Annex 10 – WorldCopyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

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World Trends @2050
Scenario

AllCNF

Trends WorldMarket•

Passenger cars and commercial vehicles: Significant increases in both new vehicles sales and inuse fleets; for motorcycles, gradual increases in new vehicles sales and in-use fleets.

Energy mix•

Share of clean energy is approximately 80%.

•

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new passenger car and commercial vehicle sales
is approximately 50%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in in-use passenger car and commercial vehiclefleets is approximately 30%.

Electrified
vehiclesFuel mix

BEV75

2050/2020
CO2 emissions

Electrifiedvehicles
Fuel mix
Electrifiedvehicles•••

Share of biofuels + electricity + hydrogen is approximately 60%.
CNF share represents approx. 30% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

•

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new passenger car and commercial vehicle sales
share is approximately 80%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 60%.

•••

Share of biofuels + electricity + hydrogen is approximately 70%.
CNF share represents approx. 20% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

•Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new passenger car and commercial vehicle sales
is 100%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is more than 80%.

•NZE
Fuel mix••-58% approx.

-66% approx.

-73% approx..

Approximately 80% is biofuels + electricity + hydrogen.
(Assumption: Synthetic fuel = 0%.)
Biofuel share = 7% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

World CO2 emissions in all the scenarios are within or lower thanthe IPCC 2050 1.5℃ climate scenarios’ -42% to -68% range.
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New Passenger Car Sales (World)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
NGV
ICE

BEV75

NZE
FCEV

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New Commercial Vehicle Sales (World)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE
NGV

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

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New Motorcycle Sales (World)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF

BEV

ICE

BEV75

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NZE

5In-Use Passenger Car Fleet (World)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
NGV
ICE

NZE

BEV75
FCEV

Copyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

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In-Use Commercial Vehicle Fleet (World)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF
BEV
HEV
NGV
ICE

BEV75

NZE

FCEV

PHEV

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In-Use Motorcycle Fleet (World)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF

BEV

ICE

BEV75

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NZE

8Automotive Fuel Mix (World)
BAU（In ktoe）

CNF
Electricity
CNG

BiofuelPetroleum

NZEBEV75

Hydrogen
Synthetic fuelCopyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

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Energy Mix (World)（In %）

Other than BAU

BAU
RenewableenergyNuclear
Fossil fuels

Biomass
Fossilfuels+CCS（gCO2/kWh）

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CO2 Emissions (World)（KtCO2）

World CO2 emissions in all the scenarios are within or lower thanthe IPCC 2050 1.5℃ climate scenarios’ -42% to -68% range.
Copyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

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