Population Association of Japan

2008 Annual Meeting Program

June 7 – 8, 2008
Japan Women’s University(Mejiro Campus)

President
TAKAHASHI, Shinichi
Chair, Organizing Committee
ABE, Takashi

Program Summary
Saturday 7 June
０９：００
０９：３０～１２：３０

Registration
Theme Session 1: Quantitative Analyses of Life course andPopulationⅡ (100)General Session 1 (203)
General Session 2 (204)General Session 3 (102)

１２：３０～１３：３０
１２：３０～１３：３０
１３：３０～１３：４０
１３：４０～１４：３０

Lunch BreakPAJ Board of Director’s Meeting
Welcome Address from the Host Organization
General Membership Meeting

１５：３０～１７：３０
１８：００～２０：００

Symposium: Work-Life Balance in Aging Society

Welcome Reception

Sunday 10 June
０８：３０
０９：００～１２：００

Registration
Theme Session 2: Evaluation of population and family policy in Japan (506)General Session 4 (505)General Session 5 (504)
１２：００～１２：４５
１２：４５～１５：４５

Lunch Break
Theme Session 3: Socioeconomic differentials and demographic outcomes:
A historical demography perspective (506)

１２：４５～１６：１５
１２：４５～１５：１５

General Session 6 (505)General Session 7 (504)1Population Association of Japan

2008 Annual Meeting ProgramSaturday 7 June

9 : 00

９：３０-１２：３０

Registration

Theme Session 1 (Room No.100)
Quantitative Analyses of Life course and PopulationⅡ
Organizer：KANEKO, Ryuichi（National Institute of Population and Social Security Research ）Chair：HARA, Toshihiko (Sapporo City University)
Discussant： NAKAZAWA, Minato（Gunma Universityy）
HIROSIMA, Kiyosi (Shimane University)
KATO, Akihiko (Meiji University)
Regionality of Family Structure and Demographic Events
SUGA, Keita（National Institute of Population and Social Security Research ）Patterns and Covariates of Childless at the Age of Forty in JapanTSUYA, Noriko (Keio University)
Patterns and Covariates of Family Formation in JapanKANEKO, Ryuichi（National Institute of Population and Social Security Research ）Life-course Transformation of Fertility Process and Its Effect on the Population
Change in Japan

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General Session 1 (Room No.203 )Chair： TAKASAKA, Koichi (Kyorin University)
KURITA, Kyosuke (Waseda University)
Why Do Migrants Return to Their Origin?: Econometric Analysis of Return
Migration Using Migration Survey in Thailand
NAKAGAWA, Satoshi (Kobe University)
International Marriage Migration from Thailand to Germany
IKEGAMI, Kiyoko (United Nations Population Fund, Tokyo Office)SUZUKI,Takafumi (Formerly United Nations Population Fund, Tokyo Office)MORITA, Keitaro (United Nations Population Fund, Tokyo Office)Peer Education in Cambodia: Its Reality and Challenges
Chair：SAGAZA, Haruo (Waseda University)
FUJITA, Minezo
World Trend Regarding the Method for 2010 Round Population Census andLatin America
KOJIMA, Hiroshi (Waseda University)
Determinants of Marital Status among Foreign Muslims in Japan
ITO, Kaoru (Gifu Shotoku Gakuen University)
Actual Conditions and Features of Foreign New-comer Laborers in Gifu
Prefecture: Comparison between Japanese-Brazilian and Chinese3

General Session 2 (Room No.204 )Chair：HAYASE, Yasuko (Institute of Developing Economies, JETRO, ret)
KANG, Wenqin (Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology)
Daytime Population of Daytime Population in the Downtown of Shanghai
FENG, Wenmeng (Japan Society for the Promotion of Science)
Research on the Elderly People’s Living Conditions in Rural China- One Study Based on the Survey in Yunnan Province
NIE, Haisong (Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology)
Research on the Elderly People’s Living Conditions in Urban China- One Study Based on the Survey in Shanghai
Chair：WAKABAYASHI, Keiko(Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology)
LU, Xiaoyuan (South China Normal University)
WANG, Hongwei (South China Normal University)
Modern Overseas Chinese Women and International Migration
CHO, Sung-ho (Keio University)
Parental Investment on After-school Programs in Korea
SUZUKI, Toru （National Institute of Population and Social Security Research ）Low Fertility in Korea and Taiwan

