Asian
Rural Future2030

Asian Rural Future 2030

Edited by

Kako Inoue, Izuru Saizen, and Minori Tokito
Committee of International Affairs
The Association of Rural Planning, Japan

Committee of International Affairs, The Association of Rural Planning, Japan
Head of Committee, Board member

Kako INOUE, University of Miyazaki

Board member

Izuru SAIZEN, Kyoto University

Board member

Mari TAKEDA, The University of Tokyo
Satoshi ASANO, Kyoto University
Miki NAKANO, Meiji University
Minori TOKITO, Kyoto University

The Association of Rural Planning, Japan
Kinoshitabiru 4F, 3-3-3 Kanda-Misakicho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo, 101-0061, Japan
Edited by Kako Inoue, Izuru Saizen, and Minori Tokito
Committee of International Affairs, The Association of Rural Planning, Japan
Asian Rural Future 2030
First Published Online: February 2022
ISBN 978-4-9907507-3-2

C3861

Neither the editor/author nor the Association of Rural Planning, Japan is responsible for
URLs that may have expired or changed since the manuscript was prepared.

Contents
List of Editors and Contributors
Preface

PART 1: Asian Rural Future 2030 – Country Reports –1

Vietnam Agriculture and Rural: Current & Future Vision

1

3

Le Van An, Vietnam

2

Making Rural Areas as Growth Centers in The Era of Covid-19 and Beyond:Indonesia Case

18

Ernan Rustiadi, Indonesia

3

Issues and Alternatives for Sustainable Development of Rural Areas in Korea

37

Seung-Jong Bae, Korea

4

The Philippines and its Strategies in Achieving Inclusive Growth and Resilient
Communities

48

Cristino L. Tiburan Jr., Philippines

PART 2: Research Articles and Discussions

5

63

A Study on Energy Poverty in Myanmar—Result from the Myanmar survey
in 2018

65

Midori Aoyagi

6

Suburban Development and Its Effects on Ecological Landscape: A case studyof Jiangsu Province from 1998 to 2018, China

72

Yasi Tian and Lei Wang

7

The Impact of Plantation Forestry Development on the Local Environment andLivelihood: Current State and Perspectives of Rural Areas in Central Vietnam
Minori Tokito

i

83

8

Community Design for Ensuring Sustainable and Endogenous Community
Development: A case of ethnic minority communities of remote mountainous
area in Vietnam

91

Thi Thu Oanh Tran, Thi My Hoa Do, Nobuko Otsuki, and Kako Inoue

9

A Study of Travel Motivations and Preferences of Urban Residents for“Countryside Stay” in Japan98

Saki Satoh and Kohei Yagi

10

Why Culture Matters—Analysis and Social Meaning of a Famed Festival in
106

Aso, Japan
Johannes Wilhelm

11

Rethinking Asian Rural Paths: Exploring Risk-Responsive Rural Living in
the Context of Compressed Development
Kako Inoue

ii

114

List of Editors and Contributors
EDITORS

Part I
Izuru Saizen, Kyoto University, Japan
Minori Tokito, Kyoto University, Japan

Part II
Kako Inoue, University of Miyazaki, JapanCONTRIBUTORSPart ILe Van An, Hue University of Agriculture and Forestry, Vietnam
Ernan Rustiadi, IPB University, Indonesia
Seung-Jong Bae, Seoul National University, Korea
Cristino L. Tiburan Jr., University of the Philippines Los Baños, Philippines

Part II
Midori Aoyagi, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Japan
Yasi Tian, Soochow University, China
Lei Wang, Soochow University, China
Minori Tokito, Kyoto University, JapanThi Thu Oanh Tran, Foundation for International Development/Relief (FIDR), Vietnam
Thi My Hoa Do, Foundation for International Development/Relief (FIDR), Vietnam
Nobuko Otsuki, Foundation for International Development/Relief (FIDR), Japan
Kako Inoue, University of Miyazaki, Japan
Saki Satoh, Norinchukin Research Institute Co., Ltd., Japan
Kohei Yagi, Kobe University, Japan
Johannes Wilhelm, Kumamoto University, Japaniii

Preface
Izuru Saizen
The Association of Rural Planning, Japan was founded in 1982 aiming at finding out
the solution of issues in rural areas to create an energetic and attractive rural society while
realizing a rich and beautiful rural environment. In 2021, the number of association
members are around 900 having variety of majoring fields such as social science,
economy, law, architecture, civil engineering, landscape architecture, geography, andenvironmental science. This variety of members’ background have enabled theassociation to enforce researches not only in Japan but also in foreign countries so thatinternational activities such as research collaboration, field visits, and international
conferences became a sequence of the association activities. Accordingly, the association
has contributed to real world and shared acquired professional knowledge of rural areas
with researchers as well as practitioners in the world.
This book is one of the results of the association activities in 2021, being mainly related
to Sustainable Development Goals’ year, 2030. The Sustainable Development Goals, also
known as the Global Goals, were adopted in 2015 as the universal call to action to end
poverty, protect the planet, and ensure that all people enjoy peace and prosperity by 2030.
With less than ten years left, now we need to consider a decade of ambitious action todeliver the Goals by 2030. Although debate at a global scale is heating up, there is a gap
between global and local issues. Especially in rural areas, there are still many challenges
to solve the actual social issues while no country is ignoring the importance of rural areas
as a source of food for human beings as well as a landmark for natural environment.
This book consists of two parts. The first part is based on the online international
symposium entitled “Asian Rural Future 2030” held on September 28, 2021, organizediv

by the association, where four researchers from four Asian countries, which are
Indonesia, South Korea, Philippines, and Vietnam, presented what is currently goingon around/in the rural areas of these countries and consider actual actions needed by
2030. The second part is series of the research articles by researchers who have a close
relationship with the association and some of them presented their researches at theonline international seminar held on February 27, 2021. These researches are treatingsocial, environmental, and economic issues which rural areas are facing and the target
study areas are Japan, China, Vietnam, and Myanmar. Treating domestic andinternational topics in rural areas, readers would be able to get extensive knowledge
through this book.
The situation of rural areas in Asia are different from country to country. Developed
countries in Asia, such as South Korea and Japan are facing population decrease, lessuse of agricultural lands. In Japan, agriculture, forestry and fisheries account for only
1.2% of GDP and more than 90% of the population lives in urban areas. Rural areas
will not only see an increase in abundant land, but also an increase in the number ofarea where people don’t live and there is a need to examine how to maintain andmanage the rural areas. On the other hand, many developing countries in Asia arefacing poverty, population increase, environmental degradation in rural areas. The
aspects of these issues look different but all rural areas in these countries are losing
their sustainability. This book is mainly edited by the committee members of theinternational affairs in the association. The committee members expect that this bookwill help readers grasp challenges at and assaults by Asian countries and understandfuture direction of our actions.

vPART 1
Asian Rural Future 2030
– Country Reports –Asian Rural Future 2030

Vietnam Agriculture & Rural
Current & Future Vision
Le Van An1
1

Hue University of Agriculture and Forestry

Slide 1
I’m very happy to present my topic about the Vietnam Agriculture and Rural: Current and Future Vision. My
presentation is in four parts. The first is general information of Vietnam, and then the second is Vietnam agriculture
and rural situation at the moment, and the third is plan for rural and agriculture of Vietnam in the next five years andthe vision for next 10 years, and the fourth is conclusions of my presentation.

Slide 2First is some general information of Vietnam. The total population is over 97 million people with a population
growth rate at 1.14% annually, and Vietnam is the 15th country population largest of the world. But in terms of the
population in Vietnam, one very important character is there is over 62% of our population living in the rural that ismaybe very different from some other countries.

Slide 3In terms of population, as I mentioned, 97.5 million people of which we have about 49.8% male and female isremaining 50.2. The labor number is 54.8 million people which means for about 56% of the country’s population.

Slide 4In terms of the national GDP and economic, the Vietnam’s national GDP is only about $275 billion in 2020. The
country’s GDP growth rate was rather good in the last five years from 2006 to 2019, around 6.5% to 7% per year.
But unfortunately by 2020 the growth rate was only 2.9% because of the global pandemic. Vietnam is still a poor
country, low country in terms of the GDP per capita, about 2,700 USD per year.

Slide 5In the economic sector, we can see the three main components is services, industry, and agriculture. During thepast 10 years, a little bit change of each sector. The service increasing from 36% up to 41%. Industry increased, but
not much, it’s about 32% to 34%. The agriculture economic GDP decreased from around 19% to about 15% at the
moment.

Slide 6
Secondly, about the population, in the rural, the total commune in Vietnam - the lowest admin unit in this is commune- is 8,297 communes and about 66,000 villages. The total household who are living in the countryside and in the rural3

Asian Rural Future 2030

is about 16.8 million households. Among them, agricultural households are about nine million households and offfarm households are about eight million households. As I mentioned earlier, the total population in the rural is over
60 million people and the whole country has 54 different ethnic groups, in which the Kinh, the Vietnamese lowlanders,is majority, occupies 80% of the population and 20% left is for 53 other minority people.
In terms of the situation of the rural area is the electricity system. Vietnam government makes very big effort toprovide the electricity system to the whole commune in the country. Only few villages, they are very far away from
center still not access to the nation electricity.

Slide 7In terms of roads, 99.67% of the commune has road access by car to the People Committee Office of the commune,that is a very important character. And about irrigation system, as Vietnam is based in the wetland rice cultivation,
therefore irrigation plays very important. The total irrigation canals system is about 167,000 km, mainly supply waterfor rice cultivation and there are many pumping water stations.

Slide 8In terms of school and kindergarten, as I informed you before is over 8,000 communes, the number of communes
have the kindergarten is almost 99.6% and primary school is 99% and secondary school is 92%. Number of communes
have the secondary school depending on the number of population.

Slide 9For healthcare service, most of the commune 99% has the healthcare service, but only 34% of them have hospitaland healthcare center with medical doctor only about 80%. For the facility of the commune, one very important is thecommunity house as a place for commune to preserve the cultural and social activity, 60% of the commune, they havethis community house.

Slide 10For environment and facilities, about 42% of the commune, they have a system to treat the waste water in theirsystem; and also about 40% of the commune, they have the solid waste collecting system. Less than 50% of thecommune have those systems in general. Number nine is services of the bank. There are many kinds of banks, but the
number of the commune has bank service in their commune is only 22%. That means commune’s farmers have very
few opportunities to access the bank, they must go to the district center.

Slide 11
In agricultural production, as I mentioned that number of households in agriculture is more than nine, about ninemillion households. But the number of cooperatives is about 7,000 and the same that number of enterprises, theseproduction forms are not many at the moment. Number eleven, land area for agriculture is only about 5,500 to 6,000
sq. m per household.

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Slide 12
But in the upland, they may have bigger size than the flatland. In agricultural production, we have crop farm, animal
farm, aquaculture farm, forestry farm, and mix farm and salt production farm. The number of the farms mainly inanimal production consists of 56% of the farm, the second is the crop farm, other kind of farm is not many as we cansee in the presentation screen.

Slide 13
That is a very general information of the rural and agriculture in Vietnam at the moment. Now, I would like to talkwith you about the achievement in Vietnam agriculture and rural.
The first achievement, I think the agriculture economic still plays very important to national GDP although it is not
much. As I mentioned, it’s about 15% to 20% of the national GDP, not like in Japan, you just hear that only 1% or
1.2%. In our country, it’s still very important in terms of agricultural economy. The second is that agriculture is sector
for the livelihoods of 62 million people who are living in rural. That means even the income in terms of economic
still is not much, but the livelihood of many Vietnamese farmers and residents who are living in the agricultural andrural. We have also some products exported to the international market, as you may know, the rice or coffee or rubber
latex, pepper, and so on and aquaculture products.

Slide 14At the current, the constraints and challenges of rural and agricultural development in Vietnam is the lack of job
education for farmer for workers. National statistics informed that about 89%, almost 90% of the farmers among 13
million people need to be trained because most of them don’t have any training yet. Therefore, the government has a
program on vocational training for farmers and agriculture workers. The second constraint in agriculture is the farmsize. The land area and the farm size in Vietnam is very small and it is very difficult for us to industrialize in agriculture.
At the moment, our government has a program on increasing the farm size. That is also very challenging, but one
solution.

Slide 15
The third one is the small-scale production system. As I mentioned unit of production is households, but thecooperative model is very small because in the past the cooperative form was not much good for farmers. Therefore,
at the moment, farmers work by individual, that is very constraint in agriculture production and marketing. The fourthis the pollution in rural and agriculture because of increasing the productivity and intensive farming.

Slide 16
Now, I would like to talk with you about the plan for rural and agriculture in Vietnam by 2025 and vision by 2030.
This year Vietnam government just issued the national economic development plan and strategy, I would like to sharewith you some of our plan.

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Slide 17
The objective of our plan for rural and agriculture for the next 10 years. One is to reform agriculture and rural, todevelop agriculture and rural based on ecological agriculture, modern rural and smart farmers. That is three very
important characters. The second objective of reform agricultural development is shifting from productivity to theeconomic business. That means in the past we want to increase the productivity, but now we have to think benefit of
the production.

Slide 18
The third is we want to develop own type of agriculture production system to that smart agriculture and adapt tothe climate change because Vietnam is affected by this a lot. Last one is upgrade infrastructure.

Slide 19
The expected output in terms of agriculture sector is about 3% increase in GDP of agriculture per year, but among
them forestry and livestock play important.

Slide 20We think the new rural commune is an important character in Vietnam, as I’ll talk with you later on how the newrural commune in Vietnam looks like. At the moment, we are encouraging the farmers to develop what we call One
Commune One Product. This is also our try to develop this program, and we want to increase the income per capita.
Also, the forest cover of the whole country is about 42% of the land area.

Slide 21
In Vietnam, we set the new rural community or new rural communes with 19 characteristics. It covers all aspectsof the livelihood of the people in the rural.

Slide 22
Then, the agenda for this solution, we have a four-point agenda. The first one is to reform the governance systemof the country. The second is to transfer technology to improve production system in agriculture.

Slide 23
The third one is to reform agriculture to meet the requirements of the international market and climate change. The
fourth one is to divide the country into four different economic zones. That is the main agenda for the agriculture
development in our country.

Slide 24
The next is in terms of infrastructure, in terms of climate change and mobilize the resources for development

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Slide 25
The next is in terms of infrastructure, in terms of climate change and mobilize the resources for development.

Slide 26
In general, we have some conclusions that in Vietnam agriculture plays important economic sector for the country
and 60% of population lives in the rural. Agriculture in Vietnam produces many kinds of products, not only fordomestic, but also for international market. However, agriculture production is facing challenges with climate change,
with natural disasters, seawater intrusions, floods, typhoon, droughts, etc. The last one, agriculture products need to
be improved to meet the demand of domestic and international market.

Slide 27
That is my presentation to you for overview of our country’s agriculture and rural and agenda for the developmentin the next 10 years. Thank you very much for your attention and listening to my presentation.

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Making Rural Areas as Growth Centers in the Era of COVID-19 andBeyond: Indonesia Case
Ernan RUSTIADI1,2, Andrea Emma PRAVITASARI1,2, Siti WULANDARI1,2, Setyardi Pratika MULYA1,2,
Vely Brian ROSANDI2
1

Center for Regional Analysis, Development and Planning (Crestpent/P4W) IPB University, INDONESIA
Division of Regional Development Planning, Department of Soil Science and Land Resource, Faculty ofAgriculture, IPB University, INDONESIA

2

My presentation title is Making Rural Areas as Growth Centers in the Era of Covid-19 and Beyond: Indonesia Case.
This presentation is prepared by my team, Ernan Rustiadi, Dr. Andrea Emma, Siti Wulandari, Setyardi Pratika Mulya,
Vely Brian Rosandi.

Slide 1
I think we are already now that urbanization is the global trend. Due to urbanization, the proportion of rural areas
and the size of the rural population share tends to decrease.

Slide 2
When we talk about rural definition, there is no single definition of rural in the world. Instead, every country has
its own criteria regarding what rural area means. However, we agree that rural means as follow:-

relatively low density-

in terms of the economy dominated by agriculture, natural resource-based activity, and community economic
activities,-

in socio-cultural aspect, tends to be more homogenous than urban, and-it has a low density built-up area and the land cover/land use tends to be dominated by agriculture, forest,and natural landscape.

Slide 3
In Indonesia, there are some definitions of rural. At least I’ll explain here about four definitions of rural area. One
definition came from the Ministry of Home Affairs. Villages (desa) are the smallest administrative unit in the country;
it is distinguished to be two parts, namely “rural village” and “urban village”. This urban villages are as also calledkelurahan. This one is a non autonomous unit and located in urban or in city areas. and the next is definition from
National Statistics Agency (BPS).
According to a specific calculation score, all desa or villages are split into urban and rural villages. These two
definitions are administrative concepts/non-spatial approaches.

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Slide 4The last definition is from the Spatial Planning Law system based on a spatial map. The Ministry of Village refers
to this definition. According to the definition from the spatial planning system, the rural areas based on their main
activities are dominated by agriculture, and the definition is based on spatial situation.

Slide 5
Based on the definition of rural law, village is the smallest administrative unit in the country and has an autonomous
function.

Slide 6
The third classification is used by our national statistics agency and it criteria has changed many times. The first
definition was in 1961, and in 1971 we have a second definition.

Slide 7In the 1980s, we had a new definition, and the last definition in 2010 that we use until now. According to thedefinition, an urban village has a population density of more than 5,000 people per sq. km and 25% of households
work in agriculture. The quantities of certain facilities make the classification to be urban or rural.

Slide 8We have been using such kind of scoring system. Our statistics agency (BPS) uses such a scoring system, and thenall villages classified to be urban or rural.

Slide 9This is the map of the urban and rural according to statistic agency. We can see here the example of West Java
province. The red color means urban areas and the green one is rural. We can see here that the number of urban
villages tend to increase, but since 2014 the increase of urban villages is not significant because since 2014 thegovernment has a special village law that provides the amount of money to villages. Therefore, many villagers do notwant to be categorized as urban villages anymore because if the urban were classified as not rural, they could notreceive money from the government transfer system.

Slide 10
This is the situation of our population now. We now have 270 million people, and Indonesia is relatively diverse.
But, unfortunately, we have a fairly vast country, two-thirds of the country is ocean, and the population is concentrated
in Java Island. Java Island is only about 6% of the total area, but the population is about 55% of the country’s total.

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Slide 11 and Slide 12
When we see urbanization trend, we can see here from the graph, in 1976 we have 80% of the population stay inrural and only 20% in urban, but in 2014 the proportion of urban and rural about same (50%), and now rural area only
have about 45% of the total population.

Slide 13
We have many issues regarding rural areas. One of the most critical issues is poverty. Two-thirds of poor Indonesian
people stay in rural areas, and in many rural areas, we have a labor surplus, many smallholder farming systems, andmany farmers without land. As result, the agricultural productivity is relatively low, and this causes vast disparities
between urban and rural.

Slide 14
Many scientists and scholars say that the Indonesian development system is relatively urban biased. It means thaturban tends to be more privileged than rural. On the rural side, there is sometimes a view that the modern and industrial
sectors are rejected in rural areas, some rural want to keep the rural far from non-agricultural sectors, we call it as anurban phobia. In the post-COVID era, we have a severe problem because the economic growth is relatively low.

Slide 15
The number of poor population in the COVID era in 2020 tend to increase again because of low economic growthrate.

Slide 16
We have a trend of decreasing of rural poor, you can see here, this is the trend of the rural and urban poor, and cansee here the two-thirds of poor are staying in rural area.

Slide 17
The poor population tend to increase in the last year until now because of the COVID-19 and we have a criticalproblem since the decreasing poverty level tends to be stagnant or relatively slow down, not fast anymore. For
example, during Soeharto regime, the decrease of rural poor fast, but the decrease was relatively slight after that.

Slide 18
The government has many rural development programs, and one of the primary impact indicators for the programsis the village development level. We have a village development level system so-called village index. Every level has
a different approach for development approach.

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Slide 19
We have also to consider the type of villages. According to our statistics, 87% of the villages are still dominatedby agriculture sector. In this 87% of the villages, agriculture is the main economic activity. On the other hand, somevillages are dominated by manufacturing activities, and some are by service sector, and so on.

Slide 20
When we talk about our future of rural development, some scholars already have predictions of Indonesian rural.
This is one of the books. I was involved in this book’s writing, talking about our vision and our prediction about ourrural in 2030. In this book, we write down that there will be a significant demographic change in our population. In
rural population, the share of the rural population will be only 35%. On-farm agriculture and natural resource-based
activities are no longer dominant for future job creation. There will be a slight difference in lifestyle between ruraland urban. We emphasize the importance of decentralization and the devolution of local village governance system.

Slide 21
There is also a vision about rural areas in our spatial planning law. The aims of the rural spatial planning are thefollowing:- to empower rural communities,- to protect the quality of the local environment,- conservation of natural resources,- preservation of local cultural heritage,- protection of food agriculture production system in rural areas,- and the last, maintaining the balance between urban and rural development.

Slide 22
In our National Midterm Development Plan, we also have some growth corridors. We have two types of growthcorridors, urban-based growth corridors, and rural-based growth corridors. We have already identified some village
areas that should be the growth centers in these growth corridors.

Slide 23
In our National Midterm Development Plan, the main objectives of rural development are:-poverty alleviation,-

increase the capacity of local institutions and human resources,-

reducing gap between regions-

community empowerment,-

provision of vocational education,-

digital transformation,-

disaster resiliency, and21

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fixing the problem on rural boundary arrangement.

Slide 24
According to the Ministry of Village, there is a specific program for five years, 2020 until 2024, to improveconnectivity between rural, promote capacity building, increase investment, development of appropriate technology,
environmental sustainability, improve social and cultural capital, and synergy and collaboration in rural development
village.

Slide 25
SDGs are our primary goal in achieving the improvement of rural areas.

Slide 26
As we know, Indonesia has solid potential in the production system of various agricultural commodities. We are
the biggest producer of palm oil, rubber, lead, rice, nickel, cacao, coffee, coal, and copper. It means that our agromaritime is quite a solid natural resource, and we are the second-largest country in terms of coastline, and have amega biodiversity potential. The main agenda is to process the natural resources into intermediate goods to have morevalue-added in the future.

Slide 27
It means industrialization is becoming more critical in the future.

Slide 28
We have such kind of long-term projection about the role of agriculture and rural development for long-term vision
2045. For example, we can see here, we have a prediction about the rural population trend in the future and the planof the share of agriculture economy, the trend of the bio-industrial sector, the proportion of the rural poor population
should be decreased, and so on. It clarifies here that the bio-industry sector should become a leading sector in the
future.

