Annex 1 - Advanced Economies EuropeCopyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

1Trends in Advanced Economies Europe @2050
Scenario

AllCNF

BEV75

Trends in Advanced Economies Europe2050/2020
CO2 emissions

Market•Passenger cars and commercial vehicles: Gradual increases in both new vehicle sales and in-usefleets; for motorcycles, gradual declines in new vehicle sales and in-use fleet.

Energy mix•

Share of clean energy is approximately 90%.

•

Share of electrified vehicles in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types isalmost 100%, with about 50% of new passenger cars being PHEVs.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 40%.

Electrifiedvehicles•Fuel mix••

More than 90% is CNF (synthetic fuels, biofuels) + electricity + hydrogen.
CNF share represents approx. 30% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

Electrifiedvehicles••

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types is 100%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 70%.

Fuel mix••

More than 90% is CNF (synthetic fuels, biofuels) + electricity + hydrogen.
CNF share = just under 20% approx. of total fuel consumption in 2020.

Electrifiedvehicles••

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types is 100%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 90%.

•About 80% is biofuels + electricity + hydrogen.
(Assumption: Synthetic fuels = 0%.)
Biofuel share = approx. 6% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

NZE
Fuel mix•-95% approx.

-95% approx.

-92% approx.

In all non-BAU scenarios, CO2 emission levels are close to carbon neutrality.
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New Passenger Car Sales(Advanced Economies Europe)
BAU（x 1,000 units）

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

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New Commercial Vehicle Sales(Advanced Economies Europe)
BAU（x 1,000 units)

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

BEV75

NZE

FCEV

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New Motorcycle Sales (Advanced Economies Europe)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF

BEV
ICE

BEV75

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NZE

5

In-Use Passenger Car Fleet(Advanced Economies Europe)
BAU（x 1,000 units)

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

BEV75

NZE

FCEV

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In-Use Commercial Vehicle Fleet(Advanced Economies Europe)
BAU（x 1,000 units)

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

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In-Use Motorcycle Fleet (Advanced Economies Europe)
BAU

CNF

（x 1,000 units)

BEV

ICE

BEV75

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NZE

8Automotive Fuel Mix (Advanced Economies Europe)（In ktoe）

BAU

CNF

Electricity
Petroleum

BEV75

Synthetic fuelBiofuelNZE

HydrogenCopyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

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Energy Mix (Advanced Economies Europe)（In %）

Other than BAU

BAU
RenewableenergyNuclearBiomass
Fossilfuels

Fossilfuels+CCS（gCO2/kWh）

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CO2 Emissions (Advanced Economies Europe)（In ktCO2）

In all the scenarios, CO2 emission levels are close to carbon neutrality.
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