平成 26 年度
京都大学防災研究所 年 報 第 58 号

第 58 号Ａ
災害調査報告続発する日本の水蒸気噴火 ·················································································· 井口正人・中道治久 ······· 12014 年長野県北部の地震とその被害調査 ······························································ 後藤浩之・土井一生 ······· 8
山梨の豪雪災害―その教訓は活かされるか― ········································································ 鈴木猛康 ····· 162014 年広島災害における表層崩壊の発生メカニズムと降雨閾値································································ 松四雄騎・渡壁卓磨・鄒 青穎・平田康人・千木良雅弘 ····· 24
2014 年 8 月に広島で発生した土石流の流動・氾濫特性 ··························· 竹林洋史・藤田正治・江頭進治 ······ 34
防災問題における資料解析研究（42） ··············································· 林 春男・矢守克也・鈴木進吾 ······ 40
京都大学防災研究所 平成 26 年度 共同研究報告 ················································································· 47
組 織 ········································································································································184

第 58 号Ｂ
ビジネスインパクト分析及びリスク評価の手法を取りいれた港湾物流 BCP 作成手法の高度化に関する研究·············································································································· 小野憲司・赤倉康寛 ······· 1
港湾 BCP のための港湾施設の脆弱性評価手法 ·················································· 赤倉康寛・小野憲司 ······ 15
大規模地震・津波後の国際海上コンテナ貨物の代替港湾の推計と港湾 BCP への適用··················································································赤倉康寛・小野憲司・渡部富博・川村 浩 ······ 26
Airborne Measurements of Volcanic Ash and Current State of Ash Cloud Prediction···················································································· Jónas ELÍASSON and Junichi YOSHITANI ······ 35
福島原発事故に伴う放射性物質の初期拡散沈着過程把握のためのデータベース構築―レーダーデータを中心として― ·· 谷田貝亜紀代・寶馨・石原正仁・石川裕彦・渡邊 明・村田健史 ······ 42

Seismic Observations of the Sonic Boom Produced by the Chebarkul Meteorite···························································································· Masumi YAMADA and James MORI ······ 47
ブータン王国の国家地震観測網の構築支援 ································ 大見士朗・井上 公・Dowchu DRUKPA ······ 53
中央構造線断層帯（和泉山脈南縁）における稠密 AMT 観測の概要···································································大内悠平・吉村令慧・田中大資・米田 格・山崎友也 ······ 60
近年の地殻変動連続観測データ ―顕著な歪速度の変化について―········································· 森井 亙 ······ 66
水準測量によって測定された桜島火山の地盤上下変動 ―2014 年 11 月測量の結果―··································· 山本圭吾・吉川 慎・松島 健・大倉敬宏・横尾亮彦・井上寛之・三島壮智・··············································· 内田和也・園田忠臣・関健次郎・小松信太郎・堀田耕平・藤田詩織 ······ 70
気象レーダによる桜島火山噴煙の観測································································ 真木雅之・井口正人・藤田英輔・三輪学央・前坂 剛・············································································· 出世ゆかり・小園誠史・桃谷哲也・山路昭彦 ······ 76
桜島火山におけるパーシベルによる降下火山灰の観測···················································· 小園誠史・三輪学央・眞木雅之・前坂 剛・味喜大介・井口正人 ······ 86
パーシベルを用いた桜島産火山噴出物の落下速度に関する実験的測定·················································· 三輪学央・真木雅之・小園誠史・藤田英輔・棚田俊收・井口正人 ······ 91
付加体中の低角逆断層沿いに発生した豪雨に伴う深層崩壊について ···················· 荒井紀之・千木良雅弘 ······ 95
Digital Terrain Analysis of Sea-land Combined Data on the Outer Zone of Southwest Japan Including the Nankai Trough····························································· Junko IWAHASHI, Yuki MATSUSHI and Hiroshi FUKUOKA ···· 102
熱帯季節内振動に対する冬季中高緯度大気の応答特性 ············································ 山田 賢・向川 均 ·····116
成層圏における惑星規模波反射現象の予測可能性 ―2014 年 2 月の事例のアンサンブル再予報実験―··················································································· 野口峻佑・向川 均・黒田友二・水田 亮 ····· 125
逆転法と数値モデルによる陸上生態系からの炭素フラックスの推定値の比較 ·························· 井口敬雄 ····· 137
都市近郊における大気境界層の観測 ―不安定時と中立に近い時の乱流構造の比較― ················ 堀口光章 ····· 146
地球温暖化予測における梅雨期の降水および大気場の変化···································································· 岡田靖子・竹見哲也・石川裕彦・楠 昌司・水田 亮 ···· 157
Application of Ensemble Typhoon Method to a Tropical Cyclone in the Bay of Bengal·························································Sanat Kumar DAS, Tomohiro TANAKA and Hirohiko ISHIKAWA ···· 162
湿潤な環境下で発生する停滞性降水系の理想化数値実験 ······································· 鵜沼 昂・竹見哲也 ····· 167
竜巻様渦の遷移に関する数値実験 ······················································ 林 悠平・竹見哲也・宮本佳明 ····· 175
日本に近づいてから発達する台風の特徴 ··························································· 中野貴史・石川裕彦 ····· 196