Slide 29
We learn from the experiences of OECD countries regarding how these countries develop a new rural paradigm. In
OECD countries, many rural areas are growing faster than urban economies. We can see here that among the OECD
countries, the highest income countries have a high proportion of the rural population, such as Ireland and Norway,
and so on. This means that people in rural areas can work with high productivity.

Slide 30
The key of the new rural paradigm in OECD is to increase the competitiveness of the rural and develop various
sectors in rural areas, investment, and the role of all levels of government in rural development.

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Slide 31
We have a vision to increase the capacity of local government. Now one-thirds of the government budget goes tothe rural, and in rural areas, 95% of the money for their development still depends on the government budget. So in
the future, we have to increase their capacity for income-generating activities, and in the future, we want to create
effective convergence development between urban and rural.

Slide 32
Regarding agriculture development, our university in the past has been very successful in assisting the government
in developing the so-called Indonesian Green Revolution. We have BIMAS, and IPB University has proposed thisidea. This successful program transformed Indonesia from the largest rice importer country in the world into a selfsufficient rice-producing country in the 1980s. Recently, we have promoted a new rural and agricultural development,
the so-called Agro-Maritime 4.0 agenda.

Slide 33
The Industrial Revolution 4.0 can increase rural development capacity by implementing innovation, digital systems,
etc.

Slide 34
This is the example of how we promote precision village data in rural areas.

Slide 35
As concluding remarks, the sustainability of rural areas is critical for our food security and agriculture production
system. Therefore, the role of multifunction agriculture is vital.
Rural is not only agriculture because rural also has many non-agricultural potentials. Rural development needs rural
economies instead of agriculture, such as manufacturing, agro-tourism, communication, information technology, etc.
Innovation-based bio-economy in rural area have been considered for future rural development and more convergenceurban-rural development.

Slide 36Thank you so much.

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Issues and Alternatives for Sustainable Development of Rural Areas
Seung-Jong BAE
Seoul National University, Korea

What I’m going to present is about issues and alternatives for sustainable development of rural areas in Korea.
There are three parts in this presentation. In the first part, I will present the process and crisis of rural development.
In the next section, I will briefly explain changes of social value and policy environment in Korea. The last part isissues and alternatives for sustainable development of rural areas.
I’m sorry that some of the pictures are written in Korean, but you can catch the concept and contents.

Slide 1
Contents

Slide 2
The first part is about the history of rural development in Korea and the crisis in rural areas.

Slide 3
Korea tackled rural problems generally faced by developing countrires in the 1960s. In the 1970s, the Saemaeul
movement contributed to the modernization of rural communities by operating in rural living condition andproduction basis in a short period of 10 years. The Saemaeul movement was a government-led development programthat resulted in a balanced growth. Currently, the new rural development plan in the mid of 1980s, the government
setup a pilot program, the name is Comprehensive Rural Area Development Program. They were small in scale,brought about remarkable changes in the rural settlements. The build-a-village program, devised in the 2000s, aimed
to improve the rural environment, expand the income source, and carry out subsidy-related projects. The programapplied a bottom-up approach, in which village dwellers set up plans and selected target areas through competition.
To identify growth elements within rural areas and use them to promote the local economy. The government
implemented policies for rural tourism and the 6th industrialization on farming in 2010.

Slide 4The budget for rural development projects has increased rapidly over the past 20 years, 560%. The business goal
also changed overall from production-based businesses to living-based businesses. When dividing the business area
into agriculture industry, rural areas, and people, the business area of rural areas was expanded from 35.7% to 42.5%.
The basic rural infrastructure expansion and bottom-up development method were established. But, overlap and lackof linkage between projects still exist.

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Slide 5
Despite these constant efforts, the quality of life of rural residents is still low. In Korea, there is a basic plan for
quality of life. The third quality of life plan was for the years from 2015 to 2019 and was focused on improving theperceived quality of life. The 4th Master plan was established last year and is focused on resolving regional disparities
and responding to diversify the policy demands. The health and welfare sector is the most important settlement withthe largest disparity in satisfaction between urban residents and rural residents. Economic activities and job sector isa settlement condition with the lowest satisfaction.

Slide 6
Rural areas in Korea are at risk of population cliff and local extinction, national extinction risk index is 0.84, allnon-metropolitan province and regions less than 1.0 in the extinction warning stage. In the figure below, the red color
indicated the high risk of extinction; the figure on the left show the status in 2005, and the figure on the right show
the figure in 2019. You can see the red color is gradually expanding. For example, Jeollanam-provice (almost ruralarea) extinction risk index is 0.44, it is a stage of extinction risk.

Slide 7Since 1960s, the rural population of Korea has continually decreased as a result of the rapid rural to urban migrationand this caused economy recession as well as accelerated aging phenomena in the rural communities. Such problem
got worse in smaller rural villages and marginal villages began to appear among the rural communities. In Korea,
aging is a more serious issue in rural area than in urban area. The Korea 2010 census data showed the aged populationin rural area was 20%, however the aged population in urban area was just only 9%. If this underlying trend in aging
persists, the rural areas aged population for Korea is expected to approach 30% by 2030.

Slide 8
Now, I’d like to move to the second topic, which is on changes of social values and policy environment.

Slide 9As everyone here knows, the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development was adopted by all United Nations member
states in 2015. The agenda is aimed at inclusive sustainable development and poverty alleviation and inequality
reduction. The World Economic Forum considered urban planning failure as one of the global risks. This means thaturban problem should be solved through rural areas.

Slide 10The Korean government declared vision and strategy for balanced national development in 2018 to achieve thesesustainable development goals. Most of the areas with poor access to the services are located in rural areas. The vision
is “Together, a new and better life”. Three major strategies are about people, space, industry. Among those nine coretasks, those related to rural area was “reviving rural villages charmingly”.

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Slide 11
In order to achieve this core task, the concept of 365 life zone has been advocated. The goal is to strengthen thenational responsibility for welfare programs that guarantee the national minimum, 365 means 30 minutes, it means
guaranteeing access to basic life service such as retail, health, education within 30 minutes, and this means guaranteedaccess to higher life services in 60 minutes and emergencies systems in five minutes. We call it 365 life zone.

Slide 12
In addition, the trend of rural development was to identify through mega trend search and text mining. As you know,
five mega trends in agriculture and rural areas are changes in demographic structure, development of advanced scienceand technology, climate change and resources value highlight, quality of life/environmental emphasize, accelerationof global economy integration. As a result of analyzing the trend of rural development in Korea, it was confirmedthat the keywords were changed from function to space regeneration, from opinion to evidence, from resources tovalue, from individual to integration and smart.

Slide 13
My final topic today is about Korea’s efforts under the changed social value and policy environment. I will talkabout issue and alternatives for systemic development of rural areas.

Slide 14
Despite many difficulties, signs of new potential and hope are emerging in rural areas. A new generation of young
people such as those who return to the rural areas are flowing into the rural areas and the social value of rural areas
are gradually spreading. Through the media such as TV or movie, rural areas are recognized as alternative space torealize a better quality of life and lifestyle. The OECD has announced that rural areas are at the stage of innovationthat leads national economic growth and also socioeconomic organization to solve local problem on their own are
increasing.

Slide 15
To keep pace with this phenomenon, various efforts are being made to improve the economic growth of rural areas
and the quality of life of rural residents in Korea. I would like to explain this effort with five keywords. First keyword
is regeneration. There was a shift from point to rural development to the spatial rural regeneration policy. In the past,
the service facility was installed in each village, but this means installing facility in the central area and establishingof transportation network with the hinterland area considering the needs of rural regions. It is essential to strengthen
the service delivery system such as demand-responsive transportation model. The photo below right shows various
rural transportation models such as the 9-cent taxi and bus. A month ago, the New York Times published an article
titled ‘9-Cent taxi Rides in Rural South Korea’ as ‘It’s a Godsend’.

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Slide 16
Second keyword is integration. It intends to create convergence of facility and provide public service through theliving-type SOC project. For this purpose, we are creating a multiservice hub and school facility complex, and by
remodeling idle facilities such as closed school in rural area, we will use it to meet local needs such as senior welfare
center, shared child care facility, and shared living center. The picture show sample photos. This is living type SOC
and multiservice hub using closed school and school facility complex.

Slide 17
Third keyword is evidence. We are promoting customized regional development by introducing a regional diagnosis
system that evaluates the residential environment and economic conditions. We plan to establish the policy project
direction according to regional diagnosis and set priority for each project. In addition, we are trying to prepare ourfeedback system through policy and monitoring of rural residents' feelings.

Slide 18
Fifth is the increasing in value by utilizing the multifunctional resources in rural areas. There is a demand for reillumination of public value and creation of new value in agricultural and rural areas. As an example, the restorationof rurality and creation of healing space was shown.

Slide 19
Finally, in the era of the 4th industrial revolution, smart village projects are being promoted to bridge the gap withthe cities through intelligent technology grafting. It is still being promoted as a pilot project, but it is gradually
expanding.

Slide 20That’s all I have to say about my presentation. I have enjoyed being here, and thank you for your attention today.
Thank you.

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The Philippines and its Strategies in Achieving Inclusive Growth andResilient Communities
Cristino TIBURAN
Institute of Renewable Natural Resources, College of Forestry and Natural Resources, University of thePhilippines Los Banos

Today, I will be presenting some strategies in the Philippines that are mainly anchored from the National
Development Plan Framework and in the end provide you some programs that the government is currently
implementing to achieve the vision of this particular plan, in particular this will focus mainly on programs that are
being implemented by the Department of Environment and Natural Resources or DENR. Again, I’m Cristino Tiburan,Jr, an Associate Professor from the College of Forestry and Natural Resources at the University of the Philippines,
Los Banos. First, I’m going to present some basic information about the Philippines, then proceed with thedevelopment plan framework, and finally provide you some programs on how to contribute to this development
framework.

Slide 1The Philippines like Indonesia is an archipelagic country that is composed of about 7,107 islands with three majorislands, and these are Luzon in the north, Visayas in the middle, and Mindanao in the south. The total approximate
area of the Philippines is about 30 million hectares. Furthermore, this is divided into 17 administrative regions, as
you can see in the map, covering about 81 provinces or prefectures.

Slide 2The population of the country is about 109 million as of the latest census in May 2020. This is about eight million
higher than the previous census in 2015. The three regions with the highest population include Region IV-A where
Laguna is located, the National Capital Region, and Region III. These three regions constitute about 38.6% alreadyof the entire population of the Philippines. The Philippines Statistics Authority or PSA also estimates that by 2025 the
population of the country will reach to about 115 million.

Slide 3In terms of population in the upland, it is estimated that more than 20 million people lived in these areas way backin the early 2000s. It is composed mainly of indigenous people and some also came from migrants. It has been
observed also that there has been a massive influx of migrants in these areas, especially in the 1960s and peaked
between 1980 and 1985.

Slide 4
As for the annual growth rate in the country, the average growth rate in the Philippines is about 1.63 from the 201548

Asian Rural Future 2030

to 2020 demographic data. The highest annual growth rates in the regions were observed in BARMM or theBangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao, and then followed by Region IV-A and then Region III. At
present, the National Capital Region has only about 0.97 annual growth rate despite the high population density inthis region.

Slide 5
With regards to poverty, it is estimated that about 34% and 25% of the population in the rural areas in 2015 and2018, respectively, are below the national poverty line. The graph below shows the percentage per region that is below
the national poverty line.

Slide 6In terms of economic performance, the Philippines has a steady growing economy before the pandemic hit thePhilippines and other countries in the world. During that time, it has a GDP of about US $362 billion in 2020. Also,
the National Capital Region has the highest regional share in GDP which is about 37% and is followed by Region IVA or CALABARZON which is about 16%.

Slide 7
Based on the record or reports of the Philippine Statistics Authority, the GDP has been reported to be around 11.8%
between second quarter of 2020 and second quarter of 2021 despite the pandemic. The sectors on industry and services
have been found to be the major contributors. However, it can also be observed that there is a contraction in the sectorof agriculture, forestry, and fishery that experienced a negative 0.1%.

Slide 8In terms of land resources and land classification in the country, the country is mainly divided into two types; theforest lands and the alienable and disposable land or A&D. Now, based on the Philippine Forestry Statistics, about
53% of the country is considered as forest land area while about 47% is A&D land. Forest lands include public forest,
permanent forest or forest reserves, and forest reservations while A&D lands usually pertain to residential areas,
agricultural lands, and other lands that are not declared as needed for forest purposes.

Slide 9In terms of forest cover in the country, it is estimated that about 27 million hectares or 90% of the country is covered
with lush vegetation during the Spanish regime in the Philippines. But this number drastically decreased from 57.3%
in 1934 to about 23.4% or 7.01 million hectares in 2015. The latest land cover of the country is yet to be released
hopefully during this last quarter of 2021.

Slide 10
These maps show the spatial distribution of forests in the Philippines in 2010 and 2015, and the forests in thePhilippines are classified into three types; the closed forest, the open forest, and the mangrove forest. The total forest

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cover of the country as of 2015 is about 7.01 million hectares. Based on this data, about 2.03 million hectares areclosed forest, 4.68 million hectares are open forest, and about 0.3 million hectare is mangrove. Region II in thePhilippines, this part is in the northern part of the country, has showed the highest total area of forest cover in thePhilippines in both 2010 and 2015 periods.

Slide 11
Now, the total area of forests in 2015 is also a bit higher from the 2010 data. This is also true for both, closed andopen forests, but a slight decrease in the mangrove forests was observed in 2015 as compared to 2010. These different
graphs below show the distribution of the different forest types in the Philippines per region.

Slide 12
In 2016, President Rodrigo Duterte signed Executive Order No. 5 approving and adopting the 25-year long-term
vision entitled “Ambisyon Natin 2040” as a guide for development planning. The preparation of the Philippine
Development Plan is being led by the National Economic and Development Authority of the Philippines or NEDA.
The first medium-term plan (2017-2022) and the succeeding Philippine Development Plan until 2040 shall beanchored to this long-term vision. The vision captures the dreams of every Filipino of having a life that is strongly
rooted (Matatag), comfortable (Maginhawa), and secure (Panatag).

Slide 13This is the long-term vision of the Ambisyon Natin 2040 – “the Philippines by 2040: matatag, maginhawa, andpanatag na buhay. Now, the country is a prosperous middle-class society where no one is poor, people live long andhealthy lives and are smart and innovative. The Philippines is a high-class society where families thrive in vibrant,
culturally diverse, and resilient communities”.

Slide 14Given the long-term vision, the first medium development plan was crafted where the government laid down a solid
foundation for more inclusive growth, a high trust and resilient society, and a globally competitive knowledge
economy. And that by the end of 2022, more Filipinos will be closer to achieving its aspiration to have a matatag,
maginhawa and panatag na buhay. To achieve these targets, strategies were developed, and they fall under these threepillars – Enhancing the Social Fabric (Malasakit), Inequality-Reducing Transformation (Pagbabago), and Increasing
Growth Potential (Patuloy na Pag-unlad). There are also cross-cutting strategies exemplified by the layer at the bottom,
and this includes ensuring ecological integrity, clean and healthy environment. The sample programs that I will beshowing you in a while will dwell mostly under this strategy.

Slide 15
The PDP is also anchored based on the Sustainable Development Goals or SDGs. The country’s initial list ofPhilippine SDG indicators covers 17 goals, 97 targets, and 155 indicators. It can be shown in the slide also the
distribution of these indicators by Source Agency in terms of percentage. It can be observed that majority is drawn

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from the Philippine Statistics Authority, followed by the Department of Education, and third is the Department ofEnvironment and Natural Resources or DENR. Hence the importance of such agency in attaining the voluntary targetsof the country.

Slide 16
Relative to the PDP, the Sustainable Development Goals or SDGs are also mapped and incorporated as priorities inthe development plan. You can see here all the SDGs and where they are placed. For instance, under the Ensure
ecological integrity, clean and healthy environment, you can find SDG 13, 14, and 15. These are focused on Climate
Action, Life Below Water, and Life on Land.

Slide 17
The first medium-term PDP or the Philippine Development Plan was recently updated to address the current
pandemic situation of the country. As indicated here, the strategic framework will mainly focus to achieving a healthy
and resilient Philippines. The different pillars are still the same and now, the different strategies are termed revised
strategies, focus into achieving this particular medium-term goal that would support also the 25-year vision by 2040.

Slide 18
Now, I’ll be showing you some programs specifically from the government. An example of the strategy of thegovernment, particularly at DENR or from the Department of Environment and Natural Resources is the National
Greening Program that highly involved local communities, especially those living in the rural and upland areas. Thishas been launched way back in 2011 that aims to plant 1.5 billion of seedlings in 1.5 million hectares of public lands
all over the country from 2011 to 2016. But before the program ended, it was further expanded and was already called
the Expanded National Greening Program, and this was signed in the late of 2015. This is mainly to continue therehabilitation of the remaining unproductive, denuded, and degraded forest lands in the country from 2016 to 2028.
The total area to be rehabilitated in this Expanded National Greening Program is estimated around 7.1 million hectares.

Slide 19 and Slide 20
These are some photos of the program taken before and this one is taken more recently, as you can see, people arestill wearing face masks.

Slide 21
Then, there’s another current program of the government which is called the Integrated Natural Resources andEnvironmental Management Program or INREMP. This one aims to manage the upper river basins and watersheds tosupport poverty reduction, watershed management, biodiversity conservation, and climate change policy objectives.
It also endeavors to develop capacities of the local governments, institutions, and upland communities. Under thisprogram, community forestry investments sub-projects and natural resources management sub-projects were
implemented as part of the entire program. The community forestry investment includes agroforestry, commercial
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protection and monitoring, reforestation, and assisted natural regeneration.

Slide 22
This program includes four initial sites distributed in the Philippines. One in Luzon, this is the Chico Upper River
Basin. One in the Visayas, it’s the Wahig-Inabanga. And then two in Mindanao, the Lake Lanao Upper River Basinand the Bukidnon Upper River Basin.

Slide 23 and Slide 24
These are some of the pictures on the evolution of some of the conservation farming learning sites in the different
areas where INREMP was implemented. The conservation farming design is a combination of trees, fruit trees, andhigh value crops. This one is taken in October 2019. And then, when it was developed, this is the latest photo thatwas taken in November of 2020. Then another site, which was also taken initially in October 2019. And the last, I
think is taken in December 2020.

Slide 25
This ends up my presentation, and I hope I have provided some insights now on how the Philippines is trying to
respond to the need to uplift the lives of the Filipinos, especially those who are living in the uplands and in rural areas,in general. Again, thank you very much for your attention and good afternoon. Thank you.

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Research Articles and Discussions

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A Study on Energy Poverty in Myanmar
Result from the Myanmar survey in 2018
Midori AOYAGI1
1National Institute for Environmental Studies

Keywords : Energy Poverty, Myanmar, 30-households-in-depth-interview, The nationally representative sample
survey1. INTRODUCTION

One of the current policy goals of developing countries in Asia and other parts of the world is to improve the qualityof life of the people by promoting the improvement of social systems and infrastructure as well as economic
development. Energy conversion plays a significant role for the achievement of this goal. In the Millennium
Development Goals (MDG) of the 2000s, energy poverty was not yet a topic of discussion. However, in the
Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) adopted by the UN General Assembly in 2015, energy poverty was
specifically listed as a goal as "Goal 7: Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all.
Rural communities in developing countries often use solid fuels that are readily and cheaply available in their rural
areas, such as wood charcoal, rice husks, and wheat straw. They have been shown to cause indoor air pollution andhave adverse health effects (e.g. Carvalho et al. 2019). Replacing these fuels with liquid fuels such as kerosene, or
gaseous fuels such as natural gas or propane gas, would significantly improve the situation. In addition, electrification
can bring about a major shift in the quality of life. In this paper, we discuss the results of a survey and analysis of theincrease in energy consumption in Myanmar, which is closely related to this improvement in the quality of life.

2. ENERGY POVERTY IN ASIAN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

The discussion of energy poverty was first proposed in the UK as an issue of fuel poverty. The objective was toanalyze the lives of the poor households in terms of energy consumption, which is essential for daily life such as
cooking and heating, and to reflect this in policy.

Bradshaw and Hutton (1983) pointed out that not only regular"poverty" but also fuel poverty is an important aspect of social policy in terms of welfare. This is because adequate
warmth is a matter of life and death in the cold climate of the UK. Boardman (2010) discussed the actual situation in
the UK in relation to absolute and relative poverty. He also pointed out the need the investigation of energy prices,
economic trends and related policies, as well as the need to look at social exclusion. As a result, he proposed adefinition of fuel poverty as "spending more than 10% of income on energy". Moore (2012) showed that the numberof fuel-poor households varied widely by definition. He used that variation to discuss the meaning of the definition
and its policy implications. The initial discussion in the UK often used "fuel poverty," but recent international
discussions of "energy poverty" have expanded the term to include all energy use, not just heating.
These discussions have been applied to developing countries because of the growing importance of the quality of65

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life in developing countries. Discussions such as the "capability approach" by Sen (e.g., 1999) and Nussbaum (e.g.,2011) (e.g., Taku Kurosaki & Koji Yamazaki, 2017) and the Human Development Index (HDI) (e.g., UNDP, 2019),
which was developed mainly by the United Nations Development Programme, are the background to these
discussions. The capability approach proposes an assessment of the "capability" (capability: realization of thefunctionings that the person chooses) of various aspects of life (functionings: e.g., being in good health, getting a job,working, etc.) (e.g., Day et al, 2016). Energy is considered to form the basis of this "capability”. In developing
countries, socioeconomic development is a social priority, and energy consumption has to increase for this reason.
All the people in the world should get rid of energy poverty, but at the same time, various negative aspects of energy
consumption (air pollution, climate change, etc.) should be minimized. The discussion of energy poverty provides aconcrete policy for considering this issue. In the latest debates on energy poverty in developing countries, the main
target is to shift from traditional biomass-based energy use to clean, high-calorie, and still highly versatile energy (e.g.
Day et al, 2016), such as LPG, electricity, etc.
Energy poverty has two aspects. The first is accessibility, where modern energy is not available due to lack ofavailable infrastructure. The second is inaccessibility due to inability to bear the cost, such as high electricity prices.
In the former case, for example, the transmission line is not available. The latter affordability is a major problem inpoverty in developed countries. However, in general, both are problematic in developing countries (Khanna et al,2019). In general, energy poverty is more serious in rural areas than in urban areas (Phoumin & Kimura 2019, Shi2019). However, in countries such as China, which is experiencing rapid economic growth, when energy consumption
per household is calculated, the results show that rural consumption has been higher since the late 2000s. This is dueto the greater use of non-market fuels, such as agricultural residues (Li, Chen & Liu 2019). Developing countries are
not uniformly characterized.
Energy transition can also accomplish reducing health hazards due to indoor air pollution (Carvalho et al, 2019).
Electrification is one of the results of improving the quality of life, as well as a means of further improving the qualityof life (Oum, 2019 etc.). The availability of stable, well-lit lighting creates a variety of working environments in thehome. This will increase the means of income security. It also improves the learning environment for children andextends their schooling period (IFAD, 2019). It also increases the likelihood of obtaining a higher income-earningjob. It also contributes to the improvement of socioeconomic quality in various aspects, such as the promotion of local
industries, including agricultural production and small and medium-sized manufacturing, and the upgrading of
medical welfare (Oum, 2019, etc.).
Since 2010, there have been a number of studies on energy poverty and energy transition, including studies from amacro perspective using country-level statistics (Batinge, Musango, & Brent, 2019, Carvalho, et al, 2019, Khanna, etal, 2019, Li, et al, 2019, Oum, 2019, Phoumin & Kimura, 2019, Sovacool, 2013a, Zhang, et. al,2019), and from theperspective of consumers (Zhang, Li, & Han,2019; Smits, 2015). Smits (2015) reported in detail on how people
actually use energy in their daily lives (specifically appliances, cooking, lighting, information, entertainment, etc.) in
Thailand and other countries such as Laos, and how rural communities far from cities have adopted electricity.
In this paper, we investigate the current status of energy poverty in Myanmar. Myanmar is in the process of energy
transition, with the electricity rate estimated at 78% in Yangon, the largest city, and 34% in the country as a whole asof 2015. We chose Myanmar as our target country for the following reason. The country was rated the worst among
Southeast Asian countries in all socioeconomic indicators before 2010 (Sovacool, 2013b). However, since the66Asian Rural Future 2030

democratization of the regime in 2010, the country has gradually increased its economic activity. Then, after the 2016
general elections, for the first time, a government without the backing of the military was established. Since then,economic activity has accelerated, and the country is currently in the "take-off" stage. Since it borders the peninsularcountries of Southeast Asia, it is affected by the economic activities of those countries that are currently experiencing
rapid growth. In addition, development assistance projects from abroad are becoming more active. The number of
ODA projects from Japan is also increasing (JETRO Yangon Office, 2017). However, this trend has not yet reached
the rural areas. People in rural areas are left behind in poverty in many areas. Those are the main reasons why thecountry is an important place to consider for sustainable development including energy poverty.

