COP24の結果と今後の課題
第５回地球温暖化に関する九州カンファレンス
2019年１月18日

高村 ゆかり（東京大学）
Yukari TAKAMURA（The University of Tokyo）
E-mail:Yukari.takamura@ir3s.u-tokyo.ac.jp• COP24
• COP24
• 
•  

2 "• 1992
-702?:)-702@D! ?
ACCB @• 1997
COP3?" @D"?2005 @• 2010
COP16?*<+< @:*<+<?2020 &$%#;>;@• 2015 12 COP21?3: @D3: • 2016 114 3: • 2016 11 COP22?69,.8 @-'(
"" 
*CMA1+• 2017 11 COP23?4'/>/5< @• 2018 12 COP24?*2='1( @E3: % ;>;
• 3: %– 183& ,EU! ""89)%4+#$*20191
3

 

aH
@^
8L

1992







aH
@^

8&
1994FB7J Z
P3I_ CN]YMD*\EO
R?791*\




,S
+O>
8L

,S
+O>
X2

2005

,S+O>
K2^I)'

1

2013-2020

2008-2012 V[:&1997

,S+O>K2^I)':&  7(F
B7R?72020W
91]Y4T""EO

2020W$5G7:&AaH2015W 216%U/ 0O


16
#
#
6%

2020W91]Y4T
@^<\.Q`=; 6;%)3<:
20057593.8$4=2013711#2010


17


"1
2011

 21
!-O8L


2015

!-O=;+2!,(.- '0*/

¨

-Qu





H®-m±1M²®`_±2M²®
!±3M²-`_'5_1'EC
6u8@Wb±4M²®PNREDD¡§±5M²3)£¢±6M²

L`S"'`S±B/>/'Al.I²m`SM2]EC9(Bm`SBKL®KOLXg:\
PNREDD¡§3)£¢

7±7M²®D*D/±« &£¯²±8M²

[7`S |"'7wZ.Im¬©¤¬'£¢«°£¯YvVEC |}±9M²

'ECm'p^_EC9(Bm}£¢=s^®a~±10M²

[ ¦­=s£¢=sOhoRd±11M²®Fn®q
yz$±12M²`_!ECB (%hk

r®ECJ8±13M²"'r®EC?(%ª ¥¯ ?x ±14M²

 ?x `_c&20234+54x "'`S.I, ±15M².I, ;ihkhk±16-19M²

je'{±CMA²tT0^u±20-29M²^u±<'G@ #²fvU
5

HJ?IELG•
L$D>K 5(V2. A=W• ,")L%>&C4%
– "D2℃D >C #> 11.5℃?
%– &?2 +FK32)$'3• 5 EPMOUE%9<TNRQSVratchetupTNRQSW–?-*D805AB/4 !%D
9C7=<0.%>,:4;46(@•  ?;@C:7!E6FE17/
3CBE'H GK• + @9G*I8C #X-8JE0
6

UYD DXNTRW• JM B3$F9P 93/@6='F
:E7?F:C=A-A#( ?:E• $@19=A6– - E (.$L'<J+ 3, G/AAG
C>?HC&*\1 #" 1]– D$E>DD>D D$L;5JGD@B9KFBH=2>D 6@7JG04 !@B9KFBHB4\43]^
progression/no-backsliding\I%]A0!D – 5PMOZD#B$7:V[SQ\Ratchet-up
mechanism]L)8• 20502F$ ?:E %"!F93 :E, N
419O42020D>@ )+N1/CP.21O• 28?@ A$?;A.@<5=*:E&• 0.ALGIHK

7 ratchet-up 



2030

2025
 ;68?! @9


2025



2026

2020



2021

INDC

2016

2017

2018

2029

 2 
 

2022

2023

2024

 1   8/5 - >34 7+>34 -,=

2015

2028

2020
 ;68+ 9 :
9>3+ 9 :
 9>.0;4: $19 278 



2027

"+("+" %2019 
9*'8/4&9#379 9)94<

Carbon Brief 2016   

COP24   • 201820201&$H=C 1
 0 *,-1• =C %FDED?:6G • 20201 - )+A5;9@– 2018   

• !(?B7D/.1• #3>7<8/.1'1"2

4
9

2020 YUXJ<
2017 2017 2018 2018 2019 2019 2020 2020
1-6 7-12 1-6 7-12 1-6 7-12 1-6 7-12
COPGM

r[b}

s}x{l

hy

D4TX~

G7GM

\fyZ

`mg

rx{c

=

G20GM

l\jZze{h{(-a]bZxqZ

UNFCCCLG*py

|COP23fxoZF|COP25|IPCC5
48 
*R
|
8 
*~9+

|COP24py'E 6

|py
'E
"
|IPCC1.5
!8 
*~10

|>.B0~INDC&,P|2050 M,7?
$9& ,P|COP26+|One
Planetatik~py|12+

IWVX
S

X /
WV

|=py
AH
C)~6+

|`yr^
znZ3
atik

|w{ky
_}zG
*HFCE
N~1
+

|=O
K%~11
+

|2G
K%

|I3
atik~9+|CBD COP15 sck#;:1~|ICAO v`nduN
~
|=@
QK%~11+
10 



ÝO m

NDC­`7ÚÝO­eeQ­-h}e «ªÛKf;Ø~K;Øct ­£±­<(Ú[eQ3N/y¿Ã «ªÛ¹¾¼×Éº×ÁÚIPCC¬'¦ GHG­i-IXßO³$%ÅÀÆÙ «ªÛàO 9