建物等構造要素毎の被害評価による竜巻等の突風風速推定指標の策定································································ 前田潤滋・丸山 敬・奥田泰雄・小林文明・松井正宏・···································································林 泰一・野田 稔・西嶋一欽・友清衣利子・竹内 崇 ·····211
ゲリラ豪雨危険性予知手法の高精度化に向けた積乱雲生成時の渦管構造の解析················································································ 中北英一・佐藤悠人・西脇隆太・山口弘誠 ···· 221
積乱雲の生成・発達を捉えるためのマルチセンサーによる RHI 同期観測実験·································· 中北英一・山口弘誠・大石 哲・大東忠保・橋口浩之・岩井宏徳・中川勝広・································ 相馬一義・増田有俊・小川まり子・坪木和久・鈴木賢士・川村誠治・鈴木善晴 ···· 232
Application of Flood Early Warning Using High-Resolution Ensemble Rainfall from Numerical Weather Prediction Model:
Case Study of the 2013 Largest Flood Event in Japan························· Wansik YU, Eiichi NAKAKITA, Kosei YAMAGUCHI, Masaru KUNII, and Tsutao OIZUMI ···· 237
インドネシア・中央カリマンタン熱帯泥炭湿地林における地下水流動解析································································ 城戸由能・神田亜希子・峠 嘉哉・北側有輝・中北英一 ····· 246
地下水環境への気候変動影響のアンサンブル評価に関する研究 ·············· 北側有輝・城戸由能・中北英一 ····· 257
山岳域の陸面解析における雪氷融解プロセスに関する検討 ····················· 峠 嘉哉・田中賢治・中北英一 ····· 266
乱流構造に基づく SGS モデルを用いた微気象場の LES 計算手法の開発 ·································· 井上 実 ····· 272
防災気象情報に対応した洪水ハザードマップの検討 ··························································· 本間基寛 ····· 283
GNSS による湾上および山岳域における水蒸気分布と豪雨に関する研究···················································· 大石 哲・山口弘誠・小川まり子・中 大輔・林 和成・中北英一 ···· 294
蛇かごタイプの消波工の耐波安定性について ···································································· 平石哲也 ····· 305
田辺中島高潮観測塔における 2014 年夏季観測結果································································ 馬場康之・水谷英朗・久保輝広・内山雄介・森 信人・······························································ 渡部靖憲・山田朋人・猿渡亜由未・大塚淳一・二宮順一 ···· 315
和歌山県富田川河口の地形変化計測 ·················································· 水谷英朗・馬場康之・久保輝広 ····· 321
鉛直分布を考慮した掃流砂観測手法の検討 ·······堤 大三・天野唯子・長谷川祐治・市田児太朗・野中理伸 ····· 332
時間領域反射測定法を利用した流砂計測に関する実験的研究 ································ 宮田秀介・藤田正治 ····· 345
流木の流下と橋梁への集積に関する実験 ··········· 長谷川祐治・中谷加奈・竹林洋史・里深好文・藤田正治 ····· 350
土砂災害警戒避難に影響を及ぼすハザード群に関する研究 ································ 山野井一輝・藤田正治 ····· 358
Numerical Simulation for the Erosion and Stability of Riverbanks Subjected to Different Flood Hydrographs················································· Ahmed ALY EL-DIEN, Hiroshi TAKEBAYASHI, and Masaharu FUJITA ···· 365
ネスティングモデルを用いたバングラデシュ・ジャムナ川における洪水氾濫リスク評価································································································ 橋本雅和・川池健司・中川 一 ····· 377
Analysis of Breach Characteristics and Equilibrium Scour Pattern for Overtopping Induced River Dyke breach····························· Pawan Kumar BHATTARAI, Hajime NAKAGAWA, Kenji KAWAIKE and Hao ZHANG ····· 386
Study on Applicability of Overflow Discharge Equation Under Pressurized Flow Condition································································ Dongwoo KO, Hajime NAKAGAWA, and Kenji KAWAIKE ···· 402
自律制御 AUV の開発と河川流速計測の自動化に関する研究 ························ 金子泰洸ポール・山上路生 ····· 410
我が国における降水量の長期変化と極端降水量の増加 ························································ 田中茂信 ····· 417
Estimation of Habitat Potential for Ayu Fish by Analyzing Riffle Geomorphology in the Yodo River System······································· Koji MISHIMA, Yasuhiro TAKEMON, Souhei KOBAYASHI and Tetsuya SUMI ····· 424
人工群知能を用いた重力ダム設計基本断面の最適化と長期ダム安定性管理への応用································································································ 浜口俊雄・角 哲也・田中茂信 ····· 433