3. SURVEY

The data analyzed in this paper are from a survey conducted by the author in May-July 2018 with the cooperationof a local survey professional organization. The survey consists of the following two parts: The first part is ahousehold visit survey of 30 households conducted in May of 2018 ("Household Detailed Survey"). The other is asurvey with a representative sample of 1,000 adults aged 18 and above in Myanmar conducted in June-July 2018
through random sampling ("National Random Survey"). This combination of surveys with different methods is called
a combined survey (Kleih & Wilson, 2001, etc.).
The Household Detailed Survey was conducted in three regions: Yangon and its suburbs, Shan State (a highlandarea close to Thailand and China), and Magway Region (an arid area in the middle reaches of the Ayeyarwady River).
Five (5) households each from urban and rural areas were selected for the survey, making a total of 10 households ineach region, and a total of 30 households in the country. The target households were selected so that their incomes
were distributed from the low level to the high level in each survey area. The survey was conducted by a professional
interviewer, a transcriber, a video recorder, a translator between Myanmarese and English, and the author. In principle,
the survey was carried out in Myanmarese, with local language interpreters available as needed. The transcripts weretranslated into English under the supervision of a native English speaker. For the national random survey, thequestionnaire was finalized by reflecting the results of the detailed household survey. The author drafted the questions
in English, and the local survey professional organization translated them into Myanmarese. The field work wascompleted on August 1, 2018. The survey was conducted on adult males and females aged 18 years and above, with1,000 of the total sample allocated to each state in Myanmar (10 states in total) on a population-proportional basis(population-proportional probability sampling method).

4. RESULTS

4.1 Income status
Fig. 1 and Fig.2 show the income status of households based on the results of a National Random Survey. Thirtysix (36) percent of rural households and 26% of urban households reported that their income for the past two to threemonths was not enough to cover their necessary expenses, indicating the instability of their lives (Fig. 1). More thanhalf of all surveyed households had debts, and they borrowed money "to cover daily living, food and other expenses"

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(48% in rural areas and 38% in urban areas), indicating the hardship of daily life (Fig. 2). Furthermore, in rural areas,some households borrowed money to obtain income outside of agriculture. In the Detailed Household Survey, it wasstated that those who migrated from rural areas to urban areas send money to their families in rural areas on a regularbasis. In addition, the government provides an "installment payment" system that can be used for the purchase ofhousehold goods, and it was confirmed that this system is frequently used for the purchase of home appliances. The
results suggest that the government's policy of making it easier for people with insufficient income to purchaseelectrical appliances is effective.

Fig.1 Sufficiency of Income
Source: Author’s own survey result

Fig.2 Household debts
Source: Author’s own survey result

4.2 Electricity connection status
Fig. 3 shows the electricity connection status of each household. Nearly 90% of households in urban areas areconnected to the main grid, while only about 30% of households in rural areas are connected. In rural areas, private
power generation (e.g., solar panels) is the most common form of power generation, at more than 30%. The Detailed
Household Survey confirmed that solar panels, which are relatively inexpensive, are widespread, especially in rural
areas. One or two panels per household with a length of 50-90 cm were mostly used. They were mainly used for room
lighting and cell phone charging, using motorcycle batteries for power storage. As shown in Fig. 5, nearly 70% of
these batteries are held in rural areas. However, with the capacity of these batteries, it is impossible to use them forfarm-related equipment or for so-called white goods (such as refrigerators). Gasoline-powered power generators havebeen introduced for agricultural equipment. The power company is conducting a feasibility survey for each household,and one of the respondents to the detailed household survey said that depending on the structure of the house, it may
not be possible to connect due to safety issues. According to the respondent, he observed many houses with bamboo
as the structural material and banana leaves as the thatching on the walls, and was told that he could not connect topower grid because of the risk of fire. If there was a house in the neighborhood that was connected to power grid,such households were often asked to connect by neighbors.

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Fig.3 Electricity connection
Source: Author’s own survey result

4.3 Status of heat source for cooking
Fig. 4 shows the use of heat sources for cooking in households. In urban areas, electricity was the most common
source at 86%, followed by charcoal at 56%. In rural areas, on the other hand, firewood was the largest source at 82%,
followed by electricity at 30% and charcoal at 23%. The Detailed Household Survey confirmed that firewood,
charcoal, and rice husks are often available almost free of charge in rural areas and are often used. According to thedetailed household survey, in rural areas, there are many cooking areas that are semi-outdoors beside the main house,
and in many cases, shallow holes are made in the ground to cook on the fire. In fact, most of the firewood used wasthin tree branches. According to Sovacol (2013b), deforestation due to the collection of firewood and charcoal has
already become a problem in the 2000s. In urban areas, there were often indoor "kitchen" rooms with refrigeratorsand cooking utensils. Voltage stabilizers are always attached to home appliances such as refrigerators, suggesting thatthe voltage is unstable.

Fig.4 Varieties of cooking fuels
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4.4 Home appliance ownership status
Fig. 5 shows the ownership status of home appliances. These are listed in order of decreasing ownership rate inrural areas. The ownership rate of smart phones is high in both urban and rural areas. The ownership rate of cell
phones other than smart phones is also 20~30%. Therefore, the penetration rate of individually owned cell phones is
estimated to be close to 100%. In rural areas, solar panels and batteries for recharging are the most popular items,
followed by various cooking utensils, fluorescent lamps, Internet connection devices, lighting fixtures, and TV
receivers. The proportion of refrigerators and washing machines is not so high in urban and rural areas. Overall, there
is a clear difference in ownership rates between urban and rural areas, and statistically significant differences inownership rates are observed for most of the appliances. Ownership of so-called white goods, such as refrigerators
and washing machines, is much lower in rural areas, and does not reach 30%, even though the connection to the main
grid has reached 30%. In other words, even with improved access to electricity, it is not economically feasible toprocure large appliances. In other words, even with improved access to electricity, many households will not be able
to economically procure large appliances or maintain them even if they could.

Fig.5 Home appliances
Source: Author’s own survey result

5. CONCLUSION

Looking at the results of this study from the viewpoint of energy poverty, in Myanmar, in rural areas, the main
grid connection and private power generation such as solar panels finally reach about 60%, but the quality of thepower varies greatly. It is noteworthy that decentralized energy such as solar panels are spreading rapidly. On theother hand, there are many households whose income is not satisfactory and unstable. Even if the accessibility is met,
there is a possibility that many households will not be able to use the system due to problems with payment.

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markets, Energy Policy 129; 1090-1099.
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7) Jetro Yangon Branch (2017): A report of Current Myanmar Energy situation(in Japanese). Available at:https://www.jetro.go.jp/ext_images/_Reports/01/8f45b218e9422619/20170020.pdf. Accessed on June 11th, 2020.
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Measuring energy poverty and identifying micro-level solutions in South and Southeast Asia, Energy Policy 132,379-391.
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Institute, Chatham, UK.
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Tokyo (in Japanese)
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Suburban Development and Its Effects on Ecological LandscapeA case study of Jiangsu Province from 1998 to 2018, China
Yasi TIAN1, and Lei WANG1
1Urban and Rural Planning, School of Architecture, Soochow University

Keywords : Suburban Identification, Suburban Sprawl, Spatial Interaction, Ecological Effect, Ecological Landscape
Pattern

1. INTRODUCTION

During urbanization many people migrate from rural to urban areas; hence, the aggregation of people, industrial
development, and urban construction create large demands for land use. Existing studies have proven that the
expansion of urban land mainly sacrifices rural land, especially cropland (d’Amour et al., 2017; Gu, Guan, & Liu,
2017), which produces negative effects like ecological degradation, water and land loss, and soil pollution (Fazal,
2000; Peng et al., 2018; Salvati, 2013). As one of the basic characteristics of urbanization, urban land expansion has
garnered much attention, and studies focuses on land transition monitoring, effects analysis, and mechanism
identification (Kukkonen et al., 2018; Yin et al., 2011; Zank et al., 2016). However, discussions on suburban
development and its subsequent effects remain insufficient.
Suburbs are areas that are adjacent to the main urban area, and are characterized by mixed land use that includes
urban and rural areas, with a medium construction and population density compared to urban and rural areas andaccessible commuting distance to a city (Forsyth, 2012; Lang, Blakely, & Gough, 2005). The contemporary origins
of suburbs are from the UK, US, and Australia and now extends world-wide in both developed and developing
countries (Vaughan et al., 2009). The driving forces of suburban development in developed and developing countries
are different. For example, suburban development in the UK was observed in the late 18th century due to the richmiddle classes resettling in the outskirts of London. From this perspective, suburban development has usually beenstudied under the framework of suburbanization; low-density and car-dependence are historically the main
characteristics of such suburban areas (Clapson & Hutchison, 2010; Mace, 2009). Suburban development indeveloping countries like China is mainly caused by urbanization and urban expansion. One the one hand, theaggregation of people in urban areas creates a large construction land demand for industrial development andresidential land. On the other hand, the pressure produced by the high price of renting and purchasing flats in the city
drives some people live in comparatively cheap suburbs, which also prompts the land use change of suburban areas.
Despite the differences in suburban development in developed and developing countries, land transition, especiallythe transition from rural to urban land, is a common feature that has negative effects on ecological environment
protection, historical town preservation, and cropland guarantees (Jay, 1996; Rudel, 2009). Therefore, mapping andtracking the changes in suburbs and analyzing their effects on land-use and landscape change are of great significance.

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2. LITERATURE REVIEW

2.1. Measures of mapping suburbs
Even though the definition of a suburb has never been standardized, a suburb is usually thought to be a mixed areaof urban and rural lands that is adjacent to a city and within commuting distance of the city. According to existingstudies, measurements of mapping suburbs are mainly based on administrative, spatial, social, and functional
dimensions. For example, Forman (2008) and Banzhaf et al. (2013) identified urban and suburbs based on
administrative municipalities. Clapson and Hutchison (2010) defined suburbs as areas there were between the town
center and the countryside but within accessible distance. Johnson, Andrews, and Warner (2017) pointed out living
in suburbs is founded on mobility since suburbs are on the periphery of the city. Gordon and Janzen (2013) utilized
population density based on census data to identify the urban, suburban, and rural areas of Canada. Heris (2017)
identified the suburbs in the US by estimating the housing density. Gober and Behr (1982) found that race andethnicity were the most important elements to distinguish the core city and suburbs in the US. Paccoud and Mace(2018) discussed the social upscaling of Outer London from 2001 to 2011. Most studies utilize at least two dimensions
together to implement identification, and location and density features are the most commonly adopted methods toidentify suburbs. However, there is criticism that these methods over-simplify the urban form and depend on arbitraryclassifications (Gianotti et al., 2016). To improve the accuracy of identifying suburbs, this study uses the traditional
method of population and construction land density to determine the main urban areas and refers to urban-suburban
interaction to map suburbs.

2.2 An effect analysis of suburban sprawl
The modern term “sprawl” was first proposed by city planners in the early 20th century and was proven to berelated with transportation development and an increase in income (Nechyba & Walsh, 2004). Later, the phenomenonof urban sprawl received much attention. “Urban sprawl” denotes an unplanned and uneven pattern of urban
development that usually leads to an inefficient utilization of land resources (Oueslati, Alvanides, & Garrod, 2015).
Despite the many studies on urban sprawl, little attention has been paid to suburbs and suburban sprawl. Similar tourban sprawl, suburban sprawl refers to the low-density development and inefficient utilization of space in suburban
areas. The measurement of urban sprawl usually relies on measuring the land transition that occurs beyond the builtup urban area, including low density edge expansion and leapfrog growth (Yue, Liu, & Fan, 2013). However, theboundaries of suburbs are usually larger than the scope of urban areas, and the effective areas of suburbs also expand
the outline of urban areas.
Several studies have proven the effects of suburban sprawl on land fragmentation and ecological conservation. For
example, Novak and Wang (2004) analyzed the impacts of suburban sprawl on Rhode Island’s landscape. Specifically,
they founded that the land transition in the study area contributed to the scarification of forest land and that ecologicalconnectivity also declined. By applying U.S. census data, Radeloff, Hammer, and Stewart (2005) extracted housing
density data and analyzed the environmental impacts of suburban and rural sprawl. The authors concluded that
suburban sprawl is related to forest fragmentation. Liang et al. (2015) utilized time series data to analyze the spatial-

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temporal patterns of farmland loss and fragmentation in urban, suburban, and exurban areas under the background of
rapid urbanization. Wang et al. (2017) analyzed the correlation between suburban development and ecologicaldeterioration. As a conclusion, the authors found that suburban growth causes changes in ecological andenvironmental quality. In summary, existing studies on the effect of suburban sprawl from the perspective of landtransition focus on a single land use type like forest land or farm land, while ecological effect analyses of suburban
sprawl mainly focus on a single aspect of the environment, such as the atmosphere or water (Holian & Sridhar, 2017;
Kim et al., 2016).

3. STUDY AREA AND METHODOLOGIES

3.1 Study area
As one of the most developed provinces in China, Jiangsu Province has witnessed rapid urbanization in past years.
From 1998 to 2018, the urbanization rate of Jiangsu increased from 30.50% to 69.61%, along with a large aggregationof people and land transition. Jiangsu was chosen as the study area because of the following. First, Jiangsu isrepresentative of the Chinese regions with fast urbanization rate. The land transitions in such areas are drastic. Second,
Jiangsu is characterized by its polycentric development structure. The development levels of suburban towns andvillages in Jiangsu are at a high stage. For example, in the annual list of Top 100 counties in China in 2018, which ismainly based on each county’s economic levels, the counties of Jiangsu obtained six spots. Therefore, thedevelopment of suburban Jiangsu also plays an important role in regional construction. Hence, this study uses Jiangsu
as a case study area to map suburban sprawl and its corresponding effects on ecological landscape patterns.

3.2 Data source and processing
The land use data of Jiangsu for 1998 and 2018 were interpreted from Landsat 5 TM and Landsat 8 OLI,
respectively. To estimate the population distribution at 30 m, the statistical data of the population at the county level
was collected from the statistical yearbook. DEM data were applied to obtain the slope and difference of elevation.
A linear regression analysis was then conducted between the population and independent variables, including theslope, difference of elevation, area proportions of cropland, forest, grassland, waterbody, construction land, andunused land, based on which the population was estimated at a 30 m grid scale. The spatial interactions based on theradiation model were calculated and classified using the Python3.7 language, and the results were visualized by
ArcGIS10.3.

4. METHODOLOGIES

4.1 Mapping suburbs based on spatial interaction quantification
Before identifying suburbs, the main urban area is first decided based on the population density and construction
land distribution. Due to the spatial heterogeneity of the population density in different cities, this process is conducted74

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in each city separately. By adopting the natural break method, the spatial population distribution is classified as high,medium, or low density in each city. The overlapping areas of high and medium high population areas andconstruction land are determined to be the main urban area.
Then, the suburbs are identified based on spatial interactions at a grid scale. Due to its parameter-free characteristics(Simini et al., 2012), this study uses the radiation model to quantify spatial interactions. The original formula is𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖

𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 𝑝𝑝𝑗𝑗(1)(𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 +𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 )(𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 +𝑝𝑝𝑗𝑗 +𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 )(2)

𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 = 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 × 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖

where 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 and 𝑝𝑝𝑗𝑗 denote the population of location i and j with distance 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 between them, and 𝑠𝑠𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 is the total

population covered by the circle of 𝑟𝑟𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 centered at i (excluding the population of i and j). 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 is the proportion of allcommuters among the total population of location i. 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖 is the product of 𝑝𝑝𝑖𝑖 and the proportion of the commuting
population 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 . In this study, 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 is estimated based on accessibility at a 30 m grid scale.

For each grid, the average accessible time to each other grid is calculated and set as 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 . The average value of 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 for

all the grids is obtained and set as 𝑒𝑒̅. Then, 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 is calculated by following formula:𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 ≥ 𝑒𝑒̅ , 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 = 1
�𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 < 𝑒𝑒̅, 𝑐𝑐𝑖𝑖 = 𝑒𝑒𝑖𝑖 /𝑒𝑒̅(3)

By considering the close interactions between urban and suburban areas, the node symmetry index (NSI) is applied
to identify areas that share close interactions with the determined main urban areas. The formula of NSI is as follows(Tian, Kong, Liu, & Wang, 2016):
𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑇𝑇 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖−𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖

𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑁𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 = 𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖(4)𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 +𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖

where 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖 is the estimated connection from location j to location i, 𝑇𝑇𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑖𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 is the outflow of location i to location j, thevalue of NSI range from -1 to 1, and the value of 0 indicates that the connection between the two locations is equalized
and that the interaction is the strongest. If the value is -1, there is only outflow from location i, and if it is 1, there is
only inflow in location i. For each grid, if it has a high NSI (-0.5< NSI < 0.5) with a main urban grid, it is identified
as a suburban grid. The remaining grids other than the main urban and suburban areas are identified as rural.

4.2 Effect analysis of suburban sprawl on the ecological landscape
To analyze the effects of suburban sprawl on the ecological landscape, ecological landscape metrics are utilized,
and analyses are conducted at the province and prefecture-city scale. At each scale, the ecological landscape patternmetrics of the suburban sprawl area and remaining rural area are calculated. Based on a comparison analysis, theeffects of suburban sprawl on the ecological landscape are analyzed. The selected landscape pattern metrics are listed
in Table 1.
Table 1 The selected ecological landscape pattern metrics and explanations
Selected
metrics
CA
NP
PD
LPI
AI

landscapepattern

Full name

Explanation

Total area
Number of patches
Patch density
Largest patch index
Aggregation index

The sum of the total area of the ecological land
Number of ecological land patches
Density of the ecological land patches (number/100 ha)
The area of the largest patch dived by the total landscape area
It is built on the adjacency matrix and estimate the level of aggregation of land patches

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5. RESULTS AND ANALYSES

5.1 Mapping suburbs based on spatial interaction estimations
We utilized the estimated population to quantify spatial interactions and detect the boundaries of the suburbs. First,
the main urban area was identified based on the traditional method of using population and residential land. In eachprefecture-city, the population distribution was classified into high, medium, and low density using the natural breakmethod. Then, the overlapping area of high and medium population density and the construction land was identified
as the main urban area.
Then, the whole study area was divided into 30 m grids, and the grids that were located in the main area were set
to “1” as the main urban area grids. For the rest of the grids, their spatial interactions with the main urban grids were
calculated; if the value fell between -0.5 and 0.5, the grid was set to “2” as the suburban grid. Finally, the remaining
grids were set to “3” as the rural grids. Figure 1 shows the mapped main urban, suburban, and rural areas in 1998 and2018.

Fig.1 The mapped main urban, suburban, and rural areas in 1998 (a) and 2018 (b)The areas of the mapped main urban, suburban, and rural areas in 1998 were 106.96 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘2 , 1882.38 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘2 , and5829.04 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘2 , respectively, which shifted to 1518.63 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘2 , 4417.89 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘2 , and 1881.86 𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘2 . This shows thatduring the 20 years, the scope of the main urban and suburban areas of Jiangsu expanded greatly. Conversely, therural areas shrank by 67.7%.

5.2 Land use changes in suburban Jiangsu in 1998 – 2018
Along with the urban construction land expansion, the interactions between urban and suburban areas change
simultaneously, and the scope of the suburbs also changes. A land-use transfer matrix was developed to describe theland-use structure changes in the suburban expansion area (Table 2).

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Table 2 The land-use transfer matrix of suburban expansion area

Cropland (1998)
Forest (1998)
Grassland (1998)
Waterbody (1998)
Construction land (1998)
Unused (1998)

Cropland(2018)
32091.35
353.4160.50
1536.91459.61
1.10

Forest(2018)
1417.15649.3426.41
103.8229.14
0.37

Grassland(2018)
318.10
8.72
1.00
83.14
12.49
0.02

Waterbody(2018)
592.4215.63
1.26
1432.47
32.35
0.34

Construction land(2018)
9941.05
293.7030.14
1053.28
887.01
2.46

Unused(2018)
2.73
0.54
0.07
3.65
0.50
0.00

Within the scope of the suburban expansion area, the land transition was drastic over the 20 years. Among all the
reduced areas, the area of cultivated land decreased the most, with 81% converted into construction land. For landuse, construction land increased the most, with 87% from cultivated land and 2.5% from forest land. This indicatesthat among the sources for construction land, ecological land accounts for the majority.

