Annex 3 - Other Europe/Eurasia

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Trends in Other Europe/Eurasia @2050
Scenario
AllTrends in Other Europe/Eurasia
Market•For all vehicle types: Gradual increases in both new vehicle sales and in-use fleets.

Energy mix•

Share of clean energy is approximately 80%.

•

Share of electrified vehicles in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types isalmost 100%, with about 50% of new passenger cars being BEVs/FCEVs.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 30%.

ElectrifiedVehicles

CNF

BEV752050/2020
CO2 emissions•Fuel mix••

More than 70% is CNF (synthetic fuels, biofuels) + electricity + hydrogen.
CNF share represents approx. 30% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

Electrifiedvehicles••

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types is 80%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 50%.

Fuel mix••

Just under 80% is CNF (synthetic fuels, biofuels) + electricity + hydrogen.
CNF share = just under 20% approx. of total fuel consumption in 2020.

Electrifiedvehicles••

Share of BEVs/FCEVs in new vehicle sales for all vehicle types is 100%.
Share of BEVs/FCEVs in the in-use passenger car and commercial vehicle
fleets is approximately 80%.

•Just under 80% is biofuels + electricity + hydrogen.
(Assumption* Synthetic fuels = 0%.)
Biofuel share = approx. 4% of total fuel consumption in 2020.

NZE
Fuel mix•-73% approx.

-75% approx.

-75% approx.

In all non-BAU scenarios, CO2 emission levels are approximately -75% compared to 2020.
(CO2 emissions are lower than the IPCC 2050 1.5℃ climate scenarios’ -42% to -68% range.)

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New Passenger Car Sales (Other Europe/Eurasia)（x 1,000 units）

BAU

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

NZE

BEV75
FCEV

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New Commercial Vehicle Sales (Other Europe/Eurasia)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

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New Motorcycle Sales (Other Europe/Eurasia)
BAU（x 1,000 units)

CNF

BEV

ICE

BEV75

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NZE

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In-Use Passenger Car Fleet (Other Europe/Eurasia)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF

BEV
PHEV
HEV
ICE

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

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In-Use Commercial Vehicle Fleet (Other Europe/Eurasia)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF
BEV
HEV

ICE

NZE

BEV75

FCEV

PHEV

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In-Use Motorcycle Fleet (Other Europe/Eurasia)（x 1,000 units)

BAU

CNF

BEV

ICE

BEV75

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NZE

8Automotive Fuel Mix (Other Europe/Eurasia)（x 1,000 units）

BAU

CNF

Petroleum

Electricity
Biofuel

BEV75

NZE

Hydrogen
Synthetic fuelCopyright © Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association, Inc.

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Energy Mix (Other Europe/Eurasia)（In %）

Other than BAU

BAU
RenewableenergyNuclearBiomass

Fossilfuels+CCS

Fossil fuels（gCO2/kWh）

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CO2 Emissions (Other Europe/Eurasia)（In ktCO2）

In all the non-BAU scenarios, CO2 emission levels are approximately -75% compared to 2020.
(CO2 emissions are lower than the IPCC 2050 1.5℃ climate scenarios’ -42% to -68% range.)

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