THE UNITED STATES AND JAPAN IN A GLOBALIZING WORLDJapan Economic Foundation: Japan-US Forum 2019
May 17, 2019, SAIS BOB Building Room 500,

1717 Massachusetts Avenue, NW, Washington, D.C.
Opening
9:00 to 9:30 Conceptual Introduction
Kazumasa KUSAKA, Chairman and Chief Executive Office, JEF

Kent E. CALDER, Vice Dean for Faculty Affairs and International
Research Cooperation, Johns Hopkins University (SAIS)

9:30-12:00

Session I: Domestic and International Transformations

9:30-10:30

Panel I: Emerging Geopolitical Risks

This session would consider major looming uncertainties in global affairs,with special emphasis on political-military dimensions, but with someattention to their economic antecedents. Issues considered detail would
include tensions in the Middle East, the Korean peninsula, and the energy sea
lanes between Northeast Asia and the Persian Gulf, as well as the geopolitical
implications of China’s Belt and Road program.
Moderators:

Kent E. CALDER, Vice Dean, Johns Hopkins University (SAIS)
Speakers on US Side:(1) David SHEAR, McLarty Associates. Recent US Assistant Secretary of Defensefor East Asian and Pacific Affairs, as well as US Ambassador to Vietnam.
(2) Hal BRANDS, Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Affairs atthe Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS). Former
Special Assistant to the Secretary of Defense for Strategic PlanningSpeaker on Japan Side:Yoriko KAWAGUCHI, Visiting Professor, Musashino University, DistinguishedFellow, the Tokyo Foundation for Policy Research; and former Minister forForeign Affairs, Japan
10:30-10:45 Coffee Break
10:45 to 12:00 Panel II: Domestic Transformations

This session would consider first the technological changes implicit in theFourth Industrial Revolution, such as IoT, AI, and Big Data, together with anassessment of their political-economic implications. Particular emphasis
would be placed on the employment and income implications of thesetechnical changes, especially the intensification of unemployment and income
inequality that they imply, as well as the populist backlash.
The political and economic policy consequences of that backlash would also beconsidered, including implications for the impending 2020 Presidential
elections in the United States.
Moderator:

Naoyuki HARAOKA, Executive Managing Director, JEF
Speakers on US Side:(1) Yascha MOUNK, SAIS/Johns Hopkins University. Formerly Lecturer onGovernment, Harvard University; and Commentator, the Wall Street Journal.
(2) Daniel BOB, Senior Fellow, Reischauer Center, SAIS; and former Legislative
Assistant to Senator William Roth, Chairman, US Senate Finance Committee.
Speaker on Japan Side:

Naoyuki YOSHINO, Dean, Asian Development Bank Institute; andProfessor Emeritus, Keio University

12:00- 13:45 Luncheon Speaker"The AI context of Future US-Japan Relations"
＠SAIS Herter Room 1740 Massachusetts Avenue N.W.
James SHINN

Former Assistant Secretary of Defense for East Asian and Pacific Affairs;
14:00 to 16:00

and Technological Entrepreneur

Session II: Toward Stronger, Rule-Based Globalization

This session, building on the findings of the previous panel, would focus onprospects for constructing a rule-based system for ordering world economic
affairs, which is at the same time sensitive to emerging political-economic
realities in key nations, including the United States and Japan. Special attention
would be given to how intellectual property could be protected, and to how theUS-Japan-China relationship could be stabilized.
Moderator:

Joshua WHITE, Associate Professor, SAIS/Johns Hopkins University; and former
Director for South Asian Affairs, US National Security Council.
Speakers on US Side:(1) Jacob M. SCHLESINGER, Senior correspondent in the Wall Street Journal
Washington Bureau, covering trade and globalization.
(2) Kenneth I. LEVINSON, Executive Director, Washington International
Trade Association
Speaker on Japan Side:

Soichiro SAKUMA, Senior Advisor to CEO, Nippon Steel Corporation
Closing Session.
16:00 to 16:15
Kazumasa KUSAKA, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, JEF
Kent CALDER, Vice Dean, Johns Hopkins University (SAIS)
Cocktail Reception