5.3 The ecological landscape changes in suburban Jiangsu
To analyze the effects of suburban sprawl on ecological landscape patterns, the ecological landscape metrics of thesuburban expansion area and the remaining rural area from 1998 to 2018 were calculated and compared.
At the province level, Table 3 shows the values of the CA, NP, PD, LPI, and AI of the suburban expansion area
and the remaining rural area of Jiangsu.

Table 3 The ecological landscape pattern metrics at the province level from 1998 to 2018
Suburban expansion area
2

CA (𝑘𝑘𝑘𝑘 )
NP
PD
LPI
AI

1998

The remained rural area
2018

5.00
70284
1.36
45.48
97.50

1998
3.93
153301
2.97
12.36
93.32

2018
2.39
85383
3.51
28.40
97.06

2.32
88385
3.62
29.17
96.71

At the provincial level, the total area of ecological land decreased significantly from 1998 to 2018. At the sametime, the ecological land patch number and density increased obviously. However, the largest patch index decreased
from 45.48 to 12.36, which indicates that the ecological land became fragmentated. In addition, the aggregation index
changed from 97.5 to 93.32, showing that the distribution of ecological land became unaggregated. For comparison,
the ecological landscape in the remaining rural area did not show many changes.
Fig. 2 shows the ecological landscape metrics change at the prefecture-city level. This figure mainly illustrates thechanges of each landscape pattern metric between the two years of 1998 and 2018, and each bar is based on the
proportion of one landscape pattern metric to the sum of the two years.
In the last 20 years, the amount of ecological land in each city has decreased. Meanwhile, except for Suqian, theecological land patch numbers and density of all other cities clearly increased, indicating that the ecological land
became scattered. The decrease in the LPI corresponds with the finding that the ecological landscape underwent
fragmentation over time. In addition, considering the supporting and provisioning services offered by ecological land,
the decrease in LPI also reveals the threat of suburban sprawl to ecological function and biodiversity. The values of
the AI of all cities experienced a loss over the time. However, the change in AI was slight in some cities, such as
Huaian, Suqian, and Xuzhou because the number and density of the ecological land patches increased, which affected77

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the aggregation of ecological land at the collective level. Together, the decrease in the total area, largest patch area,
and aggregation level and the increases in the patch numbers and density demonstrate the shrinkage and division of
the ecological land in suburban sprawl areas.
For comparison, the ecological landscape metrics of the remaining rural areas in each prefecture-city were also
calculated. Similar to the results at a provincial level, the ecological landscape in the rural area showed little change.
Table 4 displays the minimum, maximum, average, and standard deviation values of the suburban sprawl area andthe remaining rural area after calculating the change values of the five selected landscape pattern metrics at theprefecture-city level.

Fig.2 The ecological landscape metrics of each prefecture-city of Jiangsu in 1998 (blue bar) and 2018 (red bar)

Table 4 Statistical characteristics of ecological landscape metrics in the suburban sprawl area and remained rural area (unit: 𝑚𝑚2 )
CA
NP
PD
LPI
AI

Minimum
Suburb-289676.79-2942.00-0.46-64.47-5.76

Rural-21155.8-314-0.63-25.23-1.44

Maximum
Suburb-28543.23
17228.00
4.44
-3.95
0.71

Rural
59.85
898
0.49
12.27
0.16

Average
Suburb-82441.72
6402.08
1.91-27.12-2.50

Rural-5427.46
222.00
0.12
-4.36
-0.53

Standard deviation
SuburbRural
67883.16
7013.41
5409.02307.65
1.39
0.28
19.27
10.04
1.93
0.55

Based on the comparison results, the ecological landscape changed drastically in the urban sprawl area, which
resulted in high values of standard deviation. The results also indicate that there is obvious spatial heterogeneity inthe ecological landscape changes in different prefecture-cities. Specifically, Nantong, Yancheng, Suzhou, andYangzhou experienced the largest ecological land decrease (more than 90,000 𝑚𝑚2 ), while Nanjing, Taizhou, Wuxi,
and Yancheng experienced the most severe ecological land fragmentation, showing a sharp decrease in the largest

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patch index. Nantong, Changzhou, Yancheng, Yangzhou had the largest AI decrease, indicating the unaggregateddistribution trend of the ecological land in their suburban sprawl areas. Yancheng had the largest decrease in theecological land area, as well as the largest patch index and aggregation index, showing the seriousness of ecologicallandscape degradation in the region.
Conversely, there was little change in the ecological landscape metrics in the remaining rural areas. Specifically,
the standard deviation values of PD, LPI, and AI were small, indicating that the change was slight. Based on acomparison of the ecological landscape changes in the suburban sprawl area and the remaining rural area, we conclude
that suburban sprawl contributes much to ecological landscape degradation, while the rural area produces little effect.

6. DISCUSSION

6.1 Spatial interaction and suburban change
For many years, land change analyses were affected deeply by the “urban-rural” dichotomy, wherein urban centersand suburbs were treated as one and the same (Serra et al., 2014). Therefore, there are many studies on urban land
expansion and its social, economic, and ecological effects. By realizing the differences between the main urban,
suburban, and rural areas, efforts have been made in identifying and analyzing the dynamic evolution of urban spatial
structures. Despite the differences in population and residential land density between urban, suburban, and urban
areas, spatial interaction is an important indicator that can differentiate urban spatial structures.
The spatial interactions inside the main urban area are the most active. On the one hand, the population density is
the highest in the main urban area, and spatial interactions are driven by people’s daily life demands, which is theendogenous reason for spatial interactions. On the other hand, varied city services help satisfy peoples’ demands,
which is the external cause of these interactions. In the suburbs, even though the density of the population andresidential land is lower than that of the main urban area, and its land use function is also simpler, urban and suburban
areas experience close interactions. For example, in developing countries like China, the land use of suburbs isdominated by factories and residential land due to close proximity of suburbs to the urban center and the low-priceof settlement (Liu et al., 2016; Xiao et al., 2006). There are close suburban-urban relationships, such as the provisionof materials and interactions of commuting. The attraction of urban services and spatial accessibility enable theoccurrence of suburban-urban interaction. In rural areas, the population and residential land are distributed sparsely.
Moreover, the land use function here is the simplest compared to other urban structures. Therefore, the interactions
between rural and non-rural areas is weak. Due to the heterogeneity of spatial interactions, the main urban, suburban,
and rural areas can be identified.

6.2 The effects of suburban sprawl on the ecological landscapeThe effects of suburban sprawl on the ecological environment can be classified as direct and implicit effects. First,
suburbs are composed of urban and rural areas. The spatial scope of suburbs is part urban construction land and partnon-urban land. Under the background of rapid urbanization, the edge of the urban construction land expands rapidly,

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and thus exerts direct pressure on the ecological environment. From the perspective of land use change, large-scale
non-urban land, including cropland, forest, and grass land, transitions into urban land, and the total area of ecologicalland decreases. Second, implicit pressure comes from the frequent spatial interactions between urban and suburban
areas. Due to the spatial proximity and low-price of land rent, many factories are aggregately distributed in the suburbs.
For example, in China, newly-built industrial parks tend to be built in the suburbs (Zhu, Zhang, & Ke, 2018).
Furthermore, to solve the conflict between high-living costs and occupational opportunities in the urban center, somepeople settle in the suburbs, which drives residential land construction in the suburbs. In addition, materialtransportation and people’s daily commuting activities generate demands for public infrastructure development (likeroad network), which also increases the chance of a land transition in the suburbs. The resource consumed andpollutants released due to by production and living activities during such interactions will create potential ecologicalrisks.

6.3 The enlightenment of suburban identification on ecological landscape planning
The identification of suburbs has practical significance for ecological landscape planning, which can offer decision
support for ecological security assessments and ecosystem service function assessments.
Ecological security is defined as “mankind’s degree of assurance unaffected by ecological destruction andenvironmental pollution in yield, living, and health” (Xiao & Chen, 2002). An ecological security assessment can beused to evaluate ecological carrying capacity, urban development potential, and regional development sustainability,
and it is an important factor of ecological protection. The “pressure-status-response” (PSR) model is one of the mostcommonly applied methods for conducting an ecological security assessment. The “stress” indicator refers
specifically to the results of gathering natural resources and generating pollutants due to human needs for various
social and economic activities, thereby exerting pressure on the ecological environment. “Status” refers to the stateof the environment facing the pressure of such human activities, and “response” denotes human corresponding actions
to solve such ecological problems. This study verified that the ecological landscape tends to be more fragmentated in
the suburbs than in rural areas. Therefore, the identification of suburbs can be utilized as an indicator of the “pressure”
exerted by explicit and implicit human impacts.

7. CONCLUSION

This study identifies the boundary of suburbs by considering their spatial interactions at a 30 m grid level. Basedon mapping the main urban, suburban, and rural areas of Jiangsu Province in 1998 and 2018, this study analyzes theeffects of suburban sprawl on ecological landscape pattern changes. The results demonstrate that suburban sprawl isevident over the past 20 years. In addition, by comparing the ecological landscape pattern changes in the suburban
sprawl area and the remaining rural area, we found that the ecological land in the suburban sprawl area decreased
significantly and that its distribution showed a trend of fragmentation at both the province level and the prefecturecity level. Concerning the significant effects of suburban sprawl on the ecological landscape, this study provides two
examples of integrating suburban identification into ecological planning, including ecological security assessment

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and ecosystem service function evaluation.
This study contributes to understanding suburbs from the perspective of spatial interaction, thereby enriching thetheoretical framework of suburban studies and verifying the effects of suburban sprawl on ecological landscapepatterns.

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The Impact of Plantation Forestry Development on the Local
Environment and Livelihood
Current state and perspectives of rural areas in Central Vietnam
Minori TOKITO1
1

Graduate School of Global Environmental Studies, Kyoto University

Keywords : Plantation forestry, rural resilience, indigenous knowledge, multiple subsistence, mixed-species
plantation

1. INTRODUCTION

Abundant ecosystem services provided by tropical rainforests and diverse land-use mosaics defined as "satoyama"
have constituted the basis of livelihood in rural areas of Southeast Asian countries. However, such “satoyama”
landscapes are being converted to homogenous landscapes of commodity agriculture, which reflects the underlying
politics, institutions, and power structures around forests and land-use tenures (Dressler et al., 2017). Ecological andsocial disruptions have become a serious problem in the frontiers of transformations from traditional resource use tomodern agriculture (Wong et al., 2020).
In this article, I would like to examine large-scale plantation forestry (industrial plantation forestry) as part of thecommodity agriculture that has spread mainly in rural areas of developing countries. First, I outline the backgroundof the expansion of large-scale plantation forestry in Southeast Asia and its impact on rural areas. Second, taking therural areas of central Vietnam as a case study, I discuss the current situation of rural areas after the introduction oflarge-scale plantation forestry and new developments

2. THE RISE OF THE TIMBER INDUSTRY AND THE EXPANSION OF LARGE-SCALE
PLANTATIONS IN SOUTHEAST ASIA

Since the 19th century, large-scale land-use changes have occurred worldwide owing to the increased consumptionof fossil and biological resources powering the industrial development of developed countries.
Establishing an international division of labor system, which has resulted in conflict between industrializedcountries and developing countries providing the primary product, has caused significant resource deprivation indeveloping countries (Kumasaki, 1993; Teranishi, 2006). Southeast Asia, which has rich tropical forests, has becomea major source of timber resources. A vast number of natural forests have been logged, and a large amount ofagricultural land has been cleared to increase food production (Iwasaki et al., 2012).
With the increased regulations on the logging of natural forests due to increasing environmental awareness,
industrial plantation forestry has become more active in supporting the global demand for wood resources. It has
grown into a large international business in the last half-century. To produce a large number of wood resources fromlimited land, alien fast-growing tree species such as eucalyptus and acacia have been actively introduced worldwide.
Especially in Southeast Asia, this type of plantation has expanded rapidly over the last 30 years.

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The reason for the rapid expansion of industrial forestry in Southeast Asia is that the climate is not suitable for tree
growth. Since the 1990s, Southeast Asian countries have had to balance environmental conservation with economic
development. Industrial plantation forestry has become a breakthrough method because it can temporarily increase
the forest area, regenerate forests in devastated regions, enable a stable supply of timber, and break timber
procurement dependency on natural forests (Ubukata, 2007; Kawai, 2012; Nambiar et al., 2014). In addition, it could
also alleviate poverty by creating new jobs in rural areas (Boland & Turnbull, 1981). Against the backdrop of theconflicting needs between economic growth and environmental conservation, the local governments of Southeast
Asian countries started aggressively promoting industrial plantation forestry (Hyakumura, Seki, & Lopez-Casero,2010).

3. IMPACT OF THE EXPANSION OF INDUSTRIAL FORESTRY

Industrial plantation forestry has been introduced in various parts of Southeast Asia as an innovative way to achieveboth economic development and environmental conservation. However, the impact of environmental changes on local
ecosystems and communities has begun to surface in recent years.

3.1 Impact on the ecosystem
Industrial plantation forestry generally requires planting of a single tree species and large-scale plantation forestry
for efficiency (Evans et al., 2002). Therefore, when the forestation of a single tree species is created after cutting
down natural forests, the habitats of animals and plants are lost and biodiversity is reduced (Nagaike, 2002). The
short-cycle artificial disturbance caused by clear-cut trees imposes various environmental burdens, such asdeteriorating soil and increasing vulnerability to diseases and insect pests (Inagaki et al., 2010; Fourie et al., 2016).
In addition, its impact on nutrient cycling, such as water pollution in mountain streams or eutrophication, is aserious concern. Industrial plantation forestry affects forest as well as downstream areas (Fukushima, 2012).
Thus, there is much debate regarding the impact of industrial plantation forestry on the environment (Thulstrup, 2014;
Fujima et al., 2009). Some studies have suggested that planting trees by industrial plantation forestry may contributeto the restoration of biodiversity or create new ecosystems where natural vegetation has already been destroyed orseriously damaged by over-cultivation or over-grazing. However, even in such cases, it is difficult to dispel concerns
about the heavy burden on the environment because a large amount of fertilizer and dosing is required (Iwasaki et al.,2012).

3.2 Impact on the local community
Industrial plantation forestry also has a significant impact on local communities. Although industrial plantation
forestry has become a major industry in mountainous areas and has created employment opportunities in the local
community, it has also created social conflicts because the local government promoted them in parallel with various
forest policies that restrict forest use.
For example, Malaysia's forest policy stipulates production forests for timber logging in addition to nature reserves.

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In both forest areas, individuals are prohibited from using resources without permission. This forest policy regulates
individual free use of forest resources while encouraging forest exploitation by companies (Ichikawa, Ubukata, &Naito, 2010). In Laos and Vietnam, the use and conservation of forest resources under Forest Law is obligatory. Strict
land-use regulations have been implemented, including the prohibition of swidden agriculture (Asano, 2015).
Policymakers perceive swidden agriculture and those who practice it as primitive and environmentally destructive.
Mountainous people are believed to be leading destitute, subsistence-based lives, and are blamed for most of theworld's tropical deforestation, land degradation, and climate change. Therefore, many current forest laws and policies
are aimed at hostile swidden agriculture and replacing swidden agriculture with what is considered a more modern
style. In many areas of Southeast Asia, the result was a claim of state control over the land used by swidden
agricultural growers and the displacement of locals.
Under centralized management and land regulation, most traditional resource uses were considered illegal, while
active planting for timber logging was recommended for secondary forests that were previously used for swidden
agriculture and fallow land. Forests that have become land for industrial plantation forestry are truly places thatprovide abundant ecosystem services essential for traditional resource use. It is clear that the local lifestyle haschanged with the introduction of industrial plantation forestry.
We cannot consider these changes to the local lifestyle a positive thing. As Scott (1977) discussed, the moraleconomy approach presupposes that peasant behavior is aimed entirely at ensuring survival. He explained that local
people tend to minimize the chances of a disaster rather than maximize profits in Southeast Asian societies (Scott,1977). In other words, local people who have lived with forest resources for a long time inherently prefer technologies
that provide the most stable rewards, rather than high-risk technologies. Many researchers have also encountered thisprinciple of risk avoidance (Reardon et al., 2000). Case studies regarding the characteristics that seek to maintainmultiple sources of income and food to guarantee survivability have been reported in various regions of Southeast
Asia (Ellis, 2000; Reardon et al., 2000). Multiple subsistence activities, such as crop cultivation in the home garden,
livestock raising, hunting, fishing, and gathering are sources of survival and security. Diverse survival resources help
local people survive emergencies such as food shortages, also known as rural resilience (Scott, 1977). Ellis (2000)
also evaluated the local system as a wise way to gradually and safely raise their standard of living. It can be said thatmultiple subsistence works as a fail-safe system for local people under unstable living conditions.
Most areas where industrial plantation forestry has been introduced are rural societies where multiple subsistence
activities have been maintained. It is the diverse land-use mosaic called “satoyama” which has supported these various
livelihood survival resources. Without secondary forests that produce diverse forest resources, multiple subsistence
activities would not be possible. The expansion of industrial plantation forestry has unified not only rural landscapes,
but also local livelihoods. Monocultures are vulnerable to pests, natural disasters, and market change. The collapseof regional resilience, which has been maintained for a long time, is a serious issue in the rural society of Southeast
Asian countries.

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4. CASE REPORT: CURRENT STATE OF RURAL AREA OF CENTRAL VIETNAM

4.1 Household-based plantation forestry in Central Vietnam
Central Vietnam is a prominent and typical area facing the expansion of industrial plantation forestry. As a casestudy site, I would like to examine a rural area in the south-east part of Nam Dong district, Thua-Thien Hue province.
The Co Tu people are an ethnic minority who live primarily in the mountainous inland areas of Central Vietnam,
including the Thua-Thien-Hue Province. They used to be farmers who engaged mainly in swidden agriculture.
However, such a traditional agricultural style has shifted to continuous cultivation since the early 1990s because
swidden agriculture has been prohibited, and all forest areas are now strictly managed under forest policy. This area
experienced drastic land-use changes through forest land allocation (FLA) and reforestation programs. Plantation
forestry by farm households (smallholders) using the space allocated through FLA has become especially popular incontinuous cultivation. Acacia, a fast-growing exotic tree, was introduced and has become the dominant species inthis area with encouragement from reforestation programs.
Forestry development in Vietnam since the early 1990s has achieved rapid growth because of government
encouragement. The value of Vietnamese exports of wood products increased from 61 million USD in 1996 to 1,500
million USD in 2005 (MARD, 2006). Large-scale plantations with the assembly of household-based forestry are
spread throughout the mountainous regions of Vietnam, including the Nam Dong district.

4.2 Actual situation of study site after introducing plantation forestry
Since the 1990s, the main source of household income in the area has been derived from plantation forestry. WhenI first visited Co Tu village in Nam Dong district in Thua Thien Hue province in 2014, there were Acacia forests as
far as the eye could see. I also saw a few plots of croplands and paddy fields on the limited flat ground in the mountainravines.
The acacia plantation forestry in Nam Dong district is mostly for short-term logging to produce woodchips andpulp. Under optimal growth conditions, the height of the Acacia tree can reach as high as 25-35m, with a diameter at
breast height of about 30-50 cm. Trees with thick trunks are used for high-grade materials such as flooring andexteriors. Thus, the longer the logging cycle, the higher the income per harvest. However, local people tend toprioritize immediate payments from short-cycle timber logging because it is not easy to earn a living by long-cycle
timber logging alone (Iwasaki et al., 2012). Local people repeatedly clear-cut timber every three years. As previously
mentioned, there are threats to the deterioration of land productivity.
The forestry of Hevea brasiliensis is also popular in Southeast Asia. However, few households currently prefer
Hevea brasiliensis because it is more vulnerable to typhoons and rainstorms than acacia. The few Hevea brasiliensis
forests left in the study site have been replaced with Acacia forests one after another. Agricultural landscape mosaics
have rapidly been converted into more uniform landscapes.
Local people have conducted crop cultivation in home gardens, hunter-gatherer activities in forests, livestockraising, and inland fisheries for a long time. However, this situation has started to change as acacia forestry has
expanded. They do not go inside the natural forest that produces the many diverse resources they are used to because86Asian Rural Future 2030

acacia forestry has spread around their residential area. They also need further permission to hunt and gather forest
resources. Some households gave up livestock raising due to the shortage of livestock feed they used to collect fromnatural forests. People are increasingly distancing themselves from forest resources and multiple subsistence basedon indigenous knowledge.
Currently, labor work involving forestry has replaced traditional livelihood activities. Part-time work engaging intimber logging and transportation has grown as a source of cash income that can be obtained promptly. While multiple
subsistence based on indigenous knowledge is declining, the number of labor workers involved in forestry is rising.
In addition to the declining diversity in land use, dependence on forestry has increased in the livelihood structure.

Fig.1 Part-time work engaging in timber logging and transportation

4.3 Risks for livelihood collapse in the study site
Central Vietnam is one of the most disaster-prone areas in the country and is frequently damaged by typhoons andheavy rains. Every year, great damage occurs, such as loss of houses, crops, livestock, and fallen trees of acacia andlandslides on slopes. At the study site, it has been reported that 72.6 ha of acacia forestry was damaged by fallen trees
and landslides during Typhoon WUTIP in 2013. At that time, 18 of the 155 houses collapsed and 50 were partiallydamaged. It can thus be seen that storms and floods greatly impact the lives of local people in the study site.
In recent years, outbreaks of Ceratocystis disease have been remarkable in acacia forests in Indonesia and Malaysia(Tarigan et al., 2011). Wilt disease in Acacia plantations has also been recognized in Vietnam since 2012 (Thu, Qynh,& Dell, 2012). As such, there is a growing concern about the phenomenon of tree withering spreading throughout
Southeast Asia (Fourie et al., 2016). Most households that rely on the income earned by acacia forestry might suffer87

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a hard financial blow when serious wilt disease damage occurs.
In addition, many studies have pointed out the instability in the market price of acacia timber as an issue. Whilethe export value of wood chips from Vietnam is the highest among Southeast Asian countries (as of 2018, FAOSTAT),
it is highly dependent on Chinese and Japanese markets. As such, the Vietnamese government has explored a shift
from exporting wood chips to more profitable processed wood products. Some studies have pointed out that future
policy changes may significantly impact the domestic market price of acacia timber (Maraseni et al., 2017).
Nam Dong district, where acacia forestry was actively introduced, is one of the areas where many ethnic minorities
live. As such, the poverty rate is relatively higher in Thua Thien Hue Province. At the study site, 40% of the population
was in the poorest and semi-poor households. Even for middle-class households, which account for 60% of the
population, income stability remains uncertain. The monoculture of acacia forestry can be evaluated in terms of its
benefits and contribution to the development of the local economy. However, the risk of livelihood collapse cannot
be ignored in poor communities that are susceptible to external factors such as natural disasters, pests, and market
price fluctuations. At first glance, local people seemed to have escaped poverty because industrial forestry creates
new jobs. However, the community is highly vulnerable, and villagers have quietly become socially disadvantaged
people.