General Session 3 (Room No. 102)
Chair：ISHIKAWA, Yoshitaka (Kyoto University)
SASAI, Tsukasa (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research ）A Study on Regional Differentials in Marital Fertility
SAKANISHI, Akiko (Nara Prefectural University)
An Analysis on Change in Population Migration and Fertility Rate in the Tokyo
Area
TAKAHASHI, Shinichi (Niigata Sangyo University)
Recent Changes of Regional Fertility and Population in JapanINOUE, Yosuke (Tokyo University)
UMEZAKI, Masahiro (Tokyo University)
Geographical Inequality in Sex Ratio at Birth: Analysis of Municipality Data bySaTScan Statistics

12 : 30 – 13 : 30

Lunch Break4

12 : 30 – 13 : 30

PAJ Board of Director’s Meeting

13 : 30 – 13 : 40

Welcome Address

13 : 40 – 14 : 30

General Membership Meeting

5Saturday 7 June

１4：30-１7：30

Symposium
Work-Life Balance in Aging Society
Organizer：ABE, Takashi (Japan Women's University)
Chair：ANZO, Shinji (Meiji University)
Discussant：ATOH, Makoto (Waseda University)
WATANABE, Machiko (Meikai University)
OSAWA, Machiko (Japan Women's University)
Discussion of Work-Life Balance in JapanGONJYO, Hideko (Asia University)
Discussion of Work-Life Balance in Europe
HANADA, Mitsuyo (Keio University)
Discussion of Work-Life Balance in Organization

18 : 00 – 20 : 00

Welcome Party

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Population Association of Japan

2008 Annual Meeting Program
Sunday 8 June

8 : 30

９：００-１２：００

Registration

Theme Session 2 (Room No.506)
Evaluation of Population and Family Policy in Japan
Organizer ：Kato, Hisakazu (Meiji University)
Chair：TAKAHASHI, Sigesato (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )Discussant：Kono, Sigemi (Reitaku University)
SUGINO, Motosuke (Kyushu Kyoritsu University)
MASUDA, Mikihito (Toyo University)
An Analysis of the Effects of Measures Taken to Confront the Problem of Fewer
Numbers of Children based on a Simulated Projection of the Japanese Fertility
Rate in the Future
NOGAMI, Hiroki (Institute of Development Economies, JERTO)
Applications of Sustainable Indicators for Evaluation of Population and FamilyPolicies
ANZO, Shinji (Meiji University)
KAMATA, Kenji (Meiji University)
A Survey Report: "A Survey for Local governments about the Next Generation
Promotion Support Measures"
MATSUDA, Shigeki (Dai-ichi Life Research Institute INC.)
Determinants of the Next Generations Promotion Support in Cities, Towns, andVillages

7General Session 4 (Room No.505 )Chair：INOUE, Takashi (Aoyama Gakuin University)
SHIMIZU, Masato (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )Cohort Cumulative Net-migration Ratios of Municipalities – A Case Study ofNagano
KOIKE, Shiro (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )A Study on the Migration Models for Regional Population Projections
MARUYAMA, Yohei (Keio University)
OE, Moriyuki (Keio University)
Re-examining the “Potential Out-migrants ” Hypothesis ― Including theFactor of Parent’s Migration―
Chair：MORIOKA, Jin (Komazawa University)
HARA, Toshihiko (Sapporo City University)
Fertility Decline of Sapporo: Demographic Charactristic among Designated
Cities in JapanNAGAI, Yasuo (Tokyo Jogakukan College)
State system introduction discussion and population problem with our country
OGAWA, Naohiro (Nihon University Population Research Institute)
MATSUKURA, Rikiya (Nihon University Population Research Institute)
NEMOTO, Kazuro (Statistics Bureau,Japan)
Japan's Uniqueness in Declining Fertility and Rapid Aging, Viewed from BothMicro and Macro Perspectives8General Session 5 (Room No. 504)
Chair：UMEZAKI, Masahiro (Tokyo University)
BEPPU, Motomi (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )The Trends of Longevity and Mortality in Developed and Developing Countries
KOJIMA, Katsuhisa (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )Trends of the Elderly with Severe Disability in OECD countries
IKEDA, Kazuo (Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Public Health)
NADAOKA, Yoko (Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Public Health)
KURASHINA, Shiusuke (Geriatric Care Facility Care-Center-Ami)
Developmental Pathology of Suicide
Chair：KANEKIYO, Hiroyuki (Meiji University)
TABATA, Tomoko (Hokkaido University)
Demographic Trends in the Russian Far EastKYOGOKU, Takanobu (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )Malthus’s View of Population Theory and the Critique against Malthus Theory by
N. G. Chernyshevskii

