APEC EGEE&C 49 and EGNRET 48 Joint Meeting
Jeju, Korea, 28 March, 2017

APERC Activities Overview

Martin BROWN-SANTIRSO, Alexey KABALINSKIY, NGUYEN Linh Dan
Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre (APERC)

1. APERC Overall Activities

APERC Activities (1)1. Research activities
a. APEC Energy Demand and Supply Outlook (EDSO)
b. Topical studies
c. Yearly APEC Energy Overview

2. Cooperative Projects
a. Peer Review on Energy Efficiency (PREE)
b. Low Carbon Energy Projects (PRLCE, LCMT)
c. Energy Security Projects (OGSI)

3. Training
4. Annual Conference and Advisory Board
Meeting
5. Other activities
3APERC Activities (2)Reporting

EGCFE:1996-EMM

Instruction:2008:2012-

EWG

EGNRET

EGEDA

EGEEC

LCMT-TF

TopicalResearch

LCMT
PRLCE
OGSI




OGSE (Exercise)
OGSN (Network)
OGSS (Study)

CEEDS
PREE

 PREE &Follow-up
PREE Compendium PREEEE Policy
 Compendium
Workshop

PREE

Cooperative Projects

Overview

Outlook
AnnualConference
LNG ProducerConsumer Conferencewith METI

Joint Symposiumwith IEEJ

DataNetwork
Model
Training

APERC Activities
42. Recent achievements

The latest EDSO: 6th edition
 The ‘APEC Energy Demand andSupply Outlook’ project is apriority task, published every 3-4years.
 Two volumes: APEC as a region
and economy individually.
 The 6th edition released on May
2016.
Roadshows to present the Outlook findings:
17 economies: Australia, Canada, Chile, China, Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia,
New Zealand, PNG, Peru, the Philippines, Russia, Singapore, Chinese Taipei,Thailand, the United States and Viet Nam.
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APEC Energy Overview 2015
Energy Overview focuses on supply/demand, policy
1. Introduction
2. Energy Supply and Demand––Primary Energy Supply
Final Energy Consumption

3. Energy Intensity Analysis
4. Policy Overview–––––

Energy Policy Framework
Energy Markets
Energy Efficiency
Renewable Energy
Climate Change

5. Notable Energy Developments
6. References
7. Useful Links
Sample of Energy Overview 2015: AUSTRALIAFor more information, visit http://aperc.ieej.or.jp/publications/reports/energy_overview.php

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APEC Peer Review on Energy Efficiency (PREE)

1. Review on Energy Efficiency and follow up• 6 phases, proposing Phase 7• 11 Economies: New Zealand, Chile, Viet Nam,Thailand, Chinese Taipei, Peru, Malaysia,Indonesia, Brunei Darussalam, and Mexico

2. Energy Efficiency Policy Workshop (EEP)• Was held on 27 March in Jeju, Korea

3. Energy Efficiency Policy Compendium• Latest publication: April 2016

Sample of the Compendium: Front CoverFor more information, visit http://aperc.ieej.or.jp/publications/reports/compendium.php

8Topical Research in 2016
1. Natural gas utilization in APEC (IsGolden Age of Gas Still Possible?)

2. Development of nuclear energy inAPEC
3. Impact of low oil price on energy
security (OGSS)
4. Gas Security in APEC (OGSS)
5. Geopolitical implication of Irannuclear agreement (OGSS)
6. Advantages of LPG in case of disaster(OGSS)
7. Energy Security Indexation for Oil andGas in the APEC Region (OGSS)
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3. Ongoing activities

3.1 EDSO 7th edition

Changes in modelling: from 6th edition
MAIN ASSUMPTIONSMacroeco.
model

GDP

Electricity
model

DE
M
A
N
D

Transport
model
Renewables
model
Industry
model
Supplyassumptions
Buildings
model

IMPROVEDEFFICIENCY

SUP
PL
Y

Business-asusual(BAU)

HIGH
RENEWABLES

ALTERNATIVEPOWER MIX

Investment
model12Changes in modelling: to 7th edition• Reduce the number of alternative
scenarios from three to two• Extend the outlook period to 2050
• Integrate renewable energy
analysis with the demand andElectricity models• Enhance the supply model and add
integrating module

APEC
TARGET

Business-asusual(BAU)
2 DEGREE• More collaboration with economies,
for instance modelling assumptions
review process13

Current stage of the 7th edition

2017

Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Economy review of assumptions

Demand model runs
Power and supply model runs
Economy review of model results

143.2 Other activities(selected)

Progress of PRLCE•

Phase 1 (2012-2013): Thailand, the Philippines•

Phase 2 (2013-2014): Indonesia, Malaysia•

Phase 3 (2014-2016): Viet Nam
 The Peer Review report is available at:
http://aperc.ieej.or.jp/publications/reports/prlce.php•

Phase 4 (2017-2018): Papua New Guinea
 The concept note was submitted to the project session 1, 2017;
 Project proposal to be submitted upon approval in May 2017;
 Implementation is planned in August 2017 (TBC).

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Training activities: Trainees and Experts


APERC accepts energy modelling trainees



Dispatches experts to developing economies

PNG

Indonesia

ChileMexico

PNG• June 2016

• Aug 2016

• Oct 2016

• Feb 2017

• Mar 2017

A cooperation course on ‘Energy Issues in the Asia-PacificRegion’ at Waseda University (Japan) started April 2016.

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Thank you for your kind attention!
http://aperc.ieej.or.jp/