23-I-0027
July 5, 2023

Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd. (JCR) announces the following credit rating.

The African Export-Import Bank (security code: -)<Affirmation>
Long-term Issuer Rating:
Outlook:AStableRationale(1) The African Export-Import Bank (the Bank) is a multilateral development bank (MDB) established in
1993 with the mandate of facilitating, promoting and expanding intra-African and extra-African trade.
It provides trade finance both to sovereign and non-sovereign borrowers. The rating is primarily
supported by the strong support it enlists from its shareholders for its operations, its preferred creditor
status and solid earnings capacity. On the other hand, the rating is constrained by some factors
including its relatively high risk asset profile and its shareholder structure mainly consisting of thosewith low credit profile. The outlook of the rating is Stable. The Bank has been playing an importantrole by pushing forward with various strategic initiatives in support of the African Union (AU). Support
from the shareholders for the Bank's operations is strong and a capital increase is in progress. Even
if the quality of loans deteriorates due to the weaker economies of the countries in the region it
operates caused by high inflation, JCR holds that the Bank will maintain its financial base through its
solid earnings capacity.
(2) The Bank’s headquarters is located in Cairo, the capital of Egypt, with 5 branches. Its member
countries and institutions continued to increase since its establishment and consisted of 52 Africancountries and 5 Africa-based multilateral institutions including the African Development Bank at theend of 2022. Its shareholders include not only member countries and Africa-based multilateral
institutions but also other institutions including private ones. The number of shareholders stood at
162 at the end of 2022. The Bank’s main operations include the provision of trade finance throughdirect lending and credit lines (for funds that are provided through intermediary financial institutions),
project finance, and guarantees. Like other MDBs, the Bank enjoys the privileges stipulated in the
Establishment Agreement such as exemptions from asset expropriation and taxation, and the Bank
will not be subject to any legislative, administrative or other forms of restrictions by member countries.
The Bank has been carrying out its mandate even under the challenging environment, including the
introduction of "Pandemic Trade Impact Mitigation Facility" in 2020 and "Ukraine Crisis Adjustment
Trade Financing Programme for Africa" in 2022.
(3) The Bank’s capital has been increased several times in the past. In order to support the Bank’s futurebusiness expansion, in 2021 the Board of Directors approved an additional general capital increaseof USD 6.5 billion by 2026, consisting of USD 2.6 billion in paid-in capital and USD 3.9 billion in
callable capital. The capital increase has been progressing well and its capital base has beenstrengthened in tandem with the accumulation of retained earnings. The majority of the callable
capital is comprised of shareholders with relatively low creditworthiness, but the Bank adopts a midterm credit risk mitigation instrument to enhance the credit quality of its callable capital. Leverage isrelatively high, with the ratio of outstanding loans to shareholders' equity at about 460% at the end of2022 (over 660% when guarantees and approved but undisbursed loans were included).
(4) The Bank’s total assets (USD 27.9 billion at the end of 2022) consist predominantly of loans (82% of
the total), with other assets consisting mostly of cash and cash equivalents. A breakdown of totalloans by country shows that top five countries (Nigeria, Egypt, Ghana, Zimbabwe, and Angola)account for over 70%. Of all borrowers, top five together accounted for about 19% of the total loans.
With sovereign and non-sovereign loans accounting for about 20% and 80%, respectively, main
beneficiaries of the Bank’s facilities are non-sovereign entities in regions with high risks. Under thiscircumstance, the Bank mitigates credit risk through measures including the use of the structured
trade finance scheme to transfer payment risk to counterparties with higher creditworthiness,insurance and collateralization. At the end of 2022, about 88% of the Bank’s loans were secured. In
addition, like other MDBs, the Bank has a track record of enjoying preferential repayment of its debts
as a preferred creditor. Consequently, its non-performing loan ratio had been contained around 3%,
standing at 3.4% at the end of 2022. With respect to risk management, the Bank sets the level of
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risks it can accept in executing its mandate and strategies, and operates based on its Board approved
risk appetite regarding various aspects such as loan commitments, exposures by country, obligor andsector, liquidity, and foreign exchange positions. Its liquidity is relatively narrow with the ratio of thebalance of cash and cash equivalents to total assets standing at around 15% at the end of 2022. On
top of this, however, the Bank secures undrawn portion of credit lines totaling USD 2.7 billion, of which
USD 1.2 billion was committed.
(5) Unlike general MDBs, the Bank is profit-oriented and pays dividends. It has never incurred annual
losses since its establishment, steadily expanding profits. In 2022, it reported a record profit on theback of higher pre-provision profit mainly led by interest income. Although the business environment
has deteriorated in some of the target countries due to economic deterioration and political turmoil,
JCR holds that the company will continue to absorb credit costs and maintain its financial base,backed by its high profitability and prudent risk management.
Atsushi Masuda, Shinji Asano

