The 18th AIM International Workshop Sustainable Low Carbon Transport
Shivika Mittal Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad, India
1. Basic Information about the target region 2. Contribution of Transport to India's total CO2 emissions Objectives 3. 4. Strategies for Sustainable Low Carbon Transport 5. Scenario assumptions 6. Results
•  Assess long-term transitions of the national transport system under low carbon stabilization scenarios •  Long term emission trajectories  using different demand and supply side strategies under different scenarios
Demand side strategies • Sustainable mobility : • Reducing the number of trips : shifting to ICT technologies i.e. video conferencing, online shopping • Reducing the average travel distance: by improving land-use planning Supply Side strategies • Sustainable energy : Cleaner fuels (bio-fuels, renewable  electricity) • Sustainable technologies :  reducing  car size • Increasing the modal share of less energy intensive mode like railways, public transport & NMT
Total Energy Consumption(Mtoe) Total CO2 Emissions(MtCO2eq )
■ 2010 BL ■ 2030 BL ■ 2030 Fuel_Switch ■ 2030 Dem_Red ■ 2030 Dem_Eff ■ 2050 BL ■ 2050 Fuel_Switch ■ 2050 Dem_Red ■ 2050 Dem_Eff
Low Carbon Scenario in Transport Sector at Bhopal Dr. Kshama Puntambekar Department of Planning School of Planning and Architecture, Bhopal
Population of India -  in year 2011 1.22 billion Population of Madhya Pradesh in year 2011 7,25,97,565 Population of Bhopal Census 2011 23,68,145 Area of District 2,772 km². Vehicular population in Bhopal
Land Use distribution in Bhopal /ehicular Growth in Bhopal 2W 4W Goods Public Buses others
In the developing countries Study at Local level are important for fast growing cities with multiplying demand. To develop Local level detailed model for urban and rural context to incorporate the local factors and lifestyle for precise results. AIM/Enduse model is applied for projections in Transport Sector and Residential Sector for Urban and Rural Areas in Bhopal Workshop was a learning of application of model in understanding the role of Emission tax, Energy tax, discount rate for return and shares of technologies to  develop Scenarios to achieve for Low Carbon Societies. Assumptions Services in Transport Sector Gas - 1 CO2 2 Region - 2 Sector – Service - 4
Transport Urban Freight  Existing Technology
Transport Urban Passenger Future Technology
Transport Urban Freight  Future Technology
Emissions
Energy Demand Energy Share More Human energy is used due to heavy emission tax Emissions are reduced
Rural Develop low carbon scenario for Bhopal in transport sector Assess the change in amount of trip generated due to change in land use Total emission  in transport sector in ●Business as usual without change in land use distribution •Counter Measure -2030 1.     Change in Land use leading to trip reduction Use of AFLOU/LULUCF model to develop land use change scenarios Develop Transport Passenger Demand model Dr. Kshama Puntambekar Faculty, Department of Planning School of Planning and Architecture, Bhopal Email: kshama@spabhopal.ac.in Shivika Mittal Doctoral Scholar Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad Email: shivikam@iimahd@irnet.in Thank You