5. THE POSSIBILITY OF MIXED-SPECIES PLANTATION AND DIFFICULTIES CAUSED BY LACKOF MUTUAL UNDERSTANDING

To address these issues, mixed-species plantations are attracting attention as potential solutions in Southeast Asia.
This is an effort to improve biodiversity by planting multiple tree species, including native species. It is expected toenhance the resilience of local livelihoods because it also leads to the use of forest resources, including non-timber
forest products, which have long functioned as fail-safes for daily life in rural Southeast Asia. In addition, mixedspecies plantations can prevent short-cycle clear-cutting by planting several tree species with different growth rates
and ensure constant and stable income for households engaging in forestry.
The global increase in environmental consciousness, especially of responsible sourcing, has led to the introductionof mixed-species plantations in Southeast Asia (Crowthera et al., 2020). In Vietnam in the 1990s, it contributed toenvironmental conservation by increasing the forest cover with the planting of a single fast-growing exotic tree
species. This apparent method of environmental conservation no longer makes sense because there is now a greaterpublic recognition of the need for integrated and sustainable social, economic, and environmental development. The
growing global concern about responsible timber sourcing necessitates a comprehensive solution to the deteriorationof biodiversity and community resilience caused by the expansion of forest plantations.
While expectations for mixed-species plantations are rising, there is a conflict between the government promoting
the introduction of mixed-species plantations and the local people engaging in forestry. It is unacceptable to change
existing economic activities because cash income from forest plantations is now a lifeline for the local people. It isdifficult for local people to understand the long-term merits of mixed-species plantations as they prioritize short-term
benefits. Recent ecological research has focused on appropriate tree species selection, while economic research has
focused on payment for ecosystem services (PES). However, the extent to which the introduction of mixed-species
plantations can improve biodiversity and benefit people's lives has not been quantified. Therefore, the benefits that88

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local people can obtain are unclear. This is considered a major obstacle to consensus-building between the government
and the local people.
This article discussed the expansion of large-scale industrial forestry in Southeast Asia and its impact on rural areas.
In addition, I highlighted the current situation under plantation development and the new trend of mixed-species
plantations through a case study of central Vietnam. Mixed-species plantations have the potential to counter major
environmental and social issues in mountainous areas of Southeast Asia. The next challenge for this study is to clarify
how much mixed-species plantations can actually change the region's biodiversity and how much they can contributeto strengthening the region's resilience. We stress the urgent need for further investigation into integrated ruralplanning and sustainable development in terms of social, economic, and environmental aspects.

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16) Nambiar, E. K. S., & Harwood, C. E. (2014): Productivity of acacia and eucalypt plantations in Southeast Asia.
1. Bio-physical determinants of production: opportunities and challenges, International Forestry Review, 16, 225248(24).
17) Reardon, T. J., Taylor, E., Stamoulis, K., Lanjouw, P., & Balisacan, A. (2008): Effects of non-farm employment
on rural income inequality in developing countries: An investment perspective, Journal of Agricultural
Economics, 51, 266-288.
18) Scott, J. C. (1977): The Moral Economy of the Peasant: Rebellion and Subsistence in Southeast Asia: Rebellion
and Subsistence in South East Asia, Yale University Press, New Haven, 257.

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19) Tarigan, M., Roux, J., Wyk, M. V., Tjahjono, B., & Wingfield, M. J. (2011): A new wilt and dieback disease of
Acacia mangium associated with Ceratocystis manginecans and C. acaciivora sp. nov. in Indonesia, South
African Journal of Botany, 77, 292-304.
20) Thu, P. Q., Qynh, D. N., & Dell, B. (2012): Ceratocystis sp. causes crown wilt of Acacia spp. planted in someecological zones of Vietnam, In: Proceeding of International Conference on The Impacts of Climate Change toForest Pests and Diseases in The Tropics, Indonesia, Faculty of Forestry, Universitas Gadjah Mada, Yogyakarta,
Indonesia, 38-44.
21) Thulstrup, A. W. (2014): Plantation livelihoods in central Vietnam: Implications for household vulnerability andcommunity resilience, Norwegian Journal of Geography, 68, 1-9.
22) Ubukata, F. (2007): A Choice between Large-scale Plantations and Farm forestry: The Thai Pulp Industry's
Dilemma, Asian Studies, 53, 2, 60-75.
23) Wong, G. Y., Moeliono, M., Bong, I. W., ThuPham, T., Sahide, M. A. K., Naito, D., & Brockhaus, M. (2020):
Social forestry in Southeast Asia: Evolving interests, discourses and the many notions of equity, Geoforum, 117,
246-258.

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Asian Rural Future 2030

Community Design for Ensuring
Sustainable and Endogenous Community Development
A case of ethnic minority communities in a remote mountainous area in Vietnam
Thi Thu Oanh TRAN1, Thi My Hoa DO1, Nobuko OTSUKI1, and Kako INOUE2
1

Foundation for International Development/Relief (FIDR)
2
University of Miyazaki

Keywords : Community Design, Sustainable and Endogenous Community Development, Treasure Hunting, PRRIE,
VUCA

1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background
International rural development projects have been long dominated by efforts to bring prosperity to “underdeveloped” regions/countries by transferring “advanced” technology or by providing required assistance todeveloping regions/countries from “developed’ countries so that people in the underdeveloped regions can adopt
and/or be equipped with more modern technology. In such situations, a hierarchical relation has typically existed
between outsiders who have provided “input” and recipients, who are the ones targeted by the support. Such a topdown approach, however, has not functioned effectively to bring prosperity, as the world has continued to witness
never-ending rural poverty in the Third World. Together with increased awareness of the concept of “participation”,
as Chambers’ (1983) Putting the Last First was read widely by those who work in development context, the conceptof “participatory development” became mainstream from the mid-1980s. Yet, participatory approaches had been
criticized from the latter half of the 1990s, as formalities of participation procedures, rather than their original purpose,
had been increasingly emphasized in practice (Cooke & Kothari, 2001; Sato, 2003). Then, the “sustainable livelihood
approach” to understand people's livelihoods came to receive more attention from the late 1990s to the 2000s in the
United Kingdom, the center of “development studies” (Chambers & Conway, 1991; Scoones, 2015). Sustainable
livelihood approaches were proposed to improve the understanding of rural people’s livelihoods by examining factorsthat constrain or enhance livelihood opportunities. “Livelihood” here comprises “the capabilities, assets (stores,
resources, claims, and access) and activities required for a means of living” (Chambers & Conway, 1991, p. 6). At
the same time, it was also found that things start to work when local people's agency is exercised; the endogenousdevelopment approaches with the principle of participation and a focus on local strength/value and local resources
have been recognized as a more effective approach than exogenous inputs in specific sectors (Ray, 1999).
Regardless of such struggles in seeking better approaches to rural prosperity, the accumulated efforts have beeninterrupted on account of complex socio-political contexts. The rise of neoliberalism has caused efforts to further
elaborate endogenous development, participatory research, and livelihood approaches to stagnate (Nishikawa, 2018,p. 142), while neither the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) from 2000 to 2015 nor the Sustainable
Development Goals (SDGs) of Agenda 2030 from 2015 to 2030 included sustainable livelihood or endogenousdevelopment approaches. However, it is worth noting that there are movements within the international community

91Asian Rural Future 2030

that should not be overlooked. There is an ongoing effort to defend the right of small farmers in rural areas to havebetter livelihoods, as seen in the UN Decade of Family Farming from 2019 and the International Year of Family
Farming of 2014. Moreover, it should also be acknowledged that there are people working patiently at the grassroots
level in remote rural areas even though it is often the case that such activities never come into the spotlight.
This article aims to show the rural development model, which has been achieved as a result of accumulated efforts
at the grassroots level by an international NGO working with the local people, experiencing and learning from thelocal situation in a reflexive way, understanding the context of people's livelihood, and bringing about sustainable
and endogenous development approaches rather than just providing input from exogenous counterparts. The work ofthis case is also characterized by a refinement of its own practice by learning from academic debates on livelihood
approaches and endogenous development, as well as incorporating some lessons from other international cooperation
projects into its practice.

1.2 Context and objective
The Foundation for International Development/Relief (FIDR) is a Japan-based International NGO established in
1990, aiming to build a society where children in developing countries grow healthy and to promote international
cooperation. At the time of its establishment, Vietnam was still isolated from international societies, while many
international aid programs rushed into Vietnam after the Doi Moi reform to solve crucial issues such as poverty. FIDR
also set up a representative office in Da Nang city in 1998 to work on the different sectors related to children’s wellbeing.
Through the practical experiences of the last 20 years in Vietnam, FIDR has formulated the key concept ofcommunity design for sustainable and endogenous community development. This concept has been used in a variety
projects, such as rural community development in agriculture, health, nutrition, tourism, etc., with effective results.
The key concept of community design is shared in this paper based on the practice of the Project for Rural
Development by Local Initiatives of the Ethnic Minority Communities in Nam Giang district, Quang Nam province,
Vietnam (PRD). The project was implemented from 2016 to 2020 in Quang Nam province, Vietnam, to establish amodel to promote comprehensive rural development for resources development, regional revitalization, andmarketing by ethnic minority communities in the target area. This article aimed to share and illustrate how to create
the model for community design to function effectively.

2. PROJECT DESIGN FRAMEWORK
2.1 Background of the project
FIDR implemented an integrated community development project as the first step in establishing an infrastructure
for living from 2001 to 2007 in Nam Giang district, Quang Nam province, which is in a mountainous area in Central
Vietnam. The Cotu Traditional Handicraft Assistance Project stemming from that integrated project was implemented
over four years from 2008 and promoted income generation for the Cotu ethnic group by utilizing their traditional
woven cloths. The project brought not only local economic growth but also changed the people by enhancing their
feelings of self-worth and self-confidence. Furthermore, the project triggered government officers and local people

92Asian Rural Future 2030

who had been hoping for the industrialization to begin exploring the possibility of self-reliant tourism development(community-based tourism) utilizing abundant local resources, such as the unique Cotu traditions, culture, society,and rich nature. In addition, it is likely to have sufficient potential for local community development, including not
only tourism but also craft skills, agricultural products, and food processing as well. The PRD was launched to builda model for comprehensive approach to activate community development (FIDR, 2020).

2.2 FIDR Project Design Concept
2.2.1 FIDR Project design framework
The FIDR has a basic framework for project formulation that is utilized for the formulation the community
development sector projects, which is also able to utilize various approaches and sectors. The framework can be
described according to four stages. The bases of the frame are as follows: (1) recognizing the community as being
composed of three components—child, family, and community—and ensuring all three to share the same visions andto link and care each other in their own community; and (2) considering how to operate the project within theframework. In particular, due to the effects of COVID-19, which broke out in 2020, and due to unforeseen disasters
that may hit the area due to climate change in the future, there is a tendency towards increased social uncertainty
worldwide, and therefore an operation that is more in line with volatility-uncertainty-complexity-ambiguity (VUCA)
rather than a plan-do-check-action (PDCA)-based operation is required (Raghramapatruni & Kosuri, 2017, p16-22.);(3) In the approach stage, a system that encourages endogenous development rather than exogenous development isneeded to ensure sustainable development; (4) Finally, in the tools stage, a technical model that integrates the above
and locally appropriate skills and technologies, such as treasure hunting and participatory rural development andresource management by integrated training for equal opportunity (PRRIE) (Kessler et al., 2013; Noda, 2012), is set
up. This is the basic way to design and formulate regional development projects in FIDR.
Overview of Project / Community Design in FIDR

1

Composition for Community
Designing  Shared Vision
Community

4

E.g. Treasure Hunting

TOOL(Tech.
Model)

3

Endogenous Approach

APPROACH
Family/HHs

2

Children

PDCA＋VUCA-based Frame

FRAME

Community Design Strategy

Fig.1 Overview of Project/Community Design in FIDR

2.2.2 Community development concept
The critical issue to utilize the FIDR project design framework above is to establish a clear indicator at each level

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of child, family, and community, and then to work with community members in order to share and advance theseapproaches. Specifically, at the child-component level, it is important to share information about the child and thecontext in which children are placed with community members based on the child-centered approach and to analyze
the data together. Also, at the family level, based on the “sustainable livelihood approach” (Serrat, 2008), it isnecessary to analyze and share information about the home and family situation as well as their environment.
Similarly, at the community level, based on the community-based approach, it is important to analyze the ownership,decision-making factors, and community members, and finally, to share the results of the analysis with community
members at all stages of the process.
Community Development Concept of FIDR

1. Composition for Community Designing

To

Family/HHs

Children・Health/Hygiene
・Education ・Age・Gender etc.

・Family member
・Relatives・Livelihood
・Daily life・Regulationetc.

Community

・Local Government・Education
・Health・Group・Organization
・Policy ・Tradition・Norm etc.
（Community Vision）

Share VisionChild-centered Approach

Sustainable Livelihoods Approach
Community-based Approach
Project Operation through practiceFig.2 Community Development Concept of FIDR

2.2.3 Setting a project approach
When formulating community development projects in remote rural areas, it is necessary to consider thedevelopment process in the face of various constraints such as geographic, geopolitical, cultural, and environmental
aspects. In remote rural areas, issues relating to human resource development become important to promotesustainable development. In particular, promoting development based on external input, which is an external factor,
does not lead to self-sustaining development of the region because it is difficult to promote sustainable development
within the region due to the limitation of the inputs and that they cannot promote community dynamics. Therefore,
when setting up an approach, it is necessary to incorporate mechanisms and devices in the planning and regional
design that will lead to the promotion of self-reliant development of the region. Rather than focusing on the input
type, we need to promote designs with an awareness of the “pickup” type. In other words, the idea is to recognize thetreasure and value of the area and to extract (or simply to pickup) its potential rather than to view the area as a placethat is lacking and therefore to input what is lacking.

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How to Set an Approach

Restricted zone
Remote site
Exit strategy etc.

●

System of simultaneous
movement in the community●●

Endogenously, automaticallyDevelopment modelin remote areaetc.

Exogenous approach(Input style)

Endogenous approach(Pickup style)Fig.3 How to Set an Approach

2.1.4 Setting tools (Technical model)
In this project, the “treasure hunting” method and the PRRIE model are applied as community development tools.
These methods can be used flexibly to respond to changes in operational and internal and external environment
conditions, and because they are based on the premise that the local people act on their own, the community takes theinitiative without the need for outside assistance. As a result, the independence of the local community is enhanced,
and the speed of dissemination and influence within the community elicit different responses from those of
conventional development assistance. Moreover, the activities brought by the project continued even after the project
was completed in many cases. This outcome can be understood from the fact that the local people were not only
participants during the project period but also the agents who conducted their own lives in the area even after the
project, and that the process of information sharing on regional design from the planning stage, including regional
analysis, made them incorporate their experience gained through the project into their own living activities.

Tools (Technical Model)
for Eﬀective Functioning of “TREASURE HUNTING”
Treasure Hunting

PRRIE

Mechanism forpeople moveall at once

HINTS!

Step 1:① Based on needs (treasure) in
community② Utilize human/skills/physicalresource in community③ In local community④ No selection of participants⑤ Training & activity for as much as
many people
Step 2:
To proceed & develop results of 1 st step●

Diversify & getcommunication channel●

At ﬁrst, all things are“ tentative ” or “temporary”●

Letʼs try“one stone 10 birds”！

●

Clear step for next

PRRIE:
Participatory Rural Development and Resource Management
by Integrated Training for Equal Opportunity”

Fig.4 Tools for Effective Functioning

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3. RESULTS

As described above, a series of community designs, including planning, analysis of the composition of thecommunity, and analysis of the living context (or livelihood) were shared with the local people. As a result, significant
and positive results were revealed in comparison with conventional methods. More than 90% of the local residents
and related people around the region answered that they were satisfied with the results of the project, and the profitof the local cooperative in the region increased by an average of 23.4% every year from 2016 to 2020. In addition,
the number of guests who visited the area to learn about the project’s operation reached 2,206 people (excluding
general tourists) in four years. There was also a significant difference in the number of people affected by and involvedin the community between cases that “have” clear community design and those that “have not”.
Impact on other projects

Applicable to any projects

Project for Food Security Improvement

No. ofhhs

2500

DEVELOPMENT of
number of SRI famers
with two approaches

No. ofhhs

Number of CBT Co -op members

300

Project Approach

2000

Community-based Tourism Project

250
200

1500

150

1000

100

Government Approach

500

50
0

0

2015

2016

2017

Nam Giang Co-op Co-op in A DistrictCo-op in B DistrictCo-op in C District
Nam Giang Co-op

2018 Year

Co-op in A District

Co-op in B District Co-op in C District

Fig.5 Impact with Other Projects

Fig.6 Practice of Community Development

4. CONCLUSION

Over the past 20 years, FIDR Vietnam's regional development projects have undergone various trials and errors,
but dynamic changes have spread like a chain reaction. There were three main factors that contributed to this outcome.
The first aspect is “community initiatives”, one of the original concepts of FIDR’s regional development policy,
which has prioritized regional/community design in a way that encourages endogenous development rather than96

Asian Rural Future 2030

exogenous development. The second is that FIDR has changed its own approach from the traditional/conventional
development methods, which were mainly externally driven and input oriented, to a development method thatconsiders local resources as treasures and the process of improving them as the main method of development. In
addition, FIDR has made it clear that it is the local people who can make the best use of these local resources. Thirdly,
it is essential to share the regional design with the local people, and in addition to flexible project formulation, it isalso critical to have a mechanism for the local community to work spontaneously even when external support stops.
In the context of globalization with difficult constraints, classical trickle-down growth cannot be expected; it is thus
very necessary to use new development frameworks to lift people out of poverty.

What is Functional Community Designing?
Level

Key Factors

1. Shared vision incommunity●●

Understand more community, shared vision & issue
Priority is always community●●

Be flexible & utilize remote management
Sharing, partnership & collaboration●●

From input style to MORE pickup style
Utilize local human resources and more capacity building●●

MORE focus on mechanisms rather than techniqueDon't choose participants

2. Frame
3. Approach
4. Tool(technical model)

NOT only problem-solving ⇒ MORE value discovery,
expedition, and creativity (appreciate inquiry)
Fig.7 What is Functional Community Design

REFERENCES
1) Chambers, R. (1983): Rural Development: Putting the Last First. Routledge, Abingdon.
2) Chambers, R. & Conway, G. R. (1991): Sustainable rural livelihoods: practical concepts for the 21st century, IDS
Discussion Paper 296, Institute of Development Studies, Brighton.
3) Cooke, B., & Kothari, U. (Eds.) (2001): Participation: The New Tyranny?. Zed books, London.
4) FIDR (2020): Project for Rural Development by Local Initiative of the Ethnic Minority Communities in Nam
Giang District Final Evaluation Report, FIDR Vietnam office.
5) Kessler, E. H.(Ed.) (2013): Encyclopedia of Management Theory, SAGE Publications, Thousand Oaks.
6) Nishikawa, Y. (2018): Editor's commentary, sustainable livelihoods and rural development, Akashi-shoten,
Tokyo. (in Japanese)
7) Noda, N. (2012): Participatory rural development and resource management by integrated training for equal
opportunity (PRRIE). Available at: https://hitonomori.com/archives/training_text/PRRIE.pdf. Accessed on
November 2, 2021.
8) Raghramapatruni, R., & Kosuri S.R. (2017): The straits of success in a VUCA world, IOSR Journal of Businessand Management, pp. 16–22.
9) Ray, C. (1999): Endogenous development in the era of reflexive modernity. Journal of Rural Studies, 15(3), 257–
267.
10) Sato, H. (2003): “Rethinking” Participatory Development. IDE-JETRO, Rethinking Participatory Development,
pp.3–36. (in Japanese).
11) Serrat, O. (2008): The sustainable livelihoods approach, knowledge solutions Asian Development Bank.
Available at: https://www.adb.org/sites/default/files/publication/27638/sustainable-livelihoods-approach.pdf.
Accessed on November 1., 2021.
12) Scoones, I. (2015): Sustainable livelihoods and rural development, Practical Action Publishing, Rugby.

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Asian Rural Future 2030

A Study of Travel Motivations and Preferences of Urban Residents for“Countryside Stay” in Japan
Saki SATOH1, Kohei YAGI2
1

Norinchukin Research Institute Co., Ltd
2
Kobe University

Keywords : The Green tourism, Countryside stay, Travel motivations, Travel preferences, Urban residents

1. INTRODUCTION
1.1 Background“Green tourism” first emerged as a policy term in Japan in 1992 and is still in use nearly 30 years later. It was
originally inspired by rural vacations in Europe; however, Japan’s version is characterized by its focus on day trips
and short stays to experience agricultural work, local food culture, and folk art.
There are two major problems: low profitability, which has hindered an increase in farmers’ income, and a decreasein the number of farmers who can accommodate travelers due to the aging of the population. To ensure the businesspotential and sustainability of green tourism, it is necessary to shift to in-market trends that cater to the needs oftravelers (Satoh & Yagi, 2021).

1.2 Research question and definition of “Countryside Stay”
This study aims to organize and categorize the travel motivations of “countryside stays” for urban residents, a major
market for travelers, and understand the travel preferences of each type of traveler. In this study, we treat countrysidestays as green tourism with a greater emphasis on “staycation.”

The definition of countryside stay in this study

considers experiences involving interaction with local people and learning in rural areas as the main elements for trips
that involve lodging in rural areas for tourism purposes. Therefore, a countryside stay is a trip that includes at least
one of the experiences listed in Table 1, such as community learning, agricultural experiences, and stays at farm-inns(Yagi, Satoh, & Hirakata, 2021).
I am convinced that countryside stays contribute to the maintenance of rich and beautiful rural areas by improving
the attractiveness of these areas through the refinement of local resources, the transmission of culture, and thepreservation of the landscape.

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Table 1

Example of Countryside Stay

Community learning with a guide (history, culture, etc.)
Winery and sake brewery
Tourist farms and ranches (fruit picking, milking, etc.)
Agricultural experience (rice planting, potato digging, etc.)
Cooking (buckwheat noodle making, local cuisine, cheese making, etc.)
Craft making (straw work, dyeing, craft experience, etc.)
Dining at a farmhouse restaurant
Outdoor activities (mountain climbing, river rafting, river sports, cycling, camping, etc.)
Interaction with local people
Eating local food
Staying at farm-inns
Relaxing and just spending time in the countryside

2. FRAMEWORK OF ANALYSIS
2.1 Methods
The analysis consists of two main parts. The first part involves the identification of types of travelers by factor
analysis and non-hierarchical cluster analysis using travel motivation as a variable, and the second part discusses theorganization of characteristics of travel preferences by types of travelers using tests of differences.