9(MÚ(ÚâT*¬´·6©q5;­wÛ «ªÛßO 1)Ó¾Í d¹ÑÖÙÇÚJCMÆ»Ñ¹¾¼×Éº×Á­IXuR «ªÛÄÒ#jc&1)Ó¾ÍÄÒÚCDMÆ»ÑÕÙÕ>l¿ÎÌ×Ã «ªÛ1)¹ÑÖÙÇáO {{FE¬¢·\p«<(­DÚáOÞÛ
Ú9'«ª T {­¾¼×ÊIXÚT {­-o­s hÛÚáOàÛ
-¬ n¦¡µ¸
9'ÚÏÔ-¬20¢·LNz]¿ÎÌ×Ã «ªÛ§«{Z
.J@­/y¬®«¤§«²­­Ü20253¬g¥ÜH£«{e¶ÛQ­v-²#µ­8ÚbL_­eQâ20203µ20253°¨S31000ËÕÛ
13O ~K;

IX>l¯@Ú#¬/¢·P|;­GHGC­'^3³IXxNDC­BaW9FE«ªÛ

14O ÁÖÙÎ <(]ÚIPCC(MNDC­.JaW9­.JaW «ªÛÕØÃÊÈÀØÉ» .JIXÚ»×ÑÈÊ­?rdÐ½ÙÄGVdÐ½ÙÄ «ªÛÀ
15O .JØ,

.JØ,+ ­Yk"ÚÃÂÙÑ³<(] «ªÛ+ !¬·>lÚ A³4Ü=:U-IX «ªÛ 11(* "+,+)'&"
• 
Paris Agreement work
programme (PAWP)
•  

– (* !%-APA.
• COP24"

–APA"# 

!%-SBI.

–  $!%SBSTA.
–  -COP.

12

COP241• 1/CP.24 overarching decision• Matters relating to Article 4 of the Paris Agreement andparagraphs 22–35 of decision 1/CP.21 

– “Further guidance in relation to the mitigation section ofdecision 1/CP.21” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.22);–“Modalities and procedures for the operation and use of apublic registry referred to in Article 4, paragraph 12, of the Paris
Agreement” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.8);– “Modalities, work programme and functions under the Paris
Agreement of the forum on the impact of the implementationof response measures” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.17);•

Matters relating to Article 6 of the Paris Agreement andparagraphs 36–40 of decision 1/CP.21(FCCC/CP/2018/L.28)


13

COP242
• Matters relating to Article 7 of the Paris
Agreement and paragraphs 41, 42 and 45 ofdecision 1/CP.21 –  “Further guidance in relation to the adaptation
communication, including, inter alia, as a componentof nationally determined contributions, referred to in
Article 7, paragraphs 10 and 11, of the Paris
Agreement” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.21);–  “Modalities and procedures for the operation anduse of a public registry referred to in Article 7,paragraph 12, of the Paris Agreement”(FCCC/CP/2018/L.9);–  “Matters referred to in paragraphs 41, 42 and 45 ofdecision 1/CP.21” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.14);
14

COP243• Matters relating to Article 9 of the Paris Agreement and paragraphs
52–64 of decision 1/CP.21
– “Identification of the information to be provided by Parties inaccordance with Article 9, paragraph 5, of the Paris Agreement”(FCCC/CP/2018/L.15);–  “Modalities for the accounting of financial resources provided andmobilized through public interventions in accordance with Article 9,paragraph 7, of the Paris Agreement”;–  “Matters relating to the Adaptation Fund” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.11);• Matters relating to Article 10 of the Paris Agreement andparagraphs 66–70 of decision 1/CP.21–  “Scope of and modalities for the periodic assessment referred to inparagraph 69 of decision 1/CP.21” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.3);–  “Technology framework under Article 10, paragraph 4, of the Paris
Agreement” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.7);

15

COP244
• Matters relating to Article 13 of the Paris Agreement andparagraphs 84–98 of decision 1/CP.21
 –  “Modalities, procedures and guidelines for the transparency
framework for action and support referred to in Article 13 of the Paris
Agreement” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.23);• Matters relating to Article 14 of the Paris Agreement andparagraphs 99–101 of decision 1/CP.21



– “Matters relating to the global stocktake referred to in Article 14 of
the Paris Agreement” (FCCC/CP/2018/L.16);• Matters relating to Article 15 of the Paris Agreement andparagraphs 102 and 103 of decision 1/CP.21– “Modalities and procedures for the effective operation of thecommittee to facilitate implementation and promote compliancereferred to in Article 15, paragraph 2, of the Paris Agreement”(FCCC/CP/2018/L.5);
16

 %^mitigation_IVSY\X
I*^1_

I"^Nationally Determined
Contribution; NDC_H0?NLQUT\ZR\WHC5DL2.2-I G;
2FI('L2P?N) :4M2Q
UT\ZR\WI[][H52,?N):4N• NDCI/ &:MitigationB<GI9E56
H#!G $P7N+JG5:2NDC
H0?NLQUT\ZR\WLMitigationH
0?N2QUT\ZR\WPH@OAO
I1:KD5N3G82Para. 8J
mitigationIIP=G5E>D5N•