RatingIssuer: The African Export-Import Bank
<Affirmation>
Long-term Issuer Rating: A-

Outlook: Stable

Rating Assignment Date: June 30, 2023
The assumptions for the credit ratings and the definitions of the rating symbols are published as "Types of Credit Ratings and Definitionsof Rating Symbols" (January 6, 2014) in Information about JCR Ratings on JCR's website (https://www.jcr.co.jp/en/).
Outline of the rating methodology is shown as "Multilateral Development Banks" (March 29, 2013) in Information about JCR
Ratings on JCR's website (https://www.jcr.co.jp/en/).
The rating stakeholder participated in the rating process of the aforementioned credit ratings.

Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd.
Jiji Press Building, 5-15-8 Ginza, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061, Japan
Tel. +81 3 3544 7013, Fax. +81 3 3544 7026
Information herein has been obtained by JCR from the issuers and other sources believed to be accurate and reliable. However, because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors,
JCR makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to accuracy, results, adequacy, timeliness, completeness or merchantability, or fitness for any particular purpose, with respect to any suchinformation, and is not responsible for any errors or omissions, or for results obtained from the use of such information. Under no circumstances will JCR be liable for any special, indirect, incidental orconsequential damages of any kind caused by the use of any such information, including but not limited to, lost opportunity or lost money, whether in contract, tort, strict liability or otherwise, and whether
such damages are foreseeable or unforeseeable. JCR's ratings and credit assessments are statements of JCR's current and comprehensive opinion regarding redemption possibility, etc. of financial obligations
assumed by the issuers or financial products, and not statements of opinion regarding any risk other than credit risk, such as market liquidity risk or price fluctuation risk. JCR's ratings and credit assessments
are statements of opinion, and not statements of fact as to credit risk decisions or recommendations regarding decisions to purchase, sell or hold any securities such as individual bonds or commercial paper.
The ratings and credit assessments may be changed, suspended or withdrawn as a result of changes in or unavailability of information as well as other factors. JCR receives a rating fee paid by issuers for
conducting rating services in principle. JCR retains all rights pertaining to this document, including JCR's rating data. Any reproduction, adaptation, alteration, etc. of this document, including such rating
data, is prohibited, whether or not wholly or partly, without prior consent of JCR.
JCR is registered as a "Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organization" with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission with respect to the following four classes. (1) Financial institutions, brokers
and dealers, (2) Insurance Companies, (3) Corporate Issuers, (4) Issuers of government securities, municipal securities and foreign government securities.
JCR publishes its press releases regarding the rating actions both in Japanese and in English on the same day. In case that it takes time to translate rating rationale, JCR may publicize the summary version,
which will be replaced by the full translated version within three business days. (Regarding Structured Finance products, JCR only publicize the summary version in English.)

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I n f o r m at i o n D i s c l o s u r e F o r mJapan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd.

Disclosure Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii) of Rule 17g-7

1

Issuer:

The African Export-Import Bank

Rating Publication
Date:

July 5, 2023

The Symbol, Number, or Score in the Rating Scale used to Denote Credit Rating Categories andNotches and, the Identity of the Obligor or the Identity and a Description of the Security or Money
Market Instrument as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(A) of Rule 17g-7
Please see the news release. If the credit rating is a private rating, please see the report for private
rating.

2

The version of the procedure or methodology used to determine the credit rating; as Required by
Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(B) of Rule 17g-7
Please see the news release. If the credit rating is a private rating, please see the report for private
rating.

