Western officials increasingly believe Russia could attack NATO country
Channel: Kanal13
Date: 18/02/2024

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Western governments have increasingly warned of a possible Russian attack on NATO countries, based on new assessments of Russia's military capabilities and threats to the Alliance's security, according to 
to Financial Times. 
"We are living in truly dangerous times and at a point when large-scale conflict is more likely than it has been in recent history," said a British military intelligence official.
Russia’s bellicose "intent is still there", said a second UK defence official. "Its land forces have been degraded in Ukraine, but its air force and navy are largely intact, and Russia is still a major nuclear power."
One of the reasons for Western officials' concern is Russia's revival of its defence industry over the past year, which has occurred at a speed that many in the West thought impossible.
Financial Times reported that Russia had produced four million artillery shells and several hundred tanks in the past year. And Ukrainian officials said that this year it would call up another 400,000 people without announcing full-scale mobilisation.
In addition, most Western officials believe that Russia, despite its heavy losses in Ukraine, will be able to rebuild its forces within 5-6 years.
One European official said that Russia's intention and ability to attack a NATO country before the end of the decade is "pretty much consensus" in the military alliance.
"Opportunity is the only variable," the official said.
Financial Times also quoted an unnamed Ukrainian official as saying that Kyiv has "strong intelligence" that Putin is preparing for a war against the Baltic states.
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