Dialogue with Agricultural Sector toPromote Use of Climate Predictionof JMA
Nobuyuki Kayaba, Akina Yamada, Nobutaka Monnouji, and Masayuki Kyouda
Climate Prediction Division, the Global Environment and Marine Department,
Japan Meteorological Agency
email:climate-risk@met.kishu.go.jp
website:http://www.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/risk/index.html
16th Annual Climate Prediction Applications Science Workshop (CPASW)
May 22-24, 2018
Fargo, ND

Outline
１．Introduction and motivations
２． Activities to promote use of climateinformation
３． Achievements
４． Summary and Future issues

16th CPASW May 22-24, 20182

JMA Weather/Climate information
TodayTomorrow

One weekNowcasts

One monthThree monthUsers
JMA forecasting services covera wide range of meteorologicalinformation.

Warnings/Advisories
Weather forecasts
One-week forecasts

Early warning information
on extreme weather

Over two-week
prediction

One-month forecasts

Seasonal forecasts/
El Niño outlook
16th CPASW May 22-24, 20183

Introduction and motivations
JMA expect its climate information to be used practically in agricultural
sector for assessment the influence of extreme weather and climate forthe adaptation.

Climate risk management process

JMA takes activities to develop best practices of the use of long-range
forecasting in collaboration with user-sector organizations.
In the past 15th CPASW session, JMA indicated one collaborative activity“Develop Climate Risk Management Techniques for Agriculture”※
that JMA and the Agricultural Research Institute (National Agricultural andFood Research Organization; NARO) completed※Summary report on these activities and outcomes for 2016 were available in Japanese at
http://www.data.jma.go.jp/gmd/risk/nogyo_hokoku.html

To expand these techniques, JMA makes effort to continue dialogues with local
agricultural organizations to promote use of climate information in agriculturaldecision-making.
16th CPASW May 22-24, 20184

JMA conducted joint researcheswith agricultural research Institutes（NARO） all over Japan.
Hokkaido
Beating potatoes harmful
for field condition

Tohoku2-weeks ahead
Temperature prediction
for rice crops .etc

Create a variety of successcases of climate information
usage
Kinki-ChugokuShikoku
Prediction of Red molddisease of wheat
Kyushu-Okinawa
Prediction of HighTemperature Damage toRice Grain

Kanto (Central)
Making data set ofweather information foragriculture .etc

NARO are planning to launch thecultivation management systems forwhole regions in Japan, to supply
stable farm products.

Expansion is one of issues for these practical use！
16th CPASW May 22-24, 20185

Outline
１．Introduction and motivations
２． Activities to promote use of climateinformation
３． Achievements
４． Summary and Future issues

16th CPASW May 22-24, 20186

Two major activities for promotion of utilization ofclimate information in agricultural decision-making
JMA pays efforts to promote utilization by conducting two
activities and to support especially agriculture instructors at aprefectural level.

[1] Holding seminars for local agriculturalorganizations all over Japan (from 2015)[2] Publishing guidelines for how to utilize
climate information at the JMA’s the website※(March, 2018)※http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/nougyou/tebiki.html

Targets are agricultural instructors of prefectures all over Japan
16th CPASW May 22-24, 20187

Seminar<aims>- To make agriculture instructors understand how to use climateinformation- To enable them to instruct individual farmers
to incorporate such methods in theirfarming activities

Seminar May,2015< program >- Introduction of a variety of climate related information provided by
JMA and a web-based application available on the JMA’s website- Explanation on how to understand such climate information anddownload climate data via the JMA’s website- Sharing of related experience and information on good practices in
the application of climate data in agricultural fields
16th CPASW May 22-24, 2018

8

The guidelines for how to utilize climate information（１）<aims>- To use as a textbook in the seminar where agriculture instructions
activities- To strengthen of coordination between the prefecture and themeteorological office through improving the guideline
Strengtheningof Coordination

meteorological officeaasdads
Appropriate offer ofthe climate information,commentary

agriculture instructor

Farmeruse climate information
for decision making

improvingproductivity

16th CPASW May 22-24, 2018

9

The guidelines for how to utilize climate information（２）< Contents >--Detailed procedures of how to find and get climate information
Knowledges on when and what kinds of information such as early
warning information on extreme weather is issued
Reviews of whether conditions which are likely to trigger agricultural
disasters such as high and low temperatures, drought, prolonged rainfall,lack of sunshine durations and heavy snowfall.
Information flows that meteorological office and agriculture instructors ofa prefectural issue to farmers when agricultural meteorological disasters
are foreseen.

16th CPASW May 22-24, 201810

Outline
１．Introduction and motivations
２． Activities to promote use of climate
information
３． Achievements
４． Summary and Future issues

16th CPASW May 22-24, 201811

Achievements
through those activities・・・• Utilization of climate information is expanding• It has been deeply recognized among agriculture instructors, thatclimate information such as “the early warning information on
extreme weather” is useful for agriculture.
• Advanced utilization such as“Is climate information useful?”
incorporation of probability
useless9%
prediction was reported
very useful
can notfrom several prefectures.
16%
say21%• Detailed needs are accumulated• JMA continues to pay more efforts
improving climate information,user accessibility and operability.

useful54%
Survey result at seminarin Toyama Prefecture

16th CPASW May 22-24, 2018

12One of best practices
One agriculture instructor in Yamanashi Prefecture pressed
the predicted date on flowering of peach taking intoconsideration two-week prediction, requesting individual
farmers prepare and correspond to the predicted well inadvance.
The predicted date on flowering of peach （20 March,2018）

flowering dateConventional method(Using climatological）
Using prediction
dataYamanashi
20 April
30 March

last year(2017)

mean(2008-2017)

two-week prediction（19 March,2018）

agriculture instructorin Yamanashi Prefecture

As a result, peach flowered on 31 March.
The predicted date using two-week prediction was more
precise than the climatological date conventionally used.
16th CPASW May 22-24, 201813Summary and Future issues
JMA makes effort to continue dialogue with local agricultural organization topromote a use of climate information in agricultural decision-making.

MeteorologicalOffice
Climate Services• Dialogue & Sharing
knowledge• Joint technology
development

local agricultural organization（research center andgovernment agricultural association)
Farming information
with agromet Advisories

They usually have close contact
with farmers in their territory

Farmers

Expansion is one of future issues for practical use
16th CPASW May 22-24, 201814

Thank you so much for your kind attention.