12 : 00 – 12 : 45

Lunch Break9Sunday 8 June

１２：４５-１６：１５

Theme Session 3 (Room No. 506)
Socioeconomic Differentials and Demographic Outcomes:
A Historical Demography Perspective
Organizer：KUROSU, Satomi (Retaku University)
Chair：KITO, Hiroshi (Sophia University)
Discussant：SAITO, Osamu (Hitotsubashi University)
TSUYA, Noriko (Keio University)
TOISHI, Nanami (Japan Society for the Promotion of Science)
YOSHIDA, Atsushi (University of Tsukuba)
The Mortality Crisis and Socio-economic Status in Pre-modern Japan
KUROSU, Satomi (Retaku University)
TAKAHASHI, Miyuki (Japan Society for the Promotion of Science)
Marriage and Socioeconomic Differences: Towns vs. Villages in 1708-1870
HIROSHIMA, Kiyosi (Shimane University)
Fertility by Sect in Iwami Silver Mine Territory: Was that of Jodo Shin sect higher?
MURAKOSHI, Kazunori (Surugadai University)
A Study of Fertility of Tokugawa Direct Retainers
UMENO, Yuki (Hitotsubashi University)
Intra-family Disparity and Demography in Pre-revolution China: A
Multi-generation Analysis

10General Session 6 (Room No. 505)
Chair：MIURA, Yuki (Surugadai University)
SATO, Ryuzaburo (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)
A Review on Population Statistics System in JapanYAMAGUCHI, Kozo (Hitotsubashi University)
The Trial of Household Changes Statistics Making
NORO, Tatsuo (Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications)
NAKANISHI, Akira (Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications)
Analyses of Results of 2005 Population Census
Chair：ITO, Kaoru (Gifu Shotoku Gakuin University)
NISHI, Fumihiko（Statistical Research and Training Institute, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications ）KAN, Mari（Statistical Research and Training Institute, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications ）Current Situation of Unmarried Partner Households in Japan
MATSUMURA,Michio（Statistical Research and Training Institute, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications ）Living with Parent(s) and Child(ren) by Results by Population Census
IHARA, Hajime（Statistical Research and Training Institute, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications ）Trial Estimation of 2005 Fertility Rate by Industry Based on Own-children Method
SATO, Tetsuaki (Statistics Bureau, Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications)
An Analysis of A Million of Persons in Japan Who Are Absent from Their Job

General Session 7 (Room No.504 )Chair：KATO, Akihiko (Meiji University)
RAYMO, James (University of Wisconsin-Madison)
IWASAWA, Miho (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)
Shotgun Marriage and Subsequent Life Outcomes in JapanISHIKAWA, Akira (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research)
A Cohort Analysis of Marriage and Divorce Based on Registration
MORIKI, Yoshie (Nihon University Population Research Institute)
OGAWA, Naohiro (Nihon University Population Research Institute)
MATSUKURA, Rikiya (Nihon University Population Research Institute)
The Impacts of Frequency of Marital Intercourse of Fertility in JapanYOSHIDA, Chizu (Kanto Gakuin University)
Time Allocation Between A Wife And A Husband In Comparative Perspective
YAMAUCHI, Masakazu (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )NISHIOKA, Hachiro (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )KOIKE, Shiro (National Institute of Population and Social Security Research )On the Survey of “Population Projections and Policies in Local Governments”
11