176@=CGB6!I2J• NDC5&-9 8;?>GD<GA51)
28'++3 -9@=CGB72I2025 JNDC4.66NDC5$(1I2020 JNDC51)27I/0,
 5&-9@=CGB51)27*J•  5&-9@=CGB8;?>GD<GA5&-9@=CGB8' 2027 6EF 6
ICMAJ103",% '2028 6
CMA113#H :18 8>=@A?8B3C•

,0;NDC73*4" 6<21(Features)8>=@A?73*49
6/– 2024$CMA7 -,/0.$ +1
para. 202!*CMA*#'"#2024#-,/0.#!(%2030 NDC)3• #8$73*4:
6/'2025
7<0+&5*21NDC 8$6< 0;.5<0;!%– 20196 $SBI %&*#(CMA*#'"
19

mq
•

VJN\pclgo

QDNIPW6X– ! 0$9A%/28A'W61X3-*
: 16FSGLM; +)0/BOTVKW
cooperative approachesXA8@ ;A >@W62X• "6 7U.W>H, T<'W4HU`cb
tjateHT[^NhnrcbtjateWBW4
– ECJUH:5.6<CMA17

• JCMKZWdsfik_ W2)@ V-Q\OTLG/V!
9P]\?LSMRwWGrvrVIOTL(x• uW$D W=5X:TU[I\– 8 #9:(4@QDNIP;&"W64X• CMAL#Q\*EVY[13yCDM likeUpclgo– RVR:5.6<CMA17

W67X• hnrcbtjateWF+w6(5x• CW0_8WA;-&%Vw6(6x– ,BOTVK;=?&"W69X
20

6(2.5 •) +.62*417;664**– 62 )%/9- • 79:32;80;5*$+*:<:–   /37(&90$9+– 6264 /37(&90$9+– UNFCCC   /37(&90$9+•  * )CDM*–
48,'*1 !– #:#"; !•  ,/%!& " (.(*:<:'#21

  6.26.468• "%<3COP24452,;
0*'3 8/• "%39+5;1(:<-1'
2019 4CMA22.:7)'SBSTA*!
<Dpara. 3E• 13F$ 4BCBD #E2'>@3&.: <6:

A=?

22

"CL.23D6C1D
• .

J-

N

NL8GN'Q– ./,'5:,134;#57'"
6ABACMPGD6 8;2!+):<;• BPHN- IOL87(M?- NQ• +=:SVU- <K9<O6CVDVN-=[self-determined\• /#BU*6(N6( M)L2M
G8H&$M&B@J=)• EFA6+M3BU- N!6(N "MG8HO61XZYOWAL8
• 5,
M;8H6I>U4T6 BU0M
3BU W%T@RP>[should\– **;7' &6
574:4(+'-;
$50(1 &
>B@3696?B=6 6%34;
23

&GL.23H:#!G2H• 
––AECEBDF:GshallH"GNDCH:7):(@%$4>:9#8 :GshallH– 79 61 ,<*9+4>
:GshouldH– ( ;-139:9+4> @G
shallH.5:: ;//> @4=0G
shouldH– ' ;-#73? 2>9+4>
@4=024

L.23 3
• 6#NTechnical expert reviewO–   • D0• NDCD A3D$/• 7=I 8=ID$/
• 13!D C7=I D5D(• - C'H<@.B2 C?9@8- %+DLMK
D(FD–   • &*• NDCD ;G>E4;D#• ,D ;D#• =ID ;D#• - C'H<@"1:.ABI2 C?9@8"1
J4)=I
25

&DL.23E7%D4E• Technical expert review– )Dcentralized reviewEF 7) 5
4> –  Din-country reviewE– *D'(EDdesk reviewE– =B@B?AC7!"Dsimplified
reviewE• .<$,+07#</;

• 







– 7%D-97(&<1/:762,38+ E26)LL.23MA%!L5M•   
Facilitative, multilateral consideration ofprogress– 'B19@ ;6=NDCA C*– 8F9 =+
?>G&
'– 2 -3D?EN/.A("# -10SBI
@,8FEHJKI– +
49D<5E:76$2
27

8 ;7%2020KSM 2 
20141 1

KR$02KI BR
4KI%PR$0

COP17(!SM 4R5>G.KSMC:,D

(!SMC:# 7F 4R2020K2030KL-U?Q
H3%)
(!SM/+*"N9I%JSMO/+
A %J=ER$1V

IAR

COP17
'B

<T6&→6&R$0


COP19


SBI@%N
28

" '  NAMA  

&
NAMACOP17%

!%COP19

(

MRV

&

MRV
BUR

ICA

&
 NAMA(

MRV

BUR
COP17$+)#→-,*

SBI

BUR

29

15&EhL.5iZ</•

FB%ZEW,]LZ)!`"7[OPeb
XMNLD3X'f@L; 3X'g+:NXPXd• :•

f4=/_.7j$X.EZKhR[jrpara. 4s

IZ*facGjZ*Jf43Y^d• NDCq"& _)0`82^_->@[]hQGNDCq"_^XLY`E_#]T^`->@[]g]LHTPeICZ
G562]9^EUh,J_cI B2->Jrpara. 22rbss• a_"&` Sih^[\bhrpara. 35s•

