ASEAN Food Security Information System
Advisor Shoji KIMURA
1AFSIS(ASEAN Food Security Information System)
as a subsidiary body under AMAF+3
13 member countries (10 ASEAN countries + China, Japan, Korea)

Objective
To strengthen food security in the region throughthe systematic collection, analysis and disseminationof food security related information.

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ASEAN+3 Minister Meeting on Agricultural and Forestry (AMAF+3)

ASEAN Food Security Information System (AFSIS)AFSIS Board (Director General of ASEAN+3 countries)

AFSIS Focal Point(Director of ASEAN+3 countries)

AFSIS Secretariat
Bangkok, Thailand

National Center by country3

Development of Food Security Information in ASEAN
VISIONMISSION

Development ofInformation network

Development of Humancapacity

Development of Agriculturalstatistics research• DG –FP Meeting• AFSIS Data base

• Training• ALIS• Management oftraining
and workshop• ACO Report• Mutual technicalcooperation• Annual Report• Others

Administrative activity• Accounting• EWI Report• Seminar, Workshop• Forecasting Model
Information• Rice growing outlook• Others• Others• Others

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Rice Growing Outlook activity

GEOGLAMReport

AMIS“Global Agricultural GEO monitoringinitiative”

Satellite weather information website(JASMIN and Warning Information)

JAXA
RESTEC

Information check

ReportAsiaRice

ThailandIndonesia

VietnamPhilippines

Cambodia

Lao PDR

Myanmar

Making monthly
rice growing outlook
ReportAFSIS

5JASMIN (satellite weather information website)

JASMIN distributes satellite meteorological dataof all provinces in country by map image and time series graph
TOP

Map

Graph

LocalOffice
Look field
condition
Hear opinion
FarmerCheck weather
condition
by JASMIN

Outlook writer of each country
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Rice Growing Outlook activity

Rice Growing Outlook activity Workshop
2016, Jan OAE meeting room, Bangkok
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Rice growing outlook activity
Publishing to AFSIS website 2013Thailand
The wet season rice nearly completed harvesting. The rest of planted areas which are not harvested have less than 5 % of all wet season rice area. It remains inthe Lower Northern, Upper Central and Southern regions. Yield slightly increased on a national wide basic. The good yields are result of an adequate rainfall for arice growth. However there were some areas in the Northeast suffered with a dry damage the tillering stage and had a late harvested due to lack of harvestingmachine problem.
The dry season rice is in the tillering stage. The growing condition is not good due to insufficient water for cultivation. Farmers have to find natural resources
water to support their field. Together with the cold weather also gives a bad impact for the rice growing, especially in the Upper Northern region with lack oftillering. Yield is forecasted to decrease 2.5 % compare to the previous year.
Indonesia
The planted rice on September (dry season rice) is entering into the grain mature stage. It is about 0.7 million hectare and 4.9% higher than the previous yearwith a good growing condition. While the rice which is planted on October is entering into the grain filling stage, it has reached 0.6 million hectares and 21.2%
lower than the previous year with good growing condition. The rice planted on November is entering into the generative phase or the young panicle forming
stage. It has reached 1.3 million hectare and it’s 13.8% lower than previous year with good growing condition.
The yield on this planted season (September – December) is estimated to be the most highest in last year 2014 and it is higher than previous year due to thegood combination of the sufficiency of irrigation and sunlight.
The rainy season has begun from the third week of October in Sumatera and Kalimantan, and from Mid-November until December 2014 in most parts ofJava. The precipitation is moderate to high in most parts of island in Western. Flood is occurring in some areas while it is low to moderate level and it does notaffect a rice cultivation.
Vietnam
From this month to next two months, there is going to enter into a pre-harvest season of rice in the North.
The summer season rice in the South is under the harvesting time and has harvested 423 thousand ha, accounting for about 59% of planted area, and90.4% of last year harvested area. In which provinces of Mekong River Delta have harvested 163.6 thousand ha, accounting for just 50% of the planted area, and86.1% of last year harvested area. Additionally, the yield of summer season rice is 4.87 ton/ha, 0.17 ton higher than the last year yields because there were fewer
storms in 2014 than in 2013.
The winter spring season rice (dry season rice) in the South is in the transplanting time. The transplanted area is 1,040 thousand ha, accounting for 95.5%of the last year area. In which the provinces of Mekong River Delta have transplanted 983 thousand ha, accounting for 99% of the last year area.
Philippines
Dry season rice planted in November – December is in the tillering to young panicle forming stages in the North, Central and South Regions. There was nocrop damage reported during these stages. The favorable weather condition and use of quality and high yielding variety seeds may increase the yield.
(Sub-regional comment)
In Nueva Ecija, land preparation and planting of paddy areas are on-going and are expected to be completed by the end of January 2015. In Iloilo and North
Cotabato, grains are expected to be a good quality due to a good weather. While, in Isabela and Pangasinan paddy areas are expected to be harvested inFebruary.
Generally, the crop growing condition of dry season rice is good that may result in higher yield compared to that of the previous year.

9Assessment of rice growing condition by JASMIN

Why we need weather data?
The weather observation is an indispensable work forrice growing monitoring.

10Assessment of rice growing condition by JASMIN
Rice yield component
Rice yield is decided by “Number of panicle”, “Numberof grain” and “Weight of grain”. The multiplications of thesethree components become the final rice yield.
The rice growing assessment in the outlook assesses theattributes of these three components which are affected by theweather condition.
Important point

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Assessment of rice growing condition by JASMIN

Many
Number of panicle

Seeding Stage

Tillering Stage

SowingManyx

Number of grain

Young Panicle Forming Stage

Heavyx

Weight of grain= Good yield

Grain Filling Stage

HarvestingEnough Solar radiation

Enough Precipitation Enough Precipitation Enough Solar radiation

Assessment of rice growing condition by JASMIN

Few
Number of panicle

Seeding Stage

Tillering Stage

Fewx

Number of grain

Young Panicle Forming Stage

SowingLightx

Weight of grain= Poor yield

Grain Filling Stage

Harvesting

Less Solar radiation

Less Precipitation

Less Precipitation Less Solar radiation

Attention point on the assessment of rice growing outlook
The rice growing condition and damage condition have a causal
connection with both the past and the present weather conditions.

14Attention point on the assessment of rice growing outlook
The growing condition is estimated against the assumed final yield.

15Thailand, Rice growing outlook on September, 2015
Precipitation

Drought Index

Soil Moisture

Now Thailand, a wet season rice is in the Young Panicle
Forming Stage. Even though there is enough rain which is goodcondition for the normal young panicle forming grows. The
yield of the wet season rice is forecasted to decrease since there
is a few number of panicle in the Tilling Stage due to lessprecipitation and the shortage of cultivation water which is notgood condition for the paddy.

(Comment)
The drought condition has been resolved on September.
However, the drought condition during tillering stage was inhard condition . This outlook judges current growing condition
by referring to the past weather condition and growing
condition.

Rice Growing Outlook Activity

Collaboration between Remote Sensing
Technology and Agricultural Statistics for foodsecurity in ASEAN17