2.2 Data
This study used data gathered via a web questionnaire that was conducted in January 2020 by Neomarketing Inc. inJapan. We sent the screening survey to 20,000 people who live in government-ordinance-designated cities and special
wards in three metropolitan areas: the Kanto, Chukyo, and Kinki areas. We extracted the respondents along with the
population composition of each city, sex, and age group. As it is important to promote urban–rural exchange torevitalize the rural economy, we examined the travel behaviors of urban residents living in these three metropolitan
areas. Because of the scarcity of monitors, we ultimately obtained data from 19,995 respondents. Among these
respondents, we considered rural tourists to be people who lived in urban areas, had stayed nights in rural areas forsightseeing purposes in the last two years, and had participated in at least one of the attributes in Table 1. To conduct
the main survey, we randomly selected 800 of these rural tourists. We excluded the responses of 49 of these selected
respondents who provided identical answers to each question, except for (in some cases) one question regarding
tourist motivation. Subsequently, we analyzed the data of the remaining 751 respondents.

3. ANALYSIS AND RESULTS1: FACTOR ANALYSIS OF TRAVEL MOTIVATIONS FOR
COUNTRYSIDE STAY
3.1 Analysis1: Factor analysis
In the first part, we first conducted a factor analysis of travel motivations for countryside stays. The question of
travel motivation in the questionnaire was classified into push and pull factors, and a factor analysis was conducted.

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Asian Rural Future 2030

The push factors here are the travel motivations that make tourists want to go on a trip, and the pull factors are thetravel motivations based on the various resources that the tourist destination has. For the push factors of travel
motivation, we referenced the travel motivation scale of Park and Yoon (2009) and Meng, Tepanon, & Uysal (2008),
which analyzes rural tourism and nature-based resort. Varimax rotation and unweighted least squares were used as
analysis methods, and the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) was used to determine the number of factors. Please
see Tables 2 and 3, respectively. The results show that four push and two pull factors were analyzed.
Table 2

Factor analysis of travel motivations for countryside stay (push factors)

Push factors

Adoration

Challenge

Interaction
Rest

Mean

Standard
deviation

Factor1
adoration

Factor2
challenge

Factor3
interaction

Factor4
rest
0.041

Eventually, I want to live in the countryside.

3.14

1.185

0.673

0.143

0.173

I want to find myself.

2.94

1.107

0.587

0.302

0.234

0.023

I’m tired of conventional sightseeing trips (hot springs,
visits to famous places, resort sightseeing, etc.)

2.78

1.102

0.468

0.223

0.137

-0.010I want to get away from the city life.

2.32

0.945

0.446

0.183

0.045

0.391

I want to try various activities.

2.60

0.992

0.368

0.735

0.187

0.135

I want to gain an experience I have never had before.

2.30

0.889

0.229

0.591

0.194

0.283

I want to move and exercise as much as I can.

2.71

0.993

0.397

0.573

0.230

0.098

I want to cherish my connections with people.

2.47

0.925

0.374

0.284

0.773

0.163

I want to experience the warmth of the people.

2.47

0.901

0.396

0.320

0.506

0.276

I want to relax and rest.

1.84

0.784

0.058

0.028

0.039

0.639

I want to have fun with my family and friends.

1.98

0.867

-0.065

0.244

0.195

0.437

16.9%

32.0%

42.2%

51.0%

Cumulative contribution rate

Table 3

Factor analysis of travel motivations for countryside stay (pull factors)

Pull factors
Experiencelearning

Pleasure trip

MeanStandard
deviation

Factor1
adoration

Factor2
challenge

I want to farm.

3.16

1.157

0.844

-0.051

I want to experience rural life.

2.86

1.098

0.829

0.043

I want to learn about dietary education.

2.82

1.011

0.756

0.137

I want to experience cooking and making crafts.

2.76

1.018

0.744

0.140

I want to interact with the local people.

2.75

1.022

0.706

0.165

I want to enjoy the scenery.

1.78

0.738

0.000

0.769

I want to enjoy nature.

1.77

0.708

0.116

0.683

I want to eat fresh produce.
I want to enjoy good food.

1.83
1.73

0.805
0.763

0.132
-0.011

0.670
0.625

2.17

0.831

0.351
31.8%

0.453
53.5%

I want to experience culture and history.
Cumulative contribution rate
Note: Places where the factor loadings are greater than 0.4 are in bold.

3.2 Results 1
Focusing on the questions with the highest factor loadings, the first push factor was “adoration” in reference to“Eventually, I want to live in the countryside.” The second factor was “challenge” in reference to “I want to try
various activities.” The third factor was “interaction” in reference to “I want to cherish my connections with people,”and the fourth factor was “rest” in reference to “I want to relax and rest.”
As for pull factors, the first factor was “experience learning” in reference to “I want to farm,” “I want to experience
rural life,” and “I want to learn about dietary education.” The second factor was “pleasure trip” in reference to “I wantto enjoy the scenery,” “I want to enjoy nature,” and “I want to eat fresh produce.”

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3.3 Analysis 2: Non-hierarchical cluster analysis
Subsequently, to identify the types of travelers, we conducted a non-hierarchical cluster analysis based on the factor
scores of the above six factors. We conducted two versions of the non-hierarchical cluster analysis, which divided
them into 3 and 4 groups, respectively, and cross-tabulated the two versions of the groups. In the cluster analysis,
there were respondents whose responses were far from the average in every group, and these respondents had to be
removed to conduct an accurate analysis. Thus, we cross-tabulated the 3 and 4 groups of the results of the cluster
analysis, and extracted only those respondents who belonged to the common groups to proceed to the second part of
the analysis (612 people).

3.4 Results 2
Let us look at the radar chart of the factor scores for each type (Fig.1). The first group had higher factor scores thanthe other groups and was characterized by the fact that all factors worked strongly. In contrast, the second group wascharacterized by slightly higher factor scores for “pleasure trip” and “rest,” and the third group was characterized byslightly higher factor scores for “experience learning,” “adoration,” and “interaction,” although they were lower thanthose for the first group. Therefore, the first group was defined as “highly motivated type,” the second group as“relaxed type,” and the third group as “emergent interest type.”

Experience learning
1.5
1.0
Rest

0.5

Pleasure trip

0.0
-0.5
-1.0

Interaction

Adoration

Challenge

Highly motivated types (n=198)
Relaxed types (n=198)
Emergent interest types (n=216)

Fig.1

Radar chart of types of travelers

4. ANALYSIS AND RESULTS2: TRAVEL PREFERENCE BY TYPES OF TRAVELERS
4.1 Analysis
In the second part of the analysis, to clarify the differences in travel intentions by type of traveler in the first part,the presence or absence of statistically significant differences in travel-related questions was verified by the chisquared and residual analysis tests, Fisher’s exact test, independent sample t-test, and one-way analysis of variance.

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4.2 Results
4.2.1 Basic properties by types of travelers
The basic attributes of each type are listed in Table 4. Due to the nature of the sample, although there were many
male respondents in their 60s for both types, there were relatively more respondents from younger generations, suchas women in their 20s and men in their 30s and 40s in the “highly motivated type” group, and relatively more men in
their 60s in the “emergent interest type” group.

Table 4 Basic properties by type of travelers

Male

FemaleIncomecapitaHighly motivated type
4.5%
10.6%
20.7%
17.2%
14.1%
4.0%
7.6%
7.1%
8.1%
6.1%

Relaxed type
0.5%
3.5%
7.1%
23.2%
27.3%
1.5%
7.6%
12.1%
10.6%
6.6%

Emergent interest type
3.2%
7.4%
14.8%
22.7%
29.6%
0.9%
5.6%
8.3%
5.1%
2.3%

Less than 200 million yen
200 million–400 million yen
400 million–600 million yen
600 million–800 million yen
800 million yen or more

3.0%
38.4%
30.3%
21.2%
7.1%

4.5%
34.8%
35.9%
11.1%
13.6%

5.1%
41.2%
28.7%
14.4%
10.6%

4.2%
38.2%
31.5%
15.5%
10.5%

Living alone
Husband and wife
Husband and wife and children
Single parents and children
Three-generation family
Other than those above

18.2%
21.7%
47.0%
4.5%
6.6%
2.0%

17.7%
29.3%
41.4%
4.5%
2.5%
4.5%

16.2%
24.5%
45.8%
4.6%
4.2%
4.6%

17.3%
25.2%
44.8%
4.6%
4.4%
3.8%

20s
30s
40s
50s
60s
20s
30s
40s
50s
60s
per

Householdcomposition of
the family

Total
2.8%
7.2%
14.2%
21.1%
23.9%
2.1%
6.9%
9.2%
7.8%
4.9%

The number of samples
198
198
216
612
Note: The results of Fisher's exact test for gender and age group were significant at the 5% level. The results of the chi-squared test for per capita income andfamily household composition were not significant at the 5% level. For each item, as a result of the adjusted residue analysis, significantly higher values areshown in shaded bold, and lower values are shown in bold.

4.2.2 Main purpose of trips by types of travelers
To understand the first characteristic of travel intentions by type of travel, let us look at the travel purposes forcountryside trips (Table 5). The percentage of the “highly motivated type,” whose main purpose for taking the trip
was living in the countryside, was significantly higher for both individual and group trips. However, the percentageof the “relaxed type” was significantly higher for trips that focused on visiting sightseeing spots, tourist attractions,and hot springs.
Table 5Main purpose of trips by types of travelers
Highly motivated
type

Countryside stays (individual trip)
Countryside stays (group trip)
Hot spring trip
Sightseeing spots and tourist attractions
Trip for pleasure (marathon, photography, cartoon, etc.)

62.6%
18.2%
48.5%
38.9%
1.0%

Relaxed type
51.5%
3.5%
60.1%
49.0%
4.5%

Emergent interest
type
49.5%
13.9%
52.8%
31.9%
1.9%

Chi-square test***

Note： Items that were significant at the 5% level as a result of the chi-squared test are indicated with an asterisk (*). In addition, the results of the adjusted
residue analysis indicate that the values that are significantly higher are shaded in bold, and the values that are significantly lower are shown in bold. The resultsof the Fisher’s exact test for "trip for pleasure" were not significant at the 5% level.

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4.2.3 Traveler’s experiences by types of travelers
Second, Table 6 shows the percentage of respondents who selected the things they experienced during their stayin the countryside in the past two years for each type. First, the “highly motivated type” selected many items thatwere rated significantly higher, including community learning, appreciation, wineries and sake brewery tours,
agriculture experience, cooking, craft making, interaction with local people, and staying at farm-inns. The percentageof respondents who selected items related to agricultural experience, learning, and interaction with local people tended
to be high. In contrast, for the “relaxed type,” the percentage of choices associated with a typical spa trip was high,such as hot springs, natural scenery, shopping at farmers’ markets and roadside stations, local food, and just spendingtime resting and relaxing. In the case of the “emergent interest type,” there were no items that were rated as
significantly high, and a few items were rated as significantly low compared to the other two types.

Table 6

Travelers’ experiences based on travelers’ types
Highlymotivated
type

Relaxedtype

Emergent
interest typeChi-square
test

Visiting a hot spring
78.8%
89.9%
73.6%
*
Community learning with a guide (history, culture, etc.)
32.8%
15.2%
20.4%
*
Appreciation (art, music, sports)
25.8%
8.6%
18.1%
*
Winery and sake brewery tours
40.4%
31.3%
28.2%
*
Tourist farms and ranches (fruit picking, milking, etc.)
49.0%
40.9%
33.3%
Visiting tourist facilities (aquariums, theme parks, etc.)
46.5%
44.4%
33.3%
*
Agricultural experience (rice planting, potato digging, etc.)
22.7%
3.0%
16.2%
*
Cooking (buckwheat noodle making, local cuisine, cheese making, etc.)
31.8%
12.6%
18.1%
*
Craft making (straw work, dyeing, craft experience, etc.)
19.7%
6.6%
9.7%
*
Dining at a farmhouse restaurant
34.3%
23.7%
27.3%
Outdoor activities (mountain climbing, river rafting, river sports, cycling, camping, etc.)
42.9%
39.9%
37.0%
Interaction with local people
26.3%
9.6%
11.6%
*
Enjoying the natural scenery (terraced rice paddies, autumn leaves, waterfalls, etc.)
53.5%
72.2%
44.0%
*
Shopping in farmer’s markets and roadside stations
52.0%
68.2%
35.6%
*
Eating local food
52.0%
76.3%
46.8%
*
Staying at farm-inns
20.7%
6.6%
14.8%
*
Relaxing and just spending time in the countryside
14.1%
24.7%
8.8%
*
Note: The percentage of multiple responses is shown. As a result of the chi-square test, items that were significant at the 5% level are indicated with "*". In
addition, the results of the adjusted residue analysis indicate that the values that are significantly higher are shaded in bold, and the values that are significantly
lower are shown in bold.

4.2.4 Accommodations which travelers have used
Third, Table 7 shows the types of accommodation used by respondents who stayed in the countryside. The
percentage of the “highly motivated type” who chose various types of accommodation such as guesthouses, B&Bs,
farm-inns, “old folk houses,” “glamping,” and auberge and pensions was significantly high. In contrast, the response
rate of the “relaxed type” was significantly lower for all items for which the response rate of the “highly motivatedtype” was significantly higher. In addition, the percentage of those who chose hotels and Japanese inns was
significantly higher in the adjusted residue analysis. In the “emergent interest type” category, the percentage of those
who chose “old folk houses” was significantly higher.

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Table 7

Hotel
Japanese inn
Guesthouse, B&B
Farm-inn
Old folk house
Camp
Glamping
Lodging facility using a closed school
Auberges and pensions
Home of a relative or acquaintanceAccommodations which travelers have used

Highly motivated type
42.9%
51.5%
11.1%
20.7%
11.1%
13.6%
4.5%
2.0%
9.1%
9.1%

Relaxed type
54.0%
60.1%
2.0%
4.0%
0.0%
8.1%
0.5%
0.0%
2.5%
5.1%

Emergent interest type
44.9%
50.5%
6.5%
13.9%
10.6%
11.1%
3.2%
2.3%
3.7%
4.2%

Chi-square test

*
*
*
*
*

Note: Items that were significant at the 5% level as a result of the chi-squared test are indicated by "*". In addition, the results of the adjusted residue analysis
indicate that the values that are significantly higher are shaded in bold, and the values that are significantly lower are shown in bold. The results of Fisher's exact
test were not significant at the 5% level for the accommodation facilities using closed schools.

5. CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATION

When the characteristics of travel preferences were organized by type, the “highly motivated type” intended toexperience countryside stays, and the percentage of respondents in this group who selected items such as agriculturalexperience, staying at farm-inns, interaction with local people, and community learning, which characterize this typeof trip, was high in terms of the content of the experience and their intention to experience. This type of traveler hasa wide range of interests and is a group that is particularly interested in agriculture and rural life, and experiences joy
in learning, working with their hands, and interacting with local people. This type was more common among men in
their 40s. In addition, the probability of being a “highly motivated type” tended to be higher among men in their 30s,
women in their 20s, and high-income groups with per capita income of 6–8 million yen. To attract “highly motivatedtype” tourists who are eager to stay in the countryside, it would be effective to appeal to these people.
Among the “relaxed type,” the purpose of their trip was to visit sightseeing spots and tourist attractions, and a highpercentage of them responded that they wanted to visit hot springs and natural sceneries, shop at farmers’ markets
and roadside stations, experience local food, and just spend time resting and relaxing, and they tended to use Japanese
inns. In other words, this type of person prefers to be refreshed at a hot spring and seeks a comfortable lodging
environment and hospitality as a “guest.” These types were more common among the relatively older age groups,
such as men in their 50s and 60s and women in their 40s and 50s. When appealing to the older age groups who stayat Japanese inns and hotels, it is often more effective to focus on tourist resources such as hot springs, natural scenery,
farmers’ markets, and roadside stations, rather than focusing on the core experiences of countryside stays.
Although the “emergent interest type” did not clearly show the characteristics of travel orientation, they wereconsidered to have at least some interest in these experiences because the percentage of respondents who selected
agricultural experience and farmhouse was about 10% higher than that of the “relaxed type.” “Emergent interest type”
is more common among men in their 40s or older, and we believe that promoting this type of accommodation willappeal to the older generation as well as the “relaxed type.” In particular, the interest in lodging in guesthouses, B&Bs,
private farmhouses, old private houses, and glamping facilities is high among this group, which differs from the“relaxed type.” It can also be made appealing to the older generation who stay at these accommodations by offering
agricultural experiences. Considering the above, to realize the shift to the in-market trend of “countryside stays,”
services and contents must be provided with this perspective in mind.

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REFERENCES
1) Satoh, S., &Yagi, K. (2021): A Study of Travel Motivations and Travel Preferences of Urban Residents for“Countryside Stay,” Journal of Rural Planning Studies, 1(1), 85–94.
2) Yagi, K., Satoh, S., & Hirakata, K. (2021): Determinants of Overall Satisfaction and Revisit Intention forCountryside Stays in Japan: Simultaneous Estimation with a Bivariate Ordered Probit Model, Journal of Food
System Research, 27(4), (in press)
3) Park, D. B.., & Yoon, Y.-S. (2009): Segmentaion by Motivation in Rural Tourism: A Korean Case Study,
Tourism Management, (30), 99–108.
4) Meng, F., Tepanon, Y., & Uysal, M. (2008): Measuring Tourist Satisfaction by Attribute and Motivation: The
Case of a Nature-based Resort, Journal of Vacation Marketing 14(1), 41–56.

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Why Culture Matters
Analysis and social meaning of a famed festival in Aso, Japan
Johannes WILHELM1
1Kumamoto University

Keywords : Aso (Kyūshū, Japan), Rural Ceremonies and Society, Local Identity, Territoriality, Onda matsuri

1. INTRODUCTION

When we speak of culture, we are inclined to use it to mean the art of building in magnificent gardens, the pyramidsin Giza or even imperial court music, i.e. what we understand as the high culture, a notably pronounced and widely
known manifestation of culture. However, we cannot say that activities such as cleaning one's own house or the careof ceremonies, such as the cleaning of graves and devotions for the deceased, even the care of one's clothes, i.e.
everyday laundry, aren't also a form of culture. In fact, numerous cultural forms exist, ranging from a minimalist
Japanese tea ceremony to the chaotic hustle and bustle of the Cologne carnival. A common denominator, however, isthat they are activities that are meaningful in living together, whether it is music at the imperial court or daily laundry.
Two things are crucial here, the activity (or practice) and its context, respectively. Since practice and context areimportant points of reference in the text, culture is defined as the totality including all manifestations of human actions
and individual activities that make sense in living together within a specified space.
This text discusses the festivities surrounding the so-called onda-matsuri (henceforth abbreviated as Onda) in Aso,with a particular focus on the festival in Nishiteno (6th district of the former administrative village of Kojō between
1889 and 1954) at the Kukuzō shrine which is held end of July. More well-known, however, is the Onda at the Asoshrine in Miyaji, which is only about four km south of Nishiteno in the middle of the more urban Miyaji and holds
the festival two days after Nishiteno. I begin with a general outline of the Onda and then try to characterize thedifferences between the two festivals of the same name in the more rural context, on the one hand, and in the more
urban context, on the other, by drawing on Ernst Klusen's (1975) proposed analysis of the field of reference of festive
practices in their function and interaction. Based on this, the study focuses on the example of Nishiteno, where theOnda is still celebrated today as a living part of the annual cycle of festivals. The latter, in turn, structures and defines
quasi-normatively, on the one hand, the annual calendar, especially of importance for agrarian activities, but also, on
the other hand, the local territoriality through the interaction of the actors actually involved. This description of theOnda by no means claims to be complete, as such an undertaking would deserve its own essay, but focuses on aspects
of interest in the context of the present paper.

2. THE ONDA-MATSURIThe Onda (or more formally the otaue shinkō-shiki) is part of the Agricultural Ceremonial Heritage of Aso held at
Kokuzō and Aso shrines with the status of an Intangible Cultural Property assigned by the Japanese government.

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Hence, it is one of the most known festivals of the Aso region and attracts numerous visitors every year, especiallythe one at the Aso shrine. Both shrines are located in the north-eastern part of todays municipality of Aso-shi whichroughly corresponds to the northern caldera valley of the Aso volcano.

Fig.1 Photographers and the Onda procession in Miyaji, 2017

The visible main part of the ceremony is a procession through the settlement in which the shrine deities are led
inside four portable mikoshi shrines to a specific ceremonial hut called okariya for a glimpse of rice growing in therice fields and a ceremonial lunch with key members of the local cult group (ujiko sōdai). This meal is carried to theokariya by a group of white-clad maidens (unari) in special containers, led by a group of children symbolizing
auxiliary deities, and accompanied by a mounted priesthood of the shrine and the mikoshis, which are carried by theceremonial brotherhoods of four subdistricts of the local cult group. These younger men also perform theaccompanying paddy songs (ta-uta) at specific locations and, some members of the children's group are assigned
drummers for the pace while the procession is moving. Altogether, at Aso shrine the Onda-procession counts almost
200 persons and the unaris represent a very popular motive for photographers. (Fig. 1) Indeed, today the festivalorganization committee at the Aso shrine holds a well-known photo contest for these photographers for why specificlocations are being designated for them to try their best shot, most often with the Aso volcano in the background.
Table 2 Annual cycle of ceremonies related to the Onda (according to Kashiwagi (2005: 32)
Kokuzō shrine
Ceremonial Day

Aso shrine
Ceremonial Day

Nametōka no sechi-e

13th day of the lunar New Yearutaizome

16th day of the lunar New Yearonda-matsuri

July 28

onda-matsuri

July 26

emorinagashi

August 6

nemurinagashi

August 6

tanomi-matsuri

September 25 & 26

tanomi-matsuri

September 23 & 24

Name

The Onda at Kokuzō shrine in Nishiteno basically consists of the same elements and events. However, one shouldnote that the Onda is only part of a ceremonial cycle that begins early in the year with a singing-in (utaizome or formal
tōka no sechi-e). All festivities within the annual cycle are held at the shrine. (Table 1) For instance, the Onda-cycle
in Teno ends with the nemurinagashi (Fig. 2) lullaby procession a couple of weeks after the Onda, which marks theend of the ta-uta singing cycle. Also, the local cult group (ujiko sōdai) includes three spatially distinguishable hamlets

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on which Kashiwagi (2008) gives a detailed account. These three hamlets consist of the 5th to 7th districts of theformer administrative village of Kojō, which are Higashiteno (5th), Nishiteno (6th) and Ogomori (7th), repectively.
The individual hamlets are further subdivided into neighborhood groups (rinpo-han, tonari-gumi or chiën-gumi; see
Embree 1946 for details), most of which consist of about 10 households and whose boundaries to each other areusually defined by the local irrigation system, i.e., access to water. However, because Higashiteno consists of far
more households in relative terms, it is represented by two representatives within the cult group at the shrine, while
in Nishiteno and Ogomori one person each is represented as district head within the cult organization. It is not unusualthat this representative is also the local village headman (kuchō of the smallest administrative unit gyōsei-ku), forwhich reason it is interesting and important to note that in these cases the cult and everyday administration and local
politics are congruent by means of organization and agency.

