Annex 2 - North America

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1Trends in North America @2050
ScenarioAllTrends in North America

MarketEnergy mix

CNF

BEV75Electrifiedvehicles•Passenger cars and commercial vehicles: Significant increases in new vehicle sales; for motorcycles,gradual increases in new vehicle sales.
For all vehicle types: Gradual increases in in-use fleets.

•Share of clean energy is approximately 80%.

•Share of electrified vehicles in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types is almost
100%, with about 50% of new passenger cars being PHEVs.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 40%.

••Fuel mix••

More than 90% is CNF (synthetic fuels, biofuels) + electricity + hydrogen.
CNF share represents approx. 30% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

Electrifiedvehicles••

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types is 100%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 60%.

Fuel mix••

More than 90% is CNF (synthetic fuels, biofuels) + electricity + hydrogen.
CNF share represents 25% approx. of total fuel consumed in 2020.

Electrifiedvehicles••

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types is 100%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 80%.

•

About 80% is biofuels + electricity + hydrogen.
(Assumption: Synthetic fuels = 0%.)
Biofuel share = approx. 10% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

NZEFuel mix

2050/2020
CO2 emissions•-89% approx.

-90% approx.

-87% approx.

In all non-BAU scenarios, CO2 emission levels are approximately -90% compared to 2020.
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New Passenger Car Sales (North America)（x 1,000 units）

BAU

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
NGV
ICE
NZE

BEV75
FCEV

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New Commercial Vehicle Sales (North America)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

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New Motorcycle Sales (North America)
BAU（x 1,000 units)

CNF

BEV

ICE

BEV75

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NZE

5

In-Use Passenger Car Fleet (North America)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
NGV
ICE
NZE

BEV75
FCEV

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In-Use Commercial Vehicle Fleet (North America)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV

ICE

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

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In-Use Motorcycle Fleet (North America)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF

BEV

ICE

BEV75

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NZE

8Automotive Fuel Mix (North America)
BAU（In ktoe）

CNF

Electricity
BiofuelPetroleum

NZE

BEV75Hydrogen
Synthetic fuelCopyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

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Energy Mix (North America)（In %）

Other than BAU

BAU
RenewableenergyNuclearBiomass
Fossil fuels

Fossilfuels+CCS（gCO2/kWh）

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CO2 Emissions (North America)（In ktCO2）

In all the non-BAU scenarios, CO2 emission levels are approximately -90% compared to 2020.
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