Terminal aerodrome forecast

Terminal aerodrome forecast
In meteorology and aviation, terminal aerodrome forecast (TAF) is a format for reporting weather forecast information, particularly as it relates to aviation. TAFs are issued at least four times a day, every six hours, for major civil airfields: 0000, 0600, 1200 and 1800 UTC, and generally apply to a 24- or 30-hour period, and an area within approximately (or in Canada) from the center of an airport runway complex. TAFs are issued every three hours for military airfields and some civil airfields and cover a period ranging from 3 hours to 30 hours.
TAFs complement and use similar encoding to METAR reports. They are produced by a human forecaster based on the ground. For this reason, there are considerably fewer TAF locations than there are airports for which METARs are available. TAFs can be more accurate than numerical weather forecasts, since they take into account local, small-scale, geographic effects.
In the United States, the weather forecasters responsible for the TAFs in their respective areas are located within one of the 122 Weather Forecast Offices operated by the United States' National Weather Service. In contrast, a trend type forecast (TTF), which is similar to a TAF, is always produced by a person on-site where the TTF applies. In the United Kingdom, most TAFs for military airfields are produced locally, however TAFs for civil airfields are produced at the Met Office headquarters in Exeter.
The United States Air Force employs active duty enlisted personnel as TAF writers. Air Force weather personnel are responsible for providing weather support for all Air Force and Army operations.
Different countries use different change criteria for their weather groups. In the United Kingdom, TAFs for military airfields use colour states as one of the change criteria. Civil airfields in the UK use slightly different criteria.
Code
This TAF example of a 30-hour TAF was released on November 5, 2008, at 1730 UTC:
TAF
KXYZ 051730Z 0518/0624 31008KT 3SM -SHRA BKN020
FM052300 30006KT 5SM -SHRA OVC030
PROB30 0604/0606 VRB20G35KT 1SM TSRA BKN015CB
FM060600 25010KT 4SM -SHRA OVC050
TEMPO 0608/0611 2SM -SHRA OVC030
RMK NXT FCST BY 00Z=
The first line contains identification and validity times.
TAF indicates that the following is a terminal aerodrome forecast.
KXYZ indicates the airport to which the forecast applies (ICAO airport code).
051730Z indicates that the report was issued on the 5th of the month at 1730 UTC (also known as Zulu, hence the Z).
0518/0624 indicates that the report is valid from the 5th at 1800 UTC until the 6th at 2400 UTC.
The remainder of the first line contain the initial forecast conditions. Variations of the codes used for various weather conditions are many.
31008KT indicates that the wind will be from 310° true at .
3SM -SHRA BKN020 indicates that visibility will be in light showers (SH) of rain (RA), with a broken ceiling (between and of the sky covered) at above ground level (AGL).
Each line beginning with FM indicates a rapid change in the weather over a period of less than an hour.
FM052300 indicates the next period lasts from (FM) the 5th at 2300 UTC to the 6th at 0600 UTC (the effective time on the next FM line). The remainder of the line has similar formatting to the other forecast lines: 30006KT wind from 300° at , 5SM visibility , -SHRA light rain showers, OVC030 overcast at .
PROB30 indicates a 30% probability of the following temporary conditions on the 6th between 0400 UTC and 0600 UTC: VRB20G35KT wind of variable direction at with gusts up to , 1SM visibility , TSRA thunderstorms and rain, BKN015CB broken cumulonimbus clouds at .
FM060600 indicates that the next period lasts from the 6th at 0600 UTC until 2400 UTC (the end of the forecast period, as there is no following FM): 25010KT wind from 250° at , 4SM visibility , -SHRA light rain showers, OVC050 overcast at .
TEMPO means that these conditions are temporarily replaced, for periods up to 50% of the time, between 0800 UTC and 1100 UTC with: 2SM visibility , -SHRA light rain showers, OVC030 overcast at . (The wind speed remains the same, as it is not mentioned.)
The final line is for errata, comments, and remarks.
RMK NXT FCST BY 00Z indicates a remark that the next forecast will be issued by 0000 UTC.
See also
Area forecast
IWXXM
METAR
Pilot report
Trend type forecast
References
External links
Online TAF Decoder
CheckWX Raw and decoded TAFs, trends and graphs searchable by location.
IWXXM 1.0 Official WMO/ICAO representation of TAF information in XML
Aviation meteorology
Meteorological data and networks
Weather forecasting