3

The Main Assumptions and Principles used in Constructing the Procedures and Methodologies
used to Determine the Credit Rating as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(C) of Rule 17g-7
The credit rating methodology assumes, in principle, to be applied to assess the likelihood of agiven debt payment in light of its issuer’s condition and business environment, etc. in the relevant
future. There is certain limitation, however, in the time horizon that the rating foresees.
The credit rating methodology assumes, in principle, that the factors posted in the below areparticularly important for such likelihood to be determined, and that the rating determination ismade by evaluating each of them not only quantitatively but also employing qualitative analyses.

A) Business Bases
The likelihood of a given debt payment is highly conditional to its issuer’s business bases - how they
can be maintained/ expanded into the future and thereby secure earnings and cash flows in adequacy
and in a sustainable way.
B) Financial Grounds and Asset Quality
The likelihood of debt payment is highly dependent on the degree of the issuer’s indebtedness and loss
absorption capacity in terms of equity capital. Also notable is that a financial institution might see asignificant loss of financial grounds as a result of changes in value of the assets under its possession.
C) Liquidity Positions
The likelihood of debt payment is highly dependent on the adequacy of the issuer’s cash and othersources of repayment (liquidity positions).

1/5D) Related Parties’ Status and Stance of Support/ Assistance for the Issuer
The likelihood of debt payment is affected one way or the other by the issuer’s related parties such as
member countries, the issuer’s related organizations, guarantor, and the government of the issuer’s
business domicile, etc. - by their own conditions and/ or position of support/ assistance for the issuer.
E) Order of Seniority in Debt Payment
The likelihood of debt payment can be different between given debts of the same issuer. The
likelihood of debt payment for an individual debt is dependent on the issuer’s discretion, and/ or its
rank relative to other debts of the same issuer in the order of seniority in principal/ interest payment
which is determined by design as financial product or by laws, etc.

4

The Potential Limitations of the Credit Rating as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(D) of Rule 17g-7
The credit rating herewith presented by JCR is its summary opinion with regard to the likelihood ofgiven debt payment and hence not necessarily a perfect representation of such likelihood. The credit
rating is not intended to estimate the probability of default or the loss on given default, either.
The objective of the credit rating herewith presented does not include any concerns other than thelikelihood of debt payment, such as risks of price changes, market liquidity, etc.
The credit rating herewith presented is necessary to be reviewed along with possible changes of theissuer of rated objects in its business performance and/ or circumstances which include regulatoryenvironment, and hence subject to possible alteration.

5

Information on the Uncertainty of the Credit Rating as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(E) of Rule
17g-7
The information used for the determination of credit rating as herewith presented is obtained by
JCR from the issuer of rated objects and other sources that JCR trusts in terms of accuracy andreliability but possibly contains errors due to human, non-human or other causes. Consequently, thecredit rating determined on the grounds of such information does not constitute, explicitly or
implicitly, any representation or warrant of JCR on the information itself or any consequences of its
use in terms of accuracy, relevance, timeliness, wholeness, market value, or usefulness for any
specific purposes.

6

Use of Due Diligence Services of a Third Party in Taking the Rating Action as Required by Paragraph(a)(1)(ii)(F) of Rule 17g-7
There is no use of any third-party due diligence service in the determination of the credit ratingherewith presented.

7

Use of Servicer or Remittance Reports to Conduct Surveillance of the Credit Rating Required by
Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(G) of Rule 17g-7
There is no use of any servicer or remittance report to conduct surveillance of the credit ratingherewith presented.

8

The Types of Data Relied Upon for the Purpose of Determining the Credit Rating as Required by
Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(H) of Rule17g-7

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The information posted in the below, which includes data, is used for the determination of the credit
rating herewith presented.
A) Audited financial statements presented by the rating stakeholders
B) Explanations of business performance, management plans, etc. presented by the rating stakeholders

9Overall assessment of the Quality of Information Available and Considered in Determining theCredit Rating as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(l) of Rule 17g-7
JCR holds its basic policies for securing the quality of information as a base of due diligence for thedetermination of credit ratings. The information used as a base for the determination of credit ratingherewith presented satisfies such policies, which include the audit by an independent auditor, thepublication by the issuer or some independent media or, otherwise, JCR analyst’s scrutiny, etc.
JCR sees no particular weakness in the quality of information used for the determination of thecredit rating herewith presented as compared to the information used in other cases of the credit
rating for comparable issuers or ratable objects.
If the credit rating is an Indication, please see the report for Indication.

