Premise: So what about luck and when can we begin to rule it out? In the coin tossing experiment it would appear pretty self-evident that landing 8 heads out of 20 would not be evidence of a biased coin, given that there is a 1 in 4 chance that it should happen for an unbiased coin. Similarly, landing 400 heads from 1,000 tosses would offer pretty definitive evidence for the coin being biased, with a 1 in 7 billion expectation that it would happen for an unbiased coin. What about the 40 heads from 100 tosses? A 3% probability is small
Statement: What about the 40 heads from 100 tosses? A 3% probability is tiny
Relationship: entailment