The 23rd AIM International Workshop
Ohyama Memorial Hall
National Institute for Environmental Studies
November 27-28, 20171

In memory of Prof. Gakuji Kurata (1969-2017)
Educational background:
Bachelor: Engineering, Kyoto University, 1992
Master: Engineering, Kyoto University, 1994
Doctor: Engineering, Kyoto University, 1998
Professional career:
1996-2007 Assistant, Toyohashi University ofTechnology
2001-2002 Post-doctoral fellow, The Universityof Iowa, USA
2007-2017 Associate Professor, Kyoto University
2017 Professor, Kyoto University
5Activities 2016-2017
Toshihiko Masui

National Institute for Environmental Studies, JapanThe 23nd AIM International Workshop
Ohyama Memorial Hall, NIES, Japan
November 27-28, 20176

Since the 22nd AIM International Workshop

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The 23rd AIM International Workshop

Total 75 participants from 14 countries visit NIES.
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Brief History of AIM and its application
AIM/Enduse [Japan] and application to Asian countries
AIM/Enduse [Global]
AIM/CGE [Global]
AIM/CGE [Japan]
AIM/Air
Snapshot tool & ExSS

Development ofSustainable
Low/ZeroCarbon Society

AIM/Climate
Impact assessment models
Carbon tax policy assessemnt in Japan based on AIM/Enduse and CGE
Japan mid target / INDC
Long-term GHG emissions scenarios IPCC SRES / RCPs / SSPs
EMF

IAMC

International model comparison

UNEP/GEOEco-Asia

MA
NIES 1st 5-yr plan

FARSAR

SRES TAR
COP3

NIES 2nd 5-yr plan
AR4

NIES 3rd 5-yr plan

NIES 4th 5-yr plan

AR5

COP8

SR1.5
COP21

19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 2090 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Start of AIM
Project (FY1990-)

AIM Training
WS (FY1997-)
AIM Workshop(FY1995-)

AR6

Japan UK Joint
Project (-FY2007)
COP Side Event(FY2005-)
Japan LCS Project(-FY2008)

LCS-RNet20 20 20 20
20 30 40 50

LoCARNet
BOCMMRVJCM

SATREPS (-FY2015)
Asia LCS Project(-FY2013)

Low-Carbon
VisionLong-term
strategies

Fukushima

LLGHG&SLCP(-FY2018)

92100

Long-term low GHG emission development strategy• Following countries have already submitted the long-term
strategies to UNFCCC.
Country

Date submitted

USA

Nov. 16, 2016

MexicoNov. 16, 2016

CanadaNov. 17, 2016

Germany

Nov. 17, 2016

Benin

Dec. 12, 2016

GHG reduction target
80% reduction of GHG in 2050
compared to 2005 level
50% reduction of GHG in 2050
compared to 2000 level
80% reduction of GHG in 2050
compared to 2005 level
80-95% reduction of GHG in 2050
compared to 1990 level

75% reduction of GHG in 2050
1990 level• Other countries are requested comparedto submittotheirlong-term strategy
FranceDec. 28, 2016by 2020.

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Long-term Low-carbon Vision by MOEJ (March 2017)
http://www.env.go.jp/press/103822/713.pdf• Background: “Simultaneous solution” of economic and social
problems such as population decrease and aging issue etc., andclimate change• Contribution to global reduction as well as domestic reduction• Innovation (on technology, socioeconomic system and lifestyle) is the key• Actions to reduce GHG by 80% by 2050
• Energy efficiency,• Low-carbon energy supply, and• Switch to low-carbon energies in end-use• Taking into account "Carbon budget"• Avoiding "Lock-in" effects• Introducing "Carbon Pricing" as a policy to strengthen market
competitiveness11

Toward IPCC AR612
Source: http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/ar6_material/AC6_brochure_en.pdf

Our research stocks on low-carbon society research in Asia
Collaboration among countries in Asia
Malaysia
Putrajaya
JapanCyberjaya

