Russian forces accelerate pace of offensive operations amid rising casualties
Channel: Kanal13
Date: 09/04/2024

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Experts at the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) have concluded that Russian troops are fast-tracking offensive operations across the entire war zone in Ukraine while "mitigating likely increased manpower and materiel losses".
ISW noted that Lieutenant General Kyrylo Budanov, Head of Defence Intelligence of Ukraine, stated that Ukraine expects Russian offensive activities to step up in late spring and early summer.
"Late spring or early summer, we expect an increase in Russian offensive efforts, especially in Donbas," Budanov said. He explained that the Russians may try to "scatter Ukrainian efforts on the front" with mass attacks, but Ukraine is preparing for this.
He characterized the current situation at the front as "rather difficult, but controlled", because the Russians do nothing unpredictable. Ukraine's chief intelligence officer does not expect major changes on the frontline until the Russian offensive begins.
In addition, analysts pointed out that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had previously stated that Russia's primary offensive efforts could begin in late May or June.
"ISW has recently observed that Russian forces intensified the tempo of their offensive operations across the theatre, including by conducting a roughly reinforced company-sized mechanised assault toward Chasiv Yar on 4 April, and continues to assess that the Russian military appears to be successfully mitigating likely increased manpower and materiel losses."
Zelenskyy and senior Ukrainian military officials have recently cautioned that security assistance delays have caused Ukraine to cede the initiative on the battlefield to Russia and that the Ukrainian military cannot plan a successful counteroffensive or defence unless it is certain about when and what kind of aid Ukraine will obtain.
ISW continues to assess that delays in Western security assistance are forcing Ukraine's Defence Forces to make tough decisions about prioritising certain defence aspects at the expense of countering the Russian military capability initiative or planning future counteroffensive operations, as the ongoing debate in the US over military assistance rages on.
Russian forces recently made confirmed advances near Avdiivka amid continued positional fighting along the entire line of contact.
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