	0	0	645,593,254	0	6,855,746
公共企業体等労働委員会
公共企業体等労働委員会	770,618,000	0	0	0	762,474,954	0	8,143,046
労 働 保 護 官 署	21,215,340,000	0	0	0	21,108,218,764	0	107,121,236
労 働 保 護 官 署	21,090,968,000	0	0	0	20,984,536,286	0	106,431,714
労 働 統計調査費	124,372,000	0	0	0	123,682,478	0	689,522
職業安定官署
職業安定官署	44,263,627,000	0	0	367,621,000	44,595,439,493	0	35,808,507
労 働 省所管合計	492,290,829,000	0	128,554,000	0	433,663,774,686	0	58,755,608,314
建設省所管
建設本省	4,271,207,449,000	288,006,133,959	13,289,137,000	2,017,000	4,329,857,192,115	236,849,077,113	5,798,467,731
建設本省	19,171,400,000	77,425,000	0	0	18,317,320,000	53,785,000	877,720,000
官 庁 営 繕費	26,996,779,000	4,151,044,200	0	0	26,704,996,921	4,440,061,423	2,764,856
土地区画整理組合貸付金	1,576,000,000	0	0	0	1,576,000,000	0	0
河川管理費	1,114,568,000	0	0	0	1,114,113,356	0	454,644
河川管理施設整備費	203,669,000	0	0	0	203,652,400	0	16,600
河川鉱害復旧事業費	714,000,000	5,782,000	0	0	658,647,000	0	61,135,000
建設事業指導監督費	540,748,000	0	0	0	537,929,433	0	2,818,567
治 水 事 業 費	701,363,290,000	40,112,780,690	0	0	708,559,749,947	32,913,240,000	3,080,743
急傾斜地崩壊対策事業費	25,482,000,000	1,475,913,900	0	0	26,144,828,482	813,074,135	11,283
海岸事業費	22,636,500,000	329,900,000	0	0	22,792,174,852	174,055,000	170,148
海岸事業工事諸費	1,106,592,000	0	0	0	1,106,592,000	0	0
揮発油稅等財源道路整備事業費	1,294,905,690,000	0	0	0	1,294,905,690,000	0	0
道路整備事業費	305,663,310,000	74,241,010,000	7,542,600,000	0	352,658,428,000	34,788,492,000	0
住宅建設等事業費	459,724,138,000	118,507,916,685	0	0	446,246,538,820	128,858,517,600	3,126,998,265
建設省所管 (65)

所管·組織·項	歲出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済歳出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不用額(円)
住宅対策諸費	306,213,513,000	303,687,000	0	0	304,535,038,721	367,738,000	1,614,423,279
都市計画事業費	702,077,855,000	29,825,147,822	0	0	718,482,807,098	13,391,849,454	28,346,270
都市計画事業諸費	16,046,000,000	0	0	0	16,045,672,000	0	328,000
河川等災害復旧事業費	257,601,400,000	7,087,595,096	5,469,741,000	0	262,599,927,358	7,506,054,020	52,754,718
河川等災害復旧事業工事諸費	4,753,700,000	0	118,083,000	0	4,871,783,000	0	0
都市災害復旧事業費	304,000,000	29,314,000	0	0	312,930,000	18,783,000	1,601,000
河川等災害関連事業費	21,759,000,000	5,470,277,366	0	0	23,411,647,175	3,817,614,881	15,310
生活基盤充实問題調査研究費	4,854,000	0	0	0	4,854,000	0	0
行政情報処理調査研究費	4,338,000	0	0	0	4,326,368	0	11,632
北海道海岸事業費	1,951,000,000	0	0	0	1,950,988,330	0	11,670
北海道住宅建設等事業費	27,463,983,000	1,262,439,000	0	2,017,000	25,391,146,000	3,336,303,000	990,000
北海道住宅対策諸費	93,000,000	0	0	0	88,000,000	5,000,000	0
北海道都市計画事業費	41,953,400,000	142,500,000	0	0	42,095,900,000	0	0
北海道特定開発事業推進調査費	99,585,000	0	0	0	99,563,519	0	21,481
施設運営等関連諸費	1,281,474,000	34,535,000	0	0	1,269,798,659	28,286,000	17,924,341
国民生活安定対策等経済政策推進費	11,576,000	0	0	0	11,069,900	0	506,100
環境保全総合調査研究促進調整費	26,768,000	0	0	0	26,763,630	0	4,370
沖縄振興開発総合調査費	12,907,000	0	0	0	12,483,664	0	423,336
沖縄開発事業費	23,605,541,000	4,702,761,000	0	0	21,989,433,960	6,313,622,600	5,245,440
沖縄住宅対策諸費	31,000,000	7,565,000	0	0	31,050,000	7,515,000	0
沖縄特定開発事業推進調査費	26,706,000	0	0	0	26,705,105	0	895
災害対策総合推進調整費	23,587,000	0	0	0	23,481,058	0	105,942
国土計画基礎調査費	329,578,000	0	0	0	329,269,567	0	308,433
定住構想推進調査費	74,012,000	0	0	0	73,948,044	0	63,956
離島振興事業費	2,774,500,000	85,166,200	0	0	2,844,580,200	15,086,000	0
国土総合開発事業調整費	1,482,643,000	153,374,000	0	0	1,635,807,025	0	209,975
科学的財務管理調査費	2,845,000	0	0	0	2,843,523	0	1,477
( 66 ) 建設省所管 自治省所管

