How plausible is the result of Sierra Leone's 2023 Election? Video analysis of voting patterns.
Channel: DocPr1mus
Date: 2023-07-06

A video analysis of long-term voting patterns in Sierra Leone, which addresses the question: How credible is the official result of the 2023 election against the background of widespread rigging allegations from national and international observers?

Join me as I explore the dynamics of Sierra Leone's voting behavior using Afrobarometer survey data. Assess the plausibility of the 2023 election outcome through an examination of ethnic voting dynamics, performance-based voting, and the impact of critical issues.

#PoliticalScience #ComparativePolitics  #AfricanPolitics #SierraLeone #VotingBehavior #RegressionAnalysis 

⏱️Chapters⏱️
00:00 Introduction – Sierra Leone and 2023 Election Result
01:16 Rigging Allegations 
02:35 Voting Patterns in Sierra Leone 
03:46 Ethnic Voting Patterns 
05:02 Performance-based Voting 
08:36 Cost-of-Living Crisis 2022/2023 
09:25 Conclusion: How plausible is the result? 
11:20 Literature Recommendations 

For more, also follow me on twitter: https://twitter.com/sim_prim

I use Afrobarometer Data , which is freely available at: https://www.afrobarometer.org/

📚 Links to Literature Recommendations📚 

On Ethnic Voting 
Ichino, Nahomi, and Noah L. Nathan.  2012.  "Crossing the Line: Local Ethnic Geography and Voting in Ghana."  American Political Science Review 107: 344-61. 
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/american-political-science-review/article/crossing-the-line-local-ethnic-geography-and-voting-in-ghana/56C747D7ED1F6B3374438F346DA42A17

On Performance Voting 
Weghorst, Keith R., and Staffan I. Lindberg.  2013.  "What Drives the Swing Voter in Africa?".  
American Journal of Political Science 57: 717-34. https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/ajps.12022

On Moral Expectations in African Elections. Civil vs Patrimonial.  
Cheeseman, Nic, Gabrielle Lynch, and Justin Willis.  2021.  The Moral Economy of Elections in Africa: Democracy, Voting and Virtue.  Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. 
https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/moral-economy-of-elections-in-africa/DDAE0D88636E296400383CFFFA2D13DF

On Democratic Citizens vs. Autocratic Elites 
Gyimah-Boadi, Emmanuel.  2019.  "Aspirations and Realities in Africa: Democratic Delivery Falls Short."  Journal of Democracy 30: 86-93. 
https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/articles/aspirations-and-realities-in-africa-democratic-delivery-falls-short/

On Sierra Leone and its Political History 
Harris, David John.  2014.  Sierra Leone: A Political History: Oxford University Press, USA. https://books.google.de/books/about/Sierra_Leone.html?id=R1R7ngEACAAJ&redir_esc=y

Also, check the fabulous Magazine The Continent: Issue 130 contains the reporting on Sierra Leone: https://www.thecontinent.org/archive