Addressing Water Resources Regulations Policy in Zeravshan River Basin········ Temur KHUJANAZAROV, Yoshiya TOUGE, Ruka NAMURA, Kenji TANAKA and Shigenobu TANAKA ····· 441
宇治川に優占するシマトビケラ科 2 種の有効積算温量の推定 ―成虫の季節消長パターンに基づく分析―································································································ 小林草平・竹門康弘・角 哲也 ····· 448
Flume Experiment on Bedload Measurement with a Plate Microphone·····································Takahiro KOSHIBA, Tetsuya SUMI, Yasuhiro TAKEMON, and Daizo TSUTSUMI ····· 458
気候変動を考慮したダム堆砂進行による牧尾ダムの長期的便益評価··················································································寺田和暉・角 哲也・竹門康弘・佐藤嘉展 ····· 470
Integrated Management of Flash Flood in Wadi System of Egypt: Disaster Prevention and Water Harvesting················································· Mohammed ABDEL-FATTAH, Sameh KANTOUSH, and Tetsuya SUMI ····· 485
Riverbed Management by Changing Reach Scale Channel Configuration·································································· Mikyoung CHOI, Yasuhiro TAKEMON and Tetsuya SUMI ····· 497
天竜川における底生無脊椎動物の生息場履歴に関する基礎的特性の把握···································································· 兵藤 誠・竹門康弘・角 哲也・鳥居高明・小林草平 ····· 504
排砂バイパスを導入したダム下流における河床環境と底生動物群集··················································································粟津陽介・小林草平・角 哲也・竹門康弘 ····· 527
Abrasion Damage Estimation of Sediment Bypass Tunnels: Validation and Comparison of two Prediction Models········································································ Christian AUEL, Robert M. BOES and Tetsuya SUMI ····· 540