N?S#9[D3• ]O?_1;`_•<2!+Q?dMh[eLNhZKhsystemic issuei_(>• ('a_klnm_F]\e->SihQKhP•

Z:

W1.\Z0Z2

f8cCR=• VWTG*A!`Gopf%DZdgiV3Z?dgih•

H`-6Z"7IZ*
dQW[VOdi

YTMU$5hN<AS30

C+(WGlobal Stocktake;
GSTXWL.16XC%W1X• QS C @<C- C,B 8=/ A+G(;F=DBC(WstocktakeXG B"6• 0 /@31#(32HJPRO
PC&@56?"6• SBI@SBSTA7$9>"64G'! CMUNKPLTVR• .BEFIUROPC&G*:=3.
)Wtechnical dialogueXG"53 CMUNKPLTVRG;F–      
31

GSTL.162
• &*C%3GIFKL>19 >GIF
KL;/7OCMA6M2023N=92GI
FKLMIPCC> '>HDJLE;
3GIFKLN%3• > =C#4<21=$:6A@3<)?%B<2• GSTC-=0NDCC0 , !.5/
8A =8A@3"=(+32

95O"%<&FD P<&3D=!• 95<&3D>( <(219<
$ /3D91?93<&FD"%<&3D =C,94=JHLNIGAD•  = >( <KM8 25
 G#.7,;,)<(="%='<6,7= >*as available+O4-,- / ; <P3D09/
ABED<9:@D
33



 

• " %=)HK 64<<#Lshareof proceeds; SOPM-@<!%. 8:42'7)$ D(B6HK <&
8:A• " %;=)HK 64<SOP-@!%.
1BA*JCM:9. 8:A3C,62<
;5+6=)" %><!%<8:@:+• CDM:9$ < JEGFI-@<!
%=HK <;?//" %
. 0A
34

 'L.10(• ()!"2025# 1000
 '*&%& 
%+1/CP.21, para. 53, %• 2020!CMA3$ &%&+  para. 1,– 20181214 #!$
"%&  35

COP24
• ,~N– 7b5 c$SbCaL_c<5Jkslow
onset eventsbPZn8cTA"cT9KZnwso&!
oj]^:%para.13
– Zg^cB?blm) 6eM c/Qco>Zn\ibNcX[nA"#oHpara.
14
– 2020h_bTy| 4119bY\W]^O0(;o*Zn`UVB?fcDIo>Gpara. 21
– 2020h_bT2025=4o*Y^UnB?d+YU=
4NDCo*YT2030=4o*Y^UnB?dNDCo*h\d-+Zn`UVDIo>Gpara. 22T23
– NDC'bRY^t{xpFc@2Tq}zuvTprvzuv
o3EZnlVB?bDIpara. 37

• IPCC 1.57.

36

# !" 
•











–  
– "$" • 

37#!"•

POWERING PAST COAL ALLIANCEm93/
Hn?]h^]jbnm201711&4Q

– ;T_ecE
– 201812&0C30WE
•,E=+e8C^$$c4]Q_/e38<^,BcVe0)_5_KD_)>+N
$O%7eO%c]cDO]c8$&_]cD&8])_&<^$]CM$^LAc6[<&c^C$F$_0:cP_1Ve6Z_ Y.63+]c=F[e7e]cDF')U_C-_:H-_8'(eBc8&8@K_KG$@

– 22Wk:,E
•
•
•
•
•

,E=f$_Ke< P^A%?6[d3acM$ +c<^+ 2Q?0 Kc0eKef83?C]cD '(e_9f,^O*_F$ 3H>,?C Jb& SI__ WH;< a5c7(_8 F[
e\e0 +`4c b6cCc
 f+e8C]^$6DFe Y_T_c f8R&cdK`$`8  d +]c=da?A_=X– 28W(E•Abraaj Group, Alterra Power Corp., ArcTern Ventures, Autodesk, Avant Garde Innovations, BT, CCLA
Investment Management Limited, Diageo, Drax, DSM, Econet Group, EcoSmart, Electricité de France(EDF), Engie, GreenScience, Iberdrola, Kering, Marks and Spencer, Natura Cosmetics, Ørsted, PacificIslands Development Forum, Salesforce, SSE, Storebrand, Unilever, Virgin Group, XPND Capital– -%BTJRPGSUFC*+'BC•

BTJRD)A*(>mEURELECTRICn$m20174&5#n–
2WA*(8XC2050YSVC/6\
JUDA 7\0K[T=5– NWOZVC2020@XC3/. 1A\"<JUDT=5mOPJCflhjdC`iagWA*(8XCIW=5\!MLn
38

W>nsRq• C40– 2018,105294DbGj96n]+fIT 6
GGDPn4n1J/c47ero9]k;@+fb• Under2MOU– 2018,105294DbGj43xn220n NfMOUmUGn n17mJ/it13b30O~nSAY:
GGDPnP40J/c47ero&_Kf

• Global Covenant of Mayors for Climate & Energy– =!m$hb BQjzv}lL pnMXpnsRqu\hb10it]+k32.n`Hvwv{– 2018,125194Db 7.86 Gn n10.30 n<u6it120ugdtn9194n]+ W>f– 47erob-(+b*+b#%+b;@+b9]b(+b
VaKC8b|yFb"?+b[+b(+b')+b[E+].Z^Ff