10 Information Relating to Conflicts of Interest as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(J) of Rule 17g-7
JCR receives payment of compensation for the determination of the credit rating herewith presented
from either one of those parties who are issuer, underwriter, depositor or sponsor.
JCR did not receive in the last fiscal year in the past payment of compensation from the same party
for any kind of JCR’s service other than the determination of public or private credit rating, such as
one in the ancillary business.

or Measure of the Potential Volatility of the Credit Rating as Required by Paragraph
11 Explanation(a)(1)(ii)(K) of Rule 17g-7
A) Business Bases
The credit rating is subject to alteration if there is improvement or deterioration of the issuer’s
business bases, since its revenue, etc. may improve or deteriorate by the change in its business
management policies, clients’ preferences, competitive situation, or a technological innovation. The
resultant alteration of the credit rating is usually by a notch, with possibility of a few notches if andwhen the change in the business bases is large.
B) Financial Grounds and Asset Quality
The credit rating is subject to alteration if the issuer increases/ decreases its debt/ capital or vice versa
and thereby makes its individual debt payment liability less or more bearable and its loss absorption
capacity into the future decreased or increased. Also, the changes in the quality of asset under theissuer’s holding may affect the credit rating, since such changes could raise or lower the likelihood of
future loss of the issuer’s financial grounds. The resultant alteration of the credit rating is usually by anotch, with possibility of a few notches if and when the change in the financial grounds and/ or asset
quality is large.
C) Liquidity Positions
The credit rating is subject to alteration if there is a change in the issuer’s financial management
policy or in the relations with fund procurement sources and the change thereby makes its liquidity
positions improve or deteriorate. The resultant alteration of the credit rating is usually by a notch, withpossibility of a few notches if and when the change is large.

3/5D) Related Parties’ Status and Stance of Support/ Assistance for the Issuer
The credit rating is subject to alteration if there is a change in the issuer’s member countries, theissuer’s related organizations, guarantor or other provider of credit enhancement, or the government of
the issuer’s business domicile, or other related parties’ own conditions and/ or position of support/
assistance for the issuer, and the change thereby makes its business bases, financial grounds and/ or
liquidity positions improve or deteriorate, and/ or making the effectiveness of guarantee and othercredit enhancement improve or deteriorate. The resultant alteration of the credit rating is usually anotch, with possibility of a few notches if and when the change is large.
E) Order of Seniority in Debt Payment and Non-Payment Forgiven by Contract
The credit rating is subject to alteration if there is a change in the rated debt’s status in the order ofseniority relative to other debts caused by the improvement/ deterioration of the issuer’s financial
condition. The resultant alteration of the credit rating is usually a notch, with possibility of a few
notches if and when the change is large. Also, in case of the financial products for which non-payment
of interest/ principal is contractually permissible, the credit rating is subject to alteration if and when
the likelihood of such non-payment is projected to increase or decrease. The resultant alteration of thecredit rating could be by a notch but often as much as a few notches.
F) Rise and Fall in General Economy and Markets
The credit rating is subject to alteration if there is a rise/ fall in the general economy and/ or themarkets inducing the issuer’s revenues/ expenses to increase/ decrease and vice versa, etc. The
resultant alteration of the credit rating is usually by a notch, with possibility of a few notches if andwhen the change is exceptionally large.
G) Various Events
The credit rating is subject to alteration on occurrence of various events, such as change in the issuer’s
major shareholders, M&A and other organizational change, accident, violation of the law, litigation,legal/ regulatory change, natural disaster, etc., which are unforeseeable at the time when the credit
rating is determined, causing a significant change on the issuer’s business bases, financial grounds, etc.
The resultant alteration of the credit rating could be by a notch but more often than not as much as afew notches.