Kyoto
Shiga

IskandarMalaysia

China

India

Guan Zhou

BhopalDalianAhmedabadThailand

Vietnam

Ratchaburi

Bangladesh

KhonKaen

Indonesia

S. Korea

Cambodia

Kyonggi-do

http://2050.nies.go.jp/

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Climate change impact and adaptation

A-PLAT: CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION PLATFORM
http://www.adaptation-platform.nies.go.jp/
Overseas
infoLinks

NewsTools

EventsClimate Change Adaptation

Englishsite

MoviesLocal Gov. Officers Only

Government activities
related to adaptation

National & Local Information

Info. for private sector

Info. for Individuals

JPInfo. for local government

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ERTDF 2-1702: Integrated Analyses of Climate Policies for Simultaneous
Realization of the Paris Agreement and the SDGs (Dr. K. Takahashi)
Theme 1 (NIES)
Global climate policy analyses
Mitigation
targets

Tooldevelopment

Global・Long-term

2/1.5 oC target

Mitigation andenvironmental
models for
global analyses

Theme 2 (NIES)・3 (MHIR)
Japanese mitigation policy analyses
Japan・
Mid/Long-term

80% red/net zero emis.

Mitigation models
for national scaleanalyses

Proposition ofintegratedscenarios

Global scenarios
consistent withParis agreementand SDGs

Domestic mitigation
scenarios consistentwith global scenariosImplication of LCS
policies on othersocial issues

Sustainable
development

Social issues
confronted in Japan

Collaborationwith Franceand Germany
Variousstakeholders

Internatio
nal model
comparis
onprojects
IPCC /ipbes etc

ERTDF 2-1711: Low Carbon Re-development Planning of Municipalities:
Development and Application of Analytical Models coupling Resources
and Energy Use (Dr. S. Ashina)
1.
2.
3.

Development of planning methodology and analytical models for designing Low Carbon &Resilient city coupling resources and energy use.
Application of the methodology and models to municipalities in Japan.
Development of simplified model and guidelines those can be utilized by municipalities.

Low Carbon City
Design Tool

Transport

Tier 1

Holistic analysis
for low carbon city

Population andCO2 Mapping• Designing strategies forlow carbon city
2010

2020

2030

2040

2050

Re sid e nt ial and c o mme rt ial se c t o r
Int ro d uc t io n o f simp lifie d me t ho d s fo r asse ssing t hep e rfo rmanc e o f b uild ing s
Sp re ad t e c hno lo g ie s o f insulat e d ho use s and b uild ing sSp re ad

insulat e d

Int ro d uc e

aho use ssyst e mfo randb uild ling slab e ling

ho use s

Re vic e t he t o p -runne r st and ard s
Sp re ad t he use o f e ne rg y e ffic ie nt
Sp re adt heInt ro d uc e

useofso lare ne rg yw at e randb uild ing s

ho use ho ld

e ffic ie nt

he at ing

o ffic e

ap p lianc e s

ap p lianc e s

ap p lianc e s

A g ric ult ure
Int ro d uc ing lab e ling o f farm p ro d uc t s
Inc re ase c o nsume r aw are ne ss o f lo w -c arb o n farmEnc o urag e t he c o nsump t io n o f se aso nal fo o d s
Sp re ade ne rg ye ffic ie nt

d e vic e sin

Fue l shift

toe le c t rific at io ng asinp ro d uc t s• Development of city
design and populationand distribution by GIS• Determining flow andstocks of buildings