39

•
•

p
I

0
)

h

s
i

(

(

n

21/ 22.
g
n
R
P
oc
P
P e

d

)

D

6

9

ab

r

t

d

(

D

5:7 5743 76 3

W

7

3

( GL(CT )) 3
BM C W RCKBT LACB GAPM CTGAC
K
CBG
FG -PMSN .M BGLE) )MPNMP RGML
)MPNMP RGMLRCF PK
RP CLCARM
SAI LB GPNMPR SRMBC I ( A PBG (G CPSB MP L
(GMECL NM R (PMRFCP LBS RPGC ( ) C P +LRCPR GLKCLR ) L BG L 3 RGML
G U W )MKN LW ) NECLGLG -PMSN) NECKGLG) P CPE -PMSN ) RC SK )+ + RGDRSLE )M )G AM W RCK )GRW CTC MNKCLR GKGRCB))MA )M +SPMNC L
PRLCP )MA )M .() )M E RC
KM GTC )MKN LW )ML R LRG , CVG C LRCPL RGML
)MTGTGM ))MPPCGM BC MPRSE).C RF
G 3GNNML PGLRGLE
GGAFG
LIWM
GU .MS C LBS RPWLMLCCCAFLM MEGC
C R + CARPMLGA
CLR S GLRCPL RGMLG ECM +BEC +LTGPMLKCLR RW ++LCPEG BC
MPRSE+ CARPM SV + G )MPNMP RGML +KGP
PMNCPRW ,SLB +LCAM +LC +LTGPM
PI M SRGML +PGA ML -PMSN+, PKCP (PM,CPPMTG,+3 ). ,MPC R )GRW C RW PS R ,SHGDG K .M BGLE ,SHGR S -CAGL -CLCP
G-GT SB L .CU CRRAI PB +LRCPNPG C .G RML .GLBS R L GLA . + CARPGA LTC RKCLR . +.M R .MRC
C MPR. . (+.3+ -PMSN .S OT PL) -PSNNCL+
LECP M
LB LRCPL RGML , TMP,P EP LACLRCPL RGML
M R )MPNMP RGML)U
IG G CLG F
GLC
C MEE )MKN LW CPGLE C IM )MPNMP RGML
G PMW C RW )MPNMP RGML GLE N L -PMSN GPGL .M BGLE
MK R S MLGAGLM R
MLGLI GHIC
33
MW
3
LB CA
CE
LB
CEP LB CTC & )MKKSLGA RGML
CTG RP S)M-PMSN SLB CAI Z P
FGLBP
LWM NCAG
RCC
PI
NCLACPP
PSG -PMSNRCPA PB
A ML BZ
MPE L GLB-PMSNSLRML 3 RC AM 3+) 3C R
3CU )MPN 3GNNML S CL
S FGIGG F 3MIG 3MKSPC C PAF L RGRSRC 3 +LCPEW PGEGL +LCPEW PI
L NGL
C RRP L NMPR .M BGLE
L MLGA CN G)M DGXCP FG GN MPPG LRCPL RGML
M R3MPB PMARCP - K C )MKN LW PM MEG
PMVGKS
SII .CPCB + CARPGA BC + N a
GAMF
CGIM
+N ML CIG SG )FCKGACIG SG .MS C CTCLRF -CLCP RGML - )MK G MA GLE NMPC C CAMKKSLGA RGML
GLERCISLIDSLI MLW MNPRCPG -PMSN R L CW ( AI LB CAICP RMP +L M+).+ )SKGRMKM ,MPC RPW SLRMPW (CTCP EC ,MMB SLRMPW .M BGLEUG AMK WKPG C + +, 3 )
CLL LR)MKN LW C AM +F W
)MPNMP RGML W ML ,MMB(
LGAF PK LG CTCP CP SLB
K PR
RMPC
GNPM
RCPPCGAFG AFC M R P RCB SBTs
201914
SBT\M_
VWZ +
33;

`li yaioT`nvhoT`ohT`oxo
JITNECT0FTgTj}fsTjwTlzTlzSbs|n|T T *+TpbjdrT</+T</coTr}T> T#% TcoTROT!7LT|xojT#%PFTQ&C9T
|r}vhTOTbTm+Ti T
LIXILTjT}u

SBT\?_A'Y[U^+
34;

\BTbeTdmbTNTT{jTMS & ADbn`oi yaioTJITeTG5TKDDIT*J
IT4/LTSOMPOyaioT LT.7ITtb
g+T(KT(3yaioTzsD NT#
6D NT#%):NSGi T#%qeT#%Z]X6+JTT#=T#=-TJ1i %;T~vpT%7"
9+THR-T$RETUK-NSI#%@-TT8-T,2kTYKK AP
41>SBT• 1%8;=697@?%:><@97@?(30#AScope 30 #B5*4".5!)+'4– QISU20177V• 2050?;=+LRF/:E7<FA8922030?;=2015;KISN1<KISN2>  HK>$
0F30T 3,:E)<JSMK2-.2%!5C>K
ISN3>0F2030?;=2015;15T –  U20187V• 2030= 5C>  HK>0F2015
25T 3*1;90 %>&JNPGOS62025?;=SBTF':EB4 D#@7<F("•  1%Science Based Target 0$5/*4-!&2020  3 2+/100 0 
5 *A17120One Planet Summit,"B42