Fig.2 The nemurinagashi procession in Nishiteno, 2019

2.1 Differences
In fact, there are quite a few differences between the two festivals at Aso and Kokuzō shrines. The procession at
Kokuzō shrine, for example, includes a single transportable mikoshi shrine compared to the four mentioned at theOnda in Miyaji, and consequently the task of the carrier group at Kokuzō shrine rotates annually among thebrotherhoods of the three former Kojō districts. Although this practice continues to this day, the demographic
downward spiral (Lützeler, 2016) is also evident in this case, as local consideration is being given to merging thethree groups due to lack of participants. It should also be briefly pointed out that at the nemurinagashi, which follows
the Onda by a couple of weeks, all three groups of young men sing and every year there is a visible and audible
difference in the level of practice of each group.
At the Aso shrine, the books containing the ta-uta texts were transcribed in katakana letters, making it extremely
difficult to grasp the meaning of the text that is actually written in bungo, i.e. classical Japanese. A singing group
there consists of members of the shopping district, many of whom are newcomers who, in the worst case, have topainstakingly learn completely meaningless sequences of vocal sounds. Complicating matters is the fact that the vocal
sounds are sung extremely slowly and with multiple iterations. A simple sentence like "The deity came to the bridge."can last over five minutes.

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Fig.3 Excerpts from textbooks with ta-uta transcriptions from Aso (right) and Kokuzō (left) shrines

Coming back to the photographers, another difference stands out, namely the way they are treated. As has been
mentioned above, at Aso shrine the photographers as tourists should be attracted and encouraged to take their own
best shots of the festival which has much to do with the fact that Aso represents a major tourist site in Kyūshū.
However, at the Kokuzō shrine these photographers are welcome, but, only part of the visitors and hence kindly asked
in a distributed leaflet not to disturb and properly respect the local festivity and customs. (Fig. 3) Yet, in fact, someamong the photographers still tend to ignore the local rules, and hence there are some specific locations within thehamlet, where crops on the fields are being destroyed by them.

Fig.3 Leaflet for photographers at the Kokuzō shrine’s Onda (with a translation by the author)

These explanations should suffice for the overview section for now, and an attempt will now be made to analyze
the circumstances a little. This is followed by another subchapter with a closer look at the locality in the case of theOnda at Kokuzō shrine.

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2.2 Analysis 1: Performance-interaction-framework
There exists a useful framework to analyze the performance of an artisan action in its surrounding context by the
famed musicologist, educator and Volkslied (German folk-songs) composer Ernst Klusen (1975) which is quite usefuland enlightening a tool to point out the differing characteristics of the two Onda festival types. With regard to a
performance and its setting Klusen suggested a reference field of function and interaction with a dipolar structure
between what he denoted immanence by – meaning performers and audience are congruent – and emanence –meaning a segregation performers and audience like in a performance of a professional philharmonic orchestra in aconcert hall. (Table 2) This dipolarity is further subdivided in an attenuated form of a representation of each denotedwith the term and degree of representativeness.
Table 3

Klusen’s reference field of function and interaction (according to Klusen 1975; adapted for the Onda)

immanence

representative immanence

unity of performing subjects performance for working others(work songs)
and audience
Onda in Teno

Visitors at Onda in Teno

representative emanenceemanencesemi-participative performance
division between performing(event with mediating
subjects and audience
entertainer)
Onda in Miyaji

Following the field division, we now aim to adapt this model to the Onda of the two shrines. According to thisframework the comparison of the two Onda festivals illustrates that the one in Teno can be characterized as being
immanent because the activities are centered on the residents of the hamlets, whose individually appointed groups
and members are both performers as much as spectators of the event. Visitors from outside are somehow an exception
from this setting and – although welcome and a source of increased local pride – hence, they are separated from theresidents in their role as simply being spectators only (see leaflet for photographers). On the other side, the Onda in
Miyaji represents an event in which a much smaller number of locally resident performers are involved directly andexclusively, yet, the spectators are much larger in number and even though there are similarities to the immanence
observed in Teno – like specific neighborhoods organized around one of the mikoshi’s carriage or some members of
the female unari group – the whole can rather be characterized as a local festival and tourist attraction. The latter also
becomes evident when looking at the amateur photographer’s contest or even in the fourth mikoshi group formed bymembers of the local shopping district who seem less 'rooted' in Miyaji than members of other groups. This group
lacked most in knowledge and understanding of the song-texts and performed most poorly among all the groups theauthor observed so far. Therefore, this specific group might somewhat be characterized as being representatively
immanent in the sense of Klusen.
At this point, the paper's focus will shift to another analytical aspect, i.e. the meanings and interpretation of theOnda festivity.

2.3 Analysis 2: Meanings
As anyone knows from everyday life, interpretations may vary among different actors in different settings.
Accordingly, the following remarks are intended merely as a starting point for further reflection. To make the mattereasier, the comparative approach will now be abandoned and the focus will be turned to the Onda festival in Teno at110

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the Kokuzō shrine exclusively.
As already stated above, the religious cult group (ujiko sōdai) in Teno is composed of residents of the 5th to 7th
districts of the former administrative village of Kojō, which are Higashiteno (5th), Nishiteno (6th) and Ogomori (7th),
repectively. The individual hamlets are further subdivided into neighborhood groups (rinpo-han, tonari-gumi orchiën-gumi; see Embree 1946 for details), most of which consist of about 10 households and whose boundaries toeach other are usually defined by the local irrigation system, i.e., access to water. However, because Higashiteno
consists of far more households in relative terms, it is represented by four representatives within the cult group at theshrine just like Nishiteno has four representatives, while Ogomori only one person each represents the cultcommunity. The term of these representatives are varying among the neighborhood groups of the hamlets. (Table 4)
Table 4 Annual cycle of ceremonies related to the Onda (in 2003 according to Kashiwagi 2008: 31)

HamletAdministrative
district

Neighborhood groupHouseholds

Yamashita

6

Kita

8

Ue

9

5-1

Naka

8

Shōwa

11

Hira

7

Enokizon

4

Higashiteno

5-2

Nakazono
Yashiki
Hirai

Teno

Ogomori

6

7

Hashizume

2 (2)

1 (2)

8
Ue

6

Shita

9

Ue

8

Shita

7

Tachiyama
Nishiteno

No. of ujiko
representatives (termin years)

13
Ue

5

Shita

7

Jingūji

13

Shōwa

13

Miya no mae

7

Han-nagi

9

Shita

10

Tera

7

1 (2)
1 (2)
1 (3)
1 (3)

1 (3)

2 (2)

In recents years, the effects of the social downward spiral didn't spare out the Aso region. Consequently, aging andshrinking of the local society have become obvious in Teno, too, also in terms of looking for suited members for the
local cult group. Accordingly, the cult organization has needed to adapt to these conditions in ways like extending
the terms of representatives or appointing a suitable (knowledge about customs and traditions as much as a certain
degree of reliance) person in his 50-ies and usually still busy (under full-term working conditions) who sometimes
cannot take part in regular meetings of the cult group. In the latter case, someone else like the hamlet's headman(kuchō) or another member of the group would step in to represent the person.
Another important aspect in the adaptation process is the emergence and presence of new organizational types of111

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village groups. In Nishiteno, for instance, a local revitalization group denoted meisui-kai was established in recent
past, in which members aim to preserve and revive local customs and village life on one the hand and act as local
guides for interested visitors of the Kokuzō shrine as much as the hamlet itself. The meisui-kai is actually a quite
exclusive 'club' of seniors with statutes as a formal set of rules. For instance, according to the statutes, a person can
only become a member if he or she is retired from work, is reasonably well-off, and has a certain amount of free time
for community activities. Apart from the meisui-kai, there exists the kiyora-kai, which is a rather informal 'drinking
group' of local men between about 20 and 60 of age. They have no explicit set of rules, but, rather share similar goals
like the meisui-kai, yet, more in a supportive sense. A former guesthouse (minshuku) serves as a venue for the group's
gatherings, and quite a few of the former participants of these gatherings are now active members of the meisui-kai.
The kiyora-kai provides many shrine bearers at the Onda festival, among others, but other young residents are notexcluded at all. In this sense, the kiyora-kai also sees itself as a kind of open door for everyone to participate actively
and with a lot of pleasure in village life, especially since in today's Japan there are unfortunately almost no village
pubs left for informal gatherings.

Fig.4 Schematic territoriality of the Onda festival at Kokuzō shrine (routes of mikoshi and nemurinagashi groups)

Now, when looking at the territorial distribution of the Onda festival at the Kokuzō shrine another interesting aspect
becomes evident. (Figure 4) In fact, the route of the mikoshi (full red line in Fig. 4) during the Onda in Teno roughly
follows the flow of the local Miyagawa downriver to the place of the okariya. The okariya, in turn, is exactly locatedin a neutral space between the three hamlets of Ogomori, Nishiteno and Higashiteno. Additionally, the routes of eachhamlet's singing groups at the nemurinagashi after the Onda (dotted lines in Fig. 4) are directing vice versa andupriver towards the central shrine in upper Nishiteno merging on their ways with each other (and actually competeby singing at merging points).

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In a certain sense, the Onda festival and the nemurinagashi ceremony can be conceived as communion andsymbolic incorporation of local territories, since in both cases the routes have distinctive features that indicate thespatial convergence, its dissolution and segregation of a locality. This territoriality is actually corresponding to thecommon-lands, the meadows in the grasslands above on the outer caldera ring of Aso that is surrounding the Tenoarea. Although the character of these common-use-rights areas became more or less obsolete during the socioeconomic change during the postwar era (Wilhelm, 2020), their underlying institutionality still remains in many
aspects of social life, such as the organization of local common work (cleaning the streets and waterways, forinstance).

3. CONCLUSION
This text discussed two locations of the Onda festivity in Aso, with a particular focus on the festival at the Kukuzō
shrine which is held end of July and at the Aso shrine in Miyaji, which is only about four km south of Nishiteno in
the middle of the more urban Miyaji and holds the festival two days after Nishiteno. After a general outline of theOnda the differences between the two festivals were characterized by drawing on Ernst Klusen's (1975) proposed
analysis of the field of reference of festive practices in their function and interaction. Based on this, the study looked
closer at the example of Teno, where the Onda is still celebrated today as a living part of the annual cycle of festivals.
This served then as a foundation on which an interpretation of the Onda and related ceremonies structure and define
quasi-normatively, on the one hand, the annual agrarian calendar, but also, on the other hand, the local territoriality
integrity and symbolic segregation through the interaction of the actors actually involved. Together with a brief
discussion on adaptive strategies of local residents to cope with external stressors, we can also state, that culture not
only strengthens local identity, but, by involvement also serves as a very effective and useful tool to enhance local
resilience against threats. Culture needs proper financial support, yet, doesn't pay-off economically. However, money
can't buy any cultural contents and contexts on the other hand. Since culture is an elementary component of society,atrophy leads to social disintegration. Without a society, however, there is no economy. Therefore, as a condition fora harmonious, prosperous and resilient society, culture also requires a necessary degree of financial foundation.

REFERENCES
1) Klusen, E. (1975): Zwischen symphonie und hit: Folklore? In Antholz, H. & Gundlach, W. (Eds.),
Musikpädagogik Heute, Pädagogischer Verlag Schwann, Düsseldorf, 79-91.
2) Kashiwagi, K. (2005): Mura no kihan no imi-zuke: shinshoku seichō katei ni okeru tai-shakaikankei bunseki[Giving meaning to village rules: An analysis of relations towards society during the becoming of a shinto priest].
Minzokugaku ronsō, 20, 19-34. (in Japanese)
3) Kashiwagi, K. (2008): Yoriai ni okeru sōi-keisei no shikumi: kojin-teki shisō kara shakaishūdan-teki hassō e notenkai [The formation of consensus in a village council, focusing on the process to form social knowledge frompersonal knowledge]. Nihon minzokugaku, 254, 25-56. (in Japanese)4) Embree, J. F. (1939): Suye Mura: A Japanese Village, Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
5) Lützeler, R. (2016): Aso: ein ländlicher Raum in der Abwärtsspirale? Bemerkungen zur Messbarkeit der Qualität
regionaler Lebensbedingungen. In Lützeler, R. & Manzenreiter, W. (Eds.), Aso: Vergangenheit, Gegenwart und
Zukunft eines Wiener Forschungsprojekts zum ländlichen Japan, 45, 153-167.
6) Wilhelm, J. (2020): Das Grasland von Aso zwischen gesellschaftlicher Schrumpfung und Landschaftserhalt,
Japan Jahrbuch 2020: Politik, Wirtschaft und Gesellschaft, 222-249.

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Rethinking Asian Rural Paths
Exploring Risk-Responsive Rural Living in the Context of Compressed Development
Kako INOUE1
1University of Miyazaki

Keywords: Asian rural futures, Compressed development, Risk-responsive rural living, East and Southeast Asia

1. INTRODUCTION

This article takes a broad view of rural issues of East and Southeast Asia, where the international division of laborand economic integration has been well observed, especially with special focus on Japan and Vietnam. One of the
distinct features to characterize the region is its diversity, reflecting different stages of socioeconomic developmentin the context of globalization and the revolution in ICT (information and communication technology), as well asinterdependent relations within the region that have been formed and deepened along with the dynamics of Asiansocio-economies (Kuroiwa, 2012; Watanabe, 2004). Under the frame of Asian miraculous economic growth labeled
as a success story, as in “the East Asian miracle” (World Bank, 1993) and “catch-up industrialization” of Southeast
Asian countries (Suehiro, 2008), rural areas, often assessed to have not yet fully achieved modernization, may beviewed as areas with potential for further growth. Rural areas in Asia, indeed, have been discussed in relation to thefast-changing global and Asian environment over the past few decades (Rosegrant & Hazell, 2000), and small farms
in Asia have even been argued to enhance production efficiency to improve competitiveness (Otsuka, Liu, &Yamauchi, 2016). However, the view that assumes and promotes a monosystemic model of economic development
overlooks the multidimensional features of rural Asia and the reality of rural people striving to make a better living
in a weak and vulnerable position under an uncertain and risky environment. Modernization may partly explain an
economic transition as the result of human interactions, but rural people have a complex framework of relationships
with both the natural environment and humans. This is especially true in monsoon Asia, where the land is blessedwith rich water during the wet season, and the development of paddy fields is characterized by its ability to feed alarge population from relatively small land areas with the development of social cohesion to mutually manage water
resources. In addition, small farmers are embedded typically in their sociopolitical community (village, ethnic group,etc.), which historically has protected them from being caught in the quagmire of predations by the state (Scott, 2008;
Scott, 2009). Small farmers have been coping with environmental risks by confronting the two aspects of nature–human relations: fears and threats brought from nature-related disaster on the one hand, and a sense of security andsubsistence from food and nutrition on the other hand. In other words, rural people have had to confront and respondto threats and risks posed by nature, as well as to risks from conflicting power relations.
Today, as Beck (1992) discussed in regard to the “risk society,” it is not only smallholders who have been placedin a weak sociopolitical position but also anyone who is forced to confront the uncertain and risky future broughtfrom the excesses of modernization (i.e., in the stage of “reflexive modernization”). Those who have disconnectedfrom nature may lack knowledge and skills to adequately deal with such risks, but rural people already have a long
history of dealing with the risks brought by nature and human society. This article, then, tackles the challenge to114

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understand rural Asia not from the perspective of the modern Asian economy but from the perspective of rural realities
that people (typically farmers or peasants) face under their rural living environment in connection with nature, local
socio-economies, and culture, which exist in parallel with the well-known story of Asian economic growth. To do so,
two dimensions are examined: 1) The overall picture of the current rural situation is captured along with observed“compressed development” (Whittaker et al., 2010) from the aspects of rural population behind the “urbanizing Asia,”
which is often used to explain the dynamics of Asian economies, as well as the “aging Asia” (Park, Lee & Mason,2012), recognized as a critical factor when thinking about Asian future economies. 2) To get a better understandingof the mindset of people living in rural areas of “compressed development,” the case of Vietnam, especially the ruralcommunity of the Red River Delta, is closely looked at to illustrate how pluri-active smallholders are strategicallyformulating their livelihood and income-generating economic activities. Then, to reexamine rural Asia, the discussion
will be concluded from the viewpoint of peasants, looking at Asia as a whole to understand how people will confront
the uncertain future in light of possible diverse paths toward Asian rural futures.

2. “COMPRESSED DEVELOPMENT” OF ASIAN COUNTRIES AND ITS IMPLICATION TO
RURAL AREAS

In regard to the concept of “compressed development,” it has been argued that late developers have a different pathof economic development than first industrializers, especially focusing on a development path that has fundamentallychanged in East Asia since the 1980s (Whittaker, et al., 2010). In addition, Korea’s complexity of condensed change
in social, economic, political, and/or cultural situations in a short period of time is explained as “compressed
modernity” (Chang, 2010), recognizing common or at least similar phenomena observed in many Asian countries.
Japan is the only exception in Asia, being described by Ochiai (2011) as having “semi-compressed modernity,” inwhich the consequences of modernization were experienced earlier than in other Asian countries, but later than inWestern Europe. Under semi-compressed modernity in Japan, socioeconomic deterioration has been witnessed in thelast 30 years—called the “lost 30 years”—characterized by increasing economic inequality with a larger population
living at a low-income level, while phenomena such as the super-aging society, the nuclear family, and evenindividualization are now found (Fig.1). Under the transition process, industrialization had been accompanied by amass outflow of the rural population to urban areas from the early 1960s to the mid-1970s, driven by continuous
increases in the real wage rate in nonagricultural sectors during the process of economic development. While Japan’s
rapid economic growth put it in the global spotlight in the 1980s and 1990s, serious problems have emerged in rural
areas (particularly in the hilly and mountainous areas): depopulation and degradation of land utilization for farming
and forestry since the mid-1980s, and weakened rural community function in the 1990s, all of which gradually led
rural residents to lose their pride in continuing to live there. This has been called the “degradation of pride” (Odagiri,2011). These degradations were gradually deepened in the other side of Japan’s “economic miracles,” while thecharacteristics of super-aged rural communities became more prominent. The percentage of the population aged 65
or older in urban areas and in flat farming, hilly farming, and mountainous farming areas are 25.2%, 29.4%, 33.2%,
and 38.5 %, respectively, while the average age of “core persons mainly engaged in farming” was 67.0 in 2015 (2015
Census of Agriculture and Forestry).

Note, however, that it may be inappropriate to evaluate the large number ofthe elderly in rural areas as a problem in itself. Even though the retirement age for most companies and organizations

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Widening inequality, unstable job /From general socio-econ. view

low income (esp. young and women),

Semi-compressed development
High econ. growth("economic miracle")

Individualization, social isolation, etc.

steady econ. Increase

Bubbleeconomic stagnation("Lost 30 years")

Collaps

Industrialization with population dividendHigh TFRICT development

Mass-migration from(baby

Aged societyrural to urban areas

boom)

Stable life under wage works

Food self-suffi ciency↓
Main manpower: the aged group

Mass-loss ofFrom rural view

manpower
increase in "part-time" farmers

commercial farmers↓ ; non-cultivators with land↑self-provisioning / minor-subsistence farmers↑

Land-use degradation
Ruined rural community function

1950

1960

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

Fig.1 Japan’s socioeconomic transition and rural situation
400,000
350,000(no. of persons)

300,000

2010

2015

250,000
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000015～19 20～24 25～29 30～34 35～39 40～44 45～49 50～54 55～59 60～64 65～69 70～74 75～79 80～84 85 yrs
old+Fig.2 Number of core persons mainly engaged in farming by age group (Japan)
Source: 94th Statistical Yearbook of the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (2020)

is 60–65 years in the modern employment-based work system, many rural elderly over the age of 60 continue to workas active farmers throughout their lives (Fig.2).
Even though transformations of various kinds emerged gradually in Japan, the rest of the Asian countries areexperiencing such changes in a shorter period (i.e., in a compressed manner). The focus on modernization andeconomic development may bring a view of problematic structural change; in this view, an imminent aged society
cannot be tolerated because the time is too short to accumulate wealth to develop the “welfare state” (Oizumi, 2013;
Suehiro, 2014). The United Nations defines an “aging society” as having more than 7% of the population 65 years orolder, and an “aged society” as having more than 14% of the population 65 years or older. Except for the Philippines,
which has a relatively high fertility rate, it seems that aging is occurring compressively in Asian countries at different
stages of economic development, as shown in Table 1. The current super-aged society in Japan can be understood asstemming from a high fertility rate of 4.54 in 1947 (the “baby boom” right after World War II) and a sharp drop to116

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2.17 in the latter half of the 1950s, while Korea experienced a decrease in the fertility rate from 6.33 in 1955–1960
to below 3.0 only in the mid-1970s (Fig.3). Decreased fertility rates in the rest of Asia soon followed, starting with
China and Thailand in the late 1960s and Indonesia, Vietnam, and Myanmar around the early 1970s. Korea, China,
and Thailand became super-aging countries around 2020.
To grasp the situation of the rural population, Fig.4 shows the trends in the rural population ratio and the elderly
population ratio by countries. The differences in rural population ratios among countries are largely attributable tostatistical definitions, as the definitions of “rural” or “urban” areas vary among countries. The figure provides someinsights on the relationship between the timing of stabilization in the rural population and the advancement of theaging society. We can observe different features of the rural population in relation with countries’ aging trends of 1)
super-aged Japan and Korea, with a low rural population ratio (“A” in Fig. 3); 2) China, Thailand, and Indonesia,
where the aging society will soon be reached while retaining a certain level of the rural population (“B” in Fig. 3);
and 3) the Philippines, Vietnam, and Myanmar, where there is still time to reach the aging society, with a large portionof the population still remaining in rural areas (“C” in Fig. 3).
Table 1 GDP per capita and demographic change
GDP per capita(current USD)
2015-2020

Total Fertility Rate
2015-2020

Life expectancy
2015-2020% of ages 65+(2020)

Year of ages
65+ exceed 7%

Year of ages
65+ exceed 14%

Doubling time(no. of years)Japan

38,896

1.37

84.4

28.4

1971

1995

24

Rep. of Korea

31,066

1.11

82.8

15.8

2000

2018

18

China

9,298

1.69

76.6

12

2001

2025

24

Thailand

6,788

1.53

76.8

13

2002

2022

20

Indonesia

3,772

2.32

71.4

6.3

2023

2045

22

Philippines

3,206

2.58

71

5.5

2027

2058

31

Vietnam

2,452

2.06

75.3

7.9

2017

2035

18

Myanmar

1,286

2.17

66.8

6.2

2024

2054

30

Source: GDP per capita calculated from World Bank, World Development Indicators; TFR, Life expectancy and population by age group data are from UN, World
Population Prospects 2019.

