Promote sound climate financing mechanism
for nature capital

企業概要

カーボン市場の透明性を高める

2© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

企業概要

透明性の高い自然資本のプロジェクト評価技術を用いて、買い手とプロジェクト開発者を繋げ、自然保全プロジェクトへの資金循環を後押しする
REDD
IFM

BuyersOur company

Quality
Evaluation

Investors

ARR
ALM

Project Developer

Carbon Credit Reporting Platform(subscriptionplusconsulting)Credit Issuance

Verification

Origination and Early Financing Platform
Reporting
Forwardtrading(offtake contract)3＋• Cash flow analysis• Contract support• Delivery risk assessment• Analysis support- Causal-Inference- Matching- BenchmarkingValidation

Pipeline Listing

ProjectDevelopment© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

背景

グリーンウォッシングからグリーンハッシングへ
ジャンクカーボンクレジットに対する批判

4Source: Nikkei Asia, Guardian, REDD+ Monitor, South Pole, Bloomberg（達成目標について）沈黙する企業© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

今回の取り組み内容

Carbon Credit Reporting Platform
By combining remote sensing and causal inference technology, our service aims to enhance
the transparency of carbon initiatives through an easy-to-understand visualization of theeffects of both the reduction and absorption of greenhouse gas emissions in projects
pertaining to afforestation or conservation of forests and peatlands.

Case Studies

Buyers

Project Developers

Project selection for carbon offsetting

We were able to explain to our clients inusually needs to be carried out in aa way that was easy to understand,very short timeframe. This service has

what is often technical and difficult toenabled the selection of carbon

communicate, such as carbon stocks per

projects from a short list, with efficienthectare and the emission reductions

due diligence in a short period of time.

from reduced forest fires.

5© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

今回の取り組み内容: カーボンクレジットのDue Diligent サービス

Carbon Credit Reporting Platform (cont.)
Our analysis covers ARR, REDD and WRC projects

REDD: baseline

6

REDD: Carbon Stock

Fact Sheet + IPCC DB

WRC report© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

今回の取り組み内容

Our Technology
Ou r u n iq u en ess

I n teg ra ted ex-a n te a n d ex-p ost b a selin e estim a tion fra m ew ork
Ba selin e

Proved causal inference-based baseline quantification

Monitoring•

Baselines (in other words, what would have happened if the project was not implemented) are•In forest carbon credit, the concept of dynamic (or ex-post)baseline has been discussed to overcome the criticism of junkcarbon credit, while an ex-ante baseline is still necessary in termsof a project finance and risk assessment.

•We have developed a Bayesian state-space SCM (SyntheticControl Method), which integrates both ex-ante and ex-postbaseline estimation in a time-series causal inference framework.
Our scientific paper has been accepted by NeurIPS 2022 Climate
Change AI workshop and selected as a spot-light talk.

•Our own algorithm will play an important role for potential creditbuyers when they consider early financing to a nature-basedcarbon project and evaluate the delivery risk in the anticipationof PCU (Projected Carbon Unit).

crucial for determining the quality of carbon credits. However, they can be misreported, making
a project appear more effective at reducing emissions than it actually is, leading togreenwashing criticism. We avoid that by using multiple approaches to validate our baselines
and ensure their accuracy.
NeurIPS 2022 (link)

Best Paper(NeurIPS 2022: Climate Change AI workshop)

ex-post evaluation

A carbon credit is issued based on the difference between theactual result and the counterfactual baseline, assuming theabsence of the project.

Monitoring
ex-post evaluation

ex-ante prediction

Project startOu r u n iq u en ess
15
Biod
iversity m on itorin g© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

•••

Co-b en efit

High-frequency tree growth monitoring•sustainacraft actively contributes to the development of natural
capital and biodiversity assessment methods. These include
proprietary satellite imagery analysis and causal inference-basedreference condition estimation technology.