RE 100• 

100  RE100 

– 159( C2019 14 D– http://there100.org/companies– IKEAE2020 3.1 .!*58<@:A#/28<6$– Swiss ReE2020 3.1*5$6100B8<1*5– AppleE2018 4%439 2 1,'-8<$100B" &;=?7>A4&;=?7>A/)-%2020 3.1+08< 64GW
43

RE100
201914

44"RE100•

8->?20174@– 2050D=@LP.100W'*1,WI'*•

3(.?201710@– 2040D=@LP.100W'*1,•>9<2030D=@?6>E30

>9<2030D=@50W'*'*<?20183@– 2050D=@LP.=100W'*••%.+9?201711@3(.?20182@;07?20183@?20185@,9>5?20187@)<45:=6>9
1&<,?20187@?20187@/2>?20189@
->5 !#$?201810@8>.?201810@'41<– JNRTB+ F&ASVMV@LPA I:– KQOU4JNRT 7A$) A:C<ILP=D3?28>I9;>#X!"201738Y• 20MALP@GH.@(912018D=@
.=5HG2@:H%

-=Z2000kWI/0
2018'8$ RE100 140 %100*)!
 2030'  197TWh &(+"

#BNEF, 201846

81LEKF;GT@NIDPU9-+:• :$ (CSR)• #7MQUJ?UC•  :(<:– Wal-mart Stores• DE@HG?AEHC615&BF9+ >• 8<=:12000&BF8,5=7– 0$• 0!% 2014 *'!J( 09 *'!>
 3.5I347 09 *'!9-">0/2.10 ;
68#)• !9 -+ )9BRVU@KSAV :LEKFH
OUF– 72% of 10 trillion US dollar (total amount of expected investment)
would go to renewables. Reach 400 billion dollar in 2040 on an annual
basis (BNEF).

• %:. '&RFB9*-905*=-)!
<:">6/=-94*535W%02*7 ,=% :47

E<N_^IE<NL^••DBCSESGw3t9tclksgxC. pgdF8WO– NC7FSBdcF@\k`1d3 QLH P<cQ_j6
1MTCFDchj,20176.S-?,l9DS7.cG20c• le^gS8/+d200=lJUj12QW&El)%– z}ud2015qxrK'4• 1c]S3 QLH P<lAbZ• z}uc:Of`e0$l@Y2Q#Ic]S3B!]`VdP<lAbZ•

~uslTVcG]

bseufnsiIA/-=Ihamginsi– ;5QL1Vidvn{uw|w#I(dX• yop*NNGovernment Pension Fund Global
– ;104w2015y')&2xWC4?,`(P^5("WEEJ (P^I+
W30v`71! t710VG_QRK^+1229W*w;80 :jqx`PYR
J20161'1%M\$• RNC"mst– 201712'I71GD+M\24 ourw;3200– 710W#?@UTXW H][ZxWhamginsi`6>– Climate Action 100 +1712.>a[48 vs 49

Climate Action 100 +• Climate Action 100+:1712($;– 20181019!40$/#'32 KQT'3500
UC8B310=/6
– 5@>4DHIJNLGORJOne4"/34)UFJ,2*4,2*4(
DHIJNLGORJ4GPMR(DHIJ
NLGORJ4A9<2*6– / ;7:1+<%='100=  ?=ERFSGORJC-'T >10&.U•  721+#%- !*721.%,05482• 57693/98+%- • TCFD+&)',"
50
• TN#²·´¬¡¶¨«¸2018.5>¹– zj%0QKJPt}2du-v
}x:aG(}5e}}~9]{• ° ¢®¶©³´¨´·±¸2018.6>¹– zQKJPtemi B}wI+@¥«8p4`w!U¤¯´¦·L7
*_Z =4`FhwXH M1gkl6Y|UCc~w9_} {• ²·´¬¡¶¨«¸2018.6>¹– zj%[KVR "Wjw/
w KVR S_EswQKJPt3, ^e;nAw:a^e%&'$fy\O vLB ^eq){• <?N#r¸2018.7>¹wbo_¸2018.7>¹– %(QKJPt±µª£§­, :a5^eD
51

2018 Global Investor Statement• COP241+328=1!&0 1*0415, (<?5?+ .')– KL E) 6O2020E ) E@A<
8(-DC– &/0$,1FE":4E5 O&/FE
 >GMmeaningful priceNE3=;H?
B*&%E!=;E?B *'27
E!DC– # LJI9+EE.

• '/-%UFJ#%UFJ $
%2467:93;>7%"2467:93;>7% % #(+52
• COP24?bm DnqndZQDF@KAC 6
jP_ViDnqnD 9#I
• 2019E52020G?DNDCD:;@52'9&%@BI– IPCC1.5
@UNEP GAPogq\– COP24?5ana]U5oa`p5PWqn5`nNOq5f\^
i5NQlM^5Ym5kn[Ld5SUWmP9(!:;D
.J,
– EU

• + DmqXqTZe"D?5/9mqXqTZeD"J7HID8– 2019E9G20D12 JHI

• 2020DNDC-)<5@2'*9C@=>3D04– $*DcoqhpRD

53

IPCC 1.56#FY •••

pOg1HK _1℃EyS ©°£@ D20304u1.5℃k 
M %qj«£¡x1.5℃Ew{y2℃ {1.5℃MQE>|xCO2x20104K20304_45±
Px20504u@*f¤­yCO2&£'3P– 2℃ 2030

•
•
•
•

20 2075





¦¬ °x7^Rxh®¨ªxTH}{=i5]~{dJ%s¯[b<cyzlo@Px
5]P\.xX9?e$'<c§«)A{S WI1.5℃MQE>{
20304vUCO2@nP/(x-G
:t«£¡ Px,\¢£¥x0¯aN x2LZ xLp Hx!"Z r+M %,\`8 m;V,\*C
B|541.5℃2℃
1.5℃

2℃

2℃9?JEAD

716;5817>*=
$

14L

37L

2.6

897/716;10081716;1081

102100:59.


