Step 3.9 Modelling the outbreak and making projections
Channel: LSHTM Technology Enhanced Learning team
Date: 16/06/2015

The purpose of infectious disease transmission models is to improve our understanding of the key drivers of disease spread and to make predictions about what might happen next. Although models giving long-term predictions tend to make headlines they can be very inaccurate. In this video Professor John Edmunds describes the basic principles, how models can be helpful, and how we should be cautious when interpreting their predictions.