•We have partnered with NIES (National Institute forEnvironmental Studies) and Hitotsubashi University, which are
one of the leading institutions focusing on biodiversity, forest, andsocial studies in Japan (see this partnership here).

•We are also selected as TNFD Data Catalyst Initiative (see theparticipants list here). TNFD (Taskforce on Nature-Related
Financial Disclosures) is an international initiative to provide aframework for how organizations can address environmental risks
and opportunities with the ultimate goal of channeling capital
flows into positive action.

•Our technology developed in this context could also be usedfor ALM (Agricultural Land Management) project development forcompanies in the agricultural commodity-related sector.

We have developed an integrated framework of satellite-based remote sensing and geospatial
tree growth-model parameter estimation. Our technologies (accuracy and practicality) wereproven in various forests across the globe.

177

Vertica l stru ctu re of forest d erived from satellite Lid a r d ata
Sta tistics of can op y h eig h tGeosp atia l m od elin g

Estim a tion ofsp ecies occu rren ce m a p© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Our uniqueness(1) Integrated ex-ante and ex-post baseline estimation framework

素材
（前頁）

Baseline
Monitoring

A carbon credit is issued based on the difference between theactual result and the counterfactual baseline, assuming theabsence of the project.

•In forest carbon credit, the concept of dynamic (or ex-post)baseline has been discussed to overcome the criticism of junkcarbon credit, while an ex-ante baseline is still necessary in termsof a project finance and risk assessment.

••

We have developed a Bayesian state-space SCM (SyntheticControl Method), which integrates both ex-ante and ex-postbaseline estimation in a time-series causal inference framework.
Our scientific paper has been accepted by NeurIPS 2022 Climate
Change AI workshop and selected as a spot-light talk.

•Our own algorithm will play an important role for potential credit
buyers when they consider early financing to a nature-basedcarbon project and evaluate the delivery risk in the anticipationof PCU (Projected Carbon Unit).

8

ex-post evaluation
Monitoring
ex-post evaluation

ex-ante prediction

Project start© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Our uniqueness
素材（前頁）(3) Biodiversity monitoring
Co-benefit•

sustainacraft actively contributes to the development of naturalcapital and biodiversity assessment methods. These include
proprietary satellite imagery analysis and causal inference-basedreference condition estimation technology.

•We have partnered with NIES (National Institute forEnvironmental Studies) and Hitotsubashi University, which are
one of the leading institutions focusing on biodiversity, forest, andsocial studies in Japan (see this partnership here).

•We are also selected as TNFD Data Catalyst Initiative (see theparticipants list here). TNFD (Taskforce on Nature-Related
Financial Disclosures) is an international initiative to provide aframework for how organizations can address environmental risks
and opportunities with the ultimate goal of channeling capital
flows into positive action.

•Our technology developed in this context could also be used
for ALM (Agricultural Land Management) project development forcompanies in the agricultural commodity-related sector.

9•••

Vertical structure of forest derived from satellite Lidar data
Statistics of canopy height
Geospatial modeling

Estimation ofspecies occurrence map© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

今後の活動方針①: 双方向コミュニケーションPFのローンチ

カーボン市場の透明性向上に向けて、買い手と売り手、双方向のコミュニケーションPFを3月にβ版ローンチ予定-Buyers
Investors

Ask questions, view discussions

Export opinion

Researcher/ Experts

10

Data extraction, analysis and visualization
Operate the platform
Add comment, data, andrebuttal

Project
DeveloperPrice, market transaction

Data Provider© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

今後の活動方針②: 金融機関様向け

一緒に日本企業の資金を海外の自然保全活動に循環させていきませんか

Source:https://www.schroders.com/en/global/media-relations/media-centre/schroders-and-conservation-international-to-accelerate-global-investment-in-natural-climate-solutions/
https://www.im.natixis.com/en-institutional/news/kering-and-l-occitane-group-join-forces-to-finance-nature-protection-at-scale11© 2022 sustainacraft, Inc. All Rights Reserved.