0.40FKDH

0.46FKDH

0.06FKDH#(03/#)(8+4=
- .&

7L

13L

1.86

 59D@GI 3L
BC9 ',

7L

2.3

!"%92<7= 70-90L


99L

M29L

300DJ2

9150DJ
: IPCC, 2018, WRI, 2018

55

t vhJ&e1A•tiy{~dS7 <Ne@=g– !EhO(e*G0hD3glny{~– D3kZg\L"T$an\_mgy{~qa– ?,=f'A+hPqY^g]X– “unstoppable” (Ben van Beurden, zs CEO, May 2017)• J&\9j a(cf>h<FHI1
Qhx\pn– t vy{~4S5-u{ 4S$an(cfSM;S12. 4St vrw|{hK…

• J&\q#`anTeboq)an'A\J&q_mg%K• t vz{}St v'Ah /–t\URXVUfVN6[mS8CdSB:hy{~@ hWnU N6Vg
56



 

2015 50  

: IEA, 2016 
BNEF, 2018   






48

64

29

: BNEF, 2018 
10$    

BNEF, 2018









       




 

 

 

 

Frankfurt School-UNEP Centre/BNEF, 2017  

2018

61  

 %&'
$ ("
"#'!

SourceIRENA, 2018


./%PO20186-4*wchF=@N• ]2012t5}r[ESG%Py1,000
\
@JTy50 w&mvu[?xPUx8efgqq_~m\y9+Dy[0wtprsyv`\Cx:7s_~m\>Z|x"wB1Av0w[?dPUeX~[3v#Vt,v"eHtv\4w>t#Vx!>ts{}fe[ix5 xWw
[?L2s[xmj`sRs`~m\^• ]i ~s9+DtNbz[elrGAv
"6xslo\ldl[2050MSwI;E<lr`gowy[ialo)sy"sfv`\>t#Vx!>uuQkn[
x$KY( m |t[Q'e6 r
`~m\^
63





• I552VA2018"7/– h @Q{vkw}f2013"n  .^
Ytwpwmf$pNpF3B{+ZtwkqgJM%fU
|?…s{f 2030"| {mr`94'6=|>yy{fEz`9~|!Dy
tw|K-0{Zgi– h|`9y6WtwHj7:x8 yFIT#n |RGf,2|L|P)l\0Bz`9y tw*NQz|yzlf ;z[ {ruK$pNpF3B{+Ztwkqi– FIT#{vkwh2020"#1x|]{(2BTCtSli– d&YzoTX_ayey|@vOn{RG{nl< 7
{ rw`9{rwK
cb









66

Mitigation3"-9=<?@>A
L.22BA1B•   para. 610– 2A2025B$NDC;-9%3&5& 4NDC3!2&#I36
9 ;'1A2020B3.(/,:84 ;* Apara. 7B– ,4=<?@>5&NDC3mitigation 4 ;:9,1; +2(' 54 70)9A37104! Apara. 8BB67

Mitigation 
L.22 2• SWV_\T_YL5BPXU[_Zapara.1118b– NDCLBP!#3I 3MSWV_\T_Ya
bL9AGN:(' N:6IILOPXU[_ZLAC=DGNDCRBPa para. 13b– (' N?MXU[_ZN&2 NDC7ML0"A:&
1 NDCLN0"BP?IR1H>PIOP 1/CP.21M
para.32R-apara. 14b– NDCLBP!#3I 3MSWV_\T_Ya
bL9AGN:(' N[]^WV_\T_YM 2R%apara. 15b– (' N:) MNDCMLE;G:137abbL F;G
@QPXU[_ZKJ5/BPXU[_ZLAC=DG:8
. L<;G,BPapara. 17b– ISWV_\T_YMXU[_ZLE;G:2027M
CMA10H*$A4:2028MCMA11H+` Rapara. 18b
68

Mitigation"#L.22$#3$• NDC features para.1920

– NDC  ! 
#para. 19$– 2024CMA7NDC 
" #para. 20$

69

NDC
SBI/2018/L.27
• )( .common timeframes/-2031  ",+NDC'#+!&-.para. 2/• CMA #+$*'SBI% #+$*2019 6(SBI% #+!&-.para. 3/70L.231
• /MK2#+OJ8DT%:,M7VMPGWV$ para. 1W• 2028KCMA11NGJ)1K1(CU/;:
BSIT1(CLCMA>5H.=TR<J/<
AHU$ V$ para. 2W• -* L:)192  M  V&K  HCFDT WU
4@HQ202412!31NGJDTAHU$
V$ para. 3W• '3-* M3 L:EK06
G:13"7-10K PT UDTAH>G?TAHU$ V$ para. 4W
71

&:L.23;:2;• MPG$'*$! $%#+.para.
6/– 2,& 0  1+/3 
4
– 
)
1+/3 4– 2,& 0  -)
1+/3 -'1+/3' *#2%(4!