所管·組織·項	歲出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
有料道路災害復旧事業費	0	0	158,713,000	0	158,713,000	0	0
国土地理院	7,858,938,000	0	0	0	7,844,536,923	0	14,401,077
国土地理院	7,514,450,000	0	0	0	7,500,141,078	0	14,308,922
国土地理院施設費	250,839,000	0	0	0	250,834,990	0	4,010
特別研究促進調整費	41,410,000	0	0	0	41,402,162	0	7,838
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	25,461,000	0	0	0	25,384,273	0	76,727
南極地域観測事業費	26,778,000	0	0	0	26,774,420	0	3,580
建設本省試験研究機関	4,427,970,000	27,100,000	0	0	4,397,268,536	19,800,000	38,001,464
建設本省試験研究所	3,672,287,000	0	0	0	3,634,566,343	0	37,720,657
建設本省試験研究所施設費	503,411,000	27,100,000	0	0	510,482,495	19,800,000	228,505
特別研究促進調整費	71,738,000	0	0	0	71,725,351	0	12,649
海洋開発調查研究促進費	9,691,000	0	0	0	9,690,000	0	1,000
国立機関原子力試験研究費	40,048,000	0	0	0	40,046,919	0	1,081
環境保全総合調查研究促進調整費	14,077,000	0	0	0	14,076,869	0	131
国立機関公害防止等試験研究費	116,718,000	0	0	0	116,680,559	0	37,441
地方建設官署	12,186,680,000	400,000	10,235,000	0	12,062,680,994	0	134,634,006
地方建設官署	11,930,412,000	0	0	0	11,796,690,671	0	133,721,329
道路災害復旧事業工事諸費	20,000,000	0	10,235,000	0	30,232,947	0	2,053
公園事業工事諸費	234,444,000	400,000	0	0	233,935,926	0	908,074
特別研究促進調整費	1,824,000	0	0	0	1,821,450	0	2,550
建設省所管合計	4,295,681,037,000	288,033,633,959	13,299,372,000	2,017,000	4,354,161,678,568	236,868,877,113	5,985,504,278
自治省所管
自治本省	7,968,982,023,000	0	22,469,513,000	0	7,988,670,247,561	0	2,781,288,439
自治本省	4,873,872,000	0	0	0	4,682,543,325	0	191,328,675
参議院議員通常選挙費	20,290,261,000	0	0	0	19,703,888,097	0	586,372,903
参議院議員通常選挙啓発推進費	449,901,000	0	0	0	447,576,989	0	2,324,011
自治省所管 (67)

