IEEJ:August 2015

JICA TRAINING AND DIALOGUE 2015
ON
ENERGY POLICYCOUNTRY REPORT: INDONESIAYUSUF SURYANTOMINISTRY OF NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING/
NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AGENCY (BAPPENAS)

PROLOG“An Archipelagic
Country”
JAPAN

One of the largest
countries/economies

JAPAN**

127.55 million
INDONESIA~ $868.3 bil.
~ $3,474.6
Energy Indicator
TPES per population 2012**

Strategic Location$4,694.4 billion$36,804 billion
3.55 TOE

0.87 TOE… and diverse• Between two continents• Between two oceans• An important route forf theh world
ld

trade sea transportation
Diversity of food** Key World Energy Statistics 2014, IEA

Diversity of culture

Diversity of people
2

ENERGY CURRENT CONDITION (1)Oil Proven Reserve

Gas Proven Reserve

Coal Proven Reservea. Limited fossil
fuel resources

b. Diverse
Renewable
Resources
Source: National Energy Council

3

ENERGY CURRENT CONDITION (2)•Source: Handbook of Energy and Economic Statistics ofIndonesia 2014, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

TPES
•
•

DominatedD
i t dbby ffossilil ffuel:
l C
Coal:
l 31%
31%; NG
NG: 18%18%; Oil
Oil:
40%
Limited utilization of renewable (11%)

International demand +export policy impeding
domestic supply• Coal export: 73,2%• NG export: 54,6%• Final Energy Supply• Fuel oil : 58% import (also crude oil import)• LPG: 24% import• Electricity: 84% ratio electrification
4

CURRENT CONDITION (3)By Sector•

Source: Handbook of Energy and Economic Statistics ofIndonesia 2014, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

By Type•••* Key World Energy Statistics 2014, IEA

Dominated by Industry &Transportation (73%).

Fuel oil mainly used for transportation
LPG mainly used for residential
Limited electricity consumption• Elec.
Elec Cons/Pop: 733 kWh Japan (2012): 7.193
7 193 kWh *5

SUPPLY-DEMAND HISTORY
x1,39

Primary Energy Supply

Source: Handbook of Energy and Economic Statistics ofIndonesia 2014, Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources

Final Energy Consumption

6

ENERGY POLICY
National Energy
gy Policyy ‐‐‐‐ Government Regulationg
No. 79 Year 2014
The objectives of provision and utilization ofprimary and final energy

Targets of National Energy Policya. Shifting the paradigm  energy as national capitalf nationall dfordevelopmentlb. Energy elasticity is less than 1 (one) in 2025
c. Final energy intensity is 1% (one) percent per
year until 2025
d Electrificationd.
Elifi i ratio
i is
i 85% in
i 2015 andd 100% ini2020
e. City gas ratio is 85% in 2015
f. Optimum primary energy mix:

Keywords:(1) Emphasizing on renewable energy; (2) Demand side management; and(3) Domestic energy to supply domestic demand
7

ENERGY OUTLOOK – FINAL ENERGY DEMAND
595 mil TOE

253 mil TOE
169 mil TOE

source: National Energy Council

8

BOTTLENECKS• Securing primary energy for domestic usage• Push and also Pull factors• Limited energy infrastructure• Refinery, power plant, pipeline• Land acquisition• Time consuming, no certainty• Subsidy
S b id andd pricingi i policyli• Not targeted, increasing, based on non‐renewable• Funding/Investment• Huge capital investment, rely on foreign sources
9

AREA OF INTEREST• Policy formulation
gy supply‐demand
pp yforecastingg• Methods of energy• Cost and benefit analysis• Energy market

10Thanks
Arigato Gozaimasu
Directorate for Energy, Telecommunication & Informatics
4th Floor, Main Building, BAPPENAS
Jl. Taman Suropati No.2, Menteng, Jakarta 10310
http://yusufsuryanto.blogspot.com

Collaboration
11

NATIONAL ENERGY DEVELOPMENT PLANNING 20152019
INDICATOR

Baseline ‐ 2014

2019

81.5

96.6

843

1 200
1,200

Oil (boepd)

818

700

Natural Gas (boepd)

1,224

1,295

Coal (million tons)

421

400

53%
24%

64%
60%

2

7
(total in 5 years)

11,96017,96040

118City Gas services (households)

200 thousand

1,0 million

Additional Oil Refinery (unit)‐

1 unit (capacity: 300
mboepd)a. Electricity:
Electrification Ratio (%)
Power Consumption per Capita (kWh)b. Production:c. Domestic Usage:
Natural Gas (%)
Coal (%)
d. Energy Infrastructure:
FSRU/regasification/LNG terminal (unit)
Gas pipelines (km)Pembangunang
SPBG ((unit))

POLICY DIRECTION
1.

Increase the primary energy
production especially oil and gas
production,2.

Increase the domestic utilization ofnatural gas and national coal(domestic market obligation)

3.

Improve the accessibility and qualityof energy services and electricity

4.

Increase the role of renewable energy
in the energy mix

55.

Improve the management of energy
subsidies to be more transparent andtargeted
Source: National Mid-Term Development Plan 2015-201912

G-20 Members

Source: Wikipedia

13

Contact : report@tky.ieej.or.jp