Energy System
Design in Region• Spatial location ofenergy infrastructure

inbye ac ht hee nt ireind ust ry

inst alle dw it hCCSChang e t he c it y st ruc t ure b y re vising land use
Int ro d uc e a syst e m fo r d raw ing up int e nsive land use andt ransp o rt p lans t o g e t he r w it h c it ize ns
P ro mo t e t he c o nc e nt rat io n o f ho use s, e t c . in t he c e nt e r o f
Cre at e a syst e m o f p re fe re nt ial t re at me ntve hic le s
Sp re ad e ne rg y e ffic ie nt aut o mo b ile s
Sp re ad b io mass e ne rg y use
Sp re ade ne rg ye ffic ie nt

fo rlo w -c arb o nrailw ays

Sp re ade ne rg ye ffic ie nt

ve sse ls

Sp re ade ne rg ye ffic ie nt

airp lane s

Sp re ad e ne rg y e ffic ie nt lig ht aut o mo b ile s
Co nd uc t t e c hno lo g ic al d e mo nst rat io ns ne ar e xist ing
hyd ro g e n sup p ly st at io ns
Inve st ig at e p lans fo r p o sit io ning hyd ro g e n sup p ly st at io ns
Exp andre se arc h

Int ro d uc e
Fre ig ht

andd e ve lo p me nt

offue l c e lls

fue l c e ll ve hic le st ransp o rt at io n

Re vise t he t o p -runne r st and ard s
Sp re ad e ne rg y e ffic ie nt t ruc ks
P ro mo t e
Sp re adSp re adamo d al shiftb io massinlo g ist ic s

fue lt he rmal p o w e r

p lant sP ro mo t e lo w e r c o st s o f
Raise t he e xe rc ise p ric e
w arrant y syst e m w it h a
Inc re ase so lar and w inde q uip p e dw it hsafe t yCCSint ro d uc ing re ne w ab le so f re ne w ab le s and c o nst ruc tc e rt ain g uarant e e p e rio dp o w e r g e ne rat io na

C olors in t he f igure: red: measure, green: policy
Widt h of t he lines: Bars denot e periods f or act iv ely spreading t he measure or f or spreading t he policy nat ionwide. A rrows denot e periods f or
maint aining t he rat io of spread of t he measure or t he period f or cont inuing t he policy . Diamonds are t he t iming f or drawing up and enf orcing
t he policy .

(ST1 :NIES)

Tier 2

Resource Flow andStock Analysis

Energy Supply

ind ust ry

Sp re ad st e e l furnac e sP asse ng e r t ransp o rt at io nEne rg y sup p ly se c t o r
Int ro d uc e e ne rg y e ffic ie nt t he rmal p o w e r p lant sP ro mo t e t he d e ve lo p me nt o f CCS t e c hno lo g ie s andasse ssme nt
Est ab lish safe and e ffic ie nt CCS t e c hno lo g ie sTier 3

Infrastructure

ag ric ult ure

Ind ust ry
Int ro d uc e a CO 2 e missio n d isc lo sure syst e mc o mp any and o ffic e
Est ab lish CO 2 e missio n d isc lo sure syst e m o ndre ad e ne rg y e ffic ie nt d e vic e s in ind ust ry
Sp
P ro mo t eResidential(ST2: NIES)(ST3: Nagoya U.)(ST4: Tohoku U.)

Development of Simplified Tool

• Analyzing countermeasures and technologies those need
to be implemented toward the target• Showing results immediately after setting scenarios(ST1: NIES)

Guidelines for Planning for Low Carbon City• Simple calculation guideline and manuals for municipalities• Target: Government and Municipal Officers

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Contribution to international research cooperation• IAMC• EMF• DDPP• CD-LINKS• MILES• AgMIP• ISI-MIP• TWI2050• IoP• LCS-RNet• LoCARNet• ...

• Japan-France• Japan-Germany• Japan-UK• Japan-Asian countries• Vietnam• Malaysia• Indonesia• Thailand• Bhutan• ...

