Session 3: Aligning Climate Change andSustainable Development Objectives

Francisco de la Chesnaye“Developing Visions for aLCS through Sustainable Development”, June 15, Tokyo

Some questions for discussion• What does “Low Carbon” mean, (lower carbon, lowestcarbon, no carbon) in the context of development ?
• What are we committed to over the next 30+ years in termsof:– Climate change (consider impacts, vulnerability andadaptation)– Current and near-term installed capacity, primarily in thepower generation and transportation infrastructures, andresulting emissions– Other international policy priorities• What are win-win strategies across all these policies thatalso work at the local, national, and international levels

SD measures influencing emissions• Improve access to reliable and affordable energy services (stress on
decentralised and renewable energy systems, modern biomass
technologies, cleaner liquid and solid fuels, energy efficiency, etc.)• Changing unsustainable production and consumption patterns– Establish and support cleaner production programmes and centres– Incentives for investment in cleaner production and eco-efficency– Develop production and consumption policies… reducing environmental
and health impacts…

• Promote an integrated approach to policy making at the national,
regional and local levels• Sectors that are most significant to both CC and SD as: Water, Energy,Health, Food, Ecosystems (Biodiversity and forestry), Human
settlements, & Disaster preparedness
Source: IPCC WG3, CCT on CC & SD by L. Srivastava and T. Heller

Low stabilization targets cut into land use related
emissions
3025

Non-CO2 - energy/industry
CO2 - energy/industry
Non-CO2 - land
CO2 - land

GtCO2-eq

2015650 ppm

10550 ppm5450 ppm
02000
Courtesy Tom Kram, MNP

2020

2040

2060

2080

2100

62%

Source: IEA, WEO 2004

Source: D. Hawkins, NRDC

What will Drive Energy (Development & Climate) Futures?
1.

Economic Growth2.

Population

3.

National/ Regional Circumstances

4.

•Energy Resource Endowment•

Structure of Economy•

National/Regional Governance•Geopolitics

Energy Security,Adaptation,Mitigation

Global Governance•Trade Regime•

Mobility/Migration•Climate Change

Adapted from P.R. Shukla

InternationalPolicies

Example of Multiple Policy Challenges:
Expanding the use of modern liquidbiofuels across the world• Links between biofuels and internationalcommodities markets (eg ethanol x sugar,biodiesel x castor oil, palm oil, soybeans):
effects of price subsidies, WTO rounds, large
scale bioenergy programs on international
prices of feedstocks and final products.

Courtesy Emilio L. La Rovere

CO2 Emissions in Transportation
SectorCourtesy Emilio L. La Rovere

Some questions for discussion• What does “Low Carbon” mean, (lower carbon, lowest
carbon, no carbon) in the context of development ?
• What are we committed to over the next 30+ years in termsof:– Climate change (consider impacts, vulnerability andadaptation)– Current and near-term installed capacity, primarily in thepower generation and transportation infrastructures, andresultant emissions– Other international policy priorities• What are win-win strategies across all these policies thatalso work at the local, national, and international levels