Trend of World Aviation[million pax-km]

Domesticpax-km

Note: 2000-2009 values on 2009 Report and 2010-2019 values on 2019 Report
Source: Made by author based on ICAO Annual Report(C) Hanaoka, 2023

1

[pax]

Trend of Inbonud and Outboundvisitors in Japan
Increment(Million)

14: 3.05
15: 6.32
16: 4.30
17: 4.65
18: 2.50
19: 0.69

Note: Inbound include the cruise shipping [million]

2.53 (2017), 2.45 (2018), 2.15 (2019)(C) Hanaoka, 2023

Source: Made by author based on JNTO data2

8,000,000
6,977,812

South Korea

7,000,000
6,000,000

6,593,328

5,000,000

Total
2018: 7,538,952
2019: 5,584,597

5,036,943

4,593,527

4,000,000

Total
2018: 8,380,034
2019: 9,594,394

3,519,608
3,000,000

2,084,195

2,000,000
1,000,000 603,697
0

1,963,002
9,000,000

1,037,483
1,153,935

2,285,069
1,974,117
1,569,278
1,199,020

312,599
235,055

8,575,500

8,000,000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Tourist7,000,000

Business

7,426,173

Others6,447,740

6,000,000
5,535,125
5,000,000

China

4,000,0004,237,920

3,000,000
2,000,000

1,753,572

1,000,000

323,018

45,2700373,404

829,206
704,737

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

TouristSource: Made by author based on JNTO data

831,652

645,490(C) Hanaoka, 2023

BusinessOthers

3Arrivals Visitors
All Transport Modes

Share of Trip Purpose
100%

15

1680%60%

15

29

26

14
19

24

18

927

42

100%80%60%

1427

14
14

1132

23

23

15

929

41

40%

40%20%

5155

WorldAfrica

454755

America

Asia and thePacific

Europe4520%

5153WorldAfrica

43485648

America

Asia and thePacific

EuropeMiddle East

0%0%

Middle East

VFR, Health, Religion, Other
2000

100%80%60%

Business and Professional

152732565146World

AfricaAmerica

1023275859

Asia and thePacific

Europe261214

1040%20%

Business and Professional

Not Specified

1244

440%

Middle East

Leisure, Recreation and Holidays

VFR, Health, Religion, Other

Business and Professional

Not Specified

2018*VFR: Visiting Friends and Relatives

VFR, Health, Religion, Other
2010

Leisure, Recreation and Holidays

Leisure, Recreation and Holidays

Not Specified

Number in 2018 [Million visitors]
Total（Leisure VFR business）-World1,410.8 (784.8 377.7 175.1)-Europe715.9 (420.7 191.1 100.7)-Asia and the Pacific346.5 (201.5 80.8 35.7)-America
216.0 (99.7 55.9 20.6)

Source: Made by author based on UNWTO Global and Regional Tourism Performance(C) Hanaoka, 2023

4

Outbound Tourism All Transport Modes
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2019

Source: UNWTO Global and Regional Tourism Performance(C) Hanaoka, 2023

5

International Trips by Transport Mode[Million]

Source: UNWTO Global and Regional Tourism Performance(C) Hanaoka, 2023

6

Summary
Aviation Demand in the next decades- Demand of business purpose trip may decrease by online meeting.
- Other people or generative artificial intelligence (AI) can do your business
instead of you.
- However, no one can spend your leisure except you.
- Increase more income, may increase to have more spare time.
Increase more income and spare time, may increase tourism and VFR
demand.
- China can continue to be a leader of world air transport demand in thenext 10 to 15 years.
- Who can be a next leader from 2040, India, Indonesia, Brazil, Nigeria...?

(C) Hanaoka, 2023

7