• CMA3.2020 /"
* '$%#$*MPG+ *(SBSTA$.para. 12/– Common reporting tables0common tabular formats– ,& 0  -)
 2"– ) .2$69587

1+/3

• Consultative Group of Experts (CGE)&2019 1),-%"*#+.para. 15/72

15L.5
• &$%!( * +para. 1,• 2024&CMA7"1& )
'$( ) %#)!(#)+para. 2,

73

15'W.YL.5ZY1Z• I

•  I9SXO:6+F ;5D:+DF=:/+DF<"D$0;
H0E)&G(G*Ypara. 2Z•  H!I:2M JRV H3M
8E@LYpara. 3Z•  I:1K-4%HUNQPTE?C$0BA:/K2M,>F<; #M7Ypara. 4Z
74

15%"(O*QL.5RQ2R• II 
– 12 A 6D?E4/A5<AGMPL6D2
36D1 F0Qpara. 5R– 3$367#Qpara. 7R– 2019ACMA2= F0Qpara. 8R– 2 A -1F0Qpara. 11R–  B?9>C2 32020@2Qpara. 12R– .!B;E 10 Qpara. 15R– HNKNIJ= 4 =8?5 @B3:);E A?9>C4A3='F Qpara. 16R–  7*+F:32020ACMA3=&,OQpara. 17R75

15&#*f/hL.5ih3i•

III G\lmkj– `_> \53^4 _6#i&Oopara. 19ocppM (<_K^=$i&ObSoshouldpopara. 19oepp– `L?d_*nE^IUf,J_) i^L0i1BUbSopara. 20p– `L;8R2_T\iAh]QWV^0^XNZ1BiGopara. 22oapp
MTgd_0_1B`LNDCL"_^XNZ e'h]Nopara. 23p••••

4&Q LFNDCR f0\HPDKJ
13&7h]ebeadgB<Rac`^e_i T13&9h"!Q?IYiBUJS9&7h@Q GZY"!Q?IYiQ LF2,P f\ HPDKJ<,Pj >R<)9QHPDKJ
9&5Q LF2,P \5[PDKJ– I;8_#iZL13-7 a13-9^YS;8R) Uf"\L13-13_
cfMPG\_F[L9:7]@^IUf0_D71BiAOT\R[Sfopara. 22obpp••

=QWY(%. $R OB1-R$AQWY7Q LCM)913&14 T13&15BMPGR8NB4Q+XHM; E6OIYBVXZJ':\3
IY– `L_>
opara. 26p\53^4]6#i&NL%:_+H.^XNZ/C!iPf76

15 E%FL.5GF4G• IV

",-/0./– )8&,(?4;
D$(3B+9,; :'7"9!:#D/Fpara. 28
G-7LDC:", :"95.6(@ACB>1FshouldGFpara. 28G–  ;)8&D7B-0<Fpara. 30G• "$ •  # "(') "+• &$
• $!**%+•  +– *; =:D2CBFpara.
31G
77

15$"*b .dL.5ed5e• V  

systemic issues– NM;W,IA<CMAM&2MFP
LEURM;LG=H+W4C<5K 
WLQS+W4DTBJ@IATdpara. 32e– CMAN<M;W&2DTBJWL03I
ATdpara. 33e– N<M;W S!>9L<M/-
M#<6L8DT%W S!VK=dpara. 34e• VI 
– N<7M1W(P<[` MIM]a
ZY<'8< S)P O\Xc_^?RMW(P<:DTBJ@IATdpara. 35e789.5
•
•
•
•
•
•
•

  
L.15

& <20203B/
F*7DA2#N
para. 4O <online portal=F#Npara. 6O <20213B =:C>:?=F#1GST=(:;DA2Npara. 7O <20213BCOP=LMGHKIJ*:LMG
HKIJ==F#Npara. 8O
2021=CMA43B0!= =:C>:?0LMGHKIJ=FCMA4 Npara. 9O
20213B/9%'<+7D,"F*N
para. 10O1"= $FCOP$)4608E.=
CMA9 Npara. 11O1COP<@ F#Npara. 12O
2023=CMA690 F?D-F7D5:F
 Npara. 13O79

 L.11
• 58O;201911@S[^ NCMA@SNQKJ!+C;CMAMCI/3V2?a#para. 1b• 58O71N]WYX\@SN48V B)B
Uapara. 2b• [^ N64N&N6aShare of proceeds; SOPbA%+KLGF"9J;58OS[^ NJ!+DUa
para. 3b• 58N$O;[^ N*(V]_Z`KDUR?;
71NCOPaCMPbM-0apara. 4b– 20196

SBI  11

CMP 

• [^ N64NSOP@S48V B Uapara. 5b• 71@S[^ PN58N',M?:MH>
I58$M .V-0<EN V2019NCMA2J.apara. 6b• DU71NCOPaCMPbN#=T80  
Thank you so much for your attention.

 Yukari TAKAMURA
e-mailyukari.takamura@ir3s.u-tokyo.ac.jp81