Changing global risk landscapeParallel Session 2: Mainstreaming CES in the Post-2030 Agenda for Enhancing Integrated Actions on Climate andSustainability Goals: Towards Bridging Local-to-Global Feedback Loops

Rajib Shaw
Professor, Keio University, Japan
Distinguished Professor, Indian Institute of Technology (IIT), Guwahati, India
Distinguished Professor, IDMR, Sichuan University, China
Visiting Professor, Indian Institute of Science, India
Visiting Professor, Indian Institute of Management, Kozikode, India

Academia

Co-Chair, United Nations Asia Pacific Science Technology Advisory Group (AP-STAG)
Coordinating Lead Author (CLA), Asia Chapter, IPCC 6th Assessment Report

Science Policy interface

Co-Founder, Resilience Innovation Knowledge Academy (RIKA) https://rikaindia.com
Co-Founder, RIKA Institute https://www.rikainstitute.org

Start-up and innovation

Chair of Board, SEEDS Asia https://www.seedsasia.org
Chair of Board, CWS Japan https://www.cwsjapan.org

NPO / NGO

Website: www.rajibshaw.org
www.indiajapanlab.org
AND
Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/rajibshawofficialpage/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/rajib-shaw-6243791a5/
Twitter: @rajibshaw

www.rikaindia.com

Context 1: global and local
Understanding disasterrisk① Reducemortality② Reduce # ofaffected people

Strengthening risk
governance③ Reduce
economic loss

Investing in risk reduction2015 to 2030 time horizon

Build Back Better⑤ Enhance⑥ Enhance④ Reduce damage
to critical infra countries with DRR international
strategies
cooperation⑦ Multi hazard
EWS

SFDRR

2015: A landmark year
2020: The pandemic year
2023: An evaluation year

SDGs

Inter-relationship of Global Framework• All of society approach (inclusive)• All of State Institutions involvement• Local implementation
The term LOCAL is used
10 times in SDGs,
48 times in SFDRR and9 times in Paris Agreement

Context 2: Global risk landscape (WEF)
Environmental risk
(disaster, climate change,Biodiversity loss) remains top

2020

Complex risk landscape withNew risks- Digital divide- Digital power concentration- Energy crisis- Food pricing

Need for inclusive risk reduction

2021

2022

2023

Context 3: CCA and DRR
Climate Change Adaptation andDisaster Risk Reduction

••
•
•
•

Complex, cascading and compounded
Climatic and non climatic stress
Addressing systemic risk
Adaptive governance
Emerging technologies

Context 4: Digital inclusivityDigital media penetration• Countries and socio-economic clusters
Digitaldivide and need for inclusiveness• Infrastructure based divide

July 2022: 5.03 Billion• Policy based divide• Urban rural divide• Age based divide• Gender based divide• Physical and mental challenge based divide

Digital Den-en-toshi
The concept of the Kishida Cabinet, which is launched in 2022.
The objective is "to promote regional revitalization through digitalization,and furthermore, to realize bottom-up growth from the regions to theentire country”.
The following digital human resource development and securing arelisted as important measures.
1. Develop and secure digital human resources in the public sector
2. Implementation of online courses etc.

Nishida et al. (2014)

Kochi prefecture

Aged population

Seismic and tsunami risk

Flood risk

Context 5: Open data, adaptive governance2018 West Japan Flood2020 Kumamoto Flood

Bousai Data Eye by Data Cradle and Kurashiki City
Participatory citizen interface for disaster information sharing
Challenge

Covered Area
Satellite
Drone
Crowdsource

Recommendation
Principle

Big Server for Point Cloud
GlobalAdaptive Governance

National Government
Baseline data Census
Global regulation rule
Basic Law

Local Government

Open by default

Local governance system

Data democratization

Accessible, licensed and documented

Decision Making

Capacity
Literacy

Locally owned
Characterizing “open” and “usable” data

Civic Tech

Tools

Consensus building

Co-created
Communicated in ways that meet the needs of diverse users
Community
Affected Area

Invisible
Risk

Interpreting disaggregated data through community engagement

Virtual Community• Control the disease spread in the evacuation center• Critical health monitoring• Separation of spaces / evacuation centermanagement• Ensure air circulation etc.
• Volunteer management: specific incentive schemes withlocal government and business sectors• Data management: link to contract tracing• Cluster approach and early detection

Context 6: Citizen science

Simple smartphone technology
3 typ es of sm a rtp h on e a p p s for m ea su rin g w a ter levels.
1 . Select Typ e
for D D MA

2 . I n p u t Typ e
for Clim a te Sch ools

Processin g

3 . AR Typ e
for Clim a te Sch ools

21Cop yrig h t 2 0 1 8 FUJI TSU LI MI TEDFinal comments• Mainstreaming CES needs governance, technology and resource support• Need to keep the changing risk landscape in mind, especially focusing onnew risks• Local implementation and local customization is an absolutely need
• Digital divide between urban and rural areas poses a significant challenge• Emerging technologies, citizen science, open data and open governancebecomes critical in the new era of climate and sustainable development