12

Information on the Content of the Credit Rating, Including the Historical Performance of the Credit
Rating and the Expected Probability of Default and the Expected Loss in the Event of Default as
Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(L) of Rule 17g-7
Historical records of the credit rating herewith presented are posted in the end of this paper.
The credit rating herewith presented by JCR is its summary opinion with regard to the likelihood ofgiven debt payment and hence not necessarily a perfect representation of such likelihood. The credit
rating is not intended to estimate the probability of default or the loss on given default, either.
Facts of the probability of default are posted as Form NRSRO Exhibit 1 on the JCR website under
the URL:
https://www.jcr.co.jp/en/service/company/regu/nrsro/on the Sensitivity of the Credit Rating to Assumptions Made as Required by Paragraph
13 Information(a)(1)(ii)(M) of Rule 17g-7
A) Business Bases
The credit rating herewith presented could be changed if and when the assumptions made at the timeof its determination turn out to be inaccurate with regard to the issuer’s business bases and powers ofearning or cash flow generation, etc. The resultant change of the credit rating is most likely by a notch,
as JCR speculates, but possibly as much as a few notches if the development is rapid in improvement
or deterioration of the issuer’s business bases on some drastic change in the operational environments,
etc.
B) Financial Grounds and Asset Quality
The credit rating herewith presented could be changed if and when the assumptions made at the timeof its determination turn out to be inaccurate with regard to the issuer’s financial grounds and asset
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quality. The resultant change of the credit rating is most likely by a notch, as JCR speculates, but
possibly as much as a few notches if the development is rapid in improvement or deterioration of theissuer’s financial grounds and/ or asset quality on some drastic change in its business bases.

C) Liquidity Risks
The credit rating herewith presented could be changed if and when the assumptions made at the timeof its determination turn out to be inaccurate with regard to the issuer’s liquidity positions. The
resultant change of the credit rating is most likely by a notch, as JCR speculates, but possibly as muchas a few notches if the development is rapid in improvement or deterioration of the issuer’s liquidity
positions on some drastic change in its financial management policy or relations with fundprocurement sources, etc.
D) Related Parties’ Status and Stance of Support/ Assistance for the Issuer
The credit rating herewith presented could be changed if and when the assumptions made at the timeof its determination turn out to be inaccurate with regard to member countries, the issuer’s relatedorganizations, guarantor or other providers of credit enhancement, the government of the issuer’s
business domicile or other related parties’ status and stance of support/ assistance for the issuer. The
resultant change of the credit rating is most likely by a notch, as JCR speculates, but possibly as muchas a few notches if there is a major change on the part of related parties, such as replacement,
disappearance, some drastic improvement/ deterioration of financial grounds/ balances, etc.
E) Rise and Fall in General Economy and Markets
The credit rating herewith presented could be changed if and when the assumptions made at the timeof its determination turn out to be inaccurate with regard to the prospects of general economy andmarkets. JCR expects the change should be most likely by a notch but could be as much as a few
notches, should the economy or the markets change so greatly.
on the Representations, Warranties, and Enforcement Mechanisms of an Asset14 Information
backed Security as Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(ii)(N) of rule 17g-7
The credit rating herewith presented is not for an ABS product, and hence no relevant issue.

Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd.
Jiji Press Building, 5-15-8 Ginza, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061, Japan
Tel. +81 3 3544 7013, Fax. +81 3 3544 7026

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The Historical Performance of the Credit Rating
Issuer Name

Issue Name

The African Export-Import Bank Issuer(Long-term)
The African Export-Import Bank Issuer(Long-term)

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Publication Date

RatingOutlook/Direction

December 7, 2021
August 10, 2022

AA-

StableStableAttachment

Attestation Required by Paragraph (a)(1)(iii) of Rule 17g-7

I, Kiichi Sugiura, have responsibility to this Rating Action and to the best of my knowledge:

A) No part of the credit rating was influenced by any other business activities.
B) The credit rating was based solely upon the merits of the obligor, security, or money market
instrument being rated.
C) The credit rating was an independent evaluation of the credit risk of the obligor, security, or
money market instrument.

Kiichi Sugiura
General Manager of International Rating Department

Japan Credit Rating Agency, Ltd.
Jiji Press Building, 5-15-8 Ginza, Chuo-ku, Tokyo 104-0061, Japan
Tel. +81 3 3544 7013, Fax. +81 3 3544 7026