所管·組織·項	歲出予算額(円)	前年度線越額(円)	予備費使用額(円)	流用等增△減額(円)	支出済出額(円)	翌年度線越額(円)	不 用 額(円)
地方交付稅交付金	6,952,120,655,000	0	0	0	6,952,120,655,000	0	0
臨時地方特例交付金	379,500,000,000	0	0	0	379,500,000,000	0	0
交付稅及び議与稅配付金特別
会计借入金等利子財源線入	497,190,000,000	0	0	0	497,140,226,647	0	49,773,353
交通安全对策特別交付金	49,152,742,000	0	0	0	49,152,742,000	0	0
地方債元利助成費	11,348,961,000	0	0	0	11,309,327,077	0	39,633,923
地方公營企業助成費	30,238,865,000	0	0	0	30,232,855,000	0	6,010,000
国有提供施設等所在市町村助
成交付金	18,800,000,000	0	0	0	18,800,000,000	0	0
施設等所在市町村調整交付金	5,000,000,000	0	0	0	5,000,000,000	0	0
沖縄振興開発総合調查費	6,133,000	0	0	0	5,483,655	0	649,345
定住構想推進調查費	10,633,000	0	0	0	10,560,720	0	72,280
眾議院議員及參議院議員補欠
等選挙費	0	0	1,127,970,000	0	1,126,362,703	0	1,607,297
眾議院議員総選挙費	0	0	21,106,402,000	0	19,203,994,528	0	1,902,407,472
最高裁判所裁判官国民審查費	0	0	185,141,000	0	184,031,820	0	1,109,180
眾議院議員総選挙啓発推進費	0	0	50,000,000	0	50,000,000	0	0
消防厅	20,687,195,000	566,840,000	0	0	20,361,353,622	263,000,000	629,681,378
消防厅	5,534,477,000	468,840,000	0	0	5,407,994,894	263,000,000	332,322,106
消防施設等整備費補助	14,667,436,000	98,000,000	0	0	14,471,294,000	0	294,142,000
消防研究所	467,352,000	0	0	0	464,271,665	0	3,080,335
国立機関原子力試験研究費	8,772,000	0	0	0	8,770,160	0	1,840
災害対策総合推進調整費	9,158,000	0	0	0	9,022,903	0	135,097
自治省所管合計	7,989,669,218,000	566,840,000	22,469,513,000	0	8,009,031,601,183	263,000,000	3,410,969,817
歳出合計	43,681,366,649,000	634,217,198,363	252,065,442,000
252,065,442,000	0	43,405,025,594,041	539,155,052,562	371,403,200,760
ESRI Discussion Paper Series No.206

# Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models Under a Liquidity Trap and Self-organizing State Space Modeling

by

Koiti Yano

February 2009

Economic and Social Research Institute

Cabinet Office

Tokyo, Japan
# Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models Under a Liquidity Trap and Self-organizing State Space Modeling

by

Koiti Yano $ ^{1} $
## Abstract

This paper proposes a new method to estimate parameters of dynamic general equilibrium models under a liquidity trap based on the Monte Carlo particle filter, proposed by Kitagawa (1996) and Gordon et al. (1993), and a self-organizing state space model, proposed by Kitagawa (1998). This method is a natural extension of Yano (2009). In our method, we estimate the parameters using the time-varying-parameter approach, which is often used to infer invariant parameters practically. Our method is based on Bayesian statistics and nonlinear, non-Gaussian, and non-stationary state space modeling to estimate unknown parameters and states. In most previous papers on DSGE models, structural parameters of them are assumed to be “deep (invariant).” Our method, however, analyzes how stable structural parameters are. Adopting it creates the great advantage that the structural changes of parameters are detected naturally. The second advantage of our method is that we are able to estimate new Keynesian DSGE models under a liquidity trap (Krugman (1998)) because nonlinear, non-Gaussian, and non-stationary state space models allow model switching. In our method, the fit of a DSGE model is evaluated using the log-likelihood of it. Thus, we are able to compare the fits of DSGE models. Moreover, we estimate time-varying trends of macroeconomic data: real output, inflation rate, and real interest rate. Our method is an alternative to detrending methods based on the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter, the Christiano-Fitzgerald filter, and other filtering algorithms. In our framework, we emphasize that natural rates of macroeconomic data, time-varying parameters, and unknown states are estimated simultaneously. In empirical analysis, we estimate new Keynesian DSGE models under a liquidity trap using Japanese macroeconomic data which includes the “zero-interest-rate” period (1999-2006). The analysis shows that the growth rate of natural output declines in the late 1990s, but, becomes as high as about 2% in the mid-2000s. The target rate of inflation is too low in the 1990s and the 2000s, and it causes deflation in the Japanese economy.

Keywords: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models, monetary policy, zero interest rate bound, liquidity trap, Monte Carlo particle filter

JEL Classification Codes: C11, C13, E32
## 1 Introduction

In recent years, some topics in the Japanese economy are the reasons behind the long-term stagnation in the 1990s and the deflation from the late 1990s to the early 2000s. The 1990s are often called “a lost decade” because the real growth of the Japanese economy suddenly slowed down and the economy experienced a long-term recession at the time. Furthermore, deflation, and growth rate of GDP deflator from 1994 to the early 2000s are observed in the economy. To fight against deflation, the Bank of Japan adopted a zero-interest-rate policy from 1999 to 2006 and a quantitative-easing policy from 2001 to 2006.

The reasons behind the lost decade have been actively debated. Was it caused by aggregate supply factors (such as Hayashi and Prescott (2002), Hayashi (2003) and Miyao (2006)), or aggregate demand factors (such as Kuttner and Posen (2001) and Kuttner and Posen (2002)) $ ^{2} $ ? Hayashi and Prescott (2002) point out that the slowdown of total factor productivity growth in the 1990s and the reduction of the work-week length cause the long-term recession. Thus, Hayashi (2003) proposes structural reforms of the Japanese economy to escape from long-term stagnation. Krugman (1998), however, emphasizes the importance of monetary factors. He points out that the economy is “trapped” by the non-negativity constraint on short-term nominal interest rates because of deflation, and calls the situation a liquidity trap $ ^{3} $ . To escape from the trap and long-term stagnation, he proposes adopting inflation targeting in the Japanese economy. The two seminal papers beget a great number of papers, for example, McCallum (2000), Svensson (2001), Eggertsson and Woodford (2003), Jung et al. (2005), Baba et al. (2005), Adam and Billi (2006), Braun and Waki (2006), Braun and Shioji (2006), and Eggertsson and Pugsley (2006), and Nakajima (2008). Ugai (2007) is a survey on the zero-interest-rate policy and the quantitative-easing policy of the Bank of Japan, and many related papers are cited therein. The discussion of these papers is based on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models.

In recent years, new Keynesian, dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models of monetary analysis have been rapidly developing. The early works of Kimball (1995), Roberts (1995), and Yun (1996) beget the subsequent many papers (see McCallum and Nelson (1999), Clarida et al. (1999), Gali (2002), and related literatures which are referred therein) $ ^{4} $ . “Middle-size” new Keynesian models are developed by Christiano et al. (2005) and Smets and Wouters (2003), and their models are often adopted by practitioners in the government and the central bank. The fit performance of their models is discussed by Fout (2005), Trabandt (2006), and Del Negro et al. (2007). However, there exist some problems to analyze the Japanese economy in the 1990s and the 2000s using DSGE models because we don’t have standard tools to estimate the natural rates of the economy and parameters of DSGE models under a liquidity trap (the non-negativity constraint on short-term nominal interest rates) $ ^{5} $ .
Bayesian statistics are now becoming a standard tool to estimate DSGE models. Smets and Wouters (2003), Levin et al. (2005), Del Negro et al. (2007), Smets and Wouters (2007), and Hirose and Naganuma (2007) estimate parameters of new Keynesian DSGE models using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods (MCMC). Fernandez-Villaverde and Rubio-Ramirez (2005) and Fernandez-Villaverde and Rubio-Ramirez (2007a) have shown that the Monte Carlo particle filter (MCPF) and maximizing likelihood can be successfully applied to estimate DSGE models $ {}^{6} $ . An and Schorfheide (2007) is an excellent survey on this area $ {}^{7} $ . Using MCMC, Iiboshi et al. (2005), Sugo and Ueda (2008), and Ichiue et al. (2008) estimate DSGE models for Japan in the “pre-zero-interest-rate” period (1970[1981]-1995) $ {}^{8} $ . They avoid using data from the “zero-interest-rate” period (1999-2006) because it is necessary to estimate the nonlinear Taylor rule (the Taylor rule with the non-negativity constraint on short-term nominal interest rates). However, the periods are a matter of serious concern for long-term stagnation and deflation. Thus, there exists a need to estimate DSGE models for the Japanese economy including the “zero-interest-rate” period (1999-2006).

This paper proposes a new method to estimate parameters of dynamic general equilibrium models under a liquidity trap based on the Monte Carlo particle filter, proposed by Kitagawa (1996) and Gordon et al. (1993), and a self-organizing state space model, proposed by Kitagawa (1998) $ ^{9} $ . This method is a natural extension of Yano (2009). Our method is based on Bayesian statistics and nonlinear, non-Gaussian, and non-stationary state space modeling (NNNSS) to estimate unknown parameters and states. In our method, we estimate the parameters using the time-varying-parameter approach, which is often used to infer invariant parameters practically. In most previous papers on DSGE models, structural parameters of them are assumed to be “deep (invariant).” Our method, however, analyzes how stable structural parameters are. Adopting it creates the great advantage that the structural changes of parameters are detected naturally. It is a general framework for estimating DSGE models. Additionally, we would like to stress that the novel feature of our method is that we are able to estimate DSGE models under a liquidity trap (Krugman (1998)) because it is based on NNNSS. In the other words, it is able to estimate DSGE models with the nonlinear Taylor rule. In our method, the fit of a DSGE model is evaluated using the log-likelihood of it. Thus, we are able to compare the fits of DSGE models. Moreover, we estimate time-varying trends of macroeconomic data: natural output, a inflation rate, and a real interest rate $ ^{10} $ . To estimate trends of macroeconomic data, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King