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Implications of Paris Research and Workshop Series(Dr. J. Edmonds)• Fill High-Priority Research Gaps—Identify important gaps inunderstanding and conduct research to help fill those gaps.
• Conduct Workshops— The workshops serve two functions.
• Identify the most important research gaps in our knowledge• Communicate to the most recent findings to key decision makers• The first workshop: May 3-4, 2016 at the University of Maryland,
USA• The second workshop: March 5-6, 2017 at NTNU, Trondheim,
Norway• The third workshop: October 1-2, 2017 at Tokyo Institute ofTechnology, Japan

Implications of Paris Research and Workshop Series(Dr. J. Edmonds)
Third Workshop on the Global Stocktake; October 1-2 2017

Session 1: Overview of the Workshop and Keynote
Session 2: Research to measure progress in emissions and land use, and non-CO2
Session 3: Research to measure progress in technology, policy, institutions,communications and adaptation
Session 4: Research to measure progress toward business models, financial
instruments, and green development strategies
Session 5: Research Needs and Future Directions

Contribution to LCS-RNet/LoCARNet
LCS-RNet

LoCARNet• Knowledge exchange andresearch cooperation amongst
researchers/research institutes,• Sharing updated scientificknowledge and information on
the various policy tools required
to realise low‐carbon societies.
• International dialogues among
researchers, policy‐makers andother stakeholders from different
countries in order to promotescience and policy linkage.
• Scientific inputs andrecommendations ininternational climate change
policy‐making fora.

• Network of prominent researchers who are
deeply involved in low‐carbon development policy
processes in this region.
• Science‐Science‐Policy Dialogue: LoCARNet
promotes research for policies towards lowcarbon growth by enabling a sufficient amount of
dialogue between scientists and policy‐makers.
• Ownership of knowledge by countries: LoCARNet
also encourages collaboration amongst
researchers in‐country whose research capacity
and scientific knowledge are firmly grounded intheir home countries.

Low Carbon Research Networkhttps://lcs-rnet.org/topics-top

Low Carbon Asia Research Network• South‐South‐North Collaboration: LoCARNet aims
to increase in research capacity in the AP region
through knowledge sharing and informationexchange, in the scheme of not only north-south
cooperation, but also south‐south regional
cooperation.
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Contribution to LCS-RNet/LoCARNet
LCS-RNet

Low Carbon Research Network• 2009• The 9th annual meeting in Warwick(UK) in September 12-13.
• Dr. Mikiko Kainuma

https://lcs-rnet.org/topics-top

LoCARNet

Low Carbon Asia Research Network• 2012• The 6th Annual meeting in Bangkok(THA) in November 1-3.
• Ms. Tomoko Ishikawa

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Capacity development in Asia by AIM• Jan. 30-Feb. 1 2017, SIIT-TU, Thailand• Introduction of AIM (ExSS, Enduse & CGE)

22

Capacity development in Asia by AIM• Sep. 4 - Oct. 13, 2017 at NIES: CGE• Bhutan, Malaysia, Nepal, Thailand andVietnam• Oct. 23 - 27, 2017 at NIES: Enduse• China, Sri Lanka and Vietnam
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Schedule of the 23rd AIM International Workshop
DAY 1 (November 27, 2018)
Session 1: Opening
Session 2: Global
Session 3: Asia (1)Photo
Lunch BreakSession 4: Asia (2)Session 5: Developed countries
Session 6: Poster
Reception @ NIES

DAY 2 (November 28, 2017)
Session 7: Asia (3)Session 8: Impact (1)Lunch BreakSession 9: Impact (2)Session 10: Discussion
Session 11: Closing
Dinner @ Sen-nen no Utage

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Themes at Discussion (Session 10)

Research and Implementation toward decarbonized society
1. Research collaboration in short-term (research budget) andlong-term (topics)• Short: S-12 (SLCP) will finish in March 2019 (FY 2018). What is the next topic?
In order to start next research from FY 2019, we will apply ERDTF in November
2018.
• Long: What is requests to AIM?

2. Research toward IPCC AR6• Presentation by Prof. Shukla on November 27.

3. Policy support based on the Paris Agreement (NDC, long-term
low GHG strategy, adaptation strategies, etc.)• From model to implementation.
• Linking SDGs.
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