Mark Blyth Predicts Trump Will Win Reelection as President in 2020
Channel: Jason Zenith
Date: 2019-09-13

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Scottish political economist and anti-Neoliberalist Mark Blyth confidently predicts, unequivocally and without qualification, that Trump will be reelected next year to the White House, seat of the U.S. imperial presidency, the modern emperorship of the U.S. empire.  

He doesn't predict this because he supports Trump, as he makes clear. Blyth makes his argument based on voter turnout, which he predicates on voter fervor (or lack of) among Trump supporters vs. those who would vote for the Democratic challenger, whoever that turns out to be. In short, he sees what is commonly called in U.S. political chatter an "enthusiasm gap." 

But we should remember that Hillary Clinton was regarded unfavorably by something like 59% in polls. (Trump's unfavorability was I believe 79% or thereabouts. This is not a contradiction to his support by 40% in polls of likely voters: turnout was about the usual 55%, so many of the 45% of non-voters were turned off by both candidates.) Yet Clinton received 2.9 million MORE votes than Trump, In a normal election in an actual democracy, Clinton was the winner. But this is the U.S. of A.

Since none of the current candidates for the Democratic nomination have such high unfavorabilitiy ratings as Clinton, nor a major scandal like her private email server (to hide the record of her communications as Secretary of State under Barack "The Drone Assassin" Obama), Blyth's analysis is too pessimistic.

On the other hand, going for Blyth's prediction, although he doesn't mention it, and is possibly unaware of it, is the Republican Party's penchant for election-stealing. The GOP (Gang Of Plunderers) has stolen THREE presidential elections in the past two decades, and numerous elections for other offices like for the U.S. Senate. In 2000, when the machinations of Florida Governor Jeb Bush, brother of GOP presidential candidate George Bush, to steal Florida for his brother got bogged down, five GOP apparatchiks sitting on the Supreme Court stopped the recount on a patently fabricated "Constitutional" basis to deliver the victory to their party. In 2004, via a computer vote-switching scheme that has been thoroughly exposed, the GOP stole Ohio, enabling Bush to win reelection. (The GOP also isn't above murder to win office, as when the assassinated Senators Mel Carnahan and Paul Wellstone.)

I don't think another Trump victory is as sure a thing as Blyth does. Blyth is a guy who is very sure about everything he says. But Trump is definitely stronger now than before his election. His chances of winning election are actually better now than in 2016. The Democrats handed him a gift with the hoax that he is controlled by the Kremlin. This is so obviously false, that putting Trump under attack by the former FBI secret police boss Robert S. Mueller III, the Democratic Party and all its apparatchiks and media mouthpieces, and elements of the secret police deep state, for two and a half years, to come up with virtually nothing of substance to substantiate the myth-making, makes Trump look like a victim of a vendetta by sore losers. Meanwhile the Democrats are under pressure to make things worse by voting to impeach him in the House of Representatives (which they control) to appease those who find Trump unbearably revolting. (He is truly loathsome of course, but there is no way the GOP-controlled Senate would vote to convict him and remove him from office, which requires a two-thirds majority in that chamber to do.)

I have written numerous essays on Donald Trump, such as "U.S. Media Looking Down the Barrel of the Most Media-Hostile Presidential Regime in History," at https://jasonzenith.blogspot.com/2016/11/us-media-looking-down-barrel-of-most.html, and " Anti-Muslim Bigot & Demagogue U.S. President Trump Slimes London Mayor After Terrorist Attack," at "https://jasonzenith.blogspot.com/2017/06/anti-muslim-bigot-demagogue-us.html ." Search "Trump" on the pages and you will find many more.

This clip is an excerpt from the video, "Mark Blyth - Global Trumpism and the Future of the Global Economy," a talk given on June 26, 2019. Here's a link to it: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KGuaoARJYU0
[TO PERUSE VIDEOS ON MY CHANNEL, GO TO https://www.youtube.com/user/jasonzenith/videos]