8

Japan
Republic of Korea

Total fertility (live births per woman)

7

China
Thailand6

Indonesia
Philippines

5

Viet Nam
Myanmar4
3
2
10

1950-1955

1960-1965

1970-1975

1980-1985

1990-1995

Fig.3 Total fertility rate
Source: UN, World Population Prospects 2019.

117

2000-20052010-2015

Year

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In the case of Japan, where robust economic development lasted for a certain period of time, those who moved
from rural areas to urban areas when they were young got jobs and then settled in the cities, making a stable life
through wage labor and then remaining. Or, many of those who remained in rural areas worked in nonagriculture
sectors to earn wages and became part-time farmers; Moreover, industrial development in Japan and Korea createdenough volume of wage work to absorb a large young population with the appropriate timing to utilize a population
dividend, receiving migration from rural areas.
One of the common characteristics of Asian rural areas is the small size of agricultural land, making it difficult for
agriculture as an industry to provide the same level of income as other industries. In spite of such a disadvantage infarm scale, East and Southeast Asian countries persist in their small-scale farming even in the midst of dramatic
socioeconomic change (Rigg, Salamanca, & Thompson, 2016). How then can we understand the phenomenon ofmany people left in the rapidly developing rural areas of Asia with a continuation of farming activities in compressed
modernity? The next section considers rural Vietnam to understand rural reality in this rapidly changing environment.

Fig.4 Rural population ratio and aged population ratio (1960–2020)
Source: Calculated from World Bank, World Development Indicators.
Note: Rural population refers to people living in rural areas as defined by national statistical offices.

3. THE CASE OF VIETNAM: TRAJECTORY OF RURAL AREAS

Vietnam has been experiencing rapid economic development in the last couple of decades, while the ratio of
employed population in the agriculture, forestry, and fishery sector has reduced from 62.2% in 2000 to 34.5% in 2019
(Fig.5). Such figures, however, may produce a misleading understanding that Vietnam is following a trajectory
similar to other Asian developed countries like Japan and Korea, but at least two contradictory phenomena are foundspecific to Vietnam. First, even though the average rate of laborers employed in the primary sector is gradually
declining, the situation is quite different depending on the region. According to the 2019 Labor Force Survey ofVietnam, the remote regions, such as the northern midlands and mountain areas and the central highlands, have moreindividuals employed in the agriculture, forestry, and fishery sector as the main industry, as it accounted for 56.6%

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and 70.2% of the population, while the Red River Delta and southeast regions had lower proportions employed in this
sector: 20.5% and 9.9%, respectively. Second, the rural labor force accounted for 67.6% of total labor in 2019. The
young generation is struggling to get jobs, as indicated by the high rate of unemployed youth (age 15–24), accounting
for 42.1% of the unemployed population (GSO, 2021), and Vietnam is experiencing rapid economic growth without
having enough time to develop a solid foundation for creating enough attractive job positions for the young.
These findings may indicate that modernization does not necessarily proceed uniformly across countries in Asia,or even across regions of the country, and that there is a process of evolution unique to each region and/or country.
In addition, even though a large portion of laborers still reside in rural areas, the process of modernization may notnecessarily lead to the development of nonagricultural industries in urban or peri-urban areas, nor motivate the rural
population to rush into urban areas as a result of economic development. What then is behind the persistence of somany people remaining and working in rural areas? To tackle this question, the next section discusses the Red River
Delta (RRD) region, a rural area adjacent to the capital city of Hanoi, which has a long history of a large population
cultivating small farmlands, to search for the contemporary reality in Vietnamese rural areas.

Fig.5 GDP per capita and structure of employed population by sector in Vietnam (2000–2019)
Source: GDP per capita calculated from World Bank, World Development Indicators; and employed population by the Labor Force Survey 2019 (GSO, 2021)

3.1 Regime Transformation of Vietnam and the Red River Delta
A unique historical and geographical feature of the delta is its settlement pattern with “overpopulation” managedwith the “village” autonomy. Gourou (1936) surveyed about 8,000 villages and visited over 2,000 villages of the delta
in the 1920s and 1930s (Bowd & Clayton, 2003), and recorded the homogeneous nature of local characteristics within
villages throughout the delta. Since that time, such characteristics have been repeatedly noted by a number of scholarsof Vietnam i. There is an old Vietnamese proverb, Phep vua thua le lang (“The law of the king yields to village
custom”), and villages have self-managed their communal paddies traditionally, allowing a highly dense population
to survive, and such villages had been formed by the 15th century in the RRD (Sakurai, 1987). Gourou reported thatthe large population was not scattered but concentrated, and the community territory was surrounded by bushes orbamboo, marking a clear boundary of the community territory. He referred to the “village rule” as governing the119Asian Rural Future 2030

community, and underlying the relationship among villagers was solidarity with friendship, which had beendeveloped early and had lasted for many generations in the community.
In study areas, geographical and physical features of villages reported by Gourou still exist today. Each village
still keeps its “Village House (Dinh, in Vietnamese)” and temples established by ancestors, typically located in thecenter of the village (Picture 1). These historical assets are found in each village, indicating that people unite aroundcustoms based on the village in olden days. In addition, the kinship of each area does not extend beyond the village.
Each village has several agnate groups (“dong ho” in Vietnamese), and all villagers belong to such an agnate group,
enshrining ancestors with “nha tho”—a kinship building, maintained by each “dong ho.”Picture 1 Village House
The solidarity networks or their mechanisms have received significant attention from social scientists. James C.
Scott (1977) explained the solidarity mechanism in peasants’ subsistence, and stressed the principle of reciprocity,
ensuring mutual insurance in peasants’ communities. His argument was soon criticized by Popkin (1979), who viewed
the peasant society of Vietnam as the precapitalist village, and pointed out peasants’ opportunistic behaviors. The
theoretical discussions continued with attempts to view the peasants’ communities within the context of precapitalism,
and/or to explain solidarity as a necessity of social insurance under the extreme precariousness of life in primitive
preindustrial societies (Fafchamps, 1992; Platteau 1991; Posner, 1980). However, such theoretical discussion without
reflecting the actual rural reality has failed to capture the complex nature of rural society in the RRD, where theirculture, natural environment, and sociopolitical conditions were uniquely formed historically. Peasants’ manner ofliving cannot be simply categorized as “preindustrial” or “precapitalism.” Community development had gone throughenormous historical events, deepening the family-like relationships inside the community and even strengthening theneighborhood dong ho regardless of development stages.
From the view of Gourou, who had directly observed the community in the 1930s, and Yumio Sakurai, who had
intensively reviewed the historical transformation of the area, at least two factors need to be examined to understandthe solidarity of the RRD. The first factor is the internal forces arising from the farmers’ side. Such internal pressure
becomes strong with increased exposure of RRD’s small-scale farmers to hardships, affecting their vulnerability toissues of subsistence. This view is consistent with theoretical discussions carried out by scholars mentioned above.
The solidarity among villagers in exposed situations is their important tool to protect themselves collectively.
According to Gourou (1936), their village was the only form of resistance power for small-scale farmers against
repeated hardships and threats such as famine, invasion by external forces, or political pressure from the nation. In
addition, Sakurai (1987) pointed out a critical asset for farmers, “communal paddy fields,” which were managed by
the village, and such a system enabled village members to survive under a situation of food shortages; sucharrangements gave farmers an increasing sense of belongingness to their village. The second factor, external forces,
could have made small-scale farmers embedded in their own village. This factor is related to accessibility to the out-120

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of-community world. Historically, it was not individuals but the traditional village that had access to state power orother worlds. The state, for instance, levied a tax through the village. The village was the framework for individuals’
everyday life, and the village itself had become a whole world for each peasant. In other words, individual farmers
were embedded in their village, and the nation could access individuals through the community. In order to review
how such factors could have influenced the level of solidarity, modern historical events and transitions are
summarized in Fig.6, in respect to farmer’s status, food availability (as an indicator for internal forces, relating tofood security as a critical threat for peasants), and the farming basis (as an indicator for external forces).

Fig.6 Historical events, farmers’ status, food availability, and farming basis

In relation to the food security threat, peasants experienced serious food shortages until the late 1980s, except for
one short moment in the 1950s. For instance, according to the statistical data, the rice production level remained well
below 300kg/person (a reference point for the subsistence-level per capita rice in Vietnam), and this continued until
1989 (General Statistics Office, 2001; Nguyen 1995). Since the 1950s, the RRD experienced the Revolution of 1954
with land reform, which abolished communal fields and then allocated land equally to farmers, followed by thecollective production regime, utilizing small-scale agricultural organizations (primary-level HTX, geographically thesame area as the village), which also served as the cultural and social base for people’s life at the end of the 1950s(Chō & Yagi, 2001). At the time of collective production under the primary-level HTX, the HTX functioned as ashelter for farmers to protect their interests from state power (Takeuchi, 1999). However, as the Vietnam War
intensified, the state started to manage conscription through HTX, and it enlarged the HTX coverage by merging
several neighboring villages together, making a “high-level” HTX. Even after the Vietnam War, the high-level HTX
continued to operate in the same form under the collective production system. However, farmers under the “highlevel” HTX were beyond their traditional village solidarity networks, and they no longer had an incentive to cultivate
under the collective production and rationing system; farmers did not have a sense of belongingness to the enlarged
HTX, which was not able to manage collective farming ii: farmers just visited fields to gain “labor points” but did not
really cultivate, leading to extreme food shortages. After all, the collective production system had collapsed, and thenthe Doi Moi (renovation) policy was introduced in 1986, followed by a series of renovation initiatives in the 1980s,
allowing individual farmers to contract farmlands under the No. 100 Direction in 1981, to use agricultural land for
longer terms with the Resolution No. 10 in 1988, and then allocating land equally to farmers under the revised Land

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Law of 1993. Since then, farmers have been able to access improved technologies such as high-yield crop varieties,
chemical fertilizer, and pesticide, which are widely available at stores within the new open economy. In addition,
farmers recovered their incentive for cultivation with allocated land-use rights and then finally achieved stable foodproduction in recent years.

3.2 Pluri-activity and Smallholder Agriculture in the RRD
In order to understand local reality and its contexts, the author has been conducting fieldwork including qualitative
surveys with semistructured and structured interview surveys since 2009 with periodical field observation. In addition,a questionnaire survey on farmers’ perceptions, conducted in February 2012, involved 266 peasants (one person per
farmer household, 100 individuals in village “A” in Commune A of the Chuong My District, 100 individuals in village“B” in Commune B, and 66 individuals in village “C” of Commune C in the My Duc District (both districts are locatedin the former Tay province, the southeastern part of current Hanoi). Another questionnaire survey on incomegenerating activities was conducted in November 2014–January 2015, collecting answers from 800 households outof 2,425 households of five villages in the same districts, followed by a series of interview surveys and data collection
on farming and pluri-activities until August 2018.
After the Doi Moi revolution, small-scale farmers in the RRD now have access to an open economy with improved
food security. How then do they manage their everyday life in the rural setting? Table 2, Fig. 7, and Table 3 show
the migration to other areas from their villages, the number of individual income-generating activities, and the typeof pluri-activity conducted together with small farming, respectively. The data at the individual level indicate that thetypes of income-generating activities are not skewed to a particular type or sector but diversified among various
industries and services available in the village, including traditional handicraft, construction, factory work, service
sectors, and others. If the village level is observed in depth, complex and locally embedded networks that enable
members of the village to secure income-generation sources are found. The network in the village is intertwined inlayers like a web and is organized flexibly according to the requirements of opportunities brought by the outside
world and the characteristics of the internal human resources. Typically, each village has its own traditional local
industries, handed down from generation to generation, and with the foundation of such an infrastructure, villagers
manage and update their working arrangement with other villagers to produce modern products, or they newly develop
local small industries and provide services to meet the demands and needs of others (i.e., foreign countries, cities, orother villages, depending on the specific external environment). Table 4 summarizes how villagers are mobilized to
be a part of embedded networks of the village.
One of the important characteristics of off-farm income generation activities is the unstable nature of businesses,
influenced by the market situation. In the case of the bamboo handicraft industry in village a, villagers remember thatthey received few orders in the periods of 1999–2002 and 2008–2009, which coincided with the Asian economiccrisis and the global financial crisis. When recessions hit the global market (and villages), villagers have no choice
but to stop production and look for other opportunities. By being a member of both the village and a big family (theirkinships, dong ho), villagers try to find alternative ways to survive by connecting with someone who has access toother opportunities. With a diversified portfolio of income-generating activities available in the village, villagers may
be able to find another income source. The difficult time may last as long as the Vietnam War and the collective

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production regime, or as short as the global financial crisis, but villagers know that no one, except their own families
and their connected big families (i.e., village and kinships), can be trusted to guarantee their livelihood, whether theybe the state or the market. However, their anxiety is lessened as long as they have the right to secure rice from allocatedland to cultivate. Even if the paddy field is too small to be an independent income source, villagers do continue tocultivate land. Villagers know from their previous experience and the history of the region that difficult years will
come sooner or later. If they stop cultivation, they need more money to survive (i.e., to purchase rice for their family)
in difficult years. As the size of farmland is small for each family (average of 2,450m2/household in the target areas),
and a relatively large number of individuals still remain in the village, they retain the tradition of rice cultivation withpluri-active off-farm income generation activities in order to prepare for future hardships.
Table 2 Population movement as of 2014 (individuals)
A1

A2

B1

B2

C

Total

%

670

546

558

397

561

2,732

89.1%

45

34

63

29

74

245

8.0%

11

8

14

5

11

49

1.6%

3

0

0

0

1

4

0.1%

8

3

6

3

8

28

0.9%

Overseas

1

0

1

0

0

2

0.1%

Others

0

0

2

0

3

5

0.2%

Migration out from village

Village
Reside in village
Hanoi City
centerNorth
Vietnam(not Hanoi)
CentralVietnamSouth
Vietnam

Note: n= 3065. Questionnaire survey conducted in 2014–2015.
Source: Inoue (2018).

Fig.7 Number of individual income-generation activities
Note: n= 3054. Questionnaire survey conducted in 2014–2015.
Source: Inoue (2018).

Table 3 Type of pluri-activity matched with small farming as of 2014 (individuals)
Handicraft
Male
11
Female
73
Total
84
％
14%
Source: K. Inoue (2018)

Construction

Factory work

Public service

Sales

OthersGov. support

Total

112
24
136
23%

14
22
36
6%

11
19
30
5%

30
68
98
17%

86
42
128
22%

38
31
69
12%

302
279
581
100%

Picture 2 Off-farm income-generating activities
Source: Taken by author in 2012.

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Table 4 Off-farm income-generation activities
Types of product/service

Background

Participating villagers

Bamboo handicraft

Traditional skills
available in village A

Family-based, mainly elderly
men and women

1–3 leaders/villages(inherited households)

Village leadersOrigin of work/order origin
Japanese company

Wood work (car sheet)

Newly introduced invillage B and C

Family-based, anyone

A teacher who has connection
with traditional village X

Chinese companies (viatraditional village X)

Embroidery craft

Traditional skills
available in somehouses of village B

Individual, mainly womenInherited household

European companies

Embroidery craft (newly
developed)

Newly introduced byneighboring villager invillage A and B

Individual, mainly
experienced women

A senior woman who has
experience working in JapanEU multinational company

Bead product

Newly introduced by avillager in village A

Individual, mainly young
women (with good eyesight)

A young woman who used towork in the bead product factory

Japanese company

Factory work (wage work)

Newly introduced invillage B

Individual, mainly young
women(Direct employment by thefactory)

Foreign direct investment
from Korea

Construction work

Available in allvillages

Team of individuals, mainly
young men and some womenSome leaders and branch leadersdepending on the demand

Work in Hanoi city center

3.3 Compressed Development of Vietnam and the Distinct Features of Rural Areas
Vietnam is experiencing rapid economic growth in a compressed manner, having access to new technology,
especially ICT and integration of international business activities under the global value chain system, while
witnessing increasing inequality among regions, ethnicity, and classes. However, we note that the rural economies
cannot be analyzed independently from the global market; they connect with it and are influenced by it. Yet theyretain their solidarity system and adapt it to modern opportunities; they mobilize local human resources to match
market needs, while utilizing their own labor to maintain agricultural land to produce and secure food so that they
can be assured about their livelihood and prepare for future risks. People of rural areas, who have accumulated pastexperience to confront difficult situations brought from the outside community, do not separate the economy andsociety. They know that they may lose their work (and therefore, their income-generating source) when outside
conditions decline (e.g., war, recession, pandemic, damage from extreme weather), as they are too small to exercise
control over these issues. Peasants have their way of rural living, gained from past experience, with the assumptionthat the unexpected will happen in the future (Fig.8).
In terms of the rural economy, the system and its structure (i.e., historically developed pluri-activity and farming
embedded within local communities) have not been changed much, but the surrounding environment has changed
drastically in a short period of time, and this has resulted in compressed development for the latecomer, Vietnam,
bringing some opportunities to participate in the global market and even to have access to new technologies as wellas threats from the outside community, such as direct influence caused by global risks and threats. The rural areas
typically keep the foundation of solidarity network system without rural economy to be independently separated fromtheir communities. Economic growth in itself has not been considered as a reliable source to bring them stable
livelihoods. The rural people continue to maintain their solidarity network system that connects everyone to a “ruralweb” (Ploeg, 2018) to live, managing difficulties in the form of local-scale socio-economies.
Another aspect worth noting about rural areas is that the “individualization of society” has not progressed much inthe process of compressed development in Vietnam. The questionnaire survey results of 2012 indicated that a majority
valued their family as the most important aspect of their life, as shown in Fig.9. This figure shows that people place
more importance on family happiness than on success at the individual level. In Vietnam, the high rate of124

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unemployment among young people, especially in urban areas, is considered to be a problem. This problem, however,can be partly explained by a solidarity economy that does not necessarily allow people to secure jobs based on
economic rationality alone. It may be easy to copy and utilize new technologies researched and developed outside,
but the foundation of the local solidarity system that people have developed over the years to protect the weak andsmall rural population cannot be easily dismissed. In the patrilineal group or the local community, some emerge as
leaders and form local industry groups, distributing the work to other group/community members. It is still difficult
to obtain a favorable position in the domestic workforce without “relationships” in Vietnam.
Compressed development
High youth unemployment

From general socio-econ. view

RegimeVietnamchangewar

Revolution(higher in urban), Inequality↑

RegimeWars(by regional, ethnic group, etc.),change(Cambopoverty reduction in general, etc.

Doi
Moi

dia,
China)High econ. growth
ICT development
Gap b/w training level & labordemand (higher unemployment forHigh TFR

ppl. with higher education.)
Asian

CrisisG. Fin.
Crisis

Unstable off-farm income source

From rural viewsmall farmer w/

Collective production

open econ.

Extremepoverty

Improved food security-Land-use-right allocated to farmers->Improved productivity

Rural solidarity system to be responsive to external risks
1950

1960
Fig.8

1970

1980

1990

2000

2010

2020

Vietnam’s socioeconomic transition and rural situation

Fig.9

Most important aspect of life (single answer)

Note: n=266. Questionnaire survey conducted in 2012.

4. DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: RETHINKING ASIAN RURAL PATHS
Looking at the current situation of Japan, which is facing an aged society and economic stagnation ahead of125

Asian Rural Future 2030

modernization, there is actually a growing tendency of dependence on labor from Asian countries. The foreign labor
force from Asia used to be dominated by China beginning at its origin, but Vietnam has become the main source of
foreign labor since 2016. In addition, not only Japan but also Korea, with its aging population, has begun to receive
foreign labor. The wage level of Japan is almost at the same level as (or even lower than) Korea, and the young labor
force from Vietnam is now in very high demand (Fig.10).

Fig.10 International stock of migrants at mid-year by area of destination from Vietnam, 1990–2020
Source: Calculated from International Migrant Stock 2020 (UNDESA, 2020).

However, looking ahead to the future when the aging of the population progresses in a stepwise manner in Asian
countries, and the possibility of structural changes in Vietnam and other Asian countries with compressed andcomplex development in the future, the low-wage labor force will be depleted in most countries of Asia, including
both those countries that transitioned early and latecomers. At the regional and national level, it seems that the cards
that future generations can play are becoming more and more limited, and it is unclear whether there can be a stablesource to satisfy human needs to ensure continued prosperity or even survival. It is difficult to envision a sustainablesystem that would reassure us, and it seems that an uncertain and difficult future is looming ahead.
However, let’s look at the situation not from the national or Asian level but from the perspective of ruralcommunities. There are farmlands that have been maintained by peasants for generations, and the networks of people
and the accumulated knowledge and skills to ensure the survival of small farmers. In the rural areas of Vietnam,
people continue to encompass a large population, maintain small farms for self-provisioning, and manage theirlivelihood with a variety of activities. On the other hand, in Japan, many people left rural areas during the period of
rapid economic growth, but the emergence of “post-productivist” rural livelihoods with the migration of the younger
generation to rural areas, called “denen-kaiki,” has been witnessed in recent years (Fujiyama, 2015). The social fatigue
brought about by excessive modernization is making some people realize the importance of reconnecting with people
and nature rather than being disposable as a component consumed in a huge global market; people who feel a senseof belonging and connection in rural living are returning to the countryside.
Because many Asian countries have escaped from the era of poverty or post-war turmoil, people are morematerially satisfied, and more and more convenient products have appeared on the market one after another. Yet, thecompressed development not only satisfies material wealth, but also brings difficulties beyond modernization, such

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as inequality, frequent natural disasters, and the spread of infectious diseases. In Asia, where small-scale farming isthe dominant form of agriculture, it will be worth keeping an eye on how rural people will choose strategies to prepare
for the future “risk society.”

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
This work was supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant Number 19KK0165.

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i For instance, Hickey (1987) described the village in Vietnam as “a self-contained homogeneous community.”ii Villagers’ reactions to the larger HTX was reported by Kerkvliet (1995) as “Cooperatives larger than these modest levels weregenerally disliked” and “The ‘golden stage’ of cooperatives was in the north during the early 1960s when they were small,
mainly among extended